Risk factors for community-acquired pneumonia in children under five years of age in the post-pneumococcal conjugate vaccine era in Brazil: a case control study

Pathogenic features and clinical characteristics of acute community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections

Objective

To investigate the pathogen distribution and clinical characteristics of acute community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections (CALRTIs).

Methods

This was a retrospective study. The clinical data of 218 patients with CALRTIs admitted to Baoding No.1 Central Hospital from December 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected and were divided into two groups according to the results of polymerase chain reaction(PCR) testing using a nasopharyngeal swab: streptococcus pneumoniae positive group(observation group) and non-streptococcus pneumoniae positive group(control group). Clinical symptoms, blood gas analysis indicators were compared between the two groups.

Results

Haemophilus influenzae and Staphylococcus aureus, as well as virus and atypical pathogen infection, were the predominant pathogenic bacteria in both groups. No statistically significant differences were observed in the positive rates of sputum smear, sputum culture, respiratory virus detection and atypical pathogen detection between the two groups(P>0.05). However, the control group had a higher detection rate of gram-positive bacteria, gram-negative bacteria and Legionella pneumophila in sputum smears than the observation group, with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05). One death occurred in each group, with no significant difference in mortality and six in each group left the hospital or were transferred due to deterioration, with no significant difference in improved discharge rates.

Conclusion

Acute community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections(CALRTIs) take bacteria, viruses and atypical pathogens as its leading pathogenic bacteria. In the treatment of patients with acute CALRTIs, early pathogenic examination should be performed to assist in guiding antibiotic therapy for rapid control, early recovery and ameliorated clinical outcomes.

Childhood Pneumonia in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review of Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Healthcare-Seeking Behaviors

Childhood pneumonia is a major contributor to illness and death in children under the age of five globally. Despite advancements in medical science, the burden of pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains high, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. This systematic review aims to synthesize existing literature on the prevalence, risk factors, and healthcare-seeking behaviors associated with pediatric CAP to inform the development of targeted community-based interventions. An extensive search of various databases such as Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane, PubMed, PubMed Central, Helinet, SpringerLink, Google Scholar, and Biomed Central was performed, resulting in 65 potentially relevant studies. After a thorough evaluation process, 25 studies were selected for the final analysis. These selected studies offered valuable information on the epidemiology, risk factors, and healthcare-seeking behaviors associated with childhood pneumonia. The review revealed that environmental factors such as indoor air pollution, overcrowding, and exposure to tobacco smoke are significant risk factors for pediatric pneumonia. Additionally, socioeconomic factors, including poverty and a lack of access to clean water and sanitation, contribute to the vulnerability of children to this disease. Poor healthcare-seeking behaviors, driven by limited knowledge and awareness of pneumonia symptoms and treatment, further exacerbate the situation. The review also highlighted the critical role of vaccination, particularly against Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and pneumococcus, in preventing pneumonia. However, gaps in vaccination coverage and challenges in accessing healthcare services remain barriers to effective pneumonia control. In light of these findings, the review recommends the implementation of community-based interventions that address the multifaceted determinants of pediatric pneumonia. These interventions should focus on improving environmental conditions, enhancing access to preventive measures such as vaccination, and promoting better healthcare-seeking behaviors through education and awareness campaigns. It is essential for healthcare providers, policymakers, and community members to collaborate in developing and implementing culturally appropriate and sustainable interventions. This cooperation aims to lessen the impact of pneumonia on children and their families.

Computerized respiratory sound based diagnosis of pneumonia

Globally, respiratory disorders are a great health burden, affecting as well as destroying human lives; pneumonia is one among them. Pneumonia stages can progress from mild stage to even towards deadly if it is misdiagnosed. Misdiagnosis happens as it exhibits the symptoms identical to other respiratory diseases. Respiratory sound (RS)-based detection of pneumonia could be the most perfect, convenient, as well as the economical solution to this serious problem. This paper presents a novel method to detect pneumonia based on RS. This study is carried out over 310 pneumonia RS and 318 healthy RS, recorded from a hospital. The noises from each RS are eliminated using the Butterworth band pass filter and sparsity-assisted signal smoothing algorithm. Approximate entropy, Shannon entropy, fractal dimension, and largest Lyapunov exponent are the nonlinear features, which are extracted from each denoised RS. The extracted features are inputted to support vector machine classifiers to distinguish pneumonia RS and healthy RS. This method discriminates against pneumonia and healthy RS with 99.8% classification accuracy, 99.8% sensitivity, 99.6% specificity, 99.6% positive predictive value, 99.6% F1-score, and area under curve value of 1.0. Future endeavours will be to examine the efficacy of the proposed algorithm to diagnose pneumonia from the real-time RS acquired from a pneumonia patient in a hospital. This proposed work could be a great support to clinicians in diagnosing pneumonia based on RS.

Pathogenic bacteria and treatment resistance in older cardiovascular disease patients with lung infection and risk prediction model

This study analyzes the distribution of pathogenic bacteria and their antimicrobial susceptibilities in elderly patients with cardiovascular diseases to identify risk factors for pulmonary infections. A risk prediction model is established, aiming to serve as a clinical tool for early prevention and management of pulmonary infections in this vulnerable population. A total of 600 patients were categorized into infected and uninfected groups. Independent risk factors such as older age, diabetes history, hypoproteinemia, invasive procedures, high cardiac function grade, and a hospital stay of ≥10 days were identified through logistic regression. A predictive model was constructed, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit (P = 0.236) and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.795, demonstrating good discriminative ability. The model had 63.40% sensitivity and 82.80% specificity, with a cut-off value of 0.13. Our findings indicate that the risk score model is valid for identifying high-risk groups for pulmonary infection among elderly cardiovascular patients. The study contributes to the early prevention and control of pulmonary infections, potentially reducing infection rates in this vulnerable population.

Machine learning applications on neonatal sepsis treatment: a scoping review

INTRODUCTION

Neonatal sepsis is a major cause of health loss and mortality worldwide. Without proper treatment, neonatal sepsis can quickly develop into multisystem organ failure. However, the signs of neonatal sepsis are non-specific, and treatment is labour-intensive and expensive. Moreover, antimicrobial resistance is a significant threat globally, and it has been reported that over 70% of neonatal bloodstream infections are resistant to first-line antibiotic treatment. Machine learning is a potential tool to aid clinicians in diagnosing infections and in determining the most appropriate empiric antibiotic treatment, as has been demonstrated for adult populations. This review aimed to present the application of machine learning on neonatal sepsis treatment.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched for studies published in English focusing on neonatal sepsis, antibiotics, and machine learning.

RESULTS

There were 18 studies included in this scoping review. Three studies focused on using machine learning in antibiotic treatment for bloodstream infections, one focused on predicting in-hospital mortality associated with neonatal sepsis, and the remaining studies focused on developing machine learning prediction models to diagnose possible sepsis cases. Gestational age, C-reactive protein levels, and white blood cell count were important predictors to diagnose neonatal sepsis. Age, weight, and days from hospital admission to blood sample taken were important to predict antibiotic-resistant infections. The best-performing machine learning models were random forest and neural networks.

CONCLUSION

Despite the threat antimicrobial resistance poses, there was a lack of studies focusing on the use of machine learning for aiding empirical antibiotic treatment for neonatal sepsis.

Factors associated with caretakers' knowledge, attitude, and practices in the management of pneumonia for children aged five years and below in rural Uganda

BACKGROUND

Efforts aimed at reducing morbidity and mortality associated with pneumonia in children aged five years and below largely depend on caretakers. This study aimed to assess the factors associated with knowledge, attitudes, and practices of caretakers regarding pneumonia.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study carried out within Iganga and Mayuge health and demographic surveillance site (IMHDSS) cohort in Eastern Uganda. Caretakers of children under the age of five years were assessed for knowledge, attitudes, and practices using a set of indicators. The caretaker characteristics as determinants for knowledge, attitude, and practices in relation to pneumonia management were assessed for association. Logistic regression was used to assess the factors associated with caretaker knowledge, attitudes and practices.

RESULTS

A total of 649 caretakers of children five years and below of age were interviewed. Caretakers knew pneumonia as one of the childhood diseases, but were less knowledgeable about its transmission, signs and symptoms, risk factors and treatment. Overall, 28% had good knowledge, 36% had moderate knowledge and 35% had poor knowledge. The caretaker attitude was good for more than a half of the respondents (57%), while majority reported good practices (74.1%). Older age (OR = 1.63, 95% CI (1.05-2.51)), Tertiary education (OR = 4.92, 95% CI (2.5-9.65)), being married (OR = 1.82, 95% CI (1.05-3.15)) were associated with having good knowledge. Age above 35 years (aOR = 1.48, 95% CI (1.03-2.11)), and main source of livelihood were associated with good attitude and lastly being female (OR = 2.3, 95% CI (1.23-4.37)), being a Muslim (aOR = 0.5, 95% CI (0.35-0.75)), and being a farmer (OR = 0.5, 95% CI (0.33-0.85)) were associated with being a good caretaker practice.

CONCLUSIONS

The caretakers of children five years and below, have relatively adequate knowledge about the signs and symptoms of pneumonia, risk factors and treatment measures. Higher education, being married, and being a salary earner were associated with better knowledge about pneumonia, while being female, being a Muslim, and being a peasant farmer were associated with good practice. Targeted interventions to equip caretakers with relevant and adequate skills and knowledge for lower-income and less educated caretakers, considering cultural and religious beliefs about childhood pneumonia identification and management are required.

Prevalence, capsular types, antimicrobial resistance and risk factors associated with pneumococcal carriage among children after long-term 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use in Brazil

BACKGROUND

The 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) was introduced for childhood vaccination in Brazil's National Immunization Program in 2010. After nine years of PCV10 use, we investigated the carriage prevalence, capsular types, antimicrobial resistance and risk factors among children living in Niterói city, RJ, Brazil.

METHODS

Between September and December 2019, we conducted a cross-sectional study and recruited children under 6 years of age. Antimicrobial susceptibility was evaluated by the disk-diffusion method and MICs to beta-lactams and macrolides were determined by E-test®. Capsular types were deduced by multiplex PCR. Logistic regression was used to predict risk factors for pneumococcal carriage.

RESULTS

Seventy-five (17.4%) of the 430 children were pneumococcal carriers. The most frequent capsular types were 6C/D (14.7%), 11A/D (13.3%), and 23B (9.3%). PCV10 serotypes represented 5.3%. All isolates were susceptible to levofloxacin, linezolid, rifampicin, and vancomycin. Penicillin non-susceptible pneumococci (PNSP) made up 37.3%, with penicillin and ceftriaxone MICs ranging from 0.12 to 4.0 μg/ml and 0.064-4.0 μg/ml, respectively. Of the 19 (25.3%) erythromycin-resistant (ERY-R) isolates (macrolide MICs of 6 to >256 μg/ml), most had the cMLS_B phenotype (84.2%) and carried the erm(B) gene (73.7%). We detected 17 (22.6%) multidrug-resistant (MDR) isolates, strongly associated with serotype 6C/D. Presence of any symptoms, chronic diseases, childcare center attendance, living with young siblings, slum residence, and unstable income were predictors of pneumococcal carriage.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term universal childhood use of PCV10 has nearly eliminated carriage with PCV10 serotypes, but the high frequency of MDR isolates, especially associated with serotype 6C/D, remains a concern. Replacing PCV10 with PCV13 should reduce the proportion of ERY-R isolates and PNSP by at least 14% and 18%, respectively.

Integrative Effects between a Bubble and Seal Program and Workers' Compliance to Health Advice on Successful COVID-19 Transmission Control in a Factory in Southern Thailand

Applying health measures to prevent COVID-19 transmission caused disruption of businesses. A practical plan to balance public health and business sustainability during the pandemic was needed. Herein, we describe a "Bubble and Seal" (B&S) program implemented in a frozen seafood factory in southern Thailand. We enrolled 1539 workers who lived in the factory dormitories. First, the workers who had a high fatality risk were triaged by RT-PCR tests, quarantined and treated if they had COVID-19. Newly diagnosed or suspected COVID-19 workers underwent the same practices. The non-quarantined workers were regulated to work and live in their groups without contact across the groups. Workers' personal hygiene and preventive measures were strongly stressed. Between the 6th and 9th weeks of the program, the post-COVID-19 infection status (PCIS) of all participants was evaluated by mass COVID-19 antibody or RT-PCR tests. Finally, 91.8% of the workers showed positive PCIS, which was above the number required for program exit. Although no workers had received a vaccination, there was only one case of severe COVID-19 pneumonia, and no evidence of COVID-19 spreading to the surrounding communities. Implementation of the B&S program and workers' adherence to health advice was the key to this success.

Association of household fuel with acute respiratory infection (ARI) under-five years children in Bangladesh

In developing countries, acute respiratory infections (ARIs) cause a significant number of deaths among children. According to Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS), about 25% of the deaths in children under-five years are caused by ARI in Bangladesh every year. Low-income families frequently rely on wood, coal, and animal excrement for cooking. However, it is unclear whether using alternative fuels offers a health benefit over solid fuels. To clear this doubt, we conducted a study to investigate the effects of fuel usage on ARI in children. In this study, we used the latest BDHS 2017-18 survey data collected by the Government of Bangladesh (GoB) and estimated the effects of fuel use on ARI by constructing multivariable logistic regression models. From the analysis, we found that the crude (the only type of fuel in the model) odds ratio (OR) for ARI is 1.69 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-2.71]. This suggests that children in families using contaminated fuels are 69.3% more likely to experience an ARI episode than children in households using clean fuels. After adjusting for cooking fuel, type of roof material, child's age (months), and sex of the child-the effect of solid fuels is similar to the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) for ARI (OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.05-2.72). This implies that an ARI occurrence is 69.2% more likely when compared to the effect of clean fuel. This study found a statistically significant association between solid fuel consumption and the occurrence of ARI in children in households. The correlation between indoor air pollution and clinical parameters of ARI requires further investigation. Our findings will also help other researchers and policymakers to take comprehensive actions by considering fuel type as a risk factor as well as taking proper steps to solve this issue.

Mapping local variation in household overcrowding across Africa from 2000 to 2018: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

Household overcrowding is a serious public health threat associated with high morbidity and mortality. Rapid population growth and urbanisation contribute to overcrowding and poor sanitation in low-income and middle- income countries, and are risk factors for the spread of infectious diseases, including COVID-19, and antimicrobial resistance. Many countries do not have adequate surveillance capacity to monitor household overcrowding. Geostatistical models are therefore useful tools for estimating household overcrowding. In this study, we aimed to estimate household overcrowding in Africa between 2000 and 2018 by combining available household survey data, population censuses, and other country-specific household surveys within a geostatistical framework.

METHODS

We used data from household surveys and population censuses to generate a Bayesian geostatistical model of household overcrowding in Africa for the 19-year period between 2000 and 2018. Additional sociodemographic and health-related covariates informed the model, which covered 54 African countries.

FINDINGS

We analysed 287 surveys and population censuses, covering 78 695 991 households. Spatial and temporal variability arose in household overcrowding estimates over time. In 2018, the highest overcrowding estimates were observed in the Horn of Africa region (median proportion 62% [IQR 57-63]); the lowest regional median proportion was estimated for the north of Africa region (16% [14-19]). Overall, 474·4 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 250·1 million-740·7 million) people were estimated to be living in overcrowded conditions in Africa in 2018, a 62·7% increase from the estimated 291·5 million (180·8 million-417·3 million) people who lived in overcrowded conditions in the year 2000. 48·5% (229·9 million) of people living in overcrowded conditions came from six African countries (Nigeria, Ethiopia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sudan, Uganda, and Kenya), with a combined population of 538·3 million people.

INTERPRETATION

This study incorporated survey and population censuses data and used geostatistical modelling to estimate continent-wide overcrowding over a 19-year period. Our analysis identified countries and areas with high numbers of people living in overcrowded conditions, thereby providing a benchmark for policy planning and the implementation of interventions such as in infectious disease control.

FUNDING

UK Department of Health and Social Care, Wellcome Trust, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Study to evaluate the socio-demographic and environmental factors affecting morbidity and mortality of community acquired pneumonia in children <5years

Aim: To evaluate the socio demographic and environmental factors affecting morbidity and mortality of community acquired pneumonia in children <5years. Materials and methods: The present Observational longitudinal study was carried in the Department of Paediatrics, Dr. D.Y. Patil Medical College, Pune, among 70 children less than 5 years of age admitted in the In-patient department , Neonatal Intensive Care Unit and Paediatric Intensive Care Unit diagnosed as community acquired pneumonia of either sex in the hospital. The study was carried out from may 2019-september 2021. The children who fulfilled the WHO criteria of Community Acquired Pneumonia were in addition to the Chest x-ray and investigations findings suggestive of CAP were enrolled. The details of the patient's personal and demographic profile, clinical presentation, underlying condition, laboratory investigations, therapy and course in the hospital, and the final outcome were all recorded on a pre-designed proforma. Results: Mean age of children presenting with pneumonia (31.92 months) was approximately similar with those presenting with severe pneumonia (30.37 months).

Introducing the Disease Outbreak Resilience Index (DORI) Using the Demographic and Health Surveys Data from sub-Saharan Africa

Although most studies on disease emergencies underscore the need for household readiness for shocks associated with disease outbreaks, no study to date has provided a holistic measure for profiling households based on their readiness toward disease outbreaks. This paper introduces a novel Disease Outbreak Resilience Index (DORI) using a multidimensional approach that draws on the Alkire-Foster methodology. DORI measures disease outbreak resilience in four dimensions: (a) water and hygiene, (b) physical distancing, (c) energy and communication, and (d) economic security and resilience. The paper details the development of DORI and its use by presenting findings from ten countries in sub-Saharan Africa using data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) program. In addition to serving as a resilience index, we illustrate how DORI can be used to produce a disease outbreak vulnerability index (DOVI). As a versatile index, the indicators under each dimension can be tailored to meet country- and region-specific contexts based on indicators appropriate to each context.

Testing strategies to contain COVID-19 in migrant worker dormitories

Introduction

COVID-19 transmission within overcrowded migrant worker dormitories is an ongoing global issue. Many countries have implemented extensive control measures to prevent the entire migrant worker population from becoming infected. Here, we explore case count outcomes when utilizing lockdown and testing under different testing measures and transmissibility settings.

Methods

We built a mathematical model which estimates transmission across 10 different blocks with 1000 individuals per block under different parameter combinations and testing conditions over the period of 1 month. We vary parameters including differences in block connectivity, underlying recovered proportions at the time of intervention, case importation rates and testing protocols using either PCR or rapid antigen testing.

Results

We estimate that a relatively transmissible environment with fortnightly PCR testing at a relatively low initial recovered proportion of 40%, low connectivity where 10% of contacts occurred outside of the infected individuals’ block and a high importation rate of 1100000 per day, results in an average of 39 (95%Interval: 9–121) new COVID-19 cases after one month of observation. Similar results were observed for weekly rapid antigen testing at 33 (9–95) cases.

Interpretation

Our findings support the need for either fortnightly PCR testing or weekly rapid antigen testing in high population density environments such as migrant worker dormitories. Repeated mass testing is highly effective, preventing localized site outbreaks and reducing the need for site wide lockdowns or other extensive social distancing measures within and outside of dormitories.

Antibiotic Prescribing Patterns for Hospitalized children with Community-Acquired Pneumonia in a Secondary Care Center

BACKGROUND

Narrow-spectrum antibiotics are recommended as the first-line therapy for management of children hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). There are limited data evaluating the antibiotic prescription patterns for CAP in Saudi Arabia. The goal of this study to report on the antibiotic patterns in children hospitalized with CAP.

METHODS

A prospective cross-sectional study was conducted in children aged 1 month to 13 years who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of CAP at King Khalid Hospital in Majmaah, Saudi Arabia, between January 2019 and January 2020.

RESULTS

Data from 233 patients were collected. The majority of patients received amoxicillin clavulanate (57.9%), followed by ceftriaxone (30%), azithromycin (20.6%), cefuroxime (6%), ampicillin (2.1%), and piperacillin-tazobactam (2.1%). None of our patients were started on narrow-spectrum therapy. The younger age group (1-3 months) and patients with severe pneumonia were more likely to receive broad-spectrum cephalosporin and have a longer hospital stay (P = .000 and P = .002, respectively). However, the 4 months to 5 years age group was more likely to receive amoxicillin clavulanate (P = .001). Male gender was a significate risk factor for patients with severe pneumonia (P=.013) CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the inappropriate use of broad-spectrum therapy in children hospitalized with CAP. Further large multicenter studies are necessary to evaluate the patterns of antibiotic use and implement antimicrobial stewardship programs or quality-improvement projects to improve adherence to guidelines.

Particulate matter exposure predicts residence in high-risk areas for community acquired pneumonia among hospitalized children

Particulate matter exposure is a risk factor for lower respiratory tract infection in children. Here, we investigated the geospatial patterns of community-acquired pneumonia and the impact of PM_2.5 (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm) on geospatial variability of pneumonia in children. We performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected population-based surveillance study data of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalizations among children <18 years residing in the Memphis metropolitan area, who were enrolled in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention sponsored Etiology of Pneumonia in the Community (EPIC) study from January 2010 to June 2012. The outcome measure, residence in high- and low-risk areas for community-acquired pneumonia, was determined by calculating pneumonia incidence rates and performing cluster analysis to identify areas with higher/lower than expected rates of community-acquired pneumonia for the population at risk. High PM_2.5 was defined as exposure to PM_2.5 concentrations greater than the mean value (>10.75 μg/m³), and low PM_2.5 is defined as exposure to PM_2.5 concentrations less than or equal to the mean value (≤10.75 μg/m³). We also assessed the effects of age, sex, race/ethnicity, history of wheezing, insurance type, tobacco smoke exposure, bacterial etiology, and viral etiology of infection. Of 810 (96.1%) subjects with radiographic community-acquired pneumonia, who resided in the Memphis metropolitan area and had addresses which were successfully geocoded (Supplementary Figure F2), 220 (27.2%) patients were identified to be from high- (n = 126) or low-risk (n = 94) community-acquired pneumonia areas. Community-acquired pneumonia in Memphis metropolitan area had a non-homogenous geospatial pattern. PM_2.5 was associated with residence in high-risk areas for community-acquired pneumonia. In addition, children with private insurance and bacterial, as opposed to viral, etiology of infection had a decreased risk of residence in a high-risk area for community-acquired pneumonia. The results from this paper suggest that environmental exposures as well as social risk factors are associated with childhood pneumonia.

Time-to-Recovery from Severe Pneumonia and Its Determinants Among Children Under-Five Admitted to University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital in Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study; 2015-2020

Background

Pneumonia, which is an infection and inflammation of an air-space in the lungs due to an impurity. Child mortality due to pheumonia is estimated at 921,000 children under 5 years (U5) in 2015.

Objective

To determine the TTR and factors of severe pneumonia among U5 children admitted at UOGCSH, Northwest Ethiopia.with

Methods

A facility-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted on children U5 severe pneumonia from 2015 to 2020. The data were collected using pre-test and structured questionnaires. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata version 14.1.

Result

The average TTR was 3 days IQR (3–6). TTR from severe pneumonia was 13.5 (95% CI: 13.54–17.15) per 100-persons. The cumulative time for children at risk was 1112 days, with a TTR of 29.7 per 100 children per day. Severity, signs and symptoms of pneumonia (AHR, 3.88 (95% CI =3.12–5.57)); mode of infancy feeding (cows milk feeding) (AHR, 2.4, (95% CI: 2.22–6.6)), and formula feeding (AHR, 0.68, (95% CI 0.58–1.25)) as compared to breastfeeding; nutritional status (underweight) (AHR, 2.2, (95% CI: (2.1–3.76)) as compared to normal, age (2–3-years) (AHR, 1.4, (95% CI: 1.31–2.22)), and ≥4-years (AHR, 1.32, (95% CI: 1.3–2.32)) as compared to age of ≤1 year were important factors of TTR.

Conclusion

The overall TTR was 3 days IQR (2–6). This study identifies severity, signs, and symptoms of pneumonia, Mode of infancy feeding (cows milk feeding, formula feeding), nutritional status, and age were main determinants of TTR.

Modified PIRO (predisposition, insult, response, organ dysfunction) severity score as a predictor for mortality of children with pneumonia in Hasan Sadikin Hospital, Bandung, Indonesia

Background

Clinical manifestations for pneumonia vary from mild to severe. The PIRO model (predisposition, insult, response, organ dysfunction) was used as scoring system to determine severity of sepsis and pneumonia in adult patients. The PIRO model was modified for sorting the severity of pneumonia in children and predicting its risk of mortality.

Methods

An ambispective cohort study of pneumonia patients aged 1 month to ≤ 18 years admitted over the period from May to September 2020. Data were collected from history, physical examination, laboratory examination, and chest radiography. Based on bivariate analysis (p<0.05 and relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval), variables of each PIRO component that were significant for mortality were assigned a value of 1. The cut-off score for predictor of mortality was calculated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and the scores were stratified into three degrees of risk based on interquartile range, score ≤Q1 was categorized as low risk; Q1-Q3 was categorized as moderate risk; and score >Q3 was categorized as high risk.

Results

Out of the 80 subjects enrolled, 6 months-5 years was the largest age group (56.3%). The observed mortality was 15/80 (18.8%). The modified PIRO severity score was compiled from significant variables of predisposition (malnutrition), insult (chest radiograph), response (hypoxemia, hypotension, CRP >0.5 mg/dL, PCT >0.5 ng/dL) and organ dysfunction, with range of score 0-7. Score >3 was categorized as a cut-off point score for predictor of mortality with AUC 0.919 (95% CI 0.836–0.968), sensitivity of 80%, and specificity of 84.62%. Subjects with score >3 have RR of 10.544 compared to those with score ≤3. The stratification of score level was low (≤2), moderate (3-4), and high (5-7). The mortality levels were 0%, 46.7%, and 53.3%, respectively.

Conclusions

Modified PIRO severity score can be used as a sorting tool and predictor of mortality risk in children with pneumonia. This score can also be used to select candidates for intensive care, especially in health facilities with limited intensive care capacity.

Using geo-spatial analysis for assessing the risk of hospital admissions due to community-acquired pneumonia in under-5 children and its association with socially vulnerable areas (Brazil)

Background

The concentration of under-5 child morbidity and mortality due to pneumonia in developing countries reflects the social inequities. This study aimed to map and assess the spatial risk for hospitalization due to Community-Acquired Pneumonia in children under 5 years of age and its association with vulnerable areas.

Methods

Ecological study in the city of Ribeirão Preto, state of São Paulo, Brazil. The study population consisted of hospitalized under-5 children, diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia, in Ribeirão Preto-São Paulo-Brazil, from 2012 to 2013. Data were collected in different databases, by a trained team, between March 2012 and August 2013 and from the 2010 Demographic Census of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. The 956 urban census tracts were considered as the units of analysis. The incidence of cases per 10,000 inhabitants was calculated by census tracts during the study period. For the identification of the spatial risk clusters, the Kernel density estimator and the Getis-Ord Gi* technique were performed. Generalized additive models were used to verify the association between areas with social vulnerability and the occurrence of childhood pneumonia.

Results

The study included 265 children under the age of five, hospitalized due to community-acquired pneumonia. A concentration of cases was identified in the regions with greater social vulnerability (low income, poor housing conditions and homelessness), as well as a lower occurrence of cases in the most developed and economically privileged area of the city. The majority of the children lived in territories served by traditional primary healthcare units, in which the health surveillance and family and community focus are limited. It is important to highlight that the tracts with the highest degrees of vulnerability, such as those identified as high vulnerability (urban) and very high vulnerability (subnormal urban clusters).

Conclusions

The results contribute to the comprehension of the social factors involved in child hospitalization due to pneumonia, based on the analysis of the spatial distribution. This approach revealed a strategic tool for diagnosing the disparities as well presenting evidences for the planning in health and strength health care system in achieving equity, welfare and social protection of children.

Supplementary Information

Supplementary information accompanies this paper at 10.1186/s12887-020-02398-x.

Trends and factors associated with acute respiratory infection among under five children in Zambia: evidence from Zambia's demographic and health surveys (1996-2014)

Introduction

acute respiratory infection (ARI) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality among children under the age of five years globally accounting for 16% of deaths. In Zambia, ARI accounts for 30-40% of children's outpatient attendance and 20-30% of hospital admissions. We assessed trends and factors associated with ARI among under-five children in Zambia from 1996 to 2014.

Methods

we analysed the Zambia demographic and health survey data for 1996, 2002, 2007 and 2014 of under five children and their mothers. We extracted data using a data extraction tool from the women's file. We analysed trends using chi square for trends. We conducted a complex survey multivariable logistic regression analysis, reported adjusted odds ratios (AOR) 95% confidence intervals (CI) and p-values.

Results

we included a total of 6,854 and 2,389 (8%) had symptoms consistent with ARI. A 2% upward trend was noted between the 1996 and 2002 surveys but a sharp decline of 10% occurred in 2007. The chi2 trend test was significant p < 0.001. Children whose mothers had secondary or higher education were less likely to have ARI (AOR 0.30 95% CI 0.15-0.58) compared to those with no education. Underweight children had 1.50 times increased odds of having ARI (AOR 1.50 95% CI 1.25 - 1.68) compared with children who were not. Use of biomass fuels such as charcoal (AOR 2.67 95% CI 2.09 - 3.42) and wood (2.79 95% CI 2.45 -3.19) were associated with high odds for ARI compared to electricity.

Conclusion

the prevalence of ARI has declined in Zambia from 1996 to 2014. Factors associated with occurrence of ARI included being a child under one year, underweight, use of biomass fuel such as charcoal and wood. Interventions to reduce the burden of ARI should be targeted at scaling up nutrition programs, as well as promoting use of cleaner fuels.

Prevalence and clinical significance of common respiratory pathogens in the upper respiratory tract of children with community-acquired pneumonia in Zunyi, China

PURPOSE

To estimate the prevalence of common respiratory pathogens among children with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Zunyi City, Guizhou, China, and to assess whether the presence of common respiratory pathogens in patients is associated with disease severity.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study assessed the prevalence of common respiratory viruses and bacteria in the upper respiratory tract of among infants and children aged 1 month to 5 years hospitalized with radiologically confirmed CAP between April 2017 and March 2018. Direct immunofluorescence assay and bacterial culture were used to identify viruses and bacteria in the upper airway specimens, respectively. The association between severe CAP and the presence of pathogens was determined using multivariate logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Of the 685 patients enrolled, 583 cases had viral and/or bacterial pathogens detected, which included the presence of only viral pathogens, only bacterial pathogens, and mixed viral and bacterial pathogens in 34.3%, 29.7%, and 36.0% of cases, respectively. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) was the most common viral pathogen, with a prevalence rate of 39.9% (273/685). Haemophilus influenzae was the most commonly detected bacterial pathogen, with a prevalence rate of 15.3% (105/685). The presence of RSV (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-2.8) and Staphylococcus aureus (aOR, 13.7; 95% CI, 5.5-33.9) in children with CAP was associated with severe pneumonia.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of Zunyi infants and children hospitalized with CAP, RSV was the most common pathogen.

Passive Smoking and Disease Severity in Childhood Pneumonia Under 5 Years of Age

OBJECTIVE

To objectively investigate the effect of passive smoking on pneumonia and disease severity in children aged less than 5 years by using cotinine as an indicator of passive smoking.

METHODS

Between December 2015 and April 2016, children aged less than 5 years with pneumonia and age-matched healthy controls were included in this study, which was conducted at three tertiary pediatric pulmonology centers. A questionnaire was given to the parents regarding demographic data and smoking status at home. Urinary cotinine/creatinine ratio (CCR) was measured. The data from the pneumonia and control groups, as well as children with mild and severe pneumonia within the pneumonia group, were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 227 subjects were included in the study; there were 74 children in the pneumonia group and 153 in the control group. The mean age of all the children was 33.4 ± 1.28 months. Of all subjects, 140 were male and 102 were exposed to passive smoking by their parents at home. There were statistically significant differences in age, number of people in the home, and mother's and father's age between the control and pneumonia groups (p < 0.05). No difference was found in the CCR in the control and pneumonia group (p > 0.05). Age and urinary CCR were significantly different between children with mild and severe pneumonia (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

We showed that passive smoking exposure was associated with the development of severe pneumonia in children. Further studies are needed to examine the underlying cause in detail.

Pneumonia among under-five children in Alexandria, Egypt: a case-control study

Background

Pneumonia among under-five children constitutes a major public health concern. Studies examining risk factors for pneumonia in Egypt are limited.

Aim

To identify risk factors of pneumonia among under-five children in Alexandria, Egypt.

Methods

An observational case-control study was conducted over a 5-month period (September 2017–January 2018) in three main pediatric hospitals in Alexandria. A predesigned questionnaire was used to interview 660 mothers of under-five children (330 pneumonia cases and 330 control). The questionnaire included potential risk factors for pneumonia which were categorized into child-related factors, socio-demographic factors, and environmental factors.

Results

The mean age of the children was 23.14 ± 18.61 months with a range of 1–59 months. Nearly two-thirds (58.5%) were boys. Nine factors were found to be independently associated with pneumonia: age ≤ 12 months (OR = 1.925; 95% CI, 1.356–2.733; P < 0.001), male gender (OR = 1.646; 95% CI, 1.162–2.332; P = 0.005), birth order ≥ 4 (OR = 2.154; 95% CI, 1.282–3.617; P = 0.004), low birth weight (OR = 2.562; 95% CI, 1.718–3.821; P < 0.001), prematurity (OR = 2.019; 95% CI, 1.154–3.531; P = 0.014), place of delivery either at home (OR = 5.669; 95% CI, 1.063–30.237; P = 0.042) or at a public hospital (OR = 1.616; 95% CI, 1.131–2.310; P = 0.008), presence of concomitant illness (OR = 1.902; 95% CI, 1.043–3.469; P = 0.036), poor home aeration (OR = 3.586; 95% CI, 1.971–6.522; P < 0.001), and exposure to outdoor air pollution (OR = 2.403; 95% CI, 1.417–4.076; P = 0.001).

Conclusion

Several risk factors were significantly related to pneumonia among under-five children. Identifying such factors is important for developing interventions to reduce pneumonia burden among under-five in Egypt.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Severe Pneumonia in Children Hospitalized with Pneumonia in Ujjain, India

Childhood pneumonia is a major public health problem. The aim of this prospective hospital-based study is to determine the incidence and risk factors for community-acquired severe pneumonia in children in Ujjain, India. The study includes 270 children, 161 (60%) boys and 109 (40%) girls, aged between 2 months and 5 years with World Health Organization defined and radiologically confirmed severe pneumonia. Considering the 270 children, 64% (95% confidence interval (CI) 57.9–69.4) have severe pneumonia. The following are identified as risk factors for severe pneumonia from the generalized logistic regression model: Born premature (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 7.50; 95% CI 2.22–25.31; p = 0.001); history of measles (AOR 6.35; 95% CI 1.73–23.30; p = 0.005); incomplete vaccination (AOR 2.66; 95% CI 1.09–6.48; p = 0.031); acyanotic congenital heart disease (AOR 9.21; 95% CI 2.29–36.99; p = 0.002); home treatment tried (AOR 3.84; 95% CI 1.42–10.39; p = 0.008); living in a kuchha house (AOR 3.89; 95% CI 1.51–10.01; p = 0.027); overcrowding (AOR 4.50; 95% CI 1.75–11.51; p = 0.002);poor ventilation in living area (AOR 16.37; 95% CI 4.67–57.38; p < 0.001); and practicing open defecation (AOR 16.92; 95% CI 4.95–57.85; p < 0.001). Awareness of these risk factors can reduce mortality due to severe pneumonia.

Prevalence of pneumonia and its associated factors among under-five children in East Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Pneumonia is defined as an acute inflammation of the Lungs’ parenchymal structure. It is a major public health problem and the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in under-five children especially in developing countries. In 2015, it was estimated that about 102 million cases of pneumonia occurred in under-five children, of which 0.7 million were end up with death. Different primary studies in Eastern Africa showed the burden of pneumonia. However, inconsistency among those studies was seen and no review has been conducted to report the amalgamated magnitude and associated factors. Therefore, this review aimed to estimate the national prevalence and associated factors of pneumonia in Eastern Africa

Methods

Using PRISMA guideline, we systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed studies that examined the prevalence and associated factors of pneumonia from PubMed, Cochrane library, and Google Scholar. Heterogeneity across the studies was evaluated using the Q and the I² test. A weighted inverse variance random-effects model was applied to estimate the national prevalence and the effect size of associated factors. The subgroup analysis was conducted by country, study design, and year of publication. A funnel plot and Egger’s regression test were used to see publication bias. Sensitivity analysis was also done to identify the impact of studies.

Result

A total of 34 studies with 87, 984 participants were used for analysis. The pooled prevalence of pneumonia in East Africa was 34% (95% CI; 23.80–44.21). Use of wood as fuel source (AOR = 1.53; 95% CI:1.30–1.77; I² = 0.0%;P = 0.465), cook food in living room (AOR = 1.47;95% CI:1.16–1.79; I² = 0.0%;P = 0.58), caring of a child on mother during cooking (AOR = 3.26; 95% CI:1.80–4.72; I² = 22.5%;P = 0.26), Being unvaccinated (AOR = 2.41; 95% CI:2.00–2.81; I² = 51.4%;P = 0.055), Child history of Acute Respiratory Tract Infection (ARTI) (AOR = 2.62; 95% CI:1.68–3.56; I² = 11.7%;P = 0.337) were identified factors of pneumonia.

Conclusion

The prevalence of pneumonia in Eastern Africa remains high. This review will help policy-makers and program officers to design pneumonia preventive interventions.

Chest radiograph findings in children aged 2-59 months hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia, prior to the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in India: a prospective multisite observational study

OBJECTIVES

The current study was a hospital-based surveillance of cases hospitalised with WHO-defined community-acquired pneumonia in children aged 2-59 months, to assess the radiological abnormalities in chest X-rays and to identify the demographic and clinical correlates of specific radiological abnormalities, in residents of prespecified districts of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, India.

DESIGN

Prospective, active, hospital-based surveillance.

SETTING

Multisite study conducted in a network of 117 secondary/tertiary care hospitals in four districts of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, India.

PARTICIPANTS

Included were children aged 2-59 months, hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia, residing in the project district, with duration of illness <14 days and who had not been hospitalised elsewhere for this episode nor had been recruited previously.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Concordant radiological abnormalities in the chest X-rays.

RESULTS

From January 2015 to April 2017, 3214 cases were recruited and in 99.40% (3195/3214) chest X-rays were available, among which 88.54% (2829/3195) were interpretable. Relevant radiological abnormalities were found in 34.53% (977/2829, 95% CI 32.78 to 36.28). These were primary end point pneumonia alone or with other infiltrates in 22.44% (635/2829, 95% CI 20.90% to 23.98%) and other infiltrates in 12.09% (342/2829; 95% CI 10.88% to 13.29%). There was a statistically significant interdistrict variation in radiological abnormalities. Statistically significantly higher proportion of abnormal chest X-rays were found in girls, those with weight-for-age z-score ≤-3SD, longer duration of fever, pallor and with exposure to biomass fuel.

CONCLUSIONS

Among hospitalised cases of community-acquired pneumonia, almost one-third children had abnormal chest radiographs, which were higher in females, malnourished children and those with longer illnesses; and an intra-district variation was observed.

Prevalence and risk factors of acute lower respiratory infection among children living in biomass fuel using households: a community-based cross-sectional study in Northwest Ethiopia

Background

Childhood acute lower respiratory infection in the form of pneumonia is recognized as the single largest cause of childhood death globally accounting for 16% of the overall deaths. Some studies also reported a higher prevalence of childhood acute respiratory infection in Ethiopia, which ranges from 16% up to 33.5%. Concerning the risk factors, there are limited community-based studies in Ethiopia in general, and in the current study region in particular. Therefore, the present study was conducted to investigate the prevalence of childhood acute respiratory infection and associated factors in Northwest Ethiopia.

Methods

As part of the wider stove trial project, a cross-sectional study was conducted in May 2018 among a total of 5830 children aged less than 4 years old in randomly selected clusters. Binary logistic regression was applied to identify factors linked with childhood acute lower respiratory infection and adjusted odds ratios were used as measures of effect with a 95% confidence interval.

Results

A total of 5830 children were included in the study within 100 clusters. Out of which 51.7% were male and 48.3% female. The prevalence of childhood lower acute respiratory infection was 19.2% (95% CI: 18.2–20.2) and found to decrease among children living in homes with chimney, eaves space and improved cookstove than children living in households with no chimney, eaves space and improved cookstove with estimated AOR of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.51–0.70), 0.70 (95% CI: 0.60–0.84) and 0.43 (95% CI: 0.28–0.67) respectively. It was also associated with other cooking-related factors such as cow dung fuel use [AOR = 1.54 (95% CI: 1.02–2.33)], child spending time near stove during cooking [AOR = 1.41 (95% CI: 1.06–1.88), presence of extra indoor burning events [AOR = 2.19 (95% CI: 1.41–3.40)] and with frequent cooking of meals [AOR = 1.55 (95% CI: 1.13–2.13)].

Conclusion

High prevalence of childhood acute lower respiratory infection was demonstrated by this study and it was found to be associated with household ventilation, cooking technology, and behavioral factors. Therefore, we recommend a transition in household ventilation, cooking technologies as well as in child handling and in the peculiar local extra indoor burning practices.

Hospitalizações infantis por condições sensíveis à atenção primária em cidade brasileira

Objetivo: analisar a evolução temporal das hospitalizações, de crianças menores de cinco anos, por condições sensíveis à atenção primária em Teresina-PI, Brasil, de 2003 a 2012.Métodos: trata-se de estudo retrospectivo, descritivo e quantitativo, realizado a partir de dados secundários extraídos da Rede Interagencial de Informações para a Saúde, disponíveis no sítio eletrônico do Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde. As hospitalizações foram analisadas em dois grupos etários: crianças menores de um ano de idade e crianças entre um e quatro anos de idade.Resultados: apesar das flutuações no período analisado, a taxa de hospitalizações teve um decréscimo de 71,88 %. Em crianças menores de um ano, o declínio foi de 71,49 % e, com idade entre um e quatro anos, a redução foi de 72,30 %. A maioria das hospitalizações ocorreu no sexo masculino, e as causas que predominaram foram gastroenterites infecciosas e pneumonias bacterianas.Conclusões: as hospitalizações por condições sensíveis à atenção primária tiveram um declínio ao longo da década analisada, entretanto houve um predomínio de condições sensíveis que poderiam ser evitadas ou até mesmo solucionadas se fossem aplicadas as medidas disponíveis e de baixo custo nos serviços primários de saúde.

Neutrophils in community-acquired pneumonia: parallels in dysfunction at the extremes of age

"Science means constantly walking a tight rope" Heinrich Rohrer, physicist, 1933. Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading cause of death from infectious disease worldwide and disproportionately affects older adults and children. In high-income countries, pneumonia is one of the most common reasons for hospitalisation and (when recurrent) is associated with a risk of developing chronic pulmonary conditions in adulthood. Pneumococcal pneumonia is particularly prevalent in older adults, and here, pneumonia is still associated with significant mortality despite the widespread use of pneumococcal vaccination in middleand high-income countries and a low prevalence of resistant organisms. In older adults, 11% of pneumonia survivors are readmitted within months of discharge, often with a further pneumonia episode and with worse outcomes. In children, recurrent pneumonia occurs in approximately 10% of survivors and therefore is a significant cause of healthcare use. Current antibiotic trials focus on short-term outcomes and increasingly shorter courses of antibiotic therapy. However, the high requirement for further treatment for recurrent pneumonia questions the effectiveness of current strategies, and there is increasing global concern about our reliance on antibiotics to treat infections. Novel therapeutic targets and approaches are needed to improve outcomes. Neutrophils are the most abundant immune cell and among the first responders to infection. Appropriate neutrophil responses are crucial to host defence, as evidenced by the poor outcomes seen in neutropenia. Neutrophils from older adults appear to be dysfunctional, displaying a reduced ability to target infected or inflamed tissue, poor phagocytic responses and a reduced capacity to release neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs); this occurs in health, but responses are further diminished during infection and particularly during sepsis, where a reduced response to granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) inhibits the release of immature neutrophils from the bone marrow. Of note, neutrophil responses are similar in preterm infants. Here, the storage pool is decreased, neutrophils are less able to degranulate, have a reduced migratory capacity and are less able to release NETs. Less is known about neutrophil function from older children, but theoretically, impaired functions might increase susceptibility to infections. Targeting these blunted responses may offer a new paradigm for treating CAP, but modifying neutrophil behaviour is challenging; reducing their numbers or inhibiting their function is associated with poor clinical outcomes from infection. Uncontrolled activation and degranulation can cause significant host tissue damage. Any neutrophil-based intervention must walk the tightrope described by Heinrich Rohrer, facilitating necessary phagocytic functions while preventing bystander host damage, and this is a significant challenge which this review will explore.

Overcrowding and health in two impoverished suburbs of Johannesburg, South Africa

Background

Rapid urbanization, unmatched by an associated supply of housing, has resulted in overcrowding in the cities of many developing countries, including in Johannesburg, South Africa. Household overcrowding has been associated with a range of ill-health outcomes, including acute respiratory infections and diarrhoeal diseases. The aim of this study was to describe the levels of household crowding, and examine associations with respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms in selected two low-income neighbourhoods in Johannesburg.

Methods

Questionnaire data from a panel study conducted over an 11-year period between 2006 and 2016 were extracted to conduct the analyses. Structured questionnaires, designed to collect information on housing conditions, socio-economic and health status were administered to adult representatives of households occupying the primary dwelling on pre-selected study sites.

Results

Over the 11-year study period, levels of overcrowding remained unchanged. Around 57.6% of dwellings in the study neighbourhoods were determined to be overcrowded in relation to international guidelines. Results from the multiple logistic regression analyses indicated that crowded dwellings were associated with elevated levels of acute respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms, as well as fever/chills.

Conclusion

Respondent perceptions varied from objective measures of overcrowding. Crowded dwellings were associated with elevated reports of acute respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms, as well as fever/chills.

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use during humanitarian crises

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a common human commensal that causes a sizeable part of the overall childhood mortality in low income settings. Populations affected by humanitarian crises are at especially high risk, because a multitude of risk factors that are enhanced during crises increase pneumococcal transmission and disease severity. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) provide effective protection and have been introduced into the majority of routine childhood immunisation programmes globally, though several barriers have hitherto limited their uptake during humanitarian crises. When PCV coverage cannot be sustained during crises or when PCV has not been part of routine programmes, mass vaccination campaigns offer a quick acting and programmatically feasible bridging solution until services can be restored. However, we currently face a paucity of evidence on which to base the structure of such campaigns. We believe that, now that PCV can be procured at a substantially reduced price through the Humanitarian Mechanism, this lack of information is a remaining hurdle to PCV use in humanitarian crises. Considering the difficulties in conducting research in crises, we propose an evidence generation pathway consisting of primary data collection in combination with mathematical modelling followed by quasi-experimental evaluation of a PCV intervention, which can inform on optimal vaccination strategies that consider age targeting, dosing regimens and impact duration.

Aetiology and risks factors associated with the fatal outcomes of childhood pneumonia among hospitalised children in the Philippines from 2008 to 2016: a case series study

OBJECTIVE

Pneumonia remains the leading cause of hospitalisations and deaths among children aged <5 years. Diverse respiratory pathogens cause acute respiratory infections, including pneumonia. Here, we analysed viral and bacterial pathogens and risk factors associated with death of hospitalised children.

DESIGN

A 9-year case series study.

SETTING

Two secondary-care hospitals, one tertiary-care hospital and one research centre in the Philippines.

PARTICIPANTS

5054 children aged <5 years hospitalised with severe pneumonia.

METHODS

Nasopharyngeal swabs for virus identification, and venous blood samples for bacterial culture were collected. Demographic, clinical data and laboratory findings were collected at admission time. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with death.

RESULTS

Of the enrolled patients, 57% (2876/5054) were males. The case fatality rate was 4.7% (238/5054), showing a decreasing trend during the study period (p<0.001). 55.0% of the patients who died were either moderately or severely underweight. Viruses were detected in 61.0% of the patients, with respiratory syncytial virus (27.0%) and rhinovirus (23.0%) being the most commonly detected viruses. In children aged 2-59 months, the risk factors significantly associated with death included age of 2-5 months, sensorial changes, severe malnutrition, grunting, central cyanosis, decreased breath sounds, tachypnoea, fever (≥38.5°C), saturation of peripheral oxygen <90%, infiltration, consolidation and pleural effusion on chest radiograph.Among the pathogens, adenovirus type 7, seasonal influenza A (H1N1) and positive blood culture for bacteria were significantly associated with death. Similar patterns were observed between the death cases and the aforementioned factors in children aged <2 months.

CONCLUSION

Malnutrition was the most common factor associated with death and addressing this issue may decrease the case fatality rate. In addition, chest radiographic examination and oxygen saturation measurement should be promoted in all hospitalised patients with pneumonia as well as bacteria detection to identify patients who are at risk of death.

Modifiable risk factors for community-acquired pneumonia in children under 5 years of age in resource-poor settings: a case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Despite the availability of vaccines and antibiotics, pneumonia remains the leading cause of mortality among children under 5 years of age. The objective of this study was to identify modifiable risk factors for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children under 5 years of age in a vaccinated population.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted between January and December 2017. The cases included children aged 2-59 months with X-ray-confirmed pneumonia, whereas the controls were children from the community with no history of respiratory infection. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to determine the modifiable risk factors for CAP.

RESULTS

A total of 113 children with X-ray-confirmed pneumonia and 350 healthy children were enrolled in this study. The median ages for the cases and controls were 13.7 (IQR = 7.2-25.3) and 13.4 (IQR = 6.0-24.8) months respectively. One (0.9%) child died after the enrolment. The independent predictors of CAP included a lack of exclusive breastfeeding for 6 months (aOR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.0-2.9), underweight (aOR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.0-4.5), unclean cooking fuel (aOR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.0-3.3) and low income (aOR = 2.9, 95% CI = 1.6-5.4). No association was found between vaccination status and CAP.

CONCLUSION

In addition to a lack of exclusive breastfeeding, children from families of low-economic status were at risk of contracting CAP. Since the risk factors are complex, the study results call for more concerted efforts by and collaboration among the health, agriculture and development sectors to address mortality caused by CAP.

Integrative Physiology of Pneumonia

Pneumonia is a type of acute lower respiratory infection that is common and severe. The outcome of lower respiratory infection is determined by the degrees to which immunity is protective and inflammation is damaging. Intercellular and interorgan signaling networks coordinate these actions to fight infection and protect the tissue. Cells residing in the lung initiate and steer these responses, with additional immunity effectors recruited from the bloodstream. Responses of extrapulmonary tissues, including the liver, bone marrow, and others, are essential to resistance and resilience. Responses in the lung and extrapulmonary organs can also be counterproductive and drive acute and chronic comorbidities after respiratory infection. This review discusses cell-specific and organ-specific roles in the integrated physiological response to acute lung infection, and the mechanisms by which intercellular and interorgan signaling contribute to host defense and healthy respiratory physiology or to acute lung injury, chronic pulmonary disease, and adverse extrapulmonary sequelae. Pneumonia should no longer be perceived as simply an acute infection of the lung. Pneumonia susceptibility reflects ongoing and poorly understood chronic conditions, and pneumonia results in diverse and often persistent deleterious consequences for multiple physiological systems.

An exploration of mortality risk factors in non-severe pneumonia in children using clinical data from Kenya

BACKGROUND

Childhood pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of mortality in children younger than 5 years old. Recent updates to World Health Organization pneumonia guidelines recommend outpatient care for a population of children previously classified as high risk. This revision has been challenged by policymakers in Africa, where mortality related to pneumonia is higher than in other regions and often complicated by comorbidities. This study aimed to identify factors that best discriminate inpatient mortality risk in non-severe pneumonia and explore whether these factors offer any added benefit over the current criteria used to identify children with pneumonia requiring inpatient care.

METHODS

We undertook a retrospective cohort study of children aged 2-59 months admitted with a clinical diagnosis of pneumonia at 14 public hospitals in Kenya between February 2014 and February 2016. Using machine learning techniques, we analysed whether clinical characteristics and common comorbidities increased the risk of inpatient mortality for non-severe pneumonia. The topmost risk factors were subjected to decision curve analysis to explore if using them as admission criteria had any net benefit above the current criteria.

RESULTS

Out of 16,162 children admitted with pneumonia during the study period, 10,687 were eligible for subsequent analysis. Inpatient mortality within this non-severe group was 252/10,687 (2.36%). Models demonstrated moderately good performance; the partial least squares discriminant analysis model had higher sensitivity for predicting mortality in comparison to logistic regression. Elevated respiratory rate (≥70 bpm), age 2-11 months and weight-for-age Z-score (WAZ) < -3SD were highly discriminative of mortality. These factors ranked consistently across the different models. For a risk threshold probability of 7-14%, there is a net benefit to admitting the patient sub-populations with these features as additional criteria alongside those currently used to classify severe pneumonia. Of the population studied, 70.54% met at least one of these criteria. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the overall results were not significantly affected by variations in pneumonia severity classification criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with non-severe pneumonia aged 2-11 months or with respiratory rate ≥ 70 bpm or very low WAZ experience risks of inpatient mortality comparable to severe pneumonia. Inpatient care is warranted in these high-risk groups of children.

Role of Primary Health Care in child hospitalization due to pneumonia: a case-control study

Objective:

to evaluate the association of primary health care and other potential factors in relation to hospitalization due to pneumonia, among children aged under five years.

Method:

epidemiological study with a case-control, hospital-based design, which included 345 cases and 345 controls, matched according to gender, age and hospital. Data were collected using a pre-coded questionnaire and the Primary Care Assessment Tool, analyzed by means of multivariate logistic regression, following the assumptions of a hierarchical approach.

Results:

the protective factors were: family income >US$216.12 (OR=0.68), weight gain during pregnancy ≥10 kg (OR=0.68), quality of Primary Health Care (OR for scores >3.41=0.57; OR for scores >3.17 and ≤3.41=0.50), gastro-esophageal reflux (OR=0.55), overweight (OR=0.37) and birth interval ≥48 months (OR=0.28). The risk factors included: parity (2 childbirths: OR=4.60; ≥3 childbirths: OR=3.25), out-of-date vaccination (OR=2.81), undernutrition (OR=2.53), history of wheezing (≥3 episodes OR=2.37; 1 episode: OR=2.13), attendance at daycare center (OR=1.67), and use of medicines over the past month (OR=1.67).

Conclusion:

primary health care and its child health care practices, such as nutritional monitoring, immunization, care to prevalent illnesses, prenatal care and family planning need to be prioritized to avoid child hospitalization due to pneumonia.

Etiology of severe pneumonia in Ecuadorian children

BACKGROUND

In Latin America, community-acquired pneumonia remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality among children. Few studies have examined the etiology of pneumonia in Ecuador.

METHODS

This observational study was part of a randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted among children aged 2-59 months with severe pneumonia in Quito, Ecuador. Nasopharyngeal and blood samples were tested for bacterial and viral etiology by polymerase chain reaction. Risk factors for specific respiratory pathogens were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 406 children tested, 159 (39.2%) had respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), 71 (17.5%) had human metapneumovirus (hMPV), and 62 (15.3%) had adenovirus. Streptococcus pneumoniae was identified in 37 (9.2%) samples and Mycoplasma pneumoniae in three (0.74%) samples. The yearly circulation pattern of RSV (P = 0.0003) overlapped with S. pneumoniae, (P = 0.03) with most cases occurring in the rainy season. In multivariable analysis, risk factors for RSV included younger age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.9, P = 0.01) and being underweight (aOR = 1.8, P = 0.04). Maternal education (aOR = 0.82, P = 0.003), pulse oximetry (aOR = 0.93, P = 0.005), and rales (aOR = 0.25, P = 0.007) were associated with influenza A. Younger age (aOR = 3.5, P = 0.007) and elevated baseline respiratory rate were associated with HPIV-3 infection (aOR = 0.94, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

These results indicate the importance of RSV and influenza, and potentially modifiable risk factors including undernutrition and future use of a RSV vaccine, when an effective vaccine becomes available.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT 00513929.