Cost-effectiveness of 6 and 12 months of interferon-alpha therapy for chronic hepatitis C

A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis of Primary Evidence Reporting Health-State Preference Values in Chronic Hepatitis B, C, and D

OBJECTIVES

Chronic viral hepatitis is associated with severe impairment and reduction in patient health-related quality of life because of the substantial morbidity associated with advanced liver disease. The aim of this study was to identify and synthesize utilities for chronic hepatitis B (cHBV), C (cHCV), and D (cHDV) through a systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analyses.

METHODS

Electronic databases were searched from inception to May 2023 to identify primary studies reporting health-state utilities in English in patients aged 18 years and over, with cHBV, cHCV, or cHDV in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Canada, Australia, or New Zealand. Meta-analyses were conducted for studies reporting a measure of uncertainty; model selection (fixed and random) was based on the observed levels of heterogeneity among studies.

RESULTS

A total of 24 studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analyses. More studies meeting the inclusion criteria reported utilities for cHCV (n = 20) than for cHBV (n = 8); no studies reported utility values for cHDV. Although mean utilities were higher for cHBV compared with cHCV for any given health state, utilities decreased with disease progression toward cirrhosis health states. Meta-analyses in cHCV found a utility decline of 0.1 and 0.03, based on progression from noncirrhosis to compensated cirrhosis and for decompensation in established cirrhosis, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic viral hepatitis is associated with a considerable impairment in health-related quality of life. Despite our findings, there is a need for more evidence on the lived experience in patients living with chronic hepatitis, notably in cHBV and cHDV.

A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis of Health Economic Evaluations of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening Strategies

OBJECTIVES

Many economic evaluations of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screenings have been conducted; however, these vary substantially with regards to screening strategies, patient group, and setting. This review aims to report the current knowledge of the cost-effectiveness of screening and describe the published data.

METHODS

We conducted a search of biomedical and health economic databases up to July 2020. We included full and partial health economic studies if they evaluated the costs or outcomes of HCC screening strategies.

RESULTS

The review included 43 studies. Due to significant heterogeneity in key aspects across the studies, a narrative synthesis was conducted. Most studies reported using ultrasound or alpha fetoprotein as screening strategies. Screening intervals were mostly annual or biannual. Incidence, diagnostic performance, and health state utility values were the most critical parameters affecting the cost-effectiveness of screening. The majority of studies reported HCC screening to be cost-effective, with the biannual ultrasound + alpha fetoprotein standing out as the most cost-effective strategy. However, few studies considered the utilization rate, and none considered the diagnostic performance of ultrasound in the context of central adiposity. Computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging were also evaluated, but its cost-effectiveness was still controversial.

CONCLUSIONS

Although many studies suggested HCC screening was cost-effective, substantial limitations of the quality of these studies means the results should be interpreted with caution. Future modeling studies should consider the impact of central adiposity on the precision of ultrasound, real-world utilization rates and projections of increased HCC incidence.

Optimizing choice of oral interferon-free treatment for genotype 1 hepatitis C virus using testing for NS5A resistance: a cost-utility analysis from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service

BACKGROUND

Patients with genotype-1 hepatitis C virus infection who have failed to respond to standard therapy or who relapse following treatment may be considered for an interferon-free regimen incorporating a nonstructural protein 5A (NS5A) inhibitor. Sustained virologic response (SVR) with these regimens is typically >90%, but this is reduced in patients with NS5A resistance. European Association for Study of the Liver guidelines recommend simeprevir + sofosbuvir ± ribavirin (SMV+SOF±R) for re-treating patients failing an NS5A inhibitor-containing regimen. An alternative strategy would be to test for NS5A resistance prior to treatment, with therapy optimized based on the results. This study investigates the cost-effectiveness of this strategy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model was used to estimate disease progression for treatment-experienced genotype 1 patients with severe fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis. Targeted treatment with either SMV+SOF±R or sofosbuvir + ledipasvir ± ribavirin (SOF+LDV±R) based on pretreatment NS5A resistance testing was compared to routine SOF+LDV±R without testing. Treatment duration was 12 or 24 weeks for patients with severe fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis (Metavir F3/F4). SVR data for the treatment options were based on the results of published clinical trials. The analysis was carried out from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service.

RESULTS

Optimized treatment using NS5A resistance testing yielded 0.163 additional QALYs and increased costs of €2,789 per patient versus no testing. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was €17,078/QALY. Sensitivity analysis identified the SVR attributable to each of the treatment regimens as the most sensitive determinant of ICER (range: €10,055/QALY-€43,501/QALY across plausible range). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €30,000/QALY, the probability that NS5A-directed treatment will be cost-effective is 81.4%.

CONCLUSION

Optimizing therapy with either SMV+SOF±R or SOF+LDV±R based on pretreatment NS5A resistance testing was cost-effective from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service, in treatment-experienced patients with severe fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis.

Cost-effectiveness of sofosbuvir-based treatments for chronic hepatitis C in the US

BACKGROUND

The standard care of treatment of interferon plus ribavirin (plus protease inhibitor for genotype 1) are effective in 50 % to 70 % of patients with CHC. Several new treatments including Harvoni, Olysio + Sovaldi, Viekira Pak, Sofosbuvir-based regimens characterized with potent inhibitors have been approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) providing more options for CHC patients. Trials have shown that the new treatments increased the rate to 80% to 95%, though with a substantial increase in cost. In particular, current market pricing of a 12-week course of sofosbuvir is approximately US$84,000. We determine the cost-effectiveness of new treatments in comparison with the standard care of treatments.

METHODS

A Markov simulation model of CHC disease progression is used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different treatment strategies based on genotype. The model calculates the expected lifetime medical costs and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) of hypothetical cohorts of identical patients receiving certain treatments. For genotype 1, we compare: (1) peginterferon + ribavirin + telaprevir for 12 weeks, followed by 12 or 24 weeks treatment of peginterferon + ribavirin dependent on HCV RNA level at week 12; (2) Harvoni treatment, 12 weeks; (3) Olysio + Sovaldi, 12 weeks for patients without cirrhosis, 24 weeks for patients with cirrhosis; (4) Viekira Pak + ribavirin, 12 weeks for patients without cirrhosis, 24 weeks for patients with cirrhosis; (5) sofosbuvir + peginterferon + ribavirin, 12 weeks for patients with or without cirrhosis. For genotypes 2 and 3, treatment strategies include: (1) peginterferon + ribavirin, 24 weeks for treatment-naïve patients; (2) sofosbuvir + ribavirin, 12 weeks for patients with genotype 2, 24 weeks for genotype 3; (3) peginterferon + ribavirin as initial treatment, 24 weeks for patients with genotype 2/3, follow-up treatment with sofosbuvir + ribavirin for 12/16 weeks are performed on non-responders and relapsers.

RESULTS

Viekira Pak is cost-effective for genotype 1 patients without cirrhosis, whereas Harvoni is cost-effective for genotype 1 patients with cirrhosis. Sofosbuvir-based treatments for genotype 1 in general are not cost-effective due to its substantial high costs. Two-phase treatments with 12-week and 16-week follow-ups are cost-effective for genotype 3 patients and for genotype 2 patients with cirrhosis. The results were shown to be robust over a broad range of parameter values through sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

For genotype 1, sofosbuvir-based treatments are not cost-effective compared to Viekira Pak and Harvoni, although a 30% reduction in sofosbuvir price would change this result. Sofosbuvir + ribavirin are cost-effective as second-phase treatments following peginterferon + ribavirin initial treatment for genotypes 2 and 3. However, there is limited data on sofosbuvir-involved treatment, and the results obtained in this study must be interpreted within the model assumptions.

A multidisciplinary support programme increases the efficiency of pegylated interferon alfa-2a and ribavirin in hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Adherence to antiviral treatment is important to achieve sustained virological response (SVR) in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We evaluated the efficiency of a multidisciplinary support programme (MSP), based on published HIV treatment experience, to increase patient adherence and the efficacy of pegylated interferon alfa-2a and ribavirin in CHC.

METHODS

447 patients receiving antiviral treatment were distributed into 3 groups: control group (2003-2004, n=147), MSP group (2005-2006, n=131), and MSP-validation group (2007-2009, n=169). The MSP group included two hepatologists, two nurses, one pharmacist, one psychologist, one administrative assistant, and one psychiatrist. Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using a Markov model.

RESULTS

Adherence and SVR rates were higher in the MSP (94.6% and 77.1%) and MSP-validation (91.7% and 74.6%) groups compared to controls (78.9% and 61.9%) (p<0.05 in all cases). SVR was higher in genotypes 1 or 4 followed by the MSP group vs. controls (67.7% vs. 48.9%, p=0.02) compared with genotypes 2 or 3 (87.7% vs. 81.4%, p=n.s.). The MSP was the main predictive factor of SVR in patients with genotype 1. The rate of adherence in patients with psychiatric disorders was higher in the MSP groups (n=95, 90.5%) compared to controls (n=28, 75.7%) (p=0.02). The cost per patient was € 13,319 in the MSP group and € 16,184 in the control group. The MSP group achieved more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) (16.317 QALYs) than controls (15.814 QALYs) and was dominant in all genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

MSP improves patient compliance and increases the efficiency of antiviral treatment in CHC, being cost-effective.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of treatment with peginterferon-alfa-2a versus peginterferon-alfa-2b for patients with chronic hepatitis C under the public payer perspective in Brazil

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C affects approximately 170 million people worldwide, and thus being one of the main causes of chronic liver disease. About 20% of patients with chronic hepatitis C will develop cirrhosis over 20 years, and present an increased risk of developing hepatic complications. Sustained virological response (SVR) is associated with a better prognosis compared to untreated patients and treatment failures.The objective of this analysis was to compare treatment costs and outcomes of pegylated interferon-alfa-2a versus pegylated interferon-alfa-2b, both associated with ribavirin, in the therapeutic scheme of 24 weeks and 48 week for hepatitis C genotypes 2/3 and genotype 1, respectively, under the Brazilian Public Health System (SUS) scenario.

METHODS

To project disease progression, a Markov model was built based on clinical stages of chronic disease. A Delphi panel was conducted to evaluate medical resources related to each stage, followed by costing of related materials, services, procedures and pharmaceutical products. The evaluation was made from a public payer perspective. The source used for costing was government reimbursement procedures list (SAI/SIH-SUS). Drug acquisition costs were obtained from the Brazilian Official Gazette and "Banco de Preços em Saúde" (government official source). It was assumed a mean patient weight of 70 kg. Costs were reported in 2011 Brazilian Reais (US$1 ≈ $Brz1.80). A systematic review followed by a meta-analysis of the 7 identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) which compared pegylated interferons, was conducted for obtaining relative efficacy of both drugs: for genotype 2/3, mean rate of SVR was 79.2% for peginterferon-alfa-2a and 73.8% for peginterferon-alfa-2b. For genotype 1, SVR mean rate was 42.09% versus 33.44% (peginterferon-alfa-2a and peginterferon-alfa-2b respectively). Time horizon considered was lifetime. Discount rate for costs and outcomes was 5%, according to Brazilian guidelines for Health Technology Assessment (HTA).

RESULTS

Analysis showed that peginterferon-alfa-2a is a dominant therapy compared to peginterferon-alfa-2b for genotype 1 ($Brz 4,345 savings and 0.10 LY/0.25 QALY gains) as well for genotype 2/3 ($Brz 8,001 savings and 0.16 LY/0.39 QALY gains). Projections indicated that for each 1000 patients treated with peginterferon-alfa-2a instead of peginterferon-alfa-2b, the amount of resources saved would be of $Brz 4.3 million for genotypes 2/3 and up to $Brz 8 million for genotype 1.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that treatment with peginterferon-alfa-2a is more effective and less costly when compared to peginterferon-alfa-2b under SUS perspective in Brazil.

Costs of treatment, follow-up, and complications of chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C infections

BACKGROUND

Few studies have addressed the indirect costs of chronic hepatitis B and C, and none has assessed the real costs of these conditions, including indirect costs caused by loss of work, in Turkey.

AIMS

This study therefore analysed the costs of treatment, follow-up, and complications of chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C infections to the community.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

METHODS

This study analysed patients with chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C treated at Pamukkale University Hospital Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology Clinic, Denizli, Turkey between June 2009 and June 2010. Costs of antiviral treatment and follow-up were calculated from patients' medical records, and indirect costs were analysed from questionnaires completed by patients.

RESULTS

Data were analysed for 284 patients with chronic viral hepatitis. Indirect, hospital, treatment and total expenses were significantly higher for patients with chronic hepatitis B than for inactive hepatitis B virus carriers and patients with chronic hepatitis C. Hospital and total expenses of patients with complications were significantly higher than for patients with chronic hepatitis C. Hospital and total expenses were significantly higher for patients with than for individuals without cirrhosis. Indirect, hospital, treatment and total costs of patients were significantly higher for patients receiving combination therapy than monotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Reducing the costs to society of chronic hepatitis requires the development of protection and screening programs.

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) disease burden and cost in the United States

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading cause of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation. A better understanding of HCV disease progression and the associated cost can help the medical community manage HCV and develop treatment strategies in light of the emergence of several potent anti-HCV therapies. A system dynamic model with 36 cohorts was used to provide maximum flexibility and improved forecasting. New infections incidence of 16,020 (95% confidence interval, 13,510-19,510) was estimated in 2010. HCV viremic prevalence peaked in 1994 at 3.3 (2.8-4.0) million, but it is expected to decline by two-thirds by 2030. The prevalence of more advanced liver disease, however, is expected to increase, as well as the total cost associated with chronic HCV infection. Today, the total cost is estimated at $6.5 ($4.3-$8.4) billion and it will peak in 2024 at $9.1 ($6.4-$13.3) billion. The lifetime cost of an individual infected with HCV in 2011 was estimated at $64,490. However, this cost is significantly higher among individuals with a longer life expectancy.

CONCLUSION

This analysis demonstrates that US HCV prevalence is in decline due to a lower incidence of infections. However, the prevalence of advanced liver disease will continue to increase as well as the corresponding healthcare costs. Lifetime healthcare costs for an HCV-infected person are significantly higher than for noninfected persons. In addition, it is possible to substantially reduce HCV infection through active management. (HEPATOLOGY 2013;57:2164-2170).

Economic model of a birth cohort screening program for hepatitis C virus

Recent research has identified high hepatitis C virus (HCV) prevalence among older U.S. residents who contracted HCV decades ago and may no longer be recognized as high risk. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of screening 100% of U.S. residents born 1946-1970 over 5 years (birth-cohort screening), compared with current risk-based screening, by projecting costs and outcomes of screening over the remaining lifetime of this birth cohort. A Markov model of the natural history of HCV was developed using data synthesized from surveillance data, published literature, expert opinion, and other secondary sources. We assumed eligible patients were treated with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin, with genotype 1 patients receiving a direct-acting antiviral in combination. The target population is U.S. residents born 1946-1970 with no previous HCV diagnosis. Among the estimated 102 million (1.6 million chronically HCV infected) eligible for screening, birth-cohort screening leads to 84,000 fewer cases of decompensated cirrhosis, 46,000 fewer cases of hepatocellular carcinoma, 10,000 fewer liver transplants, and 78,000 fewer HCV-related deaths. Birth-cohort screening leads to higher overall costs than risk-based screening ($80.4 billion versus $53.7 billion), but yields lower costs related to advanced liver disease ($31.2 billion versus $39.8 billion); birth-cohort screening produces an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $37,700 per quality-adjusted life year gained versus risk-based screening. Sensitivity analyses showed that reducing the time horizon during which health and economic consequences are evaluated increases the ICER; similarly, decreasing the treatment rates and efficacy increases the ICER. Model results were relatively insensitive to other inputs.

CONCLUSION

Birth-cohort screening for HCV is likely to provide important health benefits by reducing lifetime cases of advanced liver disease and HCV-related deaths and is cost-effective at conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds.

Economic burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases in the United States

There are approximately 100 drugs in development to treat hepatitis C. Over the next decade, a number of new therapies will become available. A good understanding of the cost of hepatitis C sequelae is important for assessing the value of new treatments. The objective of this study was to assess the economic burden data sources for hepatitis C in the United States. A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies reporting the costs of hepatitis C sequelae in the United States. Over 400 references were identified, of which 50 were pertinent. The costs were compiled and adjusted to 2010 constant US dollars using the medical component of the consumer price index (CPI). The cost of liver transplants was estimated at $201 110 ($178 760-$223 460), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at $23 755-$44 200, variceal haemorrhage at $25 595, compensated cirrhosis at $585-$1110, refractory ascites at $24 755, hepatic encephalopathy at $16 430, sensitive ascites at $2450, moderate chronic hepatitis C at $155, and mild chronic hepatitis C at $145 per year per person. All studies were traced back to a handful of publications in the 1990s, which have provided the basis for all sequelae-based cost estimates to date. Hepatitis C imposes a high economic burden. Most cost analysis is more than 10 years old, and more research is required to update the sequelae costs associated with HCV infection.

Economic burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases: Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Americas

BACKGROUND

Globally, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infects ∼3% of the population. The objective of this study was to review published work and determine the direct medical costs for diseases associated with HCV infection globally, with the exception of the US.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies reporting the costs of hepatitis C sequelae between January 1990 and January 2011. Over 400 references were identified, of which 45 were pertinent. The costs were compiled, converted to US dollars, and adjusted to 2010 costs using the medical component of the consumer price index.

RESULTS

The median cost of liver transplants was estimated at $139,070 ($15,430-$443,700), refractory ascites at $16,740 ($8990-$35,940), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at $15,310 ($3370-$84,710), decompensated cirrhosis at $14,660 ($3810-$48,360), variceal hemorrhage at $12,190 ($3550-$46,120), hepatic encephalopathy at $9180 ($5370-$50,120), diuretic sensitive ascites at $3400 ($1320-$7470), compensated cirrhosis at $820 ($50-$2890), and chronic hepatitis C at $280 ($90-$1860). The variation among studies was mainly due to the methodology used to assess cost, local cost and government reimbursement, and country-specific treatment protocols.

LIMITATIONS

All costs were adjusted to 2010 US dollars using the US medical component of the consumer price index (CPI) which may not reflect the change in medical costs in other countries. In addition, the costs, in the local currency were converted to US dollars in the year of the study. However, medical expenses may not vary with exchange rate, leading to artificial variations. Finally, there was no assessment of the quality of individual studies, which resulted in the same weighting to all studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatitis C imposes a high economic burden globally. Knowing the burden of HCV sequelae is useful for policy decisions as well as serving as a basis for determining the value of HCV screening and treatment.

Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of consensus interferon monotherapy with high-dose induction for hepatitis C patients with genotype 2

OBJECTIVE

Several treatment strategies for patients with chronic hepatitis C have been compared mainly in terms of their efficacy, and it has been found that pegylated interferon (IFN) plus ribavirin has become the standard therapy, but aged patients may not tolerate ribavirin and the cost-effectiveness of treatment should also be further considered. We conducted a study to evaluate the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of consensus IFN monotherapy with high-dose induction for patients with chronic hepatitis C in clinical practice.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We consecutively enrolled 104 patients with chronic hepatitis C. Patients were scheduled to receive 12 or 18 μg of consensus IFN daily for 2 weeks, then three times a week for 22 weeks. Efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness were assessed. A Markov model was developed to investigate cost-effectiveness in patients with chronic hepatitis C treated by different IFN-based treatment strategies.

RESULTS

Of the 104 study patients, a sustained virological response (SVR) was achieved in 66 (63%). Logistic regression analysis revealed that genotype 2, lower hepatitis C virus RNA levels, and patient age were independently associated with SVR. The response rate was significantly higher in patients with genotype 2 (51/66, 77%) versus genotype 1 (15/38, 40%). Cost-effectiveness analysis in patients with genotype 2 revealed that high-dose induction with consensus IFN monotherapy was as highly cost-effective as pegylated IFN plus ribavirin.

CONCLUSION

Consensus IFN monotherapy with high-dose induction shows high efficacy and cost-effectiveness in chronic hepatitis C patients with genotype 2 infection. Thus, it may be a reliable alternative in aged patients and for those excluded from standard combination therapy.

Long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of antiviral treatment in hepatitis C

We systematically reviewed the evidence for long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C. We performed a systematic literature search on the long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of AVT in hepatitis C (1990-March 2007), and included health technology assessment (HTA) reports, systematic reviews, long-term clinical trials, economic studies conducted alongside clinical trials and decision-analytic modelling studies. All costs were converted to 2005euro. Antiviral therapy with peginterferon plus ribavirin in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C was the most effective (3.6-4.7 life years gained [LYG]) treatment and was reasonably cost-effective (cost-saving to 84 700euro/quality adjusted life years [QALY]) when compared to interferon plus ribavirin. Some results also suggest cost-effectiveness (below 8400euro/(QALY) of re-treatment in nonresponders/relapsers. Results for patients with persistently normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels or with special co-morbidities (e.g. HIV) or risk profiles were rare. We conclude that antiviral therapy may prolong life, improve long-term health-related quality-of-life and be reasonably cost-effective in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C as well as in former relapsers/nonresponders. Further research is needed in patients with specific co-morbidities or risk profiles.

Health-related quality of life of Southern Chinese with chronic hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND

Few studies have evaluated the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of Southern Chinese with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection.

AIM

To evaluate the HRQOL of Chinese patients at different stages of CHB infection and to find out factors associated with HRQOL.

METHODS

520 Chinese adult CHB patients of whom 156 were uncomplicated, 102 had impaired liver function, 139 had cirrhosis and 123 had hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were interviewed with a structured questionnaire, the SF-36 Health Survey version 2 (SF-36v2), and the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ). The differences in SF-6D health preference values and SF-36v2 scores between each CHB group and Hong Kong population norms were assessed by t-test. ANOVA was used to compare the mean SF-6D health preference, SF-36v2 scores, and CLDQ scores among CHB groups. Multiple linear regressions were performed to identify determinants of HRQOL.

RESULTS

CHB patients had significantly lower SF-36v2 scores than the population norm. The SF-6D values of CHB patients with uncomplicated disease, impaired liver function, HCC and cirrhosis were 0.755, 0.745, 0.720 and 0.701, respectively, all significantly lower than the population norm of 0.787. Advanced stage of CHB illness, anti-viral treatment, bilirubin level, psychological co-morbidity, younger age and female were associated with poorer HRQOL.

CONCLUSION

CHB infection had a negative impact on HRQOL. There was a progressive decrease in health preference values with CHB disease progression. The results can be used for the estimation of quality adjusted life years (QALYs) for CHB patients in cost effectiveness or cost utility studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

http://www.hkclinicaltrials.com; HKCTR-151.

Addition of adult-to-adult living donation to liver transplant programs improves survival but at an increased cost

Using outcomes data from the Adult-to-Adult Living Donor Liver Transplantation Cohort Study, we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis exploring the costs and benefits of living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). A multistage Markov decision analysis model was developed with treatment, including medical management only (strategy 1), waiting list with possible deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT; strategy 2), and waiting list with possible LDLT or DDLT (strategy 3) over 10 years. Decompensated cirrhosis with medical management offered survival of 2.0 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) while costing an average of $65,068, waiting list with possible DDLT offered 4.4-QALY survival and a mean cost of $151,613, and waiting list with possible DDLT or LDLT offered 4.9-QALY survival and a mean cost of $208,149. Strategy 2 had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $35,976 over strategy 1, whereas strategy 3 produced an ICER of $106,788 over strategy 2. On average, strategy 3 cost $47,693 more per QALY than strategy 1. Both DDLT and LDLT were cost-effective compared to medical management of cirrhosis over our 10-year study period. The addition of LDLT to a standard waiting list DDLT program is effective at improving recipient survival and preventing waiting list deaths but at a greater cost.

Cost effectiveness of alternative surveillance strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The increasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States has significant health and economic consequences. Ultrasound (US) surveillance is recommended for patients with cirrhosis because of their high risk of HCC and improving treatment outcomes for small tumors. We assessed the costs, clinical benefits, and cost effectiveness of US surveillance and alternative strategies for HCC in cirrhosis using a computer-based state transition model with parameters derived from available literature.

METHODS

Our model compared a policy of no surveillance with 6 surveillance strategies in cirrhotic patients ages 50 years and older in the United States: (1) annual US, (2) semiannual US, (3) semiannual US with alpha-fetoprotein, (4) annual computed tomography (CT), (5) semiannual CT, and (6) annual magnetic resonance imaging. The number of screening tests needed to detect one small HCC, cost per treated HCC, lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life expectancy, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated.

RESULTS

Semiannual US surveillance for HCC in cirrhosis increased quality-adjusted life expectancy by 8.6 months on average, but extended it nearly 3.5 years in patients with small treated tumors. Semiannual US surveillance had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $30,700 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, and was more cost effective than the alternative surveillance strategies using a threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the combined alpha-fetoprotein/US and annual CT strategies exceeded $50,000/QALY unless the sensitivity and specificity of US decreased to less than 65% and 60%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Semiannual US surveillance for HCC in cirrhotic patients improves clinical outcomes at a reasonable cost.

Modelling the past, current and future HCV burden in France: detailed analysis and perspectives

Two national HCV projections have been published in France which assumed that a part of observed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) deaths is a consequence of HCV epidemic. They applied the back-calculation method, in combination with a Markov model, to reconstruct the past history of HCV infection and then to predict HCV-related mortality. A preliminary model was first developed in the absence of effective therapy. It allowed testing many assumptions to model HCV natural history that were compatible with observed incidence of HCV-related HCC deaths. This model was then updated to take into account the availability of treatment and more recent epidemiological data. These two models are described in detail and results are discussed with a view to addressing the models' limitations. The models offered a useful tool to assess public health policy scenarios in planning healthcare responses to the HCV epidemic.

The impact of chronic hepatitis B on quality of life: a multinational study of utilities from infected and uninfected persons

OBJECTIVES

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is a condition that results in substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide because of progressive liver damage. Investigators undertaking economic evaluations of new therapeutic agents require estimates of health-related quality of life (HRQOL). Recently, evidence has begun to accumulate that differences in cultural backgrounds have a quantifiable impact on perceptions of health. The objective was to elicit utilities for six health states that occur after infection with the hepatitis B virus from infected and uninfected respondents living in jurisdictions with low and with high CHB endemicity.

METHODS

Standard gamble utilities were elicited from hepatitis patients and uninfected respondents using an interviewer-administered survey in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Spain, Hong Kong, and mainland China. Generalized linear models were used to the effect on utilities of current health, age and sex, jurisdiction and, for infected respondents, current disease state.

RESULTS

The sample included 534 CHB-infected patients and 600 uninfected respondents. CHB and compensated cirrhosis had a moderate impact on HRQOL with utilities ranging from 0.68 to 0.80. Decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma had a stronger impact with utilities ranging from 0.35 to 0.41. Significant variation was observed between countries, with both types of respondents in mainland China and Hong Kong reporting systematically lower utilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Health states related to CHB infection have substantial reductions in HRQOL and the utilities reported in this study provide valuable information for comparing new treatment options. The observed intercountry differences suggest that economic evaluations may benefit from country-specific utility estimates. The extent that systematic intercountry differences in utilities hold true for other infectious and chronic diseases remains an open question and has considerable implications for the proper conduct and interpretation of economic evaluations.

Health-state utilities in liver disease: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

Health-state utilities are essential for cost-utility analysis. Few estimates exist for liver disease in the literature. The authors' aim was to conduct a systematic review of health-state utilities in liver disease, to look at the variation of study designs used, and to pool utilities for some liver disease states.

METHODS

A search of MED-LINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL from 1966 to September 2006 was conducted including key words related to liver disease and utility measuring tools. Articles were included if health-state utility tools or expert opinion were used. Variance-weighted mean utility estimates were pooled using metaregression adjusting for disease state and utility assessment method.

RESULTS

Thirty studies measured utilities of liver diseases/disease states. Half of these estimated utilities for hepatitis viruses: hepatitis A (n = 1), hepatitis B (n = 4), and hepatitis C (n = 10). Others included liver transplant (n= 6) and chronic liver disease (n= 5) populations. Twelve utility methods were used throughout. The EQ-5D (n = 10) was most popular method, followed by visual analogue scale (n = 9), time tradeoff (n = 6), and standard gamble (n = 4). Respondents were patients (n= 16), an expert panel (n = 10), non-liver diseases adults ( n=2), patient and expert (n = 1), and patient and healthy adult (n = 1). Type of perspective included community (n=21), patient (n=4), and both (n = 5). The pooled mean estimates in hepatitis C with moderate disease, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and post-liver transplant using the EQ-5D were 0.75, 0.75, 0.67, and 0.71, respectively. The change in these utilities using different methods were -0.07 (visual analogue scale), -0.01 (health utilities index version 3), +0.04 (standard gamble), + 0.08 (health utilities index version 2), + 0.12 (time tradeoff), and + 0.15 (standard gamble-transformed visual analogue scale).

CONCLUSIONS

The authors have created a valuable liver disease- based utility resource from which researchers and policy makers can easily view all available utility estimates from the literature. They have also estimated health-state utilities for major states of hepatitis C.

Management of solitary 1 cm to 2 cm liver nodules in patients with compensated cirrhosis: a decision analysis

OBJECTIVES

Current guidelines, based on expert opinion, recommend that suspected 1 cm to 2 cm hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detected on screening be biopsied and, if positive, treated (eg, resection or transplantation). Alternative strategies are immediate treatment or observation until disease progression occurs.

METHODS

A Markov decision model was developed that compared three management strategies - immediate resection, biopsy and resection if positive, and ultrasound surveillance every three months until disease progression - for a single 1 cm to 2 cm liver nodule suspicious for HCC following ultrasound screening and computed tomography confirmation. The cohort included 55-year-old patients with compensated cirrhosis and no significant comorbidities. The model used in the present study incorporated the probabilities of false-positive and false-negative results, needle-track seeding, HCC recurrence, cirrhosis progression and death. The quality-adjusted life expectancy (LE) and the unadjusted LE were evaluated and the model's strength was assessed with sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, biopsy, resection and surveillance yielded an unadjusted LE of 60.5, 59.7 and 56.6 months, respectively, and a quality-adjusted LE of 46.6, 45.6 and 43.8 months, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, biopsy was the preferred strategy 69.5% of the time, resection 30.5% of the time and surveillance never. Resection was the optimal decision if the sensitivity of biopsy was very low (less than 0.45) or if the accuracy of the imaging tests resulted in a high percentage of HCC-positive patients (greater than 76%) in the screened cohort, as with expert interpretation of triphasic computed tomography.

CONCLUSIONS

The present model suggests that biopsy is the preferred management strategy for these patients. When postimaging probability of HCC is high or pathology expertise is lacking, resection is the best alternative. Surveillance is never the optimal strategy.

Economics of chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C

Although not all patients develop progressive liver disease, chronic hepatitis B and chronic hepatitis C infections cause substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. To address this need, many new antiviral treatments have become available over the past 10 years. While safety, efficacy, and therapeutic indications have been well established for these agents, the economics of antiviral treatment have become increasingly a focus of discussion for physicians, policymakers, and health payers. In this paper, we will elucidate some economic principles using examples from the treatment of hepatitis B and C. In particular, we will examine the considerations in estimating drug costs, methods for performing economic analyses and lastly summarize published cost-effectiveness analyses for antiviral treatments of chronic hepatitis B and chronic hepatitis C. This review should help clinicians understand economic issues regarding new drugs and answer questions about whether the clinical benefit provided by a medication justifies its expense.

Feasibility and cost-benefit of implementing pooled screening for HCVAg in small blood bank settings

To examine the accuracy, feasibility and benefits of screening for hepatitis C virus core antigen (HCVAg) using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) test in pools. Many countries cannot afford to test blood donations for hepatitis C using molecular methods. Screening individual units using the ELISA HCVAg test is an acceptable, yet still expensive, alternative, especially for small blood bank settings. This study evaluated the option of screening for HCVAg in pools. The sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) of HCVAg in pools of three and six antibody-negative samples were estimated and compared with polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The feasibility and cost-benefit of the assay was assessed on 960 routine samples collected at a hospital blood bank in Gaza. Based on results for 50 PCR-positive pools and 50 and 110 PCR-negative pools of three and six, the Se of testing in pools of three and six samples is 80-82% [95% confidence interval (CI): 66.3-91.4] and Sp >or=98% (95% CI: 89.4-100.0) compared with PCR. The incidence of antigen in donors in Gaza was 0.1% (95% CI: 0-0.56). Cost analyses suggested significant benefits from implementing screening blood donations for HCVAg when the incidence rate is >4.2/10,000, leading to reduction in the expenditures needed to treat patients infected with HCV. The risk of transfusion-transmitted hepatitis C in resource-deprived developing countries can be efficiently reduced by additional screening of antibody-negative blood donations for HCVAg in pools of six.

A health economic model to assess the cost-effectiveness of PEG IFN alpha-2a and ribavirin in patients with mild chronic hepatitis C

According to the current guidelines, it is advised not to treat patients with mild chronic hepatitis C. However, discussions as to giving immediately a treatment (direct treatment) to these patients have started and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of such strategy is still unknown. The aim of this study was to estimate, in the health care payer perspective, the ICER of a direct treatment of patients with mild chronic hepatitis C in comparison with the strategy of monitoring these patients and treat them when the disease will progress to the state of moderate chronic hepatitis. The treatment assessed was the current standard treatment composed of pegylated interferon alpha-2a and ribavirin. At the beginning of the study, patients were aged 45. Long-term economic and clinical outcomes over a 30-year period were predicted using a Markov simulation model. Data were obtained from published literature. Monte Carlo simulations were used to determine 95% confidence intervals of results. The ICER of a direct treatment with PEG IFN alpha-2a and ribavirin is 23,046 euro/QALY (CI 95% 3,882 euro-42,392 euro) for genotypes 1-4-5-6 and 4,631 euro/QALY (CI 95% 797 euro-7,881 euro) for genotypes 2-3. Sensitivity analysis shows that it is only in extreme circumstances related to the utilities that the ICER for genotypes 1-4-5-6 is unacceptably high for the society (>50,000 euro). Even though a direct treatment is more expensive, it gives the advantage of curing greater number of patients and of increasing quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), implying that such strategy is generally cost-effective at a threshold of 50,000 euro/QALY.

HCV and diabetes. A two-question-based reappraisal

We used available studies to answer two clinically relevant questions, i.e. whether those with type 2 diabetes should undergo hepatitis C virus screening and whether hepatitis C virus positive individuals should be screened for diabetes. Four reasons argue against the hypothesis of screening diabetics for hepatitis C virus. First, although it induces insulin resistance, hepatitis C virus is not directly diabetogenic. Second, the clinical phenotype of hepatitis C virus-associated type 2 diabetes might be a clue to target the specific diabetic population to be screened. Third, diabetic patients are expected to be poor responders to antivirals and evidence that this might result in recovery from type 2 diabetes is insufficient. Fourth, no econometric data are available in the specific subset of those with type 2 diabetes. Case finding of type 2 diabetes in those with hepatitis C virus infection, in contrast, might be considered in those patients with type 2 diabetes who have cirrhosis, in whom--due to increased prevalence and severity of hepatic encephalopathy--diabetes is associated with increased mortality. Preliminary evidence suggests that the prognosis of cirrhosis might benefit from improved glycemic control and thus from earlier diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Finally, studies are needed to ascertain the most cost-effective strategy of case-finding type 2 diabetes among those who are hepatitis C virus-infected. In conclusion, available data enabled us to answer the two questions. Hepatitis C virus screening should best be restricted to those (lean) diabetic patients with (advanced) liver disease. Glucose tolerance testing should best be performed in those with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. However, additional studies are needed to support the cost-effectiveness of our conclusions.

Productivity improvements in hepatitis C treatment: impact on efficacy, cost, cost-effectiveness and quality of life

OBJECTIVE

The treatment of chronic hepatitis C has advanced considerably during the past 15 years. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of different key developments from a health-economic perspective.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Costs and health-related quality-of-life data from a follow-up of Swedish patients treated for hepatitis C in clinical practice were used together with clinical trial data and natural history data in order to create a mathematical model that could be used to evaluate the advancement in hepatitis C therapy. The efficacy of treatment, costs and cost-effectiveness were evaluated for both current as well as proposed treatment strategies. A sensitivity analysis was used to assess how results were affected when key variables changed.

RESULTS

Current genotype-guided pegylated interferon and ribavirin is a cost-effective treatment strategy. A proposed treatment strategy involving a reduction in the length of treatment for certain patient subgroups with genotypes 1, 2 and 3, as well as an increase in the length of treatment for patients with genotype 1 and slow virological response was estimated to be a cost-effective future treatment alternative. These results were insensitive to changes in costs and risks associated with chronic hepatitis.

CONCLUSION

Although the costs for treatment of hepatitis C have increased significantly over the past decade, the improvements have provided the health-care system with cost-effective options in the treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Estimated benefits of transplantation of kidneys from donors at increased risk for HIV or hepatitis C infection

Kidneys from organ donors who have behaviors that place them at increased risk for infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) are often discarded, even if viral screening tests are negative. This study compared policies that would either 'Discard' or 'Transplant' kidneys from Centers for Disease Control classified increased-risk donors (CDC-IRDs) using a decision analytic Markov model of renal failure treatment modalities. Base-case CDC-IRDs were current injection drug users (IDUs) with negative antibody and nucleic acid testing (NAT) for HIV and HCV, comprising 5% of kidney donors. Compared to a CDC-IRD kidney 'Discard' policy, the 'Transplant' policy resulted in higher patient survival, a greater number of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (5.6 vs. 5.1 years per patient), more kidney transplants (990 vs. 740 transplants per 1000 patients) and lower cost of care ($60 000 vs. $71 000 per QALY). The total number of viral infections was lower with the 'Transplant' policy (13.1 vs. 14.8 infections per 1000 patients over 20 years), because the 'Discard' policy led to more time on hemodialysis, with a higher HCV incidence. We recommend that kidneys from NAT-negative CDC-IRDs be considered for transplantation since the practice is estimated to be beneficial from both the societal and individual patient perspective.

Cost-effectiveness of hematologic growth factors for anemia occurring during hepatitis C combination therapy

In hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients who develop anemia during combination therapy, erythropoietic growth factors maintain higher drug treatment levels compared to ribavirin dose reduction, which may lead to an increase in treatment response rates. This study estimated the cost-effectiveness of growth factor therapy in maintaining anemic HCV-infected patients on target drug levels during combination therapy. A decision analysis using a Markov model was developed with 7 health states: Sustained viral response, chronic HCV, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, and death. Data sources included population-based studies of growth factor therapy, previously published estimates of costs and natural history of hepatitis C, and recent prospective studies. Our reference case was a 45-year-old Caucasian man with HCV infection (genotype 1, 2, or 3) who developed anemia while undergoing combination therapy with ribavirin and pegylated interferon. We compared growth factor injections (darbepoetin alpha or epoetin alpha) during combination therapy with standard ribavirin dose reduction. Compared to a ribavirin dose reduction strategy, the cost of darbepoetin per additional quality-adjusted life-year was 34,793 dollars for genotype 1 and 33,832 dollars for genotypes 2 or 3 versus 60,600 dollars and 64,311 dollars for epoetin. For all genotypes, the results were sensitive to changes in the cure rates of HCV therapy, the utility of chronic HCV, the costs of growth factors, and the age at which therapy is begun. In conclusion, use of erythropoietic growth factors, specifically darbepoetin, for patients with anemia occurring during HCV combination therapy appears to be cost-effective for genotypes 1, 2, or 3.

The economics of hepatitis C virus

Hepatitis C virus is a disease of major public health significance throughout the world in terms of overall morbidity and mortality and in its economic consequences and demands on medical resources. The global economic burden of this disease has yet to be fully realized. In this article the authors discuss the economic burden of hepatitis C, the economics of therapy, and the economics of its prevention and screening.

Hepatitis B risks and immunization coverage among American travelers

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B is endemic in much of Asia, Africa, and parts of South America, regions that are increasingly popular destinations for American travelers. The frequency of hepatitis B risks during travel has been examined for Europeans but not Americans. Further, limited data are available to describe the domestic hepatitis B risk factors of American travelers, the proportion vaccinated, and whether immunization activities target travelers at highest risk. We conducted a survey of international travelers to address these issues.

METHODS

A survey was mailed to 884 American international travelers, of whom 618 (70%) responded. The survey covered demographic and travel characteristics, sources of pre-travel health advice, immunization status, and items needed to assess hepatitis B vaccination candidacy. Travel-specific items concerned the most recent trip to a hepatitis B endemic region. Hepatitis B risk during the most recent trip was classified as high, potential, or none based on potential exposure to blood or bodily fluids.

RESULTS

Only 31% of respondents visited any health practitioner to obtain pre-travel health advice; 13% visited a travel medicine specialist. Totally 45% of respondents reported (3)1 domestic or travel-related hepatitis B risk, and 8% were at high risk during travel. Risk factors were more common among younger travelers and those with longer travel durations. Travel medicine specialists were more likely than nonspecialists to provide hepatitis B vaccine (40% vs 21%, p= 0.01). Travelers with risk factors were no more likely to be vaccinated in specialist or nonspecialist settings. Upon departure, only 19% of all travelers and 30% of travelers with risk factors had received three or more hepatitis B vaccine doses.

CONCLUSIONS

Most US travelers to hepatitis B endemic regions do not secure pre-travel health advice, and most have not received three doses of hepatitis B vaccine. A substantial share are candidates for hepatitis B vaccination based on their domestic activities, and/or face hepatitis B risks during travel.

Cost-effectiveness of peginterferon alfa-2a (40kDa) plus ribavirin in patients with HIV and hepatitis C virus co-infection

BACKGROUND

A multinational trial (APRICOT) showed that peginterferon alfa-2a (40kDa) plus ribavirin is efficacious for treatment of HIV-HCV co-infection. The cost-effectiveness of treating these patients with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin has yet to be explored from a US societal perspective.

OBJECTIVE

To predict the cost-effectiveness of peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin with interferon/ribavirin (IFN/RBV) or no treatment in HIV-HCV co-infected patients.

STUDY DESIGN

A Markov model was constructed with liver progression estimates based on published literature. Sustained virological response and baseline characteristics of the reference case were based on APRICOT. Quality of life and costs in 2004 US dollars (US$) were based on literature estimates and discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

Peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin compared with IFN/RBV or no treatment is predicted to increase quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) by 0.73 and 0.94 years, respectively, in HCV-genotype-1 patients. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin compared with IFN/RBV and no treatment for all patients is respectively US$ 2,082 and 5,187/QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-HCV treatment is predicted to decrease the risk of cirrhosis and increase quality-adjusted survival of HIV-HCV co-infected patients compared with IFN/RBV and no treatment. Peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin's cost per QALY gained relative to these options falls within the cost-effectiveness level of many health technologies commonly adopted in the US.

The economics of treating chronic hepatitis C patients with peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) plus ribavirin presenting with persistently normal aminotransferase

Peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) plus ribavirin is effective at achieving sustained viral response compared with no treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and persistently normal aminotransferase levels (PNALT). The cost-effectiveness of treating CHC in the setting of PNALT has not been assessed. Disease progression in patients with PNALT was simulated in a Markov model. The rate of fibrosis progression, quality of life and costs for each health state were based on literature estimates. The perspective of the Italian National Health Service was adopted and costs (euro 2003) and benefits were discounted at 3%. Sensitivity analyses were performed on important parameters. The primary analysis compared combination therapy with peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) plus ribavirin to no treatment in a cohort of patients with mean age 45 years, and was based on findings from a multinational, randomized trial in patients with PNALT. In genotype 1 patients, the risk of cirrhosis at 30 years is forecast to fall from 32% with no treatment to 19% with combination therapy, increasing quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) by 0.74 years at an incremental cost per QALY gained of euro 16,831. The 30-year risk of cirrhosis in genotype 2 or 3 is projected to fall to 9% with combination therapy, an increase in QALYs of 1.34 years, at an incremental cost per QALY gained of euro 3,000. Thus treatment of PNALT with peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) plus ribavirin is projected to reduce the incidence of cirrhosis, increase life expectancy and have an acceptable cost-effectiveness ratio from a societal perspective.

An unadjusted NNT was a moderately good predictor of health benefit

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Whether the number needed to treat (NNT) is sufficiently precise to use in clinical practice remains unclear. We compared unadjusted NNTs to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, a more comprehensive measures of health benefit.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

From a subset (n = 65) of a dataset of 228 cost-effectiveness analyses, we compared how well NNTs predicted clinically important QALY gains using correlation analysis, multivariable models and receiver-operator curve (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

NNT was inversely correlated with QALY gains (P < .001); this relationship was affected by quality of life and life-expectancy gains of treatment (P <or= .04). The NNT is a moderately accurate predictor of treatments that provide large health benefits (area under ROC 0.74-0.81). For ruling out therapies with low QALY gains (threshold <or=0.125 to <or=0.5 QALYs), an NNT >15 had a sensitivity of 82% to 100%. For ruling in therapies with high QALY gains (threshold >or=0.125 to >or=0.5 QALYs), an NNT <or=5 had a specificity of 77%.

CONCLUSION

Using NNT thresholds of <or=5 and >15 to rule in and out therapies with large QALY gains may provide general guidance regarding the magnitude of health benefit.

Hepatitis C: cost of illness and considerations for the economic evaluation of antiviral therapies

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection affects 170 million individuals worldwide. As it is detected incidentally through the evaluation of liver function tests or at the time of blood donor testing, it is usually clinically silent until the advanced stages of liver disease have occurred, when treatment is less effective and shortages of donor liver organs limit the therapeutic options. Combination therapy with ribavirin and pegylated interferon has resulted in sustained viral negative response rates of 54-61%. Because treatment is expensive and not uniformly effective, and because not all chronically infected patients will develop complications, concerns have arisen regarding the cost effectiveness of combination therapy. This paper reviews the public health and individual implications of HCV infections. Because of the latency of infection, numerous country-specific population analyses suggest that HCV will cause an increasing number of liver-related deaths over the next 10 years, despite the dramatic drop in incidence over the past 10-15 years. These deaths will be related to prevalent HCV infection from transfusion and injection drug use prior to identification of the virus and availability of screening tests in the late 1980s and early 1990s. HCV can reduce life expectancy and impair quality of life, yet not all patients will develop progressive liver disease, and antiviral treatment may have associated adverse effects. Finally, to assess the value of antiviral drugs for HCV infection, this paper reviews studies examining the costs of antiviral drugs and of the disease itself along with response to antiviral therapy and the cost effectiveness of antiviral therapy. Although antiviral therapy appears to be expensive, when also considering the likelihood of sustained viral response to therapy, and the cost savings, quality-of-life improvement and prolongation of life expectancy from the prevention of HCV complications, antiviral treatment for HCV appears to be cost effective when compared with other well accepted medical interventions.

Economic burden of hepatitis C in Canada and the potential impact of prevention. Results from a disease model

This Canadian hepatitis C model estimates economic burden of disease using Markov modeling to predict progression over 11 health states annually from 2001 to 2040. Incidence-based estimates help demonstrate the capability to determine cost-effectiveness of programs to prevent different proportions of incident cases. Benefits of prevention increase linearly with the number of incident cases prevented. The model forecasts annual health care costs for the treatment of HCV-related disease ranging from $103 to $158 million over time. Health care costs attributable to 2001 incidence cohort are forecast at $14.6 million for prevention. The increasing cost of HCV provides a framework for further analysis and implementation of long-term policies aimed at appropriate allocation of resources for health in Canada.

Clinical- and cost-effectiveness of pegylated interferon alfa in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C: a systematic review and economic evaluation

OBJECTIVES

To assess the clinical-effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of pegylated interferon alfa (2a and 2b) combined with ribavirin in previously untreated patients with moderate to severe chronic hepatitis C, compared with the current standard treatment, which is nonpegylated interferon alfa combined with ribavirin.

METHODS

Systematic review and economic evaluation. A sensitive search strategy was applied to several electronic bibliographic databases. Relevant studies were critically appraised and meta-analyzed. A hypothetical cohort of 1,000 patients entered a Markov model and were followed up for a more than 30-year period to predict natural history, duration spent in each health state, and treatment costs.

RESULTS

Two fully published Phase III randomized controlled trials were included. Methodological quality was generally good. Dual therapy with pegylated interferon was significantly more effective than nonpegylated dual therapy with a pooled sustained virological response rate (SVR) of 55 percent (95 percent confidence interval [CI], 52-58 percent) compared with 46 percent (95 percent CI, 43-49 percent). The pooled relative risk of remaining infected was 0.83 (95 percent CI, 0.76-0.91 percent). Genotype was the strongest predictor of outcome, with SVRs in patients with the more responsive genotypes 2 and 3 reaching up to 80 percent. The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for pegylated dual therapy compared with nonpegylated dual therapy was 12,123 pounds sterling. The cost per QALY remained under 30,000 pounds sterling for most patient subgroups and in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Pegylated interferon is clinically effective, represents good value for the money, and is a significant advance in the treatment of this insidious disease.

Routine hepatitis C virus screening in pregnancy: a cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether routine hepatitis C virus screening in pregnancy is cost-effective.

STUDY DESIGN

A decision tree with Markov analysis was developed to compare 3 approaches to asymptomatic hepatitis C virus infection in low-risk pregnant women: (1) no hepatitis C virus screening, (2) hepatitis C virus screening and subsequent treatment for progressive disease, and (3) hepatitis C virus screening, subsequent treatment for progressive disease, and elective cesarean delivery to avert perinatal transmission. Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years were evaluated for mother and child.

RESULTS

In our base case, hepatitis C virus screening and subsequent treatment of progressive disease was dominated (more costly and less effective) by no screening, with an incremental cost of 108 US dollars and a decreased incremental effectiveness of 0.00011 quality-adjusted life years. When compared with no screening, the marginal cost and effectiveness of screening, treatment, and cesarean delivery was 117 US dollars and 0.00010 quality-adjusted life years, respectively, which yields a cost-effectiveness ratio of 1,170,000 US dollars per quality-adjusted life year.

CONCLUSION

The screening of asymptomatic pregnant women for hepatitis C virus infection is not cost-effective.

Estimation of utilities for chronic hepatitis C from SF-36 scores

OBJECTIVES

Utilities are the recommended health-related quality of life (HRQOL) measure for cost-effectiveness studies. The aim of this study was to estimate utilities for chronic hepatitis C health states from published studies reporting Short Form-36 (SF-36) quality-of-life scores.

METHODS

A systematic review of published studies was undertaken. Articles were eligible for review if direct HRQOL assessment using the SF-36 in a chronic hepatitis C population was reported. SF-36 data were grouped according to hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment status at baseline, stage of liver disease, association with comorbidity, and HCV treatment response. The SF-36 scores were then transformed into utilities using three different methods.

RESULTS

Using Nichol's method, the estimated SF-36 mean utilities were 0.87 for sustained virological response (SVR) to interferon-based treatment, 0.82 for untreated chronic hepatitis C, 0.81 for precirrhosis, 0.76 for compensated cirrhosis, 0.69 for decompensated cirrhosis, 0.67 for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and 0.77 for liver transplant. Other methods showed differences across comparison groups (e.g., treated vs untreated) but absolute scores differed substantially by translation method. SF-36 utilities for different stages of liver disease varied considerably from expert estimates but comparable to direct patient-elicited utilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of SF-36 translation methods facilitate use of large existing datasets to generate community-weighted utilities for cost-effectiveness analyses, an important consideration in the absence of large studies of direct patient-elicited utilities in chronic hepatitis C.

Cost-effectiveness of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

HCV-related cirrhosis is a leading risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Surveillance might detect HCC at a treatable stage. We estimated the clinical and economic consequences of a common HCC surveillance strategy in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis in the context of alternative HCC treatment strategies.

METHODS

With a Markov model, we examined surveillance with serum alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound every 6 months in patients with compensated HCV-related cirrhosis from age 45-70 years or death, and HCC treatment with resection, cadaveric liver transplantation (CLT), or living donor liver transplantation (LDLT).

RESULTS

Compared to natural history in the base case, surveillance with resection, listing for CLT, or LDLT increased life expectancy by 0.49, 2.58, and 3.81 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), respectively, all at costs less than 51,000 US dollars/QALY gained. The consequences of surveillance were most sensitive to the outcomes and costs of HCC treatments but not surveillance test performance characteristics or cost. Prioritizing CLT for patients with HCC over those with decompensated cirrhosis resulted in greater overall life expectancy with minimal increase in cost.

CONCLUSIONS

Surveillance for HCC in patients with compensated HCV-related cirrhosis might gain QALYs at acceptable costs. The impact of surveillance depends most on the outcomes and costs of HCC treatments, rather than surveillance test characteristics. By increasing organ availability for timely definitive treatment, LDLT might achieve the greatest gain in life expectancy at acceptable costs. Prioritizing CLT for HCC might increase the population-wide benefits of CLT.

What is the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C treatment for injecting drug users on methadone maintenance in New Zealand?

The cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C virus (HCV) anti-viral therapy for injecting drug users (IDUs) on methadone maintenance is important because the majority have chronic infections that remain untreated. Cost-effectiveness analysis examines the costs of treatment compared with the benefits, which in this study are defined as savings in life. The cost-effectiveness of treatment for HCV infection is investigated for Mäori and non-Mäori IDUs on methadone maintenance therapy (MMT) in New Zealand. Markov models are used to model cohorts of IDUs, changes in their health states and the effects of MMT and anti-viral therapy on morbidity and mortality. Comparisons were made between conventional combination therapy (COT) and combination therapy with pegylated interferon. Sensitivity analysis is used to model cost-effectiveness of treatment under varying assumptions of progression of liver disease and compliance with treatment. The cost-effectiveness of MMT alone was estimated at 25397 dollars per life year saved (LYS) for non-Mäori men and 25035 dollars for non-Mäori women IDUs (costs and benefits discounted at 3%). The incremental effects of providing COT to all eligible patients were to save extra years of life, as well as to involve additional costs of anti-viral therapy. Analysis of both the incremental costs and benefits showed that a policy of providing COT to all patients meeting treatment criteria would have similar cost-effectiveness to MMT alone. Costs per LYS were estimated to be lower for Mäori for both men and women, reflecting ethnic differences in mortality. Cost-effectiveness was found to improve if the average age of stabilizing on MMT could be lowered by 5 years from the current average age of 31 years to age 26. Cost-effectiveness of the new treatment with pegylated interferon and ribavirin was found to be similar to that of COT because the increased LYS were offset by expected higher costs of the new pharmaceuticals. Sensitivity analysis showed that anti-viral treatment remained cost-effective under varying assumptions of the rate of disease progression and compliance with treatment.

Elective cesarean delivery to prevent perinatal transmission of hepatitis C virus: a cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to determine whether elective cesarean delivery to avert perinatal hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission is cost-effective.

STUDY DESIGN

Using decision analysis, we compared 2 approaches: (1) offering elective cesarean delivery to avert perinatal HCV transmission, (2) performing a cesarean delivery only for obstetric indications. Lifetime cost and quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs) for HCV-infected neonates were evaluated with Markov analysis. We assumed elective cesarean delivery reduces perinatal HCV transmission, and we varied both the risk reduction caused by elective cesarean delivery and the background risk of perinatal HCV infection.

RESULTS

When elective cesarean section prevents all perinatal HCV transmission, 18 elective cesarean deliveries are necessary to avert 1 neonatal infection with a cost-effectiveness ratio of 34,812 dollars/QALY. At a background perinatal transmission rate of 7.7% elective cesarean deliveries is cost-effective only if it reduces the risk of perinatal transmission by more than 77%.

CONCLUSION

Elective cesarean delivery is cost-effective only if it substantially reduces the risk of perinatal HCV transmission.

Cost-effectiveness of combination peginterferon alpha-2a and ribavirin compared with interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Sustained virological response (SVR) is the primary objective in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Results from a recent clinical trial of patients with previously untreated CHC demonstrate that the combination of peginterferon alpha-2a and ribavirin produces a greater SVR than interferon alpha-2b and ribavirin combination therapy. However, the cost-effectiveness of peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin in the U.S. setting has not been investigated.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to investigate cost-effectiveness in patients with CHC using genotype to guide treatment duration. SVR and disease progression parameters were derived from the clinical trials and epidemiologic studies. The impact of treatment on life expectancy and costs were projected for a lifetime. Patients who had an SVR were assumed to remain virus-free for the rest of their lives. In genotype 1 patients, the SVRs were 46% for peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin and 36% for interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin. In genotype 2/3 patients, the SVRs were 76% for peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin and 61% for interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin. Quality of life and costs were based on estimates from the literature. All costs were based on published U.S. medical care costs and were adjusted to 2003 U.S. dollars. Costs and benefits beyond the first year were discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

In genotype 1, peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin increases quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALY) by 0.70 yr compared to interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin, producing a cost-effectiveness ratio of $2,600 per QALY gained. In genotype 2/3 patients, peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin increases QALY by 1.05 yr in comparison to interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin. Peginterferon alpha-2a combination therapy in patients with HCV genotype 2 or 3 is dominant (more effective and cost saving) compared to interferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin. Results weighted by genotype prevalence (75% genotype 1; 25% genotype 2 or 3) also show that peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin is dominant. Peginterferon alpha-2a and ribavirin remained cost-effective (below $16,500 per QALY gained) under sensitivity analyses on key clinical and cost parameters.

CONCLUSION

Peginterferon alpha-2a in combination with ribavirin with duration of therapy based on genotype, is cost-effective compared with conventional interferon alpha-2b in combination with ribavirin when given to treatment-naïve adults with CHC.

Prevention could be less cost-effective than cure: the case of hepatitis C screening policies in France

OBJECTIVES

To access the cost-effectiveness of French recommendations for hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening and the extent to which earlier identification of carriers may or not improve the cost-effectiveness of therapeutic strategies.

METHODS

Cost-effectiveness analysis were performed using decision-tree analysis and a Markov model. Four alternative strategies were compared: no screening and no treatment; initiation of HCV treatment after the diagnosis of cirrhosis; and two alternative strategies refer to the current French policies of HCV testing, i.e., two enzyme immunoblot assay (EIA) tests in series, or a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis after the first positive EIA test. Costs were computed from the viewpoint of the health care system. The analysis has been applied to populations particularly at risk of infection, as well as the general population.

RESULTS

The "wait and treat cirrhosis" strategy was more cost-effective in the general population and in transfusion recipients. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of this strategy compared with baseline strategy was 3,476 of euros and Euro15,300 in respective cohorts. Considering the HCV screening strategy, the additional cost would be of Euro4,933 and Euro240,250 per additional year of life saved, respectively. In the intravenous drug user (IDU) population, the "two ElA" screening strategy was the more cost-effective alternative, with an additional cost of Euro3,825 per additional year of life saved.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV screening would be discarded for transfusion recipients but should be encouraged for IDUs and also for the general population, in which the additional cost of screening is an order of magnitude more acceptable.

Burden of illness of hepatitis C from a managed care organization perspective

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study were to: (1). determine the total hepatitis C virus (HCV)related and total healthcare costs (HCV plus other co-morbidities) of patients with HCV in a managed care organization; (2). determine total healthcare costs of HCV patients with and without a human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection as a comorbidity.

METHODS

The study design was a retrospective analysis of a medical and pharmacy claims database of patients diagnosed with HCV in a 325000 member managed care organization. Patients diagnosed with HCV and 12 months of continuous eligibility in the managed care organization from January 1997 through December 1999 were included in the study. The main outcome measures of the study were the total healthcare costs and HCV-related healthcare costs and the impact of HIV as a co-morbidity on these costs.

RESULTS

The study identified 614 patients meeting the inclusion criteria. The study population was 58% male and had a mean age of 46 (+/- 10.6) years. In patients receiving interferon-alpha, their median total healthcare costs exceeded US dollars 4600 and the median HCV-related costs exceeded US dollars 2470. The total healthcare costs of HCV patients with HIV as a co-morbidity were significantly larger than patients without this comorbidity.

CONCLUSION

HCV represents a very important disease to managed care organizations. Patients with this disease require costly drug therapies and consume significant health care resources. Additional research is needed to more fully characterize future clinical and economic outcomes as new agents become available.

Cost effectiveness of hepatitis A/B versus hepatitis B vaccination for US prison inmates

Hepatitis B immunization is provided in many US prison systems. We examined the cost effectiveness of substituting bivalent hepatitis A/B vaccine in this setting, considering regional variation in hepatitis A risks and the potential for disease transmission by former prisoners. Where hepatitis A rates are >200, 100-200, and <100% the national average, declines in hepatitis A treatment costs would offset 137, 88, and 40% of the bivalent vaccine's added cost. In the three regions considered, cost effectiveness would be US$ <0, 2131, and 22,819 per life-year saved, respectively. Prison-based hepatitis A/B immunization would meet accepted standards of cost effectiveness throughout the US.

Estimating the prognosis of hepatitis C patients infected by transfusion in Canada between 1986 and 1990

OBJECTIVE

To develop a natural history model for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection to determine allocation of compensatory funds to Canadians who acquired HCV through the blood supply from 1986 through 1990.

METHODS

A Markov cohort simulation model for HCV prognosis was developed, using content experts, published data, posttransfusion look-back data, and a national survey.

RESULTS

The mortality rate in transfusees is high (46% at 10 years), although HCV-related deaths are rare. Only 14% develop cirrhosis at 20 years (95% confidence interval, 0%--44%), but 1 in 4 will eventually develop cirrhosis, and 1 in 8 will die of liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

This unique application of Markov cohort simulation and epidemiologic methods provides a state-of-the-art estimate of HCV prognosis and has allowed compensation decisions to be based on the best available evidence.