Blood pressure trends and mortality: the Leiden 85-plus Study

Association of low blood pressure and falls: An analysis of data from the Leiden 85-plus Study

BACKGROUND

Falls and consequent injuries are prevalent in older adults. In this group, half of injury-related hospitalizations are associated with falls and the rate of falls increases with age. The evidence on the role of blood pressure and the use of antihypertensive treatment on the risk of falls remains unclear in oldest-old adults (≥85 years).

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and incident falls with medical consequences in oldest-old adults and to analyse whether this association is modified by the use of antihypertensive treatments or the presence of cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

We analysed data from the Leiden 85-plus Study, a prospective, population-based cohort study with adults aged ≥85 years and a 5-year follow-up. Falls with medical consequences were reported by the treating physician of participants. We assessed the association between time-updated systolic blood pressure and the risk of falling over a follow-up period of five years using generalized linear mixed effects models with a binomial distribution and a logit link function. Subgroup analyses were performed to examine the role of antihypertensive treatment and the difference between participant with and without cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

We analysed data from 544 oldest-old adults, 242 (44.4%) of which used antihypertensives. In 81 individuals (15%) ≥1 fall(s) were reported during the follow-up period. The odds for a fall decreased by a factor of 0.86 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.93) for each increase in blood pressure by 10 mmHg. This effect was specific to blood pressure values above 130mmHg. We did not find any evidence that the effect would be modified by antihypertensive treatment, but that there was a tendency that it would be weaker in participants with cardiovascular disease (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90 per 10mmHg) compared to those without cardiovascular disease (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.05 per 10mmHg).

CONCLUSION

Our results point towards a possible benefit of higher blood pressure in the oldest-old with respect to falls independent of the use of antihypertensive treatments.

Rational Prescribing and Deprescribing of Antihypertensive Medications in Older People, a Three-Part Narrative Review, Part 3

What happens when you stop? This is the third of a three-part series on antihypertensive medication use in older people. In the first, we reviewed the importance of better blood pressure (BP) control, even in older people with hypertension. In the second, we discussed the limitations of the evidence favoring intensive therapy for some older people. For older people with advanced frailty or those with a limited life expectancy, medications taken for BP can actually be a source of morbidity. Guidelines encourage clinical judgment and rational prescribing. Sometimes the best action is to stop prescribing. De-prescribing of medical therapy is now considered good practice for a range of medications for suitable patients; should this include antihypertensives? In part three of this three-part series, we will review some of the evidence available thus far, demonstrating de-intensification of antihypertensive medications is not a new idea. We will offer a guide to identifying the most suitable patients for de-prescribing: cognitive impairment, frailty, when circumstances change, or when BP is (too) well-controlled. This is an area of equipoise and needs more research. There is a path forward that we hope to illuminate.

Cardiovascular Risk Factor Control in 70- to 95-Year-Old Individuals: Cross-Sectional Results from the Population-Based AugUR Study

Cardiovascular risk factors such as high glucose, LDL-cholesterol, blood pressure, and impaired kidney function are particularly frequent in old-aged individuals. However, population-based data on the extent of cardiovascular risk factor control in the old-aged population is limited. AugUR is a cohort of the mobile “70+”-year-old population of/near Regensburg, recruited via population registries. We conducted cross-sectional analyses assessing the proportion of AugUR participants with LDL-cholesterol, HbA1c, or blood pressure beyond recommended levels and their association with impaired creatinine- and cystatin-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) or urine albumin–creatinine ratio (UACR, ≥30 mg/g). Among 2215 AugUR participants, 74.7% were taking lipid-, glucose-, blood-pressure-lowering, or diuretic medication. High LDL-cholesterol at ≥116 mg/dL was observed for 76.1% (51.1% among those with prior cardiovascular events). We found HbA1c ≥ 7.0% for 6.3%, and high or low systolic blood pressure for 6.8% or 26.5%, respectively (≥160, <120 mmHg). Logistic regression revealed (i) high HbA1c levels associated with increased risk for impaired kidney function among those untreated, (ii) high blood pressure with increased UACR, and (iii) low blood pressure with impaired eGFR, which was confined to individuals taking diuretics. Our results provide important insights into cardiovascular risk factor control in individuals aged 70–95 years, which are understudied in most population-based studies.

Mortality in Elderly Patients Taking Furosemide: Prospective Cohorts Study

Objectives

Low blood pressure (BP) has been proposed as a risk factor of death in elderly patients. However, this association could be partially accounted for by the deleterious effects of BP-lowering drugs. We analyzed whether these drugs are associated to an increased risk of death in elderly patients taking multiple potential confounders into account.

Design

This is a prospective cohort study. Setting and Participants. Probabilistic sample of 772 community-dwelling patients aged >65 years living in Spain, who were appointed for an initial clinical visit and followed up through telephone calls 4, 6, 9, 12, and 60 months afterwards.

Methods

At baseline visit, BP was measured using standardized methods, and BP medications and risk factors of death in elderly patients (BMI, oxygen saturation, toxic habits, comorbidity, muscular strength, and functional and cognitive capacity) were collected. During the follow-up, the vital status of patients and the date of death were ascertained.

Results

During a median 5-year follow-up, 226 all-cause deaths occurred among the 686 participants included in the analysis. In a Cox regression model that included all the BP drug classes, diuretics and nitrites were significantly associated with mortality (p < 0.005). Within diuretics, furosemide was found to be responsible for the association of the group. In multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for BP and the rest of the mortality risk factors, furosemide remained as the only BP drug that was independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio 2.34; p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Furosemide was prospectively associated with increased mortality in older people. If confirmed, this drug should be taken into account by prescribers and considered a confounder in BP studies.

Allostatic load as predictor of mortality: a cohort study from Lolland-Falster, Denmark

OBJECTIVES

The purposes of the present study were to determine the association between (1) 10 individual biomarkers and all-cause mortality; and between (2) allostatic load (AL), across three physiological systems (cardiovascular, inflammatory, metabolic) and all-cause mortality.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

We used data from the Lolland-Falster Health Study undertaken in Denmark in 2016-2020 and used data on systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), pulse rate (PR), waist-hip ratio (WHR) and levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), triglycerides, glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum albumin. All biomarkers were divided into quartiles with high-risk values defined as those in the highest (PR, WHR, triglycerides, HbA1c, CRP) or lowest (HDL-c, albumin) quartile, or a combination hereof (LDL-c, SBP, DBP). The 10 biomarkers were combined into a summary measure of AL index. Participants were followed-up for death for an average of 2.6 years.

PARTICIPANTS

We examined a total of 13 725 individuals aged 18+ years.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Cox proportional hazard regression (HR) analysis were performed to examine the association between AL index and mortality in men and women.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality increased with increasing AL index. With low AL index as reference, the HR was 1.33 (95% CI: 0.89 to 1.98) for mid AL, and HR 2.37 (95% CI: 1.58 to 3.54) for high AL.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated physiological burden measured by mid and high AL index was associated with a steeper increase of mortality than individual biomarkers.

Associations of falls and severe falls with blood pressure and frailty among Chinese community-dwelling oldest olds: The Chinese Longitudinal Health and Longevity Study

INTRODUCTION

Falls are a leading cause of death among Chinese oldest olds. However, studies on Chinese community-dwelling older adults are lacking. We aimed to identify the associations of falls and severe falls with blood pressure and frailty among Chinese community-dwelling oldest olds.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analyses were conducted with 6,595 community-dwelling oldest olds (aged ≥80 years) from 22 Chinese provinces from the Chinese Longitudinal Health and Longevity Study (CLHLS). Systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were measured twice at participants' homes, and a 38-item frailty index was used to assess the frailty status of participants. Falls and severe falls were confirmed through face-to-face interviews. Multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate the associations of BP and frailty with falls and severe falls.

RESULTS

The mean participant age was 91.0 years, and 56.1% were female. In total, 24.2% participants had a history of fall and 8.3% had a history of severe falls. The multivariate-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for falls among the oldest old with SBP ≥140 mm Hg compared to those with an SBP of 120-129 mm Hg was 1.20 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.44). The adjusted OR for falls among frail participants compared to robust participants was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02-1.89). DBP and pre-frailty were not associated with falls after multivariate adjustment. SBP, DBP, and frailty status were not associated with severe falls after multivariate adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

SBP and frailty but not DBP and pre-frailty are associated with increased odds of falls among Chinese community-dwelling oldest olds.

Blood pressure, antihypertensive medication and neuropsychiatric symptoms in older people with dementia: The COSMOS study

OBJECTIVES

Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are very common in older patients with dementia. There is increasing evidence that hypoperfusion of the brain plays a role in the development of NPS. The aim of this study is to assess whether there is an association between low systolic blood pressure (SBP) and NPS and if NPS are more prevalent in older people with dementia using antihypertensive medication.

METHODS

We studied the baseline data from participants in the Communication, Systematic pain treatment, Medication review, Organized activities and Safety study, a multicenter clustered trial with 765 participants from 72 nursing home units from 37 nursing homes in Norway. SBP (lowest quartile vs rest) and use of antihypertensive medication were predictors and Neuropsychiatric Inventory-Nursing Home version (NPI-NH) score (total and clusters) was the outcome. Missing data were imputed, except for missing data in predictors. We used a mixed model analysis adjusted for age, sex and Minimal Mental State Examination (MMSE) score. In a sensitivity analysis, continuous SBP values were used.

RESULTS

In total, 412 patients were included with a mean age of 86.9 years, 53.9% had a MMSE score of <11. There was no difference in total NPI-NH score between low and high SBP (difference -1.07, P_dj = 0.62). There was no difference between high and low SBP and the NPI clusters. The use of antihypertensive medication was not associated with a different total or cluster NPI-NH score compared to no use (difference -0.99, P_adj = 0.95, P_all = 0.37-0.99, respectively). In the sensitivity analyses with the continuous SBP levels, there was no association between SBP and NPI-NH score (estimate 1.00, 95%CI 0.98-1.01, P = 0.25).

CONCLUSION

We found no association between low SBP and NPS, nor between antihypertensive use and NPS.

Association of Cardiovascular Risk Factors and APOE Polymorphism with Mortality in the Oldest Old: A 21-Year Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Knowledge of environmental and genetic factors for healthy aging in elderly people is controversial. In addition to this evidence, few studies have been designed for this population.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relationship between the most frequent apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotypes and mortality in very elderly individuals living in a community and to evaluate survival according to cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS

A sample of 74 elderly individuals aged ≥ 80 years, from the Veranópolis Project cohort, was selected for APOE genotyping. At baseline, anthropometric variables, glucose and lipid levels, blood pressure, and lifestyle variables (smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity) were collected. The Bayer Activities of Daily Living Scale was applied to their caregivers. Total study follow-up was 21 years. Two-sided p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

There was no association between APOE genotypes and mortality. However, the risk of death in elderly smokers was 2.30 times higher (hazard ratio [HR], 95% CI 1.01 to 5.24); in individuals with diabetes, it was 3.95 times higher (HR, 95% CI 1.27 to 12.30) than in individuals without diabetes. Subjects who practiced vigorous physical activity had a 51% reduction in risk of death (HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.88). For an increase of 1 mmHg in systolic blood pressure, there was a 2% reduction (HR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.97 to 0.99) in risk of death.

CONCLUSION

In this sample population, APOE genotypes were not associated with mortality. However, classic cardiovascular risk factors may be important for overall mortality in the very elderly.

van der Ploeg M, Floriani C, Kurpas D, Vinker S, Kreitmayer Pestic S, Petrazzuoli F, Hoffmann K, Viegas RPA, Mallen C, Tatsioni A, Maisonneuve H, Collins C, Lingner H, Tsopra R, Mueller Y, Poortvliet RKE, Gussekloo J, Streit S. Managing hypertension in frail oldest-old-The role of guideline use by general practitioners from 29 countries

Background

The best management of hypertension in frail oldest-old (≥80 years of age) remains unclear and we still lack guidelines that provide specific recommendations. Our study aims to investigate guideline use in general practitioners (GPs) and to examine if guideline use relates to different decisions when managing hypertension in frail oldest-old.

Design/Setting

Cross-sectional study among currently active GPs from 29 countries using a case-vignettes survey.

Methods

GPs participated in a survey with case-vignettes of frail oldest-olds varying in systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD). GPs from 26 European countries and from Brazil, Israel and New Zealand were invited. We compared the percentage of GPs reporting using guidelines per country and further stratified on the most frequently mentioned guidelines. To adjust for patient characteristics (SBP, CVD and GPs’ sex, years of experience, prevalence of oldest-old and location of their practice), we used a mixed-effects regression model accounting for clustering within countries.

Results

Overall, 2,543 GPs from 29 countries were included. 59.4% of them reported to use guidelines. Higher guideline use was found in female (p = 0.031) and less-experienced GPs (p<0.001). Across countries, we found a large variation in self-reported guideline use, ranging from 25% to 90% of the GPs, but there was no difference in hypertension treatment decisions in frail oldest-old patients between GPs that did not use and GPs that used guidelines, irrespective of the guidelines they used.

Conclusion

Many GPs reported using guidelines to manage hypertension in frail oldest-old patients, however guideline users did not decide differently from non-users concerning hypertension treatment decisions. Instead of focusing on the fact if GPs use guidelines or not, we as a scientific community should put an emphasis on what guidelines suggest in frail and oldest-old patients.

Function, Oxidative, and Inflammatory Stress Parameters in Immune Cells as Predictive Markers of Lifespan throughout Aging

According to the oxidative-inflammatory theory of aging, there is a link between the function, the oxidative-inflammatory stress state of immune cells, and longevity. However, it is unknown which immune cell parameters can predict lifespan and if there would be any changes in this prediction, depending on the age of the subject. Therefore, a longitudinal study in mice was performed analysing immune function (chemotaxis of macrophages and lymphocytes, phagocytosis of macrophages, natural killer (NK) activity, and lymphoproliferation capacity), antioxidant (catalase (CAT), glutathione peroxidase (GPx), and glutathione reductase (GR) activities as well as reduced glutathione (GSH) concentrations), oxidant (oxidized glutathione (GSSG), superoxide anion, and malondialdehyde (MDA) concentrations), and inflammation-related markers (basal release of IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-10) in peritoneal leukocytes from mice at the adult, mature, old, very old, and long-lived ages (40, 56, 72, 96, and 120 ± 4 weeks of age, respectively). The results reveal that some of the investigated parameters are determinants of longevity at the adult age (lymphoproliferative capacity, lymphocyte chemotaxis, macrophage chemotaxis and phagocytosis, GPx activity, and GSH, MDA, IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-10 concentrations), and therefore, they could be proposed as markers of the rate of aging. However, other parameters are predictive of extreme longevity only at the very old age (NK activity, CAT and GR activities, and IL-6 and IL-1β concentrations), and as such, they could reflect some of the adaptive mechanisms underlying the achievement of high longevity. Nevertheless, although preliminary, the results of the present study provide a new perspective on the use of function, redox, and inflammatory parameters in immune cells as prognostic tools in aging research and represent a novel benchmark for future work aimed at prediction of lifespan.

Visit-To-Visit Blood Pressure Variability and the Risk of Dementia in Older People

BACKGROUND

High visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in blood pressure (BP) is associated with cerebrovascular lesions on neuroimaging.

OBJECTIVE

Our primary objective was to investigate whether VVV is associated with incident all-cause dementia. As a secondary objective, we studied the association of VVV with cognitive decline and cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

We included community-dwelling people (age 70-78 year) from the 'Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care' (preDIVA) trial with three to five 2-yearly BP measurements during 6-8 years follow-up. VVV was defined using coefficient of variation (CV; SD/mean×100). Cognitive decline was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Incident CVD was defined as myocardial infarction or stroke. We used a Cox proportional hazard regression and mixed-effects model adjusted for sociodemographic factors and cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

In 2,305 participants (aged 74.2±2.5), mean systolic BP over all available visits was 150.1 mmHg (SD 13.6), yielding a CV of 9.0. After 6.4 years (SD 0.8) follow-up, 110 (4.8%) participants developed dementia and 140 (6.1%) CVD. Higher VVV was not associated with increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 1.00 per point CV increase; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-1.05), although the highest quartile of VVV was associated with stronger decline in MMSE (β -0.09, 95% CI -0.17 to -0.01). Higher VVV was associated with incident CVD (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.04-1.11).

CONCLUSION

In our study among older people, high VVV is not associated with incident all-cause dementia. It is associated with decline in MMSE and incident CVD.

Frailty in Chinese older adults with hypertension: Prevalence, associated factors, and prediction for long-term mortality

Hypertension and frailty are associated and often coexist in older adults. Few studies have examined the association between hypertension and frailty in Chinese population. We explored the prevalence of and the factors associated with frailty as well as whether frailty could identify patients at risk of adverse outcomes among older adults with hypertension. Data were from the Beijing Longitudinal Study of Aging. A total of 1111 hypertensive participants aged ≥60 years old who completed the comprehensive geriatrics assessment were included. All participants were followed up for 8 years. The total number of deaths was 604. Frailty was assessed by the 68-item frailty index. Stepwise forward logistic regression was used to explore the association between the associated factors and frailty in hypertensive participants. The prediction for mortality was assessed using the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. Two hundred and eighteen older adults were determined as frail (prevalence rate: 19.6%). Frail older adults with hypertension had worse physical performance, worse psychological, and social function, as well as worse lifestyle habits, compared to nonfrail older adults with hypertension. Chair stand test failure, balance test failure, fracture, disability, depression, and physical frailty measured with modified frailty phenotype were independently associated with frailty. Frailty was associated with a higher 8-year mortality, hazard ratio (HR) = 3.40, adjusted for age and sex, HR = 2.61. Frailty is associated with poorer physical function and higher mortality in community-dwelling hypertensive older adults in China. These findings emphasize the importance and need for frailty intervention and prevention in older adults with hypertension.

Late-life blood pressure association with cerebrovascular and Alzheimer disease pathology

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations of average and change in late-life blood pressure (BP) with cerebrovascular and Alzheimer disease (AD) neuropathology in a large group of decedents followed longitudinally in vivo.

METHODS

This clinical-pathologic study was derived from prospective, community-based cohort studies of aging with similar design and data collection. Measurements of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were obtained annually (mean follow-up 8 years, SD = 4.8). Postmortem neuropathologic evaluations documented diseases of aging. Using regression analyses, we examined associations of average and decline in late-life SBP, and separately in DBP, with neuropathology.

RESULTS

In 1,288 persons (mean age at death = 88.6 years; 65% women), the mean standardized person-specific SBP across the study was 134 (SD = 13) and DBP was 71 (SD = 8) mm Hg. The odds of brain infarcts were increased for participants with a higher mean SBP. Specifically, a person with a 1 SD SBP above the mean (147 vs 134 mm Hg) would have a 46% increased odds of having one or more infarcts, and an increased odds of gross infarct (46%) and microinfarct (36%). Furthermore, a more rapidly declining SBP slope over time increased the odds of one or more infarcts. Mean DBP, not slope, was related to brain infarcts. AD pathology analyses showed an association of a higher mean SBP with higher number of tangles (p = 0.038) but not plaques or other pathology (all p > 0.06). Changes in BP were not significantly related to AD pathology.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher average late-life SBP and DBP, and independently a faster decline in SBP, are associated with increasing number of brain infarcts, including gross and microinfarcts. We found some evidence for a relation of SBP with AD, specifically tangles. Both average and decline in BP are related to brain disease.

Management of hypertension in older people

INTRODUCTION

As the population ages, the prevalence of hypertension is increasing. Treatment of hypertension is associated with a reduction in cardiovascular risk. However, the optimal blood pressure targets in older people are not clearly defined due to paucity of randomised clinical trials specific to this age group.

AREAS COVERED

We performed a Medline and Embase search from 1998 to present for articles on the management of hypertension in older people published in English language.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

The recent guidelines have suggested a lower blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg. Due to the heterogeneity of older people, this universal low target may not be applicable to all of them. Targets based on functional level rather than chronological age are more appropriate. Special considerations in older people such as increased prevalence of frailty, falls, dementia, polypharmacy and the predominance of isolated systolic hypertension should also be taken into account. Tighter control, if well tolerated, is suitable for the fit person but relaxed targets are more reasonable in individuals with physical or cognitive decline. Therefore, in older people, targets should be individualised putting quality, rather than quantity, of life at the heart of their care plans.

Lower blood pressure during antihypertensive treatment is associated with higher all-cause mortality and accelerated cognitive decline in the oldest-old. Data from the Leiden 85-plus Study

BACKGROUND

the appropriateness of lowering systolic blood pressure remains controversial in the oldest-old. We tested whether systolic blood pressure is associated with all-cause mortality and change in cognitive function for patients prescribed antihypertensive treatment and those without treatment.

METHODS

we studied participants in the population-based Leiden 85-plus cohort study. Baseline systolic blood pressure and use of antihypertensive treatment were predictors; all-cause mortality and change in cognitive function measured using the Mini-Mental State Examination were the outcomes. Grip strength was measured as a proxy for physical frailty. We used Cox proportional hazards and mixed-effects linear regression models to analyse the relationship between systolic blood pressure and both time to death and change in cognitive function. In sensitivity analyses, we excluded deaths within 1 year and restricted analyses to participants without a history of cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

of 570 participants, 249 (44%) were prescribed antihypertensive therapy. All-cause mortality was higher in participants with lower blood pressure prescribed antihypertensive treatment (HR 1.29 per 10 mmHg lower systolic blood pressure, 95% CI 1.15-1.46, P < 0.001). Participants taking antihypertensives showed an association between accelerated cognitive decline and lower blood pressure (annual mean change -0.35 points per 10 mmHg lower systolic blood pressure, 95% CI -0.60, -0.11, P = 0.004); decline in cognition was more rapid in those with lower hand grip strength. In participants not prescribed antihypertensive treatment, no significant associations were seen between blood pressure and either mortality or cognitive decline.

CONCLUSIONS

lower systolic blood pressure in the oldest-old taking antihypertensives was associated with higher mortality and faster decline in cognitive function.

Blood Pressure Targets in the Hypertensive Elderly

OBJECTIVE

Hypertension is an important risk factor of cardiovascular disease and increases mortality in the elderly. However, the available medical evidences are both inconsistent and insufficient regarding establishing credible and useful blood pressure (BP) targets in the hypertensive elderly. This review summarizes the existing evidences used for establishing optimal BP targets for this patient population and points out some data inconsistencies which have added to the uncertainty.

DATA SOURCES

We conducted a search for the articles published in English in the PubMed database up to March 2017, with the keywords "hypertension," "elderly," "blood pressure," and "antihypertensive."

STUDY SELECTION

Articles that related to BP targeting in the hypertensive elderly were selected for this review.

RESULTS

The selected studies indicated that antihypertensive therapy can substantially reduce the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, for a subset of the elderly (60 years or older) with systolic BP> 160 mmHg. Studies regarding more strict targets yielded mixed findings. For the very old and frail patients (80 years or older), there is a lack of evidence that optimal BP targets and intensive antihypertensives are helpful but in fact may be harmful.

CONCLUSIONS

There are solid evidences that patients who are 60-80 years old and in good health have benefited from lowering their BP to below 150/90 mmHg. If well tolerated, the BP target can be further lowered to below 140/90 mmHg. However, for the very old and frail, individualized and careful assessment is crucial. Antihypertensive treatment should be cautious and the adverse effect of drugs requires close monitoring as such treatment can be counterproductive.

Association of diastolic blood pressure with cardiovascular events in older people varies upon cardiovascular history

BACKGROUND

In older age, a low DBP has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events, especially in frail older people. We tested the hypothesis that low DBP is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular events in people with a previous history of cardiovascular disease, as a proxy of vascular impairment.

METHODS

We included 5804 participants (mean age 75 years) from the PROspective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER) who as part of the trial were intensively monitored for an average period of 3.2 years. DBP was categorized in low (<70 mmHg), normal (70-90 mmHg) or high (>90 mmHg). Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to estimate hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals (CI); analyses were stratified for cardiovascular history.

RESULTS

Participants with low DBP had a 1.24-fold (1.04; 1.49) increased risk of cardiovascular events compared with those with normal DBP. After further adjusting for cardiovascular factors, this association attenuated to 1.05 (0.86; 1.28). A previous history of cardiovascular disease significantly modified the relation between DBP and risk of cardiovascular events (P-interaction 0.042). In participants without a history of cardiovascular disease, DBP was marginally significantly associated with an increased event risk (hazard ratio (95% CI) per 10 mmHg increase in DBP 1.08 (0.99; 1.18), P value = 0.07), whereas in participants with a history of cardiovascular disease, higher DBP was associated with a decreased risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio (95% CI) per 10 mmHg increase in DBP 0.92 (0.85; 0.99, P value = 0.018). These risk estimates were independent of potential confounders, including classical cardiovascular risk factors.

CONCLUSION

The association of DBP with cardiovascular events in older people varies upon their previous history, showing that in participants with preexisting cardiovascular diseases, a higher DBP associates with a decreased risk of future cardiovascular events.

Systolic blood pressure decline in very old individuals is explained by deteriorating health: Longitudinal changes from Umeå85+/GERDA

Declining systolic blood pressure (SBP) is common in very old age and is associated with adverse events, such as dementia. Knowledge of factors associated with SBP changes could explain the etiology of this decline in SBP. This study investigated longitudinal changes in socioeconomic factors, medical conditions, drug prescriptions, and assessments and their associations with SBP changes among very old followed individuals.The study was based on data from the Umeå85+/Gerontological Regional Database (GERDA) cohort study, which provided cross-sectional and longitudinal data on participants aged 85, 90, and ≥95 years from 2000 to 2015. Follow-up assessments were conducted after 5 years. The main outcome was a change in SBP. Factors associated with SBP changes were assessed using multivariate linear regression models.In the Umeå85+/GERDA study, 454 surviving individuals underwent follow-up assessment after 5 years. Of these, 297 had SBP measured at baseline and follow-up. The mean change ± standard deviation in SBP was -12 ± 25 mm Hg. SBP decline was associated independently with later investigation year (P = .009), higher baseline SBP (P < .001), baseline antidepressant prescription (P = .011), incident acute myocardial infarction during follow-up (P = .003), new diuretic prescription during follow-up (P = .044), and a decline in the Barthel Activities of Daily Living index at follow-up (P < .001).In conclusion, SBP declines among very old individuals. This decline seems to be associated with initial SBP level, investigation year, and health-related factors.

Association between Frailty and Hypertension Prevalence, Treatment, and Control in the Elderly Korean Population

Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome characterized by increased risk of disability, hospitalization, and mortality. Hypertension (HTN) is one of the most common chronic medical conditions in the elderly. However, there have been few studies regarding the association between frailty and HTN prevalence, treatment, and control rates. We analyzed data of 4,352 older adults (age ≥ 65 years) from the fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. We constructed a frailty index based on 42 items and classified participants as robust, pre-frail, or frail. Of the subjects, 2,697 (62.0%) had HTN and 926 (21.3%) had pre-HTN. Regarding frailty status, 721 (16.6%), 1,707 (39.2%), and 1,924 (44.2%) individuals were classified as robust, pre-frail and frail, respectively. HTN prevalence was higher in frail elderly (67.8%) than pre-frail (60.8%) or robust elderly (49.2%) (P < 0.001). Among hypertensive patients, frail elderly were more likely to be treated than pre-frail or robust elderly (P < 0.001), but the proportion of patients whose blood pressure was under control ( < 150/90 mmHg) was lower in frail elderly (P = 0.005). Considering the adverse cardiovascular outcomes associated with frailty, more attention should be paid to the blood pressure control of the frail elderly.

Validation of a new mortality risk prediction model for people 65 years and older in northwest Russia: The Crystal risk score

BACKGROUND

Prediction models help to make decisions about further management in clinical practice. This study aims to develop a mortality risk score based on previously identified risk predictors and to perform internal and external validations.

METHODS

In a population-based prospective cohort study of 611 community-dwelling individuals aged 65+ in St. Petersburg (Russia), all-cause mortality risks over 2.5 years follow-up were determined based on the results obtained from anthropometry, medical history, physical performance tests, spirometry and laboratory tests. C-statistic, risk reclassification analysis, integrated discrimination improvement analysis, decision curves analysis, internal validation and external validation were performed.

RESULTS

Older adults were at higher risk for mortality [HR (95%CI)=4.54 (3.73-5.52)] when two or more of the following components were present: poor physical performance, low muscle mass, poor lung function, and anemia. If anemia was combined with high C-reactive protein (CRP) and high B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) was added the HR (95%CI) was slightly higher (5.81 (4.73-7.14)) even after adjusting for age, sex and comorbidities. Our models were validated in an external population of adults 80+. The extended model had a better predictive capacity for cardiovascular mortality [HR (95%CI)=5.05 (2.23-11.44)] compared to the baseline model [HR (95%CI)=2.17 (1.18-4.00)] in the external population.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a new risk prediction score that may be used to identify older adults at higher risk for mortality in Russia. Additional studies need to determine which targeted interventions improve the outcomes of these at-risk individuals.

Blood Pressure Trajectory, Gait Speed, and Outcomes: The Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to (i) evaluate previous observations that the association of blood pressure (BP) with outcomes varies by gait speed and (ii) evaluate the association of subsequent changes in BP and cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

Participants included 2,669 adults aged 70-79 years in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) study. Gait speed was dichotomized at ≥1.0 m/s over a 20-m test at baseline. BP was measured at baseline, and changes in BP over 5 years were evaluated using (i) population-based trajectory models and (ii) intraindividual mean and slope.

RESULTS

Over a mean of 10 years, there were 1,366 deaths, 336 first myocardial infarctions, and 295 first strokes. There was a differential pattern of association between baseline systolic BP and diastolic BP and outcomes among brisk and moderate speed walkers. For example, the association between higher diastolic BP and mortality was in the protective direction for moderate speed walkers (hazard ratio = 0.75; 95% confidence interval: 0.63, 0.91) per 10 mmHg higher, whereas it was null in brisk walkers (hazard ratio = 1.05; 95% confidence interval: 0.98, 1.11), p value for interaction .01. The 5-year population-based trajectories did not add important information beyond baseline BP. Individual slopes in both systolic BP and diastolic BP did not appear to have important associations with the outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we found that the overall level of BP was associated with myocardial infarction, stroke, and death, and this association differed by baseline gait speed, whereas changes in BP were not associated with these outcomes.

Dynamics of biomarkers in relation to aging and mortality

Contemporary longitudinal studies collect repeated measurements of biomarkers allowing one to analyze their dynamics in relation to mortality, morbidity, or other health-related outcomes. Rich and diverse data collected in such studies provide opportunities to investigate how various socio-economic, demographic, behavioral and other variables can interact with biological and genetic factors to produce differential rates of aging in individuals. In this paper, we review some recent publications investigating dynamics of biomarkers in relation to mortality, which use single biomarkers as well as cumulative measures combining information from multiple biomarkers. We also discuss the analytical approach, the stochastic process models, which conceptualizes several aging-related mechanisms in the structure of the model and allows evaluating "hidden" characteristics of aging-related changes indirectly from available longitudinal data on biomarkers and follow-up on mortality or onset of diseases taking into account other relevant factors (both genetic and non-genetic). We also discuss an extension of the approach, which considers ranges of "optimal values" of biomarkers rather than a single optimal value as in the original model. We discuss practical applications of the approach to single biomarkers and cumulative measures highlighting that the potential of applications to cumulative measures is still largely underused.

Blood Pressure in Older Adults: the Importance of Frailty

The importance of high blood pressure (BP) and the effect of BP lowering in older adults remain controversial due to the mixed evidence in this population. Frailty status may resolve the apparently conflicting findings and identify subpopulations who share common risk. Emerging evidence demonstrates that low BP is associated with poor outcomes in older frail adults or those with poor functional status. In contrast, in non-frail older adults, low BP appears beneficial. Frail older adults may be at increased risk of hypotension, serious fall injuries, and polypharmacy. Additionally, peripheral BP may not be the best prognostic measure in this population. The majority of clinical practice guidelines give little recommendation for frail older adults, which is likely due to their systematic underrepresentation in randomized controlled trials. Future studies need to consider modifications to safely include frail older adults, and guidelines should consider inclusion of evidence beyond randomized controlled trials.

Left Ventricular Mass as a Risk Factor in the Oldest Old

In middle-aged and "young elderly" cohorts, higher left ventricular mass (LVM) is associated with worse outcomes. The authors examined LVM and 5-year mortality among community-dwelling 85-year-old patients. A representative sample (n=526, born 1920-1921) from the Jerusalem Longitudinal Cohort Study underwent echocardiography at age 85. LVM was indexed by body surface area (LVM-BSA) or height (LVM-Ht). Patients with higher LVM were less educated and sedentary and had poorer self-rated health, functional limitations, and increased comorbidity. Five-year mortality was 21.7% (n=114). Adjusted 5-year mortality rates were increased for the two upper quintiles of LVM-BSA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-3.06) and LVM-Ht (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-3.5). A step up in mortality occurred around the third quintile corresponding with LVM-BSA 110 g/m(2) or LVM-Ht 51 g/m(2.7). Among the oldest old, elevated LVM is significantly associated with mortality.

Hypertension in the geriatric population: a patient-centered approach

Hypertension contributes greatly to adverse cardiovascular outcomes; the magnitude of this contribution increases with age. The most recent guideline has proposed raising the goal systolic blood pressure to less than 150 mm Hg among those over age 60; however, this recommendation is not endorsed by other organizations. There are multiple contributors to hypertension in the older individual, including increased vascular stiffness, salt sensitivity, and decreased baroreceptor responsiveness. Therapy in the hypertensive patient over age 60 should be individualized and account for patient's health, functional and cognitive status, comorbidities, frailty, and prognosis.

Blood pressure, gait speed, and mortality in very old individuals: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Clinical trials and observational studies have produced contradictory results regarding the association of blood pressure (BP) and mortality in people aged 80 years or older. Gait speed at usual pace has been shown to moderate this association in a population of noninstitutionalized people aged 65 years or older. The aims of this study were to investigate the association of BP with all-cause mortality in a representative sample of people aged 85 years or older and to assess whether gait speed moderates this association.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 806 participants in the population-based prospective Umeå 85+/GERDA study aged 85, 90, and 95 years or older.

MEASUREMENTS

Gait speed at usual pace was measured over 2.4 m. The main outcome was hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality according to systolic and diastolic BP categories in the total sample and in faster-walking (≥0.5 m/s, n = 312) and slower-walking (<0.5 m/s, n = 433) subcohorts; the latter also included habitually nonwalking participants. Comprehensive adjustments were made for sociodemographic and clinical characteristics associated with death.

RESULTS

Mean age and baseline systolic and diastolic BP were 89.6 ± 4.6 years, 146.8 ± 23.9 mm Hg, and 74.8 ± 11.1 mm Hg, respectively. Most (n = 561 [69%]) participants were women, 315 (39%) were care facility residents, and 566 (70%) were prescribed BP-lowering drugs. Within 5 years, 490 (61%) participants died. In the total sample and slower-walking subcohort, systolic BP appeared to be inversely associated with mortality, although not independent of adjustments. Among faster-walking participants, mortality risk after adjustment was more than 2 times higher in those with systolic BP of 140 to 149 mm Hg (HR = 2.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.03-4.94) and 165 mm Hg or higher (HR = 2.13, 95% CI = 1.01-4.49), compared with systolic BP of 126 to 139 mm Hg. Mortality risk was also independently higher in faster-walking participants with diastolic BP higher than 80 mm Hg, compared with diastolic BP of 75 to 80 mm Hg (HR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.07-2.90).

CONCLUSION

The gait speed threshold of 0.5 m/s may be clinically useful for the distinction of very old people with and without increased all-cause mortality risk due to elevated systolic and diastolic BP.

NT-proBNP, blood pressure, and cognitive decline in the oldest old: The Leiden 85-plus Study

OBJECTIVE

To study the relation between N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels, used as a marker of heart failure in clinical practice, blood pressure (BP), and cognitive decline in the oldest old.

METHODS

In 560 participants of the Leiden 85-plus Study, we measured NT-proBNP levels and BP at age 85 years, at baseline, and global cognitive function (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE]) annually during the follow-up of 5 years.

RESULTS

Subjects in the highest tertile of NT-proBNP levels scored 1.7 points lower on the MMSE at age 85 years than subjects in the lowest tertile (p = 0.004), and had a 0.24-point-steeper decline in MMSE score per year (p = 0.021). The longitudinal association disappeared after full adjustment for possible confounders (0.14-point-steeper decline, p = 0.187). Subjects in the category "highest tertile of NT-proBNP and the lowest tertile of systolic BP" had a 3.7-point-lower MMSE score at baseline (p < 0.001) and a 0.49-point-steeper decline in MMSE score per year (p < 0.001) compared with subjects in the other categories.

CONCLUSIONS

In the oldest old, high NT-proBNP levels are associated with lower MMSE scores. The combination of high NT-proBNP levels and low systolic BP is associated with worst global cognitive function and the steepest cognitive decline. Possibly, a failing pump function of the heart results in lower BP and lower brain perfusion with resultant brain dysfunction.

Biomarkers of healthy ageing: expectations and validation

The challenge of devising a set of biomarkers capable of measuring the ageing rate in human subjects was articulated long ago. In recent years, progress in the basic biology of ageing suggests the realistic possibility of preventive or restaurative interventions that may extend healthy lifespan in mammals including human subjects. Specifically, frailty is being increasingly recognised as a clinically relevant syndrome that may be therapeutically addressed. This greatly enhances the need for sensitive and specific biomarkers of healthy ageing that are validated in both experimental animals and, importantly, in human subjects over the whole age range. Here, we will discuss the present challenges and requirements for biomarker validation in human subjects. We propose the central requirements for a validated biomarker of healthy ageing as: (i) better predictive power than chronological age for multiple dimensions of ageing; (ii) identification of the age range in which the marker is informative; (iii) establishment of sensitivity/specificity as indicators of its predictive power at the level of the individual; (iv) minimisation of methodological variation between laboratories.