Treatment effects for which shift or binary analyses are advantageous in acute stroke trials

Clinical Impact of Standardized Interpretation and Reporting of Multimodality Neuromonitoring Data

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the consistency and clinical impact of standardized multimodality neuromonitoring (MNM) interpretation and reporting within a system of care for patients with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI).

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational historical case-control study.

SETTING

Single-center academic level I trauma center.

INTERVENTIONS

Standardized interpretation of MNM data summarized within daily reports.

MEASUREMENTS MAIN RESULTS

Consecutive patients with sTBI undergoing MNM were included. Historical controls were patients monitored before implementation of standardized MNM interpretation; cases were defined as patients with available MNM interpretative reports. Patient characteristics, physiologic data, and clinical outcomes were recorded, and clinical MNM reporting elements were abstracted. The primary outcome was the Glasgow Outcome Scale score 3-6 months postinjury. One hundred twenty-nine patients were included (age 42 ± 18 yr, 82% men); 45 (35%) patients were monitored before standardized MNM interpretation and reporting, and 84 (65%) patients were monitored after that. Patients undergoing standardized interpretative reporting received fewer hyperosmotic agents (3 [1-6] vs. 6 [1-8]; p = 0.04) and spent less time above an intracranial threshold of 22 mm Hg (22% ± 26% vs. 28% ± 24%; p = 0.05). The MNM interpretation cohort had a lower proportion of anesthetic days (48% [24-70%] vs. 67% [33-91%]; p = 0.02) and higher average end-tidal carbon dioxide during monitoring (34 ± 6 mm Hg vs. 32 ± 6 mm Hg; p < 0.01; d = 0.36). After controlling for injury severity, patients undergoing standardized MNM interpretation and reporting had an odds of 1.5 (95% CI, 1.37-1.59) for better outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Standardized interpretation and reporting of MNM data are a novel approach to provide clinical insight and to guide individualized critical care. In patients with sTBI, independent MNM interpretation and communication to bedside clinical care teams may result in improved intracranial pressure control, fewer medical interventions, and changes in ventilatory management. In this study, the implementation of a system for management, including standardized MNM interpretation, was associated with a significant improvement in outcome.

Association of Renal Impairment with Clinical Outcomes Following Endovascular Therapy in Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion

Purpose

Renal impairment (RI) is associated with unfavourable outcome after acute ischaemic stroke with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion. We assessed the association of RI with clinical outcomes in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion (ABAO), and the impact of RI on the effects of endovascular therapy (EVT) versus standard medical treatment (SMT).

Patients and Methods

We used data from the BASILAR registry, an observational, prospective, nationwide study of patients with ABAO in routine clinical practice in China. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was recorded at admission. The primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days. Secondary outcomes included favourable outcome (mRS score 0-3), mortality, and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (sICH). Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess the association of RI with mortality and functional improvement at 90 days.

Results

Among 829 patients enrolled, 747 patients were analysed. The median baseline eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73m2 (IQR, 71-100), and 350 (46.8%), 297 (39.8%), and 100 (13.4%) patients had baseline eGFR values of ≥90, 60-89, and <60 mL/min/1.73m2, respectively. RI was associated with increased mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.97; 95% CI, 1.15-3.67) at 90 days and decreased survival probability (aOR 1.74; 95% CI, 1.30-2.33) within 1 year. EVT was associated with better functional improvement (common aOR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.43-4.35), favourable outcome (aOR 5.42; 95% CI, 1.92-15.29) and lower mortality (aOR 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88) in ABAO patients with eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73m2. However, RI was not modified the relationship of EVT with functional improvement (common aOR, 3.03; 95% CI, 0.81-11.11), favourable outcome (aOR 2.10; 95% CI, 0.45-9.79), and mortality (aOR 0.56; 95% CI, 0.15-2.06) by eGFR categories.

Conclusion

RI is associated with reduced efficacy of EVT and worse functional outcome and higher mortality at 3 months and lower survival probability at 1 year in patients with ABAO.

Optimising the analysis of vascular prevention trials: Re-Assessment of the TARDIS trial, the first prevention trial to adopt an ordinal primary outcome measure

Background

Ordinalised vascular outcomes incorporating event severity are more informative than binary outcomes that just include event numbers. The TARDIS trial was the first vascular prevention study to use an ordinalised vascular outcome as its primary efficacy and safety measures and collected severity information for other vascular events.

Methods

TARDIS was an international prospective randomised open-label blinded-endpoint trial assessing one month of intensive versus guideline antiplatelet therapy in patients with acute non-cardioembolic stroke or TIA. Vascular events and their severity were recorded up to final follow-up at 90 days post randomisation. For each outcome, statistical techniques compared ordinal/continuous (10 models) and dichotomous (5 models) analyses; results were then ranked with the smallest p-value being given the smallest rank. Outcomes were also assessed within the pre-defined subgroup of participants with mild stroke (NIHSS≤3), or TIA recruited within 24 h.

Results

Ordinal versions of vascular event outcomes were created in 3096 participants for stroke, myocardial infarction, major cardiac events, bleeding events, serious adverse events and venous thromboembolism (VTE), with 32 outcomes being created overall (29 in the subgroup population due to the absence of VTE events). Overall, the tests run on ordinal outcomes tended to rank higher than tests performed on binary outcomes. 764 (24.7%) participants were recruited within 24 h of a mild stroke/TIA; again, tests run on ordinal outcomes ranked higher.

Conclusions

In TARDIS, tests performed on ordinal vascular outcomes tended to attain a higher rank than those performed on binary outcomes.

Trial registration

ISRCTN47823388.

Development and validation of a model predicting mild stroke severity on admission using electronic health record data

OBJECTIVE

Initial stroke severity is a potent modifier of stroke outcomes but this information is difficult to obtain from electronic health record (EHR) data. This limits the ability to risk-adjust for evaluations of stroke care and outcomes at a population level. The purpose of this analysis was to develop and validate a predictive model of initial stroke severity using EHR data elements.

METHODS

This observational cohort included individuals admitted to a US Department of Veterans Affairs hospital with an ischemic stroke. We extracted 65 independent predictors from the EHR. The primary analysis modeled mild (NIHSS score 0-3) versus moderate/severe stroke (NIHSS score ≥4) using multiple logistic regression. Model validation included: (1) splitting the cohort into derivation (65%) and validation (35%) samples and (2) evaluating how the predicted stroke severity performed in regard to 30-day mortality risk stratification.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 15,346 individuals with ischemic stroke (n = 10,000 derivation; n = 5,346 validation). The final model included 15 variables and correctly classified 70.4% derivation sample patients and 69.4% validation sample patients. The areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.76 (derivation) and 0.76 (validation). In the validation sample, the model performed similarly to the observed NIHSS in terms of the association with 30-day mortality (AUC: 0.72 observed NIHSS, 0.70 predicted NIHSS).

CONCLUSIONS

EHR data can be used to construct a surrogate measure of initial stroke severity. Further research is needed to better differentiate moderate and severe strokes, enhance stroke severity classification, and how to incorporate these measures in evaluations of stroke care and outcomes.

Prehospital screening of acute stroke with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ParaNASPP): a stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Timely treatment of acute stroke depends on early identification and triage. Improved methods for recognition of stroke in the prehospital setting are needed. We aimed to assess whether use of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) by paramedics in the ambulance could improve communication with the hospital, augment triage, and enhance diagnostic accuracy of acute stroke.

METHODS

The Paramedic Norwegian Acute Stroke Prehospital Project (ParaNASPP) was a stepped-wedge, single-blind, cluster-randomised controlled trial. Patients with suspected acute stroke, who were evaluated by paramedics from five ambulance stations in Oslo, Norway, were eligible for inclusion. The five ambulance stations (defined as clusters) all initially managed patients according to a standard stroke protocol (control group), with randomised sequential crossover of each station to the intervention group. The intervention consisted of supervised training on NIHSS scoring, a mobile application to aid scoring, and standardised communication with stroke physicians. Random allocation was done via a simple lottery draw by administrators at Oslo University Hospital, who were independent of the research team. Allocation concealment was not possible due to the nature of the intervention. The primary outcome was the positive predictive value (PPV) for prehospital identification of patients with a final discharge diagnosis of acute stroke, analysed by intention to treat. Prespecified secondary safety outcomes were median prehospital on-scene time and median door-to-needle time. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04137874, and is completed.

FINDINGS

Between June 3, 2019, and July 1, 2021, 935 patients were evaluated by paramedics for suspected acute stroke. 134 patients met exclusion criteria or did not consent to participate. The primary analysis included 447 patients in the intervention group and 354 in the control group. There was no difference in PPV for prehospital identification of patients with a final discharge diagnosis of acute stroke between the intervention group (48·1%, 95% CI 43·4-52·8) and control group (45·8%, 40·5-51·1), with an estimated percentage points difference between groups of 2·3 (95% CI -4·6 to 9·3; p=0·51). Median prehospital on-scene time increased by 5 min in the intervention group (29 min [IQR 23-36] vs 24 min [19-31]; p<0·0001), whereas median door-to-needle time was similar between groups (26 min [21-36] vs 27 min [20-36]; p=0·90). No prehospital deaths were reported in either group.

INTERPRETATION

The intervention did not improve diagnostic accuracy in patients with suspected stroke. A general increase in prehospital time during the pandemic and the identification of smaller strokes that require more deliberation are possible explanations for the increased on-scene time. The ParaNASPP model is to be implemented in Norway from 2023, and will provide real-life data for further research.

FUNDING

Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation and Oslo University Hospital.

Cerebrolysin as an Early Add-on to Reperfusion Therapy: Risk of Hemorrhagic Transformation after Ischemic Stroke (CEREHETIS), a prospective, randomized, multicenter pilot study

BACKGROUND

Cerebrolysin could mitigate reperfusion injury and hemorrhagic transformation (HT) in animal models of acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

This was a prospective, randomized, open-label, parallel-group with active control, multicenter pilot study. Cerebrolysin (30 mL/day over 14 days) was administered concurrently with alteplase (0.9 mg/kg) in 126 patients, whereas 215 control patients received alteplase alone. The primary outcomes were the rate of any and symptomatic HT assessed from day 0 to 14. The secondary endpoints were drug safety and functional outcome measured with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) on day 1 and 14, and the modified Rankin scale (mRS) on day 90. Advanced brain imaging analysis was applied on day 1 and 14 as a marker for in vivo pharmacology of Cerebrolysin.

RESULTS

Cerebrolysin treatment resulted in a substantial decrease of the symptomatic HT rate with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.248 (95% CI: 0.072-0.851; p = 0.019). No serious adverse events attributed to Cerebrolysin occurred. On day 14, the Cerebrolysin arm showed a significant decrease in the NIHSS score (p = 0.045). However, no difference in the mRS score was observed on day 90. A substantial improvement in the advanced brain imaging parameters of the infarcted area was evident in the Cerebrolysin group on day 14.

CONCLUSIONS

Early add-on of Cerebrolysin to reperfusion therapy was safe and significantly decreased the rate of symptomatic HT as well as early neurological deficit. No effect on day 90 functional outcome was detected. Improvements in the imaging metrics support the neuroprotective and blood-brain barrier stabilizing activity of Cerebrolysin.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Name of Registry: ISRCTN.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN87656744 . Trial Registration Date: 16/02/2021.

Outcome Prediction of Spontaneous Supratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhage after Surgical Treatment Based on Non-Contrast Computed Tomography: A Multicenter Study

This study aims to explore the value of a machine learning (ML) model based on radiomics features and clinical features in predicting the outcome of spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) 90 days after surgery. A total of 348 patients with sICH underwent craniotomy evacuation of hematoma from three medical centers. One hundred and eight radiomics features were extracted from sICH lesions on baseline CT. Radiomics features were screened using 12 feature selection algorithms. Clinical features included age, gender, admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), midline shift (MLS), and deep ICH. Nine ML models were constructed based on clinical feature, and clinical features + radiomics features, respectively. Grid search was performed on different combinations of feature selection and ML model for parameter tuning. The averaged receiver operating characteristics (ROC) area under curve (AUC) was calculated and the model with the largest AUC was selected. It was then tested using multicenter data. The combination of lasso regression feature selection and logistic regression model based on clinical features + radiomics features had the best performance (AUC: 0.87). The best model predicted an AUC of 0.85 (95%CI, 0.75-0.94) on the internal test set and 0.81 (95%CI, 0.64-0.99) and 0.83 (95%CI, 0.68-0.97) on the two external test sets, respectively. Twenty-two radiomics features were selected by lasso regression. The second-order feature gray level non-uniformity normalized was the most important radiomics feature. Age is the feature with the greatest contribution to prediction. The combination of clinical features and radiomics features using logistic regression models can improve the outcome prediction of patients with sICH 90 days after surgery.

Key design elements of successful acute ischemic stroke treatment trials

PURPOSE

We review key design elements of positive randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) treatment and summarize their main characteristics.

METHOD

We searched Medline, Pubmed and Cochrane databases for positive RCTs in AIS treatment. Trials were included if (1) they had a randomized controlled design, with (at least partial) blinding for endpoints, (2) they tested against placebo (or on top of standard therapy in a superiority design) or against approved therapy; (3) the protocol was registered and/or published before trial termination and unblinding (if required at study commencement); (4) the primary endpoint was positive in the intention to treat analysis; and (5) the study findings led to approval of the investigational product and/or high ranked recommendations. A topical approach was used, therefore the findings were summarized as a narrative review.

FINDINGS

Seventeen positive RCTs met the inclusion criteria. The majority of trials included less than 1000 patients (n = 15), had highly selective inclusion criteria (n = 16), used the modified Rankin score as a primary endpoint (n = 15) and had a frequentist design (n = 16). Trials tended to be national (n = 12), investigator-initiated and performed with public funding (n = 11).

DISCUSSION

Smaller but selective trials are useful to identify efficacy in a particular subgroup of stroke patients. It may also be of advantage to limit the number of participating countries and centers to avoid heterogeneity in stroke management and bureaucratic burden.

CONCLUSION

The key characteristics of positive RCTs in AIS treatment described here may assist in the design of further trials investigating a single intervention with a potentially high effect size.

[Effects of simultaneous use of Cerebrolysin and alteplase on hemorrhagic transformation of brain infarction and functional outcome in stroke patients: CEREHETIS, a randomized, multicenter pilot trial]

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to assess effects of the simultaneous use of Cerebrolysin and intravenous thrombolysis (Alteplase) on hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and functional outcome as well as to analyze the treatment safety in acute stroke patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

It was a prospective, randomized, open-label, multicenter, parallel-group, active-controlled pilot study (Trial Registration Number: ISRCTN87656744, https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN87656744, Trial registration date: 16/02/2021). The intervention group (n=126) was treated with Cerebrolysin infusion (30 mL) started simultaneously with Alteplase (0.9 mg/kg) via a separate IV line. The Cerebrolysin treatment continued for 14 consecutive days with the baseline therapy along. The control group (n=215) received only Alteplase and the baseline therapy. The primary endpoints were the rate of any and symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation (HT) from admission to day 14. Secondary endpoints were treatment safety and functional outcome measured with the National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) in 24 h and on day 14, and with the modified Rankin scale (mRS) on day 90.

RESULTS

Treatment with Cerebrolysin resulted in a significant reduction of the symptomatic HT rate with an odds ratio of 0.248 (95% CI: 0.072-0.851; p=0.019). No serious adverse events related to Cerebrolysin were observed. On day 14, the intervention group showed a significant reduction in the NIHSS score (p=0.045). However, no difference in the mRS score was observed on day 90, but there was a trend towards its improvement.

CONCLUSION

The combination of Cerebrolysin and Alteplase was safe and significantly reduced the rate of symptomatic HT and improved early neurological deficit. However, no difference in functional outcome was found on day 90, but there was a trend towards favorable functional outcome.

Diabetes: Chronic Metformin Treatment and Outcome Following Acute Stroke

Aim

To evaluate if in patients with known diabetes, pretreatment metformin will lead to less severe stroke, better outcome, and lower mortality following acute stroke.

Methods

The Qatar stroke database was interrogated for stroke severity and outcome in patients with ischemic stroke. Outcome was compared in nondiabetic vs. diabetic patients and in diabetic patients on metformin vs. other hypoglycemic agents. The National Institute of Health Stroke Scale was used to measure stroke severity and 90-day modified Rankin scale (mRS) score to determine outcome following acute stroke.

Results

In total, 4,897 acute stroke patients [nondiabetic: 2,740 (56%) and diabetic: 2,157 (44%)] were evaluated. There were no significant differences in age, risk factors, stroke severity and type, or thrombolysis between the two groups. At 90 days, mRS (shift analysis) showed significantly poor outcome in diabetic patients (p < 0.001) but no differences in mortality. In the diabetic group, 1,132 patients were on metformin and 1,025 on other hypoglycemic agents. mRS shift analysis showed a significantly better outcome in metformin-treated patients (p < 0.001) and lower mortality (8.1 vs. 4.6% p < 0.001). Multivariate negative binomial analyses showed that the presence of diabetes negatively affected the outcome (90-day mRS) by factor 0.17 (incidence risk ratio, IRR, 1.17; CI [1.08-1.26]; p < 0.001) when all independent variables were held constant. In diabetic patients, pre-stroke treatment with metformin improved the outcome (90-day mRS) by factor 0.14 (IRR 0.86 [CI 0.75-0.97] p = 0.006).

Conclusion

Similar to previous reports, our study shows that diabetes adversely affects stroke outcome. The use of prior metformin is associated with better outcome in patients with ischemic stroke and results in lower mortality. The positive effects of metformin require further research to better understand its mechanism.

Effect of Intra-arterial Alteplase vs Placebo Following Successful Thrombectomy on Functional Outcomes in Patients With Large Vessel Occlusion Acute Ischemic Stroke: The CHOICE Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

It is estimated that only 27% of patients with acute ischemic stroke and large vessel occlusion who undergo successful reperfusion after mechanical thrombectomy are disability free at 90 days. An incomplete microcirculatory reperfusion might contribute to these suboptimal clinical benefits.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether treatment with adjunct intra-arterial alteplase after thrombectomy improves outcomes following reperfusion.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Phase 2b randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial performed from December 2018 through May 2021 in 7 stroke centers in Catalonia, Spain. The study included 121 patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke treated with thrombectomy within 24 hours after stroke onset and with an expanded Treatment in Cerebral Ischemia angiographic score of 2b50 to 3.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were randomized to receive intra-arterial alteplase (0.225 mg/kg; maximum dose, 22.5 mg) infused over 15 to 30 minutes (n = 61) or placebo (n = 52).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the difference in proportion of patients achieving a score of 0 or 1 on the 90-day modified Rankin Scale (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]) in all patients treated as randomized. Safety outcomes included rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and death.

RESULTS

The study was terminated early for inability to maintain placebo availability and enrollment rate because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Of 1825 patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with thrombectomy at the 7 study sites, 748 (41%) patients fulfilled the angiographic criteria, 121 (7%) patients were randomized (mean age, 70.6 [SD, 13.7] years; 57 women [47%]), and 113 (6%) were treated as randomized. The proportion of participants with a modified Rankin Scale score of 0 or 1 at 90 days was 59.0% (36/61) with alteplase and 40.4% (21/52) with placebo (adjusted risk difference, 18.4%; 95% CI, 0.3%-36.4%; P = .047). The proportion of patients with symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage within 24 hours was 0% with alteplase and 3.8% with placebo (risk difference, -3.8%; 95% CI, -13.2% to 2.5%). Ninety-day mortality was 8% with alteplase and 15% with placebo (risk difference, -7.2%; 95% CI, -19.2% to 4.8%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke and successful reperfusion following thrombectomy, the use of adjunct intra-arterial alteplase compared with placebo resulted in a greater likelihood of excellent neurological outcome at 90 days. However, because of study limitations, these findings should be interpreted as preliminary and require replication.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03876119; EudraCT Number: 2018-002195-40.

Using the Barthel Index and modified Rankin Scale as Outcome Measures for Stroke Rehabilitation Trials; A Comparison of Minimum Sample Size Requirements

OBJECTIVES

Underpowered trials risk inaccurate results. Recruitment to stroke rehabilitation randomised controlled trials (RCTs) is often a challenge. Statistical simulations offer an important opportunity to explore the adequacy of sample sizes in the context of specific outcome measures. We aimed to examine and compare the adequacy of stroke rehabilitation RCT sample sizes using the Barthel Index (BI) or modified Rankin Scale (mRS) as primary outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted computer simulations using typical experimental event rates (EER) and control event rates (CER) based on individual participant data (IPD) from stroke rehabilitation RCTs. Event rates are the proportion of participants who experienced clinically relevant improvements in the RCT experimental and control groups. We examined minimum sample size requirements and estimated the number of participants required to achieve a number needed to treat within clinically acceptable boundaries for the BI and mRS.

RESULTS

We secured 2350 IPD (18 RCTs). For a 90% chance of statistical accuracy on the BI a rehabilitation RCT would require 273 participants per randomised group. Accurate interpretation of effect sizes would require 1000s of participants per group. Simulations for the mRS were not possible as a clinically relevant improvement was not detected when using this outcome measure.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke rehabilitation RCTs with large sample sizes are required for accurate interpretation of effect sizes based on the BI. The mRS lacked sensitivity to detect change and thus may be unsuitable as a primary outcome in stroke rehabilitation trials.

Risk factors for poor outcomes of spontaneous supratentorial cerebral hemorrhage after surgery

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the factors affecting the outcomes of spontaneous supratentorial cerebral hemorrhage 90 days after surgery.

METHODS

A total of 256 patients with spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage underwent craniotomy evacuation of hematoma. The control group included 120 patients who received conservative treatment. The patients were divided into two subgroups based on a bifurcation of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 90 days after clinical therapeutics: good outcome (mRS score 0-3) and poor outcome (mRS score 4-6). The differences in clinical and imaging data between the two subgroups were analyzed. Based on difference analysis results, a binary logistic regression model was constructed to analyze the influencing factors related to poor outcomes.

RESULTS

The difference analysis results in the surgery group showed statistically significant differences in age, sex, Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) on admission, coronary atherosclerosis, smoking, stroke history, blood glucose, D-dimer, hematoma size, deep cerebral hemorrhage, midline shift, hematoma burst into the ventricle, vortex sign, island sign, and black hole sign. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that deep cerebral hemorrhage, midline shift, and age > 58 years independently correlated with the poor outcomes of patients after surgery. The binary logistic regression results of the control group showed that age > 58 years and GCS ≤ 8 independently correlated with the poor outcomes of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep cerebral hemorrhage, midline shift, and age > 58 years significantly increased the risk of adverse prognosis in patients after surgery. The findings might help select the clinical treatment plan and evaluate the postoperative prognosis of patients.

Predicting 90-Day Outcome After Thrombectomy: Baseline-Adjusted 24-Hour NIHSS Is More Powerful Than NIHSS Score Change

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) measured at an early time point is an appealing surrogate marker for long-term functional outcome of stroke patients treated with endovascular therapy. However, definitions and analytical methods for an early NIHSS-based outcome measure that optimize power and precision in clinical studies are not well-established.

METHODS

In this post-hoc analysis of our prospective observational study that enrolled endovascular therapy-treated patients at 12 comprehensive stroke centers across the US, we compared the ability of 24-hour NIHSS, ΔNIHSS (baseline minus 24-hour NIHSS), and percentage change (NIHSS×100/baseline NIHSS), analyzed as continuous and dichotomous measures, to predict 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) using logistic regression (adjusted for age, baseline NIHSS, glucose, hypertension, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score, time to recanalization, recanalization status, and intravenous thrombolysis) and Spearman ρ.

RESULTS

Of 485 patients in the BEST (Blood Pressure After Endovascular Stroke Therapy) cohort, 446 (92%) with 90-day follow-up data were included. An absolute 24-hour NIHSS, adjusted for baseline in multivariable modeling, had the highest predictive power of all definitions evaluated (aR2 0.368 and adjusted odds ratio 0.79 [0.75-0.84], P<0.001 for mRS score 0-2; aR2 0.444 and adjusted odds ratio 0.84 [0.8-0.86] for ordinal mRS). For predicting mRS score of 0-2 with a cut point, the second most efficient approach, the optimal threshold for 24-hour NIHSS score was ≤7 (sensitivity 80.1%, specificity 80.4%; adjusted odds ratio 12.5 [7.14-20], P<0.001), followed by percent change in NIHSS (sensitivity 79%, specificity 58.5%; adjusted odds ratio 4.55 [2.85-7.69], P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Twenty-four-hour NIHSS, adjusted for baseline, was the strongest predictor of both dichotomous and ordinal 90-day mRS outcomes for endovascular therapy-treated patients. A dichotomous 24-hour NIHSS score of ≤7 was the second-best predictor. Although ΔNIHSS, continuous and dichotomized at ≥4, predicted 90-day outcomes, absolute 24-hour NIHSS definitions performed better.

Standardized Nomenclature for Modified Rankin Scale Global Disability Outcomes: Consensus Recommendations From Stroke Therapy Academic Industry Roundtable XI

The modified Rankin Scale (mRS), a 7-level, clinician-reported, measure of global disability, is the most widely employed outcome scale in acute stroke trials. The scale's original development preceded the advent of modern clinimetrics, but substantial subsequent work has been performed to enable the mRS to meet robust contemporary scale standards. Prior research and consensus recommendations have focused on modernizing 2 aspects of the mRS: operationalized assignment of scale scores and statistical analysis of scale distributions. Another important characteristic of the mRS still requiring elaboration and specification to contemporary clinimetric standards is the Naming of scale outcomes. Recent clinical trials have used a bewildering variety, often mutually contradictory, of rubrics to describe scale states. Understanding of the meaning of mRS outcomes by clinicians, patients, and other clinical trial stakeholders would be greatly enhanced by use of a harmonized, uniform set of labels for the distinctive mRS outcomes that would be used consistently across trials. This statement advances such recommended rubrics, developed by the Stroke Therapy Academic Industry Roundtable collaboration using an iterative, mixed-methods process. Specific guidance is provided for health state terms (eg, Symptomatic but Nondisabled for mRS score 1; requires constant care for mRS score 5) and valence terms (eg, excellent for mRS score 1; very poor for mRS score 5) to employ for 23 distinct numeric mRS outcomes, including: all individual 7 mRS levels; all 12 positive and negative dichotomized mRS ranges, positive and negative sliding dichotomies; and utility-weighted analysis of the mRS.

Distance-based Classification and Regression Trees for the analysis of complex predictors in health and medical research

Predicting patient outcomes based on patient characteristics and care processes is a common task in medical research. Such predictive features are often multifaceted and complex, and are usually simplified into one or more scalar variables to facilitate statistical analysis. This process, while necessary, results in a loss of important clinical detail. While this loss may be prevented by using distance-based predictive methods which better represent complex healthcare features, the statistical literature on such methods is limited, and the range of tools facilitating distance-based analysis is substantially smaller than those of other methods. Consequently, medical researchers must choose to either reduce complex predictive features to scalar variables to facilitate analysis, or instead use a limited number of distance-based predictive methods which may not fulfil the needs of the analysis problem at hand. We address this limitation by developing a Distance-Based extension of Classification and Regression Trees (DB-CART) capable of making distance-based predictions of categorical, ordinal and numeric patient outcomes. We also demonstrate how this extension is compatible with other extensions to CART, including a recently published method for predicting care trajectories in chronic disease. We demonstrate DB-CART by using it to expand upon previously published dose-response analysis of stroke rehabilitation data. Our method identified additional detail not captured by the previously published analysis, reinforcing previous conclusions. We also demonstrate how by combining DB-CART with other extensions to CART, the method is capable of making predictions about complex, multifaceted outcome data based on complex, multifaceted predictive features.

Hematoma Expansion Shift Analysis to Assess Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage Treatments

OBJECTIVE

Hematoma expansion (HE) is commonly analyzed as a dichotomous outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials. In this proof-of-concept study, we propose an HE shift analysis model as a method to improve the evaluation of candidate ICH therapies.

METHODS

Using data from the Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage II (ATACH-2) trial, we performed HE shift analysis in response to intensive blood pressure lowering by generating polychotomous strata based on previously established HE definitions, percentile/absolute quartiles of hematoma volume change, and quartiles of 24-hour follow-up hematoma volumes. The relationship between blood pressure treatment and HE shift was explored with proportional odds models.

RESULTS

The primary analysis population included 863 patients. In both treatment groups, approximately one-third of patients exhibited no HE. With the use of a trichotomous HE stratification, the highest strata of ≥33% revealed a 5.8% reduction in hematoma growth for those randomized to intensive therapy (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.99). Using percentile quartiles of hematoma volume change, we observed a favorable shift to reduce growth in patients treated with intensive therapy (aOR 0.73, 95% CI 0.57-0.93). Similarly, in a tetrachotomous analysis of 24-hour follow-up hematoma volumes, shifts in the highest stratum (>21.9 mL) were most notable.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that intensive blood pressure reduction may preferentially mitigate growth in patients at risk of high volume HE. A shift analysis model of HE provides additional insights into the biological effects of a given therapy and may be an additional way to assess hemostatic agents in future studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:NCT01176565.

Early Seizures Are Predictive of Worse Health-Related Quality of Life at Follow-Up After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

Early seizures are a common complication of intracerebral hemorrhage, occurring in ~10% of patients. However, the independent effect of early seizures on patient outcomes, particularly health-related quality of life, is unclear. Without a potential benefit to patient outcomes, the widespread use (~40%) of prophylactic seizure medications has no reasonable chance of improving patient outcomes. We tested the hypothesis that health-related quality of life at follow-up is different between patients with and without early seizures (and secondarily, with nonconvulsive status epilepticus) after intracerebral hemorrhage.

DESIGN

Patients with intracerebral hemorrhage were enrolled in an observational cohort study that prospectively collected clinical data and health-related quality of life at follow-up.

SETTING

Academic medical center.

PATIENTS

One-hundred thirty-three patients whose health-related quality of life was assessed 3 months after intracerebral hemorrhage onset.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Health-related quality of life was obtained at 3 months after intracerebral hemorrhage onset. T Scores of health-related quality of life were modeled with multivariable linear models accounting for severity with the intracerebral hemorrhage Score and hematoma location. Health-related quality of life was measured with National Institutes of Health Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System/Neuroquality of life, expressed in T Scores (U.S. normal 50 ± 10). The modified Rankin Scale (a global measure) was a secondary outcome. There were 12 patients (9%) with early seizures. T Scores of health-related quality of life at follow-up were lower (worse) in patients with early seizure compared with patients without an early seizure (44 [32.75-51.85] vs 30.25 [18.9-39.15]; p = 0.04); results for other domains of health-related quality of life were similar. The association persisted in multivariable models. There was no association between early seizures and prophylactic seizure medications (p = 0.4). Results for patients with nonconvulsive status epilepticus were similar. There was no association between early seizures and the modified Rankin Scale at 3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Early seizures and nonconvulsive status epilepticus were associated with lower health-related quality of life at follow-up in survivors of intracerebral hemorrhage.

Identifying Modifiable Predictors of Patient Outcomes After Intracerebral Hemorrhage with Machine Learning

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Demonstrating a benefit of acute treatment to patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) requires identifying which patients have a potentially modifiable outcome, where treatment could favorably shift a patient's expected outcome. A decision rule for which patients have a modifiable outcome could improve the targeting of treatments. We sought to determine which patients with ICH have a modifiable outcome.

METHODS

Patients with ICH were prospectively identified at two institutions. Data on hematoma volumes, medication histories, and other variables of interest were collected. ICH outcomes were evaluated using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), assessed at 14 days and 3 months after ICH, with "good outcome" defined as 0-3 (independence or better) and "poor outcome" defined as 4-6 (dependence or worse). Supervised machine learning models identified the best predictors of good versus poor outcomes at Institution 1. Models were validated using repeated fivefold cross-validation as well as testing on the entirely independent sample at Institution 2. Model fit was assessed with area under the ROC curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Model performance at Institution 1 was strong for both 14-day (AUC of 0.79 [0.77, 0.81] for decision tree, 0.85 [0.84, 0.87] for random forest) and 3 month (AUC of 0.75 [0.73, 0.77] for decision tree, 0.82 [0.80, 0.84] for random forest) outcomes. Independent predictors of functional outcome selected by the algorithms as important included hematoma volume at hospital admission, hematoma expansion, intraventricular hemorrhage, overall ICH Score, and Glasgow Coma Scale. Hematoma expansion was the only potentially modifiable independent predictor of outcome and was compatible with "good" or "poor" outcome in a subset of patients with low hematoma volumes, good Glasgow Coma scale and premorbid modified Rankin Scale scores. Models trained on harmonized data also predicted patient outcomes well at Institution 2 using decision tree (AUC 0.69 [0.63, 0.75]) and random forests (AUC 0.78 [0.72, 0.84]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patient outcomes are predictable to a high level in patients with ICH, and hematoma expansion is the sole-modifiable predictor of these outcomes across two outcome types and modeling approaches. According to decision tree analyses predicting outcome at 3 months, patients with a high Glasgow Coma Scale score, less than 44.5 mL hematoma volume at admission, and relatively low premorbid modified Rankin Score in particular have a modifiable outcome and appear to be candidates for future interventions to improve outcomes after ICH.

How do treatment times impact on functional outcome in stroke patients undergoing thrombectomy in Germany? Results from the German Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

Functional outcome post-stroke depends on time to recanalization. Effect of in-hospital delay may differ in patients directly admitted to a comprehensive stroke center and patients transferred via a primary stroke center. We analyzed the current door-to-groin time in Germany and explored its effect on functional outcome in a real-world setting.

METHODS

Data were collected in 25 stroke centers in the German Stroke Registry-Endovascular Treatment a prospective, multicenter, observational registry study including stroke patients with large vessel occlusion. Functional outcome was assessed at three months by modified Rankin Scale. Association of door-to-groin time with outcome was calculated using binary logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Out of 4340 patients, 56% were treated primarily in a comprehensive stroke center and 44% in a primary stroke center and then transferred to a comprehensive stroke center ("drip-and-ship" concept). Median onset-to-arrival at comprehensive stroke center time and door-to-groin time were 103 and 79 min in comprehensive stroke center patients and 225 and 44 min in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of onset-to-arrival-at comprehensive stroke center time was 1.03 (95%CI 1.01-1.05) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.06 (95%CI 1.03-1.09) in primary stroke center patients. The odds ratio for poor functional outcome per hour of door-to-groin time was 1.30 (95%CI 1.16-1.46) in comprehensive stroke center patients and 1.04 (95%CI 0.89-1.21) in primary stroke center patients. Longer door-to-groin time in comprehensive stroke center patients was associated with admission on weekends (odds ratio 1.61; 95%CI 1.37-1.97) and during night time (odds ratio 1.52; 95%CI 1.27-1.82) and use of intravenous thrombolysis (odds ratio 1.28; 95%CI 1.08-1.50).

CONCLUSION

Door-to-groin time was especially relevant for outcome of comprehensive stroke center patients, whereas door-to-groin time was much shorter in primary stroke center patients.Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03356392. Unique identifier NCT03356392.

Efficacy and Safety of Intravenous Mesenchymal Stem Cells for Ischemic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

To test whether autologous modified mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) improve recovery in patients with chronic major stroke.

METHODS

In this prospective, open-label, randomized controlled trial with blinded outcome evaluation, patients with severe middle cerebral artery territory infarct within 90 days of symptom onset were assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to receive preconditioned autologous MSC injections (MSC group) or standard treatment alone (control group). The primary outcome was the score on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 months. The secondary outcome was to further demonstrate motor recovery.

RESULTS

A total of 39 and 15 patients were included in the MSC and control groups, respectively, for the final intention-to-treat analysis. Mean age of patients was 68 (range 28-83) years, and mean interval between stroke onset to randomization was 20.2 (range 5-89) days. Baseline characteristics were not different between groups. There was no significant difference between the groups in the mRS score shift at 3 months (p = 0.732). However, secondary analyses showed significant improvements in lower extremity motor function in the MSC group compared to the control group (change in the leg score of the Motricity Index, p = 0.023), which was notable among patients with low predicted recovery potential. There were no serious treatment-related adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

IV application of preconditioned, autologous MSCs with autologous serum was feasible and safe in patients with chronic major stroke. MSC treatment was not associated with improvements in the 3-month mRS score, but we did observe leg motor improvement in detailed functional analyses.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that autologous MSCs do not improve 90-day outcomes in patients with chronic stroke.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01716481.

Ordinal outcome analysis improves the detection of between-hospital differences in outcome

Background

There is a growing interest in assessment of the quality of hospital care, based on outcome measures. Many quality of care comparisons rely on binary outcomes, for example mortality rates. Due to low numbers, the observed differences in outcome are partly subject to chance. We aimed to quantify the gain in efficiency by ordinal instead of binary outcome analyses for hospital comparisons. We analyzed patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and stroke as examples.

Methods

We sampled patients from two trials. We simulated ordinal and dichotomous outcomes based on the modified Rankin Scale (stroke) and Glasgow Outcome Scale (TBI) in scenarios with and without true differences between hospitals in outcome. The potential efficiency gain of ordinal outcomes, analyzed with ordinal logistic regression, compared to dichotomous outcomes, analyzed with binary logistic regression was expressed as the possible reduction in sample size while keeping the same statistical power to detect outliers.

Results

In the IMPACT study (9578 patients in 265 hospitals, mean number of patients per hospital = 36), the analysis of the ordinal scale rather than the dichotomized scale (‘unfavorable outcome’), allowed for up to 32% less patients in the analysis without a loss of power. In the PRACTISE trial (1657 patients in 12 hospitals, mean number of patients per hospital = 138), ordinal analysis allowed for 13% less patients. Compared to mortality, ordinal outcome analyses allowed for up to 37 to 63% less patients.

Conclusions

Ordinal analyses provide the statistical power of substantially larger studies which have been analyzed with dichotomization of endpoints. We advise to exploit ordinal outcome measures for hospital comparisons, in order to increase efficiency in quality of care measurements.

Trial registration

We do not report the results of a health care intervention.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12874-020-01185-7.

The multiarm optimization of stroke thrombolysis phase 3 acute stroke randomized clinical trial: Rationale and methods

BACKGROUND

Intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator is the only proven effective medication for the treatment of acute ischemic stroke. Two approaches that may augment recombinant tissue plasminogen activator thrombolysis and prevent arterial reocclusion are direct thrombin inhibition with argatroban and inhibition of the glycoprotein 2b/3a receptor with eptifibatide.

AIM

The multi-arm optimization of stroke thrombolysis trial aims to determine the safety and efficacy of intravenous therapy with argatroban or eptifibatide as compared with placebo in acute ischemic stroke patients treated with intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator within 3 h of symptom onset.

SAMPLE SIZE ESTIMATE

A maximum of 1200 randomized subjects to test the superiority of argatroban or eptifibatide to placebo in improving 90-day modified Rankin scores.

METHODS AND DESIGN

Multiarm optimization of stroke thrombolysis is a multicenter, multiarm, adaptive, single blind, randomized controlled phase 3 clinical trial conducted within the National Institutes of Health StrokeNet clinical trial network. Patients treated with 0.9 mg/kg intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator within 3 h of stroke symptom onset are randomized to receive intravenous argatroban (100 µg/kg bolus followed by 3 µg/kg/min for 12 h), intravenous eptifibatide (135 µg/kg bolus followed by 0.75 µg/kg/min infusion for 2 h) or IV placebo. Patients may receive endovascular thrombectomy per usual care.

STUDY OUTCOMES

The primary efficacy outcome is improved modified Rankin score assessed at 90 days post-randomization.

DISCUSSION

Multiarm optimization of stroke thrombolysis is an innovative and collaborative project that is the culmination of many years of dedicated efforts to improve outcomes for stroke patients.

Endovascular Treatment in Patients with Cerebral Artery Occlusion of Three Different Etiologies

Background and Purpose

The outcome of endovascular treatment (EVT) may differ depending on the etiology of arterial occlusion. This study aimed to assess the differences in EVT outcomes in patients with intracranial arterial steno-occlusion (ICAS-O), artery-to-artery embolism (AT-O), and cardiac embolism (CA-O).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 330 patients with ischemic stroke who underwent EVT between January 2012 and August 2017. Patients were classified according to the etiology. The clinical data, EVT-related factors, and clinical outcomes were compared. The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 3 months, determined using ordinal logistic regression (shift analysis), was the primary outcome.

Results

CA-O (n=149) was the most common etiology, followed by ICAS-O (n=63) and AT-O (n=49). Age, initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, and rate of hemorrhagic transformation were significantly higher in patients with CA-O compared to AT-O and ICAS-O. The time from onset-to-recanalization was the shortest in the CA-O (356.0 minutes) groups, followed by the AT-O (847.0 minutes) and ICAS-O (944.0 minutes) groups. The rates of successful recanalization, mRS distribution, and favorable outcomes at 3 months (mRS 0–2; CA-O, 36.9%, AT-O, 53.1%; and ICAS-O, 41.3%) did not differ among the three groups. Baseline NIHSS score (odds ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.83 to 0.91) could independently predict a favorable shift in mRS distribution.

Conclusions

The functional outcomes of ICAS-O and AT-O were similar to those of CA-O, despite the delay in symptom onset-to-recanalization, suggesting that the therapeutic time window may be extended in these patients.

Missing outcome data management in acute stroke trials testing iv thrombolytics. Is there risk of bias?

INTRODUCTION

Missing outcome data may undermine interpretation of randomised clinical trials by weakening power and limiting apparent effect size. We assessed bias and inefficiency of two imputation methods commonly used in stroke trials evaluating the efficacy of iv thrombolysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We searched the virtual international stroke trials archive (VISTA)-acute for ischaemic stroke patients with 90-day modified Rankin scale as an outcome, and known thrombolysis status. We excluded any with missing 30-day modified Rankin scale. We planned two analyses; first, we calculated odds ratios for outcome in thrombolysed versus not thrombolysed from imputed-only data, (a) among patients with missing modified Rankin scale 90 and (b) among matched patients with intact data (using propensity score methods and relevant covariates). Imputation approaches were last observation carried forward (LOCF) or multiple imputation. Outcome comparisons used dichotomisation and shift analysis. Thereafter, we calculated whole-population odds ratios using LOCF and multiple imputation (also through dichotomisation and shift analysis); first with the original 1.5% missing outcome data, and then artificially increasing the burden (5%; 10%; 20%; 30%).

RESULTS

We considered 9657 patients from eight of the studies included in VISTA, 3034 (31%) thrombolysed. Missing data replacement by LOCF with analysis by dichotomisation gave the highest estimate of thrombolysis influence. Imputing while increasing the burden of missing data progressively raised the odds ratios estimates, though thresholds for overestimation were 10% for LOCF; 20% for multiple imputation.Discussion: Replacing missing outcome data tended to overestimate differences of thrombolysed versus non-thrombolysed patients, but had minimal impact below a 10% burden of missing data.Conclusion: In the specific context of acute stroke trials testing iv thrombolytics, replacing missing data by carrying forward the last observation tended to overestimate treatment odds ratios more than multiple imputation.

Primary endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke in teenage patients: a short case series

PURPOSE

To analyze the safety and efficacy of primary endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in patients younger than 18 years of age.

METHODS

Review of 4 patients < 18 years of age with AIS, prospectively enrolled in an electronic database registry for acute ischemic stroke patients who underwent thrombectomy at tertiary centers, from January 2011 to February 2017. Clinical and imaging data were analyzed.

RESULTS

All patients were female. Patients 1 to 4 were 14, 13, 16, and 13 years old, respectively. Patients 1 and 3 had left middle cerebral artery occlusion, patient 2 basilar occlusion, and patient 4 right tandem occlusion. Mean NIHSS score was 13 (7-19) on arrival and 4 (0-5) at 24 h. Patient 2 had Osler-Weber-Rendu disease and patient 4 a previously surgically repaired complete atrioventricular canal. All patients presented with clinical-radiological mismatch. CT/CTA was used in patients 1 and 4 and MRI/MRA in patients 2 and 3. Stent retriever was used in 3 patients (patients 1, 3, and 4) and direct aspiration first-pass technique in 1 (patient 2). All 4 procedures resulted in successful recanalization and 3-month functional independence.

CONCLUSION

Primary EVT is reported in patients 13 to 16 years of age with AIS due to large vessel occlusion and clinical-radiological mismatch. Procedures were safe and effective with prompt recanalization and good clinical outcome.

Randomized Efficacy and Safety Trial with Oral S 44819 after Recent ischemic cerebral Event (RESTORE BRAIN study): a placebo controlled phase II study

BACKGROUND

The GABA_A-α5 receptor antagonist S44819 is a promising candidate to enhance functional recovery after acute ischemic stroke (IS). S44819 is currently evaluated in this indication; RESTORE brain study started in Dec 2016 and was completed in March 2019.

METHODS/DESIGN

The study is a 3-month international, randomized, double-blind, parallel group, placebo-controlled phase II multicentre study. Patients in 14 countries who suffered an IS leading to a moderate or severe deficit defined by NIHSS score ranging from 7 to 20 and are aged between 18 to 85 years are included between 3 and 8 days after the stroke onset. Approximately 580 patients are to be included. The primary objective of the study is to demonstrate the superiority of at least one of the two doses of S44819 (150 or 300 mg bid) compared to placebo on top of usual care on functional recovery measured with the modified Rankin scale at 3 months. Comparisons between two doses of S44819 and placebo are assessed with ordinal logistic regression evaluating the odds of shifting from one category to the next in the direction of a better outcome at day 90. Secondary objectives include the evaluation of S44819 effects on neurological examination using the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale total score, activities of daily living using the Barthel Index total score, and cognitive performance using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment scale total score and Trail Making Test times. Safety and tolerability of the two doses of S44819 will also be analyzed.

DISCUSSION

The RESTORE BRAIN study might represent the first proof of concept study of an innovative therapeutic approach that is primarily based on enhancing functional recovery after IS.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Randomized Efficacy and Safety Trial with Oral S 44819 after Recent ischemic cerebral Event, an international, multi-centre, randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled phase II study. ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02877615; Eudract 2016-001005-16. Registered 24 August 2016.

Timing of Recanalization and Functional Recovery in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose

Although onset-to-treatment time is associated with early clinical recovery in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients treated with intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA), the effect of the timing of tPA-induced recanalization on functional outcomes remains debatable.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter, prospective observational cohort study to determine whether early (within 1-hour from tPA-bolus) complete or partial recanalization assessed during 2-hour real-time transcranial Doppler monitoring is associated with improved outcomes in patients with proximal occlusions. Outcome events included dramatic clinical recovery (DCR) within 2 and 24-hours from tPA-bolus, 3-month mortality, favorable functional outcome (FFO) and functional independence (FI) defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores of 0–1 and 0–2 respectively.

Results

We enrolled 480 AIS patients (mean age 66±15 years, 60% men, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 15). Patients with early recanalization (53%) had significantly (jos-2019-01648P<0.001) higher rates of DCR at 2-hour (54% vs. 10%) and 24-hour (63% vs. 22%), 3-month FFO (67% vs. 28%) and FI (81% vs. 39%). Three-month mortality rates (6% vs. 17%) and distribution of 3-month mRS scores were significantly lower in the early recanalization group. After adjusting for potential confounders, early recanalization was independently associated with higher odds of 3-month FFO (odds ratio [OR], 6.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.88 to 9.88) and lower likelihood of 3-month mortality (OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.17 to 0.67). Onset to treatment time correlated to the elapsed time between tPA-bolus and recanalization (unstandardized linear regression coefficient, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.19).

Conclusions

Earlier tPA treatment after stroke onset is associated with faster tPA-induced recanalization. Earlier onset-to-recanalization time results in improved functional recovery and survival in AIS patients with proximal intracranial occlusions.

Renal impairment on clinical outcomes following endovascular recanalization

OBJECTIVE

To determine the influence of renal impairment (RI) on clinical outcomes at 3 months and the risk of recurrent stroke in patients presenting with emergent large vessel occlusion (ELVO) treated with emergent endovascular treatment (EVT).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with anterior circulation stroke due to ELVO treated with EVT in 21 endovascular centers were included. Multivariate regressions were used to evaluate the association of RI with mortality, functional independence (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score 0-2), and functional improvement (shift in mRS score) at 3 months. The association between RI and the risk of recurrent stroke was evaluated with multivariate competing-risk regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 628 patients with ELVO (mean age 64.7 ± 12.5 years, median NIH Stroke Scale score 17 points, 99 [15.8%] with RI) who underwent EVT were enrolled. After adjustment for other relevant variables, multivariate regression analysis indicated that RI was independently associated with functional independence (adjusted odds ratio 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.29-0.96, p = 0.035) at 3 months but not with mortality or functional improvement. Multivariate competing-risk regression analysis showed that patients with RI who received EVT had a significantly higher risk of recurrent stroke (adjusted hazard ratio 2.56, 95% CI 1.27-5.18, p = 0.009) compared to those with normal renal function.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that RI is an independent predictor of functional independence at 3 months and long-term risk of recurrent stroke in patients with ELVO treated with EVT.

Prognostic Significance of Pulse Pressure Variability During Mechanical Thrombectomy in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients

Background Studies on the role of blood pressure ( BP ) variability specifically during mechanical thrombectomy ( MT ) are sparse and limited. Moreover, pulse pressure ( PP ) has not been considered as a potent hemodynamic parameter to describe BP variability during MT . We assessed the impact of PP variability on functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusion during MT . Methods and Results Acute ischemic stroke patients presenting with large vessel occlusion from January 2012 to June 2016 were included. BP data during MT were prospectively collected in the ETIS (Endovascular Treatment in Ischemic Stroke) registry. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association between PP coefficients of variation and functional outcome at 3 months (modified Rankin Scale). Among the 343 included patients, PP variability was significantly associated with worse 3-month modified Rankin Scale in univariable (odds ratio [OR] =1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24-1.96 per 1-unit increase, P=0.0002) and multivariable ordinal logistic regression (adjusted OR =1.40, 95% CI : 1.09-1.79, P=0.008). PP variability was also associated with unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale 3-6) in univariable ( OR =1.53, 95% CI : 1.17-2.01, P=0.002) and multivariable analysis (adjusted OR =1.42, 95% CI : 1.02-1.98, P=0.04). There was an association between PP variability and 3-month all-cause mortality in univariable analysis ( OR = 1.37, 95% CI : 1.01-1.85 per 1-unit increase of the coefficient of variation of the PP , P=0.04), which did not remain significant after adjustment for potential confounders. Conclusions PP variability during MT is an independent predictor of worse clinical outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients. These findings support the need for a close monitoring of BP variability during MT . Whether pharmacological interventions aiming at reducing BP variability during MT could impact functional outcome needs to be determined.

Intracranial Carotid Artery Calcification and Effect of Endovascular Stroke Treatment

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background and Purpose—

Previous studies suggest that intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC) volume might influence the clinical outcome of patients after endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke. Importantly, ICAC can be subtyped into a medial or intimal pattern that may differentially influence the effect of EVT in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods—

All 500 patients included in the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical trial of Endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke in the Netherlands) were evaluated. Volume (mm³) and location pattern (tunica intima or tunica media) of ICAC could be determined on baseline noncontrast computed tomography in 344 patients. Functional outcome at 90 days was assessed with the modified Rankin Scale. Next, we investigated the association of ICAC volume and pattern with functional outcome using adjusted ordinal logistic regression models. Effect modification by EVT was assessed with an interaction term between treatment allocation and ICAC aspect.

Results—

We found evidence for treatment effect modification by ICAC pattern (P interaction=0.04). Patients with predominantly medial calcification had better functional outcome with EVT than without this treatment (adjusted common odds ratio, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.23–4.39), but we observed no effect of EVT in patients with predominantly intimal calcifications (adjusted common odds ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.40–1.68). We did not find an association of ICAC volume with functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio per unit increase ICAC volume 1.01 (95% CI, 0.89–1.13). Moreover, we found no evidence for effect modification by ICAC volume (P interaction=0.61).

Conclusions—

The benefit of EVT in acute ischemic stroke patients with a medial calcification pattern is larger than the benefit in patients with an intimal calcification pattern.

Clinical Trial Registration—

URL: http://www.trialregister.nl. Unique identifier: NTR1804. URL: http://www.isrctn.com. Unique identifier: ISRCTN10888758.

Fever Burden and Health-Related Quality of Life After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Fever is associated with worse functional outcomes after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH); however, there are few prospective data to quantify the relationship with health-related quality of life (HRQoL). We tested the hypothesis that increased burden of fever is independently associated with decreased HRQoL at follow-up.

METHODS

In this prospective observational cohort study of 106 ICH patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital between 2011 and 2015, we recorded the highest core temperature each calendar day for 14 days after ICH onset. Fever burden was defined as the number of days with a fever ≥ 100.4 °F (38 °C). HRQoL outcomes were measured with Neuro-QoL domains of Cognitive Function and Mobility at 28 days, 3 months, and 1 year. Results were analyzed using mixed effects regression analysis.

RESULTS

Each additional day with a fever was independently associated with lower Mobility HRQoL (T-score - 0.9, [- 1.6 to - 0.2]; p = 0.01) and Cognitive Function HRQoL (T-score - 1.3 [- 2.0 to - 0.6]; p = 0.001) after correction for National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score on admission, age, and time to follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Each additional day with a fever was predictive of worse HRQoL domains of Cognitive Function and Mobility after ICH up to 1 year. These data extend previous evidence on the negative association of fever and functional outcomes to the domains of Cognitive Function and Mobility HRQoL. HRQoL outcomes may be a sensitive and powerful way to measure the efficacy of fever control in future research.

Clinical and Neuroimaging Characteristics in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined versus Cardioembolic Origin: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Evidence suggests that cardioembolism represents the underlying mechanism in the minority of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). In this population-based study, we sought to compare the clinical and imaging characteristics as well as outcomes in patients with ESUS and cardioembolic stroke (CE).

METHODS

We included consecutive patients with first-ever ischemic stroke (IS) from the previously published population-based Evros-Stroke-Registry identified as ESUS or CE according to standardized criteria. Baseline characteristics, admission NIHSS scores, cerebral edema, hemorrhagic transformation, stroke recurrence, functional outcomes (determined by modified Rankin Scale [mRS] scores), and mortality rates were recorded during the 1-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

We identified 21 ESUS (3.7% of IS) and 211 CE (37.1% of IS) cases. Patients with ESUS were younger (median age: 68 years [interquartile range [IQR]: 61-75] vs 80 years [IQR: 75-84]; P < .001), had lower median admission NIHSS scores (4 points [IQR: 2-8] vs 10 points [IQR: 5-17]; P < .001), and lower prevalence of cerebral edema on neuroimaging studies (0 vs. 33.3%, P = .002). Functional outcomes were more favorable in ESUS at 28 (median mRS score: 2 [IQR: 1-3] vs 4 [IQR: 4-5]; P < .001), 90 (median mRS score: 1 [IQR: 0-2] vs 4 [IQR: 3-5]; P < .001), and 365 days (median mRS score: 1 [IQR: 0-2] vs 4 [IQR: 2-4]; P < 0.001). At 1-year, the mortality rate was lower in ESUS (0% [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0-13.5%] vs 34.6% [95% CI: 28.2-41.0%]; P < .001); the 1-year recurrent rate was also lower numerically (0% [95% CI: 0-13.5%] vs 9.5% [95% CI: 5.5-13.4%]; P = .140) but this difference failed to reach statistical significance due to the small study population.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical and neuroimaging profiles as well as clinical outcomes vary substantially between ESUS and CE indicating different underlying mechanisms.

Implant for Augmentation of Cerebral Blood Flow Trial-1 (ImpACT-1). A single-arm feasibility study evaluating the safety and potential benefit of the Ischemic Stroke System for treatment of acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

The Ischemic Stroke System is a novel device designed to deliver stimulation to the sphenopalatine ganglion(SPG).The SPG sends parasympathetic innervations to the anterior cerebral circulation. In rat stroke models, SPG stimulation results in increased cerebral blood flow, reduced infarct volume, protects the blood brain barrier, and improved neurological outcome. We present here the results of a prospective, multinational, single-arm, feasibility study designed to assess the safety, tolerability, and potential benefit of SPG stimulation inpatients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS).

METHODS

Patients with anterior AIS, baseline NIHSS 7-20 and ability to initiate treatment within 24h from stroke onset, were implanted and treated with the SPG stimulation. Patients were followed up for 90 days. Effect was assessed by comparing the patient outcome to a matched population from the NINDS rt-PA trial placebo patients.

RESULTS

Ninety-eight patients were enrolled (mean age 57years, mean baseline NIHSS 12 and mean treatment time from stroke onset 19h). The observed mortality rate(12.2%), serious adverse events (SAE)incidence(23.5%) and nature of SAE were within the expected range for the population. The modified intention to treat cohort consisted of 84 patients who were compared to matched patients from the NINDS placebo arm. Patients treated with SPG stimulation had an average mRS lower by 0.76 than the historical controls(CMH test p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The implantation procedure and the SPG stimulation, initiated within 24hr from stroke onset, are feasible, safe, and tolerable. The results call for a follow-up randomized trial (funded by BrainsGate; clinicaltrials.gov number, NCT03733236).

Incidence, characteristics and outcomes in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source: A population-based study

Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) represents a subgroup of cryptogenic ischemic stroke (CS) distinguished by high probability of an underlying embolic mechanism. There are scarce population-based data regarding the incidence, characteristics and outcomes of ESUS. Consecutive patients included with first-ever ischemic stroke of undetermined cause in the previously published population-based Evros Stroke Registry were further subdivided into ESUS and non-ESUS CS. Crude and adjusted [according to the European Standard Population (ESP), WHO and Segi population] incidence rates (IR) for ESUS and non-ESUS CS were calculated. Baseline characteristics, admission stroke severity (assessed using NIHSS-score), stroke recurrence and functional outcomes [determined by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores], were recorded during the 1-year follow-up period. We identified 21 and 242 cases with ESUS (8% of CS) and non-ESUS CS. The crude and ESP-adjusted IR for ESUS were 17.5 (95%CI: 10-25) and 16.6 (95%CI: 10-24) per 100,000 person-years. Patients with ESUS were younger (p < .001) and had lower median admission NIHSS-scores (p < .001). Functional outcomes were more favorable in ESUS at 28, 90 and 365 days. ESUS was independently (p = .033) associated with lower admission NIHSS-scores (unstandardized linear regression coefficient: -13.34;95%CI: -23.34, -3.35) on multiple linear regression models. ESUS was not related to 1-year stroke recurrence, mortality and functional improvement on multivariable analyses. In conclusion we found that ESUS cases represented 8% of CS patients in this population-based study. Despite the fact that ESUS was independently related to lower admission stroke severity, there was no association of ESUS with long-term outcomes.

Statistical Analysis Plan for EXtending the time for Thrombolysis in Emergency Neurological Deficits (EXTEND) trial

BACKGROUND

EXtending the time for Thrombolysis in Emergency Neurological Deficits (EXTEND) is a randomized, multicenter, double-blinded, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial to test the hypothesis of extending the thrombolysis time window to 9 h from stroke onset and in wake-up stroke (WUS) patients.

OBJECTIVE

To formulate the detailed statistical analysis plan for the EXTEND trial prior to database lock. This statistical analysis plan is based on the published and registered EXTEND trial protocol and is developed by the blinded steering committee and management team.

RESULTS

The developed EXTEND statistical analysis plan is transparent, verifiable, and predetermined before the database lock. It is consistent with reporting standards for clinical trials and provides for clear and open reporting.

CONCLUSIONS

Publication of a statistical analysis plan serves to reduce potential trial analysis and reporting bias and outlines pre-specified analyses to quantify the benefits and harms of extending the thrombolysis time window to 9 h from stroke onset and in wake-up stroke patients. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00887328 registered 23/Apr/2009 and NCT01580839 (EXTEND International) registered 19/Apr/2012.

Clazosentan for Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: An Updated Meta-Analysis with Trial Sequential Analysis

OBJECTIVE

Clazosentan, an endothelin receptor antagonist, reduced vasospasm and delayed ischemic neurologic deficit (DIND) but did not improve outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in clinical trials. However, a lack of dose-dependent analysis and potential overestimation of clazosentan's effect are concerning. We used stratified analysis and trial sequential analysis (TSA) of existing data to investigate the effects of clazosentan on SAH outcome.

METHODS

Studies from PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane were reviewed for eligibility. Primary outcomes were DIND requiring rescue therapy, all-cause mortality, and vasospasm-related morbidity at 6 weeks. Secondary outcomes were moderate-to-severe angiographic vasospasm, new cerebral infarction, and poor clinical outcome at 3 months. TSA was performed to assess the required information size and the α-spending monitoring boundary effect of relative risk (RR) reduction. A stratified analysis of clazosentan dosage was performed.

RESULTS

Five studies (N = 2317) were included. Clazosentan significantly reduced the risk of DIND requiring rescue therapy (RR, 0.625; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.462-0.846) and vasospasm (RR, 0.543; 95% CI, 0.464-0.635), but did not significantly affect mortality or vasospasm-related morbidity (RR, 0.775; 95% CI, 0.578-1.039), new cerebral infarction (RR, 0.604; 95% CI, 0.383-0.952), or outcome (RR, 1.131; 95% CI, 0.959-1.334). TSA revealed that the studies were underpowered to evaluate the effects of clazosentan on mortality and vasospasm-associated morbidity. We found 10-15 mg/h of clazosentan administration was associated with lower rates of vasospasm and new cerebral infarctions compared with 5 mg/h.

CONCLUSIONS

Clazosentan reduced the risk of DIND requiring rescue therapy and moderate-to-severe vasospasm. Further meta-analyses based on individual patient data with different clazosentan doses and more refined outcome measures are necessary to clarify clazosentan's efficacy in improving post-SAH outcome.

Ordinal vs dichotomous analyses of modified Rankin Scale, 5-year outcome, and cost of stroke

Objective

To compare how 3 common representations (ordinal vs dichotomized as 0–1/2–6 or 0–2/3–6) of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS)—a commonly used trial outcome measure—relate to long-term outcomes, and quantify trial ineligibility rates based on premorbid mRS.

Methods

In consecutive patients with ischemic stroke in a population-based, prospective, cohort study (Oxford Vascular Study; 2002–2014), we related 3-month mRS to 1-year and 5-year disability and death (logistic regressions), and health/social care costs (generalized linear model), adjusted for age/sex, and compared goodness-of-fit values (C statistic, mean absolute error). We also calculated the proportion of patients in whom premorbid mRS score >1 or >2 would result in exclusion from trials using dichotomous analysis.

Results

Among 1,607 patients, the ordinal mRS was more strongly related to 5-year mortality than both the 0–1/2–6 and 0–2/3–6 dichotomies (all p < 0.0001). Results were similar for 5-year disability, and 5-year care costs were also best captured by the ordinal model (change in mean absolute error vs age/sex: −$3,059 for ordinal, −$2,805 for 0–2/3–6, −$1,647 for 0–1/2–6). Two hundred forty-four (17.1%) 3-month survivors had premorbid mRS score >2 and 434 (30.5%) had mRS score >1; both proportions increased with female sex, socioeconomic deprivation, and age (all p < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The ordinal form of the 3-month mRS relates better to long-term outcomes and costs in survivors of ischemic stroke than either dichotomy. This finding favors using ordinal approaches in trials analyzing the mRS. Exclusion of patients with higher premorbid disability by use of dichotomous primary outcomes will also result in unrepresentative samples.

Blood Pressure Variability and Outcome in Patients with Acute Nonlobar Intracerebral Hemorrhage following Intensive Antihypertensive Treatment

Background:

Blood pressure (BP) variability has been associated with stroke risk. We elucidated the association between systolic BP (SBP) variation and outcomes in patients with nonlobar intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) following intensive antihypertensive treatment upfront.

Methods:

We screened consecutive patients with spontaneous ICH who underwent intensive antihypertensive treatments targeting BP <140 mmHg between 2008 and 2016. SBPs were monitored hourly during the acute period (≤7 days after symptom onset) in the intensive care unit. SBP variability was determined in terms of range, standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CoV), and mean absolute change (MAC). The primary outcomes included hematoma growth and poor clinical outcome at 3 months (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score ≥3. The secondary outcome was an ordinal shift in mRS at 3 months.

Results:

A total of 104 individuals (mean age, 63.0 ± 13.5 years; male, 57.7%) were included in this study. In multivariable model, MAC (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.21; P = 0.012) rather than the range of SD or CoV, was significantly associated with hematoma growth even after adjusting for mean SBP level. Sixty-eight out of 104 patients (65.4%) had a poor clinical outcome at 3 months. SD and CoV of SBP were significantly associated with a 3-month poor clinical outcome even after adjusting for mean SBP. In addition, in multivariable ordinal logistic models, the MAC of SBP was significantly associated with higher shift of mRS at 3 months (adjusted OR, 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02–1.15; P = 0.008).

Conclusions:

The MAC of SBP is associated with hematoma growth, and SD and COV are correlated with 3-month poor outcome in patients with supratentorial nonlobar ICH. Therefore, sustained SBP control, with a reduction in SBP variability is essential to reinforce the beneficial effect of intensive antihypertensive treatment.

Diagnosing and Treating Sleep Apnea in Patients With Acute Cerebrovascular Disease

Background Obstructive sleep apnea ( OSA ) is common among patients with acute ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack. We evaluated whether continuous positive airway pressure for OSA among patients with recent ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack improved clinical outcomes. Methods and Results This randomized controlled trial among patients with ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack compared 2 strategies (standard or enhanced) for the diagnosis and treatment of OSA versus usual care over 1 year. Primary outcomes were National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and modified Rankin Scale scores. Among 252 patients (84, control; 86, standard; 82, enhanced), OSA prevalence was as follows: control, 69%; standard, 74%; and enhanced, 80%. Continuous positive airway pressure use occurred on average 50% of nights and was similar among standard (3.9±2.1 mean hours/nights used) and enhanced (4.3±2.4 hours/nights used; P=0.46) patients. In intention-to-treat analyses, changes in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and modified Rankin Scale scores were similar across groups. In as-treated analyses among patients with OSA, increasing continuous positive airway pressure use was associated with improved National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (no/poor, -0.6±2.9; some, -0.9±1.4; good, -0.3±1.0; P=0.0064) and improved modified Rankin Scale score (no/poor, -0.3±1.5; some, -0.4±1.0; good, -0.9±1.2; P=0.0237). In shift analyses among patients with OSA, 59% of intervention patients had best neurological symptom severity (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 0-1) versus 38% of controls ( P=0.038); absolute risk reduction was 21% (number needed to treat, 4.8). Conclusions Although changes in neurological functioning and functional status were similar across the groups in the intention-to-treat analyses, continuous positive airway pressure use was associated with improved neurological functioning among patients with acute ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack with OSA . Clinical Trial Registration URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT 01446913.

Dual antiplatelet therapy pretreatment in IV thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine the safety and efficacy of IV thrombolysis (IVT) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients with a history of dual antiplatelet therapy pretreatment (DAPP) in a prospective multicenter study.

METHODS

We compared the following outcomes between DAPP+ and DAPP- IVT-treated patients before and after propensity score matching (PSM): symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), asymptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 0-1), and 3-month mortality.

RESULTS

Among 790 IVT patients, 58 (7%) were on DAPP before stroke (mean age 68 ± 13 years; 57% men; median NIH Stroke Scale score 8). DAPP+ patients were older with more risk factors compared to DAPP- patients. The rates of sICH were similar between groups (3.4% vs 3.2%). In multivariable analyses adjusting for potential confounders, DAPP was associated with higher odds of asymptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (odds ratio = 3.53, 95% confidence interval: 1.47-8.47; p = 0.005) but also with a higher likelihood of 3-month favorable functional outcome (odds ratio = 2.41, 95% confidence interval: 1.06-5.46; p = 0.035). After propensity score matching, 41 DAPP+ patients were matched to 82 DAPP- patients. The 2 groups did not differ in any of the baseline characteristics or safety and efficacy outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

DAPP is not associated with higher rates of sICH and 3-month mortality following IVT. DAPP should not be used as a reason to withhold IVT in otherwise eligible AIS candidates.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that for IVT-treated patients with AIS, DAPP is not associated with a significantly higher risk of sICH. The study lacked the precision to exclude a potentially meaningful increase in sICH bleeding risk.

Intravenous Thrombolysis for Ischemic Stroke Patients on Dual Antiplatelets

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the outcomes of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients on dual antiplatelet therapy prior to stroke onset.

METHODS

We analyzed prospectively collected data from the Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke (SITS) International Stroke Thrombolysis Register on consecutive IVT-treated AIS patients during a 7-year period (2010-2017). In propensity score matched groups of patients with dual antiplatelet pretreatment and no antiplatelet pretreatment, we compared: (1) symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH), according to SITS Monitoring Study (MOST), European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS) II, and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) definitions; (2) 3-month mortality; (3) 3-month favorable functional outcome (FFO; modified Rankin Scale [mRS] scores = 0-1); (4) 3-month functional independence (FI; mRS scores = 0-2); and (5) distribution of the 3-month mRS scores. Dual antiplatelet pretreatment was defined as all possible combinations among aspirin, clopidogrel, dipyridamole, and any other antiplatelet.

RESULTS

Propensity score matching resulted in 2 groups of 1,043 patients each, balanced for all baseline characteristics. In the propensity score matched analysis, the 2 groups had comparable (p > 0.017 using Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons) SICH rates according to SITS-MOST (2.9% vs 1.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.03 to -0.01), ECASS II (5.2% vs 4.4%, 95% CI = -0.03 to 0.01), and NINDS (7.7% vs 6.6%, 95% CI = -0.03 to 0.01) definitions. No differences in the 3-month mortality (17.9% vs 16.6%, 95% CI = -0.05 to 0.02), FFO (45.6% vs 46.0%, 95% CI = -0.04 to 0.05), FI (59.2% vs 60.7%, 95% CI = -0.03 to 0.06), or distribution in 3-month mRS scores (2 [1-4] vs 2 [0-4], 95% CI = -0.29 to 0.09) were documented between the 2 groups.

INTERPRETATION

Given that patients on dual antiplatelet pretreatment have similar SICH, 3-month mortality rates, and functional outcomes compared to patients with no antiplatelet pretreatment, dual antiplatelet pretreatment history should not be used as a reason to withhold IVT in otherwise eligible AIS patients. Ann Neurol 2018;83:89-97.

Suggested modification of presentation of stroke trial results

The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days after stroke onset has become the preferred outcome measure in acute stroke trials, including recent trials of interventional therapies. Reporting the range of modified Rankin Scale scores as a paired horizontal stacked bar graph (colloquially known as “Grotta bars”) has become the conventional method of visualizing modified Rankin Scale results. Grotta bars readily illustrate the levels of the ordinal modified Rankin Scale in which benefit may have occurred. However, complementing the available graphical information by including additional features to convey statistical significance may be advantageous. We propose a modification of the horizontal stacked bar graph with illustrative examples. In this suggested modification, the line joining the segments of the bar graph (e.g. modified Rankin Scale 1–2 in treatment arm to modified Rankin Scale 1–2 in control arm) is given a color and thickness based on the p-value of the result at that level (in this example, the p-value of modified Rankin Scale 0–1 vs. 2–6)—a thick green line for p-values <0.01, thin green for p-values of 0.01 to <0.05, gray for 0.05 to <0.10, thin red for 0.10 to <0.90, and thick red for p-values ≥0.90 or outcome favoring the control group. Illustrative examples from four recent trials (ESCAPE, SWIFT-PRIME, IST-3, ASTER) are shown to demonstrate the range of significant and non-significant effects that can be captured using this proposed method. By formalizing a display of outcomes which includes statistical tests of all possible dichotomizations of the Rankin scale, this approach also encourages pre-specification of such hypotheses. Prespecifying tests of all six dichotomizations of the Rankin scale provides all possible statistical information in an a priori fashion. Since the result of our proposed approach is six distinct dichotomized tests in addition to a primary test, e.g. of the ordinal Rankin shift, it may be prudent to account for multiplicity in testing by using dichotomized p-values only after adjustment, such as by the Bonferroni or Hochberg-Holm methods. Whether p-values are nominal or adjusted may be left to the discretion of the presenter as long as the presence or absence is clearly stated in the statistical methods. Our proposed modification results in a visually intuitive summary of both the size of the effect—represented by the matched bars and their connecting segments—as well as its statistical relevance.

Functional Assessment for Acute Stroke Trials: Properties, Analysis, and Application

A measure of treatment effect is needed to assess the utility of any novel intervention in acute stroke. For a potentially disabling condition such as stroke, outcomes of interest should include some measure of functional recovery. There are many functional outcome assessments that can be used after stroke. In this narrative review, we discuss exemplars of assessments that describe impairment, activity, participation, and quality of life. We will consider the psychometric properties of assessment scales in the context of stroke trials, focusing on validity, reliability, responsiveness, and feasibility. We will consider approaches to the analysis of functional outcome measures, including novel statistical approaches. Finally, we will discuss how advances in audiovisual and information technology could further improve outcome assessment in trials.