Atrial fibrillation prevalence revisited

Incidence and characteristics of prehospital fatalities from haemorrhage in Sweden: a nationwide observational study

BACKGROUND

Haemorrhage is a leading cause of preventable mortality in high-income countries and emergency management presents unique challenges in the prehospital setting. The study aimed to determine incidence and characteristics of fatalities from prehospital haemorrhage in Sweden.

METHODS

A nationwide retrospective cohort study 2012-2021 was conducted using data from the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare. Prehospital fatality from haemorrhage was defined as a cause of death related to haemorrhage (Appendix 1) without a hospital admission on the same day. Primary outcome was age-standardized mortality rate per 100,000 inhabitants.

RESULTS

A total of 9801 prehospital fatalities from haemorrhage were identified. Annual age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 10.97 to 8.18 per 100,000 population (coefficient =  - 0.28, r2 = 0.85, p =  < 0.001). Trauma was the most common cause (3512, 35.83%) with intentional self-harm (X60-X84), transport accidents (V01-V99) and assault (X85-Y09) being the most common mechanisms of injury. Traumatic fatalities were younger and a larger proportion were male compared to non-traumatic causes (p < 0.001). Overall median Charlson Comorbidity Index (Quan) was 0 [0-2] with a lower index noted for traumatic causes (p < 0.001). Trauma resulted in a median of 26.1 [3.65-49.22] years of life lost per patient compared to 0 [0-3.65] for non-traumatic causes (p < 0.001). Regional variations in mortality rate were observed with lower population density correlating with higher mortality rate (ρ =  - 0.64, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Prehospital mortality from haemorrhage decreased between 2012 and 2021. Trauma was the most common cause which resulted in many years of life lost in a population with a low burden of comorbidities. There were considerable regional differences with low population density associated with higher mortality rate from prehospital haemorrhage.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation in patients with atrioventricular nodal re-entrant tachycardia and its association with long-term outcome

Background

Atrioventricular nodal re-entrant tachycardia (AVNRT) is the most common paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia. We sought to investigate the incidence of atrial fibrillation in patients with electrophysiologically confirmed/ablated AVNRT and its association with transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke as well as mortality during long-term follow-up.

Methods

From the Karolinska Ablation Registry, 2855 consecutive patients with a first-time ablation for AVNRT between 2005 and 2018 were analyzed.

Results

Patients were 52.1 ± 15.9 years old and 59.3% were women. During follow-up of up to 10 years (median 6.0 years; interquartile range 3.3 to 9.2 years), new onset or recurrence of atrial fibrillation occurred in 317 (11.1%) patients (incidence rate 19 cases per 1000 person-years). Excluding those with history of atrial fibrillation, new onset of atrial fibrillation occurred in 153 (6.1%) patients. In multivariable analysis, history of atrial fibrillation, arterial hypertension, history of TIA/stroke, and heart failure remained independently associated with new onset or recurrence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up. Death of any cause and TIA/stroke occurred in 141 (4.9%) patients and 107 (3.7%) patients, respectively. In multivariable analysis, occurrence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up remained independently associated with both outcomes. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation according to age at the end of follow-up was high among young patients (<60 years of age: 12.7%; 60-69 years of age: 10.6%).

Conclusion

In this large cohort of patients with diagnosed AVNRT, the incidence of atrial fibrillation was high (11.1%) during long-term follow-up. Occurrence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up remained independently associated with death for any cause as well as with TIA/stroke. Therefore, a closer monitoring for atrial fibrillation in patients with AVNRT including those at young age is advisable.

The budget impact of implementing atrial fibrillation-screening in European countries

A budget impact analysis estimates the short-term difference between the cost of the current treatment strategy and a new treatment strategy, in this case to implement population screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this study is to estimate the financial impact of implementing population-based AF-screening of 75-year-olds compared with the current setting of no screening from a healthcare payer perspective in eight European countries. The net budget impact of AF-screening was estimated in country-specific settings for Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Serbia, Spain, and Sweden. Country-specific parameters were used to allow for variations in healthcare systems and to reflect the healthcare sector in the country of interest. Similar results can be seen in all countries AF-screening incurs savings of stroke-related costs since AF treatment reduces the number of strokes. However, the increased number of detected AF and higher drug acquisition will increase the drug costs as well as the costs of physician- and control visits. The net budget impact per invited varied from €10 in Ireland to €122 in the Netherlands. The results showed the increased costs of implementing AF-screening were mainly driven by increased drug costs and screening costs. In conclusion, across Europe, though the initial cost of screening and more frequent use of oral anti-coagulants will increase the healthcare payers' costs, introducing population screening for AF will result in savings of stroke-related costs.

Precise risk-prediction model including arterial stiffness for new-onset atrial fibrillation using machine learning techniques

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common clinically significant cardiac arrhythmia and is an important risk factor for ischemic cerebrovascular events. This study used machine learning techniques to develop and validate a new risk prediction model for new-onset AF that incorporated the use electrocardiogram to diagnose AF, data from participants with a wide age range, and considered hypertension and measures of atrial stiffness. In Japan, Industrial Safety and Health Law requires employers to provide annual health check-ups to their employees. This study included 13 410 individuals who underwent health check-ups on at least four successive years between 2005 and 2015 (new-onset AF, n = 110; non-AF, n = 13 300). Data were entered into a risk prediction model using machine learning methods (eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Shapley Additive Explanation values). Data were randomly split into a training set (80%) used for model construction and development, and a test set (20%) used to test performance of the derived model. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for the model in the test set was 0.789. The best predictor of new-onset AF was age, followed by the cardio-ankle vascular index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, sex, body mass index, uric acid, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase level, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure at cardio-ankle vascular index measurement, and alanine aminotransferase level. This new model including arterial stiffness measure, developed with data from a general population using machine learning methods, could be used to identify at-risk individuals and potentially facilitation the prevention of future AF development.

Gastroesophageal reflux disease symptoms and risk of atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort study (the HUNT study)

AIMS

Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) may influence the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). We investigated the association between symptoms of GERD and AF in the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT).

METHODS

The study cohort comprised 34,120 adult men and women initially free of AF with information on GERD symptoms. Participants were followed from the baseline clinical examination (1 October 2006 to 30 June 2008) to March 31, 2018.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 1,221 cases of AF were diagnosed. When looking at the whole population, participants with much GERD symptoms did not have an increased risk of AF (HR: 1.01; CI: 95%, 0.82 to 1.24) while participants with little GERD symptoms had a 14% lower risk of AF compared those with no GERD symptoms (HR: 0.86; CI: 95%, 0.76 to 0.97). Among younger participants (<40 years of age), the risk of AF had a trend towards increased risk with increasing symptom load of GERD (little GERD symptoms, HR: 3.09; CI: 95%, 0.74 to 12.94 and much GERD symptoms, HR: 5.40; 95% CI: 0.82 to 35.58). Among older participants (≥65 years of age), we saw a slightly reduced risk of AF in participants with little symptoms (HR: 0.84; CI: 0.72 to 0.97) and no association among those with much GERD symptoms (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.82 to 1.36).

CONCLUSION

We did not find support for a clinically important association between symptoms of GERD and AF across all age groups but for some younger people, GERD might play a role in the development of AF. However, our estimates for this age group were very imprecise and larger studies including younger individuals are warranted.

Evaluation of Toll-like Receptor 4 (TLR4) Involvement in Human Atrial Fibrillation: A Computational Study

In the present study, we have explored the involvement of Toll-like Receptor 4 (TLR4) in atrial fibrillation (AF), by using a meta-analysis of publicly available human transcriptomic data. The meta-analysis revealed 565 upregulated and 267 downregulated differentially expressed genes associated with AF. Pathway enrichment analysis highlighted a significant overrepresentation in immune-related pathways for the upregulated genes. A significant overlap between AF differentially expressed genes and TLR4-modulated genes was also identified, suggesting the potential role of TLR4 in AF-related transcriptional changes. Additionally, the analysis of other Toll-like receptors (TLRs) revealed a significant association with TLR2 and TLR3 in AF-related gene expression patterns. The examination of MYD88 and TICAM1, genes associated with TLR4 signalling pathways, indicated a significant yet nonspecific enrichment of AF differentially expressed genes. In summary, this study offers novel insights into the molecular aspects of AF, suggesting a pathophysiological role of TLR4 and other TLRs. By targeting these specific receptors, new treatments might be designed to better manage AF, offering hope for improved outcomes in affected patients.

Migraine and risk of atrial fibrillation: A 9-year follow-up based on the Trøndelag Health Study

BACKGROUND

Data from some population-based studies have indicated an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients with migraine, particularly among individuals with migraine with aura. The present study aimed to assess the association between primary headache disorders and AF.

METHODS

In a population-based 9-year follow-up design, we evaluated the questionnaire-based headache diagnosis, migraine and tension-type headache (TTH) included, collected in the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT3) conducted in 2006-2008, and the subsequent risk of AF in the period until December 2015. The population at risk consisted of 39,340 individuals ≥20 years without AF at HUNT3 baseline who answered headache questionnaire during HUNT3. The prospective association was evaluated by multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Among the 39,340 participants, 1524 (3.8%) developed AF during the 9-year follow up, whereof 91% of these were ≥55 years. In the multivariable analyses, adjusting for known confounders, we did not find any association between migraine or TTH and risk of AF. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were respectively 0.84 (95% CI = 0.64-1.11) for migraine, 1.16 (95% CI = 0.86-1.27) for TTH and 1.04 (95% CI = 0.86-1.27) for unclassified headache. However, in sensitivity analyses of individuals aged ≥55 years, a lower risk of AF was found for migraine (HR = 0.53; 95% CI = 0.39-0.73).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large population-based study, no increased risk of AF was found among individuals with migraine or TTH at baseline. Indeed, among individuals aged ≥55 years, migraine was associated with a lower risk for AF.

Synergistic Effects of Weight Loss and Catheter Ablation: Can microRNAs Serve as Predictive Biomarkers for the Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence?

In atrial fibrillation (AF), multifactorial pathologic atrial alterations are manifested by structural and electrophysiological changes known as atrial remodeling. AF frequently develops in the context of underlying cardiac abnormalities. A critical mechanistic role played by atrial stretch is played by abnormal substrates in a number of conditions that predispose to AF, including obesity, heart failure, hypertension, and sleep apnea. The significant role of overweight and obesity in the development of AF is known; however, the differential effect of overweight, obesity, cardiovascular comorbidities, lifestyle, and other modifiable risk factors on the occurrence and recurrence of AF remains to be determined. Reverse remodeling of the atrial substrate and subsequent reduction in the AF burden by conversion into a typical sinus rhythm has been associated with weight loss through lifestyle changes or surgery. This makes it an essential pillar in the management of AF in obese patients. According to recently published research, microRNAs (miRs) may function as post-transcriptional regulators of genes involved in atrial remodeling, potentially contributing to the pathophysiology of AF. The focus of this review is on their modulation by both weight loss and catheter ablation interventions to counteract atrial remodeling in AF. Our analysis outlines the experimental and clinical evidence supporting the synergistic effects of weight loss and catheter ablation (CA) in reversing atrial electrical and structural remodeling in AF onset and in recurrent post-ablation AF by attenuating pro-thrombotic, pro-inflammatory, pro-fibrotic, arrhythmogenic, and male-sex-associated hypertrophic remodeling pathways. Furthermore, we discuss the promising role of miRs with prognostic potential as predictive biomarkers in guiding approaches to AF recurrence prevention.

Effectiveness of Anticoagulants in Reducing Stroke Risk Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a type of cardiac arrhythmia causing shortness of breath, lightheadedness, and palpitations. It may go unrecognized and asymptomatic among many patients. AF is not a potentially fatal arrhythmia; its hemodynamic, structural, and hemocoagulative effects have a significant impact on the standard of life, which can lead to various complications such as stroke. A stroke caused by AF leads to additional burdens on both patients and the global economy. Patients with AF can prevent strokes with oral anticoagulants; however, ensuring diligent adherence to medication is crucial for maximizing treatment efficacy. Since they have a lighter treatment load than warfarin, non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are also recommended with better hope for medication adherence. Various anticoagulants such as warfarin and ximelagatran, among many more, are prescribed to patients who have the potential to reduce the incidence of stroke as well as alleviate their likelihood of developing other thromboembolic events that can decrease their quality of life. Economic and psychological burdens associated with diminished functionality can be prevented by anticoagulant therapy among AF patients, therefore reducing their economic and social burden. This is due to the negative association between stroke among AF patients and anticoagulation consumption.

Diagnostic Performance of Automated Blood Pressure Monitor for Detection of Atrial Fibrillation

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a type of heart disease characterized by an irregular cardiac rhythm. The complications of AF are associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and medical expenses. This emphasizes the significance of detecting AF early using a feasible device. Methods A total of 123 patients who attended cardiology and INR clinics were enrolled, with 51 of them having AF. The blood pressure of all patients was measured three times using the Rossmax X5, while a single-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) was monitored simultaneously. Following that, a 12-lead ECG was performed on all patients. A cardiologist confirmed the irregular rhythm. Results Compared to the 12-lead ECG method, Rossmax X5 has an accuracy of 99.3%, a sensitivity of 100%, and a specificity of 98.6%. The positive and negative predictive values were also significant, which were 98.1% and 100%, respectively. Conclusion The Rossmax X5 automated blood pressure monitor has a high detection accuracy for AF. Therefore, Rossmax X5 can be recommended for use in the clinical setting as a screening tool for early AF detection.

Prevalence of atrial fibrillation and reasons for undertreatment with oral anticoagulants

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), the proportion of AF patients not receiving oral anticoagulation (OAC) and reasons for abstaining from OAC treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-sectional study of patients aged 18 years or older with an AF diagnosis on June 1st 2020 in Västernorrland County, Sweden. AF diagnosis was retrieved using the ICD10 code I.48, and medical records were reviewed for comorbidities and documented reasons to abstain OAC treatment.

RESULTS

Of 197 274 residents in Västernorrland County, 4.7% (9 304/197 274) had a documented AF diagnosis. Of these, 19% (1 768/9 304) had no OAC treatment, including 4.2% (393/9 304) with no indication, 2.5% (233/9 304) with a questionable and 2.5% (231/9 304) with a documented clear contraindication for OAC. In total 9.8% (911/9 304) were not treated with OAC despite indication and no reasonable documented contraindication, thus 90.8% (8 447/9 304) of all AF-patients were eligible for OAC treatment. Common reasons for abstaining treatment without reasonable contraindication were present sinus rhythm in 13.7% (125/911), perceived not an OAC candidate in 10.6% (97/911) and anemia in the past in 4.3% (39/911).

CONCLUSIONS

In the population of Västernorrland County, a very high AF prevalence of 4.7% was found, of which just over 90% would theoretically benefit from OAC treatment. This is higher than previously reported and stresses the importance of stroke prevention in this large patient group.

Changes in cardiac output, rhythm regularity, and symptom severity after electrical cardioversion of atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

Symptoms in atrial fibrillation (AF) range from none to disabling. The physiological correlates of AF symptoms are not well characterized. This study investigated the association between physiological parameters and symptom severity before and after electrical cardioversion (EC) of AF.

DESIGN

We studied 44 patients with persistent AF (age 66.2 ± 7.9 years, 16% females) 4 ± 2 days before and 5 ± 2 days after EC. Physiological parameters included cardiac output (CO; non-invasive inert gas rebreathing), heart rate (HR), RR variability and resting and ambulatory blood pressure (BP). Symptoms and quality of life (QoL) were assessed by the modified European Heart Rhythm Association score (mEHRA), the Atrial Fibrillation Effect on Quality of Life (AFEQT) and the Symptom Checklist for frequency and severity of symptoms (SCL).

RESULTS

28 of 44 patients were still in sinus rhythm (SR) at post EC evaluation. Those in SR had a decreased HR (-15.4 ± 13.1 bpm, p < 0.001), and an increased CO (+0.8 ± 0.7 L/min, p < 0.001) as compared to those with recurrent AF. Changes in CO after EC correlated with symptom improvement as scored by AFEQT (r = 0.36; p < 0.05), AFEQT symptoms subscore (r = 0.46; p < 0.01), SCL for frequency (r = 0.62; p < 0.01) and severity (r = 0.33; p < 0.05) of symptoms, and the mEHRA score (r = 0.50; p < 0.01). A decrease in RR variability showed similar correlations with these measures of symptom improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

Improvements in symptoms and quality of life experienced by patients after electrical conversion of atrial fibrillation are correlated with an increase in CO and a decreased RR variability.

Haemodynamic changes after atrial fibrillation initiation in patients eligible for catheter ablation: a randomized controlled study

Aims

Atrial fibrillation (AF) haemodynamics is less well studied due to challenges explained by the nature of AF. Until now, no randomized data are available. This study evaluates haemodynamic variables after AF induction in a randomized setting.

Methods and results

Forty-two patients with AF who had been referred for ablation to the University Hospital, Linköping, Sweden, and had no arrhythmias during the 4-day screening period were randomized to AF induction vs. control (2:1). Atrial fibrillation was induced by burst pacing after baseline intracardiac pressure measurements. Pressure changes in the right and left atrium (RA and LA), right ventricle (RV), and systolic and diastolic blood pressures (SBP and DBP) were evaluated 30 min after AF induction compared with the control group. A total of 11 women and 31 men (median age 60) with similar baseline characteristics were included (intervention n = 27, control group n = 15). After 30 min in AF, the RV end-diastolic pressure (RVEDP) and RV systolic pressure (RVSP) significantly reduced compared with baseline and between randomization groups (RVEDP: P = 0.016; RVSP: P = 0.001). Atrial fibrillation induction increased DBP in the intervention group compared with the control group (P = 0.02), unlike reactions in SBP (P = 0.178). Right atrium and LA mean pressure (RAm and LAm) responses did not differ significantly between the groups (RAm: P = 0.307; LAm: P = 0.784).

Conclusion

Induced AF increased DBP and decreased RVEDP and RVSP. Our results allow us to understand some paroxysmal AF haemodynamics, which provides a haemodynamic rationale to support rhythm regulatory strategies to improve symptoms and outcomes.

Trial registration number clinicaltrialsgov

No NCT01553045. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01553045?term=NCT01553045&rank=1.

Markers of Atrial Myopathy in the General Population: Prevalence, Predictors, and Inter-Relations

BACKGROUND

Atrial myopathy refers to structural and functional cardiac abnormalities associated with atrial fibrillation and stroke, but appropriate diagnostic criteria are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess prevalence, clinical correlates, and overlap between potential atrial myopathy markers.

METHODS

The population-based SCAPIS (Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study) prospectively included 6,013 subjects without atrial fibrillation with 24-hour electrocardiograms. Resting electrocardiograms measuring P-wave indices were collected at 1 screening site (n = 1,201), and a random sample (n = 385) had echocardiographic left atrial volume index (LAVi). Atrial myopathy markers were defined as ≥500 premature atrial complexes/24 h, LAVi ≥34 mL/m2, P-wave duration >120 milliseconds, or P-wave terminal force in V1 >4,000 ms·s. Clinical correlates included age, sex, body mass index, height, smoking, physical activity, coronary artery disease, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication, and low education.

RESULTS

Atrial myopathy was common; 42% of the sample with all diagnostic modalities available had ≥1 atrial myopathy marker, but only 9% had 2 and 0.3% had ≥3. Only P-wave duration and LAVi were correlated (ρ = 0.10; P = 0.04). Clinical correlates of premature atrial complexes, P-wave indices, and LAVi differed; current smoking (34% increase; P < 0.001), systolic blood pressure (4%/mm Hg increase; P = 0.01), diabetes (35% increase; P = 0.001), and coronary artery disease (71% increase; P = 0.003) were associated with premature atrial complexes, physical activity ≥2 h/wk was associated with increased LAVi (β-coefficient = 3.1; P < 0.0001) and body mass index was associated with P-wave duration (β-coefficient = 0.4/kg/m2; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, indirect markers of atrial myopathy are common but only weakly correlated, and their risk factor patterns are different. More studies are needed to accurately identify individuals with atrial myopathy with diagnostic methods.

Diabetes, prediabetes, and atrial fibrillation-A population-based cohort study based on national and regional registers

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown an increased risk for atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (AF) in people with type 2 diabetes and prediabetes. It is unclear whether this increase in AF risk is independent of other risk factors for AF.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between diabetes and different prediabetic states, as independent risk factors for the onset of AF.

METHODS

We performed a population-based cohort study in Northern Sweden, including data on fasting plasma glucose, oral glucose tolerance test, major cardiovascular risk factors, medical history, and lifestyle factors. Participants were divided into six groups depending on glycemic status and followed through national registers for AF diagnosis. Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between glycemic status and AF, using normoglycemia as reference.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 88,889 participants who underwent a total of 139,661 health examinations. In the model adjusted for age and sex, there was a significant association between glycemic status and development of AF in all groups except the impaired glucose tolerance group, with the strongest association for the group with known diabetes (p-value <0.001). In a model adjusted for sex, age, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, antihypertensive drugs, cholesterol, alcohol, smoking, education level, marital status, and physical activity, there was no significant association between glycemic status and AF.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

The association between glycemic status and AF disappears upon adjustment for potential confounders. Diabetes and prediabetes do not appear to be independent risk factors for AF.

Use of Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Preliminary Data from the Italian Atrial Fibrillation (ITALY-AF) Registry

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AFIB), the most frequent cardiac arrhythmia, is a major risk factor for stroke, heart failure, and death. Because of the recent advances in AFIB management and the availability of new oral anticoagulants (OACs), there is a need for a systematic and predefined collection of contemporary data regarding its management and treatment.

METHODS

The objective of the ongoing ITALY-AFIB registry is to evaluate the long-term morbidity and mortality in patients with AFIB and to verify the implementation of the current guidelines for stroke prevention in these patients. The registry includes consecutive in- and out-patients with first diagnosed, paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent AFIB. In patients in sinus rhythm at entry, the qualifying episode of AFIB, confirmed by ECG diagnosis, had to have occurred within 1 year before entry. The clinical record form is web-based and accessible by personal keyword.

RESULTS

Enrolment into the registry started in the year 2013. In a current cohort of 2470 patients (mean age 75 ± 11 years, males 56%), the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.7 ± 1.8, and the mean HAS-BLED was 1.6 ± 0.9. There were no significant sex differences in the AFIB subtypes. At the end of the inclusion visit and after receiving knowledge of the web-based electronic estimate of risk for stroke and bleeding, the proportion of patients discharged with OACs was 80%. After exclusion of patients with first diagnosed AFIB (n = 397), the proportion of patients with prescription of OACs rose from 66% before the visit to 82% on discharge (p < 0.0001). Prescription of aspirin or other antiplatelet drugs fell from 18% before the visit to 10% on discharge (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A web-based management of AFIB with automated estimation of risk profiles appears to favorably affect adherence to AFIB guidelines, based on a high proportion of patients treated with OACs and a substantial decline in the use of antiplatelet drugs.

Variations in Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Use and Charges in a Modern Cohort of Medicare Beneficiaries

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (CAF) is increasingly being used in the United States. This study aimed to identify variations in CAF use among Medicare beneficiaries (MBs) over a 6-year period (2013 to 2019). Using the Center of Medicare and Medicaid Services database, a 100% sample of MBs who underwent CAF from 2013 to 2019 was included. We stratified CAF use data geographically (Northeast, South, West, and Midwest) and identified the number of CAFs per 100,000 MBs, number of electrophysiologists performing CAFs per 100,000 MBs, number of CAFs per individual electrophysiologist, and average submitted charge for CAF. In addition, we stratified the data per urban versus rural areas and gender of the operator. We found that the mean atrial fibrillation (AF) prevalence, rates of CAFs, number of electrophysiologists performing CAFs, and number of CAFs per electrophysiologist have increased steadily in all regions. The mean AF prevalence was different among regions, with the highest prevalence in the Northeast (p <0.001); however, there was a pattern of higher CAFs rates in the West and the South (p ≥0.057). The number of electrophysiologists performing CAFs was not different among regions; however, the number of CAFs per electrophysiologist was higher in the West and the South (p <0.001). The average submitted charge for CAF has decreased over years and was the lowest in the West and the South (p <0.001). There was no major difference in these variables regarding operator gender. In conclusion, there are significant variations in CAF use among MBs in the United States according to geographic and urban versus rural regions. These variations have the potential to impact the outcomes in MBs diagnosed with AF.

Prevalence and clinical characteristics of atrial fibrillation in hospitalized patients with coronary artery disease and hypertension: a cross-sectional study from 2008 to 2018

BACKGROUND

The clinical characteristics of patients with the comorbidities of hypertension and coronary artery disease (HT-CAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are largely unknown. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of AF in patients with HT-CAD and clinical characteristics of patients with both HT-CAD and AF.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted in Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital in Beijing, China, and included 20,747 inpatients with HT-CAD with or without AF from August 2008 to July 2018. We examined the overall prevalence, clinical characteristics, comorbidity profiles, treatment patterns, and blood pressure (BP) control of patients with both HT-CAD and AF. Multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate the associations of cardiovascular risk factors with AF in patients with HT-CAD.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of AF in patients with HT-CAD was 4.87% (1011/20,747), and this increased with age; to be specific, the prevalence in women and men increased from 0.78% (2/255) and 1.02% (26/2561) at the age of <50 years to 8.73% (193/2210) and 10.28% (298/2900) at the age of ≥70 years, respectively. HT-CAD patients who had AF had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular-related comorbidities than those without AF. Multivariate logistic regression showed that age, gender (male), body mass index, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease were independently associated with the risk of AF in patients with HT-CAD. For those with both HT-CAD and AF, 73.49% (743/1011) had a CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score of ≥4, and only about half of them had the BP controlled at <140/90 mmHg, which indicated a high risk of thromboembolism and stroke. The use of oral anticoagulation increased during the study period (10.00% [20/200] in 2008 to 2011 vs. 30.06% [159/529] in 2015 to 2018, P  < 0.01), but remained at a relatively low level.

CONCLUSIONS

AF is highly prevalent among patients with HT-CAD. Patients with both HT-CAD and AF have a higher prevalence of cardiovascular-related comorbidities, lower BP control rate, and lower use of oral anticoagulation.

Sex-specific time trends in incident atrial fibrillation and the contribution of risk factors: the Tromsø Study 1994-2016

AIMS

To explore sex-specific time trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence and to estimate the impact of changes in risk factor levels using individual participant-level data from the population-based Tromsø Study 1994-2016.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 14 818 women and 13 225 men aged 25 years or older without AF were enrolled in the Tromsø Study between 1994 and 2008 and followed up for incident AF throughout 2016. Poisson regression was used for statistical analyses. During follow-up, age-adjusted AF incidence rates in women decreased from 1.19 to 0.71 per 1000 person-years. In men, AF incidence increased from 1.18 to 2.82 per 1000 person-years in 2004, and then declined to 1.94 per 1000 person-years in 2016. Changes in systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), body mass index (BMI), physical activity, smoking and alcohol consumption together accounted for 10.9% [95% confidence interval (CI): -2.4 to 28.6] of the AF incidence decline in women and for 44.7% (95% CI: 19.2; 100.0) of the AF incidence increase in men. Reduction in SBP and DBP had the largest contribution to the decrease in AF incidence in women. Increase in BMI had the largest contribution to the increase in AF incidence in men.

CONCLUSION

In the population-based Tromsø Study 1994-2016, AF incidence decreased in women and increased following a reverse U-shape in men. Individual changes in SBP and DBP in women and individual changes in BMI in men were the most important risk factors contributing to the AF incidence trends.

Reduced dose direct oral anticoagulants compared with warfarin with high time in therapeutic range in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) used in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) are dose-reduced in elderly and patients with impaired renal function. Only reduced dose dabigatran is concluded as having similar stroke risk reduction and lower risk of major bleeding than warfarin in the pivotal studies. In clinical practice, reduced dose is prescribed more often than expected making this an important issue. The objective of this study was to compare effectiveness and safety between reduced dose DOACs and high TTR warfarin treatment (TTR ≥ 70%) in NVAF. A Swedish anticoagulation registry was used in identifying eligible patients from July 2011 to December 2017. The study cohort consisted of 40,564 patients with newly initiated DOAC (apixaban, dabigatran, or rivaroxaban) (11,083 patients) or warfarin treatment (29,481 patients) after exclusion of 374,135 patients due to not being warfarin or DOAC naïve, not being prescribed reduced dose, having previous mechanical heart valve (MHV), or being under 18 years old. The median durations of follow up were 365, 419, 432 and 473 days for apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban and warfarin, respectively. Warfarin TTR identified from Auricula was 70.0%. Endpoints (stroke and major bleeding) and baseline characteristics were collected from hospital administrative registers using ICD-10 codes. Cohorts were compared using weighted adjusted Cox regression after full optimal matching based on propensity scores. DOACs are associated with lower risk of major bleeding (HR with 95% CI) 0.85 (0.78-0.93), intracranial bleeding HR 0.64 (0.51-0.80), hemorrhagic stroke HR 0.68 (0.50-0.92), gastrointestinal bleeding HR 0.81 (0.69-0.96) and all-cause stroke HR 0.87 (0.76-0.99), than warfarin. Apixaban and dabigatran are associated with lower risk of major bleeding, HR 0.70 (0.63-0.78) and HR 0.80 (0.69-0.94), and rivaroxaban is associated with lower risk of ischemic stroke, HR 0.73 (0.59-0.96), with higher major bleeding risk, HR 1.31 (1.15-1.48), compared to warfarin. Apixaban is associated with higher all-cause mortality compared to warfarin, HR 1.12 (1.03-1.21). DOACs are associated with lower risk of major bleeding and all-cause stroke, than high quality warfarin treatment, with exception of rivaroxaban that carried higher risk of major bleeding and lower risk of stroke or systemic embolism. In this large observational registry-based NVAF cohort, DOACs are preferred treatment in patients with indication for DOAC dose reduction, even in a high TTR setting.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity globally. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. It is set to reach epidemic proportions. AF is associated with a five-fold increase in risk of stroke. Strokes caused by AF more often are fatal or result in severe disability. Even though the incidence of stroke has been significantly reduced by oral anticoagulation, AF is thought to account for a significant proportion of cryptogenic strokes where no etiology is identified.

AREAS COVERED

This article reviews the literature related to AF and stroke, pathophysiological insights, diagnosis of AF in stroke patients, and its management (Graphical Abstract).

EXPERT OPINION

The pathophysiology of thrombogenesis that links AF and stroke is not well understood and is an area of active research to identify new therapeutic targets to prevent AF and stroke. As the nature of AF and stroke is multifaceted, an integrated care approach to managing AF and stroke is increasingly essential.

Catheter ablation of symptomatic atrial fibrillation: Sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic disparities

Catheter ablation for treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF), AF ablation, is more effective than antiarrhythmic drugs in reducing AF burden, reducing symptoms and increasing health-related quality of life. Although females more often experience AF-related symptoms, and have more severe symptoms, have lower quality of life, and experience more serious adverse effects of antiarrhythmic drugs than males, they are less likely to undergo AF ablation. Potential explanations for the disparity include older age at diagnosis, longer AF duration, a greater number of comorbidities, more extensive atrial fibrosis, and presumed lower success rate and more complications after AF ablation in women. Studies have failed to show sex-related differences in AF recurrence or serious complications following AF ablation but show more nuisance bleeds in women. Ethnic minorities, such as African Americans and Latin Americans, and individuals of low socioeconomic status are also less likely to undergo AF ablation, possibly associated with greater numbers of comorbidities, lack of patient advocacy, healthcare costs, and inadequate insurance coverage. Inclusion of marginalized patient groups in clinical trials of AF treatment and a personalized, patient-centered approach may expand equality in utilization of AF ablation.

Prolonged electrocardiography registration does not lead to increased diagnosis of atrial fibrillation in pulmonary embolism patients, but sex affects generic health-related quality of life: Findings from a randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common cause of cardiovascular death. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and is commonly detected in patients after embolic stroke. In this study, we set out to study if undiagnosed AF could be detected in patients with PE. In survivors of PE, persisting symptoms and exercise limitations are common. The disease burden of PE on quality of life (QoL) has received scarce attention. The primary aim was to study the prevalence of AF in patients with newly diagnosed PE. The secondary aim was to study QoL in PE patients.

METHODS

Patients with newly diagnosed acute PE were randomized 1:1 to long-term electrocardiogram (ECG) screening for AF (handheld ECG or ECG patch) or standard-of-care. The study participants were asked to complete RAND-36 questionnaires upon inclusion.

RESULTS

In total 89 PE patients (mean age 74.6 years) were included, and 40 out of these patients were randomized to AF screening. The study was terminated early due to futility when analysis 1 year after inclusion did not find any patients with newly detected AF.RAND-36 showed that QoL was affected in PE patients. Interestingly, sex differences were found; women had a significantly lower QoL in the dimensions of vitality (P = .006), general health (P = .039), and mental health (P = .041).

CONCLUSION

Screening for AF in PE patients did not yield a significant proportion of new cases. QoL is more affected in female patients with PE, and increased awareness of this is suggested.

An interrupted time-series analysis of the effects of withdrawal of financial incentives on diagnosis of atrial fibrillation as resolved. Does withdrawal of an incentive reverse its unintended effects?

BACKGROUND

The UK introduced financial incentives for management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in 2006, after which there was an increase in the proportion of patients with AF diagnosed as resolved. Removal of incentives in Scotland provides a natural experiment to investigate the effects of withdrawal of an incentive on diagnosis of resolved AF.

AIM

To investigate the effects of introduction and withdrawal of financial incentives on the diagnosis of resolved AF.

DESIGN & SETTING

Cohort study in a large database of UK primary care records, before and after introduction of incentives in April 2006 in Scotland, England, and Northern Ireland, and their withdrawal in April 2016 in Scotland.

METHOD

Interrupted time-series analysis of monthly rates of resolved AF from January 2000-September 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 251 526 adult patients with AF were included, of whom 14 674 were diagnosed as resolved AF. In April 2006 there were similar shift-changes in rates of resolved AF per 1000 in England 1.55 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11 to 2.00) and Northern Ireland 1.54 (95% CI = 0.91 to 2.18), and a smaller increase in Scotland 0.79 (95% CI = 0.04 to 1.53). There were modest downward post-introduction trends in all countries. After Scotland's withdrawal of the incentive in April 2016 there was a small, statistically non-significant, downward shift in rate of resolved AF per 1000 (0.39 [95% CI = -3.21 to 2.42]) and no change in post-removal trend.

CONCLUSION

Introduction of a financial incentive coincided with an increase in resolved AF but no evidence was found that its withdrawal led to a reduction.

Cost-effectiveness of population screening for atrial fibrillation: the STROKESTOP study

AIMS

Previous studies on the cost-effectiveness of screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) are based on assumptions of long-term clinical effects. The STROKESTOP study, which randomised 27 975 persons aged 75/76 years into a screening invitation group and a control group, has a median follow-up time of 6.9 years. The aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of population-based screening for AF using clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The analysis is based on a Markov cohort model. The prevalence of AF, the use of oral anticoagulation, clinical event data, and all-cause mortality were taken from the STROKESTOP study. The cost for clinical events, age-specific utilities, utility decrement due to stroke, and stroke death was taken from the literature. Uncertainty in the model was considered in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Per 1000 individuals invited to the screening, there were 77 gained life years and 65 gained quality-adjusted life years. The incremental cost was €1.77 million lower in the screening invitation group. Gained quality-adjusted life years to a lower cost means that the screening strategy was dominant. The result from 10 000 Monte Carlo simulations showed that the AF screening strategy was cost-effective in 99.2% and cost-saving in 92.7% of the simulations. In the base-case scenario, screening of 1000 individuals resulted in 10.6 [95% confidence interval (CI): -22.5 to 1.4] fewer strokes (8.4 ischaemic and 2.2 haemorrhagic strokes), 1.0 (95% CI: -1.9 to 4.1) more cases of systemic embolism, and 2.9 (95% CI: -18.2 to 13.1) fewer bleedings associated with hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

Based on the STROKESTOP study, this analysis shows that a broad AF screening strategy in an elderly population is cost-effective. Efforts should be made to increase screening participation.

Comprehensive nationwide incidence and prevalence trends of atrial fibrillation in Finland

Objective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a worldwide healthcare challenge owing to population ageing. In this study, we assessed the current trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF for the first time in an unselected, nationwide population.

Methods

In the Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation study, we gathered comprehensive data including all primary, secondary and tertiary healthcare visits and drug reimbursement from national healthcare registers to identify all patients with incident AF between 2004 and 2018 in Finland. Incident AF was defined as new-onset AF occurring after 2007. Time trends for the incidence and prevalence of AF were calculated and stratified by sex and age.

Results

A total of 411 387 patients with AF diagnosis were documented in Finland during 2004–2018. In 2018, the incidence and prevalence of AF in the total Finnish population were 469/100 000 and 4.1%, respectively. The incidence of new-onset AF in the adult population (≥20 years) increased from 471/100 000 in 2007 to 604/100 000 in 2018, but the age-adjusted incidence remained stable. The prevalence of AF increased in the adult population from 2.5% to 5.2%, and was higher in men than in women (5.9% vs 4.6%, p<0.001). The incidence and prevalence of AF increased with age and were 3194/100 000 and 23.4% in patients older than 75 years.

Conclusions

Based on comprehensive nationwide data including primary care, we observed an increasing incidence and prevalence of AF over time. This increase was strongly age-dependent with the age-standardised incidence remaining stable during 2007–2018.

Trial registration number

NCT04645537.

Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004–2018

Purpose

To estimate the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Denmark during 2004–2018 and to investigate whether methodological choices influence these estimates.

Patients and Methods

A register-based cohort study was conducted of all individuals aged ≥18 years in Denmark 2004–2018. The cumulative prevalence of AF at the end of the study period was calculated as the number of AF cases alive with at least one inpatient or two outpatient diagnoses during 1994–2018 divided by the number of Danish residents in 2018. Incidence rates were calculated as the number of annual AF cases with no previous diagnosis in the past 10 years (ie, a 10-year washout period) divided by the person-time contributed by the population free of AF on 1 January in the same calendar year. Furthermore, the influence of varying case definitions was investigated.

Results

The cumulative prevalence of AF was 3.0% in 2018. The incidence rate increased from 391 to 481 per 100,000 person-years (PYs) from 2004 to 2015 (1.7% average annual increase) after which it declined to 367 per 100,000 PYs in 2018 (8.5% average annual decrease). This pattern was observed in both sexes irrespective of age. Methodological choices, particularly the case definition’s strictness and the length of the washout period, had a substantial influence on the reported estimates.

Conclusion

The cumulative prevalence of AF is currently around 3.0% in the Danish population, but the incidence has declined since 2015. As these estimates are influenced by methodological choices, future studies should strive for precise reporting of study methodology.

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Evolution of antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation: The prospective global GLORIA-AF registry program

Objective

To assess baseline characteristics and antithrombotic treatment (ATT) prescription patterns in patients enrolled in the third phase of the GLORIA-AF Registry Program, evaluate predictors of treatment prescription, and compare results with phase II.

Methods

GLORIA-AF is a large, global, prospective registry program, enrolling patients with newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) at risk of stroke. Patients receiving dabigatran were followed for two years in phase II, and all patients were followed for 3 years in phase III. Phase II started when dabigatran became available; phase III started when the characteristics of patients receiving dabigatran became roughly comparable with those receiving vitamin K antagonists (VKAs).

Results

Between 2014 and 2016, 21,241 patients were enrolled in phase III. In total, 82% of patients were prescribed oral anticoagulation ([OAC]; 59.5% novel/nonvitamin K oral anticoagulants [NOACs], 22.7% VKAs). A further 11% of patients were prescribed antiplatelets without OAC and 7% were prescribed no ATT. A high stroke risk was the main driver of OAC prescription. Factors associated with prescription of VKA over NOAC included type of site, region, physician specialty, and impaired kidney function.

Conclusion

Over the past few years, data from phase III of GLORIA-AF show that OACs have become the standard treatment option, with most newly diagnosed AF patients prescribed a NOAC. However, in some regions a remarkable proportion of patients remain undertreated. In comparison with phase II, more patients received NOACs in phase III while the prescription of VKA decreased. VKAs were preferred over NOACs in patients with impaired kidney function.

Connexin Lateralization Contributes to Male Susceptibility to Atrial Fibrillation

Men have a higher risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) than women, though the reason for this is unknown. Here, we compared atrial electrical and structural properties in male and female mice and explored the contribution of sex hormones. Cellular electrophysiological studies revealed that action potential configuration, Na+ and K+ currents were similar in atrial myocytes from male and female mice (4–5 months). Immunofluorescence showed that male atrial myocytes had more lateralization of connexins 40 (63 ± 4%) and 43 (66 ± 4%) than females (Cx40: 45 ± 4%, p = 0.006; Cx43: 44 ± 4%, p = 0.002), with no difference in mRNA expression. Atrial mass was significantly higher in males. Atrial myocyte dimensions were also larger in males. Atrial fibrosis was low and similar between sexes. Orchiectomy (ORC) abolished sex differences in AF susceptibility (M: 65%; ORC: 38%, p = 0.050) by reducing connexin lateralization and myocyte dimensions. Ovariectomy (OVX) did not influence AF susceptibility (F: 42%; OVX: 33%). This study shows that prior to the development of age-related remodeling, male mice have more connexin lateralization and larger atria and atrial myocyte than females. Orchiectomy reduced AF susceptibility in males by decreasing connexin lateralization and atrial myocyte size, supporting a role for androgens. These sex differences in AF substrates may contribute to male predisposition to AF.

Higher Na+-Ca2+ Exchanger Function and Triggered Activity Contribute to Male Predisposition to Atrial Fibrillation

Male sex is one of the most important risk factors of atrial fibrillation (AF), with the incidence in men being almost double that in women. However, the reasons for this sex difference are unknown. Accordingly, in this study, we sought to determine whether there are sex differences in intracellular Ca2+ homeostasis in mouse atrial myocytes that might help explain male predisposition to AF. AF susceptibility was assessed in male (M) and female (F) mice (4–5 months old) using programmed electrical stimulation (EPS) protocols. Males were 50% more likely to develop AF. The Ca2+ transient amplitude was 28% higher in male atrial myocytes. Spontaneous systolic and diastolic Ca2+ releases, which are known sources of triggered activity, were significantly more frequent in males than females. The time to 90% decay of Ca2+ transient was faster in males. Males had 54% higher Na+-Ca2+ exchanger (NCX1) current density, and its expression was also more abundant. L-type Ca2+ current (ICaL) was recorded with and without BAPTA, a Ca2+ chelator. ICaL density was lower in males only in the absence of BAPTA, suggesting stronger Ca2+-dependent inactivation in males. CaV1.2 expression was similar between sexes. This study reports major sex differences in Ca2+ homeostasis in mouse atria, with larger Ca2+ transients and enhanced NCX1 function and expression in males resulting in more spontaneous Ca2+ releases. These sex differences may contribute to male susceptibility to AF by promoting triggered activity.

Short-term ambient air pollution exposure and risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with intracardiac devices

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has been causally linked to higher risk of cardiovascular disease, but the association with atrial fibrillation (AF) is less clear.

Methods

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study to estimate the association between short-term air pollution levels and risk of AF episodes. The episodes were identified among patients with paroxysmal AF and an intracardiac devices able to register and store AF episodes. We obtained air pollution and temperature data from fixed monitoring stations and used conditional logistic regression to quantify the association of PM2.5, particulate matter (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) with onset of AF episodes, adjusting for temperature and public holidays.".

Results

We analyzed 584 episodes of AF from 91 participants and observed increased risk of AF episodes with PM2.5 levels for the 48-72 hours lag (OR 1.05; CI [1.01,1.09] per IQR)] and 72-96 hours (OR 1.05 CI [1.00,1.10] per IQR). Our results were suggestive of an association between O3 levels and AF episodes during the warm season. We did not observe any statistically significant associations for PM10 nor NO2.

Conclusion

Short-term increases in PM2.5 in a low-pollution level environment were associated with increased risk of AF episodes in a population with intracardiac devices. Our findings add to the evidence of a potential triggering of AF by short-term increases in air pollution levels, well below the new WHO air quality guidelines.

Short P-Wave Duration Is Associated with Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and increases the risk for stroke and heart failure (HF). The early identification of patients at risk may prevent the development of AF and improve prognosis. This study, therefore, aimed to test the effect of the association between P-wave and PR-interval on the ECG and incident AF.The PIVUS (Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors) study (1016 individuals all aged 70 years; 50% women) was used to identify whether the ECG variables P-wave duration (Pdur) and PR-duration in lead V1 were related to new-onset AF. Exclusion criteria were prevalent AF, QRS-duration ≥ 130 milliseconds (msec), atrial tachyarrhythmias and implanted pacemaker/defibrillator. Cox proportional-hazards models were used for analyses. Adjustments were made for gender, RR-interval, beta-blocking agents, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking.Of 877 subjects at risk, 189 individuals developed AF during a 15-year follow-up. There was a U-shaped relationship between the Pdur and incident AF (P = 0.017) following multiple adjustment. Values below 60 msec were significantly associated with incident AF, with a hazard ratio of 1.55 (95% confidence interval 1.15-2.09) for a Pdur ≤ 42 msec. There was no significant relationship between incident AF and the PR-interval.A short Pdur derived from the ECG in V1 may be a useful marker for new-onset AF, enabling the early identification of at-risk patients.

Performance of the imPulse device for the detection of atrial fibrillation in hospital settings

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases thromboembolism and stroke risk; this can be reduced by oral anticoagulation, but only if AF is detected. A portable, point-of-care device, capable of accurately detecting and identifying AF, could reduce workload and diagnostic delay by minimizing need for follow-up 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECGs).

Objective

To assess the diagnostic performance of the Plessey imPulse lead I ECG device compared with a 12-lead ECG in detecting AF.

Methods

Cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study. Participants underwent simultaneous 12-lead ECG and imPulse device recordings. The imPulse device reports AF to be “probable,” “possible,” “unlikely,” or “uncontrolled AF unlikely.” imPulse and ECG reference results were cross-tabulated; sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values, and positive/negative likelihood ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated based on different imPulse device report categorizations and heart rate subgroups.

Results

A total of 217 participants were recruited (mean age 70.2 [standard deviation 12.7]), 56% male, 57% outpatients, 43% inpatients) and 199 were included in analyses. AF was diagnosed on ECG for 41 of 199 (20.6%) participants and reported by imPulse as possible, probable, or uncontrolled AF unlikely present for 49 of 199 (24.6%). Sensitivity and specificity for imPulse detection of possible, probable, or uncontrolled AF unlikely vs unlikely, compared with ECG, were 80.5% (95% CI, 65.1%–91.2%) and 89.9% (84.1%–94.1%), respectively. When probable or uncontrolled AF unlikely were compared vs possible or unlikely AF, sensitivity and specificity were 63.4% (46.9%–77.9%) and 98.1% (94.6%–99.6%), respectively.

Conclusion

The imPulse device has moderate sensitivity and good specificity compared with ECG AF detection in a hospital setting.

Effect of temporal resolution on the detection of cardiac arrhythmias using HRV features and machine learning

Objective.Arrhythmia is an abnormal cardiac rhythm that affects the pattern and rate of the heartbeat. Wearable devices with the functionality to measure and store heart rate (HR) data are growing in popularity and enable diagnosing and monitoring arrhythmia on a large scale. The typical sampling resolution of HR data available from non-medical grade wearable devices varies from seconds to several minutes depending on the device and its settings. However, the impact of sampling resolution on the performance and quality of arrhythmia detection has not yet been quantified.Approach.In this study, we investigated the detection and classification of three arrhythmias, namely atrial fibrillation, bradycardia, tachycardia, from down-sampled HR data with various temporal resolution (5-, 15-, 30- and 60 s averages) in 1 h segments extracted from an annotated Holter ECG database acquired at the University of Virginia Heart Station. For the classification task, a total of 15 common heart rate variability (HRV) features were engineered based on the HR time series of each patient. Three different types of machine learning classifiers were evaluated, namely logistic regression, support vector machine and random forest.Main results.A decrease in temporal resolution drastically impacted the detection of atrial fibrillation but did not substantially affect the detection of bradycardia and tachycardia. A HR resolution up to 15 s average demonstrated reasonable performance with a sensitivity of 0.92 and a specificity of 0.86 for a multiclass random forest classifier.Significance.HRV features extracted from low resolution long HR recordings have the potential to increase the early detection of arrhythmias in undiagnosed individuals.

Prevalence of atrial fibrillation and the risk of cardiovascular mortality among hypertensive elderly population in northeast China

Little is known about the epidemiology and impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on cardiovascular diseases (CVD) mortality among hypertensive elderly population in northeast China. The community‐based study included 4497 hypertensive elderly residents aged ≥65 years who lived in northeast China from September 2017 to March 2019. Information on CVD deaths was obtained from baseline until July 31, 2021. Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed in the evaluation of CVD mortality. We identified 101 persons with AF. The prevalence of AF was 2.2% among elderly hypertensive population, which increased significantly with age. The prevalence of AF was higher in men than in women. The awareness rate was 51.5%, higher in urban areas than in rural areas (68.8% vs 43.5%, P = .018). Only 4.0% patients received oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy among AF patients. Moreover, diabetes (26.7%) and dyslipidemia (37.6%) were highly prevalent in AF patients. Furthermore, 212 persons died due to CVD (14.7/1000 person‐years) during a median follow‐up of 3.2 years. AF patients had a 3.42 (95% CI: 2.07‐5.63) times higher risk of CVD mortality than the patients without AF in the fully adjusted model. Therefore, the burden of AF among hypertensive elderly population in northeast China was considerable. Long‐term screening and management strategies for AF and related risk factors are required among hypertensive elderly in northeast China.

Improved cardiovascular profile in Danish centenarians? A comparative study of two birth cohorts born 20 years apart

PURPOSE

Cardiovascular health among middle-aged and older people has improved in high-income countries. It is unknown whether this also applies for the oldest-old and if so, is it driven by better treatment or by a health improvement? Therefore, we compared two Danish centenarian birth cohorts born in 1895 and 1915, respectively, to investigate if the cardiovascular profile had improved in the most recent born cohort.

METHODS

All individuals turning 100 years old in 1995 and 2015, respectively, were included with participation rates of 74% (n = 106) and 79% (n = 238), respectively. Data were collected through structured in-home interviews. Cardiovascular profile was obtained by measured blood pressure, electrocardiogram (ECG), and information on medication. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg.

RESULTS

Mean SBP and DBP were almost identical in the two cohorts. Yet, the prevalence of measured hypertension was non-significantly higher in the 1895 cohort [73%, 95% CI (61;82)] compared to the 1915 cohort [63%, 95% CI (55;70)]. The proportion receiving at least one type of cardiovascular drug was significantly higher in the 1915 cohort [80%, 95% CI (74;86)] compared to 1895 cohort [66%, 95% CI 55;76)]. ECG findings were similar in the two cohorts, e.g., atrial fibrillation was present in 17% of the 1895 cohort and 20% of the 1915 cohort.

CONCLUSION

This comparison study found a non-significant improvement in measured hypertension irrespective of medical treatment in the recent born cohort. Also, the recent born cohort was treated more intensively with cardiovascular drugs than earlier. However, the prevalence of pathological ECG-findings was unchanged.

High levels of autoantibodies against apoB100 p210 are associated with lower incidence of atrial fibrillation in women

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with inflammation, both systemically and in the atrial tissue. Oxidized low-density lipoprotein (LDL) is increased in patients with AF and is suggested to be one of the molecules that drives inflammation. Autoantibodies against oxidized LDL and apolipoprotein B100, the protein component of LDL, are linked to atherosclerotic disease. However, whether these autoantibodies are associated with occurrence of AF is not known. We investigated autoantibodies against oxidized apolipoprotein B100 peptides and incidence of AF in a large population-based cohort.

METHODS

IgM and IgG against native and aldehyde-modified apoB100 peptides 210 (p210) and 45 were analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in 5169 individuals from the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort.

RESULTS

Seven hundred sixty-nine incident AF cases were recorded during a follow-up of 21.3 years. Individuals with high levels of IgM against native p210 at baseline had a lower risk of developing AF; however, the association did not remain after adjustment for age and sex. Women had higher levels of IgM against native p210 than men (0.70 ± 0.22 AU vs. 0.63 ± 0.21 AU, p < 0.001). The association of IgM against native p210 and AF was significantly different between sexes (p for interaction = 0.024), where females with high IgM against p210 had a lower risk for incidence of AF (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 4th versus 1st quartile: 0.67 [0.49-0.91]; p = 0.01) after adjusting for risk factors and comorbidities.

CONCLUSION

These findings support an association of humoral autoimmunity with AF.

Epidemiology and Prognostic Factors in Acute Lower Limb Ischaemia: A Population Based Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the contemporary population based incidence of acute lower limb ischaemia (ALI) and factors associated with major amputation/death at one year.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, in hospital, operation, radiological, and autopsy registries were scrutinised to capture 161 citizens of Malmö, Sweden, with ALI between 2015 and 2018. Age and sex specific incidence rates were calculated in the population of Malmö between 2015 and 2018, expressed as number of patients per 100 000 person years (PY). Independent risk factors for major amputation/death at one year were identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis and expressed as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-one patients with ALI gave an overall incidence of 12.2/100 000 PY (95% CI 10.3 - 14.1), with no sex related differences. Embolism (42.2%) was the most common cause of ALI. Among 52 patients with atrial fibrillation, 38.5% were on anticoagulant medication. Endovascular or open vascular revascularisation was performed in 54.7% of patients. The total cause specific mortality ratio was 2.63 (95% CI 1.66 - 3.61)/1 000 deaths, without no sex related differences. The combined major amputation/mortality rate at one year for the whole cohort was 46.6%. Rutherford ≥ IIb ALI (OR 4.19, 95% CI 1.94 - 9.02; p < .001), age (OR 1.03/year, 95% CI 1.00 - 1.06; p = .036), female sex (OR 2.37, 95% 1.07 - 5.26; p = .034), and anaemia (OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.08 - 5.62; p = .033) were associated with an increased risk of major amputation/death at one year. The major amputation/mortality rate at one year was 100% (n = 14/14) for patients living in a nursing home on admission.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of ALI appears to be unchanged, and major amputation and mortality at one year remain high. It is necessary to include the substantial proportion of patients with ALI that do not undergo revascularisation in epidemiological studies. There is room for improvement in anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation to prevent ALI due to embolism. Research on gender inequalities in patients with ALI is warranted.

The nationwide Finnish anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (FinACAF): study rationale, design, and patient characteristics

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of ischemic stroke and the number of AF patients is increasing. Thus, up-to-date multifaceted data about the characteristics of AF patients, their treatments, and outcomes are urgently needed. The Finnish anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (FinACAF) study has collected comprehensive data on all Finnish AF patients from 1st January 2004 to 31st December 2018. The aim of this paper is to describe the study rationale, the process of integrating data from the applied resources and to define the study cohort. Using national unique personal identification number, individual patient data is linked from nationwide health care registries (primary, secondary, and tertiary care), drug purchases, education, and socio-economic status as well as places of domicile, incomes, and taxes. Six regional laboratory databases (~ 282,000, 77% of the patients) are also included. The study cohort comprises of a total of 411,000 patients. Since the introduction of the national primary care register in 2012, 9% of all AF patients were identified outside hospital care registers. The prevalence of AF in Finland—4.1% of whole population—is for the first time now established. The FinACAF study allows a unique possibility to investigate the epidemiology and socio-medico-economic impact of AF as well as the cost effectiveness of different AF management strategies in a completely unselected, nationwide population. This article provides the rationale and design of the study together with a summary of the characteristics of the cohort.

Genetic and Metabolic Determinants of Atrial Fibrillation in a General Population Sample: The CHRIS Study

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a supraventricular arrhythmia deriving from uncoordinated electrical activation with considerable associated morbidity and mortality. To expand the limited understanding of AF biological mechanisms, we performed two screenings, investigating the genetic and metabolic determinants of AF in the Cooperative Health Research in South Tyrol study. We found 110 AF cases out of 10,509 general population individuals. A genome-wide association scan (GWAS) identified two novel loci (p-value < 5 × 10-8) around SNPs rs745582874, next to gene PBX1, and rs768476991, within gene PCCA, with genotype calling confirmed by Sanger sequencing. Risk alleles at both SNPs were enriched in a family detected through familial aggregation analysis of the phenotype, and both rare alleles co-segregated with AF. The metabolic screening of 175 metabolites, in a subset of individuals, revealed a 41% lower concentration of lysophosphatidylcholine lysoPC a C20:3 in AF cases compared to controls (p-adj = 0.005). The genetic findings, combined with previous evidence, indicate that the two identified GWAS loci may be considered novel genetic rare determinants for AF. Considering additionally the association of lysoPC a C20:3 with AF by metabolic screening, our results demonstrate the valuable contribution of the combined genomic and metabolomic approach in studying AF in large-scale population studies.

Treatment of device related thrombosis after left atrial appendage occlusion: Initial experience with low-dose apixaban

BACKGROUND

Left atrial appendage (LAA) closure devices require short-term postprocedural oral antithrombotic therapy (AT) to prevent device-related thrombosis (DRT) until device endothelialization occurs. Currently, there is no consensus regarding the optimal AT strategy for DRT prevention.

METHODS

The purpose of our case series is to summarize our experience using apixaban at reduced doses for effectively treating DRT.

RESULTS

Among a total of 180 patients, 11 patients (6.1%) presented DRT and 4 were specifically treated with low-dose apixaban (2.5 mg/12 h). The mean CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were high [5 (SD ±1.2) and 3.25 (SD ±0.5), respectively] and all patients had history of a major hemorrhagic event (BARC Score ≥3) mostly gastrointestinal (n = 3). An Amplazer Amulet device was implanted in 3 patients, and a LAmbre system in one patient. AT strategy at the time of DRT diagnosis was consistently single antiplatelet therapy in all patients. Following DRT diagnosis, reduced dose of apixaban was initiated in all the patients. No major or minor bleeding events occurred during apixaban administration.

CONCLUSIONS

Apixaban low dose regimen could be a feasible option to prevent DRT while keeping a low risk of bleeding.

Occupational physical activity is associated with risk of atrial fibrillation in both men and women: a population-based cohort study

AIMS

Previous studies have found that excessive sport activities are associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether occupational physical activity (OPA) increases the risk for AF is not well studied. We aimed to examine whether OPA influences the risk of AF.

METHODS

80,922 men and women, free from AF, completed in 1997 a questionnaire about their OPA at that time (baseline), and also retrospectively in 1997 their OPA at the age of 30 and 50 years. Participants were categorised into three groups (low, medium and high) based on OPA load. Participants were followed-up in the Swedish National Patient Register for ascertainment of AF. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

11,614 cases of AF were diagnosed during follow-up time of up to 17 years. We observed an increased risk of AF in relation to increased load of OPA regardless of age. Compared with men who reported a low load of OPA, the multivariable RR (95% CI) for men with a high load was 1.10 (1.03-1.17) at 30 years, 1.11 (1.04-1.17) at 50 years and 1.19 (1.10-1.29) at baseline. The results for women were similar with multivariable RR of 1.16 (1.06-1.27) at 30 years, 1.14 (1.05-1.24) at 50 years and 1.11 (0.99-1.24) at baseline.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that high load of OPA previous in life may play a role in increasing the risk for AF in both men and women.

The change of renal functions after nonvitamin K oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation

Oral anticoagulants decreased stroke and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients. There have been cumulative data suggesting that some oral anticoagulants may exert favorable renal outcomes.The aim of this study is to evaluate the renal outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation who took oral anticoagulant.

METHODS

A Retrospective cohort study using hospital electronic database. Serum creatinine and GFR were collected at baseline and at 1 and 2 years.

RESULTS

Authors identified 734 patients with non-valvular AF who took oral anticoagulants. At the end of 2-year, the cumulative risk of significant GFR decline (eGFR drop > 30%) was 10.94% in warfarin group and 9.69% in NOACs group.The incidence rate of significant eGFR decline were comparable between NOACs and warfarin group which were 4.82 and 5.34 per 100-patient year respectively(HR 1.01 CI 0.62-1.66 , p- value 0.964).However, the adjusted mean eGFR change per year was significantly lower in NOAC group, especially rivaroxaban (coefficient 7.83 ,CI 4.44 11.22 , p-value < 0.001) and dabigatran (coefficient 6.22 ,CI 2.67-9.77 , p-value = 0.001) at 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant GFR decline was not uncommon in non-valvular AF patients who received anticoagulant. Among these, the proportion of patients who had significant eGFR decline(>30%) were comparable between NOACs and warfarin at 2 years. However, there is a significantly less mean eGFR decline per year in patients who receive NOACs, notably with dabigatran and rivaroxaban, than those who receive warfarin.The findings of this study should be interpreted in the context of patients included in this study.

Pre-Stroke Statin Therapy Improves In-Hospital Prognosis Following Acute Ischemic Stroke Associated with Well-Controlled Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Many studies have confirmed the positive effect of statins in the secondary prevention of ischemic stroke. Although several studies have concluded that statins may also be beneficial in patients with atrial fibrillation-related stroke, the results of those studies are inconclusive. Therefore, the aim of this study was to analyze the effect of pre-stroke statin therapy on atrial fibrillation-related stroke among patients with a well-controlled atrial fibrillation. This retrospective multicenter analysis comprised 2309 patients with acute stroke, with a total of 533 patients meeting the inclusion criteria. The results showed a significantly lower neurological deficit on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale at hospital admission and discharge in the group of atrial fibrillation-related stroke patients who took statins before hospitalization compared with those who did not (p < 0.001). In addition, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the atrial fibrillation-related stroke patients not taking statins before hospitalization than in those who did (p < 0.001). Based on the results of our previous research and this current study, we postulate that the addition of a statin to the oral anticoagulants may be helpful in the primary prevention of atrial fibrillation-related stroke.

Ischemic Stroke Risk Factors in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Treated with New Oral Anticoagulants

The most commonly used therapeutic option for the prevention of ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation is new- or old-generation oral anticoagulants. New oral anticoagulants are at least as effective as old-generation oral anticoagulants in the prevention of ischemic stroke, with a reduced risk of life-threatening hemorrhage. Moreover, the constant monitoring of these drugs in the patient’s blood is not required during routine use. However, ischemic stroke can still occur in these patients. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the pattern of risk factors for ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with new oral anticoagulants. Our multicenter retrospective study involved 2032 patients with acute ischemic stroke. The experimental group consisted of 256 patients with acute ischemic stroke and nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, who were treated with new oral anticoagulants. The control group consisted of 1776 ischemic stroke patients without coexisting atrial fibrillation. The results of our study show that patients with atrial fibrillation treated with new oral anticoagulants are more likely to display thrombotic, proatherogenic, and proinflammatory factors in addition to the embolic factors associated with atrial fibrillation. Therefore, solely taking new oral anticoagulants is insufficient in protecting this group of patients from ischemic stroke.

Supraventricular arrhythmia, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and troponin T concentration in relation to incidence of atrial fibrillation: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Frequent supraventricular arrhythmia is associated with increased incidence of atrial fibrillation. However, it is unknown whether the prognostic significance of supraventricular arrhythmia is modified by plasma levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) or troponin T (TnT). This study examined the interrelationships between NT-proBNP, TnT levels and frequent supraventricular arrhythmia, and whether these biomarkers and a measure of frequent supraventricular arrhythmia could improve risk assessment for incidence of AF.

METHODS

Supraventricular extrasystoles (SVEs) and supraventricular tachycardias were assessed from 24-h electrocardiograph recordings in 373 individuals initially without AF. Elevated NT-pro-BNP, TnT and SVEs was defined as a measurement in the top quartile of the study population distribution. Incident cases of AF were retrieved by linkage with the Swedish National Patient Register.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 15.4 years, 88 subjects had a diagnosis of AF. After multivariable adjustment, individuals with both elevated NT-proBNP and frequent SVEs had a significantly increased incidence of AF, compared to subjects without elevated NT-proBNP or frequent SVEs (hazard ratio (HR) 4.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.45-8.69), and compared to individuals with either elevated NT-proBNP or frequent SVEs (both P < 0.05). HRs for frequent SVEs alone or elevated NT-proBNP alone were 2.32 (95% CI 1.33-4.06) and 1.52 (95% CI 0.76-3.05), respectively. The addition of NT-pro-BNP and SVEs to a validated risk prediction score for AF, CHARGE-AF, resulted in improved prediction (Harrell's C 0.751 (95% CI 0.702-0.799) vs 0.720 (95% CI 0.669-0.771), P = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

Subjects with both elevated NT-proBNP and frequent SVEs have substantially increased risk of AF, and the use of these variables could improve long-term prediction of incident AF.

Decentralising atrial fibrillation screening to overcome socio-demographic inequalities in uptake in STROKESTOP II

OBJECTIVE

In the first STROKESTOP atrial fibrillation screening study, participation was influenced by socio-demographic and geographic factors. To improve uptake in the second study, two screening sites were added, closer to low-income neighbourhoods which had very low participation in the first study. This paper aims to analyse the geographic and socio-demographic disparities in uptake in the second trial and compare the results with the first trial.

METHODS

Inhabitants of the Stockholm region born in 1940 and 1941 were randomised 1:1 to be invited to screening or serve as controls. Medical history, blood samples and single-lead-ECG were collected. Invitee's residential parish was used for geo-mapping analysis of the geographical disparities in participation, using hierarchical Bayes methods. Individual data for participants and non-participants were obtained for the socioeconomic variables: educational level, disposable income, immigrant and marital status.

RESULTS

Higher participation was observed in those with higher education, high income, among non-immigrants and married individuals. Participation between the first and second studies improved significantly, where additional screening sites were introduced. These improvements were generally significant, in each population group according to socio-demographic characteristics.

CONCLUSION

Decentralisation of screening sites in an atrial fibrillation screening program yielded a significantly positive impact on screening uptake. Adding local screening sites in areas with low uptake had beneficial impact on participation across a wide spectrum of socio-demographic groups. Decentralised screening substantially increased the screening uptake in deprived areas.

The Effect of Minimally Invasive Thoracoscopic Left Atrial Appendage Excision on Cardiac Dynamic and Endocrine Function

Purpose: Left atrial appendage (LAA) isolation is an effective surgical treatment for decreasing thromboembolic risk. We sought to evaluate the short-term effect of minimally invasive surgery with LAA excision on left atrial dynamic and endocrine function in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients.

Methods: A total of 52 patients with paroxysmal AF undergoing minimally invasive surgery with LAA excision in Anzhen Hospital from October 2012 to June 2014 were enrolled in the study. The natriuretic peptide plasma level was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and left atrial dynamic function was measured preprocedure by real-time three-dimensional echocardiography and postprocedure after 7 days and 3 months.

Results: With the exception of six recurrences, 88.5% (46/52) of the patients were prospectively followed over 3 months in terms of their sinus rhythm postprocedure. No severe operative complications or embolism events occurred within those 3 months. Echocardiography showed a 3–6% decrease in left atrial volume postprocedure, and dynamic function was largely restored by 3 months. There was no significant change in natriuretic peptide levels, although a slight decrease was detected 7 days postprocedure, which gradually recovered by 3 months (P = 0.350).

Conclusions: There are no significant differences in left atrial dynamics and natriuretic peptide secretion in AF patients after minimally invasive surgery with LAA excision.