Incidence of Transient Ischemic Attack and Early Stroke Risk

Epidemiology and management of transient ischemic attack in Trieste district, how day hospital assessment improves outcomes: a five-year retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is defined as a transient episode of neurologic dysfunction, without acute infarction or tissue injury lasting less than 24 h. Previous data suggest TIA precedes 15% of ischemic strokes, with a higher risk in the first week. Current practice guidelines advise evaluation through rapid neurological visit or admission to hospital. We provide data on TIA incidence in Trieste, and we compare three different types of assessment: day hospital (DH), stroke unit (SU), and emergency department/outpatients (ED).

METHODS

This is a 5-year retrospective study of transient cerebrovascular events admitted in the University Hospital of Trieste (230.623 inhabitants), between 2016 and 2020. We calculated TIA prevalence in Trieste district's general population. Our primary endpoint is ischemic recurrences within 90 days, and we evaluate the possible association between different types of management.

RESULTS

TIA incidence rate was 0.54/1000 inhabitants. In the multivariate analysis remained significantly associated with primary endpoint: ABCD2 (OR 1.625, CI 95% 1.114-2.369, p = 0.012) and DH evaluation (OR 0.260, CI 95% 0.082-0.819, p = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence of TIA in Trieste district is in line with previous data. We demonstrate the crucial role of DH evaluation over the outpatient/ED in reducing overall mortality and recurrence rate. Prompt recognition of patients at high risk for cerebrovascular events and specialist follow-up may reduce the incidence of major vascular events and death.

Transient ischemic attack and pregnancy, delivery and neonatal outcomes-An evaluation of a population database

OBJECTIVE

Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is rare in women of reproductive age. We aimed to compare perinatal outcomes between women who suffered from a TIA to those who did not.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based cohort study utilizing the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, Nationwide Inpatient Sample (HCUP-NIS). All women who delivered or had a maternal death in the US (2004-2014) were included in the study. Pregnancy, delivery, and neonatal outcomes were compared between women with an ICD-9 diagnosis of a TIA to those without.

RESULTS

Overall, 9 096 788 women met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 203 women (2.2/100000) had a TIA (either before or during pregnancy). Women with TIA, compared to those without, were more likely to be older than 35 years of age, white, in the highest income quartile, be insured by private insurance and suffer from obesity and chronic hypertension. Patients in the TIA group, compared to those without, had a higher rate of pregnancy-induced hypertension (aOR 2.5, 95% CI: 1.55-4.05, P < 0.001), pre-eclampsia (aOR 3.77, 95% CI: 2.15-6.62, P < 0.001), eclampsia (aOR 28.05, 95% CI: 6.91-113.95, P < 0.001), preterm delivery (aOR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.03-3.07, P = 0.039), and maternal complications such as deep vein thrombosis (aOR 33.3, 95% CI: 8.07-137.42, P < 0.001). Regarding neonatal outcomes, patients with a TIA, compared to those without, had a higher rate of congenital anomalies (aOR 7.04, 95% CI: 2.86-17.32, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Women with a TIA diagnosis before or during pregnancy had a higher rate of maternal complications, including hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and venous thromboembolism, as well as an increased risk of congenital anomalies.

Reduced learning rates but successful learning of a coordinated rhythmic movement by older adults

Previous work has investigated the information-based mechanism for learning and transfer of learning in coordinated rhythmic movements. In those papers, we trained young adults to produce either 90° or 60° and showed in both cases that learning entailed learning to use relative position as information for the relative phase. This variable then supported transfer of learning to untrained coordinations +/30° on either side. In this article, we replicate the 90° study with younger adults and extend it by training older adults (aged between 55 and 65 years). Other work has revealed a steep decline in learning rate around this age, and no follow-up study has been able to successfully train older adults to perform a novel coordination. We used a more intensive training paradigm and showed that while older adult learning rates remain about half that of younger adults, given time they are able to acquire the new coordination. They also learn to use relative position, and consequently show the same pattern of transfer. We discuss implications for attempts to model the process of learning in this task.

External validations of the ABCD2 score in prediction of stroke risk after transient ischemic attack. A Tunisian hospital-based cohort study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Identification of patients with high risk of stroke after transient ischemic attack (TIA) could be helpful to optimize stroke prevention. We aimed to externally validate the ABCD2 score for the prediction of stroke after TIA in a Tunisian population.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study of consecutive patients admitted for TIA in four university hospitals in Tunisia. Patients were screened for onset of stroke. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values with areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated for risk of stroke at 2, 7, 30 and 90 days after the index event.

RESULTS

Of 415 patients screened in this study, the total cumulative subsequent stroke rates after TIA at 2, 7, 30 and 90 days were respectively, 4.8%, 10.6%, 13.5% and 20.2%. Using a cut-off value of 4, the ABCD2 showed an overall good sensitivity (95%, 97.7%, 96.4% and 97.6% respectively at 2, 7, 30 and 90 days). Areas under ROC cure of the ABCD2 score in patients with TIA for stroke onset at 2, 7, 30 and 90 days were respectively 0.67 (95% CI, 0.55-0.79), 0.79 (95% CI, 0.71-0.85), 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72-0.85), and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70-0.81).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the ABCD2 score could be used in our population to discriminate patient with TIA at low and high risk of developing recurrent stroke.

Incidence of first-ever transient ischemic attack in Eastern Finland

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of stroke has been declining in Finland, as well as in Europe. However, it is unclear whether the incidence of transient ischemic attack (TIA) is also decreasing. In fact, the TIA incidence in the Finnish population has never been reported. Therefore, here we investigated the incidence of TIA in the Eastern Finnish population in 2017.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients with suspected TIA, from a defined catchment area, were referred to a neurological emergency unit at Kuopio University Hospital (KUH) in the Northern Savonia region of Eastern Finland, which had a population of 246,653 in 2017. The original study population comprised TIA patients diagnosed based on the WHO TIA criteria in 2017. Incidence rates were calculated by dividing the number of TIA cases by the number of people in different age groups.

RESULTS

Among 432 patients with a suspected TIA referred to the neurological emergency unit at Kuopio University Hospital in 2017, 293 were living in Northern Savonia and were ultimately diagnosed with TIA after neurological examinations. The number of first-ever TIAs was 211. The crude incidence of all TIA was 122/100,000 inhabitants, and of first-ever TIA was 86/100,000. The age-standardized incidence (European population 2010) of the first-ever TIA was calculated to be 64/100,000. The mean age of first-ever TIA patients was 70 years: 72 years for women versus 68 years for men.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a high incidence of TIA in Eastern Finland.

Atrial fibrillation detection using a automated electrocardiographic monitoring in a transient ischaemic attack service

Background

The vast majority of the transient ischaemic attacks (TIA) services in UK reported significant delays in the initiation of the routine cardiac monitoring that may result in a significant number of missed atrial fibrillation (AF) paroxysms and increased long-term risk of recurrent stroke. Automated continuous ECG monitoring (ACEM) system has shown promising results in terms of AF detection but it is unclear if ACEM improves AF detection in a rapid outpatient TIA service.

Objectives

We assessed ACEM in patients with TIA with the aim to significantly reduce the delay to initiate the cardiac monitoring and to enhance the yield of AF detection in these patients. We also aimed to determine the impact of a more rapid initiation of ACEM on the 6-month risk of recurrent stroke/TIA.

Methods

This is an observational, prospective before (phase 1: 1 July to 31 December 2018) versus after (phase 2: 1 January to 30 June 2019) study of the effect of ACEM, compared with routine initiation of 24h-Holter ECG, in patients with TIA assessed in our service.

Results

The phase 1 (n=136) and phase 2 (n=105) cohorts did not differ with regards to age, risk factors, duration of cardiac monitoring. The rate of newly detected AF was significantly higher in phase 2 compared with phase 1 (9.52% vs 2.21%, p<0.001). The 6-month risk of recurrent stroke/TIA was significantly lower in phase 2 compared with phase 1 (7.4% vs 1%, p=0.018).

Conclusions

Early initiation of ACEM improves AF detection after TIA in a rapid TIA service and is associated with a reduced risk of recurrent TIA/stroke.

Risk of Subsequent Stroke Among Patients Receiving Outpatient vs Inpatient Care for Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Transient ischemic attack (TIA) often indicates a high risk of subsequent cerebral ischemic events. Timely preventive measures improve the outcome.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate and compare the risk of subsequent ischemic stroke among patients with TIA or minor ischemic stroke (mIS) by care setting.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, ClinicalTrials.gov, Trip Medical Database, CINAHL, and all Evidence-Based Medicine review series were searched from the inception of each database until October 1, 2020.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies evaluating the occurrence of ischemic stroke after TIA or mIS were included. Cohorts without data on evaluation time for reporting subsequent stroke, with retrospective diagnosis of the index event after stroke occurrence, and with a report of outcomes that were not limited to patients with TIA or mIS were excluded. Two authors independently screened the titles and abstracts and provided the list of candidate studies for full-text review; discrepancies and disagreements in all steps of the review were addressed by input from a third reviewer.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

The study was prepared and reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses, Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology, Methodological Expectations of Cochrane Intervention Reviews, and Enhancing the Quality and Transparency of Health Research guidelines. The Risk of Bias in Nonrandomized Studies-of Exposures (ROBINS-E) tool was used for critical appraisal of cohorts, and funnel plots, Begg-Mazumdar rank correlation, Kendall τ2, and the Egger bias test were used for evaluating the publication bias. All meta-analyses were conducted under random-effects models.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Risk of subsequent ischemic stroke among patients with TIA or mIS who received care at rapid-access TIA or neurology clinics, inpatient units, emergency departments (EDs), and unspecified or multiple settings within 4 evaluation intervals (ie, 2, 7, 30, and 90 days).

RESULTS

The analysis included 226 683 patients from 71 articles recruited between 1981 and 2018; 5636 patients received care at TIA clinics (mean [SD] age, 65.7 [3.9] years; 2291 of 4513 [50.8%] men), 130 139 as inpatients (mean [SD] age, 78.3 [4.0] years; 49 458 of 128 745 [38.4%] men), 3605 at EDs (mean [SD] age, 68.9 [3.9] years; 1596 of 3046 [52.4%] men), and 87 303 patients received care in an unspecified setting (mean [SD] age, 70.8 [3.8] years, 43 495 of 87 303 [49.8%] men). Among the patients who were treated at a TIA clinic, the risk of subsequent stroke following a TIA or mIS was 0.3% (95% CI, 0.0%-1.2%) within 2 days, 1.0% (95% CI, 0.3%-2.0%) within 7 days, 1.3% (95% CI, 0.4%-2.6%) within 30 days, and 2.1% (95% CI, 1.4%-2.8%) within 90 days. Among the patients who were treated as inpatients, the risk of subsequent stroke was to 0.5% (95% CI, 0.1%-1.1%) within 2 days, 1.2% (95% CI, 0.4%-2.2%) within 7 days, 1.6% (95% CI, 0.6%-3.1%) within 30 days, and 2.8% (95% CI, 2.1%-3.5%) within 90 days. The risk of stroke among patients treated at TIA clinics was not significantly different from those hospitalized. Compared with the inpatient cohort, TIA clinic patients were younger and had had lower ABCD2 (age, blood pressure, clinical features, duration of TIA, diabetes) scores (inpatients with ABCD2 score >3, 1101 of 1806 [61.0%]; TIA clinic patients with ABCD2 score >3, 1933 of 3703 [52.2%]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the risk of subsequent stroke among patients who were evaluated in a TIA clinic was not higher than those hospitalized. Patients who received treatment in EDs without further follow-up had a higher risk of subsequent stroke. These findings suggest that TIA clinics can be an effective component of the TIA care component pathway.

Incidence of stroke, transient ischaemic attack and determinants of poststroke mortality among immigrants in Denmark, 2004‒2018: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Using recent registry data, we aimed to quantify the incidence of stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and to examine factors influencing the risk of poststroke mortality among immigrants compared with Danish-born individuals.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study between 2004 and 2018. We estimated age-standardised incidence rate ratios (IRR) of stroke, stroke types and TIA for each ethnic group using Danish-born individuals as the reference by direct method of standardisation. We calculated the risk of poststroke mortality using Cox proportional hazard regression.

SETTING

The study was conducted using Danish nationwide registers.

PARTICIPANTS

All cases of first-ever stroke and TIA by country of origin (n=132 936) were included.

RESULTS

Overall, Western immigrants (IRR=2.25; 95% CI 2.20 to 2.31) and non-Western immigrants (IRR=1.37; 95% CI 1.30 to 1.44) had a higher risk of stroke than Danish-born individuals. The risk of TIA was higher in Western immigrants (IRR=2.08; 95% CI 1.93 to 2.23) followed by non-Western immigrants (IRR=1.45; 95% CI 1.27 to 1.63) than in Danish-born individuals. All-cause 1-year mortality hazard was higher but not significantly different in non-Western men (adjusted HR=1.38; 95% CI 0.92 to 2.08) compared with Danish-born men and additional adjustment for comorbidities reduced the HR to 0.85 (0.51 to 1.40) among ischaemic stroke cases. Among intracerebral haemorrhage cases, the adjusted mortality hazard was decreased in Western men (from HR of 1.76; 95% CI 1.09 to 2.85 to HR of 1.30; 95% CI 0.80 to 2.11) compared with Danish-born men after adjustment for stroke severity. Immigrants with ≤15 years of residence had a lower poststroke mortality hazard than Danish-born individuals after additional adjustment for sociodemographic factors (HR=0.36; 95% CI 0.14 to 0.91).

CONCLUSIONS

The age-standardised risk of stroke and TIA was significantly higher among the majority of immigrants than Danish-born individuals. Interventions that reduce the burden of comorbidities, improve acute stroke care and target sociodemographic factors may address the higher risk of poststroke mortality among immigrants.

A 5-Decade Analysis of Incidence Trends of Ischemic Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Management of transient ischemic attack (TIA) has gained significant attention during the past 25 years after several landmark studies indicated the high incidence of a subsequent stroke.

Objective

To calculate the pooled event rate of subsequent ischemic stroke within 2, 7, 30, and 90 days of a TIA and compare this incidence among the population with TIA recruited before 1999 (group A), from 1999 to 2007 (group B), and after 2007 (group C).

Data Sources

All published studies of TIA outcomes were obtained by searching PubMed from 1996, to the last update on January 31, 2020, irrespective of the study design, document type, or language.

Study Selection

Of 11 516 identified citations, 175 articles were relevant to this review. Both the classic time-based definition of TIA and the new tissue-based definition were accepted. Studies with a combined record of patients with TIA and ischemic stroke, without clinical evaluation for the index TIA, with diagnosis of index TIA event after ischemic stroke occurrence, with low suspicion for TIA, or duplicate reports of the same database were excluded.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

The study was conducted and reported according to the PRISMA, MOOSE, and EQUATOR guidelines. Critical appraisal and methodological quality assessment used the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. Publication bias was visualized by funnel plots and measured by the Begg-Mazumdar rank correlation Kendall τ2 statistic and Egger bias test. Data were pooled using double arcsine transformations, DerSimonian-Laird estimator, and random-effects models.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The proportion of the early ischemic stroke after TIA within 4 evaluation intervals (2, 7, 30, and 90 days) was considered as effect size.

Results

Systematic review yielded 68 unique studies with 223 866 unique patients from 1971 to 2019. The meta-analysis included 206 455 patients (58% women) during a span of 4 decades. The overall subsequent ischemic stroke incidence rates were estimated as 2.4% (95% CI, 1.8%-3.2%) within 2 days, 3.8% (95% CI, 2.5%-5.4%) within 7 days, 4.1% (95% CI, 2.4%-6.3%) within 30 days, and 4.7% (95% CI, 3.3%-6.4%) within 90 days. There was a recurrence risk of 3.4% among group A in comparison with 2.1% in group B or 2.1% in group C within 2 days; 5.5% in group A vs 2.9% in group B or 3.2% in group C within 7 days; 6.3% in group A vs 2.9% in group B or 3.4% in group C within 30 days, and 7.4% in group A vs 3.9% in group B or 3.9% in group C within 90 days.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that TIA continues to be associated with a high risk of early stroke; however, the rate of post-TIA stroke might have decreased slightly during the past 2 decades.

Decreasing referrals to transient ischaemic attack clinics during the COVID-19 outbreak: results from a multicentre cross-sectional survey

OBJECTIVE

The COVID-19 pandemic is having major implications for stroke care with a documented significant fall in hospital acute stroke admissions. We investigated whether COVID-19 has resulted in a decreased number of referrals to the transient ischaemic attack (TIA) clinics across the North West London region.

SETTING AND DESIGN

All the TIA clinical leads of the North West London region received an invitation by email to participate in an online survey in May 2020. The survey questionnaire aimed to assess the number of patients with suspected TIA consecutively referred to each of the TIA clinics of the North West London region between 1 March and 30 April 2020, the COVID-19 period, and between 1 March and 30 April 2019.

RESULTS

We had a response rate of 100%. During the COVID-19 period, the TIA clinics of the North West London region received 440 referrals compared with 616 referrals received between 1 March and 30 April 2019 with a fall in the number of the referrals by 28.6%. In April 2020 compared with April 2019, the number of the referrals declined by 40.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

This multicentre analysis documented a significant reduction in the number of patients referred with suspected TIA to the specialised rapid access outpatient clinics in the North West London region during the COVID-19 pandemic. Future studies are needed to confirm our findings and to better characterise the incidence of cerebrovascular disease during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Prospective observational cohort study of early recurrent TIA: Features, frequency, and outcome

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the frequency, clinical and etiologic features, and short- and long-term outcomes of early recurrent TIA.

METHODS

This prospective observational cohort study enrolled all consecutive patients with TIA referred to our emergency department and diagnosed by a vascular neurologist. Expedited assessment and best secondary prevention were performed within 24 hours. Primary endpoints were stroke and a composite outcome including stroke, acute coronary syndrome, and vascular death at 3, 12, and, for a subset of patients, 60 months; secondary outcomes were TIA relapse, cerebral hemorrhage, new-onset atrial fibrillation, and death resulting from other causes. Concordance between index TIA and subsequent stroke etiologies was also evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 1,035 patients (822 with a single TIA, 213 with recurrent TIA = 21%) were enrolled from August 2010 to December 2017. Capsular warning syndrome and large artery atherosclerosis showed the strongest relationship with early recurrent TIA. The risk of stroke was significantly higher in the early recurrent TIA subgroup at each follow-up, and most stroke episodes occurred within 48 hours of index TIA. TIAs with lesion, dysarthria, and leukoaraiosis were the 3- and 12-month independent predictors of stroke incidence after early recurrent TIA subgroup. Index TIA and subsequent stroke etiologies showed substantial concordance. An ABCD₃ score >6 predicted a higher risk of stroke recurrence over the entire follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study evaluated long-term outcome after early recurrent TIA. Our observations support the importance of promptly detecting and treating patients with early recurrent TIAs to reduce the high early and long-term risk of poor clinical outcomes.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2020 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports on the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2020 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, metrics to assess and monitor healthy diets, an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, a focus on the global burden of cardiovascular disease, and further evidence-based approaches to changing behaviors, implementation strategies, and implications of the American Heart Association's 2020 Impact Goals.

RESULTS

Each of the 26 chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policy makers, media professionals, clinicians, healthcare administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Seizures Do Not Affect Disability and Mortality Outcomes of Stroke: A Population-Based Study

Although seizures are frequently seen after cerebrovascular accidents, their effects on long-term outcome in stroke patients are still unknown. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between post-stroke seizures and the risk of long-term disability and mortality in stroke patients. This study is part of a larger population-based study. All patients were prospectively followed up by a face-to-face interview or a structured telephone interview. We enrolled 635 patients with first-ever stroke and without a history of seizures. Prevalence of ischemic stroke (IS) was 85.2%, while the remaining 14.8% of patients were affected by intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). During the study period, 51 subjects (8%) developed post-stroke seizures. Patients with post-stroke seizures were younger, had a higher prevalence of ICH, had a more severe stroke at admission, were more likely to have an IS involving the total anterior circulation, and were more likely to have a lobar ICH than patients without seizures. Moreover, subjects with seizures had more frequently hemorrhagic transformation after IS and cortical strokes. At 24 months, the risk of disability in patients with seizures was almost twice than in those without seizures. However, the negative effect of seizures disappeared in multivariate analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curves at 12 years were not significantly different between patients with and without post-stroke seizures. Using the Cox multivariate analysis, age, NIHSS at admission, and pre-stroke mRS were independently associated with all-cause long-term mortality. In our sample, seizures did not impair long-term outcome in patients affected by cerebrovascular accidents. The not significant, slight difference in favor of a better survival for patients with seizures may be attributed to the slight age difference between the two groups.

Clinical Risk Score for Predicting Recurrence Following a Cerebral Ischemic Event

Introduction: Recurrent stroke has a higher rate of death and disability. A number of risk scores have been developed to predict short-term and long-term risk of stroke following an initial episode of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) with limited clinical utilities. In this paper, we review different risk score models and discuss their validity and clinical utilities.

Methods: The PubMed bibliographic database was searched for original research articles on the various risk scores for risk of stroke following an initial episode of stroke or TIA. The validation of the models was evaluated by examining the internal and external validation process as well as statistical methodology, the study power, as well as the accuracy and metrics such as sensitivity and specificity.

Results: Different risk score models have been derived from different study populations. Validation studies for these risk scores have produced conflicting results. Currently, ABCD² score with diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) and Recurrence Risk Estimator at 90 days (RRE-90) are the two acceptable models for short-term risk prediction whereas Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) and Stroke Prognosis Instrument-II (SPI-II) can be useful for prediction of long-term risk.

Conclusion: The clinical risk scores that currently exist for predicting short-term and long-term risk of recurrent cerebral ischemia are limited in their performance and clinical utilities. There is a need for a better predictive tool which can overcome the limitations of current predictive models. Application of machine learning methods in combination with electronic health records may provide platform for development of new-generation predictive tools.

In-hospital recurrence in a Chinese large cohort with acute ischemic stroke

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) has a high risk of recurrence, particularly in the early stage. The purpose of this study was to assess the frequency and risk factors of in-hospital recurrence in patients with AIS in China. A retrospective analysis was performed of all of the patients with new-onset AIS who were hospitalized in the past three years. Recurrence was defined as a new stroke event, with an interval between the primary and recurrent events greater than 24 hours; other potential causes of neurological deterioration were excluded. The risk factors for recurrence were analyzed using univariate and logistic regression analyses. A total of 1,021 patients were included in this study with a median length of stay of 14 days (interquartile range,11-18). In-hospital recurrence occurred in 58 cases (5.68%), primarily during the first five days of hospitalization. In-hospital recurrence significantly prolonged the hospital stay (P < 0.001), and the in-hospital mortality was also significantly increased (P = 0.006). The independent risk factors for in-hospital recurrence included large artery atherosclerosis, urinary or respiratory infection and abnormal blood glucose, whereas recurrence was less likely to occur in the patients with aphasia. Our study showed that the patients with AIS had a high rate of in-hospital recurrence, and the recurrence mainly occurred in the first five days of the hospital stay. In-hospital recurrence resulted in a prolonged hospital stay and a higher in-hospital mortality rate.

ADMA as a possible marker of endothelial damage. A study in young asymptomatic patients with cerebral small vessel disease

Sporadic small vessel disease (SVD) has high prevalence in aging population and stroke patients, but also in younger asymptomatic subjects. In this last group it can represents a prelude to stroke and cognitive impairment. Still nowadays, its pathogenesis is unclear. 35 consecutive patients with SVD at brain MRI and 35 age- and sex-matched controls, between January 2016 and February 2018, underwent an extended screening for thrombophilia, autoimmunity and evaluated levels of blood markers of inflammation and endothelial activation. Asymmetric DiMethyl Arginine (ADMA) levels proved higher in patients (70.44 ± 36.25 ng/ml vs. 46.58 ± 30.67 ng/ml; p = 0.004), also after controlling for confounding factors. ADMA levels showed positive correlation with Fazekas score (r = 0.304; p = 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed a moderate accuracy in discriminating patients and controls (AUC = 0.70; CI 0.57–0.82; p = 0.004): a cut-off of 46 ng/ml is associated with 80% sensitivity, but limited (54%) specificity. Higher ADMA levels characterize selected subjects with sporadic SVD, asymptomatic for vascular diseases and without latent inflammatory conditions or coagulopathy. This reinforces the hypothesis of the key role of endothelial dysfunction in SVD. Further studies should explore the cause-effect relationship between ADMA pathway and SVD.

Anthology of stroke epidemiology in the 20th and 21st centuries: Assessing the past, the present, and envisioning the future

This narrative overview of stroke epidemiology shows dramatic changes in stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability, and the understanding of risk factors and primary stroke prevention strategies over the last few decades. Likely future directions of stroke epidemiology and prevention are outlined.

Transient ischemic attack: Incidence and early risk of stroke in northern Portugal from 1998–2000 to 2009–2011

Objective

A decline in TIA incidence would be expected mirroring stroke trends, but patient's awareness of symptoms/signs, improved diagnostic procedures and changes in severity of vascular disease may raise TIA incidence. We aimed to estimate changes in TIA incidence and 30-day stroke risk in Portugal.

Methods

Data from two prospective community-based registers of first-ever TIA in 104,700 (1998–2000) and 118,232 (2009–2011) persons were collected using comprehensive case ascertainment methods. Incidence and stroke risk from TIA onset were compared using different inception cohorts. ABCD2 was used to stratified stroke risk.

Results

Overall, 141 patients were included in 1998–2000 and 174 in 2009–2011. Crude annual incidence rate increased from 67 to 74/100,000 (IRR=1.12; 95% CI, 0.90–1.40), particularly in men under 65 years (IRR=1.79; 95% CI, 1.06–3.04). Male/female IRR increased from 1.20 (0.86–1.68) in 1998–2000 to 1.77 (1.31–2.39) in 2009–2011, after adjustment for age. Better control of vascular risk factors (VRFs) accounted for lower ABCD2 scores in 2009–2011. The 30-day stroke risk was similar in study periods (18.4% vs. 16.7%, p > 0.7), decreasing from 16.1% to 8.2% ( p < 0.042) excluding patients reporting TIA after stroke occurrence and from 12.2% to 4.0% ( p < 0.011) further excluding patients who had stroke in ambulance/hospital. ABCD2 discriminated stroke risk only in 1998–2000; stroke severity decreased while posterior circulation stroke was more common in 2009–2011.

Conclusion

Despite a stable TIA incidence across periods, the risk increased in men compared to women. Better control of VRF accounted for lower ABCD2 scores and secondary prevention reduced stroke risk. Men under 65 years emerge as a preferential target for primary and secondary prevention.

Predicting Long-Term Cardiovascular Events after Transient Ischemic Attacks: Carotid Artery Intima-Media Thickness or ABCD2 Score or Both?

Background

Patients who experienced transient ischemic attack (TIA) are at high-risk for cardiovascular events. This study aims to evaluate diagnostic value of carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) and ABCD2 score for predicting cardiovascular events in long-term follow-up after TIA. We prospectively included sixty patients with TIA who admitted to hospital from March 2016 to August 2016.

Methods

Duplex ultrasonography of internal carotid arteries was performed. ABCD2 scores were evaluated for each patient. At a median follow-up of 20 months, patients were asked about new cardiovascular events. We used IBM SPSS software version 22.0 with Chi-squared, t-test, ANOVA, receiver operating characteristic, and area under the curve (AUC) analysis for our work.

Results

Sensitivity and negative predictive value of the combined score (ABCD2+CIMT) was the highest (96.3% and 90.9%, respectively), and the specificity and positive predictive value of the CIMT were the highest (57.5% and 63.1%, respectively) to predict cardiovascular events in long-term.

Conclusion

Compared to ABCD2 score, CIMT proved to be more accurate to predict cardiovascular events in long-term follow-ups (AUC = 0.736 vs. AUC = 0.640). However, adding CIMT value to ABCD2 score was even better (AUC = 0.750). Therefore, CIMT measurement in the ABCD2 score after TIA enables prediction of long-term cardiovascular events.

Secular trends in the incidence, risk factors, and prognosis of transient ischemic attack in Japan: The Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to investigate secular trends in the incidence, risk factors, and prognosis of transient ischemic attack (TIA) in a general Japanese population.

METHODS

Two cohorts consisting of stroke-free Japanese individuals aged ≥40 years in 1961 (n = 1621) and 1988 (n = 2646) were followed up for 24 years. The associations of potential risk factors with the development of TIA were estimated by a Cox proportional hazards model. The influence of TIA on the risk of total stroke over the subsequent 10 years was compared between the sub-cohorts of subjects with TIA and age- and sex-matched control subjects from each cohort.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 28 subjects in the 1961 cohort and 34 in the 1988 cohort experienced TIA. The age-standardized incidence of TIA was significantly lower in the 1988 cohort than the 1961 cohort (0.66 vs. 1.01 per 1000 person-years, p = 0.02). While elevated systolic blood pressure was significantly associated with the risk of TIA in both cohorts, glucose intolerance and higher serum cholesterol levels were associated with TIA risk only in the 1988 cohort. The subjects experiencing TIA had approximately 7-8-fold higher risks for the 10-year incidence of total and ischemic strokes compared with the corresponding control subjects without TIA both in the 1961 and 1988 sub-cohorts, and the relative risks were not significantly different between sub-cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the incidence of TIA decreased during the past half century, probably due to the spread of antihypertensive treatments in the general Japanese population.

When has service provision for transient ischaemic attack improved enough? A discrete event simulation economic modelling study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of transient ischaemic attack (TIA) service modification in two hospitals on costs and clinical outcomes.

DESIGN

Discrete event simulation model using data from routine electronic health records from 2011.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with suspected TIA were followed from symptom onset to presentation, referral to specialist clinics, treatment and subsequent stroke.

INTERVENTIONS

Included existing versus previous (less same day clinics) and hypothetical service reconfiguration (7-day service with less availability of clinics per day).

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome of the model was the prevalence of major stroke after TIA. Secondary outcomes included service costs (including those of treating subsequent stroke) and time to treatment and attainment of national targets for service provision (proportion of high-risk patients (according to ABCD² score) seen within 24 hours).

RESULTS

The estimated costs of previous service provision for 490 patients (aged 74±12 years, 48.9% female and 23.6% high risk) per year at each site were £340 000 and £368 000, respectively. This resulted in 31% of high-risk patients seen within 24 hours of referral (47/150) with a median time from referral to clinic attendance/treatment of 1.15 days (IQR 0.93-2.88). The costs associated with the existing and hypothetical services decreased by £5000 at one site and increased £21 000 at the other site. Target attainment was improved to 79% (118/150). However, the median time to clinic attendance was only reduced to 0.85 days (IQR 0.17-0.99) and thus no appreciable impact on the modelled incidence of major stroke was observed (10.7 per year, 99% CI 10.5 to 10.9 (previous service) vs 10.6 per year, 99% CI 10.4 to 10.8 (existing service)).

CONCLUSIONS

Reconfiguration of services for TIA is effective at increasing target attainment, but in services which are already working efficiently (treating patients within 1-2 days), it has little estimated impact on clinical outcomes and increased investment may not be worthwhile.

Barriers and facilitators to provide quality TIA care in the Veterans Healthcare Administration

Objective:

To identify key barriers and facilitators to the delivery of guideline-based care of patients with TIA in the national Veterans Health Administration (VHA).

Methods:

We conducted a cross-sectional, observational study of 70 audiotaped interviews of multidisciplinary clinical staff involved in TIA care at 14 VHA hospitals. We de-identified and analyzed all transcribed interviews. We identified emergent themes and patterns of barriers to providing TIA care and of facilitators applied to overcome these barriers.

Results:

Identified barriers to providing timely acute and follow-up TIA care included difficulties accessing brain imaging, a constantly rotating pool of housestaff, lack of care coordination, resource constraints, and inadequate staff education. Key informants revealed that both stroke nurse coordinators and system-level factors facilitated the provision of TIA care. Few facilities had specific TIA protocols. However, stroke nurse coordinators often expanded upon their role to include TIA. They facilitated TIA care by (1) coordinating patient care across services, communicating across service lines, and educating clinical staff about facility policies and evidence-based practices; (2) tracking individual patients from emergency departments to inpatient settings and to discharge for timely follow-up care; (3) providing and referring TIA patients to risk factor management programs; and (4) performing regular audit and feedback of quality performance data. System-level facilitators included clinical service leadership engagement and use of electronic tools for continuous care across services.

Conclusions:

The local organization within a health care facility may be targeted to cultivate internal facilitators and a systemic infrastructure to provide evidence-based TIA care.

Prevalence, Incidence, Prognosis, Early Stroke Risk, and Stroke-Related Prognostic Factors of Definite or Probable Transient Ischemic Attacks in China, 2013

The epidemiological characteristics of transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) in China are unclear. In 2013, we conducted a nationally representative, door-to-door epidemiological survey on TIA in China using a complex, multistage, probability sampling design. Results showed that the weighted prevalence of TIA in China was 103.3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 83.9–127.2] per 100,000 in the population, 92.4 (75.0–113.8) per 100,000 among men, and 114.7 (87.2–151.0) per 100,000 among women. The weighted incidence of TIA was 23.9 (17.8–32.0) per 100,000 in the population, 21.3 (14.3–31.5) per 100,000 among men, and 26.6 (17.0–41.7) per 100,000 among women. No difference in average prognosis was found between TIA and stroke in the population. Weighted risk of stroke among TIA patients was 9.7% (6.5–14.3%), 11.1% (7.5–16.1%), and 12.3% (8.4–17.7%) at 2, 30, and 90 days, respectively. The risk of stroke was higher among male patients with a history of TIA than among female patients with a history of TIA (OR: 2.469; 95% CI: 1.172–5.201; P = 0.018), and higher among TIA patients with hypertension than among TIA patients without hypertension (OR: 2.671; 1.547–4.613; P < 0.001). It can be concluded that there are an estimated 1.35 million TIA patients nationwide, with 0.31 million new cases of TIA annually in China. TIA patients were not better managed prior to a stroke event. Early risk of stroke among TIA patients is high. Sex and hypertension may be stroke-associated prognostic factors among TIA patients. TIA clinics and surveillance should be integrated into the national health-care system.

Epidemiology of Transient Ischemic Attacks Using Time- or Tissue-Based Definitions

Background and Purpose—

Transient ischemic attack (TIA) epidemiology may have changed in recent years as a consequence of improved identification and treatment of vascular risk factors. Our aim was to provide updated information about TIA epidemiology in Italy.

Methods—

Cases of first-ever TIA were ascertained from January 1, 2011, until December 31, 2012, in a population-based prospective registry. All residents in the L’Aquila district with an incident TIA were included and followed up to 2 years after the event. Outcome events were recurrent TIA, nonfatal and fatal stroke, nonfatal and fatal myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality.

Results—

A total of 210 patients with a TIA according to the traditional time-based definition were included (51.4% women); 151 patients (71.9%) with transient symptoms and negative brain neuroimaging were broadly considered as tissue-based TIA, 29 patients (13.8%) had transient symptoms and evidence of a congruous acute ischemic lesion, and 30 patients (14.3%) had an acute neurovascular syndrome. The crude annual incidence rate for traditional time-based TIA was 35.2 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval, 30.6–40.3) and 28.6 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval, 24.1–33.5) when standardized to the 2011 European population. The incidence peaked in subjects aged ≥85 years, in both sexes. At 2 years, outcome events occurred in 50 patients (23.8%) including 15 patients (7.1%) with nonfatal or fatal strokes.

Conclusions—

Our population-based study found a low annual TIA incidence rate and a fair TIA prognosis confirming the effectiveness of preventive strategies for cardiovascular diseases. We also proved the nonfitting applicability of the tissue-based definition in our district.

Magnetic resonance imaging detection of multiple ischemic injury produced in an adult rat model of minor stroke followed by mild transient cerebral ischemia

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether cumulative brain damage produced adjacent to a minor stroke that is followed by a mild transient ischemia is detectable with MRI and histology, and whether acute or chronic recovery between insults influences this damage.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A minor photothrombotic (PT) stroke was followed acutely (1-2 days) or chronically (7 days) by a mild transient middle cerebral artery occlusion (tMCAO). MRI was performed after each insult, followed by final histology.

RESULTS

The initial PT produced small hyperintense T₂ and DW infarct lesions and peri-lesion regions of scattered necrosis and modestly increased T₂. Following tMCAO, in a slice and a region adjacent to the PT, a region of T₂ augmentation was observed when recovery between insults was acute but not chronic. Within the PT slice, a modest region of exacerbated T₂ change proximate to the PT was also observed in the chronic group. Corresponding histological changes within regions of augmented T₂ included increased vacuolation and cell death.

CONCLUSION

Within regions adjacent to an experimental minor stroke, a recurrence of a mild transient cerebral ischemia augmented T₂ above increases produced by tMCAO alone, reflecting increased damage in this region. Exacerbation appeared broader with acute versus chronic recovery between insults.

Epidemiology of stroke in Europe and trends for the 21st century

Despite major improvements in primary prevention and acute treatment over the last decades, stroke is still a devastating disease. At the beginning of the 21st century, the age-standardized incidence of stroke in Europe ranged from 95 to 290/100,000 per year, with one-month case-fatality rates ranging from 13 to 35%. Approximately 1.1 million inhabitants of Europe suffered a stroke each year, and ischemic stroke accounted for approximately 80% of cases. Although global stroke incidence is declining, rates observed in young adults are on the rise, thus suggesting a need for strategies to improve prevention. In addition, because of the ageing population, the absolute number of stroke is expected to dramatically increase in coming years: by 2025, 1.5 million European people will suffer a stroke each year. Beyond vital prognosis, stroke patients are also at increased risk of poor outcome within the first year of the event including re-hospitalisation (33%), recurrent event (7 to 13%), dementia (7 to 23%) mild cognitive disorder (35 to 47%), depression (30 to 50%), and fatigue (35% to 92%), all of them contributing to affect health related quality of life. Given these observations, an urgent development of acute care provision, as well as resources for post-stroke therapeutic strategies, is needed.

Incidence of Transient Ischemic Attack in Auckland, New Zealand, in 2011 to 2012

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There have been few recent population-based studies reporting the incidence (first ever) and attack rates (incident and recurrent) of transient ischemic attack (TIA).

METHODS

The fourth Auckland Regional Community Stroke study (ARCOS IV) used multiple overlapping case ascertainment methods to identify all hospitalized and nonhospitalized cases of TIA that occurred in people ≥16 years of age usually resident in Auckland (population ≥16 years of age is 1.12 million), during the 12 months from March 1, 2011. All first-ever and recurrent new TIAs (any new TIA 28 days after the index event) during the study period were recorded.

RESULTS

There were 785 people with TIA (402 [51.2%] women, mean [SD] age 71.5 [13.8] years); 614 (78%) of European origin, 84 (11%) Māori/Pacific, and 75 (10%) Asian/Other. The annual incidence of TIA was 40 (95% confidence interval, 36-43), and attack rate was 63 (95% confidence interval, 59-68), per 100 000 people, age standardized to the World Health Organization world population. Approximately two thirds of people were known to be hypertensive or were being treated with blood pressure-lowering agents, half were taking antiplatelet agents and just under half were taking lipid-lowering therapy before the index TIA. Two hundred ten (27%) people were known to have atrial fibrillation at the time of the TIA, of whom only 61 (29%) were taking anticoagulant therapy, suggesting a failure to identify or treat atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS

This study describes the burden of TIA in an era of aggressive primary and secondary vascular risk factor management. Education programs for medical practitioners and patients around the identification and management of atrial fibrillation are required.

Cerebrovascular disease

With 16.9 million people who suffered a first-ever stroke in 2010 worldwide, stroke is a very common vascular disease. Epidemiologic studies have played an essential role in assessing this burden and in detecting the risk factors for stroke. Primary prevention of these risk factors, primarily hypertension, smoking, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation, has reduced the incidence in high-income countries. However, stroke remains a major cause of death and disability, and therefore research should be continued. Subarachnoid hemorrhages are less prevalent than strokes but have an even higher risk of death. Similar to stroke, epidemiologic studies identified smoking and hypertension as its most important risk factors, together with excessive alcohol intake. Although rare, arterial dissections, CADASIL, arteriovenous malformations, venous sinus thrombosis, moyamoya disease, and vasculitis can lead to serious symptoms. The burden and risk factors of those rare diseases are more challenging to assess. Whenever possible, they should be recognized in a timely manner for their increased risk of stroke, but most often they are diagnosed only at the time of stroke. Some cerebrovascular abnormalities do not result in immediate symptoms. This subclinical cerebrovascular disease includes silent infarcts, white-matter lesions, and microbleeds, and is incidentally found by neuroimaging. These lesions are not innocent, as several epidemiologic studies have associated subclinical cerebrovascular disease with an increased risk of stroke, cognitive decline, dementia, and death.

Epidemiology of stroke and transient ischemic attacks: Current knowledge and perspectives

Because of the growing size and aging of the world's population, the global burden of stroke is increasing dramatically. Current epidemiological data indicate that 16.9 million people suffer a stroke each year, which represents a global incidence of 258/100,000/year, with marked differences between high- and low-income countries, and an age-adjusted incidence 1.5 times higher in men than in women. Although primary prevention has contributed to a decrease in stroke incidence in high-income countries, the so-called 'epidemiological transition' has led to an increase in incidence in middle-to-low-income countries as well. In addition, the incidence of ischemic stroke in young adults is on the rise, suggesting a need for specific preventative interventions in that age group. The number of stroke survivors almost doubled between 1990 and 2010, and has now reached 33 million people. According to epidemiological projections, this number will rise to 77 million by 2030. In France, the number of hospitalizations for an acute cerebrovascular event was about 138,000 in 2009, accounting for 3% of the total national health expenditure. Outcomes after stroke are frequently impaired by complications, including motor handicaps, dementia, depression, fatigue, and a high risk of early rehospitalization and institutionalization, with adverse consequences in terms of socioeconomic costs. In addition, there are 5.9 million stroke-related deaths worldwide every year. Finally, although many analytical epidemiological studies have considerably increased our knowledge of risk factors for stroke, the recent INTERSTROKE study provided evidence that 10 risk factors alone accounted for 88% of all strokes. Many of these risk factors are modifiable, which suggests that efforts should be made to promote interventions that aim to reduce the risk of stroke. A new 'mass approach' aiming to reduce the level of stroke risk factors in all people in a region, regardless of any given individual's level of risk, is currently still being developed. This interesting and innovative way to spread stroke awareness is based on the use of an internationally validated mobile-phone application that can calculate the risk of stroke for any given individual, and also contains a section to educate people on stroke warning symptoms and signs.

Are Early Seizures Predictive of Epilepsy after a Stroke? Results of a Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

In addition to determining the cumulative incidence and risk factors for early seizures (ES), late seizures (LS) and post stroke epilepsy (PSE), we aimed at checking if ES represented a risk factor for epilepsy and if early treatment after ES prevented the occurrence of subsequent seizures.

METHODS

This study was part of a 2-year prospective community-based registry of all cerebrovascular events in the district of Udine (153,312 inhabitants), North-Eastern Italy, between April 1, 2007 and March 31, 2009. People with transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) were excluded from this study.

RESULTS

In all, 782 cases of stroke (79.28% ischemic, 14.83% hemorrhagic, 3.20% subarachnoid hemorrhage and 2.69% undetermined) were identified. The incidence of ES, LS and PSE was 5.10, 3.14 and 2.22%, respectively. Intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, stroke of undetermined origin and hyponatremia, represented risk factors for ES (p < 0.05). Among ischemic strokes, ES risk factors were hyponatremia (p = 0.024) and hemorrhagic transformation (p = 0.046). LS risk factors were younger age (p = 0.004) and cortical location of stroke (p = 0.004). Within ischemic strokes, LS risk factors were younger age (p = 0.020) and cortical location (p < 0.0001). Within intracerebral hemorrhages, the only risk factor for LS was the presence of a previous ES (p = 0.017). PSE risk factors were the same as for LS.

CONCLUSIONS

All acute conditions related to the occurrence of stroke are implicated in the pathogenesis of ES, which becomes a risk factor for LS only in the setting of intracerebral hemorrhages. Therefore, early antiepileptic treatment is needed only in this situation.

ABCD2 score and secondary stroke prevention: meta-analysis and effect per 1,000 patients triaged

OBJECTIVE

Patients with TIA have high risk of recurrent stroke and require rapid assessment and treatment. The ABCD2 clinical risk prediction score is recommended for patient triage by stroke risk, but its ability to stratify by known risk factors and effect on clinic workload are unknown.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of all studies published between January 2005 and September 2014 that reported proportions of true TIA/minor stroke or mimics, risk factors, and recurrent stroke rates, dichotomized to ABCD2 score </≥4. We calculated the effect per 1,000 patients triaged on stroke prevention services.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine studies, 13,766 TIA patients (range 69-1,679), were relevant: 48% calculated the ABCD2 score retrospectively; few reported on the ABCD2 score's ability to identify TIA mimics or use by nonspecialists. Meta-analysis showed that ABCD2 ≥4 was sensitive (86.7%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 81.4%-90.7%) but not specific (35.4%, 95% CI 33.3%-37.6%) for recurrent stroke within 7 days. Additionally, 20% of patients with ABCD2 <4 had >50% carotid stenosis or atrial fibrillation (AF); 35%-41% of TIA mimics, and 66% of true TIAs, had ABCD2 score ≥4. Among 1,000 patients attending stroke prevention services, including the 45% with mimics, 52% of patients would have an ABCD2 score ≥4.

CONCLUSION

The ABCD2 score does not reliably discriminate those at low and high risk of early recurrent stroke, identify patients with carotid stenosis or AF needing urgent intervention, or streamline clinic workload. Stroke prevention services need adequate capacity for prompt specialist clinical assessment of all suspected TIA patients for correct patient management.

In-hospital stroke recurrence and stroke after transient ischemic attack: frequency and risk factors

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We aimed to assess the risk of recurrent ischemic events during hospitalization for stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) with optimal current management and to identify associated risk factors.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients treated for acute ischemic stroke or TIA in 3 stroke units between 2010 and 2013. Recurrent stroke was defined as new persisting (≥24 hours) neurological deficit occurring >24 hours after the index event and not attributable to other causes of neurological deterioration. Cox proportional hazard regression identified risk factors associated with recurrent stroke.

RESULTS

The study included 5106 patients. During a median length of stay of 5 days (interquartile range, 4-8), stroke recurrence (or stroke after TIA) occurred in 40 patients (0.8%) and was independently associated with history of TIA, symptomatic carotid stenosis (≥70%), or other determined etiology. Patients with recurrent stroke and other determined etiology had cervical arterial dissection (n=2), primary angiitis of the central nervous system (n=1), giant cell arteritis (n=1), and lung cancer with nonbacterial thrombotic endocarditis (n=1). In patients with initial TIA or minor stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale ≤5) recurrence was associated additionally with pneumonia after the inciting ischemic event but before stroke recurrence. Patients with initial stroke and aphasia had a lower stroke recurrence rate and there were no recurrences in patients with lacunar stroke. Recurrence was associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality (17.5% versus 3.1%; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital stroke recurrence was low with optimal current management. Patients with a history of TIA, severe symptomatic carotid stenosis, or uncommon causes of stroke were at higher risk. Pneumonia was associated with a higher risk of stroke recurrence in patients with initial TIA or minor stroke but not in the overall population studied. Aphasia may bias the detection rate by concealing new neurological symptoms.

An assessment of the cost-effectiveness of magnetic resonance, including diffusion-weighted imaging, in patients with transient ischaemic attack and minor stroke: a systematic review, meta-analysis and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke need rapid treatment of risk factors to prevent recurrent stroke. ABCD2 score or magnetic resonance diffusion-weighted brain imaging (MR DWI) may help assessment and treatment.

OBJECTIVES

Is MR with DWI cost-effective in stroke prevention compared with computed tomography (CT) brain scanning in all patients, in specific subgroups or as 'one-stop' brain-carotid imaging? What is the current UK availability of services for stroke prevention?

DATA SOURCES

Published literature; stroke registries, audit and randomised clinical trials; national databases; survey of UK clinical and imaging services for stroke; expert opinion.

REVIEW METHODS

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of published/unpublished data. Decision-analytic model of stroke prevention including on a 20-year time horizon including nine representative imaging scenarios.

RESULTS

The pooled recurrent stroke rate after TIA (53 studies, 30,558 patients) is 5.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.9% to 5.9%] by 7 days, and 6.7% (5.2% to 8.7%) at 90 days. ABCD2 score does not identify patients with key stroke causes or identify mimics: 66% of specialist-diagnosed true TIAs and 35-41% of mimics had an ABCD2 score of ≥ 4; 20% of true TIAs with ABCD2 score of < 4 had key risk factors. MR DWI (45 studies, 9078 patients) showed an acute ischaemic lesion in 34.3% (95% CI 30.5% to 38.4%) of TIA, 69% of minor stroke patients, i.e. two-thirds of TIA patients are DWI negative. TIA mimics (16 studies, 14,542 patients) make up 40-45% of patients attending clinics. UK survey (45% response) showed most secondary prevention started prior to clinic, 85% of primary brain imaging was same-day CT; 51-54% of patients had MR, mostly additional to CT, on average 1 week later; 55% omitted blood-sensitive MR sequences. Compared with 'CT scan all patients' MR was more expensive and no more cost-effective, except for patients presenting at > 1 week after symptoms to diagnose haemorrhage; strategies that triaged patients with low ABCD2 scores for slow investigation or treated DWI-negative patients as non-TIA/minor stroke prevented fewer strokes and increased costs. 'One-stop' CT/MR angiographic-plus-brain imaging was not cost-effective.

LIMITATIONS

Data on sensitivity/specificity of MR in TIA/minor stroke, stroke costs, prognosis of TIA mimics and accuracy of ABCD2 score by non-specialists are sparse or absent; all analysis had substantial heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

Magnetic resonance with DWI is not cost-effective for secondary stroke prevention. MR was most helpful in patients presenting at > 1 week after symptoms if blood-sensitive sequences were used. ABCD2 score is unlikely to facilitate patient triage by non-stroke specialists. Rapid specialist assessment, CT brain scanning and identification of serious underlying stroke causes is the most cost-effective stroke prevention strategy.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Transient ischemic attacks: predictability of future ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack events

The short-term risk of an ischemic stroke after a transient ischemic attack (TIA) is estimated to be approximately 3%–10% at 2 days, 5% at 7 days, and 9%–17% at 90 days, depending on active or passive ascertainment of ischemic stroke. Various risk prediction scores are available to identify high-risk patients. We present here a pragmatic review of the literature discussing the main scoring systems. We also provide the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for each scoring system. Our review shows that scoring systems including brain imaging and vascular imaging are better at risk prediction than scores that do not include this information.