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Bao Q, Shen Y, Zheng Z, Zheng Y, Li Y, Ren Y, Zhang N, Chen X, Ke M. Changes in the spectrum of ocular disease during the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2022 in the Hubei Province. Sci Rep 2025; 15:6297. [PMID: 39984575 PMCID: PMC11845709 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-89791-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2024] [Accepted: 02/07/2025] [Indexed: 02/23/2025] Open
Abstract
We aimed to investigate changes in the ocular disease spectrum during the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in late 2022 in the Hubei Province. This retrospective observational study was conducted in two parts. The first part involved collecting COVID-19-related information from residents of Hubei Province through an online questionnaire survey. The second part involved extracting electronic medical records from ophthalmology outpatient departments at two hospitals in Hubei Province during the pandemic and epidemic prevention and control periods, analyzing changes in the spectrum of ocular diseases. In the first part, 31.65% of patients with systemic symptoms of COVID-19 experienced ocular discomfort. The most common ocular symptoms were eye fatigue, ocular pain and dry eye. In the second part, 76.5% of patients who visited the ophthalmic clinic had COVID-19-related systemic symptoms during pandemic period. The proportion of patients with cornea/keratitis, glaucoma/acute angle-closure glaucoma (AACG) and vitreoretinal disease/retinal vein obstruction (RVO)/acute macular neuroretinalpathy (AMN) increased markedly during pandemic period. Additionally, the number of patients under 18 years and over 60 years decreased significantly compared to the same age groups pre- & post-pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic has led to certain changes in the spectrum of ocular diseases, which warrants the attention of ophthalmologists.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qing Bao
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Yanru Shen
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Zhiwei Zheng
- Department of Ophthalmology, Qichun People's Hospital, Huanggang, Hubei, China
| | - Yan Zheng
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Yuting Li
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Yaoyao Ren
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Nan Zhang
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Xiaomin Chen
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
| | - Min Ke
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
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Lin E, Bilinski A, Collender PA, Lee V, Sud SR, León TM, White LA, Remais JV, Head JR. COVID-19 Incidence and Age Eligibility for Elementary School. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e2444836. [PMID: 39541118 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.44836] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Importance Understanding the role of school attendance on transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among children is of importance for responding to future epidemics. Estimating discontinuities in outcomes by age of eligibility for school attendance has been used to examine associations between school attendance and a variety of outcomes, but has yet to be applied to describe associations between school attendance and communicable disease transmission. Objective To estimate the association between eligibility for elementary school and COVID-19 incidence. Design, Setting, and Participants This case series used data on all pediatric COVID-19 cases reported to California's disease surveillance system between May 16, 2020, and December 15, 2022, among children within 24 months of the age threshold for school eligibility. Exposure Birthdate before or after the age threshold for elementary school eligibility during periods when school was remote vs in person. Main Outcomes and Measures COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. Results Between May 16, 2020, and December 15, 2022, there were 688 278 cases of COVID-19 (348 957 cases [50.7%] among boys) and 1423 hospitalizations among children who turned 5 years within 24 months of September 1 of the school year when their infection occurred. The mean (SD) age of the study sample was 5.0 (1.3) years. After adjusting for higher rates of testing in schooled populations, the estimated pooled incidence rate ratio among kindergarten-eligible individuals (eg, those born just before the age threshold for school eligibility) compared with those born just after the eligibility threshold for in-person fall 2021 semester was 1.52 (95% CI, 1.36-1.68), for in-person spring 2022 semester was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39), and for in-person fall 2022 semester was 1.19 (95% CI, 1.03-1.38). Reported incidence rates among school-eligible children remained higher during the month-long winter 2021-2022 school break but were lower during the longer summer break that followed. The findings were unable to establish whether associations between school eligibility and COVID-19 incidence were based on in-school vs out-of-school routes (eg, classrooms vs school buses). The study lacked power to detect associations between school attendance and hospitalization. Results were robust to functional form. A simulation study was conducted to demonstrate bias associated with nonadjustment for differential case acquisition by exposure status. Conclusions and Relevance In this case series of children in California, the magnitude of the association between school eligibility and COVID-19 incidence decreased over time and was generally lower than other published associations between out-of-school child social interactions and COVID-19 incidence. This regression discontinuity design approach could be adapted to other geographies and/or disease systems to assess associations between schooling and disease transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eve Lin
- College of Letters and Sciences, University of California, Berkeley
| | - Alyssa Bilinski
- School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island
| | - Philip A Collender
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley
| | - Vivian Lee
- College of Letters and Sciences, University of California, Berkeley
| | - Sohil R Sud
- California Department of Public Health, Richmond
| | - Tomás M León
- California Department of Public Health, Richmond
| | | | - Justin V Remais
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley
| | - Jennifer R Head
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
- Institute of Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
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Beron AJ, Yukich JO, Berry AA, Correa A, Keating J, Bott M, Wierzba TF, Weintraub WS, Friedman-Klabanoff DJ, Mongraw-Chaffin M, Gibbs MA, Taylor YJ, Kissinger PJ, Hayes DV, Schieffelin JS, Burke BK, Oberhelman RA. Assessment of sociodemographic factors associated with time to self-reported COVID-19 infection among a large multi-center prospective cohort population in the southeastern United States. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0293787. [PMID: 39240796 PMCID: PMC11379301 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 07/20/2024] [Indexed: 09/08/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We aimed to investigate sociodemographic factors associated with self-reported COVID-19 infection. METHODS The study population was a prospective multicenter cohort of adult volunteers recruited from healthcare systems located in the mid-Atlantic and southern United States. Between April 2020 and October 2021, participants completed daily online questionnaires about symptoms, exposures, and risk behaviors related to COVID-19, including self-reports of positive SARS CoV-2 detection tests and COVID-19 vaccination. Analysis of time from study enrollment to self-reported COVID-19 infection used a time-varying mixed effects Cox-proportional hazards framework. RESULTS Overall, 1,603 of 27,214 study participants (5.9%) reported a positive COVID-19 test during the study period. The adjusted hazard ratio demonstrated lower risk for women, those with a graduate level degree, and smokers. A higher risk was observed for healthcare workers, those aged 18-34, those in rural areas, those from households where a member attends school or interacts with the public, and those who visited a health provider in the last year. CONCLUSIONS We identified subgroups within healthcare network populations defined by age, occupational exposure, and rural location reporting higher than average rates of COVID-19 infection for our surveillance population. These subgroups should be monitored closely in future epidemics of respiratory viral diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew J. Beron
- Department of Tropical Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Joshua O. Yukich
- Department of Tropical Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Andrea A. Berry
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health and Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Adolfo Correa
- Department of Population Health Science, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, Mississippi, United States of America
| | - Joseph Keating
- Department of Tropical Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Matthew Bott
- Milken Institute School of Public Health, The George Washington University, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Thomas F. Wierzba
- Section of Infectious Diseases Department of Internal Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - William S. Weintraub
- MedStar Health Research Institute, Hyattsville, Maryland, United States of America
- Georgetown University, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - DeAnna J. Friedman-Klabanoff
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health and Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Morgana Mongraw-Chaffin
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Michael A. Gibbs
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Atrium Health, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Yhenneko J. Taylor
- Center for Health System Sciences, Atrium Health, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Patricia J. Kissinger
- Department of Epidemiology, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Devin V. Hayes
- Vysnova Partners, Landover, Maryland, United States of America
| | - John S. Schieffelin
- Department of Pediatrics, Tulane School of Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Brian K. Burke
- Milken Institute School of Public Health, The George Washington University, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America
| | - Richard A. Oberhelman
- Department of Tropical Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
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Pereira ABN, Pereira FSH, Araújo JÉDL, Brasil RP, Oliveira AMB, Lima SS, Fonseca RRDS, Laurentino RV, Oliveira-Filho AB, Machado LFA. Clinical-Epidemiological Profile of COVID-19 Patients Admitted during Three Waves of the Pandemic in a Tertiary Care Center, in Belém, Pará, Amazon Region of Brazil. Viruses 2024; 16:1233. [PMID: 39205207 PMCID: PMC11359788 DOI: 10.3390/v16081233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2024] [Revised: 07/21/2024] [Accepted: 07/24/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a disease with a broad clinical spectrum, which may result in hospitalization in healthcare units, intensive care, and progression to death. This study aimed to describe and compare the clinical and epidemiological profile of COVID-19 during the three waves of the disease, in patients admitted to a public hospital in the city of Belém, Pará, in the Amazon region of Brazil. METHODS This descriptive, observational, and cross-sectional study was population-based on individuals who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of COVID-19, confirmed by real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), and who were interviewed and monitored at the public hospital, from February 2020 to April 2022. RESULTS The prevalence was male patients, older than 60 years. The most frequent symptoms were dyspnea, cough, and fever. Systemic arterial hypertension was the most prevalent comorbidity followed by diabetes mellitus. Less than 15% of patients were vaccinated. The nasal oxygen cannula was the most used oxygen therapy interface followed by the non-rebreathing reservoir mask. Invasive mechanical ventilation predominated and the median time of invasive mechanical ventilation ranged from 2 to 6 days among waves. As for the hospital outcome, transfers prevailed, followed by deaths and discharges. CONCLUSION The presence of comorbidities, advanced age, and male sex were important factors in the severity and need for hospitalization of these patients, and the implementation of the vaccination policy was an essential factor in reducing the number of hospital admissions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana Beatriz Nunes Pereira
- Biology of Infectious and Parasitic Agents Post-Graduate Program, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil;
- Virology Laboratory, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil; (S.S.L.); (R.R.d.S.F.); (R.V.L.)
| | - Fernando Sérgio Henriques Pereira
- Belém Health Department, Humberto Maradei Pereira Municipal and Emergency Hospital, Belém 66075-259, PA, Brazil; (F.S.H.P.); (J.É.D.L.A.); (R.P.B.); (A.M.B.O.)
| | - Júlio Éden Davi Lopes Araújo
- Belém Health Department, Humberto Maradei Pereira Municipal and Emergency Hospital, Belém 66075-259, PA, Brazil; (F.S.H.P.); (J.É.D.L.A.); (R.P.B.); (A.M.B.O.)
| | - Rangel Pereira Brasil
- Belém Health Department, Humberto Maradei Pereira Municipal and Emergency Hospital, Belém 66075-259, PA, Brazil; (F.S.H.P.); (J.É.D.L.A.); (R.P.B.); (A.M.B.O.)
| | - Angélica Menezes Bessa Oliveira
- Belém Health Department, Humberto Maradei Pereira Municipal and Emergency Hospital, Belém 66075-259, PA, Brazil; (F.S.H.P.); (J.É.D.L.A.); (R.P.B.); (A.M.B.O.)
| | - Sandra Souza Lima
- Virology Laboratory, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil; (S.S.L.); (R.R.d.S.F.); (R.V.L.)
| | - Ricardo Roberto de Souza Fonseca
- Virology Laboratory, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil; (S.S.L.); (R.R.d.S.F.); (R.V.L.)
| | - Rogério Valois Laurentino
- Virology Laboratory, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil; (S.S.L.); (R.R.d.S.F.); (R.V.L.)
| | - Aldemir Branco Oliveira-Filho
- Study and Research Group on Vulnerable Populations, Institute for Coastal Studies, Federal University of Pará, Bragança 68600-000, PA, Brazil;
| | - Luiz Fernando Almeida Machado
- Biology of Infectious and Parasitic Agents Post-Graduate Program, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil;
- Virology Laboratory, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Pará, Belém 66075-110, PA, Brazil; (S.S.L.); (R.R.d.S.F.); (R.V.L.)
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Greenhalgh T, MacIntyre CR, Baker MG, Bhattacharjee S, Chughtai AA, Fisman D, Kunasekaran M, Kvalsvig A, Lupton D, Oliver M, Tawfiq E, Ungrin M, Vipond J. Masks and respirators for prevention of respiratory infections: a state of the science review. Clin Microbiol Rev 2024; 37:e0012423. [PMID: 38775460 PMCID: PMC11326136 DOI: 10.1128/cmr.00124-23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
SUMMARYThis narrative review and meta-analysis summarizes a broad evidence base on the benefits-and also the practicalities, disbenefits, harms and personal, sociocultural and environmental impacts-of masks and masking. Our synthesis of evidence from over 100 published reviews and selected primary studies, including re-analyzing contested meta-analyses of key clinical trials, produced seven key findings. First, there is strong and consistent evidence for airborne transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and other respiratory pathogens. Second, masks are, if correctly and consistently worn, effective in reducing transmission of respiratory diseases and show a dose-response effect. Third, respirators are significantly more effective than medical or cloth masks. Fourth, mask mandates are, overall, effective in reducing community transmission of respiratory pathogens. Fifth, masks are important sociocultural symbols; non-adherence to masking is sometimes linked to political and ideological beliefs and to widely circulated mis- or disinformation. Sixth, while there is much evidence that masks are not generally harmful to the general population, masking may be relatively contraindicated in individuals with certain medical conditions, who may require exemption. Furthermore, certain groups (notably D/deaf people) are disadvantaged when others are masked. Finally, there are risks to the environment from single-use masks and respirators. We propose an agenda for future research, including improved characterization of the situations in which masking should be recommended or mandated; attention to comfort and acceptability; generalized and disability-focused communication support in settings where masks are worn; and development and testing of novel materials and designs for improved filtration, breathability, and environmental impact.
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Affiliation(s)
- Trisha Greenhalgh
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - C Raina MacIntyre
- Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Michael G Baker
- Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Shovon Bhattacharjee
- Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
- School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Abrar A Chughtai
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - David Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mohana Kunasekaran
- Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Amanda Kvalsvig
- Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Deborah Lupton
- Centre for Social Research in Health and Social Policy Research Centre, Faculty of Arts, Design and Architecture, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Matt Oliver
- Professional Standards Advocate, Edmonton, Canada
| | - Essa Tawfiq
- Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Mark Ungrin
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering; Alberta Children's Hospital Research Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Joe Vipond
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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Peng A, Bosco S, Simmons AE, Tuite AR, Fisman DN. Impact of community mask mandates on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Ontario after adjustment for differential testing by age and sex. PNAS NEXUS 2024; 3:pgae065. [PMID: 38463611 PMCID: PMC10923507 DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 03/12/2024]
Abstract
Mask use for prevention of respiratory infectious disease transmission is not new but has proven controversial during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. In Ontario, Canada, irregular regional introduction of community mask mandates in 2020 created a quasi-experiment useful for evaluating the impact of such mandates; however, Ontario SARS-CoV-2 case counts were likely biased by testing focused on long-term care facilities and healthcare workers. We developed a regression-based method that allowed us to adjust cases for under-testing by age and gender. We evaluated mask mandate effects using count-based regression models with either unadjusted cases, or testing-adjusted case counts, as dependent variables. Models were used to estimate mask mandate effectiveness, and the fraction of SARS-CoV-2 cases, severe outcomes, and costs, averted by mask mandates. Models using unadjusted cases as dependent variables identified modest protective effects of mask mandates (range 31-42%), with variable statistical significance. Mask mandate effectiveness in models predicting test-adjusted case counts was higher, ranging from 49% (95% CI 44-53%) to 76% (95% CI 57-86%). The prevented fraction associated with mask mandates was 46% (95% CI 41-51%), with 290,000 clinical cases, 3,008 deaths, and loss of 29,038 quality-adjusted life years averted from 2020 June to December, representing $CDN 610 million in economic wealth. Under-testing in younger individuals biases estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection risk and obscures the impact of public health preventive measures. After adjustment for under-testing, mask mandates emerged as highly effective. Community masking saved substantial numbers of lives, and prevented economic costs, during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Ontario, Canada.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amy Peng
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3M7, Canada
| | - Savana Bosco
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3M7, Canada
| | - Alison E Simmons
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3M7, Canada
| | - Ashleigh R Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3M7, Canada
- Centre for Immunization Programs, Public Health Agency of Canada, 130 Colonnade Road, Ottawa, ON K1A 0K9, Canada
| | - David N Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3M7, Canada
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Peng A, Simmons A, Amoako A, Tuite A, Fisman D. Relative pandemic severity in Canada and four peer nations during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. CANADA COMMUNICABLE DISEASE REPORT = RELEVE DES MALADIES TRANSMISSIBLES AU CANADA 2023; 49:197-205. [PMID: 38419909 PMCID: PMC10901147 DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v49i05a05] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/02/2024]
Abstract
Background National responses to the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic have been highly variable. We sought to explore the effectiveness of the Canadian pandemic response up to May 2022 relative to responses in four peer countries with similar political, economic and health systems, and with close historical and cultural ties to Canada. Methods We used reported age-specific mortality data to generate estimates of pandemic mortality standardized to the Canadian population. Age-specific case fatality, hospitalization, and intensive care admission probabilities for the Canadian province of Ontario were applied to estimated deaths, to calculate hospitalizations and intensive care admissions averted by the Canadian response. Health impacts were valued in both monetary terms, and in terms of lost quality-adjusted life years. Results We estimated that the Canadian pandemic response averted 94,492, 64,306 and 13,641 deaths relative to the responses of the United States, United Kingdom and France, respectively, and more than 480,000 hospitalizations relative to the United States. The United States pandemic response, if applied to Canada, would have resulted in more than $40 billion in economic losses due to healthcare expenditures and lost quality-adjusted life years. In contrast, an Australian pandemic response applied to Canada would have averted over 28,000 additional deaths and averted nearly $9 billion in costs. Conclusion Canada outperformed several peer countries that aimed for mitigation rather than elimination of SARS-CoV-2 in the first two years of the pandemic, with substantial numbers of lives saved and economic costs averted. However, a comparison with Australia demonstrated that an elimination focus would have saved Canada tens of thousands of lives as well as substantial economic costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amy Peng
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON
| | - Alison Simmons
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON
| | - Afia Amoako
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON
| | - Ashleigh Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON
- Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON
| | - David Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON
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Obress L, Berke O, Fisman DN, Raju S, Tuite AR, Varia M, Greer AL. Estimating the test-adjusted incidence of Chlamydia trachomatis infections identified through Public Health Ontario Laboratories in Peel region, Ontario, 2010-2018: a population-based study. CMAJ Open 2023; 11:E62-E69. [PMID: 36693657 PMCID: PMC9876583 DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210236] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Public health guidelines for chlamydia testing are not sex specific, but young females test at a disproportionally higher rate than males and other age groups. This study aims to describe testing trends across age and sex subgroups, then estimate a test-adjusted incidence of chlamydia in these subgroups to identify gaps in current testing practices. METHODS We used a population-based study to examine observed chlamydia rates by age and sex subgroups: 15-19 years, 20-29 years, 30-39 years and older than 40 years. The study included diagnostic test results recorded by Public Health Ontario Laboratories between Jan. 1, 2010, and Dec. 31, 2018, for individuals living in Peel region, Ontario. We then employed meta-regression models as a method of standardization to estimate the effect of sex and age on standardized morbidity ratio, testing ratio and test positivity, then calculate a test-adjusted incidence of chlamydia for each subgroup. RESULTS Over the study period, infection, testing and test positivity varied across age and sex subgroups. Observed incidence and testing were highest in females aged 20-29 years, whereas males had the highest standardized test positivity across all age groups. After estimating test-adjusted incidence for each age-sex subgroup, males in the 15-19-year and 30-39-year age groups had an increase in incidence of 60.2% and 9.7%, respectively, compared with the observed incidence. INTERPRETATION We found that estimated test-adjusted incidence was higher than observed incidence in males aged 15-19 years and 30-39 years. This suggests that infections in males are likely being missed owing to differential testing, and this may be contributing to the persistent increase in reported cases in Canada. Public health programming that targets males, especially in high-risk settings and communities, and use of innovative partner notification methods could be critical to curbing overall rates of chlamydia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lindsay Obress
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - Olaf Berke
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - David N Fisman
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - Shilpa Raju
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - Ashleigh R Tuite
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - Monali Varia
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont
| | - Amy L Greer
- Department of Population Medicine (Obress, Berke, Greer), University of Guelph, Guelph, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Fisman, Tuite, Greer), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Peel Public Health (Raju, Varia), Mississauga, Ont.
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Drews SJ, O’Brien SF. Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic and How Blood Operators Can Prepare for the Next Pandemic. Viruses 2022; 14:2126. [PMID: 36298680 PMCID: PMC9608827 DOI: 10.3390/v14102126] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2022] [Revised: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 09/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Humans interact with virus-infected animal hosts, travel globally, and maintain social networks that allow for novel viruses to emerge and develop pandemic potential. There are key lessons-learned from the coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that blood operators can apply to the next pandemic. Warning signals to the COVID-19 pandemic included outbreaks of Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus-1 (SARS-CoV-1) and Middle East respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in the prior two decades. It will be critical to quickly determine whether there is a risk of blood-borne transmission of a new pandemic virus. Prior to the next pandemic blood operators should be prepared for changes in activities, policies, and procedures at all levels of the organization. Blood operators can utilize "Plan-Do-Study-Act" cycles spanning from: vigilance for emerging viruses, surveillance activities and studies, operational continuity, donor engagement and trust, and laboratory testing if required. Occupational health and donor safety issues will be key areas of focus even if the next pandemic virus is not transfusion transmitted. Blood operators may also be requested to engage in new activities such as the development of therapeutics or supporting public health surveillance activities. Activities such as scenario development, tabletop exercises, and drills will allow blood operators to prepare for the unknowns of the next pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven J. Drews
- Canadian Blood Services, Microbiology, Donation and Policy Studies, Canadian Blood Services, Edmonton, AB T6G 2R8, Canada
- Division of Applied and Diagnostic Microbiology, Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2R3, Canada
| | - Sheila F. O’Brien
- Epidemiology and Surveillance, Donation Policy and Studies, Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, ON K1G 4J5, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5, Canada
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10
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Struck NS, Lorenz E, Deschermeier C, Eibach D, Kettenbeil J, Loag W, Brieger SA, Ginsbach AM, Obirikorang C, Maiga-Ascofare O, Sarkodie YA, Boham EEA, Adu EA, Asare G, Amoako-Adusei A, Yawson A, Boakye AO, Deke J, Almoustapha NS, Adu-Amoah L, Duah IK, Ouedraogo TA, Boudo V, Rushton B, Ehmen C, Fusco D, Gunga L, Benke D, Höppner Y, Rasolojaona ZT, Rasamoelina T, Rakotoarivelo RA, Rakotozandrindrainy R, Coulibaly B, Sié A, Awuah AAA, Amuasi JH, Souares A, May J. High seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Burkina-Faso, Ghana and Madagascar in 2021: a population-based study. BMC Public Health 2022; 22:1676. [PMID: 36064368 PMCID: PMC9441841 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-13918-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2022] [Accepted: 07/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The current COVID-19 pandemic affects the entire world population and has serious health, economic and social consequences. Assessing the prevalence of COVID-19 through population-based serological surveys is essential to monitor the progression of the epidemic, especially in African countries where the extent of SARS-CoV-2 spread remains unclear. METHODS A two-stage cluster population-based SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence survey was conducted in Bobo-Dioulasso and in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, Fianarantsoa, Madagascar and Kumasi, Ghana between February and June 2021. IgG seropositivity was determined in 2,163 households with a specificity improved SARS-CoV-2 Enzyme-linked Immunosorbent Assay. Population seroprevalence was evaluated using a Bayesian logistic regression model that accounted for test performance and age, sex and neighbourhood of the participants. RESULTS Seroprevalence adjusted for test performance and population characteristics were 55.7% [95% Credible Interval (CrI) 49·0; 62·8] in Bobo-Dioulasso, 37·4% [95% CrI 31·3; 43·5] in Ouagadougou, 41·5% [95% CrI 36·5; 47·2] in Fianarantsoa, and 41·2% [95% CrI 34·5; 49·0] in Kumasi. Within the study population, less than 6% of participants performed a test for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection since the onset of the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS High exposure to SARS-CoV-2 was found in the surveyed regions albeit below the herd immunity threshold and with a low rate of previous testing for acute infections. Despite the high seroprevalence in our study population, the duration of protection from naturally acquired immunity remains unclear and new virus variants continue to emerge. This highlights the importance of vaccine deployment and continued preventive measures to protect the population at risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicole S Struck
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany.
| | - Eva Lorenz
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
- Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University Medical Centre of the Johannes Gutenberg, University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
| | - Christina Deschermeier
- Diagnostics Development Laboratory, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Daniel Eibach
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jenny Kettenbeil
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Wibke Loag
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Steven A Brieger
- University of Sussex Business School, University of Sussex, Falmer, UK
| | - Anna M Ginsbach
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Christian Obirikorang
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Oumou Maiga-Ascofare
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Yaw Adu Sarkodie
- Department of Clinical Microbiology, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Eric Ebenezer Amprofi Boham
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Evans Asamoah Adu
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Gracelyn Asare
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Amos Amoako-Adusei
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Alfred Yawson
- Department of Community Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| | - Alexander Owusu Boakye
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - James Deke
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Clinical Microbiology, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Nana Safi Almoustapha
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Louis Adu-Amoah
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Ibrahim Kwaku Duah
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | | | - Valentin Boudo
- Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna, Nouna, Burkina Faso
| | - Ben Rushton
- Diagnostics Development Laboratory, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Christa Ehmen
- Diagnostics Development Laboratory, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Daniela Fusco
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Leonard Gunga
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Dominik Benke
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Yannick Höppner
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
| | | | | | | | | | - Boubacar Coulibaly
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
- Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna, Nouna, Burkina Faso
| | - Ali Sié
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
- Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna, Nouna, Burkina Faso
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Anthony Afum-Adjei Awuah
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - John H Amuasi
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Global and International Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Aurélia Souares
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jürgen May
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bernhard Nocht Insitute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hamburg-Borstel-Lübeck-Riems, Heidelberg, Germany
- Department of Tropical Medicine I, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany
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11
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Murison KR, Grima AA, Simmons AE, Tuite AR, Fisman DN. Severity of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Infection in Pregnancy in Ontario: A Matched Cohort Analysis. Clin Infect Dis 2022; 76:e200-e206. [PMID: 35792660 PMCID: PMC9907552 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac544] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2022] [Revised: 06/20/2022] [Accepted: 06/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pregnancy represents a physiological state associated with increased vulnerability to severe outcomes from infectious diseases, both for the pregnant person and developing infant. The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic may have important health consequences for pregnant individuals, who may also be more reluctant than nonpregnant people to accept vaccination. METHODS We sought to estimate the degree to which increased severity of SARS-CoV-2 outcomes can be attributed to pregnancy using a population-based SARS-CoV-2 case file from Ontario, Canada. Because of varying propensity to receive vaccination, and changes in dominant circulating viral strains over time, a time-matched cohort study was performed to evaluate the relative risk of severe illness in pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 compared to other SARS-CoV-2 infected women of childbearing age (10-49 years old). Risk of severe SARS-CoV-2 outcomes was evaluated in pregnant women and time-matched nonpregnant controls using multivariable conditional logistic regression. RESULTS Compared with the rest of the population, nonpregnant women of childbearing age had an elevated risk of infection (standardized morbidity ratio, 1.28), whereas risk of infection was reduced among pregnant women (standardized morbidity ratio, 0.43). After adjustment for confounding, pregnant women had a markedly elevated risk of hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio, 4.96; 95% confidence interval, 3.86-6.37) and intensive care unit admission (adjusted odds ratio, 6.58; 95% confidence interval, 3.29-13.18). The relative increase in hospitalization risk associated with pregnancy was greater in women without comorbidities than in those with comorbidities (P for heterogeneity, .004). CONCLUSIONS Given the safety of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in pregnancy, risk-benefit calculus strongly favors SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in pregnant women.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kiera R Murison
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Alicia A Grima
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Alison E Simmons
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ashleigh R Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada,Centre for Immunization Readiness, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - David N Fisman
- Correspondence: D. Fisman, Room 686, 155 College St, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5T 3M7 ()
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12
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Awoyemi T, Adenipekun A, Chima-Kalu R, Adedayo O, Obarombi J, Bello O, Bello O, Adamu D. COVID-19 in Africa: An Explorative Cross-Sectional Analysis of Twenty-One African Countries From January to June 2020. Cureus 2022; 14:e24767. [PMID: 35686270 PMCID: PMC9170426 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.24767] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Africa has surprisingly recorded better gains in containing the coronavirus spread than countries with the better health indices, such as the USA and UK. The low rate of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and death in Africa represents a puzzle with different biological and social theories such as low COVID-19 testing capacity, substantial young population, few old people, favourable climate, genetic admixture, infectious disease antibodies, and sound community health care systems proposed. We aimed to understand the COVID-19 preventive measures in a group of twenty-one systematically selected African countries that may explain the low burden of COVID-19 in Africa. METHODS Data (COVID-19, health, socioeconomic, and demographics indices) of twenty-one systemically selected African countries were retrieved from the various official country and multilateral organization sources such as Worldbank, and the United nations development Programme (UNDP). The extracted data were analyzed in three large groups: international travel restrictions, physical and social distancing, and movement restrictions (lockdown measures; curfews, partial or/and national lockdowns). Data cleaning, analysis (including Pearson correlation), and visualization were done with Microsoft Excel and Graph Pad Prism version 9 (https://www.graphpad.com/). RESULT Southern Africa had the greatest number of cases and deaths within the period studied compared to East Africa, which was the least COVID-19 affected sub-region (in terms of COVID-19 cases and deaths). We observed that coronary artery disease death rate was highly correlated with COVID-19 death density (number of COVID-19 deaths/total population) and similarly observed a correlation between the number of cases and deaths and number of in-country arrivals, pandemic preparedness (health security index), COVID-19 containment, and health index (not correlated with deaths). Finally, we noted that the most effective preventive strategy was the 'use of a face mask'. CONCLUSION Africa had fewer COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 related deaths. Our data shows that the rapidity and stringency of COVID-19 preventive measures and government policies, and the low level of tourism in Africa compared to other countries (i.e., low COVID-19 seeding rate) may have been contributory to these favorable statistics. We hope these findings impact how the preparedness for pandemics can be enhanced to decrease the burden of preventable deaths and morbidity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toluwalase Awoyemi
- Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, GBR
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Danladi Adamu
- Health Management and Informatics, University of Missouri, Columbia, USA
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13
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Fisman DN, Tuite AR. Age-Specific Changes in Virulence Associated with SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern. Clin Infect Dis 2022; 75:e69-e75. [PMID: 35234859 PMCID: PMC9047153 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac174] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Novel variants of concern (VOCs) have been associated with both increased infectivity and virulence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The virulence of SARS-CoV-2 is closely linked to age. Whether relative increases in virulence of novel VOCs are similar across the age spectrum or are limited to some age groups is unknown. Methods We created a retrospective cohort of people in Ontario, Canada, who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and were screened for VOCs (n = 259 984) between 7 February 2021 and 31 October 2021. Cases were classified as N501Y-positive VOC, probable Delta VOC, or VOC undetected. We constructed age-specific logistic regression models to evaluate associations between N501Y-postive or Delta VOC infections and infection severity using hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and death as outcome variables. Models were adjusted for sex, comorbidity, vaccination status, and temporal trends. Results Infection with either N501Y-positive or Delta VOCs was associated with significant elevations in risk of hospitalization, ICU admission, and death across age groups compared with infections where a VOC was not detected. The Delta VOC increased hospitalization risk in children aged <10 years by a factor of 2.5 (adjusted odds ratio; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 5.0) compared with non-VOCs. There was a significant inverse relationship between age and relative increase in risk of death with the Delta VOC, with younger age groups showing a greater relative increase in risk of death than older individuals. Conclusions SARS-CoV-2 VOCs appear to be associated with increased relative virulence of infection in all age groups, though low absolute numbers of outcomes in younger individuals make estimates in these groups imprecise.
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Affiliation(s)
- David N Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ashleigh R Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Centre for Immunization Readiness, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
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14
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Tuite AR, Fisman D, Abe KT, Rathod B, Pasculescu A, Colwill K, Gingras AC, Yi QL, O’Brien SF, Drews SJ. Estimating SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in Canadian Blood Donors, April 2020 to March 2021: Improving Accuracy with Multiple Assays. Microbiol Spectr 2022; 10:e0256321. [PMID: 35196819 PMCID: PMC8865569 DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.02563-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2021] [Accepted: 01/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/30/2023] Open
Abstract
We have previously used composite reference standards and latent class analysis (LCA) to evaluate the performance of laboratory assays in the presence of tarnished gold standards. Here, we apply these techniques to repeated, cross-sectional study of Canadian blood donors, whose sera underwent parallel testing with four separate SARS-CoV-2 antibody assays. We designed a repeated cross-sectional design with random cross-sectional sampling of all available retention samples (n = 1500/month) for a 12 -month period from April 2020 until March 2021. Each sample was evaluated for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies using four assays an Abbott Architect assay targeting the nucleocapsid antigen (Abbott-NP, Abbott, Chicago IL) and three in-house IgG ELISAs recognizing distinct recombinant viral antigens: full-length spike glycoprotein (Spike), spike glycoprotein receptor binding domain (RBD) and nucleocapsid (NP). We used two analytic approaches to estimate SAR-CoV-2 seroprevalence: a composite reference standard and LCA. Using LCA to estimate true seropositivity status based on the results of the four antibody tests, we estimated that seroprevalence increased from 0.8% (95% CI: 0.5-1.4%) in April 2020 to 6.3% (95% CI: 5.1-7.6%) in March 2021. Our study provides further support for the use of LCA in upcoming public health crises, epidemics, and pandemics when a gold standard assay may not be available or identifiable. IMPORTANCE Here, we describe an approach to estimating seroprevalence in a low prevalence setting when multiple assays are available and yet no known gold standard exists. Because serological studies identify cases through both diagnostic testing and surveillance, and otherwise silent, unrecognized infections, serological data can be used to estimate the true infection fatality ratio of a disease. However, seroprevalence studies rely on assays with imperfect sensitivity and specificity. Seroreversion (loss of antibody response) also occurs over time, and with the advent of vaccination, distinction of antibody response resulting from vaccination as opposed to antibody response due to infection has posed an additional challenge. Our approach indicates that seroprevalence on Canadian blood donors by the end of March 2021was less than 10%. Our study supports the use of latent class analysis in upcoming public health crises, epidemics, and pandemics when a gold standard assay may not be available or identifiable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ashleigh R. Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Centre for Immunization Readiness, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - David Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Kento T. Abe
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Bhavisha Rathod
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Adrian Pasculescu
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Karen Colwill
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Anne-Claude Gingras
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Qi-Long Yi
- Epidemiology and Surveillance, Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sheila F. O’Brien
- Epidemiology and Surveillance, Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Steven J. Drews
- Canadian Blood Services, Microbiology, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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15
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Drews SJ, Hu Q, Samson R, Abe KT, Rathod B, Colwill K, Gingras AC, Yi QL, O’Brien SF. SARS-CoV-2 Virus-Like Particle Neutralizing Capacity in Blood Donors Depends on Serological Profile and Donor-Declared SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination History. Microbiol Spectr 2022; 10:e0226221. [PMID: 35171006 PMCID: PMC8849073 DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.02262-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2021] [Accepted: 01/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
This study attempted to understand the levels of neutralizing titers and the breadth of antibody protection against wild-type and variant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Canadian blood donors during the first 3 months of 2021. During this period, it is unlikely that many of the blood donors had received a second dose, since vaccine rollout had not yet ramped up, and less than 2% of the Canadian population had received a second dose of vaccine. A repeated cross-sectional design was used. A random cross-sectional sampling of all available Canadian Blood Services retention samples (n = 1,500/month) was drawn monthly for January, February, and March 2021. A tiered testing approach analyzed 4,500 Canadian blood donor specimens for potential evidence of a signal for anti-spike (anti-S), anti-receptor-binding domain (anti-RBD), and anti-nucleocapsid protein (anti-N). Specimens were stratified based on donor-declared vaccination history and then stratified on the presence or absence of anti-N as follows: (i) "vaccinated plus anti-N" (n = 5), (ii) "vaccinated and no anti-N" (n = 20), (iii) "unvaccinated plus anti-N" (n = 20), and (iv) "unvaccinated and no anti-N" (n = 20). Randomized specimens were then characterized for neutralizing capacity against wild-type as well as SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) (Alpha [B.1.1.7], Beta [B.1.351], Gamma [P.1], and Delta [B.1.617.2]) using S-pseudotyped virus-like particle (VLP) neutralization assays. There was no neutralizing capacity against wild-type and VOC VLPs within the "no vaccine and no anti-N" group. Neutralization of Beta VLPs was less than wild-type VLPs within "vaccinated plus anti-N," "vaccinated and no anti-N", and "unvaccinated plus anti-N" groups. IMPORTANCE In the first 3 months of 2021 as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination was in the initial stages of a mass rollout, Canadian blood donors had various levels of humoral protection against wild-type and variant of concern (VOC) SARS-CoV-2. Very few Canadians would have received a second dose of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. In this study, we identified elevated levels of neutralizing capacity, albeit with reduced neutralization capacity against one or more SARS-CoV-2 strains (wild type and VOCs) in vaccinated blood donors. This broad neutralizing response we present regardless of evidence of natural SARS-CoV-2 infection. Neutralizing capacity against wild type and VOCs varied significantly within the unvaccinated group, with one subset of unvaccinated plasma specimens (unvaccinated and no anti-N) having no measurable wild type- nor variant-neutralizing capacity. The study is important because it indicates that vaccination can be associated with a broad neutralizing antibody capacity of donor plasma against SARS-CoV-2 VOCs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven J. Drews
- Department of Microbiology, Canadian Blood Services, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Queenie Hu
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Reuben Samson
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Kento T. Abe
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Bhavisha Rathod
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Karen Colwill
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Anne-Claude Gingras
- Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute at Mt. Sinai Hospital, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Qi-Long Yi
- Epidemiology and Surveillance, Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sheila F. O’Brien
- Epidemiology and Surveillance, Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
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Case KR, Clendennen SL, Shah J, Tsevat J, Harrell MB. Changes in marijuana and nicotine vaping perceptions and use behaviors among young adults since the COVID-19 pandemic: A qualitative study. Addict Behav Rep 2022; 15:100408. [PMID: 35075434 PMCID: PMC8769660 DOI: 10.1016/j.abrep.2022.100408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2021] [Revised: 12/17/2021] [Accepted: 01/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Research is lacking on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on marijuana vaping behaviors; a notable limitation as marijuana vaping has been previously associated with respiratory issues among young people. This qualitative study explored how the COVID-19 pandemic influenced vaping perceptions and behaviors among young adults (18 to 25-year-olds). METHODS Qualitative interviews were conducted with 50 regular marijuana vapers. Individuals were eligible if they vaped marijuana at least 3 days per week (exclusively or dual use with nicotine). Interview transcripts were analyzed using deductive coding processes to identify themes. Differences in themes by gender and user status (regular marijuana versus regular dual vapers) were explored. RESULTS While many participants indicated that the pandemic negatively impacted their attitudes about vaping, participants also noted that their negative attitudes did not translate into reductions in use. Overall, 54% of participants reported increasing vaping during COVID-19. For both regular dual vapers and marijuana vapers, boredom was a prominent theme for increases in vaping. Lack of accessibility of marijuana was cited as a reason for decreasing marijuana among regular marijuana vapers but not for regular dual vapers. Males reported more unchanged attitudes about vaping and more males than females reported still sharing their devices. CONCLUSIONS More than half of participants reported increasing their vaping behaviors since the COVID-19 pandemic despite concerns about the potential for vaping to adversely impact lung and immune health. As the U.S. adapts to the COVID-19 pandemic, interventions should address factors that may contribute to increases in use behaviors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen R. Case
- Center for Research to Advance Community Health (ReACH), Joe R. and Teresa Lozano Long School of Medicine, The University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7411 John Smith Drive, Suite 1050, San Antonio, TX 78229, United States,Department of Medicine, Joe R. and Teresa Lozano Long School of Medicine, The University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7703 Floyd Curl Drive, San Antonio, TX 78229, United States,Corresponding author at: 7411 John Smith Drive, Suite 1050, San Antonio, TX 78229, United States.
| | - Stephanie L. Clendennen
- UTHealth, UTHealth Science Center at Houston, School of Public Health, Austin Campus, 1616 Guadalupe Street, Suite 6.300, Austin, TX 78701, United States
| | - Jay Shah
- UTHealth, UTHealth Science Center at Houston, School of Public Health, Austin Campus, 1616 Guadalupe Street, Suite 6.300, Austin, TX 78701, United States
| | - Joel Tsevat
- Center for Research to Advance Community Health (ReACH), Joe R. and Teresa Lozano Long School of Medicine, The University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7411 John Smith Drive, Suite 1050, San Antonio, TX 78229, United States,Department of Medicine, Joe R. and Teresa Lozano Long School of Medicine, The University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7703 Floyd Curl Drive, San Antonio, TX 78229, United States
| | - Melissa B. Harrell
- UTHealth, UTHealth Science Center at Houston, School of Public Health, Austin Campus, 1616 Guadalupe Street, Suite 6.300, Austin, TX 78701, United States
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Fisman DN, Tuite AR. Evaluation of the relative virulence of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: a retrospective cohort study in Ontario, Canada. CMAJ 2021; 193:E1619-E1625. [PMID: 34610919 PMCID: PMC8562985 DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248] [Citation(s) in RCA: 177] [Impact Index Per Article: 44.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Between February and June 2021, the initial wild-type strains of SARS-CoV-2 were supplanted in Ontario, Canada, by new variants of concern (VOCs), first those with the N501Y mutation (i.e., Alpha/B1.1.17, Beta/B.1.351 and Gamma/P.1 variants) and then the Delta/B.1.617 variant. The increased transmissibility of these VOCs has been documented, but knowledge about their virulence is limited. We used Ontario's COVID-19 case data to evaluate the virulence of these VOCs compared with non-VOC SARS-CoV-2 strains, as measured by risk of hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and death. METHODS We created a retrospective cohort of people in Ontario who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and were screened for VOCs, with dates of test report between Feb. 7 and June 27, 2021. We constructed mixed-effect logistic regression models with hospitalization, ICU admission and death as outcome variables. We adjusted models for age, sex, time, vaccination status, comorbidities and pregnancy status. We included health units as random intercepts. RESULTS Our cohort included 212 326 people. Compared with non-VOC SARS-CoV-2 strains, the adjusted elevation in risk associated with N501Y-positive variants was 52% (95% confidence interval [CI] 42%-63%) for hospitalization, 89% (95% CI 67%-117%) for ICU admission and 51% (95% CI 30%-78%) for death. Increased risk with the Delta variant was more pronounced at 108% (95% CI 78%-140%) for hospitalization, 235% (95% CI 160%-331%) for ICU admission and 133% (95% CI 54%-231%) for death. INTERPRETATION The increasing virulence of SARS-CoV-2 VOCs will lead to a considerably larger, and more deadly, pandemic than would have occurred in the absence of the emergence of VOCs.
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Affiliation(s)
- David N Fisman
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
| | - Ashleigh R Tuite
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
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Asymptomatic infection is the pandemic's dark matter. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2021; 118:2114054118. [PMID: 34526404 PMCID: PMC8463787 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2114054118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
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