Polygenic risk scores: from research tools to clinical instruments

Associations between frailty, genetic predisposition, and chronic kidney disease risk in middle-aged and older adults: A prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Cross-sectional evidence has shown that frailty is highly prevalent in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, there is limited evidence of the longitudinal associations between frailty, genetic predisposition to CKD, and the risk of CKD in the general population. Therefore, this study aimed to examine such associations among participants in the UK Biobank.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a prospective cohort study included 370,965 middle-aged and older adults from the UK Biobank. Physical frailty was assessed using a modified version of the Fried phenotype classification. A weighted genetic risk score was built using 263 variants associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incident CKD was identified from hospital inpatient records.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 12.3 years, we documented a total of 11,121 incident CKD cases. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models indicated that individuals with frailty (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.94, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.81-2.08) and pre-frailty (HR: 1.27, 95 % CI: 1.22-1.33) had an increased risk of developing CKD, compared with non-frail individuals. No significant interaction between frailty and genetic risk score was observed (P for interaction = 0.41). The highest risk was observed among the individuals with high genetic risk and frailty (HR: 2.31, 95 % CI: 2.00-2.68).

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that frailty and pre-frailty were associated with increased risk of incident CKD in middle-age and older adults, regardless of genetic risk of CKD. Our study underscores the importance of frailty screening and intervention as a potential strategy to prevent CKD. Future clinical trials are needed to validate our findings.

Air pollutants, genetic susceptibility and the risk of schizophrenia: large prospective study

BACKGROUND

Evidence linking air pollutants and the risk of schizophrenia remains limited and inconsistent, and no studies have investigated the joint effect of air pollutant exposure and genetic factors on schizophrenia risk.

AIMS

To investigate how exposure to air pollution affects schizophrenia risk and the potential effect modification of genetic susceptibility.

METHOD

Our study was conducted using data on 485 288 participants from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the schizophrenia risk as a function of long-term air pollution exposure presented as a time-varying variable. We also derived the schizophrenia polygenic risk score (PRS) utilising data provided by the UK Biobank, and investigated the modification effect of genetic susceptibility.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 11.9 years, 417 individuals developed schizophrenia (mean age 55.57 years, s.d. = 8.68; 45.6% female). Significant correlations were observed between long-term exposure to four air pollutants (PM2.5; PM10; nitrogen oxides, NOx; nitrogen dioxide, NO2) and the schizophrenia risk in each genetic risk group. Interactions between genetic factors and the pollutants NO2 and NOx had an effect on schizophrenia events. Compared with those with low PRS and low air pollution, participants with high PRS and high air pollution had the highest risk of incident schizophrenia (PM2.5: hazard ratio = 6.25 (95% CI 5.03-7.76); PM10: hazard ratio = 7.38 (95% CI 5.86-9.29); NO2: hazard ratio = 6.31 (95% CI 5.02-7.93); NOx: hazard ratio = 6.62 (95% CI 5.24-8.37)).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term exposure to air pollutants was positively related to the schizophrenia risk. Furthermore, high genetic susceptibility could increase the effect of NO2 and NOx on schizophrenia risk.

Role of Genetic Testing in Kidney Stone Disease: A Narrative Review

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Kidney stone disease (KSD) is a common and potentially life-threatening condition, and half of patients experience a repeat kidney stone episode within 5-10 years. Despite the ~50% estimate heritability of KSD, international guidelines have not kept up with the pace of discovery of genetic causes of KSD. The European Association of Urology guidelines lists 7 genetic causes of KSD as 'high risk'.

RECENT FINDINGS

There are currently 46 known monogenic (single gene) causes of kidney stone disease, with evidence of association in a further 23 genes. There is also evidence for polygenic risk of developing KSD. Evidence is lacking for recurrent disease, and only one genome wide association study has investigated this phenomenon, identifying two associated genes (SLC34A1 and TRPV5). However, in the absence of other evidence, patients with genetic predisposition to KSD should be treated as 'high risk'. Further studies are needed to characterize both monogenic and polygenic associations with recurrent disease, to allow for appropriate risk stratification. Durability of test result must be balanced against cost. This would enable retrospective analysis if no genetic cause was found initially. We recommend genetic testing using a gene panel for all children, adults < 25 years, and older patients who have factors associated with high risk disease within the context of a wider metabolic evaluation. Those with a genetic predisposition should be managed via a multi-disciplinary team approach including urologists, radiologists, nephrologists, clinical geneticists and chemical pathologists. This will enable appropriate follow-up, counselling and potentially prophylaxis.

The utility of obesity polygenic risk scores from research to clinical practice: A review

Obesity represents a major public health emergency worldwide, and its etiology is shaped by a complex interplay of environmental and genetic factors. Over the last decade, polygenic risk scores (PRS) have emerged as a promising tool to quantify an individual's genetic risk of obesity. The field of PRS in obesity genetics is rapidly evolving, shedding new lights on obesity mechanisms and holding promise for contributing to personalized prevention and treatment. Challenges persist in terms of its clinical integration, including the need for further validation in large-scale prospective cohorts, ethical considerations, and implications for health disparities. In this review, we provide a comprehensive overview of PRS for studying the genetics of obesity, spanning from methodological nuances to clinical applications and challenges. We summarize the latest developments in the generation and refinement of PRS for obesity, including advances in methodologies for aggregating genome-wide association study data and improving PRS predictive accuracy, and discuss limitations that need to be overcome to fully realize its potential benefits of PRS in both medicine and public health.

Polygenic risk score informed clinical model for improving abdominal aortic aneurysm screening

INTRODUCTION

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a complex disease with environmental and genetic risk factors. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) based on disease-specific risk-associated single nucleotide variants (SNVs) have demonstrated effectiveness in stratifying individual-level disease risk for cardiovascular diseases. This prospective cohort study assessed associations of PRS of AAA (PRSAAA) with risk of incident AAA, analyzed the effectiveness of a combined clinical-genetic risk model, and explored the clinical utility of the model in identifying high-risk individuals for AAA screening.

METHODS

PRSAAA was calculated using 911,440 SNVs and PRSCAD was calculated using 2,324,683 SNVs derived from mixed ancestry genome wide association studies. The UK Biobank was used as the study cohort. All individuals with complete genetic data available and no diagnosis of AAA at time of recruitment were included in the analysis and followed prospectively to assess for incident AAA. A PRS informed clinical model, Prob-AAA, was developed using clinically significant variables and PRSAAA.

RESULTS

481,105 individuals were included in the analysis with 2,668 incident AAA cases. Incident AAA increased from 0.30% to 0.93% between the lowest and highest decile of PRSAAA; similarly, severe AAA, requiring surgery and/or presenting with rupture, increased from 23% to 39% of incident AAA cases across deciles. PRSAAA was a predictor of incident AAA diagnosis (HR 2.06 [1.70 - 2.48]) independent of other clinical risk factors including male sex, older age, and smoking history. Prob-AAA was an independent predictor of incident AAA (HR 1.92 [1.69 - 2.20]), and identified 9.6% of cases of incident AAA compared to only 4.2% by PRSAAA. Current screening guidelines captured 5.7% of the overall cohort, with an incident AAA rate of approximately 3.2%. Amongst males not included by current guidelines, Prob-AAA identified an additional cohort, approximately 2% of the overall cohort, with a similar rate of incident AAA.

CONCLUSIONS

Prob-AAA, a PRS informed clinical model for AAA, improved upon the predictive power of current, clinical risk factor informed, screening guidelines for AAA.

GWAS-based polygenic risk scoring for predicting cerebral artery dissection in the Chinese population

OBJECTIVE

Cerebral artery dissection (CeAD) is a rare but serious disease. Genetic risk assessment for CeAD is lacking in Chinese population. We performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) and computed polygenic risk score (PRS) to explore genetic susceptibility factors and prediction model of CeAD based on patients in Huashan Hospital.

METHODS

A total of 210 CeAD patients and 280 controls were enrolled from June 2017 to September 2022 in Department of Neurology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University. We performed GWAS to identify genetic variants associated with CeAD in 140 CeAD patients and 210 control individuals according to a case and control 1:1.5 design rule in the training dataset, while the other 70 patients with CeAD and 70 controls were used as validation. Then Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analyses were utilized to identify the significant pathways. We constructed a PRS by capturing all independent GWAS SNPs in the analysis and explored the predictivity of PRS, age, and sex for CeAD.

RESULTS

Through GWAS analysis of the 140 cases and 210 controls in the training dataset, we identified 13 leading SNPs associated with CeAD at a genome-wide significance level of P < 5 × 10- 8. Among them, 10 SNPs were annotated in or near (in the upstream and downstream regions of ± 500Kb) 10 functional genes. rs34508376 (OR2L13) played a suggestive role in CeAD pathophysiology which was in line with previous observations in aortic aneurysms. The other nine genes were first-time associations in CeAD cases. GO enrichment analyses showed that these 10 genes have known roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into two groups: (1) cellular biological processes (BP); (2) molecular function (MF). We used genome-wide association data to compute PRS including 32 independent SNPs and constructed predictive model for CeAD by using age, sex and PRS as predictors both in training and validation test. The area under curve (AUC) of PRS predictive model for CeAD reached 99% and 95% in the training test and validation test respectively, which were significantly larger than the age and sex models of 83% and 86%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that ten risk loci were associated with CeAD susceptibility, and annotated functional genes had roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into biological process and molecular function. The PRS derived from risk variants was associated with CeAD incidence after adjusting for age and sex both in training test and validation.

Polygenic risk scores as a marker for epilepsy risk across lifetime and after unspecified seizure events

A diagnosis of epilepsy has significant consequences for an individual but is often challenging in clinical practice. Novel biomarkers are thus greatly needed. Here, we investigated how common genetic factors (epilepsy polygenic risk scores, [PRSs]) influence epilepsy risk in detailed longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs) of > 700k Finns and Estonians. We found that a high genetic generalized epilepsy PRS (PRSGGE) increased risk for genetic generalized epilepsy (GGE) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.73 per PRSGGE standard deviation [SD]) across lifetime and within 10 years after an unspecified seizure event. The effect of PRSGGE was significantly larger on idiopathic generalized epilepsies, in females and for earlier epilepsy onset. Analogously, we found significant but more modest focal epilepsy PRS burden associated with non-acquired focal epilepsy (NAFE). Here, we outline the potential of epilepsy specific PRSs to serve as biomarkers after a first seizure event.

Common polygenic variation in the early medication change (EMC) cohort affects disorder risk, but not the antidepressant treatment response

BACKGROUND

Given the great interest in identifying reliable predictors of the response to antidepressant drugs, the present study investigated whether polygenic scores (PGS) for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) and antidepressant treatment response (ADR) were related to the complex trait of antidepressant response in the Early Medication Change (EMC) cohort.

METHODS

In this secondary analysis of the EMC trial (N = 889), 481 MDD patients were included and compared to controls from a population-based cohort. Patients were treated over eight weeks within a pre-defined treatment-algorithm. We investigated patients' genetic variation associated with MDD and ADR, using PGS and examined the association of PGS with treatment outcomes (early improvement, response, remission). Additionally, the influence of two cytochrome P450 drug-metabolizing enzymes (CYP2C19, CYP2D6) was determined.

RESULTS

PGS for MDD was significantly associated with disorder status (NkR2 = 2.48 %, p < 1*10-12), with higher genetic burden in EMC patients compared to controls. The PGS for ADR did not explain remission status. The PGS for MDD and ADR were also not associated with treatment outcomes. In addition, there were no effects of common CYP450 gene variants on ADR.

LIMITATIONS

The study was limited by variability in the outcome parameters due to differences in treatment and insufficient sample size in the used ADR genome-wide association study (GWAS).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study confirms a polygenic contribution to MDD burden in the EMC patients. Larger GWAS with homogeneity in antidepressant treatments are needed to explore the genetic variation associated with ADR and realize the potential of PGS to contribute to specific response subtypes.

An externally validated resting-state brain connectivity signature of pain-related learning

Pain can be conceptualized as a precision signal for reinforcement learning in the brain and alterations in these processes are a hallmark of chronic pain conditions. Investigating individual differences in pain-related learning therefore holds important clinical and translational relevance. Here, we developed and externally validated a novel resting-state brain connectivity-based predictive model of pain-related learning. The pre-registered external validation indicates that the proposed model explains 8-12% of the inter-individual variance in pain-related learning. Model predictions are driven by connections of the amygdala, posterior insula, sensorimotor, frontoparietal, and cerebellar regions, outlining a network commonly described in aversive learning and pain. We propose the resulting model as a robust and highly accessible biomarker candidate for clinical and translational pain research, with promising implications for personalized treatment approaches and with a high potential to advance our understanding of the neural mechanisms of pain-related learning.

Genetic and Non-Genetic Contributions to Eosinophilic Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis: Current Knowledge and Future Perspectives

In this work, we present a comprehensive overview of the genetic and non-genetic complexity of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA). EGPA is a rare complex systemic disease that occurs in people presenting with severe asthma and high eosinophilia. After briefly introducing EGPA and its relationship with the anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibodies (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAVs), we delve into the complexity of this disease. At first, the two main biological actors, ANCA and eosinophils, are presented. Biological and clinical phenotypes related to ANCA positivity or negativity are explained, as well as the role of eosinophils and their pathological subtypes, pointing out their intricate relations with EGPA. Then, the genetics of EGPA are described, providing an overview of the research effort to unravel them. Candidate gene studies have investigated biologically relevant candidate genes; the more recent genome-wide association studies and meta-analyses, able to analyze the whole genome, have confirmed previous associations and discovered novel risk loci; in the end, family-based studies have dissected the contribution of rare variants and the heritability of EGPA. Then, we briefly present the environmental contribution to EGPA, reporting seasonal events and pollutants as triggering factors. In the end, the latest omic research is discussed and the most recent epigenomic, transcriptomic and microbiome studies are presented, highlighting the current challenges, open questions and suggesting approaches to unraveling this complex disease.

Real-time dynamic polygenic prediction for streaming data

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising tools for advancing precision medicine. However, existing PRS construction methods rely on static summary statistics derived from genome-wide association studies (GWASs), which are often updated at lengthy intervals. As genetic data and health outcomes are continuously being generated at an ever-increasing pace, the current PRS training and deployment paradigm is suboptimal in maximizing the prediction accuracy of PRSs for incoming patients in healthcare settings. Here, we introduce real-time PRS-CS (rtPRS-CS), which enables online, dynamic refinement and calibration of PRS as each new sample is collected, without the need to perform intermediate GWASs. Through extensive simulation studies, we evaluate the performance of rtPRS-CS across various genetic architectures and training sample sizes. Leveraging quantitative traits from the Mass General Brigham Biobank and UK Biobank, we show that rtPRS-CS can integrate massive streaming data to enhance PRS prediction over time. We further apply rtPRS-CS to 22 schizophrenia cohorts in 7 Asian regions, demonstrating the clinical utility of rtPRS-CS in dynamically predicting and stratifying disease risk across diverse genetic ancestries.

Association of Alzheimer's disease polygenic risk score with concussion severity and recovery metrics

Identification of genetic alleles associated with both Alzheimer's disease (AD) and concussion severity/recovery could help explain the association between concussion and elevated dementia risk. However, there has been little investigation into whether AD risk genes associate with concussion severity/recovery, and the limited findings are mixed. We used AD polygenic risk scores (PRS) and APOE genotypes to investigate any such associations in the NCAA-DoD Grand Alliance CARE Consortium (CARE) dataset. We assessed six outcomes in 931 total participants. The outcomes were two concussion recovery measures (number of days to asymptomatic status, number of days to return to play (RTP)) and four concussion severity measures (scores on SAC and BESS, SCAT symptom severity, and total number of symptoms). We calculated PRS using a published score [1] and performed multiple linear regression (MLR) to assess the relationship of PRS with the outcomes. We also used t-tests and chi-square tests to examine outcomes by APOE genotype, and MLR to analyze outcomes in European and African genetic ancestry subgroups. Higher PRS was associated with longer injury to RTP in the normal RTP (<24 days) subgroup ( p = 0.024), and one standard deviation increase in PRS resulted in a 9.89 hour increase to the RTP interval. There were no other consistently significant effects, suggesting that high AD genetic risk is not strongly associated with more severe concussions or poor recovery in young adults. Future studies should attempt to replicate these findings in larger samples with longer follow-up using PRS calculated from diverse populations.

Evaluation of polygenic scoring methods in five biobanks shows larger variation between biobanks than methods and finds benefits of ensemble learning

Methods of estimating polygenic scores (PGSs) from genome-wide association studies are increasingly utilized. However, independent method evaluation is lacking, and method comparisons are often limited. Here, we evaluate polygenic scores derived via seven methods in five biobank studies (totaling about 1.2 million participants) across 16 diseases and quantitative traits, building on a reference-standardized framework. We conducted meta-analyses to quantify the effects of method choice, hyperparameter tuning, method ensembling, and the target biobank on PGS performance. We found that no single method consistently outperformed all others. PGS effect sizes were more variable between biobanks than between methods within biobanks when methods were well tuned. Differences between methods were largest for the two investigated autoimmune diseases, seropositive rheumatoid arthritis and type 1 diabetes. For most methods, cross-validation was more reliable for tuning hyperparameters than automatic tuning (without the use of target data). For a given target phenotype, elastic net models combining PGS across methods (ensemble PGS) tuned in the UK Biobank provided consistent, high, and cross-biobank transferable performance, increasing PGS effect sizes (β coefficients) by a median of 5.0% relative to LDpred2 and MegaPRS (the two best-performing single methods when tuned with cross-validation). Our interactively browsable online-results and open-source workflow prspipe provide a rich resource and reference for the analysis of polygenic scoring methods across biobanks.

A de novo ARIH2 gene mutation was detected in a patient with autism spectrum disorders and intellectual disability

E3 ubiquitin protein ligase encoded by ARIH2 gene catalyses the ubiquitination of target proteins and plays a crucial role in posttranslational modifications across various cellular processes. As prior documented, mutations in genes involved in the ubiquitination process are often associated with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and/or intellectual disability (ID). In the current study, a de novo heterozygous mutation was identified in the splicing intronic region adjacent to the last exon of the ARIH2 gene using whole exome sequencing (WES). We hypothesize that this mutation, found in an ASD/ID patient, disrupts the protein Ariadne domain which is involved in the autoinhibition of ARIH2 enzyme. Predictive analyses elucidated the implications of the novel mutation in the splicing process and confirmed its autosomal dominant inheritance model. Nevertheless, we cannot exclude the possibility that other genetic factors, undetectable by WES, such as mutations in non-coding regions and polygenic risk in inter-allelic complementation, may contribute to the patient's phenotype. This work aims to suggest potential relationship between the detected mutation in ARIH2 gene and both ASD and ID, even though functional studies combined with new sequencing approaches will be necessary to validate this hypothesis.

Using the Strategy of Genome-Wide Association Studies to Identify Genetic Markers of Suicidal Behavior: A Narrative Review

BACKGROUND

Several studies involving various suicidal phenotypes based on the strategy of the search of genome-wide associations with single nucleotide polymorphisms have been performed recently. These studies need to be generalized.

AIM

To systematize the findings of a number of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for suicidal phenotypes, annotate the identified markers, analyze their functionality, and possibly substantiate the hypothesis holding that these phenotypes reflect a nonspecific set of gene variants that are relevant as relates to stress-vulnerability as a key endophenotype of suicidal behavior (SB).

METHODS

A search on the PubMed and related resources using the combinations "suicide AND GWAS" and "suicidal behavior AND GWAS" was performed. It yielded a total of 34 independent studies and meta-analyses.

RESULTS

For the 10 years since such studies emerged, they have undergone significant progress. Estimates of the SNP heritability of SB in some cases are comparable with estimates of heritability based on the twin method. Many studies show a high genetic correlation with the genomic markers of the most common mental disorders (depression, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, post-traumatic stress disorder). At the same time, a genomic architecture specific to SB is also encountered. Studies utilizing the GWAS strategy have not revealed any associations of SB with candidate genes that had been previously studied in detail (different neurotransmitters, stress response system, polyamines, etc.). Frequently reported findings from various studies belong in three main groups: 1) genes involved in cell interactions, neurogenesis, the development of brain structures, inflammation, and the immune responses; 2) genes encoding receptors for neurotrophins and various components of the intracellular signaling systems involved in synaptic plasticity, embryonic development, and carcinogenesis; and 3) genes encoding various neuro-specific proteins and regulators.

CONCLUSION

In general, GWAS in the field of suicidology mainly serve the purpose of a deeper understanding of the pathophysiology of suicidal behavior. However, they also demonstrate growing capability in terms of predicting and preventing suicide, especially when calculating the polygenic risk score among certain populations (psychiatric patients) and in combination with tests of different modalities. From our point of view, there exists a set of markers revealed by the GWAS strategy that seems to point to a leading role played by stress vulnerability, an endophenotype that is formed during early development and which subsequently comes to play the role of key pathogenetic mechanism in SB.

Imputation Server PGS: an automated approach to calculate polygenic risk scores on imputation servers

Polygenic scores (PGS) enable the prediction of genetic predisposition for a wide range of traits and diseases by calculating the weighted sum of allele dosages for genetic variants associated with the trait or disease in question. Present approaches for calculating PGS from genotypes are often inefficient and labor-intensive, limiting transferability into clinical applications. Here, we present 'Imputation Server PGS', an extension of the Michigan Imputation Server designed to automate a standardized calculation of polygenic scores based on imputed genotypes. This extends the widely used Michigan Imputation Server with new functionality, bringing the simplicity and efficiency of modern imputation to the PGS field. The service currently supports over 4489 published polygenic scores from publicly available repositories and provides extensive quality control, including ancestry estimation to report population stratification. An interactive report empowers users to screen and compare thousands of scores in a fast and intuitive way. Imputation Server PGS provides a user-friendly web service, facilitating the application of polygenic scores to a wide range of genetic studies and is freely available at https://imputationserver.sph.umich.edu.

The Role of Genetics in Managing Peripheral Arterial Disease

BACKGROUND

Genome wide association studies (GWAS) have allowed for a rapid increase in our understanding of the underlying genetics and biology of many diseases. By capitalizing on common genetic variation between individuals, GWAS can identify DNA variants associated with diseases of interest. A variety of statistical methods can be applied to GWAS results which allows for risk factor identification, stratification, and to identify potential treatments. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a common vascular disease that has been shown to have a strong genetic component. This article provides a review of the modern literature and our current understanding of the role of genetics in PAD.

METHODS

All available GWAS studies on PAD were reviewed. A literature search involving these studies was conducted and relevant articles applying the available GWAS data were summarized to provide a comprehensive review of our current understanding of the genetic component in PAD.

RESULTS

The largest available GWAS on PAD has identified 19 genome wide significant loci, with factor V Leiden and genes responsible for circulating lipoproteins being implicated in the development of PAD. Mendelian randomization (MR) studies have identified risk factors and causal associations with smoking, diabetes, and obesity and many other traits; protein-based MR has also identified circulating lipid and clotting factor levels associated with the incidence of PAD. Polygenic risk scores may allow for improved prediction of disease incidence and allow for early identification of at-risk patients but more work needs to be done to validate this approach.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic epidemiology has allowed for an increased understanding of PAD in the past decade. Genome-wide association studies have led to improved detection of genetic contributions to PAD, and further genetic analyses have validated risk factors and may provide options for improved screening in at-risk populations. Ongoing biobank studies of chronic limb threatening ischemia patients and the increasing ancestral diversity in biobank enrollment will allow for even further exploration into the pathogenesis and progression of PAD.

Promises and Challenges of populational Proteomics in Health and Disease

Advances in proteomic assay technologies have significantly increased coverage and throughput, enabling recent increases in the number of large-scale population-based proteomic studies of human plasma and serum. Improvements in multiplexed protein assays have facilitated the quantification of thousands of proteins over a large dynamic range, a key requirement for detecting the lowest-ranging, and potentially the most disease-relevant, blood-circulating proteins. In this perspective, we examine how populational proteomic datasets in conjunction with other concurrent omic measures can be leveraged to better understand the genomic and non-genomic correlates of the soluble proteome, constructing biomarker panels for disease prediction, among others. Mass spectrometry workflows are discussed as they are becoming increasingly competitive with affinity-based array platforms in terms of speed, cost, and proteome coverage due to advances in both instrumentation and workflows. Despite much success, there remain considerable challenges such as orthogonal validation and absolute quantification. We also highlight emergent challenges associated with study design, analytical considerations, and data integration as population-scale studies are run in batches and may involve longitudinal samples collated over many years. Lastly, we take a look at the future of what the nascent next-generation proteomic technologies might provide to the analysis of large sets of blood samples, as well as the difficulties in designing large-scale studies that will likely require participation from multiple and complex funding sources and where data sharing, study designs, and financing must be solved.

Genetic Causes of Nephrotic Syndrome and Focal and Segmental Glomerulosclerosis

The field of nephrology has a long-standing interest in deciphering the genetic basis of nephrotic syndrome (NS), motivated by the mechanistic insights it provides in chronic kidney disease. The initial era of genetic studies solidified NS and the focal segmental glomerulosclerosis lesion as podocyte disorders. The likelihood of identifying a single gene (called monogenic) cause is higher if certain factors are present such as positive family history. Obtaining a monogenic diagnosis enables reproductive counseling and screening of family members. Now, with a new era of genomic studies facilitated by technological advances and the emergence of large genetically characterized cohorts, more insights are apparent. This includes the phenotypic breadth associated with disease genes, as evidenced in Alport syndrome and congenital NS of the Finnish type. Moreover, the underlying genetic architecture is more complex than previously appreciated, as shown by genome-wide association studies, suggesting that variants in multiple genes collectively influence risk. Achieving molecularly informed diagnoses also holds substantial potential for personalizing medicine, including the development of targeted therapeutics. Illustrative examples include coenzyme Q10 for ADCK4-associated NS and inaxaplin, a small molecule that inhibits apolipoprotein L1 channel activity, though larger studies are required to confirm benefit.

Polygenic embryo screening: quo vadis?

Recently, the use of polygenic risk scores in embryo screening (PGT-P) has been introduced on the premise of reducing polygenic disease risk through embryo selection. However, it has been met with extensive critique: considered "technology-driven" rather than "evidence-based", concerns exist about its validity, utility, ethics, and societal effects. Its scientific foundations and criticisms thus need to be carefully considered. However, seeing as PGT-P is already offered in some settings, further questions need to be addressed, in order to give due diligence to various aspects of PGT-P. By examining the complexities of clinical introduction of PGT-P, we discuss whether PGT-P could be responsibly implemented in the first place, what elements need to be addressed if PGT-P is clinically implemented, and subsequently how counselling and decision-making of its users could be envisaged. By dissecting these elements, we provide an overview of important practical questions of PGT-P and emphasize elements of PGT-P that we think have yet to be given sufficient attention. These questions and elements are for example related to the potential target group, scope, and decision-making possibilities of PGT-P. The aspects we raise are crucial to consider by the scientific community and policy makers for the development of guidelines and/or an ethical framework for PGT-P.

Blood protein assessment of leading incident diseases and mortality in the UK Biobank

The circulating proteome offers insights into the biological pathways that underlie disease. Here, we test relationships between 1,468 Olink protein levels and the incidence of 23 age-related diseases and mortality in the UK Biobank (n = 47,600). We report 3,209 associations between 963 protein levels and 21 incident outcomes. Next, protein-based scores (ProteinScores) are developed using penalized Cox regression. When applied to test sets, six ProteinScores improve the area under the curve estimates for the 10-year onset of incident outcomes beyond age, sex and a comprehensive set of 24 lifestyle factors, clinically relevant biomarkers and physical measures. Furthermore, the ProteinScore for type 2 diabetes outperforms a polygenic risk score and HbA1c-a clinical marker used to monitor and diagnose type 2 diabetes. The performance of scores using metabolomic and proteomic features is also compared. These data characterize early proteomic contributions to major age-related diseases, demonstrating the value of the plasma proteome for risk stratification.

Epigenetic scores derived in saliva are associated with gestational age at birth

BACKGROUND

Epigenetic scores (EpiScores), reflecting DNA methylation (DNAm)-based surrogates for complex traits, have been developed for multiple circulating proteins. EpiScores for pro-inflammatory proteins, such as C-reactive protein (DNAm CRP), are associated with brain health and cognition in adults and with inflammatory comorbidities of preterm birth in neonates. Social disadvantage can become embedded in child development through inflammation, and deprivation is overrepresented in preterm infants. We tested the hypotheses that preterm birth and socioeconomic status (SES) are associated with alterations in a set of EpiScores enriched for inflammation-associated proteins.

RESULTS

In total, 104 protein EpiScores were derived from saliva samples of 332 neonates born at gestational age (GA) 22.14 to 42.14 weeks. Saliva sampling was between 36.57 and 47.14 weeks. Forty-three (41%) EpiScores were associated with low GA at birth (standardised estimates |0.14 to 0.88|, Bonferroni-adjusted p-value < 8.3 × 10-3). These included EpiScores for chemokines, growth factors, proteins involved in neurogenesis and vascular development, cell membrane proteins and receptors, and other immune proteins. Three EpiScores were associated with SES, or the interaction between birth GA and SES: afamin, intercellular adhesion molecule 5, and hepatocyte growth factor-like protein (standardised estimates |0.06 to 0.13|, Bonferroni-adjusted p-value < 8.3 × 10-3). In a preterm subgroup (n = 217, median [range] GA 29.29 weeks [22.14 to 33.0 weeks]), SES-EpiScore associations did not remain statistically significant after adjustment for sepsis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, necrotising enterocolitis, and histological chorioamnionitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Low birth GA is substantially associated with a set of EpiScores. The set was enriched for inflammatory proteins, providing new insights into immune dysregulation in preterm infants. SES had fewer associations with EpiScores; these tended to have small effect sizes and were not statistically significant after adjusting for inflammatory comorbidities. This suggests that inflammation is unlikely to be the primary axis through which SES becomes embedded in the development of preterm infants in the neonatal period.

Using polygenic scores in combination with symptom rating scales to identify attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder

BACKGROUND

The inclusion of biomarkers could improve diagnostic accuracy of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). One potential biomarker is the ADHD polygenic score (PGS), a measure of genetic liability for ADHD. This study aimed to investigate if the ADHD PGS can provide additional information alongside ADHD rating scales and examination of family history of ADHD to distinguish between ADHD cases and controls.

METHODS

Polygenic scores were calculated for 576 adults with ADHD and 530 ethnically matched controls. ADHD PGS was used alongside scores from the Wender-Utah Rating Scale (WURS) and the Adult ADHD Self-Report Scale (ASRS) as predictors of ADHD diagnosis in a set of nested logistic regression models. These models were compared by likelihood ratio (LR) tests, Akaike information criterion corrected for small samples (AICc), and Lee R². These analyses were repeated with family history of ADHD as a covariate in all models.

RESULTS

The ADHD PGS increased the variance explained of the ASRS by 0.58% points (pp) (R2ASRS = 61.11%, R2ASRS + PGS=61.69%), the WURS by 0.61pp (R2WURS = 77.33%, R2WURS + PGS= 77.94%), of ASRS and WURS together by 0.57pp (R2ASRS + WURS=80.84%, R2ASRS + WURS+PGS=81.40%), and of self-reported family history by 1.40pp (R2family = 28.06%, R2family + PGS=29.46%). These increases were statistically significant, as measured by LR tests and AICc.

CONCLUSION

We found that the ADHD PGS contributed additional information to common diagnostic aids. However, the increase in variance explained was small, suggesting that the ADHD PGS is currently not a clinically useful diagnostic aid. Future studies should examine the utility of ADHD PGS in ADHD prediction alongside non-genetic risk factors, and the diagnostic utility of the ADHD PGS should be evaluated as more genetic data is accumulated and computational tools are further refined.

Genomic Insights for Personalized Care: Motivating At-Risk Individuals Toward Evidence-Based Health Practices

Background

Lung cancer and tobacco use pose significant global health challenges, necessitating a comprehensive translational roadmap for improved prevention strategies. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are powerful tools for patient risk stratification but have not yet been widely used in primary care for lung cancer, particularly in diverse patient populations.

Methods

We propose the GREAT care paradigm, which employs PRSs to stratify disease risk and personalize interventions. We developed PRSs using large-scale multi-ancestry genome-wide association studies and standardized PRS distributions across all ancestries. We applied our PRSs to 796 individuals from the GISC Trial, 350,154 from UK Biobank (UKBB), and 210,826 from All of Us Research Program (AoU), totaling 561,776 individuals of diverse ancestry.

Results

Significant odds ratios (ORs) for lung cancer and difficulty quitting smoking were observed in both UKBB and AoU. For lung cancer, the ORs for individuals in the highest risk group (top 20% versus bottom 20%) were 1.85 (95% CI: 1.58 - 2.18) in UKBB and 2.39 (95% CI: 1.93 - 2.97) in AoU. For difficulty quitting smoking, the ORs (top 33% versus bottom 33%) were 1.36 (95% CI: 1.32 - 1.41) in UKBB and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.28 - 1.36) in AoU.

Conclusion

Our PRS-based intervention model leverages large-scale genetic data for robust risk assessment across populations. This model will be evaluated in two cluster-randomized clinical trials aimed at motivating health behavior changes in high-risk patients of diverse ancestry. This pioneering approach integrates genomic insights into primary care, promising improved outcomes in cancer prevention and tobacco treatment.

R2ROC: an efficient method of comparing two or more correlated AUC from out-of-sample prediction using polygenic scores

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) enable early prediction of disease risk. Evaluating PRS performance for binary traits commonly relies on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). However, the widely used DeLong's method for comparative significance tests suffer from limitations, including computational time and the lack of a one-to-one mapping between test statistics based on AUC and R 2 . To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach that leverages the Delta method to derive the variance and covariance of AUC values, enabling a comprehensive and efficient comparative significance test. Our approach offers notable advantages over DeLong's method, including reduced computation time (up to 150-fold), making it suitable for large-scale analyses and ideal for integration into machine learning frameworks. Furthermore, our method allows for a direct one-to-one mapping between AUC and R 2 values for comparative significance tests, providing enhanced insights into the relationship between these measures and facilitating their interpretation. We validated our proposed approach through simulations and applied it to real data comparing PRSs for diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD) prediction in a cohort of 28,880 European individuals. The PRSs were derived using genome-wide association study summary statistics from two distinct sources. Our approach enabled a comprehensive and informative comparison of the PRSs, shedding light on their respective predictive abilities for diabetes and CAD. This advancement contributes to the assessment of genetic risk factors and personalized disease prediction, supporting better healthcare decision-making.

Associations between polygenic risk scores for cardiometabolic phenotypes and adolescent depression and body dissatisfaction

BACKGROUND

Adolescents with elevated body mass index (BMI) are at an increased risk for depression and body dissatisfaction. Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is an established risk factor for depression. However, shared genetic risk between cardiometabolic conditions and mental health outcomes remains understudied in youth.

METHODS

The current study examined associations between polygenic risk scores (PRS) for BMI and T2D, and symptoms of depression and body dissatisfaction, in a sample of 827 community adolescents (Mage = 13.63, SDage = 1.01; 76% girls). BMI, depressive symptoms, and body dissatisfaction were assessed using validated self-report questionnaires.

RESULTS

BMI-PRS was associated with phenotypic BMI (β = 0.24, p < 0.001) and body dissatisfaction (β = 0.17, p < 0.001), but not with depressive symptoms. The association between BMI-PRS and body dissatisfaction was significantly mediated by BMI (indirect effect = 0.10, CI [0.07-0.13]). T2D-PRS was not associated with depression or body dissatisfaction.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest phenotypic BMI may largely explain the association between genetic risk for elevated BMI and body dissatisfaction in adolescents. Further research on age-specific genetic effects is needed, as summary statistics from adult discovery samples may have limited utility in youth.

IMPACT

The association between genetic risk for elevated BMI and body dissatisfaction in adolescents may be largely explained by phenotypic BMI, indicating a potential pathway through which genetic predisposition influences body image perception. Furthermore, age-specific genetic research is needed to understand the unique influences on health outcomes during adolescence. By identifying BMI as a potential mediator in the association between genetic risk for elevated BMI and body dissatisfaction, the current findings offer insights that could inform interventions targeting body image concerns and mental health in this population.

Using lifestyle information in polygenic modeling of blood pressure traits: a simple method to reduce bias

Complex traits are determined by the effects of multiple genetic variants, multiple environmental factors, and potentially their interaction. Predicting complex trait phenotypes from genotypes is a fundamental task in quantitative genetics that was pioneered in agricultural breeding for selection purposes. However, it has recently become important in human genetics. While prediction accuracy for some human complex traits is appreciable, this remains low for most traits. A promising way to improve prediction accuracy is by including not only genetic information but also environmental information in prediction models. However, environmental factors can, in turn, be genetically determined. This phenomenon gives rise to a correlation between the genetic and environmental components of the phenotype, which violates the assumption of independence between the genetic and environmental components of most statistical methods for polygenic modeling. In this work, we investigated the impact of including 27 lifestyle variables as well as genotype information (and their interaction) for predicting diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, and pulse pressure in older individuals in UK Biobank. The 27 lifestyle variables were included as either raw variables or adjusted by genetic and other non-genetic factors. The results show that including both lifestyle and genetic data improved prediction accuracy compared to using either piece of information alone. Both prediction accuracy and bias can improve substantially for some traits when the models account for the lifestyle variables after their proper adjustment. Our work confirms the utility of including environmental information in polygenic models of complex traits and highlights the importance of proper handling of the environmental variables.

Polygenic risk scores for mood and related disorders and environmental factors: Interaction effects on wellbeing in the UK biobank

Mood disorders have a genetic and environmental component and interactions (GxE) on the risk of psychiatric diseases have been investigated. The same GxE interactions may affect wellbeing measures, which go beyond categorical diagnoses and reflect the health-disease continuum. We evaluated GxE effects in the UK Biobank, considering as outcomes subjective wellbeing (feeling good and functioning well) and objective measures (education and income). We estimated the polygenic risk scores (PRSs) of major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Stressful/traumatic events during adulthood or childhood were considered as E variables, as well as social support. The addition of the PRSxE interaction to PRS and E variables was tested in linear or multinomial regression models, adjusting for confounders. We included 33 k-380 k participants, depending on the variables considered. Most PRSs and E factors showed additive effects on outcomes, with effect sizes generally 3-5 times larger for E variables than PRSs. We found some interaction effects, particularly when considering recent stress, history of a long illness/disability/infirmity, and social support. Higher PRSs increased the negative effects of stress on wellbeing, but they also increased the positive effects of social support, with interaction effects particularly for the outcomes health satisfaction, loneliness, and income (p < Bonferroni corrected threshold of 1.92e-4). PRSxE terms usually added ∼0.01-0.02% variance explained to the corresponding additive model. PRSxE effects on wellbeing involve both positive and negative E factors. Despite small variance explained at the population level, preventive/therapeutic interventions that modify E factors could be beneficial at the individual level.

Gene × environment effects and mediation involving adverse childhood events, mood and anxiety disorders, and substance dependence

Adverse childhood events (ACEs) contribute to the development of mood and anxiety disorders and substance dependence. However, the extent to which these effects are direct or indirect and whether genetic risk moderates them is unclear. We examined associations among ACEs, mood/anxiety disorders and substance dependence in 12,668 individuals (44.9% female, 42.5% African American/Black, 42.1% European American/white). Using latent variables for each phenotype, we modelled direct and indirect associations of ACEs with substance dependence, mediated by mood/anxiety disorders (the forward or 'self-medication' model) and of ACEs with mood/anxiety disorders, mediated by substance dependence (the reverse or 'substance-induced' model). In a subsample, we tested polygenic scores for the substance dependence and mood/anxiety disorder factors as moderators in the mediation models. Although there were significant indirect paths in both directions, mediation by mood/anxiety disorders (the forward model) was greater than that by substance dependence (the reverse model). Greater genetic risk for substance use disorders was associated with a weaker direct association between ACEs and substance dependence in both ancestry groups (reflecting gene × environment interactions) and a weaker indirect association in European-ancestry individuals (reflecting moderated mediation). We found greater evidence that substance dependence reflects self-medication of mood/anxiety disorders than that mood/anxiety disorders are substance induced. Among individuals at higher genetic risk for substance dependence, ACEs were less associated with that outcome. Following exposure to ACEs, multiple pathways appear to underlie the associations between mood/anxiety disorders and substance dependence. Specification of these pathways could inform individually targeted prevention and treatment approaches.

Optimizing clinico-genomic disease prediction across ancestries: a machine learning strategy with Pareto improvement

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of an individual's predisposition to diseases is vital for preventive medicine and early intervention. Various statistical and machine learning models have been developed for disease prediction using clinico-genomic data. However, the accuracy of clinico-genomic prediction of diseases may vary significantly across ancestry groups due to their unequal representation in clinical genomic datasets.

METHODS

We introduced a deep transfer learning approach to improve the performance of clinico-genomic prediction models for data-disadvantaged ancestry groups. We conducted machine learning experiments on multi-ancestral genomic datasets of lung cancer, prostate cancer, and Alzheimer's disease, as well as on synthetic datasets with built-in data inequality and distribution shifts across ancestry groups.

RESULTS

Deep transfer learning significantly improved disease prediction accuracy for data-disadvantaged populations in our multi-ancestral machine learning experiments. In contrast, transfer learning based on linear frameworks did not achieve comparable improvements for these data-disadvantaged populations.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that deep transfer learning can enhance fairness in multi-ancestral machine learning by improving prediction accuracy for data-disadvantaged populations without compromising prediction accuracy for other populations, thus providing a Pareto improvement towards equitable clinico-genomic prediction of diseases.

Factor analysis of lifetime psychopathology and its brain morphometric and genetic correlates in a transdiagnostic sample

There is a lack of knowledge regarding the relationship between proneness to dimensional psychopathological syndromes and the underlying pathogenesis across major psychiatric disorders, i.e., Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), Bipolar Disorder (BD), Schizoaffective Disorder (SZA), and Schizophrenia (SZ). Lifetime psychopathology was assessed using the OPerational CRITeria (OPCRIT) system in 1,038 patients meeting DSM-IV-TR criteria for MDD, BD, SZ, or SZA. The cohort was split into two samples for exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses. All patients were scanned with 3-T MRI, and data was analyzed with the CAT-12 toolbox in SPM12. Psychopathological factor scores were correlated with gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness (CT). Finally, factor scores were used for exploratory genetic analyses including genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and polygenic risk score (PRS) association analyses. Three factors (paranoid-hallucinatory syndrome, PHS; mania, MA; depression, DEP) were identified and cross-validated. PHS was negatively correlated with four GMV clusters comprising parts of the hippocampus, amygdala, angular, middle occipital, and middle frontal gyri. PHS was also negatively associated with the bilateral superior temporal, left parietal operculum, and right angular gyrus CT. No significant brain correlates were observed for the two other psychopathological factors. We identified genome-wide significant associations for MA and DEP. PRS for MDD and SZ showed a positive effect on PHS, while PRS for BD showed a positive effect on all three factors. This study investigated the relationship of lifetime psychopathological factors and brain morphometric and genetic markers. Results highlight the need for dimensional approaches, overcoming the limitations of the current psychiatric nosology.

Comparing statistical learning methods for complex trait prediction from gene expression

Accurate prediction of complex traits is an important task in quantitative genetics that has become increasingly relevant for personalized medicine. Genotypes have traditionally been used for trait prediction using a variety of methods such as mixed models, Bayesian methods, penalized regressions, dimension reductions, and machine learning methods. Recent studies have shown that gene expression levels can produce higher prediction accuracy than genotypes. However, only a few prediction methods were used in these studies. Thus, a comprehensive assessment of methods is needed to fully evaluate the potential of gene expression as a predictor of complex trait phenotypes. Here, we used data from the Drosophila Genetic Reference Panel (DGRP) to compare the ability of several existing statistical learning methods to predict starvation resistance from gene expression in the two sexes separately. The methods considered differ in assumptions about the distribution of gene effect sizes - ranging from models that assume that every gene affects the trait to more sparse models - and their ability to capture gene-gene interactions. We also used functional annotation (i.e., Gene Ontology (GO)) as an external source of biological information to inform prediction models. The results show that differences in prediction accuracy between methods exist, although they are generally not large. Methods performing variable selection gave higher accuracy in females while methods assuming a more polygenic architecture performed better in males. Incorporating GO annotations further improved prediction accuracy for a few GO terms of biological significance. Biological significance extended to the genes underlying highly predictive GO terms with different genes emerging between sexes. Notably, the Insulin-like Receptor (InR) was prevalent across methods and sexes. Our results confirmed the potential of transcriptomic prediction and highlighted the importance of selecting appropriate methods and strategies in order to achieve accurate predictions.

Multi-organ imaging-derived polygenic indexes for brain and body health

The UK Biobank (UKB) imaging project is a crucial resource for biomedical research, but is limited to 100,000 participants due to cost and accessibility barriers. Here we used genetic data to predict heritable imaging-derived phenotypes (IDPs) for a larger cohort. We developed and evaluated 4,375 IDP genetic scores (IGS) derived from UKB brain and body images. When applied to UKB participants who were not imaged, IGS revealed links to numerous phenotypes and stratified participants at increased risk for both brain and somatic diseases. For example, IGS identified individuals at higher risk for Alzheimer's disease and multiple sclerosis, offering additional insights beyond traditional polygenic risk scores of these diseases. When applied to independent external cohorts, IGS also stratified those at high disease risk in the All of Us Research Program and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative study. Our results demonstrate that, while the UKB imaging cohort is largely healthy and may not be the most enriched for disease risk management, it holds immense potential for stratifying the risk of various brain and body diseases in broader external genetic cohorts.

Validity of European-centric cardiometabolic polygenic scores in multi-ancestry populations

Polygenic scores (PGSs) provide an individual level estimate of genetic risk for any given disease. Since most PGSs have been derived from genome wide association studies (GWASs) conducted in populations of White European ancestry, their validity in other ancestry groups remains unconfirmed. This is especially relevant for cardiometabolic diseases which are known to disproportionately affect people of non-European ancestry. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the performance of PGSs for glycaemic traits (glycated haemoglobin, and type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus), cardiometabolic risk factors (body mass index, hypertension, high- and low-density lipoproteins, and total cholesterol and triglycerides) and cardiovascular diseases (including stroke and coronary artery disease) in people of White European, South Asian, and African Caribbean ethnicity in the UK Biobank. Whilst PGSs incorporated some GWAS data from multi-ethnic populations, the vast majority originated from White Europeans. For most outcomes, PGSs derived mostly from European populations had an overall better performance in White Europeans compared to South Asians and African Caribbeans. Thus, multi-ancestry GWAS data are needed to derive ancestry stratified PGSs to tackle health inequalities.

Predicting ADHD in alcohol dependence using polygenic risk scores for ADHD

Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder with a high degree of comorbidity, including substance misuse. We aimed to assess whether ADHD polygenic risk scores (PRS) could predict ADHD diagnosis in alcohol dependence (AD). ADHD PRS were generated for 1223 AD subjects with ADHD diagnosis information and 1818 healthy controls. ADHD PRS distributions were compared to evaluate the differences between healthy controls and AD cases with and without ADHD. We found increased ADHD PRS means in the AD cohort with ADHD (mean 0.30, standard deviation (SD) 0.92; p = 3.9 × 10-6); and without ADHD (mean - 0.00, SD 1.00; p = 5.2 × 10-5) compared to the healthy control subjects (mean - 0.17, SD 0.99). The ADHD PRS means differed within the AD group with a higher ADHD PRS mean in those with ADHD, odds ratio (OR) 1.34, confidence interval (CI) 1.10 to 1.65; p = 0.002. This study showed a positive relationship between ADHD PRS and risk of ADHD in individuals with co-occurring AD indicating that ADHD PRS may have utility in identifying individuals that are at a higher or lower risk of ADHD. Further larger studies need to be conducted to confirm the reliability of the results before ADHD PRS can be considered as a robust biomarker for diagnosis.

Using Omics to Identify Novel Therapeutic Targets in Heart Failure

Omics refers to the measurement and analysis of the totality of molecules or biological processes involved within an organism. Examples of omics data include genomics, transcriptomics, epigenomics, proteomics, metabolomics, and more. In this review, we present the available literature reporting omics data on heart failure that can inform the development of novel treatments or innovative treatment strategies for this disease. This includes polygenic risk scores to improve prediction of genomic data and the potential of multiomics to more efficiently identify potential treatment targets for further study. We also discuss the limitations of omic analyses and the barriers that must be overcome to maximize the utility of these types of studies. Finally, we address the current state of the field and future opportunities for using multiomics to better personalize heart failure treatment strategies.

Genotype × environment interactions in gene regulation and complex traits

Genotype × environment interactions (GxE) have long been recognized as a key mechanism underlying human phenotypic variation. Technological developments over the past 15 years have dramatically expanded our appreciation of the role of GxE in both gene regulation and complex traits. The richness and complexity of these datasets also required parallel efforts to develop robust and sensitive statistical and computational approaches. Although our understanding of the genetic architecture of molecular and complex traits has been maturing, a large proportion of complex trait heritability remains unexplained. Furthermore, there are increasing efforts to characterize the effect of environmental exposure on human health. We therefore review GxE in human gene regulation and complex traits, advocating for a comprehensive approach that jointly considers genetic and environmental factors in human health and disease.

Validation of a polygenic risk score for frailty in the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 and English longitudinal study of ageing

Frailty is a complex trait. Twin studies and high-powered Genome Wide Association Studies conducted in the UK Biobank have demonstrated a strong genetic basis of frailty. The present study utilized summary statistics from a Genome Wide Association Study on the Frailty Index to create and test the predictive power of frailty polygenic risk scores (PRS) in two independent samples - the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 (LBC1936) and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) aged 67-84 years. Multiple regression models were built to test the predictive power of frailty PRS at five time points. Frailty PRS significantly predicted frailty, measured via the FI, at all-time points in LBC1936 and ELSA, explaining 2.1% (β = 0.15, 95%CI, 0.085-0.21) and 1.8% (β = 0.14, 95%CI, 0.10-0.17) of the variance, respectively, at age ~ 68/ ~ 70 years (p < 0.001). This work demonstrates that frailty PRS can predict frailty in two independent cohorts, particularly at early ages (~ 68/ ~ 70). PRS have the potential to be valuable instruments for identifying those at risk for frailty and could be important for controlling for genetic confounders in epidemiological studies.

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

BACKGROUND

Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis.

METHODS

Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239).

RESULTS

A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

Age at Natural Menopause, Reproductive Lifespan, and the Risk of Late-Onset Psoriasis and Psoriatic Arthritis in Women: A Prospective Cohort Study

Although a peak incidence of psoriasis in women aged around 60 years has been observed, the link between reproductive lifespan and late-onset psoriatic diseases is underexplored. This study aims to elucidate the association between reproductive lifespan and the risk of late-onset psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Utilizing the UK Biobank data, we conducted a prospective cohort study in postmenopausal women without baseline psoriatic diseases. The exposure variables included age at natural menopause (ANM) and duration from menarche to menopause, termed reproductive years. The outcome variables were incident psoriasis and PsA. We employed Cox regression analysis, factoring in polygenic risk scores for psoriatic diseases and recognized risk factors. We found that later ANM and longer reproductive years were significantly associated with decreased risks of late-onset psoriasis and PsA in a dose-dependent manner (P<.05). ANM after age 55 years led to a 34 and 46% risk reduction in late-onset psoriasis and PsA, respectively, compared with ANM before age 45 years (P<.001). The population-attributable risks of ANM were 17.4% for late-onset psoriasis and 21.6% for PsA. In conclusion, reproductive lifespan, with its inherent homeostasis, plays a pivotal yet overlooked role in late-onset psoriatic diseases. Investigations into estrogen-centric causes and sex-specific interventions are imperative.

Impact of Maternal Smoking, Offspring Smoking, and Genetic Susceptibility on Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The long-term impact of maternal smoking during pregnancy [MSDP] on the risk of Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC] in adult offspring remains uncertain. The present study aimed to investigate the individual and combined effects of early life exposure [MSDP], offspring personal behaviour [smoking], and genetic risk on the development of CD and UC in adult offspring.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study using UK Biobank data, including 334 083 participants recruited between 2006 and 2010, with follow-up until December 31, 2021. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the associations of genetic factors, maternal and personal smoking, and their combination with CD and UC.

RESULTS

Participants exposed to MSDP had an 18% increased risk of CD compared to those without MSDP (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-1.39). However, no significant association was found between MSDP and UC risk [HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.92-1.16]. Personal smoking increased the risk of CD and UC, and had a numerically amplified effect with MSDP. Participants with high genetic risk and MSDP had a 2.01-fold [95% CI = 1.53-2.65] and a 2.45-fold [95% CI = 2.00-2.99] increased risk of CD and UC, respectively, compared to participants without MSDP and with low genetic risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prospective cohort study provides evidence that MSDP increases the risk of CD in adult offspring, whereas no evidence supports their causal association. Additionally, smoking and genetic susceptibility had a numerically amplified effect with MSDP on CD and UC, but the interaction lacked statistical significance.

Characterizing the Relationship between Expression Quantitative Trait Loci (eQTLs), DNA Methylation Quantitative Trait Loci (mQTLs), and Breast Cancer Risk Variants

PURPOSE

To assess the association of a polygenic risk score (PRS) for functional genetic variants with the risk of developing breast cancer.

METHODS

Summary data-based Mendelian randomization (SMR) and heterogeneity in dependent instruments (HEIDI) were used to identify breast cancer risk variants associated with gene expression and DNA methylation levels. A new SMR-based PRS was computed from the identified variants (functional PRS) and compared to an established 313-variant breast cancer PRS (GWAS PRS). The two scores were evaluated in 3560 breast cancer cases and 3383 non-cancer controls and also in a prospective study (n = 10,213) comprising 418 cases.

RESULTS

We identified 149 variants showing pleiotropic association with breast cancer risk (eQTLHEIDI > 0.05 = 9, mQTLHEIDI > 0.05 = 165). The discriminatory ability of the functional PRS (AUCcontinuous [95% CI]: 0.540 [0.526 to 0.553]) was found to be lower than that of the GWAS PRS (AUCcontinuous [95% CI]: 0.609 [0.596 to 0.622]). Even when utilizing 457 distinct variants from both the functional and GWAS PRS, the combined discriminatory performance remained below that of the GWAS PRS (AUCcontinuous, combined [95% CI]: 0.561 [0.548 to 0.575]). A binary high/low-risk classification based on the 80th centile PRS in controls revealed a 6% increase in cases using the GWAS PRS compared to the functional PRS. The functional PRS identified an additional 12% of high-risk cases but also led to a 13% increase in high-risk classification among controls. Similar findings were observed in the SCHS prospective cohort, where the GWAS PRS outperformed the functional PRS, and the highest-performing PRS, a combined model, did not significantly improve over the GWAS PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

While this study identified potentially functional variants associated with breast cancer risk, their inclusion did not substantially enhance the predictive accuracy of the GWAS PRS.

Polygenic risk of social isolation behavior and its influence on psychopathology and personality

Social isolation has been linked to a range of psychiatric issues, but the behavioral component that drives it is not well understood. Here, a genome-wide associations study (GWAS) was carried out to identify genetic variants that contribute specifically to social isolation behavior (SIB) in up to 449,609 participants from the UK Biobank. 17 loci were identified at genome-wide significance, contributing to a 4% SNP-based heritability estimate. Using the SIB GWAS, polygenic risk scores (PRS) were derived in ALSPAC, an independent, developmental cohort, and used to test for association with self-reported friendship scores, comprising items related to friendship quality and quantity, at age 12 and 18 to determine whether genetic predisposition manifests during childhood development. At age 18, friendship scores were associated with the SIB PRS, demonstrating that the genetic factors can predict related social traits in late adolescence. Linkage disequilibrium (LD) score correlation using the SIB GWAS demonstrated genetic correlations with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), schizophrenia, major depressive disorder (MDD), educational attainment, extraversion, and loneliness. However, no evidence of causality was found using a conservative Mendelian randomization approach between SIB and any of the traits in either direction. Genomic Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) revealed a common factor contributing to SIB, neuroticism, loneliness, MDD, and ASD, weakly correlated with a second common factor that contributes to psychiatric and psychotic traits. Our results show that SIB contributes a small heritable component, which is associated genetically with other social traits such as friendship as well as psychiatric disorders.

A polygenic score method boosted by non-additive models

Dominance heritability in complex traits has received increasing recognition. However, most polygenic score (PGS) approaches do not incorporate non-additive effects. Here, we present GenoBoost, a flexible PGS modeling framework capable of considering both additive and non-additive effects, specifically focusing on genetic dominance. Building on statistical boosting theory, we derive provably optimal GenoBoost scores and provide its efficient implementation for analyzing large-scale cohorts. We benchmark it against seven commonly used PGS methods and demonstrate its competitive predictive performance. GenoBoost is ranked the best for four traits and second-best for three traits among twelve tested disease outcomes in UK Biobank. We reveal that GenoBoost improves prediction for autoimmune diseases by incorporating non-additive effects localized in the MHC locus and, more broadly, works best in less polygenic traits. We further demonstrate that GenoBoost can infer the mode of genetic inheritance without requiring prior knowledge. For example, GenoBoost finds non-zero genetic dominance effects for 602 of 900 selected genetic variants, resulting in 2.5% improvements in predicting psoriasis cases. Lastly, we show that GenoBoost can prioritize genetic loci with genetic dominance not previously reported in the GWAS catalog. Our results highlight the increased accuracy and biological insights from incorporating non-additive effects in PGS models.

The genetic landscape of substance use disorders

Substance use disorders represent a significant public health concern with considerable socioeconomic implications worldwide. Twin and family-based studies have long established a heritable component underlying these disorders. In recent years, genome-wide association studies of large, broadly phenotyped samples have identified regions of the genome that harbour genetic risk variants associated with substance use disorders. These regions have enabled the discovery of putative causal genes and improved our understanding of genetic relationships among substance use disorders and other traits. Furthermore, the integration of these data with clinical information has yielded promising insights into how individuals respond to medications, allowing for the development of personalized treatment approaches based on an individual's genetic profile. This review article provides an overview of recent advances in the genetics of substance use disorders and demonstrates how genetic data may be used to reduce the burden of disease and improve public health outcomes.

Integration of a polygenic score into guideline-recommended prediction of cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is not clear how a polygenic risk score (PRS) can be best combined with guideline-recommended tools for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction, e.g. SCORE2.

METHODS

A PRS for coronary artery disease (CAD) was calculated in participants of UK Biobank (n = 432 981). Within each tenth of the PRS distribution, the odds ratios (ORs)-referred to as PRS-factor-for CVD (i.e. CAD or stroke) were compared between the entire population and subgroups representing the spectrum of clinical risk. Replication was performed in the combined Framingham/Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) populations (n = 10 757). The clinical suitability of a multiplicative model 'SCORE2 × PRS-factor' was tested by risk reclassification.

RESULTS

In subgroups with highly different clinical risks, CVD ORs were stable within each PRS tenth. SCORE2 and PRS showed no significant interactive effects on CVD risk, which qualified them as multiplicative factors: SCORE2 × PRS-factor = total risk. In UK Biobank, the multiplicative model moved 9.55% of the intermediate (n = 145 337) to high-risk group increasing the individuals in this category by 56.6%. Incident CVD occurred in 8.08% of individuals reclassified by the PRS-factor from intermediate to high risk, which was about two-fold of those remained at intermediate risk (4.08%). Likewise, the PRS-factor shifted 8.29% of individuals from moderate to high risk in Framingham/ARIC.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that absolute CVD risk, determined by a clinical risk score, and relative genetic risk, determined by a PRS, provide independent information. The two components may form a simple multiplicative model improving precision of guideline-recommended tools in predicting incident CVD.

Shared familial risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus and psychiatric disorders: a nationwide multigenerational genetics study

BACKGROUND

Psychiatric disorders and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are heritable, polygenic, and often comorbid conditions, yet knowledge about their potential shared familial risk is lacking. We used family designs and T2DM polygenic risk score (T2DM-PRS) to investigate the genetic associations between psychiatric disorders and T2DM.

METHODS

We linked 659 906 individuals born in Denmark 1990-2000 to their parents, grandparents, and aunts/uncles using population-based registers. We compared rates of T2DM in relatives of children with and without a diagnosis of any or one of 11 specific psychiatric disorders, including neuropsychiatric and neurodevelopmental disorders, using Cox regression. In a genotyped sample (iPSYCH2015) of individuals born 1981-2008 (n = 134 403), we used logistic regression to estimate associations between a T2DM-PRS and these psychiatric disorders.

RESULTS

Among 5 235 300 relative pairs, relatives of individuals with a psychiatric disorder had an increased risk for T2DM with stronger associations for closer relatives (parents:hazard ratio = 1.38, 95% confidence interval 1.35-1.42; grandparents: 1.14, 1.13-1.15; and aunts/uncles: 1.19, 1.16-1.22). In the genetic sample, one standard deviation increase in T2DM-PRS was associated with an increased risk for any psychiatric disorder (odds ratio = 1.11, 1.08-1.14). Both familial T2DM and T2DM-PRS were significantly associated with seven of 11 psychiatric disorders, most strongly with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and conduct disorder, and inversely with anorexia nervosa.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings of familial co-aggregation and higher T2DM polygenic liability associated with psychiatric disorders point toward shared familial risk. This suggests that part of the comorbidity is explained by shared familial risks. The underlying mechanisms still remain largely unknown and the contributions of genetics and environment need further investigation.