Cohort profile: The Gubbio Population Study

Trends of blood pressure, raised blood pressure, hypertension and its control among Italian adults: CUORE Project cross-sectional health examination surveys 1998/2008/2018

OBJECTIVES

To assess in the Italian general adult population the trends of blood pressure (BP) and prevalence of raised BP (RBP), hypertension and its control in order to evaluate population health and care, and the achievement of an RBP 25% relative reduction as recommended by the WHO at population level.

DESIGN

Results comparison of health examination surveys, cross-sectional observational studies based on health examination of randomly selected age and sex stratified samples including residents aged 35-74 years. Data of the 2018/2019 survey were compared with the previous ones collected in 1998/2002 and 2008/2012.

SETTING

Health examination surveys conducted in Italy within the CUORE Project following standardised methodologies.

PARTICIPANTS

2985 men and 2955 women examined in 1998/2002, 2218 men and 2204 women examined in 2008/2012 and 1031 men and 1066 women examined in 2018/2019.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Age-standardised mean of BP, prevalence of RBP (systolic BP and/or diastolic BP ≥140/90 mm Hg), hypertension (presenting or being treated for RBP) and its awareness and control, according to sex, age class and educational level.

RESULTS

In 2018/2019, a significant reduction was observed in systolic BP and diastolic BP in men (1998/2002: 136/86 mm Hg; 2008/2012: 132/84 mm Hg; and 2018/2019: 132/78 mm Hg) and women (132/82 mm Hg, 126/78 mm Hg and 122/73 mm Hg), and in the prevalence of RBP (50%, 40% and 30% in men and 39%, 25% and 16% in women) and of hypertension (54%, 49% and 44% in men and 45%, 35% and 32% in women). Trends were consistent by age and education attainment. In 2018/2019, hypertensive men and women with controlled BP were only 27% and 41%, but a significant favourable trend was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Data from 2018/2019 underlined that RBP is still commonly observed in the Italian population aged 35-74 years, however, the WHO RBP target at that time may be considered met.

"The Disease Awareness Innovation Network" for chronic kidney disease identification in general practice

BACKGROUND

The "awareness gap" and the under-recognition of chronic kidney disease (CKD) by general practitioners (GPs) is well documented. We set a framework to evaluate the impact in primary care of targeted training and networking with nephrologists with regard to CKD awareness in terms of potential increase of the proportion of patients classified according to KDIGO in the general population and in patients with diabetes, hypertension and heart failure.

METHODS

Data were extracted from the Millewin Digital Platform in use by the GPs (N = 17) at baseline (T0, N = 17,854) and after 6 months (T6, N = 18,662) of networking (education, instant messaging and selected joint visits) with nephrologists (N = 2). The following variables were extracted: age, sex, eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate), ACR (urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio), presence of type 2 diabetes, hypertension and heart failure. The proportion of patients detected having an eGFR below 60 mL/min/1.73m² was also reported as deemed clinically relevant.

RESULTS

We observed an increase in the use of ACR and eGFR tests in the entire cohort (+ 121% and + 73%, respectively) and in patients with comorbidities. The proportion of patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m² significantly increased from 2.2% to 3.8% in the entire cohort,  from 6.3% to 12.7% in patients with diabetes, and from 5.6% to 9.9% in those with hypertension and finally from 10.8% to 23.7% in patients with heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Training and network support to GPs by nephrologists can improve CKD awareness and increase its identification in the general population and, even more, in categories at risk.

Relation of Alcohol Intake to Kidney Function and Mortality Observational, Population-Based, Cohort Study

Data are conflicting about the effects of alcohol intake on kidney function. This population-based study investigated associations of alcohol intake with kidney function and mortality. The study cohort included adult participants in Exam-1, Exam-2 (6-year follow-up), and Exam-3 (20-year follow-up) of the Gubbio study. Kidney function was evaluated as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, CKD-Epi equation, mL/min × 1.73 m2). Daily habitual alcohol intake was assessed by questionnaires. Wine intake accounted for >94% of total alcohol intake at all exams. Alcohol intake significantly tracked over time (R > 0.66, p < 0.001). Alcohol intake distribution was skewed at all exams (skewness > 2) and was divided into four strata for analyses (g/day = 0, 1−24, 25−48, and >48). Strata of alcohol intake differed substantially for lab markers of alcohol intake (p < 0.001). In multivariable regression, strata of alcohol intake related cross-sectionally to eGFR at all exams (Exam-1: B = 1.70, p < 0.001; Exam-2: B = 1.03, p < 0.001; Exam-3: B = 0.55, p = 0.010) and related longitudinally to less negative eGFR change from Exam-1 to Exam-2 (B = 0.133, p = 0.002) and from Exam-2 to Exam-3 (B = 0.065, p = 0.004). In multivariable Cox models, compared to no intake, intakes > 24 g/day were not associated with different mortality while an intake of 1−24 g/day was associated with lower mortality in the whole cohort (HR = 0.77, p = 0.003) and in the subgroup with eGFR < 60 mL/min × 1.73 m2 (HR = 0.69, p = 0.033). These data indicate a positive independent association of alcohol intake with kidney function not due to a mortality-related selection.

Relationship of the Intake of Water and Other Beverages With Renal Endpoints: Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Data-Observational, Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVES

The relationship of water intake with kidney function in the population is uncertain. This study investigated cross-sectionally and longitudinally the relationship of the intake of water and other beverages with kidney function within an adult Italian population sample.

METHODS

In 4,554 Gubbio Study examinees (54.4% women, age 18-95 years), data collection at baseline included demographics, anthropometry, questionnaires on habitual intakes of water and other beverages (non-water fluids), a timed overnight urine collection, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), decreased eGFR (<60 mL/minute/1.73 m²), and other variables including urinary markers of diet. At 15-year follow-up, the incidence of renal/kidney replacement therapy, the eGFR change from baseline, and the incidence of decreased eGFR were used as indices of kidney function change over time.

RESULTS

In multivariable analyses, higher water intake is independently related to higher urine flow (beta = 0.163, P < .001), lower urine osmolality (beta = 0.184, P < .001), lower eGFR (beta = 0.030, P = .002), and higher prevalence of decreased eGFR (logistic coefficient ± standard error = 1.13 ± 0.32, P < .001). Water intake did not relate to kidney function change over time. Intake of non-water fluids did not independently relate to urinary indices nor to kidney function.

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, water intake relates cross-sectionally to urine flow, urine concentration, and kidney function but it does not relate to kidney function change over time. The intake of other beverages does not relate to urinary indices or kidney function. Results do not support a role of water intake in kidney function decline over time in the population.

Urinary Potassium and Kidney Function Decline in the Population-Observational Study

Background-Some data suggest favorable effects of a high potassium intake on kidney function. The present population-based study investigated cross-sectional and longitudinal relations of urinary potassium with kidney function. Methods-Study cohort included 2027 Gubbio Study examinees (56.9% women) with age ≥ 18 years at exam-1 and with complete data on selected variables at exam-1 (1983-1985), exam-2 (1989-1992), and exam-3 (2001-2007). Urinary potassium as urinary potassium/creatinine ratio was measured in daytime spot samples at exam-1 and in overnight timed collections at exam-2. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was measured at all exams. Covariates in analyses included demographics, anthropometry, blood pressure, drug treatments, diabetes, smoking, alcohol intake, and urinary markers of dietary sodium and protein. Results-In multivariable regression, urinary potassium/creatinine ratio cross-sectionally related to eGFR neither at exam-1 (standardized coefficient and 95%CI = 0.020 and -0.059/0.019) nor at exam-2 (0.024 and -0.013/0.056). Exam-1 urinary potassium/creatinine ratio related to eGFR change from exam-1 to exam-2 (0.051 and 0.018/0.084). Exam-2 urinary potassium/creatinine ratio related to eGFR change from exam-2 to exam-3 (0.048 and 0.005/0.091). Mean of urinary potassium/creatinine ratio at exam-1 and exam-2 related to eGFR change from exam-1 to exam-3 (0.056 and 0.027/0.087) and to incidence of eGFR < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m² from exam-1 to exam-3 (odds ratio and 95%CI = 0.78 and 0.61/0.98). Conclusion-In the population, urinary potassium did not relate cross-sectionally to eGFR but related to eGFR decline over time. Data support the existence of favorable effects of potassium intake on ageing-associated decline in kidney function.

Guide de Pratique Clinique. Prise en charge de l’hypertension artérielle chez l’adulte en Tunisie

Ce document a été réalisé dans le cadre d'une collaboration entre l'Instance Nationale de l’Évaluation et de l'Accréditation en Santé (INEAS), la Société Tunisienne de Cardiologie et de Chirurgie Cardiovasculaire (STCCCV) et la Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Maladie (CNAM).

A report on the Gubbio Study thirty-eight years after its inception

BACKGROUND

The Gubbio Population Study ("Gubbio Study") is a prospective epidemiological study carried out on the resident population of the city of Gubbio, Italy. The study's objectives are both of public health nature (the control and awareness of hypertension), and experimental (the role of electrolyte handling at the cellular membrane level and its relation to hypertension). Additional objectives were addressed during the 30+ year activity of the study, in particular the role of kidney dysfunction.

METHODS

Three active screenings ('Exams') were performed beginning 38 years ago; the first (Exam 1) in 1983-1986 (5376 individuals - response rate 92%) and two follow-up exams, were completed between 1989-92 (Exam 2) and 2001-2007 (Exam 3). Data collected include demographics, personal and family medical history, lifestyle (smoking, alcohol, diet and physical activity), education, type of work, anthropometry, blood pressure, pulse rate, blood biochemistry, urine biochemistry and special investigations on cellular electrolyte handling. Additional measurements were performed in selected sub-groups of participants. Data on hospitalizations, mortality and causes of death were collected after the completion of Exam 1.

RESULTS

The main results of the study, presented in this paper, identify new variables to consider in screening for cardiovascular risk factors, and show the impact that the focused and coordinated effort of a longitudinal program can have on a free-living population'.

CONCLUSIONS

The data are of relevance to Public Health and to experimental medicine alike, and vouch to the importance of the control of risk factors at the community level.

Sodium intake and kidney function in the general population: an observational, population-based study

BACKGROUND

The relationships of sodium intake to kidney function within the population have been poorly investigated and are the objective of the study.

METHODS

This observational, population-based, cross-sectional and longitudinal study targeted 4595 adult participants of the Gubbio study with complete data at baseline exam. Of these participants, 3016 participated in the 15-year follow-up (mortality-corrected response rate 78.4%). Baseline measures included sodium:creatinine ratio in timed overnight urine collection, used as an index of sodium intake, together with serum creatinine, sex, age and other variables. Follow-up measures included serum creatinine and other variables. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2) was calculated using serum creatinine, sex and age and was taken as an index of kidney function.

RESULTS

The study cohort was stratified in sex- and age-controlled quintiles of baseline urine sodium:creatinine ratio. A higher quintile associated with higher baseline eGFR (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, the odds ratio (OR) of Stage1 kidney function (eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2) was 1.98 times higher in Quintile 5 compared with Quintile 1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-2.59, P < 0.001]. The time from baseline to follow-up was 14.1 ± 2.5 years. Baseline to follow-up, the eGFR change was more negative along quintiles (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, the OR in Quintile 5 compared with Quintile 1 was 2.21 for eGFR decline ≥30% (1.18-4.13, P = 0.001) and 1.38 for worsened stage of kidney function (1.05-1.82, P = 0.006). Findings were consistent within subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Within the general population, an index of higher sodium intake associated cross-sectionally with higher kidney function but longitudinally with greater kidney function decline.

Reduced Kidney Function and Relative Hypocalciuria-Observational, Cross-Sectional, Population-Based Data

This observational, cross-sectional, epidemiological analysis investigated relationships of kidney function to urine calcium and other variables. The analyses targeted two population-based samples of adults (Gubbio study and Moli-sani study: n = 3508 and 955, respectively). Kidney function was assessed as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Calcium/creatinine ratio (Ca/Cr) was used as index of urinary calcium in timed overnight urine under fed condition (Gubbio study), morning urine after overnight fast (Gubbio study), and first-void morning urine (Moli-sani study). Moli-sani study included also data for glomerular filtered calcium load, tubular calcium handling, and serum phosphorus, parathyroid hormone, 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D, calcium, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D. eGFR positively and independently related to Ca/Cr (p < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, eGFR lower by 10 mL/min × 1.73 m² related to overnight urine Ca/Cr lower by 14.0 mg/g in men and 17.8 mg/g in women, to morning urine Ca/Cr lower by 9.3 mg/g in men and 11.2 mg/g in women, and to first-void urine Ca/Cr lower by 7.7 mg/g in men and 9.6 mg/g in women (p < 0.001). eGFR independently related to glomerular filtered calcium load (p < 0.001) and did not relate to tubular calcium handling (p ≥ 0.35). In reduced eGFR only (<90 mL/min × 1.73 m²), low urine Ca/Cr independently related to low serum 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (p = 0.002) and did not relate to hyperphosphatemia, high serum parathyroid hormone, or hypocalcemia (p ≥ 0.14). Population-based data indicated consistent associations of lower kidney function with lower urine calcium due to reduction in glomerular filtered calcium. In reduced kidney function, relative hypocalciuria associated with higher prevalence of low serum 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D.

Nephrology and Public Policy Committee propositions to stimulate research collaboration in adults and children in Europe

The strengths and the limitations of research activities currently present in Europe are explored in order to outline how to proceed in the near future. Epidemiological and clinical research and public policy in Europe are generally considered to be comprehensive and successful, and the European Renal Association – European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) is playing a key role in the field of nephrology research. The Nephrology and Public Policy Committee (NPPC) aims to improve the current situation and translation into public policy by planning eight research topics to be supported in the coming 5 years by ERA-EDTA.

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease in the Lazio region, Italy: a classification algorithm based on health information systems

Background

Estimating CKD prevalence is difficult. Information on CKD prevalence is rather scanty in Italy and available figures come from surveys in selected geographical areas. Administrative data have been already demonstrated to be an effective tool in estimating the epidemiological burden of diseases, however there is limited experience in literature as far as CKD is concerned.

Methods

The aim of this study is to develop an algorithm based on regional Health Administrative Databases to identify individuals with CKD and provide estimates of disease prevalence in Lazio Region (Italy); about 5.500.000 inhabitants in 2017. A population-level analysis based on a record-linkage strategy using data from Health Administrative Databases has been applied in Lazio Region. CKD cases were identified between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2017 using Outpatient Specialist Service Information System, Hospital Discharge Registry, Ticket Exemption Registry and Drug Dispensing Registry. Age-specific and standardized prevalence rates were calculated by gender. CKD cases were classified as higher and lower severity.

Results

The algorithm identified 99,457 individuals with CKD (mean age 71 years, 55.8% males). The exclusive contributions of each regional source used were: 35,047 (35.2%) from Outpatient Specialist Service Information System, 27,778 (27.9%) from Hospital Discharge Registry, 4143 (4.2%) from Ticket Exemption Registry and 463 (0.5%) from Drug Dispensing Registry; 5.1% of cases were found in all databases. The standardized prevalence rate at December 31, 2017 was 1.76, 2.06% for males and 1.50% for females. The prevalence increased with age, rising from 0.33% (age 0–18) up to 14.18% (age 85+) among males and from 0.25% up to 8.18% among females. The proportion of CKD individuals with lower severity disease was 78.7% in both genders.

Conclusions

The proposed algorithm represents a novel tool to monitor the burden of CKD disease, that can be used by the regional government to guide the development and implementation of evidence-based pathways of care for CKD patients. The high prevalence of people with CKD of lower severity should be carefully considered in order to promote diagnosis and optimal management at early stages.

Impact of Sex on Office White Coat Effect Tail: Investigating Two Italian Residential Cohorts

To assess the impact of sex on office white-coat effect tail (OWCET), the waning of systolic blood pressure (SBP) after its waxing during office visit, on the incidence of long-term major fatal and non-fatal events in two Italian residential cohorts [from the Gubbio Study and the Italian Rural Areas of the Seven Countries Study (IRA)]. There were 3565 persons (92 with missing data, 44% men, 54 ± 11 years) included in the Gubbio and 1712 men (49 ± 5 years) in the IRA studies. OWCET was defined as a decrease of ≥10 mmHg in SBP between successive measurements with slight measurement differences between the two cohorts. Cardiovascular (CVD), coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke (STR) incidences were considered. Over an approximately 20-year follow-up, women with OWCET had an increased risk of CVD [HR: 1.591 (95%CI: 1.204–2.103)], CHD [HR: 1.614 (95%CI: 1.037–2.512)] and STR [HR: 1.696 (95%CI: 1.123–2.563)] events independently of age, serum and HDL cholesterol, cigarettes, BMI and SBP in the Gubbio study. However, there was no increased risk of CVD, CHD or STR in men with OWCET neither in the Gubbio 20-year follow-up nor in the IRA 50-year follow-up. These results were not modified significantly by the correction of the regression dilutions bias between the first and the subsequent SBP measurements. Thus, in primary care, OWCET should be actively evaluated in women as it can improve stratification of long-term CVD, CHD and STR risks.

Osmotic indices and kidney concentrating activity: population-based data on correlates and prognostic power

Background

Research data are limited on indices of osmotic equilibrium and of kidney concentrating activity (KCA). This study investigated correlates and prognostic power of these indices in a sample of the general population.

Methods

Urine osmolality (U-osm), plasma osmolality (P-osm), plasma creatinine and other variables were measured by the Gubbio Study for the 1988-92 exam (baseline). Plasma creatinine and other variables were re-measured in the 2001-07 exam (follow-up). KCA was assessed as the U-osm/P-osm ratio and kidney function as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

Results

Baseline data were complete in 4220 adults, of whom 852 died before follow-up and 2795 participated in the follow-up. At baseline, the following independent cross-sectional associations were identified: female sex and higher urine flow with lower values of U-osm, P-osm and U-osm/P-osm ratio (P < 0.01); obesity with higher values of U-osm, P-osm and U-osm/P-osm ratio (P < 0.01); older age and lower eGFR with lower U-osm, lower U-osm/P-osm ratio and higher P-osm (P < 0.05); hypertension and smoking with lower U-osm and lower U-osm/P-osm ratio (P < 0.05) but not with P-osm. From baseline to follow-up, the annualized rate was 1.26% for mortality and -0.74 ± 0.76 mL/min × 1.73 m2 for eGFR change. Mortality was independently predicted by baseline U-osm and baseline U-osm/P-osm ratio (hazard ratio for one higher standard deviation was ≤0.91, 95% confidence interval was ≤0.97, P < 0.01), but not by baseline P-osm. The eGFR change was not independently predicted by baseline values of U-osm, P-osm and U-osm/P-osm ratio (P ≥ 0.4).

Conclusions

Sex, age, obesity, eGFR, urine flow, hypertension and smoking independently associated with U-osm and KCA. U-osm and KCA independently predicted mortality, but not kidney function change over time.

Estimation of metabolic syndrome heritability in three large populations including full pedigree and genomic information

Metabolic syndrome is a complex human disorder characterized by a cluster of conditions (increased blood pressure, hyperglycemia, excessive body fat around the waist, and abnormal cholesterol or triglyceride levels). Any of these conditions increases the risk of serious disorders such as diabetes or cardiovascular disease. Currently, the degree of genetic regulation of this syndrome is under debate and partially unknown. The principal aim of this study was to estimate the genetic component and the common environmental effects in different populations using full pedigree and genomic information. We used three large populations (Gubbio, ARIC, and Ogliastra cohorts) to estimate the heritability of metabolic syndrome. Due to both pedigree and genotyped data, different approaches were applied to summarize relatedness conditions. Linear mixed models (LLM) using average information restricted maximum likelihood (AIREML) algorithm were applied to partition the variances and estimate heritability (h²) and common sib-household effect (c²). Globally, results obtained from pedigree information showed a significant heritability (h²: 0.286 and 0.271 in Gubbio and Ogliastra, respectively), whereas a lower, but still significant heritability was found using SNPs data ([Formula: see text]: 0.167 and 0.254 in ARIC and Ogliastra). The remaining heritability between h² and [Formula: see text] ranged between 0.031 and 0.237. Finally, the common environmental c² in Gubbio and Ogliastra were also significant accounting for about 11% of the phenotypic variance. Availability of different kinds of populations and data helped us to better understand what happened when heritability of metabolic syndrome is estimated and account for different possible confounding. Furthermore, the opportunity of comparing different results provided more precise and less biased estimation of heritability.

2018 ESC/ESH Guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension: The Task Force for the management of arterial hypertension of the European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Hypertension: The Task Force for the management of arterial hypertension of the European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Hypertension

: Document reviewers: Guy De Backer (ESC Review Co-ordinator) (Belgium), Anthony M. Heagerty (ESH Review Co-ordinator) (UK), Stefan Agewall (Norway), Murielle Bochud (Switzerland), Claudio Borghi (Italy), Pierre Boutouyrie (France), Jana Brguljan (Slovenia), Héctor Bueno (Spain), Enrico G. Caiani (Italy), Bo Carlberg (Sweden), Neil Chapman (UK), Renata Cifkova (Czech Republic), John G. F. Cleland (UK), Jean-Philippe Collet (France), Ioan Mircea Coman (Romania), Peter W. de Leeuw (The Netherlands), Victoria Delgado (The Netherlands), Paul Dendale (Belgium), Hans-Christoph Diener (Germany), Maria Dorobantu (Romania), Robert Fagard (Belgium), Csaba Farsang (Hungary), Marc Ferrini (France), Ian M. Graham (Ireland), Guido Grassi (Italy), Hermann Haller (Germany), F. D. Richard Hobbs (UK), Bojan Jelakovic (Croatia), Catriona Jennings (UK), Hugo A. Katus (Germany), Abraham A. Kroon (The Netherlands), Christophe Leclercq (France), Dragan Lovic (Serbia), Empar Lurbe (Spain), Athanasios J. Manolis (Greece), Theresa A. McDonagh (UK), Franz Messerli (Switzerland), Maria Lorenza Muiesan (Italy), Uwe Nixdorff (Germany), Michael Hecht Olsen (Denmark), Gianfranco Parati (Italy), Joep Perk (Sweden), Massimo Francesco Piepoli (Italy), Jorge Polonia (Portugal), Piotr Ponikowski (Poland), Dimitrios J. Richter (Greece), Stefano F. Rimoldi (Switzerland), Marco Roffi (Switzerland), Naveed Sattar (UK), Petar M. Seferovic (Serbia), Iain A. Simpson (UK), Miguel Sousa-Uva (Portugal), Alice V. Stanton (Ireland), Philippe van de Borne (Belgium), Panos Vardas (Greece), Massimo Volpe (Italy), Sven Wassmann (Germany), Stephan Windecker (Switzerland), Jose Luis Zamorano (Spain).The disclosure forms of all experts involved in the development of these Guidelines are available on the ESC website www.escardio.org/guidelines.

Office white-coat effect tail and long-term cardiovascular risks in the Gubbio residential cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to investigate whether office white-coat effect tail (OWCET), the waning of blood pressure (BP) after its waxing during office visit, predicted long-term major fatal and nonfatal events in the Gubbio residential cohort.

METHODS

There were 3572 persons (44% men, 54 ± 11 years old) included. OWCET was defined as a decrease of 10 mmHg or more in SBP between the third and first measurement out of a series obtained a few min apart in which the second and third were considered actual baseline SBP at enrollment. Cardiovascular (CVD), including strokes and coronary heart disease (CHD) hard criteria incidences and deaths along with all-cause deaths were considered.

RESULTS

Over 185 months median follow-up, individuals with OWCET had significantly higher risk factors except for smoking, which was less frequent. OWCET was associated with an increased risk of both CVD [HR 1.25 (95% CI 1.02-1.52)] and CHD [HR 1.35 (95% CI 1.01-1.80)] events independently of traditional risk factors (age, sex, total cholesterol, HDL, cigarettes and BMI) including SBP. When effective antihypertensive treatment was considered, there was a significant higher CVD risk in individuals with OWCET (P < 0.037). In uncontrolled or untreated individuals, those with OWCET also had a higher risk (P < 0.073).

CONCLUSION

In primary care, OWCET should be searched for as it can improve stratification of long-term CVD-CHD risks.

Genomic Approach to Understand the Association of DNA Repair with Longevity and Healthy Aging Using Genomic Databases of Oldest-Old Population

Aged population is increasing worldwide due to the aging process that is inevitable. Accordingly, longevity and healthy aging have been spotlighted to promote social contribution of aged population. Many studies in the past few decades have reported the process of aging and longevity, emphasizing the importance of maintaining genomic stability in exceptionally long-lived population. Underlying reason of longevity remains unclear due to its complexity involving multiple factors. With advances in sequencing technology and human genome-associated approaches, studies based on population-based genomic studies are increasing. In this review, we summarize recent longevity and healthy aging studies of human population focusing on DNA repair as a major factor in maintaining genome integrity. To keep pace with recent growth in genomic research, aging- and longevity-associated genomic databases are also briefly introduced. To suggest novel approaches to investigate longevity-associated genetic variants related to DNA repair using genomic databases, gene set analysis was conducted, focusing on DNA repair- and longevity-associated genes. Their biological networks were additionally analyzed to grasp major factors containing genetic variants of human longevity and healthy aging in DNA repair mechanisms. In summary, this review emphasizes DNA repair activity in human longevity and suggests approach to conduct DNA repair-associated genomic study on human healthy aging.

Low Protein Intake in the Population: Low Risk of Kidney Function Decline but High Risk of Mortality

OBJECTIVE

This population-based study investigated low protein intake, mortality, and kidney function decline.

DESIGN

Observational longitudinal cohort study.

SUBJECTS

Target cohort consisted of 4,679 adults participating in 1988-1992 and 2001-2007 examinations of the Gubbio Study (baseline and follow-up). Data collection included overnight urine urea nitrogen (UUN) and other variables at baseline, serum creatinine at baseline and follow-up, and mortality from baseline to follow-up. Three hundred seventy-two persons were excluded for missing data. UUN in the lowest 20% of the distribution was defined as low and used as index of low protein intake. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, mL/minute × 1.73 m²) was used as kidney function index.

INTERVENTION

None (observational study).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Mortality and eGFR decline are the main outcome measures, and eGFR decline was defined as eGFR change from baseline to follow-up ≤ mean-1 standard deviation (Z-score ≤ -1).

RESULTS

Eight hundred seventy-one deaths occurred over 15.9 ± 4.0 years of observation (417 from cardiovascular disease and 276 from neoplastic disease). Low UUN associated with mortality (hazard ratio, HR = 1.31, 95% confidence interval, CI = 1.12/1.53) due to association with mortality from neoplastic disease (HR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.02/1.76). Mortality-corrected follow-up response rate was 79.9% (n = 2845). Baseline to follow-up eGFR change was -9.9 ± 10.1, and eGFR decline was found in 454 examinees. Low UUN associated with eGFR decline only in subgroup with baseline eGFR <90 (n = 1441, odds ratio = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.22/0.85). Low baseline eGFR interacted with the association between low UUN and eGFR decline (P = .024).

CONCLUSION

Low protein intake predicted higher mortality in the whole population and lower incidence of eGFR decline only in subgroup with reduced kidney function.

Time Trends of High Blood Pressure Prevalence, Awareness and Control in the Italian General Population : Surveys of the National Institute of Health

INTRODUCTION

High blood pressure (BP) is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease. The urgency of the problem was underlined by the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan for the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases, which recommends a 25% relative reduction in the prevalence of raised BP by 2020. A surveillance system represents a useful tool to monitor BP in the general population. Since 1980s, the National Institute of Health has conducted several surveys of the adult general population, measuring cardiovascular risk factors by standardized procedures and methods.

AIM

To describe mean BP levels and high BP prevalence from 1978 to 2012 by sex and quinquennia of age.

METHODS

Data were derived from the following three studies: (i) Risk Factors and Life Expectancy (RIFLE), conducted between 1978 and 2002 in 13 Italian regions (>70,000 persons); (ii) Osservatorio Epidemiologico Cardiovascolare (OEC), conducted between 1998-2002 in the general population from all Italian regions (>9000 persons); and (iii) Osservatorio Epidemiologico Cardiovascolare/Health Examination Survey (OEC/HES), conducted between 2008-2012 in the general population from all Italian regions (>9000 persons).

RESULTS

A significant decrease in mean systolic and diastolic BP levels and prevalence of high BP from 1978 to 2012 was observed both in men and women. BP and high BP increased by age classes in all considered periods. BP awareness and control also improved.

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that BP control could be achieved by 2020, as recommended by WHO.

Population-based dose-response curve of glomerular filtration rate to dietary protein intake

BACKGROUND

Kidney function measured as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a risk factor for mortality and severe diseases. Protein intake up-regulates kidney function. The dose-response curve of eGFR over protein intake is unknown. Urinary urea nitrogen is an objective index of protein intake.

METHODS

The study cross-sectionally analysed the relation between overnight urinary urea nitrogen ((on)U-ureaN) and eGFR with and without control for other variables in 4106 adults of the Gubbio population. Analyses were done for serum creatinine (S-cr) also to investigate the independency of results from eGFR calculation.

RESULTS

Higher (on)U-ureaN associated with higher eGFR, and lower S-cr independently of sex and age (simple and partial correlation coefficients >0.100, P < 0.001). Analyses by (on)U-ureaN decile indicated sigmoid curves of eGFR and S-cr over (on)U-ureaN with trend to flatness in the lowest 20% and the highest 20% of (on)U-ureaN (<5.19 and >10.12 mg/h, respectively). Multi-variable spline regression indicated that the relation of eGFR over (on)U-ureaN was non-significant for (on)U-ureaN <5.19 mg/h (coefficient = +0.27, 95% CI = -0.31/+0.84, P = 0.364), positive for (on)U-ureaN in the range 5.19-10.12 mg/h (coefficients = 1.35-1.64, lower 95% CI ≥ +0.48, P ≤ 0.002), and non-significant for (on)U-ureaN >10.12 mg/h (coefficient = +0.05, 95% CI = -0.06/ +0.16, P = 0.394). eGFR differed by ≈8 mL/min × 1.73 m(2) between the lowest and highest 20% of (on)U-ureaN distribution.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher protein intake relates to higher eGFR. The relation is sigmoid with eGFR up-regulation for (on)U-ureaN >5.19 mg/h, a threshold approximately corresponding to the recommended daily allowance for protein intake (0.8 g/day per kg of ideal weight).

Estimated albumin excretion rate versus urine albumin-creatinine ratio for the assessment of albuminuria: a diagnostic test study from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease (PREVEND) Study

BACKGROUND

Albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) in spot urine samples is recommended for albuminuria screening instead of measured albumin excretion rate (mAER) in 24-hour urine collections. In patients with extremes of muscle mass, differences in spot urine creatinine values may lead to under- or overestimation of mAER by ACR. We hypothesized that calculating estimated AER (eAER) using spot ACR and estimated creatinine excretion rate (eCER) may improve albuminuria assessment.

STUDY DESIGN

Diagnostic test study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

2,711 community-living individuals from the general population of the Netherlands participating in the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease) Study.

INDEX TEST

eAER was computed as the product of ACR and eCER. eCER was computed using 3 previously validated methods (Ix, Ellam, and Walser).

REFERENCE TEST

mAER, based on two 24-hour urine collections. Accuracy of the eAER and ACR were defined as the percentage of participants falling within 30% (P30) of mAER.

RESULTS

Mean age was 49 years, 46% were men, mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 84 ± 15 mL/min/1.73 m(2), and median mAER was 7.2 (IQR, 5.4-11.0) mg/d. Mean measured CER was 1,381 mg/d, and median ACR was 4.9 mg/g. Using the Ix equation, median eAER was 6.4 mg/d. In the full cohort, eAER was more accurate and less biased compared to ACR (P30, 48.9% vs 33.6%; bias, -34.2% vs -14.1%, respectively). In subgroup analysis, improvement was most notable in the middle and highest weight tertiles and in men. Using the other methods for eCER produced similar results.

LIMITATIONS

Little ethnic heterogeneity and a generally healthy cohort make extension of findings to other races and the chronically ill uncertain.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large community-dwelling cohort, eAER was more accurate than ACR in assessing albuminuria.

Predicting changes in hypertension control using electronic health records from a chronic disease management program

OBJECTIVE

Common chronic diseases such as hypertension are costly and difficult to manage. Our ultimate goal is to use data from electronic health records to predict the risk and timing of deterioration in hypertension control. Towards this goal, this work predicts the transition points at which hypertension is brought into, as well as pushed out of, control.

METHOD

In a cohort of 1294 patients with hypertension enrolled in a chronic disease management program at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center, patients are modeled as an array of features derived from the clinical domain over time, which are distilled into a core set using an information gain criteria regarding their predictive performance. A model for transition point prediction was then computed using a random forest classifier.

RESULTS

The most predictive features for transitions in hypertension control status included hypertension assessment patterns, comorbid diagnoses, procedures and medication history. The final random forest model achieved a c-statistic of 0.836 (95% CI 0.830 to 0.842) and an accuracy of 0.773 (95% CI 0.766 to 0.780).

CONCLUSIONS

This study achieved accurate prediction of transition points of hypertension control status, an important first step in the long-term goal of developing personalized hypertension management plans.