Forecasting Seizure Likelihood With Wearable Technology

AI in ECG: Validating an ambulatory semiology labeller and predictor

OBJECTIVES

Early prediction of epileptic seizures can help reduce morbidity and mortality. In this work, we explore using electrocardiographic (ECG) signal as input to a seizure prediction system and note that the performance can be improved by using selected signal processing techniques.

METHODS

We used frequency domain analysis with a deep neural network backend for all our experiments in this work. We further analysed the effect of the proposed system for different seizure semiologies and prediction horizons. We explored refining the signal using signal processing to enhance the system's performance.

RESULTS

Our final system using the Temple University Hospital's Seizure (TUHSZ) corpus gave an overall prediction accuracy of 84.02 %, sensitivity of 87.59 %, specificity of 81.9 %, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.9112. Notably, these results surpassed the state-of-the-art outcomes reported using the TUHSZ database; all findings are statistically significant. We also validated our study using the Siena scalp EEG database. Using the frequency domain data, our baseline system gave a performance of 75.17 %, 79.17 %, 70.04 % and 0.82 for prediction accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and AUROC, respectively. After selecting the optimal frequency band of 0.8-15 Hz, we obtained a performance of 80.49 %, 89.51 %, 75.23 % and 0.89 for prediction accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and AUROC, respectively which is an improvement of 5.32 %, 10.34 %, 5.19 % and 0.08 for prediction accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and AUROC, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The seizure information in ECG is concentrated in a narrow frequency band. Identifying and selecting that band can help improve the performance of seizure detection and prediction.

SIGNIFICANCE

EEG is susceptible to artefacts and is not preferred in a low-cost ambulatory device. ECG can be used in wearable devices (like chest bands) and is feasible for developing a low-cost ambulatory device for seizure prediction. Early seizure prediction can provide patients and clinicians with the required alert to take necessary precautions and prevent a fatality, significantly improving the patient's quality of life.

Epileptic seizure forecasting with wearable-based nocturnal sleep features

OBJECTIVE

Non-invasive biomarkers have recently shown promise for seizure forecasting in people with epilepsy. In this work, we developed a seizure-day forecasting algorithm based on nocturnal sleep features acquired using a smart shirt.

METHODS

Seventy-eight individuals with epilepsy admitted to the Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal epilepsy monitoring unit wore the Hexoskin biometric smart shirt during their stay. The shirt continuously measures electrocardiography, respiratory, and accelerometry activity. Ten sleep features, including sleep efficiency, sleep latency, sleep duration, time spent in non-rapid eye movement sleep (NREM) and rapid eye movement sleep (REM), wakefulness after sleep onset, average heart and breathing rates, high-frequency heart rate variability, and the number of position changes, were automatically computed using the Hexoskin sleep algorithm. Each night's features were then normalized using a reference night for each patient. A support vector machine classifier was trained for pseudo-prospective seizure-day forecasting, with forecasting horizons of 16- and 24-h to include both diurnal and nocturnal seizures (24-h) or diurnal seizures only (16-h). The algorithm's performance was assessed using a nested leave-one-patient-out cross-validation approach.

RESULTS

Improvement over chance (IoC) performances were achieved for 48.7% and 40% of patients with the 16- and 24-h forecasting horizons, respectively. For patients with IoC performances, the proposed algorithm reached mean IoC, sensitivity and time in warning of 34.3%, 86.0%, and 51.7%, respectively for the 16-h horizon, and 34.2%, 64.4% and 30.2%, respectively, for the 24-h horizon.

SIGNIFICANCE

Smart shirt-based nocturnal sleep analysis holds promise as a non-invasive approach for seizure-day forecasting in a subset of people with epilepsy. Further investigations, particularly in a residential setting with long-term recordings, could pave the way for the development of innovative and practical seizure forecasting devices.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Seizure forecasting with wearable devices may improve the quality of life of people living with epilepsy who experience unpredictable, recurrent seizures. In this study, we have developed a seizure forecasting algorithm using sleep characteristics obtained from a smart shirt worn at night by a large number of hospitalized patients with epilepsy (78). A daily seizure forecast was generated following each night using machine learning methods. Our results show that around half of people with epilepsy may benefit from such an approach.

Integration of wearable devices and deep learning: New possibilities for health management and disease prevention

In recent years, the market for wearable devices has been rapidly growing, with much of the demand for health management. These devices are equipped with numerous sensors that detect inertial measurements, electrocardiograms, photoplethysmography signals, and more. Utilizing the collected data enables the monitoring and analysis of the user's health status in real time. With the proliferation of wearable devices, research on applications such as human activity recognition, anomaly detection, and disease prediction has advanced by combining these devices with deep learning technology. Analyzing heart rate variability and activity data, for example, enables the early detection of an abnormal health status and prompt, appropriate medical interventions. Much of the current research focuses on short-term predictions, but adopting a long-term perspective is essential for further development of wearable devices and deep learning. Continuously recording user behavior, anomalies, and physical information and collecting and analyzing data over an extended period will enable more accurate disease predictions and lifestyle guidance based on individual habits and physical conditions. Achieving this requires the integration of wearable devices with medical records. A system needs to be created to integrate data collected by wearable devices with medical records such as electronic health records in collaboration with medical facilities like hospitals and clinics. Overcoming this challenge will enable optimal health management and disease prediction for each user, leading to a higher quality of life.

Feasibility, Safety, and Performance of Full-Head Subscalp EEG Using Minimally Invasive Electrode Implantation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Current practice in clinical neurophysiology is limited to short recordings with conventional EEG (days) that fail to capture a range of brain (dys)functions at longer timescales (months). The future ability to optimally manage chronic brain disorders, such as epilepsy, hinges upon finding methods to monitor electrical brain activity in daily life. We developed a device for full-head subscalp EEG (Epios) and tested here the feasibility to safely insert the electrode leads beneath the scalp by a minimally invasive technique (primary outcome). As secondary outcome, we verified the noninferiority of subscalp EEG in measuring physiologic brain oscillations and pathologic discharges compared with scalp EEG, the established standard of care.

METHODS

Eight participants with pharmacoresistant epilepsy undergoing intracranial EEG received in the same surgery subscalp electrodes tunneled between the scalp and the skull with custom-made tools. Postoperative safety was monitored on an inpatient ward for up to 9 days. Sleep-wake, ictal, and interictal EEG signals from subscalp, scalp, and intracranial electrodes were compared quantitatively using windowed multitaper transforms and spectral coherence. Noninferiority was tested for pairs of neighboring subscalp and scalp electrodes with a Bland-Altman analysis for measurement bias and calculation of the interclass correlation coefficient (ICC).

RESULTS

As primary outcome, up to 28 subscalp electrodes could be safely placed over the entire head through 1-cm scalp incisions in a ∼1-hour procedure. Five of 10 observed perioperative adverse events were linked to the investigational procedure, but none were serious, and all resolved. As a secondary outcome, subscalp electrodes advantageously recorded EEG percutaneously without requiring any maintenance and were noninferior to scalp electrodes for measuring (1) variably strong, stage-specific brain oscillations (alpha in wake, delta, sigma, and beta in sleep) and (2) interictal spikes peak-potentials and ictal signals coherent with seizure propagation in different brain regions (ICC >0.8 and absence of bias).

DISCUSSION

Recording full-head subscalp EEG for localization and monitoring purposes is feasible up to 9 days in humans using minimally invasive techniques and noninferior to the current standard of care. A longer prospective ambulatory study of the full system will be necessary to establish the safety and utility of this innovative approach.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04796597.

User experience of a seizure risk forecasting app: A mixed methods investigation

OBJECTIVE

Over recent years, there has been a growing interest in exploring the utility of seizure risk forecasting, particularly how it could improve quality of life for people living with epilepsy. This study reports on user experiences and perspectives of a seizure risk forecaster app, as well as the potential impact on mood and adjustment to epilepsy.

METHODS

Active app users were asked to complete a survey (baseline and 3-month follow-up) to assess perspectives on the forecast feature as well as mood and adjustment. Post-hoc, nine neutral forecast users (neither agreed nor disagreed it was useful) completed semi-structured interviews, to gain further insight into their perspectives of epilepsy management and seizure forecasting. Non-parametric statistical tests and inductive thematic analyses were used to analyse the quantitative and qualitative data, respectively.

RESULTS

Surveys were completed by 111 users. Responders consisted of "app users" (n = 58), and "app and forecast users" (n = 53). Of the "app and forecast users", 40 % believed the forecast was accurate enough to be useful in monitoring for seizure risk, and 60 % adopted it for purposes like scheduling activities and helping mental state. Feeling more in control was the most common response to both high and low risk forecasted states. In-depth interviews revealed five broad themes, of which 'frustrations with lack of direction' (regarding their current epilepsy management approach), 'benefits of increased self-knowledge' and 'current and anticipated usefulness of forecasting' were the most common.

SIGNIFICANCE

Preliminary results suggest that seizure risk forecasting can be a useful tool for people with epilepsy to make lifestyle changes, such as scheduling daily events, and experience greater feelings of control. These improvements may be attributed, at least partly, to the improvements in self-knowledge experienced through forecast use.

Autonomic biosignals, seizure detection, and forecasting

Wearable devices have attracted significant attention in epilepsy research in recent years for their potential to enhance patient care through improved seizure monitoring and forecasting. This narrative review presents a detailed overview of the current clinical state of the art while addressing how devices that assess autonomic nervous system (ANS) function reflect seizures and central nervous system (CNS) state changes. This includes a description of the interactions between the CNS and the ANS, including physiological and epilepsy-related changes affecting their dynamics. We first discuss technical aspects of measuring autonomic biosignals and considerations for using ANS sensors in clinical practice. We then review recent seizure detection and seizure forecasting studies, highlighting their performance and capability for seizure detection and forecasting using devices measuring ANS biomarkers. Finally, we address the field's challenges and provide an outlook for future developments.

Prospective validation of a seizure diary forecasting falls short

OBJECTIVE

Recently, a deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) model forecasted seizure risk using retrospective seizure diaries with higher accuracy than random forecasts. The present study sought to prospectively evaluate the same algorithm.

METHODS

We recruited a prospective cohort of 46 people with epilepsy; 25 completed sufficient data entry for analysis (median = 5 months). We used the same AI method as in our prior study. Group-level and individual-level Brier Skill Scores (BSSs) compared random forecasts and simple moving average forecasts to the AI.

RESULTS

The AI had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .82. At the group level, the AI outperformed random forecasting (BSS = .53). At the individual level, AI outperformed random in 28% of cases. At the group and individual level, the moving average outperformed the AI. If pre-enrollment (nonverified) diaries (with presumed underreporting) were included, the AI significantly outperformed both comparators. Surveys showed most did not mind poor-quality LOW-RISK or HIGH-RISK forecasts, yet 91% wanted access to these forecasts.

SIGNIFICANCE

The previously developed AI forecasting tool did not outperform a very simple moving average forecasting in this prospective cohort, suggesting that the AI model should be replaced.

Advancements in Wearable Digital Health Technology: A Review of Epilepsy Management

This review explores recent advancements in wearable digital health technology specifically designed to manage epilepsy. Epilepsy presents unique challenges in monitoring and management due to the unpredictable nature of seizures. Wearable devices offer continuous monitoring and real-time data collection, providing insights into seizure patterns and trends. Wearable technology is important in epilepsy management because it enables early detection, prediction, and personalized intervention, empowering patients and healthcare providers. Key findings highlight the potential of wearable devices to improve seizure detection accuracy, enhance patient empowerment through real-time monitoring, and facilitate data-driven decision-making in clinical practice. However, further research is needed to validate the accuracy and reliability of these devices across diverse patient populations and clinical settings. Collaborative efforts between researchers, clinicians, technology developers, and patients are essential to drive innovation and advancements in wearable digital health technology for epilepsy management, ultimately improving outcomes and quality of life for individuals with this neurological condition.

An approach to detect and predict epileptic seizures with high accuracy using convolutional neural networks and single-lead-ECG signal

One of the epileptic patients' challenges is to detect the time of seizures and the possibility of predicting. This research aims to provide an algorithm based on deep learning to detect and predict the time of seizure from one to two minutes before its occurrence. The proposed Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) can detect and predict the occurrence of focal epilepsy seizures through single-lead-ECG signal processing instead of using EEG signals. The structure of the proposed CNN for seizure detection and prediction is the same. Considering the requirements of a wearable system, after a few light pre-processing steps, the ECG signal can be used as input to the neural network without any manual feature extraction step. The desired neural network learns purposeful features according to the labelled ECG signals and then performs the classification of these signals. Training of 39-layer CNN for seizure detection and prediction has been done separately. The proposed method can detect seizures with an accuracy of 98.84% and predict them with an accuracy of 94.29%. With this approach, the ECG signal can be a promising indicator for the construction of portable systems for monitoring the status of epileptic patients.

Feasibility of cardiac-based seizure detection and prediction: A systematic review of non-invasive wearable sensor-based studies

A reliable seizure detection or prediction device can potentially reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with epileptic seizures. Previous findings indicating alterations in cardiac activity during seizures suggest the usefulness of cardiac parameters for seizure detection or prediction. This study aims to examine available studies on seizure detection and prediction based on cardiac parameters using non-invasive wearable devices. The Embase, PubMed, and Scopus databases were used to systematically search according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines. Human studies that evaluated seizure detection or prediction based on cardiac parameters collected using wearable devices were included. The QUADAS-2 tool and proposed standards for validation for seizure detection devices were used for quality assessment. Twenty-four articles were identified and included in the analysis. Twenty studies evaluated seizure detection algorithms, and four studies focused on seizure prediction. Most studies used either a wrist-worn or chest-worn device for data acquisition. Among the seizure detection studies, cardiac parameters utilized for the algorithms mainly included heart rate (HR) (n = 11) or a combination of HR and heart rate variability (HRV) (n = 6). HR-based seizure detection studies collectively reported a sensitivity range of 56%-100% and a false alarm rate (FAR) of 0.02-8/h, with most studies performing retrospective validation of the algorithms. Three of the seizure prediction studies retrospectively validated multimodal algorithms, combining cardiac features with other physiological signals. Only one study prospectively validated their seizure prediction algorithm using HRV extracted from ECG data collected from a custom wearable device. These studies have demonstrated the feasibility of using cardiac parameters for seizure detection and prediction with wearable devices, with varying algorithmic performance. Many studies are in the proof-of-principle stage, and evidence for real-time detection or prediction is currently limited. Future studies should prioritize further refinement of the algorithm performance with prospective validation using large-scale longitudinal data. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: This systematic review highlights the potential use of wearable devices, like wristbands, for detecting and predicting seizures via the measurement of heart activity. By reviewing 24 articles, it was found that most studies focused on using heart rate and changes in heart rate for seizure detection. There was a lack of studies looking at seizure prediction. The results were promising but most studies were not conducted in real-time. Therefore, more real-time studies are needed to verify the usage of heart activity-related wearable devices to detect seizures and even predict them, which will be beneficial to people with epilepsy.

Differentiation of subclinical and clinical electrographic events in long-term electroencephalographic recordings

OBJECTIVE

With the advent of ultra-long-term recordings for monitoring of epilepsies, the interpretation of results of isolated electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings covering only selected brain regions attracts considerable interest. In this context, the question arises of whether detected ictal EEG patterns correspond to clinically manifest seizures or rather to purely electrographic events, that is, subclinical events.

METHODS

EEG patterns from 268 clinical seizures and 252 subclinical electrographic events from 50 patients undergoing video-EEG monitoring were analyzed. Features extracted included predominant frequency band, duration, association with rhythmic muscle artifacts, spatial extent, and propagation patterns. Classification using logistic regression was performed based on data from the whole dataset of 10-20 system EEG recordings and from a subset of two temporal electrode contacts.

RESULTS

Correct separation of clinically manifest and purely electrographic events based on 10-20 system EEG recordings was possible in up to 83.8% of events, depending on the combination of features included. Correct classification based on two-channel recordings was only slightly inferior, achieving 78.6% accuracy; 74.4% and 74.8%, respectively, of events could be correctly classified when using duration alone with either electrode set, although classification accuracies were lower for some subgroups of seizures, particularly focal aware seizures and epileptic arousals.

SIGNIFICANCE

A correct classification of subclinical versus clinical EEG events was possible in 74%-83% of events based on full EEG recordings, and in 74%-78% when considering only a subset of two electrodes, matching the channel number available from new implantable diagnostic devices. This is a promising outcome, suggesting that ultra-long-term low-channel EEG recordings may provide sufficient information for objective seizure diaries. Intraindividual optimization using high numbers of ictal events may further improve separation, provided that supervised learning with external validation is feasible.

Seizure forecasting: Bifurcations in the long and winding road

To date, the unpredictability of seizures remains a source of suffering for people with epilepsy, motivating decades of research into methods to forecast seizures. Originally, only few scientists and neurologists ventured into this niche endeavor, which, given the difficulty of the task, soon turned into a long and winding road. Over the past decade, however, our narrow field has seen a major acceleration, with trials of chronic electroencephalographic devices and the subsequent discovery of cyclical patterns in the occurrence of seizures. Now, a burgeoning science of seizure timing is emerging, which in turn informs best forecasting strategies for upcoming clinical trials. Although the finish line might be in view, many challenges remain to make seizure forecasting a reality. This review covers the most recent scientific, technical, and medical developments, discusses methodology in detail, and sets a number of goals for future studies.

Seizure forecasting using minimally invasive, ultra-long-term subcutaneous electroencephalography: Individualized intrapatient models

OBJECTIVE

One of the most disabling aspects of living with chronic epilepsy is the unpredictability of seizures. Cumulative research in the past decades has advanced our understanding of the dynamics of seizure risk. Technological advances have recently made it possible to record pertinent biological signals, including electroencephalogram (EEG), continuously. We aimed to assess whether patient-specific seizure forecasting is possible using remote, minimally invasive ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG.

METHODS

We analyzed a two-center cohort of ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG recordings, including six patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy monitored for 46-230 days with median 18 h/day of recorded data, totaling >11 000 h of EEG. Total electrographic seizures identified by visual review ranged from 12 to 36 per patient. Three candidate subject-specific long short-term memory network deep learning classifiers were trained offline and pseudoprospectively on preictal (1 h before) and interictal (>1 day from seizures) EEG segments. Performance was assessed relative to a random predictor. Periodicity of the final forecasts was also investigated with autocorrelation.

RESULTS

Depending on each architecture, significant forecasting performance was achieved in three to five of six patients, with overall mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .65-.74. Significant forecasts showed sensitivity ranging from 64% to 80% and time in warning from 10.9% to 44.4%. Overall, the output of the forecasts closely followed patient-specific circadian patterns of seizure occurrence.

SIGNIFICANCE

This study demonstrates proof-of-principle for the possibility of subject-specific seizure forecasting using a minimally invasive subcutaneous EEG device capable of ultra-long-term at-home recordings. These results are encouraging for the development of a prospective seizure forecasting trial with minimally invasive EEG.

Seizure forecasting: Where do we stand?

A lot of mileage has been made recently on the long and winding road toward seizure forecasting. Here we briefly review some selected milestones passed along the way, which were discussed at the International Conference for Technology and Analysis of Seizures-ICTALS 2022-convened at the University of Bern, Switzerland. Major impetus was gained recently from wearable and implantable devices that record not only electroencephalography, but also data on motor behavior, acoustic signals, and various signals of the autonomic nervous system. This multimodal monitoring can be performed for ultralong timescales covering months or years. Accordingly, features and metrics extracted from these data now assess seizure dynamics with a greater degree of completeness. Most prominently, this has allowed the confirmation of the long-suspected cyclical nature of interictal epileptiform activity, seizure risk, and seizures. The timescales cover daily, multi-day, and yearly cycles. Progress has also been fueled by approaches originating from the interdisciplinary field of network science. Considering epilepsy as a large-scale network disorder yielded novel perspectives on the pre-ictal dynamics of the evolving epileptic brain. In addition to discrete predictions that a seizure will take place in a specified prediction horizon, the community broadened the scope to probabilistic forecasts of a seizure risk evolving continuously in time. This shift of gears triggered the incorporation of additional metrics to quantify the performance of forecasting algorithms, which should be compared to the chance performance of constrained stochastic null models. An imminent task of utmost importance is to find optimal ways to communicate the output of seizure-forecasting algorithms to patients, caretakers, and clinicians, so that they can have socioeconomic impact and improve patients' well-being.

Seizure forecasting using minimally invasive, ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG: Generalizable cross-patient models

This study describes a generalized cross-patient seizure-forecasting approach using recurrent neural networks with ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG (sqEEG) recordings. Data from six patients diagnosed with refractory epilepsy and monitored with an sqEEG device were used to develop a generalized algorithm for seizure forecasting using long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-learning classifiers. Electrographic seizures were identified by a board-certified epileptologist. One-minute data segments were labeled as preictal or interictal based on their relationship to confirmed seizures. Data were separated into training and testing data sets, and to compensate for the unbalanced data ratio in training, noise-added copies of preictal data segments were generated to expand the training data set. The mean and standard deviation (SD) of the training data were used to normalize all data, preserving the pseudo-prospective nature of the analysis. Different architecture classifiers were trained and tested using a leave-one-patient-out cross-validation method, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance classifiers. The importance of each input signal was evaluated using a leave-one-signal-out method with repeated training and testing for each classifier. Cross-patient classifiers achieved performance significantly better than chance in four of the six patients and an overall mean AUC of 0.602 ± 0.126 (mean ± SD). A time in warning of 37.386% ± 5.006% (mean ± std) and sensitivity of 0.691 ± 0.068 (mean ± std) were observed for patients with better than chance results. Analysis of input channels showed a significant contribution (p < .05) by the Fourier transform of signals channels to overall classifier performance. The relative contribution of input signals varied among patients and architectures, suggesting that the inclusion of all signals contributes to robustness in a cross-patient classifier. These early results show that it is possible to forecast seizures training with data from different patients using two-channel ultra-long-term sqEEG.

Learning to generalize seizure forecasts

OBJECTIVE

Epilepsy is characterized by spontaneous seizures that recur at unexpected times. Nonetheless, using years-long electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings, we previously found that patient-reported seizures consistently occur when interictal epileptiform activity (IEA) cyclically builds up over days. This multidien (multiday) interictal-ictal relationship, which is shared across patients, may bear phasic information for forecasting seizures, even if individual patterns of seizure timing are unknown. To test this rigorously in a large retrospective dataset, we pretrained algorithms on data recorded from a group of patients, and forecasted seizures in other, previously unseen patients.

METHODS

We used retrospective long-term data from participants (N = 159) in the RNS System clinical trials, including intracranial EEG recordings (icEEG), and from two participants in the UNEEG Medical clinical trial of a subscalp EEG system (sqEEG). Based on IEA detections, we extracted instantaneous multidien phases and trained generalized linear models (GLMs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to forecast the probability of seizure occurrence at a 24-h horizon.

RESULTS

With GLMs and RNNs, seizures could be forecasted above chance in 79% and 81% of previously unseen subjects with a median discrimination of area under the curve (AUC) = .70 and .69 and median Brier skill score (BSS) = .07 and .08. In direct comparison, individualized models had similar median performance (AUC = .67, BSS = .08), but for fewer subjects (60%). Moreover, calibration of pretrained models could be maintained to accommodate different seizure rates across subjects.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our findings suggest that seizure forecasting based on multidien cycles of IEA can generalize across patients, and may drastically reduce the amount of data needed to issue forecasts for individuals who recently started collecting chronic EEG data. In addition, we show that this generalization is independent of the method used to record seizures (patient-reported vs. electrographic) or IEA (icEEG vs. sqEEG).

Can heart rate variability identify a high-risk state of upcoming seizure?

Heart rate variability (HRV) is an accessible and convenient means to assess the sympathetic/parasympathetic balance. Autonomic dysfunctions may reflect a pro-ictal state and occur before the seizure onset. Previous studies have reported HRV-based models to identify preictal states in continuous electrocardiogram (EKG) monitoring. Here, we evaluated the ability of HRV metrics extracted from daily single resting-state periods to estimate the risk of upcoming seizure(s) using probabilistic forecasts. Daily standardized 10-min vigilance-controlled EKG periods were recorded in 15 patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy who underwent intracerebral electroencephalography (EEG). Analyses of a total of 156 periods, based on machine learning approaches, suggested that HRV features can identify preictal states with a median AUC of 0.75 [0.68;0.99]. Pseudoprospective daily forecasts yielded a median Brier score of 0.3 [0.18;0.48]. About 60% of preictal days were correctly forecasted, while false positive predictions were noticed in 24% of interictal days. Daily resting HRV seems to capture information on autonomic variations that may reflect a pro-ictal state. The method could be embedded in an ambulatory clinical seizure prediction device, but additional modalities (prodromes, EEG-based features, etc.) should be associated to improve its performance.

Cyclical underreporting of seizures in patient-based seizure documentation

OBJECTIVE

Circadian and multidien cycles of seizure occurrence are increasingly discussed as to their biological underpinnings and in the context of seizure forecasting. This study analyzes if patient reported seizures provide valid data on such cyclical occurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied if circadian cycles derived from patient-based reporting reflect the objective seizure documentation in 2003 patients undergoing in-patient video-EEG monitoring.

RESULTS

Only 24.1% of more than 29000 seizures documented were accompanied by patient notifications. There was cyclical underreporting of seizures with a maximum during nighttime, leading to significant deviations in the circadian distribution of seizures. Significant cyclical deviations were found for focal epilepsies originating from both, frontal and temporal lobes, and for different seizure types (in particular, focal unaware and focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures).

INTERPRETATION

Patient seizure diaries may reflect a cyclical reporting bias rather than the true circadian seizure distributions. Cyclical underreporting of seizures derived from patient-based reports alone may lead to suboptimal treatment schemes, to an underestimation of seizure-associated risks, and may pose problems for valid seizure forecasting. This finding strongly supports the use of objective measures to monitor cyclical distributions of seizures and for studies and treatment decisions based thereon.

Sleep and seizure risk in epilepsy: bed and wake times are more important than sleep duration

Sleep duration, sleep deprivation and the sleep-wake cycle are thought to play an important role in the generation of epileptic activity and may also influence seizure risk. Hence, people diagnosed with epilepsy are commonly asked to maintain consistent sleep routines. However, emerging evidence paints a more nuanced picture of the relationship between seizures and sleep, with bidirectional effects between changes in sleep and seizure risk in addition to modulation by sleep stages and transitions between stages. We conducted a longitudinal study investigating sleep parameters and self-reported seizure occurrence in an ambulatory at-home setting using mobile and wearable monitoring. Sixty subjects wore a Fitbit smartwatch for at least 28 days while reporting their seizure activity in a mobile app. Multiple sleep features were investigated, including duration, oversleep and undersleep, and sleep onset and offset times. Sleep features in participants with epilepsy were compared to a large (n = 37 921) representative population of Fitbit users, each with 28 days of data. For participants with at least 10 seizure days (n = 34), sleep features were analysed for significant changes prior to seizure days. A total of 4956 reported seizures (mean = 83, standard deviation = 130) and 30 485 recorded sleep nights (mean = 508, standard deviation = 445) were included in the study. There was a trend for participants with epilepsy to sleep longer than the general population, although this difference was not significant. Just 5 of 34 participants showed a significant difference in sleep duration the night before seizure days compared to seizure-free days. However, 14 of 34 subjects showed significant differences between their sleep onset (bed) and/or offset (wake) times before seizure occurrence. In contrast to previous studies, the current study found undersleeping was associated with a marginal 2% decrease in seizure risk in the following 48 h (P < 0.01). Nocturnal seizures were associated with both significantly longer sleep durations and increased risk of a seizure occurring in the following 48 h. Overall, the presented results demonstrated that day-to-day changes in sleep duration had a minimal effect on reported seizures, while patient-specific changes in bed and wake times were more important for identifying seizure risk the following day. Nocturnal seizures were the only factor that significantly increased the risk of seizures in the following 48 h on a group level. Wearables can be used to identify these sleep-seizure relationships and guide clinical recommendations or improve seizure forecasting algorithms.

Remote collection of electrophysiological data with brain wearables: opportunities and challenges

Collection of electroencephalographic (EEG) data provides an opportunity to non-invasively study human brain plasticity, learning and the evolution of various neuropsychiatric disorders. Traditionally, due to sophisticated hardware, EEG studies have been largely limited to research centers which restrict both testing contexts and repeated longitudinal measures. The emergence of low-cost "wearable" EEG devices now provides the prospect of frequent and remote monitoring of the human brain for a variety of physiological and pathological brain states. In this manuscript, we survey evidence that EEG wearables provide high-quality data and review various software used for remote data collection. We then discuss the growing body of evidence supporting the feasibility of remote and longitudinal EEG data collection using wearables including a discussion of potential biomedical applications of these protocols. Lastly, we discuss some additional challenges needed for EEG wearable research to gain further widespread adoption.

Decrease in wearable-based nocturnal sleep efficiency precedes epileptic seizures

Introduction

While it is known that poor sleep is a seizure precipitant, this association remains poorly quantified. This study investigated whether seizures are preceded by significant changes in sleep efficiency as measured by a wearable equipped with an electrocardiogram, respiratory bands, and an accelerometer.

Methods

Nocturnal recordings from 47 people with epilepsy hospitalized at our epilepsy monitoring unit were analyzed (304 nights). Sleep metrics during nights followed by epileptic seizures (24 h post-awakening) were compared to those of nights which were not.

Results

Lower sleep efficiency (percentage of sleep during the night) was found in the nights preceding seizure days (p < 0.05). Each standard deviation decrease in sleep efficiency and increase in wake after sleep onset was respectively associated with a 1.25-fold (95 % CI: 1.05 to 1.42, p < 0.05) and 1.49-fold (95 % CI: 1.17 to 1.92, p < 0.01) increased odds of seizure occurrence the following day. Furthermore, nocturnal seizures were associated with significantly lower sleep efficiency and higher wake after sleep onset (p < 0.05), as well as increased odds of seizure occurrence following wake (OR: 5.86, 95 % CI: 2.99 to 11.77, p < 0.001).

Discussion

Findings indicate lower sleep efficiency during nights preceding seizures, suggesting that wearable sensors could be promising tools for sleep-based seizure-day forecasting in people with epilepsy.

Forecasting psychogenic non-epileptic seizure likelihood from ambulatory EEG and ECG

Objective.Critical slowing features (variance and autocorrelation) of long-term continuous electroencephalography (EEG) and electrocardiography (ECG) data have previously been used to forecast epileptic seizure onset. This study tested the feasibility of forecasting non-epileptic seizures using the same methods. In doing so, we examined if long-term cycles of brain and cardiac activity are present in clinical physiological recordings of psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES).Approach.Retrospectively accessed ambulatory EEG and ECG data from 15 patients with non-epileptic seizures and no background of epilepsy were used for developing the forecasting system. The median period of recordings was 161 h, with a median of 7 non-epileptic seizures per patient. The phases of different cycles (5 min, 1 h, 6 h, 12 h, 24 h) of EEG and RR interval (RRI) critical slowing features were investigated. Forecasters were generated using combinations of the variance and autocorrelation of both EEG and the RRI of the ECG at each of the aforementioned cycle lengths. Optimal forecasters were selected as those with the highest area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC).Main results.It was found that PNES events occurred in the rising phases of EEG feature cycles of 12 and 24 h in duration at a rate significantly above chance. We demonstrated that the proposed forecasters achieved performance significantly better than chance in 8/15 of patients, and the mean AUC of the best forecaster across patients was 0.79.Significance.To our knowledge, this is the first study to retrospectively forecast non-epileptic seizures using both EEG and ECG data. The significance of EEG in the forecasting models suggests that cyclic EEG features of non-epileptic seizures exist. This study opens the potential of seizure forecasting beyond epilepsy, into other disorders of episodic loss of consciousness or dissociation.

Seizure Detection and Prediction by Parallel Memristive Convolutional Neural Networks

During the past two decades, epileptic seizure detection and prediction algorithms have evolved rapidly. However, despite significant performance improvements, their hardware implementation using conventional technologies, such as Complementary Metal-Oxide-Semiconductor (CMOS), in power and area-constrained settings remains a challenging task; especially when many recording channels are used. In this paper, we propose a novel low-latency parallel Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture that has between 2-2,800x fewer network parameters compared to State-Of-The-Art (SOTA) CNN architectures and achieves 5-fold cross validation accuracy of 99.84% for epileptic seizure detection, and 99.01% and 97.54% for epileptic seizure prediction, when evaluated using the University of Bonn Electroencephalogram (EEG), CHB-MIT and SWEC-ETHZ seizure datasets, respectively. We subsequently implement our network onto analog crossbar arrays comprising Resistive Random-Access Memory (RRAM) devices, and provide a comprehensive benchmark by simulating, laying out, and determining hardware requirements of the CNN component of our system. We parallelize the execution of convolution layer kernels on separate analog crossbars to enable 2 orders of magnitude reduction in latency compared to SOTA hybrid Memristive-CMOS Deep Learning (DL) accelerators. Furthermore, we investigate the effects of non-idealities on our system and investigate Quantization Aware Training (QAT) to mitigate the performance degradation due to low Analog-to-Digital Converter (ADC)/Digital-to-Analog Converter (DAC) resolution. Finally, we propose a stuck weight offsetting methodology to mitigate performance degradation due to stuck [Formula: see text] memristor weights, recovering up to 32% accuracy, without requiring retraining. The CNN component of our platform is estimated to consume approximately 2.791 W of power while occupying an area of 31.255 mm² in a 22 nm FDSOI CMOS process.

Ambulatory seizure forecasting with a wrist-worn device using long-short term memory deep learning

The ability to forecast seizures minutes to hours in advance of an event has been verified using invasive EEG devices, but has not been previously demonstrated using noninvasive wearable devices over long durations in an ambulatory setting. In this study we developed a seizure forecasting system with a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm, using a noninvasive wrist-worn research-grade physiological sensor device, and tested the system in patients with epilepsy in the field, with concurrent invasive EEG confirmation of seizures via an implanted recording device. The system achieved forecasting performance significantly better than a random predictor for 5 of 6 patients studied, with mean AUC-ROC of 0.80 (range 0.72–0.92). These results provide the first clear evidence that direct seizure forecasts are possible using wearable devices in the ambulatory setting for many patients with epilepsy.

Chronic electroencephalography in epilepsy with a responsive neurostimulation device: current status and future prospects

INTRODUCTION

Implanted neurostimulation devices are gaining traction as therapeutic options for people with certain forms of drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Some of these devices enable chronic electroencephalography (cEEG), which offers views of the dynamics of brain activity in epilepsy over unprecedented time horizons.

AREAS COVERED

This review focuses on clinical insights and basic neuroscience discoveries enabled by analyses of cEEG from an exemplar device, the NeuroPace RNS® System. Applications of RNS cEEG covered here include counting and lateralizing seizures, quantifying medication response, characterizing spells, forecasting seizures, and exploring mechanisms of cognition. Limitations of the RNS System are discussed in the context of next-generation devices in development.

EXPERT OPINION

The wide temporal lens of cEEG helps capture the dynamism of epilepsy, revealing phenomena that cannot be appreciated with short duration recordings. The RNS System is a vanguard device whose diagnostic utility rivals its therapeutic benefits, but emerging minimally invasive devices, including those with subscalp recording electrodes, promise to be more applicable within a broad population of people with epilepsy. Epileptology is on the precipice of a paradigm shift in which cEEG is a standard part of diagnostic evaluations and clinical management is predicated on quantitative observations integrated over long timescales.

Multiday cycles of heart rate are associated with seizure likelihood: An observational cohort study

Background

Circadian and multiday rhythms are found across many biological systems, including cardiology, endocrinology, neurology, and immunology. In people with epilepsy, epileptic brain activity and seizure occurrence have been found to follow circadian, weekly, and monthly rhythms. Understanding the relationship between these cycles of brain excitability and other physiological systems can provide new insight into the causes of multiday cycles. The brain-heart link has previously been considered in epilepsy research, with potential implications for seizure forecasting, therapy, and mortality (i.e., sudden unexpected death in epilepsy).

Methods

We report the results from a non-interventional, observational cohort study, Tracking Seizure Cycles. This study sought to examine multiday cycles of heart rate and seizures in adults with diagnosed uncontrolled epilepsy (N=31) and healthy adult controls (N=15) using wearable smartwatches and mobile seizure diaries over at least four months (M=12.0, SD=5.9; control M=10.6, SD=6.4). Cycles in heart rate were detected using a continuous wavelet transform. Relationships between heart rate cycles and seizure occurrence were measured from the distributions of seizure likelihood with respect to underlying cycle phase.

Findings

Heart rate cycles were found in all 46 participants (people with epilepsy and healthy controls), with circadian (N=46), about-weekly (N=25) and about-monthly (N=13) rhythms being the most prevalent. Of the participants with epilepsy, 19 people had at least 20 reported seizures, and 10 of these had seizures significantly phase locked to their multiday heart rate cycles.

Interpretation

Heart rate cycles showed similarities to multiday epileptic rhythms and may be comodulated with seizure likelihood. The relationship between heart rate and seizures is relevant for epilepsy therapy, including seizure forecasting, and may also have implications for cardiovascular disease. More broadly, understanding the link between multiday cycles in the heart and brain can shed new light on endogenous physiological rhythms in humans.

Funding

This research received funding from the Australian Government National Health and Medical Research Council (investigator grant 1178220), the Australian Government BioMedTech Horizons program, and the Epilepsy Foundation of America's ‘My Seizure Gauge’ grant.

Seizure Forecasting Using a Novel Sub-Scalp Ultra-Long Term EEG Monitoring System

Accurate identification of seizure activity, both clinical and subclinical, has important implications in the management of epilepsy. Accurate recognition of seizure activity is essential for diagnostic, management and forecasting purposes, but patient-reported seizures have been shown to be unreliable. Earlier work has revealed accurate capture of electrographic seizures and forecasting is possible with an implantable intracranial device, but less invasive electroencephalography (EEG) recording systems would be optimal. Here, we present preliminary results of seizure detection and forecasting with a minimally invasive sub-scalp device that continuously records EEG. Five participants with refractory epilepsy who experience at least two clinically identifiable seizures monthly have been implanted with sub-scalp devices (Minder®), providing two channels of data from both hemispheres of the brain. Data is continuously captured via a behind-the-ear system, which also powers the device, and transferred wirelessly to a mobile phone, from where it is accessible remotely via cloud storage. EEG recordings from the sub-scalp device were compared to data recorded from a conventional system during a 1-week ambulatory video-EEG monitoring session. Suspect epileptiform activity (EA) was detected using machine learning algorithms and reviewed by trained neurophysiologists. Seizure forecasting was demonstrated retrospectively by utilizing cycles in EA and previous seizure times. The procedures and devices were well-tolerated and no significant complications have been reported. Seizures were accurately identified on the sub-scalp system, as visually confirmed by periods of concurrent conventional scalp EEG recordings. The data acquired also allowed seizure forecasting to be successfully undertaken. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC score) achieved (0.88), which is comparable to the best score in recent, state-of-the-art forecasting work using intracranial EEG.