A systematic review of factors associated with poor prognosis despite appropriate antibiotics usage for pneumonia

Treatment with appropriate antibiotics does not seem to be associated with prognosis among elderly patients with pneumonia. Identifying factors associated with poor prognosis despite the use of appropriate antibiotics might help withhold aggressive antibiotic treatment in patients with pneumonia. This systematic review aims to identify the risk factors associated with unfavored outcomes despite using appropriate antibiotics for pneumonia. The PubMed database was searched for studies focusing on appropriate antibiotic use in patients with pneumonia (assessed on Aug 7, 2024). Appropriate antibiotics were defined as those sensitive to microorganisms isolated from patients. The risk of bias was evaluated using the Risk of Bias Assessment tool for nonrandomized Studies utilized for controlled observational studies. A total of 1563 studies were identified from the database, and eight observational studies were included in this review: ventilator-associated pneumonia (n = 4), community-onset pneumonia (n = 2), P. aeruginosa pneumonia (n = 1), and S. maltophilia pneumonia (n = 1). Advanced age was the most commonly evaluated factor associated with mortality. Additionally, high severity scores were related to the unfavored outcomes even after treatment with appropriate antibiotics. Advanced age and high severity scores may be associated with increased mortality despite appropriate antibiotic usage for pneumonia. Broad-spectrum antibiotics might not be indicated in elderly pneumonia patients with high severity status who do not wish to receive aggressive antibiotic treatments.

Real-world use of glucocorticoids and clinical outcomes in adults hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia on medical wards

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the real-world use of systemic glucocorticoids to treat patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) outside of the intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 11,588 hospitalizations for CAP without chronic pulmonary disease at seven hospitals in Ontario, Canada. We report physician-level variation in the use of glucocorticoids and trends over time. We investigated the association between glucocorticoid prescriptions and clinical outcomes, using propensity score overlap weighting to account for confounding by indication.

RESULTS

Glucocorticoids were prescribed in 1283 (11.1%) patients, increasing over time from 10.0% in 2010 to 11.9% in 2020 (p = .008). Physician glucocorticoid prescribing ranged from 2.9% to 34.6% (median 10.0%, inter quartile range [IQR]: 6.7%-14.6%). Patients receiving glucocorticoids tended to be younger (median age 73 vs. 79), have higher Charlson comorbidity scores (score of 2 or more: 42.4% vs. 31.0%), more cancer (26.6% vs. 13.2%), more renal disease (11.5% vs. 6.6%), and less dementia (7.8% vs. 14.8%). Patients treated with glucocorticoids had higher rates of in-hospital mortality (weighted Risk Difference = 1.72, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.16-3.3, p = .033). Glucocorticoid use was not associated with ICU admission, hospital length-of-stay, or 30-day readmission.

CONCLUSION

Glucocorticoids were prescribed in 11.1% of patients hospitalized with CAP outside of ICU and one in four physicians prescribed glucocorticoids in more than 14% of patients. Glucocorticoid use was associated with greater in-hospital mortality, although these findings are limited by large selection effects. Clinicians should exercise caution in prescribing glucocorticoids for nonsevere CAP, and definitive trials are needed in this population.

Aging impaired locomotor and biochemical activities in Drosophila melanogaster Oregon R (fruit fly) model

Despite advancements in healthcare and increased lifespan, aging populations face numerous challenges, including declining cognitive function, increased susceptibility to chronic diseases, and reduced quality of life. This study investigated Aging impaired Locomotors and Biochemical Activities in Drosophila melanogaster Oregon R (Fruit Fly) Model with the aim to elucidate the mechanism involved. Adult wild-type Drosophila melanogaster Oregon R was used for this study. Survival assay, antioxidant enzymes (superoxide dismutase (SOD), catalase (CAT), reduced glutathione (GSH) and malondialdehyde (MDA)) and total protein (TP) concentration were investigated. Data obtained were analyzed using R studio and GraphPad Prism. The result indicated low survival in male flies compared to female flies and the highest survival rate was observed with both flies reared together in the same vial. There was impaired locomotor activity in the flies with age. There was a significant decrease in the level of SOD, CAT, GSH and TP with age with a corresponding significant increase in the level of MDA. This finding demonstrated that locomotor activity decreased with aging with decrease performance index and also established the involvement of oxidation through the activities of antioxidant enzymes in aging; decreased (p < 0.05) concentration of antioxidant enzymes and increased (p < 0.05) lipid peroxidation. Also, it demonstrated that female species had longer lifespan compared to males while co-habiting of male and female species extended lifespan.

Performance of various pneumonia severity models for predicting adverse outcomes in elderly inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the performance of common pneumonia severity scores, such as pneumonia severity index (PSI), CURB-65, CRB-65, A-DROP, and SMART-COP, in predicting adverse outcomes in elderly community-acquired pneumonia cohort and to determine the optimal scoring system for specific outcomes of interest.

METHODS

A total of 822 elderly inpatients were included in the retrospective cohort study. Clinical and laboratory results on admission were used to calculate the above scores. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality, need for mechanical ventilation (MV) and ICU admission. Model discrimination was evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs).

RESULTS

The 30-day and in-hospital mortality rates were 6.8% (56/822) and 8.6% (71/822), respectively. One hundred and ninety-eight (24.0%) received MV and 111 (13.5%) were admitted to the ICU. All five scoring systems showed the same trend of increasing rates of each adverse outcome with increasing risk groups (all p < 0.001). PSI had the highest AUC, sensitivity, and negative predictive value (NPV) in predicting 30-day mortality and in-hospital mortality. SMART-COP had the highest AUC for predicting the need for MV and ICU admission, but PSI had the highest sensitivity and NPV for these two outcomes.

DISCUSSION

PSI performed well in identifying elderly patients at risk for 30-day mortality and its high NPV is helpful in excluding patients who are not at risk. Considering their effectiveness and simplicity, SMART-COP and CURB-65 are easier to perform in clinical practice than PSI.

Ceftazidime/avibactam alone or in combination with an aminoglycoside for treatment of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales infections: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Ceftazidime/avibactam is one of the preferred treatment options for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE). However, the benefit of combining ceftazidime/avibactam with another antibiotic remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To identify variables associated with treatment failure during the use of ceftazidime/avibactam for CRE infections and assess the effect of combining an aminoglycoside with ceftazidime/avibactam.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with a positive CRE culture treated with ceftazidime/avibactam between 2015 and 2021 in 134 Veterans Affairs (VA) facilities. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality and the secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality. A subanalysis in patients who received an aminoglycoside was also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 303 patients were included. The overall 30-day and in-hospital mortality rates were 12.5% and 24.1%, respectively. Age (aOR 1.052, 95% CI 1.013-1.093), presence in the ICU (aOR 2.704, 95% CI 1.071-6.830), and receipt of an aminoglycoside prior to initiation of ceftazidime/avibactam (aOR 4.512, 95% CI 1.797-11.327) were independently associated with 30-day mortality. In the subgroup of patients that received an aminoglycoside (n = 77), their use in combination with ceftazidime/avibactam had a 30-day mortality aOR of 0.321 (95% CI, 0.089-1.155).

CONCLUSION

In veterans treated with ceftazidime/avibactam for CRE infections, increased age, receipt of an empiric aminoglycoside, and presence in the ICU at the time of index culture were associated with higher 30-day mortality. Among patients who received an aminoglycoside, their use in combination with ceftazidime/avibactam trended toward protectiveness of 30-day mortality, suggesting a potential role for this combination to treat CRE infections in patients who are more severely ill.

Optimal timing for video assisted thoracic surgery decortication for improved survival in chronic empyema

BACKGROUND

Video-assisted thoracic surgery decortication for phase 3 thoracic empyema is widely accepted, but its optimal timing has not been established. We aim to investigate and assess this timing, in terms of overall survival, for chronic empyema.

METHODS

Two hundred four patients with pneumonia-caused phase 3 empyema were treated with video-assisted thoracic surgery decortication over 10-years at Changhua Christian Hospital. The 90-day post-operative survival status was analyzed, and we compared the survivor group versus the non-survivor group. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to identify the optimal decortication timing.

RESULTS

A comparison between survivors and non-survivors showed statistical differences among age (p=0.004), presence of cardiovascular disease (p=0.018), presence of end-stage renal disease (p=0.002), duration to surgery (p=0.013), length of intensive care unit stay (p=0.010), and overall length of hospital stay (p=0.015). ROC curve analysis determined the cut-off for video-assisted thoracic surgery decortication, based on optimal 90-day post-operative survival, to be 7.5 days after hospitalization; mortality increases threefold thereafter (14.2% vs 44.6%, p<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, end-stage renal disease, pleural effusion pH≦7.2 and duration to surgery >7.5 days negatively impacted 90-day post-operative survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients receiving decortication surgery within 7.5 days of hospital admission had better overall survival.

Severe community-acquired pneumonia at a tertiary academic hospital in Johannesburg, South Africa

PURPOSE

There is a paucity of data from sub-Saharan Africa describing Severe Community Acquired Pneumonia (SCAP), a condition with significant morbidity and mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective, single-centre, observational study of consecutive patients with SCAP admitted to the ICU at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, in South Africa between 1 July 2007 and 31 May 2019. Pneumonia was categorised as community-acquired if there had been no hospitalization in the preceding 2 weeks.

RESULTS

We identified 931 patients, (median age 37 [IQR 30-48] years), with the predominant co-morbidity being HIV co-infection (77.1 %). The median CURB-65 and APACHE II scores were 3 (IQR 2-3) and 18 (IQR 14-23) respectively, and most patients had multilobar consolidation on chest X-ray. Mycobacterium tuberculosis was the most common aetiology, followed by Streptococcus pneumoniae. The latter, and Pneumocystis jirovecii were more common amongst survivors and non-survivors, respectively. ICU mortality was 50.1 % and 85 % of patients required ventilation, mostly invasive mechanical ventilation. Ventilated patients and those requiring inotropic support and/or dialysis were more likely to die.

CONCLUSION

We have described a cohort of patients with SCAP, with a comprehensive overview of all putative microbiological causes, which to our knowledge, is the largest reported in the literature.

Hospital Outcomes in Patients Who Developed Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome After Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Purpose: To identify risk factors for and outcomes in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: This is a retrospective study using the Premier Healthcare Database between 2016 and 2020. Patients diagnosed with pneumonia, requiring mechanical ventilation (MV), antimicrobial therapy, and hospital admission ≥2 days were included. Multivariable regression models were used for outcomes including in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) LOS, and days on MV. Results: 1924 (2.7%) of 72 107 patients with CAP developed ARDS. ARDS was associated with higher mortality (33.7% vs 18.9%; adjusted odds ratio 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.16-2.66), longer hospital LOS (13 vs 9 days; adjusted incidence risk ratio (aIRR) 1.24; 95% CI 1.20-1.27), ICU LOS (9 vs 5 days; aIRR 1.51; 95% CI 1.46-1.56), more MV days (8 vs 5; aIRR 1.54; 95% CI 1.48-1.59), and increased hospitalization cost ($46 459 vs $29 441; aIRR 1.50; 95% CI 1.45-1.55). Conclusion: In CAP, ARDS was associated with worse in-patient outcomes in terms of mortality, LOS, and hospitalization cost. Future studies are needed to explore outcomes in patients with CAP with ARDS and explore risk factors for development of ARDS after CAP.

The Distribution of Respiratory Viral Pathogens Among the Symptomatic Respiratory Tract Infection Patients From Dhaka City in the Pre-COVID-19 Pandemic Era

Rapid and accurate diagnosis is crucial for determining the etiology and, perhaps, effectively treating and preventing viral respiratory infections. A multiplex quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) assay⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ was utilized to determine the prevalence of viral etiology in cases of acute respiratory tract infections (ARTIs). Outpatient department (OPD) and intensive care unit (ICU) patients with fever and respiratory symptoms were enrolled from December 2018 to April 2020. Nucleic acids were extracted from the respiratory tract samples using the SV Total RNA Isolation System (Promega Corporation, Madison, WI), and virus identification was performed using qRT-PCR assay (Fast Track Diagnostics {FTD} Respiratory Pathogens, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg). A total of 152 samples were collected from OPD and ICU. Among them, 32.23% (n = 49) of the patients were positive for at least one respiratory virus. From 49 infected cases, 42 had only a single viral pathogen, whereas seven had co-infections. Of the patients, 32.25% (30) in the OPD and 32.20% (19) in the ICU tested positive for the respiratory viral pathogen. Among the OPD patients, human coronaviruses (HCoVs) OC43, 229E, NL63, and HKU1 were detected as predominant viruses (10.75%), followed by influenza virus (IFV) (8.6%), human rhinoviruses (HRVs) (6.45%), human parainfluenza viruses (HPIVs) (6.45%), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (3.22%), and adenovirus (2.15%). In ICU cases, HPIV and HRV were detected as predominant viruses (8.47% each), followed by HCoV (5.08%), human metapneumovirus (HMPV) (5.08%), influenza A virus (IAV) (3.38%), adenovirus (3.38%), and RSV (1.69%). This study highlighted the prevalence of respiratory viruses in both the community and hospital settings during pre-COVID-19, indicating a significant presence among patients in these environments.

How to assess survival prognosis in patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia in 2024?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is increasingly recognized as a complex, multisystemic disease with the potential to cause both acute and long-term sequelae, significantly impacting patient mortality rates. In this manuscript, the authors review the current methodologies for assessing mortality risk among CAP patients.

RECENT FINDINGS

The most common prediction scores for ICU care and short-term mortality include Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), CURB-65, SMART COP, SCAP, and ATS/IDSA criteria. These models have clinical utility in the prediction of short-term mortality, but they have significant limitations in addressing long-term mortality. For patients who are discharged alive from the hospital, we do not have scores to predict long term mortality.

SUMMARY

The development of an optimal prognostic tool for postacute sequelae of CAP is imperative. Such a tool should identify specific populations at increased risk. Moreover, accurately identifying at-risk populations is essential for their inclusion in clinical trials that evaluate potential therapies designed to improve short and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with CAP.

Interpretable mortality prediction model for ICU patients with pneumonia: using shapley additive explanation method

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia, a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, often necessitates Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission. Accurate prediction of pneumonia mortality is crucial for tailored prevention and treatment plans. However, existing mortality prediction models face limited adoption in clinical practice due to their lack of interpretability.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop an interpretable model for predicting pneumonia mortality in ICUs. Leveraging the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) method, we sought to elucidate the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model and identify prognostic factors for pneumonia.

METHODS

Conducted as a retrospective cohort study, we utilized electronic health records from the eICU-CRD (2014-2015) for all adult pneumonia patients. The first 24 h of each ICU admission records were considered, with 70% of the dataset allocated for model training and 30% for validation. The XGBoost model was employed, and performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The SHAP method provided insights into the XGBoost model.

RESULTS

Among 10,962 pneumonia patients, in-hospital mortality was 16.33%. The XGBoost model demonstrated superior predictive performance (AUC: 0.778 ± 0.016)) compared to traditional scoring systems and other machine learning method, which achieved an improvement of 10% points. SHAP analysis identified Aspartate Aminotransferase (AST) as the most crucial predictor.

CONCLUSIONS

Interpretable predictive models enhance mortality risk assessment for pneumonia patients in the ICU, fostering transparency. AST emerged as the foremost predictor, followed by patient age, albumin, BMI et al. These insights, rooted in strong correlations with mortality, facilitate improved clinical decision-making and resource allocation.

New Vaccines for Chronic Respiratory Patients

Chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) are responsible for more than four million deaths worldwide and have become especially prevalent in developed countries. Although the current therapies help manage daily symptoms and improve patients' quality of life, there is a major need to prevent exacerbations triggered mainly by respiratory infections. Therefore, CRD patients are a prime target for vaccination against infectious agents. In the present manuscript we review the state of the art of available vaccines specifically indicated in patients with CRDs. In addition to pneumococcus, influenza, pertussis, and SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, recently added immunization options like vaccines and monoclonal antibodies against respiratory syncytial virus, are particularly interesting in CRD patients. As new products reach the market, health authorities must be agile in updating immunization recommendations and in the programming of the vaccination of vulnerable populations such as patients with CRDs. Organizational and educational strategies might prove useful to increase vaccine uptake by CRD patients.

Identification of Lower Respiratory Tract Pathogens in Cancer Patients: Insights into Fatal Outcomes

This study aimed to investigate LRTIs in cancer patients, focusing on pathogen distribution, and outcomes based on tumor types and antimicrobial treatments. The study included 110 cancer patients exhibiting symptoms of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs), consisting of 67 males and 43 females across a wide age range from under 1 year to over 60 years old. Exclusion of SARS-CoV-2 infection was conducted before admission. In addition to classical microbiological methods, fast-track detection using Multiplex Real-Time PCR was employed, utilizing the FTD-33 test kit. The findings revealed a diverse landscape of infections, notably Klebsiella pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae and Staphylococcus aureus. Parainfluenza 3 and 4 viruses, rhinovirus, influenza A subtype H1N1pdm09, influenza B and C viruses, HCoV-229, HCoV-OC43, and HCoV-HKU1 were infrequently detected. Furthermore, the existence of mixed infection highlighted the complexity of disease conditions in cancer patients. An analysis of antimicrobial treatment highlighted significant variations in fatal outcomes for carbapenem and colistimethate sodium. It was concluded that mixed infections were commonly identified as potential causes of LRTIs among cancer patients, while viral infections were less frequently detected. It underscores the complexity of antimicrobial treatment outcomes.

SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and SARC-F+EBM as practical predictive tools for the risk of pneumonia in patients with stable schizophrenia-a prospective study

Objectives

Individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia have a high incidence and fatality rates due to pneumonia. Sarcopenia is a contributing factor to the development of pneumonia in patients with schizophrenia. In this study, we examine the effectiveness of three simple screening questionnaires, namely SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and SARC-F + EBM, in predicting the occurrence of pneumonia in stable patients with schizophrenia who are experiencing sarcopenia.

Design

A prospective study.

Setting

Patients with stable schizophrenia patients aged ≥50 years in two psychiatric hospitals in western China.

Methods

Medical data from patients were collected from September 1 to September 30, 2020. Data specifically from patients diagnosed with pneumonia were collected for a period of one year, from October 2020 to October 2021. Three hundred thirty-five stable schizophrenia patients, among whom 229 were males (68.36 %.), were enrolled in the prospective study. The risk of sarcopenia was evaluated using the SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and SARC-F + EBM scores, with values of ≥4, 11, and 12 indicating an elevated risk of sarcopenia. The collected data were analyzed using logistic regression analysis to establish the association between the scores of these screening tools and the risk of pneumonia in individuals with stable schizophrenia.

Results

The rate of pneumonia in stable schizophrenia individuals was 24.48 %. Among the included stable schizophrenia patients, the incidence of pneumonia in individuals with SARC-CalF scores ≥11 was higher than in those with SARC-CalF scores less than 11 (29.91 % vs 14.88 %, P = 0.002). In individuals with SARC-F + EBM scores ≥12, the pneumonia occurrence was higher than that in those with SARC-F + EBM scores less than 12 (37.33 % vs 20.77 %, P = 0.003). However, this pattern was not found in patients with stable schizophrenia who had SARC-F scores of 4 or above and less than 4. Following the implementation of logistic regression data analysis, it has been discovered that persons with SARC-CalF scores greater than or equal to 11 were at a significantly increased risk of having pneumonia compared to patients with SARC-CalF scores less than 11 (OR = 2.441, 95 % CI: 1.367-4.36). After adjusting the possible confounders, patients with SARC-CalF scores ≥11 had a greater danger of pneumonia (OR = 2.518, 95%CI: 1.36-4.665). As a result, it was found that individuals with SACR-F+EBM scores ≥12 were more likely to acquire pneumonia (OR = 2.273, 95%CI: 1.304-3.961) when compared to those with scores <12 (OR = 2.273, 95%CI: 1.304-3.961). The results of this study, which controlled for potential confounders, indicated that patients with SARC-F + EBM scores ≥12 were more inclined to acquire pneumonia (OR = 2.181, 95%CI: 1.182-4.026). However, in stable schizophrenia patients with SARC-F scores ≥4 and < 4, this study has not yet observed a similar pattern for pneumonia risk.

Conclusions and implications

These results demonstrate, in stable adults with schizophrenia, a relationship between pneumonia risk and SARC-F + EBM and SARC-CalF scores. It is, therefore, advised to use these scores to determine whether these patients have pneumonia, especially in hospitals that cannot diagnose sarcopenia.

National trends in pneumonia-related mortality in the United States, 1999-2019

INTRODUCTION

Pneumonia is one of the most common causes of hospital admissions in the United States and remains a major cause of death. However, less is known regarding the mortality burden from pneumonia in the United States and how this burden has changed over time.

METHODS

Death rates from causes related to pneumonia were determined using the CDC Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) data from 1999-2019. Pneumonia deaths were calculated for the overall population as well as for sociodemographic subgroups. We also analysed changes in death rates over time.

RESULTS

Overall, 2.1% of total US deaths during the period between 1999 and 2019 were due to pneumonia (2.6% in 1999 and 1.5% in 2019). Mortality declined over time for both men and women, and across most age cohorts, as well as all racial, urbanisation, and regional categories. Rates of pneumonia deaths were higher among males as compared to females (age-adjusted mortality rate ratio (AAMRR) = 1.35; 95% CI: 1.34-1.35). Compared to White Americans, Black Americans had the highest pneumonia-related mortality rates of any racial group (AAMRR = 1.11; 95% CI: 1.10-1.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of pneumonia-related death have decreased in the United States in recent decades. However, significant racial and gender disparities remain, indicating the need for more equitable care.

Incidence of drug-resistant pathogens in community-acquired pneumonia at a safety net hospital

The 2019 Infectious Diseases Society of America guideline for the management of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) emphasizes the need for clinician to understand local epidemiological data to guide selection of appropriate treatment. Currently, the local distribution of causative pathogens and their associated resistance patterns in CAP is unknown. A retrospective observational study was performed of patients admitted to an 870-bed safety net hospital between March 2016 and March 2021 who received a diagnosis of CAP or healthcare-associated pneumonia within the first 48 hours of admission. The primary outcome was the incidence of CAP caused by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) or Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PsA) as determined by comparing the number of satisfactory sputum cultures or blood cultures with these drug-resistant organisms to the total number of reviewed patients. Secondary outcomes studied included risk factors associated with CAP caused by drug-resistant organisms, utilization of broad-spectrum antibiotics, appropriate antibiotic de-escalation within 72 hours, and treatment duration. In this 220-patient cohort, MRSA or PsA was isolated from three sputum cultures and no blood cultures. The local incidence of drug-resistant pathogens among the analyzed sample of CAP patients was 1.4% (n = 3/220). The overall incidence of CAP caused by MRSA or PsA among admitted patients is low at our safety-net county hospital. Future research is needed to identify local risk factors associated with the development of CAP caused by drug-resistant pathogens.IMPORTANCEThis study investigates the incidence of drug-resistant pathogens including methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas aeruginosa among community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients at a safety net hospital. Understanding local bacteria resistance patterns when treating CAP is essential and supported by evidence-based guidelines. Our findings empower other clinicians to investigate resistance patterns at their own institutions and identify methods to improve antibiotic use. This has the potential to reduce the unnecessary use of broad-spectrum antibiotic agents and combat the development of antibiotic resistance.

Predictive signature of murine and human host response to typical and atypical pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia due to typical bacterial, atypical bacterial and viral pathogens can be difficult to clinically differentiate. Host response-based diagnostics are emerging as a complementary diagnostic strategy to pathogen detection.

METHODS

We used murine models of typical bacterial, atypical bacterial and viral pneumonia to develop diagnostic signatures and understand the host's response to these types of infections. Mice were intranasally inoculated with Streptococcus pneumoniae, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, influenza or saline as a control. Peripheral blood gene expression analysis was performed at multiple time points. Differentially expressed genes were used to perform gene set enrichment analysis and generate diagnostic signatures. These murine-derived signatures were externally validated in silico using human gene expression data. The response to S. pneumoniae was the most rapid and robust.

RESULTS

Mice infected with M. pneumoniae had a delayed response more similar to influenza-infected animals. Diagnostic signatures for the three types of infection had 0.94-1.00 area under the receiver operator curve (auROC). Validation in five human gene expression datasets revealed auROC of 0.82-0.96.

DISCUSSION

This study identified discrete host responses to typical bacterial, atypical bacterial and viral aetiologies of pneumonia in mice. These signatures validated well in humans, highlighting the conserved nature of the host response to these pathogen classes.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of community-acquired pneumonia in solid organ transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia is a frequent complication of solid organ transplantation that adversely impacts both graft and recipient survival. There is a paucity of data on community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in transplant recipients, particularly the long term outcomes. We conducted a study to compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes of pneumonia in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients to those in non-transplant (NT) recipients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Clinical characteristics were abstracted from electronic medical records. Outcomes included time to hospital discharge, short and long-term mortality. Inverse-propensity score weights were assigned to account for between-group differences. Adjusted analysis included a weighted logistic regression. Results were reported as odds ratios with a corresponding 95 % confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 7449 patients were admitted with CAP. Patients were divided into two groups: SOT recipients 42 (0.56 %) and NT recipients 7396 (99.2 %). SOT recipients were younger, more commonly males, with higher prevalence of comorbidities. After accounting for inverse-propensity score weighting, the odds of mortality were higher in SOT recipients in hospital, at 30 days and at 1 year. The magnitude of increase in mortality for SOT recipients was greatest at 1 year with 1.41 (95 % CI: 1.38-1.44) times higher odds.

CONCLUSION

In patients with CAP, SOT recipients are younger, more commonly male and have more co-morbidities compared with NT recipients. They also have higher 1 year mortality after adjustment. Clinicians must be vigilant toward the pronounced long-term mortality risk among these patients and ensure continued follow-up care for them.

An Investigation of Mortality Associated With Comorbid Pneumonia and Thrombocytopenia in a Rural Southwest Missouri Hospital System

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia places a significant burden on individuals and society, contributing to a substantial number of hospital admissions, emergency department visits, deaths, and healthcare costs each year. Comorbidities can greatly increase the risk of poor outcomes when associated with pneumonia. One comorbidity that has yet to be thoroughly researched is thrombocytopenia, which is known to play an important role in activating the immune response to infections. A decrease in platelet count may limit the immune response and consequently increase mortality in patients with pneumonia. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether comorbid thrombocytopenia and pneumonia are associated with poor outcomes.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective cohort analysis comparing mortality rates among patients with comorbid thrombocytopenia and pneumonia, pneumonia without thrombocytopenia, and thrombocytopenia without pneumonia. Data were collected from Freeman Health System using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2021. ICD-10 codes for pneumonia and thrombocytopenia were extracted and stratified into three groups: those with both pneumonia and thrombocytopenia, those with pneumonia without thrombocytopenia, and those with thrombocytopenia without pneumonia. Mortality rates were then compared across the three groups.

RESULTS

There were 4,414 patients admitted with pneumonia and 1,157 admissions for thrombocytopenia without pneumonia. Among the 4,414 patients admitted with pneumonia, 3,902 did not have thrombocytopenia, while 512 had thrombocytopenia. Of the patients without thrombocytopenia, 14% (3,902) expired. Among the 512 patients with thrombocytopenia, 43% expired. In the thrombocytopenia without pneumonia group, 11% (1,157) expired.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate a significant increase in mortality in patients with both pneumonia and thrombocytopenia compared to those with pneumonia without thrombocytopenia (an increase in mortality of 28.93% with a 95% CI: 24.50-33.36%, P < 0.0001). While pneumonia itself increases mortality compared to the general population, patients with both pneumonia and thrombocytopenia exhibit even higher mortality rates.

A review of the value of point-of-care testing for community-acquired pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is an infectious disease associated with high mortality worldwide. Although Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the most frequent pathogen in CAP, data from recent studies using molecular tests have shown that respiratory viruses play a key role in adults with pneumonia. The impact of difficult-to-treat pathogens on the outcomes of pneumonia is also important even though they represent only a small proportion of overall cases. Despite improvements in the microbiological diagnosis of CAP in recent decades, the identification of the causative pathogen is often delayed because of difficulties in obtaining good-quality sputum samples, issues in transporting samples, and slow laboratory processes. Therefore, the initial treatment of CAP is usually empirical. Point-of-care testing (POCT) was introduced to avoid treatment delays and reduce reliance on empirical antibiotics.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the main scientific evidence on the role of POCT in the diagnosis and management of patients with CAP. The authors searched for articles on POCT in pneumonia on PubMed from inception to 20 January 2024. The references in the identified articles were also searched.

EXPERT OPINION

POCT involves rapid diagnostic assays that can be performed at the bedside especially in cases of severe CAP and immunocompromised patients. These tests can produce results that could help guide initial therapy and management.

The relationship between neighborhood economic deprivation and community-acquired pneumonia related admissions in Maryland

Introduction

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a major health concern in the United States (US), with its incidence, severity, and outcomes influenced by social determinants of health, including socioeconomic status. The impact of neighborhood socioeconomic status, as measured by the Distressed Communities Index (DCI), on CAP-related admissions remains understudied in the literature.

Objective

To determine the independent association between DCI and CAP-related admissions in Maryland.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study using the Maryland State Inpatient Database (SID) to collate data on CAP-related admissions from January 2018 to December 2020. The study included adults aged 18-85 years. We explored the independent association between community-level economic deprivation based on DCI quintiles and CAP-related admissions, adjusting for significant covariates.

Results

In the study period, 61,467 cases of CAP-related admissions were identified. The patients were predominantly White (49.7%) and female (52.4%), with 48.6% being over 65 years old. A substantive association was found between the DCI and CAP-related admissions. Compared to prosperous neighborhoods, patients living in economically deprived communities had 43% increased odds of CAP-related admissions.

Conclusion

Residents of the poorest neighborhoods in Maryland have the highest risk of CAP-related admissions, emphasizing the need to develop effective public health strategies beneficial to the at-risk patient population.

Clinical risk factors and blood protein biomarkers of 10-year pneumonia risk

BACKGROUND

Chronic inflammation may increase susceptibility to pneumonia.

RESEARCH QUESTION

To explore associations between clinical comorbidities, serum protein immunoassays, and long-term pneumonia risk.

METHODS

Framingham Heart Study Offspring Cohort participants ≥65 years were linked to their Centers for Medicare Services claims data. Clinical data and 88 serum protein immunoassays were evaluated for associations with 10-year incident pneumonia risk using Fine-Gray models for competing risks of death and least absolute shrinkage and selection operators for covariate selection.

RESULTS

We identified 1,370 participants with immunoassays and linkage to Medicare data. During 10 years of follow up, 428 (31%) participants had a pneumonia diagnosis. Chronic pulmonary disease [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) 1.87; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.33-2.61], current smoking (SHR 1.79, CI 1.31-2.45), heart failure (SHR 1.74, CI 1.10-2.74), atrial fibrillation/flutter (SHR 1.43, CI 1.06-1.93), diabetes (SHR 1.36, CI 1.05-1.75), hospitalization within one year (SHR 1.34, CI 1.09-1.65), and age (SHR 1.06 per year, CI 1.04-1.08) were associated with pneumonia. Three baseline serum protein measurements were associated with pneumonia risk independent of measured clinical factors: growth differentiation factor 15 (SHR 1.32; CI 1.02-1.69), C-reactive protein (SHR 1.16, CI 1.06-1.27) and matrix metallopeptidase 8 (SHR 1.14, CI 1.01-1.30). Addition of C-reactive protein to the clinical model improved prediction (Akaike information criterion 4950 from 4960; C-statistic of 0.64 from 0.62).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical comorbidities and serum immunoassays were predictive of pneumonia risk. C-reactive protein, a routinely-available measure of inflammation, modestly improved pneumonia risk prediction over clinical factors. Our findings support the hypothesis that prior inflammation may increase the risk of pneumonia.

The association of antiplatelet agents with mortality among patients with non-COVID-19 community-acquired pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) triggers inflammatory and thrombotic host responses driving morbidity and mortality. Antiplatelet agents may favorably modulate these pathways; however, their role in non-COVID-19 CAP remains uncertain.

Objectives

To evaluate the association of antiplatelet agents with mortality in hospitalized patients with non-COVID-19 CAP.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of adult patients hospitalized for non-COVID-19 CAP exposed to antiplatelet agents (acetylsalicylic acid or P2Y12 inhibitors). We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL from inception to August 2023. Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality: meta-analyzed (random-effects models) separately for observational studies and RCTs. For observational studies, we used adjusted mortality estimates.

Results

We included 13 observational studies (123,012 patients; 6 reported adjusted mortality estimates) and 2 RCTs (225 patients; both high risk of bias). In observational studies reporting hazard ratio, antiplatelet agents were associated with lower mortality (hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.46-0.91; I 2  = 85%; 4 studies, 91,430 patients). In studies reporting adjusted odds ratio, antiplatelet agent exposure was associated with reduced odds of mortality (odds ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.45-1.00; I 2  = 0%; 2 studies, 24,889 patients). Among RCTs, there was a nonsignificant association with mortality (risk ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.20-2.25; I 2  = 54%; 2 studies, 225 patients). By the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria, the certainty of the evidence was low, primarily due to risk of bias.

Conclusion

In hospitalized patients with non-COVID-19 CAP, antiplatelet agents may be associated with reduced mortality compared with usual care or placebo, but the certainty of evidence is low.

Diagnostic role of internal mammary lymph node involvement in tuberculous pleurisy: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Diagnosis of tuberculous pleurisy (TP) may be challenging and it often requires pleural biopsy. A tool able to increase pre-test probability of TP may be helpful to guide diagnostic work-up and enlargement of internal mammary lymph node (IMLN) has been suggested to play a potential role. The aim of the present investigation was to assess role of IMLN involvement in TP in a multi-centric case-control study, by comparing its prevalence and test performance to those observed in patients with infectious, non-tuberculous pleurisy (NTIP), and in controls free from respiratory diseases (CP).

METHODS

A total of 419 patients, from 14 Pulmonology Units across Italy were enrolled (127 patients affected by TP, 163 affected by NTIP and 129 CP). Prevalence, accuracy and predictive values of ipsilateral IMLN involvement between cases and control groups were assessed, as well as concordance between chest computed tomography (CT scan) and thoracic ultrasound (TUS) measurements.

RESULTS

The prevalence of ipsilateral IMLN involvement in TP was significantly higher than that observed in NTIP and CP groups (respectively 77.2%, 39.3% and 14.7%). Results on test performance, stratified by age, revealed a high positive predictive value in patients aged ≤50 years, while a high negative predictive value in patients aged >50 years. The comparison between CT scan and ultrasound showed moderate agreement (Kappa=0.502).

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of IMLN involvement plays a relevant role in assessing the pre-test probability of TP. Considering the increasing global prevalence of mycobacterial infections, a tool able to guide diagnostic work-up of suspected TP is crucial, especially where local sources are limited.

Plasma proteome analysis and validation of patients with community-acquired pneumonia: A cohort study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic potential of plasma biomarkers of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and their severity grading.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Plasma proteomes from cohort I (n = 32) with CAP were analyzed by data-independent acquisition mass spectrometry (MS). MetaboAnalyst 5.0 was used to statistically evaluate significant differences in proteins from different samples, and demographic and clinical data were recorded for all enrolled patients. Cohort II (n = 80) was used to validate candidate biomarkers. Plasma protein levels were determined using quantitative enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Correlations were assessed using Pearson's correlation coefficient. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to verify the association between the variables, CAP diagnosis, and prognosis.

RESULTS

121 differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) were obtained between CAP and controls. These DEPs were mainly aggregated in pathways of phagosome(hsa04145) and complement and coagulation cascades (hsa04610). No significant differential proteins were detected in bacterial, viral, and mixed infection groups. The plasma levels of fetuin-A, alpha-1-antichymotrypsin (AACT), α1-acid glycoprotein (A1AG), and S100A8/S100A9 heterodimers detected by ELISA were consistent with those of MS. AACT, A1AG, S100A8/S100A9 heterodimer, and fetuin-A can potentially be used as diagnostic predictors, and fetuin-A and AACT are potential predictors of SCAP.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Plasma protein profiling can successfully identify potential biomarkers for CAP diagnosis and disease severity assessment. These biomarkers should be further studied for their clinical application.

Hospital Burden of All-Cause Pneumonia and Nonbacteremic Pneumococcal Pneumonia in Adults in France Between 2013 and 2019

Background

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The study objective was to describe the hospital burden of pneumonia in the adult population in France.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted from the National Health Insurance Database. All hospitalizations for pneumonia (all-cause) between 2013 and 2019 were included. Different risk categories for patients were established based on pneumococcal vaccine recommendations by French health authorities.

Results

A total of 2 199 240 episodes of CAP were registered over the study period (annual mean, 314 177 [standard deviation, 17 818.6]); 75% occurred in patients aged ≥65 years, among whom 47% were not classified in the moderate- or high-risk categories recommended for French pneumococcal vaccination. The incidence of CAP increased with age (117.9, 395.3, and 1916.7 per 100 000 for the age groups 18-49, 50-64, and ≥65 years, respectively, in 2019). Furthermore, being at risk of pneumococcal disease resulted in more severe outcomes, including longer episode duration (mean, 14 days in low-risk vs 17 days in high-risk patients) and higher risk of referral to critical care units (from 20% to 27%), of rehospitalization up to 180 days (from 39% to 67%), of in-hospital death (from 12% to 19%), and of 1-year mortality (from 26% to 49%).

Conclusions

This study establishes the incidence of CAP in adults in France, describes the significant burden of disease, and highlights the need for better prevention policies.

Efficacy and safety of vitamin C supplementation in the treatment of community-acquired pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) poses a significant global health challenge, prompting exploration of innovative treatments. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of vitamin C supplementation in adults undergoing treatment for CAP. A comprehensive search of the MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Clinical Trials.gov databases from inception to 17 November 2023 identified six randomized-controlled-trials (RCTs) meeting inclusion criteria. The primary outcome analysis revealed a non-significant trend towards reduced overall mortality in the vitamin C group compared to controls (RR 0.51; 95% CI 0.24 to 1.09; p = 0.052; I2 = 0; p = 0.65). Sensitivity analysis, excluding corona-virus-disease 2019 (COVID-19) studies and considering the route of vitamin C administration, confirmed this trend. Secondary outcomes, including hospital length-of-stay (LOS), intensive-care-unit (ICU) LOS, and mechanical ventilation, exhibited mixed results. Notably, heterogeneity and publication bias were observed in hospital LOS analysis, necessitating cautious interpretation. Adverse effects were minimal, with isolated incidents of nausea, vomiting, hypotension, and tachycardia reported. This meta-analysis suggests potential benefits of vitamin C supplementation in CAP treatment. However, inconclusive findings and methodological limitations warrants cautious interpretation, emphasising the urgency for high-quality trials to elucidate the true impact of vitamin C supplementation in CAP management.

Neutrophil-Derived Proteases in Lung Inflammation: Old Players and New Prospects

Neutrophil-derived proteases are critical to the pathology of many inflammatory lung diseases, both chronic and acute. These abundant enzymes play roles in key neutrophil functions, such as neutrophil extracellular trap formation and reactive oxygen species release. They may also be released, inducing tissue damage and loss of tissue function. Historically, the neutrophil serine proteases (NSPs) have been the main subject of neutrophil protease research. Despite highly promising cell-based and animal model work, clinical trials involving the inhibition of NSPs have shown mixed results in lung disease patients. As such, the cutting edge of neutrophil-derived protease research has shifted to proteases that have had little-to-no research in neutrophils to date. These include the cysteine and serine cathepsins, the metzincins and the calpains, among others. This review aims to outline the previous work carried out on NSPs, including the shortcomings of some of the inhibitor-orientated clinical trials. Our growing understanding of other proteases involved in neutrophil function and neutrophilic lung inflammation will then be discussed. Additionally, the potential of targeting these more obscure neutrophil proteases will be highlighted, as they may represent new targets for inhibitor-based treatments of neutrophil-mediated lung inflammation.

P. G, Potdar V, Manna B, Amarchand R, Choudekar A, Gopal G, Sarda K, Lafond KE, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Saha S, Dar L, Krishnan A. Adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with pneumonia at age 60 or more: A prospective multi-centric hospital-based study in India

BACKGROUND

Limited data exists regarding risk factors for adverse outcomes in older adults hospitalized with Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) in low- and middle-income countries such as India. This multisite study aimed to assess outcomes and associated risk factors among adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with pneumonia.

METHODS

Between December 2018 and March 2020, we enrolled ≥60-year-old adults admitted within 48 hours for CAP treatment across 16 public and private facilities in four sites. Clinical data and nasal/oropharyngeal specimens were collected by trained nurses and tested for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and other respiratory viruses (ORV) using the qPCR. Participants were evaluated regularly until discharge, as well as on the 7th and 30th days post-discharge. Outcomes included ICU admission and in-hospital or 30-day post-discharge mortality. A hierarchical framework for multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models identified risk factors (e.g., demographics, clinical features, etiologic agents) associated with critical care or death.

FINDINGS

Of 1,090 CAP patients, the median age was 69 years; 38.4% were female. Influenza viruses were detected in 12.3%, RSV in 2.2%, and ORV in 6.3% of participants. Critical care was required for 39.4%, with 9.9% in-hospital mortality and 5% 30-day post-discharge mortality. Only 41% of influenza CAP patients received antiviral treatment. Admission factors independently associated with ICU admission included respiratory rate >30/min, blood urea nitrogen>19mg/dl, altered sensorium, anemia, oxygen saturation <90%, prior cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and private hospital admission. Diabetes, anemia, low oxygen saturation at admission, ICU admission, and mechanical ventilation were associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

High ICU admission and 30-day mortality rates were observed among older adults with pneumonia, with a significant proportion linked to influenza and RSV infections. Comprehensive guidelines for CAP prevention and management in older adults are needed, especially with the co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2.

Community-acquired pneumonia: a US perspective on the guideline gap

Community-acquired pneumonia continues to be one of the most common causes of morbidity and mortality due to infectious disease. The aetiologies, clinical presentations, diagnostic modalities and therapeutic options are changing and outpacing the creation of management guidelines. This educational article summarizes a roundtable activity sponsored by an unrestricted educational grant by Paratek that included US experts discussing these changes and identifying gaps in the current guidelines.

Optimizing Diagnosis and Management of Community-acquired Pneumonia in the Emergency Department

Pneumonia is split into 3 diagnostic categories: community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), health care-associated pneumonia, and ventilator-associated pneumonia. This classification scheme is driven not only by the location of infection onset but also by the predominant associated causal microorganisms. Pneumonia is diagnosed in over 1.5 million US emergency department visits annually (1.2% of all visits), and most pneumonia diagnosed by emergency physicians is CAP.

Socio-demographic and comorbid risk factors for poor prognosis in patients hospitalized with community-acquired bacterial pneumonia in southeastern US

BACKGROUND

How socio-demographic characteristics and comorbidities affect bacterial community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) prognosis during/after hospitalization is important in disease management.

OBJECTIVES

To identify predictors of medical intensive care unit (MICU) admission, length of hospital stay (LOS), in-hospital mortality, and bacterial CAP readmission in patients hospitalized with bacterial CAP.

METHODS

ICD-9/10 codes were used to query electronic medical records to identify a cohort of patients hospitalized for bacterial CAP at a tertiary hospital in Southeastern US between 01/01/2013-12/31/2019. Adjusted accelerated failure time and modified Poisson regression models were used to examine predictors of MICU admission, LOS, in-hospital mortality, and 1-year readmission.

RESULTS

There were 1956 adults hospitalized with bacterial CAP. Median (interquartile range) LOS was 11 days (6-23), and there were 26 % (513) MICU admission, 14 % (266) in-hospital mortality, and 6 % (117) 1-year readmission with recurrent CAP. MICU admission was associated with heart failure (RR 1.38; 95 % CI 1.17-1.62) and obesity (RR 1.26; 95 % CI 1.04-1.52). Longer LOS was associated with heart failure (adjusted time ratio[TR] 1.27;95 %CI 1.12-1.43), stroke (TR 1.90;95 %CI 1.54,2.35), type 2 diabetes (TR 1.20;95 %CI 1.07-1.36), obesity (TR 1.50;95 %CI 1.31-1.72), Black race (TR 1.17;95 %CI 1.04-1.31), and males (TR 1.24;95 %CI 1.10-1.39). In-hospital mortality was associated with stroke (RR 1.45;95 %CI 1.03-2.04) and age ≥65 years (RR 1.34;95 %CI 1.06-1.68). 1-year readmission was associated with COPD (RR 1.55;95 %CI 1.05-2.27) and underweight BMI (RR 1.74;95 %CI 1.04-2.90).

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidities and socio-demographic characteristics have varying impacts on bacterial CAP in-hospital prognosis and readmission. More studies are warranted to confirm these findings to develop comprehensive care plans and inform public health interventions.

Sepsis-Related Lung Injury and the Complication of Extrapulmonary Pneumococcal Pneumonia

Globally, sepsis and pneumonia account for significant mortality and morbidity. A complex interplay of immune-molecular pathways underlies both sepsis and pneumonia, resulting in similar and overlapping disease characteristics. Sepsis could result from unmanaged pneumonia. Similarly, sepsis patients have pneumonia as a common complication in the intensive care unit. A significant percentage of pneumonia is misdiagnosed as septic shock. Therefore, our knowledge of the clinical relationship between pneumonia and sepsis is imperative to the proper management of these syndromes. Regarding pathogenesis and etiology, pneumococcus is one of the leading pathogens implicated in both pneumonia and sepsis syndromes. Growing evidence suggests that pneumococcal pneumonia can potentially disseminate and consequently induce systemic inflammation and severe sepsis. Streptococcus pneumoniae could potentially exploit the function of dendritic cells (DCs) to facilitate bacterial dissemination. This highlights the importance of pathogen-immune cell crosstalk in the pathophysiology of sepsis and pneumonia. The role of DCs in pneumococcal infections and sepsis is not well understood. Therefore, studying the immunologic crosstalk between pneumococcus and host immune mediators is crucial to elucidating the pathophysiology of pneumonia-induced lung injury and sepsis. This knowledge would help mitigate clinical diagnosis and management challenges.

Cost-Effectiveness of 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Among US Children with Underlying Medical Conditions

INTRODUCTION

A 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) was recently recommended for use among US children. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 among children aged 6 years with chronic medical conditions (CMC+) and children aged 6 years with immunocompromising conditions (IC) versus one and two doses of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), respectively.

METHODS

A probabilistic model was employed to depict 10-year risk of clinical outcomes and economic costs of pneumococcal disease, reduction in life years from premature death, and expected impact of vaccination among one cohort of children with CMC+ and IC aged 6 years. Vaccine uptake was assumed to be 20% for both PCV20 and PPSV23. Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained was evaluated from the US societal and healthcare system perspectives; deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (DSA/PSA) were also conducted.

RESULTS

Among the 226,817 children with CMC+ aged 6 years in the US, use of PCV20 (in lieu of PPSV23) was projected to reduce the number cases of pneumococcal disease by 5203 cases, medical costs by US$8.7 million, and nonmedical costs by US$6.2 million. PCV20 was the dominant strategy versus PPSV23 from both the healthcare and societal perspectives. In the PSA, 99.9% of the 1000 simulations yielded a finding of dominance for PCV20. Findings in analyses of children with IC aged 6 years in the USA were comparable (i.e., PCV20 was the dominant vaccination strategy). Scenario analyses showed that increasing PCV20 uptake to 100% could potentially prevent > 22,000 additional cases of pneumococcal disease and further reduce medical and nonmedical costs by US$70.0 million among children with CMC+ and IC.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of PCV20 among young children with CMC+ and IC in the USA would reduce the clinical burden of pneumococcal disease and yield overall cost savings from both the US healthcare system and societal perspectives. Higher PCV20 uptake could further reduce the number of pneumococcal disease cases in this population.

Long-Term Outcomes in Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is globally one of the major causes of hospitalization and mortality. Severe CAP (sCAP) presents great challenges and need a comprehensive understanding of its long-term outcomes. Cardiovascular events and neurological impairment, due to persistent inflammation and hypoxemia, contribute to long-term outcomes in CAP, including mortality. Very few data are available in the specific population of sCAP. Multiple studies have reported variable 1-year mortality rates for patients with CAP up to 40.7%, with a clear influence by age, comorbidities, and disease severity. In terms of treatment, the potential protective role of macrolides in reducing mortality emphasizes the importance of appropriate empiric antibiotic therapy. This narrative review explores the growing interest in the literature focusing on the long-term implications of sCAP. Improved understanding of long-term outcomes in sCAP can facilitate targeted interventions and enhance posthospitalization care protocols.

Best Practices for Identifying Hospitalized Lower Respiratory Tract Infections Using Administrative Data: A Systematic Literature Review of Validation Studies

INTRODUCTION

Estimating the burden of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) increasingly relies on administrative databases using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, but no standard methodology exists. We defined best practices for ICD-based algorithms that estimate LRTI incidence in adults.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of validation studies assessing the use of ICD code-based algorithms to identify hospitalized LRTIs in adults, published in Medline, EMBASE, and LILACS between January 1996 and January 2022, according to PRISMA guidelines. We assessed sensitivity, specificity, and other accuracy measures of different algorithms.

RESULTS

We included 26 publications that used a variety of ICD code-based algorithms and gold standard criteria, and 18 reported sensitivity and/or specificity. Sensitivity was below 80% in 72% (38/53) of algorithms and specificity exceeded 90% in 77% (37/48). Algorithms for all-cause LRTI (n = 18) that included only pneumonia codes in primary position (n = 3) had specificity greater than 90% but low sensitivity (55-72%). Sensitivity increased by 5-15%, with minimal loss in specificity, with the addition of primary codes for severe pneumonia (e.g. sepsis) while pneumonia codes were in secondary position, and by 13% with codes from LRTI-related infections (e.g. viral) or other respiratory diseases (e.g. empyema). Sensitivity increased by 8% when pneumonia codes were in any position, but specificity was not reported. In hospital-acquired pneumonia and pneumococcal-specific pneumonia, algorithms containing only nosocomial- or pathogen-specific ICD codes had poor sensitivity, which improved when broader pneumonia codes were added, in particular codes for unspecified organisms.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review highlights that most ICD code-based algorithms are relatively specific, but miss a substantial number of hospitalized LRTI adult cases. Best practices to estimate LRTI incidence in this population include the use of all pneumonia ICD codes for any LRTI outcome and, to a lesser extent, those for other LRTI-related infections or respiratory diseases.

Lymphopenia is associated with broad host response aberrations in community-acquired pneumonia

OBJECTIVES

Lymphopenia at hospital admission occurs in over one-third of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), yet its clinical relevance and pathophysiological implications remain underexplored. We evaluated outcomes and immune features of patients with lymphopenic CAP (L-CAP), a previously described immunophenotype characterized by admission lymphocyte count <0.724 × 109 cells/L.

METHODS

Observational study in 149 patients admitted to a general ward for CAP. We measured 34 plasma biomarkers reflective of inflammation, endothelial cell responses, coagulation, and immune checkpoints. We characterized lymphocyte phenotypes in 29 patients using spectral flow cytometry.

RESULTS

L-CAP occurred in 45 patients (30.2%) and was associated with prolonged time-to-clinical-stability (median 5 versus 3 days), also when we accounted for competing events for reaching clinical stability and adjusted for baseline covariates (subdistribution hazard ratio 0.63; 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.88). L-CAP patients demonstrated a proportional depletion of CD4 T follicular helper cells, CD4 T effector memory cells, naïve CD8 T cells and IgG+ B cells. Plasma biomarker analyses indicated increased activation of the cytokine network and the vascular endothelium in L-CAP.

CONCLUSIONS

L-CAP patients have a protracted clinical recovery course and a more broadly dysregulated host response. These findings highlight the prognostic and pathophysiological relevance of admission lymphopenia in patients with CAP.

Definition, Epidemiology, and Pathogenesis of Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia

The clinical presentation of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) can vary widely among patients. While many individuals with mild symptoms can be managed as outpatients with excellent outcomes, there is a distinct subgroup of patients who present with severe CAP. In these cases, the mortality rate can reach approximately 25% within 30 days and even up to 50% within a year. It is crucial to focus attention on these patients who are at higher risk. Among the various definitions of severe CAP found in the literature, one commonly used criterion is the requirement for admission to intensive care unit. Notable epidemiological characteristics of these patients include the impact of acute cardiovascular diseases on clinical outcomes and the enduring, independent effect of pneumonia on long-term outcomes. Factors such as pathogen virulence, the presence of comorbidities, and the host response are important contributors to the pathogenesis of severe CAP. In these patients, the host response may be dysregulated and compartmentalized. Gaining a better understanding of the epidemiology and pathogenesis of severe CAP will provide a foundation for the development of new therapies for this condition. This manuscript aims to review the definition, epidemiology, and pathogenesis of severe CAP, shedding light on important aspects that can aid in the improvement of patient care and outcomes.

Bacterial etiology of community-acquired pneumonia among adult patients in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and objective

According to the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors, lower respiratory infections cause more than 2.3 million deaths globally, with a majority occurring in sub-Saharan Africa, including Ethiopia.Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a major contributor to global mortality and morbidity. Understanding the prevalence and common bacterial causes of CAP is crucial for clinicians to accurately diagnose and improve patient satisfaction. The purpose of this systematic review was to report the pooled prevalence and common bacterial etiologies of CAP among adult patients in Ethiopia.

Methods

This review was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. A comprehensive search of the published articles between January 2000 and October 2022 was performed using open access electronic databases such as PUBMED, Science Direct, CINAHL, HINARI, Google Scholar, and local university repositories. Cochrane Q and I2 values were used to assess heterogeneity among the studies. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test. The random-effects model was used to estimate the pooled prevalence.

Results and conclusions

Of all the publications that were thoroughly searched, 9 studies with 2496 participants met the criteria for analysis. All of the studies were cross-sectionally designed and most of the studies used convenient sampling techniques. The included studies consisted of two conducted among adult patients diagnosed with CAP and living with HIV/AIDS, while the remaining seven studies were conducted among adult patients diagnosed with CAP without HIV/AIDS. The combined prevalence of bacterial causes of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among adult patients was found to be 39.18% (CI 36.34-42.02), with an I2 of 52.6 and a P value of 0.032. The primary bacterial cause was Klebsiella pneumoniae (9.1%), followed by Streptococcus pneumoniae (8.11%), and Staphylococcus aureus (6.8%). Therefore, it is advisable to introduce a diagnostic tool for identifying specific causative agents and drug resistance, which could lead to improved treatment and better patient outcomes by reducing the need for empirical treatments.

Role of vitamin C in treatment of community-acquired pneumonia in adult patients requiring hospitalisation: a systematic review protocol

INTRODUCTION

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a leading cause of hospitalisation and is associated with a high mortality. Vitamin C is a powerful antioxidant and has been used in treatment of infections; however, its role as an adjunctive treatment in CAP is unclear. This review aims to assess the efficacy and safety of vitamin C in adults who require hospitalisation for CAP.

METHODS AND ANALYSES

Searches will be conducted from inception to November 2023 on Ovid MEDLINE Daily and MEDLINE, Embase CINAHL, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Scopus, Web of Science and ClinicalTrials.gov databases with the aid of a medical librarian. We will include data from randomised controlled trials reporting vitamin C supplementation in patients with CAP requiring hospitalisation. Two independent reviewers will select studies, extract data and will assess the risk of bias by use of the Risk of Bias tool. The overall certainty of evidence will be assessed by use of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework. Random-effects meta-analyses will be conducted, and effect measures will be reported as relative risks with 95% CIs.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

No previous ethical approval is required for this review. The findings of this review will be submitted to a scientific journal and presented at an international medical conference.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

483860.

Influenza and Viral Pneumonia

Influenza and other respiratory viruses are commonly identified in patients with community-acquired pneumonia, hospital-acquired pneumonia, and in immunocompromised patients with pneumonia. Clinically, it is difficult to differentiate viral from bacterial pneumonia. Similarly, the radiological findings of viral infection are in general nonspecific. The advent of polymerase chain reaction testing has enormously facilitated the identification of respiratory viruses, which has important implications for infection control measures and treatment. Currently, treatment options for patients with viral infection are limited but there is ongoing research on the development and clinical testing of new treatment regimens and strategies.

ICU Utilization After Implementation of Minor Severe Pneumonia Criteria in Real-Time Electronic Clinical Decision Support

OBJECTIVES

To determine if the implementation of automated clinical decision support (CDS) with embedded minor severe community-acquired pneumonia (sCAP) criteria was associated with improved ICU utilization among emergency department (ED) patients with pneumonia who did not require vasopressors or positive pressure ventilation at admission.

DESIGN

Planned secondary analysis of a stepped-wedge, cluster-controlled CDS implementation trial.

SETTING

Sixteen hospitals in six geographic clusters from Intermountain Health; a large, integrated, nonprofit health system in Utah and Idaho.

PATIENTS

Adults admitted to the hospital from the ED with pneumonia identified by: 1) discharge International Classification of Diseases , 10th Revision codes for pneumonia or sepsis/respiratory failure and 2) ED chest imaging consistent with pneumonia, who did not require vasopressors or positive pressure ventilation at admission.

INTERVENTIONS

After implementation, patients were exposed to automated, open-loop, comprehensive CDS that aided disposition decision (ward vs. ICU), based on objective severity scores (sCAP).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The analysis included 2747 patients, 1814 before and 933 after implementation. The median age was 71, median Elixhauser index was 17, 48% were female, and 95% were Caucasian. A mixed-effects regression model with cluster as the random effect estimated that implementation of CDS utilizing sCAP increased 30-day ICU-free days by 1.04 days (95% CI, 0.48-1.59; p < 0.001). Among secondary outcomes, the odds of being admitted to the ward, transferring to the ICU within 72 hours, and receiving a critical therapy decreased by 57% (odds ratio [OR], 0.43; 95% CI, 0.26-0.68; p < 0.001) post-implementation; mortality within 72 hours of admission was unchanged (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.56-2.01; p = 0.82) while 30-day all-cause mortality was lower post-implementation (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.96; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of electronic CDS using minor sCAP criteria to guide disposition of patients with pneumonia from the ED was associated with safe reduction in ICU utilization.

EMR Combined with CRB-65 Superior to CURB-65 in Predicting Mortality in Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Background

Data about eosinophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (ELR) and eosinophil-to-monocyte ratio (EMR) in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are rare. We aimed to evaluate the role of EMR and ELR in predicting disease severity and mortality in patients with CAP.

Methods

A total of 454 patients (76 with severe CAP (SCAP), 378 with non-SCAP) were enrolled from November 18, 2020, and November 21, 2021. Laboratory examination on day 1 after admission was measured. The ELR and EMR values were calculated for patients. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance potential confounding factors. Binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify the potential risk factors for disease severity and Cox proportional hazards regression model analysis for mortality in CAP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to distinguish disease severity and mortality.

Results

EMR and ELR at admission were significantly lower in SCAP patients than in non-SCAP patients (P<0.001). EMR < 0.018 ([OR] = 12.104, 95% CI: 4.970-29.479), neutrophil (NEU) ([OR]=1.098, 95% CI:1.005-1.199), and age ([OR]=1.091, 95% CI:1.054-1.130) were independent risk factors for disease severity of CAP. EMR < 0.032 ([HR] = 5.816, 95% CI: 1.704-9.848) was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Combining EMR or ELR with CRB-65 improved the overall accuracy of disease severity prediction (AUC from 0.894 to 0.937), the same as CURB-65. The area under the curve of EMR (AUC=0.704; 95% CI: 0.582-0.827) to predict in-hospital mortality was higher than that of CURB-65 (AUC=0.619; 95% CI: 0.484-0.754). Otherwise, EMR combined with CRB-65 (AUC=0.721; 95% CI: 0.592-0.851) had significantly higher diagnostic accuracy for in-hospital mortality than that of CURB-65 alone.

Conclusion

EMR combined with CRB-65 was superior to CURB-65 in predicting mortality in patients with CAP. This new combination was simpler and easier to obtain for physicians in clinics or admission, and it was more convenient for early recognition of patients with poor prognoses.

Risk factors and predicting nomogram for the clinical deterioration of non-severe community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Currently, there remains insufficient focus on non-severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients who are at risk of clinical deterioration, and there is also a dearth of research on the related risk factors. Early recognition of hospitalized patients at risk of clinical deterioration will be beneficial for their clinical management.

METHOD

A retrospective study was conducted in The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, China, spanning from January 1, 2018 to April 30, 2022, and involving a total of 1,632 non-severe CAP patients. Based on whether their condition worsened within 72 h of admission, patients were divided into a clinical deterioration group and a non-clinical deterioration group. Additionally, all patients were randomly assigned to a training set containing 75% of patients and a validation set containing 25% of patients. In the training set, risk factors for clinical deterioration in patients with non-severe CAP were identified by using LASSO regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was developed based on identified risk factors. The effectiveness of the nomogram in both the training and validation sets was assessed using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Age, body mass index (BMI), body temperature, cardiovascular comorbidity, respiratory rate, LDH level, lymphocyte count and D-dimer level were identified as risk factors associated with the clinical deterioration of non-severe CAP within 72 h of admission. The area under curve (AUC) value of the nomogram was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74-0.82) in the training set and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67-0.83) in the validation set. Furthermore, the calibration curves for both the training and validation sets indicated that the predicted probability of clinical deterioration aligned with the actual probability. Additionally, DCA revealed clinical utility for the nomogram at a specific threshold probability.

CONCLUSION

The study successfully identified the risk factors linked to the clinical deterioration of non-severe CAP and constructed a nomogram for predicting the probability of deterioration. The nomogram demonstrated favorable predictive performance and has the potential to aid in the early identification and management of non-severe CAP patients at elevated risk of deterioration.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US infants

BACKGROUND

As of June 2023, two pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 20- (PCV20) and 15- (PCV15) valent formulations, are recommended for US infants under a 3 + 1 schedule. This study evaluated the health and economic impact of vaccinating US infants with a new expanded valency PCV20 formulation.

METHODS

A population-based, multi cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV20 from both societal and healthcare system perspectives over 10 years. Epidemiological data were based on published studies and unpublished Active Bacterial Core Surveillance System (ABCs) data. Vaccine effectiveness was based on PCV13 effectiveness and PCV7 efficacy studies. Indirect impact was based on observational studies. Costs and disutilities were based on published data. PCV20 was compared to both PCV13 and PCV15 in separate scenarios.

RESULTS

Replacing PCV13 with PCV20 in infants has the potential to avert over 55,000 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases, 2.5 million pneumonia cases, 5.4 million otitis media (OM) cases, and 19,000 deaths across all ages over a 10-year time horizon, corresponding to net gains of 515,000 life years and 271,000 QALYs. Acquisition costs of PCV20 were offset by monetary savings from averted cases resulting in net savings of $20.6 billion. The same trend was observed when comparing PCV20 versus PCV15, with a net gain of 146,000 QALYs and $9.9 billion in net savings. A large proportion of the avoided costs and cases were attributable to indirect effects in unvaccinated adults and elderly. From a health-care perspective, PCV20 was also the dominant strategy compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

CONCLUSIONS

Infant vaccination with PCV20 is estimated to further reduce pneumococcal disease and associated healthcare system and societal costs compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

Development and validation of a predictive model for 30-day mortality in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia in intensive care units

Background

Based on the high prevalence and fatality rates associated with severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP), this study endeavored to construct an innovative nomogram for early identification of individuals at high risk of all-cause death within a 30-day period among SCAP patients receiving intensive care units (ICU) treatment.

Methods

In this single-center, retrospective study, 718 SCAP patients were screened from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database for the development of a predictive model. A total of 97 patients eligible for inclusion were included from Chongqing General Hospital, China between January 2020 and July 2023 for external validation. Clinical data and short-term prognosis were collected. Risk factors were determined using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multiple logistic regression analysis. The model's performance was evaluated through area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Eight risk predictors, including age, presence of malignant cancer, heart rate, mean arterial pressure, albumin, blood urea nitrogen, prothrombin time, and lactate levels were adopted in a nomogram. The nomogram exhibited high predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.803 (95% CI: 0.756-0.845) in the training set, 0.756 (95% CI: 0.693-0.816) in the internal validation set, 0.778 (95% CI: 0.594-0.893) in the external validation set concerning 30-day mortality. Meanwhile, the nomogram demonstrated effective calibration through well-fitted calibration curves. DCA confirmed the clinical application value of the nomogram.

Conclusion

This simple and reliable nomogram can help physicians assess the short-term prognosis of patients with SCAP quickly and effectively, and could potentially be adopted widely in clinical settings after more external validations.

Lysophosphatidylcholine acyltransferase level predicts the severity and prognosis of patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a prospective multicenter study

Background

Identifying the diagnosis as well as prognosis for patients presented with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains challenging. We aimed to identify the role of lysophosphatidylcholine acyl-transferase (LPCAT) for CAP along with assessing this protein's effectiveness as a biomarker for severity of disease and mortality.

Methods

Prospective multicenter research study was carried out among hospitalized patients. A total of 299 CAP patients (including 97 severe CAP patients [SCAP]) and 20 healthy controls (HC) were included. A quantitative enzyme-linked immunosorbent test kit was employed for detecting the LPCAT level in plasma. We developed a deep-learning-based binary classification (SCAP or non-severe CAP [NSCAP]) model to process LPCAT levels and other laboratory test results.

Results

The level of LPCAT in patients with SCAP and death outcome was significantly higher than that in other patients. LPCAT showed the highest predictive value for SCAP. LPCAT was able to predict 30-day mortality among CAP patients, combining LPCAT values with PSI scores or CURB-65 further enhance mortality prediction accuracy.

Conclusion

The on admission level of LPCAT found significantly raised among SCAP patients and strongly predicted SCAP patients but with no correlation to etiology. Combining the LPCAT value with CURB-65 or PSI improved the 30-day mortality forecast significantly.

Trial registration

NCT03093220 Registered on March 28th, 2017.

Usefulness of a predictive model to hospitalize patients with low-risk community-acquired pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

A high proportion of patients with low-risk community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) (classes I-III of the Pneumonia Severity Index) are hospitalized. The purpose of this study was to determine whether validated severity scales are used in clinical practice to make admission decisions, identify the variables that influence this decision, and evaluate the potential predictive value of these variables.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A prospective, observational study of patients ≥ 18 years of age with a diagnosis of low-risk CAP hospitalized or referred from the Emergency Department to outpatient consultations. A multivariate logistic regression predictive model was built to predict the decision to hospitalize a patient.

RESULTS

The study population was composed of 1,208 patients (806 inpatients and 402 outpatients). The severity of CAP was estimated in 250 patients (20.7%). The factors that determined hospitalization were "abnormal findings in complementary studies" (643/806: 79.8%; due to respiratory failure in 443 patients) and "signs of clinical deterioration" [64/806 (7.9%): hypotension (16/64, 25%); hemoptoic expectoration (12/64, 18.8%); tachypnea (10/64, 15.6%)]. In total, ambulatory management was not contraindicated in 24.7% of hospitalized patients (199). The predictive model built to decide about hospitalization had a good power of discrimination (AUC 0.876; 95%CI: 0.855-0.897).

CONCLUSIONS

Scales are rarely used to estimate the severity of CAP at the emergency department. The decision to hospitalize or not a patient largely depends on the clinical experience of the physician. Our predictive model showed a good power to discriminate the patients who required hospitalization. Further studies are warranted to validate these results.