Impact of Education on COPD Severity and All-Cause Mortality in Lifetime Never-Smokers and Longtime Ex-Smokers: Results of the COSYCONET Cohort

Development and validation of a nomogram model for mortality prediction in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients: A prospective observational study in the RealDTC cohort

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death worldwide. There is no nomogram model available for mortality prediction of stable COPD. We intended to develop and validate a nomogram model to predict mortality risk in stable COPD patients for personalised prognostic assessment.

Methods

A prospective observational study was made of COPD outpatients registered in the RealDTC study between December 2016 and December 2019. Patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 7:3. We used Lasso regression to screen predicted variables. Further, we evaluated the prognostic performance using the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve. We used the AUC, concordance index, and decision curve analysis to evaluate the net benefits and utility of the nomogram compared with three earlier prediction models.

Results

Of 2499 patients, the median follow-up was 38 months. The characteristics of the patients between the training cohort (n = 1743) and the validation cohort (n = 756) were similar. ABEODS nomogram model, combining age, body mass index, educational level, airflow obstruction, dyspnoea, and severe exacerbation in the first year, was constructed to predict mortality in stable COPD patients. In the integrative analysis of training and validation cohorts of the nomogram model, the three-year mortality prediction achieved AUC = 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.81, 0.88 and AUC = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.74, 0.86, respectively. The ABEODS nomogram model preserved excellent calibration in both the training cohort and validation cohort. The time-dependent AUC, concordance index, and net benefit of the nomogram model were higher than those of BODEx, updated ADO, and DOSE, respectively.

Conclusions

We developed and validated a prognostic nomogram model that accurately predicts mortality across the COPD severity spectrum. The proposed ABEODS nomogram model performed better than earlier models, including BODEx, updated ADO, and DOSE in Chinese patients with COPD.

Registration

ChiCTR-POC-17010431.

Characteristics of Current Smokers versus Former Smokers with COPD and Their Associations with Smoking Cessation Within 4.5 Years: Results from COSYCONET

Background

Many patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) continue smoking. We used data from the "real-life" COSYCONET COPD cohort to evaluate whether these patients differed from patients with COPD who either had ceased smoking prior to inclusion or ceased during the follow-up time of the study.

Methods

The analysis was based on data from visits 1-5 (covering 4.5 years), including all patients with the diagnosis of COPD who were either ex-smokers or smokers and categorized as GOLD 1-4 or the former GOLD 0 category. We compared the characteristics of smokers and ex-smokers at baseline (visit 1), as well as the course of lung function in the follow-up of permanent ex-smokers, permanent smokers and incident ex-smokers (smokers at visit 1 who ceased smoking before visit 5). We also identified baseline factors associated with subsequent smoking cessation.

Results

Among 2500 patients who were ever-smokers, 660 were current smokers and 1840 ex-smokers at baseline. Smokers were younger than ex-smokers (mean 61.5 vs 66.0 y), had a longer duration of smoking but fewer pack-years, a lower frequency of asthma, higher forced expiratory volume in 1 sec (FEV1, 59.4 vs 55.2% predicted) and higher functional residual capacity (FRC, 147.7 vs 144.3% predicted). Similar results were obtained for the longitudinal subpopulation, comprising 713 permanent ex-smokers, 175 permanent smokers, and 55 incident ex-smokers. When analyzing the time course of lung function, higher FRC, lower FEV1 and the presence of asthma (p < 0.05 each) were associated with incident cessation prior to visit 5, while less airway obstruction was associated with smoking continuation.

Conclusion

These findings, which were consistent in the cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, suggest that lung hyperinflation was associated with being or becoming ex-smoker. Possibly, it is perceived by patients as one of the factors motivating their attempts to quit smoking, independent from airway obstruction.

Association between viral hepatitis and metabolic syndrome in lung function impairment: A Taiwan community-based study

OBJECTIVES

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) are associated with a higher risk of impaired pulmonary function (iPF). This study aimed to investigate the relationships among MetS, iPF, and viral hepatitis.

METHODS

This community-based study enrolled participants undergoing annual health check-ups in southern Taiwan between March and December 2019. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses adjusted for demographics and characteristics to identify the factors associated with iPF.

RESULTS

A total of 2337 participants completed examinations, of whom 928 (39.7%) had iPF. The participants with iPF were elderly (68.8  ±  12.8 years old) and predominately female (63%). MetS increased the risk of iPF (odds ratio (OR) 1.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27-1.81, p < 0.001). Beyond age (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.04) and smoking (OR 1.309, 95% CI 1.004-1.705), female sex (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.93) and high education level (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.98, p < 0.001) protected against iPF. HCV was not significantly associated with iPF (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.90-1.52, p  =  0.235) in multivariable analysis. MetS was associated with a higher risk of iPF in the non-HBV/HCV group (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.54-2.26) and HBV alone group (OR 3.44, 95% CI 1.89-6.28), but not in the HCV alone group (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.64-1.62).

DISCUSSION

MetS was an independent predictor of iPF, especially the restrictive type, and had different effects in the HBV/non-viral hepatitis and HCV groups. Female sex and education were inversely associated with iPF.

Clinical characteristics and risk of all-cause mortality in low education patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the Chinese population

Background

Education levels play a critical role in the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), which mainly affects the elderly, who generally have a low level of education in China. We aimed to investigate the association between education level and COPD clinical characteristics and outcomes, especially the effects of education level on the all-cause mortality of COPD in the Chinese population.

Methods

We retrieved data collected between December 2016 and June 2020 in the RealDTC, an ongoing multicenter, real-world study on the status of diagnosis and treatment of COPD. The patients were classified into low- and high-education groups. We extracted data on demographics, pulmonary function, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) grades, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) scores, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores, exacerbation history, therapy, and comorbidities, and on mortality during three years of follow-up.

Results

We included 4098 patients with COPD, of whom 3258 (79.5%) were of low education. This group had higher ages, CAT scores, mMRC scores, and numbers of exacerbations, as well as a greater proportion of females, never smokers, biofuel exposure, and GOLD grade 3. Logistic regression showed that being aged ≥65 years, being female, having biofuel exposure, having CAT scores of 20-29, and having ≥2 exacerbations were independently associated with having low education (P < 0.05). Furthermore, low-education COPD patients had a higher cumulative mortality risk during three years of follow-up than their high-education counterparts (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.75; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.17-2.61, P = 0.006).

Conclusions

Low-education COPD patients, who accounted for most of our sample, had a higher symptom burden, risk of exacerbation, and risk of all-cause mortality. Clinicians attending COPD patients should be more attentive of individuals with low education levels.

Standardized airway wall thickness Pi10 from routine CT scans of COPD patients as imaging biomarker for disease severity, lung function decline, and mortality

BACKGROUND

Chest computed tomography (CT) is increasingly used for phenotyping and monitoring of patients with COPD. The aim of this work was to evaluate the association of Pi10 as a measure of standardized airway wall thickness on CT with exacerbations, mortality, and response to triple therapy.

METHODS

Patients of GOLD grades 1-4 of the COSYCONET cohort with prospective CT scans were included. Pi10 was automatically computed and analyzed for its relationship to COPD severity, comorbidities, lung function, respiratory therapy, and mortality over a 6-year period, using univariate and multivariate comparisons.

RESULTS

We included n = 433 patients (61%male). Pi10 was dependent on both GOLD grades 1-4 (p = 0.009) and GOLD groups A-D (p = 0.008); it was particularly elevated in group D, and ROC analysis yielded a cut-off of 0.26 cm. Higher Pi10 was associated to lower FEV₁ % predicted and higher RV/TLC, moreover the annual changes of lung function parameters (p < 0.05), as well as to an airway-dominated phenotype and a history of myocardial infarction (p = 0.001). These associations were confirmed in multivariate analyses. Pi10 was lower in patients receiving triple therapy, in particular in patients of GOLD groups C and D. Pi10 was also a significant predictor for mortality (p = 0.006), even after including multiple other predictors.

CONCLUSION

In summary, Pi10 was found to be predictive for the course of the disease in COPD, in particular mortality. The fact that Pi10 was lower in patients with severe COPD receiving triple therapy might hint toward additional effects of this functional therapy on airway remodeling.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, Identifier: NCT01245933.

DALY trend and predictive analysis of COPD in China and its provinces: Findings from the global burden of disease study

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the most common chronic respiratory disease in the world, especially in China. Few studies have explored the trend of COPD in China and its provinces. This study aimed to demonstrate and predict the trend of COPD DALY in China and its provinces based on the global burden of disease (GBD) data.

Methods

The data on COPD disability-adjusted life year (DALY) were collected from GBD 2017, GBD 2019, and the National Bureau of Statistics of China. The age-standardized rate (ASR) was used to evaluate the trend of COPD DALY by gender, age, and risk factors in China and its provinces. In addition, the trend of COPD considering the aging population in the next 10 years was also predicted.

Results

In China, the COPD DALY was 20.4 million in 2017, which decreased to 24.16% from 1990 to 2017. Most provinces showed a downward trend, with the exception of Taiwan which increased by 127.78%. The ASR of DALY was 1445.53 per 100,000 people in 2017 and demonstrated a significant decrease. Among all provinces, only Taiwan (97.78%) and Hubei (2.21%) demonstrated an increased trend of ASR. In addition, Tibet ranked third with a decline of 56.95%, although its ASR was the highest in 1990. Smoking and air pollution were the main risk factors for COPD and varied with regions, gender, and age. The proportion of COPD DALY attributable to smoking was higher in the middle-aged and elderly male population and did not decrease in China. Moreover, the ASR attributable to air pollution of the elderly decreased significantly in China. Socio-demographic index (SDI) and educational level were also found to be related to ASR. By predicting the ASR trend in the next 10 years, we found that the ASR attributable to smoking might increase significantly among men. The ASR attributable to air pollution showed a significant decrease in women. Unfortunately, ASR attributable to second-hand smoke was found to increase in women.

Conclusion

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is the leading contributor to the burden of global diseases. Although China and its provinces demonstrated a downward trend of COPD DALY, some provinces still faced challenges. Moreover, ASR attributable to risk factors was different in regions, gender, age, and years. The predicted trend of COPD was also different. Therefore, more targeted strategies should be formulated to reduce the burden of COPD in China and its provinces.

[What have we learned from the German COPD cohort COSYCONET and where do we go from here?]

COSYCONET 1 is the only German COPD cohort which is large enough to be internationally comparable. The recruitment, which started in 2010 and ended in December 2013, comprised 2741 patients with the diagnosis of COPD who were subsequently investigated in regular follow-up visits. All visits included a comprehensive functional and clinical characterisation. On the basis of this detailed data set, it was possible to address a large number of clinical questions. These questions ranged from the prescription of medication, the detailed analysis of comorbidities, in particular cardiovascular disease, and biomarker assessment to radiological and health-economic aspects. Currently, more than 60 publications of COSYCONET data are internationally available. The present overview provides a description of all the results that were obtained, focussing on the relationship between different clinical and functional aspects as well as their potential practical consequences. In addition, information on the follow-up study COSYCONET 2 is given.

Health literacy and quality of life in Iranian persons with COPD

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is a progressive disorder with significant physical, psychological, and social consequences and adversely affects the persons' quality of life (QOL).

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine the health literacy (HL) and QOL of persons with COPD and some of the contributing factors.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted from May to December 2019 on 270 persons with COPD referring to Shahid-Beheshti Hospital of Kashan, Iran. Data were collected using a demographic questionnaire, the 33-item Health Literacy Questionnaire of the Urban Population of Iran (with a total score ranging from 33 to 165, higher score indicates higher HL) and the 50-item St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire for assessing the QOL (with a total score ranging from zero to 100, greater score means lower QOL). Descriptive statistics, Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficient, Chi-square test, t-test, analysis of variance, and linear regression analysis were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

The mean age and the mean duration of COPD were 59.48±13.31 and 3.85±3.47 years, respectively. The mean HL score and the mean QOL were 81.44±23.89 and 57.41±10.70, respectively. A significant correlation was found between HL and QOL (r=-0.21, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Participants had moderate levels of HL and QOL. There was a significant correlation between HL and QOL. Health care providers are recommended to take effective steps to improve the HL of persons with COPD by developing comprehensive educational programs for them.

Remote patient monitoring in the management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Remote patient monitoring allows monitoring high-risk patients through implementation of an expanding number of technologies in coordination with a healthcare team to augment care, with the potential to provide early detection of exacerbation, prompt access to therapy and clinical services, and ultimately improved patient outcomes and decreased healthcare utilization.In this review, we describe the application of remote patient monitoring in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease including the potential benefits and possible barriers to implementation both for the individual and the healthcare system.

Basic Determinants of Disease Knowledge in COPD Patients: Results from COSYCONET

INTRODUCTION

In many chronic diseases, including COPD, the patients' basic knowledge of the disorder has been shown to be relevant for the course of the disease. We studied which clinical and functional characteristics were related to this knowledge as well as the patients' satisfaction with their knowledge about COPD.

METHODS

The study population comprised 645 patients of GOLD grades 1-4 who participated in Visit 6 of the COSYCONET cohort (COPD and Systemic Consequences - Comorbidities Network). The assessments covered a broad panel of clinical and functional characteristics, including generic and disease-specific quality of life and the COPD Assessment Test (CAT). The study aim was addressed by two questions, referring to patients' knowledge of the meaning of FEV₁ and the overall satisfaction with their knowledge of COPD.

RESULTS

Knowledge of FEV₁ was higher in patients of higher spirometric GOLD grades or exacerbation risk, in males, with higher educational level, and after participation in a prior educational training on COPD. Patients with more detailed knowledge showed a higher satisfaction with their knowledge. Satisfaction was associated with higher generic quality of life and a lower CAT score. Furthermore, satisfaction was higher in patients with a treatment plan but lower in patients with cardiac comorbidities. It appeared that females with basic education, high burden from COPD and low quality of life had the greatest knowledge deficits.

DISCUSSION

The results suggest room for education programs adapted to the educational level of the participants. They also emphasize the major role of a disease management plan for the patients.

Association Between Diet-Related Inflammation and COPD: Findings From NHANES III

Background and Aims: Little is known about diet-related inflammation in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In this study, we aimed to explore the association between COPD and dietary inflammatory index (DII) scores in adults over 40 years old.

Methods: Data were obtained from the 2013 to 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). In the present study, 9,929 participants were included and analyzed. The DII score was calculated and divided into tertiles. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the odds ratios of DII tertiles.

Results: Participants were categorized into COPD (565, 5.69%) and non-COPD groups (9,364, 94.31%) according to interview information. COPD individuals had higher DII scores than non-COPD individuals (0.429 ± 1.809 vs. −0.191 ± 1.791, p < 0.001). The highest DII score tertile included 46.55% of COPD individuals was associated with lower family incomes and education and a higher smoking rate (p < 0.01). The odds ratios (95% CIs) of COPD according to logistic regression were 0.709 (0.512–0.982) for T1 and 0.645 (0.475–0.877) for T2 of the DII score (p = 0.011).

Conclusion: Higher DII scores were positively correlated with COPD in participants over 40 years old. These results further support that diet can be used as an intervention strategy for COPD management.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the behaviour and health status of patients with COPD: results from the German COPD cohort COSYCONET

Background:

Infection control measures for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) might have affected management and clinical state of patients with COPD. We analysed to which extent this common notion is fact-based.

Methods:

Patients of the COSYCONET cohort were contacted with three recurring surveys (COVID1, 2 and 3 at 0, 3 and 6 months, respectively). The questionnaires comprised behaviour, clinical and functional state, and medical treatment. The responses to the questionnaires were compared amongst themselves and with pre-COVID information from the last visit of COSYCONET.

Results:

Overall, 594 patients were contacted and 375 patients (58% males, forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) 61±22% predicted) provided valid data in COVID1 and COVID2. Five patients reported infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Most patients – except for patients with higher education – reported compliance with recommended protective measures, whereby compliance to hygiene, contact and access to physicians slightly improved between COVID1 and COVID2. Also, patients obtained more information from physicians than from public media. In the majority of cases, the personal physician could not be substituted by remote consultation. Over time, symptoms slightly increased and self-assessed physical capacity decreased. Results of COVID3 were similar. Women and patients with more exacerbations and dyspnoea avoided medical consultations, whereas Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) D patients were more amenable to tele-consultation.

Conclusion:

In well-characterised COPD patients, we observed on average slight deteriorations of clinical state during the period of COVID-19 restrictions, with high and partially increasing adherence to protective measures. The data suggest that in particular, women and GOLD D patients should be actively contacted by physicians to identify deteriorations.

During the period of #COVID19 restrictions, slight deteriorations of clinical state with increasing adherence to protective measures were observed. In particular, women and GOLD D patients are at risk of deterioration.https://bit.ly/2S7fhEo