Genetically predicted sex hormone levels and health outcomes: phenome-wide Mendelian randomization investigation

Association between sex hormones and gout: An analysis of the UK Biobank cohort

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the associations between sex hormones and gout.

METHODS

A total of 448,836 individuals free of gout at baseline were included from the UK Biobank. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for gout. Besides, we investigated the causal relationship between bioavailable testosterone (BAT) and gout using mendelian randomization (MR).

RESULTS

There were differential effects in different testosterone active states in gout. One-unit higher log-transformed total testosterone (TT) was associated with a 52 % [95 % CI, 0.39-0.58] lower risk of gout in males. In contrast, free testosterone (FT) and BAT were associated with a 74 % [95 % CI, 1.38-2.20] and a 78 % [95 % CI, 1.41-2.25] higher risk of gout in males respectively. For MR, the weighted median [OR, 1.70; 95 % CI, 1.14-2.56;] and inverse variance-weighted [OR, 1.25; 95 % CI, 0.96-1.62; P = 0.09] method revealed significant and approximately significant positive effect of genetic liability to BAT levels on the risk of gout respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Sex hormones were potentially associated with gout. Notably, we were the first to explore different testosterone states on gout and found that FT and BAT may increase the risk of gout in males, which is opposite to TT. And the former are active states of androgens, may be more accurately reflect the association between androgens and gout.

Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography derived body mass index as a predictor of future cardiometabolic disease

The electrocardiogram (ECG) can capture obesity-related cardiac changes. Artificial intelligence-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) can identify subclinical disease. We trained an AI-ECG model to predict body mass index (BMI) from the ECG alone. Developed from 512,950 12-lead ECGs from the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC), a secondary care cohort, and validated on UK Biobank (UKB) (n = 42,386), the model achieved a Pearson correlation coefficient (r) of 0.65 and 0.62, and an R2 of 0.43 and 0.39 in the BIDMC cohort and UK Biobank, respectively for AI-ECG BMI vs. measured BMI. We found delta-BMI, the difference between measured BMI and AI-ECG-predicted BMI (AI-ECG-BMI), to be a biomarker of cardiometabolic health. The top tertile of delta-BMI showed increased risk of future cardiometabolic disease (BIDMC: HR 1.15, p < 0.001; UKB: HR 1.58, p < 0.001) and diabetes mellitus (BIDMC: HR 1.25, p < 0.001; UKB: HR 2.28, p < 0.001) after adjusting for covariates including measured BMI. Significant enhancements in model fit, reclassification and improvements in discriminatory power were observed with the inclusion of delta-BMI in both cohorts. Phenotypic profiling highlighted associations between delta-BMI and cardiometabolic diseases, anthropometric measures of truncal obesity, and pericardial fat mass. Metabolic and proteomic profiling associates delta-BMI positively with valine, lipids in small HDL, syntaxin-3, and carnosine dipeptidase 1, and inversely with glutamine, glycine, colipase, and adiponectin. A genome-wide association study revealed associations with regulators of cardiovascular/metabolic traits, including SCN10A, SCN5A, EXOG and RXRG. In summary, our AI-ECG-BMI model accurately predicts BMI and introduces delta-BMI as a non-invasive biomarker for cardiometabolic risk stratification.

Examining the causal relationship between sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and infertility: A Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

The causal relationship between sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and infertility has remained unclear. Thus, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate this relationship.

METHODS

Risk factors for SHBG were extracted from European individuals within the UK Biobank using single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data. Summary-level data for infertility outcomes were obtained from the FinnGen dataset. The causal relationship between SHBG and infertility was examined using inverse variance weighted, weighted model, weighted median, and MR-Egger regression analyses. Additionally, Cochran's Q test and Egger intercept tests were used to confirm the heterogeneity and pleiotropy of identified instrumental variables (IVs).

RESULTS

Our findings revealed a significant negative association between sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) levels and infertility, particularly with anovulation, a specific form of female infertility. However, SHBG did not exert a causal impact on male infertility or on female infertility of tubal origin.

CONCLUSIONS

SHBG expression offers protection against the development of certain types of female infertility, suggesting it is a potential therapeutic target for infertility.

Association between life's essential 8 and testosterone deficiency in men: NHANES 2011-2016

Background

Serum testosterone is intrinsically associated to cardiovascular disease. Our aim is to explore the relationship between the recently updated cardiovascular health measurement, known as Life's Essential 8 (LE8), and the prevalence of testosterone deficiency (TD) in adult males in the United States.

Methods

Study data was obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2011 to 2016. A weighted multivariate logistic regression model was applied to evaluate the correlation between LE8 and testosterone deficiency. Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS) was employed to explore its non-linear relationship. In addition, a stratified analysis was conducted.

Results

The final analysis included 2332 participants from NHANES from 2011 to 2016. After adjusting for confounding factors, the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for testosterone deficiency in participants with moderate and higher LE8 scores compared to the lowest LE8 scores were 0.59 (0.38-0.92) and 0.38 (0.19-0.76), respectively. The results of subgroup analysis showed that LE8 score was significantly associated with TD among young and middle-aged participants.

Conclusion

A lower LE8 score is related to a higher incidence of testosterone deficiency, especially in young and middle-aged men. Further research is necessary to explore the potential mechanisms between them.

Genetically predicted high serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels are associated with lower ischemic stroke risk: A sex-stratified Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVE

Cross-sectional and cohort studies have found insufficient evidence of a causal relationship between sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke, only associations. Here, we performed a sex-stratified, bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to evaluate whether a causal relationship exists between sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke were screened from genome-wide association studies summary data as instrumental variables to enable a bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization study design. Inverse-variance weighted analysis was used as the main method to evaluate potential causality, and additional methods, including the weighted median and MR-Egger tests, were used to validate the Mendelian randomization results. Cochran's Q statistic, MR-Egger intercept test, and Mendelian Randomization-Pleiotropy Residual Sum and Outlier global test were used as sensitivity analysis techniques to assure the reliability of the results. Multivariable analysis was used to show the robustness of the results with key theorized confounders.

RESULTS

Inverse-variance weighted analysis showed that genetically predicted higher serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels were associated with significantly decreased risk of ischemic stroke in males (odds radio = 0.934, 95 % confidence interval = 0.885-0.985, P = 0.012) and females (odds radio = 0.924, 95 % confidence interval = 0.868-0.983, P = 0.013). In an analysis of ischemic stroke subtypes, genetically predicted higher serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels were also associated with significantly decreased risk of small-vessel occlusion in both males (odds radio = 0.849, 95 % confidence interval = 0.759-0.949, P = 0.004) and females (odds radio = 0.829, 95 % confidence interval = 0.724-0.949, P = 0.006). The association remained in sensitivity analyses and multivariable analyses. The reverse analysis suggested an association between genetically predicted risk of cardioembolism and increased serum sex hormone-binding globulin in females (Beta = 0.029 nmol/L, Standard Error = 0.010, P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Our findings provide new insight into the etiology of ischemic stroke and suggest that modulating serum sex hormone-binding globulin may be a therapeutic strategy to protect against ischemic stroke.

Association of sex hormones with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: An observational and Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sex-specific associations of sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and bioavailable testosterone (BAT) with NAFLD remain indeterminate. We aimed to explore observational and genetically determined relationships between each hormone and NAFLD.

METHODS

We included 187 395 men and 170 193 women from the UK Biobank. Linear and nonlinear Cox regression models and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis were used to test the associations.

RESULTS

During 12.49 years of follow-up, 2209 male and 1886 female NAFLD cases were documented. Elevated SHBG levels were linearly associated with a lower risk of NAFLD in women (HR (95% CI), .71 (.63, .79)), but not in men (a "U" shape, pnon-linear < .001). Higher BAT levels were associated with a lower NAFLD risk in men (HR (95% CI), .81 (.71, .93)) but a higher risk in women (HR (95% CI): 1.25 (1.15, 1.36)). Genetically determined SHBG and BAT levels were linearly associated with NAFLD risk in women (OR (95% CI): .57 (.38, .87) and 2.21 (1.41, 3.26) respectively); in men, an "L-shaped" MR association between SHBG levels and NAFLD risk was found (pnon-linear = .016). The bidirectional MR analysis further revealed the effect of NAFLD on SHBG and BAT levels in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

Consistently, linear associations of lower SHBG and higher BAT levels with increased NAFLD risk were both conventionally and genetically found in women, while in men, SHBG acts in a nonlinear manner. In addition, NAFLD may affect SHBG and BAT levels.

Creating machine learning models that interpretably link systemic inflammatory index, sex steroid hormones, and dietary antioxidants to identify gout using the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method

Background

The relationship between systemic inflammatory index (SII), sex steroid hormones, dietary antioxidants (DA), and gout has not been determined. We aim to develop a reliable and interpretable machine learning (ML) model that links SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA to gout identification.

Methods

The dataset we used to study the relationship between SII, sex steroid hormones, DA, and gout was from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Six ML models were developed to identify gout by SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA. The seven performance discriminative features of each model were summarized, and the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model with the best overall performance was selected to identify gout. We used the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method to explain the XGBoost model and its decision-making process.

Results

An initial survey of 20,146 participants resulted in 8,550 being included in the study. Selecting the best performing XGBoost model associated with SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA to identify gout (male: AUC: 0.795, 95% CI: 0.746- 0.843, accuracy: 98.7%; female: AUC: 0.822, 95% CI: 0.754- 0.883, accuracy: 99.2%). In the male group, The SHAP values showed that the lower feature values of lutein + zeaxanthin (LZ), vitamin C (VitC), lycopene, zinc, total testosterone (TT), vitamin E (VitE), and vitamin A (VitA), the greater the positive effect on the model output. In the female group, SHAP values showed that lower feature values of E2, zinc, lycopene, LZ, TT, and selenium had a greater positive effect on model output.

Conclusion

The interpretable XGBoost model demonstrated accuracy, efficiency, and robustness in identifying associations between SII, sex steroid hormones, DA, and gout in participants. Decreased TT in males and decreased E2 in females may be associated with gout, and increased DA intake and decreased SII may reduce the potential risk of gout.

Coffee intake reduced gout risk by decreasing urate and urea while increasing SHBG levels in plasma: a mediation Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to investigate the causal relationships between specific dietary habits and the risk of gout, while identifying the mediators involved in these associations.

METHODS

We initially assessed the causal effects of five dietary habits on gout by two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). Subsequently, we identified mediators from five plasma metabolites by two-step MR, including urate, urea, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), interleukin-18 (IL-18), and C-reactive protein (CRP). Next, we quantified the proportion of mediation effects by multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR). Last, we performed reverse MR analyses. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to enhance the robustness of our findings.

RESULTS

Only coffee intake demonstrated a significant negative casual effect on gout (inverse variance weighted: OR = 0.444, p = 0.049). In two-step MR, coffee intake decreased urate and urea while increased SHBG levels, but did not affect IL-18 and CRP levels. Besides, urate and urea showed positive causal effects while SHBG exhibited a negative impact on gout. In mediation analysis, urate, urea, and SHBG respectively mediated 53.60%, 16.43%, and 4.81% of the total causal effect of coffee intake on gout. The three mediators collectively mediated 27.45% of the total effect. Reverse MR analyses suggested no significant reverse causal effects. Sensitivity analyses supported the reliability of our causal inferences.

CONCLUSION

Coffee intake reduced gout risk by decreasing urate and urea while increasing SHBG levels in plasma. These findings accentuate the benefits of coffee intake for gout management. The mediators may provide a novel insight into potential therapeutic targets for gout prevention. Key Points • This study determines the causally protective effect of coffee intake on gout. • We reveal that coffee intake reduced the risk of gout by decreasing urate and urea while increasing SHBG levels in plasma. • Identifying specific mediators in the causal pathway from coffee intake to gout provides valuable information for clinical interventions of gout.

Phenome-wide Mendelian randomization analysis reveals multiple health comorbidities of coeliac disease

BACKGROUND

Coeliac disease (CeD) has been associated with a broad range of diseases in observational data; however, whether these associations are causal remains undetermined. We conducted a phenome-wide Mendelian randomization analysis (MR-PheWAS) to investigate the comorbidities of CeD.

METHODS

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with CeD at the genome-wide significance threshold and without linkage disequilibrium (R2 <0.001) were selected from a genome-wide association study including 12,041 CeD cases as the instrumental variables. We first constructed a polygenic risk score for CeD and estimated its associations with 1060 unique clinical outcomes in the UK Biobank study (N = 385,917). We then used two-sample MR analysis to replicate the identified associations using data from the FinnGen study (N = 377,277). We performed a secondary analysis using a genetic instrument without extended MHC gene SNPs.

FINDINGS

Genetic liability to CeD was associated with 68 clinical outcomes in the UK Biobank, and 38 of the associations were replicated in the FinnGen study. Genetic liability to CeD was associated with a higher risk of several autoimmune diseases (type 1 diabetes and its complications, Graves' disease, Sjögren syndrome, chronic hepatitis, systemic and cutaneous lupus erythematosus, and sarcoidosis), non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, and osteoporosis and a lower risk of prostate diseases. The associations for type 1 diabetes and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma attenuated when excluding SNPs in the MHC region, indicating shared genetic aetiology.

INTERPRETATION

This study uncovers multiple clinical outcomes associated with genetic liability to CeD, which suggests the necessity of comorbidity monitoring among this population.

FUNDING

This project was funded by Karolinska Institutet and the Swedish Research Council.

Effects of menstrual disorders and dysmenorrhea on cardiovascular disease: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Observational studies have demonstrated associations between menstrual disorders, dysmenorrhea, and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it remains unclear whether these associations are causal. This study is to investigate whether menstrual disorders and dysmenorrhea causally affect the risk of CVD.

Methods

The summary data for menstrual disorders (excessive menstruation and irregular menses) and dysmenorrhea were obtained from FinnGen study, summary data for CVD were obtained from UK Biobank and meta-analysis. The inverse-variance-weighted method was mainly used in the Mendelian randomization for causality analysis. Sensitivity analyses were performed by several methods under different model assumptions.

Results

Genetic liability to excessive menstruation was associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation (odds ratio (OR), 1.078 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.015-1.145]; P=0.014), but a lower risk of hypertension (OR, 0.994 [95% CI: 0.989-0.999]; P=0.016). Irregular menses was associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation (OR, 1.095 [95% CI: 1.015-1.182]; P=0.02), hypertension (OR, 1.007 [95% CI: 1.000-1.013]; P=0.047), myocardial infarction (OR, 1.172 [95% CI: 1.060-1.295]; P=0.02), ischemic heart disease, (OR, 1.005 [95% CI: 1.000-1.010]; P=0.037) and coronary heart disease (OR, 1.004 [95% CI: 1.001-1.008]; P=0.026). Dysmenorrhea was associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation (OR, 1.052 [95% CI: 1.014-1.092]; P=0.008) and Ischemic stroke (cardioembolic) (OR, 1.122 [95% CI: 1.002-1.257]; P=0.046). After Benjamini-Hochberg correction, irregular menses was associated with higher risk of myocardial infarction.

Conclusion

We confirmed a causal relationship of excessive menstruation, irregular menses and dysmenorrhea on cardiovascular outcomes independent of sex hormone levels, with an emphasis on the link between irregular menses and myocardial infarction. These clinical features can be utilized as markers to identify women at higher risk of developing CVD in the future, recommending early clinical intervention of menstrual diseases.

X-chromosome and kidney function: evidence from a multi-trait genetic analysis of 908,697 individuals reveals sex-specific and sex-differential findings in genes regulated by androgen response elements

X-chromosomal genetic variants are understudied but can yield valuable insights into sexually dimorphic human traits and diseases. We performed a sex-stratified cross-ancestry X-chromosome-wide association meta-analysis of seven kidney-related traits (n = 908,697), identifying 23 loci genome-wide significantly associated with two of the traits: 7 for uric acid and 16 for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), including four novel eGFR loci containing the functionally plausible prioritized genes ACSL4, CLDN2, TSPAN6 and the female-specific DRP2. Further, we identified five novel sex-interactions, comprising male-specific effects at FAM9B and AR/EDA2R, and three sex-differential findings with larger genetic effect sizes in males at DCAF12L1 and MST4 and larger effect sizes in females at HPRT1. All prioritized genes in loci showing significant sex-interactions were located next to androgen response elements (ARE). Five ARE genes showed sex-differential expressions. This study contributes new insights into sex-dimorphisms of kidney traits along with new prioritized gene targets for further molecular research.

Associations of Serum Testosterone and Sex Hormone-binding Globulin With Incident Arrhythmias in Men From UK Biobank

CONTEXT

Sex hormones have been identified as cardiovascular risk factors, whereas the relationship between sex hormones and the risk of arrhythmias in men has not yet been well studied in the prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze associations of serum testosterone and SHBG concentrations and calculate free testosterone (cFT) with arrhythmias in men.

METHODS

Sex hormones were measured at baseline from UK Biobank. Main outcomes were incidence of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), ventricular arrhythmia (VA), and bradyarrhythmia (BA).

RESULTS

Of 173 498 men (aged 37-73 years, followed for 11 years), 11 368 had incident AF, 1646 had incident VA, and 4788 had incident BA. Compared with the third quartiles, the lowest category of serum testosterone was associated with increased risks of AF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.00-1.12) and BA (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.20) after multivariable adjustment, but no VA. Likewise, similar associations were found between cFT values and AF and BA events. Furthermore, higher levels of cFT were associated with increased risks of AF (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13) and VA (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.01-1.37). Higher SHBG concentrations were associated with increased risks of AF (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.34-1.54), VA (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.07-1.52), and BA (HR, 1.17; 95% CI ,1.05-1.29).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower levels of testosterone and cFT were associated with increased risk of AF and BA. Higher cFT levels were associated with increased risk of AF and VA. Higher SHBG levels were associated with increased risk of AF, VA, and BA.

Inter-organ crosstalk during development and progression of type 2 diabetes mellitus

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is characterized by tissue-specific insulin resistance and pancreatic β-cell dysfunction, which result from the interplay of local abnormalities within different tissues and systemic dysregulation of tissue crosstalk. The main local mechanisms comprise metabolic (lipid) signalling, altered mitochondrial metabolism with oxidative stress, endoplasmic reticulum stress and local inflammation. While the role of endocrine dysregulation in T2DM pathogenesis is well established, other forms of inter-organ crosstalk deserve closer investigation to better understand the multifactorial transition from normoglycaemia to hyperglycaemia. This narrative Review addresses the impact of certain tissue-specific messenger systems, such as metabolites, peptides and proteins and microRNAs, their secretion patterns and possible alternative transport mechanisms, such as extracellular vesicles (exosomes). The focus is on the effects of these messengers on distant organs during the development of T2DM and progression to its complications. Starting from the adipose tissue as a major organ relevant to T2DM pathophysiology, the discussion is expanded to other key tissues, such as skeletal muscle, liver, the endocrine pancreas and the intestine. Subsequently, this Review also sheds light on the potential of multimarker panels derived from these biomarkers and related multi-omics for the prediction of risk and progression of T2DM, novel diabetes mellitus subtypes and/or endotypes and T2DM-related complications.

Sex hormone-binding globulin exerts sex-related causal effects on lower extremity varicose veins: evidence from gender-stratified Mendelian randomization

Background

The association between serum sex hormones and lower extremity varicose veins has been reported in observational studies. However, it is unclear whether the association reflects a causal relationship. Besides, serum sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) has been rarely studied in lower extremity varicose veins. Here, we aim to investigate the association between serum levels of SHBG, testosterone, and estradiol and the risk of lower extremity varicose veins using Mendelian randomization (MR).

Methods

We obtained genome-wide association study summary statistics for serum SHBG levels with 369,002 European participants, serum testosterone levels with 424,907 European participants, serum estradiol levels with 361,194 European participants, and lower extremity varicose veins with 207,055 European participants. First, a univariable MR was performed to identify the causality from SHBG and sex hormone levels to lower extremity varicose veins with several sensitivity analyses being performed. Then, a multivariable MR (MVMR) was performed to further assess whether the causal effects were independent. Finally, we performed a gender-stratified MR to understand the role of genders on lower extremity varicose veins.

Results

Genetically predicted higher serum SHBG levels significantly increased the risk of lower extremity varicose veins in the univariable MR analysis (OR=1.39; 95% CI: 1.13-1.70; P=1.58×10-3). Sensitivity analyses and MVMR (OR=1.50; 95% CI:1.13-1.99; P=5.61×10-3) verified the robustness of the causal relationships. Gender-stratified MR revealed that higher serum SHBG levels were associated with lower extremity varicose veins in both sexes. However, the OR of serum SHBG levels on lower extremity varicose veins risk in females (OR=1.51; 95% CI: 1.23-1.87; P=1.00×10-4) was greater than in males (OR=1.26; 95% CI: 1.04-1.54; P=1.86×10-2).

Conclusions

Serum SHBG levels are positively related to lower extremity varicose veins risk in both sexes, especially in females. This may partly explain the higher prevalence of varicose vines among females.

Assessing the Casual Association between Sex Hormone Levels and Fracture Risk: A Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

OBJECTIVE

Prior observational studies have reported that levels of sex hormones constitute a risk factor for the fracture. The aim of this study was to ascertain whether there is a causal relationship between the levels of sex hormones and the risk of fracture through Mendelian randomization (MR).

METHODS

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with two indicators of sex hormone levels, circulating sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and bioavailable testosterone levels, as exposures were selected from a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) from UK Biobank. The summary statistics for 11 different types of fracture as outcomes from the FinnGen consortium. This study employed the two-sample MR approach. For the main analysis, the inverse-variance-weighted (IVW) method was utilized. To assess the heterogeneity of MR results, the IVW method and MR-Egger method were utilized. To evaluate potential pleiotropy, MR-Egger regression was conducted. Additionally, a leave-one-SNP-out test was performed to assess the robustness of MR results to the exclusion of any individual SNP.

RESULTS

The MR analyses demonstrated a conspicuous impact of SHBG on the risk of pathological fracture with osteoporosis (OP). We found that an increase of one standard deviation (SD) in SHBG correspondingly increased the risk of pathological fracture with OP [odds ratio (OR) 2.42, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.52-3.85; p = 1.93 × 10-4 ]. The bioavailable testosterone showed the negative casual genetic associations with fractures of foot and forearm. An increase of one SD in the genetically predetermined bioavailable testosterone was associated with a reduction of 37% in the risk of fracture of foot (OR 0.63, 95% Cl 0.49 to 0.81; p = 3.37 × 10-4 ), as well as a 39% decrease in the risk of fracture of forearm (OR 0.61, 95% Cl 0.50 to 0.76; p = 5.40 × 10-6 ).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study confirms that individuals experiencing elevated SHBG concentrations showed a major causal effect on pathological fracture with OP. High bioavailable testosterone levels play an important role in preventing the fractures of foot and forearm. Although increasing bioavailable testosterone and decreasing SHBG levels had no casual effect on most fractures in the general population, they are likely to have the most clinically relevant effect on certain fracture risk reduction.

Association of sex hormones and sex hormone-binding globulin with liver fat in men and women: an observational and Mendelian randomization study

Background

Sex hormones and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) may play a role in fatty liver development. We sought to examine the association of various endogenous sex hormones, including testosterone (T), and SHBG with liver fat using complementary observational and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses.

Methods

The observational analysis included a total of 2,239 participants (mean age 60 years; 35% postmenopausal women) from the population-based KORA study (average follow-up time: 6.5 years). We conducted linear regression analysis to investigate the sex-specific associations of sex hormones and SHBG with liver fat, estimated by fatty liver index (FLI). For MR analyses, we selected genetic variants associated with sex hormones and SHBG and extracted their associations with magnetic resonance imaging measured liver fat from the largest up to date European genome-wide associations studies.

Results

In the observational analysis, T, dihydrotestosterone (DHT), progesterone and 17α-hydroxyprogesterone (17-OHP) were inversely associated with FLI in men, with beta estimates ranging from -4.23 to -2.30 [p-value <0.001 to 0.003]. Whereas in women, a positive association of free T with FLI (β = 4.17, 95%CI: 1.35, 6.98) was observed. SHBG was inversely associated with FLI across sexes [men: -3.45 (-5.13, -1.78); women: -9.23 (-12.19, -6.28)]. No causal association was found between genetically determined sex hormones and liver fat, but higher genetically determined SHBG was associated with lower liver fat in women (β = -0.36, 95% CI: -0.61, -0.12).

Conclusion

Our results provide suggestive evidence for a causal association between SHBG and liver fat in women, implicating the protective role of SHBG against liver fat accumulation.

Plasma proteins and onset of type 2 diabetes and diabetic complications: Proteome-wide Mendelian randomization and colocalization analyses

We conduct proteome-wide Mendelian randomization and colocalization analyses to decipher the associations of blood proteins with the risk of type 2 diabetes and diabetic complications. Genetic data on plasma proteome are obtained from 54,306 UK Biobank participants and 35,559 Icelanders. Summary-level data on type 2 diabetes are obtained from the DIAGRAM (DIAbetes Genetics Replication And Meta-analysis consortium) consortium (74,124 cases) and FinnGen study (33,043 cases). Data on 10 diabetic complications are obtained from FinnGen and corresponding studies. Among 1,886 proteins, genetically predicted levels of 47 plasma proteins are associated with type 2 diabetes. Eleven of these proteins have strong support of colocalization. Seventeen proteins are associated with at least one diabetic complication, although a few have colocalization support. HLA-DRA, AGER, HSPA1A, and HSPA1B are associated with most microvascular complications. This study reveals causal proteins for the onset of type 2 diabetes and diabetic complications, which enhances the understanding of molecular etiology and development of therapeutics.

Deciphering the genetic architecture of atrial fibrillation offers insights into disease prediction, pathophysiology and downstream sequelae

Aims

The study aimed to discover novel genetic loci for atrial fibrillation (AF), explore the shared genetic etiologies between AF and other cardiovascular and cardiometabolic traits, and uncover AF pathogenesis using Mendelian randomization analysis.

Methods and results

We conducted a genome-wide association study meta-analysis including 109,787 AF cases and 1,165,920 controls of European ancestry and identified 215 loci, among which 91 were novel. We performed Genomic Structural Equation Modeling analysis between AF and four cardiovascular comorbidities (coronary artery disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and vneous thromboembolism) and found 189 loci shared across these diseases as well as a universal genetic locus shared by atherosclerotic outcomes (i.e., rs1537373 near CDKN2B). Three genetic loci (rs10740129 near JMJD1C, rs2370982 near NRXN3, and rs9931494 near FTO) were associated with AF and cardiometabolic traits. A polygenic risk score derived from this genome-wide meta-analysis was associated with AF risk (odds ratio 2.36, 95% confidence interval 2.31-2.41 per standard deviation increase) in the UK biobank. This score, combined with age, sex, and basic clinical features, predicted AF risk (AUC 0.784, 95% CI 0.781-0.787) in Europeans. Phenome-wide association analysis of the polygenic risk score identified many AF-related comorbidities of the circulatory, endocrine, and respiratory systems. Phenome-wide and multi-omic Mendelian randomization analyses identified associations of blood lipids and pressure, diabetes, insomnia, obesity, short sleep, and smoking, 27 blood proteins, one gut microbe (genus.Catenibacterium), and 11 blood metabolites with risk to AF.

Conclusions

This genome-wide association study and trans-omic Mendelian randomization analysis provides insights into disease risk prediction, pathophysiology and downstream sequelae.

Causal factors underlying diabetes risk informed by Mendelian randomisation analysis: evidence, opportunities and challenges

Diabetes and its complications cause a heavy disease burden globally. Identifying exposures, risk factors and molecular processes causally associated with the development of diabetes can provide important evidence bases for disease prevention and spur novel therapeutic strategies. Mendelian randomisation (MR), an epidemiological approach that uses genetic instruments to infer causal associations between an exposure and an outcome, can be leveraged to complement evidence from observational and clinical studies. This narrative review aims to summarise the evidence on potential causal risk factors for diabetes by integrating published MR studies on type 1 and 2 diabetes, and to reflect on future perspectives of MR studies on diabetes. Despite the genetic influence on type 1 diabetes, few MR studies have been conducted to identify causal exposures or molecular processes leading to increased disease risk. In type 2 diabetes, MR analyses support causal associations of somatic, mental and lifestyle factors with development of the disease. These studies have also identified biomarkers, some of them derived from the gut microbiota, and molecular processes leading to increased disease risk. These studies provide valuable data to better understand disease pathophysiology and explore potential therapeutic targets. Because genetic association studies have mostly been restricted to participants of European descent, multi-ancestry cohorts are needed to examine the role of different types of physical activity, dietary components, metabolites, protein biomarkers and gut microbiome in diabetes development.

Proteomic Predictors of Incident Diabetes: Results From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

OBJECTIVE

The plasma proteome preceding diabetes can improve our understanding of diabetes pathogenesis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In 8,923 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants (aged 47-70 years, 57% women, 19% Black), we conducted discovery and internal validation for associations of 4,955 plasma proteins with incident diabetes. We externally validated results in the Singapore Multi-Ethnic Cohort (MEC) nested case-control (624 case subjects, 1,214 control subjects). We used Cox regression to discover and validate protein associations and risk-prediction models (elastic net regression with cardiometabolic risk factors and proteins) for incident diabetes. We conducted a pathway analysis and examined causality using genetic instruments.

RESULTS

There were 2,147 new diabetes cases over a median of 19 years. In the discovery sample (n = 6,010), 140 proteins were associated with incident diabetes after adjustment for 11 risk factors (P < 10-5). Internal validation (n = 2,913) showed 64 of the 140 proteins remained significant (P < 0.05/140). Of the 63 available proteins, 47 (75%) were validated in MEC. Novel associations with diabetes were found for 22 the 47 proteins. Prediction models (27 proteins selected by elastic net) developed in discovery had a C statistic of 0.731 in internal validation, with ΔC statistic of 0.011 (P = 0.04) beyond 13 risk factors, including fasting glucose and HbA1c. Inflammation and lipid metabolism pathways were overrepresented among the diabetes-associated proteins. Genetic instrument analyses suggested plasma SHBG, ATP1B2, and GSTA1 play causal roles in diabetes risk.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 47 plasma proteins predictive of incident diabetes, established causal effects for 3 proteins, and identified diabetes-associated inflammation and lipid pathways with potential implications for diagnosis and therapy.

Association between aldehyde exposure and sex steroid hormones among adults

Exogenous and endogenous exposure to aldehydes is seen worldwide. Aldehydes are closely associated with human diseases, especially reproductive toxicity. However, the effect of aldehyde exposure on sex steroid hormones among adults remains uninvestigated. A total of 851 participants aged over 18 years were included in this cross-sectional analysis based on data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2013-2014. Serum aldehyde concentrations were quantified following an automated analytical method. Sex steroid hormones including total testosterone, estradiol, and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) were detected. Multivariate linear regression models, forest plots, generalized additive model (GAM), and smooth curve fitting analysis were used to assess the associations between quartiles of aldehydes and sex steroid hormones levels after adjusting for potential confounders. Butyraldehyde and propanaldehyde were found to be negatively associated with estradiol and SHBG in females and males, respectively. β values with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were - 20.59 (- 38.30 to - 2.88) for Q2 vs. Q1 of butyraldehyde and - 8.13 (- 14.92 to - 1.33) and - 7.79 (- 14.91 to - 0.67) for Q2 vs. Q1 and Q4 vs. Q1 of propanaldehyde. No significant associations were observed between other aldehydes and sex hormones. In premenopausal women, isopentanaldehyde was inversely associated with serum total testosterone levels (Q4 vs. Q1: OR =  - 7.95, 95% CI: - 15.62 to - 0.27), whereas propanaldehyde was positively associated with serum estradiol concentration (Q3 vs. Q1: β = 28.88, 95% CI: 0.83 to 56.94). Compared with Q1, Q3 of isopentanaldehyde was associated with 3.53 pg/mL higher concentration of estradiol in postmenopausal women (β = 3.53, 95% CI: 0.08 to 6.97). Moreover, in males under 40 years, butyraldehyde and heptanaldehyde were inversely proportional to total testosterone levels and heptanaldehyde and butyraldehyde were negatively associated with estradiol and SHBG. Decreased total testosterone, elevated estradiol, and decreased SHBG levels were found in higher quartiles of benzaldehyde, hexanaldehyde and isopentanaldehyde, and propanaldehyde, respectively, in males aged over 60 years. In male participants aged 40-60 years, only hexanaldehyde was observed to be correlated with higher serum estradiol levels. In conclusion, our current research presented the association between six serum aldehydes and sex hormones. Of note, stratification analyses were conducted in participants with different menopausal statuses and age among males and females. Sex- and age-specific effect of aldehyde exposure on alterations in sex hormone levels were observed. Further studies are warranted to confirm the causal relationship and explore the underlying mechanisms.

Mendelian randomization and clinical trial evidence supports TYK2 inhibition as a therapeutic target for autoimmune diseases

BACKGROUND

To explore the associations of genetically proxied TYK2 inhibition with a wide range of disease outcomes and biomarkers to identify therapeutic repurposing opportunities, adverse effects, and biomarkers of efficacy.

METHODS

The loss-of-function missense variant rs34536443 in TYK2 gene was used as a genetic instrument to proxy the effect of TYK2 inhibition. A phenome-wide Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to explore the associations of genetically-proxied TYK2 inhibition with 1473 disease outcomes in UK Biobank (N = 339,197). Identified associations were examined for replication in FinnGen (N = 260,405). We further performed tissue-specific gene expression MR, colocalization analyses, and MR with 247 blood biomarkers. A systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on TYK2 inhibitor was performed to complement the genetic evidence.

FINDINGS

PheWAS-MR found that genetically-proxied TYK2 inhibition was associated with lower risk of a wide range of autoimmune diseases. The associations with hypothyroidism and psoriasis were confirmed in MR analysis of tissue-specific TYK2 gene expression and the associations with systemic lupus erythematosus, psoriasis, and rheumatoid arthritis were observed in colocalization analysis. There were nominal associations of genetically-proxied TYK2 inhibition with increased risk of prostate and breast cancer but not in tissue-specific expression MR or colocalization analyses. Thirty-seven blood biomarkers were associated with the TYK2 loss-of-function mutation. Evidence from RCTs confirmed the effectiveness of TYK2 inhibitors on plaque psoriasis and reported several adverse effects.

INTERPRETATION

This study supports TYK2 inhibitor as a potential treatment for psoriasis and several other autoimmune diseases. Increased pharmacovigilance is warranted in relation to the potential adverse effects.

FUNDING

None.

Circulating lipoprotein(a) levels and health outcomes: Phenome-wide Mendelian randomization and disease-trajectory analyses

BACKGROUND

Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a risk factor for atherosclerotic and valvular diseases, but its possible role in other diseases has not yet been established. We conducted phenome-wide Mendelian randomization and disease-trajectory analyses to assess any associations of circulating Lp(a) levels with a broad range of diseases.

METHODS

A weighted polygenic risk score was constructed using independent genetic variants in the LPA gene and with an established effect on Lp(a) levels. The PheWAS analysis included 1081 phenotype outcomes ascertained among 385,917 White participants of the UK Biobank. Novel findings were investigated in MR analysis using data from the FinnGen consortium. Disease-trajectory and comorbidity analyses were further conducted to explore the sequential patterns of multiple morbidities related to high circulating Lp(a) levels.

RESULTS

PheWAS revealed statistically significant associations of higher circulating Lp(a) levels with increased risk of a large number of circulatory system diseases (including various cardiac diseases, peripheral vascular disease, hypertension, and valvular and cerebrovascular diseases) as well as some endocrine/metabolic diseases (including hyperlipidemia, hypercholesterolemia, disorders of lipoid metabolism, and type 2 diabetes), genitourinary system diseases (renal failure), and hematologic diseases (including different types of anemia). Two-sample MR analysis supported the association between Lp(a) and risk of anemia, showed a suggestive association with type 2 diabetes, but found no association with renal failure. Disease-trajectory and comorbidity analyses identified 3 major sequential patterns of multiple morbidities, mainly in the cardiovascular, metabolic, and mental disorders, related to high circulating Lp(a) levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetically predicted higher circulating Lp(a) levels were associated with increased risk of many circulatory system diseases and anemia. Additionally, this study identified three major sequential patterns of multiple morbidities related to high Lp(a).

Health effects of milk consumption: phenome-wide Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

We performed phenome-wide Mendelian randomization analysis (MR-PheWAS), two-sample MR analysis, and systemic review to comprehensively explore the health effects of milk consumption in the European population.

METHODS

Rs4988235 located upstream of the LCT gene was used as the instrumental variable for milk consumption. MR-PheWAS analysis was conducted to map the association of genetically predicted milk consumption with 1081 phenotypes in the UK Biobank study (n=339,197). The associations identified in MR-PheWAS were examined by two-sample MR analysis using data from the FinnGen study (n=260,405) and international consortia. A systematic review of MR studies on milk consumption was further performed.

RESULTS

PheWAS and two-sample MR analyses found robust evidence in support of inverse associations of genetically predicted milk consumption with risk of cataract (odds ratio (OR) per 50 g/day increase in milk consumption, 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.84-0.94; p=3.81×10^-5), hypercholesterolemia (OR, 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.96; p=2.97×10^-4), and anal and rectal polyps (OR, 0.85, 95% CI, 0.77-0.94; p=0.001). An inverse association for type 2 diabetes risk (OR, 0.92, 95% CI, 0.86-0.97; p=0.003) was observed in MR analysis based on genetic data with body mass index adjustment but not in the corresponding data without body mass index adjustment. The systematic review additionally found evidence that genetically predicted milk consumption was inversely associated with asthma, hay fever, multiple sclerosis, colorectal cancer, and Alzheimer's disease, and positively associated with Parkinson's disease, renal cell carcinoma, metabolic syndrome, overweight, and obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests several health effects of milk consumption in the European population.