Relation of Body Mass Index With Adverse Outcomes Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

Association between obesity and statin use on mortality and hospital encounters in atrial fibrillation

Background

Obesity increases risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) at least in part due to pro-inflammatory effects, but has been paradoxically associated with improved mortality. Although statins have pleiotropic anti-inflammatory properties, their interaction with obesity and clinical outcomes in AF is unknown. We explored the relationship between BMI, statin use, and all-cause mortality and AF/congestive heart failure (CHF)-related encounters, hypothesizing that statin exposure may be differentially associated with improved outcomes in overweight/obesity.

Methods

This was a single center retrospective cohort study of adults with AF diagnosed between 2011-2018. Patients were grouped by body mass index (BMI) and statin use at time of AF diagnosis. Outcomes included all-cause mortality and ED or inpatient encounters for AF or CHF.

Results and Conclusions

A total of 2503 subjects were included (median age 66 years, 43.4 % female, median BMI 29.8 kg/m2, 54.6 % on baseline statin therapy). Increasing BMI was associated with decreased mortality hazard but not associated with AF/CHF encounter risk. Adjusting for statin-BMI interaction, demographics, and cardiovascular comorbidities, overweight non-statin users experienced improved mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.55, 95 % CI 0.35-0.84) compared to statin users (aHR 0.98, 95 % CI 0.69-1.40; interaction P-value = 0.013). Mortality hazard was consistently lower in obese non-statin users than in statin users, however interaction was insignificant. No significant BMI-statin interactions were observed in AF/CHF encounter risk. In summary, statin use was not differentially associated with improved mortality or hospitalization risk in overweight/obese groups. These findings do not support statins for secondary prevention of adverse outcomes based on overweight/obesity status alone.

Machine learning approach for prediction of outcomes in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of available prediction tools for clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains modest. Machine Learning (ML) has been used to predict outcomes in the AF population, but not in a population entirely on anticoagulant therapy.

METHODS AND AIMS

Different supervised ML models were applied to predict all-cause death, cardiovascular (CV) death, major bleeding and stroke in anticoagulated patients with AF, processing data from the multicenter START-2 Register.

RESULTS

11078 AF patients (male n = 6029, 54.3%) were enrolled with a median follow-up period of 1.5 years [IQR 1.0-2.6]. Patients on Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA) were 5135 (46.4%) and 5943 (53.6%) were on Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOAC). Using Multi-Gate Mixture of Experts, a cross-validated AUC of 0.779 ± 0.016 and 0.745 ± 0.022 were obtained, respectively, for the prediction of all-cause death and CV-death in the overall population. The best ML model outperformed CHA2DSVA2SC and HAS-BLED for all-cause death prediction (p < 0.001 for both). When compared to HAS-BLED, Gradient Boosting improved major bleeding prediction in DOACs patients (0.711 vs. 0.586, p < 0.001). A very low number of events during follow-up (52) resulted in a suboptimal ischemic stroke prediction (best AUC of 0.606 ± 0.117 in overall population). Body mass index, age, renal function, platelet count and hemoglobin levels resulted the most important variables for ML prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

In AF patients, ML models showed good discriminative ability to predict all-cause death, regardless of the type of anticoagulation strategy, and major bleeding on DOAC therapy, outperforming CHA2DS2VASC and the HAS-BLED scores for risk prediction in these populations.

Prognostic Impact of Body Mass Index in Atrial Fibrillation

Background/Objectives: Contradictory results have been reported regarding the influence of obesity on the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF). The present study aimed to explore the potential association of body mass index (BMI) with the clinical outcomes of hospitalized patients with AF. Methods: In this retrospective, post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial, 1113 AF patients were included and stratified as the following: underweight (BMI < 18 kg/m2), normal weight (BMI 18-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2), and obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality; the secondary composite outcome was any hospitalization related to AF, heart failure (HF), or stroke. Cox regression analysis, survival analysis, and spline curve models were utilized. Results: Of the patients (median age: 76 years (IQR: 13), male: 54.6%), the majority were overweight (41.4%), followed by obese (33%), normal weight (24%), and underweight (1.6%). During a median 31-month follow-up, 436 (39.2%) patients died and 657 (59%) were hospitalized due to AF, HF, or stroke. Underweight, overweight, and obesity groups were significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (p-values 0.02, 0.001, and <0.001, respectively), while overweight and obesity were significantly associated with the composite endpoint (p-values 0.01, <0.001, respectively) compared to normal weight. The spline curve analyses yielded that BMIs > 26.3 and > 25 were incrementally associated with all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint, respectively. A J-shaped relationship between BMI and AF prognosis was deduced. Conclusions: In conclusion, in recently hospitalized AF patients, BMI values outside the normal range were independently associated with poorer prognosis; therefore, it is essential that AF patients maintain a normal weight.

Differences in the Impact of Obesity and Bariatric Surgery on Patients Hospitalized for Atrial Flutter and Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Analysis, 2016-2020

BACKGROUND

The "obesity paradox" claims that although obesity is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation, obese patients have lower inpatient mortality when admitted due to atrial fibrillation. This study aims to analyze if the obesity paradox still holds true after weight loss from bariatric surgery.  Methods: This study analyzed discharge data from the National Inpatient Sample, 2016-2020. Patients admitted due to atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter, with or without obesity, and with or without a past medical history of bariatric surgery were identified using ICD-10-CM and ICD-10-PCS codes. The primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes included length of stay, resource utilization, necessity for endotracheal intubation, and necessity for cardioversion. STATA v.13 was used for univariate and multivariate analysis (StataCorp LLC, Texas, USA).

RESULTS

Among 2,292,194 patients who had a primary diagnosis of atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter, 494,830 were obese and 25,940 had bariatric surgery. Mortality was not significantly different in post-bariatric surgery patients when compared to the general population (OR 0.76; 95% [CI 0.482-1.2; p=0.24]). Mortality was significantly lower in obese patients when compared to the general population (OR 0.646; 95% [CI 0.583-0.717; p<0.001]). Therefore, post-bariatric surgery patients had a higher mortality than obese patients when compared to the general population. Obese patients spent more days in the hospital (regression 0.219; 95% [CI 0.19-0.248, p<0.001]), had higher resource utilization (regression 3491.995; 95% [CI 2870.085-4113.905, p<0.001]), more cardioversions (OR 1.434; 95% [CI 1.404-1.465; p<0.001]), and no difference in endotracheal intubation rate (OR 1.02; 95% [CI 0.92-1.127; p=0.724]) when compared to the general population. Post-bariatric patients had no difference in length of stay (regression -0.053; 95% [CI -0.137-0.031; p=0.218]) and resource utilization (regression 577.297; 95% [CI -1069.801-2224.396; p=0.492]), fewer endotracheal intubations (OR 0.583; 95% [CI 0.343-0.99; p=0.046]), and more cardioversions (OR 1.223; 95% [CI 1.134-1.32; p<0.001]) when compared to the general population.

CONCLUSION

Compared to the general population, post-bariatric patients had higher inpatient mortality than obese patients when admitted due to atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter. This research reinforces the presence of the obesity paradox following bariatric surgery with respect to mortality.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Intersection of sepsis, atrial fibrillation, and severe obesity: a population-based analysis in the United States

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an indicator of poor prognosis in patients with sepsis and can increase the risk of stroke and mortality. Data on the impact of severe obesity on the outcomes of sepsis complicated by AF remains poorly understood.

METHODS

National Inpatient Sample (2018) and ICD-10 CM codes were used to identify the principal sepsis admissions with AF. We assessed comorbidities and outcomes of sepsis in people without obesity (BMI < 30) vs. non-severe obesity (BMI 30-35) and severe obesity (BMI > 35) cohorts. We also did a subgroup analysis to further stratify obesity based on metabolic health and analyzed the findings. The primary outcomes were the prevalence and adjusted odds of AF, AF-associated stroke, and all-cause mortality in sepsis by obesity status. Multivariable regression analyses were adjusted for patient- and hospital-level characteristics and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Our main analysis showed that of the 1,345,595 sepsis admissions, the severe obesity cohort was the youngest (median age 59 vs. non-severe 64 and people without obesity 68 years). Patients with obesity, who were often female, were more likely to have hypertension, diabetes, congestive heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease. The crude prevalence of AF was highest in non-severe obesity (19.9%). The adjusted odds of AF in non-severe obesity (OR 1.21; 95% CI:1.16-1.27) and severe obesity patients with sepsis (OR 1.49; 95% CI:1.43-1.55) were significantly higher than in people without obesity (p < 0.001). Paradoxically, the rates of AF-associated stroke (1%, 1.5%, and 1.7%) and in-hospital mortality (3.3%, 4.9%, and 7.1%) were lowest in the severe obesity cohort vs. the non-severe and people without obesity cohorts, respectively. On multivariable regression analyses, the all-cause mortality revealed lower odds in sepsis-AF patients with severe obesity (OR 0.78; 95% CI:0.67-0.91) or non-severe obesity (OR 0.63; 95% CI:0.54-0.74) vs. people without obesity. There was no significant difference in stroke risk.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities can be linked to a higher risk of AF in people with obesity and sepsis. Paradoxically, lower rates of stroke and all-cause mortality secondary to AF in people with obesity and sepsis warrant further investigation.

The safety and efficacy of nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in morbidly obese patients with atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequently observed cardiac arrhythmia in clinical settings. Obesity can influence the efficacy of the treatment administered, which requires a larger dose and more time to accomplish therapeutic targets due to altered pathophysiology. Our study aimed to assess the overall efficacy and safety of nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in AF patients with morbid obesity (BMI > 40 kg/m2 and/or weight > 120 kg) to prevent complications.

METHODS

We conducted a literature search on PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and Scopus till October 2022 for articles addressing the efficacy and safety of NOACs versus warfarin for the treatment of AF in morbidly obese patients. We performed the meta-analysis with RevMan software version 5.4 and Open Meta Analyst. The main outcomes assessed were stroke, major bleeding, and minor bleeding after anticoagulation, as did the history of comorbidities and risk factors in morbidly obese patients. Quality assessment was performed using Cochrane's ROB-2 tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

Regarding major bleeding events, pooled data showed that patients taking NOACs had a significantly lower risk than patients taking warfarin (OR = 0.54, 95% CI: [0.41-0.70]; p < 0.00001). However, for minor bleeding, there was a nonsignificant effect of NOACs on reducing the risk of bleeding (OR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.47-1.09; p = 0.12), which became highly significant in favor of NOACs after sensitivity analysis (OR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.49-0.61]; p < 0.00001). There was a significant difference in the incidence of stroke between the NOAC group and the warfarin group (OR = 0.69, 95% CI = 0.60-0.80]; p < 0.00001). According to the results of the single-arm study analysis, the overall effect of all the outcomes was associated with a high risk of disease development in patients receiving NOACs.

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis showed a favorable effect of NOACs vs warfarin in morbidly obese patients. Some outcomes were not significantly different, which calls for future research to better assess their safety and efficacy in this particular weight group.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study was registered with PROSPERO under registration number CRD42022362493 on October 2022.

Impact of Obesity on Atrial Fibrillation Pathogenesis and Treatment Options

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia. AF increases the risk of stroke, heart failure, dementia, and hospitalization. Obesity significantly increases AF risk, both directly and indirectly, through related conditions, like hypertension, diabetes, and heart failure. Obesity-driven structural and electrical remodeling contribute to AF via several reported mechanisms, including adiposity, inflammation, fibrosis, oxidative stress, ion channel alterations, and autonomic dysfunction. In particular, expanding epicardial adipose tissue during obesity has been suggested as a key driver of AF via paracrine signaling and direct infiltration. Weight loss has been shown to reverse these changes and reduce AF risk and recurrence after ablation. However, studies on how obesity affects pharmacologic or interventional AF treatments are limited. In this review, we discuss mechanisms by which obesity mediates AF and treatment outcomes, aiming to provide insight into obesity-drug interactions and guide personalized treatment for this patient subgroup.

Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Non-Vitamin K Oral Anticoagulants Across Varying Body Mass Index

Background There are conflicting data on outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants across varying body mass index (BMI). We investigated cardiovascular and bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation with varying BMI. Methods and Results Observational cohort study from the Swedish oral anticoagulation registry between August 2, 2011, and December 31, 2018. Primary outcomes were mortality, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, and major bleeding. Baseline BMI (kg/m2) was analyzed continuously and categorized: underweight (<18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (18.5 to <25 kg/m2), preobesity (25 to <30 kg/m2), and obesity class I to III (30 to <35, 35 to <40, and ≥40 kg/m2). Adjusted Cox models and nonlinear relationships of BMI were modeled using restricted cubic splines. Non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant-treated patients with atrial fibrillation were included (n=26 047). At baseline, 602 (2.3%) were underweight, 9101 (34.9%) were normal weight, 9970 (38.3%) were preobese, 4280 (16.4%) were obese class I, 1486 (5.7%) were obese class II, and 608 (2.3%) were obese class III. Underweight and obesity class III were in adjusted continuous analysis associated with increased mortality and major bleeding, with lowest risk observed among preobese patients with BMI 28.2 and 26.2 kg/m2, respectively. In adjusted categorical analysis, underweight was associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.77 [95% CI, 1.57-1.99]) and nonsignificant higher risk of major bleeding (HR, 1.23 [95% CI, 0.95-1.58]). Similarly, obesity class III was associated with increased mortality (HR, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.40-1.99]) and major bleeding (HR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.29-2.17]). No significant association was observed between higher BMI and ischemic stroke/systemic embolism. Conclusions In non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant-treated patients with atrial fibrillation, there appears to be a U-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality and major bleeding.

Association between obesity and short- and medium-term mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

There has been controversy about how obesity affects the clinical prognosis for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), and the relationship between obesity and outcomes in critically ill patients with AF remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to explore the association between obesity and short- and medium-term mortality in critically ill patients with AF.

METHODS

The Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database was used to conduct a retrospective cohort analysis on 9282 critically ill patients with AF. Patients were categorized into four groups based on their body mass index (BMI) values: underweight, normal-weight, overweight, and obese. The outcomes of this study were 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year all-cause mortality. Cox proportional-hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were performed to investigate the association between BMI and mortality.

RESULTS

For 30-day mortality, after adjustment for all confounding factors, the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for the underweight, overweight, and obese categories were 1.58 (1.21, 2.07), 0.82 (0.72, 0.93), and 0.79 (0.68, 0.91), respectively, compared to the normal-weight category. Using multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline analysis, an "L-shaped" correlation was observed between BMI and 30-day mortality. For each 1 kg/m² increase in BMI when BMI was less than 30 kg/m², the risk of 30-day mortality decreased by 6.4% (HR, 95% CI: 0.936 [0.918, 0.954]; P < 0.001); however, this relationship was not present when BMI was greater than or equal to 30 kg/m². Similar results were observed for 90-day and 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a nonlinear relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality among critically ill patients with AF. All-cause mortality and the BMI were negatively correlated when the BMI was less than 30 kg/m².

Body mass index and atrial fibrillation recurrence post ablation: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

Objectives

The aim of this study was to evaluate the shape of the dose-response relationship between body mass index (BMI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence in patients who have undergone radiofrequency ablation.

Methods

Studies investigating BMI and AF recurrence in patients with AF after ablation were identified through electronic searches in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. The potential non-linear relationship was fitted using robust error meta-regression. Our study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019121373).

Results

Twenty-six cohort studies with 7,878 cases/26,450 individuals were included, and a linear dose-response relationship between BMI and AF recurrence (P _{non-linearity} = 0.12) was found. The risk of AF recurrence in patients with a BMI over 28 was significantly increased. Specifically, for each 5 kg/m² increase in BMI, the risk of AF recurrence increased by 15% (95% CI: 1.08-1.22) with moderate heterogeneity (I ² = 53%). Subgroup analyses showed that the pooled risk ratio was not significantly changed in subgroup analysis adjustment for the following important potential intermediate factors: left atrial diameter and obstructive sleep apnea.

Conclusion

This study showed that there is a borderline positive linear association between BMI and AF recurrence post ablation. Overweight and obesity are significantly associated with AF recurrence.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42019128770.

U-shaped association between body mass index and ejection fraction in intensive care unit patients with heart failure

AIMS

There are limited data about the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) in patients with heart failure (HF). The study aims to assess the correlation between BMI and left ventricular EF under HF conditions.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We derived the data from the Dryad Digital Repository for analysis, and the information of the original patients was obtained from the MIMIC-III database by the data uploader. We performed smooth curve and two piecewise linear regression analyses to evaluate the association between BMI and EF in HF patients. A total of 962 participants were included in this study, with age of 73.7 ± 13.5 years, and 475 participants were male (49.4%). The results of the smooth curve supported a U-shaped relationship between BMI and EF, and the inflection point was found to be a BMI of 23.3 kg/m2 in these HF patients. After adjusting for potential confounders, we found that EF decreased with increasing BMI up to the inflection point (β = -0.7, 95% CI -1.3 to -0.1, P = 0.028), whereas beyond the turning point, the relationship between EF and BMI showed a positive correlation (β = 0.2, 95% CI 0.1-0.3 P < 0.001). Importantly, ischaemic heart disease (interaction P = 0.0499) and hyperlipidaemia (interaction P = 0.0162) affected the association between BMI and EF in the lower BMI group (BMI < 23.3 kg/m2 ), although only diabetes mellitus (interaction P = 0.0255) altered the association between BMI and EF in the higher BMI group (BMI ≥ 23.3 kg/m2 ).

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to higher BMI, we also found that lower BMI is related to higher EF in intensive care unit patients with HF, supporting a U-shaped association between BMI and EF.

Cardiac Complications Associated with Eating Disorders in Children: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

PURPOSE

Eating disorders often result in somatic complications, including cardiac abnormalities. Cardiac abnormalities may involve any part of the heart, including the cardiac conduction system, and can lead to sudden cardiac death. The current study aimed to evaluate the incidence of cardiac complications in pediatric patients with eating disorders and their associated factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients aged 10-18 years who were diagnosed with DSM-V (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorder-V) eating disorders and underwent electrocardiography (ECG) and/or echocardiography between January 2015 and May 2020.

RESULTS

In total, 127 patients were included, of whom 113 (89.0%) were female. The median body mass index (BMI) was 15.05±3.69 kg/m². Overall, 74 patients (58.3%) had ECG abnormalities, with sinus bradycardia being the most common abnormality (91.9%). Patients with ECG abnormalities had significantly lower BMI (14.35±2.78 kg/m² vs. 16.06± 4.55 kg/m², p<0.001) than patients without ECG abnormalities, as well as lower phosphorus and higher cholesterol levels. Among the 46 patients who underwent echocardiographic evaluation, 23 (50.0%) had echocardiographic abnormalities, with pericardial effusion being the most common (60.9%). The median left ventricular mass (LVM) and ejection fraction were 67.97±21.25 g and 66.91±28.76%, respectively. LVM and BMI showed a positive correlation (r=0.604, p<0.001). After weight gain, the amount of pericardial effusion was reduced in 3 patients, and 30 patients presented with normal ECG findings.

CONCLUSION

Cardiac abnormalities are relatively frequent in patients with eating disorders. Physicians should focus on this somatic complication and careful monitoring is required.

Underweight predicts poststroke cardiovascular events in patients without atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether underweight is associated with poststroke cardiovascular events and whether such association is different according to the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Patients with acute stroke or transient ischemic attack who were prospectively registered in a multicenter stroke database from April 2008 to July 2020 were analyzed, excluding those aged 75 or older and those who were overweight. We prospectively captured major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) within one year after stroke. Cox-proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted for each subgroup with or without AF after adjusting for predetermined vascular risk factors and potential confounders.

RESULTS

Among 30,912 patients, 1494 (4.8%) cases were underweight and 29,418 (95.2%) cases were normal weight. The cumulative event rate of 1-year MACE was higher in the underweight group (9.0%) than in the normal weight group (5.6%). In Cox-proportional regression, underweight was associated with significantly higher MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.26-2.09) and recurrent stroke (adjusted HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.02-1.98) in all study patients. In patients with AF, the risk of MACE for the underweight group was not significantly increased. In contrast, in patients without AF, the underweight group had a consistently higher risk of MACE (adjusted HR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.25-2.22) and recurrent stroke (adjusted HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.05-2.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Underweight increased the risk of MACE and recurrent stroke within one year after acute stroke, especially in stroke without AF.

Age-dependent risk for thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation: The Fushimi AF registry

Background

The risk for thromboembolism depending on the different age subgroups in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been fully elucidated.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of 2019. Clinical determinants and the description of variables which interact and lead to the incidence of thromboembolism (the composite of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism [SE]) were identified in overall population and in age subgroups (≤64, 65–74, and ≥ 75 years).

Results

A total of 314 patients developed thromboembolism during the median follow-up of 1,610 days (1.56 per 100 person-years). The independent determinants were age advance (per 10 years, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22–1.86, P < 0.001), low body weight (HR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.35–2.70, P < 0.001), history of stroke or SE (HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.54–2.76, P < 0.001), chronic kidney disease (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.01–1.78, P = 0.043), and left atrial enlargement (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.18–2.10, P = 0.0021). With regard to the age subgroup analysis, diabetes mellitus (P = 0.043), vascular disease (P = 0.005), male sex (P = 0.022), and sustained AF (P = 0.014) indicated significantly relevant interactions between the age subgroups and thromboembolism.

Conclusion

The risk and the impact of baseline characteristics on thromboembolism in patients with AF varied depending on the age subgroups.

Important Risk Factors in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Taking Dabigatran Using Integrated Machine Learning Scheme-A Post Hoc Analysis

Our study aims to develop an effective integrated machine learning (ML) scheme to predict vascular events and bleeding in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation taking dabigatran and identify important risk factors. This study is a post-hoc analysis from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulant Therapy trial database. One traditional prediction method, logistic regression (LGR), and four ML techniques-naive Bayes, random forest (RF), classification and regression tree, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)-were combined to construct our scheme. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of RF (0.780) and XGBoost (0.717) was higher than that of LGR (0.674) in predicting vascular events. In predicting bleeding, AUC of RF (0.684) and XGBoost (0.618) showed higher values than those generated by LGR (0.605). Our integrated ML feature selection scheme based on the two convincing prediction techniques identified age, history of congestive heart failure and myocardial infarction, smoking, kidney function, and body mass index as major variables of vascular events; age, kidney function, smoking, bleeding history, concomitant use of specific drugs, and dabigatran dosage as major variables of bleeding. ML is an effective data analysis algorithm for solving complex medical data. Our results may provide preliminary direction for precision medicine.

Safety and efficacy of direct oral anticoagulants in comparison with warfarin across different BMI ranges: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Many publications have compared various outcomes defining safety and efficacy of DOACs across different BMI ranges. Our meta-analysis compares warfarin and DOACs for its treatment effects over different BMI ranges.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted from inception to May 2021 on PubMed, Scopus and Embase databases. The data was extracted and pooled using a random effects model. Our study consisted of patients being treated for VTE and AF, across different BMI categories. For the comparison of DOAC, risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used, whilst for the second comparison between warfarin and DOACs odds ratios (OR) were used.

Results

In our first comparison, 12 studies (n = 254,908 patients) were included. For our second comparison, six studies (n = 109,609 patients) were included. Major bleeding events in the underweight group were higher than normal weight [RR: 1.89 (1.10, 3.23); P = 0.02; I² = 0%]. Overweight patients were related with reduced rates of VTE than in patients with normal BMI [RR: 0.86 (0.76, 0.97); P = 0.02; I² = 0%]. In comparison with patients receiving warfarin, DOACs had significantly reduced risk of major bleeding in normal weight, overweight and obese [OR: 0.64 (0.49, 0.83); P = 0.0007 I² = 90%].

Conclusion

The risk of VTE reduces with an increasing BMI, hence there could be a possible obesity paradox in patients with anticoagulation therapy. In comparison to warfarin, DOACs proved to be the safer option by having a reduced risk of bleeding across all BMI categories.

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Warfarin therapy and its effectiveness for prevention of thromboembolism.

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Effect of warfarin and DOACs over different BMI ranges.

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Safety and efficacy of DOACs across different BMI ranges.

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Lower risk of bleeding in normal weight, overweight, and obese patients with DOACs.

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Warfarin and DOACs across different BMI categories in VTE and AF patients.

The "Obesity Paradox" in Patients With HFpEF With or Without Comorbid Atrial Fibrillation

Background: Overweight and mildly obese individuals have a lower risk of death than their normal-weight counterparts; this phenomenon is termed "obesity paradox." Whether this "obesity paradox" exists in patients with heart failure (HF) or can be modified by comorbidities is still controversial. Our current study aimed to determine the association of body mass index (BMI) with outcomes with patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) with or without coexisting atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: Patients with HFpEF from the Americas in the TOPCAT trial were categorized into the 3 groups: normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m²), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m²), and obesity (≥30 kg/m²). The Cox proportional-hazards models were used to calculate the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and CIs. Results: We identified 1,749 patients with HFpEF, 42.1% of which had baseline AF. In the total population of HFpEF, both overweight (HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.42-0.83) and obesity (HR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.35-0.69) were associated with a reduced risk of all-cause death. Among patients with HFpEF without AF, overweight (HR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.27-0.95) and obesity (HR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.43-0.98) were associated with a lower risk of all-cause death. In those with AF, obesity (HR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.40-0.95) but not overweight (HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.54-1.21) was associated with a decreased risk of all-cause death. Conclusions: The "obesity paradox" assessed by BMI exists in patients with HFpEF regardless of comorbid AF. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov, identifier: NCT00094302.

Environmental factors and risks of cognitive impairment and dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Dementia is a challenging neurodegenerative disease. This systematic review aimed to summarize natural, physical, and social environmental factors that are associated with age-related cognitive impairment and dementia.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and PsychINFO till January 11, 2021 for observational studies. The hazard ratio (HR), relative risk (RR), and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were aggregated using random-effects methods. The quality of evidence for each association was evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 48,399 publications identified, there were 185 suitable for review across 44 environmental factors. Meta-analyses were performed for 22 factors. With high-to-moderate quality of evidence, risks were suggested in exposure to PM_2.5 (HR=1.24, 95%CI: 1.17-1.31), NO₂ (HR=1.07, 95%CI: 1.02-1.12), aluminum (OR=1.35, 95%CI: 1.14-1.59), solvents (OR=1.14, 95%CI: 1.07-1.22), road proximity (OR=1.08, 95%CI: 1.04-1.12) and other air pollutions, yet more frequent social contact (HR=0.82, 95%CI: 0.76-0.90) and more greenness (OR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.95-0.995) were protective. With low-to-very low quality, electromagnetic fields, pesticides, SO₂, neighborhood socioeconomic status, and rural living were suggested risks, but more community cultural engagement might be protective. No significant associations were observed in exposure to PM₁₀, NO_x, noise, silicon, community group, and temperature. For the remaining 22 factors, only a descriptive analysis was undertaken as too few studies or lack of information.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights that air pollutions, especially PM_2.5 and NO₂ play important role in the risk for age-related cognitive impairment and dementia.

Effectiveness of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Obese Adults With Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis

Background: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. Obesity is an independent risk factor for AF. Anticoagulants have been strongly recommended by all international guidelines to prevent stroke. However, altered pathophysiology in obese adults may influence anticoagulant pharmacology. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in the context of obesity and AF have been examined in recent systematic reviews. Despite the similarities in included studies, their results and conclusions do not agree.

Methods and Results: The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020181510). Seven key electronic databases were searched using search terms such as “atrial fibrillation,” “obese,^*” “overweight,” “novel oral anticoagulant,” “direct oral anticoagulant,” “DOAC,” “NOAC,” “apixaban,” dabigatran,” “rivaroxaban,” and “edoxaban” to locate published and unpublished studies. Only systematic reviews with meta-analyses that examined the effect of DOACs in overweight or obese adults with AF, published in the English language, were included. A total of 9,547 articles were initially retrieved. After removing the duplicates, title and abstract review and full-text review, five articles were included in the systematic review. From these only RCTs were included in the meta-analyses. There was disagreement within the published systematic reviews on DOACs in obesity. The results from our meta-analysis did not show any significant difference between all body mass index (BMI) groups for all outcomes at both 12 months and for the entire trial duration. Non-significant differences were seen among the different types of DOACs.

Conclusion: There was no difference between the BMI classes in any of the outcomes assessed. This may be due to the limited number of people in the trial that were in the obese class, especially obese class III. There is a need for large prospective trials to confirm which DOACs are safe and efficacious in the obese class III adults and at which dose.

Sex-Specific Exposure-Effect Relationship Between Physical Activity and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of 16 Prospective Studies

Background: Since evidence regarding the relationship between physical activity (PA) and atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence is inconsistent among studies, we performed a dose-response meta-analysis to comprehensively evaluate the exposure-effect association between PA and incident AF and the potential sex difference in the general population. Methods: The PubMed and Embase databases were searched for eligible studies published up to July 2020 (PROSPERO: CRD42018091692). The non-linear or linear exposure-effect relationship between PA and AF was examined using the robust error meta-regression method. Results: A total of 16 prospective studies involving 1,449,017 individuals and 39,884 AF cases were included. We observed an inverse non-linear association between PA level and incident AF (I ² = 0%, p _{non-linearity} < 0.001). In the linear model, a 5 metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/week increase in PA was associated with a decreased risk of AF [risk ratio (RR) = 0.992, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.988-0.996, I ² = 0%]. In the sex-stratified analysis, we observed an inverse non-linear relationship between PA level and AF risk in females (I ² = 90%, p _{non-linearity} < 0.0001) but not in males (I ² = 0%, p _{non-linearity} = 0.40). In the linear model, a 5 MET-h/week increase in PA was associated with a reduced risk of AF in females (RR = 0.982, 95% CI: 0.975-0.989, I ² = 71%) but not in males (RR = 0.998, 95% CI: 0.994-1.002, I ² = 0%), with a significant interaction observed between the two groups (p _interaction < 0.0001). Conclusion: There was an inverse non-linear relationship between PA level and incident AF in the general population. The beneficial effect of PA in reducing AF risk might be predominantly observed in females.

Association of Direct Oral Anticoagulants vs. Vitamin K Antagonists With Fractures in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Current evidence regarding the application of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) vs. vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) on the fracture risk is inconsistent. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the fracture risk of DOACs vs. VKAs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods: The PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched until June 2021 for all the studies that reported oral anticoagulants in AF patients. The random-effect model with an inverse variance method was selected to pool the risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results: A total of 10 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Among AF patients receiving anticoagulants, DOAC users showed a reduced risk of any fracture compared to those with VKAs (RR = 0.80; 95% CI: 0.70–0.91) regardless of gender [males (RR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.67–0.92) and females (RR = 0.71; 95% CI: 0.57–0.89)]. Apixaban (RR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.60–0.92) and rivaroxaban (RR = 0.73; 95% CI: 0.61–0.88), but not dabigatran and edoxaban, were associated with a decreased risk of any fracture compared with VKAs. DOAC users had decreased risks of osteoporotic fractures (RR = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.47–0.84) and hip/pelvic fractures (RR = 0.88; 95% CI: 0.79–0.97) compared to those treated with VKAs.

Conclusions: Our meta-analysis suggested that the use of DOACs was associated with a reduced risk of any fracture compared with VKAs. Further studies should confirm our findings.

Effect of antidepressants on death in patients with heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Depression is associated with an increased risk of death in patients with heart failure (HF); however, the association between the use of antidepressants and HF prognoses remains controversial. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effect of antidepressants on the risk of death in HF patients. We retrieved data from the PubMed and EMBASE databases until August 2019 for studies reporting the use of antidepressants in HF patients. Data were extracted from the eligible articles, and a random effects model was used to pool the effect estimates (risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs)). A total of 8 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Overall, the use of antidepressants was associated with increased risks of all-cause death (RR = 1.27; 95% CI, 1.21-1.34) and cardiovascular death (RR = 1.14; 95% CI, 1.08-1.20) in HF patients with or without depression. Specifically, HF patients with depression taking antidepressants had increased risks of all-cause death (RR = 1.21; 95% CI, 1.16-1.27) and cardiovascular death (RR = 1.21; 95% CI, 1.13-1.30). Compared with nonusers, the use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), tricyclics (TCAs), and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs) significantly increased the rate of all-cause death (SSRIs (RR = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.19-1.32), TCAs (RR = 1.30; 95% CI, 1.16-1.46), and SNRIs (RR = 1.17; 95% CI, 1.08-1.26)) but not cardiovascular death (SSRIs (RR = 1.03; 95% CI, 0.84-1.26), TCAs (RR = 1.02; 95% CI, 0.86-1.21), and SNRIs (RR = 0.92; 95% CI, 0.48-1.78)). Based on current publications, the use of antidepressants could increase the risk of all-cause death in HF patients, regardless of whether they have depression or the type of antidepressants they use. Further study is needed to determine the relationship between antidepressant use and cardiovascular death.

Real-world comparisons of reduced-dose non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants versus warfarin in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

We performed this meta-analysis to compare the efficacy and safety of reduced-dose non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched until July 2019 for eligible studies that comparing the effect between any reduced-dose NOAC and warfarin in patients with AF. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by using a random-effects model. A total of 14 observational cohorts were included. Compared with warfarin use, the use of reduced-dose NOACs was associated with decreased risks of stroke or systemic embolism (RR, 0.83; 95% CI 0.74-0.93), ischemic stroke (RR, 0.87; 95% CI 0.77-0.98), major bleeding (RR, 0.71; 95% CI 0.60-0.84), intracranial hemorrhage (RR, 0.51; 95% CI 0.44-0.60), and gastrointestinal bleeding (RR, 0.72; 95% CI 0.54-0.94), but not all cause death (RR, 0.84; 95% CI 0.67-1.06). In the subgroup analyses, all NOAC users had lower or similar rates of thromboembolic and bleeding events; and the reductions in stroke or systemic embolism, all-cause death, major bleeding, and gastrointestinal bleeding were more prominent in Asians than non-Asians. In conclusion, current published data suggest that the use of reduced-dose NOACs is non-inferior to warfarin in patients with AF (in particular Asians).

Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: evidences from the real-world data

The role of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in stroke prevention remains unclear in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to compare the efficacy and safety outcomes of NOACs in Asian patients with AF from the real-world settings. The PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched to identify eligible observational studies until June 2019. The odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated and then pooled by a random-effects model. A total of 18 observational studies were included. Compared with warfarin, dabigatran (OR, 0.56, 95% CI 0.43-0.73), rivaroxaban (OR, 0.54, 95% CI 0.44-0.67), apixaban (OR, 0.41, 95% CI 0.35-0.48), and edoxaban (OR, 0.19, 95% CI 0.14- 0.25) reduced the risk of major bleeding, while dabigatran (OR, 0.78, 95% CI 0.71-0.85), rivaroxaban (OR, 0.74, 95% CI 0.68-0.82), and edoxaban (OR, 0.29, 95% CI 0.22-0.39) were associated with reduced risks of stroke or systemic embolism. In addition, dabigatran versus apixaban was associated with increased risks of ischemic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding, while rivaroxaban versus apixaban was associated with elevated risks of stroke or systemic embolism, ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and gastrointestinal bleeding. In Asian patients with AF, NOACs are non-inferior to warfarin for stroke prevention, and apixaban may be a better choice compared with dabigatran or rivaroxaban.

Optimizing indices of AF susceptibility and burden to evaluate AF severity, risk and outcomes

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has heterogeneous patterns of presentation concerning symptoms, duration of episodes, AF burden, and the tendency to progress towards the terminal step of permanent AF. AF is associated with a risk of stroke/thromboembolism traditionally considered dependent on patient-level risk factors rather than AF type, AF burden, or other characterizations. However, the time spent in AF appears related to an incremental risk of stroke, as suggested by the higher risk of stroke in patients with clinical AF vs. subclinical episodes and in patients with non-paroxysmal AF vs. paroxysmal AF. In patients with device-detected atrial tachyarrhythmias, AF burden is a dynamic process with potential transitions from a lower to a higher maximum daily arrhythmia burden, thus justifying monitoring its temporal evolution. In clinical terms, the appearance of the first episode of AF, the characterization of the arrhythmia in a specific AF type, the progression of AF, and the response to rhythm control therapies, as well as the clinical outcomes, are all conditioned by underlying heart disease, risk factors, and comorbidities. Improved understanding is needed on how to monitor and modulate the effect of factors that condition AF susceptibility and modulate AF-associated outcomes. The increasing use of wearables and apps in practice and clinical research may be useful to predict and quantify AF burden and assess AF susceptibility at the individual patient level. This may help us reveal why AF stops and starts again, or why AF episodes, or burden, cluster. Additionally, whether the distribution of burden is associated with variations in the propensity to thrombosis or other clinical adverse events. Combining the improved methods for data analysis, clinical and translational science could be the basis for the early identification of the subset of patients at risk of progressing to a longer duration/higher burden of AF and the associated adverse outcomes.

Meta-analysis of type 1 diabetes mellitus and risk of cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Individuals with diabetes have a high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the association between type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) and the risk of CVD has not been well addressed. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the association between T1DM and CVD.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed and EMBASE for studies that examined the association between T1DM and CVD until October 2020. We calculated the pooled risk ratios (RRs) with confidence intervals (CIs) from individual studies based on a random-effects model.

RESULTS

We included 10 observational studies involving 166,027 patients with T1DM, and individuals were matched controls from the general population. Among T1DM patients, the RR of CVD was 5.09 (95% CI, 3.72-6.96), of coronary heart disease (CHD) was 9.38 (95% CI, 5.56-15.82), and of myocardial infarction was 6.37 (95% CI, 3.81-10.66). The RR of heart failure was 4.29 (95% CI, 3.54-5.19), of atrial fibrillation was 1.36 (95% CI, 1.17-1.59), and of stroke was 4.08 (95% CI, 3.42-4.86). Moreover, there was an increased RR among females for CHD, CVD, myocardial infarction, and stroke associated with T1DM.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that T1DM is associated with an increased risk of several types of CVD. However, the possible mechanisms for the increased risk of CVD remain unclear.

Dose-response relationship of cardiorespiratory fitness with incident atrial fibrillation

The dose-response association between cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is still not well known. Therefore, we performed a comprehensive meta-analysis to investigate the dose-response association between cardiorespiratory fitness and incident AF. We performed a comprehensive search in the databases of PubMed, Cochrane library, and Ovid from inception through August 2019. A one-stage robust error meta-regression method was used to summarize the dose-response association between cardiorespiratory fitness and AF. A total of 9 studies were included in this meta-analysis. In the categorical analysis, compared with the lowest level of cardiorespiratory fitness, both the intermediate (RR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.57-0.82) and highest (RR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.51-0.72) levels of cardiorespiratory fitness were associated with a decreased risk of AF. In the dose-response analysis, per 1 metabolic equivalent increase in cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with a decreased risk of AF (RR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.95). There was an inverse relationship between cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of AF with evidence of linearity (P_{non-linearity} = 0.43). Current evidence suggests that there is an inverse relationship between cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of AF, manifesting as a higher level of cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with a decreased risk of AF.

Effect of Rivaroxaban or Apixaban in Atrial Fibrillation Patients with Stage 4-5 Chronic Kidney Disease or on Dialysis

BACKGROUND

Anticoagulant treatment in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) or on dialysis remains a matter of debate. The object of this study was to quantify the benefit-risk profiles of rivaroxaban or apixaban versus warfarin in AF patients with stage 4-5 CKD or on dialysis.

METHOD

A comprehensive search of the Cochrane Library, PubMed, Ovid, and Google Scholar databases was performed for eligible studies that comparing the effect and safety of rivaroxaban or apixaban versus warfarin in AF patients with stage 4-5 CKD or on dialysis. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were abstracted, and then pooled using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of seven studies, one post hoc analysis of RCT and six observational cohorts, were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with warfarin use, the use of rivaroxaban or apixaban was significantly associated with reduced risks of all-cause death (HR = 0.82, 95% CI 0.72-0.93) and gastrointestinal bleeding (HR = 0.87, 95% CI 0.80-0.95). There were no significant differences in the risks of stroke or systemic embolism (rivaroxaban, HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.43-1.19; apixaban, HR = 0.86, 95%CI 0.68-1.09) and major bleeding (rivaroxaban, HR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.64-1.45; apixaban, HR = 0.56, 95%CI 0.28-1.12).

CONCLUSIONS

Current evidence suggests that rivaroxaban or apixaban are safe and at least as effective as warfarin in patients with AF and stage 4-5 CKD or on dialysis.

Body Mass Index and Clinical Outcomes in Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The influence of body mass index (BMI) on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation remains controversial, especially among Asians. We aimed to evaluate the association between BMI and clinical outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation receiving oral anticoagulants.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance database between January 2015 and December 2017, we identified oral anticoagulant new users among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation who had BMI information. We analyzed ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, hospitalization for gastrointestinal bleeding, major bleeding, all-cause death, and the composite clinical outcome according to BMI categories.

RESULTS

A total of 43 173 patients were included across BMI categories (kg/m²): underweight (<18.5) in 3%, normal (18.5 to <23) in 28%, overweight (23 to <25) in 24%, obese I (25 to <30) in 39%, and obese II (≥30) in 6%. Higher BMI (per 5 kg/m² increase) was significantly associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 0.891 [95% CI, 0.801-0.992]), hospitalization for gastrointestinal bleeding (HR, 0.785 [95% CI, 0.658-0.937]), major bleeding (HR, 0.794 [95% CI, 0.686-0.919]), all-cause death (HR, 0.658 [95% CI, 0.605-0.716]), and the composite clinical outcome (HR, 0.751 [95% CI, 0.706-0.799]), except for intracranial hemorrhage (HR, 0.815 [95% CI, 0.627-1.061]). The underweight group was associated with an increased risk of composite clinical outcome (HR, 1.398 [95% CI, 1.170-1.671]), mainly driven by an increased risk of all-cause death. The effects of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant versus warfarin on clinical outcomes were similar across BMI groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher BMI was independently associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and better survival. Underweight patients had a higher risk of all-cause death and composite clinical outcome. The optimal BMI for patients with atrial fibrillation should be defined and managed according to an integrated care pathway.

Atrial fibrillation is associated with cardiovascular events in obese Japanese with one or more cardiovascular risk factors: The Japan Morning Surge Home Blood Pressure (J‐HOP) Study

The impacts of atrial fibrillation (AF) and home blood pressure (BP) on the cardiovascular prognosis of obese individuals have not been clarified. We analyzed the differences in the prognosis (including the effect of the home BP of AF patients with/without obesity) in a Japanese population with cardiovascular risk factors. We enrolled 3,586 patients from the J‐HOP study who had at least one cardiovascular risk factor. We conducted 12‐lead electrocardiography, and the group of AF patients was determined as those whose electrocardiography revealed AF. Obesity was defined as a body mass index >25 kg/m². The primary end points were fatal/nonfatal cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and aortic dissection). Among the obese patients, those with AF (n = 36) suffered more significantly cardiovascular events (log rank 7.17, p = .007) compared to the patients with sinus rhythm (n = 1,282), but among the non‐obese patients, the rates of cardiovascular events were similar (log rank 0.006, p = .94) in the AF patients (n = 48) and sinus rhythm patients (n = 2220). After adjusting for age, sex, office/home BP, smoking, diabetes, and creatinine level, AF was an independent predictor of cardiovascular events in the obese group (hazard ratio [HR] 3.05, 95%CI: 1.17‐7.97, p = .023). Home systolic BP was also a predictor of cardiovascular events in the obese group independent of the risk of AF (per 10 mm Hg: HR 1.36, 95%CI: 1.02‐1.83, p = .039). In conclusion, AF was an independent predictor of cardiovascular events in obese patients after adjusting for home BP.

Role of epicardial adipose tissue in the development of atrial fibrillation in hypertensive patients

Obesity is a progressing epidemic, the prevalence of which has doubled over the past 30 years. The distribution of adipose tissue is an important factor in predicting the risk of cardiovascular events. The most significant inflammatory activity is characteristic of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT), the role of which in the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a subject of discussion.

Aim. To study the effect of EAT size on the development of AF in hypertensive (HTN) patients.

Material and methods. The study included 95 patients with HTN aged 38-72 years (mean age, 61,5±1,8 years), including 45 patients with paroxysmal AF (group I) and 50 patients in the comparison group (group II). In order to assess the severity of visceral obesity, all patients underwent a general examination and echocardiography. To determine the EAT volume, cardiac multislice computed tomography was performed.

Results. Echocardiography revealed that the EAT thickness was significantly greater in hypertensive patients with paroxysmal AF than in the comparison group: 11,6±0,8 and 8,6±0,4 mm, respectively (p<0,001). According to cardiac multislice computed tomography, a significant increase in EAT volume was revealed in patients of group I (4,6±0,4 ml) compared with group II (3,5±0,25 ml) (p=0,019). In hypertensive patients with paroxysmal AF, a positive moderate relationship between the EAT volume and left atrial volume was revealed (r=0,7, p=0,022). Multivariate analysis showed that in hypertensive patients, EAT thickness >10 mm and volume >6 ml can serve as integral markers of the onset of paroxysmal AF.

Conclusion. Integral markers of AF in hypertensive patients are an increase in the EAT thickness >10 mm (odds ratio, 4,1; 95% confidence interval, 1,1-5,6) and volume >6 ml (odds ratio 3,7; 95%, confidence interval 1,0-4,2).

Prevalence and impact of cardiac injury on COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The exact prevalence and impact of cardiac injury in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is still controversial. Hence, we aim to investigate prevalence of cardiac injury and its impact on the outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

HYPOTHESIS

Cardiac injury is common and associated with higher risk of death.

METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Library, PubMed, MedRxiv, and EMBASE databases from December 2019 to July 15, 2020 for studies that evaluated the prevalence and impact of cardiac injury on COVID-19. This study has been registered with PROSPERO (International prospective register of systematic reviews)-registration number-CRD-42020186120.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies including 6297 participants were identified. The proportions of cardiac injury were 22%, 28% among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 or severe COVID-19 patients, respectively. The incidences of cardiac injury in advance age (>60 years) (30%) was about two-fold than young patients (<60 years) (15%) with COVID-19. Severe cases (42%) have seven-fold prevalence cardiac injury than in their non- severe counterparts (6%). Furthermore, cardiac injury is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with COVID-19 (OR 10.11, 95% CI 4.49-22.77). In patients with severe COVID-19, cardiac injury is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (OR: 16.79, 95% CI: 5.52-51.02).

CONCLUSIONS

This was the first meta-analysis exploring the prevalence and impact of cardiac injury on COVID-19. Cardiac injury is common in hospitalized patients and advanced age and severe COVID-19 patients prone to experience more risk of cardiac injury. Furthermore, cardiac injury is associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality.

Race, Body Mass Index, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background

Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is not known whether this relationship varies by race/ethnicity.

Methods and Results

Eligible participants (6739) from MESA (Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were surveilled for incident AF using MESA hospital surveillance, scheduled MESA study ECG, and Medicare claims data. After a median 13.8 years of follow‐up, 970 participants (14.4%) had incident AF. With BMI modeled categorically in a Cox proportional hazards model, only those with grade II and grade III obesity had increased risks of AF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.14–1.98, P=0.004 for grade II obesity and HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.48–3.05, P<0.0001 for grade III obesity). The relationship between BMI and AF risk was J‐shaped. However, the risk of AF as a function of BMI varied substantially by race/ethnicity (P value for interaction=0.02), with Chinese‐American participants having a much higher risk of AF with higher BMI and Black participants having minimal increased risk of AF with higher BMI.

Conclusions

Obesity is associated with an increased risk of incident AF, but the relationship between BMI and the risk of AF is J‐shaped and this relationship differs by race/ethnicity, such that Chinese‐American participants have a more pronounced increased risk of AF with higher BMI, while Black participants have minimal increased risk. Further exploration of the differential effects of BMI by race/ethnicity on cardiovascular outcomes is needed.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Secondary Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: An Updated Analysis by Adding Observational Studies

BACKGROUND

This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in secondary stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase electronic databases were systematically searched from January 2009 to July 2019 for relevant randomized clinical trials and observational studies. A random-effects model was applied in the pooled analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 14 studies (4 randomized clinical trials and 10 observational studies) were included. Based on the randomized clinical trials, compared with VKA use, the use of NOACs was associated with decreased risk of stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding, and intracranial bleeding. Based on the observational studies, compared with VKAs, the subgroup analysis showed that dabigatran and rivaroxaban were associated with a reduced risk of stroke or systemic embolism, whereas dabigatran and apixaban were associated with a decreased risk of major bleeding.

CONCLUSION

Based on current data, the use of NOACs is at least non-inferior to the use of VKAs in AF patients for secondary stroke prevention irrespective of NOAC type.

Direct oral anticoagulants in the prevention of stroke in breast cancer patients with atrial fibrillation during adjuvant endocrine therapy: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent comorbidity in malignant patients. Anticancer therapies complicate anticoagulant strategy. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of long-term use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in breast cancer women.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study we enrolled 48 consecutive radically treated breast cancer women with AF (median age 63 [interquartile range 56-69] years, CHA₂DS₂-VASc 2 [2,3]) score) and adjuvant hormonal therapy. Thromboembolic complications (stroke, transient ischemic attack [TIA], venous thromboembolism [VTE]) and bleeding events (major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding [CRNMB]) were recorded in follow-up.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 40 (interquartile range 28-50.5) months 13 (27%) patients received apixaban, 22 (46%) rivaroxaban, and 13 (27%) dabigatran. One stroke (2.3%/year) and two CRNMBs (4.6%/year) were observed on apixaban. One TIA (1.3%/year), three major bleedings and two CRNMBs (6.7%/year, combined) were reported on rivaroxaban. Three VTE were documented in dabigatran treated individuals (7.8%/year), without any bleeding or cerebrovascular events. Women with thromboembolic events had higher body mass index (32 [29-33]) vs. 26 [24-29]) kg/m², p = 0.02) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (3 [3]) vs. 2 [1-3]), p = 0.02). Most thromboembolic complications (n = 4, 80%) and all three major bleedings were observed in tamoxifen users, while three of four CRNMBs occurred on aromatase inhibitors. Mortality rates were low (apixaban, n = 1 [2.3%/year], rivaroxaban, n = 3 [5.22%/ year], and dabigatran, n = 2 [4%/ year]). No death was related to bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that DOACs are an effective and safe therapeutic option in breast cancer patients with AF during adjuvant hormonal therapy.

Relationship between body mass index and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with edoxaban or warfarin in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial

AIMS

To investigate the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, patients with AF were randomized to warfarin (international normalized ratio 2.0-3.0) or edoxaban. The cohort (N = 21 028) included patients across BMI categories (kg/m2): underweight (<18.5) in 0.8%, normal (18.5 to <25) in 21.4%, overweight (25 to <30) in 37.6%, moderately obese (30 to <35) in 24.8%, severely obese (35 to <40) in 10.0%, and very severely obese (≥40) in 5.5%. In an adjusted analysis, higher BMI (continuous, per 5 kg/m2 increase) was significantly and independently associated with lower risks of stroke/systemic embolic event (SEE) [hazard ratio (HR) 0.88, P = 0.0001], ischaemic stroke/SEE (HR 0.87, P < 0.0001), and death (HR 0.91, P < 0.0001), but with increased risks of major (HR 1.06, P = 0.025) and major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding (HR 1.05, P = 0.0007). There was a significant interaction between sex and increasing BMI category, with lower risk of ischaemic stroke/SEE in males and increased risk of bleeding in women. Trough edoxaban concentration and anti-Factor Xa activity were similar across BMI groups >18.5 kg/m2, while time in therapeutic range for warfarin improved significantly as BMI increased (P < 0.0001). The effects of edoxaban vs. warfarin on stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and net clinical outcome were similar across BMI groups.

CONCLUSION

An increased BMI was independently associated with a lower risk of stroke/SEE, better survival, but increased risk of bleeding. The efficacy and safety profiles of edoxaban were similar across BMI categories ranging from 18.5 to >40.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant for Atrial Fibrillation in Obese Patients

Four non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are approved for use to reduce the risk of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data are limited regarding the use of NOACs in the obese population. This manuscript summarizes current concepts regarding obesity in patients with AF and reviews in depth the data on the efficacy and safety of NOACs in obese patients with AF. The Pubmed database was searched for relevant articles. When evaluating obese patients with AF, weight loss is important to reduce disease burden. Recent analyses of the four NOAC versus warfarin trials (RE-LY, ROCKET-AF, ARISTOTLE, and ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48) stratified by body mass index (BMI) demonstrate preserved efficacy with NOACs versus warfarin in obese patients, with similar risk of major bleeding. Although the data are limited in class III obese patients (body mass index ≥40kg/m²), the efficacy and safety of apixaban or edoxaban appears to be similar to warfarin in patients with BMI 40-50kg/m². In conclusion, these new data should be considered in updated guidelines, which currently provide limited, and sometimes conflicting recommendations regarding the use of NOACs in obese patients, particularly in severely obese patients.

The role of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: A PRISMA-compliant article

BACKGROUND

Given the huge burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) and AF-related stroke in Asia, stroke prevention represents an urgent issue in this region. We herein performed a network meta-analysis to examine the role of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in Asian patients with AF.

METHODS

A systematic search of the publications was conducted in PubMed and Embase databases for eligible studies until July 2019. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were regarded as the effect estimates. The surface under the cumulative ranking area (SUCRA) for the ranking probabilities was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 17 studies were included. For comparisons of NOACs vs warfarin, dabigatran (OR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.86), rivaroxaban (OR = 0.72, 95% CI 0.65-0.81), apixaban (OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.49-0.65), but not edoxaban reduced the risk of stroke or systemic embolism, wheres dabigatran (OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.41-0.76), rivaroxaban (OR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.50-0.86), apixaban (OR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.36-0.66), and edoxaban (OR = 0.34, 95% CI 0.24-0.49) decreased the risk of major bleeding. In reducing the risk of stroke or systemic embolism, apixaban and rivaroxaban ranked the best and second best (SUCRA 0.2% and 31.4%, respectively), followed by dabigatran (50.2%), edoxaban (75.2%), and warfarin (93.0%). In reducing the risk of major bleeding, edoxaban, and apixaban ranked the best and second best (1.5% and 30.8%, respectively), followed by dabigatran (48.4%), rivaroxaban (69.2%), and warfarin (100%).

CONCLUSION

NOACs were at least as effective as warfarin, but more safer in Asians with AF. Apixaban was superior to other NOACs for reducing stroke or systemic embolism, while edoxaban showed a better safety profile than other NOACs.

Thromboembolic and bleeding risk in obese patients with atrial fibrillation according to different anticoagulation strategies

BACKGROUND

Data on the relationship between body mass index (BMI), thromboembolic events (TEE) and bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are controversial, and further evidence on the risk of such events in obese patients with AF receiving different anticoagulant therapies (OAC) is needed.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We divided a total of 9330 participants from the prospective PREFER in AF and PREFER in AF PROLONGATION registries into BMI quartiles at baseline. Outcome measures were TEE and major bleeding complications at the 1-year follow-up. Without OAC, there was a ≥6-fold increase of TEE in the 4th vs other BMI quartiles (P = .019). OAC equalized the rates of TEE across different BMI strata. The occurrence of major bleeding was highest in patients with BMI in the 1st as well as in the 4th BMI quartile [OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.03-2.78, P = .039 and OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.13-3.04, P = .014 vs those in the 3rd quartile, respectively]. At propensity score-adjusted analysis, the incidence of TEE and major bleeding in obese patients receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) or vitamin K-antagonist anticoagulants (VKAs) was similar (P ≥ .34).

CONCLUSIONS

Our real-world data suggest no obesity paradox for TEE in patients with AF. Obese patients are at higher risk of TEE, and here OAC dramatically reduces the risk of events. We here found a comparable clinical outcome with NOACs and VKAs in obese patients. Low body weight and obesity were also associated with bleeding, and therefore OAC with the best safety profile should be considered in this setting.

BMI differences among in-hospital management and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: findings from the Care for Cardiovascular Disease project in China

BACKGROUND

Underweight or obese status influences the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the association between stratification of body mass index (BMI) and in-hospital outcomes in patients with AF, remains lacking in China.

METHODS

Using data from the Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China-AF project, which was launched in February 2015 and recruited 150 hospitals in China, we compared characteristics, in-hospital treatments and clinical outcomes among the stratifications of BMI for Asians.

RESULTS

A total of 15,867 AF patients with AF were enrolled, including 830 (5.23%) underweight, 4965 (31.29%) with normal weight, 3716 (23.42%) overweight, 5263 (33.17%) obese class I and 1093 (6.89%) obese class II participants. Compared with normal weight patients, underweight, overweight, and obese patients showed increased percentages of CHADS₂ scores (3-6) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (5-9). During hospitalization, overweight or obese patients showed greater use of rhythm control medications, anticoagulant drugs, and intervention therapies than underweight-normal weight patients. In adjusted logistic models, BMI was a strong predictor of in-hospital mortality. Especially, underweight BMI was associated with higher incidence of in-hospital mortality, with an adjusted odds ratio of 2.08 (95% confidence interval, 1.56-4.46; p = 0.04) than overweight and obese BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Asian patients with AF and high BMI received more medical treatments and presented less adverse in-hospital outcomes compared with those with underweight-normal weight. Although low BMI may be associated with other comorbidities and advanced age, underweight BMI retained a negative correlation with all-cause mortality in the patients with AF during hospitalization.

Impact of body mass index on procedural complications, procedure duration, and radiation dose in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing radiofrequency ablation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The association of body mass index (BMI) and procedure‐related factors in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is still unclear.

Hypothesis

BMI is associated with increased the radiation dose, procedure duration, and procedural complications.

Methods

Prospective studies assessing BMI and procedure duration, radiation dose, and procedural complications in patients with AF after RFA were identified through electronic searches of PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library database.

Results

Ten studies with 14 735 participants undergoing RFA were included. Procedure duration was significantly longer in patients with overweight or obesity than in patients with normal BMI, with a mean difference (MD) of 0.95. Patients with overweight and obesity were exposed to a larger radiation dose, with standard MD of 1.71 and 1.98, respectively. There was no significant association between overweight or obesity and the risk of procedural complications (RR of 0.91 for overweight, 1.01 for obesity, 0.89 for stage I obesity, 1.00 for stage II obesity, and 0.94 for stage III obesity). Further analysis showed there was no significant difference regarding stroke or transient ischemic attack (overweight, RR: 0.92; obesity, RR: 1.02); cardiac tamponade (overweight, RR: 0.92; obesity, RR: 1.02); groin hematoma (overweight, RR: 0.62; obesity, RR: 0.40); or pulmonary vein stenosis (overweight, RR: 0.49; obesity, RR: 0.40) among BMI groups.

Conclusion

Based on available evidence, we first showed that patients with overweight/obesity undergoing RFA experienced a significantly increased procedure duration and received a larger radiation dose than patients with normal BMI; however, there was no significant difference in procedural complications between patients with overweight/obesity and patients with normal BMI.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Peripheral Artery Disease: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) compared with warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and peripheral artery disease (PAD) remain largely unknown. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to explore the effects of NOACs versus warfarin in this population.

METHODS

We systematically searched the PubMed and Embase databases, with no linguistic restrictions, until December 2019 for relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. A random-effects model using an inverse variance method was selected to pool the risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

A total of six studies (three post hoc analyses of RCTs and three cohort studies) were included in this meta-analysis. Among AF patients treated with NOACs and warfarin, individuals with PAD had increased rates of all-cause death (RR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.07-1.48) and cardiovascular death (RR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.06-1.64) compared with those without PAD. In AF patients with PAD, we observed a similar risk of thromboembolic events, bleeding, and death with NOACs as with warfarin. In addition, there were no interactions between PAD and non-PAD subgroups regarding any of the reported outcomes of NOACs versus warfarin in AF patients (all Pinteraction > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on current evidence, AF patients with PAD are at a higher risk of death than those without PAD. Efficacy and safety outcomes with NOACs are comparable to those with warfarin, suggesting that the use of NOACs has effects similar to warfarin in AF patients with concomitant PAD.

Impact of body mass index on real-world outcomes of rivaroxaban treatment in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

This sub-analysis of the XAPASS, a prospective, single-arm, observational study, aimed to evaluate relationships between body mass index (BMI) and safety (major bleeding and all-cause mortality) and effectiveness [stroke/non-central nervous system (non-CNS) systemic embolism (SE)/myocardial infarction (MI)] outcomes in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) receiving rivaroxaban. Patients were categorized according to BMI (kg/m²) as underweight (< 18.5), normal weight (18.5 to < 25), overweight (25 to < 30), or obese (≥ 30). In total, 9578 patients with NVAF completed the 1-year follow-up and were evaluated; of these, 7618 patients had baseline BMI data. Overall, 542 (5.7%), 4410 (46.0%), 2167 (22.6%), and 499 (5.2%) patients were underweight, normal weight, overweight, and obese, respectively. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that none of the BMI categories were independent predictors of major bleeding whereas being underweight was independently associated with increased all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 3.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.40–5.26, p < 0.001]. The incidence of stroke/non-CNS SE/MI was higher in patients who were underweight than in those of normal weight (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.20–3.70, p = 0.009). However, in multivariable analyses, being underweight was not identified as an independent predictor of stroke/non-CNS SE/MI (HR 1.64, 95% CI 0.90–2.99, p = 0.104). In conclusion, the high incidence of thromboembolic events and all-cause mortality in patients who were underweight highlights that thorough evaluation of disease status and comorbidities may be required in this population.

Relationship between psychological factors and atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

Although several studies have investigated the role of psychological factors in atrial fibrillation (AF), the results are still under debate. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to examine the relationship between psychological factors and the risk of incident AF.

METHODS

We systematically searched the PubMed and EMBASE databases from inception to December 2019 to identify eligible studies. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 11 cohort studies were included in this meta-analysis. There were 5, 2, 4, and 5 studies examining the association of anxiety, anger, depression, and psychological stress with AF, respectively. In the pooled analysis by a random-effects model, anxiety (HR = 1.10, 95%CI 0.97-1.24; P = .14), anger (HR = 1.08, 95%CI 0.95-1.23; P = .21), depression (HR = 1.15, 95%CI 0.98-1.35; P = .08), and work stress (HR = 1.14, 95%CI 0.98-1.34; P = .09) were not associated with the risk of AF. These results were not changed when we re-performed the analysis using a fixed-effects model.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on current evidence, no associations were observed for anger, anxiety, and work stress with the risk of AF.

Risk Factors Associated With Ischemic Stroke in Japanese Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

IMPORTANCE

Despite the development of risk stratification schemes that have been widely used to determine the risk for thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), risk stratification schemes in Asian patients with NVAF remain undetermined.

OBJECTIVE

To determine risk factors for ischemic stroke in Japanese patients with NVAF.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study analyzed individual patient data from 5 AF registries in Japan: J-RHYTHM (Japanese Rhythm Management Trial for Atrial Fibrillation) Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio Interhospital Cardiovascular Studies (Keio Study), and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry. Patients with atrial fibrillation were registered from 158 institutions in the J-RHYTHM Registry, 80 in the Fushimi AF Registry, a single hospital in Shinken Database, 11 in the Keio Study, and 19 in the Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry. Patients with valvular AF or lacking data were excluded. Data were collected and integrated in March 2016, and those from the Keio Study were updated in April 2018. Data were analyzed from April 2018 to February 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Significant risk factors for ischemic stroke were determined by adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 12 289 patients with NVAF (3758 [31%] female; mean [SD] age 70.2 [11] years) were analyzed with a mean (SD) follow-up period of 649 (181) days (1.8 [0.5] years). During 21 820 person-years of follow-up, 241 cases of ischemic stroke were reported. Risk factors associated with ischemic stroke after adjustment for oral anticoagulant use at enrollment were age (75-84 years: hazard ratio [HR], 1.74; 95% CI, 1.32-2.30; P < .001; and ≥85 years: HR, 2.41; 1.63-3.56; P < .001), hypertension (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.15-2.23; P = .006), previous stroke (HR, 2.75; 95% CI, 2.09-3.62; P < .001), persistent or permanent AF (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.21-2.10; P = .001), and body mass index less than 18.5 (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.05-2.29; P = .03). Neither diabetes nor heart failure were identified as risk factors for ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Previous stroke, advanced age, hypertension, persistent or permanent AF, and low body mass index were independent risk factors associated with ischemic stroke in Japanese patients with NVAF.

Obesity Paradox in Atrial Fibrillation: Implications for Outcomes and Relationship with Oral Anticoagulant Drugs

In the last 40 years, concern about the obesity epidemic has increased. Data from the current literature highlight a strong relationship between obesity and atrial fibrillation (AF), particularly in relation to an increased risk for incident and recurrent AF. A phenomenon called the "obesity paradox" has emerged: the apparently counterintuitive evidence from epidemiological data indicating that overweight and obese patients may have a better prognosis than healthy-weight patients. A differential impact of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in terms of effectiveness and safety in the various body mass index categories has been postulated, particularly in the comparison between non-vitamin-K antagonist oral anticoagulants and vitamin K antagonists. This review aims to summarize the evidence on the impact of obesity in patients with AF, focusing on descriptions of the obesity paradox and its relationships with OAC treatment.

The obesity paradox for outcomes in atrial fibrillation: Evidence from an exposure-effect analysis of prospective studies

The impact of obesity on the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains controversial. We conducted an exposure-effect meta-analysis of prospective studies to clarify the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in patients with AF. The Cochrane Library, PubMed, and Embase databases were searched through May 1, 2019. Summary relative risks (RRs) were calculated using random-effects models. Nonlinear associations were explored using restricted cubic spline models. Twenty publications involving 161,922 individuals were included. Categorical variable analysis showed that underweight was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 2.6), cardiovascular death (RR: 2.91), major bleeding (RR: 1.57), stroke or systemic embolism (RR: 1.62), and a composite endpoint (RR: 2.23). In exposure-effect analysis, the risk per 5 BMI increase was reduced for adverse outcomes (RR=0.86, 95% CI: 0.80-0.92 for all-cause death; RR=0.82, 95% CI: 0.71-0.95 for cardiovascular death; RR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.84-0.95 for stroke or systemic embolism; and RR=0.78, 95% CI: 0.67-0.92 for a composite endpoint). There was a significant "U"-shaped exposure-effect relationship with all-cause death, and the nadir of the curve was observed at a BMI of approximately 28. Our results showed that underweight is associated with a worse prognosis, but that overweight and obesity are associated with improved adverse outcomes in patients with AF.