Development and validation of novel algorithms to identify patients with inflammatory bowel diseases in Israel: an epi-IIRN group study

The Epidemiology of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Comparison of Two Nationwide Cohorts

BACKGROUND

We aimed to explore the epidemiology of inflammatory bowel diseases [IBD] in association with the COVID-19 pandemic in two countries with different lockdown policies.

METHODS

We utilized nationwide IBD cohorts in Israel and Sweden to explore the incidence of IBD during the pandemic compared to 3 years prior [2017-2019]. We examined temporal trends through the presence of inflection points by Joinpoint regression analysis and reported average monthly percentage changes [AMPC].

RESULTS

A total of 155 837 patients with IBD were included [Israel, 58 640; Sweden, 97 197]. The annual incidence of IBD was stable until 2019 in both countries but then decreased in Israel (AAPC -16.6% [95% confidence interval, CI, -19.9% to -10.0%]) and remained stable in Sweden (AAPC -3.5% [95% CI -11.6% to 3.7%]). When exploring the monthly incidence during the pandemic, in Israel the rate remained stable until November 2020 (AMPC 2.3% [95% CI -13.4% to 29.9%]) and then decreased sharply (AMPC -6.4% [95% CI -20.8% to 17.0%] until February 2021 and to -20.1% [95% CI -38.9% to -4.7%] from February 2021), while in Sweden, which had a less stringent lockdown policy, it decreased slightly until July 2020 (AMPC -3.3% [95% CI -21.6% to 20.3%]), but increased thereafter (AMPC 13.6% [95% CI -12.6% to 27.0%]). The change of incidence rate in Sweden occurred mainly in elderly-onset patients, the only population with significant restrictions during the pandemic.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of IBD decreased during the pandemic in association with lockdowns, more so in Israel, which had more stringent policies. Future studies are needed to determine the long-term effect of the pandemic on IBD.

Enteral nutrition compared with corticosteroids in children with Crohn's disease: A long-term nationwide study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Both corticosteroids and exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN) have been used as induction therapy in children with Crohn's disease (CD).

AIM

To compare in a nationwide study the long-term outcomes of children with CD receiving either EEN or corticosteroids as induction therapy.

METHODS

We retrieved data of all children diagnosed with CD (2005-2020) from the epi-IIRN cohort covering 98% of the Israeli population. The primary outcome was time to complicated disease course (i.e., surgery, steroid-dependency, or at least 2 biologic class). Patients were matched individually utilising propensity score adjustments.

RESULTS

We included 410 children treated with EEN and 375 with corticosteroids without other treatments (median follow-up, 4.73 [IQR: 2.2-7.2] years [1433 patient-years]). For 274 matched children, the probability of a complicated course was higher with corticosteroids than EEN at 0.5, 3 and 5 years (14% vs. 4%, 42% vs. 27% and 54% vs. 41%, respectively, p = 0.0066), despite similar use of biologics. Steroid-dependency (10% vs. 2%, 15% vs. 3%, and 20% vs. 5%, respectively, p = 0.00018), and hospitalisations (20% vs. 11%, 37% vs. 26%, and 55% vs. 38%, respectively, p = 0.002) were higher with corticosteroids. During follow-up, children receiving corticosteroids as induction treatment were more often further exposed to corticosteroids, and those on EEN were more often further exposed to nutritional treatment (p < 0.001). Induction with EEN had no advantage over corticosteroids regarding survival probability of surgeries, biologic use and growth.

CONCLUSIONS

EEN in paediatric CD is associated with lower long-term risks of corticosteroid dependency and hospitalisation than corticosteroids. These results may lend support to favouring nutritional therapy in paediatric CD.

Predictors of Complicated Disease Course in Children and Adults With Ulcerative Colitis: A Nationwide Study From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Data on predictors of complicated ulcerative colitis (UC) course from unselected populations cohorts are scarce. We aimed to utilize a nationwide cohort to explore predictors at diagnosis of disease course in children and adults with UC.

METHODS

Data of patients diagnosed with UC since 2005 were retrieved from the nationwide epi-IIRN cohort. Complicated disease course was defined as colectomy, steroid-dependency, or the need for biologic drugs. Hierarchical clustering categorized disease severity at diagnosis based on complete blood count, albumin, C-reactive protein and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), analyzed together.

RESULTS

A total of 13 471 patients with UC (1427 [11%] pediatric-onset) including 103 212 person-years of follow-up were included. Complicated disease course was recorded in 2829 (21%) patients: 1052 (7.9%) escalated to biologics, 1357 (10%) experienced steroid-dependency, and 420 (3.1%) underwent colectomy. Probabilities of complicated disease course at 1 and 5 years from diagnosis were higher in pediatric-onset (11% and 32%, respectively) than adult-onset disease (4% and 16%; P < .001). In a Cox multivariate model, complicated course was predicted by induction therapy with steroids (hazard ratio [HR], 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0), extraintestinal manifestations (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.03-1.5) and the disease severity clusters of blood tests (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.01-3.1), while induction therapy with enemas (HR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.5-0.7) and older age (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99) were associated with noncomplicated course.

CONCLUSION

In this nationwide cohort, the probability of complicated disease course during the first 5 years from diagnosis was 32% in pediatric-onset and 16% in adults with UC and was associated with more severe clusters of routinely collected laboratory tests, younger age at diagnosis, extraintestinal manifestations, and type of induction therapy.

Early Initiation of Biologics and Disease Outcomes in Adults and Children With Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: Results From the Epidemiology Group of the Nationwide Israeli Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Nucleus Cohort

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In this nationwide study, we explored whether early initiation of biologics is associated with improved outcomes in children and adults with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC).

METHODS

All patients diagnosed with CD or UC in Israel (2005-2020) were included in the Epidemiology Group of the Israeli Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Nucleus cohort, encompassing 98% of the population. We compared disease duration at biologics initiation (ie, 0-3 months, >3-12 months, >1-2 years, and >2-3 years) using the cloning, censoring, and weighting by inverse probabilities method to emulate a target trial, adjusting for time-varying confounders and selection bias.

RESULTS

Of the 34,375 included patients (of whom 5240 [15%] were children), 7452 of 19,264 (39%) with CD and 2235 of 15,111 (15%) with UC received biologics. In CD, by 10 years postdiagnosis, the probability of CD-related surgery decreased gradually but modestly with earlier initiation of biologics; a significant difference was noted between >2-3 years (31%) and 0-3 months (18%; P = .02; number needed to treat, 7.7), whereas there was no difference between the 0-3-month and >3-12-month periods. The 10-year probability of steroid dependency for the 0-3-month period (19%) differed both from the >2-3-year (31%; P < .001) and 1-2-year periods (37%; P < .001). In UC, no significant differences in colectomy or steroid dependency rates were observed between the treatment initiation periods. Similar trends were noted in the pediatric population.

CONCLUSIONS

Very early initiation of biologics was not associated with some outcomes except for a modest risk reduction of surgery and steroid dependency for CD, which requires confirmation in future studies. In UC, early introduction of biologics was not associated with reduced risk of colectomy or steroid dependency.

Durability of the First Biologic in Children and Adults With Ulcerative Colitis: A Nationwide Study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

In this nationwide study, our objective was to compare the durability of first-line biologics in ulcerative colitis (UC), categorized into monotherapy and combotherapy with immunomodulators.

METHODS

We utilized data from the nationwide epi-IIRN cohort from 2005 to 2020. Durability was defined as consistent treatment without surgery. Comparisons were based on stringent propensity score-matching.

RESULTS

We included 15 111 patients with UC, of whom 2322 (15%) received biologics, with a median follow-up of 7.0 years (interquartile range, 3.8-11.0). The durability rate was similar between pediatric-onset and adults after 1 and 5 years from initiation of treatment (72% and 43% vs 71% and 43%, respectively; P = .8). Durability of adalimumab vs infliximab after 1 or 5 years was similar, whether prescribed as monotherapy (65%/46% vs 63%/33%, respectively; n = 182 matched pairs, P = .3) or combotherapy (78%/56% vs 91%/58%, respectively; n = 46 matched pairs, P = .4). Durability of infliximab was higher as combotherapy (85%/50%) vs monotherapy (69%/42%; n = 174 matched pairs, P = .007), while it was similar for adalimumab (80%/52% vs 74%/52%; n = 53 matched pairs, P = .4). The durability rate was similar for vedolizumab monotherapy (77%/56%) compared with adalimumab monotherapy (69%/52%; n = 125 matched patients, P = .1), and infliximab monotherapy (73%/55% vs 62%/44%; n = 78 matched patients, P = .1). However, combotherapy of antitumor necrosis factors (TNFs) had longer durability than vedolizumab (85%/50% vs 75%/43%, respectively; n = 131 matched pairs, P = .02).

CONCLUSION

After 5 years of treatment, 43% of the patients with UC sustained their first biologic, with similar durability in pediatric and adult-onset onset disease. Anti-TNFs had similar durability to vedolizumab and superior durability when prescribed as combotherapy.

Predictors of Complicated Disease Course in Adults and Children With Crohn's Disease: A Nationwide Study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Since data on predictors of complicated Crohn's disease (CD) from unselected populations are scarce, we aimed to utilize a large nationwide cohort, the epi-IIRN, to explore predictors of disease course in children and adults with CD.

METHODS

Data of patients with CD were retrieved from Israel's 4 health maintenance organizations, whose records cover 98% of the population (2005-2020). Time-to-event modeled a complicated disease course, defined as CD-related surgery, steroid-dependency, or the need for >1 class of biologics. Hierarchical clustering categorized disease severity at diagnosis based on available laboratory results.

RESULTS

A total of 16 659 patients (2999 [18%] pediatric-onset) with 121 695 person-years of follow-up were included; 3761 (23%) had a complicated course (750 [4.5%] switched to a second biologic class, 1547 [9.3%] steroid-dependency, 1463 [8.8%] CD-related surgery). Complicated disease was more common in pediatric- than adult-onset disease (26% vs 22%, odds ratio, 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-1.4). In a Cox multivariate model, complicated disease was predicted by induction therapy with biologics (hazard ratio [HR], 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.6) and severity of laboratory tests at diagnosis (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2), while high socioeconomic status was protective (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.96). In children, laboratory tests predicted disease course (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5), as well as malnutrition (median BMI Z score -0.41; 95% CI, -1.42 to 0.43 in complicated disease vs -0.24; 95% CI, -1.23 to 0.63] in favorable disease; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide cohort, CD course was complicated in one-fourth of patients, predicted by laboratory tests, type of induction therapy, socioeconomic status, in addition to malnutrition in children.

Prevalence and Outcomes of No Treatment Versus 5-ASA in Ulcerative Colitis: A Nationwide Analysis From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Data regarding patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) not receiving maintenance treatment are scarce. In this nationwide study, we aimed to explore the frequency and long-term outcomes of untreated patients with UC vs treated patients.

METHODS

We retrieved data from Israel's Health Maintenance Organizations, covering 98% of the population. No maintenance treatment (NMT) was defined as lack of treatment during the period from 3 to 6 months from diagnosis, allowing at most 3 months for induction treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 15 111 patients have been diagnosed with UC since 2005, of whom 4410 (29%) have had NMT, with 36 794 person-years of follow-up. NMT was more likely in adults (31%) and in elderly-onset UC (29%) than in pediatric-onset UC (20%; P < .001) and decreased from 38% in 2005 to 18% in 2019 (P < .001). The probability of remaining without treatment was 78%, 49%, and 37% after 1, 3, and 5 years from diagnosis, respectively. In propensity score-matched analysis of 1080 pairs of treated (93% with 5-aminosalicylic acid) and untreated patients, outcomes were comparable for time to biologics (P = .6), surgery (P = .8), steroid dependency (P = .09), and hospitalizations (P = .2). Multivariable modeling indicated that failing NMT was less likely in adults or elderly-onset patients who received at most rectal therapy or antibiotics as induction therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Nowadays, 18% of patients with UC do not receive maintenance therapy, of whom half remain without treatment after 3 years. Matched pairs of patients on NMT and 5-aminosalicylic acid, representing the mildest patients of the latter, had similar outcomes. Prospective studies are needed to further explore the role of NMT in UC.

Durability of the First Biologic in Patients with Crohn's Disease: A Nationwide Study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

In this nationwide study we aimed to compare the durability of the first initiated biologic in Crohn's disease [CD], stratified by monotherapy and combotherapy.

METHODS

We used data from the epi-IIRN cohort, which includes 98% of the Israeli inflammatory bowel disease population [2005-2020]. Durability was defined as consistent treatment without surgery or added medications [except for combination therapy with thiopurines or methotrexate]. All comparisons were based on stringent propensity-score matching and paired time-to-event analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 19 264 patients with CD were included, of whom 7452 [39%] received biologics with a median follow-up of 6.8 years (interquartile range [IQR] 3.6-10.7). Time to biologics decreased gradually from 6.7 years [IQR 2.7-10.4] in 2005 to 0.2 years [0.07-0.23] in 2020. The durability of the first biologic after 1 and 3 years was higher with adalimumab monotherapy [88%/61%] than vedolizumab monotherapy [81%/59%; n = 394 matched patients, p = 0.04] and similar between infliximab monotherapy and vedolizumab monotherapy [65%/43%; n = 182 matched patients, p = 0.1]. Durability was higher in adalimumab monotherapy vs infliximab monotherapy [83%/62% vs 71%/48% at 1/3 years; p <0.001] and it was similar in adalimumab monotherapy vs infliximab combotherapy [87%/63% vs 80%/58%, respectively; p = 0.1]. Durability was higher in combotherapy compared with monotherapy for both infliximab [85%/64% vs 67%/43%, respectively; n = 496 matched pairs, p <0.001], and adalimumab [93%/76% vs 82%/62%, respectively; n = 540 matched pairs, p <0.001].

CONCLUSION

Durability of the first biologic in CD was highest for adalimumab monotherapy. Combotherapy further increased the durability of adalimumab and infliximab. Unless otherwise indicated, our data may support using anti-tumour necrosis factors [TNFs] as first-line biologics in CD, particularly adalimumab if monotherapy is advised.

Durability of Adalimumab and Infliximab in Children With Crohn's Disease: A Nationwide Comparison From the epi-IIRN Cohort

BACKGROUND

In a nationwide cohort, we aimed to compare the durability of infliximab and adalimumab as first biologic treatment in children with Crohn's disease (CD), stratified as combotherapy or monotherapy.

METHODS

We used data from the epi-IIRN cohort that includes all patients with inflammatory bowel diseases in Israel. Durability was defined as consistent treatment without surgery or treatment escalation. All comparisons followed stringent propensity-score matching in Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Of the 3487 children diagnosed with CD since 2005, 2157 (62%) received biologics (1127 [52%] infliximab, 964 [45%] adalimumab and 52 [2%] vedolizumab as first biologic), representing a higher proportion than that among adults diagnosed during the same time period (5295 of 15 776 [34%]; P < .001). Time from diagnosis to initiation of biologic was shorter in pediatric-onset compared with adult-onset disease (median time during the last 3 years was 2.7 months [interquartile range 1.2-5.4] vs 5.2 months [2.6-8.9]; P < .001). The durability of adalimumab monotherapy after 1 and 5 years from initiation of treatment was better than infliximab monotherapy (79%/54% vs 67%/37%, respectively; n = 452 matched children; hazard ratio [HR], 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-2.3; P < .001), while in those treated with combotherapy, durability was similar (94%/66% with infliximab vs 90%/54% with adalimumab; n = 100; HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 0.9-3.3; P = .1). Durability was higher in children treated with infliximab combotherapy vs infliximab monotherapy (87%/45% vs 75%/39%; n = 440; HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.8; P = .01). The durability of adalimumab monotherapy was similar to infliximab combotherapy (83%/53% vs 89%/56%, respectively; n = 238; HR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.7-1.2; P = .4).

CONCLUSION

Our results support using adalimumab monotherapy as a first-line biologic in children with CD. When infliximab is used, combotherapy may be advantageous over monotherapy.

Residence in Peripheral Regions and Low Socioeconomic Status Are Associated With Worse Outcomes of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: A Nationwide Study From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Timely access to quality medical care impacts patient outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In a nationwide study from the epidemiology group of the Israeli IBD research nucleus we aimed to assess the impact of residence and socioeconomic status (SES) on disease outcomes.

METHODS

We utilized data from the 4 health maintenance organizations in Israel, representing 98% of the population. Regions were defined as central, northern and southern; SES was graded from lowest to highest (from 1 to 4) as per Israel Central Bureau of Statistics. The primary outcome was steroid dependency, with secondary outcomes of surgeries and biologic therapy use.

RESULTS

A total of 28 216 IBD patients were included: 15 818 (56%) Crohn's disease (CD) and 12 398 (44%) ulcerative colitis; 74%, 12% and 14% resided in central, southern, and northern Israel, respectively (SES 1: 21%, SES 4: 12%). Lower SES was associated with steroid dependency (20% in SES 1 vs 12% in SES 4 in CD; P < .001; and 18% vs 12% in ulcerative colitis; P < .001), and higher surgery rates (12% vs 7%; P < .001, and 1.4% vs 0.7%; P = .115, respectively). There were higher steroid dependency and CD surgery rates in peripheral vs central regions. In multivariable models, both SES and peripheral region were independently associated with poorer outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that lower SES and peripheral residence were associated with deleterious outcomes in IBD. This should be considered by policymakers and should encourage strategies for improving outcomes in populations at risk.

Inflammatory bowel disease among first generation immigrants in Israel: A nationwide epi-Israeli Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Nucleus study

BACKGROUND

Israel has a high rate of Jewish immigration and a high prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

AIM

To compare IBD prevalence in first-generation immigrants vs Israel-born Jews.

METHODS

Patients with a diagnosis of IBD as of June 2020 were included from the validated epi-IIRN (Israeli IBD Research Nucleus) cohort that includes 98% of the Israeli population. We stratified the immigration cohort by IBD risk according to country of origin, time period of immigration, and age group as of June 2020.

RESULTS

A total of 33544 patients were ascertained, of whom 18524 (55%) had Crohn's disease (CD) and 15020 (45%) had ulcerative colitis (UC); 28394 (85%) were Israel-born and 5150 (15%) were immigrants. UC was more prevalent in immigrants (2717; 53%) than in non-immigrants (12303, 43%, P < 0.001), especially in the < 1990 immigration period. After adjusting for age, longer duration in Israel was associated with a higher point prevalence rate in June 2020 (high-risk origin: Immigration < 1990: 645.9/100000, ≥ 1990: 613.2/100000, P = 0.043; intermediate/low-risk origin: < 1990: 540.5/100000, ≥ 1990: 192.0/100000, P < 0.001). The prevalence was higher in patients immigrating from countries with high risk for IBD (561.4/100000) than those originating from intermediate-/low-risk countries (514.3/100000; P < 0.001); non-immigrant prevalence was 528.9/100000.

CONCLUSION

Lending support to the environmental effect on IBD etiology, we found that among immigrants to Israel, the prevalence of IBD increased with longer time since immigration, and was related to the risk of IBD in the country of origin. The UC rate was higher than that of CD only in those immigrating in earlier time periods.

Thiopurines Have Longer Treatment Durability than Methotrexate in Adults and Children with Crohn's Disease: A Nationwide Analysis from the epi-IIRN Cohort

BACKGROUND

Thiopurines and methotrexate have long been used to maintain remission in Crohn's disease [CD]. In this nationwide study, we aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety of these drugs in CD.

METHODS

We used data from the epi-IIRN cohort, including all patients with CD diagnosed in Israel. Outcomes were compared by propensity-score matching and included therapeutic failure, hospitalisations, surgeries, steroid dependency, and adverse events.

RESULTS

Of the 19264 patients diagnosed with CD since 2005, 3885 [20%] ever received thiopurines as monotherapy and 553 [2.9%] received methotrexate. Whereas the use of thiopurines declined from 22% in 2012-2015 to 12% in 2017-2020, the use of methotrexate remained stable. The probability of sustaining therapy at 1, 3, and 5 years was 64%, 51%, and 44% for thiopurines and 56%, 30%, and 23% for methotrexate, respectively [p <0.001]. Propensity-score matching, including 303 patients [202 with thiopurines, 101 with methotrexate], demonstrated a higher rate of 5-year durability for thiopurines [40%] than methotrexate [18%; p <0.001]. Time to steroid dependency [p = 0.9], hospitalisation [p = 0.8], and surgery [p = 0.1] were comparable between groups. These outcomes reflect also shorter median time to biologics with methotrexate (2.2 [IQR 1.6-3.1 years) versus thiopurines (6.6 [2.4-8.5]; p = 0.02). The overall adverse events rate was higher with thiopurines [20%] than methotrexate [12%; p <0.001], including three lymphoma cases in males, although the difference was not significant [4.8 vs 0 cases/10 000 treatment-years, respectively; p = 0.6].

CONCLUSION

Thiopurines demonstrated higher treatment durability than methotrexate but more frequent adverse events. However, disease outcomes were similar, partly due to more frequent escalation to biologics with methotrexate.

Medical concept embedding of real-valued electronic health records with application to inflammatory bowel disease

Deep learning approaches are gradually being applied to electronic health record (EHR) data, but they fail to incorporate medical diagnosis codes and real-valued laboratory tests into a single input sequence for temporal modeling. Therefore, the modeling misses the existing medical interrelations among codes and lab test results that should be exploited to promote early disease detection. To find connections between past diagnoses, represented by medical codes, and real-valued laboratory tests, in order to exploit the full potential of the EHR in medical diagnosis, we present a novel method to embed the two sources of data into a recurrent neural network. Experimenting with a database of Crohn's disease (CD), a type of inflammatory bowel disease, patients and their controls (~1:2.2), we show that the introduction of lab test results improves the network's predictive performance more than the introduction of past diagnoses but also, surprisingly, more than when both are combined. In addition, using bootstrapping, we generalize the analysis of the imbalanced database to a medical condition that simulates real-life prevalence of a high-risk CD group of first-degree relatives with results that make our embedding method ready to screen this group in the population.

Association of Antibiotic Use with Durability of Biologic Agents in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: a Report from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Different antibiotic classes were reported to have variable effects on immunogenicity towards anti-tumour necrosis factor [TNF] agents. However, the impact of antibiotic administration on biologic treatment durability was not investigated. We aimed to assess the association between antibiotic treatment and persistence of different classes of biologic therapy in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] patients.

METHODS

Data from the epi-IIRN, a nationwide registry of all Israeli IBD patients were analysed. All patients who filled a prescription of either infliximab, adalimumab, vedolizumab, or ustekinumab, were included. Treatment cessation was defined as drug discontinuation of at least 6 months. Macrolides, cephalosporins, fluoroquinolones, and penicillins with beta-lactamase inhibitors were selected as primary exposure variables. Survival analysis was performed using marginal structural models for each drug separately.

RESULTS

In all 13 513 IBD patients, with a total of 39 600 patient-years, were included. Significant differences of overall treatment persistence were demonstrated, with highest persistence rates for ustekinumab and the lowest for infliximab treatment. Macrolides were found to be significantly associated with reduced risk of infliximab cessation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.72, 95% CI 0.62-0.89]. Fluoroquinolones and cephalosporins were associated with an elevated risk of adalimumab treatment cessation [aHR 1.33, 95% CI 1.22-1.46; and aHR 1.20, 95% CI 1.08-1.34, respectively]. No significant effects of the studied antibiotics were observed in ustekinumab and vedolizumab users.

CONCLUSIONS

Specific antibiotic classes are associated with duration of anti-TNF treatment, but not with durability of vedolizumab or ustekinumab treatments. Further research is required to study the effect of specific antibiotics on response to biologics.

Incidence, Management, and Outcomes of Very Early Onset Inflammatory Bowel Diseases and Infantile-Onset Disease: An Epi-IIRN Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In this nationwide study from the Israeli Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Nucleus, we aimed to describe the incidence of very early onset inflammatory bowel diseases (VEOIBDs) with a focus on infantile-onset disease and to compare management and disease course with older children.

METHODS

Data were retrieved from the 4 Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations covering 98% of the population. Pediatric-onset IBD was categorized as follows: adolescent onset (10 to <18 y), early onset (6 to <10 y), VEOIBD (0 to <6 y), toddler onset (2 to <6 y), and infantile onset (<2 y).

RESULTS

A total of 5243 children with 35,469 person-years of follow-up evaluation, were diagnosed with IBD during 2005 to 2020: 4444 (85%) with adolescent onset, 548 (10%) with early onset, and 251 (4.8%) with VEOIBD, of whom 81 (1.5%) had infantile onset. The incidence of pediatric-onset IBD increased from 10.8 per 100,000 in 2005 to 15.3 per 100,000 in 2019 (average annual percentage change, 2.8%; 95% CI, 2.2%-3.4%), but that of VEOIBD remained stable (average annual percentage change, 0%; 95% CI, -2.5% to 2.6%). The infantile-onset and toddler-onset groups were treated less often with biologics (36% and 35%, respectively) vs the early onset (57%) and adolescent-onset groups (53%; P < .001). The time to steroid dependency was shorter in infantile-onset (hazard ratio [HR], 2.1; 95% CI, 1.5-2.9) and toddler-onset disease (HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0) vs early onset and adolescent-onset disease, but time to hospitalizations, time to surgery, and growth delay were worse only in infantile-onset disease. In a multivariable model, infantile-onset patients had a higher risk for surgery (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.9) and hospitalization (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4) than the toddler-onset group.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of VEOIBD remained stable. Infantile-onset IBD had worse outcomes than older children, while toddler onset had mostly similar outcomes, despite less frequent use of biologics.

Colorectal cancer among inflammatory bowel disease patients: risk factors and prevalence compared to the general population

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a feared complication of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of CRC among a large cohort of IBD patients.

Methods

Data on IBD patients free of CRC at baseline was extracted using the MDClone platform of the Clalit health maintenance organization in Israel. We investigated the frequency rate of CRC among IBD patients compared to a control group without IBD. Possible risk factors, including comorbidities and IBD-related medications, were investigated in a multivariate analysis.

Results

During a follow-up of 139,448 years among Crohn's disease (CD) patients and 139,533 years among ulcerative colitis (UC) patients, a frequency rate of CRC was 1.5% (191) among 12,888 CD patients and 2.1% (261) among 12,381 UC patients compared to 1.2% among 57,334 controls. In a multivariate analysis of UC patients, age at diagnosis (OR 1.030, p < 0.001), primary sclerosing cholangitis (OR 2.487, p = 0.005), diabetes mellitus (OR 2.01, p < 0.001), and glucocorticoids treatment (OR 1.465, p = 0.008) were found to be predictors of CRC. For CD patients, age at diagnosis (OR 1.035, p < 0.001), primary sclerosing cholangitis (OR 2.25, p = 0.029), and glucocorticoids treatment (OR 2.07, p < 0.001) were found to be predictors for CRC, but not diabetes mellitus.

Conclusion

Despite the continuously decreasing rates of CRC among IBD patients, these are still higher in IBD patients compared to the general population. IBD patients, particularly those with risk factors, require special consideration in follow-up for CRC.

Ethnic Issues and Disparities in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: What Can We Learn from the Arab Population in Israel?

Inflammatory bowel diseases are increasing among different ethnic groups. We aimed to compare the clinical characteristics, complications, and outcomes among Arab and Jewish people sharing the same healthcare system. All patients older than 18 years with a diagnosis of Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) between the years 2000 and 2021 were included. Data regarding demographics, disease characteristics, extraintestinal manifestation, treatment, comorbidities, and mortality were retrieved. A total of 1263 (9.8%) Arab CD patients were compared with 11,625 Jewish CD patients, and 1461 (11.8%) Arab UC patients were compared to 10,920 Jewish patients. Arab CD patients were younger at diagnosis, 36.11 ± 16.7 compared to 39.98 ± 19.4 years, p < 0.001, 59.5% males compared to 48.7%, p < 0.001; in addition, Arab CD patients had a higher rate of anal fissure, perianal abscess, erythema nodosum, diabetes mellitus, obesity, liver cirrhosis, and male infertility. Arab CD patients were less frequently treated with azathioprine or mercaptopurine compared with Jewish patients. No significant difference was found in the rate of anti-TNF treatment, but a higher rate of steroids treatment was found. The all-cause mortality of CD patients was lower among Arab patients (8.4% vs. 10.2%, p = 0.039). Significant differences were found regarding disease characteristics, course, comorbidities, and treatment among Arab and Jewish patients with IBD.

Trends in Biochemical Parameters, Healthcare Resource and Medication Use in the 5 Years Preceding IBD Diagnosis: A Health Maintenance Organization Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Few data describing pre-diagnosis changes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) exist. We aimed to determine if there is a pattern of change in use of health resources, medications and laboratory results in the years preceding diagnosis.

METHODS

This retrospective study used electronic medical records of Maccabi Health Services (MHS). Patients with IBD ≥ 16 years of age and minimum of 5-years follow-up were identified by entry into the MHS IBD registry and included in the analysis. Demographic, clinical, medication and laboratory data were collected. Generalized estimating equation model was applied to study trends and compare between years.

RESULTS

This study included 5643 patients with IBD. Of these, 3039 (53.8%) had Crohn's disease (CD), 2322 (41.1%) had ulcerative colitis (UC) and 282 (5%) had indeterminate colitis (IC). Laboratory parameters including white blood cells, platelets and C-reactive protein showed significant increases while haemoglobin and mean cell volume showed significant decreases in mean values in the 2 years prior to diagnosis with stable values prior to that (p < 0.0001). Parameters such as creatinine, total protein and albumin showed significant, progressive decreases in mean values starting 5 years prior to diagnosis (p < 0.0001). Patients with CD had distinct laboratory trends when compared with patients with UC.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in laboratory parameters, healthcare service and medication use occur during the 5-year period before IBD diagnosis. These data can have future clinical applicability by developing a composite score and referral algorithm introducing red flags into primary care visits and appropriate referral for specialist care.

Identification of irritable bowel syndrome in the Swedish National Patient Register: a validation study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

National patient registers are valuable in epidemiological studies. To ensure high-quality data for studies of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), this study aimed to validate the ICD-10 code for IBS in the Swedish National Patient Register.

METHODS

The positive predictive values (PPV) for IBS defined by the Rome criteria were calculated based on a review of medical records of randomly selected individuals with a first-ever diagnostic listing of IBS in the Swedish National Patient register in the year 2005 (Rome II criteria) or 2010 (Rome III criteria).

KEY RESULTS

340 medical records were reviewed (172 from 2005 and 168 from 2010). The majority of patients were females (74%), and the mean age was 42 years. IBS used in any type of department had a PPV of 76% (95% confidence interval 71-80%), which increased to 80% (76-84%) when we included individuals likely to have IBS but where information about some aspects of the Rome criteria was lacking in the medical record. Two highly specialized gastroenterological departments had the best PPV, 96%, while departments of internal medicine in general had a PPV of 82% (80-95%). The PPV for the IBS subtype was 62% (55-67%). The PPVs were not significantly different comparing the two time periods investigated.

CONCLUSION AND INFERENCES

The validity of a register-based definition of IBS in the Swedish National Patient register is high and can be used to identify patients with IBS in observational research. The data source, i.e., type of hospital and department, influences reliability.

Implementing electronic patient reported outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease: patient participation, score reliability and validity

BACKGROUND

Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are recommended for assessing patient-centered outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The main aims were to assess the level of participation in an electronic PROM (ePROM) data collection system among patients with IBD, and evaluate reliability and validity of the resulting scores.

METHODS

Patients included in the IBD registry of Maccabi Healthcare Services, a state-mandated healthcare provider for over 2.6 million people in Israel, were invited to complete the IBD-Control measure and a general health item, with follow-up ePROMs at 3 and 6 months including a global rating of change item. Descriptive statistics were used to compare patient characteristics by participation rate, and assess survey completion time. Initial scores were assessed for internal consistency reliability using Cronbach's alpha. Test-retest reliability was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient from paired scores of patients identified as unchanged between the initial and first follow-up. Construct validity was assessed by the ability of IBD-control scores to discriminate between patient sub-groups in expected ways. Empirical validity was assessed using ePROM score correlations with laboratory markers of disease activity. Score coverage was also assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 13,588 patients were invited to participate [Mean age = 49 years (SD = 17); females = 51%]. Participation rate was 31.5%. Participants compared to non-participants were slightly older, were more likely to be female, to have a history of biologic treatment, to have higher socio-economic status, and to be more experienced in the usage of the digital patient portal. Median survey completion time was approximately 1:30 min. Internal consistency and test-retest reliability were 0.86 and 0.98, respectively. Scores discriminated between patient sub-groups in clinically expected ways, with expected correlations to laboratory markers of disease activity. A notable ceiling effect was observed (> 15%) for IBD-Control scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Feasibility, reliability, and validity of the ePROM system was supported for measuring the level of perceived disease control in patients diagnosed with IBD in Israel. Additional research is needed to identify ways to increase patient participation, assess clinical implications of the identified measurement ceiling of the IBD-control, and evaluate the added value of the derived scores in support of clinical decision making.

COVID-19 Morbidity Among Individuals with Autistic Spectrum Disorder: A Matched Controlled Population-Based Study

In this study we aimed to assess whether individuals with ASD are prone to higher infection rates, or to severe COVID-19 illness. Individuals with ASD and age- and gender-matched controlled counterparts (total n = 32,812) were assessed for COVID-19 infection rates and hospitalizations. Results indicated higher infection rates among individuals with ASD, with the largest effect among individuals aged 40-60 (OR = 2.05, 95%CI 1.33-3.15, p < .001), as well as higher odds for hospitalizations, evident primarily in men (OR = 2.40, 95%CI 1.14-5.02, p = 0.02) but not women. Medical and environmental risk factors may associate ASD with higher infection and morbidity rates. Healthcare policy providers should consider proactive steps to protect this population from the associated risks.

The association of Inflammatory Bowel Disease with Celiac Disease and Celiac Autoimmunity in children and adults: A nationwide study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Given the paucity of population-based data on the association between inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), celiac disease (CeD) and celiac autoimmunity (CeA) we aimed to study the associations in a nationwide study.

METHODS

Utilizing health administrative data for all four health maintenance organizations in Israel, covering 98% of the population, we explored the prevalence of CeD in children and adults with IBD versus non-IBD matched controls. CeD was defined by three ICD-9 codes and CeA by positivity for tissue transglutaminase antibodies.

RESULTS

In total, 34,375 IBD patients (56% Crohn's disease [CD] and 44% ulcerative colitis [UC]) were compared with 93,603 non-IBD controls. Among IBD patients, 319 (0.93%) had CeD versus 294 (0.31%) non-IBD controls (odds ratio [OR]=2.97 [95%CI 2.54-3.48]; p<0.001). CeA was identified in 575 (1.67%) IBD patients vs. 158 (0.17%) controls (OR=10.06 [95%CI 8.43-12], p<0.001). The prevalence of CeD was higher in pediatric-onset IBD (87/5,243 [1.66%]) than adult-onset IBD (232/29,132 [0.79%]; p<0.001). CD patients had a higher prevalence of CeD (229/19,264 [1.19%]) than UC patients (90/15,111 [0.56%]; OR=2.01 [95%CI 1.57-2.56]; p<0.001). The diagnosis of CeD preceded the diagnosis of IBD in 241/319 cases (76%). The time to treatment escalation was shorter in patients with both IBD and CeD than in patients with IBD without CeD (p=0.017).

CONCLUSION

CeD and CeA are more prevalent in IBD patients, especially in pediatric-onset IBD and in CD. The diagnosis of CeD usually precedes that of IBD. Having CeD is associated with more intensified treatment for IBD.

A higher frequency of physical activity is associated with reduced rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection

BACKGROUND

Physical activity (PA) is associated with health benefits. Previous studies have shown that regular PA decreases the incidence of viral respiratory tract infections, but data on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection are unavailable.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to examine the association between PA frequency and SARS-CoV-2 infection.

METHODS

A population-based cross-sectional study was conducted on data from 1 February 2020 to 31 December 2020, using the registry of Leumit Health Services (LHS), a national health maintenance organisation in Israel. All LHS patients aged 18 to 80 years who underwent at least one RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period were included. We examined the association between PA frequency (hours per week) and being tested positive for SARS-CoV-2.

RESULTS

Of 113,075 subjects tested for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR (mean age 41.6 years, 54.4% female), 17,465 (15%) were positive. In the SARS-CoV-2-negative group, significantly more subjects were engaged with PA than in the SARS-CoV-2-positive group [crude odds ratio (OR) for any PA 0.75 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.77)]. After adjusting for possible confounders, PA frequency had a significant negative association with the likelihood of being SARS-CoV-2 positive (adjusted OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.64-0.68). Moreover, as the frequency of PA increased, the ORs of being SARS-CoV-2-positive decreased (occasional PA: OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.67-0.74; PA 1-3 times/week: OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.58-0.65 and PA > 3 times/week: OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.49 - 0.59).

CONCLUSION

Our large population-based study in patients undergoing SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing showed that a higher frequency of PA is associated with a lower rate of positive test results.

Shift to a Younger Age and Regional Differences in Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Korea: Using Healthcare Administrative Data

BACKGROUND

Research using healthcare administrative data with a validated algorithm can reveal the real-world data of rare diseases.

AIMS

We investigated an accurate algorithm for detecting incident cases of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) from healthcare data and analyzed the nationwide population-based epidemiological features in Korea.

METHODS

Healthcare data from Songpa-Kangdong districts in Seoul were extracted from the National Health Insurance Service and analyzed to identify the best algorithm reflecting the cohort data. The most accurate criterion was applied to the entire database for further analysis.

RESULTS

With the selected working criteria, 37,555 incident cases of IBD (Crohn's Disease [CD], 13,130; ulcerative colitis [UC], 24,425) were identified from 2005 to 2016. The male-to-female ratio was 2.5:1 for CD and 1.4:1 for UC. Over 12 years, the annual standardized incidence rate (SIR) per 100,000 people increased from 1.6 to 2.7 and 3.8 to 4.3 for CD and UC, respectively. The peak age at diagnosis of UC shifted from 55-59 years to 20-24 years, whereas that of CD shifted from 19 to 17 years. The SIR of CD was higher in metropolitan areas than in non-metropolitan areas.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide population-based epidemiologic study of Korean IBD revealed a gradual increase in the incidence rates and a notable shift toward younger age at diagnosis. Males were predominant in both CD and UC. There was an urban-rural difference in the SIR of CD.

Pre- and Perinatal Factors Predicting Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based Study with Fifty Years of Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

Pre- and perinatal events may be associated with an increased risk of inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. We aimed to investigate the role of pre- and perinatal factors as potential risk factors for the development of IBD in a population with a follow-up of 50 years.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study, reporting IBD incidence among individuals born in 1964-76, for whom pre- and perinatal exposures were reported as part of the Jerusalem Perinatal Study [JPS], by linking them to the database of the epidemiology group of the Israeli IBD Research Nucleus [epi-IIRN], including all IBD patients in Israel since 2005 and their matched controls.

RESULTS

We identified 2789 individuals within the epi-IIRN cohort who were also included in the JPS cohort [n = 90 079]: 746 IBD patients (405 with Crohn's disease [CD] and 341 with ulcerative colitis [UC]) and 2043 non-IBD controls. Those with a 'Non-western' family origin had decreased odds of developing CD and UC. High socioeconomic status was associated with CD but not UC. Low birth weight [≤2500 g] occurred less frequently in IBD cases compared to controls, especially in UC patients, showing a protective effect. Being the first born was associated with CD, and having older siblings lowered the odds of developing CD, decreasing 7% with each additional sibling. Smoking and breastfeeding data were available for a subset of individuals, but neither was associated with IBD development.

CONCLUSION

This population-based study identifies several pre- and perinatal variables as predictors of IBD development. This information may be helpful to facilitate implementation of early diagnosis interventions and family follow-up protocols.

Prematurity, Delivery Method, and Infant Feeding Type Are Not Associated with Paediatric-onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease Risk: A Scottish Retrospective Birth Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The incidence of paediatric-onset inflammatory bowel disease [PIBD] continues to rise globally. We aimed to determine whether mode of delivery, gestational age at birth, or type of infant feeding contribute to the development of PIBD in a nationwide cohort of Scottish children.

METHODS

All children born in Scotland between 1981 and 2017 were identified using linked health administrative data to determine mode of delivery, gestational age at birth, and type of infant feeding. PIBD cases were defined as onset of Crohn's disease [CD], ulcerative colitis [UC], or IBD-unclassified [IBDU] before age 16 years. Validation was performed within an entire Scottish health board [16% of total population] via individual case-note verification. Hazard ratios [HR] were calculated for each exposure using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A study population of 2 013 851 children was identified including 1721 PIBD cases. Validation of 261 PIBD patients coded as CD and/or UC identified 242 [93%] as true positive. Children delivered vaginally did not have an altered risk of developing PIBD compared with those delivered by caesarean section, adjusted HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.84-1.08] [p = 0.46]. Compared with children born at term [≥37 weeks], children born prematurely did not have an altered risk of developing PIBD, i.e., at 24-31 weeks of gestation, HR 0.99 [95% CI 0.57-1.71] [p = 0.97] and at 32-36 weeks of gestation, HR 0.96 [95% CI 0.76-1.20] [p = 0.71]. Compared with children exclusively breastfed at age 6 weeks, children exclusively formula fed did not have an altered risk of developing PIBD: adjusted HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.81-1.15] [p = 0.69].

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based study demonstrates no association between mode of delivery, gestational age, or exclusive formula feeding at 6 weeks, and the development of PIBD.

A Systematic Review of Crohn's Disease Case Definitions in Administrative or Claims Databases

BACKGROUND

We sought to review Crohn's disease (CD) case definitions that use diagnosis, procedure, and medication claims.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase from inception through January 31, 2022, using terms related to CD, inflammatory bowel disease, administrative claims, or validity. Each article was scrutinized by 2 authors independently screening and abstracting data. Collected data included participant characteristics, case definition characteristics, and case definition validity. When diagnostic accuracy was provided for multiple case definitions, we extracted the case definition selected by the authors. All diagnostic accuracy characteristics were captured.

RESULTS

We identified 30 studies that evaluated a case definition using claims data to identify CD patients. The most common case definition included counts of diagnosis codes (57%) followed by a combination of diagnosis codes and medications (20%). All but 1 study validated the case definition with a medical chart review. In 2 studies, the patient's primary care provider completed a survey to confirm disease status. The positive predictive value of the case definitions ranged from 18% (≥1 code at a single U.S. health plan) to 100% (≥1 code plus a relevant prescription at a U.S. hospital). More complex case definitions (eg, ≥1 code + prescription or ≥2 codes) had lower variability in positive predictive value (≥80%) and specificity (≥85%) than the ≥1 code requirement.

CONCLUSIONS

Health services researchers should validate case definitions in their research cohorts. When such validation cannot be performed, we recommend using a more complex case definition. Studies without a validated CD case definition should use sensitivity analyses to confirm the robustness of their results.

Colectomy Rates did not Decrease in Paediatric- and Adult-Onset Ulcerative Colitis During the Biologics Era: A Nationwide Study From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

It is still of debate whether the advent of biologics has been associated with a change in the natural history of ulcerative colitis [UC]. In this nationwide study we evaluated trends of long-term outcomes in all patients diagnosed with UC in Israel during the biologic era.

METHODS

Data in the epi-IIRN cohort were retrieved from the four Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations covering 98% of the population, and linked to the Ministry of Health prospective registry on surgeries and hospitalizations. Joinpoint Regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used, reporting annual average percentage change [AAPC] for each outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 13 231 patients were diagnosed with UC since 2005 (1426 [11%] paediatric-onset, 10 310 [78%] adults, 1495 [11%] elderly) with 93 675 person-years of follow-up. The probabilities of surgery after 1, 3 and 5 years from diagnosis were 1.1, 2.3 and 4.1%, respectively, and the corresponding rates of hospitalizations were 22, 33 and 41%. The overall utilization of biologics in UC increased from 0.1% in 2005 to 9.6% in 2019 [AAPC 22.1%] and they were prescribed earlier during the disease course (median of 5.6 years [interquartile range 2.8-9.1] in 2005-2008 vs 0.8 years [0.4-1.5] in 2015-2018; p < 0.001]. Annual rates of surgeries [AAPC -1.3; p = 0.6] and steroid-dependency [AAPC -1.2; p = 0.3] remained unchanged, while rates of hospitalizations slightly decreased [AAPC -1.2; p < 0.001]. Outcomes were consistently worse in paediatric-onset disease than in adults, despite higher utilization of biologics [28% vs 12%, respectively; p < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

During the biologic era rates of surgeries and steroid-dependency have remained unchanged in patients with UC, while rates of hospitalizations have slightly decreased.

Improved Outcomes of Paediatric and Adult Crohn's Disease and Association With Emerging Use of Biologics-A Nationwide Study From the Epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of biologics for improving long-term outcomes in patients with Crohn's disease [CD] is still controversial. In this nationwide study, we aimed to evaluate trends of long-term outcomes in all CD patients in Israel during the biologics era.

METHODS

Trends of outcomes were analysed using data from the four Israeli health maintenance organisations, covering 98% of the population; joinpoint regression models were used to explore changes of these trends over 2005 to 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 16 936 patients were diagnosed with CD in Israel since 2005 (2932 [17%] paediatric onset, 14 004 [83%] adult onset) with 114 947 person-years of follow-up. The cumulative rate of any CD related surgery was 5%, 9%, 11%, and 14% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from diagnosis. The increase in use of biologics was sharp (from 8.9% to 36%; average annual percent change [AAPC], 14.3%), and the time to biologics was shorter in recent years (median time of 4.8 [1.9-8.1] years in those diagnosed in 2005-2008 compared with 0.5 [0.2-1.1] years in those diagnosed in 2015-2018; p < 0.001). A significant decrease was noted in the hazard of hospitalisations (1.3 [0.1-4.6] years compared with 0.2 [0.02-0.9] years; p < 0.001), steroid dependency (1.5 [0.2-5.4] years compared with 0.1 [0.02-0.4] years; p < 0.001), and intestinal surgeries [4.7 [1.6-8.2] years compared with 0.6 [0.2-1.4] years; p < 0.001), but not of perianal surgery (4.2 [1.1-7.7] years compared with 0.6 [0.2-1.4] years; p = 0.2). Outcomes were consistently worse in paediatric onset compared with adults.

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of hospitalisations, steroid dependency, and intestinal resections decreased in association with increased use of biologics both in children and in adults, but not the rate of perianal surgeries.

Risk of Cancer in Paediatric onset Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: A Nation-wide Study From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Paediatric onset IBD [PIBD] is characterised by a more extensive phenotype than adult-onset IBD and a higher utilisation of immunosuppressive medications; both may be associated with malignancy. We aimed to assess the risk of cancer in a nationwide cohort of PIBD and to explore the risks associated with medical treatments.

METHODS

PIBD patients [<18 years old] were included from the epi-IIRN cohort, covering 98% of the Israeli population from 2005, linked to the national cancer registry. We matched PIBD children to non-IBD children for calculating the cumulative incidence of cancer.

RESULTS

In all, 3944 PIBD cases were included (2642 [67%] Crohn's disease, 1302 [33%] ulcerative colitis) translating into 23 635 person-years of follow-up, individually matched to 13 005 non-IBD children. By 30 years of age, 14 IBD patients [0.35%, 5.9/10 000 patient-years] were diagnosed with cancer and one [0.03%] with haemophagocytic-lymphohistiocytosis [HLH], compared with 14 [0.11%, 1.9/10 000 patient-years] cases of cancer {relative risk (RR) 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-6.2); p = 0.04} and no HLH in the comparison-group. There were no cases of hepatosplenic T cell lymphoma, adenocarcinoma, or cholangiocarcinoma. Cancer risk was 15.6 cases/10 000 person-years in those treated with thiopurines alone (RR compared with IBD patients never exposed to either thiopurines or anti-tumuor necrosis factor [TNF] 1.8 [95% CI 0.6-6.1]; p = 0.2), 11.1/10 000 in those treated with anti-TNF alone (RR 1.3 [95% CI 0.3-6.6]; p = 0.5), and 23.1/10 000 treated with combination therapy of anti-TNF and thiopurines (RR 2.8 [95% CI 0.6-13.8]; p = 0.2).

CONCLUSIONS

PIBD confers an increased risk for malignancy compared with non-IBD in children. However, the absolute risk is very low and no differences in risk with specific therapies were apparent in our data.

COVID-19 Vaccine Is Effective in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients and Is Not Associated With Disease Exacerbation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Studies have shown decreased response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccinations in some populations. In addition, it is possible that vaccine-triggered immune activation could trigger immune dysregulation and thus exacerbate inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD). In this population-based study we used the epi-Israeli IBD Research Nucleus validated cohort to explore the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in IBD and to assess its effect on disease outcomes.

METHODS

We included all IBD patients insured in 2 of the 4 Israeli health maintenance organizations, covering 35% of the population. Patients receiving 2 Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 vaccine doses between December 2020 and June 2021 were individually matched to non-IBD controls. To assess IBD outcomes, we matched vaccinated to unvaccinated IBD patients, and response was analyzed per medical treatment.

RESULTS

In total, 12,109 IBD patients received 2 vaccine doses, of whom 4946 were matched to non-IBD controls (mean age, 51 ± 16 years; median follow-up, 22 weeks; interquartile range, 4-24). Fifteen patients in each group (0.3%) developed COVID-19 after vaccination (odds ratio, 1; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-2.05; P = 1.0). Patients on tumor necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors and/or corticosteroids did not have a higher incidence of infection. To explore IBD outcomes, 707 vaccinated IBD patients were compared with unvaccinated IBD patients by stringent matching (median follow-up, 14 weeks; interquartile range, 2.3-20.4). The risk of exacerbation was 29% in the vaccinated patients compared with 26% in unvaccinated patients (P = .3).

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in IBD patients is comparable with that in non-IBD controls and is not influenced by treatment with TNF inhibitors or corticosteroids. The IBD exacerbation rate did not differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients.

Perianal Crohn Disease Is More Common in Children and Is Associated With Complicated Disease Course Despite Higher Utilization of Biologics: A Population-based Study From The epidemiology group of the Israeli IBD Research Nucleus (epiIIRN)

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Both perianal and pediatric-onset Crohn disease (CD) disease are associated with complicated disease course and higher drug utilization. we aimed to explore the differences between pediatric and adult-onset perianal CD and their disease course.

METHODS

We included all patients with newly diagnosed CD from 2005 to 2019 at two Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations, covering 78% of the population. A combination of ICD-9 codes, radiology and procedures was used to define fistulizing perianal CD (PCD) and its severity according to the association with simple and complex perianal disease.

RESULTS

A total of 12,905 patients were included (2186 [17%] pediatric-onset, 10,719 [83%] adults), with a median follow-up of 7.8 years. PCD was diagnosed in 1530 (12%) patients, with higher incidence in children (308 [14%] children vs 1222 adults [11%]; P  < 0.001). Children had higher incidence of severe PCD (141/308 [47%] vs 433/1222 [35%]; P < 0.001). At 5 years, children with PCD were more likely than adults to be treated with biologics (212 [69%] vs 515 [42%]; odds ratio [OR] 2.6 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-4.0]; P < 0.001) and immunomodulators (238 [74%] vs 643 [53%]; OR 2.8 [95% CI 2.1-3.6]; P < 0.001). PCD in children was still associated with poorer disease outcomes as shown for surgeries (36 [12%] vs 93 [8%]; P = 0.02) and steroid-dependency (52 [17%] vs 156 [13%]; P < 0.001). Multivariable modeling indicated that the severity of PCD is a stronger predictor of disease course than age.

CONCLUSION

PCD is more common in pediatric-onset CD and is associated with higher drug utilization and worse disease outcomes, in large due to higher rate of severe PCD in children.

Identification of Childhood-Onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Swedish Healthcare Registers: A Validation Study

Purpose

The Swedish National Patient Register (NPR) is often used in observational studies of childhood-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) (<18 years of age) and its subtypes, but the validity of previously used register-based algorithms for capturing childhood-onset IBD has never been examined.

Methods

We identified a random sample of 233 individuals with at least two first ever diagnostic listings of IBD in the NPR between 2002 and 2014. We calculated the test characteristics for different register-based definitions of IBD and its subtypes using the Copenhagen criteria and the revised Porto criteria as gold standard, both based on medical chart review. We made assumptions of the occurrence of undiagnosed IBD in the general child population based on available literature.

Results

Out of 233 individuals with at least two diagnostic listings of IBD, 216 had true IBD, resulting in a positive predictive value (PPV) = 93% (95% confidence interval (CI) 89–96), sensitivity = 88% (95% CI 83–92), specificity = 100% (95% CI 100–100), and negative predictive value (NPV) = 100% (95% CI 100–100). The PPV for the NPR-based definitions of IBD subtypes at time of first IBD diagnosis and at end of follow-up were 78% (95% CI 69–86) and 88% (95% CI 80–94), respectively, for Crohn’s disease and 74% (95% CI 63–83) and 71% (95% CI 60–80), respectively, for ulcerative colitis.

Conclusion

The validity of register-based definitions of childhood-onset IBD in the Swedish NPR is high and can be used to identify patients in observational research.

Validation of a claims-based algorithm to identify cases of ulcerative colitis in Japan

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The prevalence of ulcerative colitis (UC) is increasing in Japan. Validated claims-based definitions are required to investigate the epidemiology of UC and its treatment and disease course in clinical practice. This study aimed to develop a claims-based algorithm for UC in Japan.

METHODS

A committee of epidemiologists, gastroenterologists, and internal medicine physicians developed a claims-based definition for UC, based on diagnostic codes and claims for UC treatments, procedures (cytapheresis), or surgery (postoperative claims). Claims data and medical records for a random sample of 200 cases per site at two large tertiary care academic centers in Japan were used to calculate the positive predictive value (PPV) of the algorithm for three gold standards of diagnosis, defined as physician diagnosis in the medical records, adjudicated cases, or registration in the Japanese Intractable Disease Registry (IDR).

RESULTS

Overall, 1139 claims-defined UC cases were identified. Among 393 randomly sampled cases (mean age 44; 48% female), 94% had received ≥ 1 systemic treatment (immunosuppressants, tumor necrosis factor inhibitors, corticosteroids, or antidiarrheals), 7% had cytapheresis, and 7% had postoperative claims. When physician diagnosis was used as a gold standard, PPV was 90.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 87.7-93.5). PPV with expert adjudication was also 90.6% (95% CI: 87.7-93.5). PPVs with enrollment in the IDR as gold standard were lower at 41.5% (95% CI: 36.6-46.3) due to incomplete case registration.

CONCLUSIONS

The claims-based algorithm developed for use in Japan is likely to identify UC cases with high PPV for clinical studies using administrative claims databases.

Perianal Crohn's Disease Is Associated With Poor Disease Outcome: A Nationwide Study From the epiIIRN Cohort

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Limited population-based data have explored perianal involvement in Crohn's disease (CD) and compared the disease course between severe and non-severe perianal CD (PCD). We aimed to explore the disease course of these phenotypes in a population-based study of CD.

METHODS

Cases were identified from the epi-IIRN cohort and included 2 Israeli health maintenance organizations covering 78% of the population. We validated specific algorithms to identify fistulizing PCD and to differentiate severe from non-severe disease by medication utilization, International Classification of Disease, 9th Revision codes, and perianal procedures.

RESULTS

A total of 12,904 CD patients were included in an inception cohort from 2005 (2186 pediatric-onset, 17%) providing 86,119 person-years of follow-up. Fistulizing PCD was diagnosed in 1530 patients (12%) (574 with severe PCD, 4%). The prevalence of PCD was 7.9%, 9.4%, 10.3%, and 11.6% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from CD diagnosis, respectively. At 5 years, PCD patients were more likely to be hospitalized (36% in non-PCD vs 64% in PCD; P < .001), undergo inflammatory bowel disease-related surgeries (9% vs 38%, respectively; P < .001), and develop anorectal cancer (1.2/10,000 person-years for non-PCD vs 4.2/10,000 for PCD; P = .01). Severe PCD was associated with poorer outcomes compared with non-severe PCD, as shown for hospitalizations (61% in non-severe PCD vs 73% in severe; P = .004) and surgeries (35% vs 43%; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite higher utilization of immunomodulators and biologics, PCD is associated with poor disease outcomes, especially in severe PCD.

The prevalence of sacroiliitis on abdominal MRI examinations of patients with Takayasu arteritis

BACKGROUND

Takayasu arteritis (TA), a systemic large-vessel vasculitis, was reported to have high incidence of spondyloarthropathy.

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prevalence of inflammatory sacroiliitis in patients with TA that underwent abdominal/pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examinations as part of their vasculitis work-up.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Consecutive abdominal/pelvic MRI examinations of 34 patients with TA fulfilling the 1990 ACR criteria and 34 age- and gender-matched controls performed between 2008 and 2020 were retrospectively reviewed for the presence sacroiliitis. The presence of active and structural lesions was scored twice (with a one-month interval between reads) by one reader. Structural lesions were also evaluated on computed tomography, when available, and correlated to MRI findings. Clinical data were extracted from the patients' clinical files. MRI scores were compared between the study and control groups and correlated with the clinical data.

RESULTS

Sacroiliitis was evident in 11.7% of the TA group examinations compared to 0.3% in the control group (P = 0.6). Participants with TA had significantly more erosions and fat deposition compared to the control group (Study: 0.01/0.03, Control: 0/0, P = 0.03/0.003, respectively). However, mean sacroiliitis score was not significantly different (Study: 1.06, Control: 0.78, P = 0.015). Of the four patients with TA and sacroiliitis, 3 (75%) had a diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

CONCLUSION

Sacroiliitis was detected in 11.7% of abdominal MRI examinations of patients with TA, 75% of which had associated IBD, suggesting that both IBD and sacroiliitis should be routinely screened in the TA population as their presence may influence treatment decisions.

Antibiotic use differentially affects the risk of anti-drug antibody formation during anti-TNFα therapy in inflammatory bowel disease patients: a report from the epi-IIRN

OBJECTIVE

Anti-drug antibodies (ADA) to anti-tumour necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy drive treatment loss of response. An association between intestinal microbial composition and response to anti-TNF therapy was noted. We therefore aimed to assess the implications of antibiotic treatments on ADA formation in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

DESIGN

We analysed data from the epi-IIRN (epidemiology group of the Israeli IBD research nucleus), a nationwide registry of all patients with IBD in Israel. We included all patients treated with anti-TNF who had available ADA levels. Survival analysis with drug use as time varying covariates were used to assess the association between antibiotic use and ADA development. Next, specific pathogen and germ-free C57BL mice were treated with respective antibiotics and challenged with infliximab. ADA were assessed after 14 days.

RESULTS

Among 1946 eligible patients, with a median follow-up of 651 days from initiation of therapy, 363 had positive ADA. Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated an increased risk of ADA development in patients who used cephalosporins (HR=1.97, 95% CI 1.58 to 2.44), or penicillins with β-lactamase inhibitors (penicillin-BLI, HR=1.4, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.74), whereas a reduced risk was noted in patients treated with macrolides (HR=0.38, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.86) or fluoroquinolones (HR=0.20, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.35). In mice exposed to infliximab, significantly increased ADA production was observed in cephalosporin as compared with macrolide pretreated mice. Germ-free mice produced no ADA.

CONCLUSION

ADA production is associated with the microbial composition. The risk of ADA development during anti-TNF therapy can possibly be reduced by avoidance of cephalosporins and penicillin-BLIs, or by treatment with fluoroquinolones or macrolides.

Epidemiology of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases in Israel: A Nationwide Epi-Israeli IBD Research Nucleus Study

BACKGROUND

There are currently no nationwide data on the epidemiology of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in Israel. We aimed to determine the population-based epidemiological trends of IBD in the diverse Israeli population.

METHODS

Health-administrative data were retrieved from all 4 Israeli health maintenance organizations, insuring 98% of the population, using validated identification algorithms. National trends were determined using Joinpoint regression analysis calculating annual percent change and average annual percent change (AAPC).

RESULTS

By 2019, there were 46,074 patients with IBD in Israel, corresponding to a national prevalence of 519/100,000 (0.52%), of whom 54.1% had Crohn disease (CD) and 45.9% had ulcerative colitis (UC). The number of Jewish patients doubled from 18,701 in 2005 (354/100,000) to 38,950 (589/100,000) in 2018 (AAPC, +4.0%; P < 0.05), and the number of Arab patients increased 3-fold from 1096 (102.1/100,000) to 3534 (240.7/100,000; AAPC, +6.8%; P < 0.05) during the same years. However, the increase rate has gradually decelerated over time (annual percent change during 2005-2008, 2009-2014, and 2005-2018 was +6.7%, +4.2%, and +2.3%, respectively; P < 0.05). Pediatric prevalence increased from 37.4 to 52.2/100,000, with CD predominating in both Jews and Arabs. The incidence of CD remained stable (from 15.9/100,000 to 14.9/100,000) and the incidence of UC decreased (15.4/100,000 to 10.5/100,000 (AAPC, -3.2%; P < 0.001)). In contrast, pediatric incidence of CD increased from 7.3/100,000 to 8.3/100,000 (AAPC, +1.9%; P < 0.05) and that of UC increased from 2.6 to 4.4/100,000 (AAPC, +5.8%; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The IBD prevalence rate in Israel is still increasing but gradually decelerating, probably due to the decreasing overall IBD incidence. Nonetheless, incidence rate in children is still increasing. Ongoing narrowing in the rates between Jews and Arabs over time may indicate shared environmental factors.

Validation of claims-based indicators used to identify flare-ups in inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There are currently no validated claims-based indicators for identifying a worsening of disease in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate indicators that identify flare-ups of IBD using data from Danish nationwide registries.

METHODS

Using Danish nationwide administrative data, we identified all patients with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) who had at least one measurement of faecal calprotectin between 1 January 2015 and 31 June 2017. We tested several different claims-based indicators of disease flare-ups against levels of faecal (F-)calprotectin (no flare-up: <250 mg/kg; mild flare-up: 250-1000 mg/kg; severe flare-up: ⩾1000 mg/kg). A generalised estimating equation was used to evaluate whether the proposed indicators could predict disease activity.

RESULTS

A total of 890 children and 4719 adults with CD, and 592 children and 5467 adults with UC were included in the study. During the observation period, 48-61% and 48-55% of the CD and UC patients, respectively, had no flare-up, 26-29% (CD) and 24-26% (UC) experienced a mild flare-up, and 12-23% (CD) and 21-27% (UC) experienced a severe flare-up. Combinations of indicators that could predict a flare-up in CD and UC adults included hospitalisation, surgery, initiation or switch of biological therapy, treatment with systemic steroids, locally acting steroids or topical 5-aminosalicylates, colonoscopy/sigmoidoscopy, and magnetic resonance imaging/computed tomography. In children, only the number of gastroenterology visits was significant as an indicator among UC patients, and none were seen in children with CD. Overall, the indicator combinations resulted in a predictive ability of 0.62-0.67.

CONCLUSION

Administrative claims data can be useful for identifying patients exhibiting (F-calprotectin defined) flare-ups of their IBD. Clinically relevant events captured in the Danish national patient registry are associated with increased levels of calprotectin and hence increased disease activity, and can be used as valid outcomes in future studies.

Understanding patient journey in ulcerative colitis prior to biologic initiation: a 5-year exploration

BACKGROUND

There has been a more pronounced shift toward earlier, more aggressive therapies in Crohn's disease than in ulcerative colitis (UC). The aim of this study was to describe the pre-biologic treatment and health care experience, including co-morbidities and overall health care utilization, for UC patients who initiated biologic therapies, in the 5 years prior to the initiation of the first biologic agent.

METHODS

UC patients who initiated a biologic agent approved for UC between 9/15/2005 and 1/30/2018 were identified from the IBM® MarketScan® Commercial Database, a large US database. The date of the first recorded UC biologic exposure was defined as the index date, and ≥ 5 years of pre-index records were required to evaluate patients' treatment, disease progression and overall health care utilization prior to initiating biologic agents.

RESULTS

Among the 1891 eligible patients, treatment with oral corticosteroids, 5-aminosalicylates, and other non-biologic immunomodulators, all increased progressively across the 5 years prior to the index. From within year-five to within year-one prior to the index, the median duration of oral corticosteroid treatment increased from 34 to 88 days per year and the proportion of patients who experienced more extensive/pancolitis disease increased from 16 to 59%. Overall, the frequency of all-cause health care visits also increased.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with UC experienced increasing morbidity and treatment burden in the 5 years prior to initiating biologic therapy. To achieve reduced corticosteroids in UC management, better risk stratification is needed to help identify patients for more timely biologic treatment.

COVID-19 Prevalence and Mortality Among Schizophrenia Patients: A Large-Scale Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Individuals with schizophrenia may be at an increased risk for COVID-19 morbidity due to the disease characteristics. In this study, we aimed to explore the odds of significant COVID-19 morbidity and mortality among schizophrenia patients while controlling for potential sociodemographic and medical confounders.

METHODS

Schizophrenia patients and age-and-sex matched controls (total n = 51 078) were assessed for frequency of COVID-19 positivity, hospitalizations, and mortality. The odds for COVID-19-associated hospitalization and mortality were calculated using logistic regression models, while controlling for age, sex, marital status, sector, socioeconomic status, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, smoking, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

RESULTS

Individuals with schizophrenia were less likely to test positive for COVID-19; however, they were twice as likely to be hospitalized for COVID-19 (OR 2.15 95% CI 1.63-2.82, P < .0001), even after controlling for sociodemographic and clinical risk factors (OR 1.88 95% CI 1.39-2.55, P < .0001). Furthermore, they were 3 times more likely to experience COVID-19 mortality (OR 3.27 95% CI 1.39-7.68, P < .0001), compared to controls.

CONCLUSIONS

We found evidence of associations between schizophrenia and increased COVID-19 morbidity and mortality compared to controls regardless of sociodemographic and medical factors. As these patients present with a combination of potential risk factors for mortality, efforts should be made to minimize the effects of the pandemic on this vulnerable population.

Risk of intestinal and extra-intestinal cancers in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases: A population-based cohort study in northeastern Italy

The cancer risk of patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) has not been well documented in southern Europe. This study aimed to evaluate the overall pattern of cancer risk among patients with IBD in Friuli Venezia Giulia, northeastern Italy. A population-based cohort study was performed through a record linkage between local healthcare databases and the cancer registry (1995–2013). We identified 3664 IBD patients aged 18–84 years, including 2358 with ulcerative colitis (UC) and 1306 with Crohn’s disease (CD). Sex- and age-standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to compare the cancer incidence of IBD patients with the general population. The cumulative cancer risk among IBD patients reached about 10% after 10 years of follow-up. A total of 246 cancers occurred among UC patients (SIR = 1.05, 95% CI: 0.92–1.19), and 141 among CD patients (SIR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.01–1.41). As compared with the general population, no increased risk of colorectal cancers was observed for either UC or CD patients, whereas the risk of anal cancer was significantly elevated among UC patients (SIR = 6.03, 95% CI: 1.24–17.60). Increased risks were seen for specific extra-intestinal cancers, including corpus uteri (SIR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.07–5.50) and kidney (SIR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.03–3.69) among UC patients; thyroid (SIR = 5.58, 95% CI: 2.41–11.00) and skin non-melanoma (SIR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.32–2.55) among CD patients. This population-based study showed that both UC and CD patients had a colorectal cancer risk similar to that of the general population. However, they were at a higher risk of developing certain extra-intestinal cancer types. Although detection biases cannot be excluded, the study findings pointed to a role of long-standing exposures to immunosuppressive therapies, underlying disease status, as well as the interactions with lifestyle factors. Our findings lent additional support to the need for monitoring the cancer burden in this at-risk population.

Nationwide validation study of diagnostic algorithms for inflammatory bowel disease in Korean National Health Insurance Service database

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We conducted a nationwide validation study of diagnostic algorithms to identify cases of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) within the Korea National Health Insurance System (NHIS) database.

METHOD

Using the NHIS dataset, we developed 44 algorithms combining the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes, codes for Rare and Intractable Diseases (RID) registration and claims data for health care encounters, and pharmaceutical prescriptions for IBD-specific drugs. For each algorithm, we compared the case identification results from electronic medical records data with the gold standard (chart-based diagnosis). A multiple sampling test verified the validation results from the entire study population.

RESULTS

A random nationwide sample of 1697 patients (848 potential cases and 849 negative control cases) from 17 hospitals were included for validation. A combination of the ICD-10 code, ≥ 1 claims for health care encounters, and ≥ 1 prescription claims (reference algorithm) achieved excellent performance (sensitivity, 93.1% [95% confidence interval 91-94.7]; specificity, 98.1% [96.9-98.8]; positive predictive value, 97.5% [96.1-98.5]; negative predictive value, 94.5% [92.8-95.8]) with the lowest error rate (4.2% [3.3-5.3]). The multiple sampling test confirmed that the reference algorithm achieves the best performance regarding IBD diagnosis. Algorithms including the RID registration codes exhibited poorer performance compared with that of the reference algorithm, particularly for the diagnosis of patients affiliated with secondary hospitals. The performance of the reference algorithm showed no statistical difference depending on the hospital volume or IBD type, with P-value < 0.05.

CONCLUSIONS

We strongly recommend the reference algorithm as a uniform standard operational definition for future studies using the NHIS database.

The use of ICD codes to identify IBD subtypes and phenotypes of the Montreal classification in the Swedish National Patient Register

Introduction: Whether data on International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-codes from the Swedish National Patient Register (NPR) correctly correspond to subtypes of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and phenotypes of the Montreal classification scheme among patients with prevalent disease is unknown.Materials and methods: We obtained information on IBD subtypes and phenotypes from the medical records of 1403 patients with known IBD who underwent biological treatment at ten Swedish hospitals and retrieved information on their IBD-associated diagnostic codes from the NPR. We used previously described algorithms to define IBD subtypes and phenotypes. Finally, we compared these register-generated subtypes and phenotypes with the corresponding information from the medical records and calculated positive predictive values (PPV) with 95% confidence intervals.Results: Among patients with clinically confirmed disease and diagnostic listings of IBD in the NPR (N = 1401), the PPV was 97 (96-99)% for Crohn's disease, 98 (97-100)% for ulcerative colitis, and 8 (4-11)% for IBD-unclassified. The overall accuracy for age at diagnosis was 95% (when defined as A1, A2, or A3). Examining the validity of codes representing disease phenotype, the PPV was 36 (32-40)% for colonic Crohn's disease (L2), 61 (56-65)% for non-stricturing/non-penetrating Crohn's disease behaviour (B1) and 83 (78-87)% for perianal disease. Correspondingly, the PPV was 80 (71-89)% for proctitis (E1)/left-sided colitis (E2) in ulcerative colitis.Conclusions: Among people with known IBD, the NPR is a reliable source of data to classify most subtypes of prevalent IBD, even though misclassification commonly occurred in Crohn's disease location and behaviour and also among IBD-unclassified patients.

Evaluation of administrative case definitions for chronic kidney disease in children

INTRODUCTION

Administrative data is increasingly used for chronic disease surveillance; however, its validity to define cases of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children is unknown. We sought to evaluate the performance of case definitions for CKD in children.

METHODS

We utilized population-based administrative data from the Manitoba Center for Health Policy to evaluate the validity of algorithms based on a combination of hospital claims, outpatient physician visits, and pharmaceutical use over 1-3 years in children <18 years of age. Algorithms were compared with a laboratory-based definition (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 90 ml/min/1.73 m² and/or presence of proteinuria).

RESULTS

All algorithms evaluated had very low sensitivity (0.20-0.39) and moderate positive predictive value (0.52-0.68). Algorithms had excellent specificity (0.98-0.99) and negative predictive value (0.96-0.97). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves indicate fair accuracy (0.60-0.68). Sensitivity improved with increasing years of data. One or more physician claims and one or more prescriptions over 3 years had the highest sensitivity and ROC.

CONCLUSIONS

The sensitivity of administrative data algorithms for CKD is unacceptably low for a screening test. Specificity is excellent; therefore, children without CKD are correctly identified. Alternate data sources are required for population-based surveillance of this important chronic disease.

The Association of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases with Autoimmune Disorders: A Report from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are conflicting data on the association between inflammatory bowel diseases [IBD] and autoimmunity disorders. The aim of this study was to explore this association including the effect of medications.

METHODS

We utilized health administrative data collected by three of the four health maintenance organizations [HMOs] in Israel, covering 52% of the country's population. We explored the prevalence of the following autoimmune disorders: insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus [IDDM], psoriasis, Sjögren syndrome, coeliac disease, systemic lupus erythematosus [SLE], primary sclerosis cholangitis [PSC] and autoimmune thyroiditis, among all IBD patients vs non-IBD controls. Case ascertainment was determined according to validated computerized algorithms.

RESULTS

In total, 12625 IBD patients were compared to 12625 controls. A total of 1395 [11.1%] IBD patients had at least one autoimmune disease compared with 740 [5.9%] of non-IBD controls (odds ratio [OR] = 1.99 [95% confidence interval 1.81-2.19]; p < 0.05); all autoimmune diseases, except for thyroiditis, were more prevalent among IBD patients. Adjusted for confounding variables, anti-tumour necrosis factor [anti-TNF] medications were associated with a higher prevalence of psoriasis (54 [5.7%] in IBD vs 177 [4.1%] in controls; OR = 1.50 [1.07-2.08]; p < 0.05) but lower prevalence of Sjögren (1 [0.1%] vs 39 [0.9%]; OR [95% CI] = 0.13 [0.02-0.94]; p < 0.05) and coeliac disease (11 [1.2%] vs 68 [1.6%]; OR [95% CI] = 0.51 [0.27-0.99]; p < 0.05). Thiopurines and 5-aminosalicylates were not associated with any autoimmune disorder.

CONCLUSION

IBD is associated with all autoimmune diseases explored here except for thyroiditis. Anti-TNF users have a higher prevalence of psoriasis, and lower prevalence of Sjögren and coeliac disease.

Pediatric Chronic Inflammatory Bowel Disease in a German Statutory Health INSURANCE-Incidence Rates From 2009 to 2012

OBJECTIVE

The incidence of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (PIBD) varies over time and geographic region. We attempted to generate incidence rates form German health insurance data.

METHODS

We used health care data for 2009-2015 provided by BARMER, a major statutory health insurance company in Germany, insuring approximately 8% of the pediatric population. We applied a Canadian case definition for PIBD based on International Classification of Diseases coding, documentation of (ileo)colonoscopy and the number of PIBD related visits, without external validation for Germany. An internal validation of the specificity of the diagnosis by checking whether the identified incident cases had also prescriptions of PIPD specific drugs was performed.

RESULTS

In 2012, 187 pediatric patients were newly diagnosed, accounting for an overall PIBD incidence of 17.41 (95% CI 15.08-20.10) per 100,000 insured children and adolescents from 0 to 17.9 years per year compared with 13.65/100,000 (95% CI 11.63-16.01) in 2009. The age-specific incidence showed a steep increase as of the age of 7 years. The PIBD prevalence in 2012 was 66.29/100,000.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the incidence of PIBD in 0 to 17.9-year-olds in Germany with health BARMER health insurance in 2012 is among the highest reported in the literature.