Left ventricular mass and incident hypertension in individuals with initial optimal blood pressure: the Strong Heart Study

Prevalence, Predictors, Progression, and Prognosis of Hypertension Subtypes in the Framingham Heart Study

Background The epidemiology of hypertension subtypes has not been well characterized in the recent era. Methods and Results We delineated the prevalence, predictors, progression, and prognostic significance of hypertension subtypes in 8198 Framingham Heart Study participants (mean age, 46.5 years; 54% women). The prevalence of hypertension subtypes was as follows: nonhypertensive (systolic blood pressure [SBP] <140 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure [DBP] <90 mm Hg), 79%; isolated systolic hypertension (ISH; SBP ≥140 mm Hg and DBP <90 mm Hg), 8%; isolated diastolic hypertension (SBP <140 mm Hg and DBP ≥90 mm Hg), 4%; and systolic-diastolic hypertension (SDH; SBP ≥140 mm Hg and DBP ≥90 mm Hg), 9%. The prevalence of ISH and SDH increased with age. Analysis of a subsample of nonhypertensive participants demonstrated that increasing age, female sex, higher heart rate, left ventricular mass, and greater left ventricular concentricity were predictors of incident ISH and SDH. Higher baseline DBP was associated with the risk of developing isolated diastolic hypertension and SDH, whereas higher SBP was associated with all 3 hypertension subtypes. On follow-up (median, 5.5 years), isolated diastolic hypertension often reverted to nonhypertensive BP (in 42% of participants) and ISH progressed to SDH (in 26% of participants), whereas SDH frequently transitioned to ISH (in 20% of participants). During follow-up (median, 14.6 years), 889 participants developed cardiovascular disease. Compared with the nonhypertensive group (referent), ISH (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.57; 95% CI, 1.30-1.90) and SDH (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.36-2.01) were associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk, whereas isolated diastolic hypertension was not (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.68-1.57). Conclusions Hypertension subtypes vary in prevalence with age, are dynamic during short-term follow-up, and exhibit distinctive prognoses, underscoring the importance of blood pressure subphenotyping.

Blood Pressure and Left Ventricular Geometric Changes: A Directionality Analysis

[Figure: see text].

The intergated approach to the management of arterial hypertension: The CampaniaSalute Network

The second half of the last century was characterized by intense research in the field of arterial hypertension and related therapies. These studies showed that the management of arterial hypertension requires a robust coordination with close integration of the "health care systems" and "health care professionals". In 1998, the health care organization named "Campania Salute Network" was set up at the University of Naples Federico II. The Campania Salute Network involves 23 outpatient hypertensive clinics distributed in different community hospitals of the Regione Campania's area, 60 randomly selected general practitioners uniformly distributed in the same area, and the Hypertension Clinic of the Federico II University in Naples (coordinating centre). Through this network, clinical data collected at each visit are shared (via text messages or emails) with peripheral units (general practitioners and community hospital outpatient hypertensive clinics). The coordinating centre works in co-operation with the peripheral units in the treatment and follow-up of all hypertensive patients (i.e. assessing hypertension mediated organ damage and associated diseases). Informations about patients are shared through on-line access to the remote web-based database. The integrated approach to the mamangement of hyperetension determined a better control of blood pressure, that was associated with a reduction of hypertension mediated organ damage and decreased incidence of fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular events. Furthermore, this innovative approach improved the adherence and the persistence to the initial pharmacologic treatment. Campania Salute Network is also a powerful tool for the clinical and translational research with more 15,000 hypertensive patients followed for more than 15 years. This database allowed, in prospetic, large scale studies, to identify the hemodimìnamic and metabolic determinants of hypertension mediated organ damage and major cardiovascular events. The experience of Campania Salute Netwiork indicates that the creation of large databases from real life experiences becomes an indispensable condition also for artificial intelligence which, in the near future, thanks to scientific knowledge, the availability of particularly advanced hardware and software, will also be able to transform the management of arterial hypertension.

Left ventricular mass and incident out-of-office hypertension in a general population

AIM

Findings regarding the association of left ventricular mass (LVM) and new-onset hypertension are based on blood pressure measured in the office. We sought to assess the value of LVM in predicting in-office and out-of-office incident hypertension in members of the general population enrolled in the Pressioni Monitorate E Loro Associazioni study.

METHODS

The study included participants with normal office (n = 792), home (n = 714) and 24-h (n = 825) ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) at baseline evaluation who had a readable echocardiogram at entry and at the end of follow-up. Each normotensive group was divided into quartiles of LVM indexed (LVMI) to height.

RESULTS

Over a follow-up of 148 months cumulative incidence of new office, home and 24-h ABP hypertension were 35.9, 30.7 and 36.1%, respectively. In fully adjusted models (including age, sex, BMI change during follow-up, baseline serum glucose, creatinine, total cholesterol office, home and 24-h SBP and DBP). higher LVMI values (i.e. the highest vs. the lowest quartile) were independently associated with an increased risk of home [odds ratio (OR) = 2.14, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-3.77, P = 0.008] and 24-h ABP hypertension (OR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.05-2.76, P = 0.03). This was not the case for new-onset office hypertension (OR = 1.61, 95% CI 0.94-2.74, P = 0.07).

CONCLUSION

Our study provides the first evidence that in normotensive individuals the magnitude of LVMI is independently associated with the risk of incident out-of-office hypertension.

Proteomic Analysis of Longitudinal Changes in Blood Pressure

Hypertension is the leading risk factor for premature death worldwide. The identification of modifiable causes of hypertension remains an imperative task. We aimed to investigate associations between 79 proteins implicated in cardiovascular disease and longitudinal blood pressure (BP) changes in three Swedish prospective cohorts. In a discovery phase, we investigated associations between baseline circulating protein levels assessed with a proximity extension assay and BP stage progression at follow-up 5 years later among persons without BP-lowering drugs at baseline in two independent community-based cohorts from the Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors study (PIVUS) and the Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men (ULSAM). We used an independent cohort, the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDC), for replication. The primary outcome of BP stage progression was defined as per the 2017 AHA/ACC (American Heart Association/ American College of Cardiology) Guideline BP categories. We also investigated associations of protein levels with changes in BP on a continuous scale, and meta-analyzed all three cohorts. Levels of renin were associated with BP stage progression with a 5% false discovery rate (FDR) in the ULSAM (n = 238) and PIVUS (n = 566) cohorts, but we could not replicate this association in the MDC cohort (n = 2659). The association in the discovery cohorts was modest, with an odds ratio for BP stage progression over 5 years of 1.33 (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 1.56) per standard deviation of baseline renin. In conclusion, we could not find any novel robust associations with longitudinal BP increase in a proximity extension assay-based proteomics investigation in three cohorts.

Left ventricular concentric geometry predicts incident diabetes mellitus independent of established risk factors in the general population: the Copenhagen City Heart Study

Background

Subtle impairments in left ventricular (LV) function and geometry are common findings in individuals with diabetes. However, whether these impairments precede the development of diabetes mellitus (DM) is not entirely clear.

Methods

Echocardiograms from 1710 individuals from the general population free of prevalent diabetes mellitus were analyzed. Left ventricular (LV) concentric geometry was defined as either LV concentric remodeling or LV concentric hypertrophy as directed in contemporary guidelines. The severity of LV concentricity was assessed by relative wall thickness (RWT) calculated as posterior wall thickness (PWT) indexed to left ventricular internal diameter at end diastole (LVIDd) (RWT = 2 * PWT/LVIDd). End-point was incident DM.

Results

Median follow-up time was 12.6 years (IQR: 12.0–12.8 years). Follow-up was a 100%. A total of 55 participants (3.3%) developed DM during follow-up. At baseline, the prevalence of a concentric LV geometric pattern was significantly higher (41.8% vs 20.3%, p < 0.001) in individuals who developed DM during follow-up. In a final multivariable model adjusting for established DM risk factors including HbA1c, BMI and plasma glucose, LV concentric geometry and RWT remained significantly associated with incident DM (LV concentric geometry: HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.11–3.57, p = 0.021) (RWT: HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.06–1.86, p = 0.017, per 0.1 increase). This association remained despite adjustment for established risk factors for DM.

Conclusion

Altered LV geometry may precede the development of DM. LV concentric geometry determined by echocardiography and the severity of LV concentricity evaluated as RWT are associated with incident DM in the general population.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12933-019-0842-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Hypertension Survey in Italy: Novel Findings from the Campania Salute Network

The "Campania Salute" (CS) is a network system aimed at improving the management of essential hypertension by integrating the activity of general practitioners (GPs) with that of the hypertension specialists. It involves 23 outpatient hypertensive clinics distributed in different community hospitals of the Napoli's metropolitan area, 60 randomly selected GPs homogeneously distributed in the same area, and the Hypertension Clinic of the Federico II University in Naples (co-ordinating centre). Through the CS system it is possible to share clinical data collected during each visit at peripheral units (general practitioners and community hospitals hypertensive clinics), which manage low-risk hypertensive patients, and the co-ordinating centre, which mainly manages high-risk hypertensive patients. The co-ordinating centre works in co-operation with the peripheral units in the treatment and follow-up of all hypertensive patients. Since the first reports on the CS network activity, it has been evident the effectiveness of this network in ameliorating the clinical management of the hypertensive disease. CS network is also a large prospective registry that generated several scientific reports based on the longitudinal assessment of hypertensive patients during their treatment. Nowadays, as observed in the Health Search Database, the rate of BP control in Campania was 69.5%, almost reaching the "Objective 70%", a result that could be in part linked to the activity of the CS network.

Subclinical left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and incident type 2 diabetes risk: the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study

Background

Subclinical left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction in type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a common finding and represents an early sign of diabetic cardiomyopathy. However, the relationship between LV diastolic dysfunction and the incident T2D has not been previously studied.

Methods

A total of 1817 non-diabetic participants (mean age, 54 years; 48% men) from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study who were free of cardiovascular disease were studied. LV structure and function were assessed by conventional echocardiography and tissue Doppler imaging. Subclinical LV diastolic dysfunction was defined using age-specific cutoff limits for early diastolic (Em) velocity, mitral E/Em ratio, and left atrial volume index.

Results

During the 6-year follow-up period, 273 participants (15%) developed T2D. Participants with incident T2D had greater LV mass index (86.7 ± 16.4 vs. 91.2 ± 17.0 g/m²), worse diastolic function, reflected by lower Em velocity (7.67 ± 1.80 vs. 7.47 ± 1.70) and higher E/Em ratio (9.19 ± 2.55 vs. 10.23 ± 3.00), and higher prevalence of LV diastolic dysfunction (34.6 vs. 54.2%), compared with those who did not develop T2D (all P < 0.001). In a multivariate logistic regression model, lower Em velocity (odd ratio [OR], 0.867; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.786–0.957) and the presence of LV diastolic dysfunction (OR, 1.617; 95% CI 1.191–2.196) were associated with the development of T2D, after adjusting for potential confounding factors.

Conclusions

In a community-based cohort, the presence of subclinical LV diastolic dysfunction was a predictor of the progression to T2D. These data suggest that the echocardiographic assessment of LV diastolic function may be helpful in identifying non-diabetic subjects at risk of incident T2D.

Target-organ damage and incident hypertension: the Korean genome and epidemiology study

OBJECTIVE

Hypertension is associated with cardiovascular organ damage. However, data are scanty on whether individual forms or combinations of subclinical target organ damage (TOD) increase the risk of incident hypertension in nonhypertensive study participants.

METHODS

A total of 1785 nonhypertensive participants from the fourth biennial examination (2007-2008) of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study were followed-up for four years. Echocardiographic left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, LV diastolic dysfunction, increased carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) were defined according to the current guidelines.

RESULTS

During 4-year follow-up, 19.9% of participants developed hypertension. In multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, the adjusted hazard ratios for developing hypertension were 1.39, 1.66, 1.48, and 0.78 for higher values of the LV mass index, cIMT, baPWV, and tissue Doppler e' velocity, respectively (all P < 0.01). The hazard ratios for LV hypertrophy, LV diastolic dysfunction, cIMT >75th percentile, and baPWV ≥ 1400 cm/s were 1.61, 1.30, 1.86, and 2.07, respectively (all P < 0.05). Compared with participants without any TOD, those with combinations of TOD types had significantly greater risk for developing hypertension (hazard ratio = 2.12 and 3.98 for 1-2 and 3-4 TOD sites, respectively, all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In the nonhypertensive population, each subclinical form of TOD independently predicts incident hypertension. In addition, the combinations of various forms of TOD are associated with stepwise increases in the risk for developing hypertension. The results suggest that asymptomatic TOD does not always exist in an intermediate stage in the cardiovascular continuum.

More than a decade after live donor nephrectomy: a prospective cohort study

Previously reported short-term results after live kidney donation show no negative consequences for the donor. The incidence of new-onset morbidity takes years to emerge, making it highly likely that this will be missed during short-term follow-up. Therefore, evidence on long-term outcome is essential. A 10-year follow-up on renal function, hypertension, quality of life (QOL), fatigue, and survival was performed of a prospective cohort of 100 donors. After a median follow-up time of 10 years, clinical data were available for 97 donors and QOL data for 74 donors. Nine donors died during follow-up of unrelated causes to donation, and one donor was lost to follow-up. There was a significant decrease in kidney function of 12.9 ml/min (P < 0.001) at follow-up. QOL showed significant clinically relevant decreases of 10-year follow-up scores in SF-36 dimensions of physical function (P < 0.001), bodily pain (P = 0.001), and general health (P < 0.001). MFI-20 scores were significantly higher for general fatigue (P < 0.001), physical fatigue (P < 0.001), reduced activity (P = 0.019), and reduced motivation (P = 0.030). New-onset hypertension was present in 25.6% of the donors. Donor outcomes are excellent 10 years post-donation. Kidney function appears stable, and hypertension does not seem to occur more frequently compared to the general population.

Left ventricular hypertrophy after hypertensive pregnancy disorders

OBJECTIVE

Cardiac changes of hypertensive pregnancy include left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and diastolic dysfunction. These are thought to regress postpartum. We hypothesised that women with a history of hypertensive pregnancy would have altered LV geometry and function when compared with women with only normotensive pregnancies.

METHODS

In this cohort study, we analysed echocardiograms of 2637 women who participated in the Family Blood Pressure Program. We compared LV mass and function in women with hypertensive pregnancies with those with normotensive pregnancies.

RESULTS

Women were evaluated at a mean age of 56 years: 427 (16%) had at least one hypertensive pregnancy; 2210 (84%) had normotensive pregnancies. Compared with women with normotensive pregnancies, women with hypertensive pregnancy had a greater risk of LVH (OR: 1.42; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.99, p=0.05), after adjusting for age, race, research network of the Family Blood Pressure Program, education, parity, BMI, hypertension and diabetes. When duration of hypertension was taken into account, this relationship was no longer significant (OR: 1.19; CI 0.08 to 1.78, p=0.38). Women with hypertensive pregnancies also had greater left atrial size and lower mitral E/A ratio after adjusting for demographic variables. The prevalence of systolic dysfunction was similar between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A history of hypertensive pregnancy is associated with LVH after adjusting for risk factors; this might be explained by longer duration of hypertension. This finding supports current guidelines recommending surveillance of women following a hypertensive pregnancy, and sets the stage for longitudinal echocardiographic studies to further elucidate progression of LV geometry and function after pregnancy.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATIONS

GENOA- NCT00005269; HyperGEN- NCT00005267; Sapphire- NCT00005270; GenNet- NCT00005268.

New Insights from Major Prospective Cohort Studies with Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance (CMR)

Since 1948, epidemiology studies played an important role in understanding cardiovascular disease and afforded an opportunity to learn about newer diagnostic tests. In 2000, the MESA Study incorporated several advanced cardiovascular imaging modalities including cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and coronary artery calcium scans. The decade of follow-up enabled prognosis studies, an important step beyond association studies. In brief, left ventricular hypertrophy by cardiac MRI predicted incident heart failure and stroke. In the MESA Study, coronary artery calcium was a better predictor of coronary artery disease end points than the non-contrast-enhanced MRI scan. In the ICELAND MI substudy of the AGES-Reykjavik Study, a contrast-enhanced MRI scan detected many more unrecognized myocardial infarctions (MIs) (UMIs) than detected by electrocardiography and documented these UMI had adverse prognostic significance. Thus, cardiac MRI has been successfully incorporated into large population studies and shown added value over conventional measurements of cardiovascular disease.

Cardiovascular Risk Factors from Early Life Predict Future Adult Cardiac Structural and Functional Abnormalities: A Systematic Review of the Published Literature

Background

Clinical practice evaluates cardiovascular risk based on current risk factor (RF) levels [Blood pressure (BP), body mass index (BMI) and glycaemic control] largely disregarding previous risk-factor history over the totality of the life course. RFs are related to contemporaneous echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function which in turn are independently related to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in cross-sectional studies. However, the effect of lifetime or earlier RF history on future echocardiographic changes has never been systematically examined.

Methods

A systematic review of the published literature identified 24 studies relating either earlier BP, BMI, glycaemic control or a combination to future cardiac structure and/or function.

Results

The majority of studies showed that elevated BP and BMI in earlier life and greater cumulative burden of these factors resulted in worse cardiac structure up to 24 years later. Studies examining glycaemic control as RF were few, but poorer glycaemic control in young adults was associated with increased future left ventricular mass.

While only 5 papers related RFs to future cardiac function, all RFs were positively associated with worse future diastolic function.

Conclusions

BP, BMI and glycaemic control measures in childhood, adolescence and early adulthood and subsequent longitudinal trajectories of BP and BMI are predictive of future abnormalities in cardiac structure and function. Lifetime RF history should be used to inform clinical practice. Further research is required to enable the identification of any sensitive periods in the life course to enable prevention when it is most likely to be effective.

Hemodynamic and echocardiographic profiles in African American compared with White offspring of hypertensive parents: the HyperGEN study

BACKGROUND

Alterations in cardiovascular structure and function have been shown to precede the finding of elevated blood pressure.

METHODS

This study is part of the Hypertension Genetic Epidemiologic Network (HyperGEN) in which genetic and environmental determinants of hypertension were investigated in 5 geographical field centers. All nonhypertensive offspring (n = 1,035) were included from the entire HyperGEN study population that consists of 2,225 hypertensive patients and 1,380 nonhypertensive patients who had adequate echocardiographic left ventricular (LV) mass measurements. Participants were compared by self-declared race (African American and white).

RESULTS

Nonhypertensive African American offspring were younger (aged 31 years vs. 38 years), more likely to be female, and had a higher body mass index (BMI) and higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) than their white counterparts. After adjusting for age, sex, SBP, pulse pressure (PP), BMI, diabetes status, and family effects, we observed statistically significant and potentially pathophysiological differences (all with P ≤ 0.001) with greater LV mass/height, relative wall thickness, and posterior wall thickness and with lesser midwall shortening, PP/stroke volume, and (PP/stroke volume)/fat-free body mass.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that ethnic differences in hemodynamic and echocardiographic profiles exist in a large, population-based cohort of nonhypertensive offspring of hypertensive parents.

Hypertensive target organ damage predicts incident diabetes mellitus

Aims

Whether patients with hypertensive preclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) are at higher risk of incident diabetes has never been studied.

Methods and results

We assessed incident diabetes in 4176 hypertensive non-diabetic patients (age 58.7 ± 8.9 years, 58% male) with ≥1 year follow-up (median: 3.57 years; inter-quartile range: 2.04–7.25). Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy (LVH) was defined as LV mass index (LVMi) ≥51 g/m^2.7. Carotid atherosclerosis (CA) was defined as intima-media thickness >1.5 mm. During follow-up, diabetes developed in 393 patients (9.4%), more frequently in those with than without initial LVH or CA (odds ratio = 1.97 and 1.67, respectively; both P < 0.0001). In the Cox regression, the presence of either initial LVH or CA was associated with higher hazard of diabetes [hazards ratio (HR) = 1.30 and 1.38, respectively; both P = 0.03], independently of the type and number of anti-hypertensive medications, initial systolic blood pressure (P < 0.001), body mass index, fasting glucose, family history of diabetes (all P < 0.0001), and therapy with β-blockers. The presence of one of the, or both, markers of preclinical CVD increased the chance of incident diabetes by 63 or 64%, respectively (both P < 0.002), independently of significant confounders, a result that was confirmed (HR = 1.70 or 1.93, respectively; both P < 0.0001) using ATPIII metabolic syndrome (HR = 2.73; P < 0.0001) in the Cox model.

Conclusion

Initial LVH and CA are significant predictors of new onset diabetes in a large population of treated hypertensive patients, independently of initial metabolic profile, anti-hypertensive therapy, and other significant covariates. This sequence may be attributable to risk factors common to preclinical CVD and diabetes, but a vascular origin of diabetes cannot be excluded.

Lack of reduction of left ventricular mass in treated hypertension: the strong heart study

Background

Hypertensive left ventricular mass (LVM) is expected to decrease during antihypertensive therapy, based on results of clinical trials.

Methods and Results

We assessed 4‐year change of echocardiographic LVM in 851 hypertensive free‐living participants of the Strong Heart Study (57% women, 81% treated). Variations of 5% or more of the initial systolic blood pressure (SBP) and LVM were categorized for analysis. At baseline, 23% of men and 36% of women exhibited LV hypertrophy (LVH, P<0.0001). At the follow‐up, 3% of men and 10% of women had regression of LVH (P<0.0001 between genders); 14% of men and 15% of women, free of baseline LVH, developed LVH. There was an increase in LVM over time, more in men than in women (P<0.001). Participants whose LVM did not decrease had similar baseline SBP and diastolic BP, but higher body mass index (BMI), waist/hip ratio, heart rate (all P<0.008), and urinary albumin/creatinine excretion (P<0.001) than those whose LVM decreased. After adjusting for field center, initial LVM index, target BP, and kinship degree, lack of decrease in LVM was predicted by higher baseline BMI and urinary albumin/creatinine excretion, independently of classes of antihypertensive medications, and significant effects of older age, male gender, and percentage increase in BP over time. Similar findings were obtained in the subpopulation (n=526) with normal BP at follow‐up.

Conclusions

In a free‐living population, higher BMI is associated with less reduction of hypertensive LVH; lack of reduction of LVM is independent of BP control and of types of antihypertensive treatment, but is associated with renal damage.

Cardiac and vascular consequences of pre-hypertension in youth

Hypertension is associated with increased left ventricular mass (LVM) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), which predict cardiovascular (CV) events in adults. Whether target organ damage is found in pre-hypertensive youth is not known. The authors measured body mass index, blood pressure, fasting glucose, insulin, lipids and C-reactive protein, LVM/height(2.7) (LVM index), diastolic function, cIMT, carotid stiffness, augmentation index, brachial artery distensibility, and pulse wave velocity (PWV) in 723 patients aged 10 to 23 years (29% with type 2 diabetes mellitus). Patients were stratified by blood pressure level (normotensive: 531, pre-hypertensive: 65, hypertensive: 127). Adiposity and CV risk factors worsened across blood pressure group. There was a graded increase in cIMT, arterial stiffness, and LVM index and decrease in diastolic function from normotension to pre-hypertension to hypertension. In multivariable models adjusted for CV risk factors, status as pre-hypertension or hypertension remained an independent determinant of target organ damage for LVM, diastolic function, internal cIMT, and carotid and arterial stiffness. Pre-hypertension is associated with cardiovascular target organ damage in adolescents and young adults.

Association of left ventricular hypertrophy with incident hypertension: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Increased left ventricular (LV) mass and changes in LV geometry may precede hypertension onset. The authors examined the associations of LV mass and geometry, assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, with hypertension incidence in 2,567 normotensive participants enrolled in 2000-2002 in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, an ethnically diverse, population-based, US study. Over a median follow-up of 4.8 years, 745 (29%) participants developed hypertension. In a fully adjusted model including baseline blood pressure, the relative risks of incident hypertension from the lowest to highest LV mass quartile were 1.00 (referent), 1.13 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89, 1.43), 1.28 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.63), and 1.78 (95% CI: 1.38, 2.30) (P < 0.001 for linear trend). Higher levels of LV concentric geometry, defined by higher LV mass to end-diastolic volume quartiles, were associated with higher risk of incident hypertension in a fully adjusted model (P = 0.044 for linear trend). In a final model containing both quartiles of LV mass and LV mass/volume along with all covariates including baseline blood pressure, higher LV mass quartiles were associated with incident hypertension (P < 0.001 for linear trend), whereas higher LV mass/volume quartiles were not (P = 0.643 for linear trend). In this multiethnic cohort, alterations in LV mass preceded hypertension onset among normotensive individuals.

Cardiovascular and metabolic predictors of progression of prehypertension into hypertension: the Strong Heart Study

Prehypertension (defined by the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure) frequently evolves to hypertension (HTN) and increases cardiovascular risk. It is unclear whether metabolic and/or cardiac characteristics favor development of HTN in prehypertensive subjects. We evaluated baseline anthropometric, laboratory, and echocardiographic characteristics of 625 untreated prehypertensive participants in the Strong Heart Study, without prevalent cardiovascular disease (63% women; 22% with diabetes mellitus; mean age: 59+/-7 years) to identify predictors of the 4-year incidence of HTN. Diabetes mellitus was assessed by American Diabetic Association criteria, and a diabetes-specific definition of HTN was used. Four-year incidence of HTN was 38%. Incident HTN was independently predicted by baseline systolic blood pressure (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60 per 10 mm Hg; 95% CI: 1.30 to 2.00; P<0.0001), waist circumference (OR: 1.10 per 10 cm; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.30; P=0.04), and diabetes mellitus (OR: 2.73; 95% CI=1.77 to 4.21; P<0.0001), with no significant effect for age, sex, hemoglobin A1c, homeostatic model assessment index, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, low-density lipoprotein and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, plasma creatinine, or urine albumin:creatinine ratio. Higher left ventricular mass index (OR: 1.15 per 5 g/m(2.7); 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.25; P=0.03) or stroke volume index (OR: 1.25 per 5 mL/m(2.04); 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.50; P=0.03) was also identified, together with baseline systolic blood pressure and the presence of diabetes mellitus, as an independent predictor of incident HTN, without an additional predictive contribution from other anthropometric, metabolic, or echocardiographic parameters (all P>0.10). Thus, progression to HTN in 38% of Strong Heart Study prehypertensive participants could be predicted by higher left ventricular mass and stroke volume in addition to baseline systolic blood pressure and prevalent diabetes mellitus.