Impact of functional status at six months on long term survival in patients with ischaemic stroke: prospective cohort studies

Development and validation of a novel nomogram model predicting the unfavorable outcome based on NAR and collaterals status for patients with AIS

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is a leading cause of disability and mortality globally. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram based on neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) and collateral status in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients with anterior large vessel occlusion (LVO).

MATERIAL & METHOD

590 AIS patients with LVO assessed for regional leptomeningeal collateral (rLMC) were retrospectively enrolled, and randomly divided into a training set (n = 414) and a testing set (n = 176). Unfavorable functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin scale (mRS) score of 3 to 6 at 3 months. We assessed the accuracy and clinical utility of the nomogram using calibration plots, area under the curve (AUC), decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

Both NAR and rLMC were independently associated with unfavorable outcome at 3 months (OR=8.96, p=0.0341; OR=0.89, p=0.0002, respectively). The developed nomogram (akaike information criterion (AIC)=398.77), which included NAR, rLMC and other factors, showed good performance (the AUC for the development and validation cohorts was 0.848 and 0.840 respectively) and improved the predictive value compared to a model without NAR and rLMC, according to an overall NRI of 3.27% (p=0.2401), overall IDI of 3.27% (p=0.2414), and a higher AUC (0.848 vs 0.831).

CONCLUSIONS

NAR can serve as an independent predictor in AIS patients with anterior LVO, and the nomogram incorporating NAR and rLMC is reliable in predicting unfavorable outcome. Further studies with larger sample sizes are needed to validate and extend these findings.

Role of age and sex in the association between BMI and functional limitations in stroke patients: Cross-sectional analysis in three European and US cohorts

BACKGROUND

A U- or J-shaped association between BMI and different post-stroke outcomes is suggested. Thus, the aim is to evaluate the association between BMI with ADL, IADL and mobility limitations in the ageing post-stroke population at different ages, as well as the differences in this association by sex.

METHODS

A total of 5,468 participants with stroke and 21,872 without stroke over 50 years of age were assessed for the number of limitations in basic or instrumental activities of daily living (ADL/IADL) as well as mobility tasks. The association between BMI at the interview (continuous time-dependent variable) and the level of limitations was assessed using a linear mixed model stratified by sex and stroke status.

RESULTS

The association between BMI and ADL/IADL and mobility limitations were found to be significant in both men and women regardless of stroke status (p<0.001 for all). The association differs between those who have suffered a stroke and those who have not (p<0.001 for all). In ADL/IADL limitations, men with stroke showed a transition from an inverted J-shape to a U-shape association with age. In women, the BMI showed a less pronounced association between BMI and ADL/IADL limitations compared to men but with similar trends. A effect of sex was observed in the association between BMI and mobility, with women with and without stroke showing a linear association that differed from the inverted J-shaped or U-shaped association of men.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that BMI is associated with limitations in ADL, IADL and mobility in stroke patients. In addition, this association differs between men and women and is also influenced by age.

Effect of Intravenous Thrombolytic Dose of Alteplase on Long-Term Prognosis in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate the long-term prognostic effects of different alteplase doses on patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

METHODS

In this cohort study, we enrolled 501 patients with AIS treated with intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase, with the primary endpoint event of recurrence of ischemic stroke and the secondary endpoint event of death. The effects of different doses of alteplase on recurrence of ischemic stroke and death were analyzed using a Cox proportional risk model.

RESULTS

Among 501 patients with AIS treated with thrombolysis, 295 patients (58.9%) and 206 patients (41.1%) were treated with low-dose and standard-dose alteplase, respectively. During the study period, 61 patients (12.2%) had a confirmed recurrence of ischemic stroke. Multivariate Cox proportional risk analysis showed that standard-dose alteplase thrombolysis (HR 0.511, 95% CI 0.288-0.905, P = 0.021) was significantly associated with a reduced risk of long-term recurrence of AIS, whereas atrial fibrillation was associated with an increased risk of long-term recurrence of AIS. Thirty-nine (7.8%) patients died during the study period. Multivariate Cox proportional risk analysis showed that age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, and symptomatic steno-occlusion were associated with an increased long-term risk of death from AIS. The alteplase dose was not associated with the risk of death from AIS.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard-dose alteplase treatment reduced the risk of long-term recurrence of AIS after hospital discharge and the alteplase dose was not associated with the long-term risk of death from AIS.

Cost-effectiveness of carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients

BACKGROUND

Medical therapy for stroke prevention has improved significantly over the past 30 years. Recent analyses of medically treated cohorts have suggested that early rates of stroke may have reduced, and reports of the safety of carotid surgery have also shown improvements. Since the effectiveness of carotid surgery versus medical therapy was established in the 1990s, there is an urgent need to evaluate whether surgery remains cost-effective in the UK.

METHODS

A decision model was developed to estimate the lifetime costs and utilities of modern medical therapy with and without carotid endarterectomy in patients with symptomatic stenosis from the perspective of the UK National Health Service. The base-case population consisted of adults aged 70 years with 70-99 per cent stenosis. Model data were obtained from clinical studies and wider literature. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

In the base-case scenario, the 5-year absolute risk reduction with carotid endarterectomy was 5 per cent, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was €12 021 (exchange rate £1 GBP = €1.1125 (Tuesday 1 January 2019)) per quality-adjusted life-year. Surgery was more cost-effective if performed rapidly after presentation. In patients with 50-69 per cent carotid stenosis, surgery appeared less clinically effective. However, there was considerable uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

Surgery may not now be clinically effective and cost-effective in those with moderate carotid stenosis. However, these results are uncertain because of the limited data on modern medical therapy and an RCT may be justified.

Association of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and clinical outcomes in patients with stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

A novel systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) has been proven to be associated with outcomes in patients with cancer. Although some studies have shown that the SII is a potential and valuable tool to diagnose and predict the advise outcomes in stroke patients. Nevertheless, the findings are controversial, and their association with clinical outcomes is unclear. Consequently, we conducted a comprehensive review and meta-analysis to explore the relationship between SII and clinical outcomes in stroke patients.

Methods

A search of five English databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and Web of Science) and four Chinese databases (CNKI, VIP, WanFang, and CBM) was conducted. Our study strictly complied with the PRISMA (the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses). We used the NOS (Newcastle-Ottawa Scale) tool to assess the possible bias of included studies. The endpoints included poor outcome (the modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥ 3 points or > 3 points), mortality, the severity of stroke (according to assessment by the National Institute of Health stroke scale [NIHSS] ≥ 5 points), hemorrhagic transformation (HT) were statistically analyzed.

Results

Nineteen retrospective studies met the eligibility criteria, and a total of 18609 stroke patients were included. Our study showed that high SII is significantly associated with poor outcomes (odds ratio [OR] 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.09, P = 0.001, I² = 93%), high mortality (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.75-2.67, P < 0.00001, I² = 49%), and the incidence of HT (OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.61-2.71, P < 0.00001, I² = 42%). We also investigated the difference in SII levels in poor/good outcomes, death/survival, and minor/moderate-severe stroke groups. Our analysis demonstrated that the SII level of the poor outcome, death, and moderate-severe stroke group was much higher than that of the good outcome, survival, and minor stroke group, respectively (standard mean difference [SMD] 1.11, 95% CI 0.61-1.61, P < 0.00001 [poor/good outcome]; MD 498.22, 95% CI 333.18-663.25, P < 0.00001 [death/survival]; SMD 1.35, 95% CI 0.48-2.23, P = 0.002 [severity of stroke]). SII, on the other hand, had no significant impact on recanalization (OR 1.50, 95% CI 0.86-2.62, P = 0.16).

Discussion

To the best of our knowledge, this may be the first meta-analysis to look at the link between SII and clinical outcomes in stroke patients. The inflammatory response after a stroke is useful for immunoregulatory treatment. Stroke patients with high SII should be closely monitored, since this might be a viable treatment strategy for limiting brain damage after a stroke. As a result, research into SII and the clinical outcomes of stroke patients is crucial. Our preliminary findings may represent the clinical condition and aid clinical decision-makers. Nonetheless, further research is needed to better understand the utility of SII through dynamic monitoring. To generate more robust results, large-sample and multi-center research are required.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42022371996.

Ambulation status at an acute care hospital predicts pneumonia and mortality in stroke patients: A retrospective cohort study

AIM

Higher post-stroke functional performance is associated with lower mortality in patients with stroke. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between ambulation ability in the acute phase of stroke, and pneumonia and mortality 1 year after stroke onset.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included consecutive stroke patients between April 2008 and December 2018. Patients were divided into six groups according to their Functional Ambulation Category score at discharge (0 [unable to walk] to 5 [able to walk independently]). We observed pneumonia cases and all-cause mortality over 1 year, and investigated the association between Functional Ambulation Category score and pneumonia or mortality. Survival analysis was carried out using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

We analyzed 1727 consecutive patients (median age 77 years; 54% men). During the observation period, 144 patients (8.3%) experienced pneumonia and 157 (9.1%) died. Increasing ambulatory impairment showed stepwise relationships with the risk of pneumonia and mortality. Compared with patients with a Functional Ambulation Category score of 5, those with scores of 4 and 3 showed no significant association with pneumonia risk; a score ≤2 was significantly different. There was a stepwise relationship between increased gait disturbance and risk of death compared with the Functional Ambulation Category 5 group.

CONCLUSIONS

Ambulation ability at discharge from an acute hospital is an important predictor of pneumonia incidence and survival in stroke patients at 1 year; these associations were observed even after controlling for clinical parameters, such as stroke severity and comorbidity. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; ••: ••-••.

Improving emergency treatment for patients with acute stroke: the PEARS research programme, including the PASTA cluster RCT

Background

Intravenous thrombolysis and intra-arterial thrombectomy are proven emergency treatments for acute ischaemic stroke, but they require rapid delivery to selected patients within specialist services. National audit data have shown that treatment provision is suboptimal.

Objectives

The aims were to (1) determine the content, clinical effectiveness and day 90 cost-effectiveness of an enhanced paramedic assessment designed to facilitate thrombolysis delivery in hospital and (2) model thrombectomy service configuration options with optimal activity and cost-effectiveness informed by expert and public views.

Design

A mixed-methods approach was employed between 2014 and 2019. Systematic reviews examined enhanced paramedic roles and thrombectomy effectiveness. Professional and service user groups developed a thrombolysis-focused Paramedic Acute Stroke Treatment Assessment, which was evaluated in a pragmatic multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial and parallel process evaluation. Clinicians, patients, carers and the public were surveyed regarding thrombectomy service configuration. A decision tree was constructed from published data to estimate thrombectomy eligibility of the UK stroke population. A matching discrete-event simulation predicted patient benefits and financial consequences from increasing the number of centres.

Setting

The paramedic assessment trial was hosted by three regional ambulance services (in north-east England, north-west England and Wales) serving 15 hospitals.

Participants

A total of 103 health-care representatives and 20 public representatives assisted in the development of the paramedic assessment. The trial enrolled 1214 stroke patients within 4 hours of symptom onset. Thrombectomy service provision was informed by a Delphi exercise with 64 stroke specialists and neuroradiologists, and surveys of 147 patients and 105 public respondents.

Interventions

The paramedic assessment comprised additional pre-hospital information collection, structured hospital handover, practical assistance up to 15 minutes post handover, a pre-departure care checklist and clinician feedback.

Main outcome measures

The primary outcome was the proportion of patients receiving thrombolysis. Secondary outcomes included day 90 health (poor status was a modified Rankin Scale score of > 2). Economic outputs reported the number of cases treated and cost-effectiveness using quality-adjusted life-years and Great British pounds.

Data sources

National registry data from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme and the Scottish Stroke Care Audit were used.

Review methods

Systematic searches of electronic bibliographies were used to identify relevant literature. Study inclusion and data extraction processes were described using Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines.

Results

The paramedic assessment trial found a clinically important but statistically non-significant reduction in thrombolysis among intervention patients, compared with standard care patients [197/500 (39.4%) vs. 319/714 (44.7%), respectively] (adjusted odds ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 1.08; p = 0.15). The rate of poor health outcomes was not significantly different, but was lower in the intervention group than in the standard care group [313/489 (64.0%) vs. 461/690 (66.8%), respectively] (adjusted odds ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.60 to 1.2; p = 0.39). There was no difference in the quality-adjusted life-years gained between the groups (0.005, 95% confidence interval –0.004 to 0.015), but total costs were significantly lower for patients in the intervention group than for those in the standard care group (–£1086, 95% confidence interval –£2236 to –£13). It has been estimated that, in the UK, 10,140–11,530 patients per year (i.e. 12% of stroke admissions) are eligible for thrombectomy. Meta-analysis of published data confirmed that thrombectomy-treated patients were significantly more likely to be functionally independent than patients receiving standard care (odds ratio 2.39, 95% confidence interval 1.88 to 3.04; n = 1841). Expert consensus and most public survey respondents favoured selective secondary transfer for accessing thrombectomy at regional neuroscience centres. The discrete-event simulation model suggested that six new English centres might generate 190 quality-adjusted life-years (95% confidence interval –6 to 399 quality-adjusted life-years) and a saving of £1,864,000 per year (95% confidence interval –£1,204,000 to £5,017,000 saving per year). The total mean thrombectomy cost up to 72 hours was £12,440, mostly attributable to the consumables. There was no significant cost difference between direct admission and secondary transfer (mean difference –£368, 95% confidence interval –£1016 to £279; p = 0.26).

Limitations

Evidence for paramedic assessment fidelity was limited and group allocation could not be masked. Thrombectomy surveys represented respondent views only. Simulation models assumed that populations were consistent with published meta-analyses, included limited parameters reflecting underlying data sets and did not consider the capital costs of setting up new services.

Conclusions

Paramedic assessment did not increase the proportion of patients receiving thrombolysis, but outcomes were consistent with improved cost-effectiveness at day 90, possibly reflecting better informed treatment decisions and/or adherence to clinical guidelines. However, the health difference was non-significant, small and short term. Approximately 12% of stroke patients are suitable for thrombectomy and widespread provision is likely to generate health and resource gains. Clinician and public views support secondary transfer to access treatment.

Future work

Further evaluation of emergency care pathways will determine whether or not enhanced paramedic assessment improves hospital guideline compliance. Validation of the simulation model post reconfiguration will improve precision and describe wider resource implications.

Trial registration

This trial is registered as ISRCTN12418919 and the systematic review protocols are registered as PROSPERO CRD42014010785 and PROSPERO CRD42015016649.

Funding

The project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Programme Grants for Applied Research programme and will be published in full in Programme Grants for Applied Research; Vol. 10, No. 4. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Predictive Value of the Systemic Immune Inflammation Index for Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose

The systemic immune-inflammation index, a new index based on platelets, neutrophils and lymphocytes, has been shown to be associated with outcomes of patients with venous sinus thrombosis and cancer. However, its application in acute ischemic stroke has rarely been reported. Therefore, we examined the relationship between systemic immune-inflammation index levels at hospital admission and the outcomes of patients 3 months after onset, and plotted a nomogram to predict the probability of adverse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed a total of 208 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were admitted between January 2020 and December 2020, and recorded the modified Rankin score 3 months later. A modified Rankin score ≥ 3 was defined as an adverse outcome. Age, sex, NIHSS score, SII, hypertension and coronary heart disease were included in the binary logistic regression, and the nomogram was plotted with a regression equation.

Results

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis indicated that the best cutoff value of the systemic immune-inflammation index was 802.8, with a sensitivity of 70.9% and specificity of 58.2% (area under the curve: 0.657, 95% confidence interval: 0.572–0.742). The nomogram had a C index of 0.802. The average error of the calibration curves of the training set and the validation set was 0.021 and 0.034, respectively.

Conclusion

The systemic immune-inflammation index is associated with short-term adverse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke, and the nomograms can predict the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Pre-stroke Disability and Long-Term Functional Limitations in Stroke Survivors: Findings From More of 12 Years of Follow-Up Across Three International Surveys of Aging

Background

Almost 50% of the post-stroke disabled population already have a premorbid disability before stroke. These patients may be offered a different care pathway in the acute and subacute phase than those without pre-morbid disability. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess the association of the severity of premorbid disability with change of limitations in basic and instrumental activities of daily living (ADL/IADL) 1 year after stroke and over the following decade.

Methods

Among 3,432 participants from HRS, SHARE and ELSA cohorts with a first stroke, ADL/IADL limitations were measured at 1-2 years prior to stroke, at 1 year post-stroke, and during the chronic phase. Modified Ranking Scale (P-mRS) was used to categorize the participants by level of premorbid disability (1-2 years pre-stroke). Change in ADL/IADL limitations by P-mRS level (0-1, 2-3, and 4-5) was assessed using a piecewise linear mixed model with a breakpoint set at 1 year post-stroke, stratified by median age groups.

Results

Increase in ADL limitations at 1 year post-stroke was less pronounced in P-mRS ≥2 (p < 0.005). After years of relative stability, limitations of ADL increased for all P-mRS levels (p = 0.003). In those aged ≥75 years at stroke event, the increase was similar irrespective of P-mRS (p = 0.090). There were no significant differences in IADL trajectories between P-mRS levels (p ≥ 0.127).

Conclusion

These results suggest similar trajectories of functional limitations between P-mRS levels up to 9 years post-stroke, highlighting the possible benefit of including patients with pre-morbid disability to certain treatments during the acute phase.

Long-Term Evolution of Functional Limitations in Stroke Survivors Compared With Stroke-Free Controls: Findings From 15 Years of Follow-Up Across 3 International Surveys of Aging

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

In the chronic phase 2 to 5 years poststroke, limitations in activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental ADL (IADL) initially plateau before steady increasing. However, the impact of age and differences in initial levels of disability on the evolution of these limitations remains unclear. As such, this study aims to evaluate differences in long-term evolution of ADL/IADL limitations between stroke survivors and stroke-free population, and how limitations differ by initial level of disability for stroke survivors.

METHODS

Thirty-three thousand six hundred sixty participants (5610 first-ever stroke cases with no recurrence during follow-up and 28 050 stroke-free controls) aged ≥50 from the Health and Retirement Study, Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, and English Longitudinal Study of Ageing were assessed for number of ADL/IADL limitations during the poststroke chronic phase (for cases) and over follow-up years 1996 to 2018 (for controls). Three thousand seven hundred eighteen stroke cases were additionally categorized by disability level using the modified Rankin Scale score of 1 to 2 years poststroke. Evolution of ADL/IADL limitations was assessed in stroke cases and controls and by modified Rankin Scale score (0-1, 2-3, 4-5) using linear mixed models. Models were stratified by age group (50-74 and ≥75 years) and adjusted for baseline characteristics, health behaviors, BMI, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Findings showed relative stability of ADL/IADL limitations during 3 to 6 years poststroke followed by an increase for both populations, which was faster for younger stroke cases, suggesting a differential age-effect (P<0.001). Disability level at 1 to 2 years poststroke influenced the evolution of limitations over time, especially for severe disability (modified Rankin Scale score, 4-5) associated with a reduction in limitations at 5 to 6 years poststroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings showed that during the poststroke chronic phase functional limitations first plateau and then increase and the evolution differs by disability severity. These results highlight the importance of adaptive long-term health and social care measures for stroke survivors.

Impact of Intravenous Alteplase Door-to-Needle Times on 2-Year Mortality in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective: We sought to determine whether administration of Intravenous Thrombolysis (IVT) to patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) within 60 min from hospital arrival is associated with lower 2-year mortality.

Methods: This retrospective study was conducted among patients receiving IVT in hospitals participating in the Georgia Coverdell Acute Stroke Registry (GCASR) from January 1, 2008 through June 30, 2018. Two-year mortality data was obtained by linking the 2008–2018 Georgia Discharge Data System data and the 2008–2020 Georgia death records. We analyzed the study population in two groups based on the time from hospital arrival to initiation of IVT expressed as Door to Needle time (DTN) in a dichotomized (DTN ≤ 60 vs. > 60 min) fashion.

Results: The median age of patients was 68 years, 49.4% were females, and the median NIHSS was 9. DTN ≤60 min was associated with lower 30-day [odds ratio (OR), 0.62; 95% CI, 0.52–0.73; P < 0.0001], 1-year (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.61–0.83; P < 0.0001) and 2-year (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.65–0.88; P = 0.001) mortality as well as lower rates of sICH at 36 h (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43–0.75; P = 0.0001), higher rates of ambulation at discharge (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.25–1.53; P < 0.0001) and discharge to home (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.23–1.52; P < 0.0001).

Conclusion: Faster DTN in patients with AIS was associated with lower 2-year mortality across all age, gender and race subgroups. These findings reinforce the need for intensifying quality improvement measures to reduce DTN in AIS patients.

Longer term patient management following stroke: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Tremendous progress in acute stroke therapy has improved short-term outcome but part of this achievement may be lost in the long run. Concepts for a better long-term management of stroke survivors are needed to address their unmet needs and to reduce the burden of post-stroke complications, residual deficits, and recurrent vascular events.

AIMS

This review summarizes current knowledge on post-hospital care and the scientific evidence supporting individual programs.

SUMMARY OF REVIEW

A systematic search of electronic databases according to PRISMA guidelines identified 10,374 articles, 77 of which met the inclusion criteria. One large randomised controlled trial on a multifaceted care program delivered by the multidisciplinary stroke team reduced recurrent vascular events and improved quality of life and functional outcome one year after the event, while a number of studies offer solutions for individual components of post-hospital disease management like patient education, counselling, and self-management or the management of post-stroke complications and residual deficits. A majority of studies, however, was small in size and limited by a short follow-up. Most initiatives with a narrow focus on risk factor control failed to lower the risk of recurrent events. The caregivers' central role in post-stroke patient management is broadly neglected in research.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past years, first knowledge on how to best organize post-hospital care of stroke patients has emerged. Comprehensive and pragmatic programs operated by the multidisciplinary stroke team hold promise to reduce the long-term health burden of stroke. There is a clear need for further high-quality studies with both clinical endpoints and patient-reported outcomes to establish sustainable solutions in different settings and regions to improve life after stroke, a key priority of the Stroke Action Plan for Europe 2018-2030.

Effects of different rehabilitation provision systems on functional recovery in patients with subacute stroke

INTRODUCTION

The extent of rehabilitation is a key element in promoting functional recovery in patients with stroke. However, the type of rehabilitation therapy that should be provided to improve functional outcomes remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the effects of three different rehabilitation provision systems, namely conventional rehabilitation therapy, conventional rehabilitation therapy plus physical therapy (PT) on weekends, and conventional rehabilitation therapy plus PT and occupational therapy (OT) on weekends, on functional recovery in patients with subacute stroke.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

Convalescence Rehabilitation Hospital.

PATIENTS

Three hundred and one patients with subacute stroke (mean age, 69.7 ± 12.8 years).

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were classified into three groups according to rehabilitation therapy they received: a conventional group (only weekdays PT and OT; n = 70), an additional PT group (additional PT on weekends; n = 119), and an additional PT + OT group (additional PT and OT on weekends; n = 112).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Functional Independence Measure (FIM) effectiveness was calculated as (discharge FIM - admission FIM/maximum FIM - admission FIM) × 100. A multivariate general linear model was used to assess the difference in FIM effectiveness among the groups.

RESULTS

The mean FIM effectiveness in the conventional, additional PT, and additional PT + OT groups were 39.3 ± 30.1, 43.4 ± 33.2, and 54.3 ± 29.1, respectively. The multivariate analysis revealed a significant difference in FIM effectiveness among the three groups (P = 0.036), and the η_p ² was 0.02, indicating a small effect. The additional PT + OT group showed significantly greater improvements in FIM effectiveness than the conventional group (mean difference = 8.78, SE = 3.58, 95% confidence interval: 0.17-17.39).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that the additional PT + OT group had better functional recovery than did the conventional group. This indicates that increasing the amount of both PT and OT can promote post-stroke functional recovery. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

From Three-Months to Five-Years: Sustaining Long-Term Benefits of Endovascular Therapy for Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose: During the months and years post-stroke, treatment benefits from endovascular therapy (EVT) may be magnified by disability-related differences in morbidity/mortality or may be eroded by recurrent strokes and non-stroke-related disability/mortality. Understanding the extent to which EVT benefits may be sustained at 5 years, and the factors influencing this outcome, may help us better promote the sustenance of EVT benefits until 5 years post-stroke and beyond.

Methods: In this review, undertaken 5 years after EVT became the standard of care, we searched PubMed and EMBASE to examine the current state of the literature on 5-year post-stroke outcomes, with particular attention to modifiable factors that influence outcomes between 3 months and 5 years post-EVT.

Results: Prospective cohorts and follow-up data from EVT trials indicate that 3-month EVT benefits will likely translate into lower 5-year disability, mortality, institutionalization, and care costs and higher quality of life. However, these group-level data by no means guarantee maintenance of 3-month benefits for individual patients. We identify factors and associated “action items” for stroke teams/systems at three specific levels (medical care, individual psychosocioeconomic, and larger societal/environmental levels) that influence the long-term EVT outcome of a patient. Medical action items include optimizing stroke rehabilitation, clinical follow-up, secondary stroke prevention, infection prevention/control, and post-stroke depression care. Psychosocioeconomic aspects include addressing access to primary care, specialist clinics, and rehabilitation; affordability of healthy lifestyle choices and preventative therapies; and optimization of family/social support and return-to-work options. High-level societal efforts include improving accessibility of public/private spaces and transportation, empowering/engaging persons with disability in society, and investing in treatments/technologies to mitigate consequences of post-stroke disability.

Conclusions: In the longtime horizon from 3 months to 5 years, several factors in the medical and societal spheres could negate EVT benefits. However, many factors can be leveraged to preserve or magnify treatment benefits, with opportunities to share responsibility with widening circles of care around the patient.

Healthy Life-Year Costs of Treatment Speed From Arrival to Endovascular Thrombectomy in Patients With Ischemic Stroke: A Meta-analysis of Individual Patient Data From 7 Randomized Clinical Trials

Importance

The benefits of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) are time dependent. Prior studies may have underestimated the time-benefit association because time of onset is imprecisely known.

Objective

To assess the lifetime outcomes associated with speed of endovascular thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke due to large-vessel occlusion (LVO).

Data Sources

PubMed was searched for randomized clinical trials of stent retriever thrombectomy devices vs medical therapy in patients with anterior circulation LVO within 12 hours of last known well time, and for which a peer-reviewed, complete primary results article was published by August 1, 2020.

Study Selection

All randomized clinical trials of stent retriever thrombectomy devices vs medical therapy in patients with anterior circulation LVO within 12 hours of last known well time were included.

Data Extraction/Synthesis

Patient-level data regarding presenting clinical and imaging features and functional outcomes were pooled from the 7 retrieved randomized clinical trials of stent retriever thrombectomy devices (entirely or predominantly) vs medical therapy. All 7 identified trials published in a peer-reviewed journal (by August 1, 2020) contributed data. Detailed time metrics were collected including last known well-to-door (LKWTD) time; last known well/onset-to-puncture (LKWTP) time; last known well-to-reperfusion (LKWR) time; door-to-puncture (DTP) time; and door-to-reperfusion (DTR) time.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Change in healthy life-years measured as disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). DALYs were calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLL) owing to premature mortality and years of healthy life lost because of disability (YLD). Disability weights were assigned using the utility-weighted modified Rankin Scale. Age-specific life expectancies without stroke were calculated from 2017 US National Vital Statistics.

Results

Among the 781 EVT-treated patients, 406 (52.0%) were early-treated (LKWTP ≤4 hours) and 375 (48.0%) were late-treated (LKWTP >4-12 hours). In early-treated patients, LKWTD was 188 minutes (interquartile range, 151.3-214.8 minutes) and DTP 105 minutes (interquartile range, 76-135 minutes). Among the 298 of 380 (78.4%) patients with substantial reperfusion, median DTR time was 145.0 minutes (interquartile range, 111.5-185.5 minutes). Care process delays were associated with worse clinical outcomes in LKW-to-intervention intervals in early-treated patients and in door-to-intervention intervals in early-treated and late-treated patients, and not associated with LKWTD intervals, eg, in early-treated patients, for each 10-minute delay, healthy life-years lost were DTP 1.8 months vs LKWTD 0.0 months; P < .001. Considering granular time increments, the amount of healthy life-time lost associated with each 1 second of delay was DTP 2.2 hours and DTR 2.4 hours.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, care delays were associated with loss of healthy life-years in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with EVT, particularly in the postarrival time period. The finding that every 1 second of delay was associated with loss of 2.2 hours of healthy life may encourage continuous quality improvement in door-to-treatment times.

Effect of Exercise Interventions on Health-Related Quality of Life After Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Exercise interventions have been shown to help physical fitness, walking, and balance after stroke, but data are lacking on whether such interventions lead to improvements in health-related quality of life (HRQoL). In this systematic review and meta-analysis, 30 randomized controlled trials (n=1836 patients) were found from PubMed, OVID MEDLINE, Web of Science, CINAHL, SCOPUS, The Cochrane Library, and TRIP databases when searched from 1966 to February 2020 that examine the effects of exercise interventions on HRQoL after stroke or transient ischemic attack. Exercise interventions resulted in small to moderate beneficial effects on HRQoL at intervention end (standardized mean difference, -0.23 [95% CI, -0.40 to -0.07]) that appeared to diminish at longer-term follow-up (standardized mean difference, -0.11 [95% CI, -0.26 to 0.04]). Exercise was associated with moderate improvements in physical health (standardized mean difference, -0.33 [95% CI, -0.61 to -0.04]) and mental health (standardized mean difference, -0.29 [95% CI, -0.49 to -0.09]) domains of HRQoL while effects on social or cognitive composites showed little difference. Interventions that were initiated within 6 months, lasted at least 12 weeks in duration, involved at least 150 minutes per week, and included resistance training appeared most effective. Exercise can lead to moderate beneficial effects on HRQoL and should be considered an integral part of stroke rehabilitation.

Cost Effectiveness of Interhospital Transfer for Mechanical Thrombectomy of Acute Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke: Role of Predicted Recanalization Rates

BACKGROUND

Emergency interhospital transfer of patients with stroke with large vessel occlusion to a comprehensive stroke center for mechanical thrombectomy is resource-intensive and can be logistically challenging. Imaging markers may identify patients in whom intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) alone is likely to result in thrombus resolution, potentially rendering interhospital transfers unnecessary. Here, we investigate how predicted probabilities to achieve IVT-mediated recanalization affect cost-effectiveness estimates of interhospital transfer.

METHODS

We performed a health economic analysis comparing emergency interhospital transfer of patients with acute large vessel occlusion stroke after administration of IVT with a scenario in which patients also receive IVT but remain at the primary hospital. Results were stratified by clinical parameters, treatment delays, and the predicted probability to achieve IVT-mediated recanalization. Estimated 3-month outcomes were combined with a long-term probabilistic model to yield quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs. Uncertainty was quantified in probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Depending on input parameters, marginal costs of interhospital transfer ranged from USD -61 366 (cost saving) to USD +20 443 and additional QALYs gained from 0.1 to 3.0, yielding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of <USD 0 (dominant) to USD 310 000 per QALY. For some elderly patients with moderate or severe stroke symptoms treated in a remote primary stroke center, transfer was unlikely to be cost effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 100 000 and 50 000 per QALY (20% and 1%, respectively) if the predicted probability to achieve IVT-related recanalization was high. On the other hand, in some younger patients, the analysis yielded incremental cost-effectiveness ratio estimates below USD 20 000 per QALY independent of the predicted recanalization rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Predicted probabilities to achieve IVT-mediated recanalization significantly affect the cost-effectiveness of interhospital transfer for MT, in particular in elderly patients with moderate or severe stroke symptoms. However, high predicted recanalization rates alone do not generally imply that patients should not be considered for transfer.

Clinical Correlation Analysis of Complications in Elderly Patients with Sequelae of Stroke with Different Barthel Index in Tianjin Emergency Department

OBJECTIVE

The Barthel index (BI) is the most commonly used measure of poststroke disability. The purpose of this article is to explore the different complications and severity of the sequelae of elderly stroke patients with different BI in the emergency department, so as to provide a theoretical basis for strengthening the treatment of elderly patients with stroke sequelae.

METHODS

A retrospective study was adopted, and 1896 patients were divided into two groups according to the BI: 823 patients in the bedridden group (BI ≤ 40 points) and 1073 patients in the nonbedridden group (BI > 40 points). The type and number of complications and APACHE II score were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Compared with the two groups, pneumonia, renal insufficiency, respiratory failure, and decubitus ulcer in the bedridden group had a higher incidence, but the incidence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding and fractures in the nonbedridden group was significantly higher (P < 0.05). The APACHE II score of the patients in the bedridden group was higher than that of the nonbedridden group, and they were critical (P < 0.001). And the number of complications was higher than that in the nonbedridden group. Moreover, the BI was negatively correlated with the APACHE-II score and the number of complications, and the APACHE II score was positively correlated with the number of complications (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Different complications and severity of illness occur in elderly patients with sequelae of stroke after different BI in the emergency department.

A Prospective Economic Evaluation of Rapid Endovascular Therapy for Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

During the Randomized Assessment of Rapid Endovascular Treatment (EVT) of Ischemic Stroke (ESCAPE) trial, patient-level micro-costing data were collected. We report a cost-effectiveness analysis of EVT, using ESCAPE trial data and Markov simulation, from a universal, single-payer system using a societal perspective over a patient's lifetime.

METHODS

Primary data collection alongside the ESCAPE trial provided a 3-month trial-specific, non-model, based cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). A Markov model utilizing ongoing lifetime costs and life expectancy from the literature was built to simulate the cost per QALY adopting a lifetime horizon. Health states were defined using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores. Uncertainty was explored using scenario analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The 3-month trial-based analysis resulted in a cost per QALY of $201,243 of EVT compared to the best standard of care. In the model-based analysis, using a societal perspective and a lifetime horizon, EVT dominated the standard of care; EVT was both more effective and less costly than the standard of care (-$91). When the time horizon was shortened to 1 year, EVT remains cost savings compared to standard of care (∼$15,376 per QALY gained with EVT). However, if the estimate of clinical effectiveness is 4% less than that demonstrated in ESCAPE, EVT is no longer cost savings compared to standard of care.

CONCLUSIONS

Results support the adoption of EVT as a treatment option for acute ischemic stroke, as the increase in costs associated with caring for EVT patients was recouped within the first year of stroke, and continued to provide cost savings over a patient's lifetime.Clinical Trial Registration: NCT01778335.

Prognostic value of plasma fibroblast growth factor 21 among patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To evaluate the association between plasma fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF-21) and clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A total of 3412 acute ischemic stroke patients from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke with plasma FGF-21 measurements were included in this analysis. The primary outcome was a combination of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) within 1 year after stroke.

RESULTS

During the 1-year of follow-up, 745 (21.83%) patients experienced the primary outcome; 550 had a major disability and 195 died. After multivariate adjustment, higher plasma FGF-21 was significantly associated with increased risk of the primary outcome (odds ratio = 1.52, 95% confidence interval = 1.11-1.29). Each 1-SD increase of log-transformed FGF-21 (0.67 pg/ml) was associated with 19%, 3%, and 33% increased risk of the primary outcome, major disability, and death, respectively. The addition of FGF-21 to the conventional risk factors significantly improved prediction of the primary outcome in ischemic stroke patients (net reclassification index = 10.8%, p = 0.011; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.3%, p = 0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher plasma FGF-21 was associated with poor prognosis in acute ischemic stroke patients, suggesting that FGF-21 may be a prognostic marker for ischemic stroke.

Machine learning to predict mortality after rehabilitation among patients with severe stroke

Stroke is among the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. Approximately 20–25% of stroke survivors present severe disability, which is associated with increased mortality risk. Prognostication is inherent in the process of clinical decision-making. Machine learning (ML) methods have gained increasing popularity in the setting of biomedical research. The aim of this study was twofold: assessing the performance of ML tree-based algorithms for predicting three-year mortality model in 1207 stroke patients with severe disability who completed rehabilitation and comparing the performance of ML algorithms to that of a standard logistic regression. The logistic regression model achieved an area under the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.745 and was well calibrated. At the optimal risk threshold, the model had an accuracy of 75.7%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 33.9%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 91.0%. The ML algorithm outperformed the logistic regression model through the implementation of synthetic minority oversampling technique and the Random Forests, achieving an AUC of 0.928 and an accuracy of 86.3%. The PPV was 84.6% and the NPV 87.5%. This study introduced a step forward in the creation of standardisable tools for predicting health outcomes in individuals affected by stroke.

Factors Influencing Sitting Ability During the Acute Post-Stroke Phase: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study in Japan

OBJECTIVES

Sitting ability during the acute phase after stroke is a useful indicator of functional outcomes; however, factors that affect this ability have not been evaluated. Therefore, this study aimed to identify and evaluate factors that affect sitting ability in the acute phase after stroke.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter prospective cohort study included hemispheric stroke patients who underwent an inpatient rehabilitation program after acute stroke from five acute care hospitals. The effect of age, sex, lesion side, etiology, consciousness disorder, stroke and dementia history, stroke-related complications, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, hemiparalysis, turn-over movement from the supine position and sit-up movement, and Scale for Contraversive Pushing on the "remain sitting" item in the revised version of the Ability of Basic Movement Scale at the time of acute hospital discharge were investigated. Factors affecting sitting ability were identified using binomial logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

We included 293 stroke patients. Age (odds ratio: 0.943, 95% confidence interval: 0.910-0.977, p=0.001), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (odds ratio: 0.862, 95% confidence interval: 0.811-0.916, p<0.001), and Scale for Contraversive Pushing score (odds ratio: 0.543, 95% confidence interval: 0.419-0.705, p<0.001) were identified as independent predictors of sitting ability at the time of hospital discharge (median; 23.0 days).

CONCLUSIONS

Older patients and those with high Scale for Contraversive Pushing and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores experienced difficulties in regaining sitting ability. These results may guide physical therapy for patients with impaired sitting ability due to hemispheric stroke.

The impact of wheelchair propulsion based physical activity on functional recovery in stroke rehabilitation: a multicenter observational study

PURPOSE

We aimed to evaluate the relationship between the daily wheelchair self-propulsion distance and functional recovery in subacute stroke survivors.

METHODS

Seventy-four patients with stroke were prospectively recruited from four convalescent rehabilitation hospitals. All participants were unable to walk independently and required manual wheelchairs for locomotion on admission. The daily wheelchair self-propulsion distance was measured using a cycle computer that was connected to a touch switch to exclude the assistance-propulsion distance. The outcome measures were represented as the relative gain of the Functional Independence Measure (FIM) effectiveness during hospitalization. Moreover, a better functional recovery was defined as a FIM effectiveness > 50%. Participants were categorized into three groups according to tertiles of the average daily wheelchair self-propulsion distance: lowest tertile (T1, ≤0.59 km/day); middle tertile (T2, 0.60-1.23 km/day); and highest tertile (T3, ≥1.24 km/day).

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for baseline characteristics showed that the T2 and T3 groups had a significant association with better FIM effectiveness, and their odds ratios (95% confidence interval, p) were 7.26 (1.13-45.85, p = .038), and 10.19 (1.15-91.75, p = .035), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The daily wheelchair self-propulsion distance was significantly associated with functional recovery in subacute stroke survivors.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONNon-ambulatory stroke survivors can obtain extra independent physical activity by using wheelchair self-propulsion, when they do not have someone to assist them with walking.This multicenter observational study revealed that the self-propulsion distance of a manual-wheelchair was significantly associated with functional recovery in subacute stroke survivors.

Successful outcomes of endoscopic lithotripsy in completely bedridden patients with symptomatic urinary calculi

Due to the aging population, the number of completely bedridden individuals is expected to increase, and such individuals are at high risk of developing urinary calculi. This retrospective study included 32 consecutive bedridden patients, who had undergone endoscopic lithotripsy between 2010 and 2019, and aimed to identify the treatment outcomes of endoscopic lithotripsy for bedridden patients. A total of 45 endoscopic lithotripsies were performed to treat stones (median cumulative diameter, 24 mm). The stone-free rate (SFR) < 4 mm and complete SFR (0 mm) were achieved in 81% and 63% of patients, respectively. Postoperatively, 10 patients (22%) developed symptoms of systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and three patients (7%) had bloodstream infections. Except for one patient (3%) having a retained ureteral stent ultimately died from septic shock, drainage tube-free discharge was achieved in all patients. The 2-year cumulative incidence of stone-related events, and overall mortality rate, were 18% and 27%, respectively. Endoscopic lithotripsy is well tolerated and is associated with a high success rate, even with severe comorbidities and a relatively large stone burden. Physicians should consider performing endoscopic lithotripsy in bedridden patients with symptomatic urinary calculi regardless of their relatively short life expectancy and the remote risk of perioperative mortality.

Fluoxetine to improve functional outcomes in patients after acute stroke: the FOCUS RCT

BACKGROUND

Our Cochrane review of selective serotonin inhibitors for stroke recovery indicated that fluoxetine may improve functional recovery, but the trials were small and most were at high risk of bias.

OBJECTIVES

The Fluoxetine Or Control Under Supervision (FOCUS) trial tested the hypothesis that fluoxetine improves recovery after stroke.

DESIGN

The FOCUS trial was a pragmatic, multicentre, parallel-group, individually randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

SETTING

This trial took place in 103 UK hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients were eligible if they were aged ≥ 18 years, had a clinical stroke diagnosis, with focal neurological deficits, between 2 and 15 days after onset.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomly allocated 20 mg of fluoxetine once per day or the matching placebo for 6 months via a web-based system using a minimisation algorithm.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale at 6 months. Patients, carers, health-care staff and the trial team were masked to treatment allocation. Outcome was assessed at 6 and 12 months after randomisation. Patients were analysed by their treatment allocation as specified in a published statistical analysis plan.

RESULTS

Between 10 September 2012 and 31 March 2017, we recruited 3127 patients, 1564 of whom were allocated fluoxetine and 1563 of whom were allocated placebo. The modified Rankin Scale score at 6 months was available for 1553 out of 1564 (99.3%) of those allocated fluoxetine and 1553 out of 1563 (99.4%) of those allocated placebo. The distribution across modified Rankin Scale categories at 6 months was similar in the two groups (common odds ratio adjusted for minimisation variables 0.951, 95% confidence interval 0.839 to 1.079; p = 0.439). Compared with placebo, patients who were allocated fluoxetine were less likely to develop a new episode of depression by 6 months [210 (13.0%) vs. 269 (16.9%), difference -3.78%, 95% confidence interval -1.26% to -6.30%; p = 0.003], but had more bone fractures [45 (2.9%) vs. 23 (1.5%), difference 1.41%, 95% confidence interval 0.38% to 2.43%; p = 0.007]. There were no statistically significant differences in any other recorded events at 6 or 12 months. Health economic analyses showed no differences between groups in health-related quality of life, hospital bed usage or health-care costs.

LIMITATIONS

Some non-adherence to trial medication, lack of face-to-face assessment of neurological status at follow-up and lack of formal psychiatric diagnosis during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

20 mg of fluoxetine daily for 6 months after acute stroke did not improve patients' functional outcome but decreased the occurrence of depression and increased the risk of fractures. These data inform decisions about using fluoxetine after stroke to improve functional outcome or to prevent or treat mood disorders. The Assessment oF FluoxetINe In sTroke recoverY (AFFINITY) (Australasia/Vietnam) and Efficacy oF Fluoxetine - a randomisEd Controlled Trial in Stroke (EFFECTS) (Sweden) trials recruited an additional 2780 patients and will report their results in 2020. These three trials have an almost identical protocol, which was collaboratively developed. Our planned individual patient data meta-analysis will provide more precise estimates of the effects of fluoxetine after stroke and indicate whether or not effects vary depending on patients' characteristics and health-care setting.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN83290762.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 24, No. 22. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information. The Stroke Association (reference TSA 2011101) funded the start-up phase.

Serum Neurofilament Light Chain as a Predictive Biomarker for Ischemic Stroke Outcome: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Stroke is the leading cause of death and long-term disability worldwide. The purpose of the study is to examine the role of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) as a predictive biomarker for ischemic stroke outcome.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE for potential studies published in English previous to November 15, 2019. Two independent reviewers screened the search results for studies reporting the correlation between sNfL and stroke outcome in ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack patients. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was adopted to evaluate the quality of the included studies. The pooled odds ratio (OR) of sNfL for stroke functional outcome was calculated with the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software, version 2. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed with the I² test and funnel plot, respectively.

RESULTS

Seven studies met the inclusion criteria. The qualities of the included studies ranged from moderate to high. Despite of the different methods used to measure infarct volume, 5 of the included studies reported similar results about the association between sNfL and infarct volume. Two studies investigating the relationship between sNfL and recurrent ischemic events both reported positive results. In pooled analysis with the adjusted odds ratios (Ors) from multivariate regression models, the meta-analysis reached a pooled adjusted OR = 1.71 [95% CI: 1.17-4.29], which represented that the patients with higher sNfL, compared with lower sNfL patients, had a 1.71 times higher risk of poor functional outcome during follow-up. Both meta-regression and subgroup analysis found that sampling time was an important source of heterogeneity. Based on funnel plot and Egger's test, we did not detect obvious publication bias in our study.

CONCLUSIONS

The sNfL was a promising predictive biomarker for ischemic stroke outcome, and blood sampling time was of great importance in the correlation. The temporal change of sNfL after stroke deserves further exploration in large longitudinal studies and a standardized procedure is warranted.

Factors contributing to post-stroke health care utilization and costs, secondary results from the life after stroke (LAST) study

BACKGROUND

The result from the Life After Stroke (LAST) study showed that an 18-month follow up program as part of the primary health care, did not improve maintenance of motor function for stroke survivors. In this study we evaluated whether the follow-up program could lead to a reduction in the use of health care compared to standard care. Furthermore, we analyse to what extent differences in health care costs for stroke patients could be explained by individual need factors (such as physical disability, cognitive impairment, age, gender and marital status), and we tested whether a generic health related quality of life (HRQoL) is able to predict the utilisation of health care services for patients post-stroke as well as more disease specific indexes.

METHODS

The Last study was a multicentre, pragmatic, single-blinded, randomized controlled trial. Adults (age ≥ 18 years) with first-ever or recurrent stroke, community dwelling, with modified Rankin Scale < 5. The study included 380 persons recruited 10 to 16 weeks post-stroke, randomly assigned to individualized coaching for 18 months (n = 186) or standard care (n = 194). Individual need was measured by the Motor assessment scale (MAS), Barthel Index, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and Gait speed. HRQoL was measured by EQ-5D-5 L. Health care costs were estimated for each person based on individual information of health care use. Multivariate regression analysis was used to analyse cost differences between the groups and the relationship between individual costs and determinants of health care utilisation.

RESULTS

There were higher total costs in the intervention group. MAS, Gait speed, HADS and mRS were significant identifiers of costs post-stroke, as was EQ-5D-5 L.

CONCLUSION

Long term, regular individualized coaching did not reduce health care costs compared to standard care. We found that MAS, Gait speed, HADS and mRS were significant predictors for future health care use. The generic EQ-5D-5 L performed equally well as the more detailed battery of outcome measures, suggesting that HRQoL measures may be a simple and efficient way of identifying patients in need of health care after stroke and targeting groups for interventions.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

https://www.clinicaltrials.govNCT01467206. The trial was retrospectively registered after the first 6 participants were included.

Is functional disability a risk equivalent to the comorbidity of multi-vascular risk factors for cardiovascular events and all-cause death? A 5-year follow-up study

Background/objectives: Functional disability (FD) is common after stroke and associated with the occurrence of future adverse events; however, whether FD is as strong a risk factor as comorbid vascular risk factors for cardiovascular events and death is unclear. Methods: Consecutive patients 3-6 months after index ischemic stroke were assessed at baseline and followed up for documented new cardiovascular events (recurrent stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and sudden death) and death within 5 years. Comorbidity of vascular risk factors was stratified as low or intermediate-to-high risk according to the Stroke Prognostic Instrument II. Four mutually exclusive cohorts were identified (1) intermediate-to-high risk only, n = 505, (2) FD only, n = 78, (3) both intermediate-to-high risk and FD, n = 264, and (4) low risk and no FD, n = 240. Results: The incidence of cardiovascular events was lowest in patients free of FD with low risk, followed by patients with FD alone, intermediate-to-high risk alone, and both. Compared with intermediate-to-high risk only, patients free of FD with low risk had a significantly lower adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (HR: 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.33-0.94), patients with FD only had a similar HR (HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.19 -1.18), and patients with both FD and intermediate-to-high risk had a significantly higher HR (HR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.53-2.98) of cardiovascular events. A similar trend but a larger HR was noted for all-cause death. Conclusion: FD 3-6 months after ischemic stroke is a risk equivalent to comorbidity of conventional vascular risk factors for the incidence of cardiovascular events and mortality of all-cause death.

Serum omentin-1 and risk of one-year mortality in patients with ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Prior studies suggested that ischemic stroke patients with high omentin-1 concentrations were at a decreased risk of unstable carotid plaque and 3-month poor functional outcome. We aim to evaluate the association between serum omentin-1 and 1-y mortality after ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A total of 303 ischemic stroke patients were prospectively followed up at 1 y. Outcome was defined as death occurred during the follow-up period. A multivariable Cox model was used to evaluate the association between serum omentin-1 concentrations and 1-y mortality among ischemic stroke patients.

RESULTS

From lowest to highest tertile of serum omentin-1, the 1-y cumulative death rate was 12%, 3.7% and 2.1%, respectively (P = 0.006). The hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of the highest tertile compared with the lowest tertile was 0.19 (0.04-0.88) for mortality after multivariable adjustment (P for trend < 0.01). The net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement were significantly improved in predicting 1-y mortality when omentin-1 data was added to the multivariable Cox regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with ischemic stroke, high baseline serum omentin-1 was associated with a decreased risk of 1-y mortality. These findings, if confirmed by clinical trials, suggest that increasing omentin-1 concentrations may lower the risk of mortality among ischemic stroke patients.

Sex Differences in Long-Term Mortality and Functional Outcome After Rehabilitation in Patients With Severe Stroke

Objective: We sought to determine sex differences in outcomes in patients with severe stroke who had been admitted to inpatient rehabilitation. Methods: We studied 1,316 patients aged 18 to 99 (mean 72) classified as case-mix groups 0108, 0109, and 0110 of the Medicare case-mix classification system. These groups encompass the most severe strokes. Three outcomes were analyzed: (1) 3-year mortality from admission to rehabilitation; (2) combined outcome of transfer to acute care or death within 90 days from admission to rehabilitation; (3) functional outcome, including proportional recovery in motor functioning and good functional outcome as defined by achievement of a Functional Independence Measure (FIM)-motor score ≥65 points at discharge. Multivariable regression analyses were used to assess sex-difference in each outcome between women and men. The covariates examined included age, marital status, comorbidities, time from stroke onset to rehabilitation admission <30 days, ischemic stroke, dysphagia, neglect, motor FIM score at admission, and cognitive FIM score at admission. Results: Kaplan-Meier estimated 3-year mortality rate was 20.7% in women and 22.0% in men. The crude hazard ratio (HR) of death for women compared with men was 0.94 (95% CI 0.74-1.20). After adjustment for significant covariates, the HR of 3-year mortality was 0.73 (95% CIs 0.56-0.96; p = 0.025). Comorbidity, including diabetes, anemia, coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, significantly increased mortality risk by 49-88%. The incidence of the combined outcome was 8.3% in women and 8.4% in men. The crude HR of the combined end-point for women compared with men was 1.05 (95% CI 0.72-1.53). After adjustment for significant covariates, the HR was 0.95 (95% CIs 0.65-1.40; p = 0.810). Likewise, no significant difference in proportional recovery or in the rate of achievement of a good functional outcome between women and men was observed. Conclusion: Among patients admitted to inpatient rehabilitation after severe stroke, women and men had comparable crude mortality rates at 3 years. After multivariable adjustment, however, women had lower mortality risk. No sex-differences in the risk of being transferred to acute care or dying within 90 days from admission to rehabilitation or in responsiveness to rehabilitation were observed.

Estimating the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of establishing additional endovascular Thrombectomy stroke Centres in England: a discrete event simulation

BACKGROUND

We have previously modelled that the optimal number of comprehensive stroke centres (CSC) providing endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in England would be 30 (net 6 new centres). We now estimate the relative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of increasing the number of centres from 24 to 30.

METHODS

We constructed a discrete event simulation (DES) to estimate the effectiveness and lifetime cost-effectiveness (from a payer perspective) using 1 year's incidence of stroke in England. 2000 iterations of the simulation were performed comparing baseline 24 centres to 30.

RESULTS

Of 80,800 patients admitted to hospital with acute stroke/year, 21,740 would be affected by the service reconfiguration. The median time to treatment for eligible early presenters (< 270 min since onset) would reduce from 195 (IQR 155-249) to 165 (IQR 105-224) minutes. Our model predicts reconfiguration would mean an additional 33 independent patients (modified Rankin scale [mRS] 0-1) and 30 fewer dependent/dead patients (mRS 3-6) per year. The net addition of 6 centres generates 190 QALYs (95%CI - 6 to 399) and results in net savings to the healthcare system of £1,864,000/year (95% CI -1,204,000 to £5,017,000). The estimated budget impact was a saving of £980,000 in year 1 and £7.07 million in years 2 to 5.

CONCLUSION

Changes in acute stroke service configuration will produce clinical and cost benefits when the time taken for patients to receive treatment is reduced. Benefits are highly likely to be cost saving over 5 years before any capital investment above £8 million is required.

Life Expectancy after Stroke Based On Age, Sex, and Rankin Grade of Disability: A Synthesis

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability in the developed world. The major factor affecting long term survival (other than age) is known to be the severity of disability. Yet to our knowledge there are no studies reporting life expectancies stratified by both age and severity. Remaining life expectancy is a key measure of health.

METHODS

We identified 11 long-term follow-up studies of stroke patients that reported the multivariate effects of age, sex, the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) grade of disability, and other factors. From these we computed the composite effects of these factors on survival, then used these to calculate age-, sex-, and mRS-specific mortality rates. Finally we used the rates to construct life tables, and hence obtain life expectancies.

RESULTS

Life expectancy varies by age, sex, and mRS. The life expectancies of males age 70, for example, were 13, 13, 11, 8, 6, and 5 years for Rankin Grades 0-5, respectively, representing reductions of 1, 1, 3, 6, 8, and 9 years from the corresponding general population figure.

CONCLUSIONS

These figures demonstrate the importance of rehabilitation following stroke, and can be used in discussion of public policy and benchmarking of future results.

Comparative Study of Back Propagation Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression Model in Predicting Poor Prognosis after Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective

To investigate the predictive value of clinical variables on the poor prognosis at 90-day follow-up from acute stroke onset, and compare the diagnostic performance between back propagation artificial neural networks (BP ANNs) and Logistic regression (LR) models in predicting the prognosis.

Methods

We studied the association between clinical variables and the functional recovery of 435 acute ischemic stroke patients. The patients were divided into 2 groups according to modified Rankin Scale scores evaluated on the 90th day after stroke onset. Both BP ANNs and LR models were established for predicting the poor outcome and their diagnostic performance were compared by receiver operating curve.

Results

Age, free fatty acid, homocysteine and alkaline phosphatase were closely related with the poor outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients and finally enrolled in models. The accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of BP ANNs were 80.15%, 75.64% and 82.07% respectively. For the LR model, the accuracy, sensitivity and specificity was 70.61%, 88.46% and 63.04% respectively. The area under the ROC curve of the BP ANNs and LR model was 0.881and 0.809.

Conclusions

Both BP ANNs and LR model were promising for the prediction of poor outcome by combining age, free fatty acid, homocysteine and alkaline phosphatase. However, BP ANNs model showed better performance than LR model in predicting the prognosis.

Economic Evaluation of Stem Cell Therapies in Neurological Diseases: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

To examine economic evaluation studies of stem cell therapies (SCTs) in neurological disorders and to provide an overview of the quality of the economic evidence available on this topic.

METHODS

The review examined studies that performed an economic evaluation of the use of stem cells in adult patients with neurological diseases and that were published in English during the period 2007 to 2017. Data analyzed and reported included study population, disease indication, main analytical approaches for the economic analysis and perspective, key assumptions made or tested in sensitivity analyses, cost outcomes, estimates of incremental cost effectiveness, and approaches to quantifying decision uncertainty.

RESULTS

A total of three studies reporting on the findings of the economic evaluation of the use of SCT in stroke, Parkinson disease, and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, respectively, were identified. All three studies conducted a cost-utility analysis using decision-analytic models and reported an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-years gained (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio) versus standard care. These studies reported meaningful cost savings in stroke, Parkinson disease, and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in the base-case scenarios.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite significant progress in clinical research in the use of SCT in neurological diseases, economic evaluation of these therapies is still at a nascent stage. Given the early stage of research inputs (clinical and cost outcomes data) into the models per se, further research is urgently needed to enable meaningful assessment of the cost effectiveness of these advanced therapies and to ensure sustainable access for population groups most likely to benefit in clinical practice.

Association Between Total Cholesterol and 5 year Mortality in Patients with Carotid Artery Stenosis and Poststroke Functional Dependence

BACKGROUND

Aggressive lipid-lowering treatment reduces the risk of cardiovascular events, but remains controversial in stroke patients. We investigate the influence of total cholesterol level on 5-year outcomes of ischemic stroke patients with high-grade internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis and poststroke functional dependence.

METHODS

One-hundred and ninety-six acute ischemic stroke patients with high-grade ICA stenosis and modified Rankin Scale score ≥ 3 upon discharge were enrolled and prospectively observed for 5 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to total cholesterol level at admission: ≥200 mg/dL or <200 mg/dL. Demographic features, vascular risk factors, co-morbidities, and outcomes were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

117 (59.7%) patients had higher and 79 (40.3%) patients had lower total cholesterol levels. The prevalence of older age and atrial fibrillation was significantly higher in patients with lower total cholesterol; the prevalence of diabetes mellitus was higher in patients with higher total cholesterol. After adjusting for the established clinical predictors of adverse outcomes, the multivariate Cox regression revealed that lower total cholesterol level is a significant predictor of 5-year mortality (HR (hazard ratio) = 1.88, 95% CI (confidence interval) = 1.09-3.23, P = .023).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower total cholesterol level is associated with increased risk of 5-year mortality in ischemic stroke patients with high-grade ICA stenosis and post-stroke functional dependence. Aggressive treatment of hyperlipidemia should be carefully considered in these patients although it could reduce the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases and stroke recurrence in some stroke patients.

Quality of Anticoagulation and Treatment Satisfaction in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Treated with Vitamin K Antagonist: Result from the KORean Atrial Fibrillation Investigation II

BACKGROUND

Vitamin K antagonist (VKA) to prevent thromboembolism in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients has limitations such as drug interaction. This study investigated the clinical characteristics of Korean patients treated with VKA for stroke prevention and assessed quality of VKA therapy and treatment satisfaction.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter, prospective, non-interventional study. Patients with CHADS₂ ≥ 1 and treated with VKA (started within the last 3 months) were enrolled from April 2013 to March 2014. Demographic and clinical features including risk factors of stroke and VKA treatment information was collected at baseline. Treatment patterns and international normalized ratio (INR) level were evaluated during follow-up. Time in therapeutic range (TTR) > 60% indicated well-controlled INR. Treatment satisfaction on the VKA use was measured by Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication (TSQM) after 3 months of follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 877 patients (age, 67; male, 60%) were enrolled and followed up for one year. More than half of patients (56%) had CHADS₂ ≥ 2 and 83.6% had CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥ 2. A total of 852 patients had one or more INR measurement during their follow-up period. Among those patients, 25.5% discontinued VKA treatment during follow-up. Of all patients, 626 patients (73%) had poor-controlled INR (TTR < 60%) measure. Patients' treatment satisfaction measured with TSQM was 55.6 in global satisfaction domain.

CONCLUSION

INR was poorly controlled in Korean NVAF patients treated with VKA. VKA users also showed low treatment satisfaction.

Risk analysis of new oral anticoagulants for gastrointestinal bleeding and intracranial hemorrhage in atrial fibrillation patients: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Antithrombotic therapy using new oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) has been generally shown to have a favorable risk-benefit profile. Since there has been dispute about the risks of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), we sought to conduct a systematic review and network meta-analysis using Bayesian inference to analyze the risks of GIB and ICH in AF patients taking NOACs.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 20 randomized controlled trials of 91 671 AF patients receiving anticoagulants, antiplatelet drugs, or placebo. Bayesian network meta-analysis of two different evidence networks was performed using a binomial likelihood model, based on a network in which different agents (and doses) were treated as separate nodes. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were modeled using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.

RESULTS

Indirect comparisons with the Bayesian model confirmed that aspirin+clopidogrel significantly increased the risk of GIB in AF patients compared to the placebo (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.01-0.92). Warfarin was identified as greatly increasing the risk of ICH compared to edoxaban 30 mg (OR 3.42, 95% CI 1.22-7.24) and dabigatran 110 mg (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.10-8.45). We further ranked the NOACs for the lowest risk of GIB (apixaban 5 mg) and ICH (apixaban 5 mg, dabigatran 110 mg, and edoxaban 30 mg).

CONCLUSIONS

Bayesian network meta-analysis of treatment of non-valvular AF patients with anticoagulants suggested that NOACs do not increase risks of GIB and/or ICH, compared to each other.

Long-term health-related quality of life, survival and costs by different levels of functional outcome six months after stroke

INTRODUCTION

Information about the impact of functional outcome after stroke is currently missing on health-related quality of life, survival and costs. This information would be valuable for health economic evaluations and for allocation of resources in stroke health care.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data on 297 Swedish patients included in the Third International Stroke Trial were analysed including functional outcome at six months (measured by Oxford Handicap Scale), health-related quality of life up to 18 months (EQ-5D-3L) and survival up to 36 months. We used record linkage to collect data on costs up to 36 months, using national patient registers.

RESULTS

Patients with a better functional outcome level at six months had a significantly better health-related quality of life at 18 months (p < 0.05), better long-term survival (p < 0.05) and lower costs (p < 0.001), for all time points up to 36 months. The difference in costs was mainly due to differences in days spent in hospital (p < 0.005).

DISCUSSION

This study showed an association between functional outcome at six months and health-related quality of life up to 18 months, and costs up to 36 months.

CONCLUSION

Functional outcome six months after stroke is an important determinant of health-related quality of life, survival and costs over 36 months. Effective interventions aimed at reducing short-term disability levels are therefore also expected to reduce the overall burden of stroke.

Aerobic exercise interventions reduce blood pressure in patients after stroke or transient ischaemic attack: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Secondary vascular risk reduction is critical to preventing recurrent stroke. We aimed to evaluate the effect of exercise interventions on vascular risk factors and recurrent ischaemic events after stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA).

DESIGN

Intervention systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

OVID MEDLINE, PubMed, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, TRIP Database, CINAHL, PsycINFO, SCOPUS, UK Clinical Trials Gateway and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure were searched from 1966 to October 2017.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials evaluating aerobic or resistance exercise interventions on vascular risk factors and recurrent ischaemic events among patients with stroke or TIA, compared with control.

RESULTS

Twenty studies (n=1031) were included. Exercise interventions resulted in significant reductions in systolic blood pressure (SBP) -4.30 mm Hg (95% CI -6.77 to -1.83) and diastolic blood pressure -2.58 mm Hg (95% CI -4.7 to -0.46) compared with control. Reduction in SBP was most pronounced among studies initiating exercise within 6 months of stroke or TIA (-8.46 mm Hg, 95% CI -12.18 to -4.75 vs -2.33 mm Hg, 95% CI -3.94 to -0.72), and in those incorporating an educational component (-7.81 mm Hg, 95% CI -14.34 to -1.28 vs -2.78 mm Hg, 95% CI -4.33 to -1.23). Exercise was also associated with reductions in total cholesterol (-0.27 mmol/L, 95% CI -0.54 to 0.00), but not fasting glucose or body mass index. One trial reported reductions in secondary vascular events with exercise, but was insufficiently powered.

SUMMARY

Exercise interventions can result in clinically meaningful blood pressure reductions, particularly if initiated early and alongside education.

Cost-Effectiveness of Patent Foramen Ovale Closure Versus Medical Therapy for Secondary Stroke Prevention

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Percutaneous transcatheter closure of patent foramen ovale (PFO closure) plus antiplatelet therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of recurrent stroke compared with medical therapy alone in carefully selected patients after cryptogenic stroke presumed to be from paradoxical embolism. Our objective was to determine the cost-effectiveness of PFO closure after cryptogenic stroke compared with conservative medical management from a US healthcare payer perspective.

METHODS

A decision analytic Markov model estimated the 15-year cost and outcomes associated with the additional benefit of PFO closure compared with medical management alone. Model inputs were obtained from published literature, national databases, and a meta-analysis of 5 published randomized clinical trials on PFO closure. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALY). Cost-effectiveness used the incremental cost per QALY gained, whereas the net monetary benefit assumed a willingness to pay of $150 000/QALY. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses estimated the uncertainty of model results.

RESULTS

At 15 years, PFO closure compared with medical therapy alone improved QALY by 0.33 at a cost saving of $3568, representing an incremental net monetary benefit of $52 761 (95% interval -$8284 to $158 910). When the meta-analysis hazard ratio for stroke was increased to the 95% interval's upper bound of 0.77, one-way sensitivity analyses suggested that PFO closure's cost-effectiveness was $458 558 per additional QALY. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested cost-effectiveness in 90% of simulation runs.

CONCLUSIONS

PFO closure for cryptogenic strokes in the right setting is cost-effective, producing benefit in QALYs gained and potential cost savings. However, patient selection remains vitally important as marginal declines in treatment effectiveness can dramatically affect cost-effectiveness.

Long-Term Survival After Intravenous Thrombolysis for Ischemic Stroke: A Propensity Score-Matched Cohort With up to 10-Year Follow-Up

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background and Purpose—

Intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase is one of the few approved treatments for acute ischemic stroke; nevertheless, little is known about its long-term effects on survival and recovery because clinical trials follow-up times are limited.

Methods—

Patients registered between January 2005 and December 2015, to the population-based South London Stroke Register of first-ever strokes. Propensity score was used to match thrombolyzed and control cases to a 1:2 ratio by demographical and clinical covariates. The primary outcome was survival up to 10 years using Kaplan–Meier estimates, Cox proportional hazards, and restricted mean survival time. Secondary outcomes included stroke recurrence and functional status (Barthel Index and Frenchay Activities Index scores) at 5 years.

Results—

From 2052 ischemic strokes, 246 treated patients were matched to 492 controls. Median follow-up time 5.45 years (interquartile range, 4.56). Survival was higher in the treatment group (median, 5.72 years) compared with control group (4.98 years, stratified log-rank test <0.001). The number needed to treat to prevent 1 death at 5 years was 12 and 20 at 10 years. After Cox regression analysis, thrombolysis reduced risk of mortality by 37% (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48–0.82) at 10 years; however, after introducing a multiplicative interaction term into the model, mortality risk reduction was 42% (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.40–0.82) at 10 years for those arriving within 3 hours to the hospital. On average, in a 10-year period, treated patients lived 1 year longer than controls. At 5 years, thrombolysis was associated with independence (Barthel Index≥90; odds ratio, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.22–13.34) and increased odds of a higher Frenchay Activities Index (proportional odds ratio, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.16–4.91). There was no difference in stroke recurrence.

Conclusions—

Thrombolysis with intravenous alteplase is associated with improved long-term survival and functional status after ischemic stroke.

A new clinical decision support tool for improving the adequacy of anticoagulant therapy and reducing the incidence of stroke in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: A randomized clinical trial in primary care

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and increases the risk of ischemic stroke 4 to 5-fold. The first choice of anticoagulant therapy (AT) is the vitamin K antagonist (VKA). Contraindication to VKA or poor control of the International Normalized Ratio leads to the administration of direct-acting oral anticoagulants. There is a trend toward inadequate AT in nonvalvular AF (NVAF) patients.

AIM

To evaluate the impact of the implementation of a decision support tool linked to the digital clinical history on the adequacy of AT, the incidence of complications, and the mortality in patients with NVAF in primary care centers (PCCs) of the Catalan Institute of Health (ICS).

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Randomized clinical trial in 287 PCCs, formed by 2 groups (intervention and control).

POPULATION

patients controlled in PCCs, diagnosed with NVAF 1 year before the implementation of the decision support tool and with VKA treatment over a minimum of 1 year. A simple randomization method will be performed at a sector level. The decision support tool will be available for 1 year. The time in therapeutic range (TTR) will be available in the digital clinical history only to professionals of the intervention group. The information system for primary care research development database will be used for the data extraction. Statistical analysis will be done at 3 time points: before the implementation of the tool, at 1 year, and at 2 years after the beginning of the intervention. Multilevel (patient and professional levels) logistic regression models will be used to estimate the effect of the intervention.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol was approved by the Ethical Committee of Clinical Investigation of the Institut Universitari d'Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (code P17/091). Articles will be published in scientific journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical-Trials.gov: NCT03367325.

Efficacy and Safety of Individualized Coaching After Stroke: the LAST Study (Life After Stroke): A Pragmatic Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The evidence for interventions to prevent functional decline in the long term after stroke is lacking. The aim of this trial was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of an 18-month follow-up program of individualized regular coaching on physical activity and exercise.

METHODS

This was a multicentre, pragmatic, single-blinded, randomized controlled trial. Adults (age ≥18 years) with first-ever or recurrent stroke, community dwelling, with modified Rankin Scale <5, and no serious comorbidities were included 10 to 16 weeks poststroke. The intervention group received individualized regular coaching on physical activity and exercise every month for 18 consecutive months. The control group received standard care. Primary outcome was the Motor Assessment Scale at end of intervention (18-month follow-up). Secondary measures were Barthel index, modified Rankin Scale, item 14 from Berg Balance Scale, Timed Up and Go test, gait speed, 6-minute walk test, and Stroke Impact Scale. Other outcomes were adverse events and compliance to the intervention assessed by training diaries and the International Physical Activity Questionnaire.

RESULTS

Three hundred and eighty consenting participants were randomly assigned to individualized coaching (n=186) or standard care (n=194). The mean estimated difference on Motor Assessment Scale in favor of control group was -0.70 points (95% confidence interval, -2.80, 1.39), P=0.512. There were no differences between the groups on Barthel index, modified Rankin Scale, or Berg Balance Scale. The frequency of adverse events was low in both groups. Results from International Physical Activity Questionnaire and training diaries showed increased activity levels but low intensity of the exercise in the intervention group.

CONCLUSIONS

The regular individualized coaching did not improve maintenance of motor function or the secondary outcomes compared with standard care. The intervention should be regarded as safe. Despite the neutral results, the health costs related to the intervention should be investigated.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01467206.

The FOCUS, AFFINITY and EFFECTS trials studying the effect(s) of fluoxetine in patients with a recent stroke: statistical and health economic analysis plan for the trials and for the individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Small trials have suggested that fluoxetine may improve neurological recovery from stroke. FOCUS, AFFINITY and EFFECTS are a family of investigator-led, multicentre, parallel group, randomised, placebo-controlled trials which aim to determine whether the routine administration of fluoxetine (20 mg daily) for six months after an acute stroke improves patients' functional outcome.

METHODS/DESIGN

The core protocol for the three trials has been published (Mead et al., Trials 20:369, 2015). The trials include patients aged 18 years and older with a clinical diagnosis of stroke and persisting focal neurological deficits at randomisation 2-15 days after stroke onset. Patients are randomised centrally via each trials' web-based randomisation system using a common minimisation algorithm. Patients are allocated fluoxetine 20 mg once daily or matching placebo capsules for six months. The primary outcome measure is the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at six months. Secondary outcomes include: living circumstances; the Stroke Impact Scale; EuroQol (EQ5D-5 L); the vitality subscale of the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF36); diagnosis of depression; adherence to medication; serious adverse events including death and recurrent stroke; and resource use at six and 12 months and the mRS at 12 months.

DISCUSSION

Minor variations have been tailored to the national setting in the UK (FOCUS), Australia, New Zealand and Vietnam (AFFINITY) and Sweden (EFFECTS). Each trial is run and funded independently and will report its own results. A prospectively planned individual patient data meta-analysis of all three trials will provide the most precise estimate of the overall effect and establish whether any effects differ between trials or subgroups. This statistical analysis plan describes the core analyses for all three trials and that for the individual patient data meta-analysis. Recruitment and follow-up in the FOCUS trial is expected to be completed by the end of 2018. AFFINITY and EFFECTS are likely to complete follow-up in 2020.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

FOCUS: ISRCTN , ISRCTN83290762 . Registered on 23 May 2012. EudraCT, 2011-005616-29. Registered on 3 February 2012.

AFFINITY

Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12611000774921 . Registered on 22 July 2011.

EFFECTS

ISRCTN , ISRCTN13020412 . Registered on 19 December 2014. Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02683213 . Registered on 2 February 2016. EudraCT, 2011-006130-16 . Registered on 8 August 2014.

Cost-effectiveness of dabigatran etexilate for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in atrial fibrillation: A Canadian payer perspective

Oral dabigatran etexilate is indicated for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) in whom anticoagulation is appropriate. Based on the RE-LY study we investigated the cost-effectiveness of Health Canada approved dabigatran etexilate dosing (150 mg bid for patients <80 years, 110 mg bid for patients ≥80 years) versus warfarin and “real-world” prescribing (i.e. warfarin, aspirin, or no treatment in a cohort of warfarin-eligible patients) from a Canadian payer perspective. A Markov model simulated AF patients at moderate to high risk of stroke while tracking clinical events [primary and recurrent ischaemic strokes, systemic embolism, transient ischaemic attack, haemorrhage (intracranial, extracranial, and minor), acute myocardial infarction and death] and resulting functional disability. Acute event costs and resulting long-term follow-up costs incurred by disabled stroke survivors were based on a Canadian prospective study, published literature, and national statistics. Clinical events, summarized as events per 100 patient-years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total costs, and incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated. Over a lifetime, dabigatran etexilate treated patients experienced fewer intracranial haemorrhages (0.49 dabigatran etexilate vs. 1.13 warfarin vs. 1.05 “real-world” prescribing) and fewer ischaemic strokes (4.40 dabigatran etexilate vs. 4.66 warfarin vs. 5.16 “real-world” prescribing) per 100 patient-years. The ICER of dabigatran etexilate was $10,440/QALY versus warfarin and $3,962/QALY versus “real-world” prescribing. This study demonstrates that dabigatran etexilate is a highly cost-effective alternative to current care for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism among Canadian AF patients.

Upper urinary tract stone disease in patients with poor performance status: active stone removal or conservative management?

Background

It remains controversial as to whether active stone removal should be performed in patients with poor performance status because of their short life expectancy and perioperative risks. Our objectives were to evaluate treatment outcomes of active stone removal in patients with poor performance status and to compare life prognosis with those managed conservatively.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 74 patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 3 or 4 treated for upper urinary tract calculi at our four hospitals between January 2009 and March 2016. Patients were classified into either surgical treatment group or conservative management group based on the presence of active stone removal. Stone-free rate and perioperative complications in surgical treatment group were reviewed. In addition, we compared overall survival and stone-specific survival between the two groups. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to investigate predictors of overall survival and stone-specific survival.

Results

Fifty-two patients (70.3%) underwent active stone removal (surgical treatment group) by extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (n = 6), ureteroscopy (n = 39), percutaneous nephrolithotomy (n = 6) or nephrectomy (n = 1). The overall stone-free rate was 78.8% and perioperative complication was observed in nine patients (17.3%). Conservative treatment was undergone by 22 patients (29.7%) (conservative management group). Two-year overall survival rates in surgical treatment and conservative management groups were 88.0% and 38.4%, respectively (p < 0.01) and two-year stone-specific survival rates in the two groups were 100.0% and 61.3%, respectively (p < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, stone removal was not significant, but was considered a possible favorable predictor for overall survival (p = 0.07). Moreover, stone removal was the only independent predictor of stone-specific survival (p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Active stone removal for patients with poor performance status could be performed safely and effectively. Compared to conservative management, surgical stone treatment achieved longer overall survival and stone-specific survival.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12894-017-0293-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.