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Gutwerk A, Wex T, Stein K, Langner C, Canbay A, Malfertheiner P, Link A. Helicobacter Pylori Serology in Relation to Hepatitis C Virus Infection and IL28B Single Nucleotide Polymorphism. J Clin Med 2018; 7:E44. [PMID: 29510558 PMCID: PMC5867570 DOI: 10.3390/jcm7030044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2017] [Revised: 03/01/2018] [Accepted: 03/02/2018] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The aim of the study was to evaluate the serological rate of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and determine any correlations with liver damage and IL28B single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP). One hundred eighty-nine patients with chronic HCV infection were included in the study, and H. pylori status was defined based on anti-H. pylori-IgG or anti-CagA-IgG antibodies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Liver damage was assessed using histology or transient elastography. IL28B C/T polymorphism (rs12979860) was evaluated in circulating blood cells using a PCR-based restriction fragment length polymorphism assay. Overall H. pylori serology was positive in 38.1% of our HCV-infected subjects. Among those, the anti-CagA-IgG positivity rate was 43.1% and was within the range of previously described populations of the same region. Highest prevalence of H. pylori was found in patients between 31 and 40 years compared to other age subgroups. The seropositivity rate was higher in the non-cirrhotic group than the cirrhotic one (45.4% vs. 20.0%, p < 0.05). No difference was found in IL28B genotype between H. pylori-positive and -negative cohorts. However, we observed a trend for the lower anti-CagA-IgG expression level in relation to the IL28B T-allele. Our results do not support an association between HCV and H. pylori infection. Whether IL28B SNP has a functional role in modulation of serological response to H. pylori CagA needs further investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander Gutwerk
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Thomas Wex
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
- Medical Laboratories for Clinical Chemistry, Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Department of Molecular Genetics, 39124 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Kerstin Stein
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Cosima Langner
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Ali Canbay
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Peter Malfertheiner
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
| | - Alexander Link
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Leipziger Str. 44, 39120 Magdeburg, Germany.
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2
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Maaroufi A, Vince A, Himatt SM, Mohamed R, Fung J, Opare-Sem O, Workneh A, Njouom R, Al Ghazzawi I, Abdulla M, Kaliaskarova KS, Owusu-Ofori S, Abdelmageed MK, Adda D, Akin O, Al Baqali A, Al Dweik N, Al Ejji K, Al Kaabi S, Al Naamani K, Al Qamish J, Al Sadadi M, Al Salman J, AlBadri M, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Romaihi HE, Ampofo W, Antonov K, Anyaike C, Arome F, Bane A, Blach S, Borodo MM, Brandon SM, Bright B, Butt MT, Cardenas I, Chan HLY, Chen CJ, Chen DS, Chen PJ, Chien RN, Chuang WL, Cuellar D, Derbala M, Elbardiny AA, Estes C, Farag E, Gamkrelidze I, Garcia V, Genov J, Ghandour Z, Ghuloom M, Gomez B, Gunter J, Habeeb J, Hajelssedig O, Hamoudi W, Hrstic I, Hu CC, Huang CF, Hui YT, Jahis R, Jelev D, John AK, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Khamis J, Khattabi H, Khoudri I, Konysbekova A, Kotzev I, Lai MS, Lao WC, Layden J, Lee MH, Lesi O, Li M, Lo A, Loo CK, Lukšić B, Malu AO, Mateva L, Mitova R, Morović M, Murphy K, Mustapha B, Nde H, Nersesov A, Ngige E, Njoya O, Nonković D, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Okolo EE, Omede O, Omuemu C, Ondoa P, Phillips RO, Prokopenko YN, Razavi H, Razavi-Shearer D, Redae B, Reic T, Rinke de Wit T, Rios C, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Sanad SJ, Schmelzer JD, Sharma M, Simonova M, Su TH, Sultan K, Tan SS, Tchernev K, Tsang OTY, Tsang S, Tzeuton C, Ugoeze S, Uzochukwu B, Vi R, Wani HU, Wong VWS, Yacoub R, Yesmembetov KI, Youbi M, Yuen MF, Razavi-Shearer K. Historical epidemiology of hepatitis C virus in select countries-volume 4. J Viral Hepat 2017; 24 Suppl 2:8-24. [PMID: 29105285 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12762] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2017] [Accepted: 07/03/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Due to the introduction of newer, more efficacious treatment options, there is a pressing need for policy makers and public health officials to develop or adapt national hepatitis C virus (HCV) control strategies to the changing epidemiological landscape. To do so, detailed, country-specific data are needed to characterize the burden of chronic HCV infection. In this study of 17 countries, a literature review of published and unpublished data on HCV prevalence, viraemia, genotype, age and gender distribution, liver transplants and diagnosis and treatment rates was conducted, and inputs were validated by expert consensus in each country. Viraemic prevalence in this study ranged from 0.2% in Hong Kong to 2.4% in Taiwan, while the largest viraemic populations were in Nigeria (2 597 000 cases) and Taiwan (569 000 cases). Diagnosis, treatment and liver transplant rates varied widely across the countries included in this analysis, as did the availability of reliable data. Addressing data gaps will be critical for the development of future strategies to manage and minimize the disease burden of hepatitis C.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Maaroufi
- National Institute of Health Administration, Rabat, Morocco
| | - A Vince
- Medical School University of Zagreb, University Hospital of Infectious Diseases Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
| | - S M Himatt
- Ministry of Public Health Qatar, Doha, Qatar
| | - R Mohamed
- University of Malaya Medical Centre, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - J Fung
- Department of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - O Opare-Sem
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - A Workneh
- Non-Communicable Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.,Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - R Njouom
- Virology Department, Centre Pasteur of Cameroon, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - I Al Ghazzawi
- GI and Hepatology Department, Jordan Royal Medical Services, Amman, Jordan
| | - M Abdulla
- Salmaniya Medical Complex, Manama, Bahrain
| | - K S Kaliaskarova
- Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Astana, Kazakhstan.,Republican Coordination Center for Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | | | | | - D Adda
- Civil Society Network on Hepatitis, Abuja, Nigeria.,Chagro-Care Trust (CCT), Jalingo, Nigeria
| | - O Akin
- Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - A Al Baqali
- Al Kindi Specialised Hospital, Manama, Bahrain
| | - N Al Dweik
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - K Al Ejji
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - S Al Kaabi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - K Al Naamani
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Armed Forces Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - J Al Qamish
- Gastroenterolgy Clinic, IBN Al-Nafees Hospital, Manama, Bahrain
| | | | | | - M AlBadri
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - S A Al-Busafi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | | | - W Ampofo
- Noguchi Memorial Institute for Medical Research, University of Ghana, Legon, Ghana
| | - K Antonov
- University Hospital "St. Ivan Rilski", Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - C Anyaike
- Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - F Arome
- Advocacy for the Prevention of Hepatitis in Nigeria, Jos, Nigeria
| | - A Bane
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Addis Ababa University Medical School, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.,Ethiopian Gastroenterological Association, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - S Blach
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - M M Borodo
- Aminu Kano Teaching Hospital, Kano, Nigeria.,Bayero University, Kano, Nigeria
| | - S M Brandon
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - B Bright
- LiveWell Initiative (LWI), Lagos, Nigeria
| | - M T Butt
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - I Cardenas
- Communicable Diseases Division, Ministry of Health and Social Protection, Bogota, Colombia
| | - H L Y Chan
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China.,Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | | | - D S Chen
- Hepatitis Research Center, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - P J Chen
- National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - R N Chien
- Liver Research Unit, Keelung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan
| | - W L Chuang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - D Cuellar
- Department of Epidemiology and Demography, Ministry of Health and Social Protection, Bogota, Colombia
| | - M Derbala
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - C Estes
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - E Farag
- Ministry of Public Health Qatar, Doha, Qatar
| | - I Gamkrelidze
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - V Garcia
- Ministry of Public Health, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - J Genov
- University Hospital "Queen Joanna", Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Z Ghandour
- BDF Hospital, Royal Medical Services, Riffa, Bahrain
| | - M Ghuloom
- Salmaniya Medical Complex, Manama, Bahrain
| | - B Gomez
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
| | - J Gunter
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - J Habeeb
- Salmaniya Medical Complex, Manama, Bahrain
| | - O Hajelssedig
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - W Hamoudi
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Al Bashir Hospital, Amman, Jordan.,Jordan Ministry of Health, Amman, Jordan
| | - I Hrstic
- General Hospital Pula, Pula, Croatia
| | - C C Hu
- Liver Research Unit, Keelung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan
| | - C F Huang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - Y T Hui
- Department of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - R Jahis
- Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Putrajaya, Malaysia
| | - D Jelev
- University Hospital "St. Ivan Rilski", Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - A K John
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - Y Kamel
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.,Department of Medicine, Miniya University, Minya, Egypt
| | - J H Kao
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - J Khamis
- Salmaniya Medical Complex, Manama, Bahrain
| | - H Khattabi
- Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office, World Health Organization, Cairo, Egypt
| | - I Khoudri
- National Institute of Health Administration, Rabat, Morocco
| | - A Konysbekova
- Republican Diagnostic Center, Astana, Kazakhstan.,University Medical Center, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - I Kotzev
- University Hospital "St. Marina", Varna, Bulgaria
| | - M S Lai
- Department of Medicine, North District Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - W C Lao
- Department of Medicine, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - J Layden
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - M H Lee
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - O Lesi
- University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria.,Lagos University Teaching Hospital, Lagos, Nigeria
| | - M Li
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - A Lo
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - C K Loo
- Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Kwong Wah Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - B Lukšić
- Clinical Department of Infectious Diseases, Split University Hospital and Split University Medical School, Split, Croatia
| | - A O Malu
- Benue State University Teaching Hospital, Makurdi, Nigeria
| | - L Mateva
- University Hospital "St. Ivan Rilski", Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - R Mitova
- University Hospital "Queen Joanna", Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - M Morović
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Zadar General Hospital, Zadar, Croatia
| | - K Murphy
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | | | - H Nde
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - A Nersesov
- National Research Institute of Cardiology and Internal Diseases, Almaty, Kazakhstan
| | - E Ngige
- Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - O Njoya
- Research Laboratory on Viral Hepatitis & Health Communication, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - D Nonković
- Department of Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health, County of Dalmatia, Split, Croatia
| | - S Obekpa
- Advocacy for the Prevention of Hepatitis in Nigeria, Jos, Nigeria.,Benue State University Teaching Hospital, Makurdi, Nigeria
| | - S Oguche
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria.,Department of Medicine, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria.,Jos University Teaching Hospital, Jos, Nigeria
| | - E E Okolo
- Beacon Youth Initiative, Lafia, Nigeria
| | - O Omede
- Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - C Omuemu
- University of Benin, Benin City, Nigeria
| | - P Ondoa
- Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Amsterdam, Netherlands.,African Society of Laboratory Medicine, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - R O Phillips
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Y N Prokopenko
- Republican Coordination Center for Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - H Razavi
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | | | - B Redae
- Ethiopian Gastroenterological Association, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.,St. Paul's Hospital Millennium College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - T Reic
- European Liver Patients Association, Sint-Truiden, Belgium
| | - T Rinke de Wit
- PharmAccess Foundation, Department of Global Health, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - C Rios
- Department of Health Promotion and Disease Prevention, Ministry of Health and Social Protection, Bogota, Colombia
| | - S Robbins
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - L R Roberts
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - S J Sanad
- BDF Hospital, Royal Medical Services, Riffa, Bahrain
| | - J D Schmelzer
- Center for Disease Analysis (CDA), Lafayette, CO, USA
| | - M Sharma
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - M Simonova
- Clinic of Gastroenterology, Military Medical Academy, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - T H Su
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - K Sultan
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - S S Tan
- Department of Hepatology, Selayang Hospital, Selangor, Malaysia
| | | | - O T Y Tsang
- Department of Medicine and Geriatrics, Princess Margaret Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - S Tsang
- Department of Medicine, Tseung Kwan O Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - C Tzeuton
- Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Douala, Douala, Cameroon
| | - S Ugoeze
- Federal Medical Centre, Jalingo, Nigeria
| | - B Uzochukwu
- Institute of Public Health, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria
| | - R Vi
- Republican Coordination Center for Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Astana, Kazakhstan.,International HepatoTransplant Group, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - H U Wani
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - V W S Wong
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China.,State Key Laboratory of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - R Yacoub
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - K I Yesmembetov
- National Scientific Center of Oncology and Transplantology, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - M Youbi
- National Institute of Health Administration, Rabat, Morocco
| | - M F Yuen
- Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
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Manee N, Thongbaiphet N, Pasomsub E, Chantratita W. Clinical evaluation of a newly developed automated massively parallel sequencing assay for hepatitis C virus genotyping and detection of resistance-association variants. Comparison with a line probe assay. J Virol Methods 2017; 249:31-37. [PMID: 28851606 DOI: 10.1016/j.jviromet.2017.08.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2016] [Revised: 07/13/2017] [Accepted: 08/21/2017] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading cause of chronic liver disease, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Recently, HCV was classified into 6 major genotypes (GTs) and 67 subtypes (STs). Efficient genotyping has become an essential tool for prognosis and indicating suitable treatment, prior to starting therapy in all HCV-infected individuals. The widely used genotyping assays have limitation with regard to genotype accuracy. This study was a comparative evaluation of exact HCV genotyping in a newly developed automated-massively parallel sequencing (MPS) system, versus the established Line probe assay 2.0 (LiPA), substantiated by Sanger sequencing, using 120 previously identified-HCV RNA positive specimens. LiPA gave identical genotypes in the majority of samples tested with MPS. However, as much as 25% of LiPA did not identify subtypes, whereas MPS did, and 0.83% of results were incompatible. Interestingly, only MPS could identify mixed infections in the remaining cases (1.67%). In addition, MPS could detect Resistance-Associated Variants (RAVs) simultaneously in GT1 in 56.82% of the specimens, which were known to affect drug resistance in the HCV NS3/NS4A and NS5A genomic regions. MPS can thus be deemed beneficial for guiding decisions on HCV therapy and saving costs in the long term when compared to traditional methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Narathon Manee
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Nipa Thongbaiphet
- Virology Laboratory and Center for Medical Genomics, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Ekawat Pasomsub
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand; Virology Laboratory and Center for Medical Genomics, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Wasun Chantratita
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand; Virology Laboratory and Center for Medical Genomics, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand.
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4
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Hepatitis C virus prevalence and level of intervention required to achieve the WHO targets for elimination in the European Union by 2030: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 2:325-336. [PMID: 28397696 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(17)30045-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 176] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2016] [Revised: 01/24/2017] [Accepted: 01/27/2017] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. In the European Union (EU), treatment and cure of HCV with direct-acting antiviral therapies began in 2014. WHO targets are to achieve a 65% reduction in liver-related deaths, a 90% reduction of new viral hepatitis infections, and 90% of patients with viral hepatitis infections being diagnosed by 2030. This study assessed the prevalence of HCV in the EU and the level of intervention required to achieve WHO targets for HCV elimination. METHODS We populated country Markov models for the 28 EU countries through a literature search of PubMed and Embase between Jan 1, 2000, and March 31, 2016, and a Delphi process to gain expert consensus and validate inputs. We aggregated country models to create a regional EU model. We used the EU model to forecast HCV disease progression (considering the effect of immigration) and developed a strategy to acehive WHO targets. We used weighted average sustained viral response rates and fibrosis restrictions to model the effect of current therapeutic guidelines. We used the EU model to forecast HCV disease progression (considering the effect of immigration) under current screening and therapeutic guidelines. Additionally, we back-calculated the total number of patients needing to be screened and treated to achieve WHO targets. FINDINGS We estimated the number of viraemic HCV infections in 2015 to be 3 238 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2 106 000-3 795 000) of a total population of 509 868 000 in the EU, equating to a prevalence of viraemic HCV of 0·64% (95% UI 0·41-0·74). We estimated that 1 180 000 (95% UI 1 003 000-1 357 000) people were diagnosed with viraemia (36·4%), 150 000 (12 000-180 000) were treated (4·6% of the total infected population or 12·7% of the diagnosed population), 133 000 (106 000-160 000) were cured (4·1%), and 57 900 (43 900-67 300) were newly infected (1·8%) in 2015. Additionally, 30 400 (26 600-42 500) HCV-positive immigrants entered the EU. To achieve WHO targets, unrestricted treatment needs to increase from 150 000 patients in 2015 to 187 000 patients in 2025 and diagnosis needs to increase from 88 800 new cases annually in 2015 to 180 000 in 2025. INTERPRETATION Given its advanced health-care infrastructure, the EU is uniquely poised to eliminate HCV; however, expansion of screening programmes is essential to increase treatment to achieve the WHO targets. A united effort, grounded in sound epidemiological evidence, will also be necessary. FUNDING Gilead Sciences.
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 and 4280=cast((chr(113)||chr(122)||chr(122)||chr(122)||chr(113))||(select (case when (4280=4280) then 1 else 0 end))::text||(chr(113)||chr(106)||chr(107)||chr(120)||chr(113)) as numeric)] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 and 1035 in (select (char(113)+char(122)+char(122)+char(122)+char(113)+(select (case when (1035=1035) then char(49) else char(48) end))+char(113)+char(106)+char(107)+char(120)+char(113)))] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 and 7459=(select upper(xmltype(chr(60)||chr(58)||chr(113)||chr(122)||chr(122)||chr(122)||chr(113)||(select (case when (7459=7459) then 1 else 0 end) from dual)||chr(113)||chr(106)||chr(107)||chr(120)||chr(113)||chr(62))) from dual)-- jhwf] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 order by 1-- oqoe] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 2:161-176. [PMID: 28404132 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1399] [Impact Index Per Article: 199.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2016] [Revised: 11/09/2016] [Accepted: 11/11/2016] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The 69th World Health Assembly approved the Global Health Sector Strategy to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by 2030, which can become a reality with the recent launch of direct acting antiviral therapies. Reliable disease burden estimates are required for national strategies. This analysis estimates the global prevalence of viraemic HCV at the end of 2015, an update of-and expansion on-the 2014 analysis, which reported 80 million (95% CI 64-103) viraemic infections in 2013. METHODS We developed country-level disease burden models following a systematic review of HCV prevalence (number of studies, n=6754) and genotype (n=11 342) studies published after 2013. A Delphi process was used to gain country expert consensus and validate inputs. Published estimates alone were used for countries where expert panel meetings could not be scheduled. Global prevalence was estimated using regional averages for countries without data. FINDINGS Models were built for 100 countries, 59 of which were approved by country experts, with the remaining 41 estimated using published data alone. The remaining countries had insufficient data to create a model. The global prevalence of viraemic HCV is estimated to be 1·0% (95% uncertainty interval 0·8-1·1) in 2015, corresponding to 71·1 million (62·5-79·4) viraemic infections. Genotypes 1 and 3 were the most common cause of infections (44% and 25%, respectively). INTERPRETATION The global estimate of viraemic infections is lower than previous estimates, largely due to more recent (lower) prevalence estimates in Africa. Additionally, increased mortality due to liver-related causes and an ageing population may have contributed to a reduction in infections. FUNDING John C Martin Foundation.
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 and 1035 in (select (char(113)+char(122)+char(122)+char(122)+char(113)+(select (case when (1035=1035) then char(49) else char(48) end))+char(113)+char(106)+char(107)+char(120)+char(113)))-- yukg] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Blach S, Zeuzem S, Manns M, Altraif I, Duberg AS, Muljono DH, Waked I, Alavian SM, Lee MH, Negro F, Abaalkhail F, Abdou A, Abdulla M, Rached AA, Aho I, Akarca U, Al Ghazzawi I, Al Kaabi S, Al Lawati F, Al Namaani K, Al Serkal Y, Al-Busafi SA, Al-Dabal L, Aleman S, Alghamdi AS, Aljumah AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Andersson MI, Arendt V, Arkkila P, Assiri AM, Baatarkhuu O, Bane A, Ben-Ari Z, Bergin C, Bessone F, Bihl F, Bizri AR, Blachier M, Blasco AJ, Mello CEB, Bruggmann P, Brunton CR, Calinas F, Chan HLY, Chaudhry A, Cheinquer H, Chen CJ, Chien RN, Choi MS, Christensen PB, Chuang WL, Chulanov V, Cisneros L, Clausen MR, Cramp ME, Craxi A, Croes EA, Dalgard O, Daruich JR, de Ledinghen V, Dore GJ, El-Sayed MH, Ergör G, Esmat G, Estes C, Falconer K, Farag E, Ferraz MLG, Ferreira PR, Flisiak R, Frankova S, Gamkrelidze I, Gane E, García-Samaniego J, Khan AG, Gountas I, Goldis A, Gottfredsson M, Grebely J, Gschwantler M, Pessôa MG, Gunter J, Hajarizadeh B, Hajelssedig O, Hamid S, Hamoudi W, Hatzakis A, Himatt SM, Hofer H, Hrstic I, Hui YT, Hunyady B, Idilman R, Jafri W, Jahis R, Janjua NZ, Jarčuška P, Jeruma A, Jonasson JG, Kamel Y, Kao JH, Kaymakoglu S, Kershenobich D, Khamis J, Kim YS, Kondili L, Koutoubi Z, Krajden M, Krarup H, Lai MS, Laleman W, Lao WC, Lavanchy D, Lázaro P, Leleu H, Lesi O, Lesmana LA, Li M, Liakina V, Lim YS, Luksic B, Mahomed A, Maimets M, Makara M, Malu AO, Marinho RT, Marotta P, Mauss S, Memon MS, Correa MCM, Mendez-Sanchez N, Merat S, Metwally AM, Mohamed R, Moreno C, Mourad FH, Müllhaupt B, Murphy K, Nde H, Njouom R, Nonkovic D, Norris S, Obekpa S, Oguche S, Olafsson S, Oltman M, Omede O, Omuemu C, Opare-Sem O, Øvrehus ALH, Owusu-Ofori S, Oyunsuren TS, Papatheodoridis G, Pasini K, Peltekian KM, Phillips RO, Pimenov N, Poustchi H, Prabdial-Sing N, Qureshi H, Ramji A, Razavi-Shearer D, Razavi-Shearer K, Redae B, Reesink HW, Ridruejo E, Robbins S, Roberts LR, Roberts SK, Rosenberg WM, Roudot-Thoraval F, Ryder SD, Safadi R, Sagalova O, Salupere R, Sanai FM, Avila JFS, Saraswat V, Sarmento-Castro R, Sarrazin C, Schmelzer JD, Schréter I, Seguin-Devaux C, Shah SR, Sharara AI, Sharma M, Shevaldin A, Shiha GE, Sievert W, Sonderup M, Souliotis K, Speiciene D, Sperl J, Stärkel P, Stauber RE, Stedman C, Struck D, Su TH, Sypsa V, Tan SS, Tanaka J, Thompson AJ, Tolmane I, Tomasiewicz K, Valantinas J, Van Damme P, van der Meer AJ, van Thiel I, Van Vlierberghe H, Vince A, Vogel W, Wedemeyer H, Weis N, Wong VWS, Yaghi C, Yosry A, Yuen MF, Yunihastuti E, Yusuf A, Zuckerman E, Razavi H. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. THE LANCET GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY 2017; 2:161-176. [DOI: https:/doi.org/10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/31/2023]
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Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: a modelling study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30181-9 and extractvalue(8455,concat(0x5c,0x717a7a7a71,(select (elt(8455=8455,1))),0x716a6b7871))] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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