Concordance in a world without a gold standard: a new non-invasive methodology for improving accuracy of fibrosis markers

Metabolic causes of liver disease among adults living with HIV from low- and middle-income countries: a cross-sectional study

INTRODUCTION

Liver disease is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among persons living with HIV (PLHIV). While chronic viral hepatitis has been extensively studied in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), there is limited information about the burden of metabolic disorders on liver disease in PLHIV.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data collected between October 2020 and July 2022 from the IeDEA-Sentinel Research Network, a prospective cohort enrolling PLHIV ≥40 years on antiretroviral treatment (ART) for ≥6 months from eight clinics in Asia, Americas, and central, East, southern and West Africa. Clinical assessments, laboratory testing on fasting blood samples and liver stiffness measurement (LSM)/controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) by vibration-controlled transient elastography were performed. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed factors associated with liver fibrosis (LSM ≥7.1 kPa) and steatosis (CAP ≥248 dB/m). Population attributable fraction (PAF) of each variable associated with significant liver fibrosis was estimated using Levin's formula.

RESULTS

Overall, 2120 PLHIV (56% female, median age 50 [interquartile range: 45-56] years) were included. The prevalence of obesity was 19%, 12% had type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), 29% had hypertension and 53% had dyslipidaemia. The overall prevalence of liver fibrosis and steatosis was 7.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 6.1-8.4) and 28.4% (95% CI 26.5-30.7), respectively, with regional variability. Male sex at birth (odds ratio [OR] 1.62, CI 1.10-2.40), overweight/obesity (OR = 2.50, 95% CI 1.69-3.75), T2DM (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.46-3.47) and prolonged exposure to didanosine (OR 3.13, 95% CI 1.46-6.49) were associated with liver fibrosis. Overweight/obesity and T2DM accounted for 42% and 11% of the PAF for liver fibrosis, while HBsAg and anti-HCV accounted for 3% and 1%, respectively. Factors associated with steatosis included overweight/obesity (OR 4.25, 95% CI 3.29-5.51), T2DM (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.47-2.88), prolonged exposure to stavudine (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.27-2.26) and dyslipidaemia (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.31-2.16).

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic disorders were significant risk factors for liver disease among PLHIV in LMICs. Early recognition of metabolic disorders risk factors might be helpful to guide clinical and lifestyle interventions. Further prospective studies are needed to determine the causative natures of these findings.

Evaluation of the effects of pemafibrate on metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease with hypertriglyceridemia using magnetic resonance elastography combined with fibrosis-4 index and the magnetic resonance imaging-aspartate aminotransferase score

Background and Aim

In this retrospective study, we evaluated the effects of pemafibrate treatment in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and hypertriglyceridemia using non-invasive stiffness-based models, including magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) combined with the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) (MEFIB) index and the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (MAST) score.

Methods

In total, 179 patients with MASLD treated with pemafibrate were enrolled. We evaluated the effects of 48-week pemafibrate treatment using the MEFIB index, which classifies patients based on the combination of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) on MRE and FIB-4 and the MAST score, which is calculated based on LSM on MRE, MRI-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), and AST levels.

Results

Pemafibrate treatment led to significant reduction in AST, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) (P = 0.011, <0.001, and <0.001, respectively) and significant improvements in triglyceride and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (P < 0.001 and <0.001, respectively). The MRI-PDFF values were not significantly altered. However, a significant decrease in LSM on MRE was detected (P = 0.003). Evaluation of fibrosis using the MEFIB index and MAST score demonstrated significant improvement (P = 0.004 and <0.001, respectively). Changes in the MAST score showed positive correlation with changes in ALT and GGT levels (r = 0.821, P < 0.001, and r = 0.808, P < 0.001, respectively). Additionally, ALT and GGT levels at baseline were significantly associated with improvements in the MAST score (P < 0.001 and <0.001, respectively).

Conclusion

Pemafibrate led to improvements in the MEFIB index and MAST score, as well as liver function. It is a promising therapeutic agent for patients with MASLD and hypertriglyceridemia with the potential to reduce liver-related events.

Non-invasive methods to evaluate liver fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) is a chronic liver disease that is strongly related to insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome, and it has become the most common liver disorder in developed countries. NAFLD embraces the full pathological process of three conditions: steatosis, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, and finally, cirrhosis. As NAFLD progresses, symptoms will become increasingly severe as fibrosis develops. Therefore, evaluating the fibrosis stage is crucial for patients with NAFLD. A liver biopsy is currently considered the gold standard for staging fibrosis. However, due to the limitations of liver biopsy, non-invasive alternatives were extensively studied and validated in patients with NAFLD. The advantages of non-invasive methods include their high safety and convenience compared with other invasive approaches. This review introduces the non-invasive methods, summarizes their benefits and limitations, and assesses their diagnostic performance for NAFLD-induced fibrosis.

Controlled attenuation parameter accurately detects liver steatosis in people with HIV

OBJECTIVES

Hepatic steatosis is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is highly prevalent in persons with HIV (PWH). However, most studies of hepatic steatosis diagnosis in PWH have focused on those at high risk. We determined the accuracy of vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) in detecting mild or greater hepatic steatosis as compared with the noninvasive gold standard magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) in PWH.

METHODS

Among 149 participants with and without HIV, we evaluated test characteristics of CAP and calculated serum indices Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI) and STEATO-ELSA in identifying 3T MRS-measured hepatic steatosis (defined as a liver fat fraction ≥5%).

RESULTS

Most participants were women and over half were African American. Median BMI was 27 kg/m 2 . Hepatic steatosis prevalence by MRS and CAP (cutoff 248 dB/m) was 36% and 47%, respectively. CAP had an AUROC of 0.82, and the at least 248 dB/m cutoff yielded a sensitivity, specificity, positive-predictive value, and negative-predictive value of 83%, 72%, 61%, and 88%, respectively. These test characteristics were not statistically different from the optimal cutoff of at least 252 dB/m. Higher waist circumference, greater visceral adipose tissue, heavy alcohol use, and VCTE scans flagged as having the probe positioned too low were associated with CAP and MRS discordance. Serum indices of hepatic steatosis had slightly worse performance characteristics than CAP.

CONCLUSION

CAP may be an effective alternative to MRS for noninvasive hepatic steatosis assessment in PWH. The commonly used CAP cutoff of at least 248 dB/m to diagnose hepatic steatosis can be used in PWH.

A pilot study of microbial signatures of liver disease in those with HIV mono-infection in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

OBJECTIVE

The rectal microbiome was examined to assess the relationship between the microbiome and liver disease in HIV-infection.

DESIGN

Eighty-two HIV-1 mono-infected individuals from the PROSPEC-HIV-study (NCT02542020) were grouped into three liver health categories based on results of controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) of transient elastography: normal (n = 30), steatosis (n = 30), or fibrosis (n = 22).

METHODS

Liver steatosis and fibrosis were defined by CAP at least 248 dB/m and LSM at least 8.0 kPa, respectively. 16S rRNA gene and whole genome shotgun metagenomic sequencing were performed on rectal swabs. Bacterial differences were assessed using zero-inflated negative binomial regression and random forests modeling; taxonomic drivers of functional shifts were identified using FishTaco.

RESULTS

Liver health status explained four percentage of the overall variation (r2 = 0.04, P = 0.003) in bacterial composition. Participants with steatosis had depletions of Akkermansia muciniphila and Bacteroides dorei and enrichment of Prevotella copri, Finegoldia magna, and Ruminococcus bromii. Participants with fibrosis had depletions of Bacteroides stercoris and Parabacteroides distasonis and enrichment of Sneathia sanguinegens. In steatosis, functional analysis revealed increases in primary and secondary bile acid synthesis encoded by increased Eubacterium rectale, F. magna, and Faecalibacterium prausnitzii and decreased A. muciniphila, Bacteroides fragilis and B. dorei. Decreased folate biosynthesis was driven by similar changes in microbial composition.

CONCLUSION

HIV mono-infection with steatosis or fibrosis had distinct microbial profiles. Some taxa are similar to those associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in HIV-negative populations. Further studies are needed to define the role of the gut microbiota in the pathogenesis of liver disease in HIV-infected persons.

MRE combined with FIB-4 (MEFIB) index in detection of candidates for pharmacological treatment of NASH-related fibrosis

OBJECTIVE

Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with ≥stage 2 fibrosis are at increased risk for liver-related mortality and are candidates for pharmacological therapies for treatment of NAFLD. The aim of this prospective cohort study is to examine the diagnostic accuracy of MR elastography (MRE) combined with fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) in diagnosing ≥stage 2 fibrosis (candidates for pharmacological therapies).

DESIGN

This is a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort (University of California at San Diego (UCSD)-NAFLD) including 238 consecutive patients with contemporaneous MRE and biopsy-proven NAFLD. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-Clinical Research Network-Histologic Scoring System was used to assess histology. The radiologist and pathologist were blinded to clinical, pathological and imaging data, respectively. Receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) were determined to examine the diagnostic accuracy of MRE and FIB-4 for diagnosis of ≥stage 2 fibrosis in NAFLD. We then validated these findings in an independent validation cohort derived from Yokohama City University in Japan (Japan-NAFLD Cohort; N=222 patients).

RESULTS

In the UCSD-NAFLD (training) Cohort, MRE demonstrated a clinically significant diagnostic accuracy for the detection of ≥stage 2 fibrosis with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.97) vs FIB-4 with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.85), which was both clinically and statistically significant (p<0.0001). We then combined MRE with FIB-4 (MRE ≥3.3 kPa and FIB-4 ≥1.6) to develop a clinical prediction rule to rule in ≥stage 2 fibrosis patients which had positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.1% (p<0.02) in the UCSD-NAFLD cohort (AUROC of 0.90 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.95)) which remained significant at PPV of 91.0% (p<0.003) in the Japan-NAFLD Cohort (AUROC of 0.84 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.89)).

CONCLUSION

MRE combined with FIB-4 (MEFIB) index may be used for non-invasive identification of candidates for (≥stage 2 fibrosis) pharmacological therapy among patients with NAFLD with a high PPV.

Incidence of HCC in chronic hepatitis C patients with advanced hepatic fibrosis who achieved SVR following DAAs: A prospective study

Liver cirrhosis is an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma. The reported annual incidence of HCC is about 3%-8% in CHC cirrhotic patients. Based on the Cochrane systematic review, there was no clear evidence, on the long-term clinical effects of DAAs in patients achieving SVR, as regard liver cirrhosis-related HCC incidence. The aim of the study was to determine the incidence of HCC in chronic hepatitis C patients genotype IV with liver cirrhosis and advanced liver fibrosis after achieving SVR following DAA treatment in a prospective large cohort of HCV patients with long follow-up. This was a prospective observational cohort study including 2372 CHC patients with advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis receiving DAA therapy in outpatient clinics at the Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital since January 2015. Liver fibrosis was assessed using transient elastography. Abdominal ultrasonography and AFP measurement were done at baseline and follow-up visits every 6 months, in addition to triphasic abdominal MSCT when needed. Patients were followed up after achieving SVR12 for at least 12 months. HCC developed in 109 cases during the follow-up period (mean 23.60 ± 8.25 months). Overall HCC incidence was 2.338/100 PY, 95% CI = 1.942-2.814. In patients with cirrhosis, the incidence of HCC was 2.917/100 PY, 95% CI = 2.407-3.535, while in patients with advanced liver fibrosis the incidence of HCC was 0.664/100 PY, 95% CI = 0.333-1.326. In conclusion, the incidence of HCC was reduced in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 patients with liver cirrhosis (F4) and advanced hepatic fibrosis (F3) who achieved SVR following DAA therapy.

Prevalence of liver fibrosis in an unselected general population with high prevalence of obesity and diabetes mellitus. Time for screening?

INTRODUCTION

Cirrhosis and liver cancer are currently common causes of death worldwide. The global epidemic of obesity has increased the incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cirrhosis in recent years. Advanced fibrosis increases the morbimortality rate in NAFLD. The Mexican population has one of the highest prevalence of obesity and diabetes mellitus (DM) worldwide.

AIM

To determine the prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis in Mexican general population.

METHODS

Adult individuals, without a history of liver disease nor heavy alcohol consumption were randomly sampled from 20,919 participants of a health and nutrition survey applied to the general population. Clinical and laboratory evaluations were performed to calculate the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) (an extensively validated non-invasive method). Two cut-off points were used. Advanced fibrosis was defined as a result >0.676.

RESULTS

In total 695 individuals were included. The mean age was 47.8±16.4. The majority were between 20 and 50 years (59%), 70.2% were female, 35.5% showed obesity and 15.8% DM. The 93% had normal serum ALT. Based on the NFS results, 56 individuals (8.1%) had a high probability of fibrosis. Most patients from this subgroup showed normal serum ALT (92.9%), 89.3% were >45yr. old, 52% were obese and 27% suffered from DM.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on these results, 8.1% of Mexican general population without a history of liver disease is at high risk of having advanced liver fibrosis and complications and death derived from cardiovascular disease and cirrhosis. Most of them showed normal ALT serum levels.

The Utility of Retinol-Binding Protein 4 in Predicting Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients in Response to Direct-Acting Antivirals

Background

Hepatic fibrosis grading is crucial for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients in monitoring liver disease progression and antiviral treatment indication. Retinol-binding protein 4 (RBP4), an adipokine secreted by adipocytes and hepatocytes, has variable levels in health and disease.

Purpose

To comparatively evaluate RBP4 serum levels in predicting liver fibrosis in CHC versus fibroscan, noninvasive fibrosis, and inflammatory indices.

Patients and Methods

Cohort study included 50 naive non-obese CHC patients and 20 age-, sex- and body mass index-matched healthy subjects. Fibroscan, RBP4, and noninvasive fibrosis as APRI, CDS, FIB-4, GUCI, Lok index indices based on serological markers, and inflammatory indices as platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and liver regeneration markers as; alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and APRI, were evaluated in response to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs).

Results

RBP4 was significantly lower in patients than in controls (P=0.0001) and progressively decreased with the increase in fibrosis grade (F0-F=41.42±3.08), (F2=39.32±1.43), (F3-F4= 35.31±0.5), (P=0.0001). Liver function, stiffness, and RBP4 significantly improved after treatment (P=0.0001). RBP4 negatively correlated with viral load (r=−0.78, p=0.0001), fibroscan fibrosis grade (r=−0.52, p=0.0001), AFP (r=−0.63, p=0.0001), and positively correlated with platelet (r=0.424, p=0.0001), and white cell count (r=0.298, p=0.002). RBP4 at a cutoff value <40.55 ng/mL might predict significant fibrosis (90.48% sensitivity, 62.5% specificity, AUROC=0.811, 95% CI=67.5–90.0) and at a cutoff value <35.9 ng/mL could predict advanced fibrosis (100% sensitivity, 100% specificity, AUROC =1.0, 95% CI=0.929–1).

Conclusion

RBP4 showed excellent accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV. RBP4 has a superior diagnostic performance in predicting advanced fibrosis grads in CHC patients and hence can replace expensive invasive procedures.

Repeatability and reproducibility of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging of the liver

As the burden of liver disease reaches epidemic levels, there is a high unmet medical need to develop robust, accurate and reproducible non-invasive methods to quantify liver tissue characteristics for use in clinical development and ultimately in clinical practice. This prospective cross-sectional study systematically examines the repeatability and reproducibility of iron-corrected T1 (cT1), T2*, and hepatic proton density fat fraction (PDFF) quantification with multiparametric MRI across different field strengths, scanner manufacturers and models. 61 adult participants with mixed liver disease aetiology and those without any history of liver disease underwent multiparametric MRI on combinations of 5 scanner models from two manufacturers (Siemens and Philips) at different field strengths (1.5T and 3T). We report high repeatability and reproducibility across different field strengths, manufacturers, and scanner models in standardized cT1 (repeatability CoV: 1.7%, bias -7.5ms, 95% LoA of -53.6 ms to 38.5 ms; reproducibility CoV 3.3%, bias 6.5 ms, 95% LoA of -76.3 to 89.2 ms) and T2* (repeatability CoV: 5.5%, bias -0.18 ms, 95% LoA -5.41 to 5.05 ms; reproducibility CoV 6.6%, bias -1.7 ms, 95% LoA -6.61 to 3.15 ms) in human measurements. PDFF repeatability (0.8%) and reproducibility (0.75%) coefficients showed high precision of this metric. Similar precision was observed in phantom measurements. Inspection of the ICC model indicated that most of the variance in cT1 could be accounted for by study participants (ICC = 0.91), with minimal contribution from technical differences. We demonstrate that multiparametric MRI is a non-invasive, repeatable and reproducible method for quantifying liver tissue characteristics across manufacturers (Philips and Siemens) and field strengths (1.5T and 3T).

Predictive factors associated with liver fibrosis and steatosis by transient elastography in patients with HIV mono-infection under long-term combined antiretroviral therapy

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is characterized by the presence of hepatic steatosis and can be associated with fibrosis progression, development of cirrhosis and liver-related complications. Data on the prevalence of liver fibrosis and steatosis in HIV patients remain contradictory in resource-limited settings. We aimed to describe the prevalence and factors associated with liver fibrosis and steatosis in patients with HIV mono-infection under long-term antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

METHODS

Clinical assessment, fasting blood collection and liver stiffness measurement (LSM)/controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) by transient elastography were performed on the same day for this cross-sectional study (PROSPEC-HIV study; NCT02542020). Patients with viral hepatitis co-infection, ART-naïve or missing data were excluded. Liver fibrosis and steatosis were defined by LSM ≥ 8.0 kPa and CAP ≥ 248 dB/m respectively. HIV history, cumulative and current ART regimens were evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for age and gender were performed.

RESULTS

In total, 395 patients (60% female; median age of 45 (IQR, 35 to 52) years, body mass index = 25.7 (23.2 to 29.4) kg/m2 , alanine aminotransferase = 30 (23 to 42) IU/L, duration of ART for 7 (4 to 14) years) were included. LSM and CAP were reliable in 93% (n = 367) and 87% (n = 344) respectively. The prevalence of fibrosis and steatosis were 9% (95% confidence interval (CI), 7 to 13) and 35% (95% CI, 30 to 40) respectively. The following factors were associated with fibrosis (odds ratio (OR) (95% CI)): older age (per 10 years; 1.80 (1.27 to 2.55); p = 0.001) and CD4+ count <200 cells/mm3 (7.80 (2.09 to 29.09), p = 0.002). Type 2 diabetes had a trend towards the presence of liver fibrosis (2.67 (0.96 to 7.46), p = 0.061). Central obesity (10.74 (4.40 to 26.20), p < 0.001), type 2 diabetes (9.74 (3.15 to 30.10), p < 0.001), dyslipidaemia (2.61 (1.35 to 5.05), p = 0.003) and metabolic syndrome (4.28 (2.45 to 7.46), p < 0.001) were associated with steatosis. A dominant backbone ART regimen of zidovudine (AZT), d4T, ddI or ddC was associated with steatosis (1.90 (1.07 to 3.38), p = 0.028) independently of metabolic features.

CONCLUSION

Integrated strategies for preventing non-communicable diseases in people with HIV mono-infection are necessary to decrease the burden of liver diseases. Clinical Trial Number: NCT02542020.

Chronic Hepatitis C Patients with Obesity: Do we Need two Operators for Accurate Evaluation of Liver Stiffness?

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Transient elastography is gaining popularity as a non-invasive method for predicting liver fibrosis, but inter observer agreement and factors influencing reproducibility have not been adequately assessed.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted at Specialized Medical Hospital and the Egyptian Liver Foundation, Mansoura, Egypt. The inclusion criteria were: age older than 18 years and chronic infection by hepatitis C. The exclusion criteria were the presence of ascites, pacemaker or pregnancy. Three hundred and fifty-six patients participated in the study. Therefore, 356 pairs of exams were done by two operators on the same day.

RESULTS

The overall inter observer agreement ICC was 0.921. The correlation the two operators was excellent (Spearman's value q = 0.808, p < 0.001). Inter-observer reliability values were κ = 0.557 (p < 0.001). A not negligible discordance of fibrosis staging between operators was observed (87 cases, 24.4%). Discordance of at least one stage and for two or more stages of fibrosis occurred in 60 (16.9%) and 27 cases (7.6%) respectively. Obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) is the main factor associated with discordance (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Although liver stiffness measurement has had an excellent correlation between the two operators, TE presented an inter-observer variability that may not be negligible.

Cardiac dysfunction as an early predictor of portal hypertension in chronic hepatitis C

Background:

Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy is characterized by a set of cardiovascular modifications observed in advanced chronic liver disease. The aim of this study was to investigate cardiovascular alterations in chronic liver disease with different stages of fibrosis and to correlate cardiac involvement with endoscopic complications of portal hypertension.

Methods:

Seventy patients with chronic hepatitis C-related chronic liver disease and 20 sex- and age-matched controls underwent clinical evaluation, hepatic transient elastography, and echocardiography. Forty-nine of the 70 patients underwent an esophagogastroduodenoscopy for screening of esophageal and gastric varices.

Results:

According to the value of liver stiffness (LS), patients were divided in 2 groups: non-cirrhotics (LS<12.5 kPa; n=30; median LS=8.1 kPa, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.4-9.2 kPa) and cirrhotics (LS>12.5 kPa; n=40; median LS=19.4 kPa, 95%CI 17-22 kPa). Compared to non-cirrhotics, cirrhotics showed a significant dilatation of the left atrium (P=0.007 and P=0.003 for area and volume index, respectively). In patients with chronic liver disease, peak systolic wave velocity (S¢) measured by tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) was lower (P=0.004), but ejection fraction was not reduced. Left atrial volume, left ventricular mass index and TDI S¢-wave velocity, but not liver stiffness, correlated with endoscopic signs of portal hypertension.

Conclusions:

Left atrial enlargement and peak S¢-wave systolic velocities are echocardiographic markers of diastolic and systolic dysfunction in liver cirrhosis. Cardiac alterations closely correlate to endoscopic portal hypertension; further studies could elucidate the potential role of echocardiography in the early identification of cirrhotic patients at higher risk for endoscopic complications of portal hypertension.

Prevalence and predictors for compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease (c-ACLD) in patients with chronic Hepatitis Delta Virus (HDV) infection

Objective

The study aimed to evaluate the prevalence and predictor factors for compensated advanced chronic liver disease (c-ACLD) in patients with hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) infection.

Methods

This cross-sectional study included consecutive HDV-infected patients defined by positive anti-HDV. Patients with hepatitis C coinfection, liver transplantation or presence of conditions that limit liver (LSM) or spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were excluded. Blood tests, abdominal ultrasound, SSM and LSM by transient elastography (FibroScan^®) were performed at the same day. Alcohol consumption was quantified using the AUDIT score and c-ACLD was defined by LSM ≥ 15 kPa performed by an experimented operator blinded for clinical and laboratory data.

Results

101 patients were eligible and few patients were excluded due to negative anti-HDV (n = 7), hepatitis C coinfection (n = 2), liver transplantation (n = 10) and limitation for LSM or SSM (n = 5). Therefore, 77 patients [61% male, age = 43 (IQR,36–52) years] were included. The prevalence of c-ACLD was 57% (n = 44/77). Patients with c-ACLD had a higher rate of detectable HBV viral load (p = 0.039), higher levels of transaminases, GGT, alkaline phosphatases, total bilirubin and INR (p<0.001 for all), as well as lower platelet count and albumin levels (p>0.001 for both) compared to those without c-ACLD. Patients with c-ACLD had higher SSM [65.2 (IQR,33.8–75.0) vs 21.8 (16.5–32.0) kPa; p<0.001] and higher splenic volume [475 (IQR,311–746) vs 154 (112–283) cm³; p<0.001] compared to those without. Detectable HBV viral load (>10 UI/ml), alkaline phosphatase (per IU/L) and GGT levels (per IU/L) were independently associated with c-ACLD in all multivariate models. Splenic volume [per cm³,OR = 1.01 (95%CI,1.01–1.02);p = 0.002], SSM [per kPa, OR = 1.04 (1.01–1.07);p = 0.012] and splenomegaly [yes vs no,OR = 28.45 (4.42–182.95);p<0.001] were independently associated with c-ACLD.

Conclusions

The prevalence of c-ACLD was high in patients with chronic HDV infection in western Amazon basin. HBV viral load, liver enzymes and splenic features can be used to predict severe liver disease in HDV-infected patients.

The clinical value of controlled attenuation parameter for the noninvasive assessment of liver steatosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Ultrasound is the imaging modality most widely utilized in the general population for diagnostic purposes. Controlled attenuation parameter is a novel noninvasive method for assessing steatosis. Our aim was to investigate whether the clinical value of controlled attenuation parameter in patients referred for abdominal ultrasound examinations is affected by liver fibrosis.

METHODS

Consecutive patients referred for abdominal ultrasound examinations were enrolled. Controlled attenuation parameter and liver stiffness were assessed with the FibroScan (Echosens, France). Liver fibrosis was staged according to published cutoffs of liver stiffness measurements. Pearson's or Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was used to test the association between two study variables. Optimal cutoff of controlled attenuation parameter for diagnosing liver steatosis (S≥2) was 256 dB/m. The diagnostic performance and accuracy of dichotomized controlled attenuation parameter, ultrasound and body mass index were analysed using the imperfect gold standard methodology.

RESULTS

A total of 726 subjects (464 males and 262 females) were studied. Five hundred and eight-nine (81.1%) patients were affected by chronic viral hepatitis. Correlation of controlled attenuation parameter with ultrasound score was 0.48 and 0.57 in patients with and without chronic viral hepatitis respectively. In patients with chronic viral hepatitis, ultrasound, dichotomized controlled attenuation parameter and body mass index showed performance of 58.2%, 82.3% and 46.7%, respectively, whereas in patients without chronic viral hepatitis, the performance was 86.4%, 68.6% and 48.6% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic viral hepatitis and advanced liver fibrosis, controlled attenuation parameter performs better than ultrasound for assessing liver steatosis, whereas in patients without viral hepatitis and with nonsignificant liver disease ultrasound shows the best performance.

Noninvasive Markers to Assess Liver Fibrosis

Chronic liver disease represents a major public health problem, accounting for significant morbidity and mortality worldwide. Their prognosis and management greatly depends on the amount and progression of liver fibrosis with time and the risk of development of cirrhosis. Historically, liver biopsy was considered to be the gold standard for the detection of fibrosis. Nevertheless, liver biopsy is an invasive procedure that has limitations in terms of patient acceptance, risk-benefit ratio, cost-effectiveness, and its availability in various geographic regions. Moreover, it is a questionable gold standard due to significant sampling error and intraobserver and interobserver variability. These limitations have led to the development of noninvasive techniques for assessing the presence and the degree of liver fibrosis. This review aims to revise the most recent data from the literature about noninvasive methods useful in the evaluation of liver fibrosis.

Learning curve and intra/interobserver agreement of transient elastography in chronic hepatitis C patients with or without HIV co-infection

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography has been validated as a noninvasive method to stage liver fibrosis. Few studies have evaluated the learning curve of this method and its reproducibility has led to controversy results. We aimed to evaluate the intra- and interobserver agreement of transient elastography as well as its learning curve for definition of an experimented operator.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 922 examinations performed in 544 patients during a training program of transient elastography. Patients with chronic hepatitis C with or without HIV co-infection that had two examinations by the training operator (intraobserver analysis; n=125) or examination by both training and experimented operators (interobserver analysis; n=151) in the same day were included. LSM was converted to METAVIR score: <7.1 as F0F1, 7.1-9.4 as F2, 9.5-12.4, as F3 and >12.4 kPa as F4.

RESULTS

The overall intra- and interobserver intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC 95% CI] were 0.926 (0.901-0.951) and 0.912 (0.885-0.939), respectively. Measurements were correlated [Spearman's] in intra- [0.906, P<0.0001] and interobserver [0.907, P<0.0001] analysis. Reliability values [kappa (SE)] were k=0.74 (0.09) and k=0.85 (0.08) for fibrosis stages F ≥ 2 and k=0.77 (0.09) and k=0.75 (0.08) for cirrhosis in intra- and interobserver analysis, respectively. Agreement was improved when operator's experience was higher than 100 exams. However, it was observed discordance for fibrosis staging between examinations in a quarter of patients.

CONCLUSION

Although there was a considerable discrepancy on fibrosis staging between examinations and a small power, transient elastography had an acceptable reproducibility in our population. Performance of at least 100 examinations should be used to define an experimented operator.

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging predicts clinical outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) imaging has been demonstrated to quantify hepatic fibrosis, iron, and steatosis. The aim of this study was to determine if MR can be used to predict negative clinical outcomes in liver disease patients.

METHODS

Patients with chronic liver disease (n=112) were recruited for MR imaging and data on the development of liver related clinical events were collected by medical records review. The median follow-up was 27months. MR data were analysed blinded for the Liver Inflammation and Fibrosis score (LIF; <1, 1-1.99, 2-2.99, and ⩾3 representing normal, mild, moderate, and severe liver disease, respectively), T2∗ for liver iron content and proportion of liver fat. Baseline liver biopsy was performed in 102 patients.

RESULTS

Liver disease aetiologies included non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (35%) and chronic viral hepatitis (30%). Histologically, fibrosis was mild in 54 (48%), moderate in 17 (15%), and severe in 31 (28%) patients. Overall mortality was 5%. Ten patients (11%) developed at least one liver related clinical event. The negative predictive value of LIF<2 was 100%. Two patients with LIF 2-2.99 and eight with LIF⩾3 had a clinical event. Patients with LIF⩾3 had a higher cumulative risk for developing clinical events, compared to those with LIF<1 (p=0.02) and LIF 1-1.99 (p=0.03). Cox regression analysis including all 3 variables (fat, iron, LIF) resulted in an enhanced LIF predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-invasive standardised multiparametric MR technology may be used to predict clinical outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease.

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection: Serum biomarkers in predicting liver damage

Currently, a major clinical challenge in the management of the increasing number of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected patients is determining the best means for evaluating liver impairment. Prognosis and treatment of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) are partly dependent on the assessment of histological activity, namely cell necrosis and inflammation, and the degree of liver fibrosis. These parameters can be provided by liver biopsy; however, in addition to the risks related to an invasive procedure, liver biopsy has been associated with sampling error mostly due to suboptimal biopsy size. To avoid these pitfalls, several markers have been proposed as non-invasive alternatives for the diagnosis of liver damage. Distinct approaches among the currently available non-invasive methods are (1) the physical ones based on imaging techniques; and (2) the biological ones based on serum biomarkers. In this review, we discuss these approaches with special focus on currently available non-invasive serum markers. We will discuss: (1) class I serum biomarkers individually and as combined panels, particularly those that mirror the metabolism of liver extracellular matrix turnover and/or fibrogenic cell changes; (2) class II biomarkers that are indirect serum markers and are based on the evaluation of common functional alterations in the liver; and (3) biomarkers of liver cell death, since hepatocyte apoptosis plays a significant role in the pathogenesis of HCV infection. We highlight in this review the evidence behind the use of these markers and assess the diagnostic accuracy as well as advantages, limitations, and application in clinical practice of each test for predicting liver damage in CHC.

Factors That Could Impact on Liver Fibrosis Staging by Transient Elastography

Transient elastography (TE) based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is one of the most validated noninvasive methods for liver fibrosis staging in patients with chronic liver diseases. This method is painless, has no potential complications, is rapid (<10 min), and can be performed at the patient's bedside. However, several points should be considered when interpreting TE results. This review aims to discuss the critical points that might influence liver stiffness and TE results. Spectrum bias and the impact of the prevalence of fibrosis stages should be taken into account when interpreting the studies that validated this method using liver biopsy as a gold-standard. LSM might be influenced by nonfasting status, flare of transaminases, heart failure, extrahepatic cholestasis, presence of steatosis, aetiology of liver disease, type and position of probe, and operator's experience. In addition, interobserver variability can impact on the management of patients with chronic liver diseases. TE should be performed by an experienced operator (>100 exams), in a 3-hour fasting status, and its results should be handled by specialist clinicians that are aware of the limitations of this method.

Prevalence, variability, and outcomes in portal hypertensive colopathy: a study in patients with cirrhosis and paired controls

BACKGROUND

Management of portal hypertensive colopathy (PHC) has been challenged by controversial results in its prevalence and clinical relevance.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the PHC prevalence and to evaluate the variability in diagnosis, the relation to severity of liver disease, and the incidence of severe outcomes.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Endoscopic unit of a tertiary-care academic center in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

PATIENTS

Patients with cirrhosis with portal hypertension and controls paired for age and sex.

INTERVENTIONS

All patients were submitted to standard and image-enhanced colonoscopies, which were recorded in a coded video file and analyzed twice by a blinded endoscopist.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

The prevalence of PHC.

RESULTS

A total of 51 patients with cirrhosis (55% male, mean age 59 years) and 51 healthy controls (43% male, mean age 61 years) were included. The top ranking colonoscopic findings were angiodysplasia-like lesions, nonspecific vascular pattern, red spots, and colorectal varices, all significantly more frequent in patients with cirrhosis compared with controls. PHC prevalence was 71% in patients with cirrhosis. For PHC, interobserver and intraobserver agreement (k values [standard error]) were 0.68 (0.09) and 0.63 (0.10), respectively. Intraobserver agreement for colonoscopic findings was satisfactory. PHC was not related to more severe liver disease or liver stiffness. Only 5 patients developed severe outcomes during follow-up.

LIMITATIONS

The exclusion of patients with cirrhosis without esophageal varices and the absence of an interobserver agreement analysis by double-blinded endoscopists.

CONCLUSION

PHC was highly prevalent in patients with cirrhosis, and its diagnostic agreement was satisfactory. PHC is not associated with relevant severe outcomes in a 12-month follow-up.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis

BACKGROUND

The prognosis and management of chronic liver diseases greatly depend on the amount and progression of liver fibrosis with the risk of developing cirrhosis. Liver biopsy, traditionally considered as the reference standard for the staging of fibrosis, has been challenged over the past decade by the development of novel noninvasive methodologies. Key Messages: Noninvasive methods rely on two different but complementary approaches: a 'biological' approach based on the dosage serum biomarkers, and a 'physical' approach based on the measurement of liver stiffness using transient elastography (TE). There are two clinically relevant endpoints for the staging of liver fibrosis: (1) significant fibrosis (indication for antiviral treatment in viral hepatitis B and C), and (2) cirrhosis (indication for screening of esophageal varices and hepatocellular carcinoma). TE (FibroScan®), FibroTest® and APRI have been the most extensively studied and validated methods, mainly in chronic hepatitis C. Combining two unrelated methods, such as TE and biomarkers, is an attractive approach that increases diagnostic performance and limits the drawback of both methodologies. TE appears to be an excellent tool for the early detection of cirrhosis with likely prognostic value in this setting. Thus far, however, it cannot replace upper endoscopy for screening of esophageal varices. The main limitation of TE in clinical practice is the impossibility of obtaining reliable liver stiffness measurements in around 20% of cases, mainly comprising obese patients.

CONCLUSION

An increasing number of reliable noninvasive methods are now available that are widely used in clinical practice, mostly in viral hepatitis, resulting in a significant decrease in the need for liver biopsy.

Automated morphometry provides accurate and reproducible virtual staging of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

Background:

Liver fibrosis staging provides prognostic value, although hampered by observer variability. We used digital analysis to develop diagnostic morphometric scores for significant fibrosis, cirrhosis and fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C.

Materials and Methods:

We automated the measurement of 44 classical and new morphometric descriptors. The reference was histological METAVIR fibrosis (F) staging (F0 to F4) on liver biopsies. The derivation population included 416 patients and liver biopsies ≥20 mm-length. Two validation population included 438 patients.

Results:

In the derivation population, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for clinically significant fibrosis (F stage ≥2) of a logistic score combining 5 new descriptors (stellar fibrosis area, edge linearity, bridge thickness, bridge number, nodularity) was 0.957. The AUROC for cirrhosis of 6 new descriptors (edge linearity, nodularity, portal stellar fibrosis area, portal distance, granularity, fragmentation) was 0.994. Predicted METAVIR F staging combining 8 morphometric descriptors agreed well with METAVIR F staging by pathologists: κ = 0.868. Morphometric score of clinically significant fibrosis had a higher correlation with porto-septal fibrosis area (r_s = 0.835) than METAVIR F staging (r_s = 0.756, P < 0.001) and the same correlations with fibrosis biomarkers, e.g., serum hyaluronate: r_s = 0.484 versus r_s = 0.476 for METAVIR F (P = 0.862). In the validation population, the AUROCs of clinically significant fibrosis and cirrhosis scores were, respectively: 0.893 and 0.993 in 153 patients (biopsy < 20 mm); 0.955 and 0.994 in 285 patients (biopsy ≥ 20 mm). The three morphometric diagnoses agreed with consensus expert reference as well as or better than diagnoses by first-line pathologists in 285 patients, respectively: significant fibrosis: 0.733 versus 0.733 (κ), cirrhosis: 0.900 versus 0.827, METAVIR F: 0.881 versus 0.865.

Conclusion:

The new automated morphometric scores provide reproducible and accurate diagnoses of fibrosis stages via “virtual expert pathologist.”

Interobserver variability in transient elastography analysis of patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Transient elastography based on liver stiffness measurement is a non-invasive method to assess hepatic fibrosis. However, interobserver variability has led to controversy over its use in fibrosis evaluation. To evaluate the interobserver variation in transient elastography in chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study, analysing findings from two experienced operators who each assessed 195 patients by transient elastography on the same day. Liver stiffness measurement used to define fibrosis stages, based on METAVIR score, was: <7.1 as F0F1, 7.1-9.4 as F2, 9.5-12.4, as F3 and >12.4 kPa as F4. We also assessed interobserver variation in identification of potential oesophageal varices screening based on transient elastography.

RESULTS

The interobserver intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.940 (95% CI 0.863-0.967) and measurements made by operators correlated [Spearman's ρ = 0.924; P < 0.001]. However, the median liver stiffness measurement assessed by first operators was higher (11.5 vs 9.8 kPa; P < 0.001). The discordance between operators was 35% for at least one stage of fibrosis and 5% for two or more stages. Interobserver reliability values were κ = 0.61 for fibrosis stages F ≥ 2 and κ = 0.80 for cirrhosis. Among the 74 patients determined to have cirrhosis by at least one operator, there was considerable discordance in identification of those with indication for oesophageal varices screening (κ values from 0.13 to 0.61) according to several cut-offs.

CONCLUSION

Although a high correlation of liver stiffness measurement between operators, interobserver variability in transient elastography was not negligible. This method should not be used as the only screening tool for oesophageal varices in chronic hepatitis C.

Significant variations in elastometry measurements made within short-term in patients with chronic liver diseases

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Transient elastometry is a noninvasive procedure used to measure fibrosis when patients are diagnosed with liver disease; it might be used to monitor changes over time. We investigated whether there are short-term variations in stiffness measurements that are not attributable to changes in fibrosis by studying patients with stable liver disease.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 531 paired liver stiffness measurements made by Fibroscan when the study began (LSM1) and at follow-up (LSM2), more than 1 day and less than 1 year apart, from 432 stable (for body mass index, waist circumference, and alcohol consumption), untreated, immunocompetent patients with chronic liver disease (from January 2006 through March 2009). Variations between the first and follow-up measurements were expressed as absolute (LSM2-LSM1, kPa) or relative ([LSM2-LSM1]/LSM1*100) or as changes in fibrosis stage.

RESULTS

There was >20% variation in 49.7%, >30% in 34.3%, and >50% in 12.2% of paired measurements; this variation was constant across the spectrum of LSM1 values. The variations produced a 1-fibrosis stage difference in 31.5% of pairs and a ≥ 2-stage difference in 9.8% of pairs. Patients with LSM1 >7 kPa had increased probability of having a different stage of fibrosis at LSM2, compared with patients with LSM1 <7 kPa. Factors associated with variation included measurements made by 2 different operators or at least 1 non-senior operator, ratios of interquartile range:median values, significant fibrosis (≥ 7 kPa) at LSM1, baseline body mass index, or a 2-fold difference in level of alanine aminotransferase between measurements. When the analyses were restricted to measurements made by the same operator, the variation was slightly reduced; fibrosis stage differed between measurements for only 34.3% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Operator-related and patient-related factors produce significant variations in liver stiffness measurements made by transient elastometry, limiting its use in monitoring patients. These variations are unrelated to disease progression. The lowest levels of variation occur in measurements made in patients with no or early-stage fibrosis or by a single experienced operator.

Hepatitis B: are non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis reliable?

Liver biopsy, which was traditionally considered to be the gold standard for the staging of fibrosis, has been challenged in the past decade by non-invasive techniques. These techniques rely on two distinct but complementary approaches: a 'biological' approach, based on the quantification of biomarkers of fibrosis in serum, and a 'physical' approach, based on the measurement of liver stiffness using elastography-based technologies. Advantages of serum biomarkers include their high applicability (>95%) and good reproducibility. However, as none are liver specific their results can be influenced by comorbid conditions (risk of false positive results with FibroTest in patients with Gilbert's syndrome or with APRI in case of acute hepatitis). Transient elastograpy has the advantages of being a user's friendly procedure that can be performed at the bedside or in an outpatient clinic with high performance for detecting cirrhosis. However, its applicability is lower (80%) than that of serum biomarker (particularly in case of ascites, obesity and limited operator experience) with the risk of false positive results in case of ALT flares. Although these non-invasive methods were initially developed and validated in patients with chronic hepatitis C, they are now increasingly used in patients with hepatitis B, reducing the need for liver biopsy.

Prediction of fibrosis in hepatitis C patients: assessment using hydroxyproline and oxidative stress biomarkers

This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), hydroxyproline (Hyp), malondialdhyde (MDA), superoxide dismutase (SOD), and total antioxidant status (TAS) biomarkers in comparison with Metavir scoring for assessing the severity of hepatic fibrosis in the HCV patients. The histological activity index (HAI) was evaluated in liver biopsy by Metavir scoring system in 150 patients with HCV. HCV initial screening, further genotyping and biochemical data analysis were performed in serum using ELISA and biochemical assays. Out of the 150 HCV patients in this study, the most prevalent HCV genotype was genotype 4 (97 %). The significant fibrosis was estimated in 83.3 % of patients using the Metavir scoring system. They classified into 40 % of patients with mild fibrosis (F0-F1); 60 % with significant fibrosis (F2-4) and 20 % had cirrhosis (F4). Patients with cirrhosis (F4) showed significant correlation (P < 0.001) with increase in ALT, AST, AST/ALT, Hyp, Hyp/platelet count ratio, APRI, MDA, older age, and decrease (P < 0.001) in SOD, TAS, and platelet count compared to other stages of liver fibrosis. In our population, using optimized cut-off values of AST/ALT, APRI, Hyp, MDA, SOD, and TAS, significant fibrosis could be predicted accurately with a range of (80-90 %), and cirrhosis with a range of (67-97 %) of HCV patients. Our study showed that, oxidative stress and Hyp markers could be useful as noninvasive diagnostic markers in the assessment of hepatic fibrosis.

Noninvasive evaluation of NAFLD

A common clinical concern in patients with NAFLD is whether they have NASH or simple steatosis and, more importantly, what the stage of fibrosis is and whether the level of fibrosis has increased over time. Such concern is based on the fact that patients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis are at greatest risk of developing complications of end-stage liver disease. Although it lacks sensitivity, ultrasonography is an accepted tool for steatosis screening. The controlled attenuation parameter or CAP seems a promising screening technique, but requires further validation. Cytokeratin-18 has been extensively validated, but it is an imperfect serum marker of NASH. Ultrasonography-based transient elastography can exclude advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, but its main limitation is its reduced applicability in patients with NAFLD, which is not completely solved by use of the XL probe. Of the noninvasive serum markers, the NAFLD fibrosis score is the most validated and has appropriate accuracy in distinguishing patients with and without advanced fibrosis. Although noninvasive methods require further validation, they could be useful for selecting those patients with NAFLD who require a liver biopsy. This Review discusses the advantages and limitations of noninvasive methods for the management of adults with NAFLD, including diagnosis and quantification of steatosis, diagnosis of NASH and staging of hepatic fibrosis.

The new paradigm of hepatitis C therapy: integration of oral therapies into best practices

Emerging data indicate that all-oral antiviral treatments for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) will become a reality in the near future. In replacing interferon-based therapies, all-oral regimens are expected to be more tolerable, more effective, shorter in duration and simpler to administer. Coinciding with new treatment options are novel methodologies for disease screening and staging, which create the possibility of more timely care and treatment. Assessments of histologic damage typically are performed using liver biopsy, yet noninvasive assessments of histologic damage have become the norm in some European countries and are becoming more widespread in the United States. Also in place are new Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) initiatives to simplify testing, improve provider and patient awareness and expand recommendations for HCV screening beyond risk-based strategies. Issued in 2012, the CDC recommendations aim to increase HCV testing among those with the greatest HCV burden in the United States by recommending one-time testing for all persons born during 1945-1965. In 2013, the United States Preventive Services Task Force adopted similar recommendations for risk-based and birth-cohort-based testing. Taken together, the developments in screening, diagnosis and treatment will likely increase demand for therapy and stimulate a shift in delivery of care related to chronic HCV, with increased involvement of primary care and infectious disease specialists. Yet even in this new era of therapy, barriers to curing patients of HCV will exist. Overcoming such barriers will require novel, integrative strategies and investment of resources at local, regional and national levels.

Liver fibrosis evaluation using real-time shear wave elastography: applicability and diagnostic performance using methods without a gold standard

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Real-time shear wave elastography (SWE) is a new two-dimensional transient elastography which had no assessment of factors associated with reliability, and had limited comparisons with other validated fibrosis biomarkers. The aim was to assess the applicability and performances of SWE for the diagnosis of fibrosis as compared with FibroTest (FT) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography using two probes (TE-M and TE-XL).

METHODS

Without a gold standard, the strength of concordance, discordance analysis and latent class analysis (LCM) were applied.

RESULTS

422 patients were included. The applicability of SWE (90.0%) was significantly lower than that of FT (97.9%; p <0.0001) and did not differ from those of TE-M (90.5%) and TE-XL (90.3%); it was higher though for SWE (86%) in 22 patients with ascites vs. 55% using TE-M (p=0.04). For the diagnosis of all fibrosis stages as presumed by FT, the performance of SWE was highly significant (Obuchowski measure 0.807 ± 0.013 [m ± se]), but lower than those of TE-M (0.852; p=0.0007) and TE-XL (0.834; p=0.046). SWE had a low performance for discrimination between F0 and F1. For the diagnosis of cirrhosis using LCM, SWE specificities were all equal to 99%, and SWE sensitivities ranged from 0.47 to 0.64. For the diagnosis of non-cirrhotic stages, the results were heterogeneous.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of SWE for the diagnosis of cirrhosis was similar to those of FT and TE. SWE applicability was lower than that of FT, but greater than that of TE in patients with ascites.

Contribution of the ELFG test in algorithms of non-invasive markers towards the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to determine the best algorithms for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients using all available parameters and tests.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We used the database from our study of 507 patients with histologically proven CHC in which fibrosis was evaluated by liver biopsy (Metavir) and tests: Fibrometer®, Fibrotest®, Hepascore®, Apri, ELFG, MP3, Forn's, hyaluronic acid, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP1), MMP1, collagen IV and when possible Fibroscan™. For the first test we used 90% negative predictive value to exclude patients with F≤1, next an induction algorithm was applied giving the best tests with at least 80% positive predictive value for the diagnosis of F≥2. The algorithms were computed using the R Software C4.5 program to select the best tests and cut-offs. The algorithm was automatically induced without premises on the part of the investigators. We also examined the inter-observer variations after independent review of liver biopsies by two pathologists. A medico-economic analysis compared the screening strategies with liver biopsy.

RESULTS

In "intention to diagnose" the best algorithms for F≥2 were Fibrometer ®, Fibrotest®, or Hepascore® in first intention with the ELFG score in second intention for indeterminate cases. The percentage of avoided biopsies varied between 50% (Fibrotest® or Fibrometer®+ELFG) and 51% (Hepascore®+ELFG). In "per-analysis" Fibroscan™+ELFG avoided liver biopsy in 55% of cases. The diagnostic performance of these screening strategies was statistically superior to the usual combinations (Fibrometer® or Fibrotest®+Fibroscan™) and was cost effective. We note that the consensual review of liver biopsies between the two pathologists was mainly in favor of F1 (64-69%).

CONCLUSION

The ELFG test could replace Fibroscan in most currently used algorithms for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis including for those patients for whom Fibroscan™ is unusable.

Contribution of the ELFG test in algorithms of non-invasive markers towards the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to determine the best algorithms for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients using all available parameters and tests.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We used the database from our study of 507 patients with histologically proven CHC in which fibrosis was evaluated by liver biopsy (Metavir) and tests: Fibrometer®, Fibrotest®, Hepascore®, Apri, ELFG, MP3, Forn's, hyaluronic acid, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP1), MMP1, collagen IV and when possible Fibroscan™. For the first test we used 90% negative predictive value to exclude patients with F≤1, next an induction algorithm was applied giving the best tests with at least 80% positive predictive value for the diagnosis of F≥2. The algorithms were computed using the R Software C4.5 program to select the best tests and cut-offs. The algorithm was automatically induced without premises on the part of the investigators. We also examined the inter-observer variations after independent review of liver biopsies by two pathologists. A medico-economic analysis compared the screening strategies with liver biopsy.

RESULTS

In "intention to diagnose" the best algorithms for F≥2 were Fibrometer ®, Fibrotest®, or Hepascore® in first intention with the ELFG score in second intention for indeterminate cases. The percentage of avoided biopsies varied between 50% (Fibrotest® or Fibrometer®+ELFG) and 51% (Hepascore®+ELFG). In "per-analysis" Fibroscan™+ELFG avoided liver biopsy in 55% of cases. The diagnostic performance of these screening strategies was statistically superior to the usual combinations (Fibrometer® or Fibrotest®+Fibroscan™) and was cost effective. We note that the consensual review of liver biopsies between the two pathologists was mainly in favor of F1 (64-69%).

CONCLUSION

The ELFG test could replace Fibroscan in most currently used algorithms for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis including for those patients for whom Fibroscan™ is unusable.

Assessing diagnostic tests: how to correct for the combined effects of interpretation and reference standard

We describe a general solution to the problem of determining diagnostic accuracy without the use of a perfect reference standard and in the presence of interpreter variability. The accuracy of a diagnostic test is typically determined by comparing its outcomes with those of an established reference standard. But the accuracy of the standard itself and those of the interpreters strongly influence such assessments. We use our solution to examine the effects of the properties of the standard, the reliability of the interpreters, and the prevalence of abnormality on the measured sensitivity and specificity. Our results provide a method of systematically adjusting the measured sensitivity and specificity in order to estimate their true values. The results are validated by simulations and their detailed application to specific cases are described.

Checkmate to liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis C?

Liver biopsy (LB) has traditionally been considered the gold standard for pretreatment evaluation of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). However, LB is an invasive procedure with several shortcomings (intra- and interobserver variability of histopathological interpretation, sampling errors, high cost) and the risk of rare but potentially life-threatening complications. In addition, LB is poorly accepted by patients and it is not suitable for repeated evaluation. Furthermore, the prevalence of CHC makes LB unrealistic to be performed in all patients with this disease who are candidates for antiviral therapy. The above-mentioned drawbacks of LB have led to the development of noninvasive methods for the assessment of liver fibrosis. Several noninvasive methods, ranging from serum marker assays to advanced imaging techniques, have proved to be excellent tools for the evaluation of liver fibrosis in patients with CHC, whereas the value of LB as a gold standard for staging fibrosis prior to antiviral therapy has become questionable for clinicians. Despite significant resistance from those in favor of LB, noninvasive methods for pretreatment assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with CHC have become part of routine clinical practice. With protease inhibitors-based triple therapy already available and substantial improvement in sustained virological response, the time has come to move forward to noninvasiveness, with no risks for the patient and, thus, no need for LB in the assessment of liver fibrosis in the decision making for antiviral therapy in CHC.

Performances of Elasto-FibroTest(®), a combination between FibroTest(®) and liver stiffness measurements for assessing the stage of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

FibroTest(®) (FT), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) are the most validated techniques for the non-invasive assessment of fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). The combination between FibroTest(®) and LSM has never been assessed using methods assuming that biopsy is not a perfect gold standard.

AIM

The aim was to assess the performance of a new test the Elasto-FibroTest(®) (EFT) combining FibroTest(®) and LSM.

METHODS

An integrated data base of 1289 patients with biopsy and 604 healthy volunteers was analyzed. EFT took into account the applicability of both tests, included two algorithms taking one for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis (EFT-F2) and one for the diagnosis of cirrhosis (EFT-F4). Performances of EFTs were assessed by three methods: area under the ROC curve (AUROC), "Obuchowski method" (OBU) and 1 TAGS the "Latent class with random factor".

RESULTS

For the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis EFT-F2 performances (specificity=0.99 and sensitivity=0.83) were not greater than the performances of FibroTest(®) alone (specificity=0.93 and sensitivity=0.99). For the diagnosis of cirrhosis, EFT-F4 performances were greater than those of FibroTest(®) alone, particularly for the sensitivity (0.88 vs. 0.74); when compared with LSM, EFT-F4 performances (specificity=0.99 and sensitivity=0.99) were also greater than those of LSM alone particularly because of its lower specificity (0.92).

CONCLUSION

For the diagnosis of cirrhosis the Elasto-FibroTest(®) has higher performances than FibroTest(®) or FibroScan(®) alone. No improvement in performance has been observed for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis vs. FibroTest(®) alone.

Validation of liver fibrosis biomarker (FibroTest) for assessing liver fibrosis progression: proof of concept and first application in a large population

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Time-dependent statistics have been used to assess liver fibrosis progression (LFP) in liver diseases from birth to first biopsy, in a limited number of patients. Non-invasive biomarkers such as FibroTest (FT) should allow the estimation of LFP on larger populations. We aimed at validating this concept by comparing LFP using FT vs. biopsy (P1) and then at applying the non-invasive method to a large population (P2).

METHODS

In P1, LFP was assessed using biopsy and FT in 2472 untreated patients: 770 with chronic hepatitis C, 723 with hepatitis B, 761 with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and 218 with alcoholic fatty liver disease (ALD). In P2, 342,346 interpretable FT prospectively measured were used. LFP was estimated using transition rates (cumulative hazard rate) to cirrhosis (F4) or to minimal fibrosis (>F0).

RESULTS

In P1, there was a significant concordance between FT and biopsy estimates of hazards with intraclass correlation (ICC)=0.961 (95% CI 0.948-0.970) and 0.899 (95% CI 0.135-0.969) for F4 and >F0, respectively. This concordance persisted according to the disease and the gender. The more rapid LFP to F4 (biopsy/FT) was observed for men with ALD (1.44/1.62), and the slower for women with NAFLD (0.09/0.02). In P2, the LFP started to increase for men at the age of 30 years. The cumulative fibrosis progression rate to minimal fibrosis in women crossed the "man curve" around the age of 80 years. The following factors were associated with LFP to F4 (all p<0.0001): male gender (Relative Risk=3.29), HIV co-infection (2.33), and residency in Middle East (2.67) or Eastern Europe (2.15).

CONCLUSIONS

Validated biomarkers such as FibroTest should allow powerful analysis of fibrosis progression in chronic liver diseases and better identification of risk factors.

Liver biopsy analysis has a low level of performance for diagnosis of intermediate stages of fibrosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is controversy about the performance of noninvasive tests such as FibroTest in diagnosing intermediate stages of fibrosis. We investigated whether this controversy results from limitations of biopsy analysis for intermediate-stage fibrosis and inappropriate determination of the standard area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC).

METHODS

To determine whether biopsy has a lower diagnostic performance for fibrosis stage F2 (few septa) vs F1 (fibrosis without septa), compared with its performance for F1 vs F0 or F4 vs F3, we determined the fibrotic areas of large surgical samples collected from 20 consecutive patients with chronic liver disease or normal liver tissue that surrounded tumors. We analyzed digitized images of 27,869 virtual biopsies of increasing length and also analyzed data from 6500 patients with interpretable FibroTest results who also underwent biopsy analysis.

RESULTS

The overall performance of biopsy analysis (by Obuchowski measure) increased with biopsy length from 0.885 for 5-mm to 0.912 for 30-mm samples (P < .0001). The performance of biopsy was lower for the diagnosis of F2 vs F1 samples (weighted AUROC [wAUROC] = 0.505) than for F1 vs F0 (wAUROC = 0.773; 53% difference; P < .0001) or F4 vs F3 (wAUROC = 0.700; 39% difference; P < .0001), even when 30-mm biopsy samples were used. The performance of FibroTest was also lower for the diagnosis of F2 vs F1 samples (wAUROC = 0.512) than for F1 vs F0 samples (wAUROC = 0.626; 22% difference; P < .0001) or F4 vs F3 (wAUROC = 0.628; 23% difference; P < .0001). However, the FibroTest had smaller percentage differences among wAUROC values than biopsy.

CONCLUSIONS

Biopsy has a low level of diagnostic performance for fibrosis stages F2 and F1. The recommendation for biopsy analysis, instead of a validated biomarker panel such as FibroTest, for the diagnosis of intermediate stages of fibrosis is therefore misleading.

Noninvasive methods to assess liver disease in patients with hepatitis B or C

The prognosis and management of patients with chronic viral hepatitis B and C depend on the amount and progression of liver fibrosis and the risk for cirrhosis. Liver biopsy, traditionally considered to be the reference standard for staging of fibrosis, has been challenged over the past decade by the development of noninvasive methodologies. These methods rely on distinct but complementary approaches: a biologic approach, which quantifies serum levels of biomarkers of fibrosis, and a physical approach, which measures liver stiffness by ultrasound or magnetic resonance elastography. Noninvasive methods were initially studied and validated in patients with chronic hepatitis C but are now used increasingly for patients with hepatitis B, reducing the need for liver biopsy analysis. We review the advantages and limitations of the noninvasive methods used to manage patients with chronic viral hepatitis B or C infection.

Assessment of liver fibrosis and associated risk factors in HIV-infected individuals using transient elastography and serum biomarkers

Background

Liver fibrosis in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals is mostly attributable to co-infection with hepatitis B or C. The impact of other risk factors, including prolonged exposure to combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) is poorly understood. Our aim was to determine the prevalence of liver fibrosis and associated risk factors in HIV-infected individuals based on non-invasive fibrosis assessment using transient elastography (TE) and serum biomarkers (Fibrotest [FT]).

Methods

In 202 consecutive HIV-infected individuals (159 men; mean age 47 ± 9 years; 35 with hepatitis-C-virus [HCV] co-infection), TE and FT were performed. Repeat TE examinations were conducted 1 and 2 years after study inclusion.

Results

Significant liver fibrosis was present in 16% and 29% of patients, respectively, when assessed by TE (≥ 7.1 kPa) and FT (> 0.48). A combination of TE and FT predicted significant fibrosis in 8% of all patients (31% in HIV/HCV co-infected and 3% in HIV mono-infected individuals). Chronic ALT, AST and γ-GT elevation was present in 29%, 20% and 51% of all cART-exposed patients and in 19%, 8% and 45.5% of HIV mono-infected individuals. Overall, factors independently associated with significant fibrosis as assessed by TE (OR, 95% CI) were co-infection with HCV (7.29, 1.95-27.34), chronic AST (6.58, 1.30-33.25) and γ-GT (5.17, 1.56-17.08) elevation and time on dideoxynucleoside therapy (1.01, 1.00-1.02). In 68 HIV mono-infected individuals who had repeat TE examinations, TE values did not differ significantly during a median follow-up time of 24 months (median intra-patient changes at last TE examination relative to baseline: -0.2 kPa, p = 0.20).

Conclusions

Chronic elevation of liver enzymes was observed in up to 45.5% of HIV mono-infected patients on cART. However, only a small subset had significant fibrosis as predicted by TE and FT. There was no evidence for fibrosis progression during follow-up TE examinations.

Performance of biomarkers FibroTest, ActiTest, SteatoTest, and NashTest in patients with severe obesity: meta analysis of individual patient data

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is considered as the gold standard for assessing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) histologic lesions in patients with severe obesity. The aim of this study was to perform an overview of 3 studies which assessed the performance of non-invasive markers of fibrosis (FibroTest), steatosis (SteatoTest) and steato-hepatitis (NashTest, ActiTest) in these patients.

METHODS

494 patients with interpretable biopsy and biomarkers using of three prospective cohorts of patients with severe obesity (BMI >35 kg/m2) were included. Histology (NAS score) and the biochemical measurements were blinded to any other characteristics. The area under the ROC curves (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were assessed. Weighted AUROC (wAUROC Obuchowski method) was used to prevent multiple testing and spectrum effect. Two meta-analyses were performed; one used the individual patient, and the other a classical meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Prevalence of advanced fibrosis (bridging) was 9.9%, advanced steatosis (>33%) 54.2%, and steato-hepatitis (NAS score >4) 17.2%. The mean wAUROCs were: FibroTest for advanced fibrosis (95%CI; significance)  =  0.85 (0.83-0.87; P<0.0001); SteatoTest for advanced steatosis = 0.80 (0.79-0.83); and ActiTest for steato-hepatitis = 0.84 (0.82-0.86; P<0.0001). Using the classical meta-analysis (random effect model) the mean AUROCs were: FibroTest = 0.72 (0.63-0.79; P<0.0001); SteatoTest = 0.71 (0.66-0.75; P<0.0001); and ActiTest = 0.74 (0.68-0.79; P<0.0001). Despite more metabolic risk factors in one cohort, results were similar according to gender, presence of diabetes and between the 3 cohorts.

CONCLUSION

In patients with severe obesity, a significant diagnostic performance of FibroTest, SteatoTest and ActiTest was observed for liver lesions.

Relative performances of FibroTest, Fibroscan, and biopsy for the assessment of the stage of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C: a step toward the truth in the absence of a gold standard

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver fibrosis stage is traditionally assessed with biopsy, an imperfect gold standard. Two widely used techniques, FibroTest®, and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using Fibroscan® have been validated using biopsy, and therefore the true performances of these estimates are still unknown in the absence of a perfect reference. The aim was to assess the relative accuracy of FibroTest, LSM, and biopsy using methods without gold standard in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and controls.

METHODS

A total of 1289 patients with CHC and 604 healthy volunteers, with assessment of fibrosis stage by the three techniques, and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) taken as a control test, were analyzed by latent class method with random effects. In the volunteers, the false positive risk of biopsy was obtained from a large surgical sample of four normal livers.

RESULTS

The latent class model with random effects permitted to conciliate the observed data and estimates of test performances. For advanced fibrosis, the specificity/sensitivity was for FibroTest 0.93/0.70, LSM 0.96/0.45, ALT 0.79/0.78 and biopsy 0.67/0.63, and for cirrhosis FibroTest 0.87/0.41, LSM 0.93/0.39, ALT 0.78/0.08 and biopsy 0.95/0.51. The analysis of the discordances between pairs suggested that the variability of the model was mainly related to the discordances between biopsy and LSM (residuals>10; p<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A method without the use of a gold standard confirmed the accuracy of FibroTest and Fibroscan for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. The variability of the model was mostly due to the discordances between Fibroscan and biopsy.

"Normal" liver stiffness measure (LSM) values are higher in both lean and obese individuals: a population-based study from a developing country

The liver stiffness measure (LSM) needs to be explored in ethnically and anthropometrically diverse healthy subjects (to derive an acceptable normal range) and also in patients with liver disease. In view of this objective, LSM was performed by transient elastography (TE) using FibroScan in 437 healthy subjects with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, recruited from a free-living population of the Birbhum Population Project (BIRPOP; www.shds.in), a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS), and from 274 patients with liver disease attending the Hepatology Clinic of the School of Digestive and Liver Diseases (SDLD; Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education & Research [IPGME&R], Kolkata, India) including 188 with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and 86 with chronic hepatitis of viral and other etiologies. Liver biopsy was performed in 125 patients. The range of normal values for LSM, defined by 5th and 95th percentile values in healthy subjects, was 3.2 and 8.5 kPa, respectively. Healthy subjects with a lower body mass index (BMI; < <18.5 kg/m(2)) had a higher LSM compared with subjects who had a normal BMI; this LSM value was comparable to that of obese subjects (6.05 ± 1.78 versus 5.51 ± 1.59 and 6.60 ± 1.21, P = 0.016 and 0.349, respectively). Liver disease patients without histologic fibrosis had significantly higher LSM values compared with healthy subjects (7.52 ± 5.49 versus 5.63 ± 1.64, P < 0.001). Among the histologic variables, stage of fibrosis was the only predictor for LSM. LSM did not correlate with inflammatory activity and ALT in both NAFLD and chronic hepatitis groups.

CONCLUSION

LSM varies between 3.2 and 8.5 kPa in healthy subjects of South Asian origin. Both lean and obese healthy subjects have higher LSM values compared with subjects with normal BMI. Liver stiffness begins to increase even before fibrosis appears in patients with liver disease.

FibroTest and Fibroscan performances revisited in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Impact of the spectrum effect and the applicability rate

BACKGROUND

Two widely used biomarkers of fibrosis, FibroTest and liver stiffness measurement (LSM), have been mostly validated in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) using the standard area under the ROC curve (sAUROC) which is not the most appropriate method due to the risk of fibrosis spectrum effect. Furthermore the performance of these biomarkers have not been assessed in "intention to diagnose" which takes into account the failures and non-reliable results.

AIM

The aim was to compare the accuracy of FibroTest and LSM for the diagnosis of fibrosis using sAUROC, the pairwise comparison of fibrosis stages by Obuchowski measure (wAUROC), and these AUROCs reassessed after taking into account the applicability rates.

METHODS

One thousand two hundred and eighty-nine patients with CHC and 604 healthy volunteers were analyzed. The performances of biomarkers assessed were compared in a patients-only group (P1: n=1289), in a population combining both patients and healthy volunteers (P2: n=1893) and in a simulated population (P3: n=1893) with the prevalence of stages observed in a reference population, to demonstrate the impact of spectrum effect. Applicability rates were estimated prospectively in 24,872 consecutive FibroTest and in 13,669 consecutive LSM examinations.

RESULTS

Using wAUROC, the conclusions of studies with reliable results in P1 were different than in those of P2 and in P3. There was a lower performance of FibroTest versus LSM in P1 (0.864 [0.855-0.873] vs. 0.883 [0.874-0.892]; P=0.002) which was not found in P2 (0.893 [0.887-0.900] vs. 0.894 [0.887-0.901]; P=0.86) and in P3 (0.899 [0.893-0.905] vs 0.902 [0.895-0.909]; P=0.60). Using the sAUROC, in P1, P2 and P3, there was no significant difference between FibroTest and LSM performance for advanced fibrosis and a lower performance of FibroTest versus LSM for cirrhosis. In intention to diagnose, using wAUROCs performances were higher for FibroTest vs. LSM in P1 (0.857 [0.848-0.866] vs. 0.814 [0.807-0.821]; P<0.0001) and P2 (0.885 [0.879-0.892] vs. 0.743 [0.737-0.749]; P<0.0001), without difference in P3 (0.891 [0.885-0.897] vs. 0.894 [0.887-0.901]; P=0.90). Using sAUROC, the significant differences in favor of FibroTest vs LSM persisted also for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis, both in P1 and P2 (P<0.0001) and for the diagnosis of cirrhosis in P1 (P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

When the spectrum effects and applicability rates were taken into account, LSM had lower performance results than FibroTest for the diagnosis of fibrosis stages.

Prognostic value of liver fibrosis biomarkers: a meta-analysis

AIMS AND METHODS

Several serum biomarkers such as FibroTest, aspartate transaminase-platelet ratio index (APRI), FIB-4, and liver stiffness measurement by FibroScan have been validated as alternatives to biopsy for the diagnosis of fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease. This paper aims to assess the 5-year prognostic values of these biomarkers. A meta-analysis combined all published prognostic studies. Baseline biopsy and APRI data were used as references.

RESULTS

Only 3 biomarkers had several prognostic validations: FibroTest (4 studies; 2,396 patients), APRI (5 studies; 2,422 patients), and FIB-4 (3 studies; 1,184 patients). For the prediction of survival without liver-related death, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were 0.86 for biopsy (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77-0.95), 0.88 for FibroTest (95% CI, 0.79-0.98), 0.73 for FIB-4 (95% CI, 0.62-0.85), and 0.66 for APRI (95% CI, 0.57-0.75). APRI had a significantly lower prognostic value versus biopsy, with a mean difference between AUROCs of -0.21 (95% CI, -0.33 to -0.10; P<.001); FIB-4 had a significantly lower prognostic value versus biopsy, with a mean difference between AUROCs of -0.21 (95% CI, -0.20 to -0.02; P=.02). Only FibroTest did not show a significant difference in prognostic value versus biopsy, with a mean difference in AUROCs of +0.02 (95% CI, -0.05 to +0.09; P=.85).

CONCLUSION

FibroTest is a validated biomarker for the prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease.