Direct and indirect impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction on pneumonia hospitalizations and economic burden in all age-groups in Brazil: A time-series analysis

Nasopharyngeal carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae among Brazilian children: Interplay with viral co-infection

Nasopharyngeal transmission of Streptococcus pneumoniae is a prerequisite for the development of pneumococcal diseases. Previous studies have reported a relationship between respiratory viruses and S. pneumoniae infections. However, there are few studies on this issue among healthy children. This study aimed to examine the relationships between these agents in healthy children from Southern Brazil. This cohort study included 229 nasopharyngeal samples collected from children aged 18-59 months at baseline. S. pneumoniae was detected using bacterial culture, whereas respiratory viruses were identified using quantitative polymerase chain reaction. A questionnaire was used at the time of sample collection and medical records were reviewed 14 days after participant inclusion. The prevalence of pneumococcal carriage was 63.7% (146/229), while respiratory viruses were detected in 49.3% (113/229) of the children. Respiratory viruses were more frequently found among pneumococcal carriers than among non-carriers (54.4% vs. 39.7%, p = 0.033). Additionally, rhinovirus (hRV) was more frequent among the pneumococcal carriers (39% vs. 21.7%, p = 0.012), and the presence of human bocavirus (hBOV) alone was associated with the absence of pneumococcal carriage (2.7% vs. 10.8%, p = 0.016). No differences were found in the frequency of pneumococcal carriage, respiratory virus detection, or the co-occurrence of clinical symptoms and diagnosis in the participants 14 days after specimen collection. Our findings revealed a positive relationship between pneumococcal carriage and respiratory virus detection, particularly for hRV. However, we did not observe a relationship between nasopharyngeal respiratory viruses and pneumococci detection during medical appointments, respiratory symptoms, or diseases. This study was one of the first investigations in Latin America to explore the relationship between respiratory viruses and pneumococcal carriage in a healthy children.

Prediction of acute respiratory infections using machine learning techniques in Amhara Region, Ethiopia

Many studies have shown that infectious diseases are responsible for the majority of deaths in children under five. Among these children, Acute Respiratory Infections is the most prevalent illness and cause of death worldwide. Acute respiratory infections continue to be the leading cause of death in developing countries, including Ethiopia. In order to predict the main factors contributing to acute respiratory infections in the Amhara regional state of Ethiopia, a machine learning technique was employed. This study utilized data from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey. Seven machine learning models, including logistic regression, random forests, decision trees, Gradient Boosting, support vector machines, Naïve Bayes, and K-nearest neighbors, were employed to forecast the factors influencing acute respiratory infections. The accuracy of each model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves and various metrics. Among the seven models used, the Random Forest algorithm demonstrated the highest accuracy in predicting acute respiratory infections, with an accuracy rate of 90.35% and Area under the Curve of 94.80%. This was followed by the Decision Tree model with an accuracy rate of 88.69%, K-nearest neighbors with 86.35%, and Gradient Boosting with 82.69%. The Random Forest algorithm also exhibited positive and negative predictive values of 92.22% and 88.83%, respectively. Several factors were identified as significantly associated with ARI among children under five in the Amhara regional state, Ethiopia. These factors, included families with a poorer wealth status (log odds of 0.18) compared to their counterparts, families with four to six children (log odds of 0.1) compared to families with fewer than three living children, children without a history of diarrhea (log odds of -0.08), mothers who had occupation(log odds of 0.06) compared mothers who didn't have occupation, children under six months of age (log odds of -0.05) compared to children older than six months, mothers with no education (log odds of 0.04) compared to mothers with primary education or higher, rural residents (log odds of 0.03) compared to non-rural residents, families using wood as a cooking material (log odds of 0.03) compared to those using electricity. Through Shapley Additive exPlanations value analysis on the Random Forest algorithm, we have identified significant risk factors for acute respiratory infections among children in the Amhara regional state of Ethiopia. The study found that the family's wealth index, the number of children in the household, the mother's occupation, the mother's educational level, the type of residence, and the fuel type used for cooking were all associated with acute respiratory infections. Additionally, the research emphasized the importance of children being free from diarrhea and living in households with fewer children as essential factors for improving children's health outcomes in the Amhara regional state, Ethiopia.

Socioeconomic and fiscal returns of expanded investment in immunization: a case for life-course vaccination in Colombia

Despite the health, societal, and economic benefits of immunization, many countries focus primarily on childhood immunizations and lack robust policies and sufficient resources for immunizations that can benefit populations across the life course. While the benefits of childhood vaccination are well documented, there is limited evidence on the financial and social return on investment that policymakers can use to inform decisions around administering a life-course immunization program. We developed a cost-benefit model from a societal perspective to evaluate the inclusion of 5 vaccines across the life course in Colombia's national immunization program. This model estimated a return of US$1.3 per US$1.0 invested in the first 2 decades, increasing to US$3.9 after 60 years. Primary benefits were productivity gains, followed by fiscal savings and household averted expenditure on health care. Furthermore, vulnerable households are predicted to receive 3.2 times greater income protection than formally employed households under a life-course immunization program. Consequently, there is a potential to reduce Colombia's income inequality and poverty rate by increasing access to immunization for all ages.

Empowering child health: Harnessing machine learning to predict acute respiratory infections in Ethiopian under-fives using demographic and health survey insights

BACKGROUND

A dearth of studies showed that infectious diseases cause the majority of deaths among under-five children. Worldwide, Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) continues to be the second most frequent cause of illness and mortality among children under the age of five. The paramount disease burden in developing nations, including Ethiopia, is still ARI.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to determine the magnitude and predictors of ARI among under-five children in Ethiopia using used state of the art machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

Data for this study were derived from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey. To predict the determinants of acute respiratory infections, we performed several experiments on ten machine learning algorithms (random forests, decision trees, support vector machines, Naïve Bayes, and K-nearest neighbors, Lasso regression, GBoost, XGboost), including one classic logistic regression model and an ensemble of the best performing models. The prediction ability of each machine-learning model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves, precision-recall curves, and classification metrics.

RESULTS

The total ARI prevalence rate among 9501 under-five children in Ethiopia was 7.2%, according to the findings of the study. The overall performance of the ensemble model of SVM, GBoost, and XGBoost showed an improved performance in classifying ARI cases with an accuracy of 86%, a sensitivity of 84.6%, and an AUC-ROC of 0.87. The highest performing predictive model (the ensemble model) showed that the child's age, history of diarrhea, wealth index, type of toilet, mother's educational level, number of living children, mother's occupation, and type of fuel they used were an important predicting factor for acute respiratory infection among under-five children.

CONCLUSION

The intricate web of factors contributing to ARI among under-five children was identified using an advanced machine learning algorithm. The child's age, history of diarrhea, wealth index, and type of toilet were among the top factors identified using the ensemble model that registered a performance of 86% accuracy. This study stands as a testament to the potential of advanced data-driven methodologies in unraveling the complexities of ARI in low-income settings.

Antimicrobial Resistance in Streptococcus pneumoniae before and after the Introduction of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Brazil: A Systematic Review

Streptococcus pneumoniae causes serious illnesses, such as pneumonia, bacteremia, and meningitis, mainly in immunocompromised individuals and those of extreme ages. Currently, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are the best allies against pneumococcal diseases. In Brazil, the 10-valent and 13-valent PCVs have been available since 2010, but the threat of antimicrobial resistance persists and has been changing over time. We conducted a systematic review of the literature with works published since 2000, generating a parallel between susceptibility data on isolates recovered from colonization and invasive diseases before and after the implementation of PCVs for routine childhood use in Brazil. This systematic review was based on the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Literature Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Despite the inclusion of PCVs at a large scale in the national territory, high frequencies of non-susceptibility to important drugs used in pneumococcal diseases are still observed, especially penicillin, as well as increasing resistance to macrolides. However, there are still drugs for which pneumococci have a comprehensive sensitivity profile.

PCV15, a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease in infants and children

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a causative agent of pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM), as well as invasive diseases such as meningitis and bacteremia. PCV15 (V114) is a new 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) approved for use in individuals ≥6 weeks of age for the prevention of pneumonia, AOM, and invasive pneumococcal disease.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the V114 Phase 3 development program leading to approval in infants and children, including pivotal studies, interchangeability and catch-up vaccination studies, and studies in at-risk populations. An integrated safety summary is presented in addition to immunogenicity and concomitant use of V114 with other routine pediatric vaccines.

EXPERT OPINION

Across the development program, V114 demonstrated a safety profile that is comparable to PCV13 in infants and children. Immunogenicity of V114 is comparable to PCV13 for all shared serotypes except serotype 3, where V114 demonstrated superior immunogenicity. Higher immune responses were demonstrated for V114 serotypes 22F and 33F. Results of the ongoing study to evaluate V114 efficacy against vaccine-type pneumococcal AOM and anticipated real-world evidence studies will support assessment of vaccine effectiveness and impact, with an additional question of whether higher serotype 3 immunogenicity translates to better protection against serotype 3 pneumococcal disease.

Indirect protection in adults ≥18 years of age from pediatric pneumococcal vaccination: a review

INTRODUCTION

Infant immunization programs using pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have reduced the rates of pneumococcal disease through direct vaccine-induced protection in vaccinated children and through indirect protection in non-vaccinated children and adults.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes current evidence on the indirect protection of adults conferred by pediatric pneumococcal vaccination, including the impact on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence and mortality, pneumonia admissions, and nasopharyngeal carriage prevalence. Factors affecting indirect protection against IPD are also discussed.

EXPERT OPINION

Pediatric immunization with PCVs has substantially decreased vaccine-serotype IPD and pneumonia through indirect protection in both older (≥65 years of age) and younger adults, including those with underlying medical conditions. However, serotype replacement by non-vaccine serotypes, the persistence of some vaccine serotypes, and divergence of serotypes between children and adults have limited the impact of pediatric PCV programs on adult populations. Designing complementary vaccines that leverage indirect protection from pediatric immunization and target the most prevalent adult serotypes may be a preferred strategy to maximize the public health impact of pneumococcal vaccination.

Using LASSO Regression to Estimate the Population-Level Impact of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) protect against diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, such as meningitis, bacteremia, and pneumonia. It is challenging to estimate their population-level impact due to the lack of a perfect control population and the subtleness of signals when the endpoint-such as all-cause pneumonia-is nonspecific. Here we present a new approach for estimating the impact of PCVs: using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to select variables in a synthetic control model to predict the counterfactual outcome for vaccine impact inference. We first used a simulation study based on hospitalization data from Mexico (2000-2013) to test the performance of LASSO and established methods, including the synthetic control model with Bayesian variable selection (SC). We found that LASSO achieved accurate and precise estimation, even in complex simulation scenarios where the association between the outcome and all control variables was noncausal. We then applied LASSO to real-world hospitalization data from Chile (2001-2012), Ecuador (2001-2012), Mexico (2000-2013), and the United States (1996-2005), and found that it yielded estimates of vaccine impact similar to SC. The LASSO method is accurate and easily implementable and can be applied to study the impact of PCVs and other vaccines.

Pneumococcal Vaccination in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness Studies

OBJECTIVES

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have significantly reduced disease burden caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality globally. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the incremental net benefit (INB) of the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) and 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in children.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive search in several databases published before May 2022. Studies were included if they were cost-effectiveness or cost-utility analyses of PCV13 or PCV10 compared with no vaccination or with each other in children. Various monetary units were converted to purchasing power parity, adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The INBs were calculated and then pooled across studies stratified by country income level, perspective, and consideration of herd effects, using a random-effect model.

RESULTS

Seventy studies were included. When herd effects were considered, PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 from the payer perspective in both high-income countries (HICs) (INB, $103.94; 95% confidence interval, $75.28-$132.60) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) (INB, $53.49; 95% confidence interval, $30.42-$76.55) with statistical significance. These findings were robust across a series of sensitivity analyses. PCV13 was cost-effective compared with no vaccination across perspectives and consideration of herd effects in both HICs and LMICs, whereas findings were less consistent for PCV10.

CONCLUSION

PCVs were generally cost-effective compared with no vaccination in HICs and LMICs. Our study found that PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 when herd effects were considered from the payer perspective in both HICs and LMICs. The results are sensitive to the consideration of herd effects.

Impact of PCV10 on pediatric pneumococcal disease burden in Brazil: time for new recommendations?

OBJECTIVE

To describe the impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on the pediatric burden of pneumococcal infections, carriage, serotype replacement, and antimicrobial resistance in Brazil since its introduction in 2010.

DATA SOURCE

A narrative review of English, Spanish, and Portuguese articles published in online databases and in Brazilian epidemiological surveillance databases was performed. The following keywords were used: Streptococcus pneumoniae, pneumococcal disease, conjugate vaccine, PCV10, antimicrobial resistance, and meningitis.

SUMMARY OF THE FINDINGS

Declines in hospitalization rates of all-cause pneumonia occurred in the target age groups and some age groups not targeted by vaccination early after the use of PCV10. Large descriptive studies of laboratory-confirmed pneumococcal meningitis and hospital-based historical series of hospitalized children with IPD have evidenced a significant impact on disease burden, in-hospital fatality rates, and admission to the intensive care unit before and after the inclusion of the vaccine. Impact data on otitis media is limited and inconsistent; the main benefit remains the prevention of complicated diseases. During the late post-vaccine years, a significant and progressive increase in high-level penicillin non-susceptibility pneumococci has been described. Since 2014 serotype 19A has been the leading serotype in all ages and was responsible for 28.2%-44.6% of all IPD in children under 5 yrs.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV10 has performed a significant impact on IPD in Brazil since 2010, however, progress has been continuously hampered by replacement. Broader spectrum PCVs could provide expanded direct and indirect protection against ST19A and other additional serotypes of increasing importance if administered to children in the Brazilian National Immunization Program.

Chronic medical conditions associated with invasive pneumococcal diseases in inpatients in teaching hospitals in São Paulo city: Estimating antimicrobial susceptibility and serotype-coverage of pneumococcal vaccines

BACKGROUND

Chronic conditions increase the risk of invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPD). Pneumococcal vaccination remarkably reduced IPD morbimortality in vulnerable populations. In Brazil, pneumococcal vaccines are included in the National Immunization Program (PNI): PCV10 for < 2 years-old, and PPV23 for high risk-patients aged ≥ 2 years and institutionalized ≥ 60 years. PCV13 is available in private clinics and recommended in the PNI for individuals with certain underlying conditions.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed using clinical data from all inpatients from five hospitals with IPD from 2016 to 2018 and the corresponding data on serotype and antimicrobial-non-susceptibility of pneumococcus. Vaccine-serotype-coverage was estimated. Patients were classified according to presence of comorbidities: healthy, without comorbidities; at-risk, included immunocompetent persons with specific medical conditions; high-risk, with immunocompromising conditions and others RESULTS: 406 IPD cases were evaluated. Among 324 cases with information on medical conditions, children < 5 years were mostly healthy (55.9%), while presence of comorbidity prevailed in adults ≥ 18 years old (> 82.0%). Presence of ≥1 risk condition was reported in ≥ 34.8% of adults. High-risk conditions were more frequent than at-risk in all age groups. Among high-risk comorbidity (n = 211), cancer (28%), HIV/AIDS (25.7%) and hematological diseases (24.5%) were the most frequent. Among at-risk conditions (n = 89), asthma (16.5%) and diabetes (8.1%) were the most frequent. Among 404 isolates, 42.9% belonged to five serotypes: 19A (14.1%), 3 (8.7%), 6C (7.7%), 4 and 8 (6.2% each); 19A and 6C expressed antimicrobial-non-susceptibility. The vaccine-serotype-coverage was: PCV10, 19.1%, PCV13, 43.8%; PCV15, 47.8%; PCV20, 62.9%; PCV21, 65.8%, and PPV23, 67.3%. Information on hospital outcome was available for 283 patients, of which 28.6% died. Mortality was 54.2% for those with meningitis.

CONCLUSION

Vaccine with expanded valence of serotypes is necessary to offer broad prevention to IPD. The present data contribute to pneumococcal vaccination public health policies for vulnerable patients, mainly those with comorbidity and the elderly.

Systematic review on the impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine ten valent (PCV10) or thirteen valent (PCV13) on all-cause, radiologically confirmed and severe pneumonia hospitalisation rates and pneumonia mortality in children 0-9 years old

Background

There is an ongoing need to assess the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) to guide the use of these potentially valuable but under-utilized vaccines against pneumonia, which is one of the most common causes of post-neonatal mortality.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of the literature on PCV10 and PCV13 impact on all-cause, radiologically confirmed and severe pneumonia hospitalisation rates as well as all-cause and pneumonia-specific mortality rates. We included studies that were published from 2003 onwards, had a post-licensure observational study design, and reported on any of our defined outcomes in children aged between 0-9 years. We derived incidence rates (IRs), incidence rate ratios (IRRs) or percent differences (%). We assessed all studies for risk of bias using the Effective Public Health Practice Project (EPHPP) quality assessment tool.

Results

We identified a total of 1885 studies and included 43 comparing one or more of the following hospitalised outcomes of interest: all-cause pneumonia (n = 27), severe pneumonia (n = 6), all-cause empyema (n = 8), radiologically confirmed pneumonia (n = 8), pneumococcal pneumonia (n = 7), and pneumonia mortality (n = 10). No studies evaluated all-cause mortality. Studies were conducted in all WHO regions except South East Asia Region (SEAR) and low- or middle-income countries (LMICs) in the Western Pacific Region (WPR). Among children <5 years old, PCV impact ranged from 7% to 60% for all-cause pneumonia hospitalisation, 8% to 90% for severe pneumonia hospitalisation, 12% to 79% for radiologically confirmed pneumonia, and 45% to 85% for pneumococcal confirmed pneumonia. For pneumonia-related mortality, impact was found in three studies and ranged from 10% to 78%. No obvious differences were found in vaccine impact between PCV10 and PCV13. One study found a 17% reduction in all-cause pneumonia among children aged 5-9 years, while another found a reduction of 81% among those aged 5-17 years. A third study found a 57% reduction in all-cause empyema among children 5-14 years of age.

Conclusion

We found clear evidence of declines in hospitalisation rates due to all-cause, severe, radiologically confirmed, and bacteraemic pneumococcal pneumonia in children aged <5 years, supporting ongoing use of PCV10 and PCV13. However, there were few studies from countries with the highest <5-year mortality and no studies from SEAR and LMICs in the WPR. Standardising methods of future PCV impact studies is recommended.

Systematic review on the impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine ten valent (PCV10) or thirteen valent (PCV13) on all-cause, radiologically confirmed and severe pneumonia hospitalisation rates and pneumonia mortality in children 0-9 years old

Background

There is an ongoing need to assess the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) to guide the use of these potentially valuable but under-utilized vaccines against pneumonia, which is one of the most common causes of post-neonatal mortality.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of the literature on PCV10 and PCV13 impact on all-cause, radiologically confirmed and severe pneumonia hospitalisation rates as well as all-cause and pneumonia-specific mortality rates. We included studies that were published from 2003 onwards, had a post-licensure observational study design, and reported on any of our defined outcomes in children aged between 0-9 years. We derived incidence rates (IRs), incidence rate ratios (IRRs) or percent differences (%). We assessed all studies for risk of bias using the Effective Public Health Practice Project (EPHPP) quality assessment tool.

Results

We identified a total of 1885 studies and included 43 comparing one or more of the following hospitalised outcomes of interest: all-cause pneumonia (n = 27), severe pneumonia (n = 6), all-cause empyema (n = 8), radiologically confirmed pneumonia (n = 8), pneumococcal pneumonia (n = 7), and pneumonia mortality (n = 10). No studies evaluated all-cause mortality. Studies were conducted in all WHO regions except South East Asia Region (SEAR) and low- or middle-income countries (LMICs) in the Western Pacific Region (WPR). Among children <5 years old, PCV impact ranged from 7% to 60% for all-cause pneumonia hospitalisation, 8% to 90% for severe pneumonia hospitalisation, 12% to 79% for radiologically confirmed pneumonia, and 45% to 85% for pneumococcal confirmed pneumonia. For pneumonia-related mortality, impact was found in three studies and ranged from 10% to 78%. No obvious differences were found in vaccine impact between PCV10 and PCV13. One study found a 17% reduction in all-cause pneumonia among children aged 5-9 years, while another found a reduction of 81% among those aged 5-17 years. A third study found a 57% reduction in all-cause empyema among children 5-14 years of age.

Conclusion

We found clear evidence of declines in hospitalisation rates due to all-cause, severe, radiologically confirmed, and bacteraemic pneumococcal pneumonia in children aged <5 years, supporting ongoing use of PCV10 and PCV13. However, there were few studies from countries with the highest <5-year mortality and no studies from SEAR and LMICs in the WPR. Standardising methods of future PCV impact studies is recommended.

Cost-utility and cost-benefit analysis of pediatric PCV programs in Egypt

New vaccine introductions (NVIs) raise issues of value for money (VfM) for self-financing middle-income countries like Egypt. We evaluate a pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) NVI in Egypt from health payer and societal perspectives, using cost-utility and cost-benefit analysis (CUA, CBA). We evaluate vaccinating 100 successive birth cohorts with the 13-valent PCV ("PCV13") and the 10-valent PCV ("PCV10") relative to no vaccination and each other. We quantify health effects with a disease incidence projection model and a multiple-cohort static disease model. Our CBA uses a health-augmented lifecycle model to generate willingness-to-pay for health gains from which we calculate rates of return (RoR). We obtain parameters from the published literature. We perform deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Our base-case CUA finds incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for PCV13 and PCV10 relative to no program of $926 (95% confidence interval $512-$1,735) and $1,984 ($1,186-$3,805) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY), respectively; and for PCV13 relative to PCV10 of $174 ($88-$331) per QALY. Our base-case CBA finds RoRs to PCV13 and PCV10 relative to no program of 488% (188-993%) and 164% (33-336%), respectively, and to PCV13 relative to PCV10 of 3109% (1410-6602%). Both CUA and CBA find PCV13 to be good VfM relative to PCV10.

Evaluation of the indirect impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine in a cluster-randomised trial

Background

In the nation-wide double-blind cluster-randomised Finnish Invasive Pneumococcal disease trial (FinIP, ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00861380, NCT00839254), we assessed the indirect impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV10) against five pneumococcal disease syndromes.

Methods

Children 6 weeks to 18 months received PHiD-CV10 in 48 clusters or hepatitis B/A-vaccine as control in 24 clusters according to infant 3+1/2+1 or catch-up schedules in years 2009―2011. Outcome data were collected from national health registers and included laboratory-confirmed and clinically suspected invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), hospital-diagnosed pneumonia, tympanostomy tube placements (TTP) and outpatient antimicrobial prescriptions. Incidence rates in the unvaccinated population in years 2010―2015 were compared between PHiD-CV10 and control clusters in age groups <5 and ≥5 years (5―7 years for TTP and outpatient antimicrobial prescriptions), and in infants <3 months. PHiD-CV10 was introduced into the Finnish National Vaccination Programme (PCV-NVP) for 3-month-old infants without catch-up in 9/2010.

Results

From 2/2009 to 10/2010, 45398 children were enrolled. Vaccination coverage varied from 29 to 61% in PHiD-CV10 clusters. We detected no clear differences in the incidence rates between the unvaccinated cohorts of the treatment arms, except in single years. For example, the rates of vaccine-type IPD, non-laboratory-confirmed IPD and empyema were lower in PHiD-CV10 clusters compared to control clusters in 2012, 2015 and 2011, respectively, in the age-group ≥5 years.

Conclusions

This is the first report from a clinical trial evaluating the indirect impact of a PCV against clinical outcomes in an unvaccinated population. We did not observe consistent indirect effects in the PHiD-CV10 clusters compared to the control clusters. We consider that the sub-optimal trial vaccination coverage did not allow the development of detectable indirect effects and that the supervening PCV-NVP significantly diminished the differences in PHiD-CV10 vaccination coverage between the treatment arms.

Impact of 7-valent versus 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on primary care consultations across various age groups in the Netherlands, 5 years after the switch: A time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

In 2011, 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) replaced PCV7 in The Netherlands. We aimed to assess the impact of this switch on non-invasive pneumococcal disease in primary care across various age-groups, including pneumonia-bronchitis, otitis media (OM) and sinusitis with and without considering pre-PCV10 secular trends.

METHODS

Electronic records of 397,441 individuals included in a regional primary care database from July 2006 to June 2016 were extracted (2,408,762 person-years). We fitted interrupted time-series on annual incidence rates (IR) of primary care diagnosed pneumonia-bronchitis, OM and sinusitis episodes per age-group. We performed these two types of analyses, comparing; 1) the post-PCV10 observed versus expected trend if PCV10 had not been implemented and pre-PCV10 secular trends had continued 2), the pre- versus post-PCV10 observed, model fitted trend. The latter assumes no secular trend. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using both methods.

RESULTS

We found significant reductions following PCV10 introduction with both analysis methods for pneumonia-bronchitis in the pediatric and adult age-groups, for sinusitis in the age-group 20-50 years and for OM, the effect across various age-groups are uncertain given contradictory results. For other outcomes and age-groups, the effect estimates were not consistent across the two-method used and heavily depended on the strength of the underlying trend. No consistent effects were observed in the elderly population, considering the two methods used.

CONCLUSION

Our study supports some direct and indirect-effect of PCV10 introduction on non-IPD, mainly on pneumonia-bronchitis, but estimates heavily depend on the method of analysis used. Estimates from the two different approaches may differ substantially if underlying trends are strong.

Pneumococcal vaccine effect on hospitalisation rates of pneumonia in children: A meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Since the appearance of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, the frequency of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalisations was decreased significantly especially in children below the age of 2 years, but its effects are still conflicting. This meta-analysis study was performed to assess the relationship between the effects of different types of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines compared with each other on the frequency of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalisations in children aged below 2 years.

METHODS

Through a systematic literature search up to December 2020, 20 studies were found recording relationships between the effects of different types of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines compared with each other on the frequency of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalisations in children aged below 2 years. Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was calculated between different types of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines compared with each other on the frequency of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalisations in children below the age of 2 years using the dichotomous methods with a random or fixed-effect model.

RESULTS

The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 10 was significantly related to a lower hospitalisation rate for pneumonia (OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.51-0.81, P < .001) compared with no vaccine and (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.68-0.90, P < .001) compared with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 7. The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 13 was significantly related to a lower hospitalisation rate for pneumonia (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.56-0.71, P < .001) compared with no vaccine and (OR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.36-0.89, P = .01) compared with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 7. The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 13 was significantly related to a lower hospitalisation rate for pneumonia (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.48-0.93, P = .02) compared with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 10.

CONCLUSIONS

The pneumococcal conjugate vaccines 10 or 13 may have independent relationships in reducing the frequency of community-acquired pneumonia hospitalisations in children aged below 2 years compared with no vaccine or pneumococcal conjugate vaccines 7. Also, the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 13 may have the same independent relationship compared with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines 10. Further studies are needed to solidify the findings to other vaccines to have evidence-based information that could help in establishing future immunisation strategies.

The impact of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunisation on all-cause pneumonia admissions in Hong Kong: A 14-year population-based interrupted time series analysis

BACKGROUND

Nine years after the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in the United States, Hong Kong (HK) introduced the vaccine to its universal childhood immunisation programme in 2009. We aimed to assess the impact of childhood PCV immunisation on all-cause pneumonia (ACP) admissions among the overall population of HK.

METHODS

In this population-based interrupted time series analysis, we used territory-wide population-representative electronic health records in HK to evaluate the vaccine impact. We identified hospitalised patients with a diagnosis of pneumonia from any cause between 2004 and 2017. We applied segmented Poisson regression to assess the gradual change in the monthly incidence of ACP admissions between pre- and post-vaccination periods. Negative outcome control, subgroup and sensitivity analyses were used to test the robustness of the main analysis.

FINDINGS

Over the 14-year study period, a total of 587,607 ACP episodes were identified among 357,950 patients. The monthly age-standardised incidence of ACP fluctuated between 33.42 and 87.44 per 100,000-persons. There was a marginal decreasing trend in pneumonia admissions after PCV introduction among overall population (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 0·9965, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0·9932-0·9998), and older adults (≥65 years, IRR: 0·9928, 95% CI: 0·9904-0·9953) but not in younger age groups.

INTERPRETATION

There was a marginally declining trend of overall ACP admissions in HK up to eight years after childhood PCV introduction. The significance disappeared when fitting sensitivity analyses. The results indicate the complexities of using non-specific endpoints for measuring vaccine effect and the necessity of enhancing serotype surveillance systems for replacement monitoring.

FUNDING

Health and Medical Research Fund, Food and Health Bureau of the Government of Hong Kong (Reference number: 18171272).

Constrained Optimization for Pneumococcal Vaccination in Brazil

OBJECTIVES

To identify the most cost-efficient combination of pneumococcal vaccines in infants and aging adults for a 10-year period in Brazil.

METHODS

Constrained optimization (CO) prioritized 9 pneumococcal vaccine regimens according to their gain in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and their related costs over a prespecified time horizon with defined constraints for 2 age groups, infants and aging adults. The analysis starts from the current universal infant vaccination of pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV), 2 primary and 1 booster dose at 2, 4, and 12 months, respectively. Key constraints are the fixed annual vaccine budget increase and the relative return on investment (ROI_R) per regimen, which must be > 1, the reference intervention being the current vaccination strategy in infants and the most cost-efficient one in aging adults.

RESULTS

The CO analysis including all the constraints indicates that over 10 years the maximum extra health gain is 126 194 QALYs for an extra budget of $974 million Brazilian reals (ROI_R = 1.15). Results could be improved with a higher proportion of the at-risk population in aging adults, less herd effect, and better QALY scores.

CONCLUSION

The study shows that with 4 constraints on budget, time horizon, vaccine coverage, and cost efficiency, a CO analysis could identify the most cost-efficient overall pneumococcal vaccination strategy for Brazil, allowing for limited vaccine budget increase while obtaining appropriate health gain.

The impact and cost-effectiveness of introducing the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine into the paediatric immunisation programme in Iceland-A population-based time series analysis

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a cause of infections that range in severity from acute otitis media (AOM) to pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). The 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV10) was introduced into the Icelandic paediatric immunisation programme in 2011. The aim was to estimate the population impact and cost-effectiveness of PHiD-CV10 introduction.

METHODS

Data on primary care visits from 2005-2015 and hospitalisations from 2005-2017 were obtained from population-based registries. A Bayesian time series analysis with synthetic controls was employed to estimate the number of cases of AOM, pneumonia and IPD that would have occurred between 2013-2017, had PHiD-CV10 not been introduced. Prevented cases were calculated by subtracting the observed number of cases from this estimate. The cost of the programme was calculated accounting for cost-savings due to prevented cases.

RESULTS

The introduction of PHiD-CV10 prevented 13,767 (95% credible interval [CI] 2,511-29,410) visits for AOM from 2013-2015, and prevented 1,814 (95%CI -523-4,512) hospitalisations for pneumonia and 53 (95%CI -17-177) admissions for IPD from 2013-2017. Visits for AOM decreased both among young children and among children 4-19 years of age, with rate ratios between 0.72-0.89. Decreases were observed in both pneumonia hospitalisations (rate ratios between 0.67-0.92) and IPD (rate ratios between 0.27-0.94). The total cost of implementing PHiD-CV10 in Iceland was -7,463,176 United States Dollars (USD) (95%CI -16,159,551-582,135) with 2.1 USD (95%CI 0.2-4.7) saved for every 1 USD spent.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of PHiD-CV10 was associated with large decreases in visits and hospitalisations for infections commonly caused by pneumococcus and was cost-saving during the first five years of the immunisation programme.

Impact after 10-year use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in the Brazilian national immunization program: an updated systematic literature review from 2015 to 2020

In 2010, a 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) was introduced in the Brazilian national immunization program; the 3 + 1 dose schedule was replaced by a 2 + 1 dose schedule in 2016. This systematic review presents the latest published evidence (2015–2020) on the impact after 10-year use of PHiD-CV in Brazil from a total of 29 publications. Overall, the PHiD-CV program had a positive impact on the morbidity and mortality associated with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM) in children <5 years-old. A reduction in the vaccine-type invasive disease was observed in all-ages; suggesting indirect protection unvaccinated older children and adults. The occurrence of non-vaccine type disease was evidenced in some studies. Higher vaccination coverage is required at national and state level for sustained population impact. Given the change in the vaccination schedule and the dynamics of pneumococcal disease epidemiology, continuous surveillance is warranted.

GSK Study identifier: HO-18-19438

The impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine upon hospitalization rate of children with pneumonia in different Brazilian administrative regions

BACKGROUND

Streptococcus pneumoniae is the most frequent bacterial causative agent of pneumonia. Due to its significant contribution to the morbidity and mortality profile and the country's economy, the 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PCV10) was introduced in Brazil in 2010. Brazil is divided into five administrative regions which differ in social-economic indices among each other. Estimates of PCV10 impact on hospitalization rates due to pneumonia stratified by distinct Brazilian regions are limited. We assessed this issue.

METHODS

This is a population-based ecological investigation. Data about hospitalizations due to pneumonia, asthma or urinary tract infection (UTI) among patients aged under 20 years in the pre-exposure (2003-2009) and in the post-exposure (2011-2017) periods were retrieved from the National Health System - Hospital Information System (SIH-SUS) database. The total resident population by age group in each year was retrieved from the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics database. Hospitalization rates were estimated for each Brazilian region and the rates obtained in the pre-exposure and in the post-exposure periods were compared by Prais-Winsten regression. The Human Development Index (HDI) evolved differently in the distinct regions during the study period.

RESULTS

Overall, hospitalization rates due to pneumonia declined by 34.5%. Similar trends were observed for hospitalization rates due to asthma and UTI. The same pattern was observed in each Brazilian region. However, the North region was the only one that presented an exponential incidence decline pattern, which could be explained by PCV10 implementation (declined by 10.8% in the quadratic regression, p < 0.01). Only in the North region, significant decline was observed among patients aged 0-4 years (-12.5%; p = 0.01), 5-9 years (-38.5%; p < 0.01) or 10-14 years (-10.7%; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Significant variation in the downward trend of hospitalization rate was only found in the North region, which evolved from very low HDI in 2003; medium HDI in 2010 to high HDI in 2017.

The data used to build the models: Pertussis morbidity and mortality burden considering various Brazilian data sources

BACKGROUND

Pertussis is associated with significant disease burden in children worldwide. In addition to its cyclical nature, resurgences of pertussis cases, hospitalizations and deaths have been reported by many countries. We describe the dynamics of pertussis in Brazil, a middle-income country that has experienced a resurgence and that provides good quality data to allow building a dynamic transmission disease model.

METHODS

We conducted a descriptive analysis of pertussis burden considering data from the national disease surveillance system, national hospitalization information system and national mortality registry. Study period was 2000-2016. Absolute numbers and rates per 100,000 inhabitants over time, by age sub-groups and geographical regions are presented.

RESULTS

From 2000 to 2016, a total of 37,299 reported pertussis cases, 25,240 hospitalizations, and 601 deaths due to pertussis were reported. Although the outcomes - pertussis cases, hospitalizations, and deaths - come from independent information systems, our results document low disease burden with periodic increases every 3-4 years during the years 2000-2010, followed by a sharp increase which peaked in 2014. In both periods, disease burden is concentrated in young children, while its more serious outcomes - hospitalizations and deaths, are concentrated in infants. Pre-outbreak and outbreak disease burden as well as timing of peak during the outbreak period vary by states and within geographical regions, representing valuable resources of data for modelling purposes.

CONCLUSION

Consistent disease burden patterns were observed over time in Brazil using a variety of data sources. Given the scarcity of good epidemiological data on pertussis available from low- and middle-income countries, our reported data provide valuable information for the assessment of the public health impact and cost-effectiveness modelling studies of newer strategies to prevent and control pertussis. These data were used to build and calibrate a national dynamic transmission model, which was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of maternal immunization. Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: Not applicable.

Cost of Nine Pediatric Infectious Illnesses in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review of Cost-of-Illness Studies

BACKGROUND

Cost-of-illness data from empirical studies provide insights into the use of healthcare resources including both expenditures and the opportunity cost related to receiving treatment.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this systematic review was to gather cost data and relevant parameters for hepatitis B, pneumonia, meningitis, encephalitis caused by Japanese encephalitis, rubella, yellow fever, measles, influenza, and acute gastroenteritis in children in low- and middle-income countries.

DATA SOURCES

Peer-reviewed studies published in public health, medical, and economic journals indexed in PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and EconLit.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA, PARTICIPANTS, AND INTERVENTIONS

Studies must (1) be peer reviewed, (2) be published in 2000-2016, (3) provide cost data for one of the nine diseases in children aged under 5 years in low- and middle-income countries, and (4) generated from primary data collection.

LIMITATIONS

We cannot exclude missing a few articles in our review. Measures were taken to reduce this risk. Several articles published since 2016 are omitted from the systematic review results, these articles are included in the discussion.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS OF KEY FINDINGS

The review yielded 37 articles and 267 sets of cost estimates. We found no cost-of-illness studies with cost estimates for hepatitis B, measles, rubella, or yellow fever from primary data. Most estimates were from countries in Gavi preparatory (28%) and accelerated (28%) transition, followed by those who are initiating self-financing (22%) and those not eligible for Gavi support (19%). Thirteen articles compared household expenses to manage illnesses with income and two articles with other household expenses, such as food, clothing, and rent. An episode of illness represented 1-75% of the household's monthly income or 10-83% of its monthly expenses. Articles that presented both household and government perspectives showed that most often governments incurred greater costs than households, including non-medical and indirect costs, across countries of all income statuses, with a few notable exceptions. Although limited for low- and middle-income country settings, cost estimates generated from primary data collection provided a 'real-world' estimate of the economic burden of vaccine-preventable diseases. Additional information on whether common situations preventing the application of official clinical guidelines (such as medication stock-outs) occurred would help reveal deficiencies in the health system. Improving the availability of cost-of-illness evidence can inform the public policy agenda about healthcare priorities and can help to operationalize the healthcare budget in local health systems to respond adequately to the burden of illness in the community.

Impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on pneumonia hospitalization and mortality in children and elderly in Ecuador: Time series analyses

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) reduce the burden of invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumonia hospitalizations. However, there is limited evidence of the effect of PCVs on pneumonia mortality in children. It is anticipated that indirect effects resulting from PCV use among children might further reduce the remaining burden of adult pneumococcal disease caused by pneumococcal serotypes contained in PCV. Whether this will result in reduced pneumonia mortality in children and adults is still not known.

METHODS

We investigated the impact of PCV on pneumonia hospitalization and mortality in in Ecuador, where PCV was introduced in 2010, considering national data from secondary data sources from 2005 to 2015. Time series analysis using regression models were used to evaluate the decline in the number of all-cause pneumonia hospitalizations and deaths in the period post-PCV introduction. The target populations were children under 5 years and adults aged 50 years and over. Outcomes of interest were hospitalizations and mortality in which the main cause of hospital admission and death, respectively, were coded as ICD10 codes J12-18 (pneumonia). Three different models were fitted.

RESULTS

We demonstrate a sizeable impact of PCV in pneumonia hospitalization in children < 1 year (27% reduction, 95%CI 12-42%), and < 5 years of age (33% reduction, 95%CI 11-43%). The estimated impact of PCV in pneumonia mortality was a reduction of 14% in < 1 year (95%CI 0-33%), 10% in < 5 years (95%CI 0-25%), and 22% (95%CI 7-34%) in adults aged 50-64 years. Little evidence of a change was detected in elderly ≥ 65 years.

CONCLUSION

This study is the first to report on the impact of PCV in pneumonia morbidity and mortality in children and older adults, being relevant to policy makers and global donors. Findings were consistent when using different models. Additional studies on the indirect effect of PCV in older adults are needed.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of replacing the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in Brazil infants

Brazil currently has a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) pediatric national immunization program (NIP). However, in recent years, there has been significant progressive increases in pneumococcal disease attributed to serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A, which are covered by the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of switching from PCV10 to PCV13 for Brazilian infants from a payer perspective. A decision-analytic model was adapted to evaluate the clinical and economic outcomes of continuing PCV10 or switching to PCV13. The analysis estimated future costs ($BRL), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and health outcomes for PCV10 and PCV13 over 5 y. Input parameters were from published sources. Future serotype dynamics were predicted using Brazilian and global historical trends. Over 5 y, PCV13 could prevent 12,342 bacteremia, 15,330 meningitis, 170,191 hospitalized pneumonia, and 25,872 otitis media cases, avert 13,709 pneumococcal disease deaths, gain 20,317 QALYs, and save 172 million direct costs compared with PCV10. The use of PCV13 in the Brazilian NIP could reduce pneumococcal disease, improve population health, and save substantial health-care costs. Results are reliable even when considering uncertainty for possible serotype dynamics with different underlying assumptions.

Trends in all-cause pneumonia and otitis media in children aged <2 years following pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction in Colombia

In Colombia, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) were implemented into the infant universal mass vaccination program in a stepwise manner; PCV-7 between 2009 and 2011 in different geographic regions/cities, with nationwide introduction of a 10-valent vaccine (PHiD-CV) in 2012. We aimed to describe trends in all-cause pneumonia mortality and overall mortality, and in the incidence of all-cause pneumonia and otitis media (OM) in Colombian children <2 y (y = years) of age, before and after PCV introduction. We obtained mortality and incidence data, nationally and for five major cities (Bogota, Medellin, Barranquilla, Cali and Cartagena) from 2005–2016 and 2008–2016, respectively, comparing mortality and incidence proportions in the post-PCV introduction period with those in the pre-PCV period. Overall mean reductions in all-cause pneumonia mortality was observed in the post-PCV period nationally (48.8%; 95%CI: 45.5–51.8%) and in four cities including Bogota (77.1%; 71.1–81.8%) and Medellin (56.4%; 44.1–65.9%); no substantial reduction was observed in Cartagena. Similar findings were observed for overall mortality. Reductions in all-cause pneumonia incidence were observed in Bogota (66.0%; 65.5–66.6%), Medellin (40.6%; 39.3–41.9%) and Cartagena (15.0%; 11.2–18.6%), while incidence increased in Barranquilla (78.5%; 68.4–89.2%) and Cali (125.5%; 119.2–132.0%). All-cause OM incidence fell in Medellin and Bogota (42.1–51.1%) but increased (95.8%) in Barranquilla. In conclusion, overall reductions in disease outcomes were observed following PCV introduction in most cities and nationwide. Decreasing trends in outcomes were observed prior to PCV introduction, and limited data points and data reporting issues may have influenced our results. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02567747)

Impact of the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Among Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

A notable reduction of the pneumococcal disease burden among adults was observed after the introduction of a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in childhood immunization programs. In 2010, a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) replaced PCV7 in many jurisdictions; a comparative assessment of PCV13's impact was missing. Our objective was to summarize the available data and assess the change in the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in adults after the introduction of PCV13 in childhood immunization programs.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search from January 1946 to May 2017 of randomized, controlled trials and observational studies OBS reporting the incidence of IPD, non-invasive pneumococcal disease, hospitalizations, and mortality in adults for the periods before and after the introduction of PCV13. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were pooled across studies using restricted, maximum-likelihood, random-effects models.

RESULTS

From 3306 records,we included 29 OBS studies and 2033961 cases. Significantly lower IPD rates were seen after PCV13 introduction in adults aged <65 years (IRR 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.85) and those aged ≥65 years (IRR 0.86, 95% CI 0.81-0.91). Lower rates of IPD were seen with PCV7 (IRR 0.45, 95% CI 0.38-0.54) and PCV13 serotypes (IRR 0.60, 95% CI 0.54-0.68). A significantly higher IRR of 1.10 (95% CI 1.04-1.17) for non-vaccine serotypes was observed, especially among those aged 65 years and older (IRR 1.20, 95% CI 1.11-1.29).

CONCLUSIONS

PCV13 use in children had a moderate impact on reducing the overall and vaccine-type IPDs, but there was a significant increase in non-vaccine type IPDs among adults, especially in those over 65 years.

Vaccine confidence: the keys to restoring trust

During the 20th century, the discovery of modern vaccines and ensuing mass vaccination dramatically decreased the incidence of many infectious diseases and in some cases eliminated them. Despite this, we are now witnessing a decrease in vaccine confidence that threatens to reverse the progress made. Considering the different extents of low vaccine confidence in different countries of the world, both developed and developing, we aim to contribute to the discussion of the reasons for this, and to propose some viable scientific solutions to build or help restore vaccine confidence worldwide.

Impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on hospital admissions in children under three years of age in Iceland

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcus is an important respiratory pathogen. The 10-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PHiD-CV) was introduced into the Icelandic vaccination programme in 2011. The aim was to estimate the impact of PHiD-CV on paediatric hospitalisations for respiratory tract infections and invasive disease.

METHODS

The 2005-2015 birth-cohorts were followed until three years of age and hospitalisations were recorded for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), meningitis, sepsis, pneumonia and otitis media. Hospitalisations for upper- and lower respiratory tract infections (URTI, LRTI) were used as comparators. The 2005-2010 birth-cohorts were defined as vaccine non-eligible cohorts (VNEC) and 2011-2015 birth-cohorts as vaccine eligible cohorts (VEC). Incidence rates (IR) were estimated for diagnoses, birth-cohorts and age groups, and incidence rate ratios (IRR) between VNEC and VEC were calculated assuming Poisson variance. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of hospitalisation between VNEC and VEC.

RESULTS

51,264 children were followed for 142,315 person-years, accumulating 1,703 hospitalisations for the respective study diagnoses. Hospitalisations for pneumonia decreased by 20% (HR 0.80, 95%CI:0.67-0.95) despite a 32% increase in admissions for LRTI (HR 1.32, 95%CI:1.14-1.53). Hospital admissions for culture-confirmed IPD decreased by 93% (HR 0.07, 95%CI:0.01-0.50) and no hospitalisations for IPD with vaccine-type pneumococci were observed in the VEC. Hospitalisations for meningitis and sepsis did not change. A decrease in hospital admissions for otitis media was observed, but did not coincide with PHiD-CV introduction.

CONCLUSION

Following the introduction of PHiD-CV in Iceland, hospitalisations for pneumonia and culture confirmed IPD decreased. Admissions for other LRTIs and URTIs increased during this period.

Influence of Older Age and Other Risk Factors on Pneumonia Hospitalization in Switzerland in the Pneumococcal Vaccine Era

Background: Pneumococcal pneumonia is a disease of the extremes of age. However, as other traditional risk factors for pneumococcal pneumonia also increase with older age, it is unclear if older age itself should be an indication for pneumococcal vaccination. Therefore, we assessed the effect of age on risk for hospitalization for pneumonia and for pneumococcal pneumonia. Methods: Using a national hospitalization dataset, all patients ≥16 years hospitalized in a Swiss hospital with a diagnosis of pneumonia or pneumococcal pneumonia between 2002 and 2015 were included. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to test the association between age (≥50 or ≥65 years) and hospitalization for pneumonia or pneumococcal pneumonia after adjusting for pneumococcal vaccine indications. Similar analyses were performed for effect of age on length of stay (LOS) and mortality. Results: Among a total of 17,619,016 hospitalizations a diagnosis of pneumonia was present in 421,760 (2.4%) and a diagnosis of pneumococcal pneumonia in 21,610 (0.12%). Age ≥50 years (OR: 3.52 and 2.12, respectively; p for both <0.001) and age ≥65 years (OR: 2.98 and 1.80, respectively; p for both <0.001) as well as most Swiss pneumococcal vaccine indications were independent predictors of hospitalization with a pneumonia and pneumococcal pneumonia diagnosis, respectively. Older age with both age cut-offs were associated with increased LOS (≥50 years: aRR: 1.19 and 1.24, respectively; age ≥65 years: aRR: 1.60 and 1.20, respectively; p < 0.001 for all) and mortality (≥50 years: aOR: 4.73 and 2.84, respectively; age ≥65 years: aOR: 2.38 and 2.69, respectively, p < 0.001 for all) in patients with a pneumonia and pneumococcal pneumonia diagnosis, respectively. The effects of pneumococcal vaccine indications decreased with older age. The incidences of hospitalizations with a pneumonia diagnosis and a pneumococcal pneumonia diagnosis increased significantly from the pre-vaccine era to the PCV7 era and the PCV13 era (p for trend for both analyses <0.001). Conclusion: This study confirms the Swiss indications for pneumococcal vaccination as independent risk factors for pneumonia hospitalizations. Older age itself should be considered as an additional vaccine indication. Pneumonia and pneumococcal pneumonia in adults have increased despite pneumococcal vaccination in children.

Childhood pneumonia in low-and-middle-income countries: An update

OBJECTIVES

To review epidemiology, aetiology and management of childhood pneumonia in low-and-middle-income countries.

DESIGN

Review of published English literature between 2013 and 2019.

RESULTS

Pneumonia remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Risk factors include young age, malnutrition, immunosuppression, tobacco smoke or air pollution exposure. Better methods for specimen collection and molecular diagnostics have improved microbiological diagnosis, indicating that pneumonia results from several organisms interacting. Induced sputum increases microbiologic yield for Bordetella pertussis or Mycobacterium tuberculosis, which has been associated with pneumonia in high TB prevalence areas. The proportion of cases due to Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae b has declined with new conjugate vaccines; Staphylococcus aureus and H. influenzae non-type b are the commonest bacterial pathogens; viruses are the most common pathogens. Effective interventions comprise antibiotics, oxygen and non-invasive ventilation. New vaccines have reduced severity and incidence of disease, but disparities exist in uptake.

CONCLUSION

Morbidity and mortality from childhood pneumonia has decreased but a considerable preventable burden remains. Widespread implementation of available, effective interventions and development of novel strategies are needed.

Estimated Annual Health and Cost Impact of PHiD-CV Immunization Program in Brazil

BACKGROUND

Streptococcus pneumoniae causes invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and acute otitis media (AOM). Two higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) are available, pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and 13-valent PCV (PCV-13). This study estimated the economic and health impact of PHiD-CV vaccination on pneumococcal disease burden in children <5 years of age in Brazil.

METHODS

The disease burden prior to the PHiD-CV vaccination program was estimated from literature and databases. The effect of PHiD-CV was estimated as a reduction of 70% for IPD, 26% for CAP and 40% for AOM, based on published studies. Residual IPD cases attributable to serotype 19A were estimated using surveillance data. PCV-13 effectiveness against 19A-IPD was set at 30%-70% higher than PHiD-CV. Vaccine prices were US$12.85/dose for PHiD-CV and US$14.50/dose for PCV-13.

RESULTS

PHiD-CV vaccination reduced IPD by 6359, CAP by 315,016 and AOM by 669,943 cases, with estimated cost savings of >US$84 million annually and US$211-22,232 per case averted depending on the outcome. Switching from PHiD-CV to PCV-13 would avoid only a few additional IPD cases at additional costs exceeding US$18 million per year (US$125,192-386,230 per IPD case averted).

CONCLUSIONS

The PHiD-CV vaccination program in Brazil has resulted in important reductions of pneumococcal disease and substantial cost savings. Instead of switching PCVs, expanding vaccine coverage or investing in other health care interventions would be a more efficient use of resources to improve the health of the population in Brazil.

Direct effect of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use on pneumococcal colonization among children in Brazil

BACKGROUND

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been commercially available in Brazil since 2010. We investigated the carriage prevalence, capsular types, and antimicrobial resistance among pneumococci isolated from children immunized with PCV13 in Brazil.

METHODS

We analyzed 500 children < 6 years old attending public (n = 270) and private (n = 230) clinics in Niterói/RJ, Brazil, in 2014. We determined the antimicrobial susceptibility and capsular types for all isolates.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight (7.6%) of 500 children had received at least one PCV13 dose. Since only two (0.7%) of 270 children at the public clinic were vaccinated with PCV13, major analyses focused on 36 (15.7%) of 230 children attending private clinics. Nine (25%) of 36 children were pneumococcal carriers. Characteristics associated with carriage were age ≥ 2 years, cough/expectoration, and childcare center attendance (p ≤ 0.01). The capsular types found were 15B/C (n = 2), 6C, 11A/D, 16F, 23A, and 23F. Two isolates were non-typeable (NT). Three (33.3%) isolates were multidrug resistant. We found four (44.4%) penicillin non-susceptible pneumococci, with penicillin and ceftriaxone MICs ranging from 0.12 to 4.0 µg/ml and 0.023-0.5 µg/ml, respectively. We also detected two (22.2%) erythromycin-resistant isolates (MICs of 3.0 and 256 µg/ml).

CONCLUSIONS

Colonization with PCV13 serotype was rare among the vaccinated children. Increasing PCV13 coverage might help reduce the frequency of major serotypes currently associated with invasive pneumococcal diseases in Brazil, such as 3 and 19A. The isolation of multidrug-resistant serotype 6C and NT isolates in carriage, however, requires close monitoring.

Spatial distribution and determinants of acute respiratory infection among under-five children in Ethiopia: Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey 2016

Background

Childhood acute respiratory infection remains the commonest global cause of morbidity and mortality among under-five children. In Ethiopia, it remains the highest burden of the health care system. The problem varies in space and time, and exploring its spatial distribution has supreme importance for monitoring and designing effective intervention programs.

Methods

A two stage stratified cluster sampling technique was utilized along with the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data. About 10,006 under-five children were included in this study. Bernoulli model was used to investigate the presence of purely spatial clusters of under-five acute respiratory infection using SaTScan.ArcGIS version 10.1 was used to visualize the distribution of pneumonia cases across the country. Mixed-effect logistic regression model was used to identify the determinants of acute respiratory infection.

Result

In this study, acute respiratory infection among under-five children had spatial variations across the country (Moran’s I: 0.34, p < 0.001). Acute respiratory infection among under-five children in Tigray (p < 0.001) and Oromia (p < 0.001) National Regional States clustered spatially. History of diarrhoea (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) = 4.71, 95% CI: (3.89–5.71))), 45–59 months of age (AOR = 0.63, 95% CI: (0.45–0.89)), working mothers (AOR = 1.27, 95% CI: (1.06–1.52)), mothers’ secondary school education (AOR = 0.65; 95% CI: (0.43–0.99)), and stunting (AOR = 1.24, 95% CI: (1.00–1.54)) were predictors of under-five acute respiratory infection.

Conclusion and recommendation

In Ethiopia, acute respiratory infection had spatial variations across the country. Areas with excess acute respiratory infection need high priority in allocation of resources including: mobilizing resources, skilled human power, and improved access to health facilities.

Effectiveness and impact of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, PHiD-CV: review of clinical trials and post-marketing experience

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcal diseases (including septicemia, meningitis, pneumonia, and upper respiratory infections) constitute a major public health problem. The World Health Organization recommends pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunization of young children worldwide.

AREAS COVERED

We reviewed evidence on the effects of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV), which is used in childhood immunization programs in over 45 countries or regions. The effectiveness of PHiD-CV against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia, and acute otitis media was assessed. We also present its effect on pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage (NPC) and indirect effects (herd protection) among unvaccinated individuals.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

Results from randomized, double-blind trials and post-marketing studies in various countries provide evidence of the protective efficacy, effectiveness, and impact of PHiD-CV against pneumococcal diseases. Data from different geographic locations also show reductions in NPC of vaccine pneumococcal serotypes, laying the foundation for indirect protection against pneumococcal disease. In countries where PHiD-CV is included in childhood immunization programs, there are signs of herd protection for vaccine serotypes among unvaccinated individuals. Although increases in non-vaccine serotype IPD and NPC rates were observed, there was an overall reduction of pneumococcal disease.