Design cas témoins apparié sur score de risque : un outil méthodologique original pour une étude de l'efficacité vaccinale et des conséquences médicales de l'hospitalisation pour COVID-19 en France

Introduction

L’étude de l'efficacité vaccinale d'une part, et des conséquences médicales du COVID-19 d'autre part, nécessitent généralement la mise en place de deux designs spécifiques. La construction d'un cas témoins apparié sur un score de risque d'hospitalisation pour COVID-19 est un design original visant à répondre à ces deux objectifs.

Méthodes

A partir des données du Système national des données de santé (SNDS), nous avons construit pour les 67 millions de résidents, un score individuel de risque d'hospitalisation pour COVID-19 à partir d'un modèle de Cox prenant en compte l’âge, le genre, la région, l'indice de défavorisation, 50 facteurs de risque médicaux, et la prise d'immunosuppresseurs ou de corticoïdes. Ce score a été discrétisé en 20 classes de même effectif, basées sur la répartition de ce score chez les cas d'hospitalisation pour COVID-19 survenus entre le 01/06/2022 et le 15/10/2022. Chaque cas d'hospitalisation a ensuite été apparié sur l'année de naissance, le genre, le département et sa tranche de score de risque, à 1-10 témoins non hospitalisés pour COVID-19. Le schéma vaccinal (base SI-VAC) et les résultats des tests (SI-DEP), ont été chainés.

Résultats

La quasi-totalité des 39 059 cas a pu être appariée à ≥1 individu non hospitalisé comparables en termes de facteurs médicaux: respectivement 24 % versus 25 % de diabète, 19 % de maladies respiratoires chroniques, 65% d'hypertension artérielle et 1 % de cancer du poumon dans les deux groupes, etc. L'administration d'une dose additionnelle de vaccin (3e ou 4e dose) comparativement à des patients vaccinés ne bénéficiant pas de cette dose additionnelle, non récemment infectés, permettait de réduire de 50 % le risque d'hospitalisation sur une durée de 4 mois.

Discussion/Conclusion

L'appariement sur le score de risque a permis de prendre en compte un grand nombre de facteurs de confusion. A partir de ce design original, nous avons pu étudier l'efficacité vaccinale et nous étudierons lors d'un suivi longitudinal les conséquences médicales de l'hospitalisation pour COVID-19 dans un contexte de prédominance du sous-lignage BA5 du variant Omicron.

Mots-clés

Covid-19 ; Score de risque ; Vaccination ; Efficacité ; SNDS

Déclaration de liens d'intérêts

Les auteurs déclarent ne pas avoir de liens d'intérêts.

Profiles of copper intrauterine devices and levonorgestrel intrauterine systems users in France in 2019: A national observational population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the user profiles of copper intrauterine devices (Cu-IUD) and levonorgestrel intrauterine systems (LNG-IUS) in France in 2019 and the rates of continuation 1 year later.

METHODS

A population-based study was conducted of all French women aged 13-49 years for whom an IUD was dispensed in 2019. Information was collected from the French National Health Data System about their characteristics at the time of dispensation and indicators of continued use 1 year later. Associations between these characteristics and the type of IUD were analyzed using multivariate regressions.

RESULTS

A total of 477 705 Cu-IUDs and 355 242 LNG-IUSs (mean age 32.5 ± 7.3 and 36.4 ± 7.7 years, respectively) were dispensed in 2019. After adjustment, having a LNG-IUS rather than a Cu-IUD was associated with being aged 35-44 years compared to 25-35 years (odds ratio [OR_35-44 ] 2.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.01-2.05), having a prescription by a gynecologist rather than a general practitioner (OR_35-44 1.09, 95% CI 1.08-1.11), and having a gynecological history (OR_35-44 2.28, 95% CI 2.20-2.36). The continuation rates 1 year after dispensation were 86.4% for Cu-IUD versus 85.7% for LNG-IUS. A Cu-IUD dispensation rather than a LNG-IUS one was associated with a higher chance of continued use 1 year later.

CONCLUSION

Two different patterns of use of Cu-IUDs and LNG-IUSs in France are highlighted.

Association Between Doses of Levonorgestrel Intrauterine Systems and Subsequent Use of Psychotropic Drugs in France

This matched-cohort study uses data from the French National Health Insurance database to assess whether a 19.5-mg levonorgestrel intrauterine system, vs a 52-mg system, is associated with increased use of antidepressant, hypnotic, and anxiolytic medications.

Patterns of opioid analgesic prescribing in cancer outpatients during the last year of life in France: A pharmacoepidemiological cohort study based on the French health insurance database

Cancer pain management with adequate analgesics for cancer outpatients can be particularly challenging. This representative retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate the prevalence and timing of weak and strong opioid analgesic prescriptions in cancer outpatients during their last year of life, with a focus on factors associated to potential late strong opioid initiation. Factors associated with late strong opioid initiation were investigated through multivariate logistic regression analyses stratified by place of death. A retrospective cohort of cancer outpatients, who died between 2014 and 2016, was identified from the general sample of beneficiaries. Among N=4704 cancer patients (median age 76 years, 42.7% women), 3002 (63.8%) were prescribed and dispensed ≥1 weak or strong opioid analgesic during their last year of life; of whom, 2458 (52.3%) received ≥1 weak opioid analgesic (tramadol as single-ingredient accounting for 25.9%) and 1733 (36.8%) ≥1 strong opioid analgesic dispensation (fentanyl 21.6%). Median interval between the first prescription for any strong opioid and death was 18 weeks (interquartile range: 8-38), and for weak opioids 33 weeks (interquartile range: 20-47). Among weak opioid users, 1229 (50.0%) patients had received ≥1 weak opioid analgesic dispensation during the year n-2 before death. Among strong opioid users, 986 (56.9%) patients had received ≥1 weak opioid analgesic dispensation during the year n-2 before death and 381 (21.9%) patients ≥1 strong opioid analgesic dispensation. Patients with an outpatient death were more likely to have a late strong opioid initiation compared to patients with an inpatient death. Late strong opioid initiation (<18 weeks before death) was significantly associated with a lower number of hospitalization days and prior weak opioid exposure for patients with an inpatient death and, with older age, social, prior weak opioid exposure, and a prescription initiation by general practitioner for patients with an outpatient death. Our gained knowledge of opioid prescribing patterns in cancer patients during the last year of life might help to progress opioid analgesic treatment and to improve patient outcomes.

Risk for Myocardial Infarction, Stroke, and Pulmonary Embolism Following COVID-19 Vaccines in Adults Younger Than 75 Years in France

BACKGROUND

The BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccine has been shown to be safe with regard to risk for severe cardiovascular events (such as myocardial infarction [MI], pulmonary embolism [PE], and stroke) in persons aged 75 years or older. Less is known about the safety of other COVID-19 vaccines or outcomes in younger populations.

OBJECTIVE

To assess short-term risk for severe cardiovascular events (excluding myocarditis and pericarditis) after COVID-19 vaccination in France's 46.5 million adults younger than 75 years.

DESIGN

Self-controlled case series method adapted to event-dependent exposure and high event-related mortality.

SETTING

France, 27 December 2020 to 20 July 2021.

PATIENTS

All adults younger than 75 years hospitalized for PE, acute MI, hemorrhagic stroke, or ischemic stroke (n = 73 325 total events).

MEASUREMENTS

Linkage between the French National Health Data System and COVID-19 vaccine databases enabled identification of hospitalizations for cardiovascular events (MI, PE, or stroke) and receipt of a first or second dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech, mRNA-1273 (Moderna), Ad26.COV2.S (Janssen), or ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford-AstraZeneca) vaccine. The relative incidence (RI) of each cardiovascular event was estimated in the 3 weeks after vaccination compared with other periods, with adjustment for temporality (7-day periods).

RESULTS

No association was found between the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna vaccine and severe cardiovascular events. The first dose of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine was associated with acute MI and PE in the second week after vaccination (RI, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.11 to 1.51] and 1.41 [CI, 1.13 to 1.75], respectively). An association with MI in the second week after a single dose of the Janssen vaccine could not be ruled out (RI, 1.75 [CI, 1.16 to 2.62]).

LIMITATIONS

It was not possible to ascertain the relative timing of injection and cardiovascular events on the day of vaccination. Outpatient deaths related to cardiovascular events were not included.

CONCLUSION

In persons aged 18 to 74 years, adenoviral-based vaccines may be associated with increased incidence of MI and PE. No association between mRNA-based vaccines and the cardiovascular events studied was observed.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

None.

Characteristics associated with the residual risk of severe COVID-19 after a complete vaccination schedule: A cohort study of 28 million people in France

Background

Methods

Findings

Interpretation

Funding

Association of Statins for Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases With Hospitalization for COVID-19: A Nationwide Matched Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

There is little evidence on the relationship between statin use and the risk of hospitalization attributable to COVID‐19.

Methods and Results

The French National Healthcare Data System database was used to conduct a matched‐cohort study. For each adult aged ≥40 years receiving statins for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases, one nonuser was randomly selected and matched for year of birth, sex, residence area, and comorbidities. The association between statin use and hospitalization for COVID‐19 was examined using conditional Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and long‐term medications. Its association with in‐hospital death from COVID‐19 was also explored. All participants were followed up from February 15, 2020, to June 15, 2020. The matching procedure generated 2 058 249 adults in the statin group and 2 058 249 in the control group, composed of 46.6% of men with a mean age of 68.7 years. Statin users had a 16% lower risk of hospitalization for COVID‐19 than nonusers (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.81–0.88). All types of statins were significantly associated with a lower risk of hospitalization, with the adjusted HR ranging from 0.75 for fluvastatin to 0.89 for atorvastatin. Low‐ and moderate‐intensity statins also showed a lower risk compared with nonusers (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.71–0.86] and HR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.80–0.89], respectively), whereas high‐intensity statins did not (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.86–1.18). We found similar results with in‐hospital death from COVID‐19.

Conclusions

Our findings support that the use of statins for primary prevention is associated with lower risks of hospitalization for COVID‐19 and of in‐hospital death from COVID‐19.

Effectiveness of Ad26.COV2.S Vaccine vs BNT162b2 Vaccine for COVID-19 Hospitalizations

This comparative effectiveness research study examines the effectiveness of full vaccination with Ad26.COV2.S vs BNT162b2 against COVID-19–related hospitalization.

A modified self-controlled case series method for event-dependent exposures and high event-related mortality, with application to COVID-19 vaccine safety

We propose a modified self‐controlled case series (SCCS) method to handle both event‐dependent exposures and high event‐related mortality. This development is motivated by an epidemiological study undertaken in France to quantify potential risks of cardiovascular events associated with COVID‐19 vaccines. Event‐dependence of vaccinations, and high event‐related mortality, are likely to arise in other SCCS studies of COVID‐19 vaccine safety. Using this case study and simulations to broaden its scope, we explore these features and the biases they may generate, implement the modified SCCS model, illustrate some of the properties of this model, and develop a new test for presence of a dose effect. The model we propose has wider application, notably when the event of interest is death.

Effectiveness of BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and ChAdOx1-S vaccines against severe covid-19 outcomes in a nationwide mass vaccination setting: cohort study

Objective

To estimate the effectiveness of the three covid-19 vaccines by Pfizer-BioNTech (BNT162b2), Moderna (mRNA-1273), and Oxford-AstraZeneca (ChAdOx1-S) in people after receiving two doses.

Design

Cohort study.

Setting

Nationwide, population based data in France, from the French National Health Data System (Système National des Données de Santé), between 27 December 2020 and 30 April 2021.

Participants

Adults aged ≥50 years receiving a first dose of BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, or ChAdOx1-S were randomly selected (1:1) and matched on the date of vaccination with one unvaccinated control. Individuals were matched on year of birth, sex, region of residence, and residence in a nursing home (for individuals aged ≥75 years). All individuals were followed up until 20 August 2021.

Main outcome measures

Primary outcome measure was vaccine effectiveness estimated at least 14 days after the second dose against covid-19 related hospital admission using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for baseline characteristics and comorbidities. Vaccine effectiveness against covid-19 related death in hospital was also investigated.

Results

11 256 832 vaccinated individuals were included in the study (63.6% (n=7 161 658) with the BNT162b2 vaccine, 7.6% (n=856 599) with the mRNA-1273 vaccine, and 28.8% (n=3 238 575) with the ChAdOx1-S vaccine), along with 11 256 832 matched unvaccinated controls. During follow-up (up to 20 August 2021), 43 158 covid-19 related hospital admissions and 7957 covid-19 related deaths in hospital were registered. Compared with unvaccinated controls, vaccine effectiveness of two doses against covid-19 related hospital admission was 91% (95% confidence interval 91% to 92%), 95% (93% to 96%), and 91% (89% to 94%) for the BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and ChAdOx1-S vaccines, respectively. Similar results were observed for vaccine effectiveness of two doses against covid-19 related deaths in hospital (BNT162b2, 91% (90% to 93%); mRNA-1273, 96% (92% to 98%); and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, 88% (68% to 95%)). At 5-6 months after receiving the second dose of vaccine, effectiveness remained high at 94% (92% to 95%) for the BNT162b2 vaccine and 98% (93% to 100%) for the mRNA-1273 vaccine. Vaccine effectiveness of ChAdOx1-S estimated at 3-4 months was 90% (63% to 97%). All three vaccines remained effective at the time of circulation of the delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 between 1 July and 20 August 2021 (effectiveness between 89% and 95%).

Conclusions

These findings provide evidence indicating that two doses of ChAdOx1-S is as effective as two doses of mRNA vaccines in France against the alpha and delta variants of SARS-CoV-2. The effectiveness of ChAdOx1-S should be further examined with a longer follow-up and in the light of the circulation of new SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.

Reduced risk of severe COVID-19 in more than 1.4 million elderly people aged 75 years and older vaccinated with mRNA-based vaccines

Randomized clinical trials have shown mRNA-based vaccines to be 92–95% effective to prevent COVID-19 in adults. We aimed to estimate the impact of vaccination on the risk of severe COVID-19 (requiring hospitalization) in elderly people. Each 1,422,461 vaccinated subject aged 75 or older was matched to two unvaccinated subjects of same age, sex, administrative region, and type of residence. They were followed from date of first injection between 27 December 2020 and 24 February 2021 to 20 March 2021 for COVID-19 hospitalization. Mean age was 82.4 years (SD, 5.7) and median follow-up was 38 days [IQR, 17–54]. Adjusted Hazard Ratio for COVID-19 hospitalization from day 7 after the second dose was estimated at 0.14 (95% confidence interval, 0.11–0.17), i.e. an estimated 86% risk reduction in people aged 75 and older, highlighting the major impact of mRNA vaccination on reducing the risk of COVID-19 among elderly people.

Risk factors of hospitalisation for thrombosis in adults with primary immune thrombocytopenia, including disease-specific treatments: a French nationwide cohort study

We aimed to assess the risk factors of venous thrombosis (VT) and arterial thrombosis (AT) in adults with primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), particularly in relation to treatments. The population comprised all incident primary ITP adults in France between 2009 and 2017 (FAITH cohort; NCT03429660) built in the national health database. Outcomes were the first hospitalisation for VT and AT. Multivariable Cox regression models included baseline risk factors, time-varying exposure to ITP drugs, splenectomy and to cardiovascular drugs. The cohort included 10 039 patients. A higher risk of hospitalisation for VT was observed with older age, history of VT, history of cancer, splenectomy [hazard ratio (HR) 3·23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2·26-4·61], exposure to corticosteroids (HR 3·55, 95% CI 2·74-4·58), thrombopoietin-receptor agonists (TPO-RAs; HR 2·28, 95% CI 1·59-3·26) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg; HR 2·10, 95% CI 1·43-3·06). A higher risk of hospitalisation for AT was observed with older age, male sex, a history of cardiovascular disease, splenectomy (HR 1·50, 95% CI 1·12-2·03), exposure to IVIg (HR 1·85, 95% CI 1·36-2·52) and TPO-RAs (HR 1·64, 95% CI 1·26-2·13). Rituximab was not associated with an increased risk. These findings help to estimate the risk of thrombosis in adult patients with ITP and to select treatment.

Antihypertensive Drugs and COVID-19 Risk: A Cohort Study of 2 Million Hypertensive Patients

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

After initially hypothesizing a positive relationship between use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), more recent evidence suggests negative associations. We examined whether COVID-19 risk differs according to antihypertensive drug class in patients treated by ACE (angiotensin-converting enzyme) inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) compared with calcium channel blockers (CCBs). Three exclusive cohorts of prevalent ACE inhibitors, ARB and CCB users, aged 18 to 80 years, from the French National Health Insurance databases were followed from February 15, 2020 to June 7, 2020. We excluded patients with a history of diabetes, known cardiovascular disease, chronic renal failure, or chronic respiratory disease during the previous 5 years, to only consider patients treated for uncomplicated hypertension and to limit indication bias. The primary end point was time to hospitalization for COVID-19. The secondary end point was time to intubation/death during a hospital stay for COVID-19. In a population of almost 2 million hypertensive patients (ACE inhibitors: 566 023; ARB: 958 227; CCB: 358 306) followed for 16 weeks, 2338 were hospitalized and 526 died or were intubated for COVID-19. ACE inhibitors and ARBs were associated with a lower risk of COVID-19 hospitalization compared with CCBs (hazard ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.65–0.83] and 0.84 [0.76–0.93], respectively) and a lower risk of intubation/death. Risks were slightly lower for ACE inhibitor users than for ARB users. This large observational study may suggest a lower COVID-19 risk in hypertensive patients treated over a long period with ACE inhibitors or ARBs compared with CCBs. These results, if confirmed, tend to contradict previous hypotheses and raise new hypotheses.

Trends and Patterns of Antidepressant Use in French Children and Adolescents From 2009 to 2016: A Population-Based Study in the French Health Insurance Database

PURPOSE/BACKGROUND

Over the last decade, the use of antidepressants (ATDs) in children and adolescents has markedly increased in several occidental countries, but recent data in French children are missing. This study aimed to assess trends of ATD use in French children (6-11 years) and adolescents (12-17 years) and to characterize changes in ATD prescribing patterns from 2009 to 2016.

METHODS

Using data from the French Health Insurance Database, annual prevalence and incidence of ATD use and changes in ATD prescribing patterns were analyzed.

RESULTS

Overall ATD prevalence of use rose slightly from 0.51% in 2009 to 0.53% in 2016 (+3.9%), with a decrease in children (0.18%-0.11%; -38.9%) and an increase in adolescents (0.86%-0.98%; +14.0%) and an overall female preponderance (56.7% in 2009; 58.7% in 2016). Serotonin reuptake inhibitor prevalence of use increased from 0.24% to 0.34%, whereas tricyclic ATD use decreased (from 0.20% to 0.16%). Similar trends were obtained with overall incidence of use, from 0.39% in 2009 to 0.36% in 2016 (-7.7%). Sertraline was the most frequently prescribed in adolescents (2009: 22.2% of all ATD prescriptions; 2016: 32.9%), whereas amitriptyline was the most prescribed in children (2009: 42.7% and 2016: 41.2%). Off-label use decreased in adolescents (from 48.4% to 34.8%) but increased in children (from 10.0% to 26.5%).

IMPLICATIONS/CONCLUSIONS

Antidepressant level of use in French children and adolescents was stable in recent years and lower than that observed in other European countries and the United States.