Malignant pleural effusion survival prognostication in an Asian population

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

LENT and PROMISE scores prognosticate survival in patients with MPE. Prognostication guides the selection of interventions and management. However, the predictive value of these scores and their refinements (modified-LENT) in Asians remain unclear. We aim to evaluate the performance of LENT, modified-LENT and clinical PROMISE scores; identify predictors of survival; and develop an alternative prognostication tool should current scores lack accuracy.

METHODS

Retrospective medical record review of an Asian pleuroscopy database from 2011 to 2018 of patients with MPE was conducted. The prognostic capability of current available scores were evaluated using C-statistics. Demographic and clinical variables as predictors of survival were assessed, and an alternative model was developed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

In 130 patients, the C-statistics for modified-LENT was not significantly different from LENT (0.59 (95% CI: 0.52-0.67) vs 0.56 (95% CI: 0.49-0.63); P = 0.403). In 57 patients, the PROMISE C-statistics was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.53-0.91). In our alternative prognostication model (n = 147), Sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, Leukocyte count, EGFR mutation, Chemotherapy and primary Tumour type (SELECT) were predictors of 90-day mortality (C-statistic = 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79-0.95)). SELECT sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios using a predicted probability of 90-day mortality cut-off point of 10% were 0.91, 0.68, 0.34, 0.98, 2.83 and 0.13, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The LENT, modified-LENT and PROMISE scores have poor accuracy of survival prognostication in Asian patients with MPE undergoing pleuroscopy. The proposed SELECT prognostication model is accurate at identifying patients with high probability of survival at 90 days.

A high carbohydrate, but not fat or protein meal attenuates postprandial ghrelin, PYY and GLP-1 responses in Chinese men

It is known that the macronutrient content of a meal has different impacts on the postprandial satiety and appetite hormonal responses. Whether obesity interacts with such nutrient-dependent responses is not well characterized. We examined the postprandial appetite and satiety hormonal responses after a high-protein (HP), high-carbohydrate (HC), or high-fat (HF) mixed meal. This was a randomized cross-over study of 9 lean insulin-sensitive (mean±SEM HOMA-IR 0.83±0.10) and 9 obese insulin-resistant (HOMA-IR 4.34±0.41) young (age 21–40 years), normoglycaemic Chinese men. We measured fasting and postprandial plasma concentration of glucose, insulin, active glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1), total peptide-YY (PYY), and acyl-ghrelin in response to HP, HF, or HC meals. Overall postprandial plasma insulin response was more robust in the lean compared to obese subjects. The postprandial GLP-1 response after HF or HP meal was higher than HC meal in both lean and obese subjects. In obese subjects, HF meal induced higher response in postprandial PYY compared to HC meal. HP and HF meals also suppressed ghrelin greater compared to HC meal in the obese than lean subjects. In conclusion, a high-protein or high-fat meal induces a more favorable postprandial satiety and appetite hormonal response than a high-carbohydrate meal in obese insulin-resistant subjects.