Selective Electrochemical Modification and Degradation of Polymers

We demonstrate that electrochemical-induced decarboxylation enables reliable post-polymerization modification and degradation of polymers. Polymers containing N-(acryloxy)phthalimides were subjected to electrochemical decarboxylation under mild conditions, which led to the formation of transient alkyl radicals. By installing these redox-active units, we systematically modified the pendent groups and chain ends of polyacrylates. This approach enabled the production of poly(ethylene-co-methyl acrylate) and poly(propylene-co-methyl acrylate) copolymers, which are difficult to synthesize by direct polymerization. Spectroscopic and chromatographic techniques reveal these transformations are near-quantitative on several polymer systems. Electrochemical decarboxylation also enables the degradation of all-methacrylate poly(N-(methacryloxy)phthalimide-co-methyl methacrylate) copolymers with a degradation efficiency of >95 %. Chain cleavage is achieved through the decarboxylation of the N-hydroxyphthalimide ester and subsequent β-scission of the backbone radical. Electrochemistry is thus shown to be a powerful tool in selective polymer transformations and controlled macromolecular degradation.

An Obesity-Centric Approach with and Without Anti-Obesity Medications Compared to the Usual-Care Approach to Management of Patients with Obesity and Type 2 Diabetes in an Employer Setting: A Pragmatic Randomized Controlled Trial (EMPOWER-T2D)

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to compare weight loss and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c)-reduction effects of two obesity-centric, weight-loss management approaches (with or without anti-obesity medication) versus usual glucose-centric care in patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Single-center, randomized, open-label, 3-armed, parallel-group, pragmatic, noninferiority trial, July 2020 to August 2022. Adults enrolled in the Cleveland Clinic Employee Health Plan (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 30 kg/m2, type 2 diabetes diagnosis, HbA1c > 7.5%) were randomized to usual glucose-centric management ("Usual-Care" group) or one of two obesity-centric management strategies: participation in a weight management program plus anti-obesity medication ("WMP + AOM" group), or WMP participation without anti-obesity medication ("WMP-Only" group). Primary endpoints were changes in weight and HbA1c, baseline to month 12.

RESULTS

Due to enrollment and retention challenges, largely related to COVID-19, only 74/300 planned participants were randomized and the study was terminated early. Participants were predominantly female (59%), median (interquartile range [IQR]) age 53.5 (47, 60) years, 68% white, with baseline median (IQR) BMI and HbA1c of 37.4 (34.2, 42.7) kg/m2 and 8.8% (7.9%, 10.4%), respectively. At month 12, mean (90% confidence interval [CI]) percentage weight change in the Usual-Care, WMP-Only, and WMP + AOM groups was - 4.5% (- 6.5%, - 2.5%), - 6.7% (- 8.7%, - 4.7%), and - 8.7% (- 10.7%, - 6.8%), respectively; mean (90% CI) HbA1c change was - 1.7% (- 2.1%, - 1.2%), - 2.2% (- 2.7%, - 1.8%), and - 2.2% (- 2.6%, - 1.7%), respectively. WMP + AOM was superior to Usual-Care for weight change (P = 0.02); both WMP + AOM and WMP-Only were noninferior (P ≤ 0.01) to Usual-Care for change in HbA1c.

CONCLUSIONS

Including anti-obesity medication was associated with superior weight loss with noninferior HbA1c reductions, warranting further evaluation in larger study populations of obesity-focused approaches to type 2 diabetes management. Graphical abstract available for this article.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03799198.

When I Am Asked: Lisel Mueller's Beginning in Poetry

Why does anyone write poetry? Lisel Mueller (1924-2020) was a poet, author, and translator with a long and much-decorated career. She and her family fled Nazi Germany in the 1930s and emigrated to the United States, where she would establish herself as a writer. The poem "When I Am Asked" describes the beginning of her journey into poetry, undertaken during a period of grief after the death of her mother. Her writing would come to include nine collections of poetry and myriad accolades, including the 1981 National Book Award and the 1997 Pulitzer Prize for Poetry. Though her ouvre is filled with evocative works, this piece stands out as particularly relevant to physicians and other writers who find solace by expressing themselves through the art of poetry.

Bulk Depolymerization of Methacrylate Polymers via Pendent Group Activation

In this study, we present an efficient approach for the depolymerization of poly(methyl methacrylate) (PMMA) copolymers synthesized via conventional radical polymerization. By incorporating low mol % phthalimide ester-containing monomers during the polymerization process, colorless and transparent polymers closely resembling unfunctionalized PMMA are obtained, which can achieve >95% reversion to methyl methacrylate (MMA). Notably, our catalyst-free bulk depolymerization method exhibits exceptional efficiency, even for high-molecular-weight polymers, including ultrahigh-molecular-weight (106-107 g/mol) PMMA, where near-quantitative depolymerization is achieved. Moreover, this approach yields polymer byproducts of significantly lower molecular weight, distinguishing it from bulk depolymerization methods initiated from chain ends. Furthermore, we extend our investigation to polymethacrylate networks, demonstrating high extents of depolymerization. This innovative depolymerization strategy offers promising opportunities for the development of sustainable polymethacrylate materials, holding great potential for various applications in polymer science.

Truman Capote as a Poet

Truman Capote (1924-1984) was a fascinating, entertaining, and much ballyhooed American character who came of age in the mid-Twentieth Century. Some would say he led a tragic life. Often described as a notable novelist, he was more generally a polymath dabbling in nonfiction between his parties. He also was a screenwriter, playwright, actor, and short-story writer. His literary classics include the novella Breakfast at Tiffany's (1958, movie 1961) and true crime nonfiction "novel" (as Capote described it) In Cold Blood (1965, movie 1967). These two efforts became his most famous. But what about his poetry? Was this one of his creative passions?

Old Ironsides

Dr. Oliver Wendell Holmes Sr. was a 19th century elite physician, curmudgeon, essayist, and poet. His works were numerous, insightful, entertaining, and characteristic of the pre-Civil War, Civil War, and Gilded age eras. Many of his shorter poems are taught in high school as examples of late 19th century works, as they are relatively easy to memorize and understand. Holmes and the Fireside Poets (Emerson, Longfellow, and Lowell, among others) created works that, in their time, were read aloud by fathers and mothers to their family because the poems often centered around values, morals, and historic events. "Old Ironsides" is characteristic of the type of work for which the Fireside Poets became famous. It is an entertaining poem to read, study, and hear, particularly when linking it to the oldest ship in the world, still afloat and sailing around Boston Bay.

Up-Hill: An Allegory

The Christina Rossetti poem "Up-Hill" (1862) is an exemplary poem of the Victorian era by one of the rare female poets of the time, including Emily Brontë, Elizabeth Browning, Katherine Tynan, and Alice Meynell. Rossetti, typical of the era and the Victorian genre, wrote allegories about faith and love. She came from a distinguished literary family. "Up-Hill" was one of her better-known works.

Photoassisted Radical Depolymerization

Controlled radical polymerization techniques enable the synthesis of polymers with predetermined molecular weights, narrow molecular weight distributions, and controlled architectures. Moreover, these polymerization approaches have been routinely shown to result in retained end-group functionality that can be reactivated to continue polymerization. However, reactivation of these end groups under conditions that instead promote depropagation is a viable route to initiate depolymerization and potentially enable closed-loop recycling from polymer to monomer. In this report, we investigate light as a trigger for thermal depolymerization of polymers prepared by reversible-addition-fragmentation chain-transfer (RAFT) polymerization. We study the role of irradiation wavelength by targeting the n → π* and π → π* electronic transitions of the thiocarbonylthio end-groups of RAFT-generated polymers to enhance depolymerization via terminal bond homolysis. Specifically, we explore depolymerization of polymers with trithiocarbonate, dithiocarbamate, and p-substituted dithiobenzoate end groups with the purpose of increasing depolymerization efficiency with light. As the wavelength decreases from the visible range to the UV range, the rate of depolymerization is dramatically increased. This method of photoassisted depolymerization allows up to 87% depolymerization efficiency within 1 h, results that may further the advancement of recyclable materials and life-cycle circularity.

Does Osler's Aequanimitas Inform Our Contemporary Pursuit of Stillness?

William Osler (1849-1919) was an academic physician who has been revered by many as an accomplished internist of his time. His contributions to the philosophy and practice of medicine foreground characteristics of a compassionate caregiver, including imperturbability and equanimity. This article defines these qualities, argues that Osler demonstrated both, and suggests how today's clinicians can apply these qualities to their own pursuits of stillness in their practices and relationships with patients.

Gertrude Stein: A Physician Who Wasn't to Be

After a tumultuous time in the United States, including flunking out of medical school in 1901, Gertrude Stein, an iconic American author, art lover, and critic, moved to Paris in 1903 as an avant garde modernist who became a leading and legendary guru in the Parisian art and literature world.

Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night

Do not go gentle into that good night,Old age should burn and rave at close of day;Rage, rage against the dying of the light.Though wise men at their end know dark is right,Because their works had forked no lightning theyDo not go gentle into that good night.Good men, the last wave by, crying how brightTheir frail deeds might have danced in a green bay,Rage, rage against the dying of the light.Wild men who caught and sang the sun in flight,And learn, too late, they grieved it on its way,Do not go gentle into that good night.Grave men, near death, who see with blinding sightBlind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay,Rage, rage against the dying of the light.And you, my father, there on the sad height,Curse, bless, me now with your fierce tears, I pray.Do not go gentle into that good night.Rage, rage against the dying of the light.Dylan ThomasThe Poems of Dylan Thomas, New Directions Publishing 1971.This poem is in the public domain.

Postimplant Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibitor Use in Centrifugal Flow Left Ventricular Assist Devices

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the association between phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitor (PDE-5i) use and outcomes in patients with contemporary centrifugal flow left ventricular assist devices (LVADs).

BACKGROUND

PDE-5i use may affect outcomes in patients with continuous flow LVADs.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in INTERMACS (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support), with HeartMate 3 (n = 4,628) or HeartWare Ventricular Assist Device (HVAD) (n = 2,601) implant were included in the analysis. The mean duration of follow-up was 11.94 ± 8.65 months. PDE-5is were used in 2,173 patients. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality, ischemic stroke, and pump thrombosis. Propensity matching and stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights were used to adjust for baseline differences between patients receiving and not receiving PDE-5i. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed for each outcome.

RESULTS

The primary endpoint was lower in the PDE-5i group (adjusted HR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.69-0.86; P < 0.0001; HeartMate 3: adjusted HR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.64-0.92; P = 0.0044; HVAD: adjusted HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.66-0.88; P = 0.0002). All-cause mortality was lower with PDE-5is (adjusted HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.65-0.86; P < 0.0001; HeartMate 3: adjusted HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.57-0.86; P = 0.0007; HVAD: adjusted HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.65-0.94; P = 0.0098) and fewer ischemic strokes with PDE-5is were observed (adjusted HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.56-0.89; P = 0.003; HeartMate 3: adjusted HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.45-0.99; P = 0.045; HVAD: adjusted HR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.56-0.97; P = 0.03). LVAD thrombosis was unchanged with PDE-5is, with overall low event rates observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Postimplant PDE-5i use was associated with lower mortality and ischemic strokes in patients with centrifugal flow LVADs.

Phenomapping a Novel Classification System for Patients With Destination Therapy Left Ventricular Assist Devices

Patients with continuous flow destination therapy (DT) left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) comprise a heterogeneous population. We hypothesized that phenotypic clustering of individuals with DT LVADs by their implantation characteristics will be associated with different long-term risk profiles. We analyzed 5,999 patients with continuous flow DT LVADs in Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support using 18 continuous variable baseline characteristics. We Z-transformed the variables and applied a Gaussian finite mixture model to perform unsupervised clustering resulting in identification of 4 phenogroups. Survival analyses considered the competing risk for cumulative incidence of transplant or the composite end point of death or heart transplant where appropriate. Phenogroup 1 (n = 1,163, 19%) was older (71 years) and primarily white (81%). Phenogroups 2 (n = 648, 11%) and 3 (n = 3,671, 61%) were of intermediate age (70 and 62 years), weight (85 and 87 kg), and ventricular size. Phenogroup 4 (n = 517, 9%) was younger (40 years), heavier (108 kg), and more racially diverse. The cumulative incidence of death, heart transplant, bleeding, LVAD malfunction, and LVAD thrombosis differed among phenogroups. The highest incidence of death and the lowest rate of heart transplant was seen in phenogroup 1 (p <0.001). For adverse outcomes, phenogroup 4 had the lowest incidence of bleeding, whereas LVAD device thrombosis and malfunction were lowest in phenogroup 1 (p <0.001 for all). Finally, the incidence of stroke, infection, and renal dysfunction were not statistically different. In conclusion, the present unsupervised machine learning analysis identified 4 phenogroups with different rates of adverse outcomes and these findings underscore the influence of phenotypic heterogeneity on post-LVAD implantation outcomes.

How a New Understanding of Drug or Drug Class Pharmacology Often Drives Drug Development: A Conversation with Steven E. Nissen, MD

This video interview features Steven Nissen, MD, telling his 2007 story of revealing that the number-1 diabetes drug, rosiglitazone, led to more cardiovascular events than placebo or a variety of competitors. The discovery resulted in new requirements for clinical trials to rule out harm. It focuses on how a new understanding of drug or drug class pharmacology often drives drug development, and includes a discussion of the approval process, which may bring a different result than was originally intended. View the video at https://youtu.be/aFtCfZyd54E.

The Noncompliant Patient

This issue's Poet's Pen is an experiential work submitted by Captain Justin C. Cordova, MD, from the Department of Anesthesiology at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Bethesda, Maryland. The submission was a response to an invitation for our readers to submit poems for consideration of publication. Captain Cordova's work, "Against Medical Advice," is an engaging and provocative poem that focuses on a disturbing healthcare provider challenge-attempting to deliver "best care" to patients who, for countless reasons, choose a pathway we label as noncompliance or against medical advice.

Photoinduced SET to access olefin-acrylate copolymers

Single-electron transfer (SET)-induced decarboxylative backbone radical generation was exploited to produce statistical olefin-acrylate copolymers. Quenching of the backbone radical with an H atom donor yielded ethylene or propylene repeat units.

Constantly Bombarded with New Drugs: What's a Cardiologist to Do?

Every physician encounters a barrage of direct-to-consumer and direct-to-physician advertising and is faced with the daunting task of deciding which drugs to add to their clinical armamentarium and how and when to add them. The purpose of this Points to Remember is to present a commonsense approach to incorporating newer drugs, or perhaps new indications for older drugs, into our clinical practice. To illustrate these points, this article focuses on a single drug, empagliflozin, a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitor that has been highly marketed in lay and medical media and hence has been incorporated into professional society treatment guidelines.

The Fisherman

Although I can see him still—The freckled man who goesTo a gray place on a hillIn gray Connemara clothesAt dawn to cast his flies—It’s long since I beganTo call up to the eyesThis wise and simple man.All day I’d looked in the faceWhat I had hoped it would beTo write for my own raceAnd the reality:The living men that I hate,The dead man that I loved,The craven man in his seat,The insolent unreproved—And no knave brought to bookWho has won a drunken cheer—The witty man and his jokeAimed at the commonest ear,The clever man who criesThe catch cries of the clown,The beating down of the wiseAnd great Art beaten down.Maybe a twelve-month sinceSuddenly I began,In scorn of this audience,Imagining a man,And his sun-freckled faceAnd gray Connemara cloth,Climbing up to a placeWhere stone is dark with froth,And the down turn of his wristWhen the flies drop in the stream—A man who does not exist,A man who is but a dream;And cried, “Before I am oldI shall have written him onePoem maybe as coldAnd passionate as dawn.”

William Butler Yeats

Poetry Magazine, Vol.7, No. 5, February 1916

Poetry Foundation

https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poetrymagazine/poems/13324/the-fisherman

This poem is in the public domain.

Ozymandias

I met a traveler from an antique landWho said: Two vast and trunkless legs of stoneStand in the desert….Near them, on the sand,Half sunk, a visage lies, whose frown,And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,Tell that its sculptor well those passions readWhich yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,The hand that mocked them, and heart that fed;And on the pedestal these words appear:“My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!”Nothing beside remains. Round the decayOf that colossal wreck, boundless and bareThe lone and level sands stretch far away.Percy Bysshe ShelleyRosalind and Helen, A Modern Eclogue; With Other PoemsLondon: Hollinger. p. 72 (1876)

This poem is in the public domain.

Growth differentiation factor 15 predicts poor prognosis in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction and anemia: results from RED-HF

Aims

We aimed to assess the value of GDF-15, a stress-responsive cytokine, in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and anemia

Methods and results

Serum GDF-15 was assessed in 1582 HFrEF and mild-to-moderate anemia patients who where followed for 28 months in the Reduction of Events by Darbepoetin alfa in Heart Failure (RED-HF) trial, an overall neutral RCT evaluating the effect darbepoetin alfa on clinical outcomes in patients with systolic heart failure and mild-to-moderate anemia. Association between baseline and change in GDF-15 during 6 months follow-up and the primary composite outcome of all-cause death or HF hospitalization were evaluated in multivariable Cox-models adjusted for conventional clinical and biochemical risk factors. The adjusted risk for the primary outcome increased with (i) successive tertiles of baseline GDF-15 (tertile 3 HR 1.56 [1.23–1.98] p < 0.001) as well as with (ii) a 15% increase in GDF-15 levels over 6 months of follow-up (HR 1.68 [1.38–2.06] p < 0.001). Addition of change in GDF-15 to the fully adjusted model improved the C-statistics (p < 0.001). No interaction between treatment and baseline or change in GDF-15 on outcome was observed. GDF-15 was inversely associated with several indices of anemia and correlated positively with ferritin.

Conclusions

In patients with HF and anemia, both higher baseline serum GDF-15 levels and an increase in GDF-15 during follow-up, were associated with worse clinical outcomes. GDF-15 did not identify subgroups of patients who might benefit from correction of anemia but was associated with several indices of anemia and iron status in the HF patients.

Graphic abstract

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00392-021-01944-6.

Effectiveness of Combining Antiobesity Medication With an Employer-Based Weight Management Program for Treatment of Obesity: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

The clinical efficacy of antiobesity medications (AOMs) as adjuncts to lifestyle intervention is well characterized, but data regarding their use in conjunction with workplace wellness plans are lacking, and coverage of AOMs by US private employers is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of combining AOMs with a comprehensive, interdisciplinary, employer-based weight management program (WMP) compared with the WMP alone on weight loss, treatment adherence, and work productivity and limitations.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This 1-year, single-center, open-label, parallel-group, real-world, randomized clinical trial was conducted at the Cleveland Clinic's Endocrinology and Metabolism Institute in Cleveland, Ohio, from January 7, 2019, to May 22, 2020. Participants were adults with obesity (body mass index [BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared] ≥30) enrolled in the Cleveland Clinic Employee Health Plan.

INTERVENTIONS

In total, 200 participants were randomized 1:1, 100 participants to WMP combined with an AOM (WMP+Rx), and 100 participants to WMP alone. The WMP was the Cleveland Clinic Endocrinology and Metabolism Institute's employer-based integrated medical WMP implemented through monthly multidisciplinary shared medical appointments. Participants in the WMP+Rx group initiated treatment with 1 of 5 US Food and Drug Administration-approved medications for chronic weight management (orlistat, lorcaserin, phentermine/topiramate, naltrexone/bupropion, and liraglutide, 3.0 mg) according to standard clinical practice.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary end point was the percentage change in body weight from baseline to month 12.

RESULTS

The 200 participants were predominately (177 of 200 [88.5%]) women, had a mean (SD) age of 50.0 (10.3) years, and a mean (SD) baseline weight of 105.0 (19.0) kg. For the primary intention-to-treat estimand, the estimated mean (SE) weight loss was -7.7% (0.7%) for the WMP+Rx group vs -4.2% (0.7%) for the WMP group, with an estimated treatment difference of -3.5% (95% CI, -5.5% to -1.5%) (P < .001). The estimated percentage of participants achieving at least 5% weight loss was 62.5% for WMP+Rx vs 44.8% for WMP (P = .02). The rate of attendance at shared medical appointments was higher for the WMP+Rx group than for the WMP group. No meaningful differences in patient-reported work productivity or limitation measures were observed.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Clinically meaningful superior mean weight loss was achieved when access to AOMs was provided in the real-world setting of an employer-based WMP, compared with the WMP alone. Such results may inform employer decisions regarding AOM coverage and guide best practices for comprehensive, interdisciplinary employer-based WMPs.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03799198.

Durable Mechanical Circulatory Support in Patients With Amyloid Cardiomyopathy

Background:

Many patients with amyloid cardiomyopathy (ACM) develop advanced heart failure, and durable mechanical circulatory support (MCS) may be a consideration. However, data describing clinical outcomes after MCS in this population are limited.

Methods:

Adult patients in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM, n=19 921), nonamyloid restrictive cardiomyopathy (RCM, n=248), or ACM (n=46) between 2005 and 2017 were included. Patient and device characteristics were compared between cardiomyopathy groups. The primary end point was the cumulative incidence of death with heart transplantation as a competing risk.

Results:

Patients with ACM (n=46) were older (61 years [interquartile range, 55–69 years] versus 58 years [interquartile range, 49–66 years] for DCM and 55 years [interquartile range, 46–62 years] for nonamyloid RCM, P <0.001) and were more commonly Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support profile 1 (30.4% versus 17.9% for DCM and 21.0% for nonamyloid RCM, P =0.04) at device implantation. Use of biventricular support (biventricular assist device or total artificial heart) was the highest for patients with ACM (41.3% versus 6.7% and 19.4% for patients with DCM and nonamyloid RCM, respectively, P =0.014). The cumulative incidence of death was highest for patients with ACM relative to those with DCM or nonamyloid RCM ( P <0.001) but did not differ significantly between groups for those who required biventricular MCS.

Conclusions:

Compared with patients with DCM or nonamyloid RCM who received durable MCS, those with ACM experienced the highest use of biventricular support and the worst survival. These data highlight concerns with the use of durable MCS for patients with ACM.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Healthcare Workers' Risk of Infection and Outcomes in a Large, Integrated Health System

BACKGROUND

Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare workers (HCW) is crucial.

OBJECTIVE

Utilizing a health system COVID-19 research registry, we assessed HCW risk for COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study with overlap propensity score weighting.

PARTICIPANTS

Individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large academic healthcare system (N = 72,909) from March 8-June 9, 2020, stratified by HCW and patient-facing status.

MAIN MEASURES

SARS-CoV-2 test result, hospitalization, and ICU admission for COVID-19 infection.

KEY RESULTS

Of 72,909 individuals tested, 9.0% (551) of 6145 HCW tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 compared to 6.5% (4353) of 66,764 non-HCW. The HCW were younger than the non-HCW (median age 39.7 vs. 57.5, p < 0.001) with more females (proportion of males 21.5 vs. 44.9%, p < 0.001), higher reporting of COVID-19 exposure (72 vs. 17%, p < 0.001), and fewer comorbidities. However, the overlap propensity score weighted proportions were 8.9 vs. 7.7 for HCW vs. non-HCW having a positive test with weighted odds ratio (OR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.99-1.38. Among those testing positive, weighted proportions for hospitalization were 7.4 vs. 15.9 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.42 (CI 0.26-0.66) and for ICU admission: 2.2 vs. 4.5 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.48 (CI 0.20-1.04). Those HCW identified as patient facing compared to not had increased odds of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test (OR 1.60, CI 1.08-2.39, proportions 8.6 vs. 5.5), but no statistically significant increase in hospitalization (OR 0.88, CI 0.20-3.66, proportions 10.2 vs. 11.4) and ICU admission (OR 0.34, CI 0.01-3.97, proportions 1.8 vs. 5.2).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large healthcare system, HCW had similar odds for testing SARS-CoV-2 positive, but lower odds of hospitalization compared to non-HCW. Patient-facing HCW had higher odds of a positive test. These results are key to understanding HCW risk mitigation during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Association of Use of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Angiotensin II Receptor Blockers With Testing Positive for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Importance

The role of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB) in the setting of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is hotly debated. There have been recommendations to discontinue these medications, which are essential in the treatment of several chronic disease conditions, while, in the absence of clinical evidence, professional societies have advocated their continued use.

Objective

To study the association between use of ACEIs/ARBs with the likelihood of testing positive for COVID-19 and to study outcome data in subsets of patients taking ACEIs/ARBs who tested positive with severity of clinical outcomes of COVID-19 (eg, hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, and requirement for mechanical ventilation).

Design, Setting, and Participants

Retrospective cohort study with overlap propensity score weighting was conducted at the Cleveland Clinic Health System in Ohio and Florida. All patients tested for COVID-19 between March 8 and April 12, 2020, were included.

Exposures

History of taking ACEIs or ARBs at the time of COVID-19 testing.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Results of COVID-19 testing in the entire cohort, number of patients requiring hospitalizations, intensive care unit admissions, and mechanical ventilation among those who tested positive.

Results

A total of 18 472 patients tested for COVID-19. The mean (SD) age was 49 (21) years, 7384 (40%) were male, and 12 725 (69%) were white. Of 18 472 patients who underwent COVID-19 testing, 2285 (12.4%) were taking either ACEIs or ARBs. A positive COVID-19 test result was observed in 1735 of 18 472 patients (9.4%). Among patients who tested positive, 421 (24.3%) were admitted to the hospital, 161 (9.3%) were admitted to an intensive care unit, and 111 (6.4%) required mechanical ventilation. Overlap propensity score weighting showed no significant association of ACEI and/or ARB use with COVID-19 test positivity (overlap propensity score-weighted odds ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.81-1.15).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found no association between ACEI or ARB use and COVID-19 test positivity. These clinical data support current professional society guidelines to not discontinue ACEIs or ARBs in the setting of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, further study in larger numbers of hospitalized patients receiving ACEI and ARB therapy is needed to determine the association with clinical measures of COVID-19 severity.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare workers risk of infection and outcomes in a large, integrated health system

Background: Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare workers (HCW) is crucial. Objective: Utilizing a health system COVID-19 research registry, we assessed HCW risk for COVID-19 infection, hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Design: Retrospective cohort study with overlap propensity score weighting. Participants: Individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large academic healthcare system (N=72,909) from March 8-June 9 2020 stratified by HCW and patient-facing status. Main Measures: SARS-CoV-2 test result, hospitalization, and ICU admission for COVID-19 infection. Key Results: Of 72,909 individuals tested, 9.0% (551) of 6,145 HCW tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 compared to 6.5% (4353) of 66,764 non-HCW. The HCW were younger than non-HCW (median age 39.7 vs. 57.5, p<0.001) with more females (proportion of males 21.5 vs. 44.9%, p<0.001), higher reporting of COVID-19 exposure (72 vs. 17 %, p<0.001) and fewer comorbidities. However, the overlap propensity score weighted proportions were 8.9 vs. 7.7 for HCW vs. non-HCW having a positive test with weighted odds ratio (OR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.99-1.38. Among those testing positive, weighted proportions for hospitalization were 7.4 vs.15.9 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.42 (CI 0.26-0.66) and for ICU admission: 2.2 vs.4.5 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.48 (CI 0.20 -1.04). Those HCW identified as patient-facing compared to not had increased odds of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test (OR 1.60, CI 1.08-2.39, proportions 8.6 vs. 5.5), but no statistically significant increase in hospitalization (OR 0.88, CI 0.20-3.66, proportions 10.2 vs. 11.4) and ICU admission (OR 0.34, CI 0.01-3.97, proportions 1.8 vs. 5.2). Conclusions: In a large healthcare system, HCW had similar odds for testing SARS-CoV-2 positive, but lower odds of hospitalization compared to non-HCW. Patient-facing HCW had higher odds of a positive test. These results are key to understanding HCW risk mitigation during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Development and validation of a model for individualized prediction of hospitalization risk in 4,536 patients with COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus Disease 2019 is a pandemic that is straining healthcare resources, mainly hospital beds. Multiple risk factors of disease progression requiring hospitalization have been identified, but medical decision-making remains complex.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize a large cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, their outcomes, develop and validate a statistical model that allows individualized prediction of future hospitalization risk for a patient newly diagnosed with COVID-19.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of patients with COVID-19 applying a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression algorithm to retain the most predictive features for hospitalization risk, followed by validation in a temporally distinct patient cohort. The final model was displayed as a nomogram and programmed into an online risk calculator.

SETTING

One healthcare system in Ohio and Florida.

PARTICIPANTS

All patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 between March 8, 2020 and June 5, 2020. Those tested before May 1 were included in the development cohort, while those tested May 1 and later comprised the validation cohort.

MEASUREMENTS

Demographic, clinical, social influencers of health, exposure risk, medical co-morbidities, vaccination history, presenting symptoms, medications, and laboratory values were collected on all patients, and considered in our model development.

RESULTS

4,536 patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period. Of those, 958 (21.1%) required hospitalization. By day 3 of hospitalization, 24% of patients were transferred to the intensive care unit, and around half of the remaining patients were discharged home. Ten patients died. Hospitalization risk was increased with older age, black race, male sex, former smoking history, diabetes, hypertension, chronic lung disease, poor socioeconomic status, shortness of breath, diarrhea, and certain medications (NSAIDs, immunosuppressive treatment). Hospitalization risk was reduced with prior flu vaccination. Model discrimination was excellent with an area under the curve of 0.900 (95% confidence interval of 0.886-0.914) in the development cohort, and 0.813 (0.786, 0.839) in the validation cohort. The scaled Brier score was 42.6% (95% CI 37.8%, 47.4%) in the development cohort and 25.6% (19.9%, 31.3%) in the validation cohort. Calibration was very good. The online risk calculator is freely available and found at https://riskcalc.org/COVID19Hospitalization/.

LIMITATION

Retrospective cohort design.

CONCLUSION

Our study crystallizes published risk factors of COVID-19 progression, but also provides new data on the role of social influencers of health, race, and influenza vaccination. In a context of a pandemic and limited healthcare resources, individualized outcome prediction through this nomogram or online risk calculator can facilitate complex medical decision-making.

SARS-CoV-2 and ACE2: The biology and clinical data settling the ARB and ACEI controversy

BACKGROUND

SARS-CoV-2 enters cells by binding of its spike protein to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) have been reported to increase ACE2 expression in animal models, and worse outcomes are reported in patients with co-morbidities commonly treated with these agents, leading to controversy during the COVID-19 pandemic over whether these drugs might be helpful or harmful.

METHODS

Animal, in vitro and clinical data relevant to the biology of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS), its interaction with the kallikrein-kinin system (KKS) and SARS-CoV-2, and clinical studies were reviewed.

FINDINGS AND INTERPRETATION

SARS-CoV-2 hijacks ACE2to invade and damage cells, downregulating ACE2, reducing its protective effects and exacerbating injurious Ang II effects. However, retrospective observational studies do not show higher risk of infection with ACEI or ARB use. Nevertheless, study of the RAS and KKS in the setting of coronaviral infection may yield therapeutic targets.

Postimplant Phosphodiesterase Type 5 Inhibitors Use Is Associated With Lower Rates of Thrombotic Events After Left Ventricular Assist Device Implantation

Background Left ventricular assist device (LVAD) thrombosis is clinically devastating and impacts the cost effectiveness of LVAD therapy for advanced heart failure. Anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapies represent the standard of care to mitigate LVAD thrombosis. Phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors (PDE-5is) exhibit hemodynamic, antiplatelet, and antithrombotic effects. Using a national registry, we examined the relationship of PDE-5i use on thrombotic events in patients with continuous-flow LVADs. Methods and Results We obtained data from 13 772 patients with continuous flow LVADs participating in a national registry. Patients implanted with primary LVADs from 2012 to 2017 were included in the analysis. The primary end point was a composite of LVAD thrombosis and ischemic stroke. Patients were analyzed according to any use of PDE-5i after LVAD implantation (PDE-5i group) versus no use after LVAD implantation (no PDE-5i group). The primary end point was significantly lower in the PDE-5i group compared with the no PDE-5i group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.77-0.91; P<0.001) at 48 months. The components of the primary end point (LVAD thrombosis: HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.74-0.90; P<0.001; and ischemic stroke: HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97; P=0.019), as well as the secondary end point all-cause mortality (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.79-0.93; P<0.001) were lower in the PDE-5i group versus the no PDE-5i at 48 months post LVAD. The favorable results observed with postimplant PDE-5i use were consistent with both axial and centrifugal flow devices. Conclusions The postimplant use of PDE-5i was associated with fewer thrombotic events and improved survival in LVAD patients. A randomized clinical trial is warranted to confirm these findings.

Dynamic Forecasts of Survival for Patients Living With Destination Left Ventricular Assist Devices: Insights From INTERMACS

Background Left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) improve outcomes in patients with end-stage heart failure and are increasingly implanted for destination therapy. We describe dynamic estimates of event-free survival with conditional survival probabilities in a destination therapy LVAD population. Methods and Results We studied 8245 adult patients in INTERMACS (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support) implanted with a continuous-flow destination therapy LVAD. The composite primary end point was death, device exchange or removal, or heart transplantation. Conditional survival probabilities were calculated and stratified by implantation characteristics and nonfatal adverse events experienced within the first year after implant. Probabilities of surviving an additional 1 to 3 years were numerically higher after longer prior event-free survival. INTERMACS profile 1, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, prior or concomitant surgery, and dialysis within 48 hours of implantation were associated with significantly lower event-free survival in the first year but did not impact event-free survival beyond then. For patients who experienced a nonfatal adverse event within the first year, subsequent 1-year conditional survival was lower than in the absence of that event for stroke (65% [95% CI, 57%-73%] versus 75% [95% CI, 73%-77%]; P<0.001), device-related infection (64% [95% CI 57%-71%] versus 76% [95% CI, 74%-78%]; P<0.001), and pump thrombosis or malfunction (64% [95% CI, 57%-70%] versus 76% [95% CI, 74%-78%]; P<0.001). Conclusions Conditional survival in patients with destination therapy LVADs improves over time, even for patients with unfavorable implantation characteristics. However, LVAD-related complications including stroke, device-related infection, and pump thrombosis or malfunction have an enduring negative influence on dynamic estimates of long-term prognosis.

Individualizing Risk Prediction for Positive Coronavirus Disease 2019 Testing: Results From 11,672 Patients

Background

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is sweeping the globe. Despite multiple case-series, actionable knowledge to tailor decision-making proactively is missing.

Research Question

Can a statistical model accurately predict infection with COVID-19?

Study Design and Methods

We developed a prospective registry of all patients tested for COVID-19 in Cleveland Clinic to create individualized risk prediction models. We focus here on the likelihood of a positive nasal or oropharyngeal COVID-19 test. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression algorithm was constructed that removed variables that were not contributing to the model’s cross-validated concordance index. After external validation in a temporally and geographically distinct cohort, the statistical prediction model was illustrated as a nomogram and deployed in an online risk calculator.

Results

In the development cohort, 11,672 patients fulfilled study criteria, including 818 patients (7.0%) who tested positive for COVID-19; in the validation cohort, 2295 patients fulfilled criteria, including 290 patients who tested positive for COVID-19. Male, African American, older patients, and those with known COVID-19 exposure were at higher risk of being positive for COVID-19. Risk was reduced in those who had pneumococcal polysaccharide or influenza vaccine or who were on melatonin, paroxetine, or carvedilol. Our model had favorable discrimination (c-statistic = 0.863 in the development cohort and 0.840 in the validation cohort) and calibration. We present sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value at different prediction cutoff points. The calculator is freely available at https://riskcalc.org/COVID19.

Interpretation

Prediction of a COVID-19 positive test is possible and could help direct health-care resources. We demonstrate relevance of age, race, sex, and socioeconomic characteristics in COVID-19 susceptibility and suggest a potential modifying role of certain common vaccinations and drugs that have been identified in drug-repurposing studies.

Development of risk models for major adverse chronic renal outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using insurance claims: a retrospective observational study

Objective: To develop and validate models allowing the prediction of major adverse chronic renal outcomes (MACRO) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using insurance claims data.Methods: The Optum Integrated Real World Evidence Electronic Health Records and Claims de-identified database (10/01/2006-09/30/2016) was used to identify T2DM patients ≥50 years old. Risk factors were assessed over a 12-month baseline period, and MACRO were subsequently assessed until the end of data availability, continuous enrollment, or death. Separate models were built for moderate-to-severe diabetic kidney disease (DKD), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and renal death. A random split-sample approach was employed, where 70% of the sample served for model development (training set) and the remaining 30% served for validation (testing set). C-statistics were used to assess model performance.Results: A total of 160,031 patients were included. Risk factors associated with MACRO for all models included adapted diabetes complications severity index, heart failure, anemia, diabetic nephropathy, and CKD. C-statistics ranged between 0.70 (moderate-to-severe DKD) and 0.84 (renal death) in the testing set. A substantial proportion (e.g. 88.7% for moderate-to-severe DKD) of patients predicted to be at high-risk of MACRO did not have diabetic nephropathy, proteinuria, or CKD at baseline.Conclusions: The models developed using insurance claims data could reliably predict the risk of MACRO in patients with T2DM and enabled patients at higher-risk of DKD to be identified in the absence of baseline diabetic nephropathy, CKD, or proteinuria. These models could help establish strategies to reduce the risk of MACRO in T2DM patients.

Hyporesponsiveness to Darbepoetin Alfa in Patients With Heart Failure and Anemia in the RED-HF Study (Reduction of Events by Darbepoetin Alfa in Heart Failure): Clinical and Prognostic Associations

BACKGROUND

A poor response to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents such as darbepoetin alfa has been associated with adverse outcomes in patients with diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, and anemia; whether this is also true in heart failure is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a post hoc analysis of the RED-HF trial (Reduction of Events by Darbepoetin Alfa in Heart Failure), in which 1008 patients with systolic heart failure and anemia (hemoglobin level, 9.0-12.0 g/dL) were randomized to darbepoetin alfa. We examined the relationship between the hematopoietic response to darbepoetin alfa and the incidence of all-cause death or first heart failure hospitalization during a follow-up of 28 months. For the purposes of the present study, patients in the lowest quartile of hemoglobin change after 4 weeks were considered nonresponders. The median initial hemoglobin change in nonresponders (n=252) was -0.25 g/dL and +1.00 g/dL in the remainder of patients (n=756). Worse renal function, lower sodium levels, and less use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers were independently associated with nonresponse. Although a low endogenous erythropoietin level helped to differentiate responders from nonresponders, its predictive value in a multivariable model was poor (C statistic=0.69). Nonresponders had a higher rate of all-cause death or first heart failure hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.54) and a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.63) than responders.

CONCLUSIONS

A poor response to darbepoetin alfa was associated with worse outcomes in heart failure patients with anemia. Patients with a poor response were difficult to identify using clinical and biochemical biomarkers.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00358215.