Use of a simple symptom questionnaire to predict Barrett's esophagus in patients with symptoms of gastroesophageal reflux

Development of a prediction score for Barrett's esophagus in Japanese health checkup settings

BACKGROUND

The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma has recently increased in Asia, including Japan. A system to identify individuals at high risk for Barrett's esophagus (BE), a pre-cancerous condition of esophageal adenocarcinoma, among the general population is needed to perform endoscopic surveillance appropriately. We therefore developed risk prediction scores for BE at health checkups in Japan.

METHODS

4128 consecutive health checkup examinees were retrospectively enrolled from October 2021 to March 2022. A prediction score for BE was developed based on the linear transformation of β-regression coefficients in a multivariable regression model incorporating BE predictors. Internal validation was performed by evaluating discrimination and calibration of the prediction model.

RESULTS

Three prediction scores corresponding to BE based on its length were developed: all lengths, ≥ 1 cm, ≥ 2 cm. All scores were internally validated, and the model calibration was excellent. The performance of the prediction models was better for longer BE, with a c-statistic of 0.70 for BE ≥ 2 cm, than for shorter values. The prediction score for BE ≥ 2 cm yielded sensitivity and specificity of 52.9% and 78.6% in high-risk subjects and 91.2% and 29.3% in intermediate- or high-risk subjects, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction score can potentially increase the endoscopic detection of BE by identifying potentially high-risk individuals from the general population. This is the first report on developing a prediction score for BE that may suit the Japanese population.

Etiologic factors for Barrett's esophagus: toward countermeasures in Asia

INTRODUCTION

Over the past several decades, Europe and the United States have experienced a rapid increase in esophageal adenocarcinoma. Research and countermeasures against Barrett's esophagus, its precancerous lesion, are progressing. Because esophageal adenocarcinoma has an extremely poor prognosis when diagnosed in an advanced stage, recommendations for early cancer detection have been made based on the various proven etiological factors of Barrett's esophagus and the actual cancer risk of Barrett's esophagus. In recent years, there have been indications of an increase in esophageal adenocarcinoma in Japan, and a similar trend of cancer will occur shortly in other Asian countries. Consequently, Asian countries must implement similar countermeasures against Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma, referencing the knowledge gained thus far in Europe and the United States.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the latest findings on the etiologic factors of Barrett's esophagus and discusses the differences between Westerners and Asians. The current status of Barrett's esophagus in Japan and other Asian countries is also summarized.

EXPERT OPINION

The etiological factors and cancer incidence of Barrett's esophagus in Asia diverge somewhat from those observed in Europe and America. Therefore, it is imperative to implement measures that are tailored to the actual circumstances of Asian people.

Advances in Screening for Barrett Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), the primary form of esophageal cancer in the United States, is a lethal cancer with exponentially increasing incidence. Screening for Barrett esophagus (BE), the only known precursor to EAC, followed by endoscopic surveillance to detect dysplasia and early-stage EAC and subsequent endoscopic treatment (to prevent progression of dysplasia to EAC and to treat early-stage EAC effectively) is recommended by several society guidelines. Sedated endoscopy (the primary current tool for BE screening) is both invasive and expensive, limiting its widespread use. In this review, we aim to provide a comprehensive review of recent innovations in the nonendoscopic detection of BE and EAC. These include swallowable cell sampling devices combined with protein and epigenetic biomarkers (which are now guideline endorsed as alternatives to sedated endoscopy), tethered capsule endomicroscopy, emerging peripheral blood-sampled molecular biomarkers, and exhaled volatile organic compounds. We also summarize progress and challenges in assessing BE and EAC risk, which is an important complementary component of the process for the clinical implementation of these innovative nonendoscopic tools, and propose a new paradigm for the strategy to reduce EAC incidence and mortality.

Limitations of Heartburn and Other Societies' Criteria in Barrett's Screening for Detecting De Novo Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Despite extensive Barrett's esophagus (BE) screening efforts, most patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) present de novo. It is unclear how much of this problem is the result of insensitivity or poor applications of current screening guidelines. We aimed to evaluate the sensitivity of guidelines by determining the proportion of prevalent EAC cases that meet the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) or the British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) guidelines for BE screening and determine whether changes to criteria would enhance detection.

METHODS

A retrospective single-center cohort from the United States (n = 663) and a prospective multicenter cohort from the United Kingdom (n = 645) were collected and analyzed independently. Screening eligibility was determined as patients with chronic reflux and at least 2 or more risk factors as defined by the guidelines. We calculated the proportion of screening-eligible patients and then compared BE/EAC risk factors between screening-eligible and screening-ineligible patients using the chi-squared or Student t test as appropriate.

RESULTS

In the Mayo clinic cohort there were 54.9% EAC cases and in the UK cohort there were 38.9% EAC cases that were not identified by ACG or BSG screening criteria, respectively. Among patients who did not meet the screening criteria, lack of heartburn was observed in 86.5% in the Mayo clinic cohort and in 61.4% in the UK cohort. Other risk factors that were lacking included obesity (defined as a body mass index of ≥30 kg/m²) and family history of EAC. Eliminating chronic reflux from the ACG/BSG criteria improved eligibility for screening from 45.1% to 81.3% (P < .001) in the Mayo Clinic cohort and from 61.1% (n = 394) to 81.5% (n = 526; P < .001) in the UK cohort. However, reflux may be difficult to ascertain from the history, and by including proton pump inhibitor use status in addition to the BSG criteria, screening eligibility improved by 10.0% in the UK cohort (n = 459; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

ACG/BSG BE screening guidelines have limited our ability to detect prevalent EAC. An optimized approach to identifying the individuals most suitable for EAC screening needs to be implemented, particularly one that does not rely on chronic reflux symptoms.

Barrett's Esophagus: Diagnosis, Management, and Key Updates

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is the precursor lesion for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) development. Unfortunately, BE screening/surveillance has not provided the anticipated EAC reduction benefit. Noninvasive techniques are increasingly available or undergoing testing to screen for BE among those with/without known risk factors, and the use of artificial intelligence platforms to aid endoscopic screening and surveillance will likely become routine, minimizing missed cases or lesions. Management of high-grade dysplasia and intramucosal EAC is clear with endoscopic eradication therapy preferred to surgery. BE with low-grade dysplasia can be managed with removal of visible lesions combined with endoscopic eradication therapy or endoscopic surveillance at present.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: risk factors for Barrett's oesophagus in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms

BACKGROUND

Gastro-oesophageal reflux is considered the main risk factor for Barrett's oesophagus. The role of other potential risk factors for the development of Barrett's oesophagus in patients with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms is controversial.

AIMS

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis examining risk factors in development of Barrett's oesophagus.

METHODS

Medline, Embase and Embase Classic were searched (until December 2020) to identify cross-sectional studies reporting prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus based on presence of one or more proposed risk factors in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms. Prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus was compared according to presence or absence of each risk factor in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms.

RESULTS

Of 7164 citations evaluated, 13 studies reported prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus in 11 856 subjects. Pooled prevalence of histologically confirmed Barrett's oesophagus in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms in all studies was 7.0% (95% CI 4.8% to 9.6%). Prevalence was higher in subjects with hiatal hernia (OR 2.74; 95% CI 1.58 to 4.75) and in those who drank alcohol (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.17 to 1.95). Other features including non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and/or aspirin use (OR 1.19; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.42), smoking (OR 1.14; 95% CI 0.96 to 1.35) or obesity (OR 1.10; 95% CI 0.92 to 1.33) were not significantly associated with Barrett's oesophagus.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms was higher in those who drank alcohol, although this association was modest. The strongest association found was between hiatal hernia and Barrett's oesophagus. Other potential risk factors assessed in this study did not appear to be associated with presence of Barrett's oesophagus among individuals with gastro-oesophageal symptoms.

Validation of Tools for Predicting Incident Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagus or Esophagogastric Junction

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines suggest screening of individuals who are at increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Tools for identifying patients at risk of Barrett's esophagus have been validated. Here, we aimed to compare and validate the tools for the primary outcomes of interest: EAC and esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (EGJAC).

METHODS

Retrospective longitudinal analysis of the Kaiser Permanente Northern California Multiphasic Health Checkup Cohort, a community-based cohort including 206,974 patients enrolled between 1964 and 1973 followed through 2016. Baseline questionnaires and anthropometrics classified predictor variables for each tool and were linked to cancer registry outcomes. Analyses used logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves.

RESULTS

We identified 168 incident EAC cases and 151 EGJAC cases at a mean of 32 years after enrollment (mean follow-up among controls 26 years). Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms predicted incident EAC (hazard ratio 2.66; 95% confidence interval 1.01, 7.00), but not EGJAC. The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study tool, Kunzmann tool, and Michigan Barrett's Esophagus pREdiction Tool were more accurate than GERD for predicting EAC, with individuals in the fourth quartile of Kunzmann having 17-fold the risk of those in the 1st quartile (hazard ratio = 16.7, 95% confidence interval = 4.72, 58.8). Each tool also predicted incident EGJAC with smaller magnitudes of effect.

DISCUSSION

The study independently validated 4 tools for predicting incident EAC and EGJAC in a large community-based population. The Kunzmann tool appears best calibrated; all appear preferable to using GERD alone for risk stratification. Future studies should determine how best to implement such tools into clinical practice.

Global prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus and oesophageal cancer in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Chronic gastro-oesophageal reflux might lead to the development of Barrett's oesophagus (BO) or even oesophageal adenocarcinoma. There has been no definitive systematic review and meta-analysis of data to estimate global prevalence of BO or oesophageal adenocarcinoma in individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux.

DESIGN

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Embase Classic to identify cross-sectional surveys that reported prevalence of BO or oesophageal adenocarcinoma in adults with gastro-oesophageal reflux. We extracted prevalence for all studies, both for endoscopically suspected and histologically confirmed cases. We calculated pooled prevalence according to study location, symptom frequency and sex, as well as ORs with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

Of the 4963 citations evaluated, 44 reported prevalence of endoscopically suspected and/or histologically confirmed BO. Prevalence of BO among individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux varied according to different geographical regions ranging from 3% to 14% for histologically confirmed BO with a pooled prevalence of 7.2% (95% CI 5.4% to 9.3%), whereas pooled prevalence for endoscopically suspected BO was 12.0% (95% CI 5.5% to 20.3%). There was heterogeneity in many of our analyses. Prevalence of BO was significantly higher in men, both for endoscopically suspected (OR=2.1; 95% CI 1.6 to 2.8) and histologically confirmed BO (OR=2.3; 95% CI 1.7 to 3.2). Dysplasia was present in 13.9% (95% CI 8.9% to 19.8%) of cases of histologically confirmed BO, 80.7% of which was low-grade.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus among individuals with gastro-oesophageal reflux varied strikingly among countries, broadly resembling the geographical distribution of gastro-oesophageal reflux itself. Prevalence of BO was significantly higher in men.

Epidemiology of Barrett's Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Implications for Screening and Surveillance

In the United States, the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma increased markedly since the 1970s with a recent stabilization. Despite evolving screening and surveillance strategies to diagnose, risk triage, and intervene in Barrett's esophagus patients to prevent esophageal adenocarcinoma, most cases present with advanced disease and poor resultant survival. Epidemiologic studies have identified the main risk factors for these conditions, including increasing age, male sex, white race, gastroesophageal reflux disease, abdominal obesity, cigarette smoking, and lack of infection with Helicobacter pylori. This review summarizes the current epidemiologic evidence with implications for screening and surveillance in Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Progress in Screening for Barrett's Esophagus: Beyond Standard Upper Endoscopy

The rapid increase in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma in Western populations over the past 4 decades and its associated poor prognosis, unless detected early has generated great interest in screening for the precursor lesion Barrett's esophagus (BE). Recently, there have been significant developments in imaging-based modalities and esophageal cell-sampling devices coupled with biomarker assays. In this review, the authors discuss the rationale for screening for BE and the factors to consider for targeting the at-risk population. They also explore future avenues for research in this area.

Endoscopic Screening for Barrett's Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Rationale, Candidates, and Challenges

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a cancer with increasing incidence and poor survival. Risk of EAC in patients with BE is higher compared with the general population. Endoscopic screening for BE is performed to identify patients earlier in the metaplasia-dysplasia-carcinoma sequence from BE to EAC to enable eradication therapy. BE screening should be considered in individuals with multiple risk factors for BE and EAC. Challenges to BE screening include the absence of a cost-effective, widely applicable minimally invasive screening tool, gastroesophageal reflux disease centric screening recommendations, and limitations of current endoscopic surveillance practice.

Risk Prediction Models for Barrett's Esophagus Discriminate Well and Are Generalizable in an External Validation Study

BACKGROUND

Barrett's esophagus is the precursor to the highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma. Risk prediction models have been developed to assist in its detection, potentially improving early identification and treatment of esophageal adenocarcinoma. Six models have been developed.

AIMS

To externally validate three models (Rubenstein, Thrift, and Baldwin-Hunter models) and compare them to a fourth risk prediction model (Ireland model) for Barrett's esophagus.

METHODS

Data from 120 Barrett's cases and 235 population controls were available to externally validate the three models. Discriminatory ability of these models was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Calibration was assessed with the calibration slope, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and Lowess smoother calibration plot. Following external validation, diagnostic accuracy of the three models was compared to that of the Ireland model.

RESULTS

On external validation, the Rubenstein model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.71 and was well calibrated (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p = 0.67). Likewise, the Thrift and Baldwin-Hunter models had similar discrimination (0.71 and 0.70, respectively) and were also well calibrated (p = 0.69 and p = 0.28). Our previous external validation of the Ireland model provided an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 and was well calibrated (p = 0.14). The Ireland model demonstrated a statistically significantly greater area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than the Rubenstein (p = 0.02), Thrift (p = 0.001), and Baldwin-Hunter (p = 0.002) models.

CONCLUSION

We externally validated the Rubenstein, Thrift, and Baldwin-Hunter risk prediction models and compared them to the Ireland model. The Ireland model demonstrated improved accuracy, albeit with slightly poorer calibration.

Validation and Comparison of Tools for Selecting Individuals to Screen for Barrett's Esophagus and Early Neoplasia

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Guidelines suggest endoscopic screening of individuals who are at increased risk for Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Tools based on clinical factors are available for identifying patients at risk, but only some have been validated. We aimed to compare and validate available tools.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study of 1241 patients, ages 40 to 79 years, presenting either for their first esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) or their first endoscopic therapy of early neoplastic BE, from April 2015 through June 2018. We calculated risk scores for 6 previously published tools (the Gerson, Locke, Thrift, Michigan BE pREdiction Tool [M-BERET], Nord-Trøndelag Health Study [HUNT], and Kunzmann tools). We also investigated the accuracy of frequency and duration of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), using data from a randomly selected 50% of patients undergoing their first EGD. We compared the ability of all these tools to discriminate patients with BE and early neoplasia from patients without BE, using findings from endoscopy as the reference standard.

RESULTS

BE was detected in 81 of 1152 patients during their first EGD (7.0%). GERD symptoms alone identified patients with BE with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) of 0.579. All of the tools were more accurate in identifying patients with BE than the frequency and duration of GERD (AuROC for GERD, 0.579 vs range for other tools, 0.660-0.695), and predicted risk correlated well with observed risk (calibration). The AUROCs of the HUNT tool (0.796), the M-BERET (0.773), and the Kunzmann tool (0.763) were comparable in discriminating between patients with early neoplasia (n = 94) vs no BE. Each tool was more accurate in discriminating BE with early neoplasia than GERD frequency and duration alone (AuROC, 0.667; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

The HUNT, M-BERET, and Kunzmann tools identify patients with BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.665 to 0.695, and discriminate patients with early neoplasia from patients without BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.763 to 0.796. These tools are more accurate than frequency and duration of GERD in identifying individuals at risk for neoplastic BE.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model to diagnose Barrett's oesophagus (MARK-BE): a case-control machine learning approach

Background

Screening for Barrett's Oesophagus (BE) relies on endoscopy which is invasive and has a low yield. This study aimed to develop and externally validate a simple symptom and risk-factor questionnaire to screen for patients with BE.

Methods

Questionnaires from 1299 patients in the BEST2 case-controlled study were analysed: 880 had BE including 40 with invasive oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) and 419 were controls. This was randomly split into a training cohort of 776 patients and an internal validation cohort of 523 patients. External validation included 398 patients from the BOOST case-controlled study: 198 with BE (23 with OAC) and 200 controls. Identification of independently important diagnostic features was undertaken using machine learning techniques information gain (IG) and correlation based feature selection (CFS). Multiple classification tools were assessed to create a multi-variable risk prediction model. Internal validation was followed by external validation in the independent dataset.

Findings

The BEST2 study included 40 features. Of these, 24 added IG but following CFS, only 8 demonstrated independent diagnostic value including age, gender, smoking, waist circumference, frequency of stomach pain, duration of heartburn and acid taste and taking of acid suppression medicines. Logistic regression offered the highest prediction quality with AUC (area under the receiver operator curve) of 0.87. In the internal validation set, AUC was 0.86. In the BOOST external validation set, AUC was 0.81.

Interpretation

The diagnostic model offers valid predictions of diagnosis of BE in patients with symptomatic gastroesophageal reflux, assisting in identifying who should go forward to invasive testing. Overweight men who have been taking stomach medicines for a long time may merit particular consideration for further testing. The risk prediction tool is quick and simple to administer but will need further calibration and validation in a prospective study in primary care.

Funding

Charles Wolfson Trust and Guts UK.

Use of the Electronic Health Record to Target Patients for Non-endoscopic Barrett's Esophagus Screening

BACKGROUND

Clinical prediction models targeting patients for Barrett's esophagus (BE) screening include data obtained by interview, questionnaire, and body measurements. A tool based on electronic health records (EHR) data could reduce cost and enhance usability, particularly if combined with non-endoscopic BE screening methods.

AIMS

To determine whether EHR-based data can identify BE patients.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of patients ages 50-75 who underwent a first-time esophagogastroduodenoscopy. Data extracted from the EHR included demographics and BE risk factors. Endoscopy and pathology reports were reviewed for histologically confirmed BE. Screening criteria modified from clinical guidelines were assessed for association with BE. Subsequently, a score based on multivariate logistic regression was developed and assessed for its ability to identify BE subjects.

RESULTS

A total of 2931 patients were assessed, and BE was found in 1.9%. Subjects who met screening criteria were more likely to have BE (3.3% vs. 1.1%, p = 0.001), and the criteria predicted BE with an AUROC of 0.65 (95% CI 0.59-0.71). A score based on logistic regression modeling included gastroesophageal reflux disease, sex, body mass index, and ever-smoker status and identified BE subjects with an AUROC of 0.71 (95% CI 0.64-0.77). Both prediction tools produced higher AUROCs in women than in men.

CONCLUSIONS

EHR-based BE risk prediction tools identify BE patients with fair accuracy. While these tools may improve the efficiency of patient targeting for BE screening in the primary care setting, challenges remain to identify high-risk patients for non-invasive BE screening in clinical practice.

Validation of a risk prediction model for Barrett's esophagus in an Australian population

Background

Esophageal adenocarcinoma is a disease that has a high mortality rate, the only known precursor being Barrett's esophagus (BE). While screening for BE is not cost-effective at the population level, targeted screening might be beneficial. We have developed a risk prediction model to identify people with BE, and here we present the external validation of this model.

Materials and methods

A cohort study was undertaken to validate a risk prediction model for BE. Individuals with endoscopy and histopathology proven BE completed a questionnaire containing variables previously identified as risk factors for this condition. Their responses were combined with data from a population sample for analysis. Risk scores were derived for each participant. Overall performance of the risk prediction model in terms of calibration and discrimination was assessed.

Results

Scores from 95 individuals with BE and 636 individuals from the general population were analyzed. The Brier score was 0.118, suggesting reasonable overall performance. The area under the receiver operating characteristic was 0.83 (95% CI 0.78-0.87). The Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was p=0.14. Minimizing false positives and false negatives, the model achieved a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 73%.

Conclusion

This study has validated a risk prediction model for BE that has a higher sensitivity than previous models.

Recent Advances in Screening for Barrett's Esophagus

OPINION STATEMENT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: There is a pressing need for effective strategies to halt the increase in both the incidence and mortality of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Screening for Barrett's esophagus, which is the only known precursor of EAC, remains a ripe area for research, particularly with regard to identifying the target population, screening tools, and management of screen-detected populations. This review aims to explore in depth the rationale for screening for Barrett's esophagus, recent biotechnological advances which may have the potential of making screening feasible, and also highlight the challenges which will have to be overcome in order make screening for BE a realistic prospect.

RECENT FINDINGS

Imaging techniques such as portable transnasal endoscopy have the advantage of providing an immediate diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus as well as other significant pathologies such as reflux esophagitis and cancer; however, larger studies in non-enriched community screening populations are required to evaluate their feasibility. The capsule sponge is a cell-sampling device coupled with a biomarker, which has been most extensively evaluated with very promising results as regards feasibility, acceptability, accuracy, and cost-effectiveness. Its effectiveness in increasing the detection of Barrett's esophagus in primary care is currently being evaluated. Several Barrett's esophagus risk prediction scores have been developed with variable degrees of accuracy. Several minimally and non-invasive screening techniques have been studied including imaging and cell-sampling devices. Barrett's risk assessment models need to be further validated in independent, relevant screening populations with clear cut-offs for recommending screening to be defined.

Gastroesophageal Reflux Frequency, Severity, Age of Onset, Family History and Acid Suppressive Therapy Predict Barrett Esophagus in a Large Population

GOALS

To identify risk factors associated with Barrett esophagus (BE) for potential improved surveillance and risk reduction.

BACKGROUND

Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is a known risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma, but the ability of GERD symptom frequency and severity to predict presence of its putative precursor lesion, BE, is less well-defined in large, community-based populations.

STUDY

We conducted a case-control study within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California population. Cases had new diagnoses of BE. To identify risk factors in the general population, we contrasted cases with population controls; to identify risk factors only among patients with GERD, we contrasted cases with GERD patients who lacked BE.

RESULTS

We interviewed 953 patients; 320 patients with BE, 316 patients with GERD who lacked BE and 317 population controls. Compared with population controls, BE risk was highest among patients with the most frequent and severe GERD symptoms [odds ratio (OR), 27.00; 95% confidence interval (CI), 14.52-50.21], nocturnal symptoms (OR, 5.40; 95% CI, 3.81-7.72), and family history of GERD (OR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.80-3.62) or BE (OR, 10.08; 95% CI, 2.83-35.84). Although at least weekly proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use was a risk factor for BE (OR, 9.85; 95% CI, 6.54-14.84), among PPI users in the general population, GERD symptoms were not strongly associated with the risk of BE. Compared with GERD controls, cases were more likely to have onset of GERD symptoms before 30 years of age (OR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.15-3.22) and a family history of BE (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 1.50-8.83).

CONCLUSIONS

Severe and frequent GERD symptoms are strongly associated with increased risk of BE in the general population, especially in the absence of frequent PPI use. Among people with GERD, family history of BE and early age of symptom onset were stronger predictors of BE. These findings may improve identification of patients at highest risk for BE.

Development of a risk prediction model for Barrett's esophagus in an Australian population

Esophageal adenocarcinoma has poor 5-year survival rates. Increased survival might be achieved with earlier treatment, but requires earlier identification of the precursor, Barrett's esophagus. Population screening is not cost effective, this may be improved by targeted screening directed at individuals more likely to have Barrett's esophagus. To develop a risk prediction tool for Barrett's esophagus, this study compared individuals with Barrett's esophagus against population controls. Participants completed a questionnaire comprising 35 questions addressing medical history, symptom history, lifestyle factors, anthropomorphic measures, and demographic details. Statistical analysis addressed differences between cases and controls, and entailed initial variable selection, checking of model assumptions, and establishing calibration and discrimination. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to assess overall accuracy. One hundred and twenty individuals with Barrett's esophagus and 235 population controls completed the questionnaire. Significant differences were identified for age, gender, reflux history, family reflux history, history of hypertension, alcoholic drinks per week, and body mass index. These were used to develop a risk prediction model. The AUC was 0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.87). Good calibration between predicted and observed risk was noted (Hosmer-Lemeshow test P = 0.67). At the point minimizing false positives and false negatives, the model achieved a sensitivity of 84.96% and a specificity of 66%. A well-calibrated risk prediction model with good discrimination has been developed to identify patients with Barrett's esophagus. The model needs to be externally validated before consideration for clinical practice.

Barrett’s oesophagus: Current controversies

Oesophageal adenocarcinoma is rapidly increasing in Western countries. This tumour frequently presents late in its course with metastatic disease and has a very poor prognosis. Barrett’s oesophagus is an acquired condition whereby the native squamous mucosa of the lower oesophagus is replaced by columnar epithelium following prolonged gastro-oesophageal reflux and is the recognised precursor lesion for oesophageal adenocarcinoma. There are multiple national and society guidelines regarding screening, surveillance and management of Barrett’s oesophagus, however all are limited regarding a clear evidence base for a well-demonstrated benefit and cost-effectiveness of surveillance, and robust risk stratification for patients to best use resources. Currently the accepted risk factors upon which surveillance intervals and interventions are based are Barrett’s segment length and histological interpretation of the systematic biopsies. Further patient risk factors including other demographic features, smoking, gender, obesity, ethnicity, patient age, biomarkers and endoscopic adjuncts remain under consideration and are discussed in full. Recent evidence has been published to support earlier endoscopic intervention by means of ablation of the metaplastic Barrett’s segment when the earliest signs of dysplasia are detected. Further work should concentrate on establishing better risk stratification and primary and secondary preventative strategies to reduce the risk of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus.

Who Deserves Endoscopic Screening for Esophageal Neoplasia?

Despite the availability of safe and effective endoscopic treatment of Barrett's esophagus (BE)-related dysplasia and neoplasia, the incidence and mortality from esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) have continued to increase. This likely stems from the large population of patients that develop EAC outside of a BE screening and surveillance program. Identification of BE with screening followed by enrollment in an appropriate surveillance/risk stratification program could be a strategy to address both the incidence of and mortality from EAC. This article summarizes the rationale and challenges for BE screening, the risk factors for BE, and the currently described BE risk assessment tools.

Risk of histologic Barrett's esophagus between African Americans and non-Hispanic whites: A meta-analysis

Background

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is rare in African Americans (AA). However, the risk difference magnitude in histologic BE prevalence between AA and non-Hispanic whites (nHw) has not been quantified to date.

Objective

The objective of this article is to determine the degree of histologic BE risk difference between AA and nHw.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE were searched for studies reporting histologic BE in AA/nHw for inclusion. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) with risk estimates of histologic BE occurrence between AA/nHw were calculated along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Forest plots were used to quantify heterogeneity. Funnel plots and the Cochrane Collaboration Risk of Bias tool were used to assess bias risk.

Results

Eight studies reported BE histologic confirmation in AA/nHw. Analysis demonstrated a nearly 400% increased histologic BE risk in nHw patients compared to AA (OR 3.949, 95% CI 3.069-5.082). In the model without the case-control study, histologic BE risk remained elevated at approximately 360% in nHw compared to AA (OR 3.618, 95% CI 2.769-4.726). Heterogeneity was not present in either model. Risk of bias was significant.

Conclusions

Histologic BE risk is elevated in nHw by 3.6-4 times compared to AA. Investigation into understanding any clinical, molecular or genetic mechanisms underlying this risk disparity is warranted.

Endoscopic findings of esophagogastric junction in children

Esophagogastric landmarks are recognizable in the same way both in children and in adults, and palisade-shaped vessels can be observed at the distal position of esophageal mucosa, even in infants. Few studies have been done in respect to Barrett's esophagus (BE) in children. Incidence of endoscopically suspected BE among all children undergoing esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is approximately 0.25-1.4%, but can be up to 9.7% in patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Some data suggest that BE is an acquired disorder and point to the possibility of a congenital component in combination with severe mucosal injury. Recent reports noted that multilayered epithelium (ME), which shows morphological and immunocytochemical characteristics of both squamous and columnar epithelium, is associated with goblet cell metaplasia in adult patients with columnar-lined esophagus. The role of ME in the development of intestinal metaplasia in children is uncertain. Furthermore, detailed mechanisms about how short-segment BE (SSBE) changes to long-segment BE (LSBE) are not yet well understood. Further studies are required to understand the pathological esophagogastric junction (EGJ) and BE in children based on reliable epidemiological data and analysis especially in children who have reflux symptoms. Better understanding of the pediatric EGJ and BE may allow improved diagnosis, monitoring, therapy and, therefore, prognosis of GERD-related disorders in adulthood.

Common Variants Confer Susceptibility to Barrett's Esophagus: Insights from the First Genome-Wide Association Studies

Eight loci have been identified by the two genome-wide association studies of Barrett's esophagus that have been conducted to date. Esophageal adenocarcinoma cases were included in the second study following evidence that predisposing genetic variants for this cancer overlap with those for Barrett's esophagus. Genes with roles in embryonic development of the foregut are adjacent to 6 of the loci identified (FOXF1, BARX1, FOXP1, GDF7, TBX5, and ALDH1A2). An additional locus maps to a gene with known oncogenic potential (CREB-regulated transcription coactivator 1), but expression quantitative trait data implicates yet another gene involved in esophageal development (PBX4). These results strongly support a model whereby dysregulation of genes involved in esophageal and thoracic development increases susceptibility to Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma, probably by reducing anatomical antireflux mechanisms. An additional signal at 6p21 in the major histocompatibility complex also reinforces evidence that immune and inflammatory response to reflux is involved in the development of both diseases. All of the variants identified are intronic or intergenic rather than coding and are presumed to be or to mark regulatory variants. As with genome-wide association studies of other diseases, the functional variants at each locus are yet to be identified and the genes affected need confirming. In this chapter as well as discussing the biology behind each genome-wide association signal, we review the requirements for successfully conducting genome-wide association studies and discuss how progress in understanding the genetic variants that contribute to Barrett's esophagus/esophageal adenocarcinoma susceptibility compares to other cancers.

Risk prediction in Barrett's esophagus - aspects of a combination of molecular and epidemiologic biomarkers reflecting alterations of the microenvironment

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a chronic, metaplastic lesion of the esophagus and the only known precursor of esophageal adenocarcinoma. The identification of risk factors to assess the risk for BE and their correspondence with hallmarks of malignant progression for early stratification purposes is critically needed. Data legitimate the assumption that aside of reflux symptoms and related conditions, also demographic and environmental factors are thought to be associated with the risk for BE and its progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma. Molecular biomarkers and inflammatory mechanisms are subjects of intensive research and dispone of promising features regarding risk assessment especially for progressive BE. The amount of investigated epidemiologic factors, as well as discovered biomarkers gets confusingly large. Despite the recognized potential relevance of environmental and molecular factors, the efforts to date have resulted in moderately applicable risk estimates. More prospective data is needed to allow an imputation of the mostly retrospectively assessed factors to reappraise their meaningfulness in risk prediction approaches.

Barrett's esophagus and β-carotene therapy: symptomatic improvement in GERD and enhanced HSP70 expression in esophageal mucosa

INTRODUCTION

Epidemiological studies suggest a protective role for β-carotene with several malignancies. Esophageal adenocarcinoma frequently arises from Barrett's esophagus (BE). We postulated that β-carotene therapy maybe protective in BE.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

We conducted a prospective study in which 25 mg of β-carotene was administered daily for six-months to six patients. Each patient underwent upper endoscopy before and after therapy and multiple mucosal biopsies were obtained. Additionally, patients completed a gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms questionnaire before and after therapy and severity score was calculated. To study the effect of β-carotene at molecular level, tissue extracts of the esophageal mucosal biopsy were subjected to assessment of heat-shock protein 70 (HSP70).

RESULTS

A significant (p<0.05) reduction in mean GERD symptoms severity score from 7.0±2.4 to 2.7±1.7 following β-carotene therapy was noted. Measurement of Barrett's segment also revealed a significant reduction in mean length after therapy. In fact, two patients had complete disappearance of intestinal metaplasia. Furthermore, marked enhancement of HSP70 expression was demonstrated in biopsy specimens from Barrett's epithelium in four cases that were tested.

CONCLUSIONS

Long- term β-carotene therapy realizes amelioration of GERD symptoms along with restitution of the histological and molecular changes in esophageal mucosa of patients with BE, associated with concurrent increase in mucosal HSP70 expression.

Risk Factors for Barrett's Oesophagus

BACKGROUND

Barrett's oesophagus (BO) is a premalignant condition associated with the development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC). Globally, the incidence of OAC is rising. Furthermore, the prognosis regarding the morbidity and mortality of OAC is bleak, with an estimated 5-year survival of 10-15%. Hence, detection of the premalignant phase is paramount. Endoscopy and biopsy sampling is the mainstay of diagnosis. Patients may present with symptoms of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD) or be completely asymptomatic. Therefore, symptomatology alone is a poor indicator of this condition.

SUMMARY

This review highlights the current risk factors associated with the development of BO.

KEY MESSAGE

Primary risk factors for BO include male gender, increased age, a family history of the disease, long-standing GORD, smoking, obesity (specifically determined by the waist-to-hip ratio as opposed to BMI), and Caucasian race. Alcohol consumption and Helicobacter pylori are not associated with the condition.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

By ensuring an appropriate understanding of the risk factors, clinicians can discern at-risk patients for endoscopic diagnosis and surveillance.

Genetic Biomarkers of Barrett's Esophagus Susceptibility and Progression to Dysplasia and Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a common and important precursor lesion of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). A third of patients with BE are asymptomatic, and our ability to predict the risk of progression of metaplasia to dysplasia and EAC (and therefore guide management) is limited. There is an urgent need for clinically useful biomarkers of susceptibility to both BE and risk of subsequent progression. This study aims to systematically identify, review, and meta-analyze genetic biomarkers reported to predict both. A systematic review of the PubMed and EMBASE databases was performed in May 2014. Study and evidence quality were appraised using the revised American Society of Clinical Oncology guidelines, and modified Recommendations for Tumor Marker Scores. Meta-analysis was performed for all markers assessed by more than one study. A total of 251 full-text articles were reviewed; 52 were included. A total of 33 germline markers of susceptibility were identified (level of evidence II-III); 17 were included. Five somatic markers of progression were identified; meta-analysis demonstrated significant associations for chromosomal instability (level of evidence II). One somatic marker of progression/relapse following photodynamic therapy was identified. However, a number of failings of methodology and reporting were identified. This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate genetic biomarkers of BE susceptibility and risk of progression. While a number of limitations of study quality temper the utility of those markers identified, some-in particular, those identified by genome-wide association studies, and chromosomal instability for progression-appear plausible, although robust validation is required.

Methylated B3GAT2 and ZNF793 Are Potential Detection Biomarkers for Barrett's Esophagus

BACKGROUND

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a preneoplastic condition in which normal esophageal squamous epithelium (SQ) is replaced by specialized intestinal metaplasia. It is the presumed precursor for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) as well as the strongest risk factor for this cancer. Unfortunately, many patients with BE go undiagnosed under the current BE screening guidelines. The development of noninvasive and accurate BE detection assays could potentially identify many of these undiagnosed BE patients.

METHODS

DNA methylation is a common epigenetic alteration in BE. Therefore, we conducted a genome-wide methylation screen to identify potential BE biomarkers. Samples from SQ (N = 12), stomach (N = 28), and BE (N = 29) were analyzed and methylation levels at over 485,000 CpG sites were compared. Pyrosequencing assays were used to validate the results and MethyLight assays were developed to detect the methylated alleles in endoscopic brushings.

RESULTS

We discovered two genes, B3GAT2 and ZNF793, that are aberrantly methylated in BE. Clinical validation studies confirmed B3GAT2 and ZNF793 methylation levels were significantly higher in BE samples (median = 32.5% and 33.1%, respectively) than in control tissues (median = 2.29% and 2.52%, respectively; P < 0.0001 for both genes). Furthermore, gene-specific MethyLight assays could accurately detect BE (P < 0.0001 for both) in endoscopic brushing samples.

CONCLUSION

B3GAT2 and ZNF793 are hypermethylated in BE, and the methylation status of these genes can be used to detect BE in tissue samples.

IMPACT

These findings support the development of methylated B3GAT2 and ZNF793 as biomarkers for noninvasive assays for the detection of BE.

Prevalence of Barrett's Esophagus in Asian Countries: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prevalence and risk factors of Barrett's esophagus (BE) in Asian countries are unclear. Studies report a wide range of BE prevalence in Asian countries. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the prevalence of BE and its temporal changes and risk factors in Asian countries.

METHODS

Two investigators performed independent literature searches by using PubMed and EMBASE databases, and subsequent data abstraction for studies had to meet several set inclusion and exclusion criteria. Pooled BE prevalence was calculated by using a random-effect model. Estimates of relative risk for possible risk or protective factors were also calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 51 studies (N = 453,147), mainly from Eastern Asia, were included. The pooled prevalence of endoscopic BE was 7.8% (95% confidence interval, 5.0-12.1; 23 studies) and of histologically confirmed BE was 1.3% (95% confidence interval, 0.7-2.2; 28 studies). Most of histologic BE (82.1%) was short-segment BE (<3 cm). There was a trend toward an increase in prevalence of BE over time from 1991 to 2014, especially in Eastern Asian countries. Within BE cohorts, pooled prevalence of low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, and esophageal adenocarcinoma was 6.9%, 3.0%, and 2.0%, respectively. Reflux symptoms, male sex, hiatus hernia, and smoking were associated with a significantly increased risk of histologic BE in patients with BE compared with patients without BE. However, half of the patients with histologic BE did not have reflux symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

BE is not uncommon in Asian countries and seems to share similar risk factors and potential for neoplastic progression to those seen in Western countries.

Screening for Barrett's Esophagus

There is substantial interest in identifying patients with premalignant conditions such as Barrett's esophagus (BE), to improve outcomes of subjects with esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, there is limited consensus on the rationale for screening, the appropriate target population, and optimal screening modality. Recent progress in the development and validation of minimally invasive tools for BE screening has reinvigorated interest in BE screening. BE risk scores combining clinical, anthropometric, and laboratory variables are being developed that may allow more precise targeting of screening to high-risk individuals. This article reviews and summarizes data on recent progress and challenges in screening for BE.

Screening for Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma: rationale, recent progress, challenges, and future directions

As the incidence and mortality of esophageal adenocarcinoma continue to increase, strategies to counter this need to be explored. Screening for Barrett's esophagus, which is the known precursor of a large majority of adenocarcinomas, has been debated without a firm consensus. Given evidence for and against perceived benefits of screening, the multitude of challenges in the implementation of such a strategy and in the downstream management of subjects with Barrett's esophagus who could be diagnosed by screening, support for screening has been modest. Recent advances in the form of development and initial accuracy of noninvasive tools for screening, risk assessment tools, and biomarker panels to risk stratify subjects with BE, have spurred renewed interest in the early detection of Barrett's esophagus and related neoplasia, particularly with the advent of effective endoscopic therapy. In this review, we explore in depth the potential rationale for screening for Barrett's esophagus, recent advances that have the potential of making screening feasible, and also highlight some of the challenges that will have to be overcome to develop an effective approach to improve the outcomes of subjects with esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Risk factors and populations at risk: selection of patients for screening for Barrett's oesophagus

Screening for Barrett's oesophagus is an attractive notion due to the rising incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma, the relative ease of acquiring tissue from the oesophagus, and the availability of endoscopic therapy for early neoplastic lesions. If screening is recommended, the question remains: which patients should be screened? Endoscopy is frequently performed in patients with symptoms of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease, but the vast majority of patients diagnosed with oesophageal adenocarcinoma have never undergone a prior endoscopy. The efficiency of screening needs to be improved. A number of tools for predicting the presence of Barrett's oesophagus or future risk of developing oesophageal adenocarcinoma are available. More research is needed to validate these tools and to identify the thresholds at which screening should be offered.

Utility of endoscopy for diagnosis of barrett in a non-Western society: endoscopic and histopathologic correlation

Barrett esophagus is metaplastic transformation of esophageal squamous epithelium to columnar cells. A total of 1370 patients who had undergone upper endoscopy because of dyspeptic complaints were enrolled in the study. Age, sex, alcohol and smoking habits, body mass index, type and duration of symptoms (heartburn, epigastric pain, nausea, vomiting), and use of proton pump inhibitors were evaluated in all patients and recorded on standardized forms. Patients were grouped as normal esophagogastric junction, long-segment Barrett esophagus, and short-segment Barrett. Biopsies were taken from at least 6 points and examined histopathologically. Of the 1370 patients involved in the study, 748 (54.6%) were female and 622 (45.4%) were male. Mean age was 47.2 ± 15.30 years. Short-segment Barrett esophagus was detected in 16 patients, and long-segment Barrett was detected in 11 patients. Although Barrett esophagus was detected in 11 cases that were suspected to have Barrett during endoscopy, histopathology was negative in all cases that were not suspected to have Barrett. Barrett esophagus prevalence was significantly higher in people who used alcohol and tobacco and who had hiatal hernia. Although Barrett esophagus was detected in 40% of cases that were suspected to have Barrett during endoscopy, histopathology was negative in all cases that were not suspected to have Barrett. Barrett was detected in 40.7% of cases that were suspected to have Barrett during endoscopy; histopathology was negative in all cases that were not suspected to have Barrett. Senstivity of endoscopy is questionable in detection of short-segment Barrett.

Alcohol and the risk of Barrett's esophagus: a pooled analysis from the International BEACON Consortium

OBJECTIVES

Results from studies examining the association between alcohol consumption and the risk of Barrett's esophagus have been inconsistent. We assessed the risk of Barrett's esophagus associated with total and beverage-specific alcohol consumption by pooling individual participant data from five case-control studies participating in the international Barrett's and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Consortium.

METHODS

For analysis, there were 1,282 population-based controls, 1,418 controls with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), and 1,169 patients with Barrett's esophagus (cases). We estimated study-specific odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) using multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), education, smoking status, and GERD symptoms. Summary risk estimates were obtained by random-effects models. We also examined potential effect modification by sex, BMI, GERD symptoms, and cigarette smoking.

RESULTS

For comparisons with population-based controls, although there was a borderline statistically significant inverse association between any alcohol consumption and the risk of Barrett's esophagus (any vs. none, summary OR=0.77, 95% CI=0.60-1.00), risk did not decrease in a dose-response manner (Ptrend=0.72). Among alcohol types, wine was associated with a moderately reduced risk of Barrett's esophagus (any vs. none, OR=0.71, 95% CI=0.52-0.98); however, there was no consistent dose-response relationship (Ptrend=0.21). We found no association with alcohol consumption when cases were compared with GERD controls. Similar associations were observed across all strata of BMI, GERD symptoms, and cigarette smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

Consistent with findings for esophageal adenocarcinoma, we found no evidence that alcohol consumption increases the risk of Barrett's esophagus.

Strategies for the prevention of oesophageal adenocarcinoma

The incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma has increased by 500% over the past 30 years [1]. Improved understanding of the mechanisms of neoplastic progression provides an opportunity to reverse this trend. A thorough review of emerging strategies aiming to prevent the formation of oesophageal malignancy is presented. These include dietary modification, chemoprevention, early endoscopic identification and treatment of premalignant disease, and the potential for a non-endoscopic screening test. Oesophageal adenocarcinoma has become a major public health problem in the West and it is essential that clinicians are fully informed of risk reduction strategies so that they can be actively promoted in the community.

A multibiomarker risk score helps predict risk for Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Risk prediction models for Barrett's esophagus (BE) have been developed using multiple demographic and clinical variables, but their predictive performance has been modest. Adding a multibiomarker risk score may improve discriminatory ability.

METHODS

We used data from 141 patients with definitive BE and 138 controls participating in a case-control study at the Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center (Houston, TX) (97% men, 65% of controls were white, and 89% of cases were white). We derived and compared 3 prediction models. Model 1 included only gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) frequency and duration; model 2 included GERD frequency and duration, age, sex, race, waist-to-hip ratio, and Helicobacter pylori status; and model 3 included the variables in model 2 as well as a multibiomarker risk score based on serum levels of interleukin (IL)12p70, IL6, IL8, IL10, and leptin. We assessed their predictive accuracy in terms of discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration analyses.

RESULTS

The multibiomarker risk score was associated significantly with risk for BE. Compared with persons with a score of 0, persons with a score of 3 or higher had a greater than 10-fold increased risk for BE (biomarker risk score, ≥3; odds ratio, 11.9; 95% confidence interval, 4.06-34.9; P trend < .001). Risk prediction using the multibiomarker score in conjunction with demographic and clinical features improved discrimination compared with using only GERD frequency and duration (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.85 vs 0.74; P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on data from a case-control study of predominantly white male veterans, a risk prediction model including a multibiomarker score, derived from serum levels of cytokines and leptin, as well as GERD frequency and duration, age, sex, race, waist-to-hip ratio, and H pylori infection, can identify persons in this population with BE more accurately than previous methods.

Gastro-esophageal reflux disease symptoms and demographic factors as a pre-screening tool for Barrett's esophagus

Background

Barrett’s esophagus (BE) occurs as consequence of reflux and is a risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma. The current “gold-standard” for diagnosing BE is endoscopy which remains prohibitively expensive and impractical as a population screening tool. We aimed to develop a pre-screening tool to aid decision making for diagnostic referrals.

Methodology/Principal Findings

A prospective (training) cohort of 1603 patients attending for endoscopy was used for identification of risk factors to develop a risk prediction model. Factors associated with BE in the univariate analysis were selected to develop prediction models that were validated in an independent, external cohort of 477 non-BE patients referred for endoscopy with symptoms of reflux or dyspepsia. Two prediction models were developed separately for columnar lined epithelium (CLE) of any length and using a stricter definition of intestinal metaplasia (IM) with segments ≥2 cm with areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of 0.72 (95%CI: 0.67–0.77) and 0.81 (95%CI: 0.76–0.86), respectively. The two prediction models included demographics (age, sex), symptoms (heartburn, acid reflux, chest pain, abdominal pain) and medication for “stomach” symptoms. These two models were validated in the independent cohort with AUCs of 0.61 (95%CI: 0.54–0.68) and 0.64 (95%CI: 0.52–0.77) for CLE and IM≥2 cm, respectively.

Conclusions

We have identified and validated two prediction models for CLE and IM≥2 cm. Both models have fair prediction accuracies and can select out around 20% of individuals unlikely to benefit from investigation for Barrett’s esophagus. Such prediction models have the potential to generate useful cost-savings for BE screening among the symptomatic population.

Management controversies in Barrett's oesophagus

The management of Barrett's oesophagus and associated neoplasia has evolved considerably in recent years. Modern endoscopic strategies including endoscopic resection and mucosal ablation can eradicate dysplastic Barrett's and prevent progression to invasive oesophageal cancer. However, several aspects of Barrett's management remain controversial including the stage in the disease process at which to intervene, and the choice of endoscopic or surgical therapy. A review of articles pertaining to the management of Barrett's oesophagus with or without associated neoplasia, was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Medline, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched to identify literature relevant to eight pre-defined areas of clinical controversy. The following search terms were used: Barrett's oesophagus; dysplasia; intramucosal carcinoma; endotherapy; endoscopic resection; ablation; oesophagectomy. A significant body of evidence exists to support early endoscopic therapy for high-grade dysplasia (HGD). Although not supported by randomised controlled trial evidence, endoscopic therapy is now favoured ahead of oesophagectomy for most patients with HGD. Focal intramucosal (T1a) carcinomas can be managed effectively using endoscopic and surgical therapy, however surgery should be considered the first line therapy where there is submucosal invasion (T1b). Treatment of low grade dysplasia is not supported at present due to widespread over-reporting of the disease. The role of surveillance endoscopy in non-dysplastic Barrett's remains controversial.

Manometric abnormalities in the postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome: a case series

BACKGROUND

Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is a rare disease that is believed to be mediated by dysautonomia. Gastrointestinal complaints in POTS patients are common and disturbing but not well characterized.

AIMS

We hypothesized that gastrointestinal dysmotility may be contributory to these symptoms.

METHODS

We studied 12 POTS patients who presented with gastrointestinal symptoms to a tertiary referral center. Gastrointestinal symptoms were quantified using a previously validated symptom questionnaire. All patients underwent gastroduodenal manometry (GDM); select patients also underwent further testing including esophageal manometry (EM), anorectal manometry (ARM), plain abdominal radiography (AXR), abdominal computed tomography (CT), gastric emptying studies (GES), and colonic transit time (CTT) studies.

RESULTS

The four most common symptoms were bloating, constipation, abdominal pain, and nausea/vomiting, all experienced by greater than 70 % of patients. On GDM testing, 93 % of patients demonstrated signs of neuropathy, and the most common abnormalities observed included bursts of uncoordinated phasic activity in both fasting (59 %) and post-prandial (42 %) states, low contractility in the post-prandial state (67 %), and lack of post-prandial pattern (42 %). A total of 67 % of patients undergoing EM and 86 % of those undergoing ARM demonstrated abnormalities consistent with dysmotility. On AXR or CT, 58 % demonstrated either dilated intestinal loops or air-fluid levels. On CTT 80 % demonstrated delayed colonic transit, while on GES 60 % demonstrated delayed gastric emptying.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of POTS patients with gastrointestinal symptoms, there is a high prevalence of abnormal manometric and radiographic findings suggestive of dysmotility.

Optimization and expansion of predictive models for Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma: could a life-course exposure history be beneficial?

Thrift et al. provide preliminary evidence that younger age of symptomatic gastroesophageal reflux disease exposure is associated with increased risk of Barrett's esophagus. If these findings are confirmed in other studies, the next logical steps are to test whether this, and other age-specific exposures, can help optimize predictive models of Barrett's esophagus and progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma. Expansion of these models to the general population and the greater Barrett's esophagus population, respectively, will be required for a screening and surveillance approach to be clinically successful and cost-effective.

Barrett's esophagus and the risk of obstructive sleep apnea: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Prior studies suggest that obstructive sleep apnea may be associated with gastroesophageal reflux disease, a strong risk factor for Barrett's esophagus. The goals of this pilot case-control study were to determine whether Barrett's esophagus patients have an increased likelihood of obstructive sleep apnea and to determine whether nocturnal gastroesophageal reflux symptoms affect the relationship between Barrett's esophagus and obstructive sleep apnea risk.

METHODS

Patients with Barrett's esophagus completed the Berlin Questionnaire, a validated survey instrument identifying subjects at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea. Two outpatient control groups were recruited: 1) EGD Group, subjects matched to Barrett's esophagus cases by age, race, and gender with esophagogastroduodenoscopy negative for Barrett's esophagus; and 2) Colonoscopy Group, patients getting colonoscopy. Rates of scoring at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea were compared. Respondents were also questioned regarding severity of their typical gastroesophageal reflux symptoms and presence of nocturnal gastroesophageal reflux symptoms.

RESULTS

The study included 287 patients (54 Barrett's esophagus, 62 EGD, and 171 colonoscopy subjects). Barrett's esophagus patients were slightly older than colonoscopy patients and more obese. 56% (n = 30) of Barrett's esophagus subjects scored at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea, compared with 42% (n = 26) of EGD subjects (OR 1.73, 95% CI [0.83, 3.62]) and 37% (n = 64) of colonoscopy patients (OR 2.08, 95% CI [1.12, 3.88]). The association between Barrett's esophagus and scoring at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea compared with colonoscopy patients disappeared after adjusting for age. Barrett's esophagus patients reported more severe typical heartburn and regurgitation symptoms than either control group. Among all subjects, patients with nocturnal reflux symptoms were more likely to score at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea than patients without nocturnal reflux.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pilot study, a high proportion of Barrett's esophagus subjects scored at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea. Having Barrett's esophagus was associated with more severe gastroesophageal reflux symptoms, and nocturnal reflux symptoms were associated with scoring at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea. The need for obstructive sleep apnea screening in Barrett's esophagus patients with nocturnal gastroesophageal reflux symptoms should be further evaluated.

Early diagnostic biomarkers for esophageal adenocarcinoma--the current state of play

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is one of the two most common types of esophageal cancer with alarming increase in incidence and very poor prognosis. Aiming to detect EAC early, currently high-risk patients are monitored using an endoscopic-biopsy approach. However, this approach is prone to sampling error and interobserver variability. Diagnostic tissue biomarkers related to genomic and cell-cycle abnormalities have shown promising results, although with current technology these tests are difficult to implement in the screening of high-risk patients for early neoplastic changes. Differential miRNA profiles and aberrant protein glycosylation in tissue samples have been reported to improve performance of existing tissue-based diagnostic biomarkers. In contrast to tissue biomarkers, circulating biomarkers are more amenable to population-screening strategies, due to the ease and low cost of testing. Studies have already shown altered circulating glycans and DNA methylation in BE/EAC, whereas disease-associated changes in circulating miRNA remain to be determined. Future research should focus on identification and validation of these circulating biomarkers in large-scale trials to develop in vitro diagnostic tools to screen population at risk for EAC development.

Waist-to-hip ratio, but not body mass index, is associated with an increased risk of Barrett's esophagus in white men

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Abdominal obesity increases the risk of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and also might contribute to the development of Barrett's esophagus (BE), although results are inconsistent. We examined the effects of waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and body mass index (BMI) on the risk of BE and investigated whether race, GERD symptoms, or hiatus hernia were involved.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study using data from eligible patients who underwent elective esophagogastroduodenoscopy; 237 patients had BE and the other 1021 patients served as endoscopy controls. We also analyzed data and tissue samples from enrolled patients who were eligible for screening colonoscopies at a primary care clinic (colonoscopy controls, n = 479). All patients underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy, completed a survey, and had anthropometric measurements taken. WHR was categorized as high if it was 0.9 or greater for men or 0.85 or greater for women. Data were analyzed with logistic regression.

RESULTS

There was no association between BMI and BE. However, more patients with BE had a high WHR (92.4%) than endoscopy controls (79.5%) or colonoscopy controls (84.6%) (P < .001 and P = .008, respectively). In adjusted analysis, patients with BE were 2-fold more likely to have a high WHR than endoscopy controls (odds ratio [OR], 1.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-3.5), this association was stronger for patients with long-segment BE (OR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.0-7.9). A high WHR was associated significantly with BE only in whites (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.2-5.4), but not in blacks or Hispanics. GERD symptoms, hiatus hernia, or gastroesophageal valve flap grade could not account for the association.

CONCLUSIONS

High WHR, but not BMI, is associated with a significant increase in the risk of BE, especially long-segment BE and in whites. The association is not caused by GERD symptoms or hiatus hernia.

Editorial: Predicting the risk of Barrett's esophagus: does the BERET fit?

Symptoms of gastroesophageal reflux are the only commonly used criterion for endoscopic screening for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Recent research has elucidated multiple other risk factors for both EAC and Barrett's esophagus (BE). Utilization of these risk factors may allow for the selection of a screening population with a much higher pre-test probability of disease. A recently developed risk-prediction model for BE is a significant step in the right direction; however, further refinements in this model will likely be necessary to optimize utility. Our inability to prognosticate cancer risk in BE does temper enthusiasm for increasing the pool of patients under endoscopic surveillance for BE, and again highlights the need for better, cheaper, and more accurate means of stratifying cancer risk in BE.

Prediction of Barrett's esophagus among men

OBJECTIVES

Risk factors for Barrett's esophagus include gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms, age, abdominal obesity, and tobacco use. We aimed to develop a tool using these factors to predict the presence of Barrett's esophagus.

METHODS

Male colorectal cancer (CRC) screenees were recruited to undergo upper endoscopy, identifying newly diagnosed cases of Barrett's esophagus. Logistic regression models predicting Barrett's esophagus using GERD symptoms alone and together with abdominal obesity, tobacco use, and age were compared.

RESULTS

Barrett's esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. Mutually adjusting for other covariates, Barrett's esophagus was associated with weekly GERD (odds ratio (OR)=2.33, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.34, 4.05), age (OR per 10 years=1.53, 95% CI=1.05, 2.25), waist-to-hip ratio (OR per 0.10=1.44, 95% CI=0.898, 2.32) and pack-years of cigarette use (OR per 10 pack-years=1.09, 95% CI=1.04, 1.14). A model including those four factors had a greater area under the receiver operating characteristics curve than did a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone (0.72 vs. 0.61, P<0.001), and it had a net reclassification improvement index of 19-25%.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of Barrett's esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barrett's esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. Following validation of the tool in another population, its use in clinical practice might improve the efficiency of screening for Barrett's esophagus.