Impact of interstitial lung disease on clinical remission and unfavourable events of rheumatoid arthritis: results from the IORRA cohort

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine the impact of concomitant interstitial lung disease (ILD) on achieving clinical remission and the occurrence of unfavourable clinical events in patients with RA.

METHODS

Among the participants in the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) cohort from 2011 to 2012, patients not achieving remission of 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28) at baseline and those with chest CT images were enrolled. Based on the chest CT images, the patients were divided into two groups: the ILD group and non-ILD group. The associations among the presence of ILD with time to achieving DAS28 remission and development of death, hospitalized infection, major adverse cardiac events (MACE), or malignancy within 5 years were evaluated using time-dependent Cox regression models.

RESULTS

We enrolled 287 patients in the ILD group and 1235 in the non-ILD group. DAS28 remission was achieved at least once in 55.7% and 75.0% of the ILD and non-ILD groups within 5 years, respectively. Presence of ILD was significantly associated with failure to achieve DAS28 remission (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.58, 0.89). ILD was also a significant factor associated with death (aHR: 3.24; 95% CI: 2.08, 5.03), hospitalized infection (aHR 2.60; 95% CI: 1.77, 3.83), MACE (aHR: 3.40; 95% CI: 1.76, 6.58), and lung cancer (aHR: 16.0; 95% CI: 3.22, 79.2), but not with malignant lymphoma (aHR: 2.27; 95% CI: 0.59, 8.81).

CONCLUSION

Concomitant ILD was a significant factor associated with failure to achieve clinical remission and the occurrence of the unfavourable clinical events in patients with RA.

Unincreased mortality of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis compared to the general population in the past 17 years: Analyses from the IORRA cohort

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this article is to investigate the mortality rate of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) over the past 17 years.

METHODS

Japanese patients with early RA enrolled in the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis cohort from 2001 to 2012 were classified into Groups A (2001-06) and B (2007-12). The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and 5-year survival rate were calculated.

RESULTS

Groups A and B had 1609 and 1608 patients, of which 167 and 178 patients were lost during follow-up and 47 and 45 deaths were confirmed, respectively. The SMR (95% confidence intervals) for Groups A and B were 0.81 (0.59-1.08) and 0.78 (0.57-1.04), respectively, with the condition that all untraceable patients were alive. Assuming that the mortality rate of untraceable patients was twice as high as that of the general population, the SMR was 0.90 (0.68-1.19) for Group A and 0.92 (0.68-1.23) for Group B. The 5-year survival rates were 96.9% and 97.0% for Groups A and B, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The 5-year mortality of patients with early RA has been comparable to that of the general Japanese population. The 5-year survival rate has been stable over the past 17 years.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Evaluation of RABBIT risk score in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis starting first bDMARDs: a validation study using the IORRA cohort data

OBJECTIVE

To examine the ability of the Rheumatoid Arthritis Observation of Biologic Therapy (RABBIT) risk score to predict the occurrence of serious infections in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), after initiating their first biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD).

METHODS

We used data from the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) cohort from 2008 to 2020. Patients with RA who were started on their first bDMARDs were included. Those with missing data required to calculate the score were excluded. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the RABBIT score.

RESULTS

A total of 1,081 patients were enrolled. During the one-year observational period, 23 (1.7%) patients had serious infections; the most frequent one was bacterial pneumonia (n=11, 44%). The median RABBIT score in the serious infection group was significantly higher than that in the non-serious infection group (2.3 [1.5-5.4] vs 1.6 [1.2-2.5], p<0.001). The area under the ROC curve for the occurrence of serious infections was 0.67 (95% confidence interval 0.52-0.79), suggesting that the score had low accuracy.

CONCLUSION

Our present study revealed that the RABBIT risk score did not have sufficient discriminatory ability for predicting the development of severe infections in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis after initiating their first bDMARD.

Formation and evolution of carbonaceous asteroid Ryugu: Direct evidence from returned samples

Samples of the carbonaceous asteroid Ryugu were brought to Earth by the Hayabusa2 spacecraft. We analyzed 17 Ryugu samples measuring 1 to 8 millimeters. Carbon dioxide-bearing water inclusions are present within a pyrrhotite crystal, indicating that Ryugu's parent asteroid formed in the outer Solar System. The samples contain low abundances of materials that formed at high temperatures, such as chondrules and calcium- and aluminum-rich inclusions. The samples are rich in phyllosilicates and carbonates, which formed through aqueous alteration reactions at low temperature, high pH, and water/rock ratios of <1 (by mass). Less altered fragments contain olivine, pyroxene, amorphous silicates, calcite, and phosphide. Numerical simulations, based on the mineralogical and physical properties of the samples, indicate that Ryugu's parent body formed ~2 million years after the beginning of Solar System formation.

Effects of Arterial Stiffness on Cerebral WM Integrity in Older Adults: A Neurite Orientation Dispersion and Density Imaging and Magnetization Transfer Saturation Imaging Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Arterial stiffness is reported to be able to cause axonal demyelination or degeneration. The present study aimed to use advanced MR imaging techniques to examine the effect of arterial stiffness on the WM microstructure among older adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Arterial stiffness was measured using the cardio-ankle vascular elasticity index (CAVI). The high-CAVI (mean CAVI ≥ 9 points) and the low-CAVI groups (mean CAVI < 9 points) were created. The neuronal fiber integrity of the WM was evaluated by neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging and magnetization transfer saturation imaging. Tract-Based Spatial Statistics and the tracts-of-interest analysis were performed. Specific WM regions (corpus callosum, internal capsule, anterior thalamic radiation, corona radiata, superior longitudinal fasciculus, forceps minor, and inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus) were selected in the tracts-of-interest analysis.

RESULTS

In Tract-Based Spatial Statistics, the high-CAVI group showed a significantly lower myelin volume fraction value in the broad WM and significantly higher radial diffusivity and isotropic volume fraction values in the corpus callosum, forceps minor, inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus, internal capsule, corona radiata, and anterior thalamic radiation than the low-CAVI group. In tracts-of-interest analysis using multivariate linear regression, significant associations were found between the mean CAVI and radial diffusivity in the anterior thalamic radiation and the corona radiata; isotropic volume fraction in the anterior thalamic radiation and the corona radiata; and myelin volume fraction in the superior longitudinal fasciculus (P < .05). Additionally, partial correlation coefficients were observed for the significant associations of executive function with radial diffusivity and myelin volume fraction (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Arterial stiffness could be associated with demyelination rather than axonal degeneration.

Cost-consequence of abatacept as first-line therapy in Japanese rheumatoid arthritis patients using IORRA real-world data

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the cost-effectiveness of abatacept (ABA) as first-line (1L) therapy in Japanese rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients using data from the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis database.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was used to estimate the cost per American College of Rheumatology response of at least 50% improvement (ACR50) responder and per patient in Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) and Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) remission from a Japanese healthcare payers' perspective over a 2-year time horizon. Clinical characteristics of patients on ABA-1L were matched with those of patients on ABA second or later line (2L+) or tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi)-1L directly or using propensity scores. Resource utilisation and medical costs were calculated from the Japan Medical Data Center claims database. Parameter uncertainty was addressed by sensitivity and subgroup analyses (age, treatment duration, Japanese version of Health Assessment Questionnaire [J-HAQ] score).

RESULTS

Incremental costs per member per month (ΔPMPM) for ABA-1L versus TNFi-1L and ABA-2L+ were -1,571 Japanese Yen (JPY) and 81 JPY, respectively. For ABA-1L versus TNFi-1L, ΔPMPM by ACR50 response was -11,715 JPY and by CDAI and SDAI remission 11,602 JPY and 47,003 JPY, respectively. Corresponding costs for ABA-1L were lower for all outcome parameters versus those for ABA-2L+. Scenario analyses showed that ABA-1L was cost-effective over TNFi-1L in patients <65 years for any outcome. Furthermore, ABA-1L was cost-effective over ABA-2L+ for all outcomes in patients with age <65 years, disease duration <5 years and J-HAQ ≥1.5.

CONCLUSIONS

ABA-1L demonstrated a favourable cost-effectiveness profile in RA patients, accruing savings for the Japanese healthcare payers.

Reduction of noise induced by power supply lines using phase-locked loop

An experimental implementation for the reduction of power-line noise in delicate signal detection is presented. This implementation improves the signal-to-noise ratio without limiting the bandwidth of the measurement. A sinusoidal wave and its harmonics, both synchronized with the frequency of the power line, are used to cancel out the power supply noise induced in the measurement signal. The wave and the harmonics are generated via a phase-locked loop implementation. Their amplitude and phase are adjusted, and then they are added to the measurement signal using a series of operational amplifiers to compensate for the noise. Although we applied this method to the particular case of scanning tunneling microscopy measurements, considerably improving the image quality, our implementation can be applied to other measurement systems for which noise from the power lines can compromise the signal detection.

Involvement of growth differentiation factor 15 in paradoxical relationship between body mass index and mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease; The ANOX Study

Background

Obesity is a well-established risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension and dyslipidemia, leading to coronary artery disease (CAD). Nevertheless, body mass index (BMI) is inversely associated with cardiovascular (CV) mortality in patients with cardiac disorders, termed “obesity paradox”. However, the underlying mechanism remains unclear.

Purpose

To clarify important factors involved in the pathogenesis of obesity paradox.

Methods

Using data from a multicenter, prospective cohort of 2,418 patients with suspected or known CAD enrolled in the ANOX study, we assessed the relationship between BMI at baseline and the incidence of CV death over 3 years, and investigated the involvement of several endocrine factors which were previously reported to have some roles in obesity and heart diseases, such as adiponectin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), in the relationship between BMI and CV death.

Results

In Kaplan-Meier analyses, the lower quartiles of BMI and the higher quartiles of adiponectin levels were paradoxically associated with the higher cumulative incidence of CV death. To clarify the important factors involved in the paradoxical association between BMI or adiponectin and mortality, we first investigated independent determinants for BMI and adiponectin levels respectively, using multiple stepwise regression analyses among many clinical factors, and then narrow down the prognostic factors commonly associated with BMI and adiponectin, which were age, hemoglobin and NT-proBNP. Interestingly, circulating levels of GDF15 were significantly correlated with NT-proBNP levels, and the presence of anemia raised the gradient of the correlation line in a scatter plot (without anemia, r=0.139, p&lt;0.0001; with anemia, r=0.228, p&lt;0.0001). Moreover, the highest GDF15 quartile showed significantly lower BMI and higher adiponectin levels compared to the lower quartiles (p&lt;0.001 and p&lt;0.001, respectively, by Student t-test). In Cox proportional hazard models, hazard ratios (HRs) of BMI (per 1-unit increase) were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85–0.96) for CV death. Additional adjustment for hemoglobin, NT-proBNP, adiponectin or GDF15 diminished the statistical significance (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.87–0.99], 0.95 [0.89–1.01], 0.92 [0.87–0.99], or 0.93 [0.87–0.99], respectively).

Conclusions

The lower BMI and the higher adiponectin levels were paradoxically associated with the higher incidence of CV death in patients with CAD. This paradox may be mediated by cardiac endocrine factors induced by cardiac stresses, including GDF-15 in addition to natriuretic peptides.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

Association of beta blocker use with new-onset heart failure and mortality in atrial fibrillation without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). We previously reported that not a few AF patients without pre-existing HF (defined as prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association functional class≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)&lt;40%) subsequently developed new-onset HF. Beta blockers are the established therapy for HF, but it remains unclear whether beta blockers prevent new-onset HF and improve outcomes in AF patients without preexisting HF.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF registry, 778 of 3,262 patients without pre-existing HF were receiving beta blockers at baseline. We investigated the incidence of new-onset HF defined as cardiac death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause death in a propensity-matched cohort (N=1,198; mean age, 71 years; 39% female; mean LVEF, 66%). Additionally, annual follow-up prescription data before the onset of events were collected in 294 of patients with beta blockers and 395 of those without beta blockers. We also investigated the association of starting or stopping beta blockers with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death.

Results

During the median follow-up of 5.8 years, new-onset HF and all-cause death occurred in 77 (12.9%) and 118 (19.7%) of patients with beta blockers, and 70 (11.7%) and 131 (21.9%) of those without beta blockers, respectively. Incidence of new-onset HF was comparable between patients with and without beta blockers (Figure 1), and incidence of all-cause death was also comparable between the two groups (Figure 2). In exploratory subgroup analyses, there was no interaction in the association of beta blockers with the incidence of events, except for pulse rate for new-onset HF and left atrial size for all-cause death. Hazard ratio of beta blockers for new-onset HF tended to be lower in patients with higher pulse rates (&gt;84 bpm) (Figure 1), and that for all-cause death was lower in those without left atrial enlargement (Figure 2). Of patients with follow-up prescription data, beta blockers were stopped in 55 (18.7%) and started in 97 (24.6%) patients, respectively. Patients with starting beta blockers had higher pulse rate (78.5±17.3 vs 74.9±13.9 bpm; p=0.03) and more symptomatic AF (58.8% vs 46.0%; p=0.03) compared to those without starting beta blockers, while there was no difference in baseline characteristics between those with and without stopping beta blockers. During the follow-up, the incidences of new-onset HF and all-cause death were also comparable between the patients with and without stopping beta blockers and those with and without starting beta blockers.

Conclusion

Beta blockers were not associated with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death in AF patients without pre-existing HF. However, the exploratory subgroup analyses suggested the existence of subjects who may benefit from beta blockers.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Vascular endothelial factor C and D in patients with heart failure with preserved, mildly reduced, and reduced ejection fraction: the PREHOSP-CHF study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cardiovascular diseases including heart failure (HF). Vascular endothelial growth factor C (VEGF-C) and D (VEGF-D) are key regulators of lymphangiogenesis, and we recently reported the association of low VEGF-C with the risk of all-cause death and high VEGF-D with the risk of HF hospitalization in patients with HF.

Purpose

To investigate the association of VEGF-C and VEGF-D with prognosis in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (EF) (HFpEF: EF≥50%), mildly reduced EF (HFmrEF: EF, 40–49%), and reduced EF (HFrEF: EF&lt;40%).

Methods

The PREHOSP-CHF study is a multicenter prospective cohort study to determine the predictive value of angiogenesis-related biomarkers in HF. A total of 1,024 patients (mean age 75.5±12.6 years; 58.7% male) admitted to acute decompensated HF were included in the analyses. Serum levels of VEGF-C and VEGF-D, as well as N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI), high sensitivity C reactive protein, were measured at the time of discharge. Patients were followed-up over two years.

Results

The numbers of HFpEF, HFmrEF, and HFrEF were 429 (41.9%), 186 (18.2%), and 409 (39.9%), respectively. HFpEF patients were older, more likely to be female, and had more hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and anemia, but less coronary artery disease. NT-proBNP and hs-cTnI levels increased with decreasing EF. VEGF-C levels decreased with increasing EF (median [interquartile range]: HFpEF, 4508 [3318–5919] pg/ml; HFmrEF, 4719 [3663–6203] pg/ml; HFrEF, 5023 [3804–6382] pg/ml), whereas VEGF-D levels were comparable among the three EF groups (HFpEF, 404.6 [293.1–560.3] pg/ml; HFmrEF, 386.0 [298.5–556.3] pg/ml; HFrEF, 414.2 [296.1–557.3] pg/ml). In multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses, anemia and high NT-proBNP were independently associated with low VEGF-C levels, and high NT-proBNP was independently associated with high VEGF-D levels, across all the EF groups. During the follow-up, incidences of all-cause death and HF hospitalizations were similar among the three EF groups (log-rank P=0.6 for all-cause death, and log-rank P=0.3 for HF hospitalization). On multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses including established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers, VEGF-C levels tended to be inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death in patients with HFpEF and HFrEF (Figure). On the contrary, VEGF-D levels were significantly and positively associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with HFpEF, and tended to be positively associated with it in patients with HFmrEF and HFrEF (Figure).

Conclusions

Low VEGF-C was associated with the risk of all-cause death in patients with HFpEF and HFrEF, while high VEGF-D was associated with the risk of HF hospitalization especially in HFpEF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with peripheral artery disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the common arrhythmia and increases the risk of thromboembolism. Risk assessment for thromboembolism is important for the management of AF patients. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is identified as a risk factor for thromboembolism in CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, there are little data on clinical characteristics and cardiovascular events of AF patients with PAD.

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AF patients with PAD.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011 and follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,464 patients from March 2011 to August 2021. Median follow-up period was 1,848 days.

Results

Of 4,464 patients, 183 patients had PAD (4.1%; PAD group). The mean age was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (PAD group vs. no-PAD group: 76.7 vs. 73.5; p&lt;0.01). Patients with PAD had more co-morbidities such as stroke, systemic embolism, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease than those without PAD. Thus, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (2.81 vs. 2.00; p&lt;0.01, 5.17 vs. 3.30; p&lt;0.01, 2.42 vs. 1.71; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The proportion of patients with oral anticoagulant was similar between the two groups and the proportion of patients with antiplatelet drug was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (59.0% vs. 55.6%; p=0.36, 62.9% vs. 24.7%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The incidences of all-cause death, cardiac death and myocardial infarction were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (11.4 vs. 4.6 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.7 vs. 0.8 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.2 vs. 0.2 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01). However, the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism was similar between the two groups (2.9 vs. 2.2 per 100 person-years, log-rank p=0.19). Finally, the incidence of composite of cardiac death, stroke, systemic embolism or myocardial infarction was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (6.0 vs. 3.0 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01).

Conclusion

AF patients with PAD had significantly higher risk for death and cardiac events, whereas the incidence of thromboembolism was similar between AF patients with and without PAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Associations of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 with cardiovascular events and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation and suspected or known coronary artery disease: the EXCEED-J study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of stroke. Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), a vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antagonist, has been suggested as a marker of endothelial dysfunction, which are associated with both AF and coronary artery disease (CAD). Recently, we demonstrated that sFlt-1 is independently associated with major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events (MACE) in patients with suspected or known CAD. However, the prognostic utility of sFlt-1 in patients with AF remains unknown.

Methods

Using data from a multicenter, prospective cohort of 3255 patients with suspected or known CAD, we investigated whether AF modifies the prognostic utility of sFlt-1. Heparin-free serum levels of sFlt-1, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, VEGF, and placental growth factor were measured in 324 patients with AF and 2931 patients without AF. The primary outcome was MACE defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, stroke, heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and coronary/peripheral artery revascularization. The biomarkers were natural log-transformed for use as continuous variables.

Results

After adjustment for potential clinical confounders including anticoagulant drug use, sFlt-1 was significantly associated with MACE (hazard ratio for 1 standard deviation increase [HR], 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14–2.08), CV death (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.10–2.48), and stroke (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.16–3.10), but not with all-cause death (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.99–1.73), HF hospitalization (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.73–1.25), or revascularization (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.74–1.28) in patients with AF, whereas sFlt-1 was significantly associated with MACE (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02–1.37), all-cause death (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.05–1.34), CV death (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.03–1.48), and HF hospitalization (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.11–1.42), but not with stroke (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.81–1.33) or revascularization (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.95–1.07) in patients without AF. Among other biomarkers, only VEGF was significantly associated with MACE (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.02–2.44), and no biomarkers were significantly associated with CV death or stroke in patients with AF. sFlt-1 added incremental prognostic information for MACE (P=0.005 for net reclassification improvement [NRI], P=0.026 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]) and stroke (P=0.034 for NRI, P=0.018 for IDI), but not for CV death (P=0.021 for NRI, P=0.134 for IDI), to the model with potential clinical confounders in patients with AF.

Conclusions

sFlt-1 independently predicted MACE and stroke in patients with AF and suspected or known CAD. sFlt-1 may serve as a novel prognostic biomarker to stratify the risk of MACE and stroke in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Health Labour Sciences Research Grant (2013-2014), AMED (2015-2017, Grant Number JP17ek0210008)

Association of cardiothoracic ratio with heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Chest radiography is the most common diagnostic imaging test in clinical medicine, and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a readily available and non-invasive tool with which to assess the volume status and cardiomegaly. However, it remains unknown whether CTR on chest radiography is associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, 3,727 patients with available data of CTR were examined. We divided the patients into two groups according to their CTR at baseline; Higher group (CTR ≥50.0%, n=2,696) and Lower group (CTR &lt;50.0%, n=1,031), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in Higher group, and the patients in Higher group were older. The patients in Higher group had higher prevalence of HF, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. During the median follow-up of 3,033 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization were higher in Higher group (Higher group: 2.5% per person-year vs. Lower group: 1.1%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher CTR (≥50.0%) was an independent determinant of the incidence of HF hospitalization. Furthermore, when we divided the patients into four groups based on the quartile of CTR; Q1 (CTR&lt;49.0%), Q2 (49.0≤CTR&lt;53.8%), Q3 (53.8≤CTR&lt;59.0%), Q4 (59.0%≤CTR), the incidence of HF hospitalization was more frequent in patients with higher CTR, regardless of the presence or absence of prior hospitalization for HF (Figure).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients, patients with higher CTR had significantly higher incidence of HF hospitalization, regardless of the prevalence of prior hospitalization for HF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Serum amyloid A-low-density-lipoprotein complex and mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: the ANOX study

Background

Serum amyloid A-low-density-lipoprotein (SAA-LDL) is a complex formed from the oxidative interaction between SAA and LDLs. A relatively small-scale study has shown that circulating SAA-LDL levels may serve as a prognostic marker in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the prognostic value of SAA-LDL should be confirmed in a larger-scale cohort study.

Methods

Using data from a multicenter, prospective cohort of 2416 patients with suspected or known CAD enrolled in the ANOX (Development of Novel Biomarkers Related to Angiogenesis or Oxidative Stress to Predict Cardiovascular Events) study, we assessed the prognostic value of serum levels of SAA-LDL. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. Patients were followed up over 3 years.

Results

Stepwise regression analysis including baseline data on potential clinical confounders (i.e., age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, current smoking, estimated glomerular filtration rate, the Gensini score, previous myocardial infarction, previous stroke, previous heart failure hospitalization, atrial fibrillation, malignancies, anemia, antihypertensive drug use, statin use, and aspirin use) and established cardiovascular biomarkers (i.e., N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I [hs-cTnI], and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hs-CRP]) revealed that independent determinants of SAA-LDL levels were female sex, dyslipidemia, the Gensini score, absence of statin use, hs-cTnI, and hs-CRP. After adjusting for potential clinical confounders and established cardiovascular biomarkers, the highest quartile of SAA-LDL levels (vs. the lowest quartile) was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02–2.26), but not with that of cardiovascular death (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.59–2.10) or MACE (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 0.97–2.57). Stratified analyses revealed that this association was pronounced in patients with low hs-cTnI (&lt;75th percentile) (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.06–3.30) and in patients with low hs-CRP levels (≤1.0 mg/L) (HR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.17–4.79).

Conclusions

Elevated SAA-LDL levels were independently associated with the risk of all-cause death in patients with suspected or known CAD. The SAA-LDL level appears to serve as a prognostic biomarker for risk stratification in relatively low-risk patients with low hs-cTnI (&lt;75th percentile) or low hs-CRP (≤1.0 mg/L).

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

The association of left ventricular ejection fraction with incident heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an important prognostic parameter in patients with HF. However, little is known regarding the association of LVEF with incident HF in patients with AF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between LVEF at enrollment and incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period in patients with AF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, we investigated 3,544 patients with the data of LVEF at enrollment. We divided the patients into 4 groups stratified by LVEF (reduced LVEF [LVEF &lt;40%], mildly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 40–49%], slightly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 50–59%], and normal LVEF [LVEF ≥60%]), and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups.

Results

Of 3,544 patients, the mean age was 73.6±10.7 years, 1,420 (40%) were female, 1,781 (50%) were paroxysmal AF, and 1,085 (30%) had pre-existing HF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 2.1±1.3 and 3.4±1.7, respectively. The mean LVEF at enrollment was 63±12% (reduced LVEF: 197 [6%], mildly reduced LVEF: 250 [7%], slightly reduced LVEF: 532 [15%] and normal LVEF: 2,565 [72%], respectively). Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF, and had a higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 605 patients were hospitalized for HF during the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, corresponding to an annual incidence of 3.4% per person-year. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up in patients with AF (Picture 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVEF strata were significantly associated with the increased risk of HF hospitalization even after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF and CHA2DS2-VASc score (Picture 1). An increased risk of HF hospitalization was observed even in patients with mildly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.99–3.29) as well as in those with slightly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45–2.22) compared with those with normal LVEF. These results were also the case in AF patients without pre-existing HF (Picture 2).

Conclusion

LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with AF, suggesting the importance of measuring LVEF in all patients with AF. Even mildly (LVEF: 40–49%) or slightly (LVEF: 50–59%) reduced LVEF was independently associated with the risk of incident HF in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Trends in Risks of Malignancies in Japanese Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis: Analyses from a 14-year Observation of the IORRA Cohort

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the trends in risks of overall and site-specific malignancies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

Among Japanese patients with RA enrolled in the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) cohort, all malignancies that occurred from 2000 to 2013 were extracted. The standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall and site-specific malignancies were calculated during three periods: pre-biologics, 2000-2004; early biologics, 2005-2009; and recent biologics, 2010-2013. Risk factors for overall and specific malignancies were analyzed using time-dependent Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Among 11,299 patients with RA (68,483 person-years), 507 malignancies were confirmed. Similar risks were observed versus the general Japanese population for overall malignancies throughout the three periods, with SIRs (95% CIs) of 0.96 (0.80-1.14) in the pre-biologics period, 0.95 (0.82-1.09) in the early biologics period, and 0.87 (0.75-1.01) in the recent biologics period. Significant increased risk for malignant lymphoma was observed throughout the observation period (SIR 4.61, 95% CI 3.58-5.85). The disease activity was a significant risk factor for overall malignancies and lung cancer.

CONCLUSION

Despite the expanding use of methotrexate and biologics, there were no increases in malignancy risk in Japanese patients with RA.

AB0332 EVALUATION OF THE RABBIT RISK SCORE IN JAPANESE PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS NEWLY TREATED WITH BIOLOGIC DMARDS: DATA FROM THE IORRA COHORT

Background

Serious infection is one of the most critical adverse events in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) using biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs). During the first year, infections occur more frequently. Therefore, estimating the risk of developing a serious infection is important for the safe use of bDMARDs. The Rheumatoid Arthritis Observation of Biologic Therapy (RABBIT) risk score predicted the incidence rate of serious infection during 1 year in patients with RA taking DMARDs. Moreover, it has been validated using data from various observational cohort studies and nationwide registries with favorable results, with a reported area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.68–0.871–5. However, the RABBIT risk score has not been validated in RA patients starting a first bDMARD.

Objectives

To investigate the discriminatory ability of the RABBIT risk score for predicting the development of serious infection during 1 year after starting first bDMARDs in Japanese patients with RA using data from the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) cohort.

Methods

The IORRA cohort is a large observational cohort at the Institute of Rheumatology, Tokyo Women’s Medical University. Japanese patients with RA visiting our institute were registered and clinical parameters were assessed biannually. This study enrolled patients with RA who were registered in the IORRA cohort and treated with a first bDMARD. Patients who were missing data needed to calculate the RABBIT risk score were excluded. The RABBIT risk score was calculated using the patient’s age, comorbidities, Japanese-Health Assessment Questionnaire score, history of previous infections, and types of DMARDs used. Serious infections were defined as those requiring hospitalization or treatment with intravenous antibiotics. The occurrence of serious infection during 1 year after starting the first bDMARDs was identified using data from the biannual IORRA cohort and confirmed using medical records. The discriminatory ability of the RABBIT risk score was analyzed by the AUROC.

Results

A total of 1,081 patients with RA and a median age of 55.3 years, in which females were the majority (88.2%), were included. Serious infection occurred in eight patients during 1 year before starting their first bDMARDs. The number of patients starting a TNF inhibitor, IL-6 inhibitor, and abatacept were 830 (76.8%), 170 (15.7%), and 81 (7.5%), respectively. A total of 23 patients (1.7%) had serious infections during 1 year after starting the first bDMARD; the most frequent infection was pneumonia (n=16, 69.6%). The median RABBIT score was 2.3 (IQR 1.6–5.4) in patients with serious infections during the follow-up period, and 1.6 (IQR 1.2–2.5) in patients without serious infections. The discriminatory ability of the RABBIT risk score was slightly poor, with an AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.52– 0.79).

Conclusion

The RABBIT risk score is highly practical; however, our present study suggested that some adjustments may be required to predict the risk of serious infection in Japanese patients with RA starting a first bDMARD.

Figure 1.

ROC curve of serious infection and RABBIT score with an AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.52– 0.79).

Disclosure of Interests

Tomoaki Higuchi: None declared, Eiichi Tanaka Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Asahi Kasei pharma co., Bristol Myers Squibb, Chugai Pharmaceutical, Daiichi Sankyo Co., Eisai Pharmaceutical, Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Nippon Kayaku, Pfizer, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Taisho Toyama Pharmaceutical Co., and UCB Pharma., Paid instructor for: Abbvie, Asahi Kasei pharma co., Bristol Myers Squibb, Chugai Pharmaceutical, Daiichi Sankyo Co., Eisai Pharmaceutical, Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Nippon Kayaku, Pfizer, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Taisho Toyama Pharmaceutical Co., and UCB Pharma., Eisuke Inoue Speakers bureau: Bristol-Meyers and Pfizer, Consultant of: Nippontect systems, Mai Abe: None declared, Kumiko Saka: None declared, Eri Sugano: None declared, Naohiro Sugitani: None declared, Yoko Shimizu: None declared, Moeko Ochiai: None declared, Rei Yamaguchi: None declared, Katsunori Ikari Speakers bureau: Asahi Kasei Pharma Corp., Astellas Pharma Inc., AbbVie Japan GK, Ayumi Pharmaceutical Co., Bristol Myers Squibb Co., Ltd., Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Eisai Co., Ltd., Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Kaken Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corp. Pfizer Japan Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Teijin Pharma Ltd and UCB Japan Co. Ltd., Yamanaka Hisashi: None declared, Masayoshi Harigai Speakers bureau: AbbVie Japan, Ayumi, Boehringer Ingelheim Japan, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Chugai, Eisai, Eli Lilly Japan, GlaxoSmithKline, Kissei, Pfizer Japan Inc, Takeda, Teijin, Consultant of: AbbVie Japan, Boehringer Ingelheim Japan, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Kissei, Teijin, Grant/research support from: AbbVie Japan, Asahi Kasei, Astellas, Ayumi, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Chugai, Daiichi-Sankyo, Eisai, Kissei, Mitsubishi Tanabe, Nippon Kayaku, Sekiui Medical, Shionogi, Taisho, Takeda, Teijin.

Pebbles and sand on asteroid (162173) Ryugu: In situ observation and particles returned to Earth

The Hayabusa2 spacecraft investigated the C-type (carbonaceous) asteroid (162173) Ryugu. The mission performed two landing operations to collect samples of surface and subsurface material, the latter exposed by an artificial impact. We present images of the second touchdown site, finding that ejecta from the impact crater was present at the sample location. Surface pebbles at both landing sites show morphological variations ranging from rugged to smooth, similar to Ryugu's boulders, and shapes from quasi-spherical to flattened. The samples were returned to Earth on 6 December 2020. We describe the morphology of >5 grams of returned pebbles and sand. Their diverse color, shape, and structure are consistent with the observed materials of Ryugu; we conclude that they are a representative sample of the asteroid.

A Printed Flexible Humidity Sensor with High Sensitivity and Fast Response Using a Cellulose Nanofiber/Carbon Black Composite

In the emerging Internet of Things (IoT) society, there is a significant need for low-cost, high-performance flexible humidity sensors in wearable devices. However, commercially available humidity sensors lack flexibility or require expensive and complex fabrication methods, limiting their application and widespread use. We report a high-performance printed flexible humidity sensor using a cellulose nanofiber/carbon black (CNF/CB) composite. The cellulose nanofiber enables excellent dispersion of carbon black, which facilitates the ink preparation and printing process. At the same time, its hydrophilic and porous nature provides high sensitivity and fast response to humidity. Significant resistance changes of 120% were observed in the sensor at humidity ranging from 30% RH to 90% RH, with a fast response time of 10 s and a recovery time of 6 s. Furthermore, the developed sensor also exhibited high-performance uniformity, response stability, and flexibility. A simple humidity detection device was fabricated and successfully applied to monitor human respiration and noncontact fingertip moisture as a proof-of-concept.

Impact of Concomitant Chronic Kidney Disease on Hospitalized Infections and Remission in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis: Results from the IORRA Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the impact of concomitant chronic kidney disease (CKD) on unfavourable clinical events and remission in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

We included 5,103 patients with RA with CKD from the Institute of Rheumatology Rheumatoid Arthritis (IORRA) cohort in 2012. CKD stages were classified into four groups: CKD with normal eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and proteinuria; mild CKD, eGFR ≥45-<60; moderate CKD, eGFR ≥30-<45; and severe CKD, eGFR <30. We assessed the association between concomitant CKD and the occurrence of unfavourable clinical events or achieving remission during a 5-year observational period.

RESULTS

Of the 5,103 patients with RA, 686 (86.6%) had CKD. Concomitant CKD was associated with hospitalized infections (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-2.13, p=0.02), especially in the moderate to severe CKD group (aHR 1.93, 95% CI 1.12-3.13, p=0.02). Of all subjects, 2,407 (47.2%) had active RA at baseline and 401 (16.7%) had CKD. Concomitant CKD was also associated with failure of achieving remission (aHR 0.82, 95% CI 0.68-0.99, p=0.04).

CONCLUSION

Concomitant CKD was a risk factor for hospitalized infections in Japanese patients with RA and failure of achieving remission in patients with active RA.

Distinct association of VEGF-C and VEGF-D with prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure: the PREHOSP-CHF study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cardiovascular (CV) diseases including heart failure (HF). Vascular endothelial growth factor C (VEGF-C) and VEGF-D are key regulators of lymphoangiogenesis.

Purpose

To investigate the association of VEGF-C and VEGF-D with prognosis in patients with chronic HF (CHF).

Methods

The PREHOSP-CHF study is a multicenter prospective cohort study to determine the predictive value of angiogenesis-related biomarkers in CHF. A total of 1,024 patients (mean age, 75.5±12.6 years; male, 58.7%) admitted to acute decompensated HF were included in the analyses. The primary outcome was MACE defined as a composite of CV death or HF hospitalization. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, and HF hospitalizations. Serum levels of VEGF-C and VEGF-D, as well as N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI), high sensitive C reactive protein (hs-CRP), VEGF, and soluble VEGF receptor-2 (sVEGFR-2) were measured at the time of discharge. Patients were followed-up over two years.

Results

Median [interquartile range] of VEGF-C and VEGF-D levels were 4821 [3633–6131] pg/ml and 404 [296–559] pg/ml, respectively. In multivariate stepwise regression analysis, independent determinants of VEGF-C levels were younger age, female gender, absence of prior HF hospitalization, chronic kidney disease, and anemia, lower ejection fraction, lower NT-proBNP levels, higher VEGF levels, and higher sVEGFR-2 levels, while those of VEGF-D levels were lower body mass index, presence of diabetes and atrial fibrillation, and higher NT-proBNP levels. During the follow-up, a total of 209 (20.4%) all-cause deaths, 112 (10.9%) CV deaths, and 309 (30.2%) HF hospitalizations occurred. After adjusting for established risk factors and CV biomarkers, VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of MACE and non-CV death (Fig.1, model 4). On the other hand, VEGF-D levels were significantly and positively associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization (Fig. 1, model 4). When we divided the patients into 4 groups based on the median of VEGF-C and VEGF-D levels, patients with low VEGF-C and high VEGF-D showed significantly higher incidence of MACE, all-cause death, CV death, and HF hospitalization compared to those with high VEGF-C and low VEGF-D (Fig. 2).

Conclusions

Among patients with CHF, VEGF-C and VEGF-D had different characteristic and association with the incidence of adverse events. VEGF-C levels were inversely associated with the incidence of MACE and non-CV death, and VEGF-D levels were positively associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization. These results suggests different effects of VEGF-C and VEGF-D in CHF. Combination of VEGF-C and VEGF-D enables us to make good risk stratification in patients with CHF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization Figure 1Figure 2

Association of low total cholesterol level with clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hyperlipidemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, low cholesterol is also reported to be associated with poor outcome in patients with chronic disease, which is called “cholesterol paradox”, and the association of cholesterol level with the incidence of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan, follow-up data and baseline total cholesterol levels were available in 3,054 patients. We excluded 767 patients who were taking statins, and 2,267 patients were included in the analyses. We defined low cholesterol as total cholesterol &lt;150 mg/dl, and examined the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients with low cholesterol (N=464 (20.4%)) were older, more often male, and had higher prevalence of low body weight (&lt;50 kg), permanent/persistent AF, prior stroke/SE, HF, chronic kidney disease, and anemia (hemoglobin &lt;11 g/dl). CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with low cholesterol (low cholesterol vs others; 3.6±1.6 vs 3.2±1.7: P&lt;0.001). Prescription of oral anti-coagulants was comparable between the groups (50.0% vs 54.5%: P=0.09). During the median follow-up of 1,805 days, the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/SE, HF hospitalization, and major bleeding was significantly higher in patients with low cholesterol (all-cause death, 10.9 vs 3.8 /100 person-years; stroke/SE, 3.4 vs 1.9 /100 person-years; HF hospitalization, 4.7 vs 2.5 /100 person-years; major bleeding, 2.7 vs 1.4 /100 person-years) (Figure 1). After adjustment for the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, low body weight, permanent/persistent AF, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and prescription of oral anti-coagulants, low cholesterol was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death and stroke/SE, but not with that of HF hospitalization or major bleeding (Figure 2, model 3). Total cholesterol levels were still significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.96 for 10 mg/dl increase) and stroke/SE (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.999 for 10 mg/dl increase), when analyzed as continuous variables. Subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of low cholesterol for all-cause death was more pronounced in female (interaction P, 0.049), patient without prior stroke/SE (interaction P, 0.01), those without HF (interaction P, 0.01), and those without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.001). The risk for stroke/SE was more pronounced in patients without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.01).

Conclusion

Low total cholesterol level was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause and stroke/SE in AF patients not taking statins, suggesting the existence of cholesterol paradox in AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Avent

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has been reported to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events, but current guidelines recommend an intensive blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg for AF patients taking oral anticoagulants without mentioning the lower limits of DBP.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,472 patients, and hypertensive patients who received prescription of any antihypertensive agents and whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg were available were examined (n=1,319). We divided the patients into four groups according to their DBP at baseline; G1 (DBP&lt;60 mmHg, n=349), G2 (60≤DBP&lt;70, n=434), G3 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=386) and G4 (80≤DBP, n=150), and compared the clinical background and outcomes among groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older. During the median follow-up of 2,458 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization during follow up) were the highest in G1 group and the lowest in G3 group (G1: 7.2% per person-year vs. G2: 4.9% vs. G3: 2.2% vs. G4: 4.4%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 vs. G3; hazard ratio (HR): 1.96, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.39–2.76, G2 vs. G3; HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.28–2.50, G4 vs. G3; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.99–2.45) (Figure 1). When we examined the association of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with excessively low DBP (&lt;50 mmHg) had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.81–4.33), and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg, patients with excessively low DBP had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events, and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Previous pacemaker therapy was not associated with the risk of clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) occasionally require pacemaker implantation. Meanwhile, patients with implanted pacemaker are occasionally found to have subclinical AF and develop clinical AF. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of AF patients with implanted pacemaker.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes in AF patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,447 patients. After exclusion of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, we investigated 293 AF patients with pacemaker implantation at baseline. We performed propensity score-matching analysis to assess the impact of pacemaker therapy in AF patients.

Results

Of a total cohort, patients with pacemaker were more often female (51.2% vs. 39.7%; p&lt;0.01) and older (78.0 vs. 73.3 years of age; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.1% vs. 26.6%; p&lt;0.01), valvular heart disease (22.9% vs. 16.8%; p&lt;0.01), chronic kidney disease (48.8% vs. 34.7%; p&lt;0.01), and history of performing direct current cardioversion (7.2% vs. 3.1%; p&lt;0.01), compared with patients without pacemaker. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with pacemaker (3.80 vs. 3.34; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more often prescribed oral anticoagulants (62.1% vs. 55.2%; p=0.02), verapamil (13.3% vs. 9.4%; p=0.03), and loop diuretics (30.7% vs. 21.8%; p&lt;0.01). Using propensity score-matching, 291 patients with pacemaker and 291 without pacemaker were matched and baseline characteristics were comparable. The median follow-up period was 1,819 days. All-cause death occurred in 91 patients with pacemaker (6.0 /100 person-years) and 79 patients without pacemaker (5.9 /100 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) for patients with pacemaker of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.37; p=0.93). Furthermore, HR of cardiac death for patients with pacemaker was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.23 to 4.32; p=0.99), that of stroke or systemic embolism was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.07; p=0.10) and that of hospitalization for heart failure was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; p=0.76).

Conclusion

We identified that patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy were not associated with the incidence of various adverse clinical events in Japanese AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and the Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is associated with an increased risk of mortality in general population. We have previously reported that atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with thrombocytopenia have a higher mortality than those without thrombocytopenia. However, association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in AF patients is unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of baseline platelet count with cause of death including cardiac death, intracranial death, malignancy, infection, extracranial bleeding death, renal failure death, respiratory failure death and undetermined death.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data with baseline platelet counts less than 150,000/μL were available in 853 patients by the end of September 2020. We divided them into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=703), Moderate thrombocytopenia (50,000–99,999/μL, n=120), and Severe thrombocytopenia (&lt;50,000/μL, n=30).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 76 years, 34% were women, the mean body weight and body mass index was 59.3 kg and 22.9 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 121,000/μL (interquartile range 109,000 to 141,000/μL). Compared to Mild thrombocytopenia, patients with Moderate or Severe thrombocytopenia were more likely to have chronic kidney disease (42.2% vs 54.2% vs 73.3%, p=0.0003), have higher HAS-BLED score (1.90 vs 2.14 vs 2.00, p=0.047) and lower hemoglobin (12.8g/dL vs 11.7g/dL vs 11.2g/dL, p&lt;0.0001) and were less often prescribed anti platelet drugs. Age, sex, body weight, systolic blood pressure, previous stroke, previous major bleeding, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable between three groups. During the median follow-up period, the incidence rate (per 100 person-years) of all-cause death was 6.82 vs 15.27 vs 9.64. (p&lt;0.001) On univariate analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Moderate group than Mild group. (HR: 2.15; 95% CI 1.61–2.87, p&lt;0.0001), but there was no significant difference between Mild and Severe groups. (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 0.78–2.64, p=0.243). The incidence of cardiac death was comparable between three groups. (Mild vs Moderate: HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.15–2.75, p=0.56, Mild vs Severe: HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.15–8.23, p=0.92) Regarding other causes of death such as intracranial bleeding, extracranial bleeding, malignancy, infection, renal failure, respiratory failure and undetermined cause, there was no significant difference.

Conclusion

Mortality was higher according to the degree of thrombocytopenia in AF patients, but the cause of death was not different among three groups.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors and risk model for heart failure hospitalization in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] &lt;40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis.

Results

The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (&lt;60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P&lt;0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P&lt;0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Impact of atrial fibrillation on soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and cardiovascular events in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: the EXCEED-J study

Background

Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), a vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antagonist, has been suggested as a marker of endothelial dysfunction. Circulating sFlt-1 levels are associated with adverse outcomes in patients with preeclampsia, chronic kidney disease, and heart failure. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are both associated with endothelial dysfunction. However, whether sFlt-1 can predict cardiovascular (CV) events and whether AF modifies the relationship between sFlt-1 and CV events in patients with suspected or known CAD are unknown.

Methods

We performed a nationwide, multicenter, prospective cohort study to determine the prognostic value of sFlt-1 and other biomarkers in patients with suspected or known CAD undergoing elective angiography. Heparin-free fasting serum was collected from the peripheral vein to determine levels of sFlt-1, VEGF, placental growth factor, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP). The primary outcome was 3-point major adverse CV events (3P-MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, and 5P-MACE defined as a composite of 3P-MACE, heart failure hospitalization, and coronary/peripheral artery revascularization.

Results

3311 patients were consecutively enrolled between Nov 2013 and May 2017. After excluding 56 ineligible patients, 3255 patients (324 AF and 2931 non-AF) were followed up over 3 years (follow-up rate, 99%). During the follow-up, 156 patients developed 3P-MACE, 215 died from any cause, 82 died from cardiovascular disease, and 1361 developed 5P-MACE. The sFlt-1 level was significantly higher in AF compared to non-AF patients (p&lt;0.001). Stepwise regression analysis revealed that the sFlt-1 level was independently associated with AF. After adjusting for potential clinical confounders, serum levels of sFlt-1, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnI and cystatin C, but not other biomarkers, were significantly associated with 3P-MACE in the entire cohort. These associations were still significant in non-AF patients, whereas only the sFlt-1 level was significantly associated with 3P-MACE in AF patients. Serum levels of sFlt-1, but not other biomarkers, were also significantly associated with CV death in AF patients. Among the biomarkers, only the hs-CRP level was significantly associated with all-cause death, and no biomarker was significantly associated with 5P-MACE in AF patients. Furthermore, sFlt-1 provided an incremental prognostic information for 3P-MACE to the model with potential clinical confounders in AF, but not in non-AF patients.

Conclusions

Serum levels of sFlt-1 were significantly associated with 3P-MACE in patients with suspected or known CAD. This association was pronounced in AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The EXCEED-J study is supported by Health Labour Sciences Research Grant (2013-2014), AMED (2015-2017, Grant Number JP17ek0210008) and Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization (2018-2020).

Practices and perspectives of primary care physicians in Japan and the United States about diagnosing dementia: a qualitative study

Background

While dementia is a common problem in Japan and the US, primary care physicians' practices and perspectives about diagnosing dementia in these different healthcare systems are unknown.

Methods

Qualitative research was conducted in an ethnographic tradition using semi-structured interviews and thematic analysis in primary care settings across Japan and in the Midwest State of Michigan, US. Participants were a total of 48 primary care physicians, 24 each from Japan and the US participated. Both groups contained a mixture of geographic areas (rural/urban), gender, age, and years of experience as primary care physicians.

Results

Participants in Japan and the US voiced similar practices for making the diagnosis of dementia and held similar views about the desired benefits of diagnosing dementia. Differences were found in attitudes about the appropriate timing of formally diagnosing dementia. Japanese physicians tended to make a formal diagnosis when problems that would benefit from long-term care services emerged for family members. US physicians were more proactive in diagnosing dementia in the early stages by screening for dementia in health check-ups and promoting advance directives when the patients were still capable of decision-making. Views about appropriate timing of diagnostic testing for dementia in the two systems reflect what medical or nursing care services physicians can use to support dementia patients and caregivers.

Conclusions

Benefits of making the diagnosis included the need to activate the long-term care services in Japan and for early intervention and authoring advance directives in the US. Testing to establish an early diagnosis of dementia by primary care physicians only partly relates to testing and treatment options available. Benefits of making the diagnosis included the need to activate the long-term care services in Japan and for early intervention and authoring advance directives in the US.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02457-7.

Risk of herpes zoster in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in the biologics era from 2011 to 2015 and its association with methotrexate, biologics, and corticosteroids

OBJECTIVES

To elucidate the incidence and risk factors of herpes zoster (HZ) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in the biologics era.

METHODS

We determined the rate of HZ occurrence among the RA patients that participated in the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis surveys from 2011 to 2015, by assessing medical records. The standardised incidence rate per 1000 patient-years with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated, and risk factors for HZ were analysed using a time-dependent Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 7815 patients (female, 84.7%) contributing to 25,863 patient-years of observation, 340 HZ events in 309 patients were confirmed. The standardised incidence rate (95% CI) per 1000 patient-years was 8.5 (6.9-10.5) in total, 6.0 (3.7-9.2) in men, and 11.0 (8.7-13.7) in women. Risk factors for HZ were age per 10 years (hazard ratio 1.14, 95% CI 1.03-1.26, p < .05), Japanese version of the Health Assessment Questionnaire (J-HAQ) score of 0.5-1.5 (versus J-HAQ = 0; 1.51, 1.09-2.10, p < .05), methotrexate use (1.58, 1.06-2.36, p < .05), and biologic use (1.88, 1.44-2.47, p < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

In the era when biologics were frequently used and corticosteroid use and doses were decreasing, methotrexate and biologics increased the risk for HZ.

Differences in patients' population and efficacy/effectiveness of biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs between randomized controlled trials and real-world settings in patients with rheumatoid arthritis - using the IORRA cohort

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the differences in patients' population and efficacy/effectiveness of biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) between randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and clinical practice in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

We reviewed inclusion criteria in Phase II or III RCTs of bDMARDs conducted in Japan. The Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis study participants during the period when each RCT was conducted (Cohort A) and new bDMARD users at our institute in 2016 (Cohort B) were assessed for the fulfilment of the inclusion criteria. The effectiveness of bDMARDs in our cohort and their efficacy in RCTs were compared using the inverse-variance method.

RESULTS

Nineteen RCTs were selected. The mean proportions of patients fulfilling all inclusion criteria of each RCT in Cohorts A and B were 2.3% and 7.6%, respectively. The pooled proportion ratios (95% confidence interval) for achieving the American College of Rheumatology 20 (ACR20), ACR50, ACR70, and disease activity score 28 remission in non-eligible cases for eight RCTs versus all corresponding RCTs were 0.38 (0.30-0.51), 0.41 (0.30-0.57), 0.54 (0.35-0.82), and 1.28 (1.10-1.56), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Few rheumatoid arthritis patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria of the RCTs in clinical settings. There was a difference in the efficacy/effectiveness of bDMARDs between RCTs and clinical practice.

P–248 Statistical estimation for incidence of blastocyst trophectoderm vesicles (TVs) and efficacy of assisted hatching (AH)

Study question

The aim of this study is to analyse the association between blastocyst diameter and TVs development, and to examine the efficacy of AH.

Summary answer

Blastocysts with a diameter of more than 170 μm leads to high incidence of TVs and AH applied from the incidence should be effective.

What is known already

TVs are protrusion of trophectoderm cells often observed in expanding blastocyst stages. TVs can be observed in expanding blastocysts regardless of Intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) and Conventional-IVF (C-IVF), when the internal pressure of blastocysts increase. The rate of TVs incidence in blastocysts inseminated by ICSI is higher than that by C-IVF, due to penetration of the needle into the zona pellucida. Moreover, it has been reported that TVs may inhibit blastocyst hatching. However, the developmental timing of TVs is still unclear, and there is no study that has analysed the association between blastocyst diameter and the incidence of TVs.

Study design, size, duration

1) Diameters and TVs incidence of blastocysts by ICSI and C-IVF were measured, and the cut-off value and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were calculated to estimate the timing of TV incidence. 2) We analysed the clinical pregnancy rates of blastocysts with TVs treated by AH compared to those of blastocysts by C-IVF not subjected to AH.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

This study included 821 transferred frozen blastocysts ranging from March 2018 to November 2019. The embryos were cultured in a dry incubator after insemination by ICSI or C-IVF. Blastocyst freezing conditions were set at day5 to day7 with a diameter of more than 150 μm in inner diameter of zona pellucida, and this was measured before freezing. The ROC curve was performed using EZR statistical analysis software.

Main results and the role of chance

1) The incidence of TVs in blastocysts by ICSI and C-IVF was 27.5% (117/424) and 14.6% (58/397) respectively. The rate of the incidence of TVs in blastocysts inseminated by ICSI and C-IVF; 8.6% (12/140) and 0.95% (1/105) in 150–159 μm, 12.7% (14/110) and 8.2% (6/73) in 160–169 μm, 40.6% (28/69) and 10.5% (6/57) in 170–179 μm, 55.6% (30/54) and 25.5% (13/51) in 180–189 μm, 66.7% (20/30) and 35.7% (10/28) in 190–199 μm, and 68.4% (13/19) and 26.8% (22/82) in the diameter of more than 200 μm. The cut-off value of the ROC curve was respectively 170 μm (sensitivity 78.6% and specificity 73.0%) and 176 μm (sensitivity 84.5% and specificity 59.6%) in the diameter; the AUC was 0.8 [95%CI:0.752–0.848] and 0.74 [95%CI:0.687–0.793] respectively. 2) The clinical pregnancy rate of TVs blastocyst vs C-IVF blastocyst was 52.7% (88/167) vs 57.8% (37/64) respectively. There is no significant difference between the two clinical pregnancy rates (P = 0.556).

Limitations, reasons for caution

The findings of this study have to be seen in light of some limitations. Since this study aimed to analyse the incidence of TVs based on blastocyst size, we did not take into account the grade according to the Gardner classification and the number of trophectoderm cells.

Wider implications of the findings: Blastocysts inseminated by ICSI and C-IVF were highly likely to have TVs above 170 μm and 176 μm respectively. The clinical pregnancy rates of the blastocyst with TV treated by AH was similar to those of the C-IVF blastocyst.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Interaction between sodium dodecylsulfate (SDS) and pluronic L61 in aqueous medium: assessment of the nature and morphology of the formed mixed aggregates by NMR, EPR, SANS and FF-TEM measurements

The interaction of copolymer L61 i.e., (EO)2(PO)32(EO)2 (where EO and PO are ethylene and propylene oxides, respectively) with surfactant SDS (sodium dodecylsulfate) in relation to their self-aggregation, dynamics and microstructures has been physicochemically studied in detail employing the Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR), Electron Paramagnetic Resonance (EPR), Small-Angle Neutron Scattering (SANS), and Freeze-Fracture Transmission Electron Microscopy (FF-TEM) methods. The NMR self-diffusion study indicated a synergistic interaction between SDS and L61 forming L61-SDS mixed complex aggregates, and deuterium (2H) NMR pointed out the nonspherical nature of these aggregates with increasing [L61]. EPR spectral analysis of the motional parameters of 5-doxyl steraric acid (5-DSA) as a spin probe provided information on the microviscosity of the local environment of the L61-SDS complex aggregates. SANS probed the geometrical aspects of the SDS-L61 assemblies as a function of both [L61] and [SDS]. Progressive evolution of the mixed-aggregate geometries from globular to prolate ellipsoids with axial ratios ranging from 2 to 10 with increasing [L61] was found. Such morphological changes were further corroborated with the results of 2H NMR and FF-TEM measurements. The strategy of the measurements, and data analysis for a concerted conclusion have been presented.

Management of bone metastasis and cancer treatment-induced bone loss during the COVID-19 pandemic: An international perspective and recommendations

Optimum management of patients with cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic has proved extremely challenging. Patients, clinicians and hospital authorities have had to balance the risks to patients of attending hospital, many of whom are especially vulnerable, with the risks of delaying or modifying cancer treatment. Those whose care has been significantly impacted include patients suffering from the effects of cancer on bone, where delivering the usual standard of care for bone support has often not been possible and clinicians have been forced to seek alternative options for adequate management. At a virtual meeting of the Cancer and Bone Society in July 2020, an expert group shared experiences and solutions to this challenge, following which a questionnaire was sent internationally to the symposium's participants, to explore the issues faced and solutions offered. 70 respondents, from 9 countries (majority USA, 39%, followed by UK, 19%) included 50 clinicians, spread across a diverse range of specialties (but with a high proportion, 64%, of medical oncologists) and 20 who classified themselves as non-clinical (solely lab-based). Spread of clinician specialty across tumour types was breast (65%), prostate (27%), followed by renal, myeloma and melanoma. Analysis showed that management of metastatic bone disease in all solid tumour types and myeloma, adjuvant bisphosphonate breast cancer therapy and cancer treatment induced bone loss, was substantially impacted. Respondents reported delays to routine CT scans (58%), standard bone scans (48%) and MRI scans (46%), though emergency scans were less affected. Delays in palliative radiotherapy for bone pain were reported by 31% of respondents with treatments often involving only a single dose without fractionation. Delays to, or cancellation of, prophylactic surgery for bone pain were reported by 35% of respondents. Access to treatments with intravenous bisphosphonates and subcutaneous denosumab was a major problem, mitigated by provision of drug administration at home or in a local clinic, reduced frequency of administration or switching to oral bisphosphonates taken at home. The questionnaire also revealed damaging delays or complete stopping of both clinical and laboratory research. In addition to an analysis of the questionnaire, this paper presents a rationale and recommendations for adaptation of the normal guidelines for protection of bone health during the pandemic.

Successful discontinuation of biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in real-world settings

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the proportion of successful biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) discontinuation and related factors in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in clinical settings.

METHODS

Among 1775 RA patients who started bDMARDs between 2003 and 2012, 43 patients with DAS28-ESR <3.2 at the time of bDMARD discontinuation were extracted. Patients were divided into two groups (bio-free success: BS and bio-free failure: BF groups) based on bDMARD usage and disease activity 1 year after discontinuation. We evaluated the proportion of bio-free success and assessed factors related to bio-free success.

RESULTS

Twenty-five patients (58.1%: BS group) maintained discontinuation of bDMARDs and DAS28-ESR <3.2 at 1 year after discontinuation. The median DAS28-ESR at bDMARD initiation was lower in the BS group than in the BF group (3.95 vs 5.04; p = .04). The BS group experienced a larger decrease in average glucocorticoid (GC) dose during bDMARD use than the BF group (-3.0 mg/day vs 0 mg/day; p = .01).

CONCLUSION

bDMARDs were discontinued without flare up of RA in 58.1% of patients with RA in clinical settings. A lower DAS28-ESR at initiation and reduction of GC dose before discontinuation of bDMARD were important factors associated with bio-free success.

Derivation and validation of a novel score to detect heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is an important comorbidity of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is sometimes difficult to detect HFpEF among AF patients with preserved EF, since AF and HF share similar symptoms.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with having HFpEF in AF patients with preserved EF, and derive a new score for HFpEF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients, and 3,083 patients had preserved EF (≥50%). Of the 3,083 patients, 444 had prior HF hospitalization at baseline and we defined these patients as HFpEF. We examined the factors associated with having HFpEF, and derived a new score for detecting HFpEF in AF patients. Thereafter, we validated this score in patients without prior HF hospitalization.

Result

The mean age of the patients with EF ≥50% was 73.6 years, and 41.3% were female. Compared with the patients without prior HF hospitalization, HFpEF patients were older, more often female, less in body weight, had more heart disease (valvular heart disease, cardiomyopathy, old myocardial infarction, and coronary artery disease), chronic kidney diseases (CKD), anemia (Hb &lt;11 g/dL), sustained AF (persistent or permanent), left atrial enlargement (&gt;45 mm), and dilation of cardio-thoracic ratio (CTR) (&gt;54%) at baseline. In multivariate analysis, heart diseases, CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia were significantly associated with HFpEF (Table 1). We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia; range 0 to 7 points). In a receiver-operating characteristic curve, optimal cut-off point for detecting HFpEF was 3 (Figure 1). We validated this score in patients without prior hospitalization for HF (n=2,639). Of these, 298 patients had HF symptoms of NYHA 2–4 (Symptomatic-HF), and 2,341 patients had neither prior HF hospitalization nor HF symptoms (No-HF). Notably, 207 patients (69.5%) in symptomatic-HF group and 748 patients (32.0%) in No-HF group were classified into HFpEF based on this new score. Furthermore, patients diagnosed as HFpEF by this score had higher incidence of new hospitalization for HF during the follow-up in both symptomatic-HF group and No-HF group. (Figure 2).

Conclusion

We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients based on the presence of prior HF hospitalization (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia). In patients without prior HF hospitalization, sizable number of patients had high HFpEF score (≥3), and those patients showed higher incidence of new HF hospitalization.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Clinical outcomes of Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with combined valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

We previously reported that valvular heart disease (VHD) was not at the significant risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE), but was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF) in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients. However, the impact of combined VHD on clinical outcomes has been little known.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of combined VHD and its clinical characteristics and impact on outcomes such as stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in one of the wards of our city which is a typical urban district of Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. In the entire cohort, echocardiography data were available for 3,574 patients. 68 AF patients with prosthetic heart valves were excluded and we compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 488 single VHD (103 Aortic valve disease (AVD), 315 mitral valve disease (MVD), 70 tricuspid valve disease (TVD)) and 158 combined VHD (46 AVD and MVD, 11 AVD and TVD, 66 MVD and TVD, 35 AVD and MVD and TVD).

Result

Compared with single VHD, patients with combined VHD were older (combined vs. single VHD: 78.5 vs. 76.0 years, respectively; p&lt;0.01), more likely to have persistent/permanent type AF (73.4% vs. 63.9%, p=0.02) and prescription of warfarin (63.1% vs. 53.8%, p=0.04). Combined VHD was less likely to have diabetes mellitus (13.9% vs. 23.6%, p=0.01) and dyslipidemia (26.6% vs. 40.4%, p&lt;0.01). Sex, body weight, hypertension, pre-existing HF were comparable between the two groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,474 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between the two groups (1.58 vs. 1.89 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.10). The incidence rate of all-cause death (7.35 vs. 5.33, p=0.65), cardiac death (1.20 vs. 0.99, p=0.91) and hospitalization for HF (5.55 vs. 4.43, p=0.53) were also not significantly different. We previously reported AVD had significant impacts on cardiac adverse outcomes in AF patients, and we further analyzed event rates between combined VHD including AVD (AVD and MVD/TVD) and without AVD (MVD and TVD). Combined VHD with AVD group had higher incidence rate of all-cause death (10.7 vs. 5.79, p=0.03) than that without AVD group. However, the incidence rate of stroke/SE (1.98 vs. 1.56, p=0.59), cardiac death (0.98 vs. 1.14, p=0.68), hospitalization for HF (8.03 vs. 5.38, p=0.17) were not significantly different between the two groups.

Conclusion

As compared with single VHD, the risk of stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF in combined VHD was not significantly different. Among patients with combined VHD, those having AVD had higher incidence rate of all-cause death than those without AVD.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Impact of glucose tolerance status on the relationship between vascular endothelial growth factor D and mortality in patients with suspected coronary artery disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Vascular endothelial growth factor D (VEGF-D) is a secreted glycoprotein that can act as lymphangiogenic and angiogenic growth factors through binding to its specific receptors, VEGFR-3 and VEGFR-2. VEGF-D signaling via VEGFR-3 plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolisms which may contribute to coronary artery disease (CAD). We recently reported that serum levels of VEGF-D are independently associated with mortality in patients with suspected or known CAD. However, the impact of glucose tolerance status on the relationship between VEGF-D and mortality in patients with suspected CAD is unclear.

Methods

Serum VEGF-D levels were measured in 1,717 patients with suspected CAD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict CV events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. After excluding 67 patients with no HbA1c data, 1,650 patients were divided into 3 groups according to the glucose tolerance status: diabetes (DM, n=693), prediabetes (preDM, n=541) defined as an HbA1c of 5.7 to 6.4%, and normal glucose tolerance (NGT, n=416) defined as an HbA1c of 5.6% or less. The outcomes were total death, CV death, and major adverse CV events (MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 80 DM, 45 preDM, and 30 NGT patients died from any cause, 24 DM, 13 preDM, and 12 NGT died from CV disease, and 54 DM, 30 preDM, and 19 NGT developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-D levels were significantly associated with total death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12–1.47), but not with CV death (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.93–1.52) or MACE (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.997–1.48) in DM; VEGF-D levels were not significantly associated with total death (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.70–1.34), CV death (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.92–2.11), or MACE (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.74–1.50) in preDM; VEGF-D levels were not significantly associated with total death (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.98–1.84), CV death (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.78–2.13), or MACE (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.66–1.46) in NGT. Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-D levels further improved the prediction of total death (P=0.040 for continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], P=0.007 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]), but not that of CV death or MACE in DM, while it did not significantly improved the prediction of total death, CV death, or MACE either in preDM or in NGT.

Conclusions

The VEGF-D level was independently associated with total death in DM, but not in preDM or in NGT. The relationship between VEGF-D and total mortality may depend on the presence of DM in patients with suspected CAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, relationship between diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and cardiovascular events in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,466 patients, and 4,429 patients with available data of DBP were examined. We divided the patients into three groups; G1 (DBP&lt;70 mmHg, n=1,946), G2 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=1,321) and G3 (80≤DBP, n=1,162), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older and had higher prevalence of heart failure (HF), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prescription of beta blockers was higher in G1 group, but that of renin-angiotensin system-inhibitors and calcium channel blocker was comparable. During the median follow-up of 1,589 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding and HF hospitalization during follow up) were higher in G1 group and G3 group than G2 group (Figure 1). When we divided the patients based on the systolic blood pressure (SBP) at baseline (≥130 mmHg or &lt;130 mmHg), the incidence of rates of cardiovascular events were comparable among groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), higher SBP (≥130 mmHg), DM, pre-existing HF, CKD, low left ventricular ejection fraction (&lt;40%) and DBP (G1, G2, G3) revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 group vs. G2 group; hazard ratio (HR): 1.40, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.19–1.64, G3 group vs. G2 group; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.49). When we examined the impact of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with very low DBP (&lt;60 mmHg) (HR: 1.50,95% CI:1.24–1.80) and very high DBP (≥90 mmHg) (HR: 1.51,95% CI:1.15–1.98) had higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (Figure 2). However, when we examined the impact of SBP according to 20 mmHg increment, SBP at baseline was not associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 3).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with AF, DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Impact of chronic kidney disease on mid-term prognosis of stable angina patients with high-dose or low-dose pitavastatin treatment: REAL-CAD sub-study

Background

We previously demonstrated that high-dose (4 mg/day) compared with low-dose (1 mg/day) pitavastatin therapy significantly reduced cardiovascular events in Japanese patients with stable coronary artery disease in the Randomized Evaluation of Aggressive or Moderate Lipid Lowering Therapy with Pitavastatin in Coronary Artery Disease (REAL-CAD) study. However, little is known about whether the advantage of high-dose statins over low-dose statins is consistent among non-, mild, and moderate to severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to clarify the effect of high-dose statins on cardiovascular events in Japanese patients with or without CKD.

Methods

The REAL-CAD study is a prospective, multicenter, randomized, open-label, blinded endpoint, physician-initiated superiority trial. In this sub-analysis of REAL-CAD study, patients were categorized into three groups according to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Patients on hemodialysis were excluded in this study. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization. A secondary composite endpoint was defined as a composite of the primary endpoint event or clinically-indicated coronary revascularization excluding target-lesion revascularization.

Results

The total population of the REAL-CAD study was 12,413 patients. After exclusion of patients lacking eGFR data, the numbers of patients categorized into non-CKD (eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2), mild CKD (eGFR; 45–60), and moderate to severe CKD (eGFR &lt;45) were 7,778 (64%), 3,176 (26%), and 1,164 (10%), respectively. The median follow-up period was 3.9 years. The baseline characteristics and medications were well balanced between the two groups in each CKD group. While high-dose compared to low-dose pitavastatin significantly reduced the primary endpoint in non-CKD patients, the effect was not observed in mild CKD and moderate to severe CKD patients (Figure 1). High-dose compared with low-dose pitavastatin did not significantly reduce the secondary composite endpoint in both mild and moderate to severe CKD patients as well. High-dose pitavastatin significantly reduced the risks of MI and any coronary revascularization in non-CKD patients, however, the effects were diminished in mild CKD and moderate to severe CKD patients. There was no significant difference between high-dose and low-dose pitavastatin treatment in the risk of all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization in patients with or without CKD.

Conclusion

Although high-dose pitavastatin therapy significantly reduced cardiovascular events in non-CKD patients with stable angina compared to low-dose pitavastatin, such beneficial effects had diminished in Japanese patients with mild or moderate to severe CKD patients.

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier Curves for Endpoints

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Clinical Research of Lifestyle-Related Disease of the Public Health Research Foundation

Adverse outcomes after worsening renal function in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are recommended for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and worsening renal function (WRF) as well as CKD is an important issue in using NOAC. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after WRF.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in our city. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,441 patients. Of them, 1,890 patients who have baseline and at least 1 follow-up creatinine clearance (CrCl) measurements, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula, were analyzed in the present study. WRF was defined as a decrease of ≥20% from baseline CrCl measurement at any time point during follow-up. We evaluated demographics and outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Results

During the median follow-up period of 2,194 days, mean CrCl decrease of 2.2 ml/min/year was observed and WRF occurred in 981 patients (51.9%). Patients with WRF were significantly more often female (with vs. without WRF; 40.3% vs. 35.4%; p=0.03), older (73.4 vs. 71.1 years of age; p&lt;0.01), more often paroxysmal type (49.9% vs. 47.1%; p&lt;0.01), and more likely to have prior stroke (17.9% vs. 12.7%; p&lt;0.01), heart failure (30.8% vs. 24.8%; p&lt;0.01), diabetes (31.7% vs. 27.1%; p=0.03), and coronary artery disease (19.9% vs. 12.1%; p&lt;0.01) than those without WRF. Co-existing of CKD and mean CrCl at baseline were comparable (37.4% vs. 36.9%; p=0.82, 65.3 vs. 63.5 ml/min; p=0.66, respectively). Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in WRF patients (3.55 vs. 3.03; p&lt;0.01). On landmark analysis, all-cause mortality occurred in 135 patients (8.6 /100 person-years) after WRF and 82 patients (1.7 /100 person-years) without WRF, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.33–9.50; p&lt;0.01), adjusted by sex, age, body weight, serum creatinine, type of AF, oral anticoagulant prescription and comorbidities. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 45 patients after WRF (3.0 /100 person-years) and 78 (1.7 /100 person-years) patients without WRF (adjusted HR 1.60 [95% CI, 1.04–2.49; p=0.03]) (Figure).

Conclusions

AF patients after WRF had higher incidence of various adverse events.

Incidence of Adverse Outcomes

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): The Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes.

Methods

Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01).

Conclusion

Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None