Historical epidemiology of hepatitis C virus in select countries-volume 4

Due to the introduction of newer, more efficacious treatment options, there is a pressing need for policy makers and public health officials to develop or adapt national hepatitis C virus (HCV) control strategies to the changing epidemiological landscape. To do so, detailed, country-specific data are needed to characterize the burden of chronic HCV infection. In this study of 17 countries, a literature review of published and unpublished data on HCV prevalence, viraemia, genotype, age and gender distribution, liver transplants and diagnosis and treatment rates was conducted, and inputs were validated by expert consensus in each country. Viraemic prevalence in this study ranged from 0.2% in Hong Kong to 2.4% in Taiwan, while the largest viraemic populations were in Nigeria (2 597 000 cases) and Taiwan (569 000 cases). Diagnosis, treatment and liver transplant rates varied widely across the countries included in this analysis, as did the availability of reliable data. Addressing data gaps will be critical for the development of future strategies to manage and minimize the disease burden of hepatitis C.

The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus infections with today's treatment paradigm: Volume 4

Factors influencing the morbidity and mortality associated with viremic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection change over time and place, making it difficult to compare reported estimates. Models were developed for 17 countries (Bahrain, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Colombia, Croatia, Dominican Republic, Ethiopia, Ghana, Hong Kong, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Morocco, Nigeria, Qatar and Taiwan) to quantify and characterize the viremic population as well as forecast the changes in the infected population and the corresponding disease burden from 2015 to 2030. Model inputs were agreed upon through expert consensus, and a standardized methodology was followed to allow for comparison across countries. The viremic prevalence is expected to remain constant or decline in all but four countries (Ethiopia, Ghana, Jordan and Oman); however, HCV-related morbidity and mortality will increase in all countries except Qatar and Taiwan. In Qatar, the high-treatment rate will contribute to a reduction in total cases and HCV-related morbidity by 2030. In the remaining countries, however, the current treatment paradigm will be insufficient to achieve large reductions in HCV-related morbidity and mortality.

Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden-Volume 4

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 17 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the Middle East, and interventions for achieving the Global Health Sector Strategy on viral hepatitis targets-"WHO Targets" (65% reduction in HCV-related deaths, 90% reduction in new infections and 90% of infections diagnosed by 2030) were considered. Scaling up treatment and diagnosis rates over time would be required to achieve these targets in all but one country, even with the introduction of high SVR therapies. The scenarios developed to achieve the WHO Targets in all countries studied assumed the implementation of national policies to prevent new infections and to diagnose current infections through screening.

Assessment of CD8 T cell immune activation markers to monitor response to antiretroviral therapy among HIV-1 infected patients in Côte d'Ivoire

Because of the paucity of plasma HIV RNA viral load (VL) tests in resource-poor settings, the CD4(+) T cell count is often used as the sole laboratory marker to evaluate the effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in HIV-infected patients. In untreated patients, the level of activated T cells is positively correlated with VL and represents a prognostic marker of HIV infection. However, little is known about its value to predict early drug failure, taking into account the relatively high non-specific immune activation background observed in many resource-limited tropical countries. We assessed the use of immune activation markers (expression of CD38 and/or human leucocyte antigen-DR on CD8(+) lymphocytes) to predict virological response to ART in a cohort of HIV-1 infected patients in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. Correlations between VL, absolute CD4(+) T cell counts and immune activation levels were examined in 111 HIV patient samples at baseline and after 6 and 12 months of therapy. The percentage of CD38(+) CD8(+) T cells appeared to be the best correlate of VL. In contrast, changes in CD4(+) T cell counts provided a poor correlate of virological response to ART. Unfortunately, CD38(+) CD8(+) percentages lacked specificity for the determination of early virological drug failure and did not appear to be reliable surrogates of RNA viral load. CD38(+) CD8(+) T cell percentages may, rather, provide a sensitive estimate of the overall immune recovery, and be a useful extra laboratory parameter to CD4 counts that would contribute to improve the clinical management of HIV-infected people when VL testing facilities are lacking.

Genetic variability of the V1 and V2 env domains of SIVcpz-ant and neutralization pattern of plasma viruses in a chimpanzee infected naturally

Specific neutralizing epitope changes have been observed in a chimpanzee infected naturally with SIVcpz, which differ from HIV-1 infecting humans. To characterize further these changes, a longitudinal study of env genomic sequence variation of SIVcpz-ant isolates was undertaken in this animal. The V1 and V2 regions of the env were determined to arise from specific recombination events. To determine whether recombination of the V1 and V2 domains was possibly associated with the emergence of neutralization escape viruses, envelope sequences and gene length polymorphisms from PBMC and plasma viral variants were studied over a 7-year period. PBMCs and plasma-associated infectious virus titers as well as plasma RNA viral loads were monitored longitudinally. The first 5 viruses isolated from the plasma were found to be neutralization escape variants. Sequence analysis of their V1 and the V2 regions indicated that a 20 amino acid stretch of the V1 region had undergone recombination and was also associated with the emergence of isolates eliciting strong neutralization responses. These findings support the hypothesis that recombination of the V1 and V2 regions of the envelope play a role in neutralization escape of SIVcpz in chimpanzees infected naturally. Furthermore, the data confirm that the neutralizing antibody response plays an important role in the decline of plasma infectious virus titers in HIV-1 related SIVcpz nonpathogenic infection.

Longitudinal comparison of virus load parameters and CD8 T-cell suppressive capacity in two SIVcpz-infected chimpanzees

In a longitudinal study we address the hypothesis that resis tance to disease progression in lentivirus-infected chimpanzees is related to potent non-cytotoxic suppression of virus replication. In a long-term follow-up, the viral suppressive capacity in two simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV)cpz-infected chimpanzees was correlated with two polymerase chain reaction (PCR)- and two culture-based virus load measurements. In both animals, quantitative virus isolation (QVI) tended to decline slowly, whereas in vitro virus suppression was sustained or increased over time. In general, plasma virus loads in SIVcpz-infected animals were maintained for extended periods of time. Based on current assays that measure virus suppressive capacity in peripheral blood, it was not possible to conclude that virus suppression played a major role in the maintenance of the disease-free state in lentivirus-infected chimpanzees.

Genetic variation of HIV type 1: relevance of interclade variation to vaccine development

Accumulating data in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals support the hypothesis that in primary human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) isolates of different clades and phenotype (syncytium inducing [SI] and nonsyncytium inducing [NSI]) common antigenic structures must exist that can stimulate the immune response to produce a broad spectrum (cross-clade and cross SI and NSI) neutralization response. Certain vaccination regimens in chimpanzees and human volunteers with clade B SI type HIV-1 derived candidate vaccines induce neutralizing antibodies against intraclade B SI type primary HIV-1 isolates, but not against intraclade B NSI type of viruses. To be effective against the full antigenic spectrum of primary HIV-1 isolates (cross-clade--SI and NSI) candidate vaccines should contain immunogens of primary isolates representative of the whole antigenic spectrum of HIV-1. There is an urgent need to identify these immunogens and to improve their immunogenicity. As long as we have not yet characterized these cross-HIV-1 spectrum conserved immunogens, candidate vaccines against the more prevalent clades C, A, and E should be developed for evaluation in developing countries. In support of the follow-up and evaluation of the hopefully increasing number of phase 1, 2, and 3 HIV-1 vaccine trials in humans, it is considered a high priority to develop a high throughput neutralization assay, to further expand the use of a limited number of key primary HIV-1 isolates as a surrogate for neutralization of the entire HIV-1 antigenic spectrum (cross-clade--SI and NSI), to develop high throughput subtyping as well as a rapid system to monitor the immunogenic relatedness of different HIV-1 clades.

Lack of correlation between V3-loop peptide enzyme immunoassay serologic subtyping and genetic sequencing

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of V3-loop peptide enzyme immunoassay (PEIA) methodologies from four different laboratories for subtyping HIV-1, and to determine the causes for the lack of correlation between V3-loop PEIA serotyping and subtyping by sequencing.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Synthetic peptides derived from the amino-acid consensus sequences of the V3-loop of group M strains representing genetic subtypes A-F as well as reference strains were evaluated in PEIA by four different laboratories for their ability to accurately determine the subtype in a panel of 85 sera obtained from persons infected with known HIV-1 subtypes (28 subtype A, 34 subtype B, four subtype C, 10 subtype D, seven subtype F, one each of subtype H and G). Furthermore, the V3 loop of the corresponding virus was compared with the V3 loop of the peptides used in PEIA.

RESULTS

The correlation between HIV-1 subtyping by sequencing and V3-loop PEIA from the different laboratories varied considerably for the different HIV-1 subtypes: subtype A (46-68%), B (38-85%), C (75-100%), D (29-50%), and F (17-57%). A 70% agreement between PEIA and sequencing subtypes was observed for samples with the concordant presence of the same octameric sequences in the V3 loop of the virus and the V3 loop of the peptide used in PEIA; however, only 42% of specimens with different V3-loop octameric viral and peptide sequences yielded concordant results in V3-loop serotyping and genetic subtyping.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that V3-loop PEIA methodologies used in different laboratories correlate poorly with genetic subtyping, and that their accuracy to predict HIV-1 subtypes in sera of Belgian individuals infected with different HIV-1 subtypes (A, B, C, D, F, G and H) vary considerably. The poor correlation between serotyping and genetic subtyping was partly due to the simultaneous occurrence of subtype-specific octameric sequences at the tip of the V3 loop of viruses belonging to different genetic subtypes.

Evaluation of different V3 peptides in an enzyme immunoassay for specific HIV type 1 group O antibody detection

Strategies to discriminate group O from group M infections need to be improved. We have developed and evaluated an HIV-1 group O V3 peptide-based enzyme immunoassay (PEIA) for specific HIV-1 group O antibody detection among HIV-1-infected patients. Synthetic peptides, derived from the amino acid sequences of the V3 loop of 15 different group O strains and 7 group O consensus sequences, were evaluated in a PEIA against a panel of genetically confirmed group O (n = 33), group M (n = 90), and HIV-1 antibody-negative sera (n = 17). The best-performing PEIA(s) were then used to screen 134 sera of European and 336 sera of Cameroonian origin for the presence of anti-HIV-1 group O antibodies. The reactivity of reference ("gold standard") sera to individual peptides in the PEIA resulted in the selection of five different peptides with sensitivities (sens), specificities (spec), and test efficiencies (TEs) in the range of 90 to 100%. Improvement of the PEIA was obtained with simultaneous reactivity of at least two different peptides in separate wells of an ELISA plate, together with stringent criteria for positivity. We were able to select seven peptide combinations each with a sens, spec, and TE of 96.9, 100, and 99.2%, respectively. None of the 134 European and 4 (1.2%) of the 336 Cameroonian samples sera were group O positive in the optimized HIV-1 group O PEIA; this was confirmed by the repeated presence of reactives, in agreement with the present knowledge of group O infection distribution. Finally, we were able to develop a strategy with a higher TE (99.2%) than the previously used ANT-70 (98.5%) and ANT-70/MVP5180 (95.7%). Our results show that optimal specificity rather than optimal sensitivity makes the V3 PEIA a sufficiently accurate epidemiological tool to be useful in estimating specifically group O infection among HIV-1-infected patients.