A discrete choice experiment to elicit preferences for a chronic disease screening programme in Queensland, Australia

OBJECTIVE

Patient-centred care, increasingly highlighted in healthcare strategies, necessitates understanding public preferences for healthcare service attributes. We aimed to understand the preferences of the Australian population regarding the attributes of chronic disease screening programmes.

STUDY DESIGN

The preferences were elicited using the discrete choice experiment (DCE) methodology.

METHODS

A DCE was administered to a sample of the Australian general population. Respondents were asked to make choices, each offering two hypothetical screening scenarios defined by screening conduct, quality and accuracy of the test results, cost to the patient, wait time and source of information. Data were analysed using a panel mixed multinomial logit model.

RESULTS

A strong preference for highly accurate screening tests and nurse-led screenings at local health clinics was evident. They expressed disutility for waiting time and out-of-pocket costs but were indifferent about the source of information. Their preference for a nurse-led programme was highlighted by the fact that they were willing to pay $81 and $88 to get a nurse-led programme when they were offered a general practitioner-led and a specialist-led programme, respectively. Furthermore, they were willing to pay $32 to reduce a week of waiting time and $205 for a 95% accurate test compared to a 75% accurate test. Preferences remained consistent irrespective of the respondent's place of residence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlight the importance of diagnostic test accuracy and nurse-led service delivery in chronic disease screening programmes. These insights could guide the development of patient-centric services by enhancing test accuracy, reducing waiting times and promoting nurse-led care models.

Energetic Electron Precipitation Driven by Electromagnetic Ion Cyclotron Waves from ELFIN's Low Altitude Perspective

We review comprehensive observations of electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) wave-driven energetic electron precipitation using data collected by the energetic electron detector on the Electron Losses and Fields InvestigatioN (ELFIN) mission, two polar-orbiting low-altitude spinning CubeSats, measuring 50-5000 keV electrons with good pitch-angle and energy resolution. EMIC wave-driven precipitation exhibits a distinct signature in energy-spectrograms of the precipitating-to-trapped flux ratio: peaks at >0.5 MeV which are abrupt (bursty) (lasting ∼17 s, or Δ L ∼ 0.56 ) with significant substructure (occasionally down to sub-second timescale). We attribute the bursty nature of the precipitation to the spatial extent and structuredness of the wave field at the equator. Multiple ELFIN passes over the same MLT sector allow us to study the spatial and temporal evolution of the EMIC wave - electron interaction region. Case studies employing conjugate ground-based or equatorial observations of the EMIC waves reveal that the energy of moderate and strong precipitation at ELFIN approximately agrees with theoretical expectations for cyclotron resonant interactions in a cold plasma. Using multiple years of ELFIN data uniformly distributed in local time, we assemble a statistical database of ∼50 events of strong EMIC wave-driven precipitation. Most reside at L ∼ 5 - 7 at dusk, while a smaller subset exists at L ∼ 8 - 12 at post-midnight. The energies of the peak-precipitation ratio and of the half-peak precipitation ratio (our proxy for the minimum resonance energy) exhibit an L -shell dependence in good agreement with theoretical estimates based on prior statistical observations of EMIC wave power spectra. The precipitation ratio's spectral shape for the most intense events has an exponential falloff away from the peak (i.e., on either side of ∼ 1.45 MeV). It too agrees well with quasi-linear diffusion theory based on prior statistics of wave spectra. It should be noted though that this diffusive treatment likely includes effects from nonlinear resonant interactions (especially at high energies) and nonresonant effects from sharp wave packet edges (at low energies). Sub-MeV electron precipitation observed concurrently with strong EMIC wave-driven >1 MeV precipitation has a spectral shape that is consistent with efficient pitch-angle scattering down to ∼ 200-300 keV by much less intense higher frequency EMIC waves at dusk (where such waves are most frequent). At ∼100 keV, whistler-mode chorus may be implicated in concurrent precipitation. These results confirm the critical role of EMIC waves in driving relativistic electron losses. Nonlinear effects may abound and require further investigation.

Diagnostic radiography students' perspectives on cultural competence and safety

INTRODUCTION

Cultural competency and safety are essential components to consider in the provision of person-centred equitable healthcare. Therefore, student radiographers' learning should include the necessary knowledge, skill sets and competence to recognise the patient's unique characteristics to enable culturally competent and safe medical imaging services. Therefore, this study explored undergraduate and postgraduate diagnostic radiography students' perspectives on cultural competency and safety.

METHODS

A qualitative phenomenological design with a hermeneutic phenomenological approach was followed to explore student perspectives. Student radiographers (second and third-year undergraduate and first and second-year postgraduate) from the study site were purposively and conveniently recruited to participate in focus group interviews. Fifteen focus group interviews were conducted, recorded and transcribed verbatim before undergoing thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Thematic analysis identified two themes. Theme one centred around the cultural competence and safety learnt by student radiographers at university and the second theme cultural competence and safety learnt in workplace learning.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated the importance of cultural competence and safe practice in examining patients of different cultures. It highlights the importance of creating awareness among students of their own abilities and capabilities of cultural sensitivity and safe practice as part of their learning. Future health professionals should be empowered to address and respond to patients' unique needs in a competent, safe and professional manner to reduce health disparities.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Cultural competence and safety are integral to person-centred care. Including these concepts in radiography education is therefore vital to ensure optimal patient outcomes.

Intrathecal daptomycin use in a challenging case of Enterococcus faecium ventriculitis

Treatment of ventriculitis caused by enterococci can be challenging, and antibiotic options are limited. We describe a case of device-related ventriculitis caused by vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium, refractory to initial antibiotics. Our management approach included intrathecal daptomycin. There were no attributable adverse events, and the patient remained infection-free following ventriculo-peritoneal shunt insertion and cessation of antibiotics.

Cambridge hybrid closed-loop algorithm in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes: a multicentre 6-month randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Closed-loop insulin delivery systems have the potential to address suboptimal glucose control in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes. We compared safety and efficacy of the Cambridge hybrid closed-loop algorithm with usual care over 6 months in this population.

METHODS

In a multicentre, multinational, parallel randomised controlled trial, participants aged 6-18 years using insulin pump therapy were recruited at seven UK and five US paediatric diabetes centres. Key inclusion criteria were diagnosis of type 1 diabetes for at least 12 months, insulin pump therapy for at least 3 months, and screening HbA1c levels between 53 and 86 mmol/mol (7·0-10·0%). Using block randomisation and central randomisation software, we randomly assigned participants to either closed-loop insulin delivery (closed-loop group) or to usual care with insulin pump therapy (control group) for 6 months. Randomisation was stratified at each centre by local baseline HbA1c. The Cambridge closed-loop algorithm running on a smartphone was used with either (1) a modified Medtronic 640G pump, Medtronic Guardian 3 sensor, and Medtronic prototype phone enclosure (FlorenceM configuration), or (2) a Sooil Dana RS pump and Dexcom G6 sensor (CamAPS FX configuration). The primary endpoint was change in HbA1c at 6 months combining data from both configurations. The primary analysis was done in all randomised patients (intention to treat). Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02925299.

FINDINGS

Of 147 people initially screened, 133 participants (mean age 13·0 years [SD 2·8]; 57% female, 43% male) were randomly assigned to either the closed-loop group (n=65) or the control group (n=68). Mean baseline HbA1c was 8·2% (SD 0·7) in the closed-loop group and 8·3% (0·7) in the control group. At 6 months, HbA1c was lower in the closed-loop group than in the control group (between-group difference -3·5 mmol/mol (95% CI -6·5 to -0·5 [-0·32 percentage points, -0·59 to -0·04]; p=0·023). Closed-loop usage was low with FlorenceM due to failing phone enclosures (median 40% [IQR 26-53]), but consistently high with CamAPS FX (93% [88-96]), impacting efficacy. A total of 155 adverse events occurred after randomisation (67 in the closed-loop group, 88 in the control group), including seven severe hypoglycaemia events (four in the closed-loop group, three in the control group), two diabetic ketoacidosis events (both in the closed-loop group), and two non-treatment-related serious adverse events. There were 23 reportable hyperglycaemia events (11 in the closed-loop group, 12 in the control group), which did not meet criteria for diabetic ketoacidosis.

INTERPRETATION

The Cambridge hybrid closed-loop algorithm had an acceptable safety profile, and improved glycaemic control in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes. To ensure optimal efficacy of the closed-loop system, usage needs to be consistently high, as demonstrated with CamAPS FX.

FUNDING

National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

A cross sectional survey on the effect of COVID-19 related restrictions on undergraduate and postgraduate medical education in Qatar

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 pandemic has affected all dimensions of day to day life across the world and medical education was no exception. With this study, we aimed to understand the effect of nationwide restrictions on medical education in Qatar, the models of education adopted during this period and perceptions of participants to the same.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study utilizing an online questionnaire distributed via convenience sampling between April-October 2020. Study participants were faculty and trainees in governmental undergraduate and postgraduate medical education institutes. Two sets of questionnaires were designed for each group. They were asked a series of questions to assess pre- and post-COVID pandemic educational practices, their preferred teaching methods, and their familiarity with electronic teaching platforms. Faculty respondents were asked about their perceived barriers to delivery of medical education during the pandemic and their agreement on a 5-point Likert scale on specific elements. Trainees were asked a series of multiple-choice questions to characterize their pre- and post-COVID pandemic educational experiences. Both groups were asked open-ended questions to provide qualitative insights into their answers. Data were analysed using STATA software version 12.0.

RESULTS

Majority of trainees (58.5%) responded that the pandemic has adversely affected medical education at both the undergraduate and postgraduate levels. Trainees (58.5%) and faculty (35.7%) reported an increased reliance on e-learning. Trainees preferred face-to-face education, while faculty preferred a combination of models of education delivery (33.5% versus 37.1%, p = 0.38). Although 52.5% of the faculty had no previous experience of delivering education through e-learning modalities, 58.9% however felt confident in using e-learning software.

CONCLUSIONS

Faculty and trainees agree that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the provision of medical education and training in Qatar, with an increased dependence on e-learning. As trainee's prefer face-to-face models of education, we may have to consider restructuring of medical curricula in order to ensure that optimum learning is achieved via e-learning, while at the same time enhancing our use, knowledge and understanding of the e -learning methods. Further research is warranted to assess if these changes have influenced objective educational outcomes like graduation rates or board scores.

'It makes life so much easier'-experiences of users of the MicroGuide™ smartphone app for improving antibiotic prescribing behaviour in UK hospitals: an interview study

Objectives

To understand the impact on prescribing behaviour of an antimicrobial therapy guidelines smartphone app, in widespread use in hospitals in the UK.

Methods

Twenty-eight doctors and five nurse prescribers from four purposively selected hospitals in the UK participated in behavioural theory-informed semi-structured interviews about their experiences of using the MicroGuide™ smartphone app. Data were analysed using a thematic content analysis.

Results

Five themes emerged from the interview data: convenience and accessibility; validation of prescribing decisions; trust in app content; promotion of antimicrobial stewardship; and limitations and concerns. Participants appreciated the perceived convenience, accessibility and timesaving attributes of the app, potentially contributing to more prompt treatment of patients with time-critical illness. The interviewees also reported finding it reassuring to use the app to support decision-making and to validate existing knowledge. They trusted the app content authored by local experts and considered it to be evidence-based and up-to-date. This was believed to result in fewer telephone calls to the microbiology department for advice. Participants recognized the value of the app for supporting the goals of antimicrobial stewardship by promoting the responsible and proportionate use of antimicrobials. Finally, a number of limitations of the app were reported, including the risk of de-skilling trainees, cultural problems with using smartphones in clinical environments and software technical problems.

Conclusions

The MicroGuide app was valued as a means of addressing an unmet need for updated, concise, trustworthy specialist information in an accessible format at the bedside to support safe and effective antimicrobial prescribing.

Investigation into clinicopathological and pathological findings, prognosis, and aetiology of lorikeet paralysis syndrome in rainbow lorikeets (Trichoglossus haematodus)

Objective

To report the temporal and spatial distribution of rainbow lorikeets presenting with lorikeet paralysis syndrome (LPS) and their clinicopathologic and pathologic findings, exposure to toxins, and response to treatment.

Methods

Records of lorikeets admitted in 2017 and 2018 to facilities in south‐east Queensland (QLD) were reviewed and LPS and non‐LPS cases were mapped and their distribution compared. Plasma biochemistries and complete blood counts were done on 20 representative lorikeets from south‐east QLD and Grafton, New South Wales (NSW). Tissues from 28 lorikeets were examined histologically. Samples were tested for pesticides (n = 19), toxic elements (n = 23), botulism (n = 15) and alcohol (n = 5).

Results

LPS occurred in warmer months. Affected lorikeets were found across south‐east QLD. Hotspots were identified in Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast. Lorikeets had a heterophilic leucocytosis, elevated muscle enzymes, uric acid and sodium and chloride. Specific lesions were not found. Exposure to cadmium was common in LPS and non‐LPS lorikeets. Treated lorikeets had a 60–93% See Table 2 depending on severity of signs.

Clinical significance

The primary differential diagnosis for lorikeets presenting with lower motor neuron signs during spring, summer and autumn in northern NSW and south‐east Queensland should be LPS. With supportive care, prognosis is fair to good.

Experimental exploration of the amphoteric defect model by cryogenic ion irradiation of a range of wide band gap oxide materials

The evolution of electrical resistance as function of defect concentration is examined for the unipolarn-conducting oxides CdO,β-Ga₂O₃, In₂O₃, SnO₂and ZnO in order to explore the predictions of the amphoteric defect model. Intrinsic defects are introduced by ion irradiation at cryogenic temperatures, and the resistance is measured in-situ by current-voltage sweeps as a function of irradiation dose. Temperature dependent Hall effect measurements are performed to determine the carrier concentration and mobility of the samples before and after irradiation. After the ultimate irradiation step, the Ga₂O₃and SnO₂samples have both turned highly resistive. In contrast, the In₂O₃and ZnO samples are ultimately found to be less resistive than prior to irradiation, however, they both show an increased resistance at intermediate doses. Based on thermodynamic defect charge state transitions computed by hybrid density functional theory, a model expanding on the current amphoteric defect model is proposed.

The ELFIN Mission

The Electron Loss and Fields Investigation with a Spatio-Temporal Ambiguity-Resolving option (ELFIN-STAR, or heretoforth simply: ELFIN) mission comprises two identical 3-Unit (3U) CubeSats on a polar (∼93^∘ inclination), nearly circular, low-Earth (∼450 km altitude) orbit. Launched on September 15, 2018, ELFIN is expected to have a >2.5 year lifetime. Its primary science objective is to resolve the mechanism of storm-time relativistic electron precipitation, for which electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves are a prime candidate. From its ionospheric vantage point, ELFIN uses its unique pitch-angle-resolving capability to determine whether measured relativistic electron pitch-angle and energy spectra within the loss cone bear the characteristic signatures of scattering by EMIC waves or whether such scattering may be due to other processes. Pairing identical ELFIN satellites with slowly-variable along-track separation allows disambiguation of spatial and temporal evolution of the precipitation over minutes-to-tens-of-minutes timescales, faster than the orbit period of a single low-altitude satellite (T_orbit ∼ 90 min). Each satellite carries an energetic particle detector for electrons (EPDE) that measures 50 keV to 5 MeV electrons with Δ E/E < 40% and a fluxgate magnetometer (FGM) on a ∼72 cm boom that measures magnetic field waves (e.g., EMIC waves) in the range from DC to 5 Hz Nyquist (nominally) with <0.3 nT/sqrt(Hz) noise at 1 Hz. The spinning satellites (T_spin ∼ 3 s) are equipped with magnetorquers (air coils) that permit spin-up or -down and reorientation maneuvers. Using those, the spin axis is placed normal to the orbit plane (nominally), allowing full pitch-angle resolution twice per spin. An energetic particle detector for ions (EPDI) measures 250 keV - 5 MeV ions, addressing secondary science. Funded initially by CalSpace and the University Nanosat Program, ELFIN was selected for flight with joint support from NSF and NASA between 2014 and 2018 and launched by the ELaNa XVIII program on a Delta II rocket (with IceSatII as the primary). Mission operations are currently funded by NASA. Working under experienced UCLA mentors, with advice from The Aerospace Corporation and NASA personnel, more than 250 undergraduates have matured the ELFIN implementation strategy; developed the instruments, satellite, and ground systems and operate the two satellites. ELFIN's already high potential for cutting-edge science return is compounded by concurrent equatorial Heliophysics missions (THEMIS, Arase, Van Allen Probes, MMS) and ground stations. ELFIN's integrated data analysis approach, rapid dissemination strategies via the SPace Environment Data Analysis System (SPEDAS), and data coordination with the Heliophysics/Geospace System Observatory (H/GSO) optimize science yield, enabling the widest community benefits. Several storm-time events have already been captured and are presented herein to demonstrate ELFIN's data analysis methods and potential. These form the basis of on-going studies to resolve the primary mission science objective. Broad energy precipitation events, precipitation bands, and microbursts, clearly seen both at dawn and dusk, extend from tens of keV to >1 MeV. This broad energy range of precipitation indicates that multiple waves are providing scattering concurrently. Many observed events show significant backscattered fluxes, which in the past were hard to resolve by equatorial spacecraft or non-pitch-angle-resolving ionospheric missions. These observations suggest that the ionosphere plays a significant role in modifying magnetospheric electron fluxes and wave-particle interactions. Routine data captures starting in February 2020 and lasting for at least another year, approximately the remainder of the mission lifetime, are expected to provide a very rich dataset to address questions even beyond the primary mission science objective.

Multicentre study of the in vitro activity of ceftolozane/tazobactam and other commonly used antibiotics against Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates from patients in the UK

Objectives

To evaluate the in vitro activity of ceftolozane/tazobactam and other commonly used antipseudomonal antibiotics against geographically spread Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates in the UK using disc susceptibility testing.

Methods

The in vitro activity of ceftolozane/tazobactam and nine other commonly used antipseudomonal antibiotics was evaluated. Isolates were collected between January 2015 and April 2018. Susceptibility results were interpreted using EUCAST 2018 criteria.

Results

Overall, 1326 clinical isolates from 14 centres in the UK were tested. The majority of the isolates were collected from non-cystic fibrosis (non-CF) patients (n = 1123, 85.0%). In addition, 199 cystic fibrosis (CF) isolates were collected from 10 centres. Overall susceptibility to ceftolozane/tazobactam was 89.3% (n = 1181), which included 128 CF and 1053 non-CF isolates. The other antibacterial agents with the highest susceptibility were tobramycin (92.4%, n = 1221) and piperacillin/tazobactam (90.7%, n = 1199). Susceptibility to all antibacterial agents was lower for CF isolates. Piperacillin/tazobactam was the most active of the antibacterial agents tested, followed by ceftolozane/tazobactam (70.4% and 64.3%, respectively), and <60% of CF isolates were susceptible to ceftazidime and the carbapenems. The reason for the higher rates of susceptibility to piperacillin/tazobactam and lower susceptibility to ceftazidime compared with other studies is unclear.

Conclusions

The data presented here support the need to investigate the place of ceftolozane/tazobactam as a treatment option in the management of pseudomonal infections, particularly in patients with CF. The results highlight the importance of routine testing of new antibacterial agents and of making the data available to clinicians to make appropriate and informed treatment choices.

Comparison of routine field epidemiology and whole genome sequencing to identify tuberculosis transmission in a remote setting

Yukon Territory (YT) is a remote region in northern Canada with ongoing spread of tuberculosis (TB). To explore the utility of whole genome sequencing (WGS) for TB surveillance and monitoring in a setting with detailed contact tracing and interview data, we used a mixed-methods approach. Our analysis included all culture-confirmed cases in YT (2005-2014) and incorporated data from 24-locus Mycobacterial Interspersed Repetitive Units-Variable Number of Tandem Repeats (MIRU-VNTR) genotyping, WGS and contact tracing. We compared field-based (contact investigation (CI) data + MIRU-VNTR) and genomic-based (WGS + MIRU-VNTR + basic case data) investigations to identify the most likely source of each person's TB and assessed the knowledge, attitudes and practices of programme personnel around genotyping and genomics using online, multiple-choice surveys (n = 4) and an in-person group interview (n = 5). Field- and genomics-based approaches agreed for 26 of 32 (81%) cases on likely location of TB acquisition. There was less agreement in the identification of specific source cases (13/22 or 59% of cases). Single-locus MIRU-VNTR variants and limited genetic diversity complicated the analysis. Qualitative data indicated that participants viewed genomic epidemiology as a useful tool to streamline investigations, particularly in differentiating latent TB reactivation from the recent transmission. Based on this, genomic data could be used to enhance CIs, focus resources, target interventions and aid in TB programme evaluation.

The heterogeneous causal effects of neonatal care: a model of endogenous demand for multiple treatment options based on geographical access to care

Neonatal units in the UK are organised into three levels, from highest Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU), to Local Neonatal Unit (LNU) to lowest Special Care Unit (SCU). We model the endogenous treatment selection of neonatal care unit of birth to estimate the average and marginal treatment effects of different neonatal designations on infant mortality, length of stay and hospital costs. We use prognostic factors, survival and hospital care use data on all preterm births in England for 2014-2015, supplemented by national reimbursement tariffs and instrumental variables of travel time from a geographic information system. The data were consistent with a model of demand for preterm birth care driven by physical access. In-hospital mortality of infants born before 32 weeks was 8.5% overall, and 1.2 (95% CI: -0.7, 3.2) percentage points lower for live births in hospitals with NICU or SCU compared to those with an LNU according to instrumental variable estimates. We find imprecise differences in average total hospital costs by unit designation, with positive unobserved selection of those with higher unexplained absolute and incremental costs into NICU. Our results suggest a limited scope for improvement in infant mortality by increasing in-utero transfers based on unit designation alone.

AccuMeter noninstrumented quantitative assay of high-density lipoprotein in whole blood

A novel noninstrumented technology (ChemTrak AccuMeter) for the quantitative measurement of analytes in biological fluids was reported at the 1990 Oak Ridge Conference (Clin Chem 1990;36:1591-7). This instrument-free technology has been adapted for the quantitative measurement of high-density lipoprotein (HDL). An in situ lipoprotein separation method has been developed and incorporated into the test for HDL determination. The sensitivity of the assay system has been adjusted so that HDL is measured over a clinically significant range of 250 to 1000 mg/L. This compares to a range of 1000 to 4000 mg/L for the total cholesterol in the earlier reported assay. Like the AccuMeter total cholesterol test, the Accumeter HDL test system is self-contained and consolidates blood separation, lipoprotein separation, and specimen measurement into a single step. The test procedure is simple, and the results are accurate.

3M™ Petrifilm™ Staph Express Count Plate Method for the Enumeration of Staphylococcus aureus in Selected Types of Meat, Seafood, and Poultry: Collaborative Study

The 3M™ Petrifilm™ Staph Express Count plate method was compared with AOAC Official Method 975.55 for the enumeration of Staphylococcus aureus in selected foods. Four foods—cooked, diced chicken; cured ham; smoked salmon; and pepperoni—were analyzed for S. aureus by 12 collaborating laboratories. For each food tested, the collaborators received 8 blind test samples consisting of a control sample, a low inoculation level, a medium inoculation level, and a medium inoculation level with background flora, each in duplicate. The mean log10 counts for the methods were comparable for all 4 foods. The repeatability and reproducibility variances of the 24 h Petrifilm Staph Express Count plate method were similar to those of the 72 h standard method.

VIDAS® Enzyme-Linked Immunofluorescent Assay for Detection of Listeria in Foods: Collaborative Study

The VIDAS LIS method and the traditional culture methods for detection of Listeria species in food were evaluated in a multilaboratory comparative study. The 6 foods tested were either naturally contaminated or inoculated with 3 different concentrations of Listeria. Results for each food and each contamination level with the VIDAS LIS method were as good as or better than those obtained with the traditional culture method. Of 1558 samples tested, 935 were positive: 839 by the VIDAS method and 809 by standard culture methods. Overall false negative rates were 10.3 and 13.5% for the VIDAS LIS and culture methods, respectively. The false positive rate for the VIDAS LIS assay was 1.4% based on 9 VIDAS LIS positive assays that did not confirm positive by isolation of Listeria. The agreement between the VIDAS LIS and culture methods for all samples tested was 86%.

Estimating the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of establishing additional endovascular Thrombectomy stroke Centres in England: a discrete event simulation

BACKGROUND

We have previously modelled that the optimal number of comprehensive stroke centres (CSC) providing endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in England would be 30 (net 6 new centres). We now estimate the relative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of increasing the number of centres from 24 to 30.

METHODS

We constructed a discrete event simulation (DES) to estimate the effectiveness and lifetime cost-effectiveness (from a payer perspective) using 1 year's incidence of stroke in England. 2000 iterations of the simulation were performed comparing baseline 24 centres to 30.

RESULTS

Of 80,800 patients admitted to hospital with acute stroke/year, 21,740 would be affected by the service reconfiguration. The median time to treatment for eligible early presenters (< 270 min since onset) would reduce from 195 (IQR 155-249) to 165 (IQR 105-224) minutes. Our model predicts reconfiguration would mean an additional 33 independent patients (modified Rankin scale [mRS] 0-1) and 30 fewer dependent/dead patients (mRS 3-6) per year. The net addition of 6 centres generates 190 QALYs (95%CI - 6 to 399) and results in net savings to the healthcare system of £1,864,000/year (95% CI -1,204,000 to £5,017,000). The estimated budget impact was a saving of £980,000 in year 1 and £7.07 million in years 2 to 5.

CONCLUSION

Changes in acute stroke service configuration will produce clinical and cost benefits when the time taken for patients to receive treatment is reduced. Benefits are highly likely to be cost saving over 5 years before any capital investment above £8 million is required.

Opportunities for antimicrobial stewardship in patients with acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections who are unsuitable for beta-lactam antibiotics: a multicenter prospective observational study

Purpose:

The objective of this prospective, observational study was to describe the treatment, severity assessment and healthcare resources required for management of patients with acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections who were unsuitable for beta-lactam antibiotic treatments.

Methods:

Patients were enrolled across five secondary care National Health Service hospitals. Eligible patients had a diagnosis of acute bacterial skin and skin structure infection and were considered unsuitable for beta-lactam antibiotics (e.g. confirmed/suspected methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, beta-lactam allergy). Data regarding diagnosis, severity of the infection, antibiotic treatment and patient management were collected.

Results:

145 patients with acute bacterial skin and skin structure infection were included; 79% (n = 115) patients received greater than two antibiotic regimens; median length of the first antibiotic regimen was 2 days (interquartile range of 1–5); median time to switch from intravenous to oral antibiotics was 4 days (interquartile range of 3–8, n = 72/107); 25% (n = 10/40) patients with Eron class 1 infection had systemic inflammatory response syndrome, suggesting they were misclassified. A higher proportion of patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome received treatment in an inpatient setting, and their length of stay was prolonged in comparison with patients without systemic inflammatory response syndrome.

Conclusion:

There exists an urgent need for more focused antimicrobial stewardship strategies and tools for standardised clinical assessment of acute bacterial skin and skin structure infection severity in patients who are unsuitable for beta-lactam antibiotics. This will lead to optimised antimicrobial treatment strategies and ensure effective healthcare resource utilisation.

Abstract P1-15-08: Pathologic complete response rates following neoadjuvant systemic therapy in 794 patients with early breast cancer: The Royal Marsden experience

Background

The presence and extent of residual invasive cancer after neoadjuvant treatment (NACT) is a strong prognostic factor for risk of recurrence, especially in triple-negative (TN) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer (BC). Recent advances in the standard-of-care NACT improved pathological complete response (pCR) rates in published clinical trials.

We evaluated the pCR rates, defined as ypT0-is ypN0, in our real-world BC population and in estrogen receptor-positive [ER+] HER2-, HER2+ and TN subgroups and their association with tumour, patients' characteristics and disease-free survival (DFS).

Methods

We retrospectively identified early BC patients receiving NACT between January 2013 and December 2017. Demographics, patient and disease characteristics, pathological responses, toxicities, dose delays and reductions were recorded. Simple statistics, Fisher's exact test, chi-squared method and Cox regression were used as appropriate.

Results

794 patients identified had median age of 50 years (range 24-87) and 93.9% (745 patients) ECOG performance status (PS) 0. 3.0% (24) had clinical stage I disease, 68.0% (540) stage II and 29.0% (230) stage III. 71.0% (564) had grade 3 disease and 91.8% (729) ductal histology. 33.7% (257) had ER+/HER2-, 25.8% (205) had TN and 38.0% (301) HER2+ disease. Overall, 6.8% (54) patients received platinum. 36.6% (291) patients had dose reductions and 24.3% (193) dose delays. Along with NACT, 51.6% (147) of the HER2+ patients received Trastuzumab and Pertuzumab and 48.4% (138) Trastuzumab alone.

pCR rate was 33.1% in the overall population and significantly different in ER+/HER2-, HER2+ and TN subgroups (12.84% versus 52.0% versus 28.43% respectively, p&lt;0.001). pCR was influenced by grade (1: 0%; 2: 24.3%; 3: 36.1%, p 0.005) and histology (ductal: 34.2%; lobular: 10.0%; mixed 25.0%; p 0.01). In the HER2+ subgroup, there was a trend for improved pCR rates for patients receiving Pertuzumab and Trastuzumab (57.0%) versus Trastuzumab alone (51.0%). No statistically significant differences were seen based on patients' characteristics including age and PS or in case of treatment dose reductions and delays. Early discontinuation of NACT was associated with lower pCR rates (20.5% vs 36.29%, p &lt;0.001).

Of interest, pCR rates remained consistent across the period 2013-2017 in the overall population. We observed a trend for improved pCR in the HER2+ (2013: 47.5%; 2014: 44.4%; 2015: 66.7%; 2016: 51.0%; 2017: 51.4%) and TN cohorts (2013: 23.5%; 2014: 25.0%; 2015: 25.0%; 2016: 33.3%; 2017: 34.1%) but not in the ER+/HER2- group.

Median DFS was 83.8 months (95% CI 62.0-NR) in the overall population. Although not reached in the TN cohort, median DFS was different according to disease subgroups (HER2+: 83.78 months; TN: NR; ER+/HER2-: 62.0 months, p &lt;0.0001).

Conclusions

In our analysis pCR rates are consistent with data published in literature and higher in HER2+ and TN disease. The impact of new agents had a relatively low impact on pCR rates in our overall population over the last 5 years, although they produced gradual improvements in the HER2+ and TN subgroups.

Citation Format: Battisti NML, True V, Chaabouni N, Chopra N, Lee K, Shepherd S, Shapira-Rotenberg T, Joshi R, Mohammed K, Allen M, Ring A. Pathologic complete response rates following neoadjuvant systemic therapy in 794 patients with early breast cancer: The Royal Marsden experience [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-15-08.

Abstract P5-18-08: Defining molecular signatures to personalise management of patients with early breast cancer

Background

A review of breast screening highlighted the need to reduce overdiagnosis. Ductal Carcinoma In-Situ (DCIS) contributes significantly to this overdiagnosis. Epithelial cells in DCIS are as genetically advanced as those in invasive disease, focusing attention on the tumour microenvironment (ME). A key components of the ME in DCIS is the myoepithelial cell(MEC). These cells lie at the interface of the epithelial and stromal compartments, regulating cell function. We previously have identified changes in the MEC that contribute to tumour progression. Here we investigate the functional and clinical significance of a novel change in MEC phenotype: loss of Galectin-7 (Gal-7) expression. Gal-7 is proposed to play a role in apoptosis. We hypothesise that changes in MEC phenotype in DCIS alter the ME towards a pro-invasive phenotype, and hypothesise that loss of Gal-7 modifies the ME, destabilizes the MEC interface and ultimately may lead to loss of the MEC population through apoptosis.

Methods

Gal-7 expression and function was investigated in clinical samples and in-vitro model systems, respectively.

Gal-7 expression was assessed in a series of pure DCIS samples (low risk model) and DCIS with co-existant invasion (high risk model). Tissue sections were stained for Gal-7 and MEC expression scored on a duct-by-duct basis as positive, heterogeneous or negative.

An in-vitro model of normal primary myoepithelial cells isolated from reduction mammoplasty was used to investigate the functional impact of loss of Gal-7. These cells have high endogenous levels of Gal-7. Gal-7 was knocked down using siRNA and apoptosis assessed using cleaved caspase-3. The effect of Gal-7 on MEC layer integrity was assessed using immunofluorescence and adhesion assays.

The global impact of loss of Gal-7 was investigated using RNA sequencing.

Results

In the tissue analysis 1926 DCIS ducts were scored for MEC expression of Gal-7. Significantly more ducts showed loss of Gal-7 in DCIS with co-existant invasion, with pure DCIS showing 388 ducts positive and DCIS with invasion 144 DCIS ducts positive (p=0.0014). Pure DCIS and DCIS with invasion had 99 and 646 negative DCIS ducts respectively (p=0.0002).

In model systems of primary MEC, knockdown of Gal-7 resulted in increased expression of cleaved caspase-3, suggesting lower levels of Gal-7 increases apoptosis. In functional assays silencing Gal-7 reduces adhesion to both fibronectin and laminin extracellular matrices (p-value 0.005 and 0.001 respectively)

RNA sequencing indicates silencing Gal-7 increases LOX expression - a key regulator of the collagen matrix of the microenvironment.

Conclusion

Normal MEC strongly express Gal-7. Expression is lost in DCIS, with significantly more frequent loss in DCIS with co-existant invasion, suggesting that loss is associated with a more advanced phenotype. Functional assays indicate that loss of MEC Gal-7 enhances MEC apoptosis, which may be one mechanism by which this interface is lost during progression. Gal-7 negative MEC also show impaired adhesion to matrix proteins and lead to up-regulation of LOX, an enzyme key in promoting tumourigenesis. The incorporation of Gal-7 expression into a risk stratification algorithm has functional evidence and is currently being investigated.

Citation Format: Allen N, Allen M, Ahmed K, Gomm J, Nelan R, Nagano A, Chelala C, Gadaleta E, Thorat M, Cuzick J, Jones LJ. Defining molecular signatures to personalise management of patients with early breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-18-08.

Whole genome sequencing for improved understanding of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission in a remote circumpolar region

Few studies have used genomic epidemiology to understand tuberculosis (TB) transmission in rural and remote settings - regions often unique in history, geography and demographics. To improve our understanding of TB transmission dynamics in Yukon Territory (YT), a circumpolar Canadian territory, we conducted a retrospective analysis in which we combined epidemiological data collected through routine contact investigations with clinical and laboratory results. Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates from all culture-confirmed TB cases in YT (2005-2014) were genotyped using 24-locus Mycobacterial Interspersed Repetitive Units-Variable Number of Tandem Repeats (MIRU-VNTR) and compared to each other and to those from the neighbouring province of British Columbia (BC). Whole genome sequencing (WGS) of genotypically clustered isolates revealed three sustained transmission networks within YT, two of which also involved BC isolates. While each network had distinct characteristics, all had at least one individual acting as the probable source of three or more culture-positive cases. Overall, WGS revealed that TB transmission dynamics in YT are distinct from patterns of spread in other, more remote Northern Canadian regions, and that the combination of WGS and epidemiological data can provide actionable information to local public health teams.

Tag retention and mortality of adult Atlantic salmon Salmo salar gastrically tagged with different sized telemetry transmitters

A batch of 1 sea winter pre-spawning adult Salmo salar from the Bush river in Northern Ireland, U.K., were gastrically tagged with large (13 mm diameter) and small (9 mm diameter) dummy acoustic telemetry tags alongside untagged control fish. Survival differed between control and tagged fish and the estimated probability of survival by the end of the study for control fish with no tag was 0·94, small tags was 0·90 and large tags was 0·72. Tag loss through regurgitation was slightly higher for fish tagged with larger tags than for fish tagged with smaller tags and the estimated probability of tag loss for fish with a small tag was 0·10 and for large tags was 0·14.

Implications of possible interpretations of 'greenhouse gas balance' in the Paris Agreement

The main goal of the Paris Agreement as stated in Article 2 is 'holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C'. Article 4 points to this long-term goal and the need to achieve 'balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases'. This statement on 'greenhouse gas balance' is subject to interpretation, and clarifications are needed to make it operational for national and international climate policies. We study possible interpretations from a scientific perspective and analyse their climatic implications. We clarify how the implications for individual gases depend on the metrics used to relate them. We show that the way in which balance is interpreted, achieved and maintained influences temperature outcomes. Achieving and maintaining net-zero CO2-equivalent emissions conventionally calculated using GWP100 (100-year global warming potential) and including substantial positive contributions from short-lived climate-forcing agents such as methane would result in a sustained decline in global temperature. A modified approach to the use of GWP100 (that equates constant emissions of short-lived climate forcers with zero sustained emission of CO2) results in global temperatures remaining approximately constant once net-zero CO2-equivalent emissions are achieved and maintained. Our paper provides policymakers with an overview of issues and choices that are important to determine which approach is most appropriate in the context of the Paris Agreement.This article is part of the theme issue 'The Paris Agreement: understanding the physical and social challenges for a warming world of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels'.

Optical analysis of samarium doped sodium bismuth silicate glass

Samarium doped sodium bismuth silicate glass was synthesized using the melt quenching method. Detailed optical spectroscopic studies of the glassy material were carried out in the UV-Vis-NIR spectral range. Using the optical absorption spectra Judd-Ofelt (JO) parameters are derived. The calculated values of the JO parameters are utilized in evaluating the various radiative parameters such as electric dipole line strengths (S_ed), radiative transition probabilities (A_rad), radiative lifetimes (τ_rad), fluorescence branching ratios (β) and the integrated absorption cross- sections (σ_a) for stimulated emission from various excited states of Sm³⁺‡ ion. The principal fluorescence transitions are identified by recording the fluorescence spectrum. Our analysis revealed that the novel glassy system has the optimum values for the key parameters viz. spectroscopic quality factor, optical gain, stimulated emission cross section and quantum efficiency, which are required for a high performance optical amplifier. Calculated chromaticity co-ordinates (0.61, 0.38) also confirm its application potential in display devices.

The validated sun exposure questionnaire: association of objective and subjective measures of sun exposure in a Danish population-based sample

BACKGROUND

Few questionnaires used in monitoring sun-related behaviour have been tested for validity.

OBJECTIVES

We established the criteria validity of a questionnaire developed for monitoring population sun-related behaviour.

METHODS

During May-August 2013, 664 Danes wore a personal electronic ultraviolet radiation (UVR) dosimeter for 1 week that measured their outdoor time and dose of erythemal UVR exposure. In the following week, they answered a questionnaire on their sun-related behaviour in the measurement week.

RESULTS

Outdoor time measured by dosimetry correlated strongly with both outdoor time and the developed exposure scale measured in the questionnaire. Exposure measured in standard erythema dose (SED) by dosimetry correlated strongly with the exposure scale. In a linear regression model of UVR (SED) received, 41% of the variation was explained by skin type, age, week of participation and exposure scale, with exposure scale as the main contributor. The weekly sunburn fraction correlated strongly with the number of ambient sun hours (r = 0·73, P < 0·001).

CONCLUSIONS

This criteria-validated questionnaire provides evidence of the exposure that the questionnaire aimed to measure. The evidence provided showed a strong link between the objectively measured behaviour and the behaviour measured by this survey construct. The questionnaire is the first validated tool to measure the UVR exposure in a national population-based sample.