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Gao Z, Chen J, Wang G, Ren S, Fang L, Yinglan A, Wang Q. A novel multivariate time series prediction of crucial water quality parameters with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. JOURNAL OF CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY 2023; 259:104262. [PMID: 37944201 DOI: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2023.104262] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2023] [Revised: 10/03/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
Intelligent prediction of water quality plays a pivotal role in water pollution control, water resource protection, emergency decision-making for sudden water pollution incidents, tracking and evaluation of water quality changes in river basins, and is crucial to ensuring water security. The primary methodology employed in this paper for water quality prediction is as follows: (1) utilizing the comprehensive pollution index method and Mann-Kendall (MK) trend analysis method, an assessment is made of the pollution status and change trend within the basin, while simultaneously extracting the principal water quality parameters based on their respective pollution share rates; (2) employing the spearman method, an analysis is conducted to identify the influential factors impacting each key parameter; (3) subsequently, a water quality parameter prediction model, based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) analysis, is constructed using the aforementioned driving factor analysis outcomes. The developed LSTM model in this study showed good prediction performance. The average coefficient of determination (R2) of the prediction of crucial water quality parameters such as total nitrogen (TN) and dissolved oxygen (DO) reached 0.82 and 0.86 respectively. Additionally, the error analysis of WQI prediction results showed that >75% of the prediction errors were in the range of 0-0.15. The comparative analysis revealed that the LSTM model outperforms both the random forest (RF) model in time series prediction and demonstrates superior robustness and applicability compared to the AutoRegressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs model (ARMAX). Hence, the model developed in this study offers valuable technical assistance for water quality prediction and early warning systems, particularly in economically disadvantaged regions with limited monitoring capabilities. This contribution facilitates resource optimization and promotes sustainable development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhenyu Gao
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China
| | - Jinyue Chen
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Shandong University, Shenzhen 518057, China.
| | - Guoqiang Wang
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China; Innovation Research Center of Satellite Application, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
| | - Shilong Ren
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China
| | - Lei Fang
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China
| | - A Yinglan
- Innovation Research Center of Satellite Application, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
| | - Qiao Wang
- Academician Workstation for Big Data in Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao 266237, China
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Jiang J, Zhao G, Wang D, Liu L, Yan X, Song H. Identifying trends and driving factors of spatio-temporal water quality variation in Guanting Reservoir Basin, North China. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 29:88347-88358. [PMID: 35834087 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-21714-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/24/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Assessment of river quality has been attracting a great deal of attention because of its important implications for the living environment of human beings and aquatic organisms. This study investigated the spatial and temporal variation of water quality and its possible driving factors of Guanting Reservoir Basin. For this purpose, water quality was assessed with the Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment Water Quality Index, together with nutrient inputs and social-economic data which were collected and analyzed during the period 2009-2019. The results showed that the overall water quality in Guanting Reservoir increased over time and was rated as "good" during the studied decade. Spatially, water quality in tributary upstream of Yanghe River and Sanggan River was better than that in Guishui River, resulting in better quality in West Reservoir than in East Reservoir. Among water quality indices, total nitrogen was the main pollutant affecting the water quality of the studied area. In addition, principal component analysis and correlation analysis were applied to evaluate the relationships between the socio-economic factors and water quality variation. Urbanization and industry structure were significantly correlated with the water quality variation in upstream tributaries. The findings provide insightful understanding into the spatio-temporal variations of water quality and the associated driving factors of Guanting Reservoir basin, which would help managers in executing theoretical reference for water quality protection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingqiu Jiang
- Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, No.12 South Zhongguancun Ave., Beijing, 100081, Haidian District, China
| | - Gaofeng Zhao
- Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, No.12 South Zhongguancun Ave., Beijing, 100081, Haidian District, China.
| | - Dewang Wang
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, 100012, China
| | - Lin Liu
- Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, No.12 South Zhongguancun Ave., Beijing, 100081, Haidian District, China
| | - Xu Yan
- Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, No.12 South Zhongguancun Ave., Beijing, 100081, Haidian District, China
- College of Resource Environment and Tourism, Capital Normal University, Beijing, 10048, China
| | - Huarong Song
- Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, No.12 South Zhongguancun Ave., Beijing, 100081, Haidian District, China
- Qingdao Engineering Research Center for Rural Environment, College of Resources and Environment, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, 266109, China
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Yang H, Wang F, Yu J, Huang K, Zhang H, Fu Z. An improved weighted index for the assessment of heavy metal pollution in soils in Zhejiang, China. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 192:110246. [PMID: 33007280 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110246] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2020] [Revised: 07/09/2020] [Accepted: 09/17/2020] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
Soil heavy metal pollution assessment is an important procedure in soil quality and ecological risk management, for which different mathematical models have been developed. However, these models have often failed to consider the characteristics of both heavy metals and the polluted sites. In this study, we analyzed the concentrations of seven heavy metals in soils in Zhejiang Province, China, and developed an improved weighted index (IWI) model to evaluate pollution levels. In contrast to traditional models, weights were assigned to different heavy metals using statistical tools, including hierarchical cluster analysis and principal component analysis. Of the 89 sites, 61.8% were considered unpolluted with IWI values < 1; 32.58% were slighted polluted with IWI values from 1 to 2, and only 2.25% of the sites were seriously polluted with IWI values > 3. The IWI results agree well with two traditional integrated index models, but can be also applied to much wider heavy metal concentration ranges. Possible pollution sources were then proposed based on the IWI model. The IWI overcame several shortcomings of the traditional indices and could be very beneficial for assessing heavy metal pollution in soil. Overall, this study developed a new model for soil pollution assessment and soil ecological risk management and comprehensively evaluated the current pollution status of soil surrounding potable surface water sources in Zhejiang Province, China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongrui Yang
- College of Environmental & Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Feier Wang
- College of Environmental & Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China.
| | - Jie Yu
- Zhejiang Environmental Monitoring Center, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310012, China
| | - Kuan Huang
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, 44106, United States
| | - Huichun Zhang
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, 44106, United States
| | - Zhihui Fu
- Zhejiang Environmental Monitoring Center, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310012, China
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Halecki W, Stachura T, Fudała W, Rusnak M. Evaluating the applicability of MESS (matrix exponential spatial specification) model to assess water quality using GIS technique in agricultural mountain catchment (Western Carpathian). ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2018; 191:26. [PMID: 30574668 PMCID: PMC6302058 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-018-7137-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2018] [Accepted: 12/03/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
The formation of many sources of pollution in a short period of time is due to mountain soil erosion by water. One of the major mechanisms decisive in the intensification of such erosion is the loosening of soil material on the slope. Water quality studies show the impact of diversified spatial management and allow making the right decisions in environmental management in mountain areas with high variability of use and land cover. The research undertaken as part of the paper was carried out in order to determine the dependency between total suspended solids (TSS) and the physicochemical parameters of surface waters and the amount of soil losses in the use structure within the mountain catchment. The paper focused on the frequency of phenomena in time and the possibility of stopping the surface runoff on the slope and on the soil's susceptibility to water erosion. The dependencies between multipoint sampling and the concentration of material washed off the slope due to precipitation were verified with a multivariate analysis. Sampling took place in hydrometric sections, and during small floods, in the waterbed cross section. Research shows that such sampling is the basis for the calculation of the transported load, reflecting the average variation in concentration. The variation in the volume of the load from the individual parts of the catchment was assessed by the spatial autoregressive model. It was found that the use of river basin areas affects water chemistry. Water reservoirs are an important ecological barrier for the migration of nitrate nitrogen (N-NO3) and phosphate phosphorus (P-PO4), which is marked by changes in the growing season. Water along the sections of the river near the quarry with a high degree of sodding showed good quality condition. Despite significant differences between measurement sampling sites, high total dissolved solid (TDS) values were found in communities adjacent to forests and meadows. However, the highest electrical conductivity (EC) and TSS concentrations were found in the interface with cultivated areas. Biogenic indices showed variation depending on the way the adjacent areas were used. GIS linked spatial variables with the formation of water pollution. The analysis of spatial autoregression pointed to the impact of arable land. Moreover, the analysis of spatial autoregression with the MESS function designated a connection between agricultural land use and nitrite nitrogen (N-NO2), EC, TSS, and dissolved oxygen (DO). Graphical abstract ᅟ.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wiktor Halecki
- Department of Land Reclamation and Environmental Development, Faculty of Environmental Engineering and Land Surveying, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 24-28, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
| | - Tomasz Stachura
- Department of Land Reclamation and Environmental Development, Faculty of Environmental Engineering and Land Surveying, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 24-28, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
| | - Wioletta Fudała
- Department of Land Reclamation and Environmental Development, Faculty of Environmental Engineering and Land Surveying, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 24-28, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
| | - Maria Rusnak
- University of Agriculture in Krakow, Kraków, Poland
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Onyango AE, Okoth MW, Kunyanga CN, Aliwa BO. Microbiological Quality and Contamination Level of Water Sources in Isiolo County in Kenya. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2018; 2018:2139867. [PMID: 30112010 PMCID: PMC6077557 DOI: 10.1155/2018/2139867] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2017] [Revised: 05/20/2018] [Accepted: 06/14/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Water security and safety is of vital concern in arid and semiarid regions of Kenya. Potable water accessibility and supply is limited due to fluctuating climatic conditions and environmental pollution that lower the wholesomeness of most water sources. The aim of this study was to establish the suitability of these water sources for drinking and use in industrial food processing by the small and medium enterprises (SME's). The aim of this study was to establish suitability of these water sources for drinking and use in industrial food processing by the small and medium enterprises (SME's). A total of 60 surface and ground water sources samples were purposively collected aseptically from the four administrative units (Ngare Mara, LMD, Leparua, and Wabera) of Isiolo County. ISO 16649-3, 688-2, 7937, 9308-1, and 18744 were used for enumeration of E.coli, Staphylococcus aureus, Clostridium pafringens, Coliforms, and cysts. Highest mean Clostridium pafringens counts in ground and surface water were 1452 Cfu/ml and 3421 Cfu/ml, respectively. Mean Staphylococcus aureus counts were 740 Cfu/ml and 1333 Cfu/ml in surface water and ground water, respectively. Escherichia coli and Coliforms contamination accounted for 29.88 % and 88.2 %, respectively. Microbial counts in the water sources differed significantly (p≤0.05). Total coliforms had a significant negative relationship (r = -0.76) with residual chlorine. Ground and surface water sources were highly contaminated with microorganism to levels regarded as unsafe by the Kenyan and WHO standards for potable water. Point-of-use water disinfection is thus necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abok Elisha Onyango
- Department of Food Science, Nutrition and Technology, University of Nairobi, P.O Box 29053–00625, Kangemi, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Michael Wandayi Okoth
- Department of Food Science, Nutrition and Technology, University of Nairobi, P.O Box 29053–00625, Kangemi, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Catherine Nkirote Kunyanga
- Department of Food Science, Nutrition and Technology, University of Nairobi, P.O Box 29053–00625, Kangemi, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Bernard Ochieng' Aliwa
- Department of Food Science, Nutrition and Technology, University of Nairobi, P.O Box 29053–00625, Kangemi, Nairobi, Kenya
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Study on the Effects of Irrigation with Reclaimed Water on the Content and Distribution of Heavy Metals in Soil. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2016; 13:ijerph13030298. [PMID: 27005639 PMCID: PMC4808961 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13030298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2015] [Revised: 02/20/2016] [Accepted: 02/29/2016] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Reclaimed water is an important resource for irrigation, and exploration in making full use of it is an important way to alleviate water shortage. This paper analyzes the effects of irrigation with reclaimed water through field trials on the content and distribution of heavy metals in both tomatoes and the soil. By exploring the effects of reclaimed water after secondary treatment on the content and distribution characteristics of heavy metals in tomatoes and the heavy metal balance in the soil-crop system under different conditions, the study shows that there are no significant differences in the heavy metal content when the quantity of reclaimed water for irrigation varies. Reclaimed water for short-term irrigation does not cause pollution to either the soil environment or the crops. Nor will it cause the accumulation of heavy metals, and the index for the heavy metal content is far below the critical value of the national standard, which indicates that the vegetables irrigated with reclaimed water during their growth turn out to be free of pollutants. The heavy metals brought into the soil by reclaimed water are less than that taken away by the crops. The input and output quantities have only small effects on the heavy metal balance in the soil. This paper provides a reference for the evaluation and safety control of irrigation with reclaimed water.
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Assessment of Reservoir Water Quality Using Multivariate Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Qiandao Lake, China. SUSTAINABILITY 2016. [DOI: 10.3390/su8030243] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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Spatio-Temporal Trends and Identification of Correlated Variables with Water Quality for Drinking-Water Reservoirs. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2015; 12:13179-94. [PMID: 26492263 PMCID: PMC4627024 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph121013179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2015] [Accepted: 10/16/2015] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
It is widely accepted that characterizing the spatio-temporal trends of water quality parameters and identifying correlated variables with water quality are indispensable for the management and protection of water resources. In this study, cluster analysis was used to classify 56 typical drinking water reservoirs in Zhejiang Province into three groups representing different water quality levels, using data of four water quality parameters for the period 2006–2010. Then, the spatio-temporal trends in water quality were analyzed, assisted by geographic information systems (GIS) technology and statistical analysis. The results indicated that the water quality showed a trend of degradation from southwest to northeast, and the overall water quality level was exacerbated during the study period. Correlation analysis was used to evaluate the relationships between water quality parameters and ten independent variables grouped into four categories (land use, socio-economic factors, geographical features, and reservoir attributes). According to the correlation coefficients, land use and socio-economic indicators were identified as the most significant factors related to reservoir water quality. The results offer insights into the spatio-temporal variations of water quality parameters and factors impacting the water quality of drinking water reservoirs in Zhejiang Province, and they could assist managers in making effective strategies to better protect water resources.
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Ma W, Huang T, Li X, Zhou Z, Li Y, Zeng K. The Effects of Storm Runoff on Water Quality and the Coping Strategy of a Deep Canyon-Shaped Source Water Reservoir in China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2015; 12:7839-55. [PMID: 26184258 PMCID: PMC4515694 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120707839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2015] [Revised: 07/02/2015] [Accepted: 07/03/2015] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Storm runoff events in the flooding season affect the water quality of reservoirs and increase risks to the water supply, but coping strategies have seldom been reported. The phenomenon of turbid current intrusion resulting in water turbidity and anoxic conditions reappearing after storm runoff, resulting in the deterioration of water quality, was observed in the flooding season in the deep canyon-shaped Heihe Reservoir. The objective of this work was to elucidate the effects of storm runoff on the Heihe Reservoir water quality and find a coping strategy. In this study, an intensive sampling campaign measuring water temperature, dissolved oxygen, turbidity, nutrients, and metals were conducted in the reservoir over a period of two years, and the water-lifting aerators were improved to achieve single aeration and a full layer of mixing and oxygenation functions using different volumes of gas. The operation of the improved water-lifting aerators mixed the reservoir three months ahead of the natural mixing time, and good water quality was maintained during the induced mixing period, thereby extending the good water quality period. The results can provide an effective coping strategy to improve the water quality of a source water reservoir and ensure the safety of drinking water.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weixing Ma
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
| | - Tinglin Huang
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
| | - Xuan Li
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
| | - Zizhen Zhou
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
| | - Yang Li
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
| | - Kang Zeng
- School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710043, China.
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