Body mass index and microsatellite instability in colorectal cancer: a population-based study

Association of Overweight, Obesity, and Recent Weight Loss With Colorectal Cancer Risk

Importance

Overweight and obesity, conditions with rising prevalence in many countries, are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, many patients with CRC lose weight before diagnosis, which may lead the association to be underestimated.

Objective

To evaluate the association of body mass index (BMI) and weight change with CRC risk when considering BMI at different time frames, with the intention to account for prediagnostic weight loss.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based case-control study was conducted in southwestern Germany between 2003 and 2021. Cases with a first diagnosis of CRC and controls (frequency matched by age, sex, and county) with comprehensive risk factor information and self-reported weight at different time points were included. Data were analyzed between October 2022 and March 2023.

Exposure

BMI and weight change at different time frames before the time of diagnosis (cases) or recruitment (controls).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Association of BMI and weight change at various points in time before and up to diagnosis with CRC, assessed by multivariable logistic regression with comprehensive confounder adjustment.

Results

A total of 11 887 participants (6434 CRC cases, 5453 controls; median [IQR] age, 69 [61-77] years; 7173 male [60.3%]) were included. At the time of diagnosis, 3998 cases (62.1%) and 3601 controls (66.0%) were overweight or obese, suggesting an inverse association between excess weight and CRC risk. Conversely, we found significant positive associations of overweight (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.27; 95% CI, 1.03-1.56), obesity (aOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.61-2.70), and a 5-unit increase in BMI (aOR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.21-1.50) with CRC risk when using BMI measured 8 to 10 years before diagnosis. High BMI as a risk factor for CRC was increased as earlier periods before diagnosis were examined, with the association being particularly pronounced using BMI at least 8 years before diagnosis. An opposite trend was found for the association of weight loss (at or exceeding 2 kg) with CRC, with the greatest effect sizes occurring for weight loss within 2 years before diagnosis (aOR, 7.52; 95% CI, 5.61-10.09), and gradually decreased for earlier intervals.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based case-control study, accounting for substantial prediagnostic weight loss further highlighted the association of overweight and obesity with CRC risk.

Risk and survival in colorectal cancer with increasing body mass index: A nationwide population-based cohort study

AIM

The aim was to explore potential associations between the body mass index (BMI) and the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), including subsites of the colon, and cancer-specific death.

METHODS

A registry-based cohort study was conducted with baseline data gathered from the Norwegian Tuberculosis Screening Programme, collected between 1963 and 1975, and linked to follow-up data from the Cancer Registry of Norway and the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. Cox regression models were used to explore associations between BMI and CRC risk and cancer-specific death.

RESULTS

Of 1 723 692 included individuals, 76 616 developed CRC during 55 370 707 person-years of follow-up. In men, a 5 kg/m² increase in BMI was associated with an increased risk of colon cancer, including both right and left subsites, and rectal cancer. Allowing for nonlinearities, we found a U-shaped association for the right colon and an inverse U-shape for the left colon and rectum cancer. In women, a 5 kg/m² increase in BMI in early adulthood was associated with increased risk of colon cancer, including both subsites. In women, an increased risk of CRC death with increasing BMI was found for colon cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Men of all ages have an increased risk of CRC with increasing BMI, with the highest risk for right-sided colon cancer. An increased risk for colon cancer was also found in women with high BMI in early adulthood. Furthermore, women of all age groups appeared to have an increased risk of CRC death with higher BMI.

Body mass index and molecular subtypes of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Obesity is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), but the evidence for the association is inconsistent across molecular subtypes of the disease.

METHODS

We pooled data on body mass index (BMI), tumor microsatellite instability status, CpG island methylator phenotype status, BRAF and KRAS mutations, and Jass classification types for 11 872 CRC cases and 11 013 controls from 11 observational studies. We used multinomial logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for covariables.

RESULTS

Higher BMI was associated with increased CRC risk (OR per 5 kg/m2 = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.22). The positive association was stronger for men than women but similar across tumor subtypes defined by individual molecular markers. In analyses by Jass type, higher BMI was associated with elevated CRC risk for types 1-4 cases but not for type 5 CRC cases (considered familial-like/Lynch syndrome microsatellite instability-H, CpG island methylator phenotype-low or negative, BRAF-wild type, KRAS-wild type, OR = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.90 to 1.20). This pattern of associations for BMI and Jass types was consistent by sex and design of contributing studies (cohort or case-control).

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to previous reports with fewer study participants, we found limited evidence of heterogeneity for the association between BMI and CRC risk according to molecular subtype, suggesting that obesity influences nearly all major pathways involved in colorectal carcinogenesis. The null association observed for the Jass type 5 suggests that BMI is not a risk factor for the development of CRC for individuals with Lynch syndrome.

Genetic Obesity Variants and Risk of Conventional Adenomas and Serrated Polyps

BACKGROUND

Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer. How genetically predicted BMI may be associated with colorectal cancer precursors is unknown.

AIMS

Our objective was to quantify the association of genetically predicted and measured BMI with risk of colorectal cancer precursors.

METHODS

We evaluated the association of genetically predicted and measured BMI with risk of conventional adenomas, serrated polyps, and synchronous polyps among 27,426 participants who had undergone at least one lower gastrointestinal endoscopy in the Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and Health Professionals Follow-up Study. Genetic risk score was derived from 97 BMI-related single nucleotide polymorphisms. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated each polyp subtype compared to non-polyps.

RESULTS

For conventional adenomas, the OR per 2-kg/m² increase was 1.03 (95% CI, 1.01-1.04) for measured BMI and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.88-1.10) for genetically predicted BMI; for serrated polyps, the OR was 1.06 (95% CI, 1.04-1.08) and 1.04 (95% CI, 0.90-1.20), respectively; for synchronous polyps, the OR was 1.10 (95% CI, 1.07-1.13) and 1.09 (95% CI, 0.89-1.34), respectively. Genetically predicted BMI was associated with synchronous polyps in women (OR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.05-1.79).

CONCLUSION

Genetically predicted BMI was not associated with colorectal cancer precursor lesions. The confidence intervals were wide and encompassed those for measured BMI, indicating that null findings may be due to insufficient power.

Diabetes mellitus in relation to colorectal tumor molecular subtypes: A pooled analysis of more than 9000 cases

Diabetes is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer. However, colorectal cancer is a heterogeneous disease and it is not well understood whether diabetes is more strongly associated with some tumor molecular subtypes than others. A better understanding of the association between diabetes and colorectal cancer according to molecular subtypes could provide important insights into the biology of this association. We used data on lifestyle and clinical characteristics from the Colorectal Cancer Family Registry (CCFR) and the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium (GECCO), including 9756 colorectal cancer cases (with tumor marker data) and 9985 controls, to evaluate associations between reported diabetes and risk of colorectal cancer according to molecular subtypes. Tumor markers included BRAF and KRAS mutations, microsatellite instability and CpG island methylator phenotype. In the multinomial logistic regression model, comparing colorectal cancer cases to cancer-free controls, diabetes was positively associated with colorectal cancer regardless of subtype. The highest OR estimate was found for BRAF-mutated colorectal cancer, n = 1086 (ORfully adj : 1.67, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.36-2.05), with an attenuated association observed between diabetes and colorectal cancer without BRAF-mutations, n = 7959 (ORfully adj : 1.33, 95% CI: 1.19-1.48). In the case only analysis, BRAF-mutation was differentially associated with diabetes (Pdifference  = .03). For the other markers, associations with diabetes were similar across tumor subtypes. In conclusion, our study confirms the established association between diabetes and colorectal cancer risk, and suggests that it particularly increases the risk of BRAF-mutated tumors.

Energy balance-related factors and risk of colorectal cancer based on KRAS, PIK3CA, and BRAF mutations and MMR status

Introduction

KRAS mutations (KRAS_mut), PIK3CA_mut, BRAF_mut, and mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR) have been associated with the Warburg-effect. We previously observed differential associations between energy balance-related factors (BMI, clothing-size, physical activity) and colorectal cancer (CRC) subtypes based on the Warburg-effect. We now investigated whether associations between energy balance-related factors and risk of CRC differ between subgroups based on mutation and MMR status.

Methods

Information on molecular features was available for 2349 incident CRC cases within the Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS), with complete covariate data available for 1934 cases and 3911 subcohort members. Multivariable-adjusted Cox-regression was used to estimate associations of energy balance-related factors with risk of CRC based on individual molecular features (KRAS_mut; PIK3CA_mut; BRAF_mut; dMMR) and combinations thereof (all-wild-type + MMR-proficient (pMMR); any-mutation/dMMR).

Results

In men, BMI and clothing-size were positively associated with risk of colon, but not rectal cancer, regardless of molecular features subgroups; the strongest associations were observed for PIK3CA_mut colon cancer. In women, however, BMI and clothing-size were only associated with risk of KRAS_mut colon cancer (p-heterogeneity_{KRASmut versus all-wild-type+pMMR} = 0.008). Inverse associations of non-occupational physical activity with risk of colon cancer were strongest for any-mutation/dMMR tumors in men and women, and specifically for PIK3CA_mut tumors in women. Occupational physical activity was inversely associated with both combination subgroups of colon cancer in men.

Conclusion

In men, associations did not vary according to molecular features. In women, a role of KRAS mutations in the etiological pathway between adiposity and colon cancer is suggested, and of PIK3CA mutations between physical activity and colon cancer.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00432-022-04019-9.

Women survive longer than men undergoing cytoreductive surgery and HIPEC for appendiceal cancer

BACKGROUND

We hypothesize that women undergoing cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) for peritoneal carcinomatosis from appendiceal cancer will have a survival advantage compared to men.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) public user file (2004-2014) was used to select patients with PC undergoing CRS and HIPEC from appendiceal cancer. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed.

RESULTS

1,190 patients with PC from appendiceal cancer underwent HIPEC and CRS. OS was significantly longer for women than for men, with mean and median OS being 73.8 months and 98.2 months for women vs 58.7 months and 82.5 months for men, respectively (p = 0.0032). On multivariable analysis, male sex (HR: 1.444, 95% CI: 1.141-1.827, p = 0.0022) and increasing age (HR: 1.017, 95% CI: 1.006-1.027, p = 0.0017) were both found to be independent risk factors for worse OS.

CONCLUSION

Women undergoing CRS and HIPEC for PC from appendiceal origin live longer than men undergoing the same treatment. Increasing age was also found to be independent risk factors for worse survival.

Clinical-Grade Detection of Microsatellite Instability in Colorectal Tumors by Deep Learning

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Microsatellite instability (MSI) and mismatch-repair deficiency (dMMR) in colorectal tumors are used to select treatment for patients. Deep learning can detect MSI and dMMR in tumor samples on routine histology slides faster and less expensively than molecular assays. However, clinical application of this technology requires high performance and multisite validation, which have not yet been performed.

METHODS

We collected H&E-stained slides and findings from molecular analyses for MSI and dMMR from 8836 colorectal tumors (of all stages) included in the MSIDETECT consortium study, from Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Specimens with dMMR were identified by immunohistochemistry analyses of tissue microarrays for loss of MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and/or PMS2. Specimens with MSI were identified by genetic analyses. We trained a deep-learning detector to identify samples with MSI from these slides; performance was assessed by cross-validation (N = 6406 specimens) and validated in an external cohort (n = 771 specimens). Prespecified endpoints were area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC).

RESULTS

The deep-learning detector identified specimens with dMMR or MSI with a mean AUROC curve of 0.92 (lower bound, 0.91; upper bound, 0.93) and an AUPRC of 0.63 (range, 0.59-0.65), or 67% specificity and 95% sensitivity, in the cross-validation development cohort. In the validation cohort, the classifier identified samples with dMMR with an AUROC of 0.95 (range, 0.92-0.96) without image preprocessing and an AUROC of 0.96 (range, 0.93-0.98) after color normalization.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a deep-learning system that detects colorectal cancer specimens with dMMR or MSI using H&E-stained slides; it detected tissues with dMMR with an AUROC of 0.96 in a large, international validation cohort. This system might be used for high-throughput, low-cost evaluation of colorectal tissue specimens.

Polymorphisms in the Angiogenesis-Related Genes EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 Are Associated with Survival of Colorectal Cancer Patients

An individual's inherited genetic variation may contribute to the 'angiogenic switch', which is essential for blood supply and tumor growth of microscopic and macroscopic tumors. Polymorphisms in angiogenesis-related genes potentially predispose to colorectal cancer (CRC) or affect the survival of CRC patients. We investigated the association of 392 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 33 angiogenesis-related genes with CRC risk and survival of CRC patients in 1754 CRC cases and 1781 healthy controls within DACHS (Darmkrebs: Chancen der Verhütung durch Screening), a German population-based case-control study. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated from unconditional logistic regression to test for genetic associations with CRC risk. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs for survival. Multiple testing was adjusted for by a false discovery rate. No variant was associated with CRC risk. Variants in EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 were significantly associated with overall survival. The association of the EFNB2 tagging SNP rs9520090 (p < 0.0001) was confirmed in two validation datasets (p-values: 0.01 and 0.05). The associations of the tagging SNPs rs6040062 in JAG1 (p-value 0.0003) and rs2241145 in MMP2 (p-value 0.0005) showed the same direction of association with overall survival in the first and second validation sets, respectively, although they did not reach significance (p-values: 0.09 and 0.25, respectively). EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 are known for their functional role in angiogenesis and the present study points to novel evidence for the impact of angiogenesis-related genetic variants on the CRC outcome.

Association of Aspirin and Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs With Colorectal Cancer Risk by Molecular Subtypes

BACKGROUND

Regular use of aspirin and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) for a longer period has been inversely associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, CRC is a heterogenic disease, and little is known regarding the associations with molecular pathological subtypes.

METHODS

Analyses included 2444 cases with a first diagnosis of CRC and 3130 healthy controls from a German population-based case control study. Tumor tissue samples were analyzed for major molecular pathological features: microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype, B-Raf proto-oncogene serine/threonine kinase (BRAF) mutation, and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog gene (KRAS) mutation. Information on past and current use of NSAIDs, including aspirin, was obtained by standardized interviews. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Regular use of NSAIDs was associated with a reduced CRC risk if tumors were MSS (OR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.57 to 0.77), BRAF wildtype (OR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.58 to 0.78), or KRAS wildtype (OR = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.58 to 0.80). Regular NSAID use was less clearly and mostly not statistically significantly associated with CRC risk reduction for MSI-high, BRAF-mutated, or KRAS-mutated CRC. In more specific analyses on MSI-high CRC, regular use of NSAIDs was associated with much stronger risk reduction in the absence of BRAF or KRAS mutations (OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.18 to 0.65) but not with KRAS- or BRAF-mutated MSI-high CRC (Pheterogeneity < .001). Results for just aspirin use were similar.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests variation in risk reduction of CRC subtypes following regular use of NSAIDs and aspirin. Regular use of NSAIDs and aspirin may be more strongly associated with risk reduction of MSI-high CRC without KRAS or BRAF mutation.

Microsatellite Instability and Life Style Factors in Sporadic Colorectal Cancer

Background:

Colorectal cancer (CRC) in Egypt is a relatively high young onset disease. As a form of heterogeneous cancer, there is interplay between genetic and environmental factors. We aimed at probing the association of life style factors and Microsatellite Instability (MSI) status that could provide more insights on carcinogenic process of CRC.

Methods:

One hundred incident sporadic CRC patients were involved. Information on risk factors of CRC was obtained and microsatellite instability status was predicted through evaluation of MMR protein expression via immunohistochemistry (IHC).

Results:

Median age was 47.50 years, females represented 54.0% and 36% of patients were Microsatellite Instability High (MSI-H). Most patients with right sided colon cancer (78.3%) were MSI-H while mostly stable or low MSS/MSI-L for left-sided colon and rectum (78.6%, 74.3% respectively, p<0.001). Patients with low physical activity had higher risk of MSS/MSI-L than those with moderate or high activity p =0.026. Patients with BMI greater than 30 Kg/m² had higher MSS/MSI-L (75.5%) than those with BMI between 25-30 Kg/m² (60.6%) and those with normal BMI <25 (38.9%), p for trend = 0.006. On subgroup analyses, the association of high BMI with MSS/MSI-L was only shown in patients younger than 40 years, females, stage III, non-mucin secreting adenocarcinoma and a significant interaction with physical activity.

Conclusion:

In Conclusion, the present study confirms the increased risk of MSS/MSI-L with increased BMI and speculates this association to be modified by patient’s life style and tumor characteristics. Further research is needed to validate present results.

Smoking, alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer risk by molecular pathological subtypes and pathways

Background

Smoking and alcohol increase risk for colorectal malignancies. However, colorectal cancer (CRC) is a heterogenic disease and associations with the molecular pathological pathways are unclear.

Methods

This population-based case–control study includes 2444 cases with first-diagnosis CRC and 2475 controls. Tumour tissue was analysed for MSI (microsatellite instability), CIMP (CpG island methylator phenotype), BRAF (B-Raf proto-oncogene serine/threonine kinase gene) and KRAS (Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homologue gene) mutations. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were estimated for associations between alcohol and smoking and CRC molecular subtypes and pathways.

Results

Current smoking showed higher ORs for MSI-high (OR = 2.79, 95% CI: 1.86–4.18) compared to MSS (OR = 1.41, 1.14–1.75, p-heterogeneity (p-het) = 0.001), BRAF-mutated (mut) (OR = 2.40, 1.41–4.07) compared to BRAF-wild type (wt) (OR = 1.52, 1.24–1.88, p-het = 0.074), KRAS-wt (OR = 1.70, 1.36–2.13) compared to KRAS-mut (OR = 1.26, 0.95–1.68, p-het = 0.039) and CIMP-high (OR = 2.01, 1.40–2.88) compared to CIMP-low/negative CRC (OR = 1.50, 1.22–1.85, p-het=0.101). Current smoking seemed more strongly associated with sessile serrated pathway (CIMP-high + BRAF-mut; OR = 2.39, 1.27–4.52) than with traditional pathway CRC (MSS + CIMP-low/negative + BRAF-wt; OR = 1.50, 1.16–1.94) and no association was observed with alternate pathway CRC (MSS + CIMP-low/negative + KRAS-wt; OR = 1.08, 0.77–1.43). No heterogeneity was observed in alcohol consumption association by molecular subtypes.

Conclusions

In this large case–control study, smoking was more strongly associated with MSI-high and KRAS-wt CRC and with cases showing features of the sessile serrated pathway. Association patterns were less clear for alcohol consumption.

Association of BMI and major molecular pathological markers of colorectal cancer in men and women

BACKGROUND

Observational studies have consistently shown that a high BMI is associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the underlying mechanisms linking obesity to CRC remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the associations of BMI and CRC by major molecular pathological subtypes of CRC.

METHODS

This analysis included 2407 cases and 2454 controls from a large German population-based case-control study. Information on recent weight and height as well as other demographic and lifestyle data were obtained by standardized interviews. Multinomial logistic regression was used to estimate ORs and 95% CIs for the associations between BMI and risk of CRC by major molecular pathological features: microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), B-Raf proto-oncogene serine/threonine kinase (BRAF) mutation, and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog gene (KRAS) mutation.

RESULTS

Among women, a higher BMI was differentially and more strongly associated with risk of MSI CRC (OR per 5 kg/m2: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.34, 2.12; Pheterogeneity ≤ 0.001), CIMP-high CRC (OR per 5 kg/m2: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.30, 1.89; Pheterogeneity ≤ 0.001), BRAF-mutated CRC (OR per 5 kg/m2: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.22, 1.99; Pheterogeneity = 0.04), and KRAS-wildtype CRC (OR per 5 kg/m2: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.17, 1.54; Pheterogeneity = 0.01), compared with the risk of CRC in subjects with the molecular feature counterpart. In men, no meaningful differences in CRC risk were observed for the investigated molecular feature pairs. For the association of BMI with MSI CRC, we observed effect modification by sex (Pinteraction = 0.04). Also, in women, the risk of CRC with the serrated pathway features was more strongly increased with higher BMI than risk of CRC with the traditional pathway features (OR per 5 kg/m2: 1.73; 95% CI: 1.28, 2.34; Pheterogeneity = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

In women, the relation between BMI and MSI-high CRC seems to be stronger than that between BMI and microsatellite-stable CRC. However, a validation in an independent cohort is needed. This observational study was registered at the German Clinical Trials Register (http://www.drks.de; study ID: DRKS00011793), an approved primary register in the WHO network.

Postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy and colorectal cancer risk by molecular subtypes and pathways

Postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy (HRT) was found to be associated with lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, little is known regarding associations with molecular subtypes of CRC. The current study includes female participants of a large German population-based case-control study (922 CRC cases and 1,183 controls). Tumor tissue samples were analyzed for microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), BRAF and KRAS mutation status. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association of HRT use with molecular subtypes and pathways. Postmenopausal HRT use was overall associated with reduced risk of CRC (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.50-0.76) and no major differences were observed for molecular subtypes or for tumor marker combinations representing molecular pathways. When stratified by median age (≤/>71 years) potentially stronger risk reductions were observed in the older group for subtypes showing MSI (OR = 0.36, 95% CI 0.17-0.76), BRAF mutation (OR = 0.40, 95% CI 0.30-0.83) and CIMP-high (OR = 0.40, 95% CI 0.21-0.73) and for CRC suggestive of the sessile serrated pathway (OR = 0.45, 95% CI 0.20-1.01). In conclusion, postmenopausal use of HRT was similarly associated with risk reduction of major molecular tumor subtypes and pathways of CRC. Potentially stronger risk reductions with CRC subtypes diagnosed at higher ages require confirmation and clarification from other studies. The current study extends the limited understanding of the mechanisms of HRT in CRC prevention.

Lifestyle factors and risk of sporadic colorectal cancer by microsatellite instability status: a systematic review and meta-analyses

Introduction

The association of lifestyle factors with molecular pathological subtypes of colorectal cancer (CRC), such as microsatellite instability (MSI), could provide further knowledge about the colorectal carcinogenic process. The aim of this review was to evaluate possible associations between lifestyle factors and risk of sporadic CRC by MSI status.

Methods

PubMed and Web of Science were searched for studies investigating the association between alcohol, body mass index, dietary fiber, hormone replacement therapy (HRT), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, physical activity, red meat, smoking, or statin use, with MSI-high (MSI-H) and microsatellite stable (MSS) CRC. Meta-analyses were carried out to calculate summary relative risks (sRR).

Results

Overall, 31 studies reporting on the association between lifestyle factors and CRC according to MSI status were included in this review. Ever smoking was associated with MSI-H (sRR = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.40-1.88) and MSS/MSI-low CRC (sRR = 1.10; 95% CI: 1.01-1.20), but the association was significantly stronger for MSI-H CRC. The use of HRT was associated with a 20% decrease (sRR = 0.80; 95% CI: 0.73-0.89) in the risk of MSS CRC, but was not associated with MSI-H CRC. An increase in body mass index per 5 kg/m2 was equally associated with MSS and MSI-H CRC (sRR = 1.22, in both cases), but was statistically significant for MSS CRC only (95% CI: 1.11-1.34 and 0.94-1.58, respectively). Limited evidence for associations between other lifestyle factors and CRC by MSI status exists.

Conclusions

Lifestyle factors, such as HRT and smoking are differentially associated with the risk of MSI-H and MSS CRC. Further research on associations of lifestyle factors and CRC subtypes is necessary to provide a better understanding of the CRC disease pathway.

Pre-diagnostic anthropometry, sex, and risk of colorectal cancer according to tumor immune cell composition

Obesity is a well-established risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), but the association with the tumor microenvironment has been sparsely described. Herein, we examined the relationship between pre-diagnostic anthropometry and CRC risk according to tumor immune cell composition, with particular reference to potential sex differences.

The density of different immune cell subsets was assessed by immunohistochemistry in tissue microarrays with tumors from 584 incident CRC cases in a prospective, population-based cohort (n = 28098). Multivariable Cox regression models, adjusted for age, smoking, alcohol intake, and educational level, were applied to calculate risk of immune marker-defined CRC in relation to quartiles of pre-diagnostic height, weight, body mass index (BMI), waist and hip circumferences, waist-hip ratio (WHR), and body fat percentage (BFP).

Obesity was all over significantly associated with risk of CRC with low density of FoxP3⁺ T cells and low programmed cell-death protein 1 (PD-L1) expression on tumor cells, but with high density of CD8⁺ T cells and CD20⁺ B cells. In women, obesity was significantly associated with risk of PD-L1 high tumors (p= 0.009 for weight, p= 0.039 for BMI). Contrastingly, in men, obesity defined by all anthropometric factors was significantly associated with PD-L1 low tumors (p= 0.005 for weight, p = 0.002 for BMI, p<0.001 for waist, p= 0.011 for hip, p<0.001 for WHR, and p= 0.004 for BFP).

In summary, obesity appears to influence the immune landscape of CRC, possibly in a sex-dependent manner. Thus, anthropometry and sex may be important factors to take into account when assessing the prognostic or predictive value of relevant complementary immune biomarkers.

Bevacuzimab May Be Less Effective in Obese Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to investigate whether obesity affects survival in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients treated with bevacizumab combined with chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 563 patients with mCRC who had received first-line chemotherapy in combination with bevacizumab were studied. Patients were grouped as obese (BMI levels > 30) or non-obese (BMI levels < 30). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. Primary tumor location was also investigated in terms of PFS and OS.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 59 years. The non-obese group had longer PFS than the obese group (P = 0.030). The 2-year survival rate of the non-obese group was also significantly higher (P = 0.036). The median PFS of non-obese patients was significantly longer in Kras wild-type patients (10.1 vs. 8.1 months, P = 0.010). Among patients with left-sided primary tumor location, median PFS and OS were significantly higher in the non-obese group (PFS non-obese, 11.5 months; obese, 8.8 months; P = 0.002) (OS non-obese, 29.4 months; obese, 21.4 months; P = 0.026).

CONCLUSIONS

Efficacy of bevacizumab may be lower in obese patients. Among patients with Kras wild-type left-sided tumors treated with bevacizumab-based regimens, the prognosis could be worse for obese patients than that for non-obese patients. There is a need for prospectively designed studies of obese patients to prove the efficacy and dosages of bevacizumab in treatment of mCRC.

The Association Between Mutations in BRAF and Colorectal Cancer-Specific Survival Depends on Microsatellite Status and Tumor Stage

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Colorectal tumors with mutations in BRAF and microsatellite stability (MSS) have been associated with adverse outcomes of patients. Combined tests for microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) and BRAF mutations might therefore be used in risk assessment, particularly for patients with stage II tumors. We investigate the stage-specific prognostic value of combined testing for MSI-H and BRAF for patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of colorectal tumor samples collected from 1995 patients at 22 hospitals in Germany, between 2003 and 2010. Samples were analyzed for MSI-H using an established mononucleotide marker panel; BRAF mutations (BRAFV600E) were detected by Sanger sequencing or in tissue microarray blocks using immunohistochemistry. Cancers were assigned to categories of having MSS without mutations in BRAF, MSS with mutant BRAF, MSI-H without mutations in BRAF, and MSI-H with mutant BRAF. We investigated the association between tumor categories with clinical and pathologic features and patient's overall, disease-specific, and recurrence-free survival (median follow-up time, 5.1 y).

RESULTS

Tumors were stage I in 364 (18%), stage II in 678 (34%), stage III in 673 (34%), and stage IV (14%) in 280 patients. Sixty-three percent of tumors were located in the colon and 37% in the rectum. Most tumors (85%) had MSS without mutations in BRAF, 3% had MSS with mutant BRAF, 7% had MSI-H without mutations in BRAF, and 5% had MSI-H with mutant BRAF. In patients whose tumors were MSI-H, mutation of BRAF did not significantly affect survival time. Patients whose tumors had MSS with mutant BRAF had significantly reduced overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 2.16; 95% CI, 1.54-3.04; P < .001), disease-specific survival (HR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.77-3.79; P < .001), and recurrence-free survival (HR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.70-3.52; P < .001) than patients whose tumors had MSS without BRAF mutation. Although BRAF mutations in tumors with MSS were associated with disease-specific survival of patients with stage III or IV tumors (P < .001), these features did not affect survival of patients with stage II tumors (P = .639).

CONCLUSIONS

In an analysis of almost 2000 patients with colorectal cancer, we found BRAF mutations to reduce survival of patients in stage III or IV (but not stage II) tumors with MSS. These findings do not support testing stage I or II colorectal tumors for BRAF mutations, although additional large studies are needed.

Metabolic factors and the risk of colorectal cancer by KRAS and BRAF mutation status

Factors related to energy metabolism and the metabolic syndrome, such as higher body mass index (BMI), blood glucose, or blood lipids, and blood pressure, are associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, CRC is a heterogeneous disease, developing through distinct pathways with differences in molecular characteristics and prognosis, and possibly also in risk factors. For subtypes defined by KRAS and BRAF mutation status, BMI is the only metabolic factor previously studied, with inconsistent findings. We investigated whether associations between BMI, blood glucose, blood lipids, and blood pressure and CRC risk differed by tumor KRAS and BRAF mutation status in 117,687 participants from two population-based cohorts within the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study (NSHDS). Hazard ratios (HRs) for overall CRC and CRC subtypes by metabolic factors were estimated with Cox proportional hazards regression, using multiple imputation to handle missing exposure and tumor data. During a median follow-up of 15.6 years, we acquired 1,250 prospective CRC cases, of which 766 cases had complete baseline and molecular tumor data. Consistent with previous evidence, higher BMI, total cholesterol, triglyceride levels, and blood pressure were associated with an increased risk of overall CRC (HRs per 1 standard deviation increase: 1.07 to 1.12). These associations were similar regardless of CRC subtype by KRAS and BRAF mutation status (all p_{heterogeneity} > 0.05). The same was true for subtypes based on microsatellite instability status. Poor metabolic health may therefore be a universal mechanism for colorectal cancer, acting across multiple developmental pathways.

Nutritional Regulation of Intestinal Stem Cells

Dietary composition and calorie intake are major determinants of health and disease. Calorie restriction promotes metabolic changes that favor tissue regeneration and is arguably the most successful and best-conserved antiaging intervention. Obesity, in contrast, impairs tissue homeostasis and is a major risk factor for the development of diseases including cancer. Stem cells, the central mediators of tissue regeneration, integrate dietary and energy cues via nutrient-sensing pathways to maintain growth or respond to stress. We discuss emerging data on the effects of diet and nutrient-sensing pathways on intestinal stem cells, as well as their potential application in the development of regenerative and therapeutic interventions.

The relationship between body mass index changes during chemotherapy and prognosis of patients with advanced colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study

We investigated the relationships between body mass index change (ΔBMI) and prognoses and clinical effects of patients with advanced colorectal cancer (CRC).From January 2008 to December 2012, 224patients with stage IV CRC were diagnosed in our hospital, and their clinical and pathological data were collected for this retrospective study. These patients were divided into lowΔ BMI group (ΔBMI ≤-0.45 kg/m) and high ΔBMI (ΔBMI >-0.45 kg/m) group.After 2 cycles of chemotherapy, there were no significant differences between prediagnosis BMI, ΔBMI, and clinical effects (P = .196; P = .59).There was also no significant difference in median progression-free survival of the high ΔBMI and low ΔBMI groups (P = .530). The overall survival (OS) time of the high ΔBMI group was significantly longer than that of the low ΔBMI group (P = .002). Family history (P = .041), eastern cooperative oncology group performance status (ECOG PS) score (P = .001), ΔBMI (P = .023), and carcinoembryonic antigen, (P = 0.02) were independent predictive factors of OS rates in patients with CRC. The relative risk was 0.72-fold for patients with CRC patients with high ΔBMI levels, relative to those with lower ΔBMI levels.Our results demonstrate that ΔBMI decreases predict poor prognoses for patients with advanced CRC, and elevated ΔBMI was a predictive factor for high survival rate. Thus, ΔBMI appears to be an independent predictive factor of CRC survival rates.

Review Article: The Role of Molecular Pathological Epidemiology in the Study of Neoplastic and Non-neoplastic Diseases in the Era of Precision Medicine

Molecular pathology diagnostics to subclassify diseases based on pathogenesis are increasingly common in clinical translational medicine. Molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) is an integrative transdisciplinary science based on the unique disease principle and the disease continuum theory. While it has been most commonly applied to research on breast, lung, and colorectal cancers, MPE can investigate etiologic heterogeneity in non-neoplastic diseases, such as cardiovascular diseases, obesity, diabetes mellitus, drug toxicity, and immunity-related and infectious diseases. This science can enhance causal inference by linking putative etiologic factors to specific molecular biomarkers as outcomes. Technological advances increasingly enable analyses of various -omics, including genomics, epigenomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics, metagenomics, microbiome, immunomics, interactomics, etc. Challenges in MPE include sample size limitations (depending on availability of biospecimens or biomedical/radiological imaging), need for rigorous validation of molecular assays and study findings, and paucities of interdisciplinary experts, education programs, international forums, and standardized guidelines. To address these challenges, there are ongoing efforts such as multidisciplinary consortium pooling projects, the International Molecular Pathological Epidemiology Meeting Series, and the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology-MPE guideline project. Efforts should be made to build biorepository and biobank networks, and worldwide population-based MPE databases. These activities match with the purposes of the Big Data to Knowledge (BD2K), Genetic Associations and Mechanisms in Oncology (GAME-ON), and Precision Medicine Initiatives of the United States National Institute of Health. Given advances in biotechnology, bioinformatics, and computational/systems biology, there are wide open opportunities in MPE to contribute to public health.

Lifestyle, Diet, and Colorectal Cancer Risk According to (Epi)genetic Instability: Current Evidence and Future Directions of Molecular Pathological Epidemiology

Purpose of Review

In this review, we describe molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) studies from around the world that have studied diet and/or lifestyle factors in relation to molecular markers of (epi)genetic pathways in colorectal cancer (CRC), and explore future perspectives in this realm of research. The main focus of this review is diet and lifestyle factors for which there is evidence for an association with CRC as identified by the World Cancer Research Fund reports. In addition, we review promising hypotheses, that warrant consideration in future studies.

Recent Findings

Associations between molecular characteristics of CRC have been published in relation to smoking, alcohol consumption; body mass index (BMI); waist:hip ratio; adult attained height; physical activity; early life energy restriction; dietary acrylamide, fiber, fat, methyl donors, omega 3 fatty acids; meat, including total protein, processed meat, and heme iron; and fruit and vegetable intake.

Summary

MPE studies help identify where associations between diet, lifestyle, and CRC risk may otherwise be masked and also shed light on how timing of exposure can influence etiology. Sample size is often an issue, but this may be addressed in the future by pooling data.

Associations of red and processed meat intake with major molecular pathological features of colorectal cancer

Red and processed meat is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC). However, exact mechanisms to explain the associations remain unclear. Few studies have investigated the association with CRC by molecular tumor features, which could provide relevant information on associated molecular pathways. In this population-based case-control study from Germany (DACHS), 2449 cases and 2479 controls provided information on risk factors of CRC and completed a food frequency questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the associations between meat intake and risk of CRC by molecular pathologic features and specific subtypes. Red and processed meat intake was associated with increased risk of colorectal (>1 time/day vs ≤1 time/week OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.34-2.07), colon and rectal cancer. Among the single molecular tumor features investigated, the results were similar for associations of red and processed meat with CRC risk by microsatellite instability, CpG island methylator phenotype, BRAF, oestrogen receptor-β and p53 status. Red and processed meat intake was associated less strongly with risk of KRAS-mutated CRC (OR >1 time/day vs ≤1 time/week: 1.49, 95% CI 1.09-2.03) than with risk of KRAS-wildtype CRC (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.42-2.34; p _{heterogeneity} 0.04). These results support an association between red and processed meat and CRC risk similar for subsites of CRC and most of the investigated major molecular pathological features. Potential differences were observed in more specific subtype analyses. Further large studies are needed to confirm these results and to help further elucidate potential underlying mechanisms.

Body mass index and risk of colorectal carcinoma subtypes classified by tumor differentiation status

Previous studies suggest that abnormal energy balance status may dysregulate intestinal epithelial homeostasis and promote colorectal carcinogenesis, yet little is known about how host energy balance and obesity influence enterocyte differentiation during carcinogenesis. We hypothesized that the association between high body mass index (BMI) and colorectal carcinoma incidence might differ according to tumor histopathologic differentiation status. Using databases of the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, and duplication-method Cox proportional hazards models, we prospectively examined an association between BMI and the incidence of colorectal carcinoma subtypes classified by differentiation features. 120,813 participants were followed for 26 or 32 years and 1528 rectal and colon cancer cases with available tumor pathological data were documented. The association between BMI and colorectal cancer risk significantly differed depending on the presence or absence of poorly-differentiated foci (P_{heterogeneity} = 0.006). Higher BMI was associated with a higher risk of colorectal carcinoma without poorly-differentiated foci (≥30.0 vs. 18.5-22.4 kg/m²: multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.87; 95% confidence interval, 1.49-2.34; P_trend < 0.001), but not with risk of carcinoma with poorly-differentiated foci (P_trend = 0.56). This differential association appeared to be consistent in strata of tumor microsatellite instability or FASN expression status, although the statistical power was limited. The association between BMI and colorectal carcinoma risk did not significantly differ by overall tumor differentiation, mucinous differentiation, or signet ring cell component (P_{heterogeneity} > 0.03, with the adjusted α of 0.01). High BMI was associated with risk of colorectal cancer subtype containing no poorly-differentiated focus. Our findings suggest that carcinogenic influence of excess energy balance might be stronger for tumors that retain better intestinal differentiation throughout the tumor areas.

Emerging Concepts Linking Obesity with the Hallmarks of Cancer

There is compelling epidemiological evidence linking obesity to many tumours; however, the molecular mechanisms fuelling this association are not clearly understood. Emerging evidence links changes in the tumour microenvironment with the obese state, and murine and human studies highlight the relevance of adipose stromal cells (ASCs), including immune cells, both at remote fat depots, such as the omentum, as well as in peritumoural tissue. These obesity-associated changes have been implicated in several hallmarks of cancer, including the chronic inflammatory state and associated cell signalling, epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT), tumour-related fibrosis, angiogenesis, and genomic instability. Here, we present a summary of developments over the past 5 years, with particular focus on the tumour microenvironment in the obese state.

Body mass index and risk of colorectal cancer according to tumor lymphocytic infiltrate

Higher body mass index (BMI), higher body adiposity and obesity have been associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer. Evidence suggests that excess energy balance may influence systemic immune and inflammatory status. Thus, we hypothesized that the positive association between BMI and colorectal cancer risk might differ according to colorectal carcinoma subtypes according to levels of histopathological lymphocytic reaction to tumor. We collected biennial questionnaire data on weight and baseline height information in two prospective cohort studies, the Nurses' Health Study (1980-2010) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2010). Utilizing duplication-method Cox proportional hazards regression models, we prospectively assessed the association between BMI and risk of colorectal cancer subtypes according to the degree of Crohn's-like lymphoid reaction, peritumoral lymphocytic reaction, intratumoral periglandular reaction, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, the overall lymphocytic reaction score, or T-cell [CD3(+) , CD8(+) , CD45RO (PTPRC)(+) or FOXP3(+) ] density in tumor tissue. Statistical significance level was adjusted for multiple hypotheses testing by Bonferroni correction. During follow up of 1,708,029 men and women (over 3,346,752 person-years), we documented 1,436 incident rectal and colon cancer cases with available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor tissue materials and pathological immunity data. BMI was significantly associated with higher risk of overall colorectal cancer (Ptrend  < 0.001); however, the association of BMI with colorectal carcinoma risk did not significantly differ by the level of lymphocytic reaction or T-cell infiltration in tumor tissue status (Pheterogeneity  > 0.10). BMI may be associated with risk of colorectal cancer regardless of levels of lymphocytic response to tumor.

Plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D and colorectal cancer risk according to tumour immunity status

OBJECTIVE

Evidence suggests protective effects of vitamin D and antitumour immunity on colorectal cancer risk. Immune cells in tumour microenvironment can convert 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] to bioactive 1α,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3, which influences neoplastic and immune cells as an autocrine and paracrine factor. Thus, we hypothesised that the inverse association between vitamin D and colorectal cancer risk might be stronger for cancers with high-level immune response than those with low-level immune response.

DESIGN

We designed a nested case-control study (318 rectal and colon carcinoma cases and 624 matched controls) within the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study using molecular pathological epidemiology database. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to assess the association of plasma 25(OH)D with tumour subtypes according to the degree of lymphocytic reaction, tumour-infiltrating T cells (CD3+, CD8+, CD45RO+ (PTPRC) and FOXP3+ cells), microsatellite instability or CpG island methylator phenotype.

RESULTS

The association of plasma 25(OH)D with colorectal carcinoma differed by the degree of intratumoural periglandular reaction (p for heterogeneity=0.001); high 25(OH)D was associated with lower risk of tumour with high-level reaction (comparing the highest versus lowest tertile: OR 0.10; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.35; p for trend<0.001), but not risk of tumour with lower-level reaction (p for trend>0.50). A statistically non-significant difference was observed for the associations of 25(OH)D with tumour subtypes according to CD3+ T cell density (p for heterogeneity=0.03; adjusted statistical significance level of α=0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

High plasma 25(OH)D level is associated with lower risk of colorectal cancer with intense immune reaction, supporting a role of vitamin D in cancer immunoprevention through tumour-host interaction.

Integration of molecular pathology, epidemiology and social science for global precision medicine

The precision medicine concept and the unique disease principle imply that each patient has unique pathogenic processes resulting from heterogeneous cellular genetic and epigenetic alterations and interactions between cells (including immune cells) and exposures, including dietary, environmental, microbial and lifestyle factors. As a core method field in population health science and medicine, epidemiology is a growing scientific discipline that can analyze disease risk factors and develop statistical methodologies to maximize utilization of big data on populations and disease pathology. The evolving transdisciplinary field of molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) can advance biomedical and health research by linking exposures to molecular pathologic signatures, enhancing causal inference and identifying potential biomarkers for clinical impact. The MPE approach can be applied to any diseases, although it has been most commonly used in neoplastic diseases (including breast, lung and colorectal cancers) because of availability of various molecular diagnostic tests. However, use of state-of-the-art genomic, epigenomic and other omic technologies and expensive drugs in modern healthcare systems increases racial, ethnic and socioeconomic disparities. To address this, we propose to integrate molecular pathology, epidemiology and social science. Social epidemiology integrates the latter two fields. The integrative social MPE model can embrace sociology, economics and precision medicine, address global health disparities and inequalities, and elucidate biological effects of social environments, behaviors and networks. We foresee advancements of molecular medicine, including molecular diagnostics, biomedical imaging and targeted therapeutics, which should benefit individuals in a global population, by means of an interdisciplinary approach of integrative MPE and social health science.

Prognostic value of BRAF and KRAS mutation status in stage II and III microsatellite instable colon cancers

Microsatellite instability (MSI) has been associated with favourable survival in early stage colorectal cancer (CRC) compared to microsatellite stable (MSS) CRC. The BRAF V600E mutation has been associated with worse survival in MSS CRC. This mutation occurs in 40% of MSI CRC and it is unclear whether it confers worse survival in this setting. The prognostic value of KRAS mutations in both MSS and MSI CRC remains unclear. We examined the effect of BRAF and KRAS mutations on survival in stage II and III MSI colon cancer patients. BRAF exon 15 and KRAS exon 2-3 mutation status was assessed in 143 stage II (n = 85) and III (n = 58) MSI colon cancers by high resolution melting analysis and sequencing. The relation between mutation status and cancer-specific (CSS) and overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. BRAF V600E mutations were observed in 51% (n = 73) and KRAS mutations in 16% of cases (n = 23). Patients with double wild-type cancers (dWT; i.e., BRAF and KRAS wild-type) had a highly favourable survival with 5-year CSS of 93% (95% CI 84-100%), while patients with cancers harbouring mutations in either BRAF or KRAS, had 5-year CSS of 76% (95% CI 67-85%). In the subgroup of stage II patients with dWT cancers no cancer-specific deaths were observed. On multivariate analysis, mutation in either BRAF or KRAS vs. dWT remained significantly prognostic. Mutations in BRAF as well as KRAS should be analyzed when considering these genes as prognostic markers in MSI colon cancers.

Molecular pathological epidemiology gives clues to paradoxical findings

A number of epidemiologic studies have described what appear to be paradoxical associations, where an incongruous relationship is observed between a certain well-established risk factor for disease incidence and favorable clinical outcome among patients with that disease. For example, the "obesity paradox" represents the association between obesity and better survival among patients with a certain disease such as coronary heart disease. Paradoxical observations cause vexing clinical and public health problems as they raise questions on causal relationships and hinder the development of effective interventions. Compelling evidence indicates that pathogenic processes encompass molecular alterations within cells and the microenvironment, influenced by various exogenous and endogenous exposures, and that interpersonal heterogeneity in molecular pathology and pathophysiology exists among patients with any given disease. In this article, we introduce methods of the emerging integrative interdisciplinary field of molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE), which is founded on the unique disease principle and disease continuum theory. We analyze and decipher apparent paradoxical findings, utilizing the MPE approach and available literature data on tumor somatic genetic and epigenetic characteristics. Through our analyses in colorectal cancer, renal cell carcinoma, and glioblastoma (malignant brain tumor), we can readily explain paradoxical associations between disease risk factors and better prognosis among disease patients. The MPE paradigm and approach can be applied to not only neoplasms but also various non-neoplastic diseases where there exists indisputable ubiquitous heterogeneity of pathogenesis and molecular pathology. The MPE paradigm including consideration of disease heterogeneity plays an essential role in advancements of precision medicine and public health.

Overexpression of SIX1 is an independent prognostic marker in stage I-III colorectal cancer

Epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) contributes significantly to tumor progression and metastasis. The assessment of EMT-associated transcription factors could be a promising approach to identify biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets in colorectal cancer. In our study, we focused on the transcription factor "Sine oculis homeobox" (SIX) 1, which is a member of the superfamily of the homeobox genes and has been described to promote EMT in different types of tumors. Immunohistochemistry against SIX1 was performed on colorectal mucosa, adenomas, carcinomas-in situ and primary adenocarcinomas. An expression score was developed and subsequently assessed for its prognostic value in two independent cohorts. Cohort 1 consisted of 128 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer; cohort 2 included 817 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer who had participated in the DACHS study. HCT-116 cells were transfected with SIX1 plasmids and subjected to migration and colony formation assays. The expression of SIX1 increases gradually from mucosa to colorectal adenocarcinomas (p > 0.0001). Univariate and multivariate analyses reveal that high expression of SIX1 is associated with decreased overall survival (cohort 1: HR: 4.01, CI: 1.20-14.07, p = 0.025; cohort 2: HR: 1.43, CI: 1.014-2.02, p = 0.047). Overexpression of SIX1 induces a more mesenchymal-like phenotype in HCT-116 cells and enhances tumor migration. High expression of SIX1 is an independent prognostic marker in colorectal cancer. It might be a promising biomarker to stratify patients into different risk groups. Moreover, targeting SIX1 might be a novel therapeutic approach in patients with colorectal cancer.

Proceedings of the second international molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) meeting

Disease classification system increasingly incorporates information on pathogenic mechanisms to predict clinical outcomes and response to therapy and intervention. Technological advancements to interrogate omics (genomics, epigenomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics, metagenomics, interactomics, etc.) provide widely open opportunities in population-based research. Molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) represents integrative science of molecular pathology and epidemiology. This unified paradigm requires multidisciplinary collaboration between pathology, epidemiology, biostatistics, bioinformatics, and computational biology. Integration of these fields enables better understanding of etiologic heterogeneity, disease continuum, causal inference, and the impact of environment, diet, lifestyle, host factors (including genetics and immunity), and their interactions on disease evolution. Hence, the Second International MPE Meeting was held in Boston in December 2014, with aims to: (1) develop conceptual and practical frameworks; (2) cultivate and expand opportunities; (3) address challenges; and (4) initiate the effort of specifying guidelines for MPE. The meeting mainly consisted of presentations of method developments and recent data in various malignant neoplasms and tumors (breast, prostate, ovarian and colorectal cancers, renal cell carcinoma, lymphoma, and leukemia), followed by open discussion sessions on challenges and future plans. In particular, we recognized need for efforts to further develop statistical methodologies. This meeting provided an unprecedented opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration, consistent with the purposes of the Big Data to Knowledge, Genetic Associations and Mechanisms in Oncology, and Precision Medicine Initiative of the US National Institute of Health. The MPE meeting series can help advance transdisciplinary population science and optimize training and education systems for twenty-first century medicine and public health.

Statin use and survival after colorectal cancer: the importance of comprehensive confounder adjustment

BACKGROUND

Statins have been associated with moderate reductions in mortality among colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, but these studies lacked adjustment for some potentially relevant factors associated with statin use. We aimed to provide more detailed results on this association from a population-based patient cohort study.

METHODS

Use of statins and other risk or protective factors were assessed in standardized interviews with 2697 patients from southern Germany with a diagnosis of incident CRC between 2003 and 2009 (Darmkrebs: Chancen der Verhütung durch Screening [DACHS] study). Follow-up included assessment of therapy details, recurrence, vital status, and cause of death. Information about molecular pathological subtypes of CRC was available for 1209 patients. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Patients were age 68 years on average, 412 used statins (15%), and 769 died during follow-up (29%). After a median follow-up time of 3.4 years, use of statins was not associated with overall (HR = 1.10, 95% CI = 0.85 to 1.41), CRC-specific (HR = 1.11, 95% CI = 0.82 to 1.50), or recurrence-free survival (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.63 to 1.27). Analyses in relevant subgroups also showed no association of statin use with overall and CRC-specific survival, and no associations were observed after stratifying for major pathological subtypes. Among stage I and II patients, statin use was associated with better recurrence-free but not with better CRC-specific survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin use was not associated with reduced mortality among CRC patients. Effects reported in previous studies might reflect incomplete control for stage at diagnosis and other factors associated with the use of statins.

Etiologic field effect: reappraisal of the field effect concept in cancer predisposition and progression

The term 'field effect' (also known as field defect, field cancerization, or field carcinogenesis) has been used to describe a field of cellular and molecular alteration, which predisposes to the development of neoplasms within that territory. We explore an expanded, integrative concept, 'etiologic field effect', which asserts that various etiologic factors (the exposome including dietary, lifestyle, environmental, microbial, hormonal, and genetic factors) and their interactions (the interactome) contribute to a tissue microenvironmental milieu that constitutes a 'field of susceptibility' to neoplasia initiation, evolution, and progression. Importantly, etiological fields predate the acquisition of molecular aberrations commonly considered to indicate presence of filed effect. Inspired by molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) research, which examines the influence of etiologic factors on cellular and molecular alterations during disease course, an etiologically focused approach to field effect can: (1) broaden the horizons of our inquiry into cancer susceptibility and progression at molecular, cellular, and environmental levels, during all stages of tumor evolution; (2) embrace host-environment-tumor interactions (including gene-environment interactions) occurring in the tumor microenvironment; and, (3) help explain intriguing observations, such as shared molecular features between bilateral primary breast carcinomas, and between synchronous colorectal cancers, where similar molecular changes are absent from intervening normal colon. MPE research has identified a number of endogenous and environmental exposures which can influence not only molecular signatures in the genome, epigenome, transcriptome, proteome, metabolome and interactome, but also host immunity and tumor behavior. We anticipate that future technological advances will allow the development of in vivo biosensors capable of detecting and quantifying 'etiologic field effect' as abnormal network pathology patterns of cellular and microenvironmental responses to endogenous and exogenous exposures. Through an 'etiologic field effect' paradigm, and holistic systems pathology (systems biology) approaches to cancer biology, we can improve personalized prevention and treatment strategies for precision medicine.

Mutations in POLE and survival of colorectal cancer patients--link to disease stage and treatment

Recent molecular profiling studies reported a new class of ultramutated colorectal cancers (CRCs), which are caused by exonuclease domain mutations (EDMs) in DNA polymerase ϵ (POLE). Data on the clinical implications of these findings as to whether these mutations define a unique CRC entity with distinct clinical outcome are lacking. We performed Sanger sequencing of the POLE exonuclease domain in 431 well-characterized patients with microsatellite stable (MSS) CRCs of a population-based patient cohort. Mutation data were analyzed for associations with major epidemiological, clinical, genetic, and pathological parameters including overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). In 373 of 431 MSS CRC, all exons of the exonuclease domain were analyzable. Fifty-four mutations were identified in 46 of these samples (12.3%). Besides already reported EDMs, we detected many new mutations in exons 13 and 14 (corresponding to amino acids 410-491) as well as in exon 9 and exon 11 (corresponding to aa 268-303 and aa 341-369). However, we did not see any significant associations of EDMs with clinicopathological parameters, including sex, age, tumor location and tumor stage, CIMP, KRAS, and BRAF mutations. While with a median follow-up time of 5.0 years, survival analysis of the whole cohort revealed nonsignificantly different adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.35 (95% CI: 0.82-2.25) and 1.44 (0.81-2.58) for OS and DSS indicating slightly impaired survival of patients with EDMs, subgroup analysis for patients with stage III/IV disease receiving chemotherapy revealed a statistically significantly increased adjusted HR (1.87; 95%CI: 1.02-3.44). In conclusion, POLE EDMs do not appear to define an entirely new clinically distinct disease entity in CRC but may have prognostic or predictive implications in CRC subgroups, whose significance remains to be investigated in future studies.

Challenges and opportunities in international molecular cancer prevention research: An ASPO Molecular Epidemiology and the Environment and International Cancer Prevention Interest Groups Report

The International Agency for Research on Cancer estimates that over half of the new cancer cases and almost two-thirds of the cancer deaths in 2012 occurred in low and middle income countries. To discuss the challenges and opportunities to reducing the burden of cancer worldwide, the Molecular Epidemiology and the Environment and the International Issues in Cancer Special Interest Groups joined forces to hold a session during the 38th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Preventive Oncology (March 2014, Arlington, Virginia). The session highlighted three topics of particular interest to molecular cancer prevention researchers working internationally, specifically: 1) biomarkers in cancer research; 2) environmental exposures and cancer; and 3) molecular pathological epidemiology. A major factor for successful collaboration illuminated during the discussion was the need for strong, committed, and reliable international partners. A key element of establishing such relationships is to thoroughly involve individual international collaborators in the development of the research question; engaged international collaborators are particularly motivated to champion and shepherd the project through all necessary steps, including issues relating to institutional review boards, political sensitivity, laboratory-based assays, and tumor subtyping. Also essential is allotting time for the building, maintaining, and investing in such relationships so that successful international collaborations may take root and bloom. While there are many challenges inherent to international molecular cancer research, the opportunities for furthering the science and prevention of cancer worldwide are great, particularly at this time of increasing cancer incidence and prevalence in low and middle income countries.

Body-mass index and risk of 22 specific cancers: a population-based cohort study of 5·24 million UK adults

BACKGROUND

High body-mass index (BMI) predisposes to several site-specific cancers, but a large-scale systematic and detailed characterisation of patterns of risk across all common cancers adjusted for potential confounders has not previously been undertaken. We aimed to investigate the links between BMI and the most common site-specific cancers.

METHODS

With primary care data from individuals in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink with BMI data, we fitted Cox models to investigate associations between BMI and 22 of the most common cancers, adjusting for potential confounders. We fitted linear then non-linear (spline) models; investigated effect modification by sex, menopausal status, smoking, and age; and calculated population effects.

FINDINGS

5·24 million individuals were included; 166,955 developed cancers of interest. BMI was associated with 17 of 22 cancers, but effects varied substantially by site. Each 5 kg/m(2) increase in BMI was roughly linearly associated with cancers of the uterus (hazard ratio [HR] 1·62, 99% CI 1·56-1·69; p<0·0001), gallbladder (1·31, 1·12-1·52; p<0·0001), kidney (1·25, 1·17-1·33; p<0·0001), cervix (1·10, 1·03-1·17; p=0·00035), thyroid (1·09, 1·00-1·19; p=0·0088), and leukaemia (1·09, 1·05-1·13; p≤0·0001). BMI was positively associated with liver (1·19, 1·12-1·27), colon (1·10, 1·07-1·13), ovarian (1·09, 1.04-1.14), and postmenopausal breast cancers (1·05, 1·03-1·07) overall (all p<0·0001), but these effects varied by underlying BMI or individual-level characteristics. We estimated inverse associations with prostate and premenopausal breast cancer risk, both overall (prostate 0·98, 0·95-1·00; premenopausal breast cancer 0·89, 0·86-0·92) and in never-smokers (prostate 0·96, 0·93-0·99; premenopausal breast cancer 0·89, 0·85-0·94). By contrast, for lung and oral cavity cancer, we observed no association in never smokers (lung 0·99, 0·93-1·05; oral cavity 1·07, 0·91-1·26): inverse associations overall were driven by current smokers and ex-smokers, probably because of residual confounding by smoking amount. Assuming causality, 41% of uterine and 10% or more of gallbladder, kidney, liver, and colon cancers could be attributable to excess weight. We estimated that a 1 kg/m(2) population-wide increase in BMI would result in 3790 additional annual UK patients developing one of the ten cancers positively associated with BMI.

INTERPRETATION

BMI is associated with cancer risk, with substantial population-level effects. The heterogeneity in the effects suggests that different mechanisms are associated with different cancer sites and different patient subgroups.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health Research, Wellcome Trust, and Medical Research Council.

Progress and opportunities in molecular pathological epidemiology of colorectal premalignant lesions

Molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) is an integrative molecular and population health science that addresses the molecular pathogenesis and heterogeneity of disease processes. The MPE of colonic and rectal premalignant lesions (including hyperplastic polyps, tubular adenomas, tubulovillous adenomas, villous adenomas, traditional serrated adenomas, sessile serrated adenomas/sessile serrated polyps, and hamartomatous polyps) can provide unique opportunities for examining the influence of diet, lifestyle, and environmental exposures on specific pathways of carcinogenesis. Colorectal neoplasia can provide a practical model by which both malignant epithelial tumor (carcinoma) and its precursor are subjected to molecular pathological analyses. KRAS, BRAF, and PIK3CA oncogene mutations, microsatellite instability, CpG island methylator phenotype, and LINE-1 methylation are commonly examined tumor biomarkers. Future opportunities include interrogation of comprehensive genomic, epigenomic, or panomic datasets, and the adoption of in vivo pathology techniques. Considering the colorectal continuum hypothesis and emerging roles of gut microbiota and host immunity in tumorigenesis, detailed information on tumor location is important. There are unique strengths and caveats, especially with regard to case ascertainment by colonoscopy. The MPE of colorectal premalignant lesions can identify etiologic exposures associated with neoplastic initiation and progression, help us better understand colorectal carcinogenesis, and facilitate personalized prevention, screening, and therapy.