Integration of estimated glomerular filtration rate biomarker in image-based cardiovascular disease/stroke risk calculator: a south Asian-Indian diabetes cohort with moderate chronic kidney disease

Deep learning artificial intelligence framework for multiclass coronary artery disease prediction using combination of conventional risk factors, carotid ultrasound, and intraplaque neovascularization

OBJECTIVE

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major healthcare challenge and therefore early risk assessment is vital. Previous assessment techniques use either "conventional CVD risk calculators (CCVRC)" or machine learning (ML) paradigms. These techniques are ad-hoc, unreliable, not fully automated, and have variabilities. We, therefore, introduce AtheroEdge-MCDLAI (AE3.0DL) windows-based platform using multiclass Deep Learning (DL) system.

METHODS

Data was collected on 500 patients having both carotid ultrasound and corresponding coronary angiography scores (CAS), measured as stenosis in coronary arteries and considered as the gold standard. A total of 39 covariates were used, clubbed into three clusters, namely (i) Office-based: age, gender, body mass index, smoker, hypertension, systolic blood pressure, and diastolic blood pressure; (ii) Laboratory-based: Hyperlipidemia, hemoglobin A1c, and estimated glomerular filtration rate; and (iii) Carotid ultrasound image phenotypes: maximum plaque height, total plaque area, and intra-plaque neovascularization. Baseline characteristics for four classes (target labels) having significant (p < 0.0001) values were calculated using Chi-square and ANOVA. For handling the cohort's imbalance in the risk classes, AE3.0DL used the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE). AE3.0DL used Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) DL models and the performance (accuracy and area-under-the-curve) was computed using 10-fold cross-validation (90% training, 10% testing) frameworks. AE3.0DL was validated and benchmarked.

RESULTS

The AE3.0DL using RNN and LSTM showed an accuracy and AUC (p < 0.0001) pairs as (95.00% and 0.98), and (95.34% and 0.99), respectively, and showed an improvement of 32.93% and 9.94% against CCVRC and ML, respectively. AE3.0DL runs in <1 s.

CONCLUSION

DL algorithms are a powerful paradigm for coronary artery disease (CAD) risk prediction and CVD risk stratification.

A Powerful Paradigm for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification Using Multiclass, Multi-Label, and Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Paradigms: A Narrative Review

Background and Motivation: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) causes the highest mortality globally. With escalating healthcare costs, early non-invasive CVD risk assessment is vital. Conventional methods have shown poor performance compared to more recent and fast-evolving Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods. The proposed study reviews the three most recent paradigms for CVD risk assessment, namely multiclass, multi-label, and ensemble-based methods in (i) office-based and (ii) stress-test laboratories. Methods: A total of 265 CVD-based studies were selected using the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) model. Due to its popularity and recent development, the study analyzed the above three paradigms using machine learning (ML) frameworks. We review comprehensively these three methods using attributes, such as architecture, applications, pro-and-cons, scientific validation, clinical evaluation, and AI risk-of-bias (RoB) in the CVD framework. These ML techniques were then extended under mobile and cloud-based infrastructure. Findings: Most popular biomarkers used were office-based, laboratory-based, image-based phenotypes, and medication usage. Surrogate carotid scanning for coronary artery risk prediction had shown promising results. Ground truth (GT) selection for AI-based training along with scientific and clinical validation is very important for CVD stratification to avoid RoB. It was observed that the most popular classification paradigm is multiclass followed by the ensemble, and multi-label. The use of deep learning techniques in CVD risk stratification is in a very early stage of development. Mobile and cloud-based AI technologies are more likely to be the future. Conclusions: AI-based methods for CVD risk assessment are most promising and successful. Choice of GT is most vital in AI-based models to prevent the RoB. The amalgamation of image-based strategies with conventional risk factors provides the highest stability when using the three CVD paradigms in non-cloud and cloud-based frameworks.

Vascular calcification progression in patients with end-stage chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Intima media thickness (IMT), vascular calcifications and ankle-brachial pressure index (ABPI) were shown to be independent predictors of mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients.

METHODS

Between January 2018 and March 2019, a physician-initiated, nonrandomized, prospective study was conducted. Carotid IMT, vascular calcifications analysis values and measurements of the ABPI, were made at baseline and after 1-year of follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 284 patients, 152 patients with dialysis (100 hemodialysis (HD) and 52 CAPD (continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis)) and 132 patients with stage 4 chronic kidney disease (control group), were included (55% male, 67 [29-88] years). The values of carotid IMT at baseline were higher in the HD group than in the CAPD group (1.10±0.08 mm vs. 0.08±0.04 mm, P=0.004). Adragao and Kauppila scores were higher in the HD group than in the CAPD group (2.56±2.10 vs. 1.08±2.02, P=0.009; and 7.40±6.86 vs. 4.44±5.26, P<0.001; respectively). These differences remained after 1-year of follow-up. Pathological ABPI after 1-year follow-up was more prevalent in the HD group than in the CAPD or control groups (32.0% vs. 19.4% vs. 7.7%, respectively, P=0.042). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that age, gender, dialysis type and LDLc were independent predictors for carotid IMT increase; age, dialysis type and smoking for vascular calcifications increase on Adragao Score; and dialysis type on Kauppila Score. Only the dialysis type was the independent predictor for all vascular calcifications markers.

CONCLUSIONS

Dialysis, particularly HD, is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular calcification increase in ESRD patients.

Hybrid deep learning segmentation models for atherosclerotic plaque in internal carotid artery B-mode ultrasound

The automated and accurate carotid plaque segmentation in B-mode ultrasound (US) is an essential part of stroke risk stratification. Previous segmented methods used AtheroEdge™ 2.0 (AtheroPoint™, Roseville, CA) for the common carotid artery (CCA). This study focuses on automated plaque segmentation in the internal carotid artery (ICA) using solo deep learning (SDL) and hybrid deep learning (HDL) models. The methodology consists of a novel design of 10 types of SDL/HDL models (AtheroEdge™ 3.0 systems (AtheroPoint™, Roseville, CA) with a depth of four layers each. Five of the models use cross-entropy (CE)-loss, and the other five models use Dice similarity coefficient (DSC)-loss functions derived from UNet, UNet+, SegNet, SegNet-UNet, and SegNet-UNet+. The K10 protocol (Train:Test:90%:10%) was applied for all 10 models for training and predicting (segmenting) the plaque region, which was then quantified to compute the plaque area in mm². Further, the data augmentation effect was analyzed. The database consisted of 970 ICA B-mode US scans taken from 99 moderate to high-risk patients. Using the difference area threshold of 10 mm² between ground truth (GT) and artificial intelligence (AI), the area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.91, 0.911, 0.908, 0.905, and 0.898, all with a p-value of <0.001 (for CE-loss models) and 0.883, 0.889, 0.905, 0.889, and 0.907, all with a p-value of <0.001 (for DSC-loss models). The correlations between the AI-based plaque area and GT plaque area were 0.98, 0.96, 0.97, 0.98, and 0.97, all with a p-value of <0.001 (for CE-loss models) and 0.98, 0.98, 0.97, 0.98, and 0.98 (for DSC-loss models). Overall, the online system performs plaque segmentation in less than 1 s. We validate our hypothesis that HDL and SDL models demonstrate comparable performance. SegNet-UNet was the best-performing hybrid architecture.

A Review on Joint Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Plaque Area Measurement in Ultrasound for Cardiovascular/Stroke Risk Monitoring: Artificial Intelligence Framework

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the top ten leading causes of death worldwide. Atherosclerosis disease in the arteries is the main cause of the CVD, leading to myocardial infarction and stroke. The two primary image-based phenotypes used for monitoring the atherosclerosis burden is carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and plaque area (PA). Earlier segmentation and measurement methods were based on ad hoc conventional and semi-automated digital imaging solutions, which are unreliable, tedious, slow, and not robust. This study reviews the modern and automated methods such as artificial intelligence (AI)-based. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can provide automated techniques in the detection and measurement of cIMT and PA from carotid vascular images. Both ML and DL techniques are examples of supervised learning, i.e., learn from "ground truth" images and transformation of test images that are not part of the training. This review summarizes (1) the evolution and impact of the fast-changing AI technology on cIMT/PA measurement, (2) the mathematical representations of ML/DL methods, and (3) segmentation approaches for cIMT/PA regions in carotid scans based for (a) region-of-interest detection and (b) lumen-intima and media-adventitia interface detection using ML/DL frameworks. AI-based methods for cIMT/PA segmentation have emerged for CVD/stroke risk monitoring and may expand to the recommended parameters for atherosclerosis assessment by carotid ultrasound.

Bidirectional link between diabetes mellitus and coronavirus disease 2019 leading to cardiovascular disease: A narrative review

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic where several comorbidities have been shown to have a significant effect on mortality. Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) have a higher mortality rate than non-DM patients if they get COVID-19. Recent studies have indicated that patients with a history of diabetes can increase the risk of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. Additionally, patients without any history of diabetes can acquire new-onset DM when infected with COVID-19. Thus, there is a need to explore the bidirectional link between these two conditions, confirming the vicious loop between "DM/COVID-19". This narrative review presents (1) the bidirectional association between the DM and COVID-19, (2) the manifestations of the DM/COVID-19 loop leading to cardiovascular disease, (3) an understanding of primary and secondary factors that influence mortality due to the DM/COVID-19 loop, (4) the role of vitamin-D in DM patients during COVID-19, and finally, (5) the monitoring tools for tracking atherosclerosis burden in DM patients during COVID-19 and "COVID-triggered DM" patients. We conclude that the bidirectional nature of DM/COVID-19 causes acceleration towards cardiovascular events. Due to this alarming condition, early monitoring of atherosclerotic burden is required in "Diabetes patients during COVID-19" or "new-onset Diabetes triggered by COVID-19 in Non-Diabetes patients".

Cardiovascular risk assessment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis using carotid ultrasound B-mode imaging

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic chronic inflammatory disease that affects synovial joints and has various extra-articular manifestations, including atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). Patients with RA experience a higher risk of CVD, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. Inflammation is a common phenomenon in RA and CVD. The pathophysiological association between these diseases is still not clear, and, thus, the risk assessment and detection of CVD in such patients is of clinical importance. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) has gained prominence in advancing healthcare and, therefore, may further help to investigate the RA-CVD association. There are three aims of this review: (1) to summarize the three pathophysiological pathways that link RA to CVD; (2) to identify several traditional and carotid ultrasound image-based CVD risk calculators useful for RA patients, and (3) to understand the role of artificial intelligence in CVD risk assessment in RA patients. Our search strategy involves extensively searches in PubMed and Web of Science databases using search terms associated with CVD risk assessment in RA patients. A total of 120 peer-reviewed articles were screened for this review. We conclude that (a) two of the three pathways directly affect the atherosclerotic process, leading to heart injury, (b) carotid ultrasound image-based calculators have shown superior performance compared with conventional calculators, and (c) AI-based technologies in CVD risk assessment in RA patients are aggressively being adapted for routine practice of RA patients.

3-D optimized classification and characterization artificial intelligence paradigm for cardiovascular/stroke risk stratification using carotid ultrasound-based delineated plaque: Atheromatic™ 2.0

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Atherosclerotic plaque tissue rupture is one of the leading causes of strokes. Early carotid plaque monitoring can help reduce cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Manual ultrasound plaque classification and characterization methods are time-consuming and can be imprecise due to significant variations in tissue characteristics. We report a novel artificial intelligence (AI)-based plaque tissue classification and characterization system.

METHODS

We hypothesize that symptomatic plaque is hypoechoic due to its large lipid core and minimal collagen, as well as its heterogeneous makeup. Meanwhile, asymptomatic plaque is hyperechoic due to its small lipid core, abundant collagen, and the fact that it is often calcified. We designed a computer-aided diagnosis (CADx) system consisting of three kinds of deep learning (DL) classification paradigms: Deep Convolutional Neural Network (DCNN), Visual Geometric Group-16 (VGG16), and transfer learning, (tCNN). DCNN was 3-D optimized by varying the number of CNN layers and data augmentation frameworks. The DL systems were benchmarked against four types of machine learning (ML) classification systems, and the CADx system was characterized using two novel strategies consisting of DL mean feature strength (MFS) and a bispectrum model using higher-order spectra.

RESULTS

After balancing symptomatic and asymptomatic plaque classes, a five-fold augmentation process was applied, yielding 1000 carotid scans in each class. Then, using a K10 protocol (trained to test the ratio of 90%-10%), tCNN and DCNN yielded accuracy (area under the curve (AUC)) pairs of 83.33%, 0.833 (p < 0.0001) and 95.66%, 0.956 (p < 0.0001), respectively. DCNN was superior to ML by 7.01%. As part of the characterization process, the MFS of the symptomatic plaque was found to be higher compared to the asymptomatic plaque by 17.5% (p < 0.0001). A similar pattern was seen in the bispectrum, which was higher for symptomatic plaque by 5.4% (p < 0.0001). It took <2 s to perform the online CADx process on a supercomputer.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance order of the three AI systems was DCNN > tCNN > ML. Bispectrum-based on higher-order spectra proved a powerful paradigm for plaque tissue characterization. Overall, the AI-based systems offer a powerful solution for plaque tissue classification and characterization.

Cardiovascular/stroke risk prevention: A new machine learning framework integrating carotid ultrasound image-based phenotypes and its harmonics with conventional risk factors

MOTIVATION

Machine learning (ML)-based stroke risk stratification systems have typically focused on conventional risk factors (CRF) (AtheroRisk-conventional). Besides CRF, carotid ultrasound image phenotypes (CUSIP) have shown to be powerful phenotypes risk stratification. This is the first ML study of its kind that integrates CUSIP and CRF for risk stratification (AtheroRisk-integrated) and compares against AtheroRisk-conventional.

METHODS

Two types of ML-based setups called (i) AtheroRisk-integrated and (ii) AtheroRisk-conventional were developed using random forest (RF) classifiers. AtheroRisk-conventional uses a feature set of 13 CRF such as age, gender, hemoglobin A1c, fasting blood sugar, low-density lipoprotein, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, total cholesterol (TC), a ratio of TC and HDL, hypertension, smoking, family history, triglyceride, and ultrasound-based carotid plaque score. AtheroRisk-integrated system uses the feature set of 38 features with a combination of 13 CRF and 25 CUSIP features (6 types of current CUSIP, 6 types of 10-year CUSIP, 12 types of quadratic CUSIP (harmonics), and age-adjusted grayscale median). Logistic regression approach was used to select the significant features on which the RF classifier was trained. The performance of both ML systems was evaluated by area-under-the-curve (AUC) statistics computed using a leave-one-out cross-validation protocol.

RESULTS

Left and right common carotid arteries of 202 Japanese patients were retrospectively examined to obtain 404 ultrasound scans. RF classifier showed higher improvement in AUC (~57%) for leave-one-out cross-validation protocol. Using RF classifier, AUC statistics for AtheroRisk-integrated system was higher (AUC = 0.99,p-value<0.001) compared to AtheroRisk-conventional (AUC = 0.63,p-value<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The AtheroRisk-integrated ML system outperforms the AtheroRisk-conventional ML system using RF classifier.