Utility of the shock index in patients with sepsis

Prognostic impact of postoperative management by an intensive care unit intensivist after colonic perforation

PURPOSE

Postoperative management for colonic perforation is an important prognostic factor, but whether intensivists perform postoperative management varies between institutions.

METHODS

We investigated 291 patients with colonic perforation between 2018 and 2022. Patients were divided into those managed by an intensivists (ICU group; n = 40) and those not managed by an intensivists (non-ICU group; n = 251). We examined how management by intensivists affected prognosis using inverse probability weighting, and clarified which patients should consult an intensivists.

RESULTS

The ICU group showed a significantly higher shock index (1.15 vs. 0.75, p < 0.01), higher APACHE II score (16.0 vs. 10.0, p < 0.001), and more severe comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index 5.0 vs. 1.0, p < 0.001) and general peritonitis (85% vs. 38%, p < 0.001). Adjusted risk differences were - 24% (-34% to -13%) for 6-month mortality rate. Six-month mortality was improved by ICU intensivist management in patients with general peritonitis (risk difference - 22.8; 95% confidence interval - 34 to -11); APACHE II score ≥20 (-0.79; -1.06 to -0.52); lactate ≥1.6 (-0.38; -0.57 to -0.29); shock index ≥1.0 (-40.01; -54.87 to -25.16); and catecholamine index ≥10 (-41.16; -58.13 to -24.19).

CONCLUSIONS

Intensivists were involved in treating patients in poor general condition, but prognosis was extremely good. Appropriate case consultation with intensivists is important.

Development of a Predictive Nomogram for Sepsis in Patients with Urolithiasis-Related Obstructive Pyelonephritis

Background and Objectives: In patients with urolithiasis-related obstructive pyelonephritis (UROP), sepsis represents a critical and concerning complication that can substantially increase the mortality rate. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for sepsis in UROP patients and to develop a predictive nomogram model. Materials and Methods: We analyzed data from 148 patients who met the UROP criteria and were admitted to Chang Gung Memorial Hospital between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2021. The primary outcome evaluated was the incidence of sepsis, as defined by the most recent Sepsis-3 guidelines. To identify potential risk factors for sepsis, we employed the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression technique. Subsequently, we utilized multivariable logistic regression to construct the predictive model. Results: There was a total of 102 non-sepsis cases and 46 sepsis cases. Risk factors for sepsis in multivariable analysis were a history of diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR = 4.24, p = 0.007), shock index (SI) (×10-1) (OR = 1.55, p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) (mg/dL) (OR = 1.08, p = 0.005), and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (×10) (OR = 1.58, p = 0.007). The nomogram exhibited an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.890 (95% CI 0.830-0.949). Conclusions: Our study demonstrated that patients with UROP who have DM, higher SI, higher NLR, and elevated CRP levels are significantly more likely to develop sepsis. These insights may aid in risk stratification, and it is imperative that clinicians promptly initiate treatment for those identified as high risk.

Focused Cardiac Ultrasound Findings of Fluid Tolerance and Fluid Resuscitation in Septic Shock

OBJECTIVES

Compliance with the fluid bonus component of the SEP-1 (severe sepsis and septic shock management) bundle remains poor due to concerns for iatrogenic harm from fluid overload. We sought to assess whether patients who received focused cardiac ultrasound (FCU) and were found to be fluid tolerant (FT) were more likely to receive the recommended 30 mL/kg fluid bolus within 3 hours of sepsis identification.

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational cohort study.

SETTING

University-affiliated, tertiary-care hospital in the United States.

PATIENTS

Emergency department patients presenting with septic shock from 2018 to 2021. The primary exposure was receipt of FCU with identification of fluid tolerance 3 hours from onset of septic shock.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-two of 1,024 patients with septic shock received FCU within 3 hours of sepsis onset. One hundred seventy-seven were determined to be FT. One hundred fifteen patients were determined to have poor fluid tolerance (pFT). FT patients were more likely to reach the recommended 30 mL/kg fluid bolus amount compared with pFT (FT 52.0% vs. pFT 31.3%, risk difference: 20.7%, [95% CI, 9.4-31.9]). Patients who did not receive FCU met the bolus requirement 34.3% of the time. FT patients received more fluid within 3 hours (FT 2,271 mL vs. pFT 1,646 mL, mean difference 625 mL [95% CI, 330-919]). Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between fluid tolerance FCU findings and compliance with 30 mL/kg bolus after adjustment for patient characteristics and markers of hemodynamic instability. FT with associated with a higher likelihood of meeting bolus requirement (odds ratio 2.17 [1.52-3.12]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients found to be FT by FCU were more likely to receive the recommended 30 mL/kg bolus in the SEP-1 bundle when compared with patients found with pFT or those that did not receive FCU. There was no difference between groups in 28-day mortality, vasopressor requirement, or need for mechanical ventilation.

The value of shock index, modified shock index and age shock index to predict mortality and hospitalisation in a district level emergency centre

Introduction

Triage is the most important step in patients' journey through an Emergency Centre (EC) and directly impacts time to critical actions. Triage tools, like the South African Triage Scale, are however not designed to predict patient outcomes. The shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI) and age shock index (ASI) are clinical markers derived from vital signs and correlate with tissue perfusion in critically ill patients. This study aimed to assess the value of SI, MSI and ASI to predict mortality and the need for hospitalisation in all adult patients presenting to a district level emergency centre in South Africa.

Methods

This diagnostic study was performed as a retrospective observational study, using data from an existing electronic registry at a district level hospital emergency centre over a period of 24 months. All adult patients who presented to Mitchells Plain Hospital were eligible for inclusion. Sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios were calculated for each variable as a predictor of mortality and hospitalisation with pre-determined thresholds.

Results

During the study period of 24 months, a total of 61 329 patients ≥ 18 years old presented to the EC with 60 599 included in the final sample. A red SATS triage category (+LR = 7.2) and SI ≥1.3 (+LR = 4.9) were the only two predictors with any significant clinical value. The same two markers performed well for both patients with and without trauma and specifically for patients who died while under the care of the emergency centre.

Discussion

The study demonstrated that patients with a SI≥1.3 at triage have a significantly higher likelihood to die or require hospitalisation, whether the presenting complaint is trauma related or not, especially to predict mortality while under the care of the EC. Incorporating this marker as a triage alert could expedite the identification of patients requiring time critical interventions and improve patient throughput in the emergency centre.

Preoperative shock index in major abdominal emergency surgery

Introduction

Major abdominal emergency surgery (MAES) patients have a high risk of mortality and complications. The time-sensitive nature of MAES necessitates an easily calculable risk-scoring tool. Shock index (SI) is obtained by dividing heart rate (HR) by systolic blood pressure (SBP) and provides insight into a patient's haemodynamic status. We aimed to evaluate SI's usefulness in predicting postoperative mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), requirements for intensive care unit (ICU) and high-dependency monitoring, and the ICU length of stay (LOS).

Method

We retrospectively reviewed 212,089 MAES patients from January 2013 to December 2020. The cohort was propensity matched, and 3960 patients were included. The first HR and SBP recorded in the anaesthesia chart were used to calculate SI. Regression models were used to investigate the association between SI and outcomes. The relationship between SI and survival was explored with Kaplan-Meier curves.

Results

There were significant associations between SI and mortality at 1 month (odds ratio [OR] 2.40 [1.67-3.39], P<0.001), 3 months (OR 2.13 [1.56-2.88], P<0.001), and at 2 years (OR 1.77 [1.38-2.25], P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed significant relationships between SI and mortality at 1 month (OR 3.51 [1.20-10.3], P=0.021) and at 3 months (OR 3.05 [1.07-8.54], P=0.034). Univariate and multivariate analysis also revealed significant relationships between SI and AKI (P<0.001), postoperative ICU admission (P<0.005) and ICU LOS (P<0.001). SI does not significantly affect 2-year mortality.

Conclusion

SI is useful in predicting postopera-tive mortality at 1 month, 3 months, AKI, postoperative ICU admission and ICU LOS.

Prehospital pulse pressure and mortality of septic shock patients cared for by a mobile intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Septic shock medical treatment relies on a bundle of care including antibiotic therapy and hemodynamic optimisation. Hemodynamic optimisation consists of fluid expansion and norepinephrine administration aiming to optimise cardiac output to reach a mean arterial pressure of 65mmHg. In the prehospital setting, direct cardiac output assessment is difficult because of the lack of invasive and non-invasive devices. This study aims to assess the relationship between 30-day mortality and (i) initial pulse pressure (iPP) as (ii) pulse pressure variation (dPP) during the prehospital stage among patients cared for SS by a prehospital mobile intensive care unit (MICU).

METHODS

From May 09th, 2016 to December 02nd, 2021, septic shock patients requiring MICU intervention were retrospectively analysed. iPP was calculated as the difference between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) at the first contact between the patient and the MICU team prior to any treatment and, dPP as the difference between the final PP (the difference between SBP and DBP at the end of the prehospital stage) and iPP divided by prehospital duration. To consider cofounders, the propensity score method was used to assess the relationship between (i) iPP < 40mmHg, (ii) positive dPP and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 530 patients analysed, pulmonary, digestive, and urinary infections were suspected among 43%, 25% and 17% patients, respectively. The 30-day overall mortality rate reached 31%. Cox regression analysis showed an association between 30-day mortality and (i) iPP < 40mmHg; aHR of 1.61 [1.03-2.51], and (ii) a positive dPP; aHR of 0.56 [0.36-0.88].

CONCLUSION

The current study reports an association between 30-day mortality rate and iPP < 40mmHg and a positive dPP among septic shock patients cared for by a prehospital MICU. A negative dPP could be helpful to identify septic shock with higher risk of poor outcome despite prehospital hemodynamic optimization.

[Correlation between the shock index and the anaerobic index]

Background

Shock is defined as an acute circulatory insufficiency that causes cellular dysfunction. The shock index (SI) and the anaerobic index or the relationship between the veno-arterial gradient of carbon dioxide and the difference between the arterial and venous content of O₂ [∆P(v-a)CO2/ΔC(a-v)O2] are markers of systemic hypoperfusion.

Objective

To determine if there is a correlation between the SI and the anaerobic index in patients with circulatory shock.

Material and methods

Observational and prospective study in patients with circulatory shock. The SI and the anaerobic index were calculated at admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and during their stay. Pearson's correlation coefficient was calculated and the association of SI with mortality was explored with bivariate logistic regression.

Results

59 patients aged 55.5 (± 16.5) years, 54.3% men, were analyzed. The most frequent type of shock was hypovolemic (40.7%). They had SOFA score: 8.4 (± 3.2) and APACHE II: 18.5 (± 6). The SI was: 0.93 (± 0.32) and the anaerobic index: 2.3 (± 1.3). Global correlation was r = 0.15; at admission r = 0.29; after 6 hours: r = 0.19; after 24 hours: r = 0.18; after 48 hours: r = 0.44, and after 72 hours: r = 0.66. The SI > 1 at ICU admission had an OR 3.8 (95% CI: 1.31-11.02), p = 0.01.

Conclusions

The SI and the anaerobic index have a weak positive correlation during the first 48 hours of circulatory shock. The SI > 1 is a possible risk factor for death in patients with circulatory shock.

A Comparative Study on Predictive Validity of Modified Shock Index, Shock Index, and Age Shock Index in Predicting the Need for Mechanical Ventilation among Sepsis Patients in a Tertiary Care Hospital

Introduction

The shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), and age multiplied by SI (ASI) are used to assess the severity of shock. They are also used to predict the mortality of trauma patients, but their validity for sepsis patients is controversial. The aim of this study is to assess the predictive value of the SI, MSI, and ASI in predicting the need for mechanical ventilation after 24 h of admission among sepsis patients.

Methods

A prospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary care teaching hospital. Patients with sepsis (235) diagnosed based on systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria and quick sequential organ failure assessment were included in the study. The need for mechanical ventilation after 24 h is the outcome variables MSI, SI, and ASI were considered as predictor variables. The utility of MSI, SI, and ASI in predicting mechanical ventilation was assessed by receiver operative curve analysis. Data were analyzed using coGuide.

Results

Among the study population, the mean age was 56.12 ± 17.28 years. MSI value at the time of disposition from the emergency room had good predictive validity in predicting mechanical ventilation after 24 h, as indicated by the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (P < 0.001), SI and ASI had fair predictive validity for mechanical ventilation as indicated by AUC (0.78, P < 0.001) and (0.802, P < 0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

SI had better sensitivity (78.57%) and specificity (77.07%) compared to ASI and MSI in predicting the need for mechanical ventilation after 24 h in sepsis patients admitted to intensive care units.

Association between prehospital shock index variation and 28-day mortality among patients with septic shock

PURPOSE

Septic shock (SS) hyperdynamic phase is characterized by tachycardia and low-blood pressure reflecting the relative hypovolemia. Shock index (SI), the ratio between heart rate and systolic blood pressure, is a simple objective tool, usable for SS prognosis assessment. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between prehospital SI variation and 28-day mortality of SS patients initially cared for in prehospital setting by a mobile intensive care unit (mICU).

METHODS

From April 6th, 2016 to December 31st, 2020, 406 patients with SS requiring prehospital mICU were retrospectively analyzed. Initial SI, i.e. first measurement after mICU arrival to the scene, and final SI, i.e. last measurement of the prehospital stage, were used to calculate delta SI (initial SI-final SI) and to define positive and negative delta SI. A survival analysis after propensity score matching compared the 28-day mortality of SS patients with positive/negative delta SI.

RESULTS

The main suspected origins of infection were pulmonary (42%), digestive (25%) and urinary (17%). The 28-day overall mortality reached 29%. Cox regression analysis revealed a significant association between 28-day mortality and delta SI. A negative delta SI was associated with an increase in mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HRa) of 1.88 [1.07-3.31] (p = 0.03)), whereas a positive delta SI was associated with a mortality decrease (HRa = 0.53 [0.30-0.94] (p < 10-3)).

CONCLUSION

Prehospital hemodynamic delta SI among SS patients cared for by a mICU is associated with 28-day mortality. A negative prehospital delta SI could help physicians to identify SS with higher risk of 28-day mortality.

Machine Learning Models for Early Prediction of Sepsis on Large Healthcare Datasets

Sepsis is a highly lethal syndrome with heterogeneous clinical manifestation that can be hard to identify and treat. Early diagnosis and appropriate treatment are critical to reduce mortality and promote survival in suspected cases and improve the outcomes. Several screening prediction systems have been proposed for evaluating the early detection of patient deterioration, but the efficacy is still limited at individual level. The increasing amount and the versatility of healthcare data suggest implementing machine learning techniques to develop models for predicting sepsis. This work presents an experimental study of some machine-learning-based models for sepsis prediction considering vital signs, laboratory test results, and demographics using Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) (v1.4), a publicly available dataset. The experimental results demonstrate an overall higher performance of machine learning models over the commonly used Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Quick SOFA (qSOFA) scoring systems at the time of sepsis onset.

A surgeon's predicament: Clinical predictors of surgery and mortality in neutropenic enterocolitis

BACKGROUND

Neutropenic enterocolitis is uncommon but potentially life-threatening, with the cornerstone of treatment being medical management (MM), and surgical intervention reserved for clinical deterioration or bowel perforation. We hypothesized that the Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) is elevated in patients who are at greatest risk for surgical intervention and mortality. We also sought to identify computed tomography (CT) findings associated with surgical intervention and mortality.

METHODS

A single-center cancer registry was reviewed for neutropenic enterocolitis patients from 2006 -2018. Survival models compared patients with normal versus elevated SIPA throughout their hospitalizations for the time to surgical management (SM), as well as in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Seventy-four patients with neutropenic enterocolitis were identified; 7 underwent surgery. In-hospital mortality was 12% in MM and 29% in SM; mortality among patients with elevated SIPA was 4.7 times higher compared to those with normal SIPA (95% CI: 1.1, 19.83, p = 0.04). CT findings of bowel obstruction, pneumatosis, and a greater percentage of large bowel involvement were associated with surgical intervention (all ps < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Select pre-operative CT findings were associated with need for operative management. Elevated SIPA was associated with increased mortality. Elevated SIPA in pediatric cancer patients with neutropenic enterocolitis may help to identify those with more severe disease and expedite beneficial interventions.

Improving the EHMRG Prognostic Evaluation of Acute Heart Failure with TAPSE/PASp: A Sequential Approach

The Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade (EHMRG) can predict short-term mortality in patients admitted for acute heart failure (AHF) in the emergency department (ED). This paper aimed to evaluate if TAPSE/PASp, an echocardiographic marker of ventricular desynchronization, can improve in-hospital death prediction in patients at moderate-to-high risk, according to EHMRG score classification. From 1 January 2018 to 30 December 2019, we retrospectively enrolled all the consecutive subjects admitted to our Internal Medicine Department for AHF from the ED. We performed bedside echocardiography within the first 24 h of admission. We evaluated EHMRG and NYHA in the ED, days of admission in Internal Medicine, and in-hospital mortality. We assessed cutoffs with ROC curve analysis and survival with Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression. We obtained a cohort of 439 subjects; 10.3% underwent in-hospital death. Patients with normal TAPSE/PASp in EHMRG Classes 4, 5a, and 5b had higher survival rates (100%, 100%, and 94.3%, respectively), while subjects with pathologic TAPSE/PASp had lower survival rates (81.8%, 78.3%, and 43.4%, respectively) (p < 0.0001, log-rank test). TAPSE/PASp, an echocardiographic marker of ventricular desynchronization, can further stratify the risk of in-hospital death evaluated by EHMRG.

Incidence and risk factors associated with early death in patients with emergency department septic shock

Background

Limited research has explored early mortality among patients presenting with septic shock. The objective of this study was to determine the incidence and factors associated with early death following emergency department (ED) presentation of septic shock.

Methods

A prospective registry of patients enrolled in an ED septic shock clinical pathway was used to identify patients. Patients were compared across demographic, comorbid, clinical, and treatment variables by death within 72 hours of ED presentation.

Results

Among the sample of 2,414 patients, overall hospital mortality was 20.6%. Among patients who died in the hospital, mean and median time from ED presentation to death were 4.96 days and 2.28 days, respectively. Death at 24, 48, and 72 hours occurred in 5.5%, 9.5%, and 11.5% of patients, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that the following factors were independently associated with early mortality: age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.05), malignancy (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.11–2.11), pneumonia (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.02–1.88), urinary tract infection (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.44–0.89), first shock index (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.27–2.70), early vasopressor use (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.60–2.92), initial international normalized ratio (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07–1.27), initial albumin (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44–0.69), and first serum lactate (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.16–1.26).

Conclusions

Adult septic shock patients experience a high rate of early mortality within 72 hours of ED arrival. Recognizable clinical factors may aid the identification of patients at risk of early death.

Comparison of 4 Different Threshold Values of Shock Index in Predicting Mortality of COVID-19 Patients

OBJECTIVE

The object of this study was to examine the accuracy in prehospital shock index (SI) for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) requirement and 30-d mortality among from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients transported to the hospital by ambulance.

METHODS

All consecutive patients who were the age ≥18 y, transported to the emergency department (ED) by ambulance with a suspected or confirmed COVID-19 in the prehospital frame were included in the study. Four different cutoff points were compared (0.7, 0.8, 0.9, and 1.0) to examine the predictive performance of both the mortality and ICU requirement of the SI. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate each cut-off value discriminatory for predicting 30-d mortality and ICU admission.

RESULTS

The total of 364 patients was included in this study. The median age in the study population was 69 y (range, 55-80 y), of which 196 were men and 168 were women. AUC values for 30-d mortality outcome were calculated as 0.672, 0.674, 0.755, and 0.626, respectively, for threshold values of 0.7, 0.8, 0.9 and 1.0. ICU admission was more likely for the patients with prehospital SI > 0.9. Similarly, the mortality rate was higher in patients with prehospital SI > 0.9.

CONCLUSIONS

Early triage of COVID-19 patients will ensure efficient use of health-care resources. The SI could be a helpful, fast, and powerful tool for predicting mortality status and ICU requirements of adult COVID-19 patients. It was concluded that the most useful threshold value for the shock index in predicting the prognosis of COVID-19 patients is 0.9.

In-hospital mortality of acute pulmonary embolism: Predictive value of shock index, modified shock index, and age shock index scores

OBJECTIVE

The shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), and age shock index (ASI) have been reported to predict adverse outcomes in patients with different acute cardiovascular conditions. This study aimed to investigate the association between these indexes and in-hospital mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

METHODS

The medical records of all adult patients who were hospitalized with acute pulmonary embolism between June 2014 and June 2019, were examined. Collected data included vital signs, demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and laboratory values on presentation. The predictive value of SI, MSI, ASI, and pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) for predicting in-hospital mortality were compared by C-statistics.

RESULTS

A total of 602 consecutive patients (mean age 66.7±13.2 years, 55% female) were included, and 62 (10.3%) of the patients died during their in-hospital course. The admission SI, MSI, ASI, and PESI were significantly higher in the deceased patients. After adjusting for other factors, the SI, MSI, PESI, and ASI were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The prognostic performance of ASI (C-statistics 0.74) was better than MSI (C-statistics 0.71), SI (C-statistics 0.68), and PESI (C-statistics 0.65).

CONCLUSION

The ASI may be used to identify patients at risk for in-hospital mortality following acute pulmonary embolism.

Evaluation of the ability of haemodynamic variables obtained with minimally invasive techniques to assess fluid responsiveness in endotoxaemic Beagles

OBJECTIVE

To examine the ability of different haemodynamic variables recorded by minimally invasive monitoring techniques to assess fluid responsiveness (FR) in endotoxaemic Beagles.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective terminal experimental study.

ANIMALS

A group of six healthy, purpose-bred Beagle dogs (three intact females and males), age 5-9.8 years (range) and weighing 11.4-17.9 kg.

METHODS

Endotoxaemic shock was induced by injecting 1 mg kg^-1Escherichia coli lipopolysaccharide (LPS) intravenously in six sevoflurane-anaesthetized mechanically ventilated Beagles for another project. After 10 minutes, three Ringer's acetate boluses (10 mL kg^-1) were administered each over 10 minutes with collection of haemodynamic data immediately before and after each bolus. Thereafter, arterial hypotension was treated with noradrenaline ± dexmedetomidine until arterial pressures increased to a target value. After a wash-out period of 20 minutes another three boluses of fluid were administered and measurements were repeated equally. For each fluid bolus, FR was considered positive when change (Δ) in stroke volume measured by pulmonary artery thermodilution was ≥15%. To test predictive accuracy for FR, we recorded heart rate, invasive arterial, right atrial and pulmonary capillary wedge pressures, pulse wave transit time with haemodynamic monitors, calculated pulse pressure, shock index and rate over pressure evaluation (ROPE) and measured stroke distance and corrected flow time (FTc) with oesophageal Doppler monitoring.

RESULTS

A total of 35 measurements (19 positive and 16 negative responses) were evaluated. A FTc < 330 ms, Δ pulse pressure ≥20%, Δ shock index ≤-14% and ΔROPE ≤-17% were the most significant indicators of positive FR with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve between 0.72 and 0.74.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

In endotoxaemic Beagles, none of the assessed haemodynamic variables could predict FR with high sensitivity and specificity.

Best-practice IgM- and IgA-enriched immunoglobulin use in patients with sepsis

Background

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. Despite treatment being in line with current guidelines, mortality remains high in those with septic shock. Intravenous immunoglobulins represent a promising therapy to modulate both the pro- and anti-inflammatory processes and can contribute to the elimination of pathogens. In this context, there is evidence of the benefits of immunoglobulin M (IgM)- and immunoglobulin A (IgA)-enriched immunoglobulin therapy for sepsis. This manuscript aims to summarize current relevant data to provide expert opinions on best practice for the use of an IgM- and IgA-enriched immunoglobulin (Pentaglobin) in adult patients with sepsis.

Main text

Sepsis patients with hyperinflammation and patients with immunosuppression may benefit most from treatment with IgM- and IgA-enriched immunoglobulin (Pentaglobin). Patients with hyperinflammation present with phenotypes that manifest throughout the body, whilst the clinical characteristics of immunosuppression are less clear. Potential biomarkers for hyperinflammation include elevated procalcitonin, interleukin-6, endotoxin activity and C-reactive protein, although thresholds for these are not well-defined. Convenient biomarkers for identifying patients in a stage of immune-paralysis are still matter of debate, though human leukocyte antigen–antigen D related expression on monocytes, lymphocyte count and viral reactivation have been proposed. The timing of treatment is potentially more critical for treatment efficacy in patients with hyperinflammation compared with patients who are in an immunosuppressed stage. Due to the lack of evidence, definitive dosage recommendations for either population cannot be made, though we suggest that patients with hyperinflammation should receive an initial bolus at a rate of up to 0.6 mL (30 mg)/kg/h for 6 h followed by a continuous maintenance rate of 0.2 mL (10 mg)/kg/hour for ≥ 72 h (total dose ≥ 0.9 g/kg). For immunosuppressed patients, dosage is more conservative (0.2 mL [10 mg]/kg/h) for ≥ 72 h, without an initial bolus (total dose ≥ 0.72 g/kg).

Conclusions

Two distinct populations that may benefit most from Pentaglobin therapy are described in this review. However, further clinical evidence is required to strengthen support for the recommendations given here regarding timing, duration and dosage of treatment.

Use of Intravenous Immunoglobulins in Sepsis Therapy-A Clinical View

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction, defined by a dysregulated host immune response to infection. During sepsis, the finely tuned system of immunity, inflammation and anti-inflammation is disturbed in a variety of ways. Both pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory pathways are upregulated, activation of the coagulation cascade and complement and sepsis-induced lymphopenia occur. Due to the manifold interactions in this network, the use of IgM-enriched intravenous immunoglobulins seems to be a promising therapeutic approach. Unfortunately, there is still a lack of evidence-based data to answer the important questions of appropriate patient populations, optimal timing and dosage of intravenous immunoglobulins. With this review, we aim to provide an overview of the role of immunoglobulins, with emphasis on IgM-enriched formulations, in the therapy of adult patients with sepsis and septic shock.

Heart Rate Variability, Clinical and Laboratory Measures to Predict Future Deterioration in Patients Presenting With Sepsis

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification of patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with sepsis can be challenging. We derived and evaluated performance of a predictive model containing clinical, laboratory, and heart rate variability (HRV) measures to quantify risk of deterioration in this population.

METHODS

ED patients aged 21 and older satisfying the 1992 consensus conference criteria for sepsis and able to consent (directly or through a surrogate) were enrolled (n = 1,247). Patients had clinical, laboratory, and HRV data recorded within 1 h of ED presentation, and were followed to identify deterioration within 72 h.

RESULTS

Eight hundred thirty-two patients had complete data, of whom 68 (8%) reached at least one endpoint. Optimal predictive performance was derived from a combination of laboratory values and HRV metrics with an area under the receiver-operating curve (AUROC) of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.65-0.92). This combination of variables was superior to clinical (AUROC = 0.69, 95% CI, 0.54-0.83), laboratory (AUROC = 0.77, 95% CI, 0.63-0.90), and HRV measures (AUROC = 0.76, 95% CI, 0.61-0.90) alone. The HRV+LAB model identified a high-risk cohort of patients (14% of all patients) with a 4.3-fold (95% CI, 3.2-5.4) increased risk of deterioration (incidence of deterioration: 35%), as well as a low-risk group (61% of all patients) with 0.2-fold (95% CI 0.1-0.4) risk of deterioration (incidence of deterioration: 2%).

CONCLUSIONS

A model that combines HRV and laboratory values may help ED physicians evaluate risk of deterioration in patients with sepsis and merits validation and further evaluation.

Prehospital Shock Precautions on Triage (PSPoT) score to assess in-hospital mortality for septic shock

CONTEXT

In the prehospital setting, early identification of septic shock (SS) with high risk of poor outcome is a daily issue. There is a need for a simple tool aiming to early assess outcome in order to decide delivery unit (emergency department (ED) or intensive care unit (ICU)). In France, prehospital emergencies are managed by the Service d'Aide Médicale d'Urgence (SAMU). The SAMU physician decides the destination ward either to the ICU or to the ED after on scene severity assessment. We report the association between The Prehospital Shock Precautions on Triage (PSPoT) score, and in-hospital mortality of SS patients initially cared for in the prehospital setting by a mobile ICU (MICU).

METHODS

SS patients cared for by MICU were prospectively included between February 2017 and July 2019. The PSPoT score was established by adding shock index>1 and criterion based on past medical history: age >65 years and at least 1 previous comorbidity (chronic cardiac failure, chronic renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, previous or actual history of cancer, institutionalization, hospitalisation within previous 3 months. A threshold of ≥2, was arbitrarily chosen for clinical relevance and usefulness in clinical practice.

RESULTS

One-hundred and sixty-nine with a median age of 72 [20-93] years were analysed. SS origin was mainly pulmonary (54%), abdominal (19%) and urinary (15%). The median PSPoT score was 2 [1-2]. PSPoT score and PSPoT score ≥ 2 were associated with in-hospital mortality: OR = 1.24 [0.77-2.05] and OR = 2.19 [1.09-4.59] respectively.

CONCLUSION

We report an association between PSPoT score, and in-hospital mortality of SS patients cared for by a MICU. A PSPoT score ≥ 2 early identifies poorer outcome.

Optimal Hemodynamic Parameter to Predict the Neurological Outcome in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors Treated with Target Temperature Management

Current guidelines suggest the maintenance of systolic blood pressure (SBP) at >90 mmHg and mean arterial pressure (MAP) at >65 mmHg in postcardiac arrest patients. There remains a lack of clarity regarding optimal values and timing of blood pressure parameters associated with the improvement of neurologic outcome. We investigated the association of time-weighted average (TWA) blood pressure parameters with favorable neurological outcome (FO) in postcardiac arrest patients. This was a registry-based observational study with consecutive adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors who were treated using targeted temperature management (TTM). During 72 hours of TTM period, we abstracted hemodynamic parameters such as SBP, diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate (PR), and MAP. Shock index (SI; PR/SBP) and modified shock index (MSI; PR/MAP) were calculated from each measured hemodynamics. Logistic regression was performed to assess the associations between TWA blood pressure parameters and FO, defined as cerebral performance category 1 or 2 at hospital discharge. Among the 173 patients (median age: 58 years; 64% male), 51 (29.3%) had FO in this study. MAP, SI, and MSI at 6 hours after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) showed considerable differences in patients with FO (MAP: 89.1 ± 14.7 vs. 83.6 ± 15.8 mmHg, p = 0.033, SI: 0.7 ± 0.2 vs. 0.9 ± 0.9, p = 0.002, MSI: 1.0 ± 0.3 vs. 1.2 ± 0.3, p ≤ 0.001). Among them, MSI, especially at 6 hours, had the highest area under the curve for prediction of FO (0.685; 95% confidence interval: 0.597-0.772, p < 0.001). Also, MSI <1.0 had a sensitivity of 64.7%, a specificity of 64.2% to predict FO. In comatose survivors of OHCA with TTM, MSI at 6 hours after ROSC had the highest prognostic value for neurologic outcome among blood pressure parameters.

Shock Index in Patients Presenting With Acute Heart Failure: A Multicenter Multinational Observational Study

Shock index (SI) has a prognostic role in coronary heart disease; however, data on acute heart failure (AHF) are lacking. We evaluated the predictive values of SI in patients with AHF. Data were retrospectively analyzed from the Gulf Acute Heart Failure Registry. Patients were categorized into low SI versus high SI based on the receiver operating characteristic curves. Primary outcomes included cardiogenic shock (CS) and mortality. Among 4818 patients with AHF, 1143 had an SI ≥0.9. Compared with SI <0.9, patients with high SI were more likely males, younger, and having advanced New York Heart Association class, fewer cardiovascular risk factors and less prehospital β-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor use. Shock index had significant negative correlations with age, pulse pressure, mean arterial pressure, and left ventricle ejection fraction and had positive correlation with hospital length of stay. Shock index ≥0.9 was significantly associated with higher composite end points, in-hospital, and 3-month mortality. Shock index ≥0.9 had 96% negative predictive value (NPV) and 3.5 relative risk for mortality. Multivariate regression analysis showed that SI was independent predictor of mortality and CS. With a high NPV, SI is a simple reliable bedside tool for risk stratification of patients with AHF. However, this conclusion needs further support.

Comparative study on quick sequential organ failure assessment, systemic inflammatory response syndrome and the shock index in prehospital emergency patients: single-site retrospective study

Aim

The quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score, shock index (SI), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria are simple indicators for the mortality of patients in the emergency department (ED). These simple indicators using only vital signs might be more useful in prehospital care than in the ED due to their quick calculation. However, these indicators have not been compared in prehospital settings. The aim of the present study is to compare these indicators measured in prehospital care and verify whether the qSOFA score is useful for prehospital triage.

Methods

We undertook a single‐site retrospective study on patients transferred by ambulance to the Kumamoto Medical Center ED (Kumamoto, Japan) between January 2015 and December 2016. We compared areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of the qSOFA score, SI, and SIRS criteria measured in prehospital care. We also carried out sensitivity and specificity analyses using the Youden index.

Results

A total of 4,827 patients were included in the present study. The AUROC (95% confidence interval) of the qSOFA score for in‐hospital mortality was 0.64 (0.61–0.67), which was significantly higher than those of the SIRS criteria (0.59 [0.56–0.62]) and SI (0.58 [0.54–0.62]). According to the optimal cut‐off values (qSOFA ≥ 2) decided on as the Youden index, the sensitivity of the qSOFA score was 52.3% and its specificity was 69.9%.

Conclusions

The qSOFA score had the highest AUROC among three indicators. However, it might not be practical in actual prehospital triage due to its low sensitivity.

Derivation of a screen to identify severe sepsis and septic shock in the ED-BOMBARD vs. SIRS and qSOFA

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To predict severe sepsis/septic shock in ED patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective case-control study of patients ≥18 admitted to two urban hospitals with a combined ED census of 162,000. Study cases included patients with severe sepsis/septic shock admitted via the ED. Controls comprised admissions without severe sepsis/septic shock. Using multivariate logistic regression, a prediction rule was constructed. The model's AUROC was internally validated using 1000 bootstrap samples.

RESULTS

143 study and 286 control patients were evaluated. Features predictive of severe sepsis/septic shock included: SBP ≤ 110 mm Hg, shock index/SI ≥ 0.86, abnormal mental status or GCS < 15, respirations ≥ 22, temperature ≥ 38C, assisted living facility residency, disabled immunity. Two points were assigned to SI and temperature with other features assigned one point (mnemonic: BOMBARD). BOMBARD was superior to SIRS criteria (AUROC 0.860 vs. 0.798, 0.062 difference, 95% CI 0.022-0.102) and qSOFA scores (0.860 vs. 0.742, 0.118 difference, 95% CI 0.081-0.155) at predicting severe sepsis/septic shock. A BOMBARD score ≥ 3 was more sensitive than SIRS ≥ 2 (74.8% vs. 49%, 25.9% difference, 95% CI 18.7-33.1) and qSOFA ≥ 2 (74.8% vs. 33.6%, 41.2% difference, 95% CI 33.2-49.3) at predicting severe sepsis/septic shock. A BOMBARD score ≥ 3 was superior to SIRS ≥ 2 (76% vs. 45%, 32% difference, 95% CI 10-50) and qSOFA ≥ 2 (76% vs. 29%, 47% difference, 95% CI 25-63) at predicting sepsis mortality.

CONCLUSION

BOMBARD was more accurate than SIRS and qSOFA at predicting severe sepsis/septic shock and sepsis mortality.

Resuscitation Resequenced: A Rational Approach to Patients with Trauma in Shock

Trauma resuscitation is a complex and dynamic process that requires a high-performing team to optimize patient outcomes. More than 30 years ago, Advanced Trauma Life Support was developed to formalize and standardize trauma care; however, the sequential nature of the algorithm that is used can lead to ineffective prioritization. An improved understanding of shock mandates an updated approach to trauma resuscitation. This article proposes a resequenced approach that (1) addresses immediate threats to life and (2) targets strategies for the diagnosis and management of shock causes. This updated approach emphasizes evidence-based resuscitation principles that align with physiologic priorities.

Utility of the Shock Index for Risk Stratification in Patients with Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding

OBJECTIVES

Patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) frequently require hospitalization, and a small but significant percentage of these patients have adverse outcomes. Risk-scoring tools can help clinicians organize care and make predictions about outcomes. The shock index (heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure) has been used in multiple acute disorders and has the potential to identify patients with UGIB who are at risk for adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the electronic medical records of patients admitted with UGIB between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2015. We collected information about patient demographics, presenting symptoms, underlying clinical disorders, endoscopic results, and outcomes. We calculated risk scores using the Glasgow-Blatchford score, the pre-endoscopy Rockall score, the full Rockall score, the AIMS65 (albumin, international normalized ratio, mental status, systolic blood pressure, age older than 65 years) score, and the shock index.

RESULTS

This study included 214 admissions for acute UGIB. The mean age was 59.0 ± 15.9 years, 64.5% were men, the mean hemoglobin was 9.2 ± 3.1 g/dL, and the mean shock index was 0.78 ± 0.21 bpm/mm Hg. The mean shock index was significantly increased in patients requiring endoscopic therapy, admission to the intensive care unit, blood component transfusion, and red blood cell transfusion. Classification of patients by a shock index >0.7 preferentially selected patients with these adverse short-term outcomes. Among the scoring tools evaluated in this study, the shock index was the best predictor of the need for endoscopic therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The shock index is a good tool to identify patients with the potential for short-term adverse outcomes when they present with UGIB. It performs as well as other risk-scoring tools for GI bleeding and has the potential for serial use during hospitalization to identify changes in the clinical course.

Clinical Factors and Outcomes of Dialysis-Dependent End-Stage Renal Disease Patients with Emergency Department Septic Shock

BACKGROUND

Infection is the second leading cause of death in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. Prior investigations of acute septic shock in this specific population are limited.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the clinical presentation and factors associated with outcome among ESRD patients with acute septic shock.

METHODS

We reviewed patients prospectively enrolled in an emergency department (ED) septic shock treatment pathway registry between January 2014 and May 2016. Clinical and treatment variables for ESRD patients were compared with non-ESRD patients. A second analysis focused on ESRD septic shock survivors and nonsurvivors.

RESULTS

Among 4126 registry enrollees, 3564 (86.4%) met inclusion for the study. End-stage renal disease was present in 3.8% (n = 137) of ED septic shock patients. Hospital mortality was 20.4% and 17.1% for the ESRD and non-ESRD septic shock patient groups (p = 0.31). Septic shock patients with ESRD had a higher burden of chronic illness, but similar admission clinical profiles to non-ESRD patients. End-stage renal disease status was independently associated with lower fluid resuscitation dose, even when controlling for severity of illness. Age and admission lactate were independently associated with mortality in ESRD septic shock patients.

CONCLUSION

ESRD patients comprise a small but important portion of patients with ED septic shock. Although presentation clinical profiles are similar to patients without ESRD, ESRD status is independently associated with lower fluid dose and compliance with the 30-mL/kg fluid goal. Hyperlactatemia is a marker of mortality in ESRD septic shock.

Derivation and Validation of Shock Index as a parameter for Predicting Long-term Prognosis in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

The objective of this study was to examine whether shock index (SI), defined by ratio of heart rate and systolic blood pressure, can predict long-term prognosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and to compare prognostic accuracy of SI with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score. This study included individuals from 2 independent cohorts: derivation cohort (n = 2631) and validation cohort (n = 963). In the derivation cohort, we derived that higher admission SI was associated with a greater risk of long-term all-cause mortality [HR = 4.104, 95% CI 1.553 to 10.845, p = 0.004] after adjusting for covariates. We validated this finding in the validation cohort [HR = 10.091, 95% CI 2.205 to 46.187, p = 0.003]. Moreover, admission SI had similar performance to the GRACE score in determining all-cause mortality risk in both cohorts (derivation cohort, admission SI vs. GRACE, z = 1.919, p = 0.055; validation cohort, admission SI vs. GRACE, z = 1.039, p = 0.299). In conclusion, admission SI is an independent predictor of adverse outcome in ACS patients undergoing PCI, and can identify patients at high risk of death. SI and the GRACE score showed similar performance in predicting all-cause mortality, and SI is more readily obtained than the GRACE score.

A Multidisciplinary Sepsis Program Enabled by a Two-Stage Clinical Decision Support System: Factors That Influence Patient Outcomes

Sepsis is an inflammatory response triggered by infection, with risk of in-hospital mortality fueled by disease progression. Early recognition and intervention by multidisciplinary sepsis programs may reverse the inflammatory response among at-risk patient populations, potentially improving outcomes. This retrospective study of a sepsis program enabled by a 2-stage sepsis Clinical Decision Support (CDS) system sought to evaluate the program's impact, identify early indicators that may influence outcomes, and uncover opportunities for quality improvement. Data encompassed 16 527 adult hospitalizations from 2014 and 2015. Of 2108 non-intensive care unit patients screened-in by sepsis CDS, 97% patients were stratified by 177 providers. Risk of adverse outcome improved 30% from baseline to year end, with gains materializing and stabilizing at month 7 after sepsis program go-live. Early indicators likely to influence outcomes include patient age, recent hospitalization, electrolyte abnormalities, hypovolemic shock, hypoxemia, patient location when sepsis CDS activated, and specific alert patterns.

Delayed recognition of fatal invasive meningococcal disease in adults

INTRODUCTION

Invasive meningococcal disease can be difficult to detect early in its course when patients may appear well and the severity of their illness is obscured by non-specific complaints.

CASE PRESENTATION

We report five cases of meningococcal sepsis in adult patients who presented to an emergency department early in the course of their disease, but whose severity of illness was not recognized.

CONCLUSION

Suspicion of meningococcal sepsis should be heightened in the setting of hypotension, tachycardia, elevated shock index, leukopaenia with left shift, thrombocytopaenia and hypokalaemia, prompting early sepsis care.