Beta-cell function and insulin sensitivity contribute to the shape of plasma glucose curve during an oral glucose tolerance test in non-diabetic individuals

High-accuracy noninvasive continuous glucose monitoring using OCT angiography-purified blood scattering signals in human skin

The accuracy of noninvasive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) through near-infrared scattering is challenged by mixed scattering signals from different compartments, where glucose has a positive correlation with a blood scattering coefficient but a negative correlation with a tissue scattering coefficient. In this study, we developed a high-accuracy noninvasive CGM based on OCT angiography (OCTA)-purified blood scattering signals. The blood optical scattering coefficient (BOC) was initially extracted from the depth attenuation of backscattered light in OCT and then purified by eliminating the scattering signals from the surrounding tissues under the guidance of a 3D OCTA vascular map in human skin. The purified BOC was used to estimate the optical blood glucose concentration (BGC) through a linear calibration. The optical and reference BGC measurements were highly correlated (R = 0.94) without apparent time delay. The mean absolute relative difference was 6.09%. All optical BGC measurements were within the clinically acceptable Zones A + B, with 96.69% falling in Zone A on Parke's error grids. The blood glucose response during OGTT was mapped with a high spatiotemporal resolution of the single vessel and 5 seconds. This noninvasive OCTA-based CGM shows promising accuracy for clinical use. Future research will involve larger sample sizes and diabetic participants to confirm these preliminary findings.

Oral Glucose Tolerance Test in Pregnancy and Subsequent Maternal Hypertension

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to evaluate whether values and the shape of the glucose curve during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in pregnancy identify women at risk of developing hypertension (HTN) later in life.

STUDY DESIGN

This category includes the secondary analysis of a follow-up from a mild gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) study that included a treatment trial for mild GDM (n = 458) and an observational cohort of participants with abnormal 1-hour glucose loading test only (normal OGTT, n = 430). Participants were assessed at a median of 7 (IQR 6-8) years after their index pregnancy, and trained staff measured their blood pressure (systolic blood pressure [SBP]; diastolic blood pressure [DBP]). The association between values and the shape of the glucose curve during OGTT in the index pregnancy and the primary outcome defined as elevated BP (SBP ≥120, DBP ≥80 mm Hg, or receiving anti-HTN medications), and secondary outcome defined as stage 1 or higher (SBP ≥130, DBP ≥80 mm Hg, or receiving anti-HTN medications) at follow-up were evaluated using multivariable regression, adjusting for maternal age, body mass index, and pregnancy-associated hypertension during the index pregnancy.

RESULTS

There was no association between fasting, 1-hour OGTT, and the outcomes. However, the 2-hour OGTT value was positively associated (adjusted odds ratio [aRR] per 10-unit increase 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08), and the 3-hour was inversely associated (aRR per 10-unit increase 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99) with the primary outcome. When the shape of the OGTT curve was evaluated, a monophasic OGTT response (peak at 1 hour followed by a decline in glucose) was associated with increased risk of elevated BP (41.3vs. 23.5%, aRR 1.66, 95% CI 1.17-2.35) and stage 1 HTN or higher (28.5 vs. 14.7%, aRR 1.83, 95% CI 1.15-2.92), compared with a biphasic OGTT response.

CONCLUSION

Among persons with mild GDM or lesser degrees of glucose intolerance, the shape of the OGTT curve during pregnancy may help identify women who are at risk of HTN later in life, with biphasic shape to be associated with lower risk.

KEY POINTS

· The shape of the Oral Glucose Tolerance Test curve may help identify patients who are at risk of having elevated BP or HTN 5 to 10 years following pregnancy.. · The 2-hour Oral Glucose Tolerance Test values is positively associated with elevated BP 5 to 10 years following pregnancy.. · This supports the concept of pregnancy as a window to future health and represents a potential novel biomarker for maternal cardiovascular health screening..

Predisposition to Type 2 Diabetes in Aspects of the Glycemic Curve and Glycated Hemoglobin in Healthy, Young Adults: A Cross-sectional Study

OBJECTIVES

Our aim in this study was to identify predictors for diabetes among the characteristics of the glycemic curve and glycated hemoglobin (A1C) in healthy, young adults.

METHODS

We used a cross-sectional study to establish predictors for diabetes based on earlier studies and evaluated occurrence of the condition in 81 healthy, young adult subjects. These volunteers underwent analysis of fasting plasma glucose, oral glucose tolerance test plasma glucose, A1C, and inflammatory markers (leukocytes, monocytes, and C-reactive protein). The nonparametric Mann-Whitney U test, Fisher's exact test, chi-square test, Kruskal-Wallis test, and multiple-comparisons test were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

We studied 2 age groups, homogeneous in terms of family history of diabetes: one group ranged in age from ≥18 to <28 years (median 20 years; body mass index [BMI] 24 kg/m2) and the other group ranged in age from ≥28 to <45 years (median 35 years; BMI 24 kg/m2). The older group had a higher incidence of predictors (p=0.0005) and was associated with the predictors 30-minute blood glucose ≥164 mg/dL (p=0.0190), 60-minute blood glucose ≥125 mg/dL (p=0.0346), and A1C ≥5.5% (p=0.0162), with a monophasic glycemic curve (p=0.007). The younger group was associated with the 2-hour plasma glucose predictor ≥140 mg/dL (p=0.014). All subjects had fasting glucose in the normal range.

CONCLUSIONS

Healthy, young adults may already have predictors of diabetes, identified mainly by aspects of the glycemic curve and A1C, but at more modest levels than those with prediabetes.

The Glycemic Curve during the Oral Glucose Tolerance Test: Is It Only Indicative of Glycoregulation?

The shape of the glycemic curve during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), interpreted in the correct context, can predict impaired glucose homeostasis. Our aim was to reveal information inherent in the 3 h glycemic trajectory that is of physiological relevance concerning the disruption of glycoregulation and complications beyond, such as components of metabolic syndrome (MS).

METHODS

In 1262 subjects (1035 women, 227 men) with a wide range of glucose tolerance, glycemic curves were categorized into four groups: monophasic, biphasic, triphasic, and multiphasic. The groups were then monitored in terms of anthropometry, biochemistry, and timing of the glycemic peak.

RESULTS

Most curves were monophasic (50%), then triphasic (28%), biphasic (17.5%), and multiphasic (4.5%). Men had more biphasic curves than women (33 vs. 14%, respectively), while women had more triphasic curves than men (30 vs. 19%, respectively) (p < 0.01). Monophasic curves were more frequent in people with impaired glucose regulation and MS compared to bi-, tri-, and multiphasic ones. Peak delay was the most common in monophasic curves, in which it was also most strongly associated with the deterioration of glucose tolerance and other components of MS.

CONCLUSION

The shape of the glycemic curve is gender dependent. A monophasic curve is associated with an unfavorable metabolic profile, especially when combined with a delayed peak.

Sex Differences in Glucose Homeostasis

Sexual dimorphism has been demonstrated to have an effect on various physiological functions. In this regard, researchers have investigated its impact on glucose homeostasis in both preclinical and clinical studies. Sex differences mainly arise from physiological factors such as sex hormones, body fat and muscle distribution, and sex chromosomes. The sexual dimorphism has also been studied in the context of diabetes. Reflecting the prevalence of the disease among the population, studies focusing on the sex difference in type 1 diabetes (T1D) are not common as the ones in type 2 diabetes (T2D). T1D is reported as the only major specific autoimmune disease that exhibits a male predominance. Clinical studies have demonstrated that impaired fasting glucose is more frequent in men whereas women more commonly exhibit impaired glucose tolerance. Understanding the sex difference in glucose homeostasis becomes more attractive when focusing on the findings that highlight sexual dimorphism on the efficacy or adverse effect profile of antidiabetic medications. Thus, in this chapter, we aimed to discuss the impact of sex on the glucose homeostasis both in health and in diabetes.

Dysregulation of β-Cell Proliferation in Diabetes: Possibilities of Combination Therapy in the Development of a Comprehensive Treatment

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a metabolic disorder characterized by chronic hyperglycemia as a result of insufficient insulin levels and/or impaired function as a result of autoimmune destruction or insulin resistance. While Type 1 DM (T1DM) and Type 2 DM (T2DM) occur through different pathological processes, both result in β-cell destruction and/or dysfunction, which ultimately lead to insufficient β-cell mass to maintain normoglycemia. Therefore, therapeutic agents capable of inducing β-cell proliferation is crucial in treating and reversing diabetes; unfortunately, adult human β-cell proliferation has been shown to be very limited (~0.2% of β-cells/24 h) and poorly responsive to many mitogens. Furthermore, diabetogenic insults result in damage to β cells, making it ever more difficult to induce proliferation. In this review, we discuss β-cell mass/proliferation pathways dysregulated in diabetes and current therapeutic agents studied to induce β-cell proliferation. Furthermore, we discuss possible combination therapies of proliferation agents with immunosuppressants and antioxidative therapy to improve overall long-term outcomes of diabetes.

Shift of Glucose Peak Time During Oral Glucose Tolerance Test is Associated with Changes in Insulin Secretion and Insulin Sensitivity After Therapy with Antidiabetic Drugs in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Delay in peak blood glucose during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) predicts declining β-cell function and poor ability to regulate glucose metabolism. Glucose peak time has not been used as a comparative indicator of the improvement in islet function after treatment with exenatide, insulin, or oral antidiabetic drugs (OADs). We evaluated the efficacy of three types of antidiabetic drugs on the basis of blood glucose peak time in patients with non-newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

The data from 100 patients with diabetes who completed two OGTTs within 6 months were collected. Thirty-seven of them with type 2 diabetes were treated with Humalog Mix25, 28 patients with OADs (metformin, acarbose, and gliclazide), and 35 patients with exenatide.

RESULTS

Glycated hemoglobin improved in all three groups after treatment (P < 0.05). Subcutaneous adipose tissue (P < 0.01) and visceral adipose tissue (P < 0.0001) significantly decreased in the exenatide group. The insulinogenic index (IGI) (P = 0.01) and IGI × oral glucose insulin sensitivity (OGIS) (P = 0.01) improved in the exenatide group only. Homeostatic assessment of β-cell function (HOMA-β) and OGIS were greater in the exenatide and OAD groups than in the Humalog Mix25 group (all P < 0.05). A shift to an earlier peak was observed in 57.1%, 35.7%, and 27.0% of patients in the exenatide, OAD, and Humalog Mix25 groups, respectively (P = 0.029). OGIS (odds ratio [OR] 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-0.89, P = 0.026) and IGI × OGIS (OR 1.72, 95% CI 0.44-6.68, P = 0.012) were independently related to shifts in glucose peak time.

CONCLUSION

Exenatide, Humalog Mix25, and OADs improved glycemic metabolism. However, exenatide exhibited superior efficacy in shifting blood glucose peak time to an earlier point, while it improved insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity. Hence, the shift of glucose peak time may be considered an indicator for the evaluation of the effect of hypoglycemic drugs.

The incessant increase curve during oral glucose tolerance tests in Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes and its association with gut hormone levels

Glucose curve shapes during oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) are mainly classified as incessant increase, monophasic and biphasic. Youth with an incessant increase curve have worse β-cell function. The aim of this paper was to investigate the incessant increase curve in Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), and its association with β-cell function and gut hormone levels. Eighty-nine Chinese patients (59 males and 30 females) were included in this study with a mean age of 50.56 ± 16.00 years. They were all recently diagnosed with T2DM and underwent 180-min OGTTs. Data on demographics, β-cell function, and insulin sensitivity were also collected. Gut hormones, including glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1), glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP), and ghrelin, were also detected during the OGTT. A total of 39.3 % of subjects had an incessant increase in the glucose response curve, while 59.6 % had a monophasic curve. Because only one curve was classified as biphasic, patients with a biphasic curve were omitted from further research. Lower plasma C-peptide, HOMA2-β, area under the curve (AUC) of C-peptide, and ratio of AUC of insulin to AUC of glucose were found in patients with incessant increase curves compared to those with monophasic curves (P < 0.05). Higher glycated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) was found in subjects with an incessant increase curve (P < 0.05). Importantly, fasting plasma ghrelin was lower and incremental ghrelin at 120 min was higher in the incessant increase group (P < 0.05), irrespective of age, sex, body mass index (BMI), fasting glucose, and fasting insulin. Time to peak is also a parameter of the OGTT curve shape. In the late-peak group, GLP-1 at 120 min and the AUC of GLP-1 were elevated compared with those in the early-peak group (P < 0.05). In Chinese adults with T2DM, the incessant increase in OGTT shape indicated impaired insulin secretion. Lower fasting ghrelin and absence of ghrelin drops after glucose load may be associated with the incessant increase OGTT shape. In addition, compensatory elevated GLP-1 dose not prevent peak delay in the OGTT curve. Gut hormones may have an effect on OGTT shapes in T2DM adults.

Shape of the OGTT glucose response curve: relationship with β-cell function and differences by sex, race, and BMI in adults with early type 2 diabetes treated with metformin

INTRODUCTION

The shape of the glucose curve during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) reflects β-cell function in populations without diabetes but has not been as well studied in those with diabetes. A monophasic shape has been associated with higher risk of diabetes, while a biphasic pattern has been associated with lower risk. We sought to determine if phenotypic or metabolic characteristics were associated with glucose response curve shape in adults with type 2 diabetes treated with metformin alone.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This is a cross-sectional analysis of 3108 metformin-treated adults with type 2 diabetes diagnosed <10 years who underwent 2-hour 75 g OGTT at baseline as part of the Glycemia Reduction Approaches in Diabetes: A Comparative Effectiveness Study (GRADE). Insulin sensitivity (homeostasis model of insulin sensitivity, HOMA2-S) and β-cell function (early, late, and total incremental insulin and C peptide responses adjusted for HOMA2-S) were calculated. Glucose curve shape was classified as monophasic, biphasic, or continuous rise.

RESULTS

The monophasic profile was the most common (67.8% monophasic, 5.5% biphasic, 26.7% continuous rise). The monophasic subgroup was younger, more likely male and white, and had higher body mass index (BMI), while the continuous rise subgroup was more likely female and African American/black. HOMA2-S and fasting glucose did not differ among the subgroups. The biphasic subgroup had the highest early, late, and total insulin and C peptide responses (all p<0.05 vs monophasic and continuous rise). Compared with the monophasic subgroup, the continuous rise subgroup had similar early insulin (p=0.3) and C peptide (p=0.6) responses but lower late insulin (p<0.001) and total insulin (p=0.008) and C peptide (p<0.001) responses.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the large multiethnic GRADE cohort, sex, race, age, and BMI were found to be important determinants of the shape of the glucose response curve. A pattern of a continuously rising glucose at 2 hours reflected reduced β-cell function and may portend increased glycemic failure rates.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01794143.

Time to the Peak, Shape of the Curve and Combination of These Glucose Response Characteristics During Oral Glucose Tolerance Test as Indicators of Early Beta-cell Dysfunction in Obese Adolescents

OBJECTIVE

Characteristics of the glucose response during oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) may reflect differences in insulin secretion and action. The aim was to examine whether timing of the glucose peak, shape of the glucose curve and their combination could be indicators of beta-cell dysfunction in obese/severely obese adolescents with normal glucose tolerance (NGT).

METHODS

Data from 246 obese/severely obese adolescents who completed OGTT were reviewed. Out of 184 adolescents with NGT, 174 could be further classified into groups based on timing of the glucose peak (early/30 minutes vs late/≥60 minutes) and shape of the glucose curve (monophasic vs biphasic). Groups were compared with respect to insulin sensitivity (whole body insulin sensitivity index - WBISI), early-phase insulin secretion (insulinogenic index - IGI) and beta-cell function relative to insulin sensitivity (oral disposition index - oDI).

RESULTS

Late glucose peak (p=0.004) and monophasic glucose curve (p=0.001) were both associated with lower oDI after adjustment for age, sex, puberty stage and body mass index z-score. Among obese/severely obese adolescents with NGT, those with coexistent late glucose peak and monophasic glucose curve had lower oDI than those with early glucose peak and biphasic glucose curve (p=0.002). Moreover, a combination of late glucose peak and monophasic glucose curve was the most powerful predictor of the lowest oDI quartile [odds ratio (OR): 11.68, 95% confidence interval: 3.048-44.755, p<0.001].

CONCLUSION

Late timing of the glucose peak, monophasic shape of the glucose curve and, in particular, a combination of those characteristics during OGTT may indicate early beta-cell dysfunction in obese/severely obese adolescents with NGT.

OGTT Glucose Response Curves, Insulin Sensitivity, and β-Cell Function in RISE: Comparison Between Youth and Adults at Randomization and in Response to Interventions to Preserve β-Cell Function

We examined the glucose response curves (biphasic [BPh], monophasic [MPh], incessant increase [IIn]) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and their relationship to insulin sensitivity (IS) and β-cell function (βCF) in youth versus adults with impaired glucose tolerance or recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSThis was both a cross-sectional and a longitudinal evaluation of participants in the RISE study randomized to metformin alone for 12 months or glargine for 3 months followed by metformin for 9 months. At baseline/randomization, OGTTs (85 youth, 353 adults) were categorized as BPh, MPh, or IIn. The relationship of the glucose response curves to hyperglycemic clamp-measured IS and βCF at baseline and the change in glucose response curves 12 months after randomization were assessed.RESULTSAt randomization, the prevalence of the BPh curve was significantly higher in youth than adults (18.8% vs. 8.2%), with no differences in MPh or IIn. IS did not differ across glucose response curves in youth or adults. However, irrespective of curve type, youth had lower IS than adults (P < 0.05). βCF was lowest in IIn versus MPh and BPh in youth and adults (P < 0.05), yet compared with adults, youth had higher βCF in BPh and MPh (P < 0.005) but not IIn. At month 12, the change in glucose response curves did not differ between youth and adults, and there was no treatment effect.CONCLUSIONSDespite a twofold higher prevalence of the more favorable BPh curve in youth at randomization, RISE interventions did not result in beneficial changes in glucose response curves in youth compared with adults. Moreover, the typical β-cell hypersecretion in youth was not present in the IIn curve, emphasizing the severity of β-cell dysfunction in youth with this least favorable glucose response curve.

OGTT Glucose Response Curves, Insulin Sensitivity, and β-Cell Function in RISE: Comparison Between Youth and Adults at Randomization and in Response to Interventions to Preserve β-Cell Function

OBJECTIVE

We examined the glucose response curves (biphasic [BPh], monophasic [MPh], incessant increase [IIn]) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and their relationship to insulin sensitivity (IS) and β-cell function (βCF) in youth versus adults with impaired glucose tolerance or recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSThis was both a cross-sectional and a longitudinal evaluation of participants in the RISE study randomized to metformin alone for 12 months or glargine for 3 months followed by metformin for 9 months. At baseline/randomization, OGTTs (85 youth, 353 adults) were categorized as BPh, MPh, or IIn. The relationship of the glucose response curves to hyperglycemic clamp-measured IS and βCF at baseline and the change in glucose response curves 12 months after randomization were assessed.RESULTSAt randomization, the prevalence of the BPh curve was significantly higher in youth than adults (18.8% vs. 8.2%), with no differences in MPh or IIn. IS did not differ across glucose response curves in youth or adults. However, irrespective of curve type, youth had lower IS than adults (P < 0.05). βCF was lowest in IIn versus MPh and BPh in youth and adults (P < 0.05), yet compared with adults, youth had higher βCF in BPh and MPh (P < 0.005) but not IIn. At month 12, the change in glucose response curves did not differ between youth and adults, and there was no treatment effect.CONCLUSIONSDespite a twofold higher prevalence of the more favorable BPh curve in youth at randomization, RISE interventions did not result in beneficial changes in glucose response curves in youth compared with adults. Moreover, the typical β-cell hypersecretion in youth was not present in the IIn curve, emphasizing the severity of β-cell dysfunction in youth with this least favorable glucose response curve.

The Pathological Evolution of Glucose Response Curves During the Progression to Type 1 Diabetes in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study

OBJECTIVE

Glucose response curves (GRCs) during oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) are predictive of type 1 diabetes. We performed a longitudinal analysis in pancreatic autoantibody-positive individuals to assess 1) characteristic GRC changes during progression to type 1 diabetes and 2) GRC changes in relation to β-cell function changes and to combined glucose and C-peptide response curve (GCRC) changes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Among antibody-positive individuals with serial OGTTs in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study, GRC changes from first to last OGTTs were compared between progressors (n = 298) to type 1 diabetes and nonprogressors (n = 2,216). GRC changes from last OGTT before diagnosis to diagnostic OGTTs were studied in progressors.

RESULTS

GRCs changed more frequently from biphasic (two peaks) to monophasic (one peak) GRCs between first and last OGTTs in progressors than in nonprogressors (75.4% vs. 51.0%, respectively; P < 0.001). In contrast, GRCs of progressors changed less frequently from monophasic to biphasic than those of nonprogressors (12.6% vs. 30.6%; P < 0.001). Monotonic (continuous increase) GRCs were present in 47.7% of progressors at diagnosis. The early (30-0 min) C-peptide response decreased in progressors with GRCs changing from biphasic to monophasic between first and last OGTTs (P < 0.001) and from monophasic to monotonic between last and diagnostic OGTTs (P < 0.001). Conversely, the early C-peptide response increased among nonprogressors with GRCs changing from monophasic to biphasic (P < 0.001). Changes in GRCs were related to changes in GCRCs.

CONCLUSIONS

Characteristic GRC changes, biphasic to monophasic to monotonic, occur during the progression to type 1 diabetes. These GRC changes correspond to decreasing β-cell function.

The Oral Glucose Tolerance Test: 100 Years Later

For over 100 years, the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) has been the cornerstone for detecting prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). In recent decades, controversies have arisen identifying internationally acceptable cut points using fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h post-load glucose (2-h PG), and/or HbA1c for defining intermediate hyperglycemia (prediabetes). Despite this, there has been a steadfast global consensus of the 2-h PG for defining dysglycemic states during the OGTT. This article reviews the history of the OGTT and recent advances in its application, including the glucose challenge test and mathematical modeling for determining the shape of the glucose curve. Pitfalls of the FPG, 2-h PG during the OGTT, and HbA1c are considered as well. Finally, the associations between the 30-minute and 1-hour plasma glucose (1-h PG) levels derived from the OGTT and incidence of diabetes and its complications will be reviewed. The considerable evidence base supports modifying current screening and diagnostic recommendations with the use of the 1-h PG. Measurement of the 1-h PG level could increase the likelihood of identifying high-risk individuals when the pancreatic ß-cell function is substantially more intact with the added practical advantage of potentially replacing the conventional 2-h OGTT making it more acceptable in the clinical setting.

Delayed glucose peak and elevated 1-hour glucose on the oral glucose tolerance test identify youth with cystic fibrosis with lower oral disposition index

BACKGROUND

Alternate methods for characterizing oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) have emerged as superior to the 2-hour glucose in identifying individuals at risk for type 2 diabetes. The significance of these methods in cystic fibrosis (CF) is unclear. We compared 3 OGTT classifications in youth with CF: 1. curve shape (biphasic vs. monophasic), 2. time to glucose peak (≤30minutes vs. >30minutes), 3. 1-hour glucose (1hG) <155 mg/dL vs. ≥155 mg/dL to traditional OGTT criteria to determine which best identifies lower oral disposition index (oDI), pulmonary function, and body mass index (BMI).

METHODS

Youth 10-18 years with CF, not on insulin, underwent 2-hour OGTT. Glucoses were classified by traditional criteria and 3 alternate methods as normal (biphasic curve, glucose peak ≤30minutes, and/or 1hG <155 mg/dL) or abnormal (monophasic curve, glucose peak >30minutes, and/or 1hG ≥155 mg/dL). oDI was calculated [1/fasting insulin*(ΔInsulin_0-30 min/ΔGlucose_0-30 min)]. Mean oDI, BMI, forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), and forced vital capacity (FVC) were compared by OGTT classification.

RESULTS

Fifty-two youth with CF participated (mean±SD age 13±4years; 37% male; BMI z-score 0.0±0.8; FEV1 88±16.3%; FVC 97±14.8%). Late time to peak glucose and 1hG ≥155 mg/dL identified individuals with lower oDI (p=0.01); traditional OGTT criteria for prediabetes did not. No OGTT classification identified individuals with worse BMI nor pulmonary function. oDI was not associated with BMI, FEV1, or FVC.

CONCLUSIONS

Alternate OGTT measures including time to peak glucose and 1hG better identify oDI abnormalities than traditional criteria. Further studies are required to determine whether these alternate methods identify individuals with CF at risk for future clinical decline.

Review of methods for detecting glycemic disorders

Prediabetes (intermediate hyperglycemia) consists of two abnormalities, impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) detected by a standardized 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Individuals with isolated IGT or combined IFG and IGT have increased risk for developing type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Diagnosing prediabetes early and accurately is critical in order to refer high-risk individuals for intensive lifestyle modification. However, there is currently no international consensus for diagnosing prediabetes with HbA1c or glucose measurements based upon American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria that identify different populations at risk for progressing to diabetes. Various caveats affecting the accuracy of interpreting the HbA1c including genetics complicate this further. This review describes established methods for detecting glucose disorders based upon glucose and HbA1c parameters as well as novel approaches including the 1-hour plasma glucose (1-h PG), glucose challenge test (GCT), shape of the glucose curve, genetics, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), measures of insulin secretion and sensitivity, metabolomics, and ancillary tools such as fructosamine, glycated albumin (GA), 1,5- anhydroglucitol (1,5-AG). Of the approaches considered, the 1-h PG has considerable potential as a biomarker for detecting glucose disorders if confirmed by additional data including health economic analysis. Whether the 1-h OGTT is superior to genetics and omics in providing greater precision for individualized treatment requires further investigation. These methods will need to demonstrate substantially superiority to simpler tools for detecting glucose disorders to justify their cost and complexity.

An Acute, Placebo-Controlled, Single-Blind, Crossover, Dose-Response, Exploratory Study to Assess the Effects of New Zealand Pine Bark Extract (Enzogenol®) on Glycaemic Responses in Healthy Participants

An acute, placebo-controlled, single-blind, crossover, dose-response, exploratory study was designed to investigate the hypoglycaemic effects of New Zealand pine bark extract (Enzogenol®). Twenty-five healthy participants categorised into having a monophasic or complex (biphasic or triphasic) glucose curve shape at the control visit consumed a placebo and Enzogenol® (50 and 400 mg) on three separate occasions before an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). In the monophasic group, 50 and 400 mg of Enzogenol® significantly reduced the mean glucose incremental area under the curve (iAUC) compared to control 241.3 ± 20.2 vs. 335.4 ± 34.0 mmol/L·min, p = 0.034 and 249.3 ± 25.4 vs. 353.6 ± 31.5 mmol/L·min, p = 0.012, respectively. The 400 mg dose further reduced the percentage increment of postprandial glucose (%PG) 31.4% ± 7.9% vs. 47.5% ± 8.6%, p = 0.010, glucose peak 7.9 ± 0.3 vs. 8.9 ± 0.3 mmol/L, p = 0.025 and 2h-OGTT postprandial glucose (2hPG) 6.1 ± 0.3 vs. 6.7 ± 0.3 mmol/L, p = 0.027. Glucose iAUC was not significantly different in the complex group, except for reductions in %PG 28.7% ± 8.2% vs. 43.4% ± 5.9%, p = 0.012 after 50 mg dose and 27.7% ± 5.4% vs. 47.3% ± 7.2%, p = 0.025 after 400 mg dose. The results suggest that Enzogenol® may have hypoglycaemic effects in healthy participants, especially those exhibiting monophasic shapes.

The Effect of Prior Gestational Diabetes on the Shape of the Glucose Response Curve during an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test 3 Years after Delivery

OBJECTIVE

Monophasic glucose response (MGR) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are predictors of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We investigated the association between current MGR and (1) glucose tolerance during a pregnancy 3 years before and (2) current glucose tolerance status. We also sought (3) other determinants of MGR. Research Design and Methods. We conducted a nested case-control study of GDM (n = 47 early GDM, diagnosed between 16 and 20 weeks of gestation; n = 40 late GDM, diagnosed between 24 and 28 weeks of gestation) and matched healthy controls (n = 37, normal glucose tolerance during pregnancy) all free from diabetes at follow-up 3.4 ± 0.6 years after delivery. Glucose tolerance was determined by 2-hour 75 g OGTT. Monophasic and biphasic groups were defined based on serum glucose measurements during OGTT.

RESULTS

The biphasic group was younger, had lower triglyceride levels and area under the OGTT glucose curve, and was less frequently diagnosed with early GDM (25 vs. 45%, all p < 0.05). Women with a biphasic response also tended to have lower systolic blood pressure (p < 0.1). No differences were found in fasting and 2-hour glucose and insulin levels, or BMI. According to multiple logistic regression, MGR was associated with prior early GDM (OR 2.14, 95% CI 0.92-4.99) and elevated triglyceride levels (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.03-5.03/log (mmol/l)).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that more severe, early-onset GDM was an independent predictor of monophasic glucose response suggesting that monophasic response may represent an intermediate state between GDM and manifest type 2 diabetes.

The shape of the glucose response curve during an oral glucose tolerance test heralds β-cell function in a large Chinese population

BACKGROUND

The shape of the glucose response curve during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) can predict β-cell function and insulin resistance. However, there have been few studies conducted on Chinese people. Thus, we aimed to verify the usefulness of the glucose response curve in a large Chinese population.

METHODS

A total of 9059 OGTT (3-h tests) were categorized into either a monophasic or a multiphasic group based on the shape of the glucose response. Homeostasis model assessments of fasting insulin resistance, the Matsuda Index, the insulinogenic index, and the disposition index were assessed by plasma glucose and serum insulin concentration obtained at fasting or during an OGTT.

RESULTS

The shape of the OGTT glucose response curve was monophasic in 87.3% and multiphasic in 12.7% of participants. Individuals in the multiphasic group were younger compared to those in the monophasic group (38.6 ± 13.6 vs. 35.4 ± 13.5, P < 0.001). Individuals in the monophasic group had significantly higher fasting plasma glucose (FPG 5.6 ± 13.5 vs. 5.2 ± 0.6, P < 0.001), fasting insulin (FINS 14.8 ± 8.7 vs. 13.5 ± 7.9, P < 0.01), and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR 3.8 ± 2.6 vs. 3.1 ± 2.0, P < 0.001) and impaired β-cell function (disposition index 12.7 ± 14.1 vs. 16.6 ± 17.8, P < 0.001) compared to those in the multiphasic group.

CONCLUSION

The monophasic OGTT glucose response curve could reflect impaired β-cell function in a large Chinese population.

The Shape of the Glucose Response Curve During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test: Forerunner of Heightened Glycemic Failure Rates and Accelerated Decline in β-Cell Function in TODAY

OBJECTIVE

Obese youth without diabetes with monophasic oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) glucose response curves have lower insulin sensitivity and impaired β-cell function compared with those with biphasic curves. The OGTT glucose response curve has not been studied in youth-onset type 2 diabetes. Here we test the hypothesis that the OGTT glucose response curve at randomization in youth in the TODAY (Treatment Options for Type 2 Diabetes in Adolescents and Youth) study forecasts heightened glycemic failure rates and accelerated decline in β-cell function.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

OGTTs (n = 662) performed at randomization were categorized as monophasic, biphasic, or incessant increase. Demographics, insulin sensitivity (1/fasting insulin), C-peptide index (△C₃₀/△G₃₀), and β-cell function relative to insulin sensitivity (oral disposition index [oDI]) were compared among the three groups.

RESULTS

At randomization, 21.7% had incessant increase, 68.6% monophasic, and 9.7% biphasic glucose response curves. The incessant increase group had similar insulin sensitivity but significantly lower C-peptide index and lower oDI, despite similar diabetes duration, compared with the other two groups. Glycemic failure rates were higher in the incessant increase group (58.3%) versus the monophasic group (42.3%) versus the biphasic group (39.1%) (P < 0.0001). The 6-month decline in C-peptide index (32.8% vs. 18.1% vs. 13.2%) and oDI (32.2% vs. 11.6% vs. 9.1%) was greatest in incessant increase versus monophasic and biphasic with no difference in insulin sensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

In the TODAY study cohort, an incessant increase in the OGTT glucose response curve at randomization reflects reduced β-cell function and foretells increased glycemic failure rates with accelerated deterioration in β-cell function independent of diabetes duration and treatment assignment compared with monophasic and biphasic curves. The shape of the OGTT glucose response curve could be a metabolic biomarker prognosticating the response to therapy in youth with type 2 diabetes.

Distinct metabolic profile according to the shape of the oral glucose tolerance test curve is related to whole glucose excursion: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The shapes of the plasma glucose concentration curve during the oral glucose tolerance test are related to different metabolic risk profiles and future risk of type 2 DM. We sought to further analyze the relationship between the specific shapes and hyperglycemic states, the metabolic syndrome and hormones involved in carbohydrate and lipid metabolism, and to isolate the effect of the shape by adjusting for the area under the glucose curve.

METHODS

One hundred twenty one adult participants underwent a 2-h oral glucose tolerance test and were assigned to either the monophasic (n = 97) or the biphasic (n = 24) group based upon the rise and fall of their plasma glucose concentration. We evaluated anthropometric measures, blood pressure, lipid profile, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, glycated hemoglobin, insulin sensitivity, beta-cell function, C-peptide, glucagon, adiponectin and pancreatic polypeptide.

RESULTS

Subjects with monophasic curves had higher fasting and 2-h plasma glucose levels, while presenting lower insulin sensitivity, beta-cell function, HDL cholesterol, adiponectin and pancreatic polypeptide levels. Prediabetes and metabolic syndrome had a higher prevalence in this group. Glycated hemoglobin, total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and glucagon were not significantly different between groups. After adjusting for the area under the glucose curve, only the differences in the 1-h and 2-h plasma glucose concentrations and HDL cholesterol levels between the monophasic and biphasic groups remained statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Rates and intensity of metabolic dysfunction are higher in subjects with monophasic curves, who have lower insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function and a higher prevalence of prediabetes and metabolic syndrome. These differences, however, seem to be dependent on the area under the glucose curve.

Delay in glucose peak time during the oral glucose tolerance test as an indicator of insulin resistance and insulin secretion in type 2 diabetes patients

Aims/Introduction

Previous studies have shown that glucose peak time during the oral glucose tolerance test varies in type 2 diabetes patients; however, characteristics of this heterogeneity remain unclear. This research aimed to investigate the characteristics of delayed glucose peak time in type 2 diabetes.

Materials and Methods

A total of 178 participants who underwent the oral glucose tolerance test were divided into five groups according to glucose peak time.

Results

A total of 25 participants with normal glucose tolerance had a glucose peak at 30 min. Among participants with type 2 diabetes, 28 had a glucose peak at 60 min, 48 at 90 min, 45 at 120 min and 32 at 150 min. With the glucose peak time delayed, glycated hemoglobin, area under the glucose curve and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance increased gradually (P = 0.038, P < 0.0001, P < 0.0001, respectively), and oral glucose insulin sensitivity, homeostatic model assessment of β‐cell function, insulinogenic index, modified β‐cell function index and disposition indices decreased (P < 0.0001 for all). On multinominal logistic regression, insulinogenic index (odds ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.57–0.93, P = 0.01), modified β‐cell function index (odds ratio 0.67, 95% confidence interval 0.47–0.94, P = 0.023) and oral glucose insulin sensitivity (odds ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval 0.87–0.96, P < 0.0001) were independently correlated with delayed glucose peak time.

Conclusions

Delay in glucose peak time indicated an increase in blood glucose and a decrease in insulin sensitivity and secretion. Furthermore, insulinogenic index, modified β‐cell function index and oral glucose insulin sensitivity contributed to delayed glucose peak time.

The shape of the glucose concentration curve during an oral glucose tolerance test predicts risk for type 1 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to examine: (1) whether specific glucose-response curve shapes during OGTTs are predictive of type 1 diabetes development; and (2) the extent to which the glucose-response curve is influenced by insulin secretion.

METHODS

Autoantibody-positive relatives of people with type 1 diabetes whose baseline OGTT met the definition of a monophasic or biphasic glucose-response curve were followed for the development of type 1 diabetes (n = 2627). A monophasic curve was defined as an increase in OGTT glucose between 30 and 90 min followed by a decline of ≥ 0.25 mmol/l between 90 and 120 min. A biphasic response curve was defined as a decrease in glucose after an initial increase, followed by a second increase of ≥ 0.25 mmol/l. Associations of type 1 diabetes risk with glucose curve shapes were examined using cumulative incidence curve comparisons and proportional hazards regression. C-peptide responses were compared with and without adjustments for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The majority of participants had a monophasic curve at baseline (n = 1732 [66%] vs n = 895 [34%]). The biphasic group had a lower cumulative incidence of type 1 diabetes (p < 0.001), which persisted after adjustments for age, sex, BMI z score and number of autoantibodies (p < 0.001). Among the monophasic group, the risk of type 1 diabetes was greater for those with a glucose peak at 90 min than for those with a peak at 30 min; the difference persisted after adjustments (p < 0.001). Compared with the biphasic group, the monophasic group had a lower early C-peptide (30-0 min) response, a lower C-peptide index (30-0 min C-peptide/30-0 min glucose), as well as a greater 2 h C-peptide level (p < 0.001 for all).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Those with biphasic glucose curves have a lower risk of progression to type 1 diabetes than those with monophasic curves, and the risk among the monophasic group is increased when the glucose peak occurs at 90 min than at 30 min. Differences in glucose curve shapes between the monophasic and biphasic groups appear to be related to C-peptide responses.

Glucose patterns during an oral glucose tolerance test and associations with future diabetes, cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality rate

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

In addition to blood glucose concentrations measured in the fasting state and 2 h after an OGTT, intermediate measures during an OGTT may provide additional information regarding a person's risk of future diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD). First, we aimed to characterise heterogeneity of glycaemic patterns based on three time points during an OGTT. Second, we compared the incidences of diabetes and CVD and all-cause mortality rates among those with different patterns.

METHODS

Our cohort study included 5861 participants without diabetes at baseline from the Danish Inter99 study. At baseline, all participants underwent an OGTT with measurements of plasma glucose levels at 0, 30 and 120 min. Latent class mixed-effects models were fitted to identify distinct patterns of glycaemic response during the OGTT. Information regarding incident diabetes, CVD and all-cause mortality rates during a median follow-up time of 11, 12 and 13 years, respectively, was extracted from national registers. Cox proportional hazard models with adjustment for several cardiometabolic risk factors were used to compare the risk of diabetes, CVD and all-cause mortality among individuals in the different latent classes.

RESULTS

Four distinct glucose patterns during the OGTT were identified. One pattern was characterised by high 30 min but low 2 h glucose values. Participants with this pattern had an increased risk of developing diabetes compared with participants with lower 30 min and 2 h glucose levels (HR 4.1 [95% CI 2.2, 7.6]) and participants with higher 2 h but lower 30 min glucose levels (HR 1.5 [95% CI 1.0, 2.2]). Furthermore, the all-cause mortality rate differed between the groups with significantly higher rates in the two groups with elevated 30 min glucose. Only small non-significant differences in risk of future CVD were observed across latent classes after confounder adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Elevated 30 min glucose is associated with increased risk of diabetes and all-cause mortality rate independent of fasting and 2 h glucose levels. Therefore, subgroups at high risk may not be revealed when considering only fasting and 2 h glucose levels during an OGTT.

Time to glucose peak during an oral glucose tolerance test identifies prediabetes risk

CONTEXT

Morphological characteristics of the glucose curve during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) (time to peak and shape) may reflect different phenotypes of insulin secretion and action, but their ability to predict diabetes risk is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the ability of time to glucose peak and curve shape to detect prediabetes and β-cell function.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

In a cross-sectional evaluation using an OGTT, 145 adults without diabetes (age 42±9 years (mean±SD), range 24-62 years, BMI 29.2±5.3 kg/m² , range 19.9-45.2 kg/m² ) were characterized by peak (30 minutes vs >30 minutes) and shape (biphasic vs monophasic).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Prediabetes and disposition index (DI)-a marker of β-cell function.

RESULTS

Prediabetes was diagnosed in 36% (52/145) of participants. Peak>30 minutes, not monophasic curve, was associated with increased odds of prediabetes (OR: 4.0 vs 1.1; P<.001). Both monophasic curve and peak>30 minutes were associated with lower DI (P≤.01). Time to glucose peak and glucose area under the curves (AUC) were independent predictors of DI (adjR² =0.45, P<.001).

CONCLUSION

Glucose peak >30 minutes was a stronger independent indicator of prediabetes and β-cell function than the monophasic curve. Time to glucose peak may be an important tool that could enhance prediabetes risk stratification.

Shape of the OGTT glucose curve and risk of impaired glucose metabolism in the EGIR-RISC cohort

OBJECTIVE

To study whether the shape of the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)-glucose curve is a stable trait over time; it is associated with differences in insulin sensitivity, ß-cell function and risk of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and glucose tolerance (IGT) in the Relationship between Insulin Sensitivity and Cardiovascular Disease (RISC) cohort.

METHODS

OGTT-glucose curve shape was classified as monophasic, biphasic, triphasic and anomalous in 915 individuals. Oral glucose insulin sensitivity (OGIS), Matsuda insulin sensitivity index (ISI) and ß-cell function were assessed at baseline and 3years apart.

RESULTS

The OGTT-glucose curve had the same baseline shape after 3years in 540 people (59%; κ=0.115; p<0.0001). Seventy percent of the participants presented with monophasic OGTT-glucose curve shape at baseline and after 3years (percent positive agreement 0.74). Baseline monophasic shape was associated with significant increased risk of IFG (OR 1.514; 95% CI 1.084-2.116; p=0.015); biphasic shape with reduced risk of IGT (OR 0.539; 95% CI 0.310-0.936) and triphasic shape with reduced risk of IFG (OR 0.493; 95% CI 0.228-1.066; P=0.043) after 3years. Increased risks of IFG (OR 1.509; 95% CI 1.008-2.260; p=0.05) and IGT (OR 1.947; 95% CI 1.085-3.494; p=0.02) were found in people who kept stable monophasic morphology over time and in switchers from biphasic to monophasic shape (OR of IGT=3.085; 95% CI 1.377-6.912; p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

After 3years follow-up, the OGTT-glucose shape was stable in 59% of the RISC cohort. Shapes were associated with different OGIS and ß-cell function; persistence over time of the monophasic shape and switch from biphasic to monophasic shape with increased risk of impaired glucose metabolism.

[The monophasic pattern in oral glucose tolerance test as a predictive risk factor of type 2 diabetes in obese paediatric patients]

INTRODUCTION

The onset of obesity at young ages is strongly associated with the early development of type 2diabetes (T2D). The shape of the curves of glucose and insulin curves during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) could predict the risk of developing T2D.

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the morphology of the OGTT and determine T2D risk factors in a mainly Caucasian population of children and adolescents.

METHODS

Observational retrospective study including 588 patients (309 males, 279 females) with a mean age of 11.1±2years, and of whom 90.3% were Caucasian. Risk factors for T2D were compared in patients with a monophasic or biphasic pattern during the performance of an OGTT, as well as anthropometric and biochemical variables, insulin resistance, and beta-cell function.

RESULTS

The shape of the glucose curve was monophasic in 50.2% of patients (50.8% male), biphasic in 48.5% (47.6% males), and indeterminate in 1.3%. The monophasic pattern showed lower insulin-sensitivity and worse beta-cell function. Patients with a biphasic pattern had a higher BMI, waist circumference, and blood pressure, although the results were not significant. Latin-American patients had significantly lower serum glucose levels with higher insulin levels during the OGTT.

CONCLUSIONS

The pattern of response to an OGTT reflects different metabolic phenotypes. Paediatric patients with a biphasic pattern have lower risk-profiling for T2D. The performing of an OGTT could be useful to implement early intervention strategies in children and adolescents with obesity, in order to prevent the development of pre-diabetes or T2D.

Heterogeneity in glucose response curves during an oral glucose tolerance test and associated cardiometabolic risk

We aimed to examine heterogeneity in glucose response curves during an oral glucose tolerance test with multiple measurements and to compare cardiometabolic risk profiles between identified glucose response curve groups. We analyzed data from 1,267 individuals without diabetes from five studies in Denmark, the Netherlands and the USA. Each study included between 5 and 11 measurements at different time points during a 2-h oral glucose tolerance test, resulting in 9,602 plasma glucose measurements. Latent class trajectories with a cubic specification for time were fitted to identify different patterns of plasma glucose change during the oral glucose tolerance test. Cardiometabolic risk factor profiles were compared between the identified groups. Using latent class trajectory analysis, five glucose response curves were identified. Despite similar fasting and 2-h values, glucose peaks and peak times varied greatly between groups, ranging from 7-12 mmol/L, and 35-70 min. The group with the lowest and earliest plasma glucose peak had the lowest estimated cardiovascular risk, while the group with the most delayed plasma glucose peak and the highest 2-h value had the highest estimated risk. One group, with normal fasting and 2-h values, exhibited an unusual profile, with the highest glucose peak and the highest proportion of smokers and men. The heterogeneity in glucose response curves and the distinct cardiometabolic risk profiles may reflect different underlying physiologies. Our results warrant more detailed studies to identify the source of the heterogeneity across the different phenotypes and whether these differences play a role in the development of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

Trajectories of Postload Plasma Glucose in the Development of Type 2 Diabetes in Japanese Adults

We aimed to clarify how the trajectories of 1-hour postload plasma glucose (PG) and 2-hour PG were different in the development of type 2 diabetes. Using data of repeated health checkups in Japanese workers from April 2006 to March 2016, longitudinal changes of fasting, 1-hour, and 2-hour PG on the oral glucose tolerance test were analyzed with a linear mixed effects model. Of the 1464 nondiabetic subjects at baseline, 112 subjects progressed to type 2 diabetes during the observation period (progressors). In progressors, 1-hour PG and 2-hour PG showed gradual increases with slopes of 1.33 ± 0.2 and 0.58 ± 0.2 mg/dL/year, respectively, followed by a steep increase by which they attained diabetes. Until immediately before the diabetes transition, age- and sex-adjusted mean level of 2-hour PG was 149 ± 2.7 mg/dL, 34 ± 2.7 (30%) higher compared to nonprogressors, while that of 1-hour PG was 206 ± 4.1 mg/dL, 60 ± 4.3 mg/dL (41%) higher compared to nonprogressors. In conclusion, diabetes transition was preceded by a mild elevation of 2-hour PG for several years or more. The elevation in 1-hour PG was larger than that of 2-hour PG until immediately before the transition to diabetes.

One-hour plasma glucose as a predictor of the development of Type 2 diabetes in Japanese adults

AIMS

To test the hypothesis that 1-h plasma glucose in an oral glucose tolerance test is a better predictor of the development of diabetes than 2-h plasma glucose, independently of indices of insulin secretion or action in Japanese adults.

METHODS

A historical cohort study was conducted in 1445 Japanese workers who did not have diabetes. The association between 1-h plasma glucose and the development of Type 2 diabetes was analysed.

RESULTS

Overall, 95 of the study participants developed Type 2 diabetes during a mean follow-up of 4.5 years. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for 1-h plasma glucose for future diabetes [0.88 (95% CI 0.84-0.91)] was greater than that for 2-h plasma glucose [0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.84)], and for insulinogenic [0.73 (95% CI 0.68-0.78)] and disposition indices [0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.84); P < 0.05]. Compared with the first quartile, the hazard ratio for future diabetes in the fourth quartile of 1-h plasma glucose was 42.5 [95% CI 5.7-315.2 (P < 0.05)] and the hazard ratio in the fourth quartile of 2-h plasma glucose was 4.4 [95% CI 1.8-10.8 (P < 0.05)], after adjustments for covariates including fasting plasma glucose. The significance of the elevated hazard ratio in the fourth quartile of 1-h plasma glucose was maintained after adjustments for 2-h plasma glucose, insulinogenic index or disposition index, whereas the elevation of the hazard ratio in the fourth quartile of 2-h plasma glucose was diminished and was no longer significant after adjustments for 1-h plasma glucose.

CONCLUSIONS

One-hour plasma glucose had a greater association with the future development of Type 2 diabetes than did 2-h plasma glucose, independently of oral glucose tolerance test-derived indices of insulin action in a Japanese population.

The Shape of the Glucose Response Curve During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test Heralds Biomarkers of Type 2 Diabetes Risk in Obese Youth

OBJECTIVE

The shape of the glucose response curve during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), monophasic versus biphasic, identifies physiologically distinct groups of individuals with differences in insulin secretion and sensitivity. We aimed to verify the value of the OGTT-glucose response curve against more sensitive clamp-measured biomarkers of type 2 diabetes risk, and to examine incretin/pancreatic hormones and free fatty acid associations in these curve phenotypes in obese adolescents without diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 277 obese adolescents without diabetes completed a 2-h OGTT and were categorized to either a monophasic or a biphasic group. Body composition, abdominal adipose tissue, OGTT-based metabolic parameters, and incretin/pancreatic hormone levels were examined. A subset of 106 participants had both hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic and hyperglycemic clamps to measure in vivo insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, and β-cell function relative to insulin sensitivity.

RESULTS

Despite similar fasting and 2-h glucose and insulin concentrations, the monophasic group had significantly higher glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and free fatty acid OGTT areas under the curve compared with the biphasic group, with no differences in levels of glucagon, total glucagon-like peptide 1, glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide, and pancreatic polypeptide. Furthermore, the monophasic group had significantly lower in vivo hepatic and peripheral insulin sensitivity, lack of compensatory first and second phase insulin secretion, and impaired β-cell function relative to insulin sensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

In obese youth without diabetes, the risk imparted by the monophasic glucose curve compared with biphasic glucose curve, independent of fasting and 2-h glucose and insulin concentrations, is reflected in lower insulin sensitivity and poorer β-cell function, which are two major pathophysiological biomarkers of type 2 diabetes in youth.

Predictive Value of Glucose Parameters Obtained From Oral Glucose Tolerance Tests in Identifying Individuals at High Risk for the Development of Diabetes in Korean Population

Previous studies suggest that the future risk for type 2 diabetes is not similar among subjects in the same glucose tolerance category. In this study, we aimed to evaluate simple intuitive indices to identify subjects at high risk for future diabetes development by using 0, 30, 120 minute glucose levels obtained during 75 g OGTTs from participants of a prospective community-based cohort in Korea.Among subjects enrolled at the Chungju Metabolic disease Cohort, those who performed an OGTT between 2007 and 2010 and repeated the test between 2011 and 2014 were recruited after excluding subjects with diabetes at baseline. Subjects were categorized according to their 30 minute glucose (G30) and the difference between 120 and 0 minute glucose (G(120-0)) levels with cutoffs of 9.75 and 2.50 mmol/L, respectively.Among 1126 subjects, 117 (10.39%) developed type 2 diabetes after 4 years. In diabetes nonconverters, increased insulin resistance was accompanied by compensatory insulin secretion, but this was not observed in converters during 4 years of follow-up. Subjects with G(120-0) ≥ 2.50 mmol/L or G30 ≥ 9.75 mmol/L demonstrated lower degrees of insulin secretion, higher degrees of insulin resistance, and ∼6-fold higher risk of developing future diabetes compared to their lower counterparts after adjustment for possible confounding factors. Moreover, subjects with high G(120-0) and high G30 demonstrated 22-fold higher risk for diabetes development compared to subjects with low G(120-0) and low G30.By using the G(120-0) and G30 values obtained during the OGTT, which are less complicated measurements than previously reported methods, we were able to select individuals at risk for future diabetes development. Further studies in different ethnicities are required to validate our results.

Establishment of a Refined Oral Glucose Tolerance Test in Pigs, and Assessment of Insulin, Glucagon and Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Responses

Diabetes mellitus is increasing worldwide and reliable animal models are important for progression of the research field. The pig is a commonly used large animal model in diabetes research and the present study aimed to refine a model for oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in young growing pigs, as well as describing intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) in the same age group. The refined porcine OGTT will reflect that used in children and adolescents. Eighteen pigs were obtained one week after weaning and trained for two weeks to bottle-feed glucose solution, mimicking the human OGTT. The pigs subsequently underwent OGTT (1.75 g/kg BW) and IVGTT (0.5 g/kg BW). Blood samples were collected from indwelling vein catheters for measurements of glucose and the diabetes related hormones insulin, glucagon and active glucagon-like peptide-1. The study confirmed that pigs can be trained to bottle-feed glucose dissolved in water and thereby undergo an OGTT more similar to the human standard OGTT than previously described methods in pigs. With the refined method for OGTT, oral intake only consists of glucose and water, which is an advantage over previously described methods in pigs where glucose is given together with feed which will affect glucose absorption. Patterns of hormonal secretion in response to oral and intravenous glucose were similar to those in humans; however, the pigs were more glucose tolerant with lower insulin levels than humans. In translational medicine, this refined OGTT and IVGTT methods provide important tools in diabetes research when pigs are used as models for children and adolescents in diabetes research.

An epigenomic signature of postprandial hyperglycemia in peripheral blood leukocytes

Postprandial hyperglycemia is known to be one of the earliest signs of abnormal glucose homeostasis associated with type 2 diabetes. This study aimed to assess clinical significance of a 1-h postprandial glucose level for the development of diabetes, and identify epigenetic biomarkers of postprandial hyperglycemia. We analyzed clinical data from the oral glucose tolerance tests for healthy subjects (n=4502). The ratio (Glu60/Glu0) of 1-h glucose levels to fasting glucose levels was significantly associated with an insulin sensitive index (QUICKI, quantitative insulin sensitivity check index) (β=0.055, P=1.25E-04) as well as a risk of future pre-diabetic and diabetic conversion. Next, DNA methylation profile analyses of 24 matched pairs of the high and low Glu60/Glu0 ratio subjects showed that specific DNA methylation levels in the promoter region of an olfactory receptor gene (olfactory receptor gene family10 member A4, OR10A4) were associated with the Glu60/Glu0 ratios (β=0.337, P=0.03). Moreover, acute oral glucose challenges decreased the DNA methylation levels of OR10A4 but not the global DNA methylation in peripheral leukocytes of healthy subjects (n=7), indicating that OR10A4 is a specific epigenomic target of postprandial hyperglycemia. This work suggests possible relevance of olfactory receptor genes to an earlier molecular biomarker of peripheral hyperglycemia and diabetic conversion.

A Computational Method to Determine Glucose Infusion Rates for Isoglycemic Intravenous Glucose Infusion Study

The results of the isoglycemic intravenous glucose infusion (IIGI) study need to mimic the dynamic glucose profiles during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) to accurately calculate the incretin effect. The glucose infusion rates during IIGI studies have historically been determined by experienced research personnel using the manual ad-hoc method. In this study, a computational method was developed to automatically determine the infusion rates for IIGI study based on a glucose-dynamics model. To evaluate the computational method, 18 subjects with normal glucose tolerance underwent a 75 g OGTT. One-week later, Group 1 (n = 9) and Group 2 (n = 9) underwent IIGI studies using the ad-hoc method and the computational method, respectively. Both methods were evaluated using correlation coefficient, mean absolute relative difference (MARD), and root mean square error (RMSE) between the glucose profiles from the OGTT and the IIGI study. The computational method exhibited significantly higher correlation (0.95 ± 0.03 versus 0.86 ± 0.10, P = 0.019), lower MARD (8.72 ± 1.83% versus 13.11 ± 3.66%, P = 0.002), and lower RMSE (10.33 ± 1.99 mg/dL versus 16.84 ± 4.43 mg/dL, P = 0.002) than the ad-hoc method. The computational method can facilitate IIGI study, and enhance its accuracy and stability. Using this computational method, a high-quality IIGI study can be accomplished without the need for experienced personnel.

Delayed timing of post-challenge peak blood glucose predicts declining beta cell function and worsening glucose tolerance over time: insight from the first year postpartum

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

On cross-sectional assessment, a delayed timing of the peak blood glucose level at ≥60 min post-challenge on an OGTT is associated with beta cell dysfunction. In this context, we hypothesised that longitudinal changes in the timing of this peak might predict changes in glucose metabolism. We thus sought to evaluate the longitudinal associations of changes in the timing of the peak glucose level with changes over time in insulin sensitivity, beta cell function and glucose tolerance.

METHODS

A total of 532 women underwent an OGTT at both 3 months and 12 months postpartum. The participants were stratified into four groups according to the change in timing of their glucose peak between the two visits: women with no change in timing of the glucose peak at 30 min (n = 217), those whose glucose peak shifted to an earlier time point (n = 120), those whose peak shifted to a later time point (n = 87) and women with an unchanged glucose peak at ≥60 min (n = 108). Beta cell function was measured using the Insulin Secretion-Sensitivity Index-2 (ISSI-2).

RESULTS

Compared with an unchanged glucose peak at 30 min, both the shift of the glucose peak to a later time point and a peak that was unchanged at ≥60 min were independently associated with declining ISSI-2 scores (β = -127.5, p < 0.001 and β = -98.8, p = 0.006, respectively) and increased 2 h post-challenge glucose levels (β = 1.28, p < 0.001 and β = 0.91, p < 0.001, respectively) between the two visits. Furthermore, both these patterns of change in peak were independently associated with worsening glucose tolerance (from normal to prediabetes [defined as impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance]/diabetes or from prediabetes to diabetes) (OR 8.1, 95% CI 3.0, 22.1 and OR 3.7, 95% CI 1.2, 11.7, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

A delayed timing of the post-challenge peak glucose level is associated with declining beta cell function and worsening glucose tolerance over time.

Modelling of OGTT curve identifies 1 h plasma glucose level as a strong predictor of incident type 2 diabetes: results from two prospective cohorts

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The relevance of the OGTT in predicting type 2 diabetes is unclear. We assessed the performance of 14 OGTT glucose traits in type 2 diabetes prediction.

METHODS

We studied 2,603 and 2,386 Europeans from the Botnia study and Malmö Prevention Project (MPP) cohorts with baseline OGTT data. Over a follow-up period of 4.94 years and 23.5 years, 155 (5.95%) and 467 (19.57%) participants, respectively, developed type 2 diabetes. The main outcome was incident type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS

One-hour plasma glucose (1h-PG) was a fair/good predictor of incident type 2 diabetes in the Botnia study and MPP (AUC for receiver operating characteristic [AUCROC] 0.80 [0.77, 0.84] and 0.70 [0.68, 0.73]). 1h-PG alone outperformed the prediction model of multiple clinical risk factors (age, sex, BMI, family history of type 2 diabetes) in the Botnia study and MPP (AUCROC 0.75 [0.72, 0.79] and 0.67 [0.64, 0.70]). The same clinical risk factors added to 1h-PG modestly increased prediction for incident type 2 diabetes (Botnia, AUCROC 0.83 [0.80, 0.86]; MPP, AUCROC 0.74 [0.72, 0.77]). 1h-PG also outperformed HbA1c in predicting type 2 diabetes in the Botnia cohort. A 1h-PG value of 8.9 mmol/l and 8.4 mmol/l was the optimal cut-point for initial screening and selection of high-risk individuals in the Botnia study and MPP, respectively, and represented 30% and 37% of all participants in these cohorts. High-risk individuals had a substantially increased risk of incident type 2 diabetes (OR 8.0 [5.5, 11.6] and 3.8 [3.1, 4.7]) and captured 75% and 62% of all incident type 2 diabetes in the Botnia study and MPP.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

1h-PG is a valuable prediction tool for identifying adults at risk for future type 2 diabetes.

Predicting the metabolic condition after gestational diabetes mellitus from oral glucose tolerance test curves shape

The objective of this feasibility study is to predict the metabolic condition in women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) from the shape of oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) data. The rationale for this approach is that the evolution to a metabolic condition could be traceable in the shape of OGTT curves. 3-h OGTT data of 136 women with follow up, for a total of 401 OGTTs were analyzed. Subjects were classified as having normal (NGT) or non-normal glucose tolerance (NON-NGT), according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. The measured glucose, insulin, C-peptide data and combination of them were used to build up NGT and NON-NGT reference curves. Similarity between reference and individual OGTT-based curves was calculated using the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Our findings suggest that the shape of OGTT curves (1) contains information on the evolution to disease and (2) could be a reliable indicator to predict with high sensitivity (75%) and high specificity (69%) the metabolic condition of women with a history of GDM. In the future, the proposed shape-based prediction could be easily translated to the clinical practice, because it does not require the intervention of an operator specifically trained, thus facilitating its application in a clinical setting and ultimately empowering risk estimation, by improving/complementing the information which is currently adopted for risk stratification after pregnancy with GDM.

Effects of renin-angiotensin system blockade on the islet morphology and function in rats with long-term high-fat diet

The renin-angiotensin system (RAS) has an important role in the endocrine pancreas. Multiple researches have shown that even in the insulin resistance phase, there are many abnormalities in islets morphology and function. This study aimed at investigating the effects of RAS blockade on the islets function in rats with long-term high-fat diet and its mechanisms. Wistar rats with 16-week high-fat diet were randomly divided into perindopril intervention group (FP, n = 15) and telmisartan intervention group (FT, n = 15). After 8-week intervention, insulin sensitivity and islets function were detected by hyperinsulinemic euglycemic clamp and intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT), respectively. The pancreases were stained by immunohistochemistry technique to qualitatively and/or quantitatively analyze the relative content of insulin (IRC), NF-KB, uncoupling protein 2 (UCP2) and caspase-3 in islets. The apoptosis of islet cells was detected by TUNEL. The expression of angiotensin II receptor 1 (AT1R), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), hypoxia-inducing factor (HIF)-1α and CHOP mRNA in the islets was detected by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Compared with normal control group (NC, n = 15), the glucose infusion rate (GIR), area under the insulin curve (AUCI) of 0-10 min and IRC were decreased in high-fat control group (FC, n = 15). The relative content of NF-KB, UCP-2 and caspase-3 was increased significantly with the increased number of apoptotic cells in unit islets area. The relative expression of AT1R, IL-1β, HIF-1α and CHOP was also increased evidently (all P < 0.01). After intervention, the GIR, AUCI of 0-10 min and IRC were all increased obviously with the decreased relative concentration of NF-KB, UCP-2, caspase-3 and the number of apoptotic cell in unit islets area. The relative expression of AT1R, IL-1β, HIF-1α and CHOP mRNA was reduced significantly (all P < 0.01 or P < 0.05). There were no significant differences between groups FP and FT. So we concluded that blockade of RAS may protect islet function of rats with long-term high-fat diet via downregulation of islets inflammation, oxidative stress, endoplasmic reticulum stress and apoptosis, which have tight relationship with each other.

Glucose response curve and type 2 diabetes risk in Latino adolescents

OBJECTIVE

In adults, the shape of the glucose response during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) prospectively and independently predicts type 2 diabetes. However, no reports have described the utility of this indicator in younger populations. The purpose of this study was to compare type 2 diabetes risk factors in Latino adolescents characterized by either a monophasic or biphasic glucose response during an OGTT.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 156 nondiabetic Latino adolescents completed a 2-h OGTT. Monophasic and biphasic groups were compared for the following type 2 diabetes risk factors: fasting and 2-h glucose, HbA(1c), glucose area under the curve (AUC), insulin sensitivity (Matsuda index), insulin secretion (insulinogenic index), and β-cell function as measured by the disposition index (insulin sensitivity × insulin secretion).

RESULTS

Of the participants, 107 youth were categorized as monophasic and 49 were biphasic. Compared with the monophasic group, participants with a biphasic response exhibited lower HbA(1c) (5.4 ± 0.3 vs. 5.6 ± 0.3%, P < 0.01) and lower glucose AUC (14,205 ± 2,382 vs. 16,230 ± 2,537 mg ⋅ dL(-1) ⋅ h(-1), P < 0.001) with higher insulin sensitivity (5.4 ± 3.2 vs. 4.6 ± 3.4, P ≤ 0.05), higher insulin secretion (2.1 ± 1.3 vs. 1.8 ± 1.3, P = 0.05), and better β-cell function (10.3 ± 7.8 vs. 6.0 ± 3.6, P < 0.001). Differences persisted after adjusting for age, sex, and BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest that the glycemic response to an OGTT may differentiate risk for type 2 diabetes in youth. This response may be an early marker of type 2 diabetes risk among high-risk youth.

Synergism by individual macronutrients explains the marked early GLP-1 and islet hormone responses to mixed meal challenge in mice

Apart from glucose, proteins and lipids also stimulate incretin and islet hormone secretion. However, the glucoregulatory effect of macronutrients in combination is poorly understood. We therefore developed an oral mixed meal model in mice to 1) explore the glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) and islet hormone responses to mixed meal versus isocaloric glucose, and 2) characterize the relative contribution of individual macronutrients to these responses. Anesthetized C57BL/6J female mice were orally gavaged with 1) a mixed meal (0.285 kcal; glucose, whey protein and peanut oil; 60/20/20% kcal) versus an isocaloric glucose load (0.285 kcal), and 2) a mixed meal (0.285 kcal) versus glucose, whey protein or peanut oil administered individually in their mixed meal caloric quantity, i.e., 0.171, 0.055 and 0.055 kcal, respectively. Plasma was analyzed for glucose, insulin and intact GLP-1 before and during oral challenges. Plasma glucose was lower after mixed meal versus after isocaloric glucose ingestion. In spite of this, the peak insulin response (P=0.02), the peak intact GLP-1 levels (P=0.006) and the estimated β-cell function (P=0.005) were higher. Furthermore, the peak insulin (P=0.004) and intact GLP-1 (P=0.006) levels were higher after mixed meal ingestion than the sum of responses to individual macronutrients. Compared to glucose alone, we conclude that there is a marked early insulin response to mixed meal ingestion, which emanates from a synergistic, rather than an additive, effect of the individual macronutrients in the mixed meal and is in part likely caused by increased levels of GLP-1.

Beyond the morphology of the glucose curve following an oral glucose tolerance test in obese youth

BACKGROUND

To describe the morphology of glucose curve during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and any association with glucose tolerance, insulin action and secretion in obese youth.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional.

METHODS

OGTT data of 553 patients were analysed. Subjects were divided in groups based on the morphology (i.e. monophasic, biphasic, triphasic and upward monotonous) of glucose curve. Insulin action was estimated by the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, the insulin sensitivity, the muscle insulin sensitivity and the hepatic insulin resistance indexes (HIRI), and the oral glucose insulin sensitivity (OGIS). Insulin secretion was estimated by the insulinogenic index (IGI). Disposition index, including the insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2, and areas under glucose (AUC(G)) and insulin (AUC(I)) curves were computed.

RESULTS

In patients with normal glucose tolerance (n=522), prevalent morphology of the glucose curve was monophasic (n=285, 54%). Monophasic morphology was associated with the highest concentration of 1 h plasma glucose (P<0.0001) and AUC(G) (P<0.0001); biphasic morphology with better insulin sensitivity as estimated by OGIS (P<0.03) and lower AUC(I) (P<0.0001); triphasic morphology with the highest values of HIRI (P<0.02) and IGI (P<0.007). By combining morphologies of glucose and insulin curves or time of the glucose peak, a deeper characterisation of different phenotypes of glucose metabolism emerged.

CONCLUSIONS

Morphologies of the glucose curve seem reflecting different metabolic phenotypes of insulin action and secretion, particularly when combined with morphologies of insulin curve or time of glucose peak. Such findings may deserve validation in cohort study, in which glucose metabolism would be estimated by using gold standard techniques.

Shape of glucose, insulin, C-peptide curves during a 3-h oral glucose tolerance test: any relationship with the degree of glucose tolerance?

We aimed to analyze the shape of the glucose, insulin, and C-peptide curves during a 3-h oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Another aim was defining an index of shape taking into account the whole OGTT pattern. Five-hundred ninety-two OGTT curves were analyzed, mainly from women with former gestational diabetes, with glycemic concentrations characterized by normal glucose tolerance (n = 411), impaired glucose metabolism (n = 134), and Type 2 diabetes (n = 47). Glucose curves were classified according to their shape (monophasic, biphasic, triphasic, and 4/5-phases), and the metabolic condition of the subjects, divided according to the glucose shape stratification, was analyzed. Indices of shape based on the discrete second-order derivative of the curve patterns were also defined. We found that the majority of the glucose curves were monophasic (n = 262). Complex shapes were less frequent but not rare (n = 37 for the 4/5-phases shape, i.e., three peaks). There was a tendency toward the amelioration of the metabolic condition for increasing complexity of the shape, as indicated by lower glucose concentrations, improved insulin sensitivity and β-cell function. The shape index computed on C-peptide, WHOSH(CP) (WHole-Ogtt-SHape-index-C-peptide), showed a progressive increase [monophasic: 0.93 ± 0.04 (dimensionless); 4/5-phases: 1.35 ± 0.14], and it showed properties typical of β-cell function indices. We also found that the type of glucose shape is often associated to similar insulin and C-peptide shape. In conclusion, OGTT curves can be characterized by high variability, and complex OGTT shape is associated with better glucose tolerance. WHOSH(CP) (WHole-Ogtt-SHape-index) may be a powerful index of β-cell function much simpler than model-based indices.

The shape of plasma glucose concentration curve during OGTT predicts future risk of type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study is to assess the relationship between the shape of plasma glucose concentration during the OGTT and future risk for T2DM.

METHODS

2445 non-diabetic subjects from the Botnia study received an OGTT at baseline and after 7-8 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

NGT and IFG subjects who returned their plasma glucose concentration following an ingested glucose load below FPG within 60 min had increased insulin sensitivity, greater insulin secretion and lower risk for future T2DM compared to NGT and IFG subjects whose post-load plasma glucose concentration required 120 min or longer to return their plasma glucose level to FPG level. IGT subjects who had a lower plasma glucose concentration at 1-h compared to 2-h during OGTT had greater insulin sensitivity, better beta cell function and lower risk for future T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest that the shape of glucose curve can be utilized to assess future risk for T2DM.