Known Benefits and Unknown Risks of Active Surveillance of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 2

Time trends in the clinical management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: A Danish register-based study

INTRODUCTION

Active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) has been implemented recently in many countries, including the Nordic countries. In Denmark, the only eligibility criterion for active surveillance for CIN2 is that the woman should be of reproductive age. With this study, we aimed to evaluate clinical and socioeconomic characteristics in women with CIN2 managed by active surveillance or large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ) and to evaluate temporal changes in the clinical management of CIN2.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We conducted a Danish nationwide study using data from healthcare registries. All female residents aged 18-40 years, diagnosed with incident CIN2 from January 1, 1998, to February 29, 2020, were included. We collected data on age, index cytology result, year of CIN2 diagnosis, region of residence, civil status, HPV vaccination status, and socioeconomic position indicators. The variables were tabulated overall and by management group (active surveillance vs. LLETZ). To evaluate time trends, we used joinpoint regression to calculate the annual percentage change (APC), including 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Of the 27 536 women with CIN2 included, 12 500 (45.4%) underwent active surveillance, and 15 036 (54.6%) underwent a LLETZ. Women undergoing active surveillance were younger, more often HPV-vaccinated, and more likely to have a normal/low-grade index cytology result than women undergoing LLETZ. Socioeconomic position indicators did not differ. Over time, the proportion of women undergoing active surveillance increased from 21.7% in 2004 to 73.6% in 2019 (APC 9.7, 95% CI 8.1-11.4). The proportion of women undergoing active surveillance aged <30 declined over time (APC -2.2, 95% CI -2.9 to -1.5). The proportion of women with normal/low-grade index cytology increased slightly to 51.6% in 2019 (APC 0.8, 95% CI 0.4-1.3).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of active surveillance for CIN2 has increased over the past two decades in Denmark. Observed differences in characteristics between women undergoing active surveillance vs LLETZ are likely related to indications for clinical management.

Human papillomavirus genotypes and risk of persistence and progression in women undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2

BACKGROUND

In recent years, active surveillance has been introduced as an alternative to excisional treatment in younger women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 because regression rates are high and excisional treatment is associated with increased risk of preterm birth. However, early identification of women at increased risk of persistence/progression is important to ensure timely treatment. Evidence is limited on biomarkers that may be used to identify women at increased risk of persistence/progression.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to describe human papillomavirus HPV type-specific persistence/progression in women undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a historical cohort study of women aged 23 to 40 years diagnosed with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 at Aarhus University Hospital from 2000 to 2010. Women were identified through the Danish Pathology Data Bank (DPDB) and were considered as undergoing active surveillance if they had a first record of a cervical biopsy within 2 years after index diagnosis and no loop electrosurgical excision procedure before this. Human papillomavirus genotyping was performed on archived tissue samples using the HPV SPF10-DEIA-LiPA25 system (DNA ELISA [enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay] HPV SPF10 kit and RHA HPV SPF10-LiPA25 kit). Persistence/progression was defined as having a record of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade ≥2 in the DPDB determined on the last and worst diagnosis on a biopsy or loop electrosurgical excision procedure specimen during follow-up. We estimated the relative risk (95% confidence interval) of persistence/progression using a modified Poisson model.

RESULTS

A total of 455 women were included. Two-thirds were aged ≤30 years (73.8%) at index diagnosis, and nearly half had a high-grade index cytology (48.8%). Overall, 52.2% of all women had cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade ≥2 during follow-up; 70.5% were human papillomavirus-16-positive and 29.5% were positive for other human papillomavirus types. Human papillomavirus-16 was associated with a significantly higher risk of persistence/progression (relative risk, 1.64; 95% confidence interval, 1.37-1.95) compared with non-human papillomavirus-16. The risk of persistence/progression was highest in human papillomavirus-16-positive women with a high-grade index cytology compared with human papillomavirus-16-positive women with a low-grade cytology (relative risk, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.61), whereas no differences were observed across age groups.

CONCLUSION

The highest risk of persistence/progression was observed among human papillomavirus-16-positive women, particularly those with associated high-grade cytology. These findings suggest that early excisional treatment should be considered in this group of women.

Risk of progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in human papillomavirus-vaccinated and unvaccinated women: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Many countries have implemented active surveillance (ie, leaving the lesion untreated) as an option among younger women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 because regression rates are high and excisional treatment increases the risk for preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies. However, early identification of women at increased risk for progression to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse is important to ensure timely treatment. Because women who have received a human papillomavirus vaccine have a lower risk for cervical cancer, they may have a lower risk for progression of untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate if women who received a human papillomavirus vaccine and who are undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 are less likely to progress to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse when compared with women who did not receive the vaccine.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a population-based cohort study in Denmark using data from national health registers. We identified all women aged 18 to 40 years who were undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2020. Women with a previous record of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse, hysterectomy, or a loop electrosurgical excision procedure were excluded. Exposure was defined as having received ≥1 dose of a human papillomavirus vaccine at least 1 year before the cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 diagnosis. We used cumulative incidence functions to estimate the risk for progression to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse within 28 months using hysterectomy, emigration, and death as competing events. We used modified Poisson regression to calculate crude and adjusted relative risks of progression during the 28-month surveillance period. Results were stratified by age at vaccination and adjusted for index cytology, disposable income, and educational level.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 7904 women of whom 3867 (48.9%) were vaccinated at least 1 year before a diagnosis of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2. At the time of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 diagnosis, women who were vaccinated were younger (median age, 25 years; interquartile range, 23-27 years) than those who were not (median age, 29 years; interquartile range, 25-33 years). The 28-month cumulative risk for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse was significantly lower among women who were vaccinated before the age of 15 years (22.9%; 95% confidence interval, 19.8-26.1) and between the ages of 15 and 20 years (31.5%; 95% confidence interval, 28.8-34.3) when compared with women who were not vaccinated (37.6%; 95% confidence interval, 36.1-39.1). Thus, when compared with women who were not vaccinated, those who were vaccinated before the age of 15 years had a 35% lower risk for progression to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse (adjusted relative risk, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.75), whereas women who were vaccinated between the ages of 15 and 20 years had a 14% lower risk (adjusted relative risk, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-0.95). For women who were vaccinated after the age of 20 years, the risk was comparable with that among women who were not vaccinated (adjusted relative risk, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.09).

CONCLUSION

Women who were vaccinated and who were undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 had a lower risk for progression to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse during 28 months of follow-up when compared with women who were not vaccinated but only if the vaccine was administered by the age of 20 years. These findings may suggest that the human papillomavirus vaccination status can be used for risk stratification in clinical management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2.

Preterm Birth Following Active Surveillance vs Loop Excision for Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 2

Importance

Active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) is being implemented in many high-income countries due to the association of excisional treatment with preterm birth. However, it is unknown whether active surveillance results in lower risk of preterm birth given that cervical dysplasia itself is associated with higher risk of preterm birth.

Objective

To compare the preterm birth risk between women with CIN2 undergoing active surveillance or immediate loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This historical population-based cohort study included women with a first-time diagnosis of CIN2 and a subsequent singleton birth from 1998 to 2018 in Denmark. Women with prior CIN grade 3 or greater or LEEP were excluded. Data were collected from 4 Danish health care registries. Analyses were conducted from October 2022 to June 2023.

Exposure

Women were categorized into active surveillance (cervical biopsy and/or cytology) or immediate LEEP based on their first cervical sample after CIN2 diagnosis. The active surveillance group was further subdivided based on whether a delayed LEEP was performed within 28 months from CIN2 diagnosis.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Risk of preterm birth (<37 + 0 weeks) was assessed and relative risks (RRs) were calculated using modified Poisson regression. Analyses used inverse probability treatment weighting of the propensity scores to adjust for age, parity, calendar year, index cytology, and smoking.

Results

A total of 10 537 women with CIN2 and a singleton birth were identified; 4430 (42%) underwent active surveillance and 6107 (58%) were treated with immediate LEEP. For both groups, most were aged 23 to 29 years at CIN2 diagnosis (3125 [70%] and 3907 [64%], respectively). Overall, 869 births (8.2%) were preterm. The risk of preterm birth was comparable between active surveillance and immediate LEEP (RR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.18). However, for women undergoing delayed LEEP after active surveillance (1539 of the active surveillance group [35%]), the risk of preterm birth was higher than for women treated with immediate LEEP (RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.08-1.55).

Conclusions and relevance

In this cohort study of women with CIN2, the risk of preterm birth was comparable between active surveillance and immediate LEEP. However, delayed LEEP was associated with 30% higher risk of preterm birth than immediate LEEP. Thus, risk stratification at CIN2 diagnosis is important to identify women with increased risk of delayed LEEP.

Exploring conservative management for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in organised cervical cancer screening programmes: a multicentre study in Italy

Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) lesions may regress spontaneously, offering an alternative to immediate treatment, especially for women of childbearing age (15-45 years).We conducted a prospective multicentre study on conservative CIN2 management, with semiannual follow-up visits over 24 months, biomarkers' investigation and treatment for progression to CIN3+ or CIN2 persistence for more than 12 months. Here, we assess women's willingness to participate and adherence to the study protocol.The study was set in population-based organised cervical cancer screening.From April 2019 to October 2021, 640 CIN2 cases were diagnosed in women aged 25-64 participating in the screening programmes.According to our predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria, 228 (35.6%) women were not eligible; 93 (22.6%) of the 412 eligible refused, and 319 (77.4%) were enrolled. Refusal for personal reasons (ie, desire to become pregnant, anxiety, difficulty in complying with the study protocol) and external barriers (ie, residence elsewhere and language problems) accounted for 71% and 17%, respectively. Only 9% expressed a preference for treatment. The primary ineligibility factor was the upper age limit of 45 years. After enrolment, 12 (4%) women without evidence of progression requested treatment, 125 (39%) were lost to follow-up (mostly after 6-12 months) and 182 (57%) remained compliant. Remarkably, 40% of enrolees did not fully adhere to the protocol, whereas only 5% (20/412) of the eligible women desired treatment.Our study demonstrates a good acceptance of conservative management for CIN2 lesions by the women, supporting its implementation within cervical screening programmes.

Clinical course of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 has historically been the threshold for surgical excision, but because of high regression rates, many countries are transitioning to active surveillance. However, estimates for regression rates are based on small studies with heterogeneous definitions of regression and progression.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to describe regression and progression rates of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 using nationwide healthcare registry data.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a nationwide population-based cohort study on women aged 18 to 40 years who had undergone active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in Denmark from 1998 to 2020. This study excluded women with a previous record of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse or surgical excision. Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate the rates of regression and progression at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months after diagnosis. In addition, a modified Poisson regression was used to estimate the crude and adjusted relative risks of progression within 24 months stratified by index cytology and age.

RESULTS

During the study period, 11,056 women underwent active surveillance, 6767 of whom regressed and 3580 of whom progressed within 24 months. This corresponded to regression rates of 62.9% (95% confidence interval, 61.9-63.8) and progression rates of 33.3% (95% confidence interval, 32.4-34.2) at 24 months of follow-up. Most women regressed (90%) or progressed (90%) within the first 12 months. Women with high-grade index cytology had a higher risk of progression than women with normal index cytology (adjusted relative, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-1.76), whereas there was no difference in the risk of progression between women aged 30 and 40 years and women aged 23 to 29 years (adjusted relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.10).

CONCLUSION

The observed high regression rates of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 supported the transition in clinical management from surgical excision to active surveillance, particularly among women with low-grade or normal index cytology.

Untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 and subsequent risk of cervical cancer: population based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To describe the long term risk of cervical cancer in women with untreated (that is, undergoing active surveillance) or immediately treated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2).

DESIGN

Nationwide population based historical cohort study.

SETTING

Danish healthcare registries.

PARTICIPANTS

Women with CIN2 diagnosed in 1998-2020 and aged 18-40 years at diagnosis, who had either active surveillance or immediate treatment with large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ). Women with a previous record of CIN2 or worse or LLETZ were excluded.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

A Weibull survival model for interval censored time-to-event data was used to estimate the cumulative risk of cervical cancer. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to adjust estimates for age, index cytology, calendar year, and region of residence.

RESULTS

The cohort included 27 524 women with CIN2, of whom 12 483 (45%) had active surveillance and 15 041 (55%) had immediate LLETZ. During follow-up, 104 cases of cervical cancer were identified-56 (54%) in the active surveillance group and 48 (46%) in the LLETZ group. The cumulative risk of cervical cancer was comparable across the two groups during the active surveillance period of two years. Thereafter, the risk increased in the active surveillance group, reaching 2.65% (95% confidence interval 2.07% to 3.23%) after 20 years, whereas it remained stable in the LLETZ group at 0.76% (0.58% to 0.95%).

CONCLUSIONS

Undergoing active surveillance for CIN2, thereby leaving the lesion untreated, was associated with increased long term risk of cervical cancer compared with immediate LLETZ. These findings show the importance of continued follow-up of women having active surveillance.

High prevalence of HPV16 and high-grade cytology in women undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2

INTRODUCTION

Many countries have adopted active surveillance in women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2), leaving the lesion untreated. However, there is a lack of consensus on the eligibility criteria for active surveillance across countries, with some abstaining from active surveillance in women with human papilloma virus 16 (HPV16) or a high-grade cytology. Here, we aimed to describe the distribution of HPV genotypes, age, and cytology in women undergoing active surveillance for CIN2.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We conducted a single-center cross-sectional study on women aged 23-40 undergoing active surveillance for CIN2 during 2000-2010. Women were identified through the Danish Pathology Data Bank (DPDB) at Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark. We collected information on basic characteristics and results of histopathological examinations via DPDB. Women were deemed eligible for inclusion if they had a subsequent biopsy after index CIN2, and had no prior record of CIN2+, hysterectomy, or cone biopsy. Archived biopsies underwent HPV genotyping using the HPV SPF10 - DEIA-LiPA25 system, and the diagnosis was re-evaluated by three expert pathologists. We used the Chi squared-test (p-value) for comparison across groups.

RESULTS

We identified 3623 women with CIN2 of whom 455 (12.6%) were included. Most women were 30 years or younger (73.8%), and half (48.8%) had a high-grade index cytology. The prevalence of any high-risk HPV was 87.0%, with HPV16 being the most prevalent genotype (35.6%). The prevalence of HPV16 was significantly higher in women aged 30 or younger (39.3%) compared to women older than 30 years (25.2%) (p = 0.006). Upon expert review, 261 (57.4%) had CIN2 confirmed, whereas 56 (12.3%) were upgraded to CIN3 and 121 (26.6%) were downgraded to CIN1/normal. While the HPV16 prevalence was similar between community and expert confirmed CIN2, the prevalence of HPV16 was significantly higher in women with expert CIN3 compared to women with expert CIN1/normal (64.3% vs. 19.0%, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The high prevalence of HPV16 and high-grade cytology imply that these women may be perceived as a high-risk population and non-eligible for active surveillance in countries outside Denmark. Future studies should investigate the importance of HPV, age, cytology, and expert review on risk of progression to help refine criteria for active surveillance.

Active expectancy as alternative to treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in women aged 25 to 30 years: ExCIN2-a prospective clinical multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 is a clinical dilemma. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 is considered a cancer precursor and is always treated with excision. Most of the cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 cases regress spontaneously, and it is internationally mostly monitored with expectant management. Surgical treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia entails increased risk of preterm birth in future pregnancies. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in women aged under 25 years is quite well-studied; the regression rate is high and the cervical cancer risk is low. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in women aged 25 years and above, in whom the risk of occult cancer is higher, has been less studied.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the natural course, over 2 years, of untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in women aged 25 to 30 years and its association with human papillomavirus 16.

STUDY DESIGN

The study was conducted as a prospective longitudinal multicenter clinical study during February 2017 to June 2021 at 5 colposcopy clinics managing referrals after abnormal cervical screening in Region Västra Götaland, Sweden. The per protocol group comprised 127 women, aged 25 to 30 years, with fully visible squamocolumnar junction and histologically verified cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2. The patients were followed up for 2 years with colposcopy, cytology, human papillomavirus tests, and at least 2 cervical biopsies every 6 months until progression or regression. The main outcome measures were the rates of regression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months in cases with human papillomavirus 16 and those without human papillomavirus 16. The secondary outcomes were persistence and progression.

RESULTS

In the per protocol analysis, partial or total regression during the 2-year period was found in 72% of patients (95% confidence interval, 63-79). In patients with human papillomavirus 16, the regression rate was 51% (95% confidence interval, 36-66) and the progression rate was 47% (95% confidence interval, 32-62). In the human papillomavirus-non-16 group, 83% (95% confidence interval, 73-90) regressed and 16% (95% confidence interval, 9-26) progressed. Most of the regression and progression in both the groups occurred within 15 months. The difference in regression between human papillomavirus 16 and human papillomavirus-non-16 cases was statistically significant (P value=.0001), as was the difference in progression (P=.0002).

CONCLUSION

The regression rate of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 is high, and human papillomavirus 16 is a strong determinant of the natural course. Patients aged 25 to 30 years with a fully visible squamocolumnar junction and without human papillomavirus 16 should generally be recommended active surveillance for 15 months, whereas immediate treatment should be considered in cases with human papillomavirus 16.

Distinct mechanism of cervical cancer cell death caused by the investigational new drug SHetA2

Drug-targetable vulnerabilities of cancer cells include their dependence on heat shock proteins (HSPs) to support elevated mitochondrial metabolism and counteract cell death factors. The investigational new drug SHetA2 targets these vulnerabilities in ovarian and endometrial cancer cells by disrupting complexes of the mortalin HSP with its client proteins (mitochondrial support proteins, metabolic enzymes, p53) leading to mitochondrial leakage of cytochrome c and apoptosis-inducing factor (AIF), and caspase-dependent apoptosis. Our objective was to evaluate the roles of mitochondrial damage and another SHetA2-target HSP protein, cytoplasmic heat shock cognate 70 (hsc70), in the mechanism of SHetA2 killing of cervical cancer cells. Cervical cancer cells responded to SHetA2 with excessive mitophagy that did not deter AIF leakage into the cytoplasm. Then, hsc70 was unable to prevent cytoplasmic AIF nuclear translocation and promotion of DNA damage and cell death, because SHetA2 disrupted hsc70/AIF complexes. The Cancer Genome Atlas analysis found that overexpression of hsc70, but not mortalin, was associated with worse cervical cancer patient survival. Use of specific inhibitors documented that AIF and mitophagy, but not caspases, contributed to the mechanism of SHetA2-induced cell death in cervical cancer cells. As validation, excessive mitophagy and lack of caspase activation were observed in SHetA2-inhibited xenograft tumors.