Risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease using a case identification pathway in primary care: a cross-sectional study

Deploying a metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis consensus care pathway: findings from an educational pilot in three health systems

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly referred to as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, impacts 30% of the global population. This educational pilot focused on the role primary care providers may play in the delivery of guidelines-based metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) care.

OBJECTIVE

Accelerate the application of guidelines-based MASH care pathways to clinical workflows.

METHODS

A panel of six hepatologists was convened in 2021 to develop the care pathway and the subsequent pilot occurred between 2022 - 2023. The pilot was conducted across three U.S. health systems: Boston Medical Center (Boston), Methodist Health System (Dallas), and Weill Cornell Medicine (New York). Clinicians were educated on the care pathway and completed baseline/follow-up assessments. 19 primary care clinicians participated in the educational pilot baseline assessment, nine primary care clinicians completed the two-month assessment, and 15 primary care clinicians completed the four-month assessment. The primary endpoint was to assess clinician-reported adherence to and satisfaction with the care pathway. The pilot was deemed exempt by the Western Consensus Group Institutional Review Board.

RESULTS

At baseline, 38.10% (n = 8) of respondents felt they had received sufficient training on when to refer a patient suspected of metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease to hepatology, and 42.86% (n = 9) had not referred any patients suspected of metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease to hepatology within a month. At four months post-intervention, 79% (n = 15) of respondents agreed or strongly agreed they received sufficient training on when to refer a patient suspected of metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease to hepatology, and there was a 25.7% increase in self-reported adherence to the institution's referral guidelines. Barriers to care pathway adherence included burden of manually calculating fibrosis-4 scores and difficulty ordering non-invasive diagnostics.

CONCLUSIONS

With therapeutics anticipated to enter the market this year, health systems leadership must consider opportunities to streamline the identification, referral, and management of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis. Electronic integration of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis care pathways may address implementation challenges.

Chronic liver disease after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

BACKGROUND AIMS

There are few descriptions of the epidemiology of chronic liver disease (CLD) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT). Among those transplanted before 2000, viral hepatitis was the dominant cause of CLD. Recently, the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD, previously known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease) is increasing in the general population. In addition, survivors of allo-HCT are known to be at increased risk of metabolic syndrome. We set out to describe the epidemiology of CLD in a modern cohort of allo-HCT recipients. We hypothesized that MASLD would be the most common cause of CLD in the cohort.

METHODS

We undertook a retrospective cohort and nested case-control study of 2-year survivors of allo-HCT in Alberta transplanted between 2008 and 2018.

RESULTS

Among 392 2-year survivors of allo-HCT between 2008 and 2018, the prevalence of CLD was 41.8% and MASLD was identified in 56% of those with CLD, followed by iron overload in 47% of those with CLD. The prevalence of MASLD among the entire cohort was 46%. Although most patients developed CLD before 2 years post-transplant, there was a 13% cumulative incidence of new CLD after 2 years posttransplant. Grade 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease and/or moderate-to-severe chronic graft-versus-host disease and pretransplant CLD were strongly associated with CLD. In the case-control study examining the association between cardiovascular risk factors and CLD, type 2 diabetes was associated with CLD. Cirrhosis developed in 1.5% of survivors, and MASLD was an underlying etiology in one half of these cases. There was no difference in overall survival and non-relapse mortality between those who did and did not develop CLD.

CONCLUSIONS

MASLD is the main cause of CLD in recent long-term survivors of allo-HCT and may be associated with post-transplant corticosteroid exposure and type 2 diabetes. We note a shift in the underlying etiology of CLD post-HCT: previous studies describe viral hepatitis as the most common cause of CLD. The high prevalence of MASLD in allo-HCT recipients has important implications for survivorship care.

Projected Healthcare System Cost Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Canada

Background and Aims

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. The current and projected cost of treating individuals with MASLD in Canada remains unknown. Our objective was to calculate the projected liver-specific and total health-care costs for people living with MASLD in Canada from 2020 to 2050.

Methods

The health-care usage of a cohort of patients diagnosed with MASLD in Calgary, Alberta was calculated using administrative data. Liver-specific encounters were identified and the average costs per year per patient were calculated. Projected costs were calculated by multiplying the average cost per patient within each health state by the projected prevalence of each health state.

Results

There were 6358 patients in the cohort. The annual average liver-specific cost per patient was $7.02 for F0/F1, $35.30 for F2, $60.46 for F3, and $72.55 for F4. The projected Canada-wide liver-specific cost was $85.5 million in 2020 and was expected to increase by $51 million by 2050. The average annual total health-care cost per patient was $397.90 for F0/F1, $781.53 for F2, $2881.84 for F3, and $1598.82 for F4. Thus, the projected Canada-wide total health-care cost was $3.76 billion in 2020 and was expected to increase by almost $2 billion by 2050.

Conclusion

These estimates underscore the need for a MASLD framework that focuses on both prevention and innovative care models to change the predicted trajectory of health-care costs.

Pragmatic strategies to address health disparities along the continuum of care in chronic liver disease

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities exist in the prevalence and natural history of chronic liver disease, access to care, and clinical outcomes. Solutions to improve health equity range widely, from digital health tools to policy changes. The current review outlines the disparities along the chronic liver disease health care continuum from screening and diagnosis to the management of cirrhosis and considerations of pre-liver and post-liver transplantation. Using a health equity research and implementation science framework, we offer pragmatic strategies to address barriers to implementing high-quality equitable care for patients with chronic liver disease.

Evolutive Models, Algorithms and Predictive Parameters for the Progression of Hepatic Steatosis

The utilization of evolutive models and algorithms for predicting the evolution of hepatic steatosis holds immense potential benefits. These computational approaches enable the analysis of complex datasets, capturing temporal dynamics and providing personalized prognostic insights. By optimizing intervention planning and identifying critical transition points, they promise to revolutionize our approach to understanding and managing hepatic steatosis progression, ultimately leading to enhanced patient care and outcomes in clinical settings. This paradigm shift towards a more dynamic, personalized, and comprehensive approach to hepatic steatosis progression signifies a significant advancement in healthcare. The application of evolutive models and algorithms allows for a nuanced characterization of disease trajectories, facilitating tailored interventions and optimizing clinical decision-making. Furthermore, these computational tools offer a framework for integrating diverse data sources, creating a more holistic understanding of hepatic steatosis progression. In summary, the potential benefits encompass the ability to analyze complex datasets, capture temporal dynamics, provide personalized prognostic insights, optimize intervention planning, identify critical transition points, and integrate diverse data sources. The application of evolutive models and algorithms has the potential to revolutionize our understanding and management of hepatic steatosis, ultimately leading to improved patient outcomes in clinical settings.

Evaluating the coding accuracy of type 2 diabetes mellitus among patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) describes a spectrum of chronic fattening of liver that can lead to fibrosis and cirrhosis. Diabetes has been identified as a major comorbidity that contributes to NAFLD progression. Health systems around the world make use of administrative data to conduct population-based prevalence studies. To that end, we sought to assess the accuracy of diabetes International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coding in administrative databases among a cohort of confirmed NAFLD patients in Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

METHODS

The Calgary NAFLD Pathway Database was linked to the following databases: Physician Claims, Discharge Abstract Database, National Ambulatory Care Reporting System, Pharmaceutical Information Network database, Laboratory, and Electronic Medical Records. Hemoglobin A1c and diabetes medication details were used to classify diabetes groups into absent, prediabetes, meeting glycemic targets, and not meeting glycemic targets. The performance of ICD codes among these groups was compared to this standard. Within each group, the total numbers of true positives, false positives, false negatives, and true negatives were calculated. Descriptive statistics and bivariate analysis were conducted on identified covariates, including demographics and types of interacted physicians.

RESULTS

A total of 12,012 NAFLD patients were registered through the Calgary NAFLD Pathway Database and 100% were successfully linked to the administrative databases. Overall, diabetes coding showed a sensitivity of 0.81 and a positive predictive value of 0.87. False negative rates in the absent and not meeting glycemic control groups were 4.5% and 6.4%, respectively, whereas the meeting glycemic control group had a 42.2% coding error. Visits to primary and outpatient services were associated with most encounters.

CONCLUSION

Diabetes ICD coding in administrative databases can accurately detect true diabetic cases. However, patients with diabetes who meets glycemic control targets are less likely to be coded in administrative databases. A detailed understanding of the clinical context will require additional data linkage from primary care settings.

Algorithms for Early Detection of Silent Liver Fibrosis in the Primary Care Setting

More than one-third of the adult world population has steatotic liver disease (SLD), with a few percent of individuals developing cirrhosis after decades of silent liver fibrosis accumulation. Lack of systematic early detection causes most patients to be diagnosed late, after decompensation, when treatment has limited effect and survival is poor. Unfortunately, no isolated screening test in primary care can sufficiently predict advanced fibrosis from SLD. Recent efforts, therefore, combine several parameters into screening algorithms, to increase diagnostic accuracy. Besides patient selection, for example, by specific characteristics, algorithms include nonpatented or patented blood tests and liver stiffness measurements using elastography-based techniques. Algorithms can be composed as a set of sequential tests, as recommended by most guidelines on primary care pathways. Future use of algorithms that are easy to interpret, cheap, and semiautomatic will improve the management of patients with SLD, to the benefit of global health care systems.

Comparison of different definitions of metabolic syndrome and their associations with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a retrospective study

Background

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is considered an important risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to measure the prevalence of MetS based on six different MetS definitions and compare the performance of various definitions for identifying diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia among NAFLD patients.

Methods

The definitions compared were those developed by the World Health Organization (WHO), National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III), International Diabetes Federation (IDF), American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE), American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (AHA/NHLBI), and Interim Joint Statement "harmonized" criteria. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for the six MetS definitions with NAFLD diagnosis. The diagnosis for NAFLD was established based on liver imaging or biopsy compatible with fatty liver disease.

Results

A total of 500 NAFLD patients were analyzed. The mean age was 61.2 (SD 13.2) years, and BMI was 32.7 (SD 8.0) kg/m2. The most prevalent MetS component was dyslipidemia (83%), followed by hypertension (60%), obesity (61%), and diabetes (57%). The prevalence of MetS according to the WHO, NCEP/ATP-III, IDF, AACE, AHA/NHLBI, and harmonized criteria was 69%, 59%, 54%, 64%, 78%, and 79%, respectively. The highest area under the ROC curve for diabetes and hypertension was with the WHO definition (0.7405) and (0.8120), respectively.

Conclusions

The prevalence of MetS in NAFLD patients varies according to the definitions of MetS employed. The modified WHO definition appeared to be most useful for the screening of MetS in NAFLD patients.

Glycated Hemoglobin Is Suboptimal for the Screening of Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes in Adults With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

OBJECTIVES

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but T2D screening tests are not well validated in this population. In this study, we assessed performance of glycated hemoglobin (A1C) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in glucose dysmetabolism screening and aimed to optimize detection thresholds for individuals with NAFLD.

METHODS

We retrospectively included oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) from consecutive patients undergoing a specialized clinic for NAFLD, if A1C and/or fasting glucose was available within 3 months of OGTT. We compared performances of A1C and fasting glucose with the "gold standard" of OGTT using thresholds from the 2018 Diabetes Canada guidelines. A1C and FPG thresholds were optimized for detection of glucose dysmetabolism using receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

We included 63 OGTTs from individuals with NAFLD (52% female, age 48 [interquartile range 35 to 63] years, body mass index 34 [interquartile range 29 to 40] kg/m2). A1C had 16% (95% confidence interval [CI] 6% to 38%) sensitivity (Se) and 97% (95% CI 85% to 100%) specificity (Sp) for T2D detection, and 45% (95% CI 30% to 62%) Se and 100% (95% CI 83% to 100%) Sp for abnormal blood glucose detection. FPG had 67% (95% CI 45% to 83%) Se and 100% (95% CI 92% to 100%) Sp for T2D detection, and 74% (95% CI 59% to 85%) Se and 92% (95% CI 74% to 99%) Sp for abnormal blood glucose detection. Optimal A1C and FPG thresholds were 5.6% and 6.3 mmol/L for T2D detection, which are lower than current recommendations.

CONCLUSIONS

A1C is less sensitive than FPG and is suboptimal for T2D detection, suggesting that OGTT may be obtained if A1C is ≥5.6% or FPG is ≥6.3 mmol/L in individuals with NAFLD, to avoid underdiagnosis and treatment inertia.

Comparison of Pathway Referrals for Liver Fibrosis Risk Stratification Performed in Diabetology and Nutrition Clinics

Purpose

A systematic screening for the presence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related advanced fibrosis is currently recommended in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity. However, real-world data of such liver fibrosis risk stratification pathway from diabetology and nutrition clinics towards hepatology clinics are scarce. Therefore, we compared data from two pathways with or without transient elastography (TE) performed in diabetology and nutrition clinics.

Patients and Methods

This is a retrospective study comparing the proportion of patients with intermediate/high risk of advanced fibrosis (AF) as defined by a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥8kPa, among patients referred in hepatology from two diabetology-nutrition departments at Lyon University Hospital, France between November 1st 2018 to December 31st 2019.

Results

Among the two diabetology and nutrition departments using TE or not, 27.5% (62/225) versus 44.2% (126/285) were referred to hepatology, respectively. The pathway using TE in diabetology and nutrition referred to hepatology a higher proportion of patients with intermediate/high risk of AF compared to the pathway without TE: 77.4% versus 30.9%, p<0.001. In the pathway with TE, the odds of patients with intermediate/high risk of AF referred to hepatology was significantly higher: OR: 7.7, 95% CI: 3.6-16.7, p<0.001 after adjustment for age, sex and presence of obesity and T2D compared to the pathway without TE in diabetology and nutrition clinics. However, among the patients not referred, 29.4% had an intermediate/high risk of AF.

Conclusion

A pathway-referral using TE performed in diabetology and nutrition clinics, significantly improves the liver fibrosis risk stratification and avoids over-referral. However, collaboration between diabetologist, nutritionists and hepatologists is needed to avoid under-referral.

How to Identify Advanced Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects 30 to 40% of the population globally and is increasingly considered the most common liver disease. Patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular diseases are at especially increased risk for NAFLD. Although most patients with NAFLD do not have progressive liver disease, some patients progress to cirrhosis, liver cancer, and liver mortality. Given the sheer number of patients with NAFLD, the burden of disease is enormous. Despite this large and increasing burden, identification of NAFLD patients at risk for progressive liver disease in the primary care and diabetology practice settings remains highly suboptimal. In this review, our aim is to summarize a stepwise approach to risk stratify patients with NAFLD which should help practitioners in their management of patients with NAFLD.

Time to focus on chronic liver diseases in the community: A review of primary care hepatology tools, pathways of care and reimbursement mechanisms

Addressing primary care's low confidence in detecting and managing chronic liver disease is becoming increasingly important owing to the escalating prevalence of its common lifestyle-related metabolic risk factors - obesity, physical inactivity, smoking and alcohol consumption. Whilst liver blood testing is frequently carried out in the management of long-term conditions, its interpretation is not typically focused on specific liver disease risk. Educational steps for primary care should outline how liver fibrosis is the flag of pathological concern, encourage use of pragmatic algorithms such as fibrosis-4 index to differentiate between those requiring referral for further fibrosis risk assessment and those who can be managed in the community, and emphasise that isolated minor liver function test abnormalities are unreliable for estimating the risk of fibrosis progression. Measures to increase primary care's interest and engagement should make use of existing frameworks for the management of long-term conditions, so that liver disease is considered alongside other metabolic disorders, including type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease etc. Selling points when considering the required investment in developing local fibrosis assessment pathways include reduced repeat testing of minor abnormalities and improved secondary care referrals, plus improvements in the patient's journey through long-term multimorbidity care. A focus on improving chronic liver disease is likely to have wide-ranging benefits across co-existing metabolic disorders, particularly when pathways are aligned with community lifestyle support services. The important message for primary care is to increase the value of existing monitoring rather than to generate more work.

Ultrasound-Based Hepatic Elastography in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Focus on Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent liver disease and is the hepatic expression of metabolic syndrome. The development of non-invasive methods for the diagnosis of hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis in high-risk patients, especially those with type 2 diabetes mellitus, is highly needed to replace the invasive method of liver biopsy. Elastographic methods can bring significant added value to screening and diagnostic procedures for NAFLD in patients with diabetes, thus contributing to improved NAFLD management. Pharmacological development and forthcoming therapeutic measures that address NAFLD should also be based on new, non-invasive, and reliable tools that assess NAFLD in at-risk patients and be able to properly guide treatment in individuals with both diabetes and NAFLD. This is the first review aiming to outline and discuss recent studies on ultrasound-based hepatic elastography, focusing on NAFLD assessment in patients with diabetes.

Community pathways for the early detection and risk stratification of chronic liver disease: a narrative systematic review

Patients with chronic liver disease are often diagnosed during an index presentation to hospital with decompensated cirrhosis or liver-related events, and these presentations are associated with high mortality. However, there is often a long asymptomatic phase, in which there is an opportunity for earlier diagnosis and interventions to prevent progression to advanced disease. Therefore, strategies for early diagnosis and interventions (including behavioural changes and pharmacological treatments) that prevent patients progressing to cirrhosis and its associated complications probably have substantial benefits for patients and health-care services. Many community pathways have been generated. Some pathways focus on abnormal liver function tests as a starting point to diagnose liver disease. Other pathways target groups at greater risk of chronic liver disease-particularly people with harmful alcohol consumption, type 2 diabetes, and obesity. This systematic review summarises the existing strategies available for the early detection or risk stratification of liver disease, focusing primarily on alcohol-related liver disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Conducting randomised clinical trials that compare different strategies will be essential to elucidate which pathways are acceptable to patients, feasible, provide high diagnostic accuracy for the detection of liver disease, improve liver-related outcomes, and are most cost-effective at the population level.

American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Primary Care and Endocrinology Clinical Settings: Co-Sponsored by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD)

OBJECTIVE

To provide evidence-based recommendations regarding the diagnosis and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) to endocrinologists, primary care clinicians, health care professionals, and other stakeholders.

METHODS

The American Association of Clinical Endocrinology conducted literature searches for relevant articles published from January 1, 2010, to November 15, 2021. A task force of medical experts developed evidence-based guideline recommendations based on a review of clinical evidence, expertise, and informal consensus, according to established American Association of Clinical Endocrinology protocol for guideline development.

RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY

This guideline includes 34 evidence-based clinical practice recommendations for the diagnosis and management of persons with NAFLD and/or NASH and contains 385 citations that inform the evidence base.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD is a major public health problem that will only worsen in the future, as it is closely linked to the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Given this link, endocrinologists and primary care physicians are in an ideal position to identify persons at risk on to prevent the development of cirrhosis and comorbidities. While no U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved medications to treat NAFLD are currently available, management can include lifestyle changes that promote an energy deficit leading to weight loss; consideration of weight loss medications, particularly glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists; and bariatric surgery, for persons who have obesity, as well as some diabetes medications, such as pioglitazone and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, for those with type 2 diabetes mellitus and NASH. Management should also promote cardiometabolic health and reduce the increased cardiovascular risk associated with this complex disease.

Two-Tier Care Pathways for Liver Fibrosis Associated to Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in HIV Mono-Infected Patients

(1) Background: Developing strategies to identify significant liver fibrosis in people with HIV (PWH) is crucial to prevent complications of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aim to investigate if five simple serum biomarkers applied to PWH can optimize a care pathway to identify significant liver fibrosis defined by transient elastography (TE). (2) Methods: A two-tier fibrosis pathway was applied to three prospective cohorts of PWH undergoing TE with CAP. NAFLD was diagnosed as a controlled attenuation parameter ≥ 248 dB/m. Five simple fibrosis biomarkers (FIB-4 < 1.3, BARD score 0–1, NAFLD fibrosis score < −1.455, AST:ALT ratio < 0.8 and APRI < 0.5) were applied as first-tiers to exclude significant liver fibrosis. We determined the decrease in referral for TE that would have occurred based on biomarker assessment and the discordance between low simple fibrosis biomarkers and high TE (≥7.1 kPa), indicating significant liver fibrosis. (3) Results: Of the 1749 consecutive PWH, 15.1% had significant liver fibrosis by TE and 39.1% had NAFLD. The application of the fibrosis biomarkers as first tiers would have resulted in a decrease in TE referrals between 24.9% (BARD score) and 86.3% (APRI). The lowest discordance rate was with NAFLD fibrosis score (8.5%). After adjustments, BMI (odds ratio (OR) 1.12, 95% CI: 1.08–1.17) and triglycerides (OR 1.26, 95% CI: 1.11–1.44) were independent predictors of discordance for APRI < 0.5 and TE ≥ 7.1. The performance of the two-tier pathways was similar in PWH with and without NAFLD. (4) Conclusions: Implementing a two-tier pathway could save a substantial proportion up of TE examinations, reducing costs and helping resource optimization in HIV care. Patients with metabolic risk factors for NAFLD and low fibrosis biomarker may still be considered for TE referral.

Current considerations for clinical management and care of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: Insights from the 1st International Workshop of the Canadian NASH Network (CanNASH)

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects approximately 8 million Canadians. NAFLD refers to a disease spectrum ranging from bland steatosis to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Nearly 25% of patients with NAFLD develop NASH, which can progress to liver cirrhosis and related end-stage complications. Type 2 diabetes and obesity represent the main risk factors for the disease. The Canadian NASH Network is a national collaborative organization of health care professionals and researchers with a primary interest in enhancing understanding, care, education, and research around NAFLD, with a vision of best practices for this disease state. At the 1st International Workshop of the CanNASH network in April 2021, a joint event with the single topic conference of the Canadian Association for the Study of the Liver (CASL), clinicians, epidemiologists, basic scientists, and community members came together to share their work under the theme of NASH. This symposium also marked the initiation of collaborations between Canadian and other key opinion leaders in the field representative of international liver associations. The main objective is to develop a policy framework that outlines specific targets, suggested activities, and evidence-based best practices to guide provincial, territorial, and federal organizations in developing multidisciplinary models of care and strategies to address this epidemic.

Advancing the global public health agenda for NAFLD: a consensus statement

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a potentially serious liver disease that affects approximately one-quarter of the global adult population, causing a substantial burden of ill health with wide-ranging social and economic implications. It is a multisystem disease and is considered the hepatic component of metabolic syndrome. Unlike other highly prevalent conditions, NAFLD has received little attention from the global public health community. Health system and public health responses to NAFLD have been weak and fragmented, and, despite its pervasiveness, NAFLD is largely unknown outside hepatology and gastroenterology. There is only a nascent global public health movement addressing NAFLD, and the disease is absent from nearly all national and international strategies and policies for non-communicable diseases, including obesity. In this global Delphi study, a multidisciplinary group of experts developed consensus statements and recommendations, which a larger group of collaborators reviewed over three rounds until consensus was achieved. The resulting consensus statements and recommendations address a broad range of topics - from epidemiology, awareness, care and treatment to public health policies and leadership - that have general relevance for policy-makers, health-care practitioners, civil society groups, research institutions and affected populations. These recommendations should provide a strong foundation for a comprehensive public health response to NAFLD.

Deep significance clustering: a novel approach for identifying risk-stratified and predictive patient subgroups

OBJECTIVE

Deep significance clustering (DICE) is a self-supervised learning framework. DICE identifies clinically similar and risk-stratified subgroups that neither unsupervised clustering algorithms nor supervised risk prediction algorithms alone are guaranteed to generate.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Enabled by an optimization process that enforces statistical significance between the outcome and subgroup membership, DICE jointly trains 3 components, representation learning, clustering, and outcome prediction while providing interpretability to the deep representations. DICE also allows unseen patients to be predicted into trained subgroups for population-level risk stratification. We evaluated DICE using electronic health record datasets derived from 2 urban hospitals. Outcomes and patient cohorts used include discharge disposition to home among heart failure (HF) patients and acute kidney injury among COVID-19 (Cov-AKI) patients, respectively.

RESULTS

Compared to baseline approaches including principal component analysis, DICE demonstrated superior performance in the cluster purity metrics: Silhouette score (0.48 for HF, 0.51 for Cov-AKI), Calinski-Harabasz index (212 for HF, 254 for Cov-AKI), and Davies-Bouldin index (0.86 for HF, 0.66 for Cov-AKI), and prediction metric: area under the Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (0.83 for HF, 0.78 for Cov-AKI). Clinical evaluation of DICE-generated subgroups revealed more meaningful distributions of member characteristics across subgroups, and higher risk ratios between subgroups. Furthermore, DICE-generated subgroup membership alone was moderately predictive of outcomes.

DISCUSSION

DICE addresses a gap in current machine learning approaches where predicted risk may not lead directly to actionable clinical steps.

CONCLUSION

DICE demonstrated the potential to apply in heterogeneous populations, where having the same quantitative risk does not equate with having a similar clinical profile.

Defining comprehensive models of care for NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is now the leading cause of chronic liver disease globally. Despite the increased demand placed on health-care systems, little attention has been given to the design and implementation of efficient and effective models of care for patients with NAFLD. In many health-care settings, no formal pathways exist and, where pathways are in place, they are often not standardized according to good practices. We systematically searched the peer-reviewed literature with the aim of identifying published examples of comprehensive models of care that answered four key questions: what services are provided? Where are they provided? Who is offering them? How are they coordinated and integrated within health-care systems? We identified seven models of care and synthesized the findings into eight recommendations nested within the 'what, where, who and how' of care models. These recommendations, aimed at policy-makers and practitioners designing and implementing models of care, can help to address the increasing need for the provision of good practice care for patients with NAFLD.

Modelling the cost effectiveness of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk stratification strategies in the community setting

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent worldwide. Identifying high-risk patients is critical to best utilize limited health care resources. We established a community-based care pathway using 2D ultrasound shear wave elastography (SWE) to identify high risk patients with NAFLD. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of various non-invasive strategies to correctly identify high-risk patients.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was created using a payer's perspective for a hypothetical patient with NAFLD. FIB-4 [≥1.3], NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) [≥-1.455], SWE [≥8 kPa], transient elastography (TE) [≥8 kPa], and sequential strategies with FIB-4 or NFS followed by either SWE or TE were compared to identify patients with either significant (≥F2) or advanced fibrosis (≥F3). Model inputs were obtained from local data and published literature. The cost/correct diagnosis of advanced NAFLD was obtained and univariate sensitivity analysis was performed.

RESULTS

For ≥F2 fibrosis, FIB-4/SWE cost $148.75/correct diagnosis while SWE cost $276.42/correct diagnosis, identifying 84% of patients correctly. For ≥F3 fibrosis, using FIB-4/SWE correctly identified 92% of diagnoses and dominated all other strategies. The ranking of strategies was unchanged when stratified by normal or abnormal ALT. For ≥F3 fibrosis, the cost/correct diagnosis was less in the normal ALT group.

CONCLUSIONS

SWE based strategies were the most cost effective for diagnosing ≥F2 fibrosis. For ≥F3 fibrosis, FIB-4 followed by SWE was the most effective and least costly strategy. Further evaluation of the timing of repeating non-invasive strategies are required to enhance the cost-effective management of NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Screening in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients in the Primary Care Setting

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a major public health problem worldwide and the most common chronic liver disease. NAFLD currently affects approximately one in every four people in the United States, and its global burden is expected to rise in the next decades. Despite being a prevalent disease in the general population, only a minority of patients with NAFLD will develop nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with advanced liver fibrosis (stage 3-4 fibrosis) and liver-related complications. Certain populations, such as patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), are recognized to be at the highest risk for developing NASH and advanced fibrosis. Both the American Diabetes Association and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes recommend screening of all T2DM for NAFLD. Incorporating a simple noninvasive algorithm into the existing diabetic care checklists in the primary care practice or diabetologist's office would efficiently identify patients at high risk who should be referred to specialists. The proposed algorithm involves a first-step annual fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) followed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) for those with indeterminate or high-risk score (FIB-4 ≥1.3). Patients at low-risk (FIB-4 <1.3 or VCTE <8 kPa) can be followed up by primary care providers for lifestyle changes and yearly calculation of FIB-4, while patients at high risk (FIB-4 ≥1.3 and VCTE ≥8 kPa) should be referred to a liver-specialized center. Conclusion: Patients with T2DM or prediabetes should be screened for NASH and advanced fibrosis. The proposed simple algorithm can be easily incorporated into the existing workflow in the primary care or diabetology clinic to identify patients at high risk for NASH and advanced fibrosis who should be referred to liver specialists.