Atrial fibrillation, progression of coronary atherosclerosis and myocardial infarction

Association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia among individuals with type 2 diabetes

AIM

To assess the association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia among patients with type 2 diabetes, a group with a high prevalence of atrial fibrillation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cohort study included 22 989 patients with type 2 diabetes from the UK Biobank. New-onset atrial fibrillation was ascertained from hospital admission records. We used an algorithm officially released by the UK Biobank to identify all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia. The algorithm was developed using multiple sources, including hospital admissions and the death registry. Time-varying Cox regression analyses were performed to investigate the association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia.

RESULTS

A total of 2843 participants developed atrial fibrillation, whereas the remaining 20 146 did not. During the median of 12.3 years of follow-up, 844 all-cause dementia, 342 Alzheimer's disease and 246 vascular dementia cases occurred. Compared with participants without atrial fibrillation, those with atrial fibrillation had higher risks of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 2.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.80-2.57), Alzheimer's disease (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.06-1.96) and vascular dementia (HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.32-4.17).

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with a substantially higher risk of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes. Our findings highlight the significance of atrial fibrillation management in mitigating the risk of dementia in this demographic.

Left atrial size modify the association between uric acid and atrial fibrillation in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The potential influence of left atrial size on the relationship between uric acid and atrial fibrillation has not been fully investigated. This study aims to evaluate the interaction effect of left atrial size on the association between uric acid and atrial fibrillation in patients with coronary artery disease.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective cohort study, conducted from January 2018 to October 2022, included 2004 patients undergoing Drug-Eluting Stent implantation for coronary artery disease. Utilizing logistic regression models with the product of left atrial enlargement (LAE) and uric acid, interaction effects were assessed. Among the participants, 383 had LAE, and 159 experienced atrial fibrillation. After adjusting for covariates, continuous uric acid levels were associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation in patients without LAE (OR:1.631, 95% CI: 1.284-2.072), but not in those with LAE (OR:1.069, 95% CI: 0.848-1.348). A significant interaction of uric acid levels was observed between groups with and without LAE (p = 0.046). Restricted cubic spline curves indicated a J-shaped relationship between uric acid and atrial fibrillation in the absence of LAE. However, the association between uric acid levels and atrial fibrillation in the LAE group remained unchanged with increasing uric acid levels.

CONCLUSION

The study suggested that left atrial size modified the association between uric acid and atrial fibrillation in patients with coronary artery disease. Uric acid serves as a potential biomarker for atrial fibrillation risk, especially in individuals without LAE.

Prevalence and Impact of Concomitant Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background: Concomitant atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an adverse prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI). However, it remains unclear whether this is due to a causal effect of AF or whether AF acts as a surrogate marker for comorbidities in this population. Furthermore, there are limited data on whether coronary artery disease distribution impacts the risk of developing AF. Methods: Consecutive patients admitted with acute MI and treated using percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at a single centre were retrospectively identified. Associations between AF and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) over a median of five years of follow-up were assessed using Cox regression, with adjustment for confounding factors performed using both multivariable modelling and a propensity-score-matched analysis. Results: AF was identified in N = 65/1000 (6.5%) of cases; these patients were significantly older (mean: 73 vs. 65 years, p < 0.001), with lower creatinine clearance (p < 0.001), and were more likely to have a history of cerebrovascular disease (p = 0.011) than those without AF. In addition, patients with AF had a greater propensity for left main stem (p = 0.001) or left circumflex artery (p = 0.004) involvement. Long-term MACCE rates were significantly higher in the AF group than in the non-AF group (50.8% vs. 34.2% at five years), yielding an unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.86 (95% CI: 1.32-2.64, p < 0.001). However, after adjustment for confounding factors, AF was no longer independently associated with MACCEs, either on multivariable (adjusted HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 0.81-1.92, p = 0.319) or propensity-score-matched (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.59-1.82, p = 0.886) analyses. Conclusions: AF is observed in 6.5% of patients admitted with acute MI, and those with AF are more likely to have significant diseases involving left main or circumflex arteries. Although unadjusted MACCE rates were significantly higher in patients with AF, this effect was not found to remain significant after adjustment for comorbidities. As such, this study provided no evidence to suggest that AF is independently associated with MACCEs.

Atrial fibrillation increases the risk of new-onset myocardial infarction amongst working-age population: a propensity-matched study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and new-onset myocardial infarction (MI) among a working-age population in an industrial city of North China.

METHODS

In total 77,670 participants aged under 60 years were selected for this cohort study. Participants were divided into an AF group (n = 121) and a non-AF group (n = 74,565) based on their medical histories. Thereafter, 121 participants from the AF group were propensity-matched with 363 participants from the non-AF group. All participants were followed up from June 2006 to December 2020; new-onset MI was regarded as the endpoint of this study. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis models were designed to analyze the correlation between AF and new-onset MI.

RESULTS

During the 14-year follow-up, eight cases of new-onset MI were documented in the AF group, while five cases were documented in the non-AF group. The cumulative incidence of new-onset MI in the AF group (7.40%) was markedly higher than in the non-AF group (1.41%; p < 0.001). Atrial fibrillation was associated with an increased risk of new-onset MI in both univariate analysis (hazard ratio: 5.202, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.700-15.913) and multivariable-adjusted analysis (hazard ratio: 5.335, 95% CI: 1.683-16.910).

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation increased the risk of new-onset MI amongst working-age individuals in an industrial city of North China.

Lifestyle changes in atrial fibrillation management and intervention

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common arrhythmias in adults, and its continued rise in the United States is complicated by the increased incidence and prevalence of several AF risk factors, such as obesity, physical inactivity, hypertension, obstructive sleep apnea, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, and alcohol, tobacco, or caffeine use. Lifestyle and risk factor modification has been proposed as an additional pillar of AF therapy, added to rhythm control, rate control, and anticoagulation, to reduce AF burden and risk. Although emerging evidence largely supports the integration of lifestyle and risk factor management in clinical practice, randomized clinical trials investigating the long-term sustainability and reproducibility of these benefits remain sparse. The purpose of this review is to discuss potentially reversible risk factors on AF, share evidence for the impact on AF by modification of these risk factors, and then provide an overview of the effects of reversing or managing these risk factors on the success of various AF management strategies, such as antithrombotic, rate control, and rhythm control therapies.

A simple APACHE IV risk dynamic nomogram that incorporates early admitted lactate for the initial assessment of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Early risk stratification is important for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We aimed to develop a simple APACHE IV dynamic nomogram, combined with easily available clinical parameters within 24 h of admission, thus improving its predictive power to assess the risk of mortality at 28 days.

METHODS

Clinical information on AMI patients was extracted from the eICU database v2.0. A preliminary XGBoost examination of the degree of association between all variables in the database and 28-day mortality was conducted. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to perform screening of variables. Based on the multifactorial analysis, a dynamic nomogram predicting 28-day mortality in these patients was developed. To cope with missing data in records with missing variables, we applied the multiple imputation method. Predictive models are evaluated in three main areas, namely discrimination, calibration, and clinical validity. The discrimination is mainly represented by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Calibration is represented by the calibration plot. Clinical validity is represented by the decision curve analysis (DCA) curve.

RESULTS

A total of 504 people were included in the study. All 504 people were used to build the predictive model, and the internal validation model used a 500-bootstrap method. Multivariate analysis showed that four variables, APACHE IV, the first sample of admission lactate, prior atrial fibrillation (AF), and gender, were included in the nomogram as independent predictors of 28-day mortality in AMI. The prediction model had an AUC of 0.819 (95%CI 0.770-0.868) whereas the internal validation model had an AUC of 0.814 (95%CI 0.765-0.860). Calibration and DCA curves indicated that the dynamic nomogram in this study were reflective of real-world conditions and could be applied clinically. The predictive model composed of these four variables outperformed a single APACHE IV in terms of NRI and IDI. The NRI was 16.4% (95% CI: 6.1-26.8%; p = 0.0019) and the IDI was 16.4% (95% CI: 6.0-26.8%; p = 0.0020). Lactate accounted for nearly half of the total NRI, which showed that lactate was the most important of the other three variables.

CONCLUSION

The prediction model constructed by APACHE IV in combination with the first sample of admission lactate, prior AF, and gender outperformed the APACHE IV scoring system alone in predicting 28-day mortality in AMI. The prediction dynamic nomogram model was published via a website app, allowing clinicians to improve the predictive efficacy of the APACHE IV score by 16.4% in less than 1 min.

Atrial fibrillation is an independent risk factor for new-onset myocardial infarction: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and myocardial infarction (MI) share common cardiovascular risk factors, therefore coexistence of AF and MI is very common, in addition, both AF and MI aggravate and exacerbate each other through multiple pathological processes. The aim of this study is to investigate whether AF increases the risk of new-onset MI.

METHODS

In total 171,086 participants from an industrial city in North China were selected and enrolled in this prospective cohort study, participants were divided into the AF group or the non-AF group according to their medical history. 1542 participants from the AF group were propensity-matched with 4626 participants from the non-AF group. All the participants were followed up every 2 years from June 2006 to December 2020, the median follow-up was 14.25 years and the endpoint of this study was new-onset MI. The association between AF and new-onset MI was analysed by using both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

New-onset MI was documented in 56 cases from the AF group and 98 cases from the non-AF group, respectively, the cumulative incidence of new-onset MI in the AF group (3.73%) was significantly higher than that in the non-AF group (2.23%) (p < 0.01). In a univariate analysis, AF was associated with an increased risk of new-onset MI (hazard ratio: 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.24-2.40), in two multivariable-adjusted analyses, AF was still associated with an increased risk of new-onset MI (hazard ratio: 1.78, 95% confidence interval, 1.28-2.47).

CONCLUSIONS

AF is an independent risk factor for new-onset MI in an industrial population of North China.

Associations of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation With Risks of Cardiovascular Disease, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Mortality Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently occurs in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D); however, the longitudinal associations of new-onset AF with risks of adverse health outcomes in patients with T2D remain unclear. In this study, we aimed to determine the associations of new-onset AF with subsequent risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and mortality among patients with T2D.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 16,551 adults with T2D, who were free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CKD at recruitment from the UK Biobank study. Time-varying Cox regression models were used to assess the associations of incident AF with subsequent risks of incident ASCVD, heart failure, CKD, and mortality.

RESULTS

Among the patients with T2D, 1,394 developed AF and 15,157 remained free of AF during the follow-up. Over median follow-up of 10.7-11.0 years, we documented 2,872 cases of ASCVD, 852 heart failure, and 1,548 CKD and 1,776 total death (409 CVD deaths). Among patients with T2D, those with incident AF had higher risk of ASCVD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.85; 95% CI 1.59-2.16), heart failure (HR 4.40; 95% CI 3.67-5.28), CKD (HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.41-2.01), all-cause mortality (HR 2.91; 95% CI 2.53-3.34), and CVD mortality (HR 3.75; 95% CI 2.93-4.80) compared with those without incident AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with T2D who developed AF had significantly increased risks of developing subsequent adverse cardiovascular events, CKD, and mortality. Our data underscore the importance of strategies of AF prevention to reduce macro- and microvascular complications in patients with T2D.

Outcome of catheter ablation for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in patients with stable coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) frequently coexist. This study aimed to assess the long-term outcome of catheter ablation in patients with paroxysmal AF and SCAD.

METHODS

In total, 12104 patients with paroxysmal AF underwent catheter ablation in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry between 2011 and 2019 were screened. A total of 441 patients with SCAD were matched with patients without SCAD in a 1:4 ratio. The primary endpoint was AF recurrence after single ablation. The composite secondary endpoints were thromboembolism, coronary events, major bleeding, all-cause death. RESULTS;: Over a mean follow-up of 46.0±18.9 months, the recurrence rate in patients with SCAD was significantly higher after a single ablation (49.0% vs. 41.9%, P = 0.03). The very late recurrence rate of AF in the SCAD group was also significantly higher than that in the control group (38.9% vs. 31.2%;P = 0.04). In multivariate analysis, adjusted with the female, smoking, duration of AF, previous thromboembolism, COPD, and statins, SCAD was independently associated with AF recurrence (adjusted HR, 1.19 [1.02-1.40], P = 0.03). The composite secondary endpoints were significantly higher in the SCAD group (12.70% vs. 8.54%, P = 0.02), mainly due to thromboembolism events (8.16% vs. 4.41%, P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

SCAD significantly increased the risk of recurrence after catheter ablation of paroxysmal AF. The incidence of thromboembolic events after catheter ablation of paroxysmal AF in the patients with SCAD was significantly higher than that in those without SCAD. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Comparison of prognosis and outcomes of catheter ablation versus drug therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease: A prospective propensity-score matched cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) frequently coexist.

Hypothesis

To investigate the prognosis of catheter ablation versus drug therapy in patients with AF and SCAD.

Methods

In total, 25 512 patients with AF in the Chinese AF Registry between 2011 and 2019 were screened for SCAD. 815 patients with AF and SCAD underwent catheter ablation therapy were matched with patients by drug therapy in a 1:1 ratio. Primary end point was composite of thromboembolism, coronary events, major bleeding, and all‐cause death. The secondary endpoints were each component of the primary endpoint and AF recurrence.

Results

Over a median follow‐up of 45 ± 23 months, the patients in the catheter ablation group had a higher AF recurrence‐free rate (53.50% vs. 18.41%, p < .01). In multivariate analysis, there was no significant difference between the strategy of catheter ablation and drug therapy in primary composite end point (adjusted HR 074, 95%CI 0.54–1.002, p = .0519). However, catheter ablation was associated with fewer all‐cause death independently (adjusted HR 0.36, 95%CI 0.22–0.59, p < .01). In subgroup analysis, catheter ablation was an independent risk factor for all‐cause death in the high‐stroke risk group (adjusted HR 0.39, 95%CI 0.23–0.64, p < .01), not in the low‐medium risk group (adjusted HR 0.17, 95%CI 0.01–2.04, p = .17).

Conclusions

In the patients with AF and SCAD, catheter ablation was not independently associated with the primary composite endpoint compared with drug therapy. However, catheter ablation was an independent protective factor of all‐cause death

Atrial high‑rate episodes and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with dual chamber permanent pacemakers: a retrospective study

Patients with atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) are at higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The cutoff threshold for AHRE duration for MACE, with/without history of atrial fibrillation (AF) or myocardial infarction (MI), is unknown. A total of 481 consecutive patients with/without history of AF or MI receiving dual-chamber pacemaker implantation were included. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of MACE after AHRE ≥ 5 min, ≥ 6 h, and ≥ 24 h. AHRE was defined as > 175 bpm (MEDTRONIC) or > 200 bpm (BIOTRONIK) lasting ≥ 5 min. Cox regression analysis with time-dependent covariates was conducted. Patients' mean age was 75.3 ± 10.7 years and 188 (39.1%) developed AHRE ≥ 5 min, 115 (23.9%) ≥ 6 h, and 83 (17.3%) ≥ 24 h. During follow-up (median 39.9 ± 29.8 months), 92 MACE occurred (IR 5.749%/year, 95% CI 3.88-5.85). AHRE ≥ 5 min (HR 5.252, 95% CI 2.575-10.715, P < 0.001) and ≥ 6 h (HR 2.548, 95% CI 1.284-5.058, P = 0.007) was independently associated with MACE, but not AHRE ≥ 24 h. Patients with history of MI (IR 17.80%/year) had higher MACE incidence than those without (IR 3.77%/year, p = 0.001). Significant differences were found between MACE patients with/without history of AF in AHRE ≥ 5 min but not AHRE ≥ 6 h or ≥ 24 h. Patients with dual-chamber pacemakers who develop AHRE have increased risk of MACE, particularly after history of AF or MI.

Development of atrial fibrillation following trauma increases short term risk of cardiovascular events

Context:

New onset atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with poor outcomes in several different patient populations.

Objectives:

To assess the effect of developing AF on cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction (MI) and cerebrovascular accident (CVA) during the acute index hospitalization for trauma patients.

Methods:

The Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases for California and Florida were used to identify adult trauma patients (18 years of age or older) who were admitted between 2007 and 2010. After excluding patients with a history of AF and prior history of cardiovascular events, patients were evaluated for MI, CVA, and death during the index hospitalization. A secondary analysis was performed using matched propensity scoring based on age, race, and preexisting comorbidities.

Results:

During the study period, 1,224,828 trauma patients were admitted. A total of 195,715 patients were excluded for a prior history of AF, MI, or CVA. Of the remaining patients, 15,424 (1.5%) met inclusion criteria and had new onset AF after trauma. There was an associated increase in incidence of MI (2.9 vs. 0.7%; p<0.001), CVA (2.6 vs. 0.4%; p<0.001), and inpatient mortality (8.5 vs. 2.1%; p<0.001) during the index hospitalization in patients who developed new onset AF compared with those who did not. Cox proportional hazards regression demonstrated an increased risk of MI (odds ratio [OR], 2.35 [2.13–2.60]), CVA (OR, 3.90 [3.49–4.35]), and inpatient mortality (OR, 2.83 [2.66–3.00]) for patients with new onset AF after controlling for all other potential risk factors.

Conclusions:

New onset AF in trauma patients was associated with increased incidence of myocardial infarction (MI), cerebral vascular accident (CVA), and mortality during index hospitalization in this study.

Characteristics and outcome of a first acute myocardial infarction in patients with ankylosing spondylitis

Objectives

To study clinical characteristics, mortality, and secondary prevention, after a first incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) compared with the general population.

Methods

In total, 292 subjects with AS and a first AMI between Jan 2006 and Dec 2014 were identified using the Swedish national patient register. Each subject was matched with up to 5 general population comparators per AS-patient (n = 1276). Follow-up started at the date of admission for AMI and extended until death or 365 days of follow-up. Cox regression was used to assess mortality in two time intervals: days 0–30 and days 31–365. For a subgroup with available data, clinical presentation at admission, course, treatment for AMI, and secondary prevention were compared.

Results

During the 365-day follow-up, 56/292 (19%) AS patients and 184/1276 (14%) comparators died. There were no difference in mortality due to cardiovascular-related causes, although the overall mortality day 31–365 was increased among patients with AS compared with comparators (HR [95% CI] = 2.0 [1.3;3.0]). At admission, AS patients had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities compared with comparators. At discharge, patients with AS were less often prescribed lipid-lowering drugs and non-aspirin antiplatelet therapy.

Conclusions

Patients with AS tend to have a higher comorbidity burden at admission for first AMI. The mortality after a first AMI due to cardiovascular-related causes does not seem to be elevated, despite an increased overall mortality during days 31–365 among patients with AS compared with the general population.

Key Points • The all-cause mortality after a first AMI was higher in patients with AS. • Mortality after a first AMI due to CVD-related causes does not seem to be elevated for patients with AS. • In patients with AS suffering a first AMI, more attention should be given to other comorbidities causing an excess in mortality.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s10067-020-05354-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Lifestyle and Risk Factor Modification for Reduction of Atrial Fibrillation: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is associated with substantial morbidity, mortality, and healthcare use. Great strides have been made in stroke prevention and rhythm control strategies, yet reducing the incidence of AF has been slowed by the increasing incidence and prevalence of AF risk factors, including obesity, physical inactivity, sleep apnea, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and other modifiable lifestyle-related factors. Fortunately, many of these AF drivers are potentially reversible, and emerging evidence supports that addressing these modifiable risks may be effective for primary and secondary AF prevention. A structured, protocol-driven multidisciplinary approach to integrate lifestyle and risk factor management as an integral part of AF management may help in the prevention and treatment of AF. However, this aspect of AF management is currently underrecognized, underused, and understudied. The purpose of this American Heart Association scientific statement is to review the association of modifiable risk factors with AF and the effects of risk factor intervention. Implementation strategies, care pathways, and educational links for achieving impactful weight reduction, increased physical activity, and risk factor modification are included. Implications for clinical practice, gaps in knowledge, and future directions for the research community are highlighted.

[Risk of Coronary Events in Atrial Fibrillation]

It has been established that cardiovascular events due to coronary heart disease are highly prevalent in the population of patients with atrial fibrillation. In this review, pathophysiologic mechanisms explaining this association are detailed along with supporting epidemiological evidence. Various methods for the prediction and prevention of coronary events in atrial fibrillation are iscussed, including modification of shared risk factors, antithrombotic therapy and selection of the optimal direct oral anticoagulant in terms of favourable influence on ischemic cardiac outcomes.

Association of metabolic syndrome with non-thromboembolic adverse cardiac outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation

Aims

Evidence suggests an excess risk of non-thromboembolic major adverse cardiac events (MACE) associated with atrial fibrillation (AF), particularly in individuals free of overt coronary artery disease (CAD). Metabolic syndrome (MetS) increases cardiovascular risk in the general population, but less is known how it influences outcomes in AF patients. We aimed to assess whether MetS affects the risk of MACE in AF patients without overt CAD.

Methods and results

This prospective, observational study enrolled 843 AF patients (mean-age, 62.5 ± 12.1 years, 38.6% female) without overt CAD. Metabolic syndrome was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program. The 5-year composite MACE included myocardial infarction (MI), coronary revascularization, and cardiac death. Metabolic syndrome was present in 302 (35.8%) patients. At 5-year follow-up, 118 (14.0%) patients experienced MACE (2.80%/year). Metabolic syndrome conferred a multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.98 for MACE [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23-3.16; P = 0.004], and for individual outcomes: MI (aHR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.69-5.11; P < 0.001), revascularization (aHR, 2.33; 95% CI, 1.40-3.87; P = 0.001), and cardiac death (aHR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.25-5.33; P = 0.011). Following the propensity score (PS)-adjustment for MetS, the association between MetS and MACE (PS-aHR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.21-3.01; P = 0.012), MI (PS-aHR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.54-5.00; P = 0.008), revascularization (PS-aHR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.69-3.11; P = 0.015), and cardiac death (PS-aHR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.14-5.11; P = 0.023) remained significant.

Conclusion

Metabolic syndrome is common in AF patients without overt CAD, and confers an independent, increased risk of MACE, including MI, coronary revascularization, and cardiac death. Given its prognostic implications, prevention and treatment of MetS may reduce the burden of non-thromboembolic complications in AF.

Consensus in cardiology on non-vitamin-K oral anticoagulants for patients with atrial fibrillation

Introduction: Non-vitamin-K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are known to have advantages over vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, more than half of patients are still treated with VKAs. The absence of direct comparisons amongst NOACs and the insufficient evidence in some clinical situations could explain, at least in part, this predominance of VKAs. The aims of our study were: 1) to analyze the opinion of an expert panel on the role of NOACs in different clinical scenarios; 2) to elaborate specific consensus recommendations for the management of NOACs for each one of these situations.Patients and methods: An online survey was created covering distinct aspects of the use of oral anticoagulants in various clinical settings. A two-round modified Delphi approach was used.Results: Forty-eight experts responded to the survey. Consensus was reached on 58% (48/83) of the items. The panelists concluded that the term non-valvular AF should be avoided. In most clinical settings NOACs were preferred over VKAs. Once daily NOACs were preferred in elderly patients to improve therapeutic compliance and, in those over the age of 85, edoxaban could be the best choice. Edoxaban and apixaban were the favorites for patients with AF and moderate chronic kidney disease (CKD). In the case of patients on triple antithrombotic therapy due to AF and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) the lowest effective NOAC dose should be used.Conclusion: Our study emphasizes that there are several clinical circumstances in patients with AF requiring complex decisions about anticoagulation treatment and offers some recommendations based on the consensus reached by an expert panel.

Poor adherence to guideline recommendations among patients with atrial fibrillation and acute myocardial infarction

Background

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation in patients with acute myocardial infarction is largely unknown. The aims of the present study were to assess the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in a nationwide cohort of patients with acute myocardial infarction, to assess the prescription of anticoagulation therapy, and to study the long-term outcomes.

Design

A nationwide registry-based cohort study.

Methods

All patients registered in the Norwegian Myocardial Infarction Registry between 2013 and 2016 were included and followed up through 2017. Stroke rates during follow-up were obtained through linkage with the Norwegian Patient Registry.

Results

In total, 47,204 patients were registered in the Norwegian Myocardial Infarction Registry. Atrial fibrillation on admission was recorded in 5393 (11%) patients, and 2190 (5%) additional patients developed atrial fibrillation during their hospital stay. Only 45% of patients with atrial fibrillation on admission and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 were treated with anticoagulation therapy prior to myocardial infarction, and 56% of patients with atrial fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 were prescribed anticoagulation therapy at discharge. Patients with myocardial infarction and atrial fibrillation had an increased risk of stroke or death during 822 (426, 1278) days of follow-up compared with patients without atrial fibrillation (multivariate adjusted hazard ratio 1.4, 95% confidence interval 1.3–1.4).

Conclusions

Almost half of patients with atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction were not prescribed the guideline recommended treatment with anticoagulation therapy at discharge, and their long-term risk of stroke and death was increased compared with patients without atrial fibrillation. Increased efforts to improve the treatment of patients with myocardial infarction and atrial fibrillation are needed.

Tobacco smoking and the risk of atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies

Background

Epidemiological studies on smoking and atrial fibrillation have been inconsistent, with some studies showing a positive association while others have found no association. It is also unclear whether there is a dose–response relationship between the number of cigarettes smoked or pack-years and the risk of atrial fibrillation. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to clarify the association.

Design

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods

We searched the PubMed and Embase databases for studies of smoking and atrial fibrillation up to 20 July 2017. Prospective studies and nested case–control studies within cohort studies reporting adjusted relative risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of atrial fibrillation associated with smoking were included. Summary relative risks (95% CIs) were estimated using a random effects model.

Results

Twenty nine prospective studies (22 publications) were included. The summary relative risk was 1.32 (95% CI 1.12–1.56, I2 = 84%, n = 11 studies) for current smokers, 1.09 (95% CI 1.00–1.18, I2 = 33%, n = 9) for former smokers and 1.21 (95% CI 1.12–1.31, I2 = 80%, n = 14) for ever smokers compared to never smokers. Comparing current versus non-current smokers the summary relative risk was 1.33 (95% CI 1.14–1.56, I2 = 78%, n = 10). The summary relative risk was 1.14 (95% CI 1.10–1.20, I2 = 0%, n = 3) per 10 cigarettes per day and 1.16 (95% CI 1.09–1.25, I2 = 49%, n = 2) per 10 pack-years and there was no evidence of a non-linear association for cigarettes per day, Pnon-linearity = 0.17.

Conclusions

The current meta-analysis suggests that smoking is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation in a dose-dependent matter, but the association is weaker among former smokers compared to current smokers.

Physical activity types and atrial fibrillation risk in the middle-aged and elderly: The Rotterdam Study

Background

The association between physical activity and atrial fibrillation remains controversial. Physical activity has been associated with a higher and lower atrial fibrillation risk. These inconsistent results might be related to the type of physical activity. We aimed to investigate the association of total and types of physical activity, including walking, cycling, domestic work, gardening and sports, with atrial fibrillation.

Design

Prospective cohort study.

Methods

Our study was performed in the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort. We included 7018 participants aged 55 years and older with information on physical activity between 1997–2001. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of physical activity with atrial fibrillation risk. Models were adjusted for biological and behavioural risk factors and the remaining physical activity types. Physical activity was categorised in tertiles and the low group was used as reference.

Results

During 16.8 years of follow-up (median: 12.3 years, interquartile range: 8.7–15.9 years), 800 atrial fibrillation events occurred (11.4% of the study population). We observed no association between total physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk in any model. After adjustment for confounders, the hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval for the high physical activity category compared to the low physical activity category was: 0.71 (0.80–1.14) for total physical activity. We did not observe a significant association between any of the physical activity types with atrial fibrillation risk.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that physical activity is not associated with higher or lower risk of atrial fibrillation in older adults. Neither total physical activity nor any of the included physical activity types was associated with atrial fibrillation risk.

Physical activity volume in relation to risk of atrial fibrillation. A non-linear meta-regression analysis

Background

Light physical activity is known to reduce atrial fibrillation risk, whereas moderate to vigorous physical activity may result in an increased risk. However, the question of what volume of physical activity can be considered beneficial remains poorly understood. The scope of the present work was to examine the relation between physical activity volume and atrial fibrillation risk.

Design

A comprehensive systematic review was performed following the PRISMA guidelines.

Methods

A non-linear meta-regression considering the amount of energy spent in physical activity was carried out. The first derivative of the non-linear relation between physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk was evaluated to determine the volume of physical activity that carried the minimum atrial fibrillation risk.

Results

The dose–response analysis of the relation between physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk showed that physical activity at volumes of 5–20 metabolic equivalents per week (MET-h/week) was associated with significant reduction in atrial fibrillation risk (relative risk for 19 MET-h/week = 0.92 (0.87, 0.98). By comparison, physical activity volumes exceeding 20 MET-h/week were unrelated to atrial fibrillation risk (relative risk for 21 MET-h/week = 0.95 (0.88, 1.02).

Conclusion

These data show a J-shaped relation between physical activity volume and atrial fibrillation risk. Physical activity at volumes of up to 20 MET-h/week is associated with reduced atrial fibrillation risk, whereas volumes exceeding 20 MET-h/week show no relation with risk.

Adverse cardiovascular outcomes in atrial fibrillation: Validation of the new 2MACE risk score

BACKGROUND

In addition to thromboembolism, atrial fibrillation (AF) may also predispose to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) attributable to coronary artery disease (CAD), including myocardial infarction (MI). The 2MACE score (2 points - Metabolic syndrome and Age≥75years, 1 point - MI/revascularization, Congestive heart failure/ejection-fraction <40%, and thrombo-Embolism) was recently proposed to help identify AF patients at risk of MACE. We assessed the predictive validity of the 2MACE score for MACE occurrence in AF patients free of CAD at baseline.

METHODS

Non-valvular AF patients (n=794) without CAD (mean-age, 62.5±12.1years, metabolic syndrome, 34.0%; heart failure/ejection-fraction <40%, 25.7%; thromboembolism, 9.7%) were prospectively followed for 5years, or until MACE (composite of non-fatal/fatal MI, revascularization and cardiovascular death). At inclusion, CAD was excluded by medical history, exercise-stress testing and/or coronary angiography. Also, the 2MACE score was determined.

RESULTS

At follow-up, 112 patients experienced MACE (2.8%/year). The 2MACE score demonstrated adequate discrimination (C-statistic, 0.699; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.648-0.750; P<0.001) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P=0.79) for MACE. The score was significantly associated with MACE, with the adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) of 1.56 (95%CI, 1.35-1.73; P<0.001). As for individual outcomes, the score predicted MI (n=46; aHR, 1.49; 95%CI 1.23-1.80), revascularization (n=32; aHR, 1.41; 95%CI, 1.11-1.80) and cardiovascular death (n=34; aHR, 1.43; 95%CI, 1.14-1.81), all P<0.001.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2MACE score successfully predicts future MACE, including incident MI, coronary revascularization and cardiovascular death in AF patients free of CAD at baseline. It may have a role in risk-stratification and primary prevention of MACE in AF patients.

Atrial fibrillation and the risk for myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality and heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

In contemporary atrial fibrillation trials most deaths are cardiac related, whereas stroke and bleeding represent only a small subset of deaths. We aimed to evaluate the long-term risk of cardiac events and all-cause mortality in individuals with atrial fibrillation compared to no atrial fibrillation.

Design

A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published between 1 January 2006 and 21 October 2016.

Methods

Four databases were searched. Studies had follow-up of at least 500 stable patients for either cardiac endpoints or all-cause mortality for 12 months or longer. Publication bias was evaluated and random effects models were used to synthesise the results. Heterogeneity between studies was examined by subgroup and meta-regression analyses.

Results

A total of 15 cohort studies was included. Analyses indicated that atrial fibrillation was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (relative risk (RR) 1.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.26–1.85), all-cause mortality (RR 1.95, 95% CI 1.50–2.54) and heart failure (RR 4.62, 95% CI 3.13–6.83). Coronary heart disease at baseline was associated with a reduced risk of myocardial infarction and explained 57% of the heterogeneity. A prospective cohort design accounted for 25% of all-cause mortality heterogeneity. Due to there being fewer than 10 studies, sources of heterogeneity were inconclusive for heart failure.

Conclusions

Atrial fibrillation seems to be associated with an increased risk of subsequent myocardial infarction in patients without coronary heart disease and an increased risk of, all-cause mortality and heart failure in patients with and without coronary heart disease.