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Girma D, Abita Z, Lemu LG, Asmelash D, Bambo GM, Alie MS, Abebe GF. Incidence of lost to follow up among HIV-positive children on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0304239. [PMID: 38776343 PMCID: PMC11111029 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0304239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/24/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND At the end of 2022, globally, only 46% of children (aged 0-14 years) on ART had suppressed viral loads. Viral load suppression is crucial to reduce HIV-related deaths. To suppress the viral load at the expected level, children must be retained in ART treatment. Nevertheless, lost to follow-up from ART treatment continues to be a global challenge, particularly, in developing countries. Previously, primary studies were conducted in Ethiopia to assess the incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART treatment. However, variations have been seen among the studies. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART and identify its associated factors in Ethiopia. METHODS We searched PubMed, HINARI, Science Direct, Google Scholar, and African Journals Online to obtain articles published up to November 20, 2023. Critical appraisal was done using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Heterogeneity was identified using I-square statistics. Funnel plot and Egger's tests were used to identify publication bias. Data was presented using forest plots and tables. Random and fixed-effect models were used to compute the pooled estimate. RESULTS Twenty-four studies were included in the final analysis. The pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART was 2.79 (95% CI: 1.99, 3.91) per 100-child-year observations. Advanced HIV disease (HR: 2.20, 95% CI: 1.71, 2.73), having opportunistic infection (HR: 2.59, 95% CI: 1.39; 4.78), fair or poor ART treatment adherence (HR: 2.92, 95% CI: 1.31; 6.54) and children aged between 1-5 years (HR: 2.1,95% CI: 1.44; 2.95) were factors associated with lost to follow up among HIV positive children on ART. CONCLUSIONS The overall pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART is low in Ethiopia. Therefore, counseling on ART drug adherence should be strengthened. Moreover, emphasis has to be given to children with advanced HIV stage and opportunistic infection to reduce the rate of lost to follow up among HIV-positive children on ART. TRIAL REGISTRATION Registered in PROSPERO with ID: CRD42024501071.
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Affiliation(s)
- Desalegn Girma
- Department of Midwifery, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Zinie Abita
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Lidya Gutema Lemu
- Department of Midwifery, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Daniel Asmelash
- Department of Medical Laboratory, College of Health Science, Mizan Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Getachew Mesfin Bambo
- Department of Medical Laboratory, College of Health Science, Mizan Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Melesew Setegn Alie
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
| | - Gossa Fetene Abebe
- Department of Midwifery, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Teferi, Ethiopia
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Li M, Wang Q. Predicting the loss to follow-up (LTFU) of HIV/AIDS patients in China using a recency-frequency (RF) model. HIV Med 2023; 24:82-92. [PMID: 35758518 DOI: 10.1111/hiv.13324] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2022] [Accepted: 05/04/2022] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We constructed a recency-frequency (RF) model for predicting the loss to follow-up (LTFU) in HIV/AIDS patients in China. METHODS Data on HIV/AIDS outpatients in the research unit from 1 August 2009 to 30 September 2020 and from 1 October to 31 December 2020 were exported as the observation and prediction datasets, respectively. The classic recency-frequency-monetary (RFM) model was expanded into RFm, RF, RFL and RFmL models. In the observation dataset, the best predictive model was obtained using k-means clustering and C5.0 verification. Then, two rounds of k-means modelling were performed on the best model: data with R ≤ 6 months were retained, randomly divided into a training set (70%) and a testing set (30%) and used to perform the second round of modelling to subdivide the churn and non-churn patients. Next, an ANN algorithm was used to predict LTFU, and the confusion matrix with prediction datasets was constructed. RESULTS The observation and prediction datasets included 16 949 and 10 748 samples, respectively. The RF model with three clusters and a quality of 0.82 was the best predictive model. From the observation set, 13 799 samples were retained, and the model accuracy was 100% on the training and testing sets. These 13 799 samples were subdivided into 1563 samples of churn patients and 12 216 samples of non-churn patients. The accuracy of ANN prediction was 99.89%. The accuracy and precision of the confusion matrix were 85.41% and 99.76%, respectively. CONCLUSION The RF model is effective in predicting the LTFU of HIV/AIDS patients in China and preventing its occurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Min Li
- College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China.,Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Qunwei Wang
- College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China
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Leshargie CT, Demant D, Burrowes S, Frawley J. Incidence and predictors of mortality among adolescents on antiretroviral therapy in Amhara Region, Ethiopia: a retrospective cohort analysis. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e063879. [PMID: 36351711 PMCID: PMC9664312 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063879] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of mortality in adolescents receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Ethiopia's Amhara Region. DESIGN We conducted an institution-based retrospective follow-up study. SETTINGS The study was conducted at Amhara Region's comprehensive specialised hospitals in Ethiopia. PARTICIPANTS We included 961 randomly selected medical records of adolescents receiving ART between January 2005 and June 2020. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES The incidence of mortality since ART treatment initiation served as the primary outcome, and predictors of mortality served as secondary outcomes. We used Cox proportional hazard regression to examine the relationship between mortality and its predictors. Variables with p values<0.05 in the multivariable analysis were considered statistically significant mortality predictors. Adjusted HR (aHR) with 95% CI was used to measure the strength of association. RESULTS More than half (n=496, 53.5%) of the adolescents living with HIV (ALHIV) were girls. The adolescent mortality rate was 1.52 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.53) per 100 person-years throughout the follow-up period of 81 583 adolescent months. Mortality was higher for ALHIV who had not received formal education (aHR: 3.27, 95% CI: 1.36 to 7.87), had widowed parents (aHR: 1.85, CI: 95% 1.01 to 3.56) or received no social support (aHR: 2.81, 95% CI: 1.69 to 4.67). Adolescents who had opportunistic infections (OIs) at ART initiation (aHR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.19 to 3.14), low haemoglobin (Hgb/g/l) levels (aHR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.08 to 4.18), a bedridden functional status (aHR: 3.11, 95% CI: 1.64 to 5.72), stage IV clinical staging (aHR: 3.03, 95% CI: 1.46 to 6.30), non-disclosing status (aHR: 2.24, 95% CI:1.36 to 3.69) and CD4 count 200-350 cells/mm3 (aHR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.08 to 4.18) also had a higher risk of death. Not receiving cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (aHR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.07 to 3.22) and poor adherence to ART (aHR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.27 to 3.95), compared with adherent, was associated with higher mortality risk. Changed treatment regimens were associated with lower mortality (aHR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.35 to 0.98). CONCLUSIONS Our study found a lower mortality rate for adolescents with HIV than previous Ethiopian studies, but our significant mortality predictors were similar to those found in earlier studies of adults and adolescents. Our findings reveal a potential point for health service improvement in Ethiopia: incorporating monitoring of Hgb levels into patient follow-up care, supporting recommendations that clinicians emphasise managing OIs and providing counselling services to improve adherence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheru Tesema Leshargie
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Amhara, Ethiopia
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Daniel Demant
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- School of Public Health and Social Work, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | | | - Jane Frawley
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
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Leshargie CT, Demant D, Burrowes S, Frawley J. The proportion of loss to follow-up from antiretroviral therapy (ART) and its association with age among adolescents living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0272906. [PMID: 35951621 PMCID: PMC9371308 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0272906] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2021] [Accepted: 07/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a global health threat, especially in developing countries. The successful scale-up of antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs to address this threat is hindered by a high proportion of patient loss to follow-up (LTFU). LTFU is associated with poor viral suppression and increased mortality. It is particularly acute among adolescents, who face unique adherence challenges. Although LTFU is a critical obstacle on the continuum of care for adolescents, few regional-level studies report the proportion of LTFU among adolescents receiving ART. Therefore, a systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to estimate the pooled LTFU in ART programs among adolescents living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Methods We searched five databases (PubMed, Embase (Elsevier), PsycINFO, CINAHL, and Scopus) for articles published between 2005 and 2020 and reference lists of included articles. The PRISMA guidelines for systematic reviews were followed. A standardised checklist to extract data was used. Descriptive summaries were presented using narrative tables and figures. Heterogeneity within the included studies was examined using the Cochrane Q test statistics and I2 test. Random effect models were used to estimate the pooled prevalence of LTFU among ALHIV. We used Stata version 16 statistical software for our analysis. Results Twenty-nine eligible studies (n = 285,564) were included. An estimated 15.07% (95% CI: 11.07, 19.07) of ALHIV were LTFU. Older adolescents (15–19 years old) were 43% (AOR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.37, 0.87) more likely to be LTFU than younger (10–14 years old) adolescents. We find an insignificant relationship between gender and LTFU (AOR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.87, 1.03). A subgroup analysis found that regional differences in the proportion of adolescent LTFU were not statistically significant. The trend analysis indicates an increasing proportion of adolescent LTFU over time. Conclusions and recommendations The proportion of LTFU among HIV-positive adolescents in SSA seems higher than those reported in other regions. Older adolescents in the region are at an increased risk for LTFU than younger adolescents. These findings may help policymakers develop appropriate strategies to retain ALHIV in ART services. Such strategies could include community ART distribution points, appointment spacing, adherence clubs, continuous free access to ART, and community-based adherence support.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheru Tesema Leshargie
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, Australia
- * E-mail:
| | - Daniel Demant
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, Australia
- School of Public Health and Social Work, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Sahai Burrowes
- Public Health Program, College of Education and Health Sciences, Touro University California, Vallejo, CA, United States of America
| | - Jane Frawley
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, Australia
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Menshw T, Birhanu S, Gebremaryam T, Yismaw W, Endalamaw A. Incidence and Predictors of Loss to Follow-Up Among Children Attending ART Clinics in Northeast Ethiopia: A Retrospective Cohort Study. HIV AIDS-RESEARCH AND PALLIATIVE CARE 2021; 13:801-812. [PMID: 34408500 PMCID: PMC8364847 DOI: 10.2147/hiv.s320601] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2021] [Accepted: 08/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
Background It is known that antiretroviral therapy reduces the transmission of human immunodeficiency virus and AIDS-related morbidity. The coverage of HIV drugs is increasing to control further spread of HIV and children living with HIV are the target groups in using these medications. However, loss to follow-up remains a critical challenge among these groups of the population. The aim of this study was therefore to assess the incidence and predictors of loss to follow-up among children attending antiretroviral therapy clinics. Methods A ten-year institution-based retrospective cohort study was employed among 448 children enrolled in antiretroviral therapy. Data were entered and cleaned using EpiData version 3.1 and then exported to STATA version 14 for further statistical analysis. The Kaplan–Meier survival curve was used to estimate the survival time and the Log rank test was used to compare the survival time between different categories of the explanatory variables. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was fitted to identify predictors of loss to follow-up and p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results The incidence rate of loss to follow-up was 6.3 per 100 children years of observation. Being male (AHR = 2.1, CI = 1.37, 3.34), aged 1–5 years (AHR = 1.6, CI = 1.05, 2.46), poor adherence to antiretroviral therapy (AHR = 6.6; CI = 4.11, 10.66), fair adherence to antiretroviral therapy (AHR = 2.2; CI = 1.13, 4.20), regimen was not changed (AHR = 4.1; CI = 2.59, 6.45), World Health Organization stage III and IV (AHR = 2.2; CI = 1.40, 3.33) and height for age <−2 z score (AHR = 2.2; CI = 1.43, 3.44) were predictors of loss to follow-up. Conclusion Nearly seven out of 100 HIV-infected children were lost to follow-up from their link to ART clinics within a one-year follow-up. Non-modifiable demographic characteristics, clinical stage and nutritional status, and ART-related variables were associated with children’s loss to follow-up. Therefore, close monitoring of the “at risk” groups might decrease the rate of loss to follow-up. Improving adherence to antiretroviral therapy and nutritional support are also recommended.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tiruye Menshw
- Nursing Department, Mettu University, Mettu, Ethiopia
| | - Shiferaw Birhanu
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia
| | - Tigist Gebremaryam
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia
| | - Worke Yismaw
- Nursing Department, Mettu University, Mettu, Ethiopia
| | - Aklilu Endalamaw
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.,Schools of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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Nguyen RN, Ton QC, Luong MH, Le LHL. Long-Term Outcomes and Risk Factors for Mortality in a Cohort of HIV-Infected Children Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Vietnam. HIV AIDS-RESEARCH AND PALLIATIVE CARE 2020; 12:779-787. [PMID: 33262660 PMCID: PMC7699995 DOI: 10.2147/hiv.s284868] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2020] [Accepted: 11/10/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Background Management of HIV-infected children on a long-term basis is a challenge in resource-limited countries. The aim of this study is to evaluate the long-term outcome and identify the risk factors for mortality in a cohort of children with antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Vietnam. Patients and Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted in children aged 0-15 years, seen at the outpatient clinic of the Women and Children Hospital of An Giang, Vietnam, from August 2006 to May 2019. Cox proportional-hazard models were used to determine factors associated with mortality. Results A total of 266 HIV-infected children were on ART. During 1545 child-years of follow-up (median follow-up was 5.8 years), 28 (10.5%) children died yielding a mortality rate of 1.8 death per 100 child-years. By multivariate analysis, World Health Organization clinical stage 3 or 4 (AHR; 7.86, 95% CI; 1.02-60.3, P= 0.047), tuberculosis (TB) co-infection (AHR; 6.26, 95% CI; 2.50-15.64, P= 0.001) and having severe immunosuppression before ART (AHR; 11.73, 95% CI; 1.52-90.4, P= 0.018) were independent factors for mortality in these children. Conclusion Antiretroviral therapy has reduced mortality in HIV-infected children in resource-limited settings. Independent risk factors for mortality were advanced clinical stage (3 or 4), TB co-infection and severe immunosuppression. Early investigation and treatment of TB co-infection allow early ART initiation which may improve outcomes in our settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rang Ngoc Nguyen
- Department of Pediatrics, Can Tho Univesity of Medicine and Pharmacy, Can Tho, Vietnam.,Women and Children Hospital of An Giang, An Giang, Vietnam
| | | | - My Huong Luong
- Women and Children Hospital of An Giang, An Giang, Vietnam
| | - Ly Ha Lien Le
- Women and Children Hospital of An Giang, An Giang, Vietnam
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Kisenge RR, Rees CA, Lauer JM, Liu E, Fawzi WW, Manji KP, Duggan CP. Risk factors for mortality among Tanzanian infants and children. Trop Med Health 2020; 48:43. [PMID: 32518499 PMCID: PMC7271391 DOI: 10.1186/s41182-020-00233-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2020] [Accepted: 05/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND During the era of the Millennium Development Goals, under 5 mortality rates decreased significantly worldwide; however, reductions were not equally distributed. Children in sub-Saharan Africa still account for more than 50% of the world's annual childhood deaths among children under 5 years of age. Understanding upstream risk factors for mortality among children may reduce the large burden of childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to identify risk factors for mortality among infants and children in Tanzania. METHODS We conducted a secondary analysis of data pooled from two randomized-controlled micronutrient supplementation trials. A total of 4787 infants were enrolled in the two trials (n = 2387 HIV-exposed and n = 2400 HIV-unexposed). Predictors of mortality were assessed using unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs). RESULTS There were 307 total deaths, 262 (11%) among children who were HIV-exposed and 45 (2%) among children who were HIV-unexposed (P < 0.001). The most common cause of death was respiratory diseases (n = 109, 35.5%). Causes of death did not significantly differ between HIV-exposed and HIV-unexposed children. In adjusted regression analyses, children with birth weight <2500 g (aHR 1.75, 95% CI 1.21-2.54), Apgar score of ≤7 at 5 min (aHR 2.16, 95% CI 1.29-3.62), or who were HIV-exposed but not infected (aHR 3.35, 95% CI 2.12-5.28) or HIV-infected (aHR 27.56, 95% CI 17.43-43.58) had greater risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS Infection with HIV, low birthweight, or low Apgar scores were associated with higher mortality risk. Early identification and modification of determinants of mortality among infants and children may be the first step to reducing such deaths.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rodrick R. Kisenge
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, P.O. Box 65001, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Chris A. Rees
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA USA
| | - Jacqueline M. Lauer
- Clinical Research Centre, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Boston Children’s Hospital, Boston, MA USA
| | - Enju Liu
- Institutional Centers for Clinical and Translational Research, Boston Children’s Hospital, Boston, MA USA
| | - Wafaie W. Fawzi
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA USA
| | - Karim P. Manji
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, P.O. Box 65001, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Christopher P. Duggan
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, P.O. Box 65001, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Boston Children’s Hospital, Boston, MA USA
- Center for Nutrition, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Boston Children’s Hospital, Boston, MA USA
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Dual Analysis of Loss to Follow-up for Perinatally HIV-Infected Adolescents Receiving Combination Antiretroviral Therapy in Asia. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2020; 82:431-438. [PMID: 31714422 DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000002184] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Perinatally HIV-infected adolescents (PHIVA) are an expanding population vulnerable to loss to follow-up (LTFU). Understanding the epidemiology and factors for LTFU is complicated by varying LTFU definitions. SETTING Asian regional cohort incorporating 16 pediatric HIV services across 6 countries. METHODS Data from PHIVA (aged 10-19 years) who received combination antiretroviral therapy 2007-2016 were used to analyze LTFU through (1) an International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) method that determined LTFU as >90 days late for an estimated next scheduled appointment without returning to care and (2) the absence of patient-level data for >365 days before the last data transfer from clinic sites. Descriptive analyses and competing-risk survival and regression analyses were used to evaluate LTFU epidemiology and associated factors when analyzed using each method. RESULTS Of 3509 included PHIVA, 275 (7.8%) met IeDEA and 149 (4.3%) met 365-day absence LTFU criteria. Cumulative incidence of LTFU was 19.9% and 11.8% using IeDEA and 365-day absence criteria, respectively. Risk factors for LTFU across both criteria included the following: age at combination antiretroviral therapy initiation <5 years compared with age ≥5 years, rural clinic settings compared with urban clinic settings, and high viral loads compared with undetectable viral loads. Age 10-14 years compared with age 15-19 years was another risk factor identified using 365-day absence criteria but not IeDEA LTFU criteria. CONCLUSIONS Between 12% and 20% of PHIVA were determined LTFU with treatment fatigue and rural treatment settings consistent risk factors. Better tracking of adolescents is required to provide a definitive understanding of LTFU and optimize evidence-based models of care.
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Kariminia A, Law M, Davies M, Vinikoor M, Wools‐Kaloustian K, Leroy V, Edmonds A, McGowan C, Vreeman R, Fairlie L, Ayaya S, Yotebieng M, Takassi E, Pinto J, Adedimeji A, Malateste K, Machado DM, Penazzato M, Hazra R, Sohn AH. Mortality and losses to follow-up among adolescents living with HIV in the IeDEA global cohort collaboration. J Int AIDS Soc 2018; 21:e25215. [PMID: 30548817 PMCID: PMC6291755 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.25215] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2018] [Accepted: 11/15/2018] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION We assessed mortality and losses to follow-up (LTFU) during adolescence in routine care settings in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) consortium. METHODS Cohorts in the Asia-Pacific, the Caribbean, Central, and South America, and sub-Saharan Africa (Central, East, Southern, West) contributed data, and included adolescents living with HIV (ALHIV) enrolled from January 2003 and aged 10 to 19 years (period of adolescence) while under care up to database closure (June 2016). Follow-up started at age 10 years or the first clinic visit, whichever was later. Entering care at <15 years was a proxy for perinatal infection, while entering care ≥15 years represented infection acquired during adolescence. Competing risk regression was used to assess associations with death and LTFU among those ever receiving triple-drug antiretroviral therapy (triple-ART). RESULTS Of the 61,242 ALHIV from 270 clinics in 34 countries included in the analysis, 69% (n = 42,138) entered care <15 years of age (53% female), and 31% (n = 19,104) entered care ≥15 years (81% female). During adolescence, 3.9% died, 30% were LTFU and 8.1% were transferred. For those with infection acquired perinatally versus during adolescence, the four-year cumulative incidences of mortality were 3.9% versus 5.4% and of LTFU were 26% versus 69% respectively (both p < 0.001). Overall, there were higher hazards of death for females (adjusted sub-hazard ratio (asHR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07 to 1.33), and those starting treatment at ≥5 years of age (highest asHR for age ≥15: 8.72, 95% CI 5.85 to 13.02), and in care in mostly urban (asHR 1.40, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.75) and mostly rural settings (asHR 1.39, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.87) compared to urban settings. Overall, higher hazards of LTFU were observed among females (asHR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.17), and those starting treatment at age ≥5 years (highest asHR for age ≥15: 11.11, 95% CI 9.86 to 12.53), in care at district hospitals (asHR 1.27, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.37) or in rural settings (asHR 1.21, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.29), and starting triple-ART after 2006 (highest asHR for 2011 to 2016 1.84, 95% CI 1.71 to 1.99). CONCLUSIONS Both mortality and LTFU were worse among those entering care at ≥15 years. ALHIV should be evaluated apart from younger children and adults to identify population-specific reasons for death and LTFU.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Matthew Law
- The Kirby InstituteUNSW SydneySydneyAustralia
| | - Mary‐Ann Davies
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and ResearchUniversity of Cape TownCape TownSouth Africa
| | | | | | | | - Andrew Edmonds
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel HillChapel HillNCUSA
| | | | | | - Lee Fairlie
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV InstituteJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Samuel Ayaya
- Moi University College of Health SciencesEldoretKenya
| | | | | | - Jorge Pinto
- Federal University of Minas GeraisBelo HorizoneBrazil
| | | | | | | | | | - Rohan Hazra
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human DevelopmentBethesdaMDUSA
| | - Annette H Sohn
- TREAT Asia/amfARThe Foundation for AIDS ResearchBangkokThailand
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