Epidemiology And Patterns Of Care At The End Of Life: Rising Complexity, Shifts In Care Patterns And Sites Of Death

Managing End of Life Care for the Critically Ill: A Novel Program to Deliver Bedside Critical Care Without Transfer to the Intensive Care Unit

Background: Navigating medical care at the end of life can be a challenging experience for patients. There are also significant resource burdens, including intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, accompanying terminal illness. For actively dying patients, developing a care plan based on patient goals and delivering care at the bedside can enhance patient well-being, avoid inappropriate transfers or interventions, and improve resource management. Methods: The Rapid Response Team (RRT) is an around the clock intensivist service that responds to all acutely decompensating patients in our hospital. Through the Appropriate Care Escalation (ACE) program, the RRT intensivist identifies amongst decompensating patients, terminally ill individuals for whom prognosis is extremely poor irrespective of available interventions. These patients receive discussions about goals of care, code status, and management options. They receive care on a dedicated stepdown unit without escalation to the ICU. If aligned with patient goals, care plans incorporate critical care interventions including ventilator and vasopressor therapy. Results: Over 5 years, RRT identified 413 terminally ill patients under the ACE program to continue end of life care on the stepdown unit. Following discussions of goals, 60.8% of patients requested DNR/DNI, 30.9% were full code, and 8.5% requested DNR/OK-TO-INTUBATE status. At discharge, 82.1% of ACE patients expired compared to 23% of all RRT consultations. Patients received 233 critical care procedures at bedside including intubations, central access catheters and bronchoscopy. Conclusion: The ACE program helped identify, in real time, actively dying, terminally ill patients, establish patient goals, and expand critical care services outside the ICU.

Veterans' use of inpatient and outpatient palliative care: The national landscape

BACKGROUND

Palliative care improves the quality of life for people with life-limiting conditions, which are common among older adults. Despite the Veterans Health Administration (VA) outpatient palliative care expansion, most research has focused on inpatient palliative care. This study aimed to compare veteran characteristics and hospice use for palliative care users across care settings (inpatient vs. outpatient) and dose (number of palliative care encounters).

METHODS

This national cohort included veterans with any VA palliative care encounters from 2014 through 2017. We used VA and Medicare administrative data (2010-2017) to describe veteran demographics, socioeconomic status, life-limiting conditions, frailty, and palliative care utilization. Specialty palliative care encounters were identified using clinic stop codes (353, 351) and current procedural terminology codes (99241-99245).

RESULTS

Of 120,249 unique veterans with specialty palliative care over 4 years, 67.8% had palliative care only in the inpatient setting (n = 81,523) and 32.2% had at least one palliative care encounter in the outpatient setting (n = 38,726), with or without an inpatient palliative care encounter. Outpatient versus inpatient palliative care users were more likely to have cancer and less likely to have high frailty, but sociodemographic factors including rurality and housing instability were similar. Duration of hospice use was similar between inpatient (median = 37 days; IQR = 11, 112) and outpatient (median = 44 days; IQR = 14, 118) palliative care users, and shorter among those with only one palliative care encounter (median = 18 days; IQR = 5, 64).

CONCLUSIONS

This national evaluation provides novel insights into the care setting and dose of VA specialty palliative care for veterans. Among veterans with palliative care use, one-third received at least some palliative care in the outpatient care setting. Differences between veterans with inpatient and outpatient use motivate the need for further research to understand how care settings and number of palliative care encounters impact outcomes for veterans and older adults.

Home Health Care and Place of Death in Medicare Beneficiaries With and Without Dementia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Home health care supports patient goals for aging in place. Our objective was to determine if home health care use in the last 3 years of life reduces the risk of inpatient death without hospice.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed the characteristics of 2,065,300 Medicare beneficiaries who died in 2019 and conducted multinomial logistic regression analyses to evaluate the association between the use and timing of home health care, dementia diagnosis, and place of death.

RESULTS

Receiving any home health care in the last 3 years of life was associated with a lower probability of inpatient death without hospice (Pr 23.3% vs 31.5%, p < .001), and this effect was stronger when home health care began prior to versus during the last year of life (Pr 22.5% vs 24.3%, p < .001). Among all decedents, the probability of death at home with hospice compared to inpatient death with hospice was greater when any home health care was used (Pr 46.0% vs 36.5%, p < .001), and this association was strongest among beneficiaries with dementia who started home health care at least 1 year prior to death (Pr 55.6%, p < .001).

DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS

Use of home health care during the last 3 years of life was associated with reduced rates of inpatient death without hospice, and increased rates of home death with hospice. Increasing affordable access to home health care can positively affect end-of-life care outcomes for older Americans and their family caregivers, especially those with dementia.

Top Ten Tips Palliative Care Clinicians Should Know About Hospice Live Discharge

Hospice care is designed to support the medical and psychosocial needs of individuals with serious illness and their caregivers through the dying process. Some individuals, though, leave hospice prior to death, generally referred to as disenrollment or a "live discharge." Live discharge from hospice is a common and often distressing issue for hospice patients, their caregivers, and also for hospice professionals and agencies. This paper discusses common issues surrounding live discharge that clinicians and other healthcare professionals should consider when dealing with live discharge in their own clinical practices. Where applicable, we provide practical steps for hospice and palliative care clinicians to better support patients and families through this critical care transition. Further, we offer strategic directions interprofessional clinicians can take to affect systemic change to improve live discharge experiences.

Natural Language Processing to Identify Home Health Care Patients at Risk for Becoming Incapacitated With No Evident Advance Directives or Surrogates

OBJECTIVES

Home health care patients who are at risk for becoming Incapacitated with No Evident Advance Directives or Surrogates (INEADS) may benefit from timely intervention to assist them with advance care planning. This study aimed to develop natural language processing algorithms for identifying home care patients who do not have advance directives, family members, or close social contacts who can serve as surrogate decision-makers in the event that they lose decisional capacity.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study of electronic health records.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients receiving post-acute care discharge services from a large home health agency in New York City in 2019 (n = 45,390 enrollment episodes).

METHODS

We developed a natural language processing algorithm for identifying information documented in free-text clinical notes (n = 1,429,030 notes) related to 4 categories: evidence of close relationships, evidence of advance directives, evidence suggesting lack of close relationships, and evidence suggesting lack of advance directives. We validated the algorithm against Gold Standard clinician review for 50 patients (n = 314 notes) to calculate precision, recall, and F-score.

RESULTS

Algorithm performance for identifying text related to the 4 categories was excellent (average F-score = 0.91), with the best results for "evidence of close relationships" (F-score = 0.99) and the worst results for "evidence of advance directives" (F-score = 0.86). The algorithm identified 22% of all clinical notes (313,290 of 1,429,030) as having text related to 1 or more categories. More than 98% of enrollment episodes (48,164 of 49,141) included at least 1 clinical note containing text related to 1 or more categories.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

This study establishes the feasibility of creating an automated screening algorithm to aid home health care agencies with identifying patients at risk of becoming INEADS. This screening algorithm can be applied as part of a multipronged approach to facilitate clinician support for advance care planning with patients at risk of becoming INEADS.

Medicare-Covered Services Near the End of Life in Medicare Advantage vs Traditional Medicare

Importance

Financial incentives in Medicare Advantage (MA), the managed care alternative to traditional Medicare (TM), were designed to reduce overutilization. For patients near the end of life (EOL), MA incentives may reduce potentially burdensome care and encourage hospice but could also restrict access to costly but necessary services.

Objective

To compare receipt of potentially burdensome treatments and transfers and potentially necessary postacute services in the last 6 months of life in individuals with MA vs TM.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A retrospective analysis of Medicare claims data among older Medicare beneficiaries who died between 2016 and 2018. The study included Medicare decedents aged 66 years or older covered by TM (n = 659 135) or MA (n = 360 430). All decedents and the subset of decedents with 1 or more emergent hospitalizations with a life-limiting condition (cancer, dementia, end-stage organ failure) that would likely qualify for hospice care were included.

Exposure

MA enrollment.

Main Outcomes

Receipt of potentially burdensome hospitalizations and treatments; receipt of postdischarge home and facility care.

Results

The study included 659 135 TM enrollees (mean [SD] age at death, 83.3 [9.0] years, 54% female, 15.1% non-White, 55% with 1 or more life-limiting condition) and 360 430 MA enrollees (mean [SD] age at death 82.5 [8.7] years, 53% female, 19.3% non-White, 49% with 1 or more life-limiting condition). After regression adjustment, MA enrollees were less likely to receive potentially burdensome treatments (-1.6 percentage points (pp); 95% CI, -2.1 to -1.1) and less likely to die in a hospital (-3.3 pp; 95% CI, -4.0 to -2.7) compared with TM. However, when hospitalized, MA enrollees were more likely to die in the hospital (adjusted difference, 1.3 pp; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5) and less likely to be transferred to rehabilitative or skilled nursing facilities (-5.2 pp; 95% CI, -5.7 to -4.6). Higher rates of home health and home hospice among those discharged home offset half of the decline in facility use. Results were unchanged in the life-limiting conditions sample.

Conclusions

MA enrollment was associated with lower rates of potentially burdensome and facility-based care near the EOL. Greater use of home-based care may improve quality of care but may also leave patients without adequate assistance after hospitalization.

Awareness, Acceptance, Avoidance: Home Care Aides' Approaches to Death and End-of-Life Care

Death and dying are woven throughout the work of home care aides, and yet the care they provide at the end of life (EOL) remains poorly understood. This is due in part to the multiple circumstances under which aides provide EOL care. In this paper, we elucidate the EOL care experiences of aides working in home care agencies in New York City. We conducted in-depth interviews with 29 home care aides, and we analyzed these data using inductive, team-based methods. Our findings show that aides may not be aware of or accept a client's EOL status, and they may avoid EOL care. These conditions shape EOL care, and we detail the committed forms of care aides provide when they are aware and accepting. We recommend improved training, support systems, and policy change to enhance aides' contributions to EOL care, while protecting aides' health and well-being.

Building Bridges in Palliative Rehabilitation: An Evidence-Based Toolkit to Promote Collaboration

Background: Palliative care and rehabilitation professionals caring for seriously ill people and their families face barriers to effective, timely collaboration. Barriers such as ineffective communication processes, role misunderstanding across professions, and resource limitations can lead to underutilization of rehabilitation services for this vulnerable population. Objectives: To create practical connections between palliative care and rehabilitation professionals and to provide tools and strategies for teams to develop the core competencies (role clarity, communication, teamwork, and shared values) necessary to provide coordinated, timely, effective care to people living with serious illness. Design: With Interprofessional Education Collaborative (IPEC) Core Competencies1 as a framework for interprofessional collaborative practice, a quality improvement project was conducted at a large academic medical center. The 5-phase project included literature review, expert interviews, identification of barriers and facilitators, development of strategies to mitigate barriers, and pilot testing of select strategies. Results: The PalRehab Toolkit consists of strategies to enhance interprofessional collaborative practice and infuse rehabilitation into palliative care in the acute care setting. Preliminary evaluation of piloted strategies suggests increased communication across professions, improved role clarity, and an increased likelihood of collaboration. Conclusion: Providing educational offerings, establishing efficient communication channels, and infusing rehabilitation concepts into palliative care practices, as outlined in the PalRehab Toolkit, may positively impact interprofessional collaborative practice and improve care delivery for people with serious illness and their families.

Quality of palliative and end-of-life care: a quantitative study of temporal trends and differences according to illness trajectories in Quebec (Canada)

BACKGROUND

Our aim was to assess temporal trends and compare quality indicators related to Palliative and End-of-Life Care (PEoLC) experienced by people dying of cancer (trajectory I), organ-failure (Trajectory II), and frailty/dementia (trajectory III) in Quebec (Canada) between 2002 and 2016.

METHODS

This descriptive population-based study focused on the last month of life of decedents who, based on the principal cause of death, would have been likely to benefit from palliative care. Five PEoLC indicators were assessed: home deaths (1), deaths in acute care beds with no PEoLC services (2), at least one Emergency Room (ER) visit in the last 14 days of life (3), ER visits on the day of death (4) and at least one Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission in the last month of life (5). Data were obtained from Quebec's Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS).

RESULTS

The annual percentage of home deaths increased slightly between 2002 and 2016 in Quebec, rising from 7.7 to 9.1%, while the percentage of death during a hospitalization in acute care without palliative care decreased from 39.6% in 2002 to 21.4% in 2016. Patients with organ failure were more likely to visit the ER on the day of death (20.9%) than patients dying of cancer and dementia/frailty with percentages of 12.0% and 6.4% respectively. Similar discrepancies were observed for ICU visits in the last month and ER visits in the last 14 days.

CONCLUSION

PEoLC indicators showed more aggressiveness of care for patients with organ failure and highlight the need for more equitable access to quality PEoLC between malignant and non-malignant illness trajectories. These results underline the challenges of providing timely and optimal PEoLC.

Comparing the use of aggressive end-of life care among frail and non-frail patients with cancer using a claims-based frailty index

INTRODUCTION

Despite mounting consensus that end-of-life (EOL) care for patients with cancer should focus on improving quality of life, many patients continue to receive aggressive, disease-oriented treatment until death. Within this group, patients with increased frailty may be at higher risk of adverse treatment-related outcomes. We therefore examined the relationship between degree of frailty and receipt of aggressive EOL care among Medicare-insured patients with cancer in Ohio.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From the Ohio Cancer Incidence Surveillance System (OCISS) linked with Medicare claims, we identified patients diagnosed with breast, colorectal, lung, or prostate cancer who died between 2012 and 2016. Frailty was operationalized using a validated claims-based frailty index. Six quality indicators reflecting receipt of aggressive EOL care were identified from claims: (1) any cancer-directed treatment, (2) >1 emergency department (ED) visit, (3) >1 hospital admission, (4) any intensive care unit (ICU) admission in the last 30 days of life, (5) entry to hospice in the last three days of life, and (6) in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to control for demographic factors, Medicare and Medicaid dual enrollment, and cancer type and stage in the relationship between frailty and aggressive EOL care.

RESULTS

Overall, 31,465 patients met selection criteria. Patients with moderate/severe frailty were less likely than non-/pre-frail patients to receive any aggressive EOL care (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.92 [95% confidence interval 0.86-0.99]). This group was also less likely to undergo cancer-directed treatment in their last 30 days or to enter hospice in their last three days. Increasing frailty was associated with lower odds of admission to the ICU in the last 30 days of life (mild frailty: aOR 0.88 [0.83-0.94]; moderate/severe frailty: aOR 0.85 [0.78-0.92]) or of dying in-hospital (mild frailty: 0.85 [0.79-0.91]; moderate/severe frailty: aOR 0.74 [0.67-0.82]), but higher odds of having >1 ED visit in the last 30 days of life (mild frailty: aOR 1.43 [1.32-1.53]; moderate/severe frailty: aOR 1.61 [1.47-1.77]).

DISCUSSION

These findings suggest the need for more explicit discussion of emergency care seeking for patients with cancer at the end of life.

Comparing situational influences on differential healthcare utilization trajectories in patients on home palliative care: A qualitative study

OBJECTIVES

Patients with terminal cancer receiving home palliative care present differential healthcare utilization trajectories before death. It remains unclear which situational elements influence these trajectories among disparate patient groups. The aim of this study was to compare situational influences on "persistently high" and "low stable" trajectories of healthcare utilization in patients who received palliative care support at home.

METHODS

Bereaved family caregivers were recruited from our prior quantitative study investigating healthcare utilization trajectories in oncology patients on home-based palliative care. In-depth interviews were conducted with 30 family caregivers. Data were analyzed using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Analysis of data uncovered how the 2 utilization trajectories were influenced by the interplay of 1 or more of 4 situational elements. Perceived symptom control in patients, influenced by their determination to die at home, shapes the susceptibility to situational contingencies, resulting in differential utilization trajectories. Caregivers' mental readiness in dealing with unexpected circumstances has a significant impact on the overall manageability of care, ultimately affecting decisions related to healthcare utilization. The concordance between symptom needs and scope of homecare services in a given situation proves to be an important determinant. Lastly, perceived accessibility to informal support in times of need acts as a contextual reinforcement, either preventing or precipitating decisions regarding healthcare utilizations.

SIGNIFICANCE OF RESULTS

Our findings hold important implications for the provision of homecare services, in particular, the need for comprehensive assessment of end-of-life wishes during homecare enrolment and strengthening psychological preparedness of caregivers. Expansion of home-based clinical interventions tailored to high utilizers, and funding for temporary in-home respite should be considered to optimally manage potentially preventable acute healthcare utilization.

Catholic Teaching: A Middle Ground and Guide for End-of-Life Care and Decision-Making and an Antidote for Dying Badly in America

Dying in the United States is characterized as: medicalized, depersonalized, high technology, fragmented with frequent transitions among care settings, burdensome to patients and families, driven by efficiency and effectiveness, and lacking in key areas, for example, access to palliative care and adequate pain and symptom treatment. Patients and families are often left with a choice of two extremes: vitalism or utilitarian pessimism (utilitarianism). The Catholic Church, however, rejects both of these extremes, and Catholic social teaching (CST) at end of life focuses on ordinary-extraordinary treatments/means, a culture of life and human dignity, accompaniment and community, and caring for whole persons through the end of life. The Catholic tradition of ordinary-extraordinary means is helpful to guide complex end-of-life decisions, regardless of one's religious beliefs, and offers a middle ground between vitalism and utilitarianism that can inform end-of-life care and decision-making for all patients in Catholic health care. While it does not provide answers, it offers guidance and enables conversations that are crucial for the dying and their families to make autonomous, informed decisions about end-of-life care. It provides an opportunity for the dying to let the care team, loved ones, and decision-makers know what a life with meaning, purpose, and passion is for them-and how they want to live and die. This article will summarize the problem, describe end-of-life Catholic teaching, and discuss how it offers a middle-ground. Arguments for and against vitalism and utilitarianism will be explored, including a discussion of CST's response to those receiving care in Catholic health care facilities who are outside the Catholic tradition and do not believe in the teaching. The last section describes a model of collaborative partnership where local parishes and Catholic health care come together to tackle the challenges of caring for and ministering to the seriously ill and those facing death.

Considerations of Intersectionality for Older Adults with Palliative Care Needs in the Emergency Department: An Integrative Review

Purpose of Review

We sought to identify current interventions, research, or non-research evidence that has direct or indirect consideration of intersectionality in the care of older adults in the emergency department (ED). An integrative review informed by Crenshaw's Theory of Intersectionality was conducted in accordance with Whittemore and Knafl's five-stage methodology. A rigorous review process determined appropriateness for inclusion, and articles were analyzed for areas related to direct or indirect relationship to intersectionality.

Recent Findings

Older adults aged 60 and above in the United States (US) account for more than 20% of ED visits annually, and half of older adults will visit the ED in their last year of life. There has been a growing focus on adapting the ED to meet the palliative care needs of older adults, but relatively little consideration has been given to older adults' intersectional identities.

Summary

Six articles were identified that provided indirect insights into the status of intersectionality in ED-based palliative care for older adults. Two areas of interest were identified: (1) intersectional elements or reference to such elements embedded within the studies; and (2) the challenges of adapting quantitative methodologies to incorporate variables and approaches that would allow for intersectional analysis. This review highlights areas for future research along with recommendations for adopting an intersectional framing into commonly used methodologies.

Social Model Hospice Residential Care Homes: Whom Do They Really Serve?

BACKGROUND

Most prefer to die at home, but the Medicare Hospice Benefit does not cover custodial care, making it difficult for terminally ill patients with housing insecurity and/or caregiver instability to access hospice care at home.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the characteristics of patients who received end-of-life care in community-run, residential care homes (RCHs) operating under the social model hospice.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review of 500 residents who were admitted to one of three RCHs in Upstate New York over a 15-year period (2004-2019).

RESULTS

Patients served by the RCHs included 318 (63.6%) women and 182 (36.4%) men aged 34-101 (M = 77.8). The majority (94.9%) were Caucasian and most had cancer diagnoses (71.6%). Prior to admission, most (93%) patients resided in a private residence, and nearly half (47%) lived alone, but most (81.7%) had full- or part-time caregivers. Nearly all patients were admitted either directly from a hospital (47.5%) or private home (47.2%). Over half (52%) were admitted to RCHs within a month of hospice enrollment, and 20.1% enrolled concurrent with admission. While the average length of stay was 21 days, 50% died within 10 days of admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-run RCHs represent a unique approach for improving access to hospice home care for patients with home insecurity and/or caregiver instability, yet most patients had prior caregiver coverage and were admitted from a hospital or home setting, suggesting there is a need for community care settings for patients unable to remain at home in the final weeks or days prior to death.

Can a Home-Based Collaborative Care Model Reduce Health Services Utilization for Older Medicaid Beneficiaries Living with Depression and Co-occurring Chronic Conditions? A Quasi-experimental Study

Depression remains a major public health issue for older adults, increasing risk of costly health services utilization. While home-based collaborative care models (CCM) like PEARLS have been shown to effectively treat depression in low-income older adults living with multiple chronic conditions, their economic impact is unclear. We conducted a quasi-experimental study to estimate PEARLS effect on health service utilization among low-income older adults. Our secondary data analysis merged de-identified PEARLS program data (N = 1106), home and community-based services (HCBS) administrative data (N = 16,096), and Medicaid claims and encounters data (N = 164) from 2011 to 2016 in Washington State. We used nearest neighbor propensity matching to create a comparison group of social service recipients similar to PEARLS participants on key determinants of utilization guided by Andersen's Model. Primary outcomes were inpatient hospitalizations, emergency room (ER) visits, and nursing home days; secondary outcomes were long-term supports and services (LTSS), mortality, depression and health. We used an event study difference-in-difference (DID) approach to compare outcomes. Our final dataset included 164 older adults (74% female, 39% people of color, mean PHQ-9 12.2). One-year post-enrollment, PEARLS participants had statistically significant improvements in inpatient hospitalizations (69 fewer hospitalizations per 1000 member months, p = 0.02) and 37 fewer nursing home days (p < 0.01) than comparison group participants; there were no significant improvements in ER visits. PEARLS participants also experienced lower mortality. This study shows the potential value of home-based CCM for participants, organizations and policymakers. Future research is needed to examine potential cost savings.

Enhancing Care of Older Adults Through Standardizing Palliative Care Education

Nursing skill in caring for persons with serious chronic illness is increasingly in demand as the proportion of older adults in the United States increases. There is robust evidence that palliative care education among health care providers influences the reduction of death anxiety and avoidance behavior, while positively impacting self-efficacy and comfort, when caring for persons with serious illness or those nearing death. The international recognition of access to palliative care as a universal human right drives the need for education to adequately prepare nurses who have not been properly prepared for this work. The development of national competencies in palliative care education for nurses is an important step in synthesizing and disseminating available evidence in support of palliative care nursing education. These recently published competencies can lead to policy innovations at local, state, and national levels. Identifying competencies that lead to more clearly defined curricula will ultimately improve standardizing education and improve nursing practice in caring for older adults with serious chronic illness and their families. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 49(6), 6-12.].

A 6-Week Program to Strengthen Resiliency Among Women With Metastatic Cancer: A Randomized Clinical Trial

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of an intervention (Growing Resilience And CouragE; GRACE) on spiritual well-being, quality of life, and general well-being in women with metastatic cancers reporting existential or spiritual distress.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospective, randomized, wait-list control clinical trial. Women with metastatic cancer experiencing existential or spiritual concerns were randomized to GRACE or waitlist control. Survey data were collected at baseline, end of program, and 1-month follow-up. Participants included English-speaking women, 18 or older, with metastatic cancer, existential or spiritual concerns, and reasonable medical stability. Eighty-one women were assessed for eligibility; 10 were excluded (not meeting exclusion criteria, refusal to participate, and death). The primary outcome was spiritual well-being measured pre- and post-program. Secondary measures assessed quality of life, anxiety, depression, hopelessness, and loneliness.

RESULTS

Seventy-one women (aged 47-72) were enrolled (GRACE n = 37, waitlist control n = 34). GRACE participants demonstrated significant improvements in spiritual well-being compared to control at end of program (parameter estimate (PE), 16.67, 95% CI, 13.17, 20.16) and 1-month follow-up (PE, 10.31, 95% CI, 6.73, 13.89). Additionally, significant improvements were demonstrated in quality of life at the end of program (PE, 8.51, 95% CI, 4.26, 12.76) and 1-month follow-up (PE, 6.17, 95% CI, 1.75, 10.58). GRACE participants also demonstrated improved depression and hopelessness at follow-up, as well as improved anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest the value of evidence-based psychoeducational and experiential interventions for improving the well-being and quality of life of women with advanced cancer.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02707510.

Assessing the Acceptability and Feasibility of Leveraging Emergency Department Social Workers' Advanced Communication Skills to Assess Elderly Patients' Goals and Values

Background: The Emergency Department (ED) has increasingly been recognized as an important site of care for older adults with unmet palliative care needs. Despite this, no clear model of care delivery has emerged. Aim: To assess the acceptability and feasibility of a scripted palliative care communication intervention in the ED directed by social workers. We hypothesized that the intervention would be feasible, acceptable to patients and ED social workers, and that the collection of patient outcomes would be possible. Design: A prospective, unblinded, pilot randomized clinical trial of older adults with serious illness presenting to the ED. Patients were randomized to either receive a social worker-directed palliative care intervention (n-65), which consisted of a conversation focused on patients' goals, values, hopes and worries, or to usual care (n-52). The intervention was evaluated for feasibility and acceptability. Results: Of patients randomized to the intervention arm, 66% (43/65) completed a conversation with the social worker. Focus group feedback with the social workers further demonstrated the feasibility of these conversations. There was minimal (12%) loss to follow-up. Of the patients who received the intervention, the majority reported that they appreciated the social workers bringing up their goals for the future (77%), their social workers asking about their fears and worries (72%), and they liked the way the conversation was set up (81%). Social workers administered 95% of the conversation components. Conclusions: This pilot trial demonstrated the feasibility and acceptability of a social worker-directed, scripted palliative care communication intervention in a single urban, academic ED.

The Impact of Health Information Exchange on In-Hospital and Postdischarge Mortality in Older Adults with Alzheimer Disease Readmitted to a Different Hospital Within 30 Days of Discharge: Cohort Study of Medicare Beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Although electronic health information sharing is expanding nationally, it is unclear whether electronic health information sharing improves patient outcomes, particularly for patients who are at the highest risk of communication challenges, such as older adults with Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between hospital-level health information exchange (HIE) participation and in-hospital or postdischarge mortality among Medicare beneficiaries with Alzheimer disease or 30-day readmissions to a different hospital following an admission for one of several common conditions.

METHODS

This was a cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries with Alzheimer disease who had one or more 30-day readmissions in 2018 following an initial admission for select Hospital Readmission Reduction Program conditions (acute myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and pneumonia) or common reasons for hospitalization among older adults with Alzheimer disease (dehydration, syncope, urinary tract infection, or behavioral issues). Using unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression, we examined the association between electronic information sharing and in-hospital mortality during the readmission or mortality in the 30 days following the readmission.

RESULTS

A total of 28,946 admission-readmission pairs were included. Beneficiaries with same-hospital readmissions were older (aged 81.1, SD 8.6 years) than beneficiaries with readmissions to different hospitals (age range 79.8-80.3 years, P<.001). Compared to admissions and readmissions to the same hospital, beneficiaries who had a readmission to a different hospital that shared an HIE with the admission hospital had 39% lower odds of dying during the readmission (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.61, 95% CI 0.39-0.95). There were no differences in in-hospital mortality observed for admission-readmission pairs to different hospitals that participated in different HIEs (AOR 1.02, 95% CI 0.82-1.28) or to different hospitals where one or both hospitals did not participate in HIE (AOR 1.25, 95% CI 0.93-1.68), and there was no association between information sharing and postdischarge mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that information sharing between unrelated hospitals via a shared HIE may be associated with lower in-hospital, but not postdischarge, mortality for older adults with Alzheimer disease. In-hospital mortality during a readmission to a different hospital was higher if the admission and readmission hospitals participated in different HIEs or if one or both hospitals did not participate in an HIE. Limitations of this analysis include that HIE participation was measured at the hospital level, rather than at the provider level. This study provides some evidence that HIEs can improve care for vulnerable populations receiving acute care from different hospitals.

Nursing Home Resident, Family, and Staff Perspectives on Hospital Transfers for End-of-Life Care

Residents who are terminally ill often experience transfers to the emergency department resulting in hospitalizations, which may be potentially avoidable with treatment in the nursing home. This qualitative study explored the perspectives of 15 residents, 10 family members, and 20 nursing home staff regarding end-of-life care and the circumstances prompting resident transfers. Data analysis of participant interviews conducted January to May 2019 in a South Florida nursing home identified four themes related to transfer to the hospital: time left to live, when aggressive treatments would be unavailing, not knowing what the nursing home can do, and transfer decisions are situation-dependent. Study findings underscore the importance of increasing resident and family awareness of treatments available in the nursing home and person-centered advance care planning discussions. Further research should explore the reasons for residents' and family members' choice of aggressive therapies and their goals for care at the end of life.

The TRIBE model: How socioemotional processes fuel end-of-life treatment in the United States

Prior interventions have repeatedly failed to decrease the prescription and receipt of treatments and procedures that confer more harm than benefit at the End-of-Life (EoL); new approaches to intervention are needed. Ideally, future interventions would be informed by a social-ecological conceptual model that explains EoL healthcare utilization patterns, but current models ignore two facts: (1) healthcare is an inherently social activity, involving clinical teams and patients' social networks, and (2) emotions influence social activity. To address these omissions, we scaffolded Terror Management Theory and Socioemotional Selectivity Theory to create the Transtheoretical Model of Irrational Biomedical Exuberance (TRIBE). Based on Terror Management Theory, TRIBE suggests that the prospect of patient death motivates healthcare teams to conform to a biomedical norm of care, even when clinicians believe that biomedical interventions will likely be unhelpful. Based on Socioemotional Selectivity Theory, TRIBE suggests that the prospect of dwindling time motivates families to prioritize emotional goals, and leads patients to consent to disease-directed treatments they know will likely be unhelpful, as moral emotions motivate deference to the perceived emotional needs of their loved ones. TRIBE is unique among models of healthcare utilization in its acknowledgement that moral emotions and processes (e.g., shame, compassion, regret-avoidance) influence healthcare delivery, patients' interactions with family members, and patients' outcomes. TRIBE is especially relevant to potentially harmful EoL care in the United States, and it also offers insights into the epidemics of overtreatment in healthcare settings worldwide. By outlining the role of socioemotional processes in the care of persons with serious conditions, TRIBE underscores the critical need for psychological innovation in interventions, health policy and research on healthcare utilization.

Attitude toward end-of-life care in emergency medicine residents- can a short workshop make a difference?

BACKGROUND

There is a growing demand for palliative care (PC) in Emergency departments (ED) as the number of patients who need end-of-life (EOL) care is increasing. Despite significant variability amongst residency programs, there is a lack of structured core curriculum for PC/EOL care in most emergency medicine (EM) training programs, which often do not meet the needs of EM physicians. In this study, we evaluate the effect of a short EOL care workshop on changing the attitude of Iranian EM residents towards EOL care in ED.

METHOD

In this prospective before/after educational study at Tehran University of medical science, we enrolled 40 EM residents using a random sampling method. We obtained demographic and practice background information, and participants underwent a half-day PC training workshop designed by an expert panel. We administered a translated and validated Standard PEAS (physician End of Life Care Attitude Scale) questionnaire before and four weeks after an educational intervention. Baseline and differences in attitude were reported and compared by paired t-test, repeated measure ANOVA, and ANOVA.

RESULTS

None of the participants had prior experience of formal PC training. All of the 40 participants completed the follow-up questionnaire. Baseline attitude was not different among demographic groups. The mean (SD) PEAS score before and four weeks after the workshop was 86.9 (5.8) versus 89(6.9), respectively (P = 0.023). Residents with no previous close exposure to a terminal illness in their family members had significantly more attitude change than those with such an experience (P = 0.045).

CONCLUSION

A brief educational intervention improved EM residents' attitudes toward EOL care. The optimal design and characteristics of this educational intervention yet remain to be defined by further studies.

ACO Spending and Utilization Among Medicare Patients at the End of Life: an Observational Study

BACKGROUND

End-of-life (EOL) costs constitute a substantial portion of healthcare spending in the USA and have been increasing. ACOs may offer an opportunity to improve quality and curtail EOL spending.

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether practices that became ACOs altered spending and utilization at the EOL.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of Medicare claims.

PATIENTS

We assigned patients who died in 2012 and 2015 to an ACO or non-ACO practice. Practices that converted to ACOs in 2013 or 2014 were matched to non-ACOs in the same region. A total of 23,643 ACO patients were matched to 23,643 non-ACO patients.

MAIN MEASURES

Using a difference-in-differences model, we examined changes in EOL spending and care utilization after ACO implementation.

KEY RESULTS

The introduction of ACOs did not significantly impact overall spending for patients in the last 6 months of life (difference-in-difference (DID) = $192, 95%CI -$841 to $1125, P = 0.72). Changes in spending did not differ between ACO and non-ACO patients across spending categories (inpatient, outpatient, physician services, skilled nursing, home health, hospice). No differences were seen between ACO and non-ACO patients in rates of ED visits, inpatient admissions, ICU admission, mean healthy days at home, and mean hospice days at 180 and 30 days prior to death. However, non-ACO patients had a significantly greater increase in hospice utilization compared to ACO patients at 180 days (DID P-value = 0.02) and 30 days (DID P-value = 0.01) prior to death.

CONCLUSIONS

With the exception of hospice care utilization, spending and utilization were not different between ACOs and non-ACO patients at the EOL. Longer follow-up may be necessary to evaluate the impact of ACOs on EOL spending and care.

Continuity of physician care over the last year of life for different cause-of-death categories: a retrospective population-based study

BACKGROUND

The mix of care provided by family physicians, specialists and palliative care physicians can vary by the illnesses leading to death, which may result in disruptions of continuity of care at the end of life. We measured continuity of outpatient physician care in the last year of life across differing causes of death and assessed factors associated with higher continuity.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective descriptive study of adults who died in Ontario between 2013 and 2018, using linked provincial health administrative data. We calculated 3 measures of continuity (usual provider, Bice-Boxerman and sequential continuity), which range from 0 to 1, from outpatient physician visits over the last year of life for terminal illness, organ failure, frailty, sudden death and other causes of death. We used multivariable logistic regression models to evaluate associations between characteristics and a continuity score of 0.5 or greater.

RESULTS

Among the 417 628 decedents, we found that mean usual provider, Bice-Boxerman and sequential continuity indices were 0.37, 0.30 and 0.37, respectively, with continuity being the lowest for those with terminal illness (0.27, 0.23 and 0.33, respectively). Higher number of comorbidities, higher neighbourhood income quintile and all non-sudden death categories were associated with lower continuity.

INTERPRETATION

We found that continuity of physician care in the last year of life was low, especially in those with cancer. Further research is needed to validate measures of continuity against end-of-life health care outcomes.

Longitudinal patterns and predictors of healthcare utilization among cancer patients on home-based palliative care in Singapore: a group-based multi-trajectory analysis

BACKGROUND

Home-based palliative care (HPC) is considered to moderate the problem of rising healthcare utilization of cancer patients at end-of-life. Reports however suggest a proportion of HPC patients continue to experience high care intensity. Little is known about differential trajectories of healthcare utilization in patients on HPC. Thus, we aimed to uncover the heterogeneity of healthcare utilization trajectories in HPC patients and identify predictors of each utilization pattern.

METHODS

This is a cohort study of adult cancer patients referred by Singapore Health Services to HCA Hospice Service who died between 1st January 2018 and 31st March 2020. We used patient-level data to capture predisposing, enabling, and need factors for healthcare utilization. Group-based multi-trajectory modelling was applied to identify trajectories for healthcare utilization based on the composite outcome of emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalization, and outpatient visits.

RESULTS

A total of 1572 cancer patients received HPC (median age, 71 years; interquartile range, 62-80 years; 51.1% female). We found three distinct trajectory groups: group 1 (31.9% of cohort) with persistently low frequencies of healthcare utilization, group 2 (44.1%) with persistently high frequencies, and group 3 (24.0%) that begin with moderate frequencies, which dropped over the next 9 months before increasing in the last 3 months. Predisposing (age, advance care plan completion, and care preferences), enabling (no medical subsidy, primary decision maker), and need factors (cancer type, comorbidity burden and performance status) were significantly associated with group membership. High symptom needs increased ED visits and hospitalizations in all three groups (ED visits, group 1-3: incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.74-6.85; hospitalizations, group 1-3: IRR 1.69-6.60). High home visit intensity reduced outpatient visits in all three groups (group 1-3 IRR 0.54-0.84), while it contributed to reduction of ED visits (IRR 0.40; 95% CI 0.25-0.62) and hospitalizations (IRR 0.37; 95% CI 0.24-0.58) in group 2.

CONCLUSIONS

This study on HPC patients highlights three healthcare utilization trajectories with implications for targeted interventions. Future efforts could include improving advance care plan completion, supporting care preferences in the community, proactive interventions among symptomatic high-risk patients, and stratification of home visit intensity.

Sauver JL. Prevalence of co-occurring serious illness diagnoses and association with health care utilization at the end of life

INTRODUCTION

End-of-life care differs by serious illness diagnosis. Cancer and dementia are serious illnesses that have been associated with less intensive end-of-life health care use. It is not known how health care utilization varies in the presence of >1 serious illness.

METHODS

We used the Rochester Epidemiology Project to identify persons living in a midwestern area who died on July 1, 2017-June 30, 2018 at age ≥65 years, and were seriously ill. We examined the number of emergency department (ED), hospital, and intensive care unit (ICU) stays in the last 6 months and the last 30 days of life. We used Poisson regression to determine the incidence rate ratio for ED, hospital, and ICU stay in the last 6 months and 30 days of life by number of serious illness diagnoses. For cancer and dementia, we examined the effect of an additional serious illness.

RESULTS

We included a population of 1372 adults who were, on average, 84 years, 52% female, and 96% white. Approximately 41% had multiple serious illnesses. Compared to older adults with 1 serious illness diagnosis, rates of hospitalization, and ICU stay for adults with 2 or ≥3 serious illness diagnoses were at least 1.5 times higher in the last 6 months and the last 30 days of life. Rates of ED visits were significantly higher for older adults with 2 or ≥3 serious illness diagnoses in the last 6 months of life, but only higher for those with ≥3 versus 1 serious illness diagnosis in the last 30 days of life. For both cancer and dementia, rates of ED visits, hospitalization and ICU stay were lower for the condition alone than when an additional serious illness diagnosis was present.

CONCLUSION

Having multiple serious illnesses increases the risk of health care utilization at the end of life.

Lesson Learned From Hospital Palliative Care Service in a Cancer Research Center in Italy: Results of 5 Years of Experience

Background

International studies have documented that over a third of all hospital beds are occupied by patients with palliative care needs in their last year of life. Experiences of Palliative Care Services that take place prevalently or exclusively in hospital settings are very few in Italy.

Objective

Describe clinical, educational and research activities performed by a hospital PCS and discussing opportunities and critical issues encountered in an Italian Cancer Center.

Method

Retrospective data regarding adults with advanced stage diseases referred from January 2015 to December 2019.

Results

Clinical activity - The PCS performed 2422 initial consultations with an average of 484 initial consultations per year. A majority of patients had advanced cancer, from 85% to 72%, with an average of 2583 total consultations per year and an average of 4.63 consultations per patient. The penetrance has increased over time from 6.3% to 15.75%. Educational and research activity - Since 2015, PCS has provided training to health professionals (HPs) of different departments of our hospital. Most of the educational projects for HPs were part of research projects, for example the communication training program, management of pain and end-of-life symptoms and the training program for PC-based skills.

Conclusion

Our data suggests that a PCS able to provide palliative care to inpatients and outpatient and continuous training support to other hospital specialists can relatively quickly improve the level of its penetrance in hospital activities.

Transitions from Home Health to Hospice: The Role of Agency Affiliation

Background: Home health agencies (HHAs) are often affiliated with hospice agencies and commonly care for patients with serious illness within the Medicare program. HHAs may therefore provide a potential opportunity to facilitate timely referral to hospice when appropriate. Objectives: To determine if patients cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospice agencies experience differential hospice use and care patterns. Design: Nationally representative cohort study. Setting/Subjects: 1431 decedents in the 2002 to 2017 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey who received home health in the last year of life in the United States. Measurements: Primary independent variable was HHA hospice affiliation. Primary dependent variable was hospice enrollment; secondary dependent variables were hospice live discharge and length of stay. Results: The 27.3% of decedents cared for by a HHA affiliated with a hospice had greater education levels and wealth and were more likely to live in the Midwest and Northeast. In adjusted models, HHA-hospice affiliated decedents had greater odds of enrolling in hospice compared to those cared for by HHAs not affiliated with a hospice, corresponding to a hospice enrollment rate of 51.0% for those cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospices versus 39.7% for HHAs not affiliated (p = 0.004). There were no differences in hospice length of stay or live discharge rate by hospice affiliation. Conclusion: Medicare beneficiaries cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospices are more likely to enroll in hospice at the end of life. This has implications for improving hospice access through home health incentives and models of care.

Racial and Ethnic Differences in Hospice Use and Hospitalizations at End-of-Life Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Dementia

IMPORTANCE

The pool of studies examining ethnic and racial differences in hospice use and end-of-life hospitalizations among patients with dementia is limited and results are conflicting, making it difficult to assess health care needs of underresourced racial and ethnic groups.

OBJECTIVE

To explore differences in end-of-life utilization of hospice and hospital services among patients with dementia by race and ethnicity.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used national survey data from the Health and Retirement Study linked with Medicare and Medicaid claims that reflected a range of socioeconomic, health, and psychosocial characteristics. Eligible participants were Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 years or older diagnosed with dementia who died between 2000 and 2016. Analyses were performed from June to December 2021.

EXPOSURES

Race and ethnicity.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

We examined the frequency and costs of hospice care, emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalizations during the last 180 days of life among Medicare decedents with dementia. We analyzed the proportion of dementia decedents with advance care planning and their end-of-life care preferences.

RESULTS

The cohort sample included 5058 beneficiaries with dementia (mean [SD] age, 85.5 [8.0] years; 3038 women [60.1%]; 809 [16.0%] non-Hispanic Black, 357 [7.1%] Hispanic, and 3892 non-Hispanic White respondents [76.9%]). In adjusted analysis, non-Hispanic Black decedents (odds ratio [OR], 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55-0.78), nursing home residents (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.71-0.93), and survey respondents represented by a proxy (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.71-0.99) were less likely to use hospice, whereas older decedents (age 75-84 vs 65-74 years: OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.12-1.72; age ≥85 vs 65-74 years: OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.13-1.71), women (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.05-1.35), and decedents with higher education (high school vs less than high school: OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.01-1.36; more than high school vs less than high school: OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.13-1.54), more severe cognitive impairment (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.02-2.23), and more instrumental activities of daily living limitations (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12) were associated with higher hospice enrollment. A higher proportion of Black and Hispanic decedents with dementia used ED (645 of 809 [79.7%] and 274 of 357 [76.8%] vs 2753 of 3892 [70.7%]; P < .001) and inpatient services (625 of 809 [77.3%] and 275 of 357 [77.0%] vs 2630 of 3892 [67.5%]; P < .001) and incurred roughly 60% higher inpatient expenditures at the end of life compared with White decedents (estimated mean: Black, $23 279; 95% CI, $20 690-$25 868; Hispanic, $23 471; 95% CI, $19 532-$27 410 vs White, $14 609; 95% CI, $13 800-$15 418). A higher proportion of Black and Hispanic than White beneficiaries with dementia who were enrolled in hospice were subsequently admitted to the ED (56 of 309 [18.1%] and 22 of 153 [14.4%] vs 191 of 1967 [9.7%]; P < .001) or hospital (48 of 309 [15.5%] and 17 of 153 [11.1%] vs 119 of 1967 [6.0%]; P < .001) before death. The proportion of dementia beneficiaries completing advance care planning was lower among Black (146 of 704 [20.7%]) and Hispanic (66 of 308 [21.4%]) beneficiaries compared with White beneficiaries (1871 of 3274 [57.1%]). A higher proportion of Black and Hispanic decedents with dementia had written instructions choosing all care possible to prolong life (30 of 144 [20.8%] and 12 of 65 [18.4%] vs 72 of 1852 [3.9%]), whereas a higher proportion of White decedents preferred to limit care in certain situations (1708 of 1840 [92.8%] vs 114 of 141 [80.9%] and 51 of 64 [79.7%]), withhold treatments (1448 of 1799 [80.5%] vs 87 of 140 [62.1%] and 41 of 62 [66.1%]), and forgo extensive life-prolonging measures (1712 of 1838 [93.1%] vs 120 of 138 [87.0%] and 54 of 65 [83.1%]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The results of this cohort study highlight unique end-of-life care utilization and treatment preferences across racial and ethnic groups among patients with dementia. Medicare should consider alternative payment models to promote culturally competent end-of-life care and reduce low-value interventions and costs among the population with dementia.

Hospice Improves Care Quality For Older Adults With Dementia In Their Last Month Of Life

The Medicare hospice benefit was originally designed around a cancer disease paradigm but increasingly serves people living with dementia. At this time, almost half of all older adults receiving hospice care have dementia. Yet there is minimal evidence as to whether hospice benefits people living with dementia outside of nursing facilities. We asked whether and how the perceived quality of last-month-of-life care differed between people with and without dementia and whether hospice use among people living with dementia was associated with perceived quality of care compared with the quality of care for those who did not use hospice. We used nationally representative data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study and Medicare claims from the period 2011-17 to examine the impact of hospice enrollment on proxy perceptions of last-month-of-life care quality. Proxies of people living with dementia enrolled in hospice compared with proxies of those not enrolled more often reported care to be excellent (predicted probability: 52 percent versus 41 percent), more often reported having anxiety or sadness managed (67 percent versus 46 percent), and less often reported changes in care settings in the last three days of life (10 percent versus 25 percent). There were no differences in the impact of hospice on proxy ratings of care for people with and without dementia. Policy makers should consider these benefits when weighing changes to hospice policy and regulations that may affect people living with dementia.

Using a home time measure to differentiate ACO performance for seriously ill populations

BACKGROUND

Alternative Payment Models (APMs) piloted by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) such as ACO Realizing Equity, Access and Community Health (REACH) seek to improve care and quality of life among seriously ill populations (SIP). Days at Home (DAH) was proposed for use in this model to evaluate organizational performance. It is important to assess the utility and feasibility of person-centered outcomes measures, such as DAH, as CMS seeks to advance care models for seriously ill beneficiaries. We leverage existing Accountable Care Organization (ACO) contracts to evaluate the feasibility of ACO-level DAH measure and examine characteristics associated with ACOs with more DAH.

METHODS

We calculated DAH for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 68 and over who were retrospectively attributed to a Medicare ACO between 2014 and 2018 and met the seriously ill criteria. We then aggregated to the ACO level DAH for each ACO's seriously ill beneficiaries and risk-adjusted this aggregated measure. Finally, we evaluated associations between risk-adjusted DAH per person-year and ACO, beneficiary, and market characteristics.

RESULTS

ACOs' seriously ill beneficiaries spent an average of 349.3 risk-adjusted DAH per person-year. Risk-adjusted ACO variation, defined as the interquartile range, was 4.21 days (IQR = 347.32-351.53). Beneficiaries of ACOs are composed of a less racially diverse beneficiary cohort, opting for two-sided risk models, and operating in markets with fewer hospital and Skilled Nursing Facility beds had more DAH.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variation across ACOs in the DAH measure for seriously ill beneficiaries suggests the measure can differentiate between high and low performing provider groups. Key to the success of the metric is accurate risk adjustment to ensure providers have adequate resources to care for seriously ill beneficiaries. Organizational factors, such as the ACO size and level of risk, are strongly associated with more days at home.

A Scoping Review on the Experience of Participating in Dignity Therapy for Adults at the End of Life

Background: As the proportion of aging population is increasing, so is the need for palliative care services. The end of life is marked by suffering and currently it is not well addressed in palliative care. Dignity therapy (DT) is one of the most popular therapies aimed at reducing suffering at the life and yet the quantitative evidence supporting its effectiveness is mixed. Also, no study has looked extensively at the qualitative literature. Objective: To describe the experience of participating in DT for adults in end of life. Design: A scoping review was conducted on the experience of DT among adults at their end of life. We searched electronic databases between 2002 and 2020. Two reviewers independently screened, extracted, and coded the data. They were analyzed using a thematic framework approach. Results: Twelve articles were included in the final analysis and were published between 2010 and 2019. The articles originated from the United States (3), Canada (3), Poland (2), Australia (2), the United Kingdom (2), Italy (1), and Germany (1). Two main categories of themes emerged from our analysis: themes mentioned during the DT intervention and themes following the DT intervention. The primary themes found during the DT intervention are discussions relating to the end of life, reflection on life, and creating a life narrative. The themes found following the DT intervention are that it opened a reflection on the past, that this was a helpful intervention, and that it was difficult, but important. Conclusions: Few qualitative studies assessed the experience of participating in DT following the intervention. This gap in the literature could explain the difficulties we currently have in understanding the effects of DT. Future studies should aim to assess how the effects of DT are perceived by patients after the intervention.

Variation in Hospice Experiences by Care Setting for Patients With Dementia

OBJECTIVES

Use of hospice care among patients with dementia has been steadily increasing. Our objectives were to characterize quality of hospice care experiences among decedents who had a primary diagnosis of dementia and their caregivers and investigate differences across settings of hospice care.

DESIGN

We analyzed Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (CAHPS) Hospice Survey data from caregiver respondents whose family members received hospice care.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Data from 96,845 caregiver respondents whose family members had a primary diagnosis of dementia and died in 2017 or 2018 while receiving hospice care in 2829 hospices.

METHODS

We calculated quality measure scores overall and stratified by setting, adjusting for mode of survey administration and differences in case mix, and examined variability in hospice-level scores among decedents with dementia.

RESULTS

Mean quality measure scores ranged from 69.0 (Getting Hospice Care Training) to 90.9 (Getting Emotional Support). Measure scores varied significantly across settings, with caregivers of decedents who received care in a nursing home (NH), acute care hospital (ACH), or assisted living facility (ALF) consistently reporting poorer quality of care. Hospice-level scores varied substantially, with a wide range between the 10th and 90th percentiles of hospice performance (eg, 25 points).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

There are important opportunities to improve hospice care for patients with dementia and their caregivers, particularly with respect to caregiver training, symptom management, and across all dimensions within the NH, ACH, and ALF settings. Variability in care experiences across hospices, as well as long lengths of stay for those with dementia, highlight the importance of informed and timely hospice referral.

Medicare-funded home-based clinical care for community-dwelling persons with dementia: An essential healthcare delivery mechanism

BACKGROUND

Over the past decade, medical care has shifted from institutions into home settings-particularly among persons with dementia. Yet it is unknown how home-based clinical services currently support persons with dementia, and what factors shape access.

METHODS

Using the National Health and Aging Trends Study linked to Medicare claims 2012-2017, we identified 6664 community-dwelling adults age ≥ 70 years enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare. Annual assessment of dementia status was determined via self-report, cognitive interview, and/or proxy assessment. Receipt of four types of home-based clinical care (home-based medical care (HBMC) (i.e., nurse practitioner, physician, or physician assistant visits), skilled home health care (SHHC), podiatry visits, and other types of home-based clinical services (e.g., behavioral health)) was assessed annually. We compared age-adjusted rates of home-based clinical care by dementia status and determined sociodemographic, health, and environmental characteristics associated with utilization of home-based clinical care among persons with dementia.

RESULTS

Nearly half (44.4%) of persons with dementia received any home-based clinical care annually compared to only 14.4% of those without dementia. Persons with dementia received substantially more of each type of home-based clinical care than those without dementia including a 5-fold increased use of HBMC (95% CI = 3.8-6.2) and double the use of SHHC (95% CI = 2.0-2.5). In adjusted models, Hispanic/Latino persons with dementia were less likely to receive HBMC (OR = 0.32; 95% CI = 0.11-0.93). Use of HBMC, podiatry, and other home-based clinical care was significantly more likely among those living in residential care facilities, in the Northeast and in metropolitan areas.

CONCLUSION

Although almost half of community-dwelling persons with dementia receive home-based clinical care, there is significant variation in utilization based on race/ethnicity and environmental context. Increased understanding as to how these factors impact utilization is necessary to reduce potential inequities in healthcare delivery among the dementia population.

Dementia diagnosis and utilization patterns in a racially diverse population within an integrated health care delivery system

Introduction

In an effort to identify improvement opportunities for earlier dementia detection and care within a large, integrated health care system serving diverse Medicare Advantage (MA) beneficiaries, we examined where, when, and by whom Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) diagnoses are recorded as well as downstream health care utilization and life care planning.

Methods

Patients 65 years and older, continuously enrolled in the Kaiser Foundation health plan for at least 2 years, and with a first ADRD diagnosis between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2018, comprised the incident cohort. Electronic health record data were used to identify site and source of the initial diagnosis (clinic vs hospital-based, provider type), health care utilization in the year before and after diagnosis, and end-of-life care.

Results

ADRD prevalence was 5.5%. A total of 25,278 individuals had an incident ADRD code (rate: 1.2%) over the study period-nearly half during a hospital-based encounter. Hospital-diagnosed patients had higher comorbidities, acute care use before and after diagnosis, and 1-year mortality than clinic-diagnosed individuals (36% vs 11%). Many decedents (58%-72%) received palliative care or hospice. Of the 55% diagnosed as outpatients, nearly two-thirds were diagnosed by dementia specialists; when used, standardized cognitive assessments indicated moderate stage ADRD. Despite increases in advance care planning and visits to dementia specialists in the year after diagnosis, acute care use also increased for both clinic- and hospital-diagnosed cohorts.

Discussion

Similar to other MA plans, ADRD is under-diagnosed in this health system, compared to traditional Medicare, and diagnosed well beyond the early stages, when opportunities to improve overall outcomes are presumed to be better. Dementia specialists function primarily as consultants whose care does not appear to mitigate acute care use. Strategic targets for ADRD care improvement could focus on generating pragmatic evidence on the value of proactive detection and tracking, care planning, and the role of specialists in chronic care management.

Impact of Comorbid Dementia on Patterns of Hospice Use

Background: The evidence base for understanding hospice use among persons with dementia is almost exclusively based on individuals with a primary terminal diagnosis of dementia. Little is known about whether comorbid dementia influences hospice use patterns. Objective: To estimate the prevalence of comorbid dementia among hospice enrollees and its association with hospice use patterns. Design: Pooled cross-sectional analysis of the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study (HRS) linked to Medicare claims. Subjects: Fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries in the United States who enrolled with hospice and died between 2004 and 2016. Measurements: Dementia was assessed using a validated survey-based algorithm. Hospice use patterns were enrollment less than or equal to three days, enrollment greater than six months, hospice disenrollment, and hospice disenrollment after six months. Results: Of 3123 decedents, 465 (14.9%) had a primary hospice diagnosis of dementia and 943 (30.2%) had comorbid dementia and died of another illness. In fully adjusted models, comorbid dementia was associated with increased odds of hospice enrollment greater than six months (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11-2.09) and hospice disenrollment following six months of hospice (AOR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.43-4.553). Having a primary diagnosis of dementia was associated with increased odds of hospice enrollment greater than six months (AOR = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.86-3.68), hospice disenrollment (AOR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.32-2.51), and hospice disenrollment following six months of hospice (AOR = 4.31, 95% CI: 2.37-7.82). Conclusion: Approximately 45% of the hospice population has primary or comorbid dementia and are at increased risk for long hospice enrollment periods and hospice disenrollment. Consideration of the high prevalence of comorbid dementia should be inherent in hospice staff training, quality metrics, and Medicare Hospice Benefit policies.

Association Between Hospice Enrollment and Total Health Care Costs for Insurers and Families, 2002-2018

Importance

Use of hospice has been demonstrated to be cost saving to the Medicare program and yet the extent to which hospice saves money across all payers, including whether it shifts costs to families, is unknown.

Objective

To estimate the association between hospice use and total health care costs including family out-of-pocket health care spending.

Design Setting and Participants

This retrospective cohort study of health care spending in the last 6 months of life used data from the nationally representative Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) between the years 2002 and 2018. Participants were MCBS participants who resided in the community and died between 2002 and 2018.

Exposures

Covariate balancing propensity scores were used to compare participants who used hospice (n = 2113) and those who did not (n = 3351), stratified by duration of hospice use.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Total health care expenditures were measured across payers (family out-of-pocket, Medicare, Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, private insurance, private health maintenance organizations, Veteran's Administration, and other) and by expenditure type (inpatient care, outpatient care, medical visits, skilled nursing, home health, hospice, durable medical equipment, and prescription drugs).

Results

The study population included 5464 decedents (mean age 78.7 years; 48% female) and 38% enrolled with hospice. Total health care expenditures were lower for those who used hospice compared with propensity score weighted non-hospice control participants for the last 3 days of life ($2813 lower; 95% CI, $2396-$3230); last week of life ($6806 lower; 95% CI, $6261-$7350); last 2 weeks of life ($8785 lower; 95% CI, $7971-$9600); last month of life ($11 747 lower; 95% CI, $10 072-$13 422); and last 3 months of life ($10 908 lower; 95% CI, $7283-$14 533). Family out-of-pocket expenditures were lower for hospice enrollees in the last 3 days of life ($71; 95% CI, $43-$100); last week of life ($216; 95% CI, $175-$256); last 2 weeks of life ($265; 95% CI, $149-$382); and last month of life ($670; 95% CI, $530-$811) compared with those who did not use hospice. Health care savings were associated with reductions in inpatient care.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based cohort study of community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries, hospice enrollment was associated with lower total health care costs for the last 3 days to 3 months of life. Importantly, we found no evidence of cost shifting from Medicare to families related to hospice enrollment. The magnitude of lower out-of-pocket spending to families who enrolled with hospice is meaningful to many Americans, particularly those with lower socioeconomic status.

The construction of the responsible patient in complex palliative care: interpreting palliative care policies

Background:

To contribute with knowledge to health policy development, this article presents a critical discourse analysis of two Norwegian official reports on palliative care published in 1999 and 2017.

Methods:

We identify, describe and discuss how linguistic features in policy documents contribute to and engender a distinct change from 1999 to 2017 in how patients are framed, documenting the development of palliative care.

Results:

The analysis identifies and considers two interwoven discourses: the discourse of accountability and the discourse of complexity. The patient moves from being described as in need of care, in the 1999 report, to being described as an active and responsible patient making proper choices, in the 2017 report.

Conclusion:

Result of this policy development might be less involvement of professionals and focus on existential questions, and more responsibility on patients for their prospective wellbeing and health: a change that we argue should be considered and counteracted in upcoming policy processes considering palliative care.

Improving End-of-Life Care for Persons Living With Dementia: Bereaved Caregivers' Observations and Recommendations

CONTEXT

Dementia is a terminal diagnosis that requires significant caregiving support across the trajectory of decline through to death. Experiences and perspectives from bereaved caregivers can help identify ways to improve the end-of-life care experience of persons dying with dementia.

OBJECTIVES

This exploratory study sought to assess satisfaction with, and elicit recommendations for improving end-of-life care experiences of decedents with dementia from the perspective of bereaved caregivers.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted with caregivers of decedents with dementia (n = 53), from the San Francisco Bay Area, California. Multiple choice and open-ended questions were asked regarding end-of-life care discussions and decisions and respecting and honoring end-of-life needs and wishes. The Satisfaction with Care at the End of Life in Dementia instrument was adapted for the survey.

RESULTS

While approximately 75% of caregivers were satisfied with their person living with dementia's (PLWD) end-of-life care, 25% felt better care was needed. Qualitative findings revealed that gaps persist regarding communication with providers about disease progression, care continuity and coordination, and honoring death in a preferred location. While most caregivers felt ready to discuss end-of-life decisions with providers when their PLWD was near death, with retrospection, the majority would recommend that providers discuss end-of-life decisions with them during earlier stages of the disease.

CONCLUSION

End-of-life care for PLWD has significant room for improvement. Efforts to train healthcare providers should focus on helping them meet the complex informational, emotional, and social support needs of PLWD and their caregivers across the trajectory of decline.

Healthcare Utilization for Stroke Patients at the End of Life: Nationally Representative Data

Objectives Stroke and post-stroke complications are associated with high morbidity, mortality, and cost. Our objective was to examine healthcare utilization and hospice enrollment for stroke patients at the end of life. Materials and methods The 2014 Nationwide Readmissions Database is a national database of > 14 million admissions. We used validated ICD-9 codes to identify fatal ischemic stroke, summarized demographics and hospitalization characteristics, and examined healthcare use within 30 days before fatal stroke admission. We used de-identified 2014 Medicare hospice data to identify stroke and non-stroke patients admitted to hospice. Results Among IS admissions in 2014 (n = 472,969), 22652 (4.8%) had in-hospital death. 28.2% with fatal IS had two or more hospitalizations in 2014. Among those with fatal IS admission, 13.0% were admitted with cerebrovascular disease within 30 days of fatal IS admission. Half of stroke patients discharged to hospice from the Medicare dataset were hospitalized with cerebrovascular disease within the thirty days prior to hospice enrollment. Within the study year, 6.9% of hospice enrollees had one or more emergency room visits, 31.7% had one or more inpatient encounters, and 5.2% had one or more nursing facility encounters (compared to 21.4%, 70.6%, and 27.2% respectively in the 30-day period prior to enrollment). Conclusions High rates of readmission prior to fatal stroke may indicate opportunity for improvement in acute stroke management, secondary prevention, and palliative care involvement as encouraged by AHA/ASA guidelines. For patients who are expected to survive 6 months or less, hospice may offer goal-concordant services for patients and caregivers who desire comfort-focused care.

Transferring home to die from critical care units: A scoping review of international practices

PURPOSE

To identify and characterise the international practices of transferring a dying patient home to die from critical care units.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic scoping review following the Joanne Briggs Institute methodology was applied searching fifteen data sources to identify papers published in English and Chinese from 1970 to 2019.

RESULTS

Of the 28 papers meeting eligibility criteria 19 were published in the West and seven in China. The number of patients being transferred home to die was larger in China (74/184-96/159) than in the West (1-7). Clinical characteristics of patients transferred included: consciousness, with or without intubation and ventilation, and clinical stability. Reported key barriers to transfer included: Lack of evidence guiding transfer practice, the CCU environment and culture, Practical and logistical factors and Family members expectations and reactions. Key facilitators of transfer were reported as: Engagement with the multidisciplinary team and Personal patient and family wishes.

CONCLUSIONS

Transferring patients home to die from critical care is a complex practice varying significantly across countries. Further research to address current knowledge gaps is important to inform policy and practice.

Palliative Care Specialist Access is Associated With Rankings of Hospital Quality

CONTEXT

Increasing evidence has shown that access to specialty palliative care, particularly outpatient palliative care clinics, can yield improved health outcomes and be a marker of hospital quality.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether an association exists between access to specialty palliative care programs and hospital rankings found in the 2020-2021 U.S. News & World Report Best Hospitals.

METHODS

This study used publicly available data from the Center to Advance Palliative Care (CAPC) Provider Directory to determine access to in-patient and out-patient palliative care in the 2020-2021 U.S. News & World Report Best Hospitals Rankings. Descriptive statistics and chi-squares were performed. Data were also analyzed across the four U.S. Census Bureau regions (Northeast, South, Midwest, West).

RESULTS

Around 100% of the Top 20 hospitals include hospital-based palliative care consultation teams, and 95% offered outpatient palliative care. Of the second cohort of 83 hospitals, 99% offered inpatient palliative care, and 65% offered outpatient palliative care. Of the third cohort of 75 hospitals ranked, 96% had inpatient palliative care services, while only 41.3% offered outpatient palliative care. This represents a significant association between rank position and access to outpatient palliative care (P < 0.01). Ranked hospitals also have significantly higher access to hospital-based palliative care teams compared to the national prevalence rate (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These findings reflect the association of access to specialty palliative care with USNWR rankings for hospital quality. Further study is necessary to determine the specific influence of access to palliative care and USNWR rank position.

Emergency Department Referral for Hospice and Palliative Care Differs among Patients with Different End-of-Life Trajectories: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Emergency units have been gradually recognized as important settings for palliative care initiation, but require precise palliative care assessments. Patients with different illness trajectories are found to differ in palliative care referrals outside emergency unit settings. Understanding how illness trajectories associate with patient traits in the emergency department may aid assessment of palliative care needs. This study aims to investigate the timing and acceptance of palliative referral in the emergency department among patients with different end-of-life trajectories. Participants were classified into three end-of-life trajectories (terminal, frailty, organ failure). Timing of referral was determined by the interval between the date of referral and the date of death, and acceptance of palliative care was recorded among participants eligible for palliative care. Terminal patients had the highest acceptance of palliative care (61.4%), followed by those with organ failure (53.4%) and patients with frailty (50.1%) (p = 0.003). Terminal patients were more susceptible to late and very late referrals (47.4% and 27.1%, respectively) than those with frailty (34.0%, 21.2%) and with organ failure (30.1%, 18.8%) (p < 0.001, p = 0.022). In summary, patients with different end-of-life trajectories display different palliative care referral and acceptance patterns. Acknowledgement of these characteristics may improve palliative care practice in the emergency department.

The Quality of End-of-Life Care for Women Deceased From Metastatic Breast Cancer

Metastatic breast cancer (MBC) carries unique disease burdens with potential for poor-quality end-of-life (EOL) care. It is the purpose of this article to explore the association of poor-quality EOL care indicators according to key tumor, demographic, social, and clinical factors. End-of-life quality indicators were based on Emanuel and Emanuel's good death model in conjunction with Earle et al (2003). A single-institution retrospective chart review of women deceased from MBC between November 2016 and November 2019 with double-verification chart review was completed. Data were analyzed with descriptive, correlative, and comparative statistics. Total sample was N = 167 women, with 14.4% (n = 24) Black and 85.6% (n = 143) White. Mean (SD) age was 55.3 (11.73) years. Overall, MBC survival was 3.12 years (SD, 3.31): White women, 41.2 months (3.4 years), and Black women, 19 months (1.6 years). A total of 64.1% (n = 107) experienced 1 or more indicators of poor-quality EOL care. Patients more likely to experience poor-quality EOL care were older (P = .03), estrogen negative (P = .08), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (P = .07), from more deprived neighborhoods (P = .02), married (P = .05), and with physical (P = .001) and mental (P = .002) comorbidities. Understanding sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with poor EOL MBC care may be useful for proactive patient navigation.

Live discharge from hospice for people living with dementia isn't "graduating"-It's getting expelled

This editorial comments on the article by Luth et al. in this issue.

Differences in Multimorbidity among Cisgender Sexual Minority and Heterosexual Adults: Investigating Differences across Age-Groups

Objectives: Despite increased risk for chronic disease, there is limited research that has examined disparities in multimorbidity among sexual minority adults and whether these disparities differ by age. Methods: Data were from the 2014-2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We used sex-stratified multinomial logistic regression to examine differences in multimorbidity between sexual minority and heterosexual cisgender adults and whether hypothesized differences varied across age-groups. Results: The sample included 687,151 adults. Gay, lesbian, and bisexual adults had higher odds of meeting criteria for multimorbidity than same-sex heterosexual adults. These disparities were greater among sexual minority adults under the age of 50 years. Only other non-heterosexual men over the age of 50 years and lesbian women over the age of 80 years were less likely to have multimorbidity than their same-sex heterosexual counterparts. Discussion: Health promotion interventions to reduce adverse health outcomes among sexual minorities across the life span are needed.

Association of ACO Shared Savings Success and Serious Illness Spending

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Accountable care organizations (ACOs) need confidence in their return on investment to implement changes in care delivery that prioritize seriously ill and high-cost Medicare beneficiaries. The objective of this study was to characterize spending on seriously ill beneficiaries in ACOs with Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) contracts and the association of spending with ACO shared savings. The population included Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries identified with serious illness (N = 2,109,573) using the Medicare Master Beneficiary Summary File for 100% of ACO-attributed beneficiaries linked to MSSP beneficiary files (2014-2016). Lower spending for seriously ill Medicare beneficiaries and risk-bearing contracts in ACOs were associated with achieving ACO shared savings in the MSSP. For most ACOs, the seriously ill contribute approximately half of the spending and constitute 8%-13% of the attributed population. Patient and geographic (county) factors explained $2,329 of the observed difference in per beneficiary per year spending on seriously ill beneficiaries between high- and low-spending ACOs. The remaining $12,536 may indicate variation as a result of potentially modifiable factors. Consequently, if 10% of attributed beneficiaries were seriously ill, an ACO that moved from the worst to the best quartile of per capita serious illness spending could realize a reduction of $1,200 per beneficiary per year for the ACO population overall. Though the prevalence and case mix of seriously ill populations vary across ACOs, this association suggests that care provided for seriously ill patients is an important consideration for ACOs to achieve MSSP shared savings.

Selection Bias in Observational Studies of Palliative Care: Lessons Learned

CONTEXT

Palliative care (PC) programs are typically evaluated using observational data, raising concerns about selection bias.

OBJECTIVES

To quantify selection bias because of observed and unobserved characteristics in a PC demonstration program.

METHODS

Program administrative data and 100% Medicare claims data in two states and a 20% sample in eight states (2013-2017). The sample included 2983 Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65+ participating in the PC program and three matched cohorts: regional; two states; and eight states. Confounding because of observed factors was measured by comparing patient baseline characteristics. Confounding because of unobserved factors was measured by comparing days of follow-up and six-month and one-year mortality rates.

RESULTS

After matching, evidence for observed confounding included differences in observable baseline characteristics, including race, morbidity, and utilization. Evidence for unobserved confounding included significantly longer mean follow-up in the regional, two-state, and eight-state comparison cohorts, with 207 (P < 0.001), 192 (P < 0.001), and 187 (P < 0.001) days, respectively, compared with the 162 days for the PC cohort. The PC cohort had higher six-month and one-year mortality rates of 53.5% and 64.5% compared with 43.5% and 48.0% in the regional comparison, 53.4% and 57.4% in the two-state comparison, and 55.0% and 59.0% in the eight-state comparison.

CONCLUSION

This case study demonstrates that selection of comparison groups impacts the magnitude of measured and unmeasured confounding, which may change effect estimates. The substantial impact of confounding on effect estimates in this study raises concerns about the evaluation of novel serious illness care models in the absence of randomization. We present key lessons learned for improving future evaluations of PC using observational study designs.

Frailty degree and illness trajectories in older people towards the end-of-life: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

To assess the degree of frailty in older people with different advanced diseases and its relationship with end-of-life illness trajectories and survival.

METHODS

Prospective, observational study, including all patients admitted to the Acute Geriatric Unit of the University Hospital of Vic (Spain) during 12 consecutive months (2014-2015), followed for up to 2 years. Participants were identified as end-of-life people (EOLp) using the NECPAL (NECesidades PALiativas, palliative care needs) tool and were classified according to their dominant illness trajectory. The Frail-VIG index (Valoración Integral Geriátrica, Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment) was used to quantify frailty degree, to calculate the relationship between frailty and mortality (Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves), and to assess the combined effect of frailty degree and illness trajectories on survival (Cox proportional hazards model). Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier estimator with participants classified into four groups (ie, no frailty, mild frailty, moderate frailty and advanced frailty) and were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Of the 590 persons with a mean (SD) age of 86.4 (5.6) years recruited, 260 (44.1%) were identified as EOLp, distributed into cancer (n=31, 11.9%), organ failure (n=79, 30.4%), dementia (n=86, 33.1%) and multimorbidity (n=64, 24.6%) trajectories. All 260 EOLp had some degree of frailty, mostly advanced frailty (n=184, 70.8%), regardless of the illness trajectory, and 220 (84.6%) died within 2 years. The area under the ROC curve (95% CI) after 2 years of follow-up for EOLp was 0.87 (0.84 to 0.92) with different patterns of survival decline in the different end-of-life trajectories (p<0.0001). Cox regression analyses showed that each additional deficit of the Frail-VIG index increased the risk of death by 61.5%, 30.1%, 29.6% and 12.9% in people with dementia, organ failure, multimorbidity and cancer, respectively (p<0.01 for all the coefficients).

CONCLUSIONS

All older people towards the end-of-life in this study were frail, mostly with advanced frailty. The degree of frailty is related to survival across the different illness trajectories despite the differing survival patterns among trajectories. Frailty indexes may be useful to assess end-of-life older people, regardless of their trajectory.