Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Atrial Fibrillation Using Serial 12-Lead ECGs Based on Left Atrial Remodeling

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that analysis of serial ECGs could predict new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) more accurately than analysis of a single ECG by detecting the subtle cardiac remodeling that occurs immediately before AF occurrence. Our aim in this study was to compare the performance of 2 types of machine learning (ML) algorithms.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Standard 12-lead ECGs of patients selected by cardiologists between January 2010 and May 2021 were used for ML model development. Two ML models (single ECG and serial ECG) were developed using a light gradient boosting machine-learning algorithm. Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1 score. We trained the ML models on 415 964 ECGs from 176 090 patients. When testing the 2 ML models using external validation data sets, the performance of the serial-ML model was significantly better than that of the single-ML model for predicting new-onset AF (single- versus serial-ML model: sensitivity 0.744 versus 0.810; specificity 0.742 versus 0.822; accuracy 0.743 versus 0.816; F1 score 0.743 versus 0.815; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.812 versus 0.880; P<0.001). The Shapley Additive Explanations analysis ranked P-wave duration and amplitude among the top 10 ECG parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

An ML model based on serial ECGs from an individual had greater ability to predict new-onset AF than the ML model based on a single ECG. P-wave morphologies were associated with future AF prediction.

The Role of P Wave Parameters in Predicting Pulmonary Vein Isolation Outcomes for Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an effective management method for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). The P wave in the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) represents atrial depolarisation. This study aims to utilise the P wave to predict PVI outcomes for PAF.

METHODS

This single-centre retrospective study aimed to predict PVI outcomes using P wave parameters. It included 211 consecutive patients with first PVI for PAF between 2018 and 2019 and targeted the pulmonary veins (PVs). Procedure success was defined by freedom of ECG-documented AF at 12 months. Digital 12-lead ECGs with 1-50 hertz bandpass filters were monitored before the procedure. Corrected P wave duration (PWDc), P wave amplitude (PWV), P wave dispersion (PWDisp), intra-atrial block (IAB), P wave area (PWA), and P wave terminal force in V1 (PTFV1) were measured before ablation and correlated with the outcomes.

RESULTS

Successful PVI occurred in 154 patients (73%). Demographics were similar between both arms. P wave parameters correlated with PVI failure included increased PWDc in all leads except for lead III, aVR, and V3, decreased PWV in lead I (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53-0.95), lead II (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.22-0.65), aVL (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.22-0.98), and aVF (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.58-0.87), decreased PWA in lead I (HR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.21-0.76), lead II (HR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.34-0.87), aVL (HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.45-0.96), and aVF (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.32-0.89), and the presence of IAB (HR: 2, 95% CI: 1.4-4.2, p = 0.02). PWDisp and PTFV1 were not correlated with PVI outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

PWDc, PWA, PWV, and IAB are valuable predictors for PVI outcome for PAF at 12 months.

Atrial cardiomyopathy revisited-evolution of a concept: a clinical consensus statement of the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC, the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), the Asian Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), and the Latin American Heart Rhythm Society (LAHRS)

AIMS

The concept of "atrial cardiomyopathy" (AtCM) had been percolating through the literature since its first mention in 1972. Since then, publications using the term were sporadic until the decision was made to convene an expert working group with representation from four multinational arrhythmia organizations to prepare a consensus document on atrial cardiomyopathy in 2016 (EHRA/HRS/APHRS/SOLAECE expert consensus on atrial cardiomyopathies: definition, characterization, and clinical implication). Subsequently, publications on AtCM have increased progressively.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The present consensus document elaborates the 2016 AtCM document further to implement a simple AtCM staging system (AtCM stages 1-3) by integrating biomarkers, atrial geometry, and electrophysiological changes. However, the proposed AtCM staging needs clinical validation. Importantly, it is clearly stated that the presence of AtCM might serve as a substrate for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) and AF may accelerates AtCM substantially, but AtCM per se needs to be viewed as a separate entity.

CONCLUSION

Thus, the present document serves as a clinical consensus statement of the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC, the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), the Asian Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), and the Latin American Heart Rhythm Society (LAHRS) to contribute to the evolution of the AtCM concept.

Association between P-wave terminal force in lead V1 and extent of left atrial low-voltage substrate in older patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) is a marker of cardiomyopathy and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Low-voltage area (LVA) in the left atrium (LA), which indicates underlying atrial fibrosis, could predict AF recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between PTFV1 and LVA in older patients with paroxysmal AF.

METHODS

From May 1, 2020, to October 31, 2021, a total of 162 patients aged 65-80 years with paroxysmal AF who underwent index ablation procedures were enrolled. PTFV1 was measured in sinus rhythm (SR) using 12-lead electrocardiograms prior to the ablation. Abnormal PTFV1 was defined as a ≥ 4 mVms depression. Additional LVA ablation beyond circumferential pulmonary vein isolation (CPVI) was performed if LVAs were found.

RESULTS

Among the 162 patients, 88 had a normal PTFV1 and 74 had an abnormal PTFV1 prior to ablation. There was a significant difference in LVA in patients with and without an abnormal PTFV1 (LVA, 11.0 vs. 5.1 cm2, P < 0.001; LVA burden, 8.9% vs. 4.5%, P < 0.001). PTFV1 and PTAV1 were highest in the upper tertile with extensive LVAs (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that abnormal PTFV1 was an independent predictor of LVAs (β = 4.961; 95% CI, 2.135-7.788; P < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 23 months, the AF-free survival rate was similar between the normal PTFV1 group and the abnormal PTFV1 group (13/88 vs. 12/74, hazard ratio [HR], 0.933 [95% CI, 0.425-2.047]; P = 0.861).

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal PTFV1 at baseline was independently associated with the extent of LVA in older patients with paroxysmal AF.

Role of the Electrocardiogram for Identifying the Development of Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF), a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, is associated with increased morbidity and mortality worldwide. Stroke, the leading cause of serious disability in the United States, is among the important complications of this arrhythmia. Recent studies have demonstrated that certain clinical variables can be useful in the prediction of AF development in the future. The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a simple and cost-effective technology that is widely available in various healthcare settings. An emerging body of evidence has suggested that ECG tracings preceding the development of AF can be useful in predicting this arrhythmia in the future. Various variables on ECG especially different P wave parameters have been investigated in the prediction of new-onset AF and found to be useful. Several risk models were also introduced using these variables along with the patient's clinical data. However, current guidelines do not provide a clear consensus regarding implementing these prediction models in clinical practice for identifying patients at risk of AF. Also, the role of intensive screening via ECG or implantable devices based on this scoring system is unclear. The purpose of this review is to summarize AF and various related terminologies and explain the pathophysiology and electrocardiographic features of this tachyarrhythmia. We also discuss the predictive electrocardiographic features of AF, review some of the existing risk models and scoring system, and shed light on the role of monitoring device for screening purposes.

Predictor of A4 amplitude using preprocedural electrocardiography in patients with leadless pacemakers

BACKGROUND

Based on historical studies of leadless pacemakers (LPs), high atrioventricular synchrony (AVS) with mechanical sensing-based VDD pacing is largely influenced by A4 amplitude. A limited study investigated the predictors of A4 amplitude using clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictors of A4 amplitude preoperatively to select patients who could benefit the most from AVS among patients with VDD LPs (Micra-AV, Medtronic).

METHODS

Data from patients who received Micra-AV implantations from November 2021 to August 2023 at Tottori University Hospital were analyzed. Twelve-lead electrocardiography and transthoracic echocardiography were performed before the Micra-AV implantations. To assess the electrical indices associated with the A4 signal, electrocardiographic morphologic P-wave parameters were analyzed, including P-wave duration, P-wave amplitude, maximum deflection index (MDI), and P-wave dispersion.

RESULTS

A total of 50 patients who underwent Micra-AV implantations (median age 84 years; 64% male) were included and divided into 2 groups based on the median value of A4 amplitude, the high-A4 group (A4 amplitude >2.5 m/s2; n = 26), and low-A4 group (A4 amplitude ≤2.5 m/s2; n = 24). There was a significant difference between the high-A4 and low-A4 groups with regard to left ventricular ejection fraction (P = .01), P-wave dispersion (P = .01), and MDI (P <.001). Multivariate logistic analysis revealed that lower MDI was an independent predictor of high A4-amplitude (odds ratio 0.78; 95% confidence interval 0.67-0.92; P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative electrocardiographic evaluations of P-wave morphology may be useful for predicting A4 amplitude. MDI was the only independent A4 amplitude predictor that seemed promising for selecting Micra-AV patients.

High-dose Agomelatine Combined with Haloperidol Decanoate Improves Cognition, Downregulates MT2, Upregulates D5, and Maintains Krüppel-like Factor 9 But Alters Cardiac Electrophysiology

Haloperidol decanoate (HD) has been implicated in cognitive impairment. Agomelatine (AGO) has been claimed to improve cognition. We aimed at investigating the effects of HD + low- or high-dose AGO on cognition, verifying the melatonergic/dopaminergic to the cholinergic hypothesis of cognition and exploring relevant cardiovascular issues in adult male Wistar albino rats. HD + high-dose AGO prolonged the step-through latency by +61.47% (P < 0.0001), increased the time spent in bright light by +439.49% (P < 0.0001), reduced the time spent in dim light by -66.25% (P < 0.0001), and increased the percent of alternations by +71.25% (P < 0.0001), despite the reductions in brain acetylcholine level by -10.67% (P < 0.0001). Neurodegeneration was minimal, while the mean power frequency of the source wave was reduced by -23.39% (P < 0.05). Concurrently, the relative expression of brain melatonin type 2 receptors was reduced by -18.75% (P < 0.05), against increased expressions of dopamine type 5 receptors by +22.22% (P < 0.0001) and angiopoietin-like 4 by +119.18% (P < 0.0001). Meanwhile, electrocardiogram (ECG) demonstrated inverted P wave, reduced P wave duration by -36.15% (P < 0.0001) and PR interval by -19.91% (P < 0.0001), prolonged RR interval by +27.97% (P < 0.05), increased R wave amplitude by +523.15% (P < 0.0001), and a depressed ST segment and inverted T wave. In rats administered AGO, HD, or HD+ low-dose AGO, Alzheimer's disease (AD)-like neuropathologic features were more evident, accompanied by extensive ECG and neurochemical alterations. HD + high-dose AGO enhances cognition but alters cardiac electrophysiology. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Given the issue of cognitive impairment associated with HD and the claimed cognitive-enhancing activity of AGO, combined high-dose AGO with HD improved cognition of adult male rats, who exhibited minimal neurodegenerative changes. HD+ high-dose AGO was relatively safe regarding triggering epileptogenesis, while it altered cardiac electrophysiology. In the presence of low acetylcholine, the melatonergic/dopaminergic hypothesis, added to angiopoietin-like 4 and Krüppel-like factor 9, could offer some clue, thus offering novel targets for pharmacologic manipulation of cognition.

Lead-Specific Performance for Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Convolutional Neural Network Models Using Sinus Rhythm Electrocardiography

Background: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) using the sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). However, the diagnostic performance of the CNN model based on different ECG leads remains unclear. Methods and Results: In this retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study, we identified 616 AF cases and 3,412 SR cases for the modeling dataset among new patients (n=19,170). The modeling dataset included SR-ECGs obtained within 31 days from AF-ECGs in AF cases and SR cases with follow-up ≥1,095 days. We evaluated the CNN model's performance for AF detection using 8-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead ECGs through 5-fold cross-validation. The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.872 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.856-0.888) and an odds ratio of 15.24 (95% CI: 12.42-18.72) for AF detection using the eight-lead ECG. Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the double-lead ECG using leads I and V1 yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.856-0.886) with an odds ratio of 14.34 (95% CI: 11.64-17.67). Conclusions: We assessed the performance of a CNN model for detecting AF using eight-lead, single-lead, and double-lead SR-ECGs. The model's performance with a double-lead (I, V1) ECG was comparable to that of the 8-lead ECG, suggesting its potential as an alternative for AF screening using SR-ECG.

Ratio of P-Wave Duration to P-Wave Amplitude and Left Atrial Remodeling: Insights from Electrophysiological Findings and Myocardial Injury After Cryoballoon Ablation

The impact of the P-wave morphology on clinical outcomes postcatheter ablation (post-CA) and recurrent arrhythmia characteristics or electrophysiologic findings in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) remains unclear. Patients with PAF who underwent cryoballoon ablation were enrolled. In 12-lead electrocardiography recorded within 1 month before CA, the P-wave duration (Pd) and P-wave vector magnitude (Pvm) (square root of the sum of the squared P-wave amplitude in leads II, V6, and one-half of the P-wave amplitude in V2) were measured and divided into 2 groups: patients with high and low Pd/Pvm based on a statistically calculated cut-off value. We evaluated the incidence of late recurrence of atrial fibrillation (LRAF), myocardial injury (high-sensitive troponin I), and the electrophysiologic findings in repeat ablation sessions. This study included 269 patients with PAF. The median follow-up duration was 697 days. The cut-off value of the Pd/Pvm for predicting LRAF was 740.7 ms/mV (area under the curve = 0.81, sensitivity = 58.2%, and specificity = 89.6%). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that high Pd/Pvm (>740.7 ms/mV) was significantly associated with LRAF (p <0.001). The high-sensitive troponin I level was significantly lower, and the ratio of DR-FLASH score >3 was significantly higher in those with high than low Pd/Pvm (p = 0.044 and p = 0.002, respectively). In the repeat ablation sessions, the Pd/Pvm in patients with atrial tachycardia-induced or spontaneously occurring during the repeat CA sessions was significantly higher than in those without (p = 0.009). There was a significant difference between the Pd/Pvm and low-voltage area (p <0.001). In conclusion, the Pd/Pvm is significantly associated with LRAF after cryoballoon ablation in patients with PAF and predicts left atrial low-voltage areas and atrial tachycardia inducibility.

P-wave Indices as Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation: The Lion from a Claw

The P wave, representing the electrical fingerprint of atrial depolarization, contains information regarding spatial and temporal aspects of atrial electrical-and potentially structural-properties. However, technical and biological reasons, including-but not limited to-the low amplitude of the P wave and large interindividual variations in normal or pathologic atrial electrical activity, make gathering and utilizing this information for clinical purposes a rather cumbersome task. However, even crude ECG descriptors, such as P-wave dispersion, have been shown to be of predictive value for assessing the probability that a patient already has or will shortly present with AF. More sophisticated methods of analyzing the ECG signal, on a single- or multi- beat basis, along with novel approaches to data handling, namely machine learning, seem to be leading up to more accurate and robust ways to obtain clinically useful information from the humble P wave.

Research progress on predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after radiofrequency ablation based on electrocardiogram-related parameters

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia. It is associated with increased stroke risks, thromboembolism, and other complications, which are great life and economic burdens for patients. In recent years, with the maturity of percutaneous catheter radiofrequency ablation (RFA) technology, it has become a first-line therapy for AF. However, some patients still experience AF recurrence (AFR) after RFA, which can cause serious consequences. Therefore, it is critical to identify appropriate parameters that are predictive of prognosis and to be able to translate the parameters easily into the clinical setting. Here, we reviewed possible predicting indicators for AFR, focusing on all the electrocardiogram indicators, such as P wave duration, PR interval and so on. It may provide valuable information for guiding clinical works.

Electrocardiographic Morphology-Voltage-P-Wave-Duration (MVP) Score to Select Patients for Continuous Atrial Fibrillation Screening to Prevent Stroke

Morphology-voltage-P-wave-duration (MVP) score combining P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave voltage in lead I (PWVI), and interatrial block (IAB) has been demonstrated to predict atrial fibrillation (AF). Therefore, this study aimed to examine MVP score and its P-wave components as potential predictors of AF screening effects on stroke prevention. This was a secondary analysis of the LOOP Study (Atrial Fibrillation detected by Continuous ECG Monitoring using Implantable Loop Recorder to prevent Stroke in High-risk Individuals) which randomized older persons (aged 70 to 90 years) with additional stroke risk factors to either continuous monitoring with implantable loop recorder and anticoagulation upon detection of AF episodes ≥6 minutes (the intervention group), or usual care. A total of 5,759 participants were included in the present analysis, where PWD, PWVI, and IAB were determined through a computerized analysis of 12-lead electrocardiogram and further employed to calculate baseline MVP score (0 to 6) for each participant. In total, 305 (5.3%) had stroke or systemic embolism during follow-up, with a higher risk in the group with MVP score 5 to 6 than those having score 0 to 2 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.54 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01 to 2.35]). This risk increase was mainly upheld by participants with IAB (HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.11 to 2.36] for IAB vs no IAB) and with longer PWD (HR 1.37 [95% CI 1.07 to 1.75] for >110 vs ≤110 ms). Compared with usual care, implantable loop recorder screening did not significantly reduce the risk of stroke or systemic embolism in any MVP risk categories (HR 0.80 [95% CI 0.60 to 1.08] for MVP score 0 to 2, 0.54 [95% CI 0.16 to 1.85] for MVP score 3 to 4, and 0.89 [95% CI 0.35 to 2.25] for MVP score 5 to 6; pinteraction = 0.78). In conclusion, a higher MVP score was associated with an increased stroke risk, but it did not demonstrate an association with effects of AF screening on stroke prevention. These findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and warrant further study.

P-Wave Duration/Amplitude Ratio Quantifies Atrial Low-Voltage Area and Predicts Atrial Arrhythmia Recurrence After Pulmonary Vein Isolation

BACKGROUND

Atrial low-voltage areas (LVAs) in patients with atrial fibrillation increase the risk of atrial arrhythmia (AA) recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). Contemporary LVA prediction scores (DR-FLASH, APPLE) do not include P-wave metrics. We aimed to evaluate the utility of P-wave duration/amplitude ratio (PWR) in quantifying LVA and predicting AA recurrence after PVI.

METHODS

In 65 patients undergoing first-time PVI, 12-lead ECGs were recorded during sinus rhythm. PWR was calculated as the ratio between the longest P-wave duration and P-wave amplitude in lead I. High-resolution biatrial voltage maps were collected and LVAs included bipolar electrogram amplitudes < 0.5 mV or < 1.0 mV. An LVA quantification model was created with the use of clinical variables and PWR, and then validated in a separate cohort of 24 patients. Seventy-eight patients were followed for 12 months to evaluate AA recurrence.

RESULTS

PWR strongly correlated with left atrial (LA) (< 0.5 mV: r = 0.60; < 1.0 mV: r = 0.68; P < 0.001) and biatrial LVA (< 0.5 mV: r = 0.63; < 1.0 mV: r = 0.70; P < 0.001). Addition of PWR to clinical variables improved model quantification of LA LVA at the < 0.5 mV (adjusted R2 = 0.59 to 0.68) and < 1.0 mV (adjusted R2 = 0.59 to 0.74) cutoffs. In the validation cohort, PWR model-predicted LVA correlated strongly with measured LVA (< 0.5 mV: r = 0.78; < 1.0 mV: r = 0.81; P < 0.001). PWR model was superior to DR-FLASH (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.90 vs 0.78; P = 0.030) and APPLE (AUC 0.90 vs 0.67; P = 0.003) at detecting LA LVA and similar at predicting AA recurrence after PVI (AUC 0.67 vs 0.65 and 0.60).

CONCLUSION

Our novel PWR model accurately quantifies LVA and predicts AA recurrence after PVI. PWR model-predicted LVA may help guide patient selection for PVI.

CHA2DS2-VASc score, P-wave indexes, and echocardiographic parameters in sinus rhythm patients without valvular heart disease

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the correlation between P-wave indexes, echocardiographic parameters, and CHA2DS2-VASc score in patients without atrial fibrillation and valvular disease.

METHODS

This retrospective cross-sectional study included patients of a tertiary hospital with no history of atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, or valve disease and collected data from June 2021 to May 2022. The exclusion criteria were as follows: unavailable medical records, pacemaker carriers, absence of echocardiogram report, or uninterpretable ECG. Clinical, electrocardiographic [i.e., P-wave duration, amplitude, dispersion, variability, maximum, minimum, and P-wave voltage in lead I, Morris index, PR interval, P/PR ratio, and P-wave peak time], and echocardiographic data [i.e., left atrium and left ventricle size, left ventricle ejection fraction, left ventricle mass, and left ventricle indexed mass] from 272 patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

PR interval (RHO=0.13, p=0.032), left atrium (RHO=0.301, p<0.001) and left ventricle diameter (RHO=0.197, p=0.001), left ventricle mass (RHO=0.261, p<0.001), and left ventricle indexed mass (RHO=0.340, p<0.001) were positively associated with CHA2DS2-VASc score, whereas P-wave amplitude (RHO=-0.141, p=0.02), P-wave voltage in lead I (RHO=-0.191, p=0.002), and left ventricle ejection fraction (RHO=-0.344, p<0.001) were negatively associated with the same score. The presence of the Morris index was associated with high CHA2DS2-VASc (p=0.022).

CONCLUSION

Prolonged PR interval, Morris index, increased left atrium diameter, left ventricle diameter, left ventricle mass, and left ventricle indexed mass values as well as lower P-wave amplitude, P-wave voltage in lead I, and left ventricle ejection fraction values were correlated with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Predictive value of interatrial block on electrocardiogram among obese patients undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation

BACKGROUND

Determine a predictive value of interatrial block (IAB) on atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation outcomes in obese patients.

METHODS

Medical records were retrospectively reviewed for 205 consecutive patients with body mass indices (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2 who underwent initial AF ablation. Evidence of partial IAB defined as P-wave duration (PWD) ≥ 120 ms and advanced IAB with PWD ≥ 120 ms and biphasic or negative P-wave in inferior leads was examined from sinus electrocardiograms (ECGs) within 1-year pre-ablation. The primary outcome was recurrent atrial arrhythmia after 3-month blanking period post-ablation.

RESULTS

The mean BMI was 36.9 ± 5.7 kg/m2. Partial IAB and advanced IAB were observed in 155 (75.61%) and 42 (20.49%) patients, respectively. During the median follow-up of 1.35 (interquartile range 0.74, 2.74) years, 115 (56.1%) patients had recurrent atrial arrhythmias. In multivariable analysis adjusting for age, gender, persistent AF, use of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs), left atrial volume index (LAVI), partial IAB, and advanced IAB were independent predictors of recurrent arrhythmia with hazard ratio (HR) of 2.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.47-6.05; p = 0.001) and HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.11-2.82; p = 0.017), respectively. The results were similar in a subgroup analysis of patients who had no severe left atrial enlargement and a subgroup analysis of patients who were not on AADs.

CONCLUSIONS

IAB is highly prevalent in patients with obesity and AF. Partial IAB, defined as PWD ≥ 120 ms, and advanced IAB with evidence of biphasic P-wave in inferior leads were independently associated with increased risk of recurrent arrhythmia after AF ablation. Its predictive value is independent of other traditional risk factors, LAVI, or use of AADs.

P-wave duration as a marker of atrial remodeling in patients referred to ablation for atrial fibrillation: A new stratification tool emerging?

Ablation of atrial fibrillation is one of the most widely applied invasive procedures in cardiovascular medicine, and populations with atrial fibrillation continuously rise. Recurrence rates are, however, consistently high, even in patients without severe comorbidities. Robust stratification algorithms to distinguish patients suitable for ablation are generally lacking. This is a fact caused by the inability to incorporate evidence of atrial remodeling and fibrosis, e.g., atrial remodeling, in the decision pathways. Cardiac magnetic resonance is a powerful tool in identifying fibrosis; however, it is costly and not routinely used. Electrocardiography has been generally underutilized in clinical practice during pre-ablative screening. One of the characteristics of the electrocardiogram that can give us valuable data depicting the existence and the extent of atrial remodeling and fibrosis is the duration of the P-wave. Currently, many studies support the implementation of P-wave duration in the routine practice of patient evaluation as a surrogate marker of existing atrial remodeling, that in turn predicts recurrence after ablation of atrial fibrillation. Further research is guaranteed to establish this electrocardiographic characteristic in our stratification quiver.

Electrocardiographic markers of subclinical atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorder: insights from the LOOP Study

AIMS

Insights into subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) development are warranted to inform the strategies of screening and subsequent clinical management upon AF detection. Hence, this study sought to characterize the onset and progression of subclinical AF with respect to 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included AF-naïve individuals aged 70-90 years with additional stroke risk factors who underwent implantable loop recorder (ILR) monitoring in the LOOP Study. Using data from daily ILR recordings and the computerized analysis of baseline ECG, we studied empirically selected ECG parameters for AF detection (≥6 min), cumulative AF burden, long-lasting AF (≥24 h), and AF progression. Of 1370 individuals included, 419 (30.6%) developed AF during follow-up, with a mean cumulative AF burden of 1.5% [95% CI: 1.2-1.8]. Several P-wave-related and ventricular ECG parameters were associated with new-onset AF and with cumulative AF burden in AF patients. P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave terminal force in Lead V1, and interatrial block (IAB) further demonstrated significant associations with long-lasting AF. Among AF patients, we observed an overall reduction in cumulative AF burden over time (IRR 0.70 [95% CI: 0.51-0.96]), whereas IAB was related to an increased risk of progression to AF ≥24 h (HR 1.86 [95% CI: 1.02-3.39]). Further spline analysis also revealed longer PWD to be associated with this progression in AF duration.

CONCLUSION

We identified several ECG parameters associated with new-onset subclinical AF detected by ILR. Especially PWD and IAB were robustly related to the onset and the burden of AF as well as progression over time.

Electro-Mechanical Alterations in Atrial Fibrillation: Structural, Electrical, and Functional Correlates

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia encountered in clinical practice affecting both patients’ survival and well-being. Apart from aging, many cardiovascular risk factors may cause structural remodeling of the atrial myocardium leading to atrial fibrillation development. Structural remodelling refers to the development of atrial fibrosis, as well as to alterations in atrial size and cellular ultrastructure. The latter includes myolysis, the development of glycogen accumulation, altered Connexin expression, subcellular changes, and sinus rhythm alterations. The structural remodeling of the atrial myocardium is commonly associated with the presence of interatrial block. On the other hand, prolongation of the interatrial conduction time is encountered when atrial pressure is acutely increased. Electrical correlates of conduction disturbances include alterations in P wave parameters, such as partial or advanced interatrial block, alterations in P wave axis, voltage, area, morphology, or abnormal electrophysiological characteristics, such as alterations in bipolar or unipolar voltage mapping, electrogram fractionation, endo-epicardial asynchrony of the atrial wall, or slower cardiac conduction velocity. Functional correlates of conduction disturbances may incorporate alterations in left atrial diameter, volume, or strain. Echocardiography or cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is commonly used to assess these parameters. Finally, the echocardiography-derived total atrial conduction time (PA-TDI duration) may reflect both atrial electrical and structural alterations.

Development and Validation of a Novel Prognostic Tool to Predict Recurrence of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation after the First-Time Catheter Ablation: A Retrospective Cohort Study

There is no gold standard to tell frustrating outcomes after the catheter ablation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). The study aims to construct a prognostic tool. We retrospectively analyzed 315 patients with PAF who underwent first-time ablation at the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University. The endpoint was identified as any documented relapse of atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting longer than 30 s after the three-month blanking period. Univariate Cox regression analyzed eleven preablation parameters, followed by two supervised machine learning algorithms and stepwise regression to construct a nomogram internally validated. Five factors related to ablation failure were as follows: female sex, left atrial appendage emptying flow velocity ≤31 cm/s, estimated glomerular filtration rate <65.8 mL/(min·1.73 m²), P wave duration in lead aVF ≥ 120 ms, and that in lead V1 ≥ 100 ms, which constructed a nomogram. It was correlated with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score but outperformed the latter evidently in discrimination and clinical utility, not to mention its robust performances in goodness-of-fit and calibration. In addition, the nomogram-based risk stratification could effectively separate ablation outcomes. Patients at risk of relapse after PAF ablation can be recognized at baseline using the proposed five-factor nomogram.

New electrocardiographic aspects of the P wave: Its value in clinical cardiology

In this article, we will comment on new aspects of P-wave morphology that help us to better diagnose atrial blocks and atrial enlargement, and their clinical implications. These include: (1) Atypical ECG patterns of advanced interatrial block; (2) The ECG diagnosis of left atrial enlargement versus interatrial block; (3) Atrial fibrillation and advanced interatrial block: The two sides of the same coin; and (4) P-wave parameters: Clinical implications.

P-wave duration and atrial fibrillation recurrence after catheter ablation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a global health problem with high morbidity and mortality. Catheter ablation (CA) can reduce AF burden and symptoms, but AF recurrence (AFr) remains an issue. Simple AFr predictors like P-wave duration (PWD) could help improve AF therapy. This updated meta-analysis reviews the increasing evidence for the association of AFr with PWD and offers practical implications.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Publication databases were systematically searched and cohort studies reporting PWD and/or morphology at baseline and AFr after CA were included. Advanced interatrial block (aIAB) was defined as PWD ≥ 120 ms and biphasic morphology in inferior leads. Random-effects analysis was performed using the Review Manager 5.3 and R programs after study selection, quality assessment, and data extraction, to report odds ratio (OR) and confidence intervals. : Among 4175 patients in 22 studies, 1138 (27%) experienced AFr. Patients with AFr had longer PWD with a mean pooled difference of 7.8 ms (19 studies, P < 0.001). Pooled OR was 2.04 (1.16-3.58) for PWD > 120 ms (13 studies, P = 0.01), 2.42 (1.12-5.21) for PWD > 140 ms (2 studies, P = 0.02), 3.97 (1.79-8.85) for aIAB (5 studies, P < 0.001), and 10.89 (4.53-26.15) for PWD > 150 ms (4 studies, P < 0.001). There was significant heterogeneity but no publication bias detected.

CONCLUSION

P-wave duration is an independent predictor for AF recurrence after left atrium ablation. The AFr risk is increasing exponentially with PWD prolongation. This could facilitate risk stratification by identifying high-risk patients (aIAB, PWD > 150 ms) and adjusting follow up or interventions.

Evaluation of electrocardiographic P wave parameters in predicting long-term atrial fibrillation in patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Electrocardiographic parameters, such as P wave peak time (PWPT), P wave duration (PWD), and P wave amplitude in lead DI, have been utilized to assess left atrial anomalies linked to the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in different cohort settings.

OBJECTIVE

To compare electrocardiographic parameters, such as P waves, in predicting long-term AF risk in acute ischemic stroke cases.

METHODS

The data of 231 consecutive acute ischemic stroke cases were retrospectively collected. Two independent cardiologists interpreted the electrocardiography recordings for PWPT, PWD, and P wave amplitude in lead DI. The median follow-up study period was 16 (interquartile range [IQR]: 11-24) months.

RESULTS

In total, AF was detected in 43 (18.6%) cases. All studied P wave parameters were found to be statistically significant in cases with AF. Based on multivariable logistic regression analysis, dementia, left atrium volume index, PWD (razão de chances [RC]: 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.058-1.184; p = 0.003), PWPT in lead DII (RC: 1.030; 95%CI: 1.010-1.050; p = 0.003), and advanced interatrial block morphology were independent predictors of long-term AF. P wave duration had the highest area under the curve value, sensitivity, and specificity for long-term AF in such cases compared with the other P wave parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Our head-to-head comparison of well-known P wave parameters demonstrated that PWD might be the most useful P wave parameter for long-term AF in acute ischemic stroke cases.

Electrocardiography and heart rate variability in Göttingen Minipigs: Impact of diurnal variation, lead placement, repeatability and streptozotocin-induced diabetes

BACKGROUND

The Göttingen Minipig is widely used in preclinical research and safety pharmacology, but standardisation of porcine electrocardiography (ECG) is lacking. The aim of this study was to investigate diurnal effects, change over time and choice of lead on ECG morphology and heart rate variability (HRV) in healthy and streptozotocin (STZ) induced diabetic Göttingen Minipigs.

METHODS

Diabetes was experimentally induced using STZ in 11 Göttingen Minipigs (DIA). Seven controls (CON) were included. 24-h ECG was recorded at baseline and four months. Morphological parameters (QRS and T wave duration, P- and T-wave amplitude, PR and QT (Bazett's (QTcb) or Fridericia (QTcf) correction) intervals and ST segment), presence of cardiac arrhythmias, heart rate (HR) and HRV (time and frequency domain) were analysed.

RESULTS

Four months after induction, DIA had decreased P-wave amplitude (P < 0.0001) and T-wave duration (P = 0.017), compared to CON. QTcb was lower in DIA, but not in CON. Both groups had decreased HR (P < 0.0001) and QRS duration (lead II, P = 0.04) and length of PR-segment increased (lead I and II, P < 0.01) while selected HRV parameters also increased (all P < 0.01). Time of day influenced HR, QRS duration, PR segment, ST segment, T- and P-wave amplitude and some parameters of HRV. Inter- and intra-observer variability of morphological measurements was low (<6%).

CONCLUSION

ECG parameters were influenced by time setting, diurnal variation and lead. Some ECG and HRV changes were found in diabetic minipigs four months after STZ induction. The findings underline the need for standardisation of ECG and HRV in Göttingen Minipigs.

P Wave Parameters and Indices: A Critical Appraisal of Clinical Utility, Challenges, and Future Research-A Consensus Document Endorsed by the International Society of Electrocardiology and the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology

Atrial cardiomyopathy, characterized by abnormalities in atrial structure and function, is associated with increased risk of adverse cardiovascular and neurocognitive outcomes, independent of atrial fibrillation. There exists a critical unmet need for a clinical tool that is cost-effective, easy to use, and that can diagnose atrial cardiomyopathy. P wave parameters (PWPs) reflect underlying atrial structure, size, and electrical activation; alterations in these factors manifest as abnormalities in PWPs that can be readily ascertained from a standard 12-lead ECG and potentially be used to aid clinical decision-making. PWPs include P wave duration, interatrial block, P wave terminal force in V₁, P wave axis, P wave voltage, P wave area, and P wave dispersion. PWPs can be combined to yield an index (P wave index), such as the morphology-voltage-P-wave duration ECG risk score. Abnormal PWPs have been shown in population-based cohort studies to be independently associated with higher risks of atrial fibrillation, ischemic stroke, sudden cardiac death, and dementia. Additionally, PWPs, either individually or in combination (as a P wave index), have been reported to enhance prediction of atrial fibrillation or ischemic stroke. To facilitate translation of PWPs to routine clinical practice, additional work is needed to standardize measurement of PWPs (eg, via semiautomated or automated measurement), confirm their reliability and predictive value, leverage novel approaches (eg, wavelet analysis of P waves and machine learning algorithms), and finally, define the risk-benefit ratio of specific interventions in high-risk individuals. Our ultimate goal is to repurpose the ubiquitous 12-lead ECG to advance the study, diagnosis, and treatment of atrial cardiomyopathy, thus overcoming critical challenges in prevention of cardiovascular disease and dementia.

Cardiovascular Complications of Interatrial Conduction Block: JACC State-of-the-Art Review

Interatrial block (IAB) is an electrocardiographic pattern describing the conduction delay between the right and left atria. IAB is classified into 3 degrees of block that correspond to decreasing conduction in the region of Bachmann's bundle. Although initially considered benign in nature, specific subsets of IAB have been associated with atrial arrhythmias, elevated thromboembolic stroke risk, cognitive impairment, and mortality. As the pathophysiologic relationships between IAB and stroke are reinforced, investigation has now turned to the potential benefit of early detection, atrial imaging, cardiovascular risk factor modification, antiarrhythmic pharmacotherapy, and stroke prevention with oral anticoagulation. This review provides a contemporary overview of the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and management of IAB, with a focus on future directions.

P-Wave Beat-to-Beat Analysis to Predict Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence after Catheter Ablation

The identification of patients prone to atrial fibrillation (AF) relapse after catheter ablation is essential for better patient selection and risk stratification. The current prospective cohort study aims to validate a novel P-wave index based on beat-to-beat (B2B) P-wave morphological and wavelet analysis designed to detect patients with low burden AF as a predictor of AF recurrence within a year after successful catheter ablation. From a total of 138 consecutive patients scheduled for AF ablation, 12-lead ECG and 10 min vectorcardiogram (VCG) recordings were obtained. Univariate analysis revealed that patients with higher B2B P-wave index had a two-fold risk for AF recurrence (HR: 2.35, 95% CI: 1.24–4.44, p: 0.010), along with prolonged P-wave, interatrial block, early AF recurrence, female gender, heart failure history, previous stroke, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Multivariate analysis of assessable predictors before ablation revealed that B2B P-wave index, along with heart failure history and a history of previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, are independent predicting factors of atrial fibrillation recurrence. Further studies are needed to assess the predictive value of the B2B index with greater accuracy and evaluate a possible relationship with atrial substrate analysis.

Extended ECG Improves Classification of Paroxysmal and Persistent Atrial Fibrillation Based on P- and f-Waves

Background

The standard 12-lead ECG has been shown to be of value in characterizing atrial conduction properties. The added value of extended ECG recordings (longer recordings from more sites) has not been systematically explored yet.

Objective

The aim of this study is to employ an extended ECG to identify characteristics of atrial electrical activity related to paroxysmal vs. persistent atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

In 247 participants scheduled for AF ablation, an extended ECG was recorded (12 standard plus 3 additional leads, 5 min recording, no filtering). For patients presenting in sinus rhythm (SR), the signal-averaged P-wave and the spatiotemporal P-wave variability was analyzed. For patients presenting in AF, f-wave properties in the QRST (the amplitude complex of the ventricular electrical activity: Q-, R-, S-, and T-wave)-canceled ECG were determined.

Results

Significant differences between paroxysmal (N = 152) and persistent patients with AF (N = 95) were found in several P-wave and f-wave parameters, including parameters that can only be calculated from an extended ECG. Furthermore, a moderate, but significant correlation was found between echocardiographic parameters and P-wave and f-wave parameters. There was a moderate correlation of left atrial (LA) diameter with P-wave energy duration (r = 0.317, p < 0.001) and f-wave amplitude in lead A3 (r = -0.389, p = 0.002). The AF-type classification performance significantly improved when parameters calculated from the extended ECG were taken into account [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.58, interquartile range (IQR) 0.50-0.64 for standard ECG parameters only vs. AUC = 0.76, IQR 0.70-0.80 for extended ECG parameters, p < 0.001].

Conclusion

The P- and f-wave analysis of extended ECG configurations identified specific ECG features allowing improved classification of paroxysmal vs. persistent AF. The extended ECG significantly improved AF-type classification in our analyzed data as compared to a standard 10-s 12-lead ECG. Whether this can result in a better clinical AF type classification warrants further prospective study.

Enhancing electrocardiographic analysis by combining a high-resolution 12-lead ECG with novel software tools

INTRODUCTION

Signal-averaged electrocardiography is a non-invasive, computerized technique that amplifies, filters, and averages cardiac electrical signals reducing contaminating noise to obtain a high-resolution record. The most widely used signal averaging (SA) method involves a bipolar X, Y, and Z orthogonal lead system. Information is limited regarding its application in the standard resting 12-lead ECG. A novel system combining a high-resolution 12-lead ECG (HR-ECG) registered by SA with advanced analysis tools is presented.

HISTORY

Original programming of a commercially available signal-averaged HR-ECG device was modified, introducing more exhaustive electrocardiographic assessment instruments.

DESCRIPTION

Using SA techniques and placing surface electrodes in the standard 12-lead ECG positions, a HR-ECG is acquired within a bandwidth of 0.25 to 262 Hz at a rate of 1000 samples per second. It is advisable to average at least 200 cycles, taking three to five minutes to record. The package includes different optional high-frequency filters, manual calipers, zoom/superimposing/amplification functions.

CLINICAL ROLE

The main strength lies in obtaining a low noise HR-ECG with zooming capabilities without definition loss. Other potential advantages are the greater ease in performing high precision analysis and comparing different ECG leads simultaneously.

CURRENT PROBLEMS

The primary limitation is the inability to document intermittent or dynamic electrocardiographic disorders because of averaging similar electrical cardiac cycles.

FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS

Adding artificial intelligence and further refinements in the averaging process could lead to software upgrades.

CONCLUSION

Integrating HR-ECG, obtained through SA techniques, with novel advanced analysis tools can enhance the ability to detect electrocardiographic disorders of permanent expression expeditiously.

Beat-to-Beat P-Wave Analysis Outperforms Conventional P-Wave Indices in Identifying Patients with a History of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation during Sinus Rhythm

Early identification of patients at risk for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is essential to attain optimal treatment and a favorable prognosis. We compared the performance of a beat-to-beat (B2B) P-wave analysis with that of standard P-wave indices (SPWIs) in identifying patients prone to PAF. To this end, 12-lead ECG and 10 min vectorcardiogram (VCG) recordings were obtained from 33 consecutive, antiarrhythmic therapy naïve patients, with a short history of low burden PAF, and from 56 age- and sex-matched individuals with no AF history. For both groups, SPWIs were calculated, while the VCG recordings were analyzed on a B2B basis, and the P-waves were classified to a primary or secondary morphology. Wavelet transform was used to further analyze P-wave signals of main morphology. Univariate analysis revealed that none of the SPWIs performed acceptably in PAF detection, while five B2B features reached an AUC above 0.7. Moreover, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to develop two classifiers-one based on B2B analysis derived features and one using only SPWIs. The B2B classifier was found to be superior to SPWIs classifier; B2B AUC: 0.849 (0.754-0.917) vs. SPWIs AUC: 0.721 (0.613-0.813), p value: 0.041. Therefore, in the studied population, the proposed B2B P-wave analysis outperforms SPWIs in detecting patients with PAF while in sinus rhythm. This can be used in further clinical trials regarding the prognosis of such patients.

Long P-wave duration immediately after pulmonary vein isolation on radiofrequency catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation predicts clinical recurrence: correlation with atrial remodeling in persistent atrial fibrillation

P-wave morphology reflects atrial remodeling and indicates prognosis after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for atrial fibrillation (AF). The impact of p-wave morphology after excluding the effect of pulmonary vein (PV) substrate on outcomes is unknown. We evaluated the p-wave morphology on electrocardiography immediately after PV isolation for clinical outcomes. Eighty-four consecutive patients (47 with paroxysmal AF and 37 with persistent AF) who underwent RFCA were included. P-wave duration (PWD) and amplitude in all leads were examined during sinus rhythm immediately after PV isolation. We evaluated the relationship between electrocardiogram parameters and AF recurrence, according to the type of AF and following ablation, and the correlation with left atrial (LA) volume, low voltage ratio, and fixed conduction time. During 12 months of follow-up, 20 patients experienced recurrence. The cut-off value of PWD > 120 ms in lead I showed a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 69% for predicting recurrence. PWD was significantly correlated with LA volume, low voltage, and conduction velocity. Significantly higher recurrence rates were observed in patients with PWD > 120 ms than in those with PWD ≤ 120 ms (p < 0.001), and the difference was more pronounced in patients with persistent AF. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that PWD > 120 ms was independently associated with recurrence in the total population (hazard ratio 2.00; 95% confidence interval 1.27-3.22; p = 0.003) and in patients with persistent AF. In conclusion, long PWD after PV isolation predicts AF recurrence, which might be associated with the extent of the LA substrate in persistent AF.

The usefulness of morphology-voltage-P wave duration ECG score for predicting early left atrial dysfunction in hypertensive patients

OBJECTIVE

Left atrial (LA) function is an important predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with hypertension (HT). Therefore, recognition of subtle LA dysfunction in the early stages of HT is essential for controlling modifiable variables. Several electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters have been studied to show early LA dysfunction. The goal of this study was to investigate the relationship between newly defined morphology-voltage-P wave duration electrocardiography (MVP ECG) score and early LA dysfunction in hypertensive patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eighty-nine hypertensive patients were included in this study. Based on speckle tracking echocardiography results, the patients were divided into two groups: 67 patients with normal LA function were included in Group 1, and 22 patients with abnormal LA function in Group 2.

RESULTS

Age, diabetes mellitus history, duration of HT history, left ventricular mass index, E/Em, and MVP ECG score values were statistically significant between the two groups. Based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression test, duration of HT history, E/Em, and MVP ECG score were determined as independent predictive parameters for early LA dysfunction in hypertensive patients.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, MVP ECG score assessment could be a novel approach to detect early LA dysfunction in hypertensive patients.

P Wave Duration/P Wave Voltage Ratio Plays a Promising Role in the Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation: A New Player in the Game

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in clinical practice. Identification of patients at risk for developing AF and the opportunity for early targeted intervention might have a significant impact on morbidity and mortality. Prolonged P wave duration and decreased P wave voltage have been shown to be independent predictors of AF. The present study aimed to investigate the role of P wave duration/P wave voltage in predicting new-onset AF.

Methods

We screened a total of 640 consecutive patients who admitted to cardiology outpatient clinic with a complaint of palpitation between 2012 and 2014. 24-h Holter monitoring, echocardiography, and electrocardiography (ECG) recordings were reviewed to identify new-onset AF. Patients were assigned into two groups based on presence (n = 150) and absence (n = 490) of new-onset AF. Previous ECGs with sinus rhythm were analyzed. P wave duration was measured in inferior leads, and P wave voltage was measured in lead one. P wave duration/P wave voltage was also calculated for each patient.

Results

One hundred fifty subjects (23.4%) had new-onset AF among 640 patients. P wave duration (123.27 ± 12.87 vs. 119.33 ± 17.39 ms, p=0.024) and P wave duration/P wave voltage (1284.70 ± 508.03 vs. 924.14 ± 462.06 ms/mV, p < 0.001) were higher, and P wave voltage (0.12 ± 0.04 vs. 0.13 ± 0.04 mV, p < 0.001) was significantly lower in the new-onset AF group compared with non-AFs. P wave duration/P wave voltage, with a cut off of 854.5 ms/mV, had 83.3% sensitivity and 62.0% specificity in a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC 0.728, 95% CI 0.687-0.769; p < 0.001). Their negative and positive predictive values were 78.7% and 68.6%, respectively. In a univariate regression analysis, age, smoking, C-reactive protein, brain natriuretic peptide, left atrial diameter, left atrial volume index, P wave duration, P wave voltage, and P wave duration/P wave voltage were significantly associated with the development of new-onset AF. Moreover, smoking (OR 4.008, 95% CI 1.707-9.409; p=0.001), left atrial volume index (OR 7.108, 95% CI 4.400-11.483; p < 0.001), and P wave duration/P wave voltage (OR 1.002, 95% CI 1.000-1.003; p=0.044) were found to be significant independent predictors of new-onset AF in a multivariate analysis, after adjusting for other risk parameters.

Conclusion

The P wave duration/P wave voltage ratio is a practical, easy-to-use, cheap, and reliable electrocardiographic parameter, which can play a promising role for both in predicting and elucidating a mechanism of new-onset AF.

Atrial Conduction Disorders

Atrial conduction disorders result from impaired propagation of cardiac impulses from the sinoatrial node through the atrial conduction pathways. Disorders affecting interatrial conduction alter P-wave characteristics on the surface electrocardiogram. A variety of P-wave indices reflecting derangements in atrial conduction have been described and have been associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke. Interatrial block (IAB) is the most well-known of the different P-wave indices and is important clinically due to its ability to predict patients who are at risk of the development of AF and other supraventricular tachycardias. P-Wave Axis is a measure of the net direction of atrial depolarization and is determined by calculating the net vector of the P-wave electrical activation in the six limb-leads using the hexaxial reference system. It has been associated with stroke and it has been proposed that this variable be added to the existing CHA2DS2-VASc score to create a P2-CHA2DS2-VASc score to improve stroke prediction. P-Terminal Force in V1 is thought to be an epiphenomenon of advanced atrial fibrotic disease and has been shown to be associated with a higher risk of death, cardiac death, and congestive heart failure as well as an increased risk of AF. P-wave Dispersion is defined as the difference between the shortest and longest P-wave duration recorded on multiple concurrent surface ECG leads on a standard 12-lead ECG and has also been associated with the development of AF and AF recurrence. Pwave voltage in lead I (PVL1) is thought to be an electrocardiographic representation of cardiac conductive properties and, therefore, the extent of atrial fibrosis relative to myocardial mass. Reduced PVL1 has been demonstrated to be associated with new-onset AF in patients with coronary artery disease and may be useful for predicting AF. Recently a risk score (the MVP risk score) has been developed using IAB and PVL1 to predict atrial fibrillation and has shown a good predictive ability to determine patients at high risk of developing atrial fibrillation. The MVP risk score is currently undergoing validation in other populations. This section reviews the different P-wave indices in-depth, reflecting atrial conduction abnormalities.

Paraquat herbicide diminishes chemoreflex sensitivity, induces cardiac autonomic imbalance and impair cardiac function in rats

Paraquat (PQT) herbicide is widely used in agricultural practices despite being highly toxic to humans. It has been proposed that PQT exposure may promote cardiorespiratory impairment. However, the physiological mechanisms involved in cardiorespiratory dysfunction following PQT exposure are poorly known. We aimed to determine the effects of PQT on ventilatory chemoreflex control, cardiac autonomic control, and cardiac function in rats. Male Sprague-Dawley rats received two injections/week of PQT (5 mg·kg-1 ip) for 4 wk. Cardiac function was assessed through echocardiography and pressure-volume loops. Ventilatory function was evaluated using whole body plethysmography. Autonomic control was indirectly evaluated by heart rate variability (HRV). Cardiac electrophysiology (EKG) and exercise capacity were also measured. Four weeks of PQT administration markedly enlarged the heart as evidenced by increases in ventricular volumes and induced cardiac diastolic dysfunction. Indeed, end-diastolic pressure was significantly higher in PQT rats compared with control (2.42 ± 0.90 vs. 4.01 ± 0.92 mmHg, PQT vs. control, P < 0.05). In addition, PQT significantly reduced both the hypercapnic and hypoxic ventilatory chemoreflex response and induced irregular breathing. Also, PQT induced autonomic imbalance and reductions in the amplitude of EKG waves. Finally, PQT administration impaired exercise capacity in rats as evidenced by a ∼2-fold decrease in times-to-fatigue compared with control rats. Our results showed that 4 wk of PQT treatment induces cardiorespiratory dysfunction in rats and suggests that repetitive exposure to PQT may induce harmful mid/long-term cardiovascular, respiratory, and cardiac consequences.NEW & NOREWORTHY Paraquat herbicide is still employed in agricultural practices in several countries. Here, we showed for the first time that 1 mo paraquat administration results in cardiac adverse remodeling, blunts ventilatory chemoreflex drive, and promotes irregular breathing at rest in previously healthy rats. In addition, paraquat exposure induced cardiac autonomic imbalance and cardiac electrophysiology alterations. Lastly, cardiac diastolic dysfunction was overt in rats following 1 mo of paraquat treatment.

Alterations in atrial electrogram amplitude as steady sinus rhythm transitions to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation during continuous monitoring in patients with implantable cardiac devices: Insights from the IMPACT study

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate whether device measured amplitudes of atrial electrogram (AEGM) would change when measured in sinus rhythm (SR) transitioning to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) from previous steady SR, and significance of such change.

METHODS

From the IMPACT trial's database we selected two groups; (A) those who developed AF (n = 164), and (B) propensity-matched control (n = 459) who stayed in SR during continuous Home Monitoring (HM) to compare AEGMs amplitudes at baseline SR and transition phase.

RESULTS

During 420.0 ± 349.2 days (mean ± SD) from first postenrollment HM transmission to AF event transmission in Group A, and corresponding 515.3 ± 407.0 days in Group B, baseline and transition AEGM amplitude were 2.88 ± 1.146 and 2.74 ± 1.186 mV, respectively, for Group A (p = .1), and 2.88 ± 1.155 and 2.79 ± 1.145, respectively, for Group B (p < .005). Comparison of differences of AEGM amplitude, 0.14 ± 1.072 mV in Group A and 0.09 ± 0.893 mV in Group B were insignificant (p = .3). Age, sex, and hypertension identified as confounders had no association to AEGM changes (p = NS).

CONCLUSIONS

Independent of age, sex, and hypertension, AEGMs amplitudes decline over a long period of time in patients with defibrillators and substrate for AF. The significance of such change remains unclear as it occurs whether patients develop AF or not, but raises a possibility of progressive atrial myopathy that patients with substrate for AF may be predisposed to.

P-Wave Changes Associated with Chiari Network in the Right Atrium

The Chiari network (CN) is a mobile, net-like structure occasionally present in the right atrium, near the opening of the inferior vena cava and coronary sinus. While typically asymptomatic, it may contribute to thromboembolism or right atrial pathologies. Here, we hypothesized that existing differences in P-wave morphology on electrocardiograms (ECG) may be associated with atrial conduction changes. Seventy-one children with a CN were recruited and matched to 60 healthy controls. P-wave duration, P-wave amplitude, P dispersion (Pd), QRS, PR, QT, and QTc (calculated with Bazett formula) intervals were measured and compared. Between the control and the patient groups, the mean P-wave duration was 78.1 ms and 88.7 ms, P amplitude was 1.3 mm and 1.1 mm, and Pd was 18.9 and 35.5 ms, respectively. These differences were statistically significant across all measurements (p < 0.05). Atrial conduction may be affected in patients with CN, and these patients may then develop atrial arrhythmia.

A simple formula to predict echocardiographic diastolic dysfunction-electrocardiographic diastolic index

BACKGROUND

Diastolic dysfunction (DD) in transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), which is a poorly understood entity due to its limited treatment, is frequently encountered in daily clinical practice of cardiology. An electrocardiographic (ECG) index to predict echocardiographic DD has not been elucidated yet. We aim to exhibit an electrocardiographic diastolic index (EDI) to predict TTE DD with high sensitivity and specificity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective investigation, we tested the DD predictive value of EDI [aVL R amplitude × (V1S amplitude + V5R amplitude)/D1 P amplitude] on 204 consecutive adult patients without known coronary artery disease. Patients were divided into tertiles according to their EDI starting from the lowest one. The power of the EDI was also compared with the subunits of its formula by a receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

After adjustment for confounding baseline variables, EDI in tertile 3 was associated with 24.2-fold hazard ratio of DD (odds ratio 25.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 11.2-51.1, p < 0.001). The Spearman correlation analysis revealed moderate correlation between E/e' and EDI. A ROC analysis showed that the optimal cut-off value of the EDI to predict DD was 8.53 mV with 70% sensitivity and 70% specificity (area under the curve 0.78; 95% CI 0.71-0.84; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The electrocardiographic diastolic index (EDI), which is an inexpensive, feasible, and easy to use formula, appears to have a considerable role to predict diastolic dysfunction (DD) in adult patients.

Usefulness of Morphology-Voltage-P-wave duration (MVP) score as a predictor of atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is known to be the most common arrhythmia, and the successful rate of long‐term ablation can vary comparatively. Therefore, a clinical scoring system to predict rhythm outcome remains a critical unmet need. The electrocardiographic (ECG) risk score which is named Morphology‐Voltage‐P‐wave duration (MVP) score was reported to be useful for predicting new‐onset AF. The goal of the current study was to investigate whether the MVP score was a useful scheme in the prediction of rhythm outcome following pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed baseline characteristics, risk scores, and rates of AF recurrence 12 months postablation in the medical records of 207 consecutive patients with PAF undergoing PVI in General Hospital of Ningxia medical University from 2010 to 2018.

Results

Two hundred and seven patients (71 females, median age 58.7 years) with symptomatic PAF underwent PVI. From the cohort, 32.3% (67) had a recurrence of AF within 1 year of the PVI. The area of the MVP score under the curve in the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was 0.789 (95% CI 0.730–0.840, p < .001). A score cut‐off value of >3 showed the best predictive ability for AF recurrence within 1 year after PVI, with sensitivity (53.03%) and specificity (89.87%).

Conclusions

The results of our study suggest that the easy‐to‐measure ECG MVP score can be used to predict recurrence of PAF after PVI.

The effect of P wave indices on new onset atrial fibrillation after trans-catheter aortic valve replacement

OBJECTIVES

Data is scarce regarding the relation between P wave indices and new onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) after trans-catheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

AIMS

The present study aimed to find out certain characteristics of P wave that may predict NOAF after TAVR procedure.

METHOD

Patients with severe calcific aortic stenosis who had undergone TAVR procedure between 2013 and 2019 in two centers were investigated. P wave abnormalities that have been resumed to reflect impaired atrial conduction; partial and advanced inter atrial block (IAB), P-wave terminal force in lead V1, P wave dispersion, reduced amplitude of P- wave in lead I, P wave peak time in D2 and V1 were evaluated on pre- procedural 12 derivation surface electrocardiography (ECG). The relationship between these parameters and incidence of NOAF during index hospitalization was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 227 consecutive patients (median age 79 [74-83]; 134 [59%] female) were included in the study. NOAF occurred in 46 (20.3%) patients. P wave duration, P wave dispersion, number of patients with partial and advanced IAB, left atrium diameter, STS score were higher in NOAF patients. Use of general anesthesia and history of prior open heart surgery were also more frequent in NOAF group. In multivariable logistic regression analysis; advanced IAB (OR 6.413 [2.555-16.095] p < 0.01), P wave dispersion (OR 3.544 [1.431-8.780] p = 0.006) and use of general anesthesia (OR 2.736 [1.225-6.109] p = 0.014) were independent predictors of NOAF.

CONCLUSION

Among P wave abnormalities evaluated on pre-procedural 12-derivation surface ECG, advanced IAB and P wave dispersion may predict NOAF after TAVR procedure.

Metformin therapy confers cardioprotection against the remodeling of gap junction in tachycardia-induced atrial fibrillation dog model

OBJECTIVE

Metformin, introduced in 1957, is widely used as an anti-diabetic drug and has considerable benefits in cardiovascular disease reportedly, dependent or independent on its glucose-lowering effects. Aim of this study was to investigate the effect of metformin on gap junction and the inducibility of AF.

METHODS

Beagle dogs were subjected to acute or chronic pacing at right atrial appendage by a pacemaker to develop an AF model and electrophysiological parameters were measured. In vitro study, a cell fast pacing model was developed by CardioExcyte 96. We performed Western blot, histology immunohistochemical staining and electron microscopy to detect the effect of metformin.

RESULTS

In chronic AF model, the inducibility and duration of AF increased obviously after pacing for 6 weeks compared with sham-operated group (Inducibility, 3.33 ± 5.77 vs. 85.33 ± 7.89%, P<0.0001; Duration, 0.8 ± 0.84 vs. 11 ± 2.67 ms, P<0.0001). Effective refractory periods (ERP) decreased at left and right left atrium and atrial appendages compared with sham-operated group (123.95 ± 6.57 vs. 89.96 ± 7.39 ms P<0.0001). Metformin attenuated the pacing-induced increase in EPR (89.96 ± 7.39 vs. 105.83 ± 7.45 ms, P<0.05), AF inducibility and AF duration (Inducibility, 85.33 ± 7.89 vs. 64.17 ± 7.36%, Duration, 11 ± 2.67 vs. 8.62 ± 1.15 ms, P<0.05). The expression of Cx43 shows a significant downregulation(about 38%, P<0.001) after chronic pacing and treating with metformin could alleviate this decrease(P<0.01). However, the effect of metformin in acute pacing model is limited. The immunohistochemical staining of cardiac tissue also shown that there is more lateralized Cx43 under pacing condition (87.67 ± 2.52 vs. 60.8 ± 9.13%, P<0.005). These pacing-induced lateralize Cx43 could be alleviated by the metformin (48.4 ± 8.62 vs. 60.8 ± 9.13%, P<0.05). Additionally, metformin could affect the interactions of ZO-1 with p-Src/Cx43 via decrease the abnormal cAMP level after pacing (84.04 ± 4.58 vs. 69.34 ± 4.5 nmol/L, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin could alleviate the vulnerability of AF and attenuate the downregulation of gap junction under pacing condition via AMPK pathway and decreasing the P-Src level.

P-wave vector magnitude predicts the left atrial low-voltage area in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

P-wave amplitude (PWA) parameters can be the surrogate measures of the left atrial low-voltage areas (LVAs).

METHODS

We measured PWAs using an automated system in 50 patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). We examined the relationships between left atrial LVAs and PWA parameters, including P-wave vector magnitude, calculated as the square root of the sum of lead II PWA squared, lead V6 PWA squared, and a one-half lead V2 PWA squared.

RESULTS

Lead I PWA was most strongly correlated with LVAs in the anterior wall and appendage (anterior wall, R = -0.391, P = 0.006; appendage, R = -0.342, P = 0.016), whereas lead II PWA was most strongly correlated with LVAs in the septum, posterior wall, and bottom wall (septum, R = -0.413, P = 0.003; posterior wall, R = -0.297, P = 0.039; bottom wall; R = -0.288, P = 0.045). Although maximum, minimum, mean, and lead I PWAs were not correlated with total LVA, P-wave vector magnitude and lead II PWA were significantly correlated with total LVA (P-wave vector magnitude, R = -0.430, P = 0.002; lead II PWA, R = -0.323, P = 0.023). P-wave vector magnitude achieved the highest accuracy for predicting significant LVA (total LVA > 10%) with an area under the curve of 0.772; sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 64%, 88%, 85%, and 69%, respectively, for the cutoff value of 0.130 mV.

CONCLUSION

P-wave vector magnitude is a useful electrocardiographic predictor of left atrial LVAs.

Correlation of P-wave properties with the size of left atrial low voltage areas in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Left atrial low voltage areas (LVA) are associated with increased recurrence rates of atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation and can be a potential ablation target during the procedure. Therefore, noninvasive prediction of the presence and the distribution of LVA may help physicians to predict ablation outcomes and to guide antiarrhythmic management.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Seventy-three consecutive patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing first time left atrial ablation for paroxysmal or persistent AF were enrolled. P-wave properties (amplitude and duration) were measured in all limb and precordial leads in pre-interventional sinus rhythm surface ECGs and correlated with total LVA size. LVA were detected via high density low voltage maps of the left atrium in sinus rhythm. LVA were then manually encircled, their total size was calculated and given as a percentage of the total LA surface area.

RESULTS

A significant, inverse correlation with LVA size was shown for P-wave amplitude for leads I, II, aVR, aVF, V1, V4, V5 and V6. Additionally, a significant positive correlation between LVA size and P-wave duration was shown for leads V1, V2 and V3. As the strongest correlation was shown for the amplitude in lead I (R = -0.578), this lead was used to find a potential cutoff for LVA prediction. The best cut-off for a P-wave amplitude in lead I to predict severe scarring (defined as LVA size >35%, according to UTAH stadium IV) was 0.062 mV with an area-under-the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.935, a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 88%.

CONCLUSIONS

P-wave duration and amplitude show significant correlations with LVA size and may be used as a noninvasive tool to predict severe scarring. Amplitudes in lead I smaller than 0.062 mV were found to be predictive of LVA >35%.

New electrocardiographic score for the prediction of atrial fibrillation: The MVP ECG risk score (morphology-voltage-P-wave duration)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and has significant morbidity. A score composed of easily measured electrocardiographic variables to identify patients at risk of AF would be of great value in order to stratify patients for increased monitoring and surveillance. The purpose of this study was to develop an electrocardiographic risk score for new-onset AF.

METHODS

A total of 676 patients without previous AF undergoing coronary angiography were retrospectively studied. Points were allocated based on P-wave morphology in inferior leads, voltage in lead 1, and P-wave duration (MVP). Patients were divided into three risk groups and followed until development of AF or last available clinical appointment.

RESULTS

Mean age was 65 years, and 68% were male. The high- and intermediate-risk groups were more likely to develop AF than the low-risk group (odds ratio [OR] 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-4.4; p = 0.006 and OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.4-3.27; p = 0.009, respectively). The high-risk group had a significantly shorter mean time to development of AF (258 weeks; 95% CI 205-310 weeks) compared to the intermediate- (278 weeks; 95% CI 252-303 weeks) and low-risk groups (322 weeks 95% CI 307-338 weeks), p = 0.005.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple risk score composed of easy-to-measure electrocardiographic variables can help to predict new-onset AF. Further validation studies will be needed to assess the ability of this risk score to predict AF in other populations.

P-wave vector magnitude predicts recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The predictive efficacies of parameters related to P-wave amplitude (PWA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after catheter ablation are unclear.

METHODS

We measured multiple PWA parameters using an automated system in 126 consecutive patients with persistent and long-standing persistent AF who underwent catheter ablation. The relationships between AF recurrence and various PWA parameters were examined, including the association with P-wave vector magnitude (calculated as the square root of the sum of lead II PWA squared, lead V6 PWA squared, and a one-half lead V2 PWA squared).

RESULTS

Atrial fibrillation did not recur in 87 patients (69%) during 32 ± 15 months of follow-up. The maximum PWA, mean PWA, and P-wave vector magnitude were lower in patients with AF recurrence than those without (maximum PWA, 0.14 ± 0.05 mV vs. 0.16 ± 0.05 mV, p = 0.017; mean PWA, 0.05 ± 0.02 mV vs. 0.06 ± 0.02 mV, p = 0.003; P-wave vector magnitude, 0.09 ± 0.03 mV vs. 0.13 ± 0.04 mV, p < 0.001). A multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the predictive ability of P-wave vector magnitude for AF recurrence was independent of other clinical properties (hazard ratio: 0.153, 95% confidence interval: 0.046-0.507, p = 0.002). Atrial fibrillation freedom rates of patients with P-wave vector magnitude higher and lower than 0.13 mV were 93% and 57%, respectively. P-wave vector magnitude weakly correlated with left atrial dimension (R = -0.280, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

P-wave vector magnitude can predict AF recurrence after catheter ablation in patients with persistent AF.