Genetically determined tobacco and alcohol use and risk of atrial fibrillation

Predicting Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Using HARMS2-AF Score

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) remains a common complication after cardiac surgery. The ability to accurately identify patients at risk through previous risk scores is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the new HARMS2-AF risk score to predict POAF after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included 265 patients undergoing CABG surgery from 2022-2023. Data were obtained from the medical files of the patients and hospital records. Each patient was assigned a HARMS2-AF risk score. A univariate and multivariate regression analyses were done to analyze independent predictors of POAF.

RESULTS

Of 265 patients, 49 had postoperative atrial fibrillation. HARMS2-AF score was significantly higher in patients with POAF. Age, sleep apnea,a left atrial diameter (LAd), and HARMS2-AF score were independently associated with POAF. A HARMS2-AF score ≥ 4.5 predicted POAF with 91% sensitivity and 64% specificity (AUC = 0.787, 95% CI = 0.731-0.842, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The HARMS2-AF score is a strong predictor of atrial fibrillation (AF) development after isolated CABG surgery. It can be used as a novel stratification tool to estimate AF after cardiac surgery.

Bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study of association between smoking initiation and atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

The relationship between smoking and heart disease has been frequently reported. Therefore, we aimed to explore the association between smoking initiation and atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

Genetic association data pertaining to smoking initiation and atrial fibrillation were obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Phenotypically related single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were selected as instrumental variables. Inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, Mendelian randomization (MR), Egger regression, simple mode, and weighted mode methods were employed to perform the MR study. The association between smoking initiation and atrial fibrillation was evaluated using odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Cochran's Q test was employed to assess heterogeneity among instrumental variables, utilizing the IVW and MR-Egger methods. The Egger-intercept method was employed to test for horizontal pleiotropy, and the 'leave-one-out' method was utilized for sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The MR results for the effect of smoking initiation on atrial fibrillation (IVW, OR=1.11; 95% CI: 1.02-1.20, p=0.013) supported an association between smoking initiation and an increased likelihood of atrial fibrillation. In total, 85 SNPs were extracted from the GWAS pooled data as instrumental variables. The MR-Egger method indicated an intercept close to 0 (Egger intercept= -0.005, p=0.371), suggesting no horizontal pleiotropy in the selected instrumental variables. The 'leave-one-out' sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the results were robust and that no instrumental variables significantly influenced the results. Reverse MR analysis indicated no effect of atrial fibrillation on smoking initiation (IVW, OR=1.00; 95% CI: 0.99-1.02, p=0.684).

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking initiation has a significant impact on atrial fibrillation. However, atrial fibrillation did not influence smoking initiation. This study provides novel insights into the genetic relationships between smoking initiation and atrial fibrillation.

Interaction of genetic risk and lifestyle on the incidence of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The relationship between combined genetic predisposition and lifestyle and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. Therefore, we aimed to assess a possible interaction between lifestyle and genetics on AF risk.

METHODS

We included AF cases and a randomly drawn subcohort of 4040 participants from the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health cohort. Lifestyle risk factors were assessed, a score was calculated, and participants were categorised as having a poor, intermediate, or ideal lifestyle. We calculated a genetic risk score comprising 142 variants, and categorised participants into low (quintile 1), intermediate (quintiles 2-4) or high (quintile 5) genetic risk of AF.

RESULTS

3094 AF cases occurred during a median follow-up of 12.9 years. Regardless of genetic risk, incidence rates per 1000 person-years were gradually higher with worse lifestyle. For participants with high genetic risk, the incidence rates of AF per 1000 person-years were 5.0 (95% CI 3.4 to 7.3) among individuals with ideal lifestyle, 6.6 (95% CI 5.4 to 8.1) among those with intermediate lifestyle and 10.4 (95% CI 9.2 to 11.8) among participants with poor lifestyle. On an additive scale, there was a positive statistically significant interaction between genetic risk and lifestyle (relative excess risk due to interaction=0.86, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.03, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of AF increased gradually with worse lifestyle within each category of genetic risk. We found a positive interaction on an additive scale between genetic risk and lifestyle, suggesting that risk factor modification is especially important in individuals with a high genetic risk of AF.

Alcohol - a scoping review for Nordic Nutrition Recommendations 2023

The objective of this scoping review is to evaluate the updated evidence on the consumption of alcohol and health outcomes regarded as relevant for the Nordic and Baltic countries, including cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all-cause mortality. It is based on the previous Nordic Nutrition Recommendations of 2012 and relevant papers published until 31 May 2021. Current evidence from mainly observational epidemiological studies suggests that regular, moderate alcohol consumption may confer protective effects against myocardial infarction (MI) and type 2 diabetes. Mendelian randomization analyses do not fully support these findings, possibly because these analyses may fail to identify low alcohol intake. For several cancers, it is not possible to set any safe limit. All-cause mortality is not increased with light to moderate alcohol intake in middle-aged and older adults who do not engage in binge drinking. Total abstinence is associated with the lowest risk of mortality in young adults. Observational studies on alcohol consumption are hampered by a number of inherent methodological issues such as ascertainment of alcohol intake, selection of appropriate exposure groups, and insufficient control of confounding variables, colliders, and mediators. It should also be emphasized that there is a socio-economic contribution to the alcohol-health axis with a stronger detrimental effect of alcohol in the lower social classes. The above issues contribute to the complexity of unravelling the causal web between alcohol, mediators, confounders, and health outcome.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

Five-year changes in alcohol intake and risk of atrial fibrillation: a Danish cohort study

AIMS

Alcohol intake is a well-established risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, evidence on the effects of changes in alcohol intake to primary AF prevention is sparse. The aim of this study was to examine the association between 5-year changes in alcohol intake and the risk of incident AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study was based on the Danish cohort study Diet, Cancer and Health. Lifestyle factors were assessed using questionnaires at a recruitment research examination and a second examination 5 years later. Diagnoses of AF and comorbidities were retrieved from the Danish National Patient Registry. 43 758 participants without prior AF were included. The median age was 61 (25th-75th percentile 58-66) years and 54% were female. Over a median follow-up time of 15.7 years, 5312 participants had incident AF (incidence rate 8.6/1000 person-years). Compared with stable intake, increases in alcohol intake to ≥21 drinks/week from ≤6.9 drinks/week (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.09-1.72) or 14-20.9 drinks/week (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.01-1.59) at baseline were associated with a higher risk of AF. In contrast, we did not observe a statistically significant association between reductions in alcohol intake and the risk of AF.

CONCLUSION

A 5-year increase in alcohol intake was associated with a greater risk of AF compared with a stable low/moderate intake.

Alcohol and Arrhythmias

The association between alcohol consumption and abnormalities of heart rate and rhythm has long been recognized. Significant attention has focused on the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and sudden cardiac death (SCD) with excessive alcohol intake. Recent studies have advanced our understanding of these relationships and provided additional insights into potentially arrhythmogenic mechanisms. However, considerable uncertainty remains, such as the level of consumption at which harm begins and whether alcohol plays a role in other arrhythmias. This review characterizes the spectrum of conduction abnormalities and heart rhythm disorders in relation to alcohol consumption. In addition, it discusses the latest epidemiologic and experimental evidence, the potential importance of beverage type and constituent ingredients, and conflicting information on drink definitions, thresholds, and recommendations.

Harmful Impact of Tobacco Smoking and Alcohol Consumption on the Atrial Myocardium

Tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption are widespread exposures that are legal and socially accepted in many societies. Both have been widely recognized as important risk factors for diseases in all vital organ systems including cardiovascular diseases, and with clinical manifestations that are associated with atrial dysfunction, so-called atrial cardiomyopathy, especially atrial fibrillation and stroke. The pathogenesis of atrial cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation, and stroke in context with smoking and alcohol consumption is complex and multifactorial, involving pathophysiological mechanisms, environmental, and societal aspects. This narrative review summarizes the current literature regarding alterations in the atrial myocardium that is associated with smoking and alcohol.

Appraising the causal role of smoking in multiple diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis of Mendelian randomization studies

BACKGROUND

The causal association between cigarette smoking and several diseases remains equivocal. The purpose of this study was to appraise the causal role of smoking in a wide range of diseases by summarizing the evidence from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies.

METHODS

MR studies on genetic liability to smoking initiation or lifetime smoking (composite of smoking initiation, heaviness, duration, and cessation) in relation to circulatory system, digestive system, nervous system, musculoskeletal system, endocrine, metabolic, and eye diseases, and neoplasms published until February 15, 2022, were identified in PubMed. De novo MR analyses were performed using summary statistics data from genome-wide association studies. Meta-analysis was applied to combine study-specific estimates.

FINDINGS

Meta-analyses of findings of 29 published MR studies and 123 de novo MR analyses of 57 distinct primary outcomes showed that genetic liability to smoking (smoking initiation or lifetime smoking) was associated with increased risk of 13 circulatory system diseases, several digestive system diseases (including diverticular, gallstone, gastroesophageal reflux, and Crohn's disease, acute pancreatitis, and periodontitis), epilepsy, certain musculoskeletal system diseases (including fracture, osteoarthritis, and rheumatoid arthritis), endocrine (polycystic ovary syndrome), metabolic (type 2 diabetes) and eye diseases (including age-related macular degeneration and senile cataract) as well as cancers of the lung, head and neck, esophagus, pancreas, bladder, kidney, cervix, and ovaries, and myeloid leukemia. Smoking liability was associated with decreased risk of Parkinson's disease and prostate cancer.

INTERPRETATION

This study found robust evidence that cigarette smoking causes a wide range of diseases.

FUNDING

This work was supported by research grants from the Swedish Cancer Society (Cancerfonden), the Swedish Heart Lung Foundation (Hjärt-Lungfonden, 20210351), the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare (Forte, 2018-00123), and the Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsrådet, 2019-00977). Stephen Burgess is supported by Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (204623/Z/16/Z) and the National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014). The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Institute for Health Research or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Current Advancement in Diagnosing Atrial Fibrillation by Utilizing Wearable Devices and Artificial Intelligence: A Review Study

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia affecting 8–10% of the population older than 80 years old. The importance of early diagnosis of atrial fibrillation has been broadly recognized since arrhythmias significantly increase the risk of stroke, heart failure and tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy with reduced cardiac function. However, the prevalence of atrial fibrillation is often underestimated due to the high frequency of clinically silent atrial fibrillation as well as paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, both of which are hard to catch by routine physical examination or 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). The development of wearable devices has provided a reliable way for healthcare providers to uncover undiagnosed atrial fibrillation in the population, especially those most at risk. Furthermore, with the advancement of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the technology is now able to utilize the database in assisting detection of arrhythmias from the data collected by the devices. In this review study, we compare the different wearable devices available on the market and review the current advancement in artificial intelligence in diagnosing atrial fibrillation. We believe that with the aid of the progressive development of technologies, the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation shall be made more effectively and accurately in the near future.

Assessment of the Causal Effects of Obstructive Sleep Apnea on Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Background

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are epidemiologically correlated, but the causal relationship between them remains elusive. We aimed to explore the causal relationships between OSA and AF.

Method

Using both the Finnish biobank and publicly available genome-wide association study data (GWAS), we conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to estimate the causal effect of OSA on AF, both in the primary analysis and replicated analysis. The inverse variance weighted MR was selected as the main method. To further test the independent causal effect of OSA on AF, we also performed multivariable MR (MVMR), adjusting for body mass index (BMI), hypertension, and coronary artery disease (CAD), respectively.

Results

In the primary analysis, OSA was significantly associated with the increased risk of AF (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.11–1.32) and the replicated analysis showed consistent results (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05–1.30). Besides, there was no heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy observed both in the primary and replicated analysis. Further multivariable MR suggested that the causal relationships between OSA and AF exist independently of BMI and CAD. The MVMR result after the adjustment for hypertension is similar in magnitude and direction to the univariable MR. But it did not support a causal relationship between OSA and AF.

Conclusion

Our study found that genetically driven OSA causally promotes AF. This causal relationship sheds new light on taking effective measures to prevent and treat OSA to reduce the risk of AF.

Causal Association Between Alcohol Consumption and Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Previous observational studies presented a positive association between alcohol and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, previous studies using genetic polymorphisms on the causal relationship between alcohol consumption and AF have reported conflicting results. This study evaluated the causality between alcohol consumption and AF using the aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) rs671 polymorphism. In 8,964 cohort participants, genetic analysis and Mendelian randomization analysis using the ALDH2 genotypes showed a significant causal association between alcohol consumption and AF in men.

Background and Objectives

Previous observational studies presented a positive association between alcohol and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, previous studies using genetic polymorphisms on the causal relationship between alcohol consumption and AF have reported conflicting results. This study aimed to evaluate the causality between alcohol consumption and AF using the aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) rs671 polymorphism, which is the genetic variant with the most potent effect on drinking behavior.

Methods

A total of 8,964 participants from the Dong-gu Study were included in the present study. The causal association between alcohol consumption and AF was evaluated through a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using the ALDH2 rs671 polymorphism as an instrumental variable.

Results

No significant relationship between alcohol consumption and AF was found in the observational analysis. However, the genetic analysis using the ALDH2 polymorphism showed a significant association in men. In the MR analysis, genetically predicted daily alcohol consumption was positively related to AF.

Conclusions

MR analysis revealed a significant association between the amount of alcohol consumption and AF, which suggests that the association may be causal.

Estimating causal effects of genetically predicted type 2 diabetes on COVID-19 in the East Asian population

BACKGROUND

Observational studies suggested that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was associated with an increased risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, Mendelian randomization (MR) studies in the European population failed to find causal associations, partly because T2DM was pleiotropically associated with body mass index (BMI). We aimed to estimate the causal effects of T2DM on COVID-19 outcomes in the East Asian (EAS) population using a two-sample MR approach.

METHODS

We obtained summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) that included 433,540 EAS participants as the exposure dataset for T2DM risk and from COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative GWAS meta-analyses (round 7) of EAS ancestry as the outcome dataset for COVID-19 susceptibility (4,459 cases and 36,121 controls), hospitalization (2,882 cases and 31,200 controls), and severity (794 cases and 4,862 controls). As the main MR analysis, we performed the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method. Moreover, we conducted a series of sensitivity analyses, including IVW multivariable MR using summary statistics for BMI from a GWAS with 158,284 Japanese individuals as a covariate.

RESULTS

The IVW method showed that the risk of T2DM significantly increased the risk of COVID-19 susceptibility (odds ratio [OR] per log (OR) increase in T2DM, 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.20; P = 0.014) and hospitalization (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04-1.26; P = 0.005), although the risk of severity was only suggestive. Moreover, IVW multivariable MR analysis indicated that the causal effects of T2DM on COVID-19 outcomes were independent of the effect of BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our MR study indicated for the first time that genetically predicted T2DM is a risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospitalized COVID-19 independent of obesity in the EAS population.

Estimating causal effects of atherogenic lipid-related traits on COVID-19 susceptibility and severity using a two-sample Mendelian randomization approach

BACKGROUND

As the number of COVID-19 deaths continues to rise worldwide, the identification of risk factors for the disease is an urgent issue, and it remains controversial whether atherogenic lipid-related traits including serum apolipoprotein B, low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol, and triglyceride levels, are risk factors. The aim of this study was to estimate causal effects of lipid-related traits on COVID-19 risk in the European population using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approach.

METHODS

We used summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) that included 441,016 participants from the UK Biobank as the exposure dataset of lipid-related traits and from COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative GWAS meta-analyses of European ancestry as the outcome dataset for COVID-19 susceptibility (32,494 cases and 1,316,207 controls), hospitalization (8316 cases and 1,549,095 controls), and severity (4792 cases and 1,054,664 controls). We performed two-sample MR analyses using the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method. As sensitivity analyses, the MR-Egger regression, weighted median, and weighted mode methods were conducted as were leave-one-out sensitivity analysis, the MR-PRESSO global test, PhenoScanner searches, and IVW multivariable MR analyses. A P value below 0.0055 with Bonferroni correction was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

This MR study suggested that serum apolipoprotein B or LDL-cholesterol levels were not significantly associated with COVID-19 risk. On the other hand, we inferred that higher serum triglyceride levels were suggestively associated with higher risks of COVID-19 susceptibility (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation increase in lifelong triglyceride levels, 1.065; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.001-1.13; P = 0.045) and hospitalization (OR, 1.174; 95% CI, 1.04-1.33; P = 0.012), and were significantly associated with COVID-19 severity (OR, 1.274; 95% CI, 1.08-1.50; P = 0.004). Sensitivity and bidirectional MR analyses suggested that horizontal pleiotropy and reverse causation were unlikely.

CONCLUSIONS

Our MR study indicates a causal effect of higher serum triglyceride levels on a greater risk of COVID-19 severity in the European population using the latest and largest GWAS datasets to date. However, as the underlying mechanisms remain unclear and our study might be still biased due to possible horizontal pleiotropy, further studies are warranted to validate our findings and investigate underlying mechanisms.