Smoking in pregnancy is a key factor for sudden infant death among Māori

AIM

To examine the sudden unexpected death in infancy (SUDI) disparity between Māori and non-Māori in New Zealand.

METHODS

A nationwide prospective case-control study ran from March 2012 to February 2015. Exposure to established SUDI risk factors was analysed to investigate the disparity experienced by Māori. Infant ethnicity was based on mother's ethnicity. Māori ethnicity was prioritised. Non-Māori includes Pacific, Asian, NZ European and Other.

RESULTS

There were 137 cases and 649 controls. The Māori SUDI rate was 1.41/1000 live births compared to 0.53/1000 for non-Māori. Parents/caregivers of 132 cases (96%) and 258 controls (40%) were interviewed. Smoking in pregnancy was associated with an equally increased SUDI risk for Māori (adjusted OR = 8.11, 95% CI = 2.64, 24.93) and non-Māori (aOR = 5.09, 95% CI = 1.79, 14.47), as was bed-sharing (aOR = 3.66, 95% CI = 1.49, 9.00 vs aOR = 11.20, 95% CI = 3.46, 36.29). Bed-sharing prevalence was similar; however, more Māori controls smoked during pregnancy (46.7%) than non-Māori (22.8%). The main contributor relating to increased SUDI risk for Māori/non-Māori infants is the combination of smoking in pregnancy and bed sharing.

CONCLUSION

The association between known SUDI risk factors, including bed sharing and/or smoking in pregnancy and SUDI risk, is the same regardless of ethnicity. Māori infants are exposed more frequently to both behaviours because of the higher Māori smoking rate.

Obesity, underweight and BMI distribution characteristics of children by gross national income and income inequality: results from an international survey

BACKGROUND

Economic wealth and income inequality may impact on childhood BMI distribution by affecting overconsumption of food and sedentary forms of transportation and entertainment across the whole or some of the population.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether BMI distribution of children differs by gross national income (GNI) per capita and Gini index derived from World Bank data.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of largely self-reported height and weight data from a multi-country, cross-sectional study (ISAAC), of 77,963 children aged 6-7 (from 19 countries) and 205,388 adolescents aged 13-14 (from 36 countries), were used to examine underweight vs obesity prevalence and BMI distribution skewness, median and dispersion.

RESULTS

Children and adolescents from 'lower' GNI countries had higher prevalence of underweight than those from 'higher' GNI countries (6% vs 3%, p = 0.03; 2% vs 1%, p = 0.05 respectively), but the prevalence of obesity was not different (2% vs 5%, p = 0.29; 2% vs 2%, p = 0.66). BMI distribution of participants from 'higher' GNI countries had higher median, without significant difference in skewness or dispersion compared to 'lower' GNI countries (higher medians +1.1 kg/m2 for 6-7 year olds, and + 0.7 kg/m2, +1.2 kg/m2 for 13-14 year old girls and boys respectively). Gini index was not associated with underweight or obesity prevalence in either children or adolescents, nor with any BMI distribution characteristics with one exception. Adolescent girls from higher income inequality countries had a greater median BMI (+0.7 kg/m2) and a less skewed BMI distribution.

CONCLUSIONS

It appears that the obesogenic impact of economic prosperity affects all children similarly. Income inequality may have a gender specific effect affecting BMI distribution in adolescent girls.

Effect of monthly high-dose vitamin D on bone density in community-dwelling older adults substudy of a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Severe vitamin D deficiency causes osteomalacia, yet trials of vitamin D supplementation in the community have not on average demonstrated benefit to bone mineral density (BMD) or fracture risk in adults.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether monthly high-dose vitamin D supplementation influences BMD in the general population and in those with low 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels.

METHODS

Two-year substudy of a trial in older community-resident adults. A total of 452 participants were randomized to receive monthly doses of vitamin D3 100 000 IU, or placebo. The primary end-point was change in lumbar spine BMD. Exploratory analyses to identify thresholds of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D for vitamin D effects on BMD were prespecified.

RESULTS

Intention-to-treat analyses showed no significant treatment effect in the lumbar spine (between-groups difference 0.0071 g cm^-2 , 95%CI: -0.0012, 0.0154) or total body but BMD loss at both hip sites was significantly attenuated by ~1/2% over 2 years. There was a significant interaction between baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D and treatment effect (P = 0.04). With baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D ≤ 30 nmol L^-1 (n = 46), there were between-groups BMD changes at the spine and femoral sites of ~2%, significant in the spine and femoral neck, but there was no effect on total body BMD. When baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D was >30 nmol L^-1 , differences were ~1/2% and significant only at the total hip.

CONCLUSIONS

This substudy finds no clinically important benefit to BMD from untargeted vitamin D supplementation of older, community-dwelling adults. Exploratory analyses suggest meaningful benefit in those with baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D ≤ 30 nmol L^-1 . This represents a significant step towards a trial-based definition of vitamin D deficiency for bone health in older adults.

Birth weight and subsequent body mass index in children: an international cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The reported association between birth weight and subsequent body mass index (BMI) is conflicting.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the relationship between birth weight and BMI in children aged 6-7 years.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of data from a multi-centre, multi-country, cross-sectional study (International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase Three). Parents/guardians of children aged 6-7 years completed questionnaires about their children's birth weight, current height and weight and whether their mother smoked in the first year of the child's life. A general linear mixed model was used to determine the association between BMI and birth weight.

RESULTS

A total of 72 111 children (17 countries) were included in the analysis. There was a positive association of birth weight with BMI (for each kg increase in birth weight the BMI at 6-7 increased by 0.47 (SE 0.02) kg/m² ; p < 0.0001) with a clear gradient by birth weight category. There was no statistically significant interaction between birth weight and Gross National Income (GNI).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a positive linear relationship between birth weight and BMI in 6-7 year old children, which is present in both high and low income countries.

Association between breastfeeding and body mass index at age 6-7 years in an international survey

BACKGROUND

Breastfeeding is believed to reduce children's risk for obesity but data are conflicting. It is also uncertain if breastfeeding has different effects on obesity in high- and low-income countries.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate the association between having been breastfed and body mass index (BMI) in 6- to 7-year-old children in a large international survey.

METHODS

Parents/guardians reported whether their child had been breastfed and their current height and weight. Some centres measured height and weight directly. Analyses adjusted for whether height and weight were reported or measured, child's age, sex, country gross national income and centre.

RESULTS

Data were available for 76,635 participants from 31 centres in 18 countries. Reported breastfeeding rates varied from 27 to 98%. After adjusting for potential confounders, the estimated BMI difference was 0.04 kg m(-2) lower among those who had been breastfed (P = 0.07). The risk for being overweight or obese was slightly lower among breastfed children (odds ratio = 0.95, P = 0.012). There was no evidence that the association between breastfeeding and BMI was different in lower income countries compared with higher income countries.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that breastfeeding has little impact on children's BMI. Increasing breastfeeding is unlikely to reduce the global epidemic of childhood obesity.

Antibiotic treatment during infancy and increased body mass index in boys: an international cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether antibiotic exposure during the first year of life is associated with increased childhood body mass index (BMI).

DESIGN

Secondary analysis from a multi-centre, multi-country, cross-sectional study (The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood Phase Three).

SUBJECTS

A total of 74 946 children from 31 centres in 18 countries contributed data on antibiotic use in the first 12 months of life and current BMI.

METHODS

Parents/guardians of children aged 5-8 years completed questionnaires that included questions about their children's current height and weight, and whether in the child's first 12 months of life, they had received any antibiotics, paracetamol, were breastfed or the mother/female guardian smoked cigarettes, and whether the child had wheezed in the past 12 months. A general linear mixed model was used to determine the association of antibiotic exposure with BMI, adjusting for age, sex, centre, BMI measurement type (self-reported or measured), maternal smoking, breastfeeding, paracetamol use, gross national income and current wheeze.

RESULTS

There was a significant interaction between sex and early-life antibiotic exposure. Early-life antibiotic exposure was associated with increased childhood BMI in boys (+0.107 kg m(-2), P<0.0001), but not in girls (-0.008 kg m(-2), P=0.75) after controlling for age, centre and BMI measurement type. The association remained in boys (+0.104 kg m(-2), P<0.0007), after adjustment for maternal smoking, breastfeeding, paracetamol use and current wheeze. There was no interaction between age, maternal smoking, breastfeeding, paracetamol use, gross national income and current wheeze in the association between early antibiotic exposure and BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to antibiotics during the first 12 months of life is associated with a small increase in BMI in boys aged 5-8 years in this large international cross-sectional survey. By inference this provides additional support for the importance of gut microbiota in modulating the risk of obesity, with a sex-specific effect.

Effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriage: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in healthy adults

Observational studies have reported an inverse association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentrations and Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriage; however, clinical trials of vitamin D supplementation are lacking. To assess the effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on persistent S. aureus nasal carriage we conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial among 322 healthy adults. Participants were given an oral dose of either 200 000 IU vitamin D3 for each of 2 months, followed by 100 000 IU monthly or placebo in an identical dosing regimen, for a total of 18 months. Nasal swabs for S. aureus culture and serum for 25OHD measurement were obtained at baseline, 6, 12 and 18 months of study. The mean baseline concentration of 25OHD was 72 nM (SD 22 nM). Vitamin D3 supplementation increased 25OHD levels which were maintained at >120 nM throughout the study. Nasal colonization by S. aureus was found in 31% of participants at baseline. Persistent carriage, defined as those that had positive S. aureus nasal cultures for all post-baseline swabs, occurred in 20% of the participants but vitamin D3 supplementation was not associated with a reduction in persistent carriage (OR = 1.39, 95% CI 0.63-3.06). Risk factor analysis showed that only gender was significantly associated with carriage, where women were less likely to be carriers than men (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.54-0.99). Serum 25OHD concentrations were not associated with the risk of carriage. In conclusion, monthly administration of 100 000 IU of vitamin D3 did not reduce persistent S. aureus nasal carriage.

The challenges of replicating the methodology between Phases I and III of the ISAAC programme

BACKGROUND

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) used standardised methods to examine symptom prevalence of asthma, rhinitis and eczema in adolescents and children between Phases I and III. Centres followed essential rules to ensure comparability of methodology, examined by a centralised data centre.

METHODS

Centre reports (CRs) were compared for both phases and age groups. Methodological differences were categorised under major deviations (centres excluded), minor deviations (deviations identified in published tables) and very minor deviations (deviations not identified).

RESULTS

There were 112 CRs for adolescents and 70 for children. Six centres for adolescents and four for children had major deviations and were excluded. Minor deviations (35 for adolescents and 20 for children) were identified in the publications. Very minor deviations (92 for adolescents and 51 for children) were not identified. The odds ratios for having any differences in methodology between phases with a change in Principal Investigator were 0.80 (95%CI 0.36-1.81) for adolescents and 0.91 (95%CI 0.32-2.62) for children.

CONCLUSION

The majority of the centres replicated the ISAAC methodology to a high standard. Careful documentation of methodology using standardised tools with careful checks allows the full potential of studies such as ISAAC to be realised.

The impact of maternal body mass index on the phenotype of pre-eclampsia: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesised that among nulliparous women with pre-eclampsia, overweight or obese women would have a different phenotype of pre-eclampsia compared with normal weight women with pre-eclampsia. Specifically, they are more likely to develop term pre-eclampsia and less likely to have indicators of impaired placental perfusion, e.g. abnormal uterine artery Doppler or a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infant.

DESIGN

Prospective, multicentre, cohort SCOPE study (n = 3170).

SETTING

New Zealand and Australia.

POPULATION

Nulliparous women who developed pre-eclampsia.

METHODS

Participants were interviewed at 14-16 weeks of gestation, uterine artery Doppler studies were performed at 19-21 weeks and pregnancy outcome was tracked prospectively.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Rates of abnormal uterine artery Doppler indices, term/preterm birth and SGA infants were compared between normal, overweight and obese women with pre-eclampsia. Multivariable analysis was performed to examine the association between body mass index (BMI) and term pre-eclampsia.

RESULTS

Of 178 women with pre-eclampsia, one underweight woman was excluded and 66 (37%) were normal weight, 52 (29%) were overweight and 59 (34%) were obese. Pre-eclampsia developed preterm in 26% of women and at term in 74% of women. There were no differences in the rates of term/preterm pre-eclampsia, abnormal uterine artery Doppler indices or SGA infants between BMI groups (P > 0.10). No independent association between BMI and term pre-eclampsia was found (P = 0.56).

CONCLUSIONS

Among women with pre-eclampsia, those who are overweight or obese in early pregnancy are not more likely to have term pre-eclampsia compared with women with a normal BMI. Overweight and obese women require vigilant surveillance for the development of preterm as well as term pre-eclampsia.

Deformational plagiocephaly: a follow-up of head shape, parental concern and neurodevelopment at ages 3 and 4 years

OBJECTIVES

To compare head shape measurements, parental concern about head shape and developmental delays in infancy with measurements obtained at follow-up at ages 3 and 4 years.

DESIGN

Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING

Initial assessments were conducted at a plagiocephaly clinic; follow-up assessments were conducted in the children's homes.

PARTICIPANTS

129 children with a mean age of 4 years (range 3 years 3 months to 4 years 9 months), all of whom were diagnosed in infancy with deformational plagiocephaly or brachycephaly.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Head shape measurements of cephalic index and oblique cranial length ratio; level of parental concern about head shape; and delays on parent-completed age-appropriate Ages and Stages Questionnaires.

RESULTS

61% of head shape measurements reverted to the normal range; 4% remained severe at follow-up. Brachycephaly improved more than plagiocephaly. Facial and frontal asymmetry reduced to almost nil. Most had good improvement, but 13% were categorised as having 'poor improvement'. Initially, 85% of parents reported being 'somewhat' or 'very' concerned; this decreased to 13% at follow-up. The percentage of children with ≥1 delay decreased from 41% initially to 11% at follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, head shape measurements, parental concern and developmental delays in infancy showed a dramatic improvement when re-measured at 3 and 4 years of age.

The impact of the method of consent on response rates in the ISAAC time trends study

BACKGROUND

Centres in Phases I and III of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) programme used the method of consent (passive or active) required by local ethics committees.

METHODS

Retrospectively, relationships between achieved response rates and method of consent for 13-14 and 6-7-year-olds (adolescents and children, respectively), were examined between phases and between English and non-English language centres.

RESULTS

Information was obtained for 113 of 115 centres for adolescents and 72/72 centres for children. Both age groups: most centres using passive consent achieved high response rates (>80% adolescents and >70% children). English language centres using active consent showed a larger decrease in response rate. Adolescents: seven centres changed from passive consent in Phase I to active consent in Phase III (median decrease of 13%), with five centres showing lower response rates (as low as 34%). Children: no centre changed consent method between phases. Centres using active consent had lower median response rates (lowest response rate 45%).

CONCLUSION

The requirement for active consent for population school-based questionnaire studies can impact negatively on response rates, particularly English language centres, thus adversely affecting the validity of the data. Ethics committees need to consider this issue carefully.

PCOSMIC: a multi-centre randomized trial in women with PolyCystic Ovary Syndrome evaluating Metformin for Infertility with Clomiphene

BACKGROUND

Ovulation induction treatment with metformin, either alone or in combination with clomiphene citrate (CC), remains controversial even though previous randomized trials have examined this.

METHODS

A double blinded multi-centre randomized trial was undertaken including 171 women with anovulatory or oligo-ovulatory polycystic ovary syndrome. Women with high body mass index (BMI) > 32 kg/m(2) received placebo ('standard care') or metformin; women with BMI < or = 32 kg/m(2) received CC ('standard care'), metformin or both. Treatment continued for 6 months or until pregnancy was confirmed. Primary outcomes were clinical pregnancy and live birth.

RESULTS

For women with BMI > 32 kg/m(2), clinical pregnancy and live birth rates were 22% (7/32) and 16% (5/32) with metformin, 15% (5/33) and 6% (2/33) with placebo. For women with BMI < or = 32 kg/m(2), clinical pregnancy and live birth rates were 40% (14/35) and 29% (10/35) with metformin, 39% (14/36) and 36% (13/36) with CC, 54% (19/35) and 43% (15/35) with combination metformin plus CC.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence that adding metformin to 'standard care' is beneficial. Pregnancy and live birth rates are low in women with BMI > 32 kg/m(2) whatever treatment is used, with no evidence of benefit of metformin over placebo. For women with BMI < or = 32 kg/m(2) there is no evidence of significant differences in outcomes whether treated with metformin, CC or both. ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00795808; trial protocol accepted for publication November 2005: Johnson, Aust N Z Journal Obstet Gynaecol 2006;46:141-145.

Ethnic differences in time trends in asthma prevalence in New Zealand: ISAAC Phases I and III

SETTING

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase III survey, New Zealand.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prevalence of asthma symptoms and time trends by ethnicity between ISAAC Phase I (1992-1993) and Phase III (2001-2003).

DESIGN

Information on asthma symptoms and environmental exposures was collected in children aged 6-7 years (n = 10,873) and adolescents aged 13-14 years (n = 13,317).

RESULTS

In children, the prevalence of current wheeze was 28.5% in Māori (prevalence odds ratio [POR] = 1.49, 95%CI 1.32-1.68), and 25.2% in Pacific Islanders (POR 1.28, 95%CI 1.07-1.54) compared with 20.7% in Europeans/Pakeha. In adolescents, 29.9% of Māori (POR = 1.13, 95%CI 1.03-1.23) and 20.8% of Pacific Islanders (POR 0.74, 95%CI 0.62-0.87) experienced current wheeze compared to 28.6% of Europeans/Pakeha. Between Phases I and III, the prevalence of current wheeze increased significantly by 0.49%/year in Pacific Islanders, increased non-significantly by 0.12%/year in Māori, and decreased significantly by 0.25%/year in Europeans/Pakeha children. In adolescents, the prevalence of current wheeze increased by 0.05%/year in Pacific Islanders and decreased by 0.33%/year in Europeans/Pakeha and by 0.07%/year in Māori.

CONCLUSION

Ethnic differences in asthma symptom prevalence in New Zealand have increased. The reasons for this are unclear, but may reflect inequalities in access to health services.

Continuous Interscalene Analgesia for Rotator Cuff Repair: A Retrospective Comparison of Effectiveness and Cost in 205 Patients from a Multi-Provider Private Practice Setting

Several barriers exist to the routine use of continuous interscalene block (CISB) for postoperative analgesia following rotator cuff repair. There is a perception that the technique is feasible only for single operators exposed to a high volume case load. The aim of this retrospective review was to compare the three commonly employed analgesic techniques following rotator cuff repair in a multi-provider setting. The techniques studied were CISB, combined single injection interscalene block with postoperative intermittent intra-articular local anaesthetic infiltration (SSISB/IA) and intermittent intra-articular only local anaesthetic infiltration (IA). The clinical records of 205 consecutive patients having open rotator cuff repair over an 18-month period in two private care facilities were reviewed. The primary outcome endpoint was total opioid/tramadol consumption during the period of an overnight hospital stay. The median total opioid and tramadol consumption (in intravenous mg equivalents of morphine) from admission to the post anaesthesia care unit until discharge from hospital was 5 mg in the CISB group and 10 mg for the SSISB/IA and IA groups (P <0.0001). The proportion of subjects requiring more than one antiemetic for the same period was 1.9% in the CISB group, 16.4% for the SSISB/IA group and 36.1% for the IA group (P <0.0001). Costs related to the analgesic technique were similar in each group. CISB following rotator cuff repair in a multi-provider setting was associated with reduced total opioid/tramadol and antiemetic consumption, and occurred without a significant increase in the monetary cost.

Prone sleeping position increases the risk of SIDS in the day more than at night

BACKGROUND

SIDS mortality is higher during the night than in the day.

AIM

(1) To examine risk factors for SIDS by time of day and (2) to see if the proportion of deaths at night has changed from prior to the 'Back to Sleep' campaign, which recommended infants sleep supine.

METHODS

A large population-based SIDS matched case-control (GeSID) study conducted from 1998 to 2001 (when the prevalence of infants placed prone to sleep was 4.1%). The reference sleep of the controls was matched for the estimated time of death for the case. Risk factors for SIDS were examined for night-time and day-time deaths. The estimated time of death was compared with that from an earlier study in Germany (1990-1994 when prevalence of prone sleeping was 32.2%).

RESULTS

There were 333 SIDS cases and 998 matched controls. The increased risk with placed prone to sleep was significantly different during the day [adjusted OR = 18.15 (95% CI = 5.91-55.69)] compared with during the night [adjusted OR = 3.49 (95% CI = 1.46-8.39; p-value for interaction = 0.011)]. There was no significant difference in the other risk factors examined by time of day in the multivariate analysis. The mean time found dead was 09:07. In the earlier study the mean time found dead was 08:54 and the difference was not significant (p = 0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms previous observations that prone sleeping position carries a greater risk during the day than at night. However, the reduction in infants sleeping prone has not been associated with a reduced number of deaths in the day in Germany.

Lipiodol fertility enhancement: two-year follow-up of a randomized trial suggests a transient benefit in endometriosis, but a sustained benefit in unexplained infertility

BACKGROUND

A New Zealand randomized trial has shown that lipiodol treatment enhances fertility with high short-term effectiveness for women with endometriosis.

METHODS

An open randomized trial in a single-centre secondary- and tertiary-level infertility service assessing lipiodol flushing versus no intervention. A total of 158 women with unexplained infertility (62 women with mild endometriosis and 96 women with pure unexplained infertility) were evaluated at 24 months after trial entry. The main outcome measure was clinical pregnancy, assessed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

There was a significant benefit in overall pregnancy rate following lipiodol [hazard ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-3.2]. Among women with endometriosis, the benefit in pregnancy rate seen in the first 6 months following lipiodol (hazard ratio 5.4, 95% CI 2.1-14.2) was not present at 6-24 months (hazard ratio 0.6, 95% CI 0.2-2.1). There was a more consistent effect of lipiodol on fertility throughout the 24-month follow-up among women with unexplained infertility (hazard ratio 2.0, 95% CI 1.1-3.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Lipiodol flushing is effective at enhancing fertility not only for women with endometriosis, but also for those with pure unexplained infertility.

Design effects associated with dietary nutrient intakes from a clustered design of 1 to 14-year-old children

OBJECTIVE

To calculate intra-cluster and intra-household design effects and intra-class correlation coefficients for dietary nutrients obtained from a 24 h record-assisted recall.

DESIGN

Children were recruited using clustered probability sampling. Randomly selected starting-point addresses were obtained with probability proportional to mesh block size.

SETTING

Children aged 1-14 years in New Zealand.

SUBJECTS

There were 125 children in 50 clusters, giving an average of 2.498 children per cluster. In 15 homes, there were two children for the calculation of intra-household statistics.

RESULTS

Intra-cluster design effects ranged from 1.0 for cholesterol, beta-carotene, vitamin A, vitamin D, vitamin E, selenium, fructose and both carbohydrate and protein expressed as their contribution to total energy intakes to 1.552 for saturated fat, with a median design effect of 1.148. Their corresponding intra-cluster correlations ranged from 0 to 0.37, respectively. Intra-household design effects ranged from 1.0 for height to 1.839 for vitamin B(6), corresponding to intra-household correlations of 0 and 0.839. The median intra-household design effect was 1.550. Using a sampling design of two to three households per cluster for estimating dietary nutrient intakes would need, on average, a 15% increase in sample size compared with simple random sampling with a maximum increase of 55% to cover all nutrients.

CONCLUSIONS

These data enable sample sizes for dietary nutrients to be estimated for both cluster and non-cluster sampling for children aged 1-14 years. The larger design effects found within households suggest that little extra information may be obtained by sampling more than one child per household.

Longitudinal pulmonary function of childhood bronchiectasis and comparison with cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Little has been published on the progression of non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis (BX), especially in childhood. Data are needed for prognosis and evaluation of the effectiveness of treatments. A study was undertaken to evaluate the change in lung function over time in children with BX, and to consider covariates and compare them with the local cystic fibrosis (CF) population.

METHODS

Children with BX or CF and > or =3 calendar years of lung function data were identified from hospital clinics. Diagnosis was made by high resolution CT scans, sweat tests, and genetic studies. Lung function performed on a single plethysmograph between 6 and 15 years of age and > or =6 weeks after diagnosis was analysed longitudinally (linear mixed model). The impact of reference equation and "best annual" versus "all data" approaches were evaluated.

RESULTS

There were 44 children in each of the BX and CF groups with an overall mean 5.7 calendar years follow up data. The estimated forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV(1)) in the BX group had an intercept of 68% predicted (Polgar) at 10 years of age which fell at a rate of 1.9% per annum using "best annual" data compared with 63% and 0.9% using "all data". Those with post-infectious BX or chronic Haemophilus influenzae infection had more severe disease. In CF the FEV(1) ("best annual") intercept was 85% predicted with a slope of -2.9% per annum. The choice of reference equation affected the magnitude of the result but not the conclusions.

CONCLUSION

Children with BX have significant airway obstruction which deteriorates over time, regardless of analysis strategy or reference. Effective interventions are needed to prevent significant morbidity and adult mortality.

Effects of maternal cigarette smoking and cocaine use in pregnancy on fetal response to vibroacoustic stimulation and habituation

BACKGROUND

Cigarette smoking and cocaine use in pregnancy are common in the US and both are risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). Although the cause of SIDS is not known, one postulated mechanism involves abnormalities of arousal and arousal regulation. Cigarette smoking and cocaine use may cause deficits of arousal. Many believe arousal deficits occur prenatally.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to assess the effects of cigarette smoke and cocaine exposure during pregnancy on measures of fetal arousal and arousal competency: 1) the fetal response to vibroacoustic stimulation (VAS) and 2) habituation to VAS.

HYPOTHESIS

Maternal cigarette smoking and cocaine use in pregnancy are associated with altered arousal and arousal regulation in the fetus.

METHODS

Three groups of mother-fetal dyads were enrolled: 1) cigarette smokers (n = 54), 2) cocaine users (n = 30), and 3) controls (n = 60). One hundred eight fetuses were tested at 29-31 wk gestation, 119 at 32-35 wk, and 118 at 36+ wk. The fetal response to VAS was assessed using real-time ultrasound and a paradigm of arousal responsiveness. Responders were tested with repeated VAS to assess habituation. Also, the quality of fetal reactivity to repeated stimuli was assessed as a measure of arousal and arousal regulation competence (Behavioral Reactivity Scale).

RESULTS

The control group had a larger proportion of fetuses who were too active to initiate testing ("too active to test") (p = 0.013); the proportion of fetuses too active to test decreased with increasing gestational age. The majority of the fetuses who could be tested responded to the initial VAS, and there were no group differences. The proportion of fetuses that habituated and the rate of habituation did not differ between the groups. Behavioral reactivity did not differ between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The original hypotheses were not confirmed. However, the chosen assessment paradigms may have lacked sensitivity. The proportion of fetuses that were "too active to test" decreased with gestational age. The control group had a larger proportion of fetuses that were "too active to test" compared with the exposure groups. We speculate that these findings indicate that prenatal exposure to these neuroteratogens may have produced an acceleration of the behavioral response to vibroacoustic stimulation.

The international study of asthma and allergies in childhood (ISAAC): phase three rationale and methods

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) programme commenced in 1991 to study the aetiology of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and atopic eczema in children in different populations using standardised methodology and facilitating international collaboration. ISAAC Phase One (1992-1996) found marked differences in the prevalence of symptoms of asthma and allergic disease throughout the world which have not been explained by the current understanding of these diseases. ISAAC Phase Two (1998-2004) uses intensive investigations to further examine the potential role of risk and protective factors that may contribute to the international difference observed in Phase One. Phase Three (2000-2003) essentially represents a repeat of Phase One, in which more detailed standardised data are obtained to enable the time trends of symptom prevalence to be determined as well as the development of a more comprehensive 'world map'. The ISAAC Phase Three rationale and methods are described in this paper. With over 280 centres in 106 countries, we anticipate that ISAAC Phase Three will comprehensively determine the prevalence of symptoms of asthma and allergic disease worldwide, explore recent time trends in the prevalence of these symptoms and cast new light on the aetiology of asthma and allergic disease.

The Nepal longitudinal study: predicting myopia from the rate of increase in vitreous chamber depth

Biometric data on 897 Tibetan children living in Kathmandu, Nepal were collected over the period 1992 to 2000 with regular visits every 2 years. Measurements included cycloplegic autorefraction, A-scan ultrasonography, and video phakometry. Children who had not been studied at least once at age 12 years or older were not included in these analyses. The other subjects were divided into two groups; myopic if the refractive error was ever <-0.50 D, and emmetropic/hyperopic if the refractive error was never <-0.50 D, the nonmyopic group. Using all children who had been examined with four or five observations over time, the change of vitreous chamber depth with age by group was determined using a mixed-model regression method. The increase in vitreous length was 0.070 mm/year for the emmetropic group and 0.165 mm/year for the myopic group, with the differences apparent before the onset of myopia. An independent group of 59 children in whom there were two vitreous chamber depth measures before the age of 12 years and one measure taken after 12 years of age were used to assess the rate of increase in vitreous chamber depth as a predictor of myopia. Two other methods were examined using the independent group; the ratio of axial length to corneal radius of curvature and refractive error at age 10 years. Predictors based on rate of increase in vitreous chamber depth and axial length/corneal radius of curvature had sensitivities of 75% and 45%, respectively, and refractive error at age 10 years as a predictor for those who will not become myopic had a sensitivity of 88%.

Long-term treatment outcome in acromegaly

A number of groups have developed guidelines to indicate whether an individual with acromegaly has been cured by treatment. However, studies to date do not provide a robust definition of biochemical remission of the disorder based on correlation with long-term outcome. Available data suggest that those with a random serum growth hormone (GH) level of <2.5 microg/l, or a glucose-suppressed GH level of <1 microg/l following treatment have mortality figures indistinguishable from the general population. However, the confidence limits for these mortality estimates are quite wide. It remains possible that growth hormone levels lower than 1 microg/l for random samples, or even lower when using ultrasensitive GH assays, may indicate superior outcome, but this remains to be confirmed. There are limited data relating serum insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) levels to outcome, although normalisation of serum IGF-I clearly improves outcome compared with continued elevation of measurements after treatment. Current evidence suggests that a post-treatment random serum GH <2.5 microg/l and a normal serum IGF-I value defines biochemical cure. Available data suggest that achieving similar growth hormone levels after treatment also reduces the prevalence of chronic complications of the disorder, which is subsequently reflected in improved mortality.

The ecological relationship of tobacco smoking to the prevalence of symptoms of asthma and other atopic diseases in children: the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC)

This study examined the relationship between parental smoking and asthma and other atopic diseases at the ecological level. The prevalence of atopic symptoms in 6-7- and 13-14-year old children was assessed in 91 centres (from 38 countries) and 155 centres (from 56 countries) respectively in the International Study of Asthma and Allergy in Childhood (ISAAC). These symptoms were related to prevalence of tobacco smoking for each country by gender as reported by the World Health Organisation. There was a significant negative association between the prevalence of smoking by men and the prevalence of symptoms of asthma and rhinitis, but not eczema in the 13-14-year age group. There was a significant positive relationship between prevalence of smoking by women and prevalence of wheeze in the last 12 months, but not for any other symptoms in the 13-14-year age group. In the 6-7-year age group, there was a significant negative correlation between prevalence of smoking by men and the prevalence of wheeze causing sleep disturbance and a close to significant negative association at the 5% level with the prevalence of wheeze in the last 12 months and rhinitis. Thus, for the countries that are included in this analysis, countries that have high adult male smoking rates have a lower risk of asthma and rhinitis symptoms in children. It should be stressed that this analysis does not involve information on individual exposures and therefore does not contradict the well-established association of active and passive smoking in individuals with the occurrence of asthma symptoms in the same individuals. Rather, it indicates that this well-established individual-level association does not account for the international differences in asthma prevalence, and that other risk factors for asthma must be responsible for the observed international patterns.

The burden of symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and atopic eczema in children and adolescents in six New Zealand centres: ISAAC Phase One

AIM

To describe the burden of symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and atopic eczema in children in six New Zealand centres.

METHODS

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase One was undertaken in Auckland, Bay of Plenty, Hawke's Bay, Wellington, Nelson and Christchurch during 1992-1993. In each centre, approximately 3,000 six to seven year old children and 3,000 thirteen to fourteen year old adolescents were studied, a total of 37,592 participants. Both age groups answered written questionnaires and the adolescents a video questionnaire about asthma symptoms.

RESULTS

The prevalences of symptoms were high, for asthma 25% and 30%, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis 10% and 19%, and atopic eczema 15% and 13% in each age group respectively. More than 40% of participants had symptoms in the last year of at least one condition, most commonly asthma. There were no significant differences among regions, except for six to seven year olds in Nelson who had significantly lower prevalences of some symptoms of asthma and allergic rhinoconjunctivitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Asthma and allergies are common in New Zealand, with resultant morbidity and cost. However, there is little regional variation with the exception of lower rates in Nelson children. Explanations for these findings will be the subject of further studies.

A mutation in alpha-tropomyosin(slow) affects muscle strength, maturation and hypertrophy in a mouse model for nemaline myopathy

Nemaline myopathy is a hereditary disease of skeletal muscle defined by a distinct pathology of electron-dense accumulations within the sarcomeric units called rods, muscle weakness and, in most cases, a slow oxidative (type 1) fiber predominance. We generated a transgenic mouse model to study this disorder by expressing an autosomal dominant mutant of alpha-tropomyosin(slow) previously identified in a human cohort. Rods were found in all muscles, but to varying extents which did not correlate with the amount of mutant protein present. In addition, a pathological feature not commonly associated with this disorder, cytoplasmic bodies, was found in the mouse and subsequently identified in human samples. Muscle weakness is a major feature of this disease and was examined with respect to fiber composition, degree of rod-containing fibers, fiber mechanics and fiber diameter. Hypertrophy of fast, glycolytic (type 2B) fibers was apparent at 2 months of age. Muscle weakness was apparent in mice at 5-6 months of age, mimicking the late onset observed in humans with this mutation. The late onset did not correlate with observed changes in fiber type and rod pathology. Rather, the onset of muscle weakness correlates with an age-related decrease in fiber diameter and suggests that early onset is prevented by hypertrophy of fast, glycolytic fibers. We suggest that the clinical phenotype is precipitated by a failure of the hypertrophy to persist and therefore compensate for muscle weakness.

The relationship of per capita gross national product to the prevalence of symptoms of asthma and other atopic diseases in children (ISAAC)

BACKGROUND

Increasing prevalence and worldwide variation in asthma and other atopic diseases suggest the influence of environmental factors, at least one possibly related to socioeconomic wellbeing. This paper examines the relationship of symptoms of asthma, rhinitis and eczema with gross national product per capita (GNP per capita).

METHODS

The prevalences of atopic symptoms in 6-7- and 13-14-year-old children were assessed in 91 centres (from 38 countries) and 155 centres (from 56 countries), respectively, in the International Study of Asthma and Allergy in Childhood (ISAAC). These symptoms were related to 1993 GNP per capita for each country as reported by the World Bank. The relationships between symptoms of atopic diseases and infant mortality, the human development index and 1982 GNP per capita were also considered.

RESULTS

The countries in the lowest quartile of GNP per capita have the lowest median positive responses to all the questions on symptoms of asthma, rhinitis and eczema. There was a statistically significant positive association between wheeze in the last 12 months and GNP per capita in the 13-14-year age group, but not in the 6-7-year age group. There was also a positive association between GNP per capita and eczema in both age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The positive associations between GNP per capita and atopic symptoms being of only moderate strength suggests that the environmental factors are not just related to the wealth of the country.

Maternal cannabis use in the sudden death syndrome

The smoking of cannabis and tobacco is common in many countries. In contrast to tobacco, which is an established risk factor for the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), nothing is known about cannabis and its effects on SIDS risk. We analysed data collected in a nation-wide case control study in New Zealand (393 cases, 1592 controls) to determine if there is any association between maternal cannabis use and SIDS risk. Adjusting for ethnicity and maternal tobacco use, the SIDS odds ratio for >weekly maternal cannabis use since the infant's birth was 2.23 (95% CI = 1.39, 3.57) compared to non-users; and the multivariate odds ratio was 1.55 (95% CI = 0.87, 2.75). We conclude that frequent maternal cannabis use may be a weak risk factor for SIDS, but this finding requires further research.

Myospherulosis in renal cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To study retrospectively the identification, characteristics, and localization of myospherulosis in different types of renal cell carcinomas.

DESIGN

Twenty-seven consecutive renal cell carcinomas treated by radical nephrectomy in 1 year were studied. All the tumor and nontumor slides were examined for myospherulosis. The demographic data, histological type of renal cell carcinoma, Robson stage, and Fuhrman grades were recorded.

RESULTS

Myospherules were found in 10 cases. They were associated with the clear cell type and a higher nuclear grade. The cell type remained the only significant factor when these 2 factors were tested together with the tumor stage by logistic regression. Myospherulosis tended to be found in younger patients but was not associated with the sex or the side of the tumor. They were scattered within tumor cystic spaces or among sheets of tumor cells. Some of the myospherules might arise from histiocytes or even tumor cells. Compared with previous reports of myospherulosis associated with exogenous or endogenous lipid, the myospherules associated with renal cell carcinoma were smaller and more uniform in size. There is no associated fibrosis or foreign body giant cell reaction.

CONCLUSION

As far as we know, this is the first report of myospherulosis occurring in malignant tumors in human, and their associated features are different from those previously described for myospherulosis related to exogenous or endogenous lipid.

Deprivation and sudden infant death syndrome

This research uses a case-control study to examine the relationship between deprivation of area of residence and incidence of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in New Zealand. Three hundred sixteen cases and 1221 controls were elicited with geocodable addresses. Infants living in the most deprived areas had a 5.9- (95%CI = 2.9, 12.2) fold increased risk of SIDS compared with those infants living in the least deprived areas. After adjusting for individual-level factors there was no remaining area-level effect. Nearly 27% of control infants lived in the two lowest deciles of deprivation, and almost half of SIDS deaths occurred in these areas. Incidence of SIDS is strongly associated with both deprivation of area of residence and individual socioeconomic factors. This indicates the importance of reaching parents in deprived areas, however, given that approximately 50% of SIDS deaths occurred in areas other than the two most deprived, we recommend that SIDS health messages be delivered to the general population.

Umbilical artery Doppler studies in small for gestational age babies reflect disease severity

OBJECTIVES

To determine: 1. whether abnormal umbilical artery Doppler studies were independently associated with newborn morbidity; and 2. whether small for gestational age babies with normal umbilical artery Doppler studies had small mothers and a low rate of newborn malnutrition and morbidity.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

National Women's Hospital, a tertiary referral centre, Auckland, New Zealand.

POPULATION

One hundred eighty-six women and their small for gestational age babies (birthweight < 10th%) who had been participants in one of two randomised controlled trials of small for gestational age pregnancies between 1993 and 1997.

METHODS

Newborn morbidity and morphometry were compared between small for gestational age babies with normal and abnormal umbilical artery Doppler studies (resistance index > 95th%). Maternal demographic characteristics and morbidity were also compared.

RESULTS

Compared with small for gestational age babies with normal umbilical artery Doppler studies (n = 109), small for gestational age babies with abnormal umbilical artery Doppler studies (n = 77) were diagnosed earlier in pregnancy as being small for gestational age (30.3 vs 32.9 weeks, P < 0.001), were smaller in all body proportions at birth (median Z score birthweight -1.82 vs -1.70, P = 0.004, Z score length -1.86 vs -1.36, P < 0.0001, Z score head circumference -1.31 vs -0.89, P < 0.0001) and were more likely to experience newborn morbidity. When birthweight and gestation were entered into a logistic regression model, an abnormal umbilical artery Doppler study was not an independent predictor of prolonged newborn nursery admission or hypoglycaemia. Of small for gestational age babies with normal umbilical artery Doppler studies, 53 (49%) had low ponderal indices, 26/98 (26%) were hypoglycaemic and 38 (35%) required admission to the newborn nursery. There was no difference in maternal height, weight and ethnicity between the abnormal and normal umbilical artery Doppler groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal umbilical artery Doppler studies reflect earlier onset and more severe growth restriction and are not independently associated with newborn morbidity. Small for gestational age babies with normal Doppler studies have a high rate of newborn nursery admission and malnutrition at birth and are not all just normal small babies.

The dose-effect relationship for morphine and vomiting after day-stay tonsillectomy in children

A dose-response curve for intravenous morphine and vomiting was investigated in children having day-stay tonsillectomy. A retrospective chart review was performed for the 164 children fulfilling the inclusion criteria. Morphine (mean 0.09 mg/kg SD 0.05) was used in 108 children in the perioperative period and a further 56 children were given no opioid. Fifty-five of these 164 children vomited and 20 children required an overnight stay in hospital because of vomiting. The probability of vomiting or overnight stay in hospital was related to morphine dose (by logistic regression). The overall probability of vomiting after morphine 0.1 mg/kg was 50% and the probability of admission for vomiting with this dose was 10%. Pharmacodynamic parameter estimates for postoperative vomiting were P0 (the baseline probability of vomiting, with no opioid) 0.115, Pmax (the maximal probability of vomiting due to morphine) 0.997, ED50 (morphine dose that induces an effect equivalent to 50% of the logit Pmax) 0.18 mg/kg. Parameter estimates for overnight stay because of vomiting after morphine administration were P0 0.038, Pmax 0.999, ED50 0.369 mg/kg. Satisfactory postoperative analgesia in children has been reported with morphine 0.05 to 0.15 mg/kg. Doses above 0.1 mg/kg are associated with a greater than 50% incidence of vomiting. Our data suggests that lower doses of morphine are associated with a decreased incidence of emesis after tonsillectomy in children.

A pilot randomized controlled trial of two regimens of fetal surveillance for small-for-gestational-age fetuses with normal results of umbilical artery doppler velocimetry

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to determine whether the frequency of fetal surveillance could be safely reduced from twice weekly to fortnightly in the case of small-for-gestational-age fetuses with normal results of umbilical artery Doppler velocimetry studies.

STUDY DESIGN

Pregnant women between 24 and 36 weeks' gestation (n = 167) with small-for-gestational-age fetuses and normal results of umbilical artery Doppler velocimetry studies were randomly allocated to undergo twice-weekly or fortnightly fetal surveillance. Statistical analysis was carried out according to intention to treat.

RESULTS

Eighty-five women were randomly assigned to undergo twice-weekly fetal surveillance and 82 were randomly assigned to undergo fortnightly fetal surveillance. Those randomly assigned to twice-weekly surveillance were delivered 4 days earlier (264 vs 268 days; P =.04) and were more likely to have labor induced (n = 70, 82%, vs n = 54, 66%; P =.02) than those randomly assigned to fortnightly surveillance. Fifty-four babies (23%) were admitted to the neonatal nursery, but there were no differences in neonatal morbidity between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal intervention (induction) was more common in the twice-weekly group. No differences in neonatal outcomes were detected. A much larger trial is required to determine the safety and potential benefits of less frequent surveillance of small-for gestational-age fetuses with normal results of umbilical artery Doppler velocimetry studies.

Water fluoridation and the sudden infant death syndrome

AIMS

To determine whether exposure to fluoridated water supplies prenatally or postnatally at the time of death increases the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS).

METHODS

A nationwide, case-control study, with infant's water fluoridation status determined from census area unit information for mother's usual address at the time of the infant's birth, infant's usual address at the time of death / nominated sleep and address where infant died / was at nominated sleep. SIDS risk associated with fluoride exposure postnatally was assessed according to method of infant feeding (breast or reconstituted formula), for the two days prior to infant's death / nominated sleep.

RESULTS

Infants exposed to fluoridated water supplies during pregnancy were not at increased risk for SIDS, adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.19 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82, 1.74). For breast-fed infants at the time of death / nominated sleep, fluoridated water exposure was not associated with an increased risk for SIDS, adjusted OR 1.09 (95% CI 0.66, 1.79). Similarly, 'fluoridated' formula feeding, when compared with 'unfluoridated' formula feeding, showed no increased risk of SIDS, adjusted OR 1.25 (95% CI 0.73, 2.13). There was no evidence of an interaction between fluoridation and infant feeding for the last two days (chi2 = 0.171, df = 1, p = 0.68).

CONCLUSION

Exposure to a fluoridated water supply prenatally or postnatally at the time of death did not affect the relative risk for SIDS.

Trends in three-year survival following acute myocardial infarction, 1983-1992

AIMS

As part of an investigation into the decline in coronary heart disease mortality rates in New Zealand, we examined long-term survival trends following acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A 3-year follow-up of patients on a community-based register of coronary heart disease for the period 1983-1992 in Auckland, New Zealand, part of the World Health Organization's MONICA (multinational Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease) Project, has been completed. The 3-year survival status of acute myocardial infarction patients aged 25-64 years who were alive 28 days after their first event has been obtained. The 2940 men and women followed for 3 years after an acute myocardial infarction showed significant steady improvement over the 10-year study period (P=0.004). The 3-year survival of patients registered in 1983-1984 was 86% and by 1991-1992 it was 92%.

CONCLUSION

The gains in long-term survival following acute myocardial infarction are statistically significant but contribute only marginally to the decline in coronary heart disease death rates in Auckland since most deaths occur in the first 28 days after the event.

Long-term survival and valve-related complications in young women with cardiac valve replacements

BACKGROUND

The type of cardiac valve replacement associated with the lowest health risks for young women who may undergo pregnancies is unknown. We investigated which valve type was associated with greatest patient and valve survival and the effect of pregnancy on valve loss.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this retrospective study, all women 12 to 35 years old who underwent valve replacements between 1972 and 1992 at Greenlane Hospital were identified, and follow-up was available in 93%. The 232 women were followed up for 1499 patient-years. Ten-year survival of women with mechanical (n=178), bioprosthetic (n=73), and homograft (n=72) valves was 70% (95% CI, 59% to 83%), 84% (95% CI, 72% to 99%), and 96% (95% CI, 91% to 100%), P=0.002. After adjustment for confounding variables, the relative risk (RR) of death with mechanical compared with bioprosthetic valves was 2.17 (95% CI, 0.78 to 5.88). Thromboembolic events occurred in 45% of women with mechanical valves within 5 years, compared with 13% with bioprosthetic valves, P=0.0001. Valve loss at 10 years was higher in bioprosthetic valves [82% (95% CI, 62% to 92%)] than in mechanical [29% (95% CI, 17% to 39%)] or homograft [28% (95% CI, 12% to 41%)] valves, P=0.0001. Pregnancy was not associated with increased bioprosthetic (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.68 to 1. 35), homograft (RR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.37 to 1.13), or mechanical (RR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.27 to 1.08) valve loss.

CONCLUSIONS

Although 10-year valve survival was greater with mechanical than bioprosthetic valves, mechanical valves may be associated with reduced patient survival in young women. Thromboembolic complications, often with long-term sequelae, were common with mechanical valves. Pregnancy did not increase structural deterioration or reduce survival of bioprosthetic valves.

Effect of preoperative paracetamol on gastric volumes and pH in children

The effect preoperative paracetamol elixir has on gastric contents is unknown. Children presenting for elective adenotonsillectomy were randomized to receive either paracetamol elixir (40 mg x kg(-1)) 90 min before surgery or paracetamol suppositories (40 mg x kg(-1)) intraoperatively. Following induction of anaesthesia a 16 Fr multiple-oriface orogastric tube was passed into the stomach and measure taken of the residual gastric volume and pH. The children had a mean age of 8.5 years (SD 3.2) with a weight of 35 kg (SD 16.5). Children given elixir (n=41) had a mean residual gastric volume of 0.083 ml x kg(-1) (95% CI; 0.006, 1.24) and a pH of 1.83 (95% CI; 0.75, 4.49), while those given suppositories (n=40) had a mean residual gastric volume of 0.083 ml x kg(-1)(95% CI; 0.008, 0.9) and a pH of 2.07 (95% CI; 0.84, 5.12). There was no significant difference between these two groups. Paracetamol elixir is rapidly absorbed in the gastrointestinal system of children and preoperative administration has no effect on gastric contents. Given paracetamol's slow equilibration rate constant from the central to the effect compartment, children may be given this medication preoperatively for routine surgical procedures.

Seasonal differences in risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome. The New Zealand Cot Death Study Group

The aim of this study was to explore whether the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) associated with prone sleeping position and other risk factors varies with season. The study was a large nation-wide case-control study, which compared 485 cases with 1800 controls. Parents of 393 (81.0%) cases and 1591 (88.4%) controls were interviewed. Obstetric records were also examined. Infants dying in winter were older and had lower birthweights than those dying in summer. The increased risk of SIDS associated with prone sleeping position was greater in winter than in summer. In contrast, the increased risk of SIDS associated with excess thermal insulation and bed sharing was less in winter than in summer. Prone sleeping position accounts for about half of the difference between the mortality rate in summer and that in winter. This suggests that some factor related to season modifies the effect of prone sleeping position.

Risk factors for preterm birth: a New Zealand study

AIM

To identify risk factors for preterm birth.

METHODS

A cross sectional study. The study population was 1800 infants selected randomly from all babies born over a three-year period. Of these, 85 (4.8%) were classified preterm (less than 37 completed weeks gestation). Data were collected from obstetric records and parental interviews.

RESULTS

Risk factors associated with an increased risk of preterm birth after controlling for potential confounders included smoking during pregnancy (adjusted relative risk (RR) = 2.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.3, 5.4), and multiple birth (adjusted RR = 48.8, 95% CI = 18.1, 131.4). Urinary tract infection was significant at the 7% level (adjusted RR = 2.3, 95% CI = 1.0, 5.6). Alcohol intake in third trimester was associated with a reduced risk of preterm birth (adjusted RR = 0.4, 95% CI = 0.2, 0.7).

CONCLUSION

Maternal smoking and multiple births were the most important modifiable risk factors in this study for preterm birth and may contribute to 17% and 11% of preterm births respectively.

Heavy caffeine intake in pregnancy and sudden infant death syndrome. New Zealand Cot Death Study Group

AIMS

To examine the association between maternal caffeine consumption during pregnancy and the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS).

METHODS

A nationwide case-control study surveying parents of 393 SIDS victims and parents of 1592 control infants. Caffeine consumption in each of the first and third trimesters was estimated by questionnaire. Heavy caffeine intake was defined as 400 mg/day or more (equivalent to four or more cups of coffee per day).

RESULTS

Infants whose mothers had heavy caffeine consumption throughout their pregnancy had a significantly increased risk for SIDS (odds ratio 1.65; 95% confidence interval 1.15 to 2.35) after adjusting for likely confounding factors.

CONCLUSION

Caffeine intake has been associated with fetal harm and now SIDS. Reducing heavy caffeine intake during pregnancy could be another way to lessen the risk of SIDS. This needs confirmation by others.

Risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome following the prevention campaign in New Zealand: a prospective study

OBJECTIVES

To identify the risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) following a national campaign to prevent SIDS.

METHODS

For 2 years (October 1, 1991 through September 30, 1993) data were collected by community child health nurses on all infants born in New Zealand at initial contact and at 2 months.

RESULTS

There were 232 SIDS cases in the postneonatal age group (2.0/1000 live births) and these were compared with 1200 randomly selected control subjects. Information was available for 127 cases (54.7%) and 922 (76.8%) of controls. The previously identified modifiable risk factors were examined. The prevalence of prone sleeping position of the infant was very low (0.7% at initial contact and 3. 0% at 2 months), but was still associated with an increased risk of SIDS. In addition, the side sleeping position was also found to have an increased risk of SIDS compared with the supine sleeping position (at 2 months: adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 6.57; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.71, 25.23). Maternal smoking was found to be the major risk factor for SIDS. Bed sharing was also associated with an increased risk of SIDS. There was an interaction between maternal smoking and bed sharing on the risk of SIDS. Compared with infants not exposed to either bed sharing or maternal smoking, the adjusted OR for infants of mothers who smoked was 5.01 (95% CI = 2.01, 12.46) for bed sharing at the initial contact and 5.02 (95% CI = 1.05, 24. 05) for bed sharing at 2 months. In this study breastfeeding was not associated with a statistically significant reduction in the risk of SIDS. The other risk factors for SIDS identified were: unmarried mother, leaving school at a younger age, young mother, greater number of previous pregnancies, late attendance for antenatal care, smoking in pregnancy, male infant, Maori ethnicity, low birth weight, and shorter gestation.

CONCLUSIONS

After adjustment for potential confounders, prone and side sleeping positions, maternal smoking, and the joint exposure to bed sharing and maternal smoking were associated with statistically significant increased risk of SIDS. A change from the side to the supine sleeping position could result in a substantial reduction in SIDS. Maternal smoking is common in New Zealand and with the reduction in the prevalence of prone sleeping position is now the major risk factor in this country. However, smoking behavior has been difficult to change. Bed sharing is also a major factor but appears only to be a risk to infants of mothers who smoke. Addressing bed sharing among mothers who smoke could reduce SIDS by at least one third. Breastfeeding did not appear to offer a statistically significant reduction in SIDS risk after adjustment of potential confounders, but as breastfeeding rates are comparatively good in New Zealand, this result should be interpreted with caution as the power of this study to detect a benefit is small.

An ageing-associated decline in force production after repetitive contractions by rat skinned skeletal muscle fibres

Chemically skinned muscle fibre segments were prepared from the extensor digitorum longus (EDL) and soleus muscles of young (5-6 months) and old (24-31 months) male Wistar rats. Muscle fibres were activated repetitively with a buffered calcium solution a total of 50 times, and the force resulting from each activation recorded. Both EDL and soleus fibres showed a substantial decline in maximum force over the series of 50 contractions. The decline in maximum force was significantly higher in old EDL and soleus fibres than in their young counterparts, indicating a difference between the contractile apparatus of skeletal muscle from young and old animals. Normalized tension, defined as force per muscle fibre cross-sectional area, was significantly lower in fibres from the old animals than from the young, giving further evidence of the existence of changes to the contractile apparatus with ageing.

Gender and the sudden infant death syndrome. New Zealand Cot Death Study Group

A nationwide case-control study compared the prevalence and magnitude of risk factors for sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in male and female infants. The risk factors of SIDS and their magnitude for males and females are very similar. After adjustment for potential confounders male infants had a 1.42-fold (95% CI = 1.04, 1.94) increased risk of SIDS compared with females. Risk factors identified in most epidemiological studies are not the reason for the increased SIDS mortality seen in male infants.

SIDS, illness, and acute medical care. New Zealand Cot Death Study Group

One component of the Back to Sleep campaign to reduce the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is the recommendation that parents seek medical attention if their infant is unwell. The aim of this study was to investigate of SIDS could in part be explained by sick infants not getting appropriate medical care. Data on symptoms of illness and on acute medical contacts made for infants dying from SIDS (n = 390) within two weeks of their death were compared with those from a randomly selected group of control infants (n = 1592). SIDS cases had more severe illness than controls (odds ratio (OR) = 3.43; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.69 to 5.38), and were more likely to have seen a general practitioner (OR = 1.37; 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.73) or attended hospital (OR = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.73). Only 1.3% of all SIDS cases had symptoms suggesting severe illness and had not seen a general practitioner. A lack of medical contacts in the two weeks before death does not contribute to the risk of SIDS.

Declining rates of coronary heart disease in New Zealand and Australia, 1983-1993

The authors report the results of 10 years of monitoring of trends in the rates of major nonfatal and fatal coronary events and in case fatality in Auckland, New Zealand, and in Newcastle and Perth, Australia. Continuous surveillance of all suspected myocardial infarctions and coronary deaths in people aged 35-64 years was undertaken in the three centers as part of the World Health Organization's Multinational Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease (MONICA) Project. For nonfatal definite myocardial infarction, there were statistically significant declines in rates in all centers in both men and women, with estimated average changes between 2.5% and 3.7% per year during the period 1984-1993. Rates of all coronary deaths also declined significantly in all three populations for both men and women. In absolute terms, there was, in general, a greater reduction in prehospital deaths than in deaths after hospitalization. Although 28-day case fatality remains high at between 35% and 50%, in the Australian centers it declined significantly by between 1.0% and 2.9% per year, and in Auckland there was also a small decline. However, since most deaths occur outside the hospital in people without a previous history of coronary heart disease, an increased emphasis on primary prevention is necessary.