Epidemiological trends of surgical admissions to the intensive care unit in the United States

Relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio and short-term mortality among patients from the surgical intensive care unit: a population-based real-world study

BACKGROUND

Patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) often suffer from multi-organ dysfunction and have a high mortality rate. Therefore, finding a simple but effective clinical indicator to predict the prognosis of patients is essential to improve their survival. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio (B/A) and short-term mortality among patients from the SICU.

METHODS

All eligible adult patients admitted to the SICU from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were recruited for this study. Participants were divided into a death group (n = 638) and a survival group (n = 2,048) based on the 90-day prognosis, and then grouped by B/A quartiles. We used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to visually analyze the correlation of B/A with 30- and 90-day risk of death. Cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves according to B/A quartiles and evaluated using the log-rank test. Cox proportional risk models were developed and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore whether B/A was independently associated with short-term outcomes in SICU patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed to ascertain the value of B/A for prognosticating 90-day outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 2686 participants were included in the final study, and their 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality rates were 17.61% and 23.75%, respectively. The differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were statistically significant among the four groups of patients (all p < 0.001). RCS curves showed that B/A was linearly associated with the risk of 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients (χ2 = 0.960, p = 0.811; χ2 = 1.940, p = 0.584). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 90-day cumulative survival rate gradually decreased as B/A increased, with patients in the highest quartile of B/A having the lowest survival rate (p < 0.001). Cox regression indicated that elevated B/A (> 9.69) was an independent risk factor for 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients. The analysis of ROC curves demonstrated that B/A exhibited a significant predictive ability for 90-day mortality, with an optimal threshold of 6.587, a sensitivity of 56.9%, and a specificity of 64.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated B/A (> 9.69) on admission was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in SICU patients, and clinicians should pay more attention to this group of patients and intervene clinically at an early stage to reduce mortality.

Risk factors of postoperative intensive care unit admission during the COVID-19 pandemic: A multicentre retrospective cohort study

Background

During the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, intensive care unit (ICU) capacity was scarce. Since surgical patients also require ICU admission, determining which factors lead to an increased risk of postoperative ICU admission is essential. This study aims to determine which factors led to an increased risk of unplanned postoperative ICU admission during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

This multicentre retrospective cohort study investigated all patients who underwent surgery between 9 March 2020 and 30 June 2020. The primary endpoint was the number of surgical patients requiring postoperative ICU admission. The secondary endpoint was to determine factors leading to an increased risk of unplanned postoperative ICU admission, calculated by multivariate analysis with odds ratios (OR's) and 95% confidence (CI) intervals.

Results

One hundred eighty-five (4.6%) of the 4051 included patients required unplanned postoperative ICU admission. COVID-19 positive patients were at an increased risk of being admitted to the ICU compared to COVID-19 negative (OR 3.14; 95% CI 1.06-9.33; p = 0.040) and untested patients (OR 0.48; 95% CI 0.32-0.70; p = 0.001). Other predictors were male gender (OR 1.36; 95% CI 1.02-1.82; p = 0.046), body mass index (BMI) (OR 1.05; 95% CI 1.02-1.08; p = 0.001), surgical urgency and surgical discipline.

Conclusion

A confirmed COVID-19 infection, male gender, elevated BMI, surgical urgency, and surgical discipline were independent factors for an increased risk of unplanned postoperative ICU admission. In the event of similar pandemics, postponing surgery in patients with an increased risk of postoperative ICU admission may be considered.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among patients admitted to surgical intensive care units of Addis Ababa governmental hospitals, Ethiopia: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Critical care is a serious global healthcare burden. Although a high number of surgical patients are being admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU), the mortality remained high, particularly in low and middle-income countries. However, there is limited data in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the survival status and predictors of mortality in surgical patients admitted to the SICUs of Addis Ababa governmental hospitals, Ethiopia.

Methods

A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted on 410 surgical patients admitted to the SICUs of three government hospitals in Addis Ababa selected using a simple random sampling from February 2017 to February 2020. The data were entered into Epidata version 4.6 and imported to STATA/MP version 16 for further analysis. Bi-variable and multivariable Cox regression models were fitted in the analysis to determine the predictor variables. A hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was computed, and variables with a p-value <0.05 were considered statistically significant.

Results

From a sample of 410 patients, 378 were included for final analysis and followed for a median follow-up of 5 days. The overall mortality among surgical patients in the SICU was 44.97% with an incidence rate of 5.9 cases per 100 person-day observation. Trauma (AHR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.19-2.08), Glasgow coma score (GCS) <9 (AHR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.31), readmission to the SICU (AHR = 3.52, 95% CI: 2.18-5.68), mechanical ventilation (AHR = 2.52, 95% CI: 1.23-5.15), and creatinine level (AHR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01-1.18) were found to be significantly associated with mortality in the SICU.

Conclusion

The mortality of surgical patients in the SICU was high. Trauma, GCS <9 upon admission, readmission to the SICU, mechanical ventilation, and increased in the creatinine level on admission to the SICU were the identified predictors of mortality in the SICU.

Delirium in the intensive care unit and its importance in the post-operative context: A review

The burden of delirium in the intensive care setting is a global priority. Delirium affects up to 80% of patients in intensive care units; an episode of delirium is often distressing to patients and their families, and delirium in patients within, or outside of, the intensive care unit (ICU) setting is associated with poor outcomes. In the short term, such poor outcomes include longer stay in intensive care, longer hospital stay, increased risk of other hospital-acquired complications, and increased risk of hospital mortality. Longer term sequelae include cognitive impairment and functional dependency. While medical category of admission may be a risk factor for poor outcomes in critical care populations, outcomes for surgical ICU admissions are also poor, with dependency at hospital discharge exceeding 30% and increased risk of in-hospital mortality, particularly in vulnerable groups, with high-risk procedures, and resource-scarce settings. A practical approach to delirium prevention and management in the ICU setting is likely to require a multi-faceted approach. Given the good evidence for the prevention of delirium among older post-operative outside of the intensive care setting, simple non-pharmacological interventions should be effective among older adults post-operatively who are cared for in the intensive care setting. In response to this, the future ICU environment will have a range of organizational and distinct environmental characteristics that are directly targeted at preventing delirium.

Epidemiologic Study of Intensive Care Unit Admission in South Korea: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study from 2010 to 2019

We aimed to investigate the trends of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions in South Korea from 2010 to 2019. We included all adult patients (≥20 years old) who were admitted to the ICU during hospitalization from 2010 to 2019 in South Korea. There were 3,517,423 ICU admissions of 2,461,848 adult patients. Of the ICU admission cases, 66.8% (2,347,976/3,517,423) were surgery-associated admissions, and the rate of in-hospital mortality after ICU admission was 12.0% (422,155 patients). The most common diagnoses were diseases of the circulatory system (36.8%) and pneumonia (4%). The 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates were 16.0%, 23.6%, and 33.3% in 2010, and these values slightly decreased by 2019 to 14.7%, 22.1%, and 31.7%, respectively. The proportions of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) use and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support were 2.0% and 0.3% in 2010, and these values gradually increased by 2019 to 4.7% and 0.8%, respectively. Although the age and cost of hospitalization among critically ill patients who were admitted to the ICU increased from 2010 to 2019, the mortality rate decreased slightly. Moreover, the proportions of ECMO support and CRRT use had increased in our South Korean cohort.

The magnitude of mortality and its determinants in Ethiopian adult intensive care units: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Despite mortality in intensive care units being a global burden, it is higher in low-resource countries, including Ethiopia. A sufficient number of evidence is not yet established regarding mortality in the intensive care unit and its determinants. This study intended to determine the prevalence of ICU mortality and its determinants in Ethiopia.

Methods

PubMed, Google Scholar, The Cochrane Library, HINARI, and African Journals Online (AJOL) databases were systematically explored for potentially eligible studies on mortality prevalence and determinants reported by studies done in Ethiopia. Using a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet, two reviewers independently screen, select, review, and extract data for further analysis using STATA/MP version 17. A meta-analysis using a random-effects model was performed to calculate the pooled prevalence and odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval. In addition, using study region and sample size, subgroup analysis was also performed.

Results

9799 potential articles were found after removing duplicates and screening for eligibility, 14 were reviewed. Ethiopia's pooled national prevalence of adult intensive care unit mortality was 39.70% (95% CI: 33.66, 45.74). Mechanical ventilation, length of staying more than two weeks, GCS below 9, and acute respiratory distress syndrome were major predictors of mortality in intensive care units of Ethiopia.

Conclusion

Mortality in adult ICU is high in Ethiopia. We strongly recommend that all health care professionals and other stakeholders should act to decrease the high mortality among critically ill patients in Ethiopia.

Recent Trends in Admission Diagnosis and Related Mortality in the Medically Critically Ill

PURPOSE

With decades of declining ICU mortality, we hypothesized that the outcomes and distribution of diseases cared for in the ICU have changed and we aimed to further characterize them.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of 287,154 nonsurgical-critically ill adults, from 237 U.S. ICUs, using the manually abstracted Cerner APACHE Outcomes database from 2008 to 2016 was performed. Surgical patients, rare admission diagnoses (<100 occurrences), and low volume hospitals (<100 total admissions) were excluded. Diagnoses were distributed into mutually exclusive organ system/disease-based categories based on admission diagnosis. Multi-level mixed-effects negative binomial regression was used to assess temporal trends in admission, in-hospital mortality, and length of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

The number of ICU admissions remained unchanged (IRR 0.99, 0.98-1.003) while certain organ system/disease groups increased (toxicology [25%], hematologic/oncologic [55%] while others decreased (gastrointestinal [31%], pulmonary [24%]). Overall risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality was unchanged (IRR 0.98, 0.96-1.0004). Risk-adjusted ICU LOS (Estimate -0.06 days/year, -0.07 to -0.04) decreased. Risk-adjusted mortality varied significantly by disease.

CONCLUSION

Risk-adjusted ICU mortality rate did not change over the study period, but there was evidence of shifting disease burden across the critical care population. Our data provides useful information regarding future ICU personnel and resource needs.

Morbidity and Mortality Trends of Pancreatitis: An Observational Study

Background: Pancreatitis accounts for more than $2.5 billion of healthcare costs and remains the most common gastrointestinal (GI) admission. Few contemporary studies have assessed temporal trends of incidence, complications, management, and outcomes for acute pancreatitis in hospitalized patients at the national level. Methods: We used data from one of the largest hospital-based databases available in the United States, the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's (HCUP) State Inpatient Database, from 10 states between 2008 and 2015. We included patients with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis (ICD-9 CM 577.0). Patient- and hospital-level data were used to estimate incidence and inpatient mortality rates. Results: From 80,736,256 hospitalizations, 929,914 (1.15%) cases of acute pancreatitis were identified, 186,226 (20.2%) of which were caused by gallbladder disease). The median age was 53 years (interquartile range [IQR], 41-67) and 50.8% were men. In-hospital mortality was 2.5% and crude mortality rates declined from 2.9% to 2.0% over the study period. Admission year remained significant after adjusting for patient demographics and comorbidities (odds ratio [OR], 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-0.90; p < 0.001). Gallbladder disease was associated with decreased odds of mortality (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.57-0.62). Median length of stay was four days (IQR, 2-7) and decreased over time. The rates of surgical and endoscopic interventions were highest in 2011 (peak incidence of 16.1% and 9.5%, respectively) and have been decreasing since. Surgical providers were, on average, more likely than medical providers to perform surgery in both those with and without gallbladder disease etiology (gallbladder disease OR, 7.11; 95% CI, 5.46-9.25; non-gallbladder disease OR, 20.50; 95% CI, 16.81-25.01), endoscopy (gallbladder disease OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.87-1.72; non-gallbladder disease OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.18-2.16), or both (gallbladder disease OR, 7.00; 95% CI, 5.22-9.37; non-gallbladder disease OR, 8.85; 95% CI, 5.61-13.96). Conclusions: The incidence of pancreatitis, from 2008 to 2015, has increased whereas inpatient mortality (i.e., case fatality) has decreased. Understanding temporal trends in outcomes and management along with provider, hospital, and regional variation can better identify areas for future research and collaboration in managing these patients.

National Trends and Variation of Functional Status Deterioration in the Medically Critically Ill

OBJECTIVES

Physical and psychologic deficits after an ICU admission are associated with lower quality of life, higher mortality, and resource utilization. This study aimed to examine the prevalence and secular changes of functional status deterioration during hospitalization among nonsurgical critical illness survivors over the past decade.

DESIGN

We performed a retrospective longitudinal cohort analysis.

SETTING

Analysis performed using the Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation outcomes database which included manually abstracted data from 236 U.S. hospitals from 2008 to 2016.

PATIENTS

We included nonsurgical adult ICU patients who survived their hospitalization and had a functional status documented at ICU admission and hospital discharge. Physical functional status was categorized as fully independent, partially dependent, or fully dependent.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Functional status deterioration occurred in 38,116 patients (29.3%). During the past decade, functional status deterioration increased in each disease category, as well as overall (prevalence rate ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.13-1.17; p < 0.001). Magnitude of functional status deterioration also increased over time (odds ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.03-1.03; p < 0.001) with hematological, sepsis, neurologic, and pulmonary disease categories having the highest odds of severe functional status deterioration.

CONCLUSIONS

Following nonsurgical critical illness, the prevalence of functional status deterioration and magnitude increased in a nationally representative cohort, despite efforts to reduce ICU dysfunction over the past decade. Identifying the prevalence of functional status deterioration and primary etiologies associated with functional status deterioration will elucidate vital areas for further research and targeted interventions. Reducing ICU debilitation for key disease processes may improve ICU survivor mortality, enhance quality of life, and decrease healthcare utilization.

Discordant Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Code Status at Death

CONTEXT

One fundamental way to honor patient autonomy is to establish and enact their wishes for end-of-life care. Limited research exists regarding adherence with code status.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to characterize cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) attempts discordant with documented code status at the time of death in the U.S. and to elucidate potential contributing factors.

METHODS

The Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) outcomes database, which includes 237 U.S. hospitals that collect manually abstracted data from all critical care patients, was queried for adults admitted to intensive care units with a documented code status at the time of death from January 2008 to December 2016. The primary outcome was discordant CPR at death. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify patient-level and hospital-level associated factors after adjustment for age, hospital, and illness severity (APACHE III score).

RESULTS

A total of 21,537 patients from 56 hospitals were included. Of patients with a do-not-resuscitate code status, 149 (0.8%) received CPR at death, and associated factors included black race, higher APACHE III score, or treatment in small or nonteaching hospitals. Of patients with a full code status, 203 (9.0%) did not receive CPR at death, and associated factors included higher APACHE III score, primary neurologic or trauma diagnosis, or admission in a more recent year.

CONCLUSION

At the time of death, 1.6% of patients received or did not undergo CPR in a manner discordant with their documented code statuses. Race and institutional factors were associated with discordant resuscitation, and addressing these disparities may promote concordant end-of-life care in all patients.