Clinical laboratory parameters and fatality of Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Development and validation of the PLNA score to predict cytokine storm in acute-phase SFTS patients: A single-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease known for its high mortality rate and its correlation with Cytokine Storms (CS). Timely detection of CS is crucial for improving the prognosis of the disease. The objective of this investigation was to develop a model for identifying cytokine storms in the acute phase of SFTS.

METHODS

A total of 245 patients diagnosed with SFTS were included in this study between January 2020 and July 2022. Among them, 184 patients were part of the training set, while 61 patients were part of the validation set. Variables identified by LASSO were subsequently included in a multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine independent predictors. Subsequently, a nomogram was then developed to predict the likelihood of CS in SFTS patients. The predictive efficacy and clinical applicability of the nomogram model were further assessed through ROC analysis and the DCA curve.

RESULTS

Following LASSO analysis, a total of 11 indicators were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis. The findings indicated that PLT (OR 0.865, P < 0.001), LDH (OR 1.002, P < 0.001), Na+ (OR 1.155, P = 0.005), and ALT (OR 1.019, P < 0.001) serve as independently predictors of CS in the acute phase of SFTS. Furthermore, a nomogram named the PLNA was constructed by integrating these four factors. The PLNA model exhibited favorable predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.958. Moreover, the PLNA model exhibited excellent clinical applicability in both the training and validation sets, as evidenced by the DCA curve.

CONCLUSIONS

The PLNA model, constructed using clinical indicators, can predict the probability of cytokine storm in the acute phase of SFTS patients.

Blood Urea Nitrogen-to-Serum Albumin Ratio Predicts Fatal Outcomes in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Patients

There are no effective therapies for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), and existing predictors of mortality are still controversial. This retrospective study aimed to identify reliable early-stage indicators for predicting fatal outcomes in 217 patients hospitalized with an SFTS diagnosis between March 2021 and November 2023; 157 of the patients survived, and 60 died. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory parameters were reassessed in both groups. The mean age of participants was 64.0 (interquartile range: 54.5-71.0) years, and 42.4% (92/217) were males. Based on a multivariate Cox regression analysis, the blood urea nitrogen-to-serum albumin ratio (BAR) (hazard ratio [HR]:4.751; 95% CI: 2.208-10.226; P <0.001), procalcitonin level (HR: 1.946; 95% CI: 1.080-3.507; P = 0.027), and central nervous system symptoms (HR: 3.257; 95% CI, 1.628-6.513; P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality in SFTS patients. According to a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a BAR with an area under the curve of 0.913 (95% CI: 0.873-0.953; P <0.001), a sensitivity of 76.7%, and a specificity of 90.4% showed better predictive performance for fatal outcomes than other classical indicators reported. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve confirmed that an increased BAR was linked with an unfavorable prognosis in SFTS patients (P <0.001 by log-rank test). In conclusion, the results indicate that high BAR levels are markedly related to substandard outcomes and are a reliable and readily accessible predictor of fatal outcomes in SFTS patients.

N-glycosylation of viral glycoprotein is a novel determinant for the tropism and virulence of highly pathogenic tick-borne bunyaviruses

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) virus, a tick-borne bunyavirus, causes a severe/fatal disease termed SFTS; however, the viral virulence is not fully understood. The viral non-structural protein, NSs, is the sole known virulence factor. NSs disturbs host innate immune responses and an NSs-mutant SFTS virus causes no disease in an SFTS animal model. The present study reports a novel determinant of viral tropism as well as virulence in animal models, within the glycoprotein (GP) of SFTS virus and an SFTS-related tick-borne bunyavirus. Infection with mutant SFTS viruses lacking the N-linked glycosylation of GP resulted in negligible usage of calcium-dependent lectins in cells, less efficient infection, high susceptibility to a neutralizing antibody, low cytokine production in macrophage-like cells, and reduced virulence in Ifnar-/- mice, when compared with wildtype virus. Three SFTS virus-related bunyaviruses had N-glycosylation motifs at similar positions within their GP and a glycan-deficient mutant of Heartland virus showed in vitro and in vivo phenotypes like those of the SFTS virus. Thus, N-linked glycosylation of viral GP is a novel determinant for the tropism and virulence of SFTS virus and of a related virus. These findings will help us understand the process of severe/fatal diseases caused by tick-borne bunyaviruses.

Increased cTnI Predicts Early Death in Patients with Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia: A Multicenter Study in North China

Background

Myocardial injury is common in severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) patients. Currently, research on the prognostic value of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) for predicting the mortality of SFTS patients, especially death within 7 days is limited.

Methods

Between May 2011 and October 2022, clinical and laboratory data on admission of consecutive SFTS cases were collected from six medical centres in China. The clinical endpoint was in-hospital all-cause death within seven days. Risk factors of myocardial injury and death were analysed using multivariable regression models. Prognostic models were established using Cox regression and performance of indicators was evaluated in terms of calibration, discrimination.

Results

A total of 1379 laboratory-confirmed patients were enrolled, in which 686 subjects were included for analysis. The median age was 66 years, with 48.1% of male. Eighty-seven patients died within seven days and 396 patients diagnosed with myocardial injury during hospitalization. Non-survivors had significant higher levels of cardiac indices than survivors, including cTnI, aspartic transaminase (AST) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). Elevated levels of cTnI (HR = 1.058, 95% CI:1.032-1.085), AST (HR = 1.191, 95% CI:1.150-1.234) and LDH (HR = 1.019, 95% CI:1.009-1.029) predicted risk of early in-hospital mortality. cTnI model performed best, with area under curve of 0.850 (0.774-0.926) and concordance index of 0.842, respectively. Statistical differences were found between high and low levels of cTnI for mortality (P<0.001) using 0.35 ng/mL as the optimal cut-off.

Conclusion

The risk of early in-hospital death can be predicted by cTnI. Clinical doctors should remind vigilant concerning the elevation of cardiac enzyme as soon as possible.

Activated partial thromboplastin time predicts mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A multicenter study in north China

Background

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease with high lethality. This study aimed to determine whether prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) predicted SFTS mortality.

Methods

SFTS patients were enrolled from 6 hospitals in the north China. Subjects were divided into training cohort and 5 externally validation cohorts. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model was performed to screen potential prognostic factors. Risk factors were analyzed using multivariable regression models. Prognostic models were established by Cox regression and random survival forest (RSF) methods, and evaluated regarding discrimination, validity and clinical benefit. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive effectiveness of variables.

Results

1332 SFTS cases were included, in which 211 patients died. Six potential prognostic factors were screened, and pulse, breath, APTT and aspartic transaminase (AST) were independently associated with mortality in both training cohort (Yantai, N = 791) and external validation cohort (N = 541). APTT was steadily correlated with the fatality (HR: 1.039-1.144; all P < 0.01) in each five sub-validation cohorts (Dandong, Dalian, Tai'an, Qingdao and Beijing). RSF model with variables of APTT, AST, pulse and breath had considerable prognostic effectiveness, which APTT showed the highest prognostic ability with the area under the curve of 0.848 and 0.787 for 7-day and 14-day survival, respectively. Survival differences were found between high and low levels of APTT for mortality using 50s as the optimal cut-off.

Conclusions

SFTS patients have prolonged APTT, which is an independent risk factor for fatality. APTT≥50s was recommended as a biomarker to remind physicians to monitor and treat patients more aggressively to improve clinical prognosis.

Blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio is a novel predictor of fatal outcome for patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is associated with a high death rate and lacks a targeted therapy plan. The ratio of blood urea nitrogen to albumin, known as BAR, is a valuable method for assessing the outlook of various infectious diseases. The objective of this research was to evaluate the effectiveness of BAR in forecasting the outcome of individuals with SFTS. Four hundred and thirty-seven patients with SFTS from two clinical centers were included in this study according to inclusion and exclusion criteria. Clinical characteristics and test parameters of SFTS patients were analyzed between survival and fatal groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Cox regression suggested that BAR might serve as a standalone prognostic indicator for patients with SFTS in the initial phase (hazard ratio = 18.669, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.558-40.725, p < 0.001). And BAR had a better predictive effectiveness in clinical outcomes in patients with SFTS with an AUC of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.788-0.876, p < 0.001), a cutoff value of 0.19, a sensitivity of 0.812, and a specificity of 0.726 compared to C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and platelet to lymphocyte ratio via receiver operating characteristic curve. KM (Kaplan Meier) curves demonstrated that high level of BAR was associated with poor survival condition in patients with SFTS. Furthermore, the high level of BAR was associated with long hospital stays and test paraments of kidney, liver, and coagulation function in survival patients. So, BAR could be used as a promising early warning biomarker of adverse outcomes in patients with SFTS.

Clinical Factors Associated with SFTS Diagnosis and Severity in Cats

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a potentially fatal tick-borne zoonosis caused by SFTS virus (SFTSV). In addition to tick bites, animal-to-human transmission of SFTSV has been reported, but little is known about feline SFTSV infection. In this study, we analyzed data on 187 cats with suspected SFTS to identify biomarkers for SFTS diagnosis and clinical outcome. Body weight, red and white blood cell and platelet counts, and serum aspartate aminotransferase and total bilirubin levels were useful for SFTS diagnosis, whereas alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase and serum SFTSV RNA levels were associated with clinical outcome. We developed a scoring model to predict SFTSV infection. In addition, we performed a phylogenetic analysis to reveal the relationship between disease severity and viral strain. This study provides comprehensive information on feline SFTS and could contribute to the protection of cat owners, community members, and veterinarians from the risk of cat-transmitted SFTSV infection.

MCP-3 as a prognostic biomarker for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: a longitudinal cytokine profile study

Introduction

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is characterized by a high mortality rate and is associated with immune dysregulation. Cytokine storms may play an important role in adverse disease regression, this study aimed to assess the validity of MCP-3 in predicting adverse outcomes in SFTS patients and to investigate the longitudinal cytokine profile in SFTS patients.

Methods

The prospective study was conducted at Yantai Qishan Hospital from May to November 2022. We collected clinical data and serial blood samples during hospitalization, patients with SFTS were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on the clinical prognosis.

Results

The levels of serum 48 cytokines were measured using Luminex assays. Compared to healthy controls, SFTS patients exhibited higher levels of most cytokines. The non-survival group had significantly higher levels of 32 cytokines compared to the survival group. Among these cytokines, MCP-3 was ranked as the most significant variable by the random forest (RF) model in predicting the poor prognosis of SFTS patients. Additionally, we validated the predictive effects of MCP-3 through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis with an AUC of 0.882 (95% CI, 0.787-0.978, P <0.001), and the clinical applicability of MCP-3 was assessed favorably based on decision curve analysis (DCA). The Spearman correlation analysis indicated that the level of MCP-3 was positively correlated with ALT, AST, LDH, α-HBDH, APTT, D-dimer, and viral load (P<0.01).

Discussion

For the first time, our study identified and validated that MCP-3 could serve as a meaningful biomarker for predicting the fatal outcome of SFTS patients. The longitudinal cytokine profile analyzed that abnormally increased cytokines were associated with the poor prognosis of SFTS patients. Our study provides new insights into exploring the pathogenesis of cytokines with organ damage and leading to adverse effects.

Prolonged coagulation times in severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus infection, the indicators of heparin-like effect and increased haemorrhagic risk

Prolonged coagulation times, such as activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) and thrombin time (TT), are common in patients infected with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV) and have been confirmed to be related to patient's poor outcome by previous studies. To find out the reason for prolonged coagulation time in patients with SFTSV infection, and whether it predicts haemorrhagic risk or not. Seventy-eight consecutive patients with confirmed SFTSV infection were enrolled in this prospective, single-centre, observational study. Several global and specific coagulation parameters of these patients on admission were detected, and the haemorrhagic events during hospitalization and their outcomes were recorded. Most of the enrolled patients had prolonged APTT (82.1%) and TT (80.8%), normal prothrombin time (83.3%) and intrinsic coagulation factors above haemostatic levels (97.4%). The heparin-like effect was confirmed by a protamine neutralization test and anti-Xa activity detection in most patients. Interestingly, the APTT and TT results were significantly positively correlated with the levels of endothelial markers and viral load, respectively. The APTT was independently associated with the haemorrhage of patients. The prolonged APTT and TT of SFTS patients may mainly be attributed to endogenous heparinoids and are associated with increased haemorrhagic risk.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: prevalence, characteristics, and impact on prognosis

BACKGROUND

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging zoonosis with a high fatality rate in China. Previous studies have reported that dysregulated inflammatory response is associated with disease pathogenesis and mortality in patients with SFTS. This investigation aimed to evaluate the prevalence and characteristics of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and its impact on prognosis.

METHODS

Data on demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, clinical manifestations, laboratory parameters, and survival time of patients with SFTS were collected. Patients were divided into the non-SIRS and SIRS groups according to the presence of SIRS, then their clinical data were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 290 patients diagnosed with SFTS were retrospectively enrolled, including 126(43.4%) patients with SIRS. Patients in the non-survivor group had more prevalence of SIRS than patients in the survivor group (P < 0.001), and SIRS (adjusted OR 2.885, 95% CI 1.226-6.786; P = 0.005) was shown as an independent risk factor for prognosis of patients with SFTS. Compared with patients without SIRS, patients with SIRS had lower WBC and neutrophils counts, and fibrinogen levels, but higher AST, LDH, amylase, lipase, CK, CK-MB, troponin I, APTT, thrombin time, D-dimer, CRP, IL-6, SAA levels, and viral load. The cumulative survival rate of patients with SIRS was significantly lower than that of patients without SIRS. Patients with SIRS also showed a higher incidence of bacterial or fungal infections than patients without SIRS.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRS is highly frequent in patients with SFTS, and it is associated with high mortality.

Clinical Characteristics and Diagnostic Prediction of Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome and Rickettsiosis in the Co-Endemic Wakayama Prefecture, Japan

Background and Objectives: The Wakayama prefecture is endemic for two types of tick-borne rickettsioses: Japanese spotted fever (JFS) and scrub typhus (ST). Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a tick-borne hemorrhagic viral disease with a high mortality rate and is often difficult to differentiate from such rickettsioses. SFTS cases have recently increased in Wakayama prefecture. For early diagnosis, this study aimed to evaluate the clinical characterization of such tick-borne infections in the co-endemic area. Materials and Methods: The study included 64 febrile patients diagnosed with tick-borne infection in Wakayama prefecture between January 2013 and May 2022. Medical records of 19 patients with SFTS and 45 with rickettsiosis (JSF, n = 26; ST, n = 19) were retrospectively examined. The receiver operating curve (ROC) and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated to evaluate potential factors for differentiating SFTS from rickettsiosis. Results: Adults aged ≥70 years were most vulnerable to tick-borne infections (median, 75.5 years; interquartile range, 68.5-84 years). SFTS and rickettsiosis occurred mostly between summer and autumn. However, no significant between-group differences were found in age, sex, and comorbidities; 17 (89%) patients with SFTS, but none of those with rickettsiosis, experienced gastrointestinal symptoms such as vomiting, abdominal pain, and diarrhea. Meanwhile, 43 (96%) patients with rickettsiosis, but none of those with SFTS, developed a skin rash. The AUCs of white blood cells (0.97) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels (0.98) were very high. Furthermore, the differential diagnosis of SFTS was significantly associated with the presence of gastrointestinal symptoms (AUC 0.95), the absence of a skin rash (AUC 0.98), leukopenia <3.7 × 109/L (AUC 0.95), and low CRP levels < 1.66 mg/dL (AUC 0.98) (p < 0.001 for each factor). Conclusions: Clinical characteristics and standard laboratory parameters can verify the early diagnosis of SFTS in areas where tick-borne infections are endemic.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of acute kidney injury in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome

Background

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging zoonosis caused by a novel bunyavirus. Until recently, the SFTS related acute kidney injury (AKI) was largely unexplored. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AKI in patients with SFTS.

Methods

The non-AKI and AKI groups were compared in terms of general characteristics, clinical features, laboratory parameters and cumulative survival rate. The independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression to identify the population with poor prognosis.

Results

A total of 208 consecutive patients diagnosed with SFTS were enrolled, including 153 (73.6%) patients in the non-AKI group and 55 (26.4%) patients in the AKI group. Compared with patients without AKI, patients with AKI were older and had a higher frequency of diabetes. Among these laboratory parameters, platelet count, albumin and fibrinogen levels of patients with AKI were identified to be significantly lower than those of patients without AKI, while ALT, AST, ALP, triglyceride, LDH, BUN, uric acid, creatine, Cys-C, β2-MG, potassium, AMY, lipase, CK-MB, TnI, BNP, APTT, thrombin time, D-dimer, CRP, IL-6, PCT and ESR levels were significantly higher in patients with AKI. A higher SFTS viral load was also detected in the AKI patients than in the non-AKI patients. The cumulative survival rates of patients at AKI stage 2 or 3 were significantly lower than those of patients without AKI or at AKI stage 1. However, there was no significant difference in the cumulative survival rates between patients without AKI and those with stage 1 AKI. Univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses demonstrated that stage 2 or 3 AKI was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS.

Conclusion

AKI is associated with poor outcomes in patients with SFTS, especially patients at AKI stage 2 or 3, who generally have high mortality. Our findings support the importance of early identification and timely treatment of AKI in patients with SFTS.

A natural variation in the RNA polymerase of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus enhances viral replication and in vivo virulence

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging tick-borne disease with high mortality in Eastern Asia. The disease is caused by the SFTS virus (SFTSV), also known as Dabie bandavirus, which has a segmented RNA genome consisting of L, M, and S segments. Previous studies have suggested differential viral virulence depending on the genotypes of SFTSV; however, the critical viral factor involved in the differential viral virulence is unknown. Here, we found a significant difference in viral replication in vitro and virulence in vivo between two Korean isolates belonging to the F and B genotypes, respectively. By generating viral reassortants using the two viral strains, we demonstrated that the L segment, which encodes viral RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), is responsible for the enhanced viral replication and virulence. Comparison of amino acid sequences and viral replication rates revealed a point variation, E251K, on the surface of RdRp to be the most significant determinant for the enhanced viral replication rate and in vivo virulence. The effect of the variation was further confirmed using recombinant SFTSV generated by reverse genetic engineering. Therefore, our results indicate that natural variations affecting the viral replicase activity could significantly contribute to the viral virulence of SFTSV.

Corticosteroid Therapy for Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome: A Nationwide Propensity Score-Matched Study in Japan

Background

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a life-threatening infectious disease for which no effective treatment strategy has been established. Although corticosteroids (CSs) are widely administered to patients with SFTS, their efficacy remains uncertain. This study aimed to assess the impact of CS therapy on the in-hospital mortality of patients with SFTS.

Methods

In this nationwide observational study using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, patients hospitalized for SFTS from April 2013 to March 2021 were reviewed. We compared patients who were treated with CSs to those who were treated without them after propensity score matching to adjust for their background, disease severity, and combination therapy.

Results

We included 494 patients with SFTS, and 144 pairs of them were analyzed after propensity score matching. No significant difference in the 30-day mortality (19% vs 15%, P = .272) and the number of survival days (log-rank test, P = .392) was found between the CS treatment group and the non-CS treatment group. However, in subgroup analyses, the CS treatment group tended to have better survival among patients with impaired consciousness on admission and/or shock status within 7 days after admission.

Conclusions

CS therapy does not seem effective for all patients with SFTS; however, the impact might be altered by disease severity assessed by the consciousness level and shock status. A large-scale interventional study is required to determine its efficacy, especially for critically ill patients with SFTS.

Protective effect of Nrf2 in periodontitis - A preclinical systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Periodontitis is an inflammatory disease, while Nuclear factor erythroid-2 related factor 2 (Nrf2) acts a significant part in antioxidant, anti-inflammatory and immune response. However, the evidence in preclinical studies to certify Nrf2 can slow down the progression of periodontitis or facilitate its recovery is not enough. The present report aims to investigate the functional implications of Nrf2 in animal periodontitis models by evaluating the changes of Nrf2 levels and analyzing the clinical benefits of Nrf2 activation in the same models.

DESIGN

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCO, CNKI, VIP, Wan Fang databases. The random-effects model was used to evaluate the mean differences (MD) and 95 % confidence intervals (95%CI) when the units of measurements of outcome indicators were the same, in contrast, the standardized mean differences (SMD) and 95%CI were evaluated while the units were different.

RESULTS

8 studies were included for quantitative synthesis. Compared with healthy groups, the expression of Nrf2 was markedly lower in periodontitis groups (SMD: -3.69; 95%CI: -6.25, -1.12). After administration of kinds of Nrf2-activators, a significant increase in Nrf2 levels (SMD: 2.01; 95%CI: 1.27, 2.76) was accompanied by a decrease in distance between cementoenamel junction and alveolar bone crest (CEJ-ABC) (SMD: -2.14; 95%CI: -3.29, -0.99) and an improvement of bone volume/tissue volume (BV/TV) (SMD:17.51; 95%CI: 16.24, 18.77) was evaluated compared with periodontitis groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Nrf2 has a certain protective effect on periodontitis, however, the specific role Nrf2 plays in the development and severity of periodontitis remains to be demonstrated. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022328008.

Analysis of fatal cases of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu province, China, between 2011 and 2022: A retrospective study

Introduction

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease caused by the SFTS virus (SFTSV), which has a high fatality rate. This disease has become increasingly prevalent in recent years in Jiangsu province, with a noticeable rise in its incidence. Notably, fatal cases have also been increasing. Our study aimed to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and risk factors associated with the fatal cases of SFTS in Jiangsu province from 2011 to September 2022.

Methods

A retrospective study was performed among 698 SFTS cases during 2011-2022 in Jiangsu Province, China. Cox regression analyses were used to determine the dependent and independent risk factors that affected patient survival time. ArcGIS 10.7 was used for the visualization of the geographical distribution of the deaths from SFTS.

Results

There were 698 SFTS cases reported, with an increasing incidence, over the 12-year period. Among these cases, 43 deaths were reported. Fatal cases of SFTS were reported in 12 district counties from 2011 to 2022. Notably, most of the deaths occurred in Lishui county of Nanjing City. The median age of those who died was 69 years, with age ranges from 50 to 83 years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that older age (>70) and living in Lishui county were risk factors for death from SFTS in Jiangsu province. Therefore, older adults aged over 70 years and residing in Lishui county were the high-risk group for SFTS mortality.

Discussion

Over the past 12 years, we have observed a consistent rise in the incidence of SFTS, accompanied by a relatively high case fatality rate, making it a critical public health issue. Therefore, it is urgently necessary to study the impact of meteorological factors on SFTS epidemics and devise prevention and control strategies.

Effect of intravenous immunoglobulin therapy on the prognosis of patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and neurological complications

Background

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) has been reported to exert a beneficial effect on severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) patients with neurological complications. However, in clinical practice, the standard regime is unclear and there is a lack of evidence from large-scale studies.

Methods

A single-center retrospective study was conducted to determine the influence of IVIG dosage and duration on SFTS patients with neurological complications. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, and laboratory parameters before and after IVIG treatment were measured. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed with the log-rank test according to the median IVIG dosage and IVIG duration. Besides, multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the association between the independent factors and 28-day mortality in SFTS patients.

Results

Overall, 36 patients (58.06%) survived, while 26 (41.9%) patients died. The median age of the included patients was 70 (55-75) years, and 46.8% (29/62) were male. A significantly higher clinical presentation of dizziness and headache was observed in the survival group. The IVIG duration in the survival group was longer than in the death group (P <0.05). Additionally, the IVIG dosage was higher in the survival group than in the death group, but there was not a statistically significant difference between the two groups (P = 0.066). The mediating effect of IVIG duration was verified through the relationship between IVIG dosage and prognosis using the Sobel test. Univariate analysis revealed that IVIG dosage (HR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.97-1.00; P = 0.007) and IVIG duration (HR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.41-0.72; P <0.001) were significantly associated with risk of death. The multivariate analysis generated an adjusted HR value of 0.98 (95% CI: 0.96-1.00; P = 0.012) for IVIG dosage and 0.26 (95% CI: 0.09-0.78; P = 0.016) for dizziness and headache.

Conclusion

Prolonged high-dose IVIG is beneficial to the 28-day prognosis in SFTS patients with neurological complications.

Serum mAST/ALT ratio had high predictive value for adverse outcome of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome with severe condition

BACKGROUND

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) usually demonstrates multi-organ injury with a high mortality rate. This study aimed to investigate associations of serum aspartate/alanine aminotransferase (AST)/ALT, cytosolic AST (cAST)/ALT and mitochondrial AST (mAST)/ALT ratios with the prognosis of SFTS patients.

METHODS

A total of 355 confirmed SFTS patients were included. Clinical and laboratory data were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the independent risk factors for fatality in all patients and those admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). The predictive values of the risk factors and constructed risk models were evaluated.

RESULTS

Mean age and biochemical parameters were significantly greater in nonsurvivors than in survivors. In ICU patients, the three ratios, high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI), creatine kinase (CK), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and α-hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase (α-HBDH) were elevated markedly in nonsurvivors than in survivors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, three ratios and α-HBDH were independent risk factors for mortality in all patients. Only the three ratios were independent risk factors for death in ICU patients. Risk Models (M1, M2 and M3) and simplified models (sMs) containing the three ratios respectively had comparatively high predictive values for fatality in all patients with area under ROC curves (AUCs) > 0.85. In ICU patients, mAST/ALT ratio had the highest predictive value, sensitivity and odds ratio (OR) for mortality among three ratios.

CONCLUSION

AST/ALT, cAST/ALT and mAST/ALT ratios were associated with unfavorable clinical outcome of SFTS. The prognostic value of mAST/ALT ratio was higher in severe cases.

High C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio predicts mortality outcomes of patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A multicenter study in China

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a life-threatening infectious disease caused by the SFTS virus (SFTSV). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive power of C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio (CLR) and establish an early-warning model for SFTS mortality. We retrospectively analyzed hospitalized SFTS patients in six clinical centers from May 2011 to 2022. The efficacy of CLR prediction was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. A nomogram was established and validated. Eight hundred and eighty-two SFTS patients (median age 64 years, 48.5% male) were enrolled in this study, with a mortality rate of 17.8%. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of CLR was 0.878 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.850-0.903, p < 0.001), which demonstrates high predictive strength. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression selected seven potential predictors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis determined three independent risk factors, including CLR, to construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram displayed excellent discrimination and calibration, with significant net benefits in clinical uses. CLR is a brand-new predictor for SFTS mortality. The nomogram based on CLR can serve as a convenient tool for physicians to identify critical SFTS cases in clinical practice.

Accuracy of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction and loop-mediated isothermal amplification in diagnosing severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Nucleic acid molecular diagnostic technology plays an important role in the detection of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). However, no relevant reports have been published on the accuracy of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and reverse-transcription loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) in the diagnosis of SFTS. Thus, we conducted a meta-analysis and systematic review to evaluate the accuracy of the two methods. On June 19, 2022, we comprehensively searched the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scoups, Ovid, Proquest, China National Knowledge Infrastructure Database, Wan Fang Data, Traditional Chinese Medicine Database (Sinomed), VIP Database, and Reading Showing Database for articles on nucleic acid diagnostic techniques, such as RT-PCR and RT-LAMP, used to diagnose SFTS. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA 14.0 and Meta-Disc 1.4. Sixteen articles involving 2942 clinical blood samples were included in the analysis. RT-PCR and RT-LAMP were used as index tests, whereas RT-PCR or other detection methods were used as reference standards. The pooled values for the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios of the RT-PCR test were 0.97 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.92-0.99), 1.00 (95% CI: 0.98-1.00), 483.87 (95% CI: 58.04-4033.76), and 0.03 (95% CI:0.01-0.08), respectively. Those for the RT-LAMP test were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91-0.97), 0.99 (95% CI: 0.93-1.00), 111.18 (95% CI: 13.96-885.27), and 0.05 (95% CI: 0.03-0.09), respectively. Both RT-PCR and RT-LAMP have high diagnostic value in SFTS and can be applied in different scenarios for laboratory confirmation or on-site screening.