Good survival rates in systemic lupus erythematosus in southern Sweden, while the mortality rate remains increased compared with the population

Biomarkers for systemic lupus erythematosus: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

In recent years, newly discovered potential biomarkers have great research potential in the diagnosis, disease activity prediction, and treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

OBJECTIVE

In this study, a scoping review of potential biomarkers for SLE over several years has identified the extent to which studies on biomarkers for SLE have been conducted, the specificity, sensitivity, and diagnostic value of potential biomarkers of SLE, the research potential of these biomarkers in disease diagnosis, and activity detection is discussed.

METHODS

In PubMed and Google Scholar databases, "SLE," "biomarkers," "predictor," "autoimmune diseases," "lupus nephritis," "neuropsychiatric SLE," "diagnosis," "monitoring," and "disease activity" were used as keywords to systematically search for SLE molecular biomarkers published from 2020 to 2024. Analyze and summarize the literature that can guide the article.

CONCLUSIONS

Recent findings suggest that some potential biomarkers may have clinical application prospects. However, to date, many of these biomarkers have not been subjected to repeated clinical validation. And no single biomarker has sufficient sensitivity and specificity for SLE. It is not scientific to choose only one or several biomarkers to judge the complex disease of SLE. It may be a good direction to carry out a meta-analysis of various biomarkers to find SLE biomarkers suitable for clinical use, or to evaluate SLE by combining multiple biomarkers through mathematical models. At the same time, advanced computational methods are needed to analyze large data sets and discover new biomarkers, and strive to find biomarkers that are sensitive and specific enough to SLE and can be used in clinical practice, rather than only staying in experimental research and data analysis.

Effect of Spermidine on Endothelial Function in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Mice

Endothelial dysfunction is common in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE), even in the absence of cardiovascular disease. Evidence suggests that impaired mitophagy contributes to SLE. Mitochondrial dysfunction is also associated with impaired endothelial function. Spermidine, a natural polyamine, stimulates mitophagy by the PINK1-parkin pathway and counters age-associated endothelial dysfunction. However, the effect of spermidine on mitophagy and vascular function in SLE has not been explored. To address this gap, 9-week-old female lupus-prone (MRL/lpr) and healthy control (MRL/MpJ) mice were randomly assigned to spermidine treatment (lpr_Spermidine and MpJ_Spermidine) for 8 weeks or as control (lpr_Control and MpJ_Control). lpr_Control mice exhibited impaired endothelial function (e.g., decreased relaxation to acetylcholine), increased markers of inflammation, and lower protein content of parkin, a mitophagy marker, in the thoracic aorta. Spermidine treatment prevented endothelial dysfunction in MRL-lpr mice. Furthermore, aortas from lpr_Spermidine mice had lower levels of inflammatory markers and higher levels of parkin. Lupus phenotypes were not affected by spermidine. Collectively, these results demonstrate the beneficial effects of spermidine treatment on endothelial function, inflammation, and mitophagy in SLE mice. These results support future studies of the beneficial effects of spermidine on endothelial dysfunction and cardiovascular disease risk in SLE.

Mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: A meta-analysis of overall and cause-specific effects

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to assess the overall and cause-specific standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) among patients diagnosed with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

An exhaustive systematic review was undertaken, encompassing studies that scrutinized SMRs, both overall and for specific causes, in patients diagnosed with SLE compared to the general populace. The databases of PUBMED, EMBASE, and Cochrane were meticulously searched to collate relevant literature. Following this comprehensive search, a meta-analysis was executed to methodically assess all-cause, sex-specific, ethnicity-specific, and cause-specific SMRs in individuals with SLE.

RESULTS

The inclusion criteria were met by 29 studies encompassing 72,342 patients with SLE and documenting 7352 deaths. The meta-analysis disclosed a pronounced 2.87-fold elevation in the SMR for all-cause mortality in SLE patients relative to the general population (SMR, 2.866; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.490-3.242; p < .001). Region-specific assessments showed variable all-cause SMRs, with Europe reporting 2.607 (95% CI, 1.939-3.275; p < .001), Asia revealing 3.043 (95% CI, 2.082-4.004; p < .001), and particularly high SMRs noted in North America and Oceania. Gender-focused analyses presented a pooled SMR of 3.261 (95% CI, 2.674-3.848; p < .001) for females, and 2.747 (95% CI, 2.190-3.304; p < .001) for males. Evaluations specific to cause of death illustrated notably elevated SMRs for renal disease (SMR, 4.486; 95% CI, 3.024-5.948; p < .001), infections (SMR, 4.946; 95% CI, 4.253-5.639; p < .001), cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (SMR, 2.931; 95% CI, 1.802-4.061; p < .001), cerebrovascular accidents (CVA) (SMR, 1.588; 95% CI, 0.647-2.528; p = .001), and cancer (SMR, 1.698; 95% CI, 0.871-2.525; p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis underscores a significant 2.87-fold elevation in the SMR among patients with SLE compared to the general population, transcending differences in sex or geographical regions. Moreover, an appreciable increase in mortality due to specific causes, including renal disease, infection, CVD, CVA, malignancy, and neuropsychiatric SLE, accentuates the imperative for targeted interventions to mitigate these elevated risks in SLE patients.

Persisting mortality gap in systemic lupus erythematosus; a population-based study on juvenile- and adult-onset SLE in Norway 1999-2022

OBJECTIVE

To estimate mortality and survival rates of SLE in a contemporary, population-based setting and assess potential influences by time, sex, ethnicity, classification criteria and age at diagnosis.

METHODS

We assessed mortality and survival in the Nor-SLE cohort, which includes all chart review-confirmed SLE cases resident in Southeast Norway (population 2.9 million) 1999-2017. Study end was at death, emigration or 1 October 2022. We defined juvenile SLE by age <16 years at diagnosis. For standardized mortality rate (SMR) estimates, we applied 15 population controls per case, all matched for age, sex, residency and ethnicity. We analysed survival by Kaplan-Meier and risk factors by Cox regression.

RESULTS

The Nor-SLE cohort included 1558 SLE cases, of whom 749 were incident and met the 2019 EULAR and ACR (2019-EA) classification criteria. SMR was increased to 1.8 (95% CI 1.6-2.2) in incident adult-onset SLE but did not differ between females and males. Survival rates at 5, 10, 15 and 20 years were lower in incident adult-onset SLE than in matched controls. In multivariable analysis, LN associated with decreased survival, while sex did not. Separate, long-term mortality analyses in the total Nor-SLE cohort showed that SMR peaked at 7.2 (95% CI 3.3-14) in juvenile-onset SLE (n = 93) and fell gradually by increasing age at SLE diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

This study shows persistence of a mortality gap between adult-onset SLE and controls at population level and provides indications of worryingly high mortality in juvenile-onset SLE.

Systemic lupus erythematosus: Adding another piece to the connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease puzzle

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Higher mortality risk from gynaecological neoplasms and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: an observational study from the Spanish National Registry

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of the different types of neoplasms and lineages on mortality of patients with SLE.

METHODS

Retrospective and observational comparison of the neoplasm-related deaths in patients with SLE and the general Spanish population reported in the Spanish Hospital Discharge Database. To determine the impact of SLE on the risk of dying from each neoplasm lineage, a binary logistic regression considering age, female sex, tobacco and alcohol consumption, was performed.

RESULTS

During 2016-2019, 139 531 in-hospital deaths from neoplasms were certified in Spain (91 in patients with SLE). Patients with SLE presented a lower mortality rate from solid organ neoplasms, (80.2% vs 91.1%, OR 0.393), linked to their lower risk of colorectal carcinoma (1.1% vs 10.8%, OR 0.110). By contrast, gynaecological neoplasms presented a higher risk (8.8% vs 3%, OR 3.039) in the deceased patients with SLE, associated with the higher frequency of vulvar neoplasms (2% vs 0.2%, OR 14.767) and cervical carcinomas (3.3% vs 0.5%, OR 3.809). Haematological neoplasm-related deaths were also more prevalent in patients with SLE (19.8% vs 8.9%, OR 2.546), mostly attributable to the higher proportion of deaths due to non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (11% vs 2.9%, OR 4.060) of B cell lineage (9.9% vs 2.5%, OR 4.133).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with SLE present a higher risk of death from vulvar neoplasms, cervical carcinomas and B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in comparison with the general Spanish population. In addition to developing strategies that might help to attenuate their occurrence and impact, such as decreasing the immunosuppressive burden, specific early detection programmes for these conditions should be investigated and considered carefully.

Glucocorticoid treatment in SLE is associated with infections, comorbidities and mortality-a national cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Patients with SLE have an increased risk of comorbidities and impaired survival. We aimed to assess whether various thresholds of oral CS (OCS) can predict development of infections, comorbidities, malignancies and survival in SLE using data from national health registries in Sweden.

METHODS

All incident SLE cases, age >18 years, in Sweden (n = 5309) between 2005 and 2020 and matched population controls (n = 26 545) were included and followed until 2020, a total of 257 942 patient years. Data from national registers were retrieved including information from the National Prescribed Drug Register. Risk factors were analysed using time-dependent Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Compared with no OCS, >0 to <5.0 mg/day, 5.0-7.5 mg/day as well as >7.5 mg/day OCS predicted development of infections (pneumonia, influenza, herpes zoster and urinary tract infection), osteoporosis, osteonecrosis, gastroduodenal ulcers, cataracts, hypertension and mortality (all P < 0.05). OCS >0 to <5.0 mg/day was associated with lower hazard ratios for these comorbidities than higher doses of OCS. Fifteen years after diagnosis, 48% of patients were taking OCS at a median dose of 5.7 mg/day. A small reduction of OCS treatment 5 years after diagnosis in patients diagnosed with SLE 2006-10 compared with 2011-15 was observed, 49% vs 46% respectively (P = 0.039).

CONCLUSION

Results highlight the potential harm associated with even low OCS dose treatment in SLE and the need to judiciously use OCS at the lowest possible dose to maximize efficacy and minimize harm.

Assessment of disease activity and damage in SLE: Are we there yet?

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus is a systemic autoimmune disease characterized by a great heterogenicity in course and clinical manifestations. Although prognosis improved in the last decades of the 20th century, mortality remains higher than in the general population and uncontrolled disease activity and therapy-related adverse effects have been identified as major contributors to damage accrual and poor outcomes. Assessment of disease activity and damage in SLE represents a great challenge even to the expert rheumatologist. Global disease activity indices are tools developed to assess activity across multiple organ systems. Several disease activity indices have been developed over the years, each with its own strengths and weaknesses, and knowing them is essential for understanding research studies, such as clinical trials, in which they are used. Organ-specific activity indices have been developed concurrently to represent organ involvement such as glomerulonephritis, cutaneous and musculoskeletal lupus manifestations. Regarding damage, the SLICC/ACR damage index has proven to be an effective tool for damage accrual assessment, yet not devoid of drawbacks. This review provides an overview of the most frequently utilized indices developed for the assessment of activity and damage in SLE highlighting their pros and cons when applied to the research and clinical setting.

In-hospital mortality and associated factors in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: analysis over more than 11 years in a reference hospital center

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a disease that affects the immune system, and it can lead to increased morbidity and mortality. The primary causes of mortality for individuals with SLE are disease activity, infections, drug toxicity, and other health conditions. The aim of this study is to estimate the mortality rate of patients with SLE who are hospitalized, describe the causes of death, and identify factors associated with mortality. The study was conducted at a referral hospital from 2009 to 2021, utilizing a nested case-control design. The records of patients with SLE who were hospitalized in the Department of Rheumatology were reviewed. Cases were identified as individuals who died during their hospitalization, while controls were those who were discharged alive during the same period. Elective hospitalizations were not included in the study. The primary causes of death were recorded, and demographic, clinical, laboratory, and immunological variables were analyzed as potential risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality. The study included 105 patients who died while hospitalized and 336 who were discharged alive. The estimated mortality rate was 10.93 deaths per 1000 hospital admissions per year. The leading causes of death were SLE activity (20%), infections (34.2%), or a combination of both (24.8%). Risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality were any infection (OR 2.5, CI 95% 1.2-5.2), nosocomial infections (OR 5.0, CI 95% 1.8-13.7), SLEDAI-2K > 2 (OR 2.0, CI 95% 1.02-3.8), lymphopenia (OR 2.1, CI 95% 1.01-4.6), anemia (OR 2.9, CI 95% 1.4-5.7), and thrombocytopenia (OR 3.3, CI 95% 1.7-6.4). Disease activity and infections, particularly nosocomial infections, are significant causes of mortality in hospitalized patients with SLE. Furthermore, hematological manifestations play a significant role in in-hospital mortality for these patients.

Screening of Potential Circulating Diagnostic Biomarkers and Molecular Mechanisms of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus-Related Myocardial Infarction by Integrative Analysis

Background

The risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is elevated in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and it is of great clinical value to identify potential molecular mechanisms and diagnostic markers of AMI associated with SLE by analyzing public database data and transcriptome sequencing data.

Methods

AMI and SLE-related sequencing datasets GSE62646, GSE60993, GSE50772 and GSE81622 were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and divided into prediction and validation cohorts. To identify the key genes associated with AMI related to SLE, WGCNA and DEGs analysis were performed for the prediction and validation cohorts, respectively. The related signaling pathways were identified by GO/KEGG enrichment analysis. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from patients with AMI were collected for transcriptome sequencing to validate the expression of key genes in patients with AMI. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was applied to screen diagnostic biomarkers. The diagnostic efficacy of biomarkers was validated by ROC analysis, and the CIBERSORTx platform was used to analyze the composition of immune cells in AMI and SLE.

Results

A total of 108 genes closely related to AMI and SLE were identified in the prediction cohort, and GO/KEGG analysis showed significantly enriched signaling pathways. The results of differential analysis in validation cohort were consistent with them. By transcriptional sequencing of PBMCs from peripheral blood of AMI patients, combined with the results of prediction and validation cohort analysis, seven genes were finally screened out. LASSO analysis finally identifies DYSF, LRG1 and CSF3R as diagnostic biomarkers of SLE-related-AMI. CIBERSORTx analysis revealed that the biomarkers were highly correlated with neutrophils.

Conclusion

Neutrophil degranulation and NETs formation play important roles in SLE-related AMI, and DYSF, LRG1 and CSF3R were identified as important diagnostic markers for the development and progression of SLE-related AMI.

Mortality and causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus over the last decade: Data from a large population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To assess mortality rates (MRs), standardized mortality ratios, and causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in a population-based study.

METHODS

We analyzed linked administrative health databases of the Veneto Region (Italy, 4,900,000 residents). SLE was defined by any hospital diagnosis or healthcare copayment exemption for SLE. We analyzed mortality from January 1st, 2012, until December 31st, 2021. MRs per 1000 were stratified by year, sex, and age group. Standardized mortality ratios were derived by comparing MRs of the general regional population. Causes of death were coded using the ICD-10 coding system and they were grouped in: SLE, infectious diseases, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), cancer, or others.

RESULTS

Among 4283 SLE prevalent cases, 603 deaths occurred, corresponding to an average annual standardized MR of 18.6 per 1000 person/year (95% CI 17.0-20.2). Out of 1092 incident SLE patients, 90 died with a peak in the first year after diagnosis (MR 26.5 per 10,000 person/month). Standardized mortality ratio was 2.65 (95% CI 2.13-3.26) overall, and highest among younger patients (<45 years: 5.59, 95% CI 2.05-12.4). Five- and 8-year survival were 91% and 89%, respectively. About half of the deaths had CVD or cancer as underlying cause, whereas infections were less frequently reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the medium-term survival since diagnosis is good, SLE mortality is still higher than that of the general population, especially in youngest patients. Nowadays, CVD seems to be the major cause of deaths in SLE, whereas infections account for a low proportion of deaths, at least in Western countries.

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Mortality in Elderly Patients With Early Breast Cancer

OBJECTIVE

Patients with cancer and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) may have worse outcomes than those without SLE, given their comorbidities. We examined survival in elderly women with breast cancer (BC) and SLE and hypothesized that survival would be decreased compared with women with BC but without SLE.

METHODS

We identified patients with BC and SLE and patients with BC without SLE in the Texas Cancer Registry and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results, linked to Medicare claims. Overall survival (OS) was estimated after matching (age and cancer stage) and in multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for other cancer characteristics, treatment, and comorbidities. Two additional cohorts of women without cancer with and without SLE were also studied.

RESULTS

We identified 494 BC SLE cases and 145,517 BC non-SLE cases, of whom we matched 9,708. Women with SLE were less likely to receive radiation, breast conserving surgery, or endocrine therapy. The 8-year OS estimate for women with early BC (stages 0-II) with and without SLE was 52% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 45%-59%) and 74% (95% CI 73%-75%), respectively. In the Cox multivariable model, BC and SLE had increased risk of death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.65, 95% CI 1.38-1.98). Women with BC and SLE also had increased risk of death compared with women with SLE but without cancer (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.05-1.92) after adjusting for SLE severity. Women with SLE and BC received less glucocorticoids, antimalarials, and immunosuppressants after cancer diagnosis than those without cancer.

CONCLUSION

Systemic lupus is a risk factor for increased mortality in women with early BC.

Impact of severe infections in SLE: an observational study from the Spanish national registry

OBJECTIVE

Infections are a common complication of SLE. Our objective was to evaluate their causes and impact on the survival of patients with SLE.

METHODS

Analysis of the admissions and death causes in patients diagnosed with SLE from the Spanish Hospital Discharge Database and the infection-related deaths of the Spanish population from the National Statistical Institute, between 2016 and 2018.Only infections recorded as the main diagnosis were analysed (severe or clinically relevant infection).

RESULTS

Among 18 430 admissions in patients with SLE, disease activity was the cause of admission in 19% of all patients and infection in 15%. However, infection was the main cause of death (25%) while SLE activity was responsible for only 6% of deaths (p<0.001). Severe infection exceeded SLE as a cause of death for patients dying at ages between 40-59 (23% vs 4%, p<0.001), 60-79 (26% vs 6%, p<0.001) and older than 80 years (25% vs 6%, p<0.001). Infection was the cause of death in 8% of the Spanish population, a significantly lower rate when compared with patients with SLE (p<0.001). Compared with the general population, infections were the highest relative cause of death in patients with SLE, particularly at younger ages: 40% vs 3% for those below 20 years old (p<0.01), 33% vs 4% between 20 and 39 (p<0.001), 23% vs 5% between 40 and 59 (p<0.001), 26% vs 5% between 60 and 79 (p<0.001) and 25% vs 9% for those older than 80 years (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our nationwide study confirms that infections are the leading cause of death in SLE in Spain, with the highest proportion occurring in young patients with lupus compared with the general population of the same age range.

Survival analysis of mortality and development of lupus nephritis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus up to 40 years of follow-up

OBJECTIVES

Patients with SLE have increased mortality compared with age- and sex-matched controls. LN is a severe manifestation of SLE and an important cause of death. We carried out a retrospective survival analysis to investigate factors that could influence the risk of mortality and LN in a large multi-ethnic cohort of patients with SLE.

METHODS

By careful review of medical records, we identified 496 patients with SLE for whom we had complete information regarding the period of observation and occurrence of death and nephritis. Patients were stratified into groups according to sex, ethnicity, age at start of follow-up and time period of diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to investigate differences between the groups.

RESULTS

Of the 496 patients in the study, 91 (18.3%) died, 165 (33.3%) developed LN and 33 (6.7%) developed end-stage renal failure. There was no difference between men and women in either mortality or development of LN. Caucasian patients were significantly less likely to develop LN than other ethnic groups (P < 0.0001) but not less likely to die. Patients diagnosed before the median age of 28 years were significantly more likely to develop LN (P < 0.0001) but significantly less likely to die (P = 0.0039) during the period of observation. There has been a significant improvement in survival in patients diagnosed between 1978 and 1989 and those diagnosed between 2006 and 2011 (P = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

In our cohort, non-Caucasian ethnicity and younger age at diagnosis are associated with the risk of developing LN. There is evidence of improvement in survival of patients with SLE over time.

Trends in Hospital Admissions and Death Causes in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Spanish National Registry

Background: the admission and death causes of SLE patients might have changed over the last years. Methods: Analysis of the Spanish National Hospital Discharge database. All individuals admitted with SLE, according to ICD-9, were selected. The following five admission categories were considered: SLE, cardiovascular disease (CVD), neoplasm, infection, and venous-thromboembolic disease (VTED), along four periods of time (1997–2000, 2001–2005, 2006–2010, and 2011–2015). Results: The admissions (99,859) from 43.432 patients with SLE were included. The absolute number of admissions increased from 15,807 in 1997–2000 to 31,977 in 2011–2015. SLE decreased as a cause of admission (from 47.1% to 20.8%, p < 0.001), while other categories increased over the time, as follows: 5% to 8.6% for CVD, 8.2% to 13% for infection, and 1.4% to 5.5% for neoplasm (p < 0.001 for all). The admission mortality rate rose from 2.22% to 3.06% (p < 0.001) and the causes of death evolved in parallel with the admission categories. A significant trend to older age was observed over time in the overall population and deceased patients (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Better control of SLE over the past two decades has led to a decrease in early admissions, and disease chronification. As a counterpart, CVD, infections, and neoplasm have become the main causes of admissions and mortality.

Mortality in Inflammatory Rheumatic Diseases: Lithuanian National Registry Data and Systematic Review

Despite significant improvement in survival, rheumatic diseases (RD) are associated with premature mortality rates comparable to cardiovascular and neoplastic disorders. The aim of our study was to assess mortality, causes of death, and life expectancy in an inflammatory RD retrospective cohort and compare those with the general population as well as with the results of previously published studies in a systematic literature review. Patients with the first-time diagnosis of inflammatory RD during 2012-2019 were identified and cross-checked for their vital status and the date of death. Sex- and age-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) as well as life expectancy for patients with inflammatory RDs were calculated. The results of a systematic literature review were included in meta-standardized mortality ratio calculations. 11,636 patients with newly diagnosed RD were identified. During a total of 43,064.34 person-years of follow-up, 950 death cases occurred. The prevailing causes of death for the total cohort were cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms. The age- and sex-adjusted SMR for the total cohort was calculated to be 1.32 (1.23; 1.40). Patients with rheumatoid arthritis if diagnosed at age 18-19 tend to live for 1.63 years less than the general population, patients with spondyloarthritis-for 2.7 years less, patients with connective tissue diseases-for almost nine years less than the general population. The findings of our study support the hypothesis that patients with RD have a higher risk of mortality and lower life expectancy than the general population.

Impact of systemic lupus erythematosus on the 5-year survival of critically ill septic patients

Background

Infectious disease is an increasing threat to patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE); however, the long-term outcome in critically ill septic patients with SLE remains unclear, and we aimed to address the impact of SLE on 5-year survival in critically ill septic patients.

Methods

We used the 2003–2017 nationwide data with 825,556 patients with sepsis in Taiwan. We identified lupus cases with sepsis that required admission to the intensive care unit and mechanical ventilation and selected controls matched (1:4) for age, sex, and index-year. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to determine risk factors for mortality risk and shown as odds ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

A total of 513 SLE-sepsis patients and 2052 matched non-SLE septic individuals were enrolled. The mortality rate was higher in the SLE group (38.5 per 100,000 person-year) than that in the non-SLE group (13.7 per 100,000 person-year), with an IRR of 2.8 (95% CI, 2.5–3.2). We found that SLE was independently associated with a high mortality rate after adjusting relevant variables (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.27–1.77). In addition to SLE, a higher age (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.02–1.02), more comorbidities, and receiving prednisolone equivalent dose higher than 5 mg/day (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.27–1.90), methotrexate (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.61–2.99), and immunosuppressants (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.22–1.74) were also independent risks for mortality.

Conclusions

We identified that SLE affects the long-term mortality in critically ill septic patients, and more studies are warranted for the underlying mechanism.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13075-021-02649-x.

Long-Term Outcome in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus; Knowledge from Population-Based Cohorts

Background: Accurate knowledge of outcomes in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is crucial to understanding the true burden of the disease. The main objective of this systematic review was to gather all population-based studies on mortality, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and cancer in SLE. Method: We performed a systematic literature search in two electronic databases (MEDLINE and Embase) to identify all population-based articles on SLE and survival, mortality, ESRD and cancer. The SLE diagnosis had to be verified. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines (PRISMA). Results: We included 40/1041 articles on mortality (27), ESRD (11) and cancer (3), of which six were defined as inception studies. In the total SLE cohort, the standardized mortality ratio ranged from 1.9 to 4.6. Cardiovascular disease was the most frequent cause of death in studies with follow-up times over 15 years. SLE progressed to ESRD in 5–11% of all SLE patients. There are no data supporting increased cancer incidence from population-based inception cohorts. Conclusion: There is a need for more population-based studies on outcomes of SLE, especially inception studies, with the use of control groups and follow-up times over 15 years.

Mortality in SLE patients compared with population controls in Finland in years 2000-2015

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the risk of mortality in the Finnish incident SLE cohort in a 16-year period compared with the general population.

METHODS

Adults with new-onset SLE between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2014 identified from the national drug reimbursement register and their individually matched controls from the Population Register Centre were followed up until death or 31 December 2015. Data on deaths were retrieved from the national causes of death register. Comorbidities and education were obtained by linkage to the other national registries.

RESULTS

A total of 1006 patients with incident SLE and 3005 population controls were found (mean follow-up 8.6 years). Of these, 98 SLE patients subsequently died. Their 5 -, 10-, and 15-year survival rates were 95.0% (95% CI: 93.3, 96.2), 88.8% (86.2, 91.0), and 82.1% (77.6, 85.8), respectively. Crude hazard ratio (HR) was 1.61 (95% CI: 1.26, 2.06), adjusted for education level was almost the same 1.61 (95% CI: 1.26, 2.05). After adjustment for comorbidities and education at baseline, the difference in mortality disappeared: HR 1.14 (95% CI: 0.88, 1.48). The leading causes of death were cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) (33%), malignancies (27%) and neurological diseases (10%). Subhazard ratio for CVD deaths was 1.28 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.93), adjusted for comorbidities and education 0.88 (95% CI: 0.56, 1.39).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the increased mortality in SLE patients is highly associated with comorbidities present at diagnosis. This underlines the importance to screen and treat comorbidities and disease actively without delays.

Global epidemiology of systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with protean manifestations that predominantly affects young women. Certain ethnic groups are more vulnerable than others to developing SLE and experience increased morbidity and mortality. Reports of the global incidence and prevalence of SLE vary widely, owing to inherent variation in population demographics, environmental exposures and socioeconomic factors. Differences in study design and case definitions also contribute to inconsistent reporting. Very little is known about the incidence of SLE in Africa and Australasia. Identifying and remediating such gaps in epidemiology is critical to understanding the global burden of SLE and improving patient outcomes. Mortality from SLE is still two to three times higher than that of the general population. Internationally, the frequent causes of death for patients with SLE include infection and cardiovascular disease. Even without new therapies, mortality can potentially be mitigated with enhanced quality of care. This Review focuses primarily on the past 5 years of global epidemiological studies and discusses the regional incidence and prevalence of SLE and top causes of mortality.

Myocardial infarctions, subtypes and coronary atherosclerosis in SLE: a case-control study

Objective

Patients with SLE have increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI). Few studies have investigated the characteristics of SLE-related MIs. We compared characteristics of and risk factors for MI between SLE patients with MI (MI-SLE), MI patients without SLE (MI-non-SLE) and SLE patients without MI (non-MI-SLE) to understand underlying mechanisms.

Methods

We identified patients with a first-time MI in the Karolinska SLE cohort. These patients were individually matched for age and gender with MI-non-SLE and non-MI-SLE controls in a ratio of 1:1:1. Retrospective medical file review was performed. Paired statistics were used as appropriate.

Results

Thirty-four MI-SLE patients (88% females) with a median age of 61 years were included. These patients had increased number of coronary arteries involved (p=0.04), and ≥50% coronary atherosclerosis/occlusion was numerically more common compared with MI-non-SLE controls (88% vs 66%; p=0.07). The left anterior descending artery was most commonly involved (73% vs 59%; p=0.11) and decreased (<50%) left ventricular ejection fraction occurred with similar frequency in MI-SLE and MI-non-SLE patients (45% vs 36%; p=0.79). Cardiovascular disease (44%, 5.9%, 12%; p<0.001) and coronary artery disease (32%, 2.9%, 0%; p<0.001), excluding MI, preceded MI/inclusion more commonly in MI-SLE than in MI-non-SLE and non-MI-SLE patients, respectively. MI-SLE patients had lower plasma albumin levels than non-MI-SLE patients (35 (29–37) vs 40 (37–42) g/L; p=0.002).

Conclusion

In the great majority of cases, MIs in SLE are associated with coronary atherosclerosis. Furthermore, MIs in SLE are commonly preceded by symptomatic vascular disease, calling for attentive surveillance of cardiovascular disease and its risk factors and early atheroprotective treatment.

Interaction between the STAT4 rs11889341(T) risk allele and smoking confers increased risk of myocardial infarction and nephritis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

Objective

To investigate how genetics influence the risk of smoking-related systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) manifestations.

Methods

Patients with SLE (n_{discovery cohort}=776, n_{replication cohort}=836) were genotyped using the 200K Immunochip single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) Array (Illumina) and a custom array. Sixty SNPs with SLE association (p<5.0×10⁻⁸) were analysed. Signal transducer and activator of transcription 4 (STAT4) activation was assessed in in vitro stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells from healthy controls (n=45).

Results

In the discovery cohort, smoking was associated with myocardial infarction (MI) (OR 1.96 (95% CI 1.09 to 3.55)), with a greater effect in patients carrying any rs11889341 STAT4 risk allele (OR 2.72 (95% CI 1.24 to 6.00)) or two risk alleles (OR 8.27 (95% CI 1.48 to 46.27)).

Smokers carrying the risk allele also displayed an increased risk of nephritis (OR 1.47 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.03)). In the replication cohort, the high risk of MI in smokers carrying the risk allele and the association between the STAT4 risk allele and nephritis in smokers were confirmed (OR 6.19 (95% CI 1.29 to 29.79) and 1.84 (95% CI 1.05 to 3.29), respectively).

The interaction between smoking and the STAT4 risk allele resulted in further increase in the risk of MI (OR 2.14 (95% CI 1.01 to 4.62)) and nephritis (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.08 to 2.17)), with 54% (MI) and 34% (nephritis) of the risk attributable to the interaction. Levels of interleukin-12-induced phosphorylation of STAT4 in CD8+ T cells were higher in smokers than in non-smokers (mean geometric fluorescence intensity 1063 vs 565, p=0.0063).

Lastly, the IL12A rs564799 risk allele displayed association with MI in both cohorts (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.01 to 2.31) and 2.15 (95% CI 1.08 to 4.26), respectively).

Conclusions

Smoking in the presence of the STAT4 risk gene variant appears to increase the risk of MI and nephritis in SLE. Our results also highlight the role of the IL12−STAT4 pathway in SLE-cardiovascular morbidity.