Atrial Fibrillation Is an Independent Risk Factor for Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia

Risk Factors and Mortality of Elderly Patients with Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia of Carbapenem-Resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae Infection

Purpose

Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) caused by carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae (CRKP), especially in elderly patients, results in high morbidity and mortality. Studies on risk factors, mortality, and antimicrobial susceptibility of CRKP pulmonary infection among elderly patients are lacking.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective case-control study was conducted from January 2019 to December 2021. The elderly inpatients (≥65 years) who were diagnosed with HAP caused by K. pneumoniae were enrolled. Clinical data were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify risk factors. Propensity score matching was used to minimize the effect of potential confounding variables. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare survival.

Results

A total of 115 patients with CRKP infection and 78 patients with carbapenem-susceptible K. pneumoniae (CSKP) infection were recruited. There were four independent risk factors for CRKP infection: history of intensive care unit (ICU) stays from hospital admission to positive respiratory specimen culture for K. pneumoniae (odds ratio (OR)=2.530), Charlson comorbidity index score ≥3 (OR = 2.420), prior exposure to carbapenems (OR = 5.280), and prior K. pneumoniae infection or colonization in the preceding 3 years (OR = 18.529). The all-cause 30-day mortality was 22.3%, the mortality of CRKP and CSKP infection was 28.7% and 12.8%, respectively. Independent risk factors for mortality included: older age (OR = 1.107), immunocompromised patients (OR = 8.632), severe pneumonia (OR = 51.244), quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score ≥2 (OR = 6.187), exposure to tigecycline before infection (OR = 24.702), and prolonged ICU stay (OR = 0.987). Thirty-day mortality was significantly lower in patients receiving ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZ-AVI) containing regimens than patients receiving polymyxin B sulfate (PB) containing regimens (P = 0.048). qSOFA score had a good prognostic effect [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.838].

Conclusion

Active screening of CRKP for the high-risk populations, especially elderly patients, is significant for early detection and successful management of CRKP infection.

Analysis of the association between atrial fibrillation with in-hospital mortality in people admitted for community-acquired pneumonia through an observational, nation-wide, sex-stratified study

We aimed to analyze the influence of atrial fibrillation (AF) prior to hospital admission (“prevalent”) and AF diagnosed during hospital admission (“incident”) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) in women and men admitted for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Spain (2016–2019). We used the Spanish Register of Specialized Care‐Basic Minimum Database. We analyzed 519,750 cases of CAP in people ≥ 18 years (213,631 women (41.1%)), out of which people with prevalent AF represented 23.75% (N = 123,440), whereas people with incident AF constituted 0.60% (N = 3154). Versus no AF, crude IHM was significantly higher for prevalent AF (15.24% vs. 11.40%, p < 0.001) and for incident AF (23.84% vs. 12.24%, p < 0.001). After propensity score marching, IHM in women and men with prevalent AF neared IHM in women and men with no AF (15.72% vs. 15.52%, p = 0.425; and 14.90% vs. 14.99%, p = 0.631, respectively), but IHM in women and men with incident AF was higher than IHM in women and men with no AF (24.37% vs. 13.36%, p < 0.001; and 23.94% vs. 14.04%, p < 0.001, respectively). Male sex was associated with a higher IHM in people with prevalent AF (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02–1–10), but not in people with incident AF (OR 0.93; 95% CI 0.77–1–13). AF diagnosed during hospital admission was associated with a higher IHM, irrespectively of sex.

Risk factors for postoperative pneumonia in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pneumonia (POP) is a devastating complication that can frequently occur after hip fracture surgery. This study aimed to quantitatively and comprehensively summarize the risk factors for POP following hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched for studies assessing risk factors for POP following hip fracture surgery. The pooled odds ratio (OR) and standardized mean difference (SMD) between patients with and without POP were calculated. Evidence was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

Ten studies including 37,130 patients with hip fractures were selected. POP occurred in 1768 cases with an accumulated incidence of 7.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.061-0.094). Advanced age (SMD: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.10-0.90), male sex (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.12-2.01), American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status scale ≥3 (OR: 3.17, 95% CI: 1.25-8.05), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR: 2.05, 95% CI: 1.43-2.94), coronary heart disease (OR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.27-2.60), arrhythmia (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.04-2.15), congestive heart failure (OR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.14-1.75), chronic kidney disease (OR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.28-3.41), and cerebrovascular accident (OR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.60-2.85) were risk factors for POP. Hemoglobin (SMD: -0.14, 95% CI: - 0.25 to - 0.03), albumin (SMD: -0.97, 95% CI: - 1.54--0.41), blood urea nitrogen (SMD: 0.20, 95% CI: 0.03-0.37), alanine aminotransferase (SMD: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.10-0.44), arterial oxygen pressure (SMD: -0.49, 95% CI: - 0.71--0.27), time from injury to surgery (SMD: 0.13, 95% CI: 0.08-0.17), and surgery within 48 h (OR: 3.74, 95% CI: 2.40-5.85) were associated with the development of POP.

CONCLUSION

Patients with the aforementioned risk factors should be identified preoperatively, and related prophylaxis strategies should be implemented to prevent POP following hip fracture surgery.

Atrial Fibrillation in the Setting of Acute Pneumonia: Not a Secondary Arrhythmia

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in the setting of critically ill patients. Pneumonia, and in particular community-acquired pneumonia, is one of the most common causes of illness and hospital admission worldwide. This article aims to review the association between AF and acute diseases, with specific attention to pneumonia, from the pathophysiology to its clinical significance. Even though the relationship between pneumonia and AF has been known for years, it was once considered a transient bystander. In recent years there has been growing knowledge on the clinical significance of this arrhythmia in acute clinical settings, in which it holds a prognostic role which is not so different as compared to that of the so-called "primary" AF. AF is a distinct entity even in the setting of pneumonia, and acute critical illnesses in general, and it should therefore be managed with a guidelines-oriented approach, including prescription of anticoagulants in patients at thromboembolic risk, always considering patients' individuality. More data on the significance of the arrhythmia in this setting will help clinicians to give patients the best possible care.

Higher Mortality Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Aim

This research was conducted to evaluate the mortality outcome of cancer patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation. We also aimed to assess if there was any confounding relation between the mortality of these patients and surgical intervention.

Materials and Methods

A systemic search was conducted from electronic databases (PubMed/Medline, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar) from inception to 7 February 2022. All statistical analyses were conducted in Review Manager 5.4.1. Studies meeting inclusion criteria were selected. Only those studies that involved cancer patients without pre-existing atrial fibrillation were selected, and mortality rate was compared between the patients who developed atrial fibrillation and those who did not. A random-effect model was used when heterogeneity was seen to pool the studies, and the result was reported in the odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

Eighteen studies were selected for meta-analysis. Statistical analysis showed that the cancer patients who subsequently developed atrial fibrillation had a significantly higher mortality rate as compared to those who did not (OR = 1.90 [1.65, 2.19]; p &lt; 0.00001; I2 = 100%). We also separately analyzed the mortality risk in the surgery group and the non-surgery group. Statistical analysis showed that there was significantly higher mortality rate associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation in cancer patients in the surgery group (OR= 3.68 [2.29, 5.94]; p &lt; 0.00001; I2 = 61%) as well as in the non-surgery group (OR = 1.64 [1.39, 1.93]; p &lt; 0.00001; I2 = 100%).

Conclusion

Cancer patients, who subsequently developed atrial fibrillation, had a higher mortality rate as compared to those cancer patients who did not develop atrial fibrillation. A higher mortality rate was seen in both surgical and non-surgical subgroups. This implies that extra care and specific measures must be taken in the management of cancer patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation.

The Influence of Atrial Fibrillation on In-Hospital Mortality in People with Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia: An Observational, Sex-Stratified Study

(1) Background: The study aimed to analyze the influence of atrial fibrillation (AF) prior to hospital admission (“prevalent”) and new-onset AF diagnosed during hospital admission (“incident”) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) in women and men who developed hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in Spain (2016−2019). (2) Methods: We used the Spanish Register of Specialized Care-Basic Minimum Database. (3) Results: We analyzed 38,814 cases of HAP (34.6% women; 13.5% ventilator-associated). Prevalent AF was coded in 19.9% (n = 7742), and incident AF in 5.5% (n = 2136) of HAP. Crude IHM was significantly higher for prevalent AF (34.22% vs. 27.35%, p < 0.001) and for incident AF (35.81% vs. 28.31%, p < 0.001) compared to no AF. After propensity score matching, IHM among women and men with prevalent AF was higher than among women and men with no AF (among women, 32.89% vs. 30.11%, p = 0.021; among men, 35.05% vs. 32.46%, p = 0.008). Similarly, IHM among women and men with incident AF was higher than among women and men with no AF (among women, 36.23% vs. 29.90%, p = 0.013; among men, 35.62% vs. 30.47%; p = 0.003). Sex was associated with a higher IHM only in people with incident AF (for female, OR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.01−1.57). (4) Conclusions: Both prevalent and incident AF were associated with higher IHM in people who developed HAP. Female sex was associated with a higher IHM in incident AF.

A retrospective study on risk factors and disease burden for hospital-acquired pneumonia caused by multi-drug-resistant bacteria in patients with intracranial cerebral hemorrhage

PURPOSE

Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) is becoming a serious problem in China, especially caused by multi-drug resistant (MDR), which is a risk factor for poor prognosis of intracranial cerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigate the risk factors for HAP among patients with ICH and study the antibiotic use and medical costs of MDR infection.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, case-control, parallel study in Xiangya Hospital. Patients included in this study and diagnosed with basal ganglia hemorrhage were admitted between January 2017 and December 2019.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis discovered some personal risk factors including gender (p = .002), age (p = .023), and underlying conditions such as diabetes (p = .036), coronary heart disease (p = .009), and renal insufficiency (p = .001). Invasive medical operations including endotracheal intubation, tracheotomy, ventilator use, lumbar puncture, urinary catheter insertion, and peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) (p < .001 all) were also risk factors for HAP. Binary logistics regression indicated hospital duration, antibiotic exposure, and urinary catheter insertion explained 91.4% of the variance on HAP (p < 0.01). As for the antibiotic treatment, there were no difference in the duration of use days and total dose per patient between MDR and non-MDR group, except for Tigecycline. Antibiotic costs for the MDR group were significantly higher than those for the non-MDR group and no infection group (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

To better prevent HAP particularly caused by MDR bacteria, we emphasize the aseptic technique especially in the management of equipment in patient care.

Staphylococcus aureus Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia: A Study of Bacterio-Epidemiological Profile and Virulence Factors

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) represents a major cause of nosocomial infections in the intensive care units in which Staphylococcus aureus is frequently involved. Better knowledge of this pathogen is required in order to enhance the patient’s treatment and care. In this article, we studied the bacteriological profile and virulence factors of S. aureus-related VAP on a 3-year period. We included a collection of S. aureus strains (n = 35) isolated from respiratory samples from patients diagnosed with VAP in the intensive care units. We studied the bacteriological aspects and we searched for the presence of virulence factors (SpA, FnbpA, Hla, and PVL genes) in the strains, and we also studied the clinical and biological aspects of the infections. The average age of our patients was of 36 years and they were predominantly males (sex ratio = 3.37). A severe head trauma or a history of coma was noted in 73.43% of the patients. The average duration of ventilation was 29 days. Among the studied strains, five were Methicillin-resistant S. aureus of which three expressed the mecA gene. Overall, the Hla gene was detected in 85.7% of the strains and it was more prevalent in Methicillin-susceptible than Methicillin-resistant strains (93.3% versus 40%; P = 0.014). FnbpA, Spa, and PVL genes were detected, respectively, in 80%, 45.7%, and 20% of the strains. Therefore, our studied strains were essentially associated with the production of Hla and FnbpA genes. It is, however, important to elucidate their expression in order to establish their role in the VAP pathogenesis.

Septicemia and mortality after noncardiac surgery associated with CHA2DS2-VASc score: a retrospective cohort study based on a real-world database

Background

Little was know about the association between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and postoperative outcomes. Our purpose is to evaluate the effects of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the perioperative outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

We identified 47,402 patients with AF over the age of 20 years who underwent noncardiac surgeries between 2008 and 2013 from claims data of the National Health Insurance in Taiwan. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was used to evaluate postoperative complications, mortality and the consumption of medical resources by calculating adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

Compared with patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0, patients with scores ≥ 5 had an increased risk of postoperative septicemia (OR 2.76, 95% CI 2.00–3.80), intensive care (OR 2.55, 95% CI 2.12–3.06), and mortality (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.14–3.64). There was a significant positive correlation between risk of postoperative complication and the CHA2DS2-VASc score (P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The CHA2DS2-VASc score was highly associated with postoperative septicemia, intensive care, and 30-day mortality among AF patients. Cardiologists and surgical care teams may consider using the CHA2DS2-VASc score to evaluate perioperative outcome risks in patients with AF.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12893-021-01209-z.

Risk factors for and impact of poststroke pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Poststroke pneumonia (PSP) is a common complication of stroke and an important cause of death following stroke. However, the treatment of PSP remains inadequate due to severe impairment to the respiratory system by PSP. Thus, it is crucial to focus on preventing PSP to improve the prognosis of patients with stroke.This prospective single-center Cohort study aimed to investigate the risk factors for pulmonary infection following an ischemic stroke and identify whether PSP significantly influences the prognosis of patients after stroke.Altogether, 451 patients who were treated for acute ischemic stroke in the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University in China between April 2017 and April 2018 were enrolled. Clinical data from the patients from admission to 3 months after discharge were collected. PSP was the primary outcome and poor prognosis or death at 3 months following discharge was the secondary outcome observed in this study. We performed logistic regression analyses to identify the risk factors for PSP and test an association between pneumonia and poor prognosis or death after stroke.Our findings revealed the following risk factors for PSP: atrial fibrillation odds ratio (OR) = 2.884, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 1.316-6.322), being bedridden (OR = 2.797, 95%CI = 1.322-5.921), subject to an invasive procedure (OR = 12.838, 95%CI = 6.296-26.178), massive cerebral infarction (OR = 3.994, 95%CI = 1.496-10.666), and dysphagia (OR = 2.441, 95%CI = 1.114-5.351). Pneumonia was a risk factor for poor prognosis (OR = 2.967, 95%CI = 1.273-6.915) and death (OR = 5.493, 95%CI = 1.825-16.53) after stroke.Hence, since pneumonia increases the risk of poor prognosis and death following acute ischemic stroke, preventing, and managing the risk factors for PSP may improve the prognosis and reduce the mortality after stroke.

History of coronary heart disease increased the mortality rate of patients with COVID-19: a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the risk of pre-existing comorbidities on COVID-19 mortality, and provide clinical suggestions accordingly.

SETTING

A nested case-control design using confirmed case reports released from the news or the national/provincial/municipal health commissions of China between 18 December 2019 and 8 March 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, excluding asymptomatic patients, in mainland China outside of Hubei Province.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Patient demographics, survival time and status, and history of comorbidities.

METHOD

A total of 94 publicly reported deaths in locations outside of Hubei Province, mainland China, were included as cases. Each case was matched with up to three controls, based on gender and age ±1 year old (94 cases and 181 controls). The inverse probability-weighted Cox proportional hazard model was performed, controlling for age, gender and the early period of the outbreak.

RESULTS

Of the 94 cases, the median age was 72.5 years old (IQR=16), and 59.6% were men, while in the control group the median age was 67 years old (IQR=22), and 64.6% were men. Adjusting for age, gender and the early period of the outbreak, poor health conditions were associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 mortality (HR of comorbidity score, 1.31 [95% CI 1.11 to 1.54]; p=0.001). The estimated mortality risk in patients with pre-existing coronary heart disease (CHD) was three times that of those without CHD (p<0.001). The estimated 30-day survival probability for a profile patient with pre-existing CHD (65-year-old woman with no other comorbidities) was 0.53 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.82), while it was 0.85 (95% CI 0.79 to 0.91) for those without CHD. Older age was also associated with increased mortality risk: every 1-year increase in age was associated with a 4% increased risk of mortality (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Extra care and early medical interventions are needed for patients with pre-existing comorbidities, especially CHD.

History of coronary heart disease increased the mortality rate of patients with COVID-19: a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the risk of pre-existing comorbidities on COVID-19 mortality, and provide clinical suggestions accordingly.

SETTING

A nested case-control design using confirmed case reports released from the news or the national/provincial/municipal health commissions of China between 18 December 2019 and 8 March 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, excluding asymptomatic patients, in mainland China outside of Hubei Province.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Patient demographics, survival time and status, and history of comorbidities.

METHOD

A total of 94 publicly reported deaths in locations outside of Hubei Province, mainland China, were included as cases. Each case was matched with up to three controls, based on gender and age ±1 year old (94 cases and 181 controls). The inverse probability-weighted Cox proportional hazard model was performed, controlling for age, gender and the early period of the outbreak.

RESULTS

Of the 94 cases, the median age was 72.5 years old (IQR=16), and 59.6% were men, while in the control group the median age was 67 years old (IQR=22), and 64.6% were men. Adjusting for age, gender and the early period of the outbreak, poor health conditions were associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 mortality (HR of comorbidity score, 1.31 [95% CI 1.11 to 1.54]; p=0.001). The estimated mortality risk in patients with pre-existing coronary heart disease (CHD) was three times that of those without CHD (p<0.001). The estimated 30-day survival probability for a profile patient with pre-existing CHD (65-year-old woman with no other comorbidities) was 0.53 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.82), while it was 0.85 (95% CI 0.79 to 0.91) for those without CHD. Older age was also associated with increased mortality risk: every 1-year increase in age was associated with a 4% increased risk of mortality (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Extra care and early medical interventions are needed for patients with pre-existing comorbidities, especially CHD.

The influence of atrial fibrillation on the mortality of incident ESRD patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent, occurring in 1%–2% of the adult population, increasing the risk of stroke, and resulting in considerable healthcare costs. While stroke is a major complication of AF, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients also have a high risk of stroke, suggesting that AF is a possible risk factor for mortality of ESRD patients. However, whether the existence of AF at the initiation of hemodialysis predicts higher mortality risk of incident ESRD patients remains to be defined.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study was performed at Wanfang Hospital from January 2004 to May 2018. The end points were mortality of patients or the end of the study. Incident ESRD patients who were on maintenance hemodialysis for more than 3 months were eligible for inclusion. Cox proportional regression and Kaplan–Meier survival curves were used to determine the association between predictors and mortality. The association between AF and echocardiographic parameters, causes of death were also investigated.

Results

Of the 393 incident ESRD patients at initiation of hemodialysis, 57 (14.5%) had AF and the median age was 71 years. Patients with AF were significantly older; showed significantly higher C-reactive protein levels, more heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and mortality. Multivariate Cox regression showed that AF had a hazard ratio of 4.1 (95% confidence interval: 2.4–7.0) for mortality. Age-specific analysis showed that AF was significantly associated with mortality in all age groups. Echocardiography measurements including ejection fraction and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) were similar in AF and non-AF patients. Cause-specific analysis showed that AF significantly associated with overall cardiovascular death and death due to acute myocardial infarction/coronary artery disease and sepsis.

Conclusions

AF at the initiation of hemodialysis predicts higher mortality risk of incident ESRD patients regardless of age. The systolic function and degree of LVH were similar in AF and non-AF patients. The association between AF and sepsis-related death suggested the role of systemic inflammation on the pathogenesis of AF.

The efficacy and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin in preventing clinical events in atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of arrhythmia. Warfarin reduces the incidence and mortality of strokes in patients with AF. Edoxaban reduces the bleeding risk in patients with AF. This study evaluates the efficacy and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin in preventing clinical events in patients with AF through a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). RCTs were retrieved from medical literature databases. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to compare the primary and safety endpoints. In total, five articles (10 trial comparisons) containing 24,836 patients were retrieved. Of these patients, 16,268 (65.5%) received edoxaban and 8,568 (34.5%) received warfarin. Compared with warfarin, edoxaban significantly reduced the incidence of cardiovascular death (CVD), major bleeding, and non-major bleeding (RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.80-0.93, I2 : 0.0%; RR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.59-0.71, I2 : 75.6%; and RR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.77-0.84, I2 : 79.3%, respectively). Edoxaban did not increase the incidence of stroke, systemic embolic events, myocardial infarction, and adverse events compared with warfarin (RR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.90-1.11, I2 : 42.8%; RR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.67-1.49, I2 : 0.0%; RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.93-1.27, I2 : 0.0%; RR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.91-1.10, I2: 46.4%, respectively). This meta-analysis indicated that compared with warfarin, edoxaban can significantly reduce the incidence of CVD and major and non-major bleeding. The anticoagulant effect and safety of edoxaban may be better than those of warfarin.

Risk stratification model for post-stroke pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Post-stroke pneumonia (PSP) has been implicated in the morbidity, mortality, and increased medical costs after acute ischemic stroke.

AIM

The aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for PSP in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A retrospective, case-control, secondary analysis study was conducted using data for 10,034 patients with ischemic stroke who presented to the hospital within 24 hours of onset of stroke symptoms. The predictive factors for PSP were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression and classification and regression tree (CART) analyses.

RESULTS

Among the study population, 546 patients (5.4%) had PSP. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age, atrial fibrillation, smoking habit, body temperature at admission, pulse rate at admission, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score upon admission, white blood cell count, and blood urea nitrogen level were major predictive factors of PSP. CART analysis identified NIHSS score at admission, pulse rate at admission, and percentage of lymphocyte as important factors for PSP to stratify the patients into subgroups. The subgroup of patients with an NIHSS score >14 at admission and pulse rate >111 beats per minute at admission and those with an NIHSS score >14, pulse rate ⩽111 beats per minute at admission, and percentage of lymphocyte ⩽9.2% had a relatively high risk of PSP (39.6% and 35.5%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, CART analysis has a similar predictive value of PSP as compared with a logistic regression model. In addition, decision rules generated by CART can easily be interpreted and applied in clinical practice.

A 2 DS 2 Score to Predict the Risk of Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in Acute Stroke: An Indian Perspective

Background  Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is an important cause of poststroke morbidity and mortality. Several clinical risk scores predict the risk of SAP. In this study, we used the A ² DS ² score (age, atrial fibrillation, dysphagia, sex, and stroke severity) to assess the risk of SAP in patients admitted with acute stroke. Methods  A high (5-10) and a low (0-4) A ² DS ² score was assigned to patients with acute stroke admitted to the neurology ward. Univariate binary logistic regression analysis was performed to find the strength of association of SAP and A ² DS ² score. Results  There were 250 patients with acute stroke of which 46 developed SAP. Forty-four patients developed SAP in high score as against 2 in low-score group (odds ratio [OR] = 0.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.01-0.15, p = 0.0001). A ² DS ² score >5 had sensitivity of 82.6% and specificity of 65.1% to predict SAP. The mean A ² DS ² score in patients with pneumonia was 7.02 ± 1.40 compared to 4.75 ± 1.92 in patients without pneumonia ( p = 0.0001). Conclusions  A ² DS ² score has a high sensitivity of 82% in predicting the risk of SAP and is a useful tool to monitor patients after acute stroke. A ² DS ² score can help in timely detection and prevention of SAP and reduction in caregiver's burden.

Elevated Blood Urea Nitrogen-to-Serum Albumin Ratio as a Factor That Negatively Affects the Mortality of Patients with Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia

This study aimed to evaluate the factors that affect 30-day mortality of patients with HAP. The data used in this study were collected from all HAP occurred in our hospital between January 2014 and December 2017. A total of 1158 cases were included. 150 (13.0%) of whom died within 30 days. This reported mortality identified by the univariate Cox regression analysis is found to have been affected by the following factors: age greater than 70 years, presence of diabetes mellitus and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, gastric tube intubation, administration of proton-pump inhibitor, blood albumin level less than 30 g/l, elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, antibiotics therapy in the preceding 90 days, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, blood lymphocyte count less than 0.8 × 10⁹/L, elevated blood urea nitrogen/albumin (BUN/ALB) level, and presence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens. In the second multivariate analysis, administration of proton-pump inhibitor, administration of antibiotics in the preceding 90 days, ICU admission, blood lymphocyte count less than 0.8 × 10⁹/L, elevated BUN/ALB level, and presence of MDR pathogens were still associated with 30-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves in the BUN/ALB predicting 30-day mortality due to HAP was 0.685. A high BUN/ALB was significantly associated with a worse survival than a low BUN/ALB (P < 0.001). Therefore, an elevated BUN/ALB level is a risk factor for mortality on patients with HAP.

Risk factors analysis of nosocomial pneumonia in elderly patients with acute cerebral infraction

To investigate the risk factors of nosocomial pneumonia (NP) in elderly patients with acute cerebral infarction (ACI).In this study, 324 aged 70 years and over patients with ACI who were admitted to the inpatient department of TianJin First Hospital (China) from January 2012 to February 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into NP group (80 patients) and non-NP group (244 patients) according to whether NP was occurred 48 hours after hospitalization. Baseline profiles and biochemical analyses were compared between 2 groups. Information regarding risk factors for NP in elderly patients with ACI was collected from all patients. Associations with NP and outcome were evaluated.Among the total patients, NP occurred in 80 (24.69%) patients. There were no statistically significant differences between risk of NP and sex, current drinking, diabetes mellitus, stroke history, and levels of serum UA, TG, HDL-C, LDL-C, Glucose, chloride, potassium. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for NP were living alone (OR 4.723; CI 1.743∼12.802; P = .002), initial NIHSS score (OR 1.441; CI 1.191∼1.743; P = .000), NRS2002 score (OR 0.139; CI 0.087∼0.223; P = .000), BMI (OR 1.586; CI 1.353∼1.858; P = .000), a past pneumonia history (OR 0.073; CI 0.017∼0.321; P = .001), atrial fibrillation (AF) (OR 0.129; CI 0.033∼0.499; P = .003), CRP (OR 1.050; CI 1.017∼1.085; P = .003), BUN (OR 0.603; CI 0.448∼0.812; P = .001) and Cr (OR 1.036; CI 1.015∼1.057; P = .001). Level of albumin was an independent protective factor of NP in elderly patients with ACI (OR 0.865; CI 0.750∼0.999; P = .048). Furthermore, elderly patients with ACI who had NP had worse clinical outcomes both during hospitalization and after discharge (P < .05).We identified significant risk factors for NP in elderly patients with ACI, including living alone, initial NIHSS score, malnutrition, a past pneumonia history, AF, CRP, and Renal function were associated with NP in elderly patients with ACI. The clinical course was worse and the duration of hospital stay was longer in NP patients than in non-NP patients.

STRESS ULCER PROPHYLAXIS AS A RISK FACTOR FOR TRACHEAL COLONIZATION AND HOSPITAL-ACQUIRED PNEUMONIA IN INTENSIVE CARE PATIENTS: IMPACT ON LATENCY TIME FOR PNEUMONIA

Stress ulcer prophylaxis is associated with bacterial colonization of respiratory tract. The aims of our study were to determine risk factors for trachea colonization (TC), colonization of pharynx (CP) or stomach (CD) and hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP), and divide the factors into those with high risk and low risk. The study population (ventilated intensive care unit (ICU) patients eligible to receive stress ulcer prophylaxis) was randomized to receive one of three different treatment protocols: ranitidine, sucralfate, and no stress ulcer prophylaxis (control group). Clinical data relative to pre-specified risk factors for TC or HAP were recorded, as follows: APACHE II score (second risk factor), duration of intubation or tracheotomy (third risk factor), duration of mechanical ventilation (fourth risk factor) and duration of hospitalization in the ICU (fifth risk factor). Gastric pH was recorded and microbiological data regarding stomach, pharynx and trachea were collected on the 1^st, 2^nd, 3^rd and 5^th day. Fifty-eight out of 81 patients developed HAP (including ventilator-associated pneumonia), which occurred later in patients with gastric content pH <4 or those that were tracheotomized. Stress ulcer prophylaxis was not associated with HAP; however, it was proved as a risk factor for TC. TC was detected in tracheotomized patients and was caused by gram-negative pathogens. CP was associated with TC, since the majority of patients had CP before TC. A combination of risk factors (APACHE II >18, age >65, mechanical ventilation and sedation) caused a higher incidence of HAP and lower incidence of TC. HAP was more frequent in patients staying in the ICU for >10 days and those with cardiovascular disease as the underlying disorder. Sedation and previous antibiotic therapy correlated with longer latent period (LAT), while higher values of gastric content pH were related to shorter LAT. The longest LAT was found in patients colonized with Acinetobacter spp. Risk factors that accelerated the occurrence of HAP were found to have caused previous colonization. A combination of risk factors increased the likelihood of TC and HAP, and shortened LAT between TC and HAP.

Factors influencing mortality in hospital-acquired pneumonia caused by Gram-negative bacteria in China

BACKGROUND

Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality despite advances in antimicrobial therapy. The emergence of Gram-negative bacteria (GNB) is of major concern. The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiology, microbiology, and predictors of infection-related 30-day mortality in HAP with GNB.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, single-center analysis of HAP patients with GNB occurring from January 2014 and December 2017. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the risk factors for mortality.

RESULTS

During the observational period, there were 1472 cases of HAP; 314 cases were bacterial culture-positive, 269 cases were caused by GNB, with a predominance of Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The mortality related to GNB was 14.5% (39 deaths).In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, the risk factors for mortality were age >70 years, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, blood lymphocyte count < 0.8 × 10⁹/L, multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria(MDR-GNB) infection, and elevation of blood urea nitrogen(BUN) level. We identified these factors as significant predictors of GNB related mortality; the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was 0.836.

CONCLUSION

The results provided can help clinicians in identifying individuals who are at risk of infection-related 30-day mortality in HAP with GNB.

Risks of Pneumonia in COPD Patients with New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation

The association between Atrial Fibrillation (AF) and pneumonia remains unclear. This study aims to assess the impact of AF on high pneumonia risk group—chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)—In order to find the association between AF and the risk of pneumonia. The COPD cohort was extracted from National Health Research Institute of Taiwan. The AF cohort comprised all COPD patients with new-onset AF (International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 code 427.31) after COPD diagnosis. We further sampled non-AF cohort and performed 1:1 propensity score matched analysis to improve the balance of baseline characteristics between AF and non-AF cohort. The outcomes were pneumonia and pneumonia requiring mechanical ventilation (MV). From 2000–2011, a total of 6228 patients with COPD and AF, and matched 84,106 control subjects were enrolled. After propensity score matching, we identified 6219 patients, each with AF, and matched controls without AF. After propensity score matching, the AF cohorts had higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.15–1.34), pneumonia (aHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.07–1.27), and pneumonia requiring MV (aHR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.18–1.50) in comparison with the matched non-AF cohort. After adjusting for mortality from causes other than outcomes of interest as a competing risk, AF remains significantly associated with pneumonia and pneumonia requiring MV. The risks of pneumonia were higher in this population with AF than in those without AF, and the risk was still significant after the adjustment for the competing risk of all-cause mortality.

Progression into sepsis: an individualized process varying by the interaction of comorbidities with the underlying infection

Background

Development of sepsis is a process with significant variation among individuals. The precise elements of this variation need to be defined. This study was designed to define the way in which comorbidities contribute to sepsis development.

Methods

Three thousand five hundred nine patients with acute pyelonephritis (AP), community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), intraabdominal infections (IAI) or primary bacteremia (BSI) and at least two signs of the systemic inflammatory response syndrome were analyzed. The study primary endpoint was to define how comorbidities as expressed in the Charlson’s comorbidity index (CCI) and the underlying type of infection contribute to development of organ dysfunction. The precise comorbidities that mediate sepsis development and risk for death among 18 comorbidities recorded were the secondary study endpoints.

Results

CCI more than 2 had an odds ratio of 5.67 for sepsis progression in patients with IAI between significantly higher than AP and BSI. Forward logistic regression analysis indicated seven comorbidities that determine transition into sepsis in patients with AP, four comorbidities in CAP, six comorbidities in IAI and one in BSI. The odds ratio both for progression to sepsis and death with one comorbidity or with two and more comorbidities was greater than in the absence of comorbidities.

Conclusions

The study described how different kinds of infection vary in the degree to which they lead to sepsis. The number of comorbidities that enhances the risk of sepsis and death varies depending on the underlying infections.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3156-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Clinical pharmacist intervention reduces mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction: a propensity score matched analysis

Background

Is it possible that the mortality rate from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may decline after interventions by pharmacists?

Objective

To evaluate the impact of clinical pharmacist on the mortality of AMI.

Methods

Clinical pharmacists did not perform any interventions during phase 1 (pre-intervention), and consulted with physicians to address drug related problems (DRPs) during phase 2 (post-intervention). The main outcome was a decrease in mortality from AMI. The two phases were compared using propensity score matching (PSM).

Results

1388 interventions were suggested by clinical pharmacists during phase 2, of which 1239 (89.2%) were accepted. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that interventions of clinical pharmacists were significantly associated with a reduced mortality in patients with both ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (OR 0.449; 95% CI 0.296 to 0.680) and non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) (OR 0.268; 95% CI 0.125 to 0.572). Using PSM analysis, mortality reduced from 6.8% to 4.3% in STEMI patients (P=0.0034) and from 3.2% to 0.7% in NSTEMI patients (P=0.0202) after the interventions.

Conclusions

DRPs that caused or contributed to possible mortality were detected by clinical pharmacists in patients with AMI. Correcting these DRPs after pharmacists' interventions could result in a significant decrease in mortality.

Risk factors for nosocomial infection among hospitalised severe influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Nosocomial infections following influenza are important causes of death, requiring early implementation of preventive measures, but predictors for nosocomial infection in the early stage remained undetermined. We aimed to determine risk factors that can help clinicians identify patients with high risk of nosocomial infection following influenza on admission.

METHOD

Using a database prospectively collected through a Chinese national network for hospitalised severe influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 patients, we compared the characteristics on admission between patients with and without nosocomial infection.

RESULT

A total of 2146 patients were enrolled in the final analysis with a median age of 36.0 years, male patients comprising 50.2% of the sample and 232 (10.8%) patients complicated with nosocomial infection. Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia and Staphylococcus aureus were the leading pathogens, and invasive fungal infection was found in 30 cases (12.9%). The in-hospital mortality was much higher in patients with nosocomial infection than those without (45.7% vs 11.8%, P < 0.001). Need for mechanical ventilation (OR: 3.336; 95% CI 2.362-4.712), sepsis (OR: 2.125; 95% CI 1.236-3.651), ICU admission on first day (OR: 2.074; 95% CI 1.425-3.019), lymphocytopenia (OR: 1.906; 95% CI 1.361-2.671), age > 65 years (OR: 1.83; 95% CI 1.04-3.21) and anaemia (OR: 1.39; 95% CI 1.39-2.79) were independently associated with nosocomial infection.

CONCLUSION

Need for mechanical ventilation, sepsis, ICU admission on first day, lymphocytopenia, older age and anaemia were independent risk factors that can help clinicians identify severe influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 patients at high risk of nosocomial infection.

What is the impact of a clinically related readmission measure on the assessment of hospital performance?

BACKGROUND

The Hospital Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP) penalizes hospitals for high all-cause unplanned readmission rates. Many have expressed concern that hospitals serving patient populations with more comorbidities, lower incomes, and worse self-reported health status may be disproportionately penalized by readmissions that are not clinically related to the index admission. The impact of including clinically unrelated readmissions on hospital performance is largely unknown. We sought to determine if a clinically related readmission measure would significantly alter the assessment of hospital performance.

METHODS

We analyzed Medicare claims for beneficiaries in Michigan admitted for pneumonia and joint replacement from 2011 to 2013. We compared each hospital's 30-day readmission rate using specifications from the HRRP's all-cause unplanned readmission measure to values calculated using a clinically related readmission measure.

RESULTS

We found that the mean 30-day readmission rates were lower when calculated using the clinically related readmission measure (joint replacement: all-cause 5.8%, clinically related 4.9%, p < 0.001; pneumonia: all cause 12.5%, clinically related 11.3%, p < 0.001)). The correlation of hospital ranks using both methods was strong (joint replacement: 0.95 (p < 0.001), pneumonia: 0.90 (p < 0.001)).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that, while greater specificity may be achieved with a clinically related measure, clinically unrelated readmissions may not impact hospital performance in the HRRP.

Risk Factors for In-Hospital Complications of Fall-Related Fractures among Older Chinese: A Retrospective Study

Purpose. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors and the efficacy of the preventive measurements for the in-hospital complications of fall-related fractures. Methods. The data on older Chinese patients with fall-related fractures were collected, including information on the patients, diseases, and preventive measurements. The potential risk factors for the in-hospital complications included health status on admission, comorbidity, fractures, preventive measures of the complications, and drugs use for the comorbidity. After univariate analyses, multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to investigate the impact of the potential risk factors on the number of the complications and each individual complication, respectively, and the efficacy of the preventive measurements. Results. A total of 525 male and 1367 female were included in this study. After univariate analyses, multiple logistic regression showed that dementia, pneumonia, antidepressant, postural hypotension, and cerebral infarction could increase the incidence and number of comorbidities. Meanwhile, dementia has shown the strongest association with each individual complication. Conclusions. Different combinations of comorbidity, medication use, and preventive measurements were related to the in-hospital complications of fall-related fractures. Dementia emerged as the most important risk factor for these complications, while most of the preventive measurements could not reduce their incidences.

Cognitive Dysfunction and Malnutrition Are Independent Predictor of Dysphagia in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Congestive Heart Failure

Early detection and intervention for dysphagia is important in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF). However, previous studies have focused on how many patients with dysphagia develop CHF. Studies focusing on the comorbidity of dysphagia in patients with CHF are rare. Additionally, risk factors for dysphagia in patients with CHF are unclear. Thus, the aim of this study was to clarify risk factors for dysphagia in patients with acute exacerbation of CHF. A total of 105 patients, who were admitted with acute exacerbation of CHF, were enrolled. Clinical interviews, blood chemistry analysis, electrocardiography, echocardiography, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), exercise tolerance tests, phonatory function tests, and evaluation of activities of daily living (ADL) and nutrition were conducted on admission. After attending physicians permitted the drinking of water, swallowing screening tests were performed. Patients were divided into a dysphagia group (DG) or a non-dysphagia group (non-DG) based on Functional Oral Intake Scale level. Among the 105 patients, 38 had dysphagia. A greater number of patients had history of aspiration pneumonia and dementia, and there was a higher age, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level in the DG compared with the non-DG. MMSE scores, exercise tolerance, phonatory function, status of ADL, nutrition, albumin, and transthyretin were lower in the DG compared with the non-DG. In multivariate analysis, after adjusting for age and sex, MMSE, BI score, and transthyretin was independently associated with dysphagia. Comorbidity of dysphagia was 36.1% in patients with acute exacerbation of CHF, and cognitive dysfunction and malnutrition may be an independent predictor of dysphagia.

Post-stroke pneumonia at the stroke unit - a registry based analysis of contributing and protective factors

BACKGROUND

To investigate prevalence and risk factors for post stroke pneumonia (PSP) in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated at stroke units (SU).

METHOD

We analysed data from the Austrian Stroke Unit registry concerning admissions from January 2003 to December 2013 and assessed the prevalence of PSP at the stroke unit. Patients with and without PSP were compared in univariate and multivariate models searching for factors associated with the occurrence of PSP at the SU.

RESULTS

Three thousand one hundred eleven patients (5.2%) of 59,558 analysed patients were diagnosed with PSP. While age and stroke severity were non-modifiable factors associated with PSP, modifiable risk factors included chronic alcohol consumption and atrial fibrillation. Patients who developed neurological, cardiac, and other infective complications showed a higher prevalence of PSP, an increased prevalence was also found in connection with the placement of nasogastric tubes or urinary catheters. Female sex, left hemispheric stroke, cryptogenic stroke pathogenesis and additionally, treatment with lipid lowering drugs were factors associated with a lower PSP prevalence.

CONCLUSION

Pneumonia in acute ischemic stroke is associated with a variety of modifiable and unmodifiable factors that allow to identify patients at high risk of developing PSP and to focus on early preventive measures at the SU. Further studies could use the results of this study to explore potential benefits of specific interventions targeted at these factors.