The performance of human papillomavirus biomarkers in predicting anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions in gay and bisexual men

An Alternative to Cytology in Triaging Cisgender Men and Transgender Women With HIV for High-Resolution Anoscopy

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate high-risk human papillomavirus testing (hrHPV) as an alternative for anal cytology in screening for high-grade anal neoplasia (AIN2-3) among males with HIV. To identify predictive risk factors for AIN2-3 and develop a clinical tool to triage males with HIV for high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) without cytology.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of 199 adult cisgender men and transgender women with HIV referred to an anal neoplasia clinic in the Southeastern United States between January 2018 and March 2021.

METHODS

Each subject underwent cytology, hrHPV, and HRA. Clinical and sociodemographic risk factors were collected for each subject. Significant risk factors for AIN2-3 were identified using logistic regression, and a triage tool incorporating these factors was developed. Screening test characteristics were calculated for cytology with and without adjunct hrHPV, hrHPV alone, and the triage tool.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, significant predictors of AIN2-3 were hrHPV positivity (odds ratio [OR] = 11.98, CI = 5.58-25.69) and low CD4 count (OR = 2.70, CI = 1.20-6.11). There was no significant difference in positive or negative predictive values among the tool, stand-alone hrHPV, and anal cytology with adjunct hrHPV. Sensitivity and specificity were not significantly different for stand-alone or adjunctive hrHPV testing. Compared with cytology, stand-alone hrHPV and the novel triage tool reduced unnecessary HRA referrals by 65% and 30%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Stand-alone hrHPV would have missed 11 of 74 AIN2-3 and generated 74 fewer unnecessary HRAs than current cytology-based screening patterns, which led to 115 unnecessary HRAs in our cohort. We propose triaging those with low CD4 count, hrHPV positivity, and/or smoking history for HRA.

Development of a touchdown droplet digital PCR assay for the detection and quantitation of human papillomavirus 16 and 18 from self-collected anal samples

IMPORTANCE

The quantity of the human papillomavirus (HPV) is associated with disease outcome. We designed an accurate and precise digital PCR assay for quantitating HPV in anal samples, a sample type that is typically problematic due to the presence of PCR inhibitors.

Evaluating the performance of anal cytology and high-risk HPV genotyping for detecting anal HSIL in a clinic-based sample of people living with and without HIV in Puerto Rico

BACKGROUND

Given the disproportionately elevated anal cancer risk in high-risk populations, it is important to assess the performance of commonly used anal cancer screening tools to improve the effectiveness of detection and treatment methods. This study evaluates 1) the concordance between anal cytology and histology results and 2) the performance of cytology and high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) genotyping as screening tools for detecting histologically confirmed anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL).

METHODS

Data from the Anal Neoplasia Clinic in Puerto Rico (2014-2021; n = 466) was used. The clinical performance of anal cytology and HR-HPV genotyping to detect HSIL was compared to the gold standard: high-resolution anoscopy-guided biopsy. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and κ coefficients were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 66.95% of the patients were men, 74.0% were people living with HIV, 76.2% had anal HR-HPV infection, and 40.34% had histologically confirmed anal HSIL. The weighted κ statistic between the tests (cytology and histology) was 0.25 (p < .001). The sensitivity and specificity of cytology alone to detect anal HSIL were 84.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 78.3%-89.1%) and 36.0% (95% CI, 30.3%-42.0%), respectively. Anal HR-HPV genotyping had higher sensitivity (92.2%; 95% CI, 87.4%-95.6%) and similar specificity (34.8%; 95% CI, 29.2%-40.7%) compared to cytology. The two tests combined (positive results following cytology or HR-HPV test) improved sensitivity to detect anal HSIL (97.9%; 95% CI, 94.8%-99.4%), but specificity was compromised (19.2%; 95% CI, 14.7%-24.4%).

CONCLUSION

Although HR-HPV genotyping improved the detection of anal HSIL, HR-HPV testing had lower specificity than anal cytology alone.

Evaluation of the validity of the HPV viral load compared to conventional techniques for the detection of high-grade anal intraepithelial lesions in men with HIV who have sex with men

Background

The incidence of high-grade anal intraepithelial lesions (HSILs) has increased in recent years among men who have sex with men with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). This work evaluated the validity of the human papilloma virus viral load (HPV-VL) versus cytological and qualitative HPV results to detect HSILs.

Methods

From May 2017 to January 2020, 93 men who have sex with men and HIV were included in an anal cancer screening program from the Infectious Diseases Unit at a tertiary-care hospital in Alicante (Spain). The gold-standard for the screening of anal HSILs is the anal biopsy using high-resolution anoscopy. The diagnostic methods compared against gold-standard were HPV-16-VL, HPV-18-VL, and HPV-16-18-VL co-testing, anal cytology, and qualitative HPV detection. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and cut-off points for HPV-VL were calculated. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and Cohen's Kappa coefficient (κ) were also calculated.

Results

The mean patient age was 44.6 ± 9.5 years. All of them received antiretroviral treatment, 96.8% had an HIV viral load of <50 copies/mL and 17.2% had a previous diagnosis of AIDS. The diagnosis of the anal biopsies were: 19.4% (n = 18) HSIL, 29.1% (n = 27) LSIL, and 51.6% (n = 48) negative. An HPV-16-VL >6.2 copies/cell was detected in the HSIL biopsy samples (p = 0.007), showing a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 46.2%. HPV-18-VL and HPV16-18-VL co-testing showed a sensitivity of 75% and 76.9% and a specificity of 72.7% and 61.3%, respectively. The highest PPV was 50% obtained with the cytology and HPV-18-VL. The HPV-16-VL showed a NPV of 100%, followed by 88.9% in the HPV-18-VL and 87% in the abnormal cytology. Cohen's Kappa coefficient were: HPV-18-VL (κ = 0.412), abnormal cytology (κ = 0.353) and HPV-16-VL (κ = 0.338).

Conclusions

HPV-VL testing improved the detection sensitivity but not the specificity for HSIL biopsies compared to anal cytology and the qualitative detection of HPV. In men who have sex with men and HIV the HPV-VL could be an useful tool for diagnosis of HSILs in anal cancer screening programs. Further studies will be needed to evaluate the clinical implications of HPV-VL in these programs.

DNA high-risk HPV, mRNA HPV and P16 tests for diagnosis of anal cancer and precursor lesions: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Anal cancer prevention has two critical points: the incidence rate is several fold higher for some groups, such as people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and men who have sex with men (MSM), and there is not a well-defined guideline for its screening. This systematic review evaluates the accuracy of DNA HRHPV (high-risk human papillomavirus), mRNA HPV, DNA HPV16 isolated and p16 staining biomarkers in anal canal smears for identifying anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN) 2 or 3, summarised as anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (aHSIL), and cancer.

Methods

We searched the MEDLINE, Cochrane Library and Embase electronic databases as well as Grey literature to identify eligible papers published up to 31st July 2022. This systematic review and meta-analysis included observational studies comparing biomarker tests to histopathology after HRA (High-resolution Anoscopy) as a reference standard. We (ACM, TF) analysed studies in which patients of both sexes were screened for anal cancer using DNA HRHPV, mRNA HPV, DNA HPV16 and/or p16 biomarkers. The analysis was performed in pairs, for instance AIN2 or worse (AIN2+) vs. AIN1, HPV infection and normal (AIN1-). PROSPERO CRD42015024201.

Findings

We included 21 studies with 7445 patients. DNA HR HPV showed a higher sensitivity 92.4% (95% CI 84.2-96.5), specificity 41.7% (95% CI 33.9-44.9) and AUC 0.67, followed by the mRNA HPV test, with a sensitivity 77.3% (95% CI 73.2%-80.9%), specificity 61.9% (95% CI 56.6-66.9) and AUC 0.78. DNA HPV16 showed higher specificity 71.7% (95% CI 55.3-83.8), followed by p16 test, 64.1% (95% CI 51.0-75.4); Sensitivity of DNA HPV16 was 53.3% (95% CI 35.4-70.3) and AUC 0.69, while p16 had a sensitivity of 68.8% (95% CI 47.9-84.1) and AUC 0.74. Subgroup analysis of MSM with HIV, with 13 studies and 5123 patients, showed similar accuracy, with a bit higher sensitivities and lower specificities. Considering the measure of the total between-study variability, mRNA HPV tests showed the smallest area of the 95% prediction ellipse, 6.0%, influenced by the low logit sensitivity, 0.011. All other groups of tests exceed 50% prediction ellipse area, which represent a high heterogeneity.

Interpretation

Our findings suggested that DNA HR HPV can be a useful tool for screening for aHSIL and anal cancer if followed by biomarker with a higher specificity. As an isolated test, mRNA HPV had better performance.

Funding

There was no funding source for this study.

Cost-effectiveness of screening and treating anal pre-cancerous lesions among gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men living with HIV

Background

Gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBM) living with HIV have a substantially elevated risk of anal cancer (85 cases per 100,000 person-years vs 1-2 cases per 100,000 person-years in the general population). The precursor to anal cancer is high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL). Findings regarding the cost-effectiveness of HSIL screening and treatment in GBM are conflicting. Using recent data on HSIL natural history and treatment effectiveness, we aimed to improve upon earlier models.

Methods

We developed a Markov cohort model populated using observational study data and published literature. Our study population was GBM living with HIV aged ≥35 years. We used a lifetime horizon and framed our model on the Australian healthcare perspective. The intervention was anal HSIL screening and treatment. Our primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained.

Findings

Anal cancer incidence was estimated to decline by 44-70% following implementation of annual HSIL screening and treatment. However, for the most cost-effective screening method assessed, the ICER relative to current practice, Australian Dollar (AUD) 135,800 per QALY gained, remained higher than Australia's commonly accepted willingness-to-pay threshold of AUD 50,000 per QALY gained. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, HSIL screening and treatment had a 20% probability of being cost-effective. When the sensitivity and specificity of HSIL screening were enhanced beyond the limits of current technology, without an increase in the cost of screening, ICERs improved but were still not cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness was achieved with a screening test that had 95% sensitivity, 95% specificity, and cost ≤ AUD 24 per test.

Interpretation

Establishing highly sensitive and highly specific HSIL screening methods that cost less than currently available techniques remains a research priority.

Funding

No specific funding was received for this analysis.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of cytology and HPV-related biomarkers for anal cancer screening among different risk groups

To inform optimal approaches for detecting anal precancers, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the diagnostic accuracy of anal cancer screening tests in different populations with elevated risk for anal cancer. We conducted a literature search of studies evaluating tests for anal precancer and cancer (anal intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse, AIN2+) published between January 1, 1997 to September 30, 2021 in PubMed and Embase. Titles and abstracts were screened for inclusion and included articles underwent full-text review, data abstraction and quality assessment. We estimated the prevalence of AIN2+ and calculated summary estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of test positivity, sensitivity and specificity and predictive values of various testing strategies, overall and among population subgroups. A total of 39 articles were included. The prevalence of AIN2+ was 20% (95% CI, 17-29%), and ranged from 22% in men who have sex with men (MSM) living with HIV to 13% in women and 12% in MSM without HIV. The sensitivity and specificity of cytology and HPV testing were 81% and 62% and 92% and 42%, respectively, and 93% and 33%, respectively for cytology and HPV co-testing. AIN2+ risks were similar among those testing positive for cytology, HPV, or co-testing. Limited data on other biomarkers (HPV E6/E7 mRNA and p16/Ki-67 dual stain), suggested higher specificity, but lower sensitivity compared with anal cytology and HPV. Our findings provide important evidence for the development of clinical guidelines using anal cytology and HPV testing for anal cancer screening.

New screening strategy combining anal PAP and HPV tests for HPV-related anal cancer: a prospective, single center study

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of a combined approach of liquid-based anal cytology and HPV testing in predicting patients who should undergo high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) for the early detection of anal cancer and anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN)-2 +.

METHODS

Prospective single-center quality improvement study. We consecutively enrolled men who had sex with men (MSM) attending our sexually transmitted disease clinic to undergo anal Pap and HPV tests. All patients with an abnormal anal Pap test result and/or positive HPV test result underwent HRA.

RESULTS

We enrolled 217 MSM, 80 HIV-positive patients, and 137 HIV-negative patients. Cytology showed a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 64,1%, accuracy of 66.7%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 15,7% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% for the detection of AIN-2+. The high-risk (HR)-HPV test showed a sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, PPV, and NPV of 100%, 36.4%, 40%, 9.4%, and 100%, respectively. The combination of abnormal cytology with identification of infection by at least one HR-HPV strain on the HPV test had a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 73%, accuracy of 74.6%, PPV of 19.1%, and NPV of 100%.

CONCLUSION

Anal HR-HPV testing, complementary to cytology, improves the diagnostic accuracy of screening for anal cancer.

Automated evaluation of p16/Ki-67 dual stain cytology as a biomarker for detection of anal precancer in MSM living with HIV

BACKGROUND

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-related biomarkers such as p16/Ki-67 "dual stain" (DS) cytology have shown promising clinical performance for anal cancer screening. Here, we assessed the performance of automated evaluation of DS cytology to detect anal precancer in men who have sex with men (MSM) living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV).

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 320 MSM with HIV undergoing anal cancer screening and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) between 2009-2010. We evaluated the performance of automated DS based on a deep-learning classifier compared to manual DS evaluation to detect anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN) grades 2 and 3 (AIN2+) and AIN3. We evaluated different DS-positive cell thresholds quantified by the automated approach and modeled its performance compared to other screening strategies in a hypothetical population of MSM with HIV.

RESULTS

Automated DS had significantly higher specificity (50.9% vs. 42.2%, p=0.0004) and similar sensitivity (93.2% vs. 92.1%) for detection of AIN2+ compared to manual DS cytology. HPV testing with automated DS triage was significantly more specific (56.5% vs. 50.9%, p=0.0003) with the same sensitivity (93.2%) compared to automated DS alone. In a modeled analysis assuming a 20% AIN2+ prevalence, automated DS detected the most precancers compared to manual DS and anal cytology (186,184, and 162, respectively) and had the lowest HRA referral per AIN2+ detected (3.1,3.5, and 3.3, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to manual evaluation, automated DS cytology detects the same number of precancers with lower HRA referral.

Anal human papilloma viral infection and squamous cell carcinoma: Need objective biomarkers for risk assessment and surveillance guidelines

High grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia due to human papilloma viral (HPV) infections is a precursor lesion for squamous cell carcinoma especially in high risk populations. Frequent examination and anal biopsies remain unpopular with patients; moreover they are also risk factors for chronic pain, scarring and sphincter injury. There is lack of uniform, surveillance methods and guidelines for anal HPV specifically the intervals between exam and biopsies. The aim of this editorial is to discuss the intervals for surveillance exam and biopsy, based on specific HPV related biomarkers? Currently there are no published randomized controlled trials documenting the effectiveness of anal screening and surveillance programs to reduce the incidence, morbidity and mortality of anal cancers. In contrast, the currently approved screening and surveillance methods available for HPV related cervical cancer includes cytology, HPV DNA test, P16 or combined P16/Ki-67 index and HPV E/6 and E/7 mRNA test. There are very few studies performed to determine the efficacy of these tests in HPV related anal pre-cancerous lesions. The relevance of these biomarkers is discussed in this editorial. Longitudinal prospective research is needed to confirm the effectiveness of these molecular biomarkers that include high risk HPV serotyping, P16 immuno-histiochemistry and E6/E7 mRNA profiling on biopsies to elucidate and establish surveillance guidelines.

Prevalence of high-risk human papillomavirus DNA and mRNA and its association with abnormal anal cytology in the Czech male anal cancer screening cohort

BACKGROUND

Anal cancer (AC) screening is justified in high-risk populations, particularly HIV-positive men having sex with men (MSM). HR-HPV testing could improve the efficiency of cytologically based screening of AC, as in the screening of biologically analogical cervical cancer. The specificity of HR-HPV testing is influenced by the prevalence of HR-HPV infection in the screened population. Reported anal HR-HPV DNA prevalence in MSM is high, but HR-HPV mRNA reflects rather long-term infections and is more specific for high-grade lesions. However, no data were published about HR-HPV DNA and mRNA prevalence in the Czech AC screening population.

METHOD

Results of liquid-based anal cytology of 203 predominantly HIV-positive MSM from the Czech AC screening cohort were correlated with results of DNA and E6/E7 mRNA testing of 14 HR-HPV types, and HPV16 genotyping. Eighty-one MSM underwent a standard anoscopy.

RESULTS

A total of 109 (53.7%) samples had abnormal cytology, with 12 (5.9%) ASC-H/HSIL, 67 (33.0%) samples cytologically negative, and 27 (13.3%) unsatisfactory. HR-HPV DNA was detected in 134 (66.0%) and HR-HPV RNA in 72 (35.5%) anal smears. HR-HPV mRNA and HPV16 mRNA positivity were associated with abnormal cytology (p = .0037, p = .0021). No significant association was found between HR-HPV DNA or HPV16 DNA positivity and abnormal cytology. No high-grade lesions were revealed by anoscopy.

CONCLUSION

Prevalence of anal HR-HPV DNA among Czech MSM is high, however, the prevalence of HR-HPV mRNA is half and associated with abnormal cytology. Our results indicate an increased efficiency of cytological screening when combined with HR-HPV mRNA testing.

Evaluation of HPV-Related Biomarkers in Anal Cytological Samples from HIV-Uninfected and HIV-Infected MSM

Men who have sex with men (MSM) harbor the highest risk for anal carcinoma, mainly caused by Human Papillomavirus (HPV). The use of HPV-related biomarkers in the screening for this neoplasia is still debated. We assessed the association between high-risk (hr)HPV DNA, HPV16/18 DNA, hrHPV E6/E7 mRNA, and p16/Ki-67 with cytological abnormalities (any grade) and high-grade intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) in HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected MSM. Overall, 150 cytological samples in PreservCyt (Hologic), with a negative to HSIL report, were analyzed for hrHPV DNA, hrHPV E6/E7 mRNA, and p16/Ki-67 using the Linear Array (Roche), Aptima (Hologic), and CINtec^® PLUS (Roche) assays. In HIV-infected MSM, positivity for all the biomarkers significantly increased with the cytological grade. In both populations, the association of hrHPV E6/E7 mRNA and p16/Ki-67 positivity with HPV16 did not differ significantly compared to hrHPVs other than HPV16. In HIV-uninfected MSM, the odds of having an HSIL increased approximately six times for the p16/Ki-67 positive cases. In HIV-infected individuals, all the biomarkers showed a significant association with HSIL, except for hrHPV DNA, with the strongest association observed for p16/Ki-67. The odds of HSIL increased almost 21 times in those positive for this biomarker. Our results encourage further investigation on the use of p16/Ki-67 dual staining in anal cancer screening for HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected MSM.

Anal Cancer Screening for HIV-Negative Men Who Have Sex with Men: Making Clinical Decisions with Limited Data

Anal cancer is a rare disease that disproportionately affects people living with HIV and men who have sex with men (MSM). Although screening of MSM living with HIV occurs in the absence of consistent national guidelines, less research exists on screening HIV-negative MSM. In this article, we discuss patient-, clinician-, and systems-level factors that may influence decisions to screen HIV-negative MSM. Randomized controlled trials with MSM living with HIV and those at high risk are in progress, yet more research is needed to address clinical uncertainty around screening additional at-risk groups.

Exploiting the Microbiota for the Diagnosis of Anal Precancerous Lesions in Men Who Have Sex With Men

BACKGROUND

While the microbiota has been associated with HPV malignant transformation, it is unclear whether anal bacteria could improve the low specificity of anal cytology for the screening of high grade intraepithelial squamous neoplasia (HSIL).

METHODOLOGY

We recruited MSM undergoing anal cytology and high-resolution anoscopy. We assessed the microbiota composition from fecal samples and cytobrush anal samples using 16SrDNA sequencing in subjects with and without biopsy-proven HSIL (bHSIL). We selected bacterial biomarkers based on their linear discriminant analysis (LDA). We assessed their predictive performance using logistic regression and bootstrap resampling.

RESULTS

We included 128 individuals, 47 (36.7%) with bHSIL and 99 (77.3%) with HIV. We detected 40 potential predictors of bHSIL. Ruminococcaceae NK4A214 group, Alloprevotella genus, Prevotella melanonigenica and Ruminococcaceae UCG-014 were the most predictive of bHSIL. From 35 false-positive cytologic results, the combination of these four biomarkers with the anal cytology reclassified to true negative 33 (94%) individuals and showed good diagnostic performance (AUC 0.805, 95%CI 0.728 - 0.882).

CONCLUSIONS

We found anal-associated bacteria indicative of a higher risk of precancerous anal lesions, which combination was highly specific. The microbiota could be developed as a complementary diagnostic tool to overcome the limitations of the current screening strategy for anal cancer.

Screening strategies for the detection of anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions in women living with HIV

OBJECTIVE

HIV-infected women (WLHIV) have more than 10-fold higher risk for squamous cell cancer of the anus. Experts suggest cytology-based strategies developed for cervical cancer screening may prevent anal cancer by detecting anal cytologic or histological high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (hHSIL) for treatment. Currently, there is no consensus on anal-hHSIL screening strategies for WLHIV.

DESIGN

Between 2014 and 2016, 276 WLHIV were recruited at 12 US AIDS Malignancy Consortium clinical trials sites to evaluate hHSIL prevalence and (test) screening strategies.

METHODS

Participants completed detailed questionnaire, underwent anal assessments including high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) testing using hrHPV-Hybrid Capture 2 (HC2) and hrHPV-APTIMA, anal cytology, and concurrent high-resolution anoscopy. Screening test characteristics for predicting hHSIL validated by central review of histologic diagnosis were estimated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and false-omission rate. Paired analyses compared sensitivity and specificity for hrHPV single tests to anal cytology alone.

RESULTS

83% (229/276) of enrolled WLHIV had complete anal assessment data and were included in this analysis. Mean age was 50, 62% black and 60 (26%) had hHSIL. Anal cyotology (>atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance), hrHPV-HC2, and hrHPV-APTIMA sensitivity estimates were similarly high (83, 77, and 75%, respectively, P values > 0.2). Specificity was higher for both hrHPV-APTIMA and hrHPV-HC2 compared with anal cytology (67 vs. 50%, P < 0.001) and (61 vs. 50%, P = 0.020), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Anal hrHPV testing demonstrated similar sensitivity for anal cytology (>atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance) to predict anal hHSIL. Among tests with similar sensitivity, the specificity was significantly higher for hrHPV-APTIMA and hrHPV-HC2. Thus, anal hrHPV testing may be an important alternative strategy to anal cytology for anal hHSIL screening among WLHIV.

Prevalence and Association of Perianal and Intra-Anal Warts with Composite High-Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions Among Gay and Bisexual Men: Baseline Data from the Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer

Human papillomavirus (HPV) causes anal warts and anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). A higher incidence of anal cancer has been found among individuals previously diagnosed with anogenital warts. We aimed to investigate the association between anal warts and the presumed anal SCC precursor high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL), among participants in the Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer (SPANC). SPANC was a longitudinal study of anal HPV infections and related lesions among gay and bisexual men (GBM) age 35 years and older, in Sydney, Australia. Anal cytology and high-resolution anoscopy were performed. Logistic regression was used to investigate the association between clinically diagnosed anal warts and intra-anal composite-HSIL (cytology and/or histology) at the baseline visit. The prevalence of HSIL within biopsies from intra-anal warts was calculated. Laser capture microdissection (LCM) and HPV-genotyping was performed on HSIL lesions. Among 616 participants at study entry, 165 (26.8%) and 51 (8.3%) had intra-anal and perianal warts, respectively. Warts were associated with composite-HSIL, even after adjustment for HIV status, age, lifetime receptive anal intercourse partner number, and smoking (perianal: aOR 2.13, 95% CI 1.17-3.87, p = 0.013; intra-anal: aOR 1.69, 95% CI 1.16-2.46, p = 0.006). HSIL was detected in 24 (14.5%) of 165 biopsies from intra-anal warts. Of 17 HSIL lesions, 16 (94.1%) had high-risk HPV detected by LCM. Anal warts were common. Prevalent anal warts were associated with composite-HSIL. HSIL may be detected within biopsies of intra-anal warts. Anal warts may be a useful addition to risk stratification for HSIL among GBM.

High-risk Human Papilloma Virus Testing Improves Diagnostic Performance to Predict Moderate- to High-grade Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-infected Men Who Have Sex With Men in Low-to-Absent Cytological Abnormalities

BACKGROUND

Screening methods for anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (SILs) are suboptimal. We aimed to determine the diagnostic performance of a composite endpoint comprising anal liquid-based cytology (aLBC) and high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) testing to predict histological high-grade SILs (hHSILs).

METHODS

From the SeVIHanal cohort, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected men who have sex with men (MSM) who had an aLBC with concomitant HR-HPV testing were included. hHSILs were determined by high-resolution anoscopy (HRA)-guided biopsy.

RESULTS

A total of 705 visits obtained from 426 patients were included. The prevalence of HR-HPV among aLBC results were 51.9% (133/215) normal, 87.9% (20/232) low-grade SILs (LSILs), and 90.9% (149/164) high-grade SILs; P (linear association) < .001. Low prevalence of hHSILs was only observed for the composite aLBC/HR-HPV testing endpoint "normal/noHR-HPV" (10%) and "LSIL/noHR-HPV" (4%). The prognostic values (95% confidence interval) for HR-HPV to predict hHSILs in normal cytology were positive predictive value (PPV), 29.3% (25.6%-33.3%); negative predictive value (NPV), 90.2% (82.8%-94.7%); sensitivity, 83% (69.2%-92.4%); and specificity, 44.1% (36.4%-51.9%). Corresponding figures for cytologic LSILs were PPV, 39.2% (37.4%-41.1%); NPV, 96.4% (78.9%-99.5%); sensitivity, 98.8% (93.3%-99.9%); and specificity, 17.9% (12.1%-24.9%). A positive interaction and a synergistic effect for the composite endpoint were observed (relative excess risk = 1.50, attributable proportion of histological results to interaction = 0.17, synergy index = 1.24).

CONCLUSIONS

HRA should not be indicated in the setting of LSILs/noHR-HPV following aLBC-based screening. In contrast, HIV-infected MSM with normal aLBC/HR-HPV infection should be considered for HRA.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT03713229.

The importance of anal cancer screening and high-resolution anoscopy to gastroenterology practice

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Although human papillomavirus (HPV)-related anal squamous cell cancer (ASCC) is rare, its incidence has been rising and in high-risk populations exceeds the incidence of cancers for which screening programs are implemented. Therefore, targeted screening techniques are being evaluated with high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) as the current gold standard because of its ability to detect anal intraepithelial dysplasia (AIN) and premalignant high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs). However, a scarcity of trained providers presents a barrier to screening.

RECENT FINDINGS

ASCC incidence is rising especially in elderly women and young black men. Premalignant HSIL may not only progress to ASCC but also regress. Biomarkers such as HPV type, p16 immunostaining and DNA methylation markers may emerge as predictors of disease progression.HRA with acetic acid and Lugol's iodine staining can be used to detect HSIL and ASCC. Recent studies suggest that anal cancer screening may have an impact on the stage of ASCC at diagnosis and the incidence of anal cancer.The Anal Cancer HSIL Outcomes Research (ANCHOR) study is underway to determine whether treating HSIL effects ASCC incidence.

SUMMARY

Although there are no consensus screening guidelines for anal cancer, it is reasonable to screen high-risk populations with physical examination, anal cytology and HRA. Gastroenterologists can support anal cancer screening programmes through identifying patients at risk, performing noninvasive screening and considering to incorporate endoscopic techniques to examine the anal canal. VIDEO ABSTRACT: http://links.lww.com/COG/A32.

Virological and Serological Predictors of Anal High-grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions Among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-positive Men Who Have Sex With Men

BACKGROUND

Our objective was to identify virological and serological predictors of anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive men who have sex with men (MSM).

METHODS

HIV-positive MSM were recruited from a longitudinal study during which anal self-swabs and serum were collected at up to 5 bi-annual visits. Swabs were human papillomavirus (HPV) genotyped, and the type-specific HPV viral load in the anal swabs was determined. Serum antibodies to the E6, E7, E1, E2, and L1 proteins of 7 high-risk HPV (hrHPV) types and HPV6 and 11 were analyzed. The participants who had a high-resolution anoscopy after the last study visit were included in the current analysis. Anal HSIL was diagnosed by histopathological examinations of anal biopsies. The causative HPV type of anal HSIL was determined in whole tissue sections (WTS) and by laser capture micro-dissection if more than one HPV-type was found in WTS. Multivariable logistic regression was used to study whether persistent anal HPV infections, HPV viral loads, and seropositivity for HPV were predictors of anal HSIL, either in general or caused by the concordant HPV type.

RESULTS

Of 193 HIV-positive MSM, 50 (26%) were diagnosed with anal HSIL. HrHPV persistence in anal swabs was common, varying by hrHPV type between 3-21%. Anal HPV persistence was the only determinant independently associated with anal HSIL, both in general and by concordant, causative HPV type.

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent HPV infections were strongly associated with anal HSIL, in general as well as for the concordant HPV type.

5-Year Prospective Evaluation of Cytology, Human Papillomavirus Testing, and Biomarkers for Detection of Anal Precancer in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Positive Men Who Have Sex With Men

BACKGROUND

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-related biomarkers have shown good cross-sectional performance for anal precancer detection in human immunodeficiency virus-positive (HIV+) men who have sex with men (MSM). However, the long-term performance and risk stratification of these biomarkers are unknown. Here, we prospectively evaluated high-risk (HR) HPV DNA, HPV16/18 genotyping, HPV E6/E7 messenger RNA (mRNA), and p16/Ki-67 dual stain in a population of HIV+ MSM.

METHODS

We enrolled 363 HIV+ MSM between 2009-2010, with passive follow-up through 2015. All had anal cytology and a high-resolution anoscopy at baseline. For each biomarker, we calculated the baseline sensitivity and specificity for a combined endpoint of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) and anal intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or more severe diagnoses (HSIL/AIN2+), and we estimated the 2- and 5-year cumulative risks of HSIL/AIN2+ using logistic and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

There were 129 men diagnosed with HSIL/AIN2+ during the study. HR-HPV testing had the highest positivity and sensitivity of all assays, but the lowest specificity. HPV16/18 and HPV E6/E7 mRNA had high specificity, but lower sensitivity. The 2- and 5-year risks of HSIL/AIN2+ were highest for those testing HPV16/18- or HPV E6/E7 mRNA-positive, followed by those testing dual stain-positive. Those testing HR-HPV- or dual stain-negative had the lowest 2- and 5-year risks of HSIL/AIN2+.

CONCLUSIONS

HPV-related biomarkers provide long-term risk stratification for anal precancers. HR-HPV- and dual stain-negativity indicate a low risk of HSIL/AIN2+ for at least 2 years, compared with negative anal cytology; however, the high positivity of HR-HPV in HIV+ MSM may limit its utility for surveillance and management in this population.

Evaluating the Utility and Prevalence of HPV Biomarkers in Oral Rinses and Serology for HPV-related Oropharyngeal Cancer

Performance of commercially available human papillomavirus (HPV) assays (approved for cervical HPV detection) is unknown for detecting HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer (HPV-OPC). Assays for detection of HPV DNA [ELISA (DEIA) and Cobas], and RNA (Aptima) in oral rinse samples, and serum HPV oncogene antibodies were evaluated. Sensitivity and specificity of each test was explored among HPV-OPC cases and controls. Biomarker prevalence was evaluated among 294 "at-risk" people (screening) and 133 "high-risk" people [known to previously have oral oncogenic HPV (oncHPV) DNA and/or HPV16 E6/E7 antibodies detected]. HPV16 E6 antibodies had the best overall test performance with sensitivity of 88%, compared with oral HPV16 DNA sensitivity of 51% by DEIA and 43% by Cobas (each P < 0.001). Specificity was comparable in each of these tests (≥98%). When positivity for any oncHPV type was compared with HPV16 for the same test, sensitivity was comparable (60% vs. 51%, 40% vs. 43%, and 92% vs. 88% for DEIA, Cobas, and E6 antibodies, respectively), but specificity was reduced (93%-97%). Aptima had poor sensitivity (23%). Sensitivity decreased when cotesting HPV16 oral rinse DNA and E6 antibodies (37%-48%), or multiple E antibodies (69%-72%). HPV16 DNA were detected in ∼2% of the at-risk by either DEIA or Cobas and up to 15% of the high-risk population. HPV16 E6 seroprevalence was 2.3% and 2.4% in the at-risk and high-risk populations, respectively. Oral rinse HPV testing had moderate-to-poor sensitivity for HPV-OPC, suggesting many true positives would be missed in a potential screening scenario. HPV16 E6 serum antibody was the most promising biomarker evaluated.

Increased risk of HPV-associated genital cancers in men and women as a consequence of pre-invasive disease

To assess the excess risk of HPV-associated cancer (HPVaC) in two at-risk groups-women with a previous diagnosis of high grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN3) and both men and women treated for non-cervical pre-invasive anogenital disease. All CIN3 cases diagnosed in 1989-2015 in Scotland were extracted from the Scottish cancer registry (SMR06). All cases of pre-invasive penile, anal, vulval, and vaginal disease diagnosed in 1990-2015 were identified within the NHS pathology databases in the two largest NHS health boards in Scotland. Both were linked to SMR06 to extract subsequent incidence of HPVaC following the diagnosis of CIN3 or pre-invasive disease. Standardised incidence ratios were calculated for the risk of acquiring HPVaC for the two at-risk groups compared to the general Scottish population. Among 69,714 females in Scotland diagnosed with CIN3 (890,360.9 person-years), 179 developed non-cervical HPVaC. CIN3 cases were at 3.2-fold (95% CI: 2.7 to 3.7) increased risk of developing non-cervical HPVaC, compared to the general female population. Among 1,235 patients diagnosed with non-cervical pre-invasive disease (9,667.4 person-years), 47 developed HPVaC. Individuals with non-cervical pre-invasive disease had a substantially increased risk of developing HPVaC - 15.5-fold (95% CI: 11.1 to 21.1) increased risk for females and 28-fold (11.3 to 57.7) increased risk for males. We report a significant additional risk of HPV-associated cancer in those have been diagnosed with pre-invasive HPV-associated lesions including but not confined to the cervix. Uncovering the natural history of pre-invasive disease has potential for determining screening, prevention and treatment.

Determinants of high-grade anal intraepithelial lesions in HIV-positive MSM

OBJECTIVE

To assess determinants for histologically proven high-grade anal intraepithelial lesions (hHSIL) in HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM), a population at high-risk of HPV-related anal cancer.

DESIGN

APACHES is a prospective study of anal HPV and related-lesions in 513 HIV-positive MSM aged at least 35 years in six centres across France.

METHODS

At baseline, participants underwent high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) with biopsy of suspicious lesions, preceded by anal swabs for liquid-based cytology, p16/Ki67 immunostaining, and HPV DNA. hHSIL diagnosis was established by histopathological review panel consensus, and determinants assessed by logistic regression.

RESULTS

Baseline hHSIL prevalence was 10.4% and did not differ significantly by age, sexual behaviour or HIV/immunodeficiency markers. hHSIL prevalence was significantly elevated in participants who smoked (ORadj = 2.6, 95% CI 1.3-5.5) or who, in concurrent anal swabs, had ASCUS/LSIL (3.6, 95% CI 1.4-9.3) or ASC-H/HSIL (22.2, 95% CI 6.8-72.6) cytologic abnormalities, p16/Ki67 dual positivity (3.4, 95% CI 1.5-7.5), or non-HPV16 HR (13.0, 95% CI 1.7-102), but most notably, HPV16 (46.3, 95% CI 6.1-355) infection. Previous diagnosis of low-grade (2.3, 95% CI 1.0-5.4) or high-grade (3.8, 95% CI 1.5-9.9) anal lesion also conveyed higher hHSIL risk. After controlling for patient-specific determinants, there remained significant centre-specific effects, most clearly in higher risk groups (HPV16-positive participants: 31.3% hHSIL in centres A-D versus 5.1% in centres E and F, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Anal cytology and HPV16 infection are potentially useful determinants of hHSIL risk in HIV-positive MSM, but HIV/immunodeficiency-related variables appear not to be. Controlling for patient-specific hHSIL determinants highlights variability in HRA practice across diverse clinical settings and the need for better standardization of this difficult procedure.

Strategies for screening and early detection of anal cancers: A narrative and systematic review and meta-analysis of cytology, HPV testing, and other biomarkers

Anal cancer incidence and mortality have been increasing over the past decade. Although the incidence in the general population remains low, it is much higher in certain subgroups, including those living with human immunodeficiency virus and men who have sex with men. Approximately 90% of anal squamous cell cancers are caused by infection with carcinogenic human papillomavirus (HPV). Given the common etiology between anal and cervical carcinogenesis, screening for anal cancer has been proposed in certain high-risk populations using strategies adapted from cervical cancer prevention. In this review, the authors discuss important differences in anal and cervical cancer regarding the populations at risk, disease natural history, and clinical procedures and outcomes that need to be considered when evaluating strategies for anal cancer screening. They also performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the performance of anal cytology, anal HPV testing, and various biomarkers for the detection of anal precancers and cancers. The implications of these performance estimates are summarized in the context of risk-based screening and management of anal precancers, and important research gaps are highlighted that need to be addressed to fully understand the benefits and harms of anal cancer screening. Cancer Cytopathol 2018. Published 2018. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.

Human papillomavirus types from infection to cancer in the anus, according to sex and HIV status: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Data on carcinogenicity of human papillomavirus (HPV) types in the anus are needed to inform anal cancer prevention through vaccination and screening. This is particularly the case for people infected with HIV, who are at an increased risk of anal cancer.

METHODS

We did a systematic review of studies published from January, 1986, to July, 2017, in MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library on anal HPV infection, without any language restrictions. Eligible studies reported type-specific HPV prevalence by strata of cytopathological or histopathological anal diagnosis, sex, and HIV status. Data requests were made to authors when necessary. We did a meta-analysis of type-specific HPV prevalence across the full spectrum of anal diagnoses, from normal cytology to anal cancer. We assessed the main outcome of type-specific HPV prevalence ratios [PR], calculated across strata of anal diagnoses, gender, or HIV status, by use of generalised linear models.

FINDINGS

95 studies were identified from the search, published between 1992-2017, from which 18 646 individuals fulfilled the criteria for inclusion in the analyses: 8534 people with normal cytology, 5730 with low-grade lesions, 2024 with high-grade lesions, and 2358 with anal cancer. HPV prevalence varied in normal cytology from 42% in HIV-negative women to 76% in HIV-positive men and, for each diagnosis, was higher in individuals who were HIV positive than those who were HIV negative. HPV16 positivity increased with diagnosis severity, being the only HPV type accounting for more HPV infection in anal cancer than normal cytology, both in individuals who were HIV negative (PR 5·0, 95% CI 3·8-6·6, p<0·0001) and those who were HIV positive (2·3, 1·9-2·7, p<0·0001). HPV16 positivity increased even between high-grade lesions and anal cancer, whereas other high-risk HPV types accounted for high proportions of low-grade or high-grade lesions but their prevalence decreased in anal cancer. However, HPV16 was less frequent in HIV-positive than HIV-negative anal cancer, both in men (PR 0·8, 95% CI 0·7-0·9, p<0·0001) and women (0·8, 0·6-1·0, p=0·063), and in HIV-positive versus HIV-negative high-grade lesions in women (0·6, 0·5-0·9, p=0·0077). Type-specific attribution of the non-HPV16 fraction of HIV-positive anal cancer is hindered by a high prevalence of multiple HPV infections.

INTERPRETATION

HPV16 is by far the most carcinogenic HPV type in the anus, with enrichment of HPV16 even from high-grade lesions to anal cancer, both in individuals who are HIV negative and those who are HIV positive. Nevertheless, the fraction of anal cancer attributable to HPV16 is smaller in the HIV-positive population.

FUNDING

International Agency for Research on Cancer.

Screening for precancerous anal lesions with P16/Ki67 immunostaining in HIV-infected MSM

BACKGROUND

Screening of anal cancer in HIV-infected MSM with anal cytology results in high rates of false positive results and elevated burden of high-resolution anoscopies. High-risk HPV up-regulates p16 and Ki67 expression in epithelial cells. We assessed the usefulness of P16/Ki-67 immunostaining cytology for the diagnosis of precancerous anal lesions.

METHODOLOGY

Cross-sectional multicenter study. Concomitant anal liquid cytology with p16/Ki-67 immunostaining and HRA with biopsy of acetowhite lugol-negative lesions was performed in HIV-infected MSM. We compared the diagnostic performance of an abnormal anal cytology and p16/Ki-67 immunostaining relative to HRA-guided biopsy by logistic regression and comparison of ROC areas.

RESULTS

We included 328 HIV-infected MSM. HSIL was histologically diagnosed in 72 subjects (25.1%), and 2 (0.6%) were diagnosed with anal cancer. An abnormal cytology showed a sensitivity of 95.6% and a specificity of 58.8% for the diagnosis of biopsy-proven HSIL. P16/Ki67 positivity was associated with the presence of biopsy-proven HSIL (P trend = 0.004) but with low sensitivity (41.2%) and specificity (71%). The combination of standard cytology with P16/Ki67 immunostaining did not increment the predictive value of standard cytology alone (AUC 0.685 vs. 0.673, respectively, P = 0.688).

CONCLUSION

In HIV-infected MSM P16/Ki67 immunostaining does not improve the diagnostic accuracy of anal cytology, which shows a high sensitivity yet poor specificity. Other approaches aimed at improving the diagnostic accuracy of current techniques for the diagnostic of precancerous HSIL are warranted.

Histological outcomes of anal high-grade cytopredictions

BACKGROUND

Longitudinal studies of histological outcomes after anal cytological screening in men who have sex with men (MSM) are rare. This study measured the positive predictive values (PPVs) of each level of baseline cytological abnormality in MSM in Sydney, Australia, over a 12-month period.

METHODS

The Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer is a 3-year prospective study of the natural history of anal human papillomavirus infection in MSM at least 35 years old. For each participant with a baseline cytological abnormality, the worst histology was recorded at the baseline high-resolution anoscopy and at 6 and 12 months. PPVs for a histological high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) diagnosis were calculated for each level of baseline cytological abnormality at each time point.

RESULTS

Among 424 men who completed 3 visits, the PPV of a cytological HSIL increased from 71.6% at the baseline to 86.4% at 6 months and to 92.6% at 12 months (P < .001). For cytological atypical squamous cells, cannot rule out high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (ASC-H), the PPV increased from 51.5% at the baseline to 69.7% at 6 months and to 75.8% at 12 months (P = .004). At each time point, the PPV of a cytological HSIL was significantly higher than the PPV of ASC-H. The PPV of low-grade cytology reports was significantly lower than the PPV of ASC-H at each time point.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of MSM, a baseline histological HSIL diagnosis after an HSIL cytoprediction is high, and it increases with further examinations over the course of 12 months. Lower levels of cytological abnormalities have significantly lower PPVs. These data can inform patient management and the quality assessment of each aspect of the screening pathway. Cancer Cytopathol 2018;126:136-44. © 2017 American Cancer Society.