Prevalence of chronic kidney disease in adults in England: comparison of nationally representative cross-sectional surveys from 2003 to 2016

Association between dietary magnesium intake and incident chronic kidney disease: a prospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although serum magnesium deficiency is linked to higher cardiovascular disease risk, its association with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between dietary magnesium intake and CKD development in adults with clinically normal kidney function.

METHODS

The prospective observational cohort study evaluated 188,510 participants (median age, 57.0 y; female, 54.1%) from the UK Biobank. Dietary magnesium intake was assessed through a 24-h dietary recall questionnaire compromising a list of 206 foods and 32 beverages and categorized into quintiles. The primary outcome was incident CKD diagnosed through International Classification of Diseases-10 and Office of Population Censuses and Surveys 4 codes. Incident CKD, defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, was also assessed in a subcohort with creatinine follow-up data.

RESULTS

The median magnesium intake amount per person was 323.2 mg/d [interquartile range (IQR): 269.4-382.7 mg/d]. During 1,826,038.1 person-years of follow-up (median: 9.6 y; IQR: 9.3-10.3 y), CKD developed in 5,878 participants. The incidence of CKD was progressively higher in participants with lower magnesium intake (2.8%, 2.8%, 3.0%, 3.2%, and 3.7% in Q5-Q1, respectively). Cox regression analysis revealed that the hazard ratios (HRs) for incident CKD increased in a stepwise manner toward lower magnesium intake quintiles {adjusted HR (95% confidence interval [CI])-Q4: 0.97 (0.89, 1.06); Q3: 1.05 (0.96, 1.14); Q2: 1.12 (1.03, 1.21); Q1: 1.30 (1.20, 1.41)} relative to Q5 (P-linearity < 0.001). Similar results were observed with eGFR-defined CKD outcome [adjusted HR (95% CI)-Q4: 1.09 (0.92, 1.28); Q3: 1.15 (0.98, 1.35); Q2: 1.21 (1.03, 1.42); Q1: 1.41 (1.20, 1.65) relative to Q5; P-linearity < 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

Lower dietary magnesium intake was associated with higher risk of incident CKD in adults with clinically normal kidney function. Further controlled studies are required to establish the potential benefit of adequate magnesium intake.

The impact of population ageing on the burden of chronic kidney disease

The burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its risk factors are projected to rise in parallel with the rapidly ageing global population. By 2050, the prevalence of CKD category G3-G5 may exceed 10% in some regions, resulting in substantial health and economic burdens that will disproportionately affect lower-income countries. The extent to which the CKD epidemic can be mitigated depends largely on the uptake of prevention efforts to address modifiable risk factors, the implementation of cost-effective screening programmes for early detection of CKD in high-risk individuals and widespread access and affordability of new-generation kidney-protective drugs to prevent the development and delay the progression of CKD. Older patients require a multidisciplinary integrated approach to manage their multimorbidity, polypharmacy, high rates of adverse outcomes, mental health, fatigue and other age-related symptoms. In those who progress to kidney failure, comprehensive conservative management should be offered as a viable option during the shared decision-making process to collaboratively determine a treatment approach that respects the values and wishes of the patient. Interventions that maintain or improve quality of life, including pain management and palliative care services when appropriate, should also be made available.

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease on the Processes of Care and Long-Term Mortality of Non-ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Nationwide Cohort Study and Long-Term Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

A growing population of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) presents with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, although little is known about their longer-term mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the MINAP (Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project) registry, linked to Office for National Statistics mortality data, we analyzed 363 559 UK patients with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, with or without CKD. Cox regression models were fitted, adjusting for baseline demographics. Compared with patients without CKD, patients with CKD were less frequently prescribed P2Y12 inhibitors (89% versus 86%, P<0.001) less likely to undergo invasive angiography (67% versus 41%, P<0.001) or percutaneous coronary intervention (41% versus 25%, P<0.001), and were less often referred to cardiac rehabilitation (80% versus 66%, P<0.001). Following non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, patients with CKD had higher risk of 30-day (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.20-1.29], 1-year 1.47 [95% CI, 1.44-1.51]) and 5-year mortality 1.55 (95% CI, 1.53-1.58) than patients without CKD (all P<0.001). Risk of mortality over the entire study period was highest in CKD Stage 5 (HR, 2.98 [95% CI, 2.87-3.10]), even after excluding mortality ≤30 days (HR, 3.03 [95% CI, 2.90-3.17]) (P<0.001). There was no significant difference in proportion of deaths attributable to cardiovascular disease at 30 days (CKD; 76% versus no CKD; 76%), or 1 -year (CKD; 62% versus no CKD; 62%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with CKD were significantly less likely to receive invasive investigation or undergo percutaneous coronary intervention and had significantly higher risk of short- and longer-term mortality. Risk of mortality increased with reducing CKD stage. Cardiovascular disease was the main cause of mortality in patients with CKD, but at comparable rates to the general population with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction.

Chronic kidney disease: detect, diagnose, disclose-a UK primary care perspective of barriers and enablers to effective kidney care

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global public health problem with major human and economic consequences. Despite advances in clinical guidelines, classification systems and evidence-based treatments, CKD remains underdiagnosed and undertreated and is predicted to be the fifth leading cause of death globally by 2040. This review aims to identify barriers and enablers to the effective detection, diagnosis, disclosure and management of CKD since the introduction of the Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (KDOQI) classification in 2002, advocating for a renewed approach in response to updated Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2024 clinical guidelines. The last two decades of improvements in CKD care in the UK are underpinned by international adoption of the KDIGO classification system, mixed adoption of evidence-based treatments and research informed clinical guidelines and policy. Interpretation of evidence within clinical and academic communities has stimulated significant debate of how best to implement such evidence which has frequently fuelled and frustratingly forestalled progress in CKD care. Key enablers of effective CKD care include clinical classification systems (KDIGO), evidence-based treatments, electronic health record tools, financially incentivised care, medical education and policy changes. Barriers to effective CKD care are extensive; key barriers include clinician concerns regarding overdiagnosis, a lack of financially incentivised care in primary care, complex clinical guidelines, managing CKD in the context of multimorbidity, bureaucratic burden in primary care, underutilisation of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) medications, insufficient medical education in CKD, and most recently - a sustained disruption to routine CKD care during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Future CKD care in UK primary care must be informed by lessons of the last two decades. Making step change, over incremental improvements in CKD care at scale requires a renewed approach that addresses key barriers to detection, diagnosis, disclosure and management across traditional boundaries of healthcare, social care, and public health. Improved coding accuracy in primary care, increased use of SGLT2i medications, and risk-based care offer promising, cost-effective avenues to improve patient and population-level kidney health. Financial incentives generally improve achievement of care quality indicators - a review of financial and non-financial incentives in CKD care is urgently needed.

Plasma Levels of Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids and Adverse Kidney Outcomes

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Many studies have reported polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) as significant predictors of cardiovascular disease, but little is known about the relationship between PUFA levels and chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study explored this relationship among individuals with and without CKD.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

73,419 participants without CKD (cohort 1) and 6,735 participants with CKD (cohort 2) in the UK Biobank Study, with PUFA levels measured between 2007 and 2010.

EXPOSURE

Percentage of plasma PUFA, omega-3 fatty acid (FA), omega-6 FA, docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), and linoleic acid relative to total FA.

OUTCOME

Incident CKD for cohort 1 and incident kidney failure requiring replacement therapy (KFRT) for cohort 2.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, including a cause-specific competing risk model.

RESULTS

In cohort 1, individuals with higher quartiles of plasma PUFA levels had healthier lifestyles and fewer comorbidities. During 841,007 person-years of follow-up (median 11.9 years), incident CKD occurred in 4.5% of participants (incidence rate, 39.1 per 10,000 person-years). For incident CKD in cohort 1, the adjusted cause-specific hazard ratios for quartiles 2, 3, and 4 were 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.92), 0.85 (95% CI, 0.76-0.96), 0.71 (95% CI, 0.62-0.82), respectively, compared with quartile 1. This inverse relationship was consistently observed for all PUFA types. In cohort 2, although total PUFA levels were not associated with KFRT, higher PUFA subtype levels of DHA were associated with a lower risk of KFRT.

LIMITATIONS

Observational design and limited generalizability to individuals with higher disease severity; no data on eicosapentaenoic acid.

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals without CKD, higher plasma PUFA levels and all 4 PUFA components were associated with a lower risk of incident CKD. In individuals with CKD, only the omega-3 component of PUFA, DHA, was associated with a lower risk of KFRT.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Low amounts of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) in the blood are suspected of increasing the chances of heart disease, but it is not known whether the PUFA relates to kidney disease occurrence. In a large group without kidney disease in the United Kingdom, people with higher levels of PUFA in their blood tended to have a lower risk of developing kidney disease compared to those with lower PUFA levels. This relationship was consistently observed for all PUFA types. However, in the group with kidney disease, only higher levels of docosahexaenoic acid, a subtype of PUFAs, were associated with a lower risk of developing severe kidney problems that required kidney replacement therapy. These findings suggest that higher levels of PUFA, found in certain healthy fats, might protect against the development of kidney disease in the general population. As kidney function declines, only the docosahexaenoic acid, a subtype of PUFA, appears to be associated with preserved kidney function.

Community Point of Care Testing in Diagnosing and Managing Chronic Kidney Disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) poses a significant global health challenge with increasing prevalence and associated morbidity. Point-of-care testing (POCT) provides an opportunity to improve CKD management and outcomes through early detection and targeted interventions, particularly in underserved communities. This review evaluates the roles of POCT in CKD, focusing on utility (through screening programs, monitoring of kidney function, and assessing participants on renally excreted medications), accuracy, and acceptability. Screening programs employing POCT have demonstrated promising outcomes, with improved rates of CKD diagnosis in groups with disparate health outcomes, offering a vital avenue for early intervention in high-risk populations. These have been conducted in rural and urban community or pharmacy settings, highlighting convenience and accessibility as important facilitators for participants. In addition, POCT holds significant promise in the monitoring of CKD, particularly in groups requiring frequent testing, such as kidney transplant recipients and patients on renin-angiotensin-aldosterone inhibitors. The consideration of the variable analytical performance of different devices remains crucial in assessing the utility of a POCT intervention for CKD. While the convenience and improved accessibility of home self-testing versus healthcare professional management is important, it must be balanced with acceptable levels of accuracy and precision to maintain patient and clinical confidence. Despite challenges including variability in accuracy and the user-friendliness of devices, patient feedback has generally remained positive, with studies reporting increased patient satisfaction and engagement. However, challenges regarding wider uptake are limited by healthcare professional confidence (in test reliability), the potential for increased workload, and early prohibitive costs. In conclusion, POCT represents a growing and valuable tool in enhancing CKD care, particularly in resource-limited settings, but careful consideration of device selection and implementation strategies is essential to achieve desired outcomes.

Accuracy of glomerular filtration rate estimation using creatinine and cystatin C for identifying and monitoring moderate chronic kidney disease: the eGFR-C study

Background

Estimation of glomerular filtration rate using equations based on creatinine is widely used to manage chronic kidney disease. In the UK, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation is recommended. Other published equations using cystatin C, an alternative marker of kidney function, have not gained widespread clinical acceptance. Given higher cost of cystatin C, its clinical utility should be validated before widespread introduction into the NHS.

Objectives

Primary objectives were to: (1) compare accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline and longitudinally in people with stage 3 chronic kidney disease, and test whether accuracy is affected by ethnicity, diabetes, albuminuria and other characteristics; (2) establish the reference change value for significant glomerular filtration rate changes; (3) model disease progression; and (4) explore comparative cost-effectiveness of kidney disease monitoring strategies.

Design

A longitudinal, prospective study was designed to: (1) assess accuracy of glomerular filtration rate equations at baseline (n = 1167) and their ability to detect change over 3 years (n = 875); (2) model disease progression predictors in 278 individuals who received additional measurements; (3) quantify glomerular filtration rate variability components (n = 20); and (4) develop a measurement model analysis to compare different monitoring strategy costs (n = 875).

Setting

Primary, secondary and tertiary care.

Participants

Adults (≥ 18 years) with stage 3 chronic kidney disease.

Interventions

Estimated glomerular filtration rate using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equations.

Main outcome measures

Measured glomerular filtration rate was the reference against which estimating equations were compared with accuracy being expressed as P30 (percentage of values within 30% of reference) and progression (variously defined) studied as sensitivity/specificity. A regression model of disease progression was developed and differences for risk factors estimated. Biological variation components were measured and the reference change value calculated. Comparative costs of monitoring with different estimating equations modelled over 10 years were calculated.

Results

Accuracy (P30) of all equations was ≥ 89.5%: the combined creatinine-cystatin equation (94.9%) was superior (p < 0.001) to other equations. Within each equation, no differences in P30 were seen across categories of age, gender, diabetes, albuminuria, body mass index, kidney function level and ethnicity. All equations showed poor (< 63%) sensitivity for detecting patients showing kidney function decline crossing clinically significant thresholds (e.g. a 25% decline in function). Consequently, the additional cost of monitoring kidney function annually using a cystatin C-based equation could not be justified (incremental cost per patient over 10 years = £43.32). Modelling data showed association between higher albuminuria and faster decline in measured and creatinine-estimated glomerular filtration rate. Reference change values for measured glomerular filtration rate (%, positive/negative) were 21.5/-17.7, with lower reference change values for estimated glomerular filtration rate.

Limitations

Recruitment of people from South Asian and African-Caribbean backgrounds was below the study target.

Future work

Prospective studies of the value of cystatin C as a risk marker in chronic kidney disease should be undertaken.

Conclusions

Inclusion of cystatin C in glomerular filtration rate-estimating equations marginally improved accuracy but not detection of disease progression. Our data do not support cystatin C use for monitoring of glomerular filtration rate in stage 3 chronic kidney disease.

Trial registration

This trial is registered as ISRCTN42955626.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 11/103/01) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 35. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Evaluation of a proteomic signature coupled with the kidney failure risk equation in predicting end stage kidney disease in a chronic kidney disease cohort

BACKGROUND

The early identification of patients at high-risk for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is essential for providing optimal care and implementing targeted prevention strategies. While the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) offers a more accurate prediction of ESRD risk compared to static eGFR-based thresholds, it does not provide insights into the patient-specific biological mechanisms that drive ESRD. This study focused on evaluating the effectiveness of KFRE in a UK-based advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohort and investigating whether the integration of a proteomic signature could enhance 5-year ESRD prediction.

METHODS

Using the Salford Kidney Study biobank, a UK-based prospective cohort of over 3000 non-dialysis CKD patients, 433 patients met our inclusion criteria: a minimum of four eGFR measurements over a two-year period and a linear eGFR trajectory. Plasma samples were obtained and analysed for novel proteomic signals using SWATH-Mass-Spectrometry. The 4-variable UK-calibrated KFRE was calculated for each patient based on their baseline clinical characteristics. Boruta machine learning algorithm was used for the selection of proteins most contributing to differentiation between patient groups. Logistic regression was employed for estimation of ESRD prediction by (1) proteomic features; (2) KFRE; and (3) proteomic features alongside KFRE.

RESULTS

SWATH maps with 943 quantified proteins were generated and investigated in tandem with available clinical data to identify potential progression biomarkers. We identified a set of proteins (SPTA1, MYL6 and C6) that, when used alongside the 4-variable UK-KFRE, improved the prediction of 5-year risk of ESRD (AUC = 0.75 vs AUC = 0.70). Functional enrichment analysis revealed Rho GTPases and regulation of the actin cytoskeleton pathways to be statistically significant, inferring their role in kidney function and the pathogenesis of renal disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Proteins SPTA1, MYL6 and C6, when used alongside the 4-variable UK-KFRE achieve an improved performance when predicting a 5-year risk of ESRD. Specific pathways implicated in the pathogenesis of podocyte dysfunction were also identified, which could serve as potential therapeutic targets. The findings of our study carry implications for comprehending the involvement of the Rho family GTPases in the pathophysiology of kidney disease, advancing our understanding of the proteomic factors influencing susceptibility to renal damage.

Secular trend of gout incidence in the UK: an age-period-cohort analysis

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of gout in the UK appears to have declined since 2013; however, whether such a trend occurred across participants born in different years (ie, birth cohort) is unknown. We aimed to examine the effects of the birth cohort on gout incidence using an age-period-cohort (APC) model.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Nationwide data from the UK primary care database.

PARTICIPANTS

Individuals between 30 and 89 years of age were included. We excluded individuals who had gout history when entering the database and individuals with less than 1 year of continuous follow-up between 1 January 1999 and 31 December 2019.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Gout was identified using READ codes assigned by general practitioners. The incidence of gout between 1999-2013 and 2011-2019 was analysed with APC model.

RESULTS

The incidence of gout between 1999 and 2013 increased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted rate ratios (RRs) of incident gout increased from 0.39 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.46) in participants born in 1910-1914 to 2.36 (95% CI 2.09 to 2.66) in participants born in 1979-1983 (p for trend <0.001). In contrast, the incidence of gout between 2011 and 2019 decreased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted RRs of incident gout declined from 2.75 (95% CI 2.30 to 3.28) in participants born in 1922-1926 to 0.75 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.87) in participants born in 1976-1980 but then increased slightly to 0.95 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.17) in participants born in 1985-1989.

CONCLUSIONS

The gout incidence between 1999 and 2013 in the UK increased with the birth cohorts and then decreased between 2011 and 2019 except for those born after 1980. Future monitoring is needed to help identify aetiological factors and guide preventive and treatment strategies for gout.

Does Dietary Intake Differ in Kidney Failure Patients With Sarcopenia and Frailty Treated by Hemodialysis

Background: Inadequate nutrition is common for both sarcopenia and frailty. We investigated whether hemodialysis patients with sarcopenia and frailty have reduced dietary intakes. Methods: Dietary intake, and physical activity were analyzed, along with body composition and relevant clinical data. Results: We studied 51 hemodialysis patients; 52.9% male, age 60 ± 15 years; 33.3% sarcopenic, and 72.5% frail. Dietary protein and calories were similar for sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients 0.68 (0.38-3.5) vs. 0.68 (0.18-2.9) g protein/kg/day and 19.2 (8.2-77.5) vs. 15.2 (6.2-38.5) kcal/kg/day. More sarcopenic patients had low physical activity (88.2% vs. 58.8%, X2 4.6, p = .03). Frail and non-frail patients had similar intakes 0.67 (0.28-3.5) versus 0.83 (0.18-1.6) g protein/kg/day and 15.5 (8.1-77.5) vs. 18.8 (6.2-45.4) kcal/kg/day. Sarcopenia was associated with age [Odds ratio (OR) 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.02, 1.18], p = .017], body mass index [OR 0.84, 95% CI [0.71, 0.99], p = .042] and lack of exercise [OR 7.62, 95% CI [1.16, 50.29], p = .035]. Frailty was associated with female gender [OR 17.79, 95% CI [2.09, 151.59], p = .008], age [OR 1.13, 95% CI [1.04, 1.22], p = .006], and dialysis vintage [OR 1.55, 95% CI [1.06, 2.26], p = .024]. Conclusion: Hemodialysis patients with sarcopenia and frailty did not have lower dietary protein and calorie intake. Frailty was associated with age and sarcopenia with a sedentary lifestyle.

Prevalence and demographic variation of cardiovascular, renal, metabolic, and mental health conditions in 12 million english primary care records

BACKGROUND

Primary care electronic health records (EHR) are widely used to study long-term conditions in epidemiological and health services research. Therefore, it is important to understand how well the recorded prevalence of these conditions in EHRs, compares to other reliable sources overall, and varies by socio-demographic characteristics. We aimed to describe the prevalence and socio-demographic variation of cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic (CRM) and mental health (MH) conditions in a large, nationally representative, English primary care database and compare with prevalence estimates from other population-based studies.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum primary care database. We calculated prevalence of 18 conditions and used logistic regression to assess how this varied by age, sex, ethnicity, and socio-economic status. We searched the literature for population prevalence estimates from other sources for comparison with the prevalences in CPRD Aurum.

RESULTS

Depression (16.0%, 95%CI 16.0-16.0%) and hypertension (15.3%, 95%CI 15.2-15.3%) were the most prevalent conditions among 12.4 million patients. Prevalence of most conditions increased with socio-economic deprivation and age. CRM conditions, schizophrenia and substance misuse were higher in men, whilst anxiety, depression, bipolar and eating disorders were more common in women. Cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension and diabetes) were more prevalent in black and Asian patients compared with white, but the trends in prevalence of cardiovascular diseases by ethnicity were more variable. The recorded prevalences of mental health conditions were typically twice as high in white patients compared with other ethnic groups. However, PTSD and schizophrenia were more prevalent in black patients. The prevalence of most conditions was similar or higher in the primary care database than diagnosed disease prevalence reported in national health surveys. However, screening studies typically reported higher prevalence estimates than primary care data, especially for PTSD, bipolar disorder and eating disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of many clinically diagnosed conditions in primary care records closely matched that of other sources. However, we found important variations by sex and ethnicity, which may reflect true variation in prevalence or systematic differences in clinical presentation and practice. Primary care data may underrepresent the prevalence of undiagnosed conditions, particularly in mental health.

The Association of Kidney Function and Inflammatory Biomarkers with Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Risk

BACKGROUND

One of the mechanisms of ovarian tumorigenesis is through inflammation. Kidney dysfunction is associated with increased inflammation; thus, we assessed its relationship with ovarian cancer risk.

METHODS

In prospectively collected samples, we evaluated the association of kidney function markers and C-reactive protein (CRP) with ovarian cancer risk in the UK Biobank. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate quartiles of serum and urine markers with ovarian cancer risk overall and by histology. We assessed effect modification by CRP (≤3.0, >3.0 mg/L).

RESULTS

Among 232,908 women (1,110 ovarian cancer cases diagnosed from 2006-2020), we observed no association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and ovarian cancer risk (Q4 vs. Q1: HR, 1.00; 95% confidence intervals, 0.83-1.22). Potassium was associated with endometrioid (Q4 vs. Q1: 0.33, 0.11-0.98) and clear cell (4.74, 1.39-16.16) tumors. Poor kidney function was associated with a nonsignificant increase in ovarian cancer risk among women with CRP>3.0 mg/L (e.g., uric acid Q4 vs. Q1; 1.23, 0.81-1.86), but not CRP≤3.0 mg/L (0.83, 0.66-1.05). Other associations did not vary across CRP categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Kidney function was not clearly associated with ovarian cancer risk. Larger studies are needed to evaluate possible histology specific associations. Given the suggestive trend for increased ovarian cancer risk in women with poor kidney function and high CRP, future work is needed, particularly in populations with a high prevalence of inflammatory conditions.

IMPACT

This study provided the first evaluation of markers of kidney function in relation to ovarian cancer risk.

Critical appraisal of recent translational chronopharmacology and chronotherapeutic reviews, meta-analyses, and pragmatic patient trials discloses significant deficiencies of design and conduct and suspect findings

The conduct of molecular and laboratory animal circadian rhythm research has increased exponentially in the past few decades, such that today investigations are being performed by scientists of many diverse disciplines. Knowledge gained from past works is now being explored for translational applications to clinical medicine, often termed "circadian medicine," through the implementation of patient trials. However, these trials are being led, more often than not, by investigators who have little or no formal training and in-depth expertise in the methods of human circadian rhythm research, causing them to be deficient in design and produce dubious findings that have already led to unnecessary medical controversy at the expense of advances in patient care. Evidence of the very significant shortcomings of today's translational circadian medicine research is exemplified in two recent publications in well-read reputable medical journals concerning the chronotherapy of blood pressure (BP) medications: one a review and meta-analysis by Maqsood et al. published in the journal Hypertension in 2023 that pertains to ingestion-time differences in the extent of BP reduction exerted by hypertensive medications and the other a report by Mackenzie et al. in the journal Lancet in 2022 that details the results of the pragmatic TIME study that assessed ingestion-time differences in cardiovascular disease outcomes. Herein, we appraise the inaccurate trial selection, lack of quality assessment, and the numerous other shortcomings that culminated in suspect findings and faulty conclusions of the former, as well as the deficiencies in design and conduct of the latter using as reference the eight items identified in 2021 by a working committee of the International Society for Chronobiology and American Association for Medical Chronobiology and Chronotherapeutics as being necessary for high-quality research of circadian rhythm-dependencies of the therapeutic effects of BP-lowering medications. The TIME study when rated for its quality according to the extent to which its investigational methods satisfy all of the eight recommended items attains a very low overall score of + 1 out of a possible range of -1 to + 7. Moreover, our review of the methods of the currently ongoing pragmatic BedMed trial discloses major deficiencies of the same sort rending a poor quality score of + 0.5. Although the focus of this article is the appraisal of the quality of contemporary circadian medicine hypertension chronotherapy research, it additionally exposes the inadequacies and dubious quality of the critique of such manuscripts submitted for publication to influential journals, in that some peer reviewers might also be deficient in the knowledge required to properly rate their merit.

Monoclonal gammopathy of increasing significance: time to screen?

Monoclonal gammopathy (MG) is a frequently detected clonal B-cell or plasma-cell disorder. Importantly, every multiple myeloma (MM) case is preceded by MG. Although clinical algorithms now allow earlier treatment of patients with biomarkers of malignancy before MM-induced tissue damage (CRAB) occurs, most patients are still diagnosed late. It is important to revisit how MG should be managed in clinical practice and whether screening is required. As the prevalence of MG and other medical co-morbidities both rise with increasing age, the degree of contribution of MG to disease states other than malignant progression is often unclear. This can lead to monitoring lapses and under recognition of the organ dysfunction that can occur with monoclonal gammopathy of clinical significance (MGCS). Therefore, models of progression to MM and/or MGCS require further refinement. While MG is currently detected incidentally, a case for screening has been made with ongoing studies in this area. Screening has the potential benefit of earlier detection and prevention of both MGCS and delayed MM presentations, but important drawbacks include the psychosocial impact on individuals and resource burden on healthcare services. MG terminology should transition alongside our increasing understanding of the condition and genomic characterization that have already begun to revise the MG nomenclature. The biology of MG has been poorly understood and is often inferred from the biology of MM, which is unhelpful. We review the literature and case for MG screening in this paper. In particular, we highlight areas that require focus to establish screening for MG.

National trends in the prevalence of chronic kidney disease among Korean adults, 2007-2020

Little is known about the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We aimed to investigate the long-term trends in CKD prevalence from South Korea including the early pandemic. We used data from 108,152 Korean adults from 2007 to 2020 obtained from a representative longitudinal serial study. We defined CKD as a condition when the participant's estimated glomerular filtration rate was < 60 mL/min/1.73 m², or one-time spot proteinuria was ≥ 1 +, and then examined the overall trends in the prevalence of CKD. Among the included adults (n = 80,010), the overall national prevalence of CKD was 6.2%. The trend slope gradually increased from 2007 to 2019, however, there was a sudden decrease in 2020 (2007-2010, 5.1% [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.7-5.5]; 2017-2019, 7.1% [95% CI 6.6-7.6]; pandemic period, 6.5% [95% CI 5.7-7.3]; and β_diff, - 0.19; 95% CI - 0.24 to - 0.13). The prevalence of CKD among younger adults and those with poor medical utilization significantly decreased during the early pandemic. This study was the first large-scale study to investigate the longitudinal prevalence of CKD from 2007 to 2020. Further research is needed to fully understand the exact causes for this decline and to identify healthcare policy strategies for preventing and managing CKD.

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease in a city of Northwestern China: a cross-sectional study

AIM

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasingly recognized as a global health issue. There is a paucity of published data on the prevalence and risk factors of CKD in less-developed regions. This study aims to evaluate and update the prevalence and risk factors of CKD in a city of Northwestern China.

METHODS

Based on a prospective cohort study, a cross-sectional baseline survey was conducted between 2011 and 2013. The data on the epidemiology interview, physical examination, and clinical laboratory test were all collected. In this study, 41,222 participants were selected from 48,001 workers in the baseline after excluding objects with incomplete information. The crude and standardized prevalence of CKD were calculated. An unconditional logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors associated with CKD among male and female.

RESULTS

One thousand seven hundred eighty-eight people were diagnosed with CKD, including 1180 males and 608 females. The crude prevalence of CKD was 4.34% (4.78% males and 3.68% females). The standardized prevalence was 4.06% (4.51% males and 3.60% females). The prevalence of CKD increased with age and was higher in males than in females. In multivariable logistic regression, CKD was significantly associated with the increasing age, drinking, never or occasionally exercise, overweight or obesity, being unmarried, diabetes, hyperuricemia, dyslipidemia and hypertension.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the prevalence of CKD was lower than that of the national cross-sectional study. Lifestyle, hypertension, diabetes, hyperuricemia and dyslipidemia were the main risk factors of CKD. The prevalence and risk factors differ between male and female.

Cognitive behavioural therapy self-help intervention preferences among informal caregivers of adults with chronic kidney disease: an online cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Informal caregivers (i.e. family and friends) provide essential support to people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Many informal caregivers experience mental health problems such as anxiety and depression due to the caregiving role, and commonly have unmet psychological support needs. One potential solution is cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) self-help interventions that are less reliant on extensive involvement of healthcare professionals, which may increase access. Within the intervention development phase of the MRC framework, the study's primary objective was to examine informal caregivers' self-help intervention preferences (e.g. delivery format, content). Secondary objectives were to describe the informal caregiver's situation (e.g. type of care activities) and mental health (symptoms of depression, anxiety, and stress).

METHODS

An online cross-sectional survey conducted in the United Kingdom. Informal caregivers of adults living with CKD were recruited via social media, websites, newsletters, magazine articles, a podcast episode, and paid Facebook advertisements. The survey examined: informal caregiver characteristics; care recipient characteristics; self-help intervention preferences; and informal caregiver's mental health using the DASS-21. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

Sixty-five informal caregivers participated. The majority (85%) were female, caring for a male (77%) spouse/partner (74%). Responses indicated 58% of informal caregivers were experiencing at least mild depression. In total, 48% indicated they were likely to use a CBT self-help intervention, preferring an intervention provided via internet (e.g. website) (64%), workbook (56%), or individually in-person (54%). Regarding content, interventions should cover a wide range of topics including living with CKD, support services, informal caregiver's physical health, and diet. Overall, 48% reported a preference for a supported intervention, with support delivered in-person or via email by a trained professional at a community organisation.

CONCLUSIONS

Results suggest CBT self-help interventions may be an acceptable way to provide psychological support to informal caregivers, however the study is limited by the small sample size. A wide range of intervention preferences were identified indicating a need to tailor intervention content and delivery to enhance acceptability and engagement. Results will inform development of a CBT self-help intervention for informal caregivers of people with CKD.

Projecting the Epidemiological and Economic Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease Using Patient-Level Microsimulation Modelling: Rationale and Methods of Inside CKD

INTRODUCTION

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a serious condition associated with significant morbidity and healthcare costs. Despite this, early-stage CKD is often undiagnosed, and globally there is substantial variation in the effectiveness of screening and subsequent management. Microsimulations can estimate future epidemiological costs, providing useful insights for clinicians, policymakers and researchers. Inside CKD is a programme designed to analyse the projected prevalence and burden of CKD for countries across the world, and to simulate hypothetical intervention strategies that can then be assessed for potential impact on health and economic outcomes at a national and a global level.

METHODS

Inside CKD uses a population-based approach that creates virtual individuals for a given country, with this simulated population progressing through a microsimulation in 1-year increments. A series of data inputs derived from national statistics and key literature defined the likelihood of a change in health state for each individual. Input modules allow for the input of nationally specific demographic and CKD status (including prevalence, diagnosis rates, disease stage and likelihood of renal replacement therapy), disease progression, critical comorbidities, and mortality. Health economics are reflected in cost data and a flexible intervention module allows for the testing of hypothetical policies-such as screening strategies-that may alter disease progression and outcomes.

RESULTS

Using input data from the UK as a case study and a 6-year simulation period, Inside CKD estimated a prevalence of 9.2 million individuals (both diagnosed and estimated undiagnosed) with CKD by 2027 and a 5.0% increase in costs for diagnosed CKD and renal replacement therapy. External validation and sensitivity analyses confirmed the observed trends, substantiating the robustness of the microsimulation.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a microsimulation approach, Inside CKD extends the reach of current CKD policy analyses by factoring in multiple inputs that reflect national healthcare systems and enable analysis of the effect of multiple hypothetical screening scenarios on disease progression and costs.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Chronic Kidney Disease: Epidemiology, Pathogenesis, and Clinical and Research Implications

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting up to ~30% of adult populations. NAFLD defines a spectrum of progressive liver conditions ranging from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma, which often occur in close and bidirectional associations with metabolic disorders. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is characterized by anatomic and/or functional renal damage, ultimately resulting in a reduced glomerular filtration rate. The physiological axis linking the liver and kidneys often passes unnoticed until clinically significant portal hypertension, as a major complication of cirrhosis, becomes apparent in the form of ascites, refractory ascites, or hepatorenal syndrome. However, the extensive evidence accumulated since 2008 indicates that noncirrhotic NAFLD is associated with a higher risk of incident CKD, independent of obesity, type 2 diabetes, and other common renal risk factors. In addition, subclinical portal hypertension has been demonstrated to occur in noncirrhotic NAFLD, with a potential adverse impact on renal vasoregulation. However, the mechanisms underlying this association remain unexplored to a substantial extent. With this background, in this review we discuss the current evidence showing a strong association between NAFLD and the risk of CKD, and the putative biological mechanisms underpinning this association. We also discuss in depth the potential pathogenic role of the hepatorenal reflex, which may be triggered by subclinical portal hypertension and is a poorly investigated but promising research topic. Finally, we address emerging pharmacotherapies for NAFLD that may also beneficially affect the risk of developing CKD in individuals with NAFLD.

Temporal trends in comorbidity in adult elective hip and knee arthroplasty patients in England : a national population-based cohort study from the National Joint Registry

AIMS

Our main aim was to describe the trend in the comorbidities of patients undergoing elective total hip arthroplasties (THAs) and knee arthroplasties (KAs) between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2018 in England.

METHODS

We combined data from the National Joint Registry (NJR) on primary elective hip and knee arthroplasties performed between 2005 and 2018 with pre-existing conditions recorded at the time of their primary operation from Hospital Episodes Statistics. We described the temporal trend in the number of comorbidities identified using the Charlson Comorbidity Index, and how this varied by age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, index of multiple deprivation, and type of KA.

RESULTS

We included 696,504 and 833,745 elective primary THAs and KAs respectively, performed for any indication. Between 2005 and 2018, the proportion of elective THA and KA patients with one or more comorbidity at the time of their operation increased substantially (THA: 20% to 38%, KA: 22% to 41%). This was driven by increases in four conditions: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (2018: ~17%), diabetes without complications (2018: THA 10%, KA 14%), myocardial infarction (2018: 4%), and renal disease (2018: ~8%). Notably, renal disease prevalence increased from < 1% in 2005 to ~8% in 2018.

CONCLUSION

Between 2005 and 2018 there were significant changes in the number of comorbidities recorded in patients having elective primary THAs and KAs. Renal disease is now one of the most prevalent comorbidities in this patient population. Future research should explore whether this comorbidity trend has increased the burden on other medical specialities to optimize these patients before surgery and to provide additional postoperative care.Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(9):1052-1059.

MAFLD and CKD: An Updated Narrative Review

Accumulating evidence now indicates that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is the most common chronic liver disease observed in clinical practice worldwide, is independently associated with an increased risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD). Given that NAFLD is linked to insulin resistance, obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus, an international panel of experts have recently proposed a name change from NAFLD to metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Since the diagnostic criteria for NAFLD and MAFLD are different, observational studies assessing the potential concordance (or even superiority) of MAFLD, compared with NAFLD, in detecting patients at increased risk of hepatic and extra-hepatic complications (including CKD) are required. Hence, in the last two years, some observational studies have investigated the potential relationship between MAFLD and CKD. The result is that, at present, evidence regarding the concordance or even superiority of MAFLD, compared with NAFLD, in detecting patients at higher risk of CKD is still preliminary, although some data indicate that MAFLD identifies patients with CKD as accurately as NAFLD. In this narrative review, we will discuss: (a) the epidemiological evidence assessing the association between NAFLD and risk of incident CKD, (b) the epidemiological data investigating the association between MAFLD and risk of CKD and (c) the biological mechanisms underlying the association between NAFLD/MAFLD and CKD.

Impact of Obesity in Kidney Diseases

The clinical consequences of obesity on the kidneys, with or without metabolic abnormalities, involve both renal function and structures. The mechanisms linking obesity and renal damage are well understood, including several effector mechanisms with interconnected pathways. Higher prevalence of urinary albumin excretion, sub-nephrotic syndrome, nephrolithiasis, increased risk of developing CKD, and progression to ESKD have been identified as being associated with obesity and having a relevant clinical impact. Moreover, renal replacement therapy and kidney transplantation are also influenced by obesity. Losing weight is key in limiting the impact that obesity produces on the kidneys by reducing albuminuria/proteinuria, declining rate of eGFR deterioration, delaying the development of CKD and ESKD, and improving the outcome of a renal transplant. Weight reduction may also contribute to appropriate control of cardiometabolic risk factors such as hypertension, metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and dyslipidemia which may be protective not only in renal damage but also cardiovascular disease. Lifestyle changes, some drugs, and bariatric surgery have demonstrated the benefits.

Change in treatment burden among people with multimorbidity: Protocol of a follow up survey and development of efficient measurement tools for primary care

Background

Treatment burden is the effort required of patients to look after their health and the impact this has on their functioning and wellbeing. It is likely treatment burden changes over time as circumstances change for patients and health services. However, there are a lack of population-level studies of treatment burden change and factors associated with this change over time. Furthermore, there are currently no practical screening tools for treatment burden in time-pressured clinical settings or at population level.

Methods and analysis

This is a three-year follow-up of a cross-sectional survey of 723 people with multimorbidity (defined as three or more long-term conditions; LTCs) registered at GP practices in in Dorset, England. The survey will repeat collection of information on treatment burden (using the 10-item Multimorbidity Treatment Burden Questionnaire (MTBQ) and a novel single-item screening tool), sociodemographics, medications, LTCs, health literacy and financial resource, as at baseline. Descriptive statistics will be used to compare change in treatment burden since the baseline survey in 2019 and associations of treatment burden change will be assessed using regression methods. Diagnostic test accuracy metrics will be used to evaluate the single-item treatment burden screening tool using the MTBQ as the gold-standard. Routine primary care data (including demographics, medications, LTCs, and healthcare usage data) will be extracted from medical records for consenting participants. A forward-stepwise, likelihood-ratio logistic regression model building approach will be employed in order to assess the utility of routine data metrics in quantifying treatment burden in comparison to self-reported treatment burden using the MTBQ.

Impact

To the authors’ knowledge, this will be the first study investigating longitudinal aspects of treatment burden. Findings will improve understanding of the extent to which treatment burden changes over time for people with multimorbidity and factors contributing to this change, as well as allowing better identification of people at risk of high treatment burden.

Impact of Using Risk-Based Stratification on Referral of Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease From Primary Care to Specialist Care in the United Kingdom

Introduction

The externally validated Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) for predicting risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has been developed, but its potential impact in a population on referrals for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from primary to specialty nephrology care is not known.

Methods

A cross-sectional population-based study of individuals in United Kingdom primary care registered in The Health Improvement Network database was conducted. National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) 2014 CKD guidelines versus the 4-variable KFRE set at a >3% risk of ESRD at 5 years were applied to patients identified with CKD stage 3-5 between January 1, 2016, and March 31, 2017.

Results

In all, 39,476 (36.6%) of 107,962 adults with CKD stage 3-5 had a urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) available and entered into the primary analysis. Of that, 7566 (19.2%) patients fulfilled NICE criteria for referral, 2386 (31.5%) of whom had a ≤3% 5-year risk of ESRD. Also 8663 (21.9%) patients had a >3% 5-year risk of ESRD, 3483 (40.2%) of whom did not fulfill NICE criteria; this represents 8.8% of the primary population. By using the KFRE threshold rather than NICE criteria for referral, 5869 patients (14.9% of the primary analysis population) would have been reallocated between primary and specialist care. Imputational analysis was used for missing ACR measurements and showed similar results.

Conclusions

A risk-based referral approach would lead to a substantial reallocation of patients between primary care and specialist nephrology care with only a small increase in numbers eligible, ensuring those at higher risk of progression are identified.

Bailing Capsule combined with α-ketoacid tablets for stage 3 chronic kidney disease: Protocol of a double-blinded, randomized, controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a progressive and irreversible loss of kidney function. After stage 3, there will be increased risks of hypertension, heart failure, bone disease, anemia, gastrointestinal symptoms, and progression to end-stage kidney failure without proper intervention and treatment. Compound α-ketoacid tablets (KA) administration plays an important role in clinical CKD adjunctive therapy for patients with restricted protein intake. Bailing Capsule (BC), a commonly used Chinese patent medicine for renal diseases, could regulate human immune function, repair renal tubular epithelial cells, prevent renal tubular atrophy, and reduce kidney damage to improve renal function. In this study, we try to conduct a double-blinded, randomized, controlled trial to observe the efficacy and safety of BC combined with KA in treating patients with stage 3 CKD.

METHODS

This is a double-blinded, randomized, controlled trial. Patients will be randomly divided into treatment group (BC and KT) and control group (BC-simulation and KT) in a 1:1 ratio according to random number table. The treatment course will be 8 weeks, and the changes of subjective symptoms, patient global assessment (PGA) scale, serum creatinine, cystatin C, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, all related adverse events, vital sign measurements, and physical examinations will be recorded. SPSS 21.0 will be used for data analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The results will show whether BC combined with KA could alleviate the symptoms of fatigue, anorexia, halitosis, nausea, itching, and edema, improve kidney function in patients with CKD at stage 3.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

OSF Registration number: DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/24AJ7.

Patients' and kidney care team's perspectives of treatment burden and capacity in older people with chronic kidney disease: a qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is often a multimorbid condition and progression to more severe disease is commonly associated with increased management requirements, including lifestyle change, more medication and greater clinician involvement. This study explored patients' and kidney care team's perspectives of the nature and extent of this workload (treatment burden) and factors that support capacity (the ability to manage health) for older individuals with CKD.

DESIGN

Qualitative semistructured interview and focus group study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Adults (aged 60+) with predialysis CKD stages G3-5 (identified in two general practitioner surgeries and two renal clinics) and a multiprofessional secondary kidney care team in the UK.

RESULTS

29 individuals and 10 kidney team members were recruited. Treatment burden themes were: (1) understanding CKD, its treatment and consequences, (2) adhering to treatments and management and (3) interacting with others (eg, clinicians) in the management of CKD. Capacity themes were: (1) personal attributes (eg, optimism, pragmatism), (2) support network (family/friends, service providers), (3) financial capacity, environment (eg, geographical distance to unit) and life responsibilities (eg, caring for others). Patients reported poor provision of CKD information and lack of choice in treatment, whereas kidney care team members discussed health literacy issues. Patients reported having to withdraw from social activities and loss of employment due to CKD, which further impacted their capacity.

CONCLUSION

Improved understanding of and measures to reduce the treatment burden (eg, clear information, simplified medication, joined up care, free parking) associated with CKD in individuals as well as assessment of their capacity and interventions to improve capacity (social care, psychological support) will likely improve patient experience and their engagement with kidney care services.