Prediabetes and Risk for Cardiac Death Among Patients With Coronary Artery Disease: The ARTEMIS Study

Reframing prediabetes: A call for better risk stratification and intervention

Prediabetes is an intermediate state of glucose homeostasis whereby plasma glucose concentrations are above normal but below the threshold of diagnosis for diabetes. Over the last several decades, criteria for prediabetes have changed as the cut points for normal glucose concentration and diagnosis of diabetes have shifted. Global consensus does not exist for prediabetes criteria; as a result, the clinical course and risk for type 2 diabetes vary. At present, we can identify individuals with prediabetes based on three glycemic tests (hemoglobin A1c, fasting plasma glucose, and 2-h plasma glucose during an oral glucose tolerance test). The majority of individuals diagnosed with prediabetes meet only one of these criteria. Meeting one, two, or all glycemic criteria changes risk for type 2 diabetes, but this information is not widely known and does not currently guide intervention strategies for individuals with prediabetes. This review summarizes current epidemiology, prognosis, and intervention strategies for individuals diagnosed with prediabetes and suggests a call for more precise risk stratification of individuals with prediabetes as elevated (one prediabetes criterion), high risk (two prediabetes criteria), and very high risk (three prediabetes criteria). In addition, the roles of oral glucose tolerance testing and continuous glucose monitoring in the diagnostic criteria for prediabetes need reassessment. Finally, we must reframe our goals for prediabetes and prioritize intensive interventions for those at high and very high risk for type 2 diabetes.

Association of prediabetes with clinical outcomes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome: a post hoc analysis of the ISCHEMIA and ISCHEMIA-CKD trials

BACKGROUND

There is conflicting evidence whether prediabetes is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome. We aimed to assess the effect of prediabetes in patients with chronic coronary syndrome on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of data from the ISCHEMIA and ISCHEMIA-CKD trials, including patients with chronic coronary syndrome determined by coronary computed tomography angiography or exercise-stress testing. Participants were assigned to the normoglycemia group (HbA1c < 5.7% [< 39 mmol/mol]), prediabetes group (HbA1c 5.7-6.4% [40-47 mmol/mol]), or diabetes group (HbA1c ≥ 6.5% [≥ 48 mmol/mol]). The primary end point of this study was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included major adverse cardiovascular events and composites thereof.

RESULTS

Overall, the primary endpoint all-cause mortality occurred in 330 (8.4%) of 3910 patients over a median follow-up time of 3.1 years (IQR 2.1-4.1). The primary endpoint all-cause mortality occurred in 37 (5.2%) of 716 patients in the normoglycemia group, in 63 (6.9%) of 911 in the prediabetes group, and in 230 (10.1%) of 2283 in the diabetes group. In the covariate-adjusted Cox model analysis, the estimated adjusted HR (aHR) in the prediabetes group as compared with the normoglycemia group was 1.45 (95%CI, 0.95-2.20). The aHR in the diabetes group as compared with the normoglycemia group was 1.84 (95%CI, 1.29-2.65). Prediabetes, compared with normoglycemia, was associated with an increased risk of stroke (aHR, 3.44, 95%CI, 1.15-10.25). Subgroup analyses suggested an increased risk of all-cause death associated with prediabetes in males and patients under 65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic coronary syndrome, diabetes but not prediabetes was associated with significantly increased risk of all-cause death within a median follow-up period of 3.1 years. Trial Registration NCT01471522, BioLINCC ID 13936.

NT-proBNP and cardiovascular event risk in individuals with prediabetes undergoing cardiovascular evaluation

AIMS

Cardiovascular risk assessment beyond traditional risk factors in subjects with prediabetes is not well-established. Here, we evaluated the utility of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in predicting incident adverse cardiovascular outcomes in prediabetic subjects.

METHODS

NT-proBNP was analyzed in 3,235 stable subjects with prediabetes undergoing cardiovascular risk evaluation and followed for both 3-year major adverse cardiac events (MACE; death, myocardial infarction, stroke), and 5-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Using Cox proportional hazard models, we found that plasma NT-proBNP was associated with incident (3-year) MACE risk (Q4 vs Q1, HR 6.04 [95%CI 4.17-8.76], P < 0.001) and 5-year mortality risk (HR 8.64 [95%CI 5.78-12.9], P < 0.001). These associations remained significant after adjustments for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, multiple indices of glycemic control, cardiovascular disease (CVD), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and medication (e.g. diuretic) use (adjusted HR for 3-year MACE 2.65 [95% CI 1.16-6.05], P < 0.05; and adjusted HR for 5-year mortality 3.45 [95% CI 1.42-8.39], P < 0.01). NT-proBNP significantly improved the clinical prognostic value (C-statistic, NRI, IDI) for both 3-year MACE and 5-year death when added to models.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP independently predicts increased long-term MACE and mortality risks in prediabetic subjects, and may help identify those for whom more aggressive global preventive efforts are indicated.

Prediabetes is Associated with Worse Long-Term Outcomes in Young Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

Purpose

The incidence of prediabetes mellitus (pre-DM) is increasing among young individuals. Whether pre-DM can predict adverse cardiovascular events in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate the impact of pre-DM on the long-term clinical outcomes of patients aged≤ 45 years with new-onset ACS.

Patients and methods

A total of 1113 patients with new-onset ACS (aged≤ 45 years) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into three groups according to their glycemic status or history: normal glucose metabolism (NGM), prediabetes (pre-DM), and diabetes mellitus (DM). The primary endpoint was defined as a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or unplanned repeat revascularization. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to explore the association between abnormal glycemic status and MACE.

Results

The prevalence of NGM, pre-DM, and DM were 45.9% (n=511), 27.0% (n=301), and 27.0% (n=301), respectively. During a median follow-up of 65 months, MACE occurred in 23.5% (n=120) of NGM, 29.2% (n=88) of pre-DM, and 34.6% (n=104) of DM (P=0.003). After multivariate adjustment, both pre-DM and DM significantly increased the risk of MACE compared with the NGM group (pre-DM: HR1.38, CI95% 1.05-1.83, P=0.023; DM: HR1.65, CI95% 1.27-2.16, P<0.001). Moreover, pre-DM had a similar impact on MACE as DM in young patients with ACS (P=0.162).

Conclusion

Pre-DM was common among patients aged≤ 45 years with new-onset ACS. Pre-DM was associated with an increased risk of future MACE compared to NGM.

The prognostic effect of prediabetes defined by different criteria in patients with stable coronary artery disease: a prospective cohort study in Asia

AIMS

To evaluate the impact of prediabetes identified by different glycemic thresholds (according to ADA or WHO/IEC criteria) and diagnostic tests (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] or hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c]) on clinical outcomes in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this prospective cohort study, we consecutively enrolled 4088 stable CAD non-diabetic patients with a median follow-up period of 3.2 years. Prediabetes was defined according to ADA criteria as FPG 5.6∼6.9 mmol/L and/or HbA1c 5.7∼6.4%, and WHO/IEC criteria as FPG 6.1∼6.9 mmol/L and/or HbA1c 6.0∼6.4%. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke. The prevalence of prediabetes defined according to ADA criteria (67%) was double that of WHO/IEC criteria (34%). Compared with patients with normoglycaemia, those with WHO/IEC-defined prediabetes were significantly associated with higher risk of MACE [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.50, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-2.06], mainly driven by the higher incidence of events in individuals with HbA1c-defined prediabetes. However, this difference was not found in patients with ADA-defined prediabetes and normoglycaemia (adjusted HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.81-1.68). Although FPG was not associated with cardiovascular events, HbA1c improved the risk prediction for MACE in a model of traditional risk factors. Furthermore, the optimal cutoff value of HbA1c for predicting MACE was 5.85%, which was close to the threshold recommended by IEC.

CONCLUSION

This study supports the use of WHO/IEC criteria for the identification of prediabetes in stable CAD patients. Haemoglobin A1c, rather than FPG, should be considered as a useful marker for risk stratification in this population.

REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Prediabetes and all-cause mortality in young patients undergoing coronary artery angiography: a multicenter cohort study in China

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of prediabetes is increasing in young adults and patients undergoing coronary angiography. However, whether prediabetes is a considerable risk factor for all-cause mortality remains undetermined in young patients undergoing coronary angiography.

METHODS

In this study, we retrospectively included 8868 young patients (men aged < 45 years, women aged < 55 years) who underwent coronary angiography (CAG). Patients were categorized as normoglycemic, prediabetes and diabetes according to the HbA1c level or documented history of diabetes. The association of all-cause mortality with diabetes and prediabetes was detected by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 3240 (36.5%) among 8868 young patients receiving CAG were prediabetes and 2218 (25.0%) were diabetes. 728 patients died during a median follow-up of 4.92 years. Compared to the normoglycemic group, prediabetes increased the risk of all-cause mortality in young CAG patients by 24%(adjusted HR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.04-1.49, p = 0.019) and diabetes increased the risk of all-cause mortality by 46%(adjusted HR:1.46, 95% CI:1.2-1.79, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that diabetes and prediabetes increased the risk of death mainly in patients without comorbidities.

CONCLUSION

Prediabetes accounts for more than one-third of the young adults undergoing CAG and was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, active prevention strategy should be considered for these patients.

Hyperglycemia newly detected by glycated hemoglobin affects all-cause mortality in coronary artery disease patients: a retrospective cohort study

AIMS

We aim to assess the relationship between hyperglycemia and long-term prognosis in CAD patients without known diabetes.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we enrolled 11,384 CAD patients without known diabetes. Newly detected diabetes was defined as HbA1c ≥ 6.5 %, and prediabetes was defined as HbA1c ranging from 5.7 to 6.4 %.The association between hyperglycemia and long-term all-cause mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

According to HbA1c level, 8207 (72.1 %) patients had hyperglycemia, including 13.0 % with diabetes and 59.1 % with prediabetes. During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, 1157(10.2 %) patients died. Compared with normoglycemia, hyperglycemia was associated with increased risk for long-term mortality (adjusted hazard ratio for diabetes and prediabetes: 1.23 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.00 to 1.51] and 1.17 [95 % CI: 1.01 to 1.36], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperglycemia detected by HbA1c was common in CAD patients without known diabetes and was associated with increased long-term mortality. It is necessary to routinely use HbA1c to assess glucose metabolic status in CAD patients and treat hyperglycemia as early as possible to reduce the risk of adverse outcomes.

Newly diagnosed diabetes based on an oral glucose tolerance test predicts cardiovascular outcomes in patients with coronary artery disease: An observational study

Diabetes is prevalent in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Using the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), abnormal glucose regulation can be detected early in CAD patients without known diabetes. In the present study, we assessed the impact of abnormal glucose regulation on the long-term cardiovascular outcomes of patients with established CAD. Patients hospitalized for a scheduled angiography due to angina were enrolled in Taichung Veterans General Hospital. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-hour postload glucose (2hPG) were assessed using the OGTT. Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and other biochemical analyses were assessed using fasting blood samples. During a median follow-up period of 4.6 years, a composite of all-cause mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke was recorded as the primary endpoint. In 682 enrolled patients who completed the follow-up, there were 16 myocardial infarction events, 12 stroke events, and 58 deaths as composite endpoints. According to FPG and 2hPG, patients with newly diagnosed diabetes had a 2-fold higher risk for the composite endpoint than those in the normal glucose group (hazard ratio [HR], 2.011; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.101-3.673; P = .023); however, prediabetes was not significantly associated with the composite endpoint (HR, 1.452; 95% CI, 0.788-2.675; P = .232). On the other hand, patients with diabetes diagnosed by FPG and HbA1c did not have a significantly higher risk for the composite endpoint than those in the normal glucose group (HR, 1.321; 95% CI, 0.686-2.545; P = .405). A 2hPG ≥7.8 mmol/L was a significant predictor for the composite endpoint (odds ratio, 1.743; 95% CI, 1.060-2.863; P = .028) after adjusting for age, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Diabetes, but not prediabetes, detected via OGTT is associated with a significantly increased risk for the composite endpoint in patients with established CAD. The 2hPG provided a greater predictive power for the composite endpoint than fasting glucose and HbA1c.

Prognostic value of subclinical myocardial necrosis using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in patients with prediabetes

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification of patients with prediabetes is an unmet clinical need. Here, we examine the utility of subclinical myocardial necrosis assessed by high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) in predicting health outcomes in stable subjects with prediabetes.

METHODS

hs-cTnT was analyzed by a high-sensitivity assay (Roche 5th generation) in 2631 stable subjects with prediabetes (HbA1c 5.7-6.4% or fasting glucose 100-125 mg/dL without previous diagnosis of diabetes or glucose-lowering therapy) who underwent elective coronary angiography for cardiac evaluation, and followed for major adverse cardiac events (MACE; death, myocardial infarction, stroke) over 3 years and all-cause mortality over 5 years.

RESULTS

In our study cohort, hs-cTnT was highly prevalent with a median level of 13 ng/L (interquartile range 8.2-21.6 ng/L). Hs-cTnT was independently associated with incident MACE at 3 years (Q4 vs. Q1 adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.42 [95% CI 1.69-3.46], P < 0.001) and 5-year mortality (adjusted HR 3.8 [95% CI 2.55-5.67], P < 0.001). This association remained significant in all subsets after adjustment for traditional risk factors and multiple factors known to increase hs-cTnT levels. Moreover, hs-cTnT independently predicted event risk in primary prevention subjects (n = 557, HR 5.46 [95% CI 1.50-19.89), p < 0.01) for MACE; HR 9.53 [95% CI 2.08-43.73] for all-cause mortality) and secondary prevention subjects (n = 2074, HR 1.86 [95% CI 1.31-2.66], P < 0.001 for MACE; and 2.7 [95% CI 1.79-4.08), P < 0.001 for all-cause mortality).

CONCLUSIONS

In stable prediabetic subjects, the presence of subclinical myocardial necrosis as detected by hs-cTnT portends heightened long-term adverse cardiovascular event risk. Hs-cTnT levels may help to stratify risk and improve clinical decision making in patients with prediabetes. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00590200.

Prediabetes and the risk of heart failure: A meta-analysis

AIM

To determine the role of prediabetes in the incidence of heart failure (HF).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar and OpenGrey) for studies up to 31 December 2020. Studies were included for meta-analysis if they reported adjusted relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of HF for prediabetes compared with normoglycaemia. Prediabetes was defined as impaired fasting glucose (IFG) according to the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria (IFG-WHO), or according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) definition (IFG-ADA), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), raised HbA1c according to the ADA criteria (HbA1c-ADA), or according to the International Expert Committee (IEC) recommendation (HbA1c-IEC).

RESULTS

A total of 15 studies comprising 9,827,430 individuals provided data for this analysis. The median follow-up duration of the included studies was 8.0 years. Compared with normoglycaemia, prediabetes was associated with an increased risk for HF: IFG-ADA (RR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.13), IFG-WHO (RR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.07-1.30), IGT (RR 1.58, 95% CI 1.04-2.39), HbA1c-ADA (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.16-1.41) or HbA1c-IEC (RR 1.40, 95% CI 1.09-1.79), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Prediabetes is associated with an increased risk of HF. Future studies are needed to evaluate effective treatments for prediabetes to prevent the development and progression of HF.

Prognostic value of heart rate variability in patients with coronary artery disease in the current treatment era

Coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality has declined substantially over the past decades thanks to advancing medical and interventional/surgical treatments; therefore, the prognostic value of the heart rate variability in CAD in the current treatment era is not well established. We evaluated the prognostic significance of baseline heart rate variability in 1,757 ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. During an average follow-up time of 8.7 ± 2.2 years, a total of 285 (16.2%) patients died. Of the patients, 63 (3.6%) suffered sudden cardiac death or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCD/SCA), 60 (3.4%) experienced non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD), and death attributable to non-cardiac causes (NCD) occurred in 162 (9.2%) patients. For every 10 ms decrease in standard deviation of normal to normal intervals the risk for SCD/SCA, NSCD and NCD increased significantly: HR 1.153 (95% CI 1.075–1.236, p<0.001), HR 1.187 (95% CI 1.102–1.278, p<0.001) and HR 1.080 (95% CI 1.037–1.125, p<0.001), respectively. The natural logarithm of the low-frequency component of the power spectrum and the short-term scaling exponent of the detrended fluctuation analysis also had significant association with all modes of death (p<0.001). After relevant adjustment, standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals retained its association with NSCD and NCD (p<0.01), the natural logarithm of the low-frequency component of the power spectrum with all modes of death (p from <0.05 to <0.01), and the short-term scaling exponent of the detrended fluctuation analysis with SCD/SCA (p<0.05) and NCD (p<0.001). In conclusion, impairment of many measures of heart rate variability predicts mortality but is not associated with any specific mode of death in patients with stable CAD during the current treatment era, limiting the clinical applicability of heart rate variability to targeting therapy.

Long term prognostic implication of newly detected abnormal glucose tolerance among patients with stable cardiovascular disease: a population-based cohort study

Background

Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-h post challenge plasma glucose (2 h-PCPG), whether as continuous or categorical variables, are associated with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes; however, their role among patients with existing CVD is a matter of debate. We aimed to evaluate associations of different glucose intolerance states with recurrent CVD and incident diabetes among subjects with previous CVD.

Methods

From a prospective population-based cohort, 408 Iranians aged  ≥  30 years, with history of CVD and without known diabetes were included. Associations of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and World Health Organization (WHO) criteria, impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), newly diagnosed diabetes (NDM) with outcomes of interest were determined by multivariable Cox proportional hazard models after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Furthermore, FPG and 2 h-PCPG were entered as continuous variables.

Results

Over a decade of follow-up, 220 CVD events including 89 hard events (death, myocardial infarction and stroke) occurred. Regarding prediabetes, only IFG-ADA was associated with increased risk of hard CVD [hazard ratio(HR), 95%CI: 1.62,1.03–2.57] in the age-sex adjusted model. In patients with NDM, those with FPG ≥ 7 mmol/L were at higher risk of incident CVD/coronary heart disease(CHD) and their related hard outcomes (HR ranged from 1.89 to 2.84, all P < 0.05). Moreover, those with 2 h-PCPG ≥ 11.1 mmol/L had significant higher risk of CVD (1.46,1.02–2.11), CHD (1.46,1.00–2.15) and hard CHD (1.95:0.99–3.85, P = 0.05). In the fully adjusted model, each 1 SD increase in FPG was associated with 20, 27, 15 and 25% higher risk of CVD, hard CVD, CHD and hard CHD, respectively; moreover each 1 SD higher 2 h-PCPG was associated with 21% and 16% higher risk of CVD, and CHD, respectively. Among individuals free of diabetes at baseline (n = 361), IFG-ADA, IFG-WHO and IGT were significantly associated with incident diabetes (all P < 0.05); significant associations were also found for FPG and 2 h-PCPG as continuous variables (all HRs for 1-SD increase > 2, P < 0.05).

Conclusions

Among subjects with stable CVD, NDM whether as high FPG or 2 h-PCPG, but not pre-diabetes status was significantly associated with CVD/CHD and related hard outcomes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12967-021-02950-y.

Temporal variability of T-wave morphology and risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease

Background

The possible relationship between temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not completely understood.

Methods

The standard deviation of T‐wave morphology dispersion (TMD‐SD), of QRST angle (QRSTA‐SD), and of T‐wave area dispersion (TW‐Ad‐SD) were analyzed on beat‐to‐beat basis from 10 min period of the baseline electrocardiographic recording in ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD.

Results

After on average of 8.6 ± 2.3 years of follow‐up, a total of 66 of the 1,678 present study subjects (3.9%) had experienced SCD or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). TMD‐SD was most closely associated with the risk for SCD and was significantly higher in patients who had experienced SCD/SCA compared with those who remained alive (3.61 ± 2.83 vs. 2.64 ± 2.52, p = .008, respectively), but did not differ significantly between the patients who had experienced non‐SCD (n = 71, 4.2%) and those who remained alive (3.20 ± 2.73 vs. 2.65 ± 2.53, p = .077, respectively) or between the patients who succumbed to non‐cardiac death (n = 164, 9.8%) and those who stayed alive (2.64 ± 2.17 vs. 2.68 ± 2.58, p = .853). After adjustments with relevant clinical risk indicators of SCD/SCA, TMD‐SD still predicted SCD/SCA (HR 1.107, 95% CIs 1.035–1.185, p = .003).

Conclusions

Temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization represented by TMD‐SD independently predicts long‐term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Prediabetes and risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality based on hypertension status

Background

Current recommendations suggest prediabetes testing for overweight or obese adults with at least one cardiovascular risk factor. However, it is important to understand whether testing should be conducted in adults with hypertension regardless of their cardiovascular risk factors.

Methods

Participants from the 1999–2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) aged at least 18 years and without diabetes were enrolled in the study. Participants were classified according to their prediabetes and hypertension status and followed up to track cardiovascular and all-cause mortality until December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards models were built to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs). Results were stratified by age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, and cardiovascular disease history.

Results

At baseline, 5,011 (14.72%) out of 34,047 participants had combined prediabetes and hypertension. Prediabetes alone was not associated with all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Hypertension alone was significantly associated with all-cause (HR: 1.30) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.89) mortality, and combined prediabetes and hypertension were significantly associated with all-cause (HR: 1.37) and cardiovascular (HR: 2.11) mortality. Age and ethnicity were significantly associated with combined prediabetes and hypertension and all-cause mortality, where the association was stronger among people aged <60 years (HR: 1.94 vs. 1.22) and White (HR: 1.50 vs. 1.21).

Conclusions

Prediabetes might elevate the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among people with hypertension. This relationship is more evident among younger and White individuals.

Predictive Performance of Glycated Hemoglobin for Incident Diabetes Compared with Glucose Tolerance Test According to Central Obesity

BACKGROUND

To examine whether glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) test would be a suitable screening tool for detecting high-risk subjects for diabetes compared to oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) according to accompanied central obesity.

METHODS

In this prospective population-based cohort study, both OGTT and HbA1c tests were performed and continued every 2 years up to 12 years among individuals with non-diabetic state at baseline (aged 40 to 69 years, n=7,512). Incident diabetes was established by a doctor, HbA1c ≥6.5%, and/or fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥126 mg/dL, and/or 2-hour postprandial glucose (2hPG) level based on OGTT ≥200 mg/dL. Discriminative capacities of high HbA1c (≥5.7%) versus high 2hPG (≥140 mg/dL) for predicting incident diabetes were compared using Cox-proportional hazard regression and C-index.

RESULTS

During the median 11.5 years of follow-up period, 1,341 (17.6%) developed diabetes corresponding to an incidence of 22.1 per 1,000 person-years. Isolated high 2hPG was associated with higher risk for incident diabetes (hazard ratio [HR], 4.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.56 to 5.17) than isolated high HbA1c (HR, 2.79; 95% CI, 2.40 to 3.26; P<0.05). In addition, high 2hPG provided better discriminatory capacity than high HbA1c (C-index 0.79 vs. 0.75, P<0.05). Meanwhile, in subjects with central obesity, the HR (3.95 [95% CI, 3.01 to 5.18] vs. 2.82 [95% CI, 2.30 to 3.46]) and discriminatory capacity of incident diabetes (C-index 0.75 vs. 0.75) between two subgroups became comparable.

CONCLUSION

Even though the overall inferior predictive capacity of HbA1c test than OGTT, HbA1c test might plays a complementary role in identifying high risk for diabetes especially in subjects with central obesity with increased sensitivity.

Prediabetes, heart mechanics, and echocardiography: A narrative review

Prediabetes is a dysglycemic state that affects many around the world and is a known risk factor for the occurrence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the future, accompanied by vascular complications. Evidence abounds regarding myocardial involvement in prediabetes. We herein review studies having applied tissue Doppler imaging or speckle-tracking echocardiography to evaluate myocardial function in subjects with prediabetes to depict a picture of cardiac mechanics in individuals with prediabetes in comparison with patients suffering from diabetes mellitus and individuals in the normoglycemic state. Finally, we present the detrimental effects of prediabetes on cardiac mechanics.

Prediabetes and long-term outcomes in patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease: A large single-center cohort study

Aims/Introduction

Whether detection of prediabetes by routinely testing hemoglobin A_1c and fasting plasma glucose in three‐vessel disease patients could identify individuals at high risk of future cardiovascular disease events remains unclear. This study evaluated the relationship between different glycemic status and clinical outcomes in this specific population.

Materials and Methods

This study included 8,891 Chinese patients with three‐vessel disease. Patients were categorized according to their glycemic status (normoglycemia [NG], n = 3,195; prediabetes, n = 1,978; diabetes mellitus, n = 3,718).

Results

The median follow‐up time was 7.5 years, during which 1,354 deaths and 2,340 major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events occurred. Compared with the NG group, patients in the prediabetes and diabetes mellitus groups had more comorbidities. After adjusting for confounders, the diabetes mellitus group had a higher risk of all‐cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.20–1.53; P < 0.001), cardiac death (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.14–1.61; P = 0.001) and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11–1.34; P < 0.001) compared with the NG group, whereas the prediabetes and NG groups had no significant difference. The diabetes mellitus group also had a higher risk of stroke compared with the NG group (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02–1.46; P = 0.031).

Conclusions

In the context of three‐vessel disease, prediabetes patients have comparable long‐term outcomes in terms of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events, cardiac death and all‐cause death to those with NG. Routine screening of glycemic metabolism based on hemoglobin A_1c and fasting plasma glucose might be valuable to identify individuals with diabetes mellitus who are at high risk of future cardiovascular disease events and individuals with prediabetes who are at high risk of progressing to diabetes mellitus.

Metformin Should Not Be Used to Treat Prediabetes

Based on the results of the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS), in which metformin significantly decreased the development of diabetes in individuals with baseline fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentrations of 110-125 vs. 100-109 mg/dL (6.1-6.9 vs. 5.6-6.0 mmol/L) and A1C levels 6.0-6.4% (42-46 mmol/mol) vs. <6.0% and in women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus, it has been suggested that metformin should be used to treat people with prediabetes. Since the association between prediabetes and cardiovascular disease is due to the associated nonglycemic risk factors in people with prediabetes, not to the slightly increased glycemia, the only reason to treat with metformin is to delay or prevent the development of diabetes. There are three reasons not to do so. First, approximately two-thirds of people with prediabetes do not develop diabetes, even after many years. Second, approximately one-third of people with prediabetes return to normal glucose regulation. Third, people who meet the glycemic criteria for prediabetes are not at risk for the microvascular complications of diabetes and thus metformin treatment will not affect this important outcome. Why put people who are not at risk for the microvascular complications of diabetes on a drug (possibly for the rest of their lives) that has no immediate advantage except to lower subdiabetes glycemia to even lower levels? Rather, individuals at the highest risk for developing diabetes-i.e., those with FPG concentrations of 110-125 mg/dL (6.1-6.9 mmol/L) or A1C levels of 6.0-6.4% (42-46 mmol/mol) or women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus-should be followed closely and metformin immediately introduced only when they are diagnosed with diabetes.

Admission fasting plasma glucose is associated with in-hospital outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome and diabetes: findings from the improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China - Acute Coronary Syndrome (CCC-ACS) project

Background

The discrepancy between glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in clinical practice may be related to factors such as acute stress, renal dysfunction, and anemia, and its relationship with in-hospital outcomes is uncertain. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the type of discrepancy between HbA_1c and FPG and in-hospital outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and diabetes.

Methods

The Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China - Acute Coronary Syndrome (CCC-ACS) project is a national, hospital-based quality improvement project with an ongoing database. Patients with ACS, diabetes and complete HbA_1c and FPG values at admission were included. The consistent group included patients with HbA_1c < 6.5% and FPG < 7.0 mmol/L or HbA_1c ≥ 6.5% and FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L. The discrepancy group included patients with HbA_1c ≥ 6.5% and FPG < 7.0 mmol/L (increased HbA_1c group) or HbA_1c < 6.5% and FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L (increased FBG group).

Results

A total of 7762 patients were included in this study. The numbers of patients in the consistent and discrepancy groups were 5490 and 2272 respectively. In the discrepancy group, increased HbA_1c accounted for 77.5% of discrepancies, and increased FPG accounted for 22.5% of discrepancies. After adjusting for confounders, patients in the increased FPG group had a 1.6-fold increased risk of heart failure (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.08–2.44), a 1.6-fold increased risk of composite cardiovascular death and heart failure (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.09–2.43), and a 1.6-fold increased risk of composite major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and heart failure (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.08–2.24) compared to patients in the increased HbA_1c group.

Conclusions

Patients with an increased FPG but normal HbA_1c had a higher risk of in-hospital adverse outcomes than those with increased HbA_1c but normal FPG. This result may indicate that when HbA_1c and FPG are inconsistent in patients with ACS and diabetes, the increased FPG that may be caused by stress hyperglycemia may have a more substantial adverse effect than increased HbA_1c, which may be caused by chronic hyperglycemia. These high-risk patients should be given more attention and closer monitoring in clinical practice.

Trial registry

Clinicaltrial.gov, NCT02306616. Registered 29 November 2014.

Effect of prediabetes on the long-term all-cause mortality of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: A protocol for systematic review and meta analysis

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes is an abnormal metabolic state that develops prior to the onset of diabetes with proven to common comorbid states of coronary artery disease. However, whether prediabetes worsens prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention remains controversial. The aim of this study is to summarize previous cohort studies and to specify the impact of prediabetes on the long-term outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention.

METHODS

This meta-analysis will be performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis guidelines for conducting and reporting meta-analysis data. Pubmed, Embase and Google scholar will be systematically searched, and supplemented with manual searches of the included reference lists to identify cohort studies. Pooled effects on the discontinuous variables will be expressed by adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals. All analyses will be performed with Stata 15.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX).

RESULTS

The results of this study will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review will provide new information and help enhance clinical decision-making on management of these patients.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

INPLASY202060079.

Peptide hormones and risk for future cardiovascular events among prediabetics: a 20-year follow-up in the OPERA study

Background: Prediabetes has proven to have many unfavourable impacts on the cardiovascular system.Methods: The OPERA (Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis) study included 1045 middle-aged subjects followed from the years 1990-1993 to 2014. The focus was on peptide hormones.Results: Plasma resistin levels were higher among prediabetics (p = .001), particularly impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) (p < .001), but not impaired fasting glucose (IFG) patients than among normal glucose tolerance (NGT) or diabetes groups. Diabetics showed lower resistin levels than IGT subjects (p < .001). IGT or diabetes groups showed lower adiponectin and higher leptin levels compared to the NGT group (p < .001). The IFG group had the highest blood pressure and left ventricular mass index, even higher than the diabetic group. Diabetics had the highest, prediabetics (IFG + IGT) intermediate and NGT the lowest risk for CVD events during follow-up (p < .001). Among prediabetics, high plasma ghrelin was an independent predictor of CVD events (p < .05) in the Cox regression analysis although it did not significantly improve either classification or discrimination of the patients.Conclusions: Among glucose tolerance groups, patients with IGT had the highest resistin, but equally high leptin and low adiponectin levels as diabetics. Among prediabetics, ghrelin seems to predict independently cardiovascular events in the long term.KEY MESSAGEAmong glucose tolerance groups, patients with IGT had the highest resistin, but equally high leptin and low adiponectin levels as diabetics.Among prediabetics, ghrelin seems to predict independently cardiovascular events in the long term.

Impaired fasting glucose and major adverse cardiovascular events by hypertension and dyslipidemia status: the Golestan cohort study

BACKGROUND

Whether pre-diabetes in the absence of hypertension (HTN) or dyslipidemia (DLP) is a risk factor for occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) is not fully established. We investigated the effect of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) alone and in combination with HTN, DLP or both on subsequent occurrence of MACE as well as individual MACE components.

METHODS

This longitudinal population-based study included 11,374 inhabitants of Northeastern Iran. The participants were free of any cardiovascular disease at baseline and were followed yearly from 2010 to 2017. Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to measure the hazard of IFG alone or in combination with HTN and DLP on occurrence of MACE as the primary endpoint.

RESULTS

Four hundred thirty-seven MACE were recorded during 6.2 ± 0.1 years follow up. IFG alone compared to normal fasting glucose (NFG) was not associated with an increase in occurrence of MACE (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.19-4.02; p, 0.854). However, combination of IFG and HTN (HR, 2.88; 95% CI, 2.04-4.07; p, 0.000) or HTN + DLP (HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.89-4.71; p, 0.000) significantly increased the risk for MACE. Moreover, IFG + DM with or without HTN, DLP, or both was also associated with an increase in the incidence of MACE.

CONCLUSION

IFG, per se, does not appear to increase hazard of MACE. However, IFG with HTN or HTN + DLP conferred a significant hazard for MACE in an incremental manner. Moreover, IFG without HTN, adjusted for DLP, can be associated with an increase in the risk for CVD- death.

Impacts of Pre-Diabetes or Prehypertension on Subsequent Occurrence of Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality among Population without Cardiovascular Diseases

BACKGROUND

Among the population without cardiovascular diseases (CVD), it is unclear whether pre-diabetes and/or prehypertension elevated the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

All participants without CVD at baseline were recruited from the 1999-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), with survival status being updated until 31 December 2015. Cox proportional hazards models and subgroup analyses were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

There were 23,622 participants (11,233 [47.6%] male) with mean age of 37.2 years. Compared to participants without prehypertension or pre-diabetes, the HRs for all-cause mortality among participants with prehypertension alone, pre-diabetes alone, and combined pre-diabetes and prehypertension were 1.04 (95% CI: 0.88, 1.24), 0.96 (95% CI:0.76, 1.21), and 1.19 (95% CI:0.98, 1.46), respectively. The corresponding HRs for cardiovascular mortality were 1.51 (95% CI: 0.83, 2.77), 1.40 (95% CI: 0.64, 3.06), and 1.70 (95% CI: 0.88, 3.27), respectively. A subgroup analysis showed that participants with combined pre-diabetes and prehypertension had a higher risk of all-cause mortality among younger participants, higher BMI, white population, and people with elevated non-HDLC. Moreover, the association between combined pre-diabetes and prehypertension and cardiovascular death was only significant among people with elevated non-HDLC.

CONCLUSION

Pre-diabetes combined with prehypertension might elevate the risk of all-cause mortality among subjects, particularly for those with elevated body weight, high non-HDLC, younger participants or white population.

Inulin-type fructans supplementation improves glycemic control for the prediabetes and type 2 diabetes populations: results from a GRADE-assessed systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of 33 randomized controlled trials

Background

Currently, many clinical trials have shown that inulin-type fructans (ITF) supplementation is associated with glycemic control; nevertheless, the results are inconclusive. The aim of this meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials was to assess the effects of ITF supplementation on glycemic control.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched for eligible articles up to March 6, 2019. A random-effects model was used to analyze the pooled results, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) system was applied to assess the quality of evidence. The dose–response model was used to recommend the daily dose and duration for ITF supplementation.

Results

Thirty-three trials involving 1346 participants were included. Overall, ITF supplementation could significantly reduce concentrations of fasting blood glucose (FBG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting insulin (FINS) and homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). In the prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) population, a more significant reduction in FBG [weighted mean difference (WMD): − 0.60 mmol/l; 95% CI − 0.71, − 0.48 mmol/l; high rate], HbA1c (WMD: − 0.58%; 95% CI − 0.83, − 0.32%; high rate), FINS (WMD: − 1.75 µU/ml; 95% CI − 2.87, − 0.63 µU/ml; low rate), and HOMA-IR (WMD: − 0.69; 95% CI − 1.10, − 0.28; low rate) were observed, and ITF supplementation with a daily dose of 10 g for a duration of 6 weeks and longer was recommended. Moreover, subgroup analyses suggested that the effects of glycemic control were significantly influenced by the sex of the subjects and the type and the method of intake of ITF.

Conclusions

Our analyses confirmed that these four main glycemic indicators were significantly reduced by ITF supplementation, particularly in the prediabetes and T2DM population. Evidence supports that reasonable administration of ITF supplementation may have potential clinical value as an adjuvant therapy for prediabetes and T2DM management.

Trial registration The trial was registered at PROSPERO as CRD42018115875 on November 23, 2018.

Risk of coronary artery disease according to glucose abnormality status and prior coronary artery disease in Japanese men

OBJECTIVE

Although glucose abnormality status (GAS), prior coronary artery disease (CAD), and other traditional risk factors affect the incidence of subsequent CAD, their impact in the same cohort has been scantly studied.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed data from a nationwide claims database in Japan that was accumulated during 2008-2016 involving 138,162 men aged 18-72 years. Participants were classified as having normoglycemia, borderline glycemia, or diabetes mellitus (DM) with prior CAD (CAD+) or without prior CAD (CAD-). Cox regression model identified variables related to the incidence of CAD.

RESULTS

Among CAD-, management of traditional risks differed from those with and without subsequent CAD events. On the other hand, such differences were weaker in borderline glycemia and DM CAD+, and the influence of traditional risk factors on subsequent CAD was not observed. Cox regression model showed that borderline glycemia and DM confer approximately 1.2- and 2.8-fold excess risks of CAD, respectively, compared with CAD- with normoglycemia. CAD+ confers approximately a 5- to 8-fold increased risk. The impacts of DM and prior CAD additively reached a hazard ratio (HR) of 15.74 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.82-21.00). However, the HR in those with borderline glycemia and CAD+ was 7.20 (95% CI: 5.01-10.34), which was not different from those with normoglycemia and CAD+.

CONCLUSION

Control status of traditional risk factors and impact on subsequent CAD differ among categories of glycemic status with and without prior CAD. Individualizing treatment strategies is needed in consideration of risk factors, such as GAS and CAD+.