The metabolome as a diagnostic for maximal aerobic capacity during exercise in type 1 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Our aim was to characterise the in-depth metabolic response to aerobic exercise and the impact of residual pancreatic beta cell function in type 1 diabetes. We also aimed to use the metabolome to distinguish individuals with type 1 diabetes with reduced maximal aerobic capacity in exercise defined byV ˙ O 2peak .

METHODS

Thirty participants with type 1 diabetes (≥3 years duration) and 30 control participants were recruited. Groups did not differ in age or sex. After quantification of peak stimulated C-peptide, participants were categorised into those with undetectable (<3 pmol/l), low (3-200 pmol/l) or high (>200 pmol/l) residual beta cell function. Maximal aerobic capacity was assessed byV ˙ O 2peak test and did not differ between control and type 1 diabetes groups. All participants completed 45 min of incline treadmill walking (60%V ˙ O 2peak ) with venous blood taken prior to exercise, immediately post exercise and after 60 min recovery. Serum was analysed using targeted metabolomics. Metabolomic data were analysed by multivariate statistics to define the metabolic phenotype of exercise in type 1 diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to identify circulating metabolomic markers of maximal aerobic capacity (V ˙ O 2peak ) during exercise in health and type 1 diabetes.

RESULTS

Maximal aerobic capacity (V ˙ O 2peak ) inversely correlated with HbA1c in the type 1 diabetes group (r2=0.17, p=0.024). Higher resting serum tricarboxylic acid cycle metabolites malic acid (fold change 1.4, p=0.001) and lactate (fold change 1.22, p=1.23×10-5) differentiated people with type 1 diabetes. Higher serum acylcarnitines (AC) (AC C14:1, F value=12.25, p=0.001345; AC C12, F value=11.055, p=0.0018) were unique to the metabolic response to exercise in people with type 1 diabetes. C-peptide status differentially affected metabolic responses in serum ACs during exercise (AC C18:1, leverage 0.066; squared prediction error 3.07). The malic acid/pyruvate ratio in rested serum was diagnostic for maximal aerobic capacity (V ˙ O 2peak ) in people with type 1 diabetes (ROC curve AUC 0.867 [95% CI 0.716, 0.956]).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

The serum metabolome distinguishes high and low maximal aerobic capacity and has diagnostic potential for facilitating personalised medicine approaches to manage aerobic exercise and fitness in type 1 diabetes.

Adapting to compromised routines: Parental perspectives on physical activity and health for children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in the UK during COVID-19 lockdown

PURPOSE

To determine how COVID-19 lockdown impacted physical activity (PA) levels, wellbeing, and diabetes management in children (aged 0-17 years) with type 1 diabetes (T1D), from the perspectives of their parent/guardian.

DESIGN AND METHODS

This qualitative descriptive study is part of a larger, parallel mixed-methods design study, which incorporated a cross-sectional survey and semi-structured one-to-one interviews. Interviewees were recruited from the survey, which was distributed to parents of children/adolescents with T1D in the UK. Interviews explored diabetes management, mental and physical wellbeing, changes in PA levels, sleep quality before/during lockdown, and the effects of lockdown on the individual and their family. The interviews were transcribed and the data were analysed thematically.

RESULTS

14 interviews were conducted with parents. Thematic analysis generated a central theme of routine disruption, with four further themes on diabetes management routines, harnessing the opportunities of lockdown, weighing up risk, and variable impact on wellbeing.

CONCLUSIONS

Maintaining or increasing PA during COVID-19 lockdown was associated with better diabetes management, sleep, and wellbeing for children/adolescents with T1D, despite significant disruption to established routines. Use of technology during the pandemic contributed positively to wellbeing.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

It is crucial to emphasize the significance of maintaining a well-structured routine when treating patients with type 1 diabetes. A consistent routine, incorporating regular physical exercise and good sleep hygiene, will help with managing overall diabetes control.

Clinical Outcomes of Renal Transplant Recipients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

BACKGROUND

Clinical outcomes of patients with renal transplant (RT) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remain poorly elucidated.

METHOD

Between 2014 and 2021, data were analysed for the following three groups of patients undergoing PCI enrolled in a multicentre Australian registry: (1) RT recipients (n=226), (2) patients on dialysis (n=992), and (3) chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], 30‒60 mL/min per 1.73 m2) without previous RT (n=15,534). Primary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs)-composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, target vessel revascularisation, and stroke.

RESULTS

RT recipients were younger than dialysis and patients with CKD (61±10 vs 68±12 vs 78±8.2 years, p<0.001). Patients with RT less frequently had severe left ventricular dysfunction compared with dialysis and CKD groups (6.7% vs 14% and 8.5%); however more, often presented with acute coronary syndrome (58% vs 52% and 48%), especially STEMI (all p<0.001). Patients with RT and CKD had lower rates of 30-day MACCE (4.4% and 6.8% vs 11.6%, p<0.001) than the dialysis group. Three-year survival was similar between RT and CKD groups, however was lower in the dialysis group (80% and 83% vs 60%, p<0.001). After adjustment, dialysis was an independent predictor of 30-day MACCE (odds ratio [OR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44‒2.50, p<0.001), however RT was not (OR 0.91, CI 0.42‒1.96, p=0.802). Both RT (hazard ratio [HR] 2.07, CI 1.46‒2.95, p<0.001) and dialysis (HR 1.35, CI 1.02‒1.80, p=0.036) heightened the hazard of long-term mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

RT recipients have more favourable clinical outcomes following PCI compared with patients on dialysis. However, despite having similar short-term outcomes to patients with CKD, the hazard of long-term mortality is significantly greater for RT recipients.

No-Reflow Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome During Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: The NORPACS Risk Score

BACKGROUND

Suboptimal coronary reperfusion (no reflow) is common in acute coronary syndrome percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and is associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinical risk score for angiographic no reflow for use following angiography and before PCI.

METHODS

We developed and externally validated a logistic regression model for prediction of no reflow among adult patients undergoing PCI for acute coronary syndrome using data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI registry (2005-2020; development cohort) and the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society PCI registry (2006-2020; external validation cohort).

RESULTS

A total of 30 561 patients (mean age, 64.1 years; 24% women) were included in the Melbourne Interventional Group development cohort and 440 256 patients (mean age, 64.9 years; 27% women) in the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society external validation cohort. The primary outcome (no reflow) occurred in 4.1% (1249 patients) and 9.4% (41 222 patients) of the development and validation cohorts, respectively. From 33 candidate predictor variables, 6 final variables were selected by an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model for inclusion (cardiogenic shock, ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction with symptom onset >195 minutes pre-PCI, estimated stent length ≥20 mm, vessel diameter <2.5 mm, pre-PCI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow <3, and lesion location). Model discrimination was very good (development C statistic, 0.808; validation C statistic, 0.741) with excellent calibration. Patients with a score of ≥8 points had a 22% and 27% risk of no reflow in the development and validation cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The no-reflow prediction in acute coronary syndrome risk score is a simple count-based scoring system based on 6 parameters available before PCI to predict the risk of no reflow. This score could be useful in guiding preventative treatment and future trials.

Multi-Centre UK Analysis of Simultaneous Pancreas and Kidney (SPK) Transplant in Recipients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

90% of the UK diabetic population are classified as T2DM. This study aims to compare outcomes after SPK transplant between recipients with T1DM or T2DM. Data on all UK SPK transplants from 2003-2019 were obtained from the NHSBT Registry (n = 2,236). Current SPK transplant selection criteria for T2DM requires insulin treatment and recipient BMI < 30 kg/m2. After exclusions (re-transplants/ambiguous type of diabetes) we had a cohort of n = 2,154. Graft (GS) and patient (PS) survival analyses were conducted using Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox-regression models. Complications were compared using chi-squared analyses. 95.6% of SPK transplants were performed in recipients with T1DM (n = 2,060). Univariate analysis showed comparable outcomes for pancreas GS at 1 year (p = 0.120), 3 years (p = 0.237), and 10 years (p = 0.196) and kidney GS at 1 year (p = 0.438), 3 years (p = 0.548), and 10 years (p = 0.947). PS was comparable at 1 year (p = 0.886) and 3 years (p = 0.237) and at 10 years (p = 0.161). Multi-variate analysis showed comparable outcomes in pancreas GS (p = 0.564, HR 1.221, 95% CI 0.619, 2.406) and PS(p = 0.556, HR 1.280, 95% CI 0.563, 2.911). Comparable rates of common complications were demonstrated. This is the largest series outside of the US evaluating outcomes after SPK transplants and shows similar outcomes between T1DM and T2DM recipients. It is hoped dissemination of this data will lead to increased referral rates and assessment of T2DM patients who could benefit from SPK transplantation.

Novel therapeutic targets and emerging treatments for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Even with excellent control of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, adverse cardiovascular events remain a significant clinical problem worldwide, including among those without any traditional ASCVD risk factors. It is necessary to identify novel sources of residual risk and to develop targeted strategies that address them. Lipoprotein(a) has become increasingly recognized as a new cardiovascular risk determinant. Large-scale clinical trials have also signalled the potential additive cardiovascular benefits of decreasing triglycerides beyond lowering LDL-C levels. Since CANTOS (Anti-inflammatory Therapy with Canakinumab for Atherosclerotic Disease) demonstrated that antibodies against interleukin-1β may decrease recurrent cardiovascular events in secondary prevention, various anti-inflammatory medications used for rheumatic conditions and new monoclonal antibody therapeutics have undergone rigorous evaluation. These data build towards a paradigm shift in secondary ASCVD prevention, underscoring the value of targeting multiple biological pathways in the management of both lipid levels and systemic inflammation. Evolving knowledge of the immune system, and the gut microbiota may result in opportunities for modifying previously unrecognized sources of residual inflammatory risk. This review provides an overview of novel therapeutic targets for ASCVD and emerging treatments with a focus on mechanisms, efficacy, and safety.

Clinical Features and Outcomes Among Patients With Refractory Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest and an Initial Shockable Rhythm

BACKGROUND

Clinical features among patients with refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and initial shockable rhythms of ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia are not well-characterized.

METHODS

We compared clinical characteristics and coronary angiographic findings between patients with refractory OHCA (incessant ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia after ≥3 direct-current shocks) and those without refractory OHCA.

RESULTS

Between 2014 and 2018, a total of 204 patients with ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia OHCA (median age 62; males 78%) were divided into groups with (36%, 74/204) and without refractory arrest (64%, 130/204). Refractory OHCA patients had longer cardiopulmonary resuscitation (23 versus 15 minutes), more frequently required ≥450 mg amiodarone (34% versus 3.8%), and had cardiogenic shock (80% versus 55%) necessitating higher adrenaline dose (4.0 versus 1.0 mg) and higher rates of mechanical ventilation (92% versus 74%; all P<0.01). Of 167 patients (82%) selected for coronary angiography, 33% (n=55) had refractory OHCA (P=0.035). Significant coronary artery disease (≥1 major vessel with >70% stenosis) was present in >70% of patients. Refractory OHCA patients frequently had acute coronary occlusion (64% versus 47%), especially left circumflex (20% versus 6.4%) and graft vessel (7.3% versus 0.9%; all P<0.05) compared with those without refractory OHCA. Refractory OHCA group had higher in-hospital mortality (45% versus 30%, P=0.036) and greater new requirement for dialysis (18% versus 6.3%, P=0.011). After adjustment, refractory OHCA was associated with over 2-fold higher odds of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.06-4.89]; P=0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

Refractory ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia OHCA was associated with more intensive resuscitation, higher rates of acute coronary occlusion, and poorer in-hospital outcomes, underscoring the need for future studies in this extreme-risk subgroup.

Effect of Concomitant Cardiac Arrest on Outcomes in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome-Related Cardiogenic Shock

Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS)-related cardiogenic shock (CS) with or without concomitant CA may have disparate prognoses. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with CS secondary to ACS with and without cardiac arrest (CA). Between 2014 and 2020, 1,573 patients with ACS-related CS with or without CA who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention enrolled in a multicenter Australian registry were analyzed. Primary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, target vessel revascularization and stroke). Long-term mortality was obtained through linkage to the National Death Index. Compared with the no-CA group (n = 769, 49%), the CA group (n = 804, 51%) was younger (62 vs 69 years, p <0.001) and had fewer comorbidities. Patients with CA more frequently had ST-elevation myocardial infarction (92% vs 86%), occluded left anterior descending artery (43% vs 33%), and severe preprocedural renal impairment (49% vs 42%) (all p <0.001). CA increased risk of 30-day MACCE by 45% (odds ratio 1.45, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 2.00, p = 0.024) after adjustment. CA group had higher 30-day MACCE (55% vs 42%, p <0.001) and mortality (52% vs 37%, p <0.001). Three-year survival was lower for CA compared with no-CA patients (43% vs 52%, p <0.001). In Cox regression, CS with CA was associated with a trend toward greater long-term mortality hazard (hazard ratio 1.19, 95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.41, p = 0.055). In conclusion, concomitant CA among patients with ACS-related CS conferred a particularly heightened short-term risk with a diminishing legacy effect over time for mortality. CS survivors continue to exhibit high sustained long-term mortality hazard regardless of CA status.

Trends in Intra-Aortic Balloon Pump Use in Cardiogenic Shock After the SHOCK-II Trial

Myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock (MI-CS) has a poor prognosis, even with early revascularization. Previously, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use was thought to improve outcomes, but the IABP-SHOCK-II (Intra-aortic Balloon Pump in Cardiogenic Shock-II study) trial found no survival benefit. We aimed to determine the trends in IABP use in patients who underwent percutaneous intervention over time. Data were taken from patients in the Melbourne Interventional Group registry (2005 to 2018) with MI-CS who underwent percutaneous intervention. The primary outcome was the trend in IABP use over time. The secondary outcomes included 30-day mortality and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs). Of the 1,110 patients with MI-CS, IABP was used in 478 patients (43%). IABP was used more in patients with left main/left anterior descending culprit lesions (62% vs 46%), lower ejection fraction (<35%; 18% vs 11%), and preprocedural inotrope use (81% vs 73%, all p <0.05). IABP use was associated with higher bleeding (18% vs 13%) and 30-day MACCE (58% vs 51%, both p <0.05). The rate of MI-CS per year increased over time; however, after 2012, there was a decrease in IABP use (p <0.001). IABP use was a predictor of 30-day MACCE (odds ratio 1.6, 95% confidence interval 1.18 to 2.29, p = 0.003). However, IABP was not associated with in-hospital, 30-day, or long-term mortality (45% vs 47%, p = 0.44; 46% vs 50%, p = 0.25; 60% vs 62%, p = 0.39). In conclusion, IABP was not associated with reduced short- or long-term mortality and was associated with increased short-term adverse events. IABP use is decreasing but is predominately used in sicker patients with greater myocardium at risk.

Issues in Medicine

Rasmussen aneurysms are abnormalities of the pulmonary arterial system caused by tuberculosis (TB). They are associated with a highmortality rate when they cause life-threatening haemoptysis. High TB-prevalence regions have a large burden of TB-related haemoptysisbut often limited resources. This series of 25 patients who presented with life-threatening haemoptysis from current and/or previous TBwere found to have abnormal pulmonary arteries on computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA), which were judged to belikely contributors to their bleeding, either in isolation or with concomitant abnormal bronchial or systemic vasculature. These patientsunderwent transcatheter placement of Amplatzer vascular plugs in the feeder pulmonary artery. Bronchial and systemic lesions wereaddressed separately as needed. Immediate technical success was achieved in all patients, but four of them experienced intraoperativehaemoptysis related to dislodgement of the occluding platelet plug by the high-pressure automatic injector and wire. At 48 hours after theprocedure, 18 (72%) remained haemoptysis-free. Six of these experienced recurrence within 1 year of their procedure. Pulmonary arteryplacement of an Amplatzer vascular plug is a feasible option for treating bleeding Rasmussen aneurysms, but should be part of a combinedapproach to addressing suspected culprit vascular lesions in all intrathoracic vascular systems.

Governing partnerships with technology companies as part of the COVID-19 response in Canada: A qualitative case study

Cross-sector partnerships are vital for maintaining resilient health systems; however, few studies have sought to empirically assess the barriers and enablers of effective and responsible partnerships during public health emergencies. Through a qualitative, multiple case study, we analyzed 210 documents and conducted 26 interviews with stakeholders in three real-world partnerships between Canadian health organizations and private technology startups during the COVID-19 pandemic. The three partnerships involved: 1) deploying a virtual care platform to care for COVID-19 patients at one hospital, 2) deploying a secure messaging platform for physicians at another hospital, and 3) using data science to support a public health organization. Our results demonstrate that a public health emergency created time and resource pressures throughout a partnership. Given these constraints, early and sustained alignment on the core problem was critical for success. Moreover, governance processes designed for normal operations, such as procurement, were triaged and streamlined. Social learning, or the process of learning from observing others, offset some time and resource pressures. Social learning took many forms ranging from informal conversations between individuals at peer organisations (e.g., hospital chief information officers) to standing meetings at the local university's city-wide COVID-19 response table. We also found that startups' flexibility and understanding of the local context enabled them to play a highly valuable role in emergency response. However, pandemic fueled "hypergrowth" created risks for startups, such as introducing opportunities for deviation away from their core value proposition. Finally, we found each partnership navigated intense workloads, burnout, and personnel turnover through the pandemic. Strong partnerships required healthy, motivated teams. Visibility into and engagement in partnership governance, belief in partnership impact, and strong emotional intelligence in managers promoted team well-being. Taken together, these findings can help to bridge the theory-to-practice gap and guide effective cross-sector partnerships during public health emergencies.

Incidence, predictors and clinical implications of new renal impairment following percutaneous coronary intervention

Background

Renal impairment post-percutaneous coronary intervention (post-PCI) is a well-described adverse effect following the administration of contrast media. Within a large cohort of registry patients, we aimed to explore the incidence, predictors and clinical outcomes of renal impairment post-PCI.

Methods

The Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry is an Australian state-based clinical quality registry focusing on collecting data from all PCI capable centres. Data from 36 970 consecutive PCI cases performed between 2014 and 2018 were analysed. Patients were separated into three groups based on post-procedure creatinine levels (new renal impairment (NRI), defined as an absolute rise in serum creatinine>44.2 µmol/L or>25% of baseline creatinine; new renal impairment requiring dialysis (NDR), defined as worsening renal failure that necessitated a new requirement for renal dialysis; no NRI). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the impact of NRI and NDR on clinical outcomes.

Results

3.1% (n=1134) of patients developed NRI, with an additional 0.6% (n=225) requiring dialysis. 96.3% (n=35 611) of patients did not develop NRI. Those who developed renal impairment were more comorbid, with higher rates of diabetes (22% vs 38% vs 38%, p<0.001), peripheral vascular disease (3.4% vs 8.2% vs 11%, p<0.001), chronic kidney disease (19% vs 49.7% vs 54.2%) and severe left ventricular dysfunction (5% vs 22% vs 40%, p<0.001). Multivariable analysis found that when compared with the no NRI group, those in the combined NRI/NDR group were at a greater risk of 30-day mortality (OR 4.77; 95% CI 3.89 to 5.86, p<0.001) and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (OR 3.72; 95% CI 3.15 to 4.39, p<0.001).

Conclusions

NRI post-PCI remains a common occurrence, especially among comorbid patients, and is associated with a significantly increased morbidity and mortality risk.

Adverse Impact of Peri-Procedural Stroke in Patients Who Underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Peri-procedural stroke (PPS) is an important complication in patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The extent to which PPS impacts mortality and outcomes remains to be defined. Consecutive patients who underwent PCI enrolled in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (2014 to 2018) were categorized into PPS and no PPS groups. The primary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) (composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, and unplanned revascularization). Of 50,300 patients, PPS occurred in 0.26% patients (n = 133) (71% ischemic, and 29% hemorrhagic etiology). Patients who developed PPS were older (69 vs 66 years) compared with patients with no PPS, and more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (59% vs 29%), chronic kidney disease (33% vs 20%), and previous cerebrovascular disease (13% vs 3.6%), p <0.01. Among those with PPS, there was a higher frequency of presentation with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (49% vs 18%) and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (14% vs 2.2%), PCI by way of femoral access (59% vs 46%), and adjunctive thrombus aspiration (12% vs 3.6%), all p = <0.001. PPS was associated with incident 30-day MACE (odds ratio [OR] 2.97, 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 1.86 to 4.74, p <0.001) after multivariable adjustment. Utilizing inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis, PPS remained predictive of 30-day MACE (OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.80, p = 0.001) driven by higher 30-day mortality (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.35 to 2.96, p = 0.001). In conclusion, in this large, multi-center registry, the incidence of PPS was low; however, its clinical sequelae were significant, with a twofold increased risk of 30-day MACE and all-cause death.

O002 Diabetes-associated HLA donor genotypes and pancreas transplant outcomes

Introduction

The genotypes HLA DR3/DR4, DR3/DR3, DR4/DR4 are associated with a predisposition to diabetes. This study evaluated UK recipient outcomes after pancreas transplantation from donors with a diabetes-associated genotypes.

Methods

Data on all UK pancreas transplants from 2004–2019 was obtained from the NHSBT-UK Registry, n=2,938. HLA-DR type was recorded for all organ donors. Re-transplants and those missing patient (PS) or graft (GS) survival were excluded, resulting in a final cohort of n=2,661. We further delineated our categories into SPK, PTA and PAK as a previous study suggested different recipient categories may be adversely affected. Univariate analyses were conducted using Kaplan-Meier plots and multi-variate analysis using Cox-regression models. Complications were analysed using chi-squared analyses.

Results

The majority of grafts were from donors not associated with diabetes genotypes (90.1%, n=2397) whereas 5.4%(n=145) came from HLA DR3/DR4 donors, 1.6%(n=43) from DR3/DR3 and (n=76)2.9% from DR4/DR4. Comparable outcomes for GS at 1yr (SPK p=0.980, PTA p=0.759, PAK p=0.244) and 3yrs (SPK p=0.708, PTA p=0.744, PAK p=0.275) and PS at 1yr (SPK p=0.553, PTA p=0.527, PAK p=0.756) and 3yrs (SPK p=0.728, PTA p=0.928, PAK p=0.424) were seen. Multivariate analysis also showed no statistically significant difference in GS (p=0.604, HR 1.041, 95%CI 0.895, 1.211) or PS (p=0.623, HR 1.045, 95%CI 0.876, 1.248). There were comparable complication rates.

Conclusion

This multicentre UK study has found comparable survival outcomes and complication rates within our donor-HLA-genotype groups. We do not believe that the presence or absence of a diabetes associated HLA-genotype influences outcomes for any category of pancreas transplant.

Take-home message

We do not believe that the presence or absence of a diabetes-associated HLA-genotype influences outcomes for any category of pancreas transplant.

Equity-Mobilizing Partnerships in Community (EMPaCT): Co-Designing Patient Engagement to Promote Health Equity

Equity-Mobilizing Partnerships in Community (EMPaCT) is a novel approach to patient engagement that centres diverse lived experiences and promotes equity-oriented and inclusive partnerships. As an independent community table, EMPaCT is made up primarily of patients/diverse members of community. Researchers and other decision makers come to this table with their projects to learn how to make their project more inclusive and equitable. In this paper, we detail how we used participatory co-design to define, build and grow EMPaCT as an innovative and scalable patient partnership model that promotes bottom-up action for health equity.

Cell-free DNA analysis in current cancer clinical trials: a review

Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis represents a promising method for the diagnosis, treatment selection and clinical follow-up of cancer patients. Although its general methodological feasibility and usefulness has been demonstrated, several issues related to standardisation and technical validation must be addressed for its routine clinical application in cancer. In this regard, most cfDNA clinical applications are still limited to clinical trials, proving its value in several settings. In this paper, we review the current clinical trials involving cfDNA/ctDNA analysis and highlight those where it has been useful for patient stratification, treatment follow-up or development of novel approaches for early diagnosis. Our query included clinical trials, including the terms 'cfDNA', 'ctDNA', 'liquid biopsy' AND 'cancer OR neoplasm' in the FDA and EMA public databases. We identified 1370 clinical trials (FDA = 1129, EMA = 241) involving liquid-biopsy analysis in cancer. These clinical trials show promising results for the early detection of cancer and confirm cfDNA as a tool for real-time monitoring of acquired therapy resistance, accurate disease-progression surveillance and improvement of treatment, situations that result in a better quality of life and extended overall survival for cancer patients.

Type 1 Diabetes Patients With Different Residual Beta-Cell Function but Similar Age, HBA1c, and Cardiorespiratory Fitness Have Differing Exercise-Induced Angiogenic Cell Mobilisation

BACKGROUND

Many individuals with type 1 diabetes retain residual beta-cell function. Sustained endogenous insulin and C-peptide secretion is associated with reduced diabetes related complications, but underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Lower circulating numbers of endothelial and hematopoietic progenitor cells (EPCs and HPCs), and the inability to increase the count of these cells in response to exercise, are also associated with increased diabetes complications and cardiovascular disease. It is unknown whether residual beta-cell function influences HPCs and EPCs. Thus, this study examined the influence of residual beta-cell function in type 1 diabetes upon exercise-induced changes in haematopoietic (HPCs) and endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs).

METHODS

Participants with undetectable stimulated C-peptide (n=11; Cpep_und), 10 high C-peptide (Cpep_high; >200 pmol/L), and 11 non-diabetes controls took part in this observational exercise study, completing 45 minutes of intensive walking at 60% V˙O2peak . Clinically significant HPCs (CD34⁺) and EPCs (CD34⁺VEGFR2⁺) phenotypes for predicting future adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and subsequent cell surface expression of chemokine receptor 4 (CXCR4) and 7 (CXCR7), were enumerated at rest and immediately post-exercise by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Exercise increased HPCs and EPCs phenotypes similarly in the Cpep_high and control groups (+34-121% across phenotypes, p<0.04); but Cpep_und group did not significantly increase from rest, even after controlling for diabetes duration. Strikingly, the post-exercise Cpep_und counts were still lower than Cpep_high at rest.

CONCLUSIONS

Residual beta-cell function is associated with an intact exercise-induced HPCs and EPCs mobilisation. As key characteristics (age, fitness, HbA1c) were similar between groups, the mechanisms underpinning the absent mobilisation within those with negative C-peptide, and the vascular implications, require further investigation.

The Sociotechnical Ethics of Digital Health: A Critique and Extension of Approaches From Bioethics

The widespread adoption of digital technologies raises important ethical issues in health care and public health. In our view, understanding these ethical issues demands a perspective that looks beyond the technology itself to include the sociotechnical system in which it is situated. In this sense, a sociotechnical system refers to the broader collection of material devices, interpersonal relationships, organizational policies, corporate contracts, and government regulations that shape the ways in which digital health technologies are adopted and used. Bioethical approaches to the assessment of digital health technologies are typically confined to ethical issues raised by features of the technology itself. We suggest that an ethical perspective confined to functions of the technology is insufficient to assess the broader impact of the adoption of technologies on the care environment and the broader health-related ecosystem of which it is a part. In this paper we review existing approaches to the bioethics of digital health, and draw on concepts from design ethics and science & technology studies (STS) to critique a narrow view of the bioethics of digital health. We then describe the sociotechnical system produced by digital health technologies when adopted in health care environments, and outline the various considerations that demand attention for a comprehensive ethical analysis of digital health technologies in this broad perspective. We conclude by outlining the importance of social justice for ethical analysis from a sociotechnical perspective.

Ethics and Values in Design: A Structured Review and Theoretical Critique

A variety of approaches have appeared in academic literature and in design practice representing "ethics-first" methods. These approaches typically focus on clarifying the normative dimensions of design, or outlining strategies for explicitly incorporating values into design. While this body of literature has developed considerably over the last 20 years, two themes central to the endeavour of ethics and values in design (E + VID) have yet to be systematically discussed in relation to each other: (a) designer agency, and (b) the strength of normative claims informing the design process. To address this gap, we undertook a structured review of leading E + VID approaches and critiques, and classified them according to their positions on normative strength, and views regarding designer agency. We identified 18 distinct approaches and 13 critiques that met the inclusion criteria for our review. Included papers were distributed across the spectrum of views regarding normative strength, and we found that no approaches and only one critique represented a view characteristic of "low" designer agency. We suggest that the absence of "low" designer agency approaches results in the neglect of crucial influences on design as targets of intervention by designers. We conclude with suggestions for future research that might illuminate strategies to achieve ethical design in information mature societies, and argue that without attending to the tensions raised by balancing normatively "strong" visions of the future with limitations imposed on designer agency in corporate-driven design settings, "meaningful" ethical design will continue to encounter challenges in practice.

Type 1 diabetes patients increase CXCR4+ and CXCR7+ haematopoietic and endothelial progenitor cells with exercise, but the response is attenuated

Exercise mobilizes angiogenic cells, which stimulate vascular repair. However, limited research suggests exercise-induced increase of endothelial progenitor cell (EPCs) is completely lacking in type 1 diabetes (T1D). Clarification, along with investigating how T1D influences exercise-induced increases of other angiogenic cells (hematopoietic progenitor cells; HPCs) and cell surface expression of chemokine receptor 4 (CXCR4) and 7 (CXCR7), is needed. Thirty T1D patients and 30 matched non-diabetes controls completed 45 min of incline walking. Circulating HPCs (CD34⁺, CD34⁺CD45^dim) and EPCs (CD34⁺VEGFR2⁺, CD34⁺CD45^dimVEGFR2⁺), and subsequent expression of CXCR4 and CXCR7, were enumerated by flow cytometry at rest and post-exercise. Counts of HPCs, EPCs and expression of CXCR4 and CXCR7 were significantly lower at rest in the T1D group. In both groups, exercise increased circulating angiogenic cells. However, increases was largely attenuated in the T1D group, up to 55% lower, with CD34⁺ (331 ± 437 Δcells/mL vs. 734 ± 876 Δcells/mL p = 0.048), CD34⁺VEGFR2⁺ (171 ± 342 Δcells/mL vs. 303 ± 267 Δcells/mL, p = 0.006) and CD34⁺VEGFR2⁺CXCR4⁺ (126 ± 242 Δcells/mL vs. 218 ± 217 Δcells/mL, p = 0.040) significantly lower. Exercise-induced increases of angiogenic cells is possible in T1D patients, albeit attenuated compared to controls. Decreased mobilization likely results in reduced migration to, and repair of, vascular damage, potentially limiting the cardiovascular benefits of exercise.Trial registration: ISRCTN63739203.

New insights into spontaneous pneumothorax: A review

A spontaneous pneumothorax is a pneumothorax that does not arise from trauma or an iatrogenic cause. Although the traditional classification of either primary or secondary spontaneous pneumothorax based on the absence or presence of overt underlying lung disease is still widely used, it is now well recognised that primary spontaneous pneumothorax is associated with underlying pleuropulmonary disease. Current evidence indicates that computed tomography screening for underlying disease should be considered in patients who present with spontaneous pneumothorax. Recent evidence suggests that conservative management has similar recurrence rates, less complications and shorter hospital stay compared with invasive interventions, even in large primary spontaneous pneumothoraces of >50%. A more conservative approach which is based on clinical assessment rather than pneumothorax size can thus be followed during the acute management in selected stable patients. The purpose of this review is to revisit the aetiology of spontaneous pneumothorax, identify which patients should be investigated for secondary causes and to give an overview of the management strategies at initial presentation as well as secondary prevention.

Autoreactive T cell profiles are altered following allogeneic islet transplantation with alemtuzumab induction and re-emerging phenotype is associated with graft function

Islet transplantation is an effective therapy for life-threatening hypoglycemia, but graft function gradually declines over time in many recipients. We characterized islet-specific T cells in recipients within an islet transplant program favoring alemtuzumab (ATZ) lymphodepleting induction and examined associations with graft function. Fifty-eight recipients were studied: 23 pretransplant and 40 posttransplant (including 5 with pretransplant phenotyping). The proportion with islet-specific T cell responses was not significantly different over time (pre-Tx: 59%; 1-6 m posttransplant: 38%; 7-12 m: 44%; 13-24 m: 47%; and >24 m: 45%). However, phenotype shifted significantly, with IFN-γ-dominated response in the pretransplant group replaced by IL-10-dominated response in the 1-6 m posttransplant group, reverting to predominantly IFN-γ-oriented response in the >24 m group. Clustering analysis of posttransplant responses revealed two main agglomerations, characterized by IFN-γ and IL-10 phenotypes, respectively. IL-10-oriented posttransplant response was associated with relatively low graft function. Recipients within the IL-10⁺ cluster had a significant decline in C-peptide levels in the period preceding the IL-10 response, but stable graft function following the response. In contrast, an IFN-γ response was associated with subsequently decreased C-peptide. Islet transplantation favoring ATZ induction is associated with an initial altered islet-specific T cell phenotype but reversion toward pretransplant profiles over time. Posttransplant autoreactive T cell phenotype may be a predictor of subsequent graft function.

Effect of Age on Clinical Outcomes in Elderly Patients (>80 Years) Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Insights From a Multi-Centre Australian PCI Registry

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effect of age in an all-comers population undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

BACKGROUND

Age is an important consideration in determining appropriateness for invasive cardiac assessment and perceived clinical outcomes.

METHODS

We analysed data from 29,012 consecutive patients undergoing PCI in the Melbourne Interventional Group (MIG) registry between 2005 and 2017. 25,730 patients <80 year old (78% male, mean age 62±10 years; non-elderly cohort) were compared to 3,282 patients ≥80 year old (61% male, mean age 84±3 years; elderly cohort).

RESULTS

The elderly cohort had greater prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and previous myocardial infarction (all p<0.001). Elderly patients were more likely to present with acute coronary syndromes, left ventricular ejection fraction <45% and chronic kidney disease (p<0.0001). In-hospital, 30-day and long-term all-cause mortality (over a median of 3.6 and 5.1 years for elderly and non-elderly cohorts, respectively) were higher in the elderly cohort (5.2% vs. 1.9%; 6.4% vs. 2.2%; and 43% vs. 14% respectively, all p<0.0001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30 mL/min/1.73 m² (HR 3.8, 95% CI: 3.4-4.3), cardiogenic shock (HR 3.0, 95% CI: 2.6-3.4), ejection fraction <30% (HR 2.5, 95% CI: 2.1-2.9); and age ≥80 years (HR 2.8, 95% CI: 2.6-3.1) were independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality (all p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The elderly cohort is a high-risk group of patients with increasing age being associated with poorer long-term mortality. Age, thus, should be an important consideration when individualising treatment in elderly patients.

Contemporary Management of Heart Failure in Patients With Diabetes

Both heart failure and diabetes are increasing in prevalence in Western communities. The interrelationship between these two conditions is well known, with conventional heart failure therapies including several newer drug classes providing benefit to subjects with diabetes. Furthermore, several of the more recently introduced medications for type 2 diabetes have resulted in significant cardiovascular morbidity and mortality benefits with a marked improvement in heart failure symptoms and hospital presentations as well as deaths. This review outlines current therapies used to treat patients with or at risk for heart failure and their particular role in subjects with diabetes. Newer therapies, including certain glucose-lowering medications and their benefits in treating heart failure patients with and without diabetes, are also discussed. Finally, heart failure is also observed in long-duration, aging patients with type 1 diabetes, but this clinical issue has not been as extensively explored as in patients with type 2 diabetes and warrants further clinical investigation.

Bone turnover and metabolite responses to exercise in people with and without long-duration type 1 diabetes: a case-control study

INTRODUCTION

Exercise acutely alters markers of bone resorption and formation. As risk of fracture is increased in patients with type 1 diabetes, understanding if exercise-induced bone turnover is affected within this population is prudent. We assessed bone turnover responses to acute exercise in individuals with long-duration type 1 diabetes and matched controls.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Participants with type 1 diabetes (n=15; age: 38.7±13.3; glycosylated hemoglobin: 60.5±6.7 mmol/mol; diabetes duration: 19.3±11.4 years) and age-matched, fitness-matched, and body mass index-matched controls (n=15) completed 45 min of incline walking (60% peak oxygen uptake). Blood samples were collected at baseline and immediately, 30 min, and 60 min postexercise. Markers of bone resorption (β-C-terminal cross-linked telopeptide of type 1 collagen, β-CTx) and formation (procollagen type-1 amino-terminal propeptide, P1NP), parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphate, and calcium (albumin-adjusted and ionized) were measured. Data (mean±SD) were analyzed by a mixed-model analysis of variance.

RESULTS

Baseline concentrations of P1NP and β-CTx were comparable between participants with type 1 diabetes and controls. P1NP did not change with exercise (p=0.20) but β-CTx decreased (p<0.001) in both groups, but less so in participants with type 1 diabetes compared with controls (-9.2±3.7%; p=0.02). PTH and phosphate increased immediately postexercise in both groups; only PTH was raised at 30 min postexercise (p<0.001), with no between-group differences (p>0.39). Participants with type 1 diabetes had reduced albumin and ionized calcium at all sample points (p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Following exercise, participants with type 1 diabetes displayed similar time-course changes in markers of bone formation and associated metabolites, but an attenuated suppression in bone resorption. The reduced albumin and ionized calcium may have implications for future bone health. Further investigation of the interactions between type 1 diabetes, differing modalities and intensities of exercise, and bone health is warranted.

Social license for the use of big data in the COVID-19 era

Strategies to enable the reopening of businesses and schools in countries emerging from social-distancing measures revolve around knowledge of who has COVID-19 or is displaying recognized symptoms, the people with whom they have had physical contact, and which groups are most likely to experience adverse outcomes. Efforts to clarify these issues are drawing on the collection and use of large datasets about peoples' movements and their health. In this Comment, we outline the importance of earning social license for public approval of big data initiatives, and specify principles of data law and data governance practices that can promote social license. We provide illustrative examples from the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

Postexercise Glycemic Control in Type 1 Diabetes Is Associated With Residual β-Cell Function

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the impact of residual β-cell function on continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) outcomes following acute exercise in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Thirty participants with T1D for ≥3 years were recruited. First, participants wore a blinded CGM unit for 7 days of free-living data capture. Second, a 3-h mixed-meal test assessed stimulated C-peptide and glucagon. Peak C-peptide was used to allocate participants into undetectable (Cpep_und <3 pmol/L), low (Cpep_low 3-200 pmol/L), or high (Cpep_high >200 pmol/L) C-peptide groups. Finally, participants completed 45 min of incline treadmill walking at 60% VO_2peak followed by a further 48-h CGM capture.

RESULTS

CGM parameters were comparable across groups during the free-living observation week. In the 12- and 24-h postexercise periods (12 h and 24 h), the Cpep_high group had a significantly greater amount of time spent with glucose 3.9-10 mmol/L (12 h, 73.5 ± 27.6%; 24 h, 76.3 ± 19.2%) compared with Cpep_low (12 h, 43.6 ± 26.1%, P = 0.027; 24 h, 52.3 ± 25.0%, P = 0.067) or Cpep_und (12 h, 40.6 ± 17.0%, P = 0.010; 24 h, 51.3 ± 22.3%, P = 0.041). Time spent in hyperglycemia (12 h and 24 h glucose >10 and >13.9 mmol/L, P < 0.05) and glycemic variability (12 h and 24 h SD, P < 0.01) were significantly lower in the Cpep_high group compared with Cpep_und and Cpep_low. Change in CGM outcomes from pre-exercise to 24-h postexercise was divergent: Cpep_und and Cpep_low experienced worsening (glucose 3.9-10 mmol/L: -9.1% and -16.2%, respectively), with Cpep_high experiencing improvement (+12.1%) (P = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

Residual β-cell function may partially explain the interindividual variation in the acute glycemic benefits of exercise in individuals with T1D. Quantifying C-peptide could aid in providing personalized and targeted support for exercising patients.

Utility of balloon aortic valvuloplasty in the transcatheter aortic valve implantation era

BACKGROUND

Balloon aortic valvuloplasty (BAV) has seen renewed interest since the advent of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). The study aimed to characterise a contemporary BAV cohort and determinants of clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Patients undergoing BAV at a single tertiary centre were retrospectively reviewed over a 10-year period, and functional and mortality outcomes were reported with up to a 2-year follow-up.

RESULTS

224 patients (aged 82.5±8.3 years; 48% female) underwent BAV over the study period. Indications were either destination treatment (39%) or bridge-to-valve replacement (61%)-including bridge-to-decision (29%), symptom relief while on the waitlist (27%), and temporary contraindications to TAVI/aortic valve replacement (AVR) (5%). The mean reduction of aortic mean pressure gradient was 38%. Procedural mortality occurred in 0.5%, stroke in 1.3%, and major bleeding in 0.9%. Twelve-month mortality was 36% overall, and 26% and 50% in the bridging and destination groups, respectively. New York HeartAssociation (NYHA) class improved by ≥1 at 30 days in 50%. Among the bridge-to-TAVI/AVR group, 40% proceeded to TAVI/AVR within 12 months following BAV. In multivariate analysis, active malignancy at baseline (OR: 4.4, 95% CI: 1.3 to 15.1, p=0.02), smoking history (OR: 3.3, 95% CI: 1.3 to 7.9, p<0.01), LVEF ≤30% at baseline (OR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.3 to 7.6, p<0.01), destination treatment (OR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.0 to 4.9, p=0.04) were all associated with 12-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

BAV remains a useful procedure with relatively low rates of complications, however, 1-year mortality rates are high. Contemporary indications for BAV include a bridge to definitive valve replacement or destination treatment.

Incidence and risk factors for stroke following percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

Stroke rates and risk factors may change as percutaneous coronary intervention practice evolves and no data are available comparing stroke incidence after percutaneous coronary intervention to the general population.

AIMS

This study aimed to identify the incidence and risk factors for inpatient and subsequent stroke following percutaneous coronary intervention with comparison to age-matched controls.

METHODS

Data were prospectively collected from 22,618 patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention in the Melbourne Interventional Group registry (2005-2015). The cohort was compared to the North-East Melbourne Stroke Incidence Study population-based cohort (1997-1999) and predefined variables assessed for association with inpatient or outpatient stroke.

RESULTS

Inpatient stroke occurred in 0.33% (65.3% ischemic, 28.0% haemorrhagic, and 6.7% cause unknown), while outpatient stroke occurred in 0.55%. Inpatient and outpatient stroke were associated with higher rates of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular outcomes (p < 0.0001) and mortality (p < 0.0001), as well as 12-month mortality (p < 0.0001). Factors independently associated with inpatient stroke were renal impairment, ST-elevation myocardial infarction, previous stroke, left ventricular ejection fraction 30-45%, and female sex, while those associated with outpatient stroke were previous stroke, chronic lung disease, previous myocardial infarction, rheumatoid arthritis, female sex, and older age. Compared to the age-standardized population-based cohort, stroke rates in the 12 months following discharge were higher for percutaneous coronary intervention patients <65 years old, but lower for percutaneous coronary intervention patients ≥65 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of inpatient stroke following percutaneous coronary intervention appears to be largely associated with clinical status at presentation, while outpatient stroke relates more to age and chronic disease. Compared to the general population, outpatient stroke rates following percutaneous coronary intervention are higher for younger, but not older, patients.

ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) Patients Without Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factors-How Common Are They, and What Are Their Outcomes?

Background

Programs targeting the standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, smoking) are critical to tackling coronary heart disease at a community level. However, myocardial infarction in SMuRF‐less individuals is not uncommon. This study uses 2 sequential large, multicenter registries to examine the proportion and outcomes of SMuRF‐less ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients.

Methods and Results

We identified 3081 STEMI patients without a prior history of cardiovascular disease in the Australian GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) and CONCORDANCE (Cooperative National Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome Care) registries, encompassing 42 hospitals, between 1999 and 2017. We examined the proportion that were SMuRF‐less as well as outcomes. The primary outcome was in‐hospital mortality, and the secondary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (death, myocardial infarction, or heart failure, during the index admission). Multivariate regression models were used to identify predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events. Of STEMI patients without a prior history of cardiovascular disease 19% also had no history of SMuRFs. This proportion increased from 14% to 23% during the study period (P=0.0067). SMuRF‐less individuals had a higher in‐hospital mortality rate than individuals with 1 or more SMuRFs. There were no clinically significant differences in major adverse cardiovascular events at 6 months between the 2 groups.

Conclusions

A substantial and increasing proportion of STEMI presentations occur independently of SMuRFs. Discovery of new markers and mechanisms of disease beyond standard risk factors may facilitate novel preventative strategies. Studies to assess longer‐term outcomes of SMuRF‐less STEMI patients are warranted.

Utility of routine chest radiography in ocular tuberculosis and sarcoidosis

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) and sarcoidosis commonly present with pulmonary and ocular involvement. Routine chest radiography (CXR) is recommended in the workup for suspected intraocular TB (IOTB) or intraocular sarcoidosis (IOS); however, data on the utility of CXR in this setting are lacking.

METHODS

A post-hoc analysis was performed of a prospectively collected data set comprising 104 patients with uveitis of unknown cause. A pulmonologist and thoracic radiologist, blinded to the final diagnosis, independently reported these CXRs as being in keeping with TB or sarcoidosis.

RESULTS

CXRs were reported as normal/indeterminate (n = 88), probable/previous TB (n = 9) or possible/probable sarcoidosis (n = 8), with a 96% inter-observer concordance. CXRs were more often abnormal in IOS than in IOTB (5/8 vs. 5/34, P = 0.01). CXR had a sensitivity of 14.7%, specificity of 94.3%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 55.6% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 69.5% for IOTB, compared with a sensitivity of 62.5%, specificity of 96.9%, PPV of 62.5% and NPV of 96.9% for IOS. Overall diagnostic accuracy was 54.5% (58.1% in human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] positive participants) in the case of IOTB and 79.9% for IOS.

CONCLUSION

CXR had high specificity and NPV for IOS, and poor overall diagnostic accuracy for IOTB, including in the HIV-positive population.

The Impact of Out-of-Hours Presentation on Clinical Outcomes in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Systems of care have been established to ensure patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) get timely access to primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). In this study, we evaluated whether patients undergoing PPCI both in-hours and out-of-hours experience similar care and clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Of 9,865 patients who underwent PCI for STEMI from 2005 to 2016 and were enrolled in the multi-centre Melbourne Interventional Group registry, patients who had initially presented to a non-PCI capable hospital, received thrombolysis or presented >12hourspost-symptom onset were excluded. Our final study cohort of 4,590 patients were dichotomised by whether PPCI was performed in-hours or out-of-hours, and compared. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The in-hours group included 1,865 patients (40.6%) while 2,725 patients (59.4%) had out-of-hours PPCI. Patients presenting out-of-hours had longer median door-to-balloon time (DTBT; 83 [IQR 61-109] vs. 60 [IQR 41-88] mins, p<0.01) and were more likely to receive a drug-eluting stent (p=0.001). Procedural characteristics were otherwise similar although rates of radial access were low overall (18.4%). No differences in in-hospital, 30-day or 12-month mortality were observed between the groups (p=NS). On Cox proportional hazards modelling, out-of-hours presentation was not an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.71-1.22). A landmark analysis of data from 2012 did not change the primary outcome.

CONCLUSION

Despite a slightly longer DTBT, patients undergoing PPCI out-of-hours experienced similar care and clinical outcomes to the in-hours group. Given the majority of patients with STEMI present out-of-hours, these data have implications for STEMI systems of care.

Abstract P4-01-02: Early detection of residual breast cancer through a robust, scalable and personalized analysis of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) antedates overt metastatic recurrence

Background:

Many breast cancer patients relapse after primary treatment but there are no reliable tests to detect distant metastases before they become overt. Here we show earlier identification of recurring patients through a scalable personalised ctDNA analysis. The method is applicable to all patients, and not limited to hot-spot mutations typically detected by gene panels.

Methods:

Forty-nine non-metastatic breast cancer patients were recruited following surgery and adjuvant therapy. Plasma samples (n=208) were serially collected semi-annually. Using the analytically validated SignateraTM workflow, we determined mutational signatures from primary tumour whole exome data and designed personalised assays targeting 16 variants with high sensitivity by ultra-deep sequencing (average &gt;100,000X). The patient-specific assay was used to detect the presence of the mutational signature in the plasma.

Results:

In 16 of 18 (89%) clinically-relapsing patients, ctDNA was detected ahead of metastatic relapse being diagnosed by clinical examination, radiological and biochemical (CA15-3) measurements, and remained ctDNA-positive through follow-up. Of the 2 patients not detected by ctDNA, one had a small local recurrence only (now resected) and the other had three primary tumours. None of the 31 non-relapsing patients were ctDNA-positive at any time point (n=142). Metastatic relapse was predicted by Signatera with high accuracy and a lead time of up to 2 years (median=9.5 months).

Conclusions:

The use of a scalable patient-specific ctDNA-based validated workflow detects breast cancer recurrence ahead of clinical detection. Accurate and earlier prediction by ctDNA analysis could provide a means of monitoring breast cancer patients in need of second-line salvage adjuvant therapy in order to prevent overt life-threatening metastatic progression.

Citation Format: Coombes RC, Armstrong A, Ahmed S, Page K, Hastings RK, Salari R, Sethi H, Boydell A-R, Shchegrova SV, Fernandez-Garcia D, Gleason KL, Goddard K, Guttery DS, Assaf ZJ, Balcioglu M, Moore DA, Primrose L, Navarro SL, Aleshin A, Rehman F, Toghill BJ, Louie MC, Zimmermann BG, Lin C-HJ, Shaw JA. Early detection of residual breast cancer through a robust, scalable and personalized analysis of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) antedates overt metastatic recurrence [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-01-02.

Risk stratification for coronary artery disease in multi-ethnic populations: Are there broader considerations for cost efficiency?

Coronary artery disease (CAD) screening and diagnosis are core cardiac specialty services. From symptoms, autopsy correlations supported reductions in coronary blood flow and dynamic epicardial and microcirculatory coronaries artery disease as etiologies. While angina remains a clinical diagnosis, most cases require correlation with a diagnostic modality. At the onset of the evidence building process much research, now factored into guidelines were conducted among population and demographics that were homogenous and often prior to newer technologies being available. Today we see a more diverse multi-ethnic population whose characteristics and risks may not consistently match the populations from which guideline evidence is derived. While it would seem very unlikely that for the majority, scientific arguments against guidelines would differ, however from a translational perspective, there will be populations who differ and importantly there are cost-efficacy questions, e.g., the most suitable first-line tests or what parameters equate to an adequate test. This article reviews non-invasive diagnosis of CAD within the context of multi-ethnic patient populations.

Australian Trends in Procedural Characteristics and Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Over the last decade, systems of care for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have evolved to try to improve outcomes and timely access to percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). There have also been advances in PCI techniques and adjunctive pharmacotherapies. In this study, we sought to determine temporal changes in practices and clinical outcomes of PCI in patients with STEMI. We prospectively collected data on 8,412 consecutive patients undergoing PCI for STEMI between 2005 and 2016 in the multicenter Melbourne Interventional Group registry. Data were divided by procedure year for trends analysis. The primary end point was 30-day mortality. Patient demographics and comorbidities including smoking and diabetes have remained stable. The volume of primary PCI performed within 12 hours of symptom onset has significantly risen (65.7% to 80.1%, p < 0.01). The proportion of patients achieving the recommended door-to-balloon time ≤90 minutes has also risen (37.6% to 59.0%, p < 0.01). Patient complexity has also increased with more patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with STEMI now being treated with PCI (2.6% to 9.1%, p < 0.01). A shift from mainly femoral to radial access and from bare-metal to drug-eluting stent use was seen. Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors are being used less frequently with increasing use of newer antiplatelet agents. Thirty-day mortality has remained low throughout the study period at 6.5% overall. In conclusion, although timely access to primary PCI has improved, mortality rates have remained unchanged, but remain low and compare favorably with international data. Australian PCI practice has overall evolved in response to evidence and emergence of new adjunctive device and pharmacotherapies.

The institutional logic of integrated care: an ethnography of patient transitions

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to use theories of institutional logics and institutional entrepreneurship to examine how and why macro-, meso-, and micro-level influences inter-relate in the implementation of integrated transitional care out of hospital in the English National Health Service. Design/methodology/approach The authors conducted an ethnographic case study of a hospital and surrounding services within a large urban centre in England. Specific methods included qualitative interviews with patients/caregivers, health/social care providers, and organizational leaders; observations of hospital transition planning meetings, community "hub" meetings, and other instances of transition planning; reviews of patient records; and analysis of key policy documents. Analysis was iterative and informed by theory on institutional logics and institutional entrepreneurship. Findings Organizational leaders at the meso-level of health and social care promoted a partnership logic of integrated care in response to conflicting institutional ideas found within a key macro-level policy enacted in 2003 (The Community Care (Delayed Discharges) Act). Through institutional entrepreneurship at the micro-level, the partnership logic became manifest in the form of relationship work among health and social care providers; they sought to build strong interpersonal relationships to enact more integrated transitional care. Originality/value This study has three key implications. First, efforts to promote integrated care should strategically include institutional entrepreneurs at the organizational and clinical levels. Second, integrated care initiatives should emphasize relationship-building among health and social care providers. Finally, theoretical development on institutional logics should further examine the role of interpersonal relationships in facilitating the "spread" of logics between macro-, meso-, and micro-level influences on inter-organizational change.

Trends and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Revascularisation for ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Single Centre Experience

BACKGROUND

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) is the preferred therapy for patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We reviewed patients undergoing PCI for STEMI over a 6-year period to evaluate changes in procedural characteristics and clinical outcomes given recent changes to STEMI guidelines.

METHODS

All patients presenting to the Alfred Hospital, a tertiary referral hospital, between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2015 undergoing PCI for STEMI were identified. Detailed review of their procedure reports was performed and 30-day and 12-month clinical outcomes were recorded including major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

RESULTS

There was a total of 445 patients aged 60.6±12.4 years with 369 (82.9%) male. There was a significant increase in radial access use over the 6-year period 0/49 (0%) in 2010 vs 56/113 (49.6%) in 2015 (p<0.01). There was a significant reduction in the use of IIb/IIIa receptor antagonists during the period 29/49 (59%) in 2010 vs 24/113 (21%) in 2015 (p<0.01) and use of aspiration thrombectomy 15/49 (31%) in 2010 vs 19/113 (17%) in 2015 (p<0.01). There was no significant reduction in major bleeding over this period with 2/49 (4%) in 2010 vs 5/108 (5%) in 2015 (p=0.32). Thirty-day and 12-month mortality was also unchanged.

CONCLUSION

Between 2010 and 2015 there has been a significant increase in the use of radial access and a reduction in the use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa antagonists and aspiration thrombectomy in patients undergoing PPCI. This was not associated with changes in major bleeding or 30-day or 12-month mortality.

Gut microbiota of Type 1 diabetes patients with good glycaemic control and high physical fitness is similar to people without diabetes: an observational study

AIM

Type 1 diabetes is the product of a complex interplay between genetic susceptibility and exposure to environmental factors. Existing bacterial profiling studies focus on people who are most at risk at the time of diagnosis; there are limited data on the gut microbiota of people with long-standing Type 1 diabetes. This study compared the gut microbiota of patients with Type 1 diabetes and good glycaemic control and high levels of physical-fitness with that of matched controls without diabetes.

METHODS

Ten males with Type 1 diabetes and ten matched controls without diabetes were recruited; groups were matched for gender, age, BMI, peak oxygen uptake (VO_2max ), and exercise habits. Stool samples were analysed using next-generation sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene to obtain bacterial profiles from each individual. Phylogenetic investigation of communities by reconstruction of unobserved states (PICRUSt) was implemented to predict the functional content of the bacterial operational taxonomic units.

RESULTS

Faecalibacterium sp., Roseburia sp. and Bacteroides sp. were typically the most abundant members of the community in both patients with Type 1 diabetes and controls, and were present in every sample in the cohort. Each bacterial profile was relatively individual and no significant difference was reported between the bacterial profiles or the Shannon diversity indices of Type 1 diabetes compared with controls. The functional profiles were more conserved and the Type 1 diabetes group were comparable with the control group.

CONCLUSIONS

We show that both gut microbiota and resulting functional bacterial profiles from patients with long-standing Type 1 diabetes in good glycaemic control and high physical fitness levels are comparable with those of matched people without diabetes.