Residual or Recurrent Precancerous Lesions After Treatment of Cervical Lesions in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-infected Women: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Treatment Failure

Enhanced cervical cancer and HIV interventions reduce the disproportionate burden of cervical cancer cases among women living with HIV: A modeling analysis

INTRODUCTION

Women living with HIV experience heightened risk of cervical cancer, and over 50% of cases in Southern Africa are attributed to HIV co-infection. Cervical cancer interventions tailored by HIV status delivered with HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) for treatment can decrease cancer incidence, but impact on HIV-related disparities remains understudied.

METHODS

Using a dynamic model calibrated to KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, we projected HIV prevalence, cervical cancer incidence, and proportion of cancer cases among women living with HIV between 2021-2071. Relative to the status quo of moderate intervention coverage, we modeled three additive scenarios: 1) ART scale-up only; 2) expanded human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination, screening, and treatment; and 3) catch-up HPV vaccination and enhanced screening for women living with HIV.

RESULTS

Under the status quo, HIV prevalence among women aged 15+ decreased from a median of 35% [Uncertainty Range (UR): 26-42%] in 2021 to 25% [19-34%] in 2071. The proportion of cervical cancer cases that were women living with HIV declined from 73% [63-86%] to 58% [47-74%], but incidence remained 4.3-fold [3.3-5.7] that of women without HIV. ART scale-up reduced HIV prevalence in 2071, but increased the incidence rate ratio to 5.2 [3.7-7.3]. Disparities remained after expanding cancer interventions for all women (incidence rate ratio: 4.8 [3.6-7.6]), while additional catch-up HPV vaccination and screening for women living with HIV decreased the incidence rate ratio to 2.7 [1.9-3.4] in 2071.

CONCLUSIONS

Tailored cervical cancer interventions for women living with HIV can counteract rising cancer incidence incurred by extended life expectancy on ART and reduce disparate cancer burden.

Adherence to Treatment and Follow-Up of Precancerous Cervical Lesions in Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

In Ethiopia, both incidence and mortality of cervical cancer are relatively high. Screening services, which were implemented during the past few years, are currently being expanded. The World Health Organization recommends patients with a positive VIA (visual inspection with acetic acid) result should immediately receive treatment followed by rescreening after 1 year as precancerous lesions can reoccur or become residential despite treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Screening logbooks dating between 2017 and 2020 were retrospectively reviewed in 14 health facilities of Addis Ababa and Oromia region. Data for 741 women with a VIA-positive result were extracted and those women were asked to participate in a questionnaire-based phone interview to gain insights about adherence to treatment and follow-up. Data were analyzed using descriptive methods and then fitted into 2 generalized linear models to test variables for an influence on adherence to follow up.

RESULTS

Around 13 800 women had received a VIA screening, of which approximately 820 (5.9%) were VIA positive. While over 90% of women with a positive screen received treatment, only about half of the treated patients returned for a follow-up examination. After treatment, 31 women had a VIA-positive re-screen. We found that educational status, age over 40, no/incorrect follow-up appointment, health facility-related barriers, and use of reminders are important drivers of adherence to follow up.

CONCLUSION

Our results revealed that adherence to treatment after VIA positive screening is relatively high whereas adherence to follow up recommendations still needs improvement. Reminders like appointment cards and phone calls can effectively reduce the loss of follow-up.

HPV DNA Testing and Mobile Colposcopy for Cervical Precancer Screening in HIV Positive Women: A Comparison Between Two Settings in Ghana and Recommendation for Screening

INTRODUCTION

Women living with HIV (WLHIV) have higher prevalence and persistence rates of high-risk human papillomavirus (hr-HPV) infection with a six-fold increased risk of cervical cancer. Thus, more frequent screening is recommended for WLHIV.

OBJECTIVES

This retrospective descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted to investigate and compare the prevalence of hr-HPV infection and abnormal findings on mobile colposcopy in two cohorts of WLHIV following cervical screening in rural and urban settings in Ghana.

METHODS

Through the mPharma 10 000 Women Initiative, WLHIV were screened via concurrent hr-HPV DNA testing (MA-6000; Sansure Biotech Inc., Hunan, China) and visual inspection (Enhanced Visual Assessment [EVA] mobile colposcope; MobileODT, Tel Aviv, Israel) by trained nurses. The women were screened while undergoing routine outpatient reviews at HIV clinics held at the Catholic Hospital, Battor (rural setting) and Tema General Hospital (urban setting), both in Ghana.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and fifty-eight WLHIV were included in the analysis (rural, n = 132; urban, n = 126). The two groups were comparable in terms of age, time since HIV diagnosis, and duration of treatment for HIV. The hr-HPV prevalence rates were 53.7% (95% CI, 45.3-62.3) and 48.4% (95% CI, 39.7-57.1) among WLHIV screened in the rural vs urban settings (p-value = .388). Abnormal colposcopy findings were found in 8.5% (95% CI, 5.1-11.9) of the WLHIV, with no significant difference in detection rates between the two settings (p-value = .221). Three (13.6%) of 22 women who showed abnormal colposcopic findings underwent loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP), leaving 19/22 women from both rural and urban areas with pending treatment/follow-up results, which demonstrates the difficulty faced in reaching early diagnosis and treatment, regardless of their area of residence. Histopathology following LEEP revealed CIN III in 2 WLHIV (urban setting, both hr-HPV negative) and CIN I in 1 woman in the rural setting (hr-HPV positive).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a high prevalence of hr-HPV among WLHIV in both rural and urban settings in this study in Ghana. Concurrent HPV DNA testing with a visual inspection method (colposcopy/VIA) reduces loss to follow-up compared to performing HPV DNA testing as a standalone test and recalling hr-HPV positive women for follow up with a visual inspection method. Concurrent HPV DNA testing and a visual inspection method may also pick up precancerous cervical lesions that are hr-HPV negative and may be missed if HPV DNA testing is performed alone.

Benefits and harms of cervical screening, triage and treatment strategies in women living with HIV

To support a strategy to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem, the World Health Organisation (WHO) reviewed its guidelines for screening and treatment of cervical pre-cancerous lesions in 2021. Women living with HIV have 6-times the risk of cervical cancer compared to women in the general population, and we harnessed a model platform ('Policy1-Cervix-HIV') to evaluate the benefits and harms of a range of screening strategies for women living with HIV in Tanzania, a country with endemic HIV. Assuming 70% coverage, we found that 3-yearly primary HPV screening without triage would reduce age-standardised cervical cancer mortality rates by 72%, with a number needed to treat (NNT) of 38.7, to prevent a cervical cancer death. Triaging HPV positive women before treatment resulted in minimal loss of effectiveness and had more favorable NNTs (19.7-33.0). Screening using visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) or cytology was less effective than primary HPV and, in the case of VIA, generated a far higher NNT of 107.5. These findings support the WHO 2021 recommendation that women living with HIV are screened with primary HPV testing in a screen-triage-and-treat approach starting at 25 years, with regular screening every 3-5 years.

The Effect of Cervical Cold-Knife Conization (CKC) on HPV Infection in Patients with High-Grade Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

Investigation of HPV infection treatment in women undergoing cervical cold-knife conization for advanced cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent cervical cold-knife conization for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade II-III at Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital from January 2017 to December 2018. The HPV infection status of the patients at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years after surgery was collected. We use chi square analysis and binary logistic regression to evaluate various factors such as age, number of pregnancies, number of cesarean sections, number of vaginal deliveries, HPV type, size of surgical specimens (diameter and height), and the influence of specimen edge on HPV infection.

Results

A total of 334 patients were included in the analysis. The patients are mainly infected with HPV 16/58/52. Age is a influencing factor for HPV recovery 12 months after CKC surgery (P=0.002). Based on the diagnosis of HPV one year after CKC, the recovery rate of HPV58 patients is significantly lower than HPV16. Age is a influencing factor for the recovery of HPV infection (P<0.05).

Conclusion

The treatment of HPV infection by CKC is related to the patient's age and HPV subtype but not to number of pregnancies, number of pregnancies, number of vaginal deliveries, size of surgical specimens, and marginal conditions. The rate of HPV negative conversion is relatively high 24 months after the patient does not undergo surgery, but there is currently a lack of data on cervical lesions that match HPV results.

P16 expression and recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia after cryotherapy among women living with HIV

Background

The expression of p16 protein, a surrogate marker for high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV), is associated with cervical dysplasia. We evaluated correlates of p16 expression at treatment for high-grade cervical lesions and its utility in predicting the recurrence of cervical intraepithelial lesions grade 2 or higher (CIN2+) following cryotherapy among women with HIV.

Methods

This is a subgroup analysis of women with HIV in Kenya with baseline cervical biopsy-confirmed CIN2+ who were randomized to receive cryotherapy and followed every six-months for two-years for biopsy-confirmed recurrence of CIN2+. P16 immunohistochemistry was performed on the baseline cervical biopsy with a positive result defined as strong abnormal nuclear expression in a continuous block segment of cells (at least 10-20 cells).

Results

Among the 200 women with CIN2+ randomized to cryotherapy, 160 (80%) had a baseline cervical biopsy specimen available, of whom 94 (59%) were p16-positive. p16 expression at baseline was associated with presence of any one of 14 hrHPV genotypes [Odds Ratio (OR) = 3.2; 95% Confidence Interval (CI), 1.03-9.78], multiple lifetime sexual partners (OR = 1.6; 95% CI, 1.03-2.54) and detectable plasma HIV viral load (>1,000 copies/mL; OR = 1.43; 95% CI, 1.01-2.03). Longer antiretroviral therapy duration (≥2 years) at baseline had lower odds of p16 expression (OR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.24-0.87) than <2 years of antiretroviral therapy. Fifty-one women had CIN2+ recurrence over 2-years, of whom 33 (65%) were p16-positive at baseline. p16 was not associated with CIN2+ recurrence (Hazard Ratio = 1.35; 95% CI, 0.76-2.40).

Conclusion

In this population of women with HIV and CIN2+, 41% of lesions were p16 negative and baseline p16 expression did not predict recurrence of cervical neoplasia during two-year follow up.

Network modeling suggests HIV infection phenocopies PI3K-AKT pathway mutations to enhance HPV-associated cervical cancer

Women coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and human papillomavirus (HPV) are six times as likely to develop invasive cervical carcinoma compared to those without HIV. Unlike other HIV-associated cancers, the risk of cervical cancer development does not change when HPV/HIV coinfected women begin antiretroviral therapy, suggesting HIV-associated immune suppression is not a key driver of cervical cancer development in coinfected women. Here, we investigated whether the persistent secretion of inflammatory factors in HIV-positive patients on antiretroviral therapy could enhance cancer signaling in HPV-infected cervical cells via endocrine mechanisms. We integrated previously reported HIV-induced secreted inflammatory factors (Hi-SIFs), HIV and HPV virus-human protein interactions, and cervical cancer patient genomic data using network propagation to understand the pathways underlying disease development in HPV/HIV coinfection. Our results pinpointed the PI3K-AKT signaling pathway to be enriched at the interface between Hi-SIFs and HPV-host molecular networks, in alignment with PI3K pathway mutations being prominent drivers of HPV-associated, but HIV independent, cervical cancer development. Furthermore, we experimentally stimulated cervical cells with 14 Hi-SIFs to assess their ability to activate PI3K-AKT signaling. Strikingly, we found 8 factors (CD14, CXCL11, CXCL9, CXCL13, CXCL17, AHSG, CCL18, and MMP-1) to significantly upregulate AKT phosphorylation (pAKT-S473) relative to a phosphate buffered saline control. Our findings suggest that Hi-SIFs cooperate with HPV infection in cervical cells to over-activate PI3K-AKT signaling, effectively phenocopying PI3K-AKT pathway mutations, resulting in enhanced cervical cancer development in coinfected women. Our insights could support the design of therapeutic interventions targeting the PI3K-AKT pathway or neutralizing Hi-SIFs in HPV/HIV coinfected cervical cancer patients.

Risk factors for human papillomavirus infection, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and cervical cancer: an umbrella review and follow-up Mendelian randomisation studies

BACKGROUND

Persistent infection by oncogenic human papillomavirus (HPV) is necessary although not sufficient for development of cervical cancer. Behavioural, environmental, or comorbid exposures may promote or protect against malignant transformation. Randomised evidence is limited and the validity of observational studies describing these associations remains unclear.

METHODS

In this umbrella review, we searched electronic databases to identify meta-analyses of observational studies that evaluated risk or protective factors and the incidence of HPV infection, cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia (CIN), cervical cancer incidence and mortality. Following re-analysis, evidence was classified and graded based on a pre-defined set of statistical criteria. Quality was assessed with AMSTAR-2. For all associations graded as weak evidence or above, with available genetic instruments, we also performed Mendelian randomisation to examine the potential causal effect of modifiable exposures with risk of cervical cancer. The protocol for this study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020189995).

RESULTS

We included 171 meta-analyses of different exposure contrasts from 50 studies. Systemic immunosuppression including HIV infection (RR = 2.20 (95% CI = 1.89-2.54)) and immunosuppressive medications for inflammatory bowel disease (RR = 1.33 (95% CI = 1.27-1.39)), as well as an altered vaginal microbiome (RR = 1.59 (95% CI = 1.40-1.81)), were supported by strong and highly suggestive evidence for an association with HPV persistence, CIN or cervical cancer. Smoking, number of sexual partners and young age at first pregnancy were supported by highly suggestive evidence and confirmed by Mendelian randomisation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our main analysis supported the association of systemic (HIV infection, immunosuppressive medications) and local immunosuppression (altered vaginal microbiota) with increased risk for worse HPV and cervical disease outcomes. Mendelian randomisation confirmed the link for genetically predicted lifetime smoking index, and young age at first pregnancy with cervical cancer, highlighting also that observational evidence can hide different inherent biases. This evidence strengthens the need for more frequent HPV screening in people with immunosuppression, further investigation of the vaginal microbiome and access to sexual health services.

Recent Developments in Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccinology

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is causally associated with 5% of cancers, including cancers of the cervix, penis, vulva, vagina, anus and oropharynx. The most carcinogenic HPV is HPV-16, which dominates the types causing cancer. There is also sufficient evidence that HPV types 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58 and 59 cause cervical cancer. The L1 protein, which, when assembled into virus-like particles, induces HPV-type-specific neutralising antibodies, forms the basis of all commercial HPV vaccines. There are six licensed prophylactic HPV vaccines: three bivalent, two quadrivalent and one nonavalent vaccine. The bivalent vaccines protect from HPV types 16 and 18, which are associated with more than 70% of cervical cancers. Prophylactic vaccination targets children before sexual debut, but there are now catch-up campaigns, which have also been shown to be beneficial in reducing HPV infection and disease. HPV vaccination of adults after treatment for cervical lesions or recurrent respiratory papillomatosis has impacted recurrence. Gender-neutral vaccination will improve herd immunity and prevent infection in men and women. HPV vaccines are immunogenic in people living with HIV, but more research is needed on the long-term impact of vaccination and to determine whether further boosters are required.

No woman left behind: achieving cervical cancer elimination among women living with HIV

Cervical cancer is the fourth most common malignancy in women of reproductive age globally. The burden of this disease is highest in low-income and middle-income countries, especially among women living with HIV. In 2018, WHO launched a global strategy to accelerate cervical cancer elimination through rapid scale-up of prophylactic vaccination, cervical screening, and treatment of precancers and cancers. This initiative was key in raising a call for action to address the stark global disparities in cervical cancer burden. However, achieving elimination of cervical cancer among women with HIV requires consideration of biological and social issues affecting this population. This Position Paper shows specific challenges and uncertainties on the way to cervical cancer elimination for women living with HIV and highlights the scarcity of evidence for the effect of interventions in this population. We argue that reaching equity of outcomes for women with HIV will require substantial advances in approaches to HPV vaccination and improved understanding of the long-term effectiveness of HPV vaccines in settings with high HIV burden cervical cancer, just as HIV, is affected by social and structural factors such as poverty, stigma, and gender discrimination, that place the elimination strategy at risk. Global efforts must, therefore, be galvanised to ensure women living with HIV have optimised interventions, given their substantial risk of this preventable malignancy.

Elimination of reserve cells for prevention of HPV-associated cervical cancer

Human papilloma viruses (HPV), that are causative for most squamous cell cervical cancers (SCC), have a simple structure with only a few genes (six early and two late genes). Two of the early HPV genes (E6 and E7) are capable of transforming normal squamous epithelium into cancer. In the last 10 years, a controversial discussion arose as to which cells are primarily involved in cervical carcinogenesis. Virologists traditionally use a research model of stratified squamous epithelium, a permissive environment for completion of a full HPV-life cycle. Basic insights on HPV tropism, HPV life cycle, HPV-uptake, HPV-replication, HPV-gene expression were gained from this model. Stratified squamous epithelium, however, is a low-risk area for SCC. Most SCC develop in an area of endocervical columnar epithelium that undergoes squamous metaplasia. SCC arise after infection of immature squamous metaplasia, proliferating reserve cells/reserve cell hyperplasia and reserve cells of the endocervical columnar epithelium. Study models investigating this pathway of carcinogenesis do not exist and therapeutic consequences deduced from this knowledge are lacking. This review describes in detail cervical carcinogenesis after HPV infection of subcolumnar reserve cells and discusses new intervention strategies for patients. The WHO-launched global strategy to eliminate HPV-associated cervical cancer builds primarily on prophylactic vaccination, screening and treatment. New insights in cervical pathogenesis, may assist in reaching this ambitious WHO goal.

HIV-1 exploits Hes-1 expression during pre-existing HPV-16 infection for cancer progression

High Risk Human Papilloma Viruses (HR-HPV) persistently infect women with Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV-1). HPV-16 escapes immune surveillance in HIV-1 positive women receiving combined antiretroviral therapy (cART). HIV-1 Tat and HPV E6/E7 proteins exploit Notch signaling. Notch-1, a developmentally conserved protein, influences cell fate from birth to death. Notch-1 and its downstream targets, Hes-1 and Hey-1 contribute to invasive and aggressive cancers. Cervical cancer cells utilize Notch-1 and hyper-express CXCR4, a co-receptor of HIV-1. Accumulating evidence shows that HIV-1 affects cell cycle progression in pre-existing HPV infection. Additionally, Tat binds Notch-1 receptor for activation and influences cell proliferation. Oncogenic viruses may interfere or converge together to favor tumor growth. The molecular dialogue during HIV-1/HPV-16+ co-infections in the context of Notch-1 signaling has not been explored thus far. This in vitro study was designed with cell lines (HPV-ve C33A and HPV-16+ CaSki) which were transfected with plasmids (pLEGFPN1 encoding HIV-1 Tat and pNL4-3 encoding HIV-1 [full HIV-1 genome]). HIV-1 Tat and HIV-1 inhibited Notch-1expression, with differential effects on EGFR. Notch-1 inhibition nullified Cyclin D expression with p21 induction and increased G2-M cell population in CaSki cells. On the contrary, HIV-1 infection shuts down p21 expression through interaction of Notch-1 downstream genes Hes-1-EGFR and Cyclin D for G2-M arrest, DDR response and cancer progression. This work lays foundations for future research and interventions, and therefore is necessary. Our results describe for the first time how HIV-1 Tat cancers have an aggressive nature due to the interplay between Notch-1 and EGFR signaling. Notch-1 inhibitor, DAPT used in organ cancer treatment may help rescue HIV-1 induced cancers.

Graphical abstract

The illustration shows how HIV interacts with HPV-16 to induce Notch 1 suppression for cancer progression (Created with BioRender.com).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13337-023-00809-y.

Up-regulation of long non-coding RNA LOXL1-AS1 functions as an oncogene in cervical squamous cell carcinoma by sponging miR-21

LncRNA LOXL1-AS1 has been reported to be upregulated in several types of cancer and plays oncogenic roles. We analysed TCGA dataset and observed the downregulation of LOXL1-AS1 in cervical squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC). We therefore analysed the roles of LOXL1-AS1 in CSCC. We observed that LOXL1-AS1 was downregulated in CSCC. LOXL1-AS1 was predicted to interact with miR-21, while overexpression experiments showed that LOXL1-AS1 and miR-21 had no significant effects on the expression of each other. However, LOXL1-AS1 overexpression led to the upregulation of RHOB, a direct target of miR-21. Cell invasion and migration analysis showed decreased invasion and migration rates of CSCC cells after LOXL1-AS1 and RHOB overexpression. MiR-21 played an opposite role at reduced the effects of LOXL1-AS1 and RHOB overexpression. Therefore, LOXL1-AS1 may promote CSCC cell invasion and migration by sponging miR-21 to upregulate RHOB.

Risk Analysis Stratification of CIN 2+ Development in a Cohort of Women Living with HIV with Negative Pap Smear and HR-HPV Test during a Long-Term Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

Women living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus are at higher risk of cervical cancer and precancer compared to women without HIV infection. The aim of the study is to evaluate the risk factors for the development of CIN2+ in a cohort of WLWH with negative colposcopy and cytology during a long follow-up period.

METHODS

We enrolled, in a multicentric retrospective cohort study, WLWH who attended the colposcopic services from 1999 to 2019. Patients with a normal Pap smear, a negative HR-HPV test, and at least one year of follow-up were considered for the anlysis.

RESULTS

The five-year cumulative incidence of histologically confirmed HSIL was 8.3% (95% CI = 2.6-13.6) among subjects with a CD4+ cell count of <200 cells/µL at any visit and 2.1% (95% CI = 0.7-3.4, p = 0.001) in women with a CD4+ cell count of persistently >200 cells/µL. In women with persistent HR-HPV infection, the five-year cumulative incidence of CIN 2+ was 6% (95% CI = 1.6-10.2) versus 2% (95% CI = 0.4-3.6, p = 0.012) in women without HPV infection. An HIV viremia of >200 copies/mL, a CD4+ cell count of <200 cells/µL, persistent HR-HPV infection, and smoking ≥10 cigarettes/day were all independent and statistically significant risk factors associated with the development of CIN2+ during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

WLWH with good immune status and negative Pap smear and HR-HPV test have a low risk for CIN2+.

Can we increase the cervical cancer screening interval with an HPV test for women living with HIV? Results of a cohort study from Maharashtra, India

We are reporting (a) updated incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) among women who did not have colposcopic or histopathological disease at baseline and (b) disease outcomes among women treated for CIN and their follow-up HPV status; in a cohort of women living with HIV (WHIV). The median overall follow-up was 3.5 years (IQR 2.8-4.3). The incidence of any CIN and that of CIN 2 or worse disease was 16.7 and 7.0 per 1000 person-years of observation (PYO), respectively. Compared with women who were HPV negative at baseline, women who cleared HPV infection had 23.95 times increased risk of incident CIN 2 or worse lesions (95% CI 2.40-661.07). Women with persistent HPV infection had 138.18 times increased risk of CIN 2 or worse lesions (95% CI 20.30-3300.22). Complete disease regression was observed in 65.6% of the HPV positive women with high-grade CIN and were treated with thermal ablation but HPV persistence was seen in 44.8% of those with high-grade disease. Among those who did not have any disease at baseline and were also HPV negative, about 87% (95% CI 83.79-89.48) women remained HPV negative during consecutive HPV test/s with the median interval of 3.5 years. Long-term surveillance of WHIV treated for any CIN is necessary for the prevention of cervical cancer among them. Our study provides an early indication that the currently recommended screening interval of 3 to 5 years among WHIV may be extended to at least 5 years among HPV negative women. Increasing the screening interval can be cost saving and improve scalability among WHIV to support WHO's cervical cancer elimination initiative.

Efficacy, acceptability and safety of ablative versus excisional procedure in the treatment of histologically confirmed CIN2/3: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Outcomes of earlier systematic reviews of the efficacy of ablative and excisional techniques to treat cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or 3 (CIN2/3) were biased, as most of the included studies did not compare the techniques head-to-head.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review the outcomes of studies comparing ablative and excisional techniques to treat CIN2/3 head-to-head.

SEARCH STRATEGY

Medline, Embase and Global Index Medicus were searched from inception until May 2021.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Studies directly comparing the efficacy and safety of excisional and ablative treatments on histologically confirmed CIN2/3. Eligibility criteria for the women treated with ablation had to be same as those treated with excision.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

A total of 323 articles were archived. Data on the risk of persistence/recurrence and safety were extracted from the original trials. Comparison between the two procedures was reported by forest plots, stratified by follow-up intervals and by HIV status.

MAIN RESULTS

Six publications were included. The risk of persistence/recurrence following ablation was significantly higher than that following excision (overall, RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.25-2.19; at 6-month follow-up, RR 1.94, 95% CI 1.29-2.91; at 12-month follow-up, RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.27-2.51; at 24-month follow-up, RR 1.57, 95% CI 1.11-2.23). The findings remained similar among women living with HIV (WLHIV). Both procedures were equally safe.

CONCLUSIONS

Excisional treatment was more effective than ablative treatment, with both procedures having similar safety profiles. Other programmatic considerations will guide the selection of technique, especially in resource-limited settings.

Mathematical Models for Evaluating Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Cervical Cancer Control Policies in Populations Including Women Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Scoping Review

OBJECTIVES

Mathematical modeling is increasingly used to inform cervical cancer control policies, and model-based evaluations of such policies in women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are an emerging research area. We did a scoping review of published literature to identify research gaps and inform future work in this field.

METHODS

We systematically searched literature up to April 2022 and included mathematical modeling studies evaluating the effectiveness or cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer prevention strategies in populations including women living with HIV. We extracted information on prevention strategies and modeling approaches.

RESULTS

We screened 1504 records and included 22 studies, almost half of which focused on South Africa. We found substantial between-study heterogeneity in terms of strategies assessed and modeling approaches used. Fourteen studies evaluated cervical cancer screening strategies, 7 studies assessed human papillomavirus vaccination (with or without screening), and 1 study evaluated the impact of HIV control measures on cervical cancer incidence and mortality. Thirteen conducted cost-effectiveness analyses. Markov cohort state-transition models were used most commonly (n = 12). Most studies (n = 17) modeled the effect of HIV by creating HIV-related health states. Thirteen studies performed model calibration, but 11 did not report the calibration methods used. Only 1 study stated that model code was available upon request.

CONCLUSIONS

Few model-based evaluations of cervical cancer control strategies have specifically considered women living with HIV. Improvements in model transparency, by sharing information and making model code publicly available, could facilitate the utility of these evaluations for other high disease-burden countries, where they are needed for assisting policy makers.

Modelling cervical cancer elimination using single-visit screening and treatment strategies in the context of high HIV prevalence: estimates for KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

INTRODUCTION

In settings with high HIV prevalence, cervical cancer incidence rates are up to six-fold higher than the global average of 13.1 cases per 100,000 women-years. To inform strategies for global cervical cancer elimination, we used a dynamic transmission model to evaluate scalable screening and treatment strategies, accounting for HIV-associated cancer risks and weighing prevention gains against overtreatment.

METHODS

We developed a dynamic model of HIV-HPV co-infection and disease progression, which we calibrated to KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Our baseline scenario reflects the current practice of HPV vaccination with a multi-visit screening and treatment strategy involving cytology and colposcopy triage. We evaluated 13 comparator scenarios with increased vaccination coverage and one-time, two-time or repeat HIV-targeted cervical cancer screening with the following single-visit strategies: HPV DNA testing, HPV genotyping, automated visual evaluation (AVE) and HPV DNA with AVE triage. In all scenarios, HIV antiretroviral therapy, condom use and voluntary male medical circumcision continue at baseline levels. We simulated cancer incidence under each scenario from 2020 to 2120 using the 25 best-fitting parameter sets. We present the median and range of model output from these simulations to account for parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

We estimate that cervical cancer incidence will decrease by 87% with the continuation of current cervical cancer and HIV prevention strategies, from an age-standardized rate per 100,000 women of 80.4 (range 58.2, 112.1) in 2020 to 10.7 (4.2, 29.9) in 2120. Scenarios scaling up vaccination and single-visit strategies resulted in near- and long-term gains. With repeat HIV-targeted screening, incidence rates were projected to be 29-34% lower in 2030 relative to the baseline scenario, and elimination (incidence <4/100,000) was achieved with HPV DNA testing in 2095 and with AVE in 2114. A strategy of HPV DNA with AVE triage optimized the tradeoff between cancer cases averted and overtreatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Single-visit screening strategies could avert a substantial burden of cervical cancer and accelerate progress towards elimination in settings with a high burden of HIV. Increasing the screening frequency among women with HIV and reducing loss-to-follow-up for treatment will be key components of a successful elimination strategy.

Can Adjuvant HPV Vaccination Be Helpful in the Prevention of Persistent/Recurrent Cervical Dysplasia after Surgical Treatment?—A Literature Review

Simple Summary

Primary prophylactic, early detection and the treatment of precancerous lesions are the main goals of cervical cancer screening. Despite effective surgical treatment methods, using loop electrosurgical excision procedures and conization, the overall risk of the recurrence of HSIL lesions remains at approximately 6.6%. There is increasing evidence of the potential role of HPV vaccines in the adjuvant setting and their impact on the reduction of disease recurrence. This review aims to analyze the up-to-date research concerning the use and efficacy of secondary human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination as an adjuvant method to surgical treatment in patients diagnosed with cervical HSILs.

Abstract

Cervical cancer formation is preceded by precursor lesions, including low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSILs) and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs), which are usually diagnosed in women of reproductive age. Despite the recent advanced diagnostic and treatment methods, including colposcopy, the loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP), and surgical conization, the recurrence or residual disease affects as many as 6.6% of patients. The lesions are often associated with human papilloma virus (HPV) infection. As HPV persistence is the leading and only modifiable factor affecting the risk of progression of CIN lesions into high-grade cervical dysplasia and cancer, it has been proposed to conduct adjuvant vaccination in patients treated for high-grade cervical dysplasia. To date, no vaccine has been approved for therapeutic use in patients diagnosed with HSILs; however, attempts have been made to determine the use of HPV prophylactic vaccination to reduce recurrent HSILs and prevent cervical cancer. The aim of this review was to analyze the up-to-date literature concerning the possible use of secondary human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination as an adjuvant method to surgical treatment in patients diagnosed with cervical HSILs. Adjuvant HPV vaccination after surgical treatment may reduce the risk of recurrent cervical dysplasia.

Posttreatment monitoring by ASCL1/LHX8 methylation analysis in women with HIV treated for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2/3

OBJECTIVE

Women with HIV (WWH) have an increased risk to develop recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2/3 (rCIN2/3) after treatment compared with HIV-negative women. Therefore, appropriate posttreatment monitoring of WWH is important. This study evaluates the performance of ASCL1 and LHX8 methylation analysis as posttreatment monitoring test in WWH treated for CIN2/3, as alternative to cytology or human papillomavirus (HPV) as follow-up test.

DESIGN

Prospective observational cohort study.

METHODS

WWH treated for CIN2/3 by large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ) (n  = 61) were invited for follow-up study visits at 1, 2.5 and 4 years after baseline. Baseline and follow-up cervical scrapes were tested for cytology, HPV and DNA methylation of ASCL1 and LHX8 genes. The performance of these strategies for the detection of rCIN2/3 was evaluated in the first follow-up cervical scrape.

RESULTS

Thirteen (21.3%) rCIN2/3 lesions were detected within 4 years of follow-up. In women without rCIN2/3 in follow-up, methylation levels of ASCL1 and LHX8 decreased significantly after LLETZ treatment (P  = 0.02 and 0.007, respectively). In women with rCIN2/3, methylation levels remained high after LLETZ treatment. The 4-year rCIN2/3 risk was 4.9% (95% CI: 0.6-16.5) for ASCL1/LHX8-negative women, 8.1% (95% CI: 1.7-21.9) for HPV-negative women and 7.7% (95% CI: 2.1-18.5) for cytology-negative women.

CONCLUSION

A negative ASCL1/LHX8 methylation test in follow-up is associated with a low rCIN2/3 risk and could serve as an objective test of cure and well tolerated alternative for HPV and/or cytology screening in the posttreatment monitoring of WWH.

The Recurrence of Cervical Precancerous Lesion Among HIV Positive and Negative Ethiopian Women After Cryotherapy: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Early testing and treatment is among the successful strategies for the prevention and control of cervical precancerous and invasive cancer, and a paramount for women with HIV. In Ethiopia, visual inspection with acetic acid for screening and cryotherapy treatment is commonly practiced, though the recurrence of the precancerous lesion after treatment has not been well documented.

Objective

This study was aimed to estimate the association of HIV status and the recurrence of cervical precancerous lesion after cryotherapy among Ethiopian women.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study from January to April 2021. The time to the incidence of recurrence was compared between HIV positive and HIV negative women. Cox regression models were used to adjust the analyses for potential confounders, and only women treated with cryotherapy after a positive Visual Inspection with Acetic acid (VIA) screening test were included.

Results

A total of 140 eligible patient cards were included in the analysis with the median follow-up of 15.5 months. The overall recurrence rate was 15.7% (22/140), with a greater proportion among HIV negative women, 19.0% (4/21) than HIV positive 15.1% (18/119). Prolonged use of corticosteroid and higher age were the major significant predictors of a higher likelihood of recurrence. The recurrence of screening positive lesion was higher among women aged above 39 years (hazard ratio (HR) of 11.94 (95% CI, 1.07-133.04; P = .04), and women with prolonged use of corticosteroid (HR = 7.82, 95% CI = 1.04-58.75; P = .046) than their counterparts.

Conclusion

The recurrence of cervical precancerous lesion after cryotherapy was higher than the expert panel report by WHO with a higher proportion among women of old age and prolonged corticosteroid use. Cryotherapy showed a satisfying performance against the recurrence of cervical disease diagnosed through VIA. To substantiate, our findings, further prospective cohort study is also recommended.

Cervical Cancer Screening Cascade for women living with HIV: a cohort study from Zimbabwe

Countries with high HIV prevalence, predominantly in sub-Sahahran Africa, have the highest cervical cancer rates globally. HIV care cascades successfully facilitated the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy. A cascade approach could similarly succeed to scale-up cervical cancer screening, supporting WHO's goal to eliminate cervical cancer. We defined a Cervical Cancer Screening Cascade for women living with HIV (WLHIV), evaluating the continuum of cervical cancer screening integrated into an HIV clinic in Zimbabwe. We included WLHIV aged ≥18 years enrolled at Newlands Clinic in Harare from June 2012-2017 and followed them until June 2018. We used a cascade approach to evaluate the full continuum of secondary prevention from screening to treatment of pre-cancer and follow-up. We report percentages, median time to reach cascade stages, and cumulative incidence at two years with 95% confidence intervals (CI). We used univariable Cox proportional hazard regressions to calculate cause-specific hazard ratios with 95% CIs for factors associated with completing the cascade stages. We included 1624 WLHIV in the study. The cumulative incidence of cervical screening was 85.4% (95% CI 83.5-87.1) at two years. Among the 396 WLHIV who received screen-positive tests in the study, the cumulative incidence of treatment after a positive screening test was 79.5% (95% CI 75.1-83.2) at two years. The cumulative incidence of testing negative at re-screening after treatment was 36.1% (95% CI 31.2-40.7) at two years. Using a cascade approach to evaluate the full continuum of cervical cancer screening, we found less-than 80% of WLHIV received treatment after screen-positive tests and less-than 40% were screen-negative at follow-up. Interventions to improve linkage to treatment for screen-positive WLHIV and studies to understand the clinical significance of screen-positive tests at follow-up among WLHIV are needed. These gaps in the continuum of care must be addressed in order to prevent cervical cancer.

High-risk HPV positivity is a long-term risk factor for recurrence after cervical excision procedure in women living with HIV

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the risk factors for recurrence of high-grade disease after cervical excision in women living with HIV (WLWH), with a specific interest in the role of high-risk (HR-) HPV positivity.

METHODS

Multicentric retrospective study conducted on WLWH who underwent cervical excision between January 1987 and June 2017 in six Italian institutions. The rate of high-grade recurrence was determined. Risk factors for recurrence and HR-HPV positivity were determined with the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 271 WLWH were included in the final analysis. A high-grade recurrence was found in 58 (21.4%) patients. Age 41 years or more at inclusion and HR-HPV positivity during follow up were independently associated with a higher risk of disease recurrence with relative risks of 4.15 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.01-8.58, P < 0.001) and 5.18 (95% CI 2.12-12.67, P < 0.01), respectively. Age 41 years or more (relative risk 1.75, 95% CI 1.01-3.04, P = 0.047) resulted as a risk factor for HR-HPV positivity during follow up.

CONCLUSION

HR-HPV positivity is a risk factor for recurrence after cervical excision in WLWH. Women older than 41 years may benefit from a long-term yearly follow up. Future studies regarding HPV vaccination after treatment in WLWH may be useful, considering the protective role of the higher probability of HPV negativity in vaccinated women.

Nonvaccine human papillomavirus genotype common in women with HIV failing cervical precancer treatment

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess failure after treatment of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+) by HIV status and human papillomavirus (HPV) type.

DESIGN

A population-based register study.

METHODS

The Swedish National HIV Registry, the Swedish Population Registry and the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry were linked to identify all women in Stockholm and Gothenburg counties (Sweden) living with HIV and diagnosed with CIN2+ sometime between 1983 and 2014 (n = 179). HIV-negative controls with CIN2+, were matched (2 : 1) for country of birth. CIN2+ biopsies were retrieved from biobanks and genotyped. Absolute risk and adjusted odds ratios (adjOR) of treatment failure by HIV status given HPV type (HPV16/18 vs. non-HPV16/18) were calculated.

RESULTS

HPV16 (32%) and HPV35 (24%) dominated in women living with HIV (WLWH) with failure, HPV35 mainly in women born in sub-Saharan Africa (67%). The absolute risk of failure in women with HPV16/18 was 26% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 14-44] in WLWH and 12% in HIV-negative (95% CI 7-19). The absolute risk of failure in women with non-HPV16/18 was 20% (95% CI 12-31) in WLWH and 5% in HIV-negative (95% CI 2-11). WLWH with non-HPV16/18 were six times more likely to fail than HIV-negative (adjOR 6.1, 95% CI 2.0-18.6).

CONCLUSION

HPV35, not included in current HPV vaccines, was the second most common type in WLWH with failure. WLWH with non-HPV16/18 were six times more likely to fail than HIV-negative. This could have implications for surveillance and vaccination post CIN2+ treatment, particularly in WLWH from sub-Saharan Africa.

Cervical cancer prevention and control in women living with human immunodeficiency virus

Despite being highly preventable, cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer and cause of cancer death in women globally. In low-income countries, cervical cancer is often the leading cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality. Women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome are at a particularly high risk of cervical cancer because of an impaired immune response to human papillomavirus, the obligate cause of virtually all cervical cancers. Globally, approximately 1 in 20 cervical cancers is attributable to HIV; in sub-Saharan Africa, approximately 1 in 5 cervical cancers is due to HIV. Here, the authors provide a critical appraisal of the evidence to date on the impact of HIV disease on cervical cancer risk, describe key methodologic issues, and frame the key outstanding research questions, especially as they apply to ongoing global efforts for prevention and control of cervical cancer. Expanded efforts to integrate HIV care with cervical cancer prevention and control, and vice versa, could assist the global effort to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem.

Cervical cancer incidence stratified by age in women with HIV compared with the general population in the United States, 2002-2016

OBJECTIVE

Recommendations for the age of initiating screening for cervical cancer in women with HIV (WWH) in the United States have not changed since 1995 when all women (regardless of immune status) were screened for cervical cancer from the age of onset of sexual activity, which often occurs in adolescence. By 2009, recognizing the lack of benefit as well as harms in screening young women, guidelines were revised to initiate cervical cancer screening for the general population at age 21 years. By comparing cervical cancer incidence in young WWH to that of the general population, we assessed the potential for increasing the recommended age of initiating cervical cancer screening in WWH.

DESIGN

We compared age-specific invasive cervical cancer (ICC) rates among WWH to the general population in the United States HIV/AIDS Cancer Match Study.

METHODS

We estimated standardized incidence ratios as the observed number of cervical cancer cases among WWH divided by the expected number, standardized to the general population by age, race/ethnicity, registry, and calendar year.

RESULTS

ICC rates among WWH were elevated across all age groups between ages 25 and 54 years (SIR = 3.80; 95% CI 3.48--4.15) but there were zero cases among ages less than 25 years.

CONCLUSION

The absence of ICC among WWH less than 25 years supports initiating cervical cancer screening at age 21 years, rather than adolescence, to prevent cancers in WWH at ages with higher risk of ICC.

Should the management of high grade cervical squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) be different in HIV-positive women?

Background

This study compares the management and outcome of high grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) in HIV-positive and -negative women and identifies risk factors for treatment failure.

Methods

This retrospective, controlled study includes 146 HIV-positive women, matched for HSIL, age and year of diagnosis, with 146 HIV-negative women. Differences were analysed using parametric and non-parametric tests and Kaplan–Meier survival curves. A binary logistic regression was used to assess risk factors for treatment failure.

Results

Persistence of cervical disease was observed most frequently in HIV-positive women (42 versus 17%) (p  <  0.001) and the cone biopsy margins were more often invaded in HIV-positive-women than in HIV-negative ones. (37 versus 16%; p  <  0.05).

HIV-positive women, with successful cervical treatment had better HIV disease control: with significantly longer periods of undetectable HIV viral loads (VL) (19 versus 5 months; p  <  0.001) and higher CD4 counts (491 versus 320 cells/mm³; p  <  0.001). HIV-positive women with detectable VL at the time of dysplasia had 3.5 times (95% IC: 1.5–8.3) increased risk of treatment failure. Being treated through ablative therapy was associated with a 7.4, four-fold (95% IC: 3.2–17.3) increased risk of treatment failure compared to conization

Conclusion

HIV-positive women have a higher risk of treatment failure of HSIL than do HIV-negative women, especially when ablative therapy is used and in women with poor control of their HIV infection. The management and the follow- up of HSIL’s guidelines in this high-risk population should be adapted consequently: for HIV-positive women with uncontrolled viral load, excisional treatment should be the preferred therapy, whereas for women with undetectable viral load, CD4  +  lymphocytes higher than 500 cells/mm³ and with a desire of pregnancy, ablative therapy may be considered.

A Framework for Cervical Cancer Elimination in Low-and-Middle-Income Countries: A Scoping Review and Roadmap for Interventions and Research Priorities

The World Health Organization announced an ambitious call for cervical cancer elimination worldwide. With existing prevention and treatment modalities, cervical cancer elimination is now within reach for high-income countries. Despite limited financing and capacity constraints in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs), prevention and control efforts can be supported through integrated services and new technologies. We conducted this scoping review to outline a roadmap toward cervical cancer elimination in LMICs and highlight evidence-based interventions and research priorities to accelerate cervical cancer elimination. We reviewed and synthesized literature from 2010 to 2020 on primary and secondary cervical cancer prevention strategies. In addition, we conducted expert interviews with gynecologic and infectious disease providers, researchers, and LMIC health officials. Using these data, we developed a logic model to summarize the current state of science and identified evidence gaps and priority research questions for each prevention strategy. The logic model for cervical cancer elimination maps the needs for improved collaboration between policy makers, production and supply, healthcare systems, providers, health workers, and communities. The model articulates responsibilities for stakeholders and visualizes processes to increase access to and coverage of prevention methods. We discuss the challenges of contextual factors and highlight innovation needs. Effective prevention methods include HPV vaccination, screening using visual inspection and HPV testing, and thermocoagulation. However, vaccine coverage remains low in LMICs. New strategies, including single-dose vaccination could enhance impact. Loss to follow-up and treatment delays could be addressed by improved same-day screen-and-treat technologies. We provide a practical framework to guide cervical cancer elimination in LMICs. The scoping review highlights existing and innovative strategies, unmet needs, and collaborations required to achieve elimination across implementation contexts.

Necessity for subsequent surgery in women of child-bearing age with positive margins after conization

BACKGROUND

20-25% of women with high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasias (HSIL) have residual lesions after conization. The state of the margin is generally considered to be a risk factor for recurrence or persistent lesions. Predictors of positive margins and residual lesions need to be identified. A design for postoperative management and avoidance of overtreatment needs to be provided, especially for women of child-bearing age.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective analysis of 1309 women of child-bearing age with HSIL, who underwent cold knife conization (CKC). Age, gravidity, parity, human papillomavirus (HPV) species, cytology, transformation zone type, results of endocervical curettage (ECC), quadrant involvement, glandular involvement, and Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN) grade were analyzed. Among those with positive margins, 245 patients underwent secondary surgery within three months, including CKC, a loop electrosurgical excision procedure, and total hysterectomy. Risk factors for positive margins and residual lesions were assessed.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in age, gravidity, parity, glandular involvement, and CIN grade between the two groups (P > 0.3). There was a significant difference in HPV species, cytology, ECC results, and quadrant involvement (P < 0.002). Multivariate analysis showed a major cytology abnormality, high-risk HPV infection, type III transformation zone, positive ECC result, and multiple quadrant involvement were independent risk factors for positive margins and residual lesions (P < 0.02). Age > 35 years was also a risk factor for residual lesions (P < 0.03).

CONCLUSION

High-risk women should be treated appropriately considering fertility. Patients with positive margins should be managed uniquely. Surgery for women without fertility may be appropriate. Close follow-up is necessary for women who have fertility requirements or are unwilling to undergo subsequent surgery if they have no risk factors, especially women < 35 years.

Estimates of the global burden of cervical cancer associated with HIV

Background

HIV enhances human papillomavirus (HPV)-induced carcinogenesis. However, the contribution of HIV to cervical cancer burden at a population level has not been quantified. We aimed to investigate cervical cancer risk among women living with HIV and to estimate the global cervical cancer burden associated with HIV.

Methods

We did a systematic literature search and meta-analysis of five databases (PubMed, Embase, Global Health [CABI.org], Web of Science, and Global Index Medicus) to identify studies analysing the association between HIV infection and cervical cancer. We estimated the pooled risk of cervical cancer among women living with HIV across four continents (Africa, Asia, Europe, and North America). The risk ratio (RR) was combined with country-specific UNAIDS estimates of HIV prevalence and GLOBOCAN 2018 estimates of cervical cancer to calculate the proportion of women living with HIV among women with cervical cancer and population attributable fractions and age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) of HIV-attributable cervical cancer.

Findings

24 studies met our inclusion criteria, which included 236 127 women living with HIV. The pooled risk of cervical cancer was increased in women living with HIV (RR 6·07, 95% CI 4·40–8·37). Globally, 5·8% (95% CI 4·6–7·3) of new cervical cancer cases in 2018 (33 000 new cases, 95% CI 26 000–42 000) were diagnosed in women living with HIV and 4·9% (95% CI 3·6–6·4) were attributable to HIV infection (28 000 new cases, 20 000–36 000). The most affected regions were southern Africa and eastern Africa. In southern Africa, 63·8% (95% CI 58·9–68·1) of women with cervical cancer (9200 new cases, 95% CI 8500–9800) were living with HIV, as were 27·4% (23·7–31·7) of women in eastern Africa (14 000 new cases, 12 000–17 000). ASIRs of HIV-attributable cervical cancer were more than 20 per 100 000 in six countries, all in southern Africa and eastern Africa.

Interpretation

Women living with HIV have a significantly increased risk of cervical cancer. HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening for women living with HIV are especially important for countries in southern Africa and eastern Africa, where a substantial HIV-attributable cervical cancer burden has added to the existing cervical cancer burden.

Funding

WHO, US Agency for International Development, and US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.

HPV Vaccination Prior to Loop Electroexcision Procedure does not Prevent Recurrent Cervical High Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions in Women Living with HIV: a Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Women living with HIV, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, are at high risk for cervical high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) and cervical cancer. These women have high HSIL recurrence rates after loop electroexcision procedure (LEEP). Retrospective studies suggest that HPV vaccination improves response to treatment of cervical HSIL.

METHODS

We performed a double-blind, randomized clinical trial enrolling 180 women living with HIV in Johannesburg, South Africa diagnosed with cervical HSIL by colposcopic biopsy. Women received quadrivalent HPV vaccine or placebo (1:1) at entry, week 4, and week 26. LEEP was performed at week 4. Colposcopic directed biopsies and cervical cytology were performed at week 26 and 52. The primary endpoint, cervical HSIL by histology or cytology at either week 26 or 52, was compared between arms using Chi-square analysis.

RESULTS

Participant characteristics included median age 39 years, median CD4 489 cells/mm3, and 94% had HIV suppression. 174 women completed the vaccine/placebo series and had evaluable results at week 26 or 52. The proportion experiencing the primary endpoint was similar in the vaccine and placebo groups, 53% vs. 45% (RR 1.16, 95% CI .87-1.6, P=.29). HSIL recurrence was associated with a LEEP biopsy result of HSIL and detection of HSIL at the margins of LEEP sample.

CONCLUSION

This study did not support HPV vaccination to prevent recurrent HSIL after LEEP in women living with HIV. Recurrent HSIL was high despite virologic suppression. Improved treatments are needed for HSIL to reduce the burden of cervical cancer among women living with HIV.

Incidence of abnormal cervical and vaginal cytology among women over age 65 years living with human immunodeficiency virus

BACKGROUND

Women with human immunodeficiency virus have higher rates of abnormal cervical and vaginal cytology and, subsequently, of cervical and vaginal cancers. Although professional bodies currently advocate for indefinite cytology screening for women living with human immunodeficiency virus, these recommendations are based on expert opinion, not evidence-based. In the general population, women who have never had an abnormal cytology result can cease screening at age 65 years. This is due to the relatively low incidence of dysplasia in this group and the risk of false-positive results as women age, invasive follow-up testing, and destructive treatments of lesions that are unlikely to progress to cancer. What is unclear, however, is how human immunodeficiency virus-infected women over age 65 years who have no history of abnormal cytology should be screened to maximize benefit while reducing harms of overscreening. This is a crucial question, as women over age 65 years who are living with human immunodeficiency virus comprise a rapidly growing population.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the incidence of abnormal cervical and vaginal cytology results in women over the age of 65 years living with human immunodeficiency virus, with the goal of providing evidence for screening recommendations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed, identifying 69 women who received gynecologic follow-up in a county hospital system in Houston, Texas, between 2000 and 2018 and who met study criteria. Incidence of abnormal cytology after age 65 was determined by analyzing all available cytology results after age 65. Demographic and clinical risk factors, including human immunodeficiency virus-specific clinical risk factors, were analyzed. Matched cervical and vaginal pathology results, if conducted, were also evaluated. Statistical analyses were conducted using Stata 15, including χ² tests and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Estimates of the cumulative probability of developing an abnormal cytology result was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Among 69 women with no history of abnormal cervical cytology, 12 (17%) went on to develop abnormal cytology results, including 3 (4%) showing high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions. The incidence rate was 3.5 cases per 100 woman-years (95% confidence interval, 1.58, 7.81). No demographic or gynecologic characteristics were associated with abnormal cytology. A CD4 count of <200 at the time of human immunodeficiency virus diagnosis or at the time of cytology was associated with an abnormal Papanicolaou test result (P < .0001, P = .031). Of women with pathology results in the county hospital system (n = 8), 4 (50%) had cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2+ or vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia 2+. No women developed invasive cancer. However, 50% of women who had an abnormal Papanicolaou test result in the study period were lost to follow-up; outcomes for these patients are unknown.

CONCLUSION

Given the relatively high proportion (4%) of women with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions/cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2+/vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia 2+ during the study period, we agree with current screening recommendations for continued routine Papanicolaou testing after the age of 65 years in women with human immunodeficiency virus. More evidence from larger studies is needed to solidify evidence-based screening recommendations in this unique and growing population.

The impact of scaling up cervical cancer screening and treatment services among women living with HIV in Kenya: a modelling study

Introduction

We aimed to quantify health outcomes and programmatic implications of scaling up cervical cancer (CC) screening and treatment options for women living with HIV in care aged 18–65 in Kenya.

Methods

Mathematical model comparing from 2020 to 2040: (1) visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) and cryotherapy (Cryo); (2) VIA and Cryo or loop excision electrical procedure (LEEP), as indicated; (3) human papillomavirus (HPV)-DNA testing and Cryo or LEEP; and (4) enhanced screening technologies (either same-day HPV-DNA testing or digitally enhanced VIA) and Cryo or LEEP. Outcomes measured were annual number of CC cases, deaths, screening and treatment interventions, and engaged in care (numbers screened, treated and cured) and five yearly age-standardised incidence.

Results

All options will reduce CC cases and deaths compared with no scale-up. Options 1–3 will perform similarly, averting approximately 28 000 (33%) CC cases and 7700 (27%) deaths. That is, VIA screening would yield minimal losses to follow-up (LTFU). Conversely, LTFU associated with HPV-DNA testing will yield a lower care engagement, despite better diagnostic performance. In contrast, option 4 would maximise health outcomes, averting 43 200 (50%) CC cases and 11 800 (40%) deaths, given greater care engagement. Yearly rescreening with either option will impose a substantial burden on the health system, which could be reduced by spacing out frequency to three yearly without undermining health gains.

Conclusions

Beyond the specific choice of technologies to scale up, efficiently using available options will drive programmatic success. Addressing practical constraints around diagnostics’ performance and LTFU will be key to effectively avert CC cases and deaths.

Impact of scaled up human papillomavirus vaccination and cervical screening and the potential for global elimination of cervical cancer in 181 countries, 2020-99: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

Cervical screening and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination have been implemented in most high-income countries; however, coverage is low in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). In 2018, the Director-General of WHO announced a call to action for the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem. WHO has called for global action to scale-up vaccination, screening, and treatment of precancer, early detection and prompt treatment of early invasive cancers, and palliative care. An elimination threshold in terms of cervical cancer incidence has not yet been defined, but an absolute rate of cervical cancer incidence could be chosen for such a threshold. In this study, we aimed to quantify the potential cumulative effect of scaled up global vaccination and screening coverage on the number of cervical cancer cases averted over the 50 years from 2020 to 2069, and to predict outcomes beyond 2070 to identify the earliest years by which cervical cancer rates could drop below two absolute levels that could be considered as possible elimination thresholds-the rare cancer threshold (six new cases per 100 000 women per year, which has been observed in only a few countries), and a lower threshold of four new cases per 100 000 women per year.

METHODS

In this statistical trends analysis and modelling study, we did a statistical analysis of existing trends in cervical cancer worldwide using high-quality cancer registry data included in the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series published by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. We then used a comprehensive and extensively validated simulation platform, Policy1-Cervix, to do a dynamic multicohort modelled analysis of the impact of potential scale-up scenarios for cervical cancer prevention, in order to predict the future incidence rates and burden of cervical cancer. Data are presented globally, by Human Development Index (HDI) category, and at the individual country level.

FINDINGS

In the absence of further intervention, there would be 44·4 million cervical cancer cases diagnosed globally over the period 2020-69, with almost two-thirds of cases occurring in low-HDI or medium-HDI countries. Rapid vaccination scale-up to 80-100% coverage globally by 2020 with a broad-spectrum HPV vaccine could avert 6·7-7·7 million cases in this period, but more than half of these cases will be averted after 2060. Implementation of HPV-based screening twice per lifetime at age 35 years and 45 years in all LMICs with 70% coverage globally will bring forward the effects of prevention and avert a total of 12·5-13·4 million cases in the next 50 years. Rapid scale-up of combined high-coverage screening and vaccination from 2020 onwards would result in average annual cervical cancer incidence declining to less than six new cases per 100 000 individuals by 2045-49 for very-high-HDI countries, 2055-59 for high-HDI countries, 2065-69 for medium-HDI countries, and 2085-89 for low-HDI countries, and to less than four cases per 100 000 by 2055-59 for very-high-HDI countries, 2065-69 for high-HDI countries, 2070-79 for medium-HDI countries, and 2090-2100 or beyond for low-HDI countries. However, rates of less than four new cases per 100 000 would not be achieved in all individual low-HDI countries by the end of the century. If delivery of vaccination and screening is more gradually scaled up over the period 2020-50 (eg, 20-45% vaccination coverage and 25-70% once-per-lifetime screening coverage by 2030, increasing to 40-90% vaccination coverage and 90% once-per-lifetime screening coverage by 2050, when considered as average coverage rates across HDI categories), end of the century incidence rates will be reduced by a lesser amount. In this scenario, average cervical cancer incidence rates will decline to 0·8 cases per 100 000 for very-high-HDI countries, 1·3 per 100 000 for high-HDI countries, 4·4 per 100 000 for medium-HDI countries, and 14 per 100 000 for low-HDI countries, by the end of the century.

INTERPRETATION

More than 44 million women will be diagnosed with cervical cancer in the next 50 years if primary and secondary prevention programmes are not implemented in LMICs. If high coverage vaccination can be implemented quickly, a substantial effect on the burden of disease will be seen after three to four decades, but nearer-term impact will require delivery of cervical screening to older cohorts who will not benefit from HPV vaccination. Widespread coverage of both HPV vaccination and cervical screening from 2020 onwards has the potential to avert up to 12·5-13·4 million cervical cancer cases by 2069, and could achieve average cervical cancer incidence of around four per 100 000 women per year or less, for all country HDI categories, by the end of the century. A draft global strategy to accelerate cervical cancer elimination, with goals and targets for the period 2020-30, will be considered at the World Health Assembly in 2020. The findings presented here have helped inform initial discussions of elimination targets, and ongoing comparative modelling with other groups is supporting the development of the final goals and targets for cervical cancer elimination.

FUNDING

National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Australia, part-funded via the NHMRC Centre of Excellence for Cervical Cancer Control (C4; APP1135172).