To push or to pull? A clinical audit on the efficacy and safety of the pull and push percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy techniques in oncological patients

BACKGROUND

The peroral "pull" technique and the direct "push" procedure are the two main methods for percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) placement. Although pull-PEG is generally recommended as the first-line modality, many oncological patients require a push-PEG approach to prevent tumor seeding or overcome tumor-related obstruction.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of both PEG procedures in cancer patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed all consecutive PEG procedures within a tertiary oncological center. Patients were followed up with the hospital databases and National Cancer Registry to assess the technical success rate for PEG placement, the rate of minor and major adverse events (AEs), and 30-day mortality rates. We compared those outcomes between the two PEG techniques. Finally, risk factors for PEG-related adverse events were analyzed using a multivariable Cox proportional-hazard regression model adjusted for patients' sex, age, performance status (ECOG), Body Mass Index (BMI), diabetes, chemoradiotherapy (CRT) status (pre-/current-/post-treatment), and type of PEG.

RESULTS

We included 1055 PEG procedures (58.7% push-PEG/41.4% pull-PEG) performed in 994 patients between 2014 and 2021 (mean age 62.0 [±10.7] yrs.; 70.2% males; indication: head-and-neck cancer 75.9%/other cancer 24.1%). The overall technical success for PEG placement was 96.5%. Although the "push" technique had a higher rate of all AEs (21.4% vs. 7.1%, Hazard Ratio [HR]  = 2.9; 95% CI = 1.9-4.3, p < 0.001), most of these constituted minor AEs (71.9%), such as tube dislodgement. The methods had no significant difference regarding major AEs and 30-day mortality rates. Previous CRT was associated with an increased risk of major AEs (hazard ratio = 2.7, 95% CI = 1.0-7.2, p = 0.042).

CONCLUSION

The risk of major AEs was comparable between the push- and pull-PEG techniques in cancer patients. Due to frequent tube dislodgement in push-PEG, the pull technique may be more suitable for long-term feeding. Previous CRT increases the risk of major AEs, favoring early ("prophylactic") PEG placement when such treatment is expected.

Suicide after a Diagnosis of Cancer: Follow-Up of 1.4 Million Individuals, 2009-2019

Background: The study explores whether Polish cancer patients face elevated suicide risk, emphasizing the vital need to comprehend and mitigate their unique mental health struggles. Methods: We conducted a cohort study based on Polish National Cancer Registry data (diagnosis in 2009-2019). Age-, sex-, and year-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) are presented with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) overall and by sex. Results: The study included 1.43 million individuals diagnosed with cancer. There were 830 suicide cases in this group. The overall SMR for suicide was 1.34 (95% CI 1.25-1.43). The highest risk of suicide death was observed in the first six months after diagnosis (SMR = 1.94, 1.69-2.21): cancers of the heart and pleura (19.15, 2.32-69.18), an unspecified site (3.99, 1.09-10.22), and the esophagus (3.34, 1.08-7.79). The highest overall risk of suicide after cancer diagnosis was observed in esophageal (2.94, 1.47-5.26), gastric (2.70, 2.00-3.57), cervical (2.20, 1.06-4.05), and head and neck cancers (2.06, 1.52-2.72). Conclusions: Patients with cancer face significantly higher suicide risk, peaking within six months post-diagnosis. Urgent integration of suicide risk screening and prevention into cancer care is crucial, supporting mental well-being and guiding proactive healthcare strategies.

Risk of suicide in patients with cancer aged 75 years or more - Follow-up of over 400,000 individuals

BACKGROUND

It is well established that older patients with cancer have a significantly higher risk of suicide. However, a comprehensive understanding of the risk factors is lacking. In this study, we aimed to identify groups at an increased risk of suicide among patients aged ≥75 years with a previous cancer diagnosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All Polish individuals diagnosed with cancer at the age of ≥75 years between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2019 were included in this study. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 410,440 patients (211,730 men and 198,710 women) were included in this study. SMR for both sexes was 1.64 (95 % CI 1.43-1.87). When analyzed by sex, a significantly higher risk was observed only in men (SMR 1.70, 95 % CI 1.47-1.95). Among them, the risk of suicide was observed after the diagnosis of lymphoma (2.83, 1.14-5.82), lung cancer (2.63, 1.70-3.89), kidney cancer (2.16, 1.03-3.96), colorectal cancer (1.96, 1.41-2.65), urinary tract cancer (1.86, 1.22-2.70), and prostate cancer (1.40, 1.07-1.82). The highest risk of suicide in men was observed within 6 months of diagnosis (2.83, 2.11-3.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Men diagnosed with cancer at ≥75 years of age are at a higher risk of suicide than men of the same age in the general population. The observations from this study suggest which are the most vulnerable groups of elderly patients with cancer, and the time at which they should be given special support.

Survival of patients with cancers of the female genital organs in Poland, 2000-2019

The purpose of this study was to estimate cancer survival in Poland between 2000 and 2019 for malignant neoplasms of female genital organs (FGO). We calculated survival in cancer of vulva, vagina, cervix uteri, corpus uteri, ovary, and other unspecified female genital organs. Data were obtained from the Polish National Cancer Registry. We estimated age-standardized 5- and 10-year net survival (NS) with the life table method and the Pohar-Perme estimator using the International Cancer Survival Standard weights. Overall, 231,925 FGO cancer cases were included in the study. The overall FGO age-standardized 5-year NS was 58.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) 57.9-58.5%) and the 10-year NS 51.5% (51.5-52.3%). Between 2000 and 2004 and 2015-2018, the highest statistically significant increase in age-standardized 5-year survival was noted for ovarian cancer at + 5.6% (P < 0.001). The FGO cancer median survival time was 8.8 years (8.6-8.9 years), with a standardized mortality rate of 6.1 (6.0-6.1), and with cause-specific years of life lost at 7.8 years (7.7-7.8 years). Hazard ratios (HR) increased with age at diagnosis (HR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03, P = 0.001). Although FGO cancer survivorship has been consistently improving during the last twenty years, additional efforts need to be undertaken to improve survivorship in several FGO cancers.

Potential benefits of one‑time gastroscopy in search for precancerous conditions

INTRODUCTION

Precancerous conditions for esophageal (EA) and gastric adenocarcinoma (GA) are Barrett's esophagus (BE) and atrophic gastritis (AG), respectively. Their surveillance is crucial for the detection of early lesions.

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to assess whether one‑timeesophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) in search for precancerous conditions would be effective in the population with low‑to‑moderate esophageal and gastric cancer risk.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 5984 individuals who underwent diagnostic EGD in 3 endoscopic centers, from March 2018 to October 2019, were analyzed to assess the age of occurrence of precancerous conditions and cancers. Age distribution of the patients with malignant gastric and esophageal tumors registered in the national cancer registry from 2014 to 2017 was analyzed.

RESULTS

In comparison with individuals below 40 years old, the risk of EA and GA diagnosis increased at the age of 60 to 64 years (odds ratio [OR], 12.1; 95% CI, 1.5-98.6), gastric and esophageal dysplasia at the age of 55 to 59 years (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.3-9.7), and BE and AG at the age of 40 to 44 years (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.04-2.4). The number of procedures per 1 cancer that could be potentially avoided was 236, 235, 290, 360, 394, and 344 for the age groups of 40-44 years, 45-49 years, 50-54 years, 55-59 years, 60-64 years, and 65-69 years, respectively. The assessed potential benefit‑to‑harm ratio was 47, 38, 31, 28, and 32 for the age groups of 40-49 years, 50-54 years, 55-59 years, 60-64 years, and 65-69 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

One‑time EGD in search for precancerous conditions could be potentially applicable in individuals between 40 and 69 years of age.

Favorable changes in the survival of patients with cancers of digestive organs - Poland, 2000-2019

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to estimate cancer survival in Poland in 2000-2019 for malignant neoplasms of digestive organs, namely for cancer of the esophagus, stomach, small intestine, colorectum, anus, liver and intrahepatic bile ducts, gallbladder, other and unspecified parts of the biliary tract and pancreas.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Polish National Cancer Registry and age-standardized 5- and 10-year net survival was estimated.

RESULTS

Overall, 534 872 cases were included in the study, reflecting a total of 3 178 934 years of life lost within the 2 decades of observation. Colorectal cancer represented both the highest 5-year and 10-year age-standardized net survival (5-year net survival: 53.0%, 95% confidence interval, 52.8-53.3%; 10-year net survival: 48.6%, 48.2-48.9%). Between 2000-2004 and 2015-2019, the highest statistically significant increase in age-standardized 5-year survival was noted for the small intestine at +18.3 percentual points ( P  < 0.001). The male-female incidence ratio disparity was the highest for esophageal (4:1) and anus and gallbladder cancer (1:2). The highest standardized mortality ratios were observed in esophageal and pancreatic cancer (23.9, 23.5-24.2 and 26.4, 26.2-26.6, respectively). Overall, death hazard ratios were lower for women (hazard ratio = 0.89, 0.88-0.89, P  < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In most cancers, there were statistically significant differences between sexes for all studied metrics. In the last 2 decades, survival for digestive organ cancers has increased considerably. Special attention should be given to liver, esophagus, pancreatic cancer survival and the disparities between sexes.

Suicide risk among adolescents and young adults after cancer diagnosis: analysis of 34 cancer groups from 2009 to 2019

PURPOSE

We aimed to identify granular groups with an increased risk of suicide among adolescents and young adult (AYA) patients with a previous malignant neoplasm diagnosis.

METHODS

We deployed a cohort of all cases of primary malignant neoplasms diagnosed between the 1st of January 2009 and the 31st of December 2019 among individuals aged 15-39 years registered in the Polish National Cancer Registry. To assess the risk of suicide in comparison with the general AYA population, we calculated sex-age-year standardized mortality ratios (SMR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 50,298 cancer patients (22,111 men and 28,187 women) were included in this study. The risk of suicide for AYA after cancer diagnosis was 2.39-fold higher than that for AYA in the general population (SMR 2.39, 95% CI 1.69 to 3.28). The risk in women (SMR 4.18, 95% CI 1.68 to 8.62) was higher than that in men (SMR 2.18, 95% CI 1.48 to 3.09). A significantly higher risk of suicide was observed in men with testicular cancer (SMR 2.46, 95% CI 1.37 to 4.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Polish AYA diagnosed with cancer had an almost 2.5-fold higher risk of suicide than the general AYA population. The particular risk group was men with testicular cancer within 2-3 and 5-10 years after cancer diagnosis.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

To better identify patients at risk of suicide, there is a need to create or adapt screening tools, educate cancer care providers and family physicians, and integrate psychological services into select cancer care specialties.

Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Comparison of Quality Measures for Detection of Neoplasia at Screening Colonoscopy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The proportion of colonoscopies with at least one adenoma (adenoma detection rate [ADR]) is inversely associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and death. The aim of this study was to examine whether such associations exist for colonoscopy quality measures other than ADR.

METHODS

We used data from the Polish Colorectal Cancer Screening Program collected in 2000-2011. For all endoscopists who performed ≥100 colonoscopies we calculated detection rates of adenomas (ADR), polyps (PDR), and advanced adenomas (≥10 mm/villous component/high-grade dysplasia [AADR]); and number of adenomas per colonoscopy (APC) and per colonoscopy with ≥1 adenoma (APPC). We followed patients until CRC diagnosed before recommended surveillance, death, or December 31, 2019. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Cox proportional-hazard models. We used Harrell's C statistic to compare the predictive power of the quality measures.

RESULTS

Data on 173,287 patients (median age, 56 years; 37.8% male) and 262 endoscopists were used. During a median follow-up of 10 years and 1,490,683 person-years, we identified 395 CRCs. All quality measures were significantly associated with CRC risk and death. The relative reductions in CRC risk were as follows: for ADR ≥24.9% (reference <12.1%; HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.25-0.66), PDR ≥42.7% (reference <19.9%; HR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.24-0.51), AADR ≥9.1% (reference <4.1%; HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.49-0.96), APC ≥0.37 (reference <0.15; HR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.21-0.58), and APPC ≥1.54 (reference <1.19; HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.35-0.83). AADR was the only quality measure with significantly lower predictive power than ADR (Harrell's C, 59.7 vs 63.4; P = .001). Similar relative reductions were observed for CRC death.

CONCLUSIONS

This large observational study confirmed the inverse association between ADR and CRC risk and death. The PDR and APC quality measures appear to be comparable with ADR.

Changes in the survival of patients with breast cancer: Poland, 2000-2019

PURPOSE

The main aim of this study was to estimate breast cancer survival in Poland over the period from 2000 to 2019 in both sexes.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Polish National Cancer Registry. The presented metrics included age-standardized 5- and 10-year net survival (NS), median survival times, years of life lost (YLLs), and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

RESULTS

Between 2000 and 2019, 315,278 patients (2353 men and 312,925 women; male-to-female ratio 1/100) were diagnosed with breast cancer in Poland. In this period, 721,987 YLLs were linked to breast cancer. Women presented a higher 5- and 10-year age-standardized NS than men (5-year NS: 77.33% for women and 65.47% for men, P < 0.001, common language effect size (CL) 1.00; 10-year NS: 68.75% for women and 49.50% for men, P < 0.001, CL 1.00). Between the earliest and latest studied period, namely 2000-2004 and 2015-2019, there was a statistically significant increase only in female survival (+ 7.32 pp, P < 0.001, CL 1.00). SMRs were significantly higher for women than for men (3.35 vs. 2.89, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Over the last two decades, breast cancer survival in Poland has improved significantly. Nonetheless, special attention should be given to the disparities between sexes and the gap in overall improvement of survival rates compared with other European countries.

European Groundshot-addressing Europe's cancer research challenges: a Lancet Oncology Commission

Cancer research is a crucial pillar for countries to deliver more affordable, higher quality, and more equitable cancer care. Patients treated in research-active hospitals have better outcomes than patients who are not treated in these settings. However, cancer in Europe is at a crossroads. Cancer was already a leading cause of premature death before the COVID-19 pandemic, and the disastrous effects of the pandemic on early diagnosis and treatment will probably set back cancer outcomes in Europe by almost a decade. Recognising the pivotal importance of research not just to mitigate the pandemic today, but to build better European cancer services and systems for patients tomorrow, the Lancet Oncology European Groundshot Commission on cancer research brings together a wide range of experts, together with detailed new data on cancer research activity across Europe during the past 12 years. We have deployed this knowledge to help inform Europe's Beating Cancer Plan and the EU Cancer Mission, and to set out an evidence-driven, patient-centred cancer research roadmap for Europe. The high-resolution cancer research data we have generated show current activities, captured through different metrics, including by region, disease burden, research domain, and effect on outcomes. We have also included granular data on research collaboration, gender of researchers, and research funding. The inclusion of granular data has facilitated the identification of areas that are perhaps overemphasised in current cancer research in Europe, while also highlighting domains that are underserved. Our detailed data emphasise the need for more information-driven and data-driven cancer research strategies and planning going forward. A particular focus must be on central and eastern Europe, because our findings emphasise the widening gap in cancer research activity, and capacity and outcomes, compared with the rest of Europe. Citizens and patients, no matter where they are, must benefit from advances in cancer research. This Commission also highlights that the narrow focus on discovery science and biopharmaceutical research in Europe needs to be widened to include such areas as prevention and early diagnosis; treatment modalities such as radiotherapy and surgery; and a larger concentration on developing a research and innovation strategy for the 20 million Europeans living beyond a cancer diagnosis. Our data highlight the important role of comprehensive cancer centres in driving the European cancer research agenda. Crucial to a functioning cancer research strategy and its translation into patient benefit is the need for a greater emphasis on health policy and systems research, including implementation science, so that the innovative technological outputs from cancer research have a clear pathway to delivery. This European cancer research Commission has identified 12 key recommendations within a call to action to reimagine cancer research and its implementation in Europe. We hope this call to action will help to achieve our ambitious 70:35 target: 70% average 10-year survival for all European cancer patients by 2035.

Prevalence and risk factors of upper gastrointestinal cancers missed during endoscopy: a nationwide registry-based study

BACKGROUND

A significant proportion of upper gastrointestinal cancers (UGICs) remain undetected during esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). We investigated the characteristics and risk factors of UGICs missed during endoscopy.

METHODS

In this nationwide registry-based study, we analyzed two large Polish datasets (National Health Fund and National Cancer Registry) to identify individuals who underwent EGD and were subsequently diagnosed with UGIC. Cancers diagnosed < 6 months after EGD were defined as "prevalent" and those within ≥ 6- < 36 months as "missed." We compared the characteristics of missed and prevalent cancers, and analyzed the risk factors for missed UGICs in a multivariable regression model.

RESULTS

We included 4 105 399 patients (mean age 56.0 years [SD 17.4]; 57.5 % female) who underwent 5 877 674 EGDs in 2012-2018. Within this cohort, 33 241 UGICs were diagnosed, of which 1993 (6.0 %) were missed. Within esophageal neoplasms, adenocarcinomas were more frequently missed than squamous cell cancers (6.1 % vs. 4.2 %), with a relative risk of 1.4 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.1-1.8, P = 0.01). Most gastric cancers were adenocarcinomas, of which 5.7 % were classified as missed. Overall, a higher proportion of missed UGICs than prevalent cancers presented at an advanced stage (42.2 % vs. 36.2 %, P < 0.001). Risk factors for missed UGICs included initial EGD performed within primary (vs. secondary) care (odds ratio [OR] 1.3, 95 %CI 1.2-1.5), female sex (OR 1.3, 95 %CI 1.2-1.4), and higher comorbidity (Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 5 vs. 0; OR 6.0, 95 %CI 4.7-7.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Among UGICs, esophageal adenocarcinomas were missed most frequently. Missed cancers occur more frequently within the primary care sector and are found more often in women and individuals with multiple comorbidities.

Risk factors of cervical cancer after a negative cytological diagnosis in Polish cervical cancer screening programme

Risk factors of cervical cancer (CC) development are well investigated, however, those influencing the risk of a potential false negative cytology preceding diagnosis of an invasive CC are not. We have aimed to explore these factors according to the data from Organised Cervical Cancer Screening Programme (OCCSP) in Poland. A total of 2.36 million of Pap tests sampled in 2010–2012 within OCCSP were merged with the Polish National Cancer Registry to identify CC cases after abnormal cytology and after normal cytology within 3 years of screening. Of 1460 invasive CCs, 1025 were preceded by abnormal and 399 by normal cytology result. Multivariate logistic analysis indicated that the presence of microorganisms in the Pap (OR = 2.18, 95% CI 1.65–2.87), evaluation by smaller (below 9000 slides processed per year) laboratories (OR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.22–2.09) and non‐squamous histology of cancer increased the odds for a potential false negative result (OR = 3.39, 95% CI 2.37–4.85 for adenocarcinoma, OR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.11–3.55 for other types of carcinoma), whereas cervical ectropion, other macroscopic changes on the cervix and smoking decrease the odds for a potential false negative Pap test result preceding CC (OR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.45–0.82, OR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.25–0.67, OR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.46–0.78, respectively). Proper triage of women with microscopic signs of microorganisms in the Pap smear should be reconsidered and cytology should be assessed in laboratories processing over 9000 slides annually to decrease the odds for negative Pap test result in 2 years before CC diagnosis. Information on macroscopic changes on the cervix provided to cytomorphologist may reduce the risk of a potential false negative cytology result.

Population-based epidemiological data of follicular lymphoma in Poland: 15 years of observation

Available epidemiological reports on follicular lymphoma (FL) often highlight a significant discrepancy between its high and low incidence rates in Western and Eastern Europe, respectively. The reasons behind that difference are not fully understood, but underreporting is typically presumed as one of the main factors. This study aimed to assess FL epidemiology in Poland based on 2000-2014 data from the Polish National Cancer Registry, which has 100% population coverage and over 90% completeness of the registration. All cases were coded according to ICD-10 and ICD-O-3 recommendations. The total number of registered FL cases was 3,928 with crude (CR) and standardized (SR) incidence rates of 0.72/10⁵ and 0.87/10⁵, respectively. The median age of FL diagnosis was 61 years, with the male to female incidence ratio of 1.06. The distribution of morphological types of FL: not otherwise specified (NOS), grades 1, 2, or 3 were 72.58, 4.81, 12.88, and 9.73%, respectively. Among all reported mature B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphomas, FL was ranked the fourth in incidence, just after chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CR 3.62/10⁵, SR 4.99/10⁵), plasma cell neoplasms (CR 3.78/10⁵, SR 4.97/10⁵) and diffuse B-cell lymphoma, NOS (CR 2.13/10⁵, SR 2.65/10⁵). The systematic increase in FL incidence among females was observed. Our study confirms a lower FL incidence rate in Poland as compared to other European countries. Moreover, as our analysis was based on a registry with high data completeness, it provides evidence that reasons other than underreporting are responsible for FL incidence discrepancies between Eastern and Western Europe.

Long-Term Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality After a Single Negative Screening Colonoscopy

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend a 10-year interval between screening colonoscopies, but evidence is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the long-term risk for colorectal cancer (CRC) and death from CRC after a high- and low-quality single negative screening colonoscopy.

DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING

Polish Colonoscopy Screening Program.

PARTICIPANTS

Average-risk individuals aged 50 to 66 years who had a single negative colonoscopy (no neoplastic findings).

MEASUREMENTS

Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) of CRC after high- and low-quality single negative screening colonoscopy. High-quality colonoscopy included a complete examination, with adequate bowel preparation, performed by endoscopists with an adenoma detection rate of 20% or greater.

RESULTS

Among 165 887 individuals followed for up to 17.4 years, CRC incidence (0.28 [95% CI, 0.25 to 0.30]) and mortality (0.19 [CI, 0.16 to 0.21]) were 72% and 81% lower, respectively, than in the general population. High-quality examination resulted in 2-fold lower CRC incidence (SIR, 0.16 [CI, 0.13 to 0.20]) and mortality (SMR, 0.10 [CI, 0.06 to 0.14]) than low-quality examination (SIR, 0.32 [CI, 0.29 to 0.35]; SMR, 0.22 [CI, 0.18 to 0.25]). In multivariable analysis, the hazard ratios for CRC incidence after high-quality versus low-quality colonoscopy were 0.55 (CI, 0.35 to 0.86) for 0 to 5 years, 0.54 (CI, 0.38 to 0.77) for 5.1 to 10 years, and 0.46 (CI, 0.25 to 0.86) for 10 to 17.4 years. Only after high-quality colonoscopy did the SIR and SMR for 10.1 to 17.4 years of follow-up not differ compared with earlier observation periods.

LIMITATION

The general population was used as the comparison group.

CONCLUSION

A single negative screening colonoscopy was associated with reduced CRC incidence and mortality for up to 17.4 years. Only high-quality colonoscopy yielded profound and stable reductions in CRC incidence and mortality throughout the entire follow-up.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Polish Ministry of Health.

Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality After Removal of Adenomas During Screening Colonoscopies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Recommendation of surveillance colonoscopy should be based on risk of colorectal cancer and death after adenoma removal. We aimed to develop a risk classification system based on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality following adenoma removal.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter population-based cohort study of 236,089 individuals (median patient age, 56 years; 37.8% male) undergoing screening colonoscopies with adequate bowel cleansing and cecum intubation at 132 centers in the Polish National Colorectal Cancer Screening Program, from 2000 through 2011. Subjects were followed for a median 7.1 years and information was collected on colorectal cancer development and death. We used recursive partitioning and multivariable Cox models to identify associations between colorectal cancer risk and patient and adenoma characteristics (diameter, growth pattern, grade of dysplasia, and number of adenomas). We developed a risk classification system based on standardized incidence ratios, using data from the Polish population for comparison. The primary endpoints were colorectal cancer incidence and colorectal cancer death.

RESULTS

We identified 130 colorectal cancers in individuals who had adenomas removed at screening (46.5 per 100,000 person-years) vs 309 in individuals without adenomas (22.2 per 100,000 person-years). Compared with individuals without adenomas, adenomas ≥20 mm in diameter and high-grade dysplasia were associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer (adjusted hazard ratios 9.25; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.39-13.39, and 3.58; 95% CI 1.96-6.54, respectively). Compared with the general population, colorectal cancer risk was higher or comparable only for individuals with adenomas ≥20 mm in diameter (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] 2.07; 95% CI 1.40-2.93) or with high-grade dysplasia (SIR 0.79; 95% CI 0.39-1.41), whereas for individuals with other adenoma characteristics the risk was lower (SIR 0.35; 95% CI 0.28-0.44). We developed a high-risk classification based on adenoma size ≥20 mm or high-grade dysplasia (instead of the current high-risk classification cutoff of ≥3 adenomas or any adenoma with villous growth pattern, high-grade dysplasia, or ≥10 mm in diameter). Our classification system would reduce the number of individuals classified as high-risk and requiring intensive surveillance from 15,242 (36.5%) to 3980 (9.5%), without increasing risk of colorectal cancer in patients with adenomas (risk difference per 100,000 person-years, 5.6; 95% CI -10.7 to 22.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Using data from the Polish National Colorectal Cancer Screening Program, we developed a risk classification system that would reduce the number of individuals classified as high risk and require intensive surveillance more than 3-fold, without increasing risk of colorectal cancer in patients with adenomas. This system could optimize the use of surveillance colonoscopy.

New catalogue of conditions that may require pediatric palliative care

BACKGROUND

Pediatric palliative care applies to the conditions specified in the Regulation of the Minister of Health. The previous studies have proved that the conditions' catalogue is incomplete and inadequate.

AIM OF STUDY

The aim of the study was to verify completeness and adequacy of the Minister of Health's catalogue and to develop a new catalogue based on available epidemiological data concerning the Polish population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data of the Statistics Poland on underlying causes of death of children (0-17 years old) and young adults (18-29 years old) who died in 1999-2018 were analyzed. Besides, the study includes data collected by the Warsaw Hospice for Children Foundation on diagnoses of 739 patients treated in 1994-2019, including 519 deceased. The catalogue developed on that basis was compared with the Minister of Health's catalogue.

RESULTS

The new catalogue of conditions that may require pediatric palliative care in Poland and the additional criteria of patient recruitment were developed. The incompleteness and inadequacy of the Minister of Health's catalogue were demonstrated.

CONCLUSIONS

The Regulation of the Minister of Health necessitates an amendment regarding the list of medical conditions entitling children to guaranteed palliative care and hospice services. The Minister of Health should introduce standards and medical procedures for pediatric palliative care. Patients should be recruited on the basis of recognized standards by physicians and not officials of the National Health Fund using incomplete and inadequate Minister of Health's catalogue of medical conditions.

Trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Poland: is there an impact of the introduction of the organised screening?

Aside from existing opportunistic screening, an organised screening programme (OSP) for cervical cancer (CC) was implemented in 2006/2007 in Poland. We applied joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort model to look for the impact of the OSP on CC incidence/mortality trends. Decline of age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) in the screening-age group (25-59 years) accelerated from -2.2% (95% CI -2.7 to -1.7%) between 1993 and 2008 to -6.1% (95% CI -7.7 to -4.4%) annually after 2008. In women aged 60+ years, ASIRs declined from 1986 until 2005 [annual percent change (APC) = -2.6%, 95% CI -2.9 to -2.4%] and stabilised thereafter. Decline of age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) in the screening-age group accelerated from -1.3% (95% CI -1.5 to -1.1%) between 1980 and 2005 to -4.7% (95% CI -5.6 to -3.8%) annually after 2005. In women aged 60+ ASMR declined between 1991 and 2004 (APC = -2.9%, 95% CI -3.5 to -2.3%) and stabilised thereafter. Relative risks of CC diagnosis and death were 0.63 (95% CI 0.62-0.65) and 0.61 (95% CI 0.59-0.63), respectively, for the most recent period compared to the reference around 1982. Implementation of the OSP possibly accelerated downward trends in the burden of CC in Polish women under the age of 60, but recent stabilisation of trends in older women requires actions.

Increased Rate of Adenoma Detection Associates With Reduced Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Death

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The quality of endoscopists' colonoscopy performance is measured by adenoma detection rate (ADR). Although ADR is associated inversely with interval colorectal cancer and colorectal cancer death, the effects of an increasing ADR have not been shown. We investigated whether increasing ADRs from individual endoscopists is associated with reduced risks of interval colorectal cancer and subsequent death.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study of individuals who underwent a screening colonoscopy within the National Colorectal Cancer Screening Program in Poland, from January 1, 2004, through December 31, 2008. We collected data from 146,860 colonoscopies performed by 294 endoscopists, with each endoscopist having participated at least twice in annual editions of primary colonoscopy screening. We used annual feedback and quality benchmark indicators to improve colonoscopy performance. We used ADR quintiles in the whole data set to categorize the annual ADRs for each endoscopist. An increased ADR was defined as an increase by at least 1 quintile category, or the maintenance of the highest category in subsequent screening years. Multivariate frailty models were used to evaluate the effects of increased ADR on the risk of interval colorectal cancer and death.

RESULTS

Throughout the enrollment period, 219 endoscopists (74.5%) increased their annual ADR category. During 895,916 person-years of follow-up evaluation through the National Cancer Registry, we identified 168 interval colorectal cancers and 44 interval cancer deaths. An increased ADR was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio for interval colorectal cancer of 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45-0.88; P = .006), and for cancer death of 0.50 (95% CI, 0.27-0.95; P = .035). Compared with no increase in ADR, reaching or maintaining the highest quintile ADR category (such as an ADR > 24.56%) decreased the adjusted hazard ratios for interval colorectal cancer to 0.27 (95% CI, 0.12-0.63; P = .003), and 0.18 (95% CI, 0.06-0.56; P = .003), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In a prospective study of individuals who underwent screening colonoscopy within a National Colorectal Cancer Screening Program, we associated increased ADR with a reduced risk of interval colorectal cancer and death.

Adenocarcinoma risk in patients registered with Polish Barrett's Oesophagus Registry

Barrett's Oesophagus (BO) is a complication of chronic gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD) and is a major risk factor for oesophageal adenocarcinoma. Current guidelines are based on data showing a 0.5% annual malignancy progression rate. The Polish Barrett's Oesophagus Registry (POBOR) was established to characterize Polish patients with BO and estimate the risk of malignant progression. POBOR was established in 1999 after a dedicated training of endoscopists and histopathologists. Physicians registered patients using a dedicated registry form. After excluding patients known to have endoscopic treatment for BO, follow-up <1 year and adenocarcinoma found at index endoscopy we have linked patients personal identification numbers (PESEL) with the National Cancer Registry to identify those with a diagnosis of oesophageal or gastric cardia adenocarcinoma. In total, 843 patients were registered [609 men (72.2%), male to female ratio 2.6:1] with median age at diagnosis of 56 years (IQR:47-67). Long segment BE was found at index endoscopy in 294 patients (39.4%) whereas low grade dysplasia in 147 (17.4%). 112 patients (13.3%) fulfilled the exclusion criteria and the remaining 731 were followed for a median of 9.8 years (IQR: 9.3-10.0). After 6779 patient-years, 6 adenocarcinomas were diagnosed yielding an incidence rate of 0.89 per 1000 patients-years (95% confidence interval [CI 0.40-1.97]) which corresponds to annual malignancy progression rate of less than 0.1%. The malignancy rate in patients with low grade dysplasia was 3.70 per 1000 patient-years (95% CI 1.39-9.85). In Polish BO patients the risk of malignant progression was lower than previously reported. It was notably higher in patients with low grade dysplasia than in those with no dysplasia at index endoscopy, which may warrant strict surveillance in these patients.

Lung cancer epidemiology: contemporary and future challenges worldwide

Over the last century, lung cancer from the rarest of diseases became the biggest cancer killer of men worldwide and in some parts of the world also of women (North America, East Asia, Northern Europe, Australia and New Zealand). In 2012 over 1.6 million of people died due to lung cancer. The cause-effect relationship between tobacco smoking and lung cancer occurrence has been proven in many studies, both ecological and clinical. In global perspective one can see the increasing tobacco consumption trend followed by ascending trends of lung cancer mortality, especially in developing countries. In some more developed countries, where the tobacco epidemics was on the rise since the beginning of the 20th century and peaked in its mid, in male population lung cancer incidence trend reversed or leveled off. Despite predicted further decline of incidence rates, the absolute number of deaths will continue to grow in these countries. In the remaining parts of the world the tobacco epidemics is still evolving what brings rapid increase of the number of new lung cancer cases and deaths. Number of lung cancer deaths worldwide is expected to grow up to 3 million until 2035. The figures will double both in men (from 1.1 million in 2012 to 2.1 million in 2035) and women (from 0.5 million in 2012 to 0.9 million in 2035) and the two-fold difference between sexes will persist. The most rapid increase is expected in Africa region (AFRO) and East Mediterranean region (EMRO). The increase of the absolute number of lung cancer deaths in more developed countries is caused mostly by population aging and in less developed countries predominantly by the evolving tobacco epidemic.

Future lung cancer incidence in Poland and Finland based on forecasts on hypothetical changes in smoking habits

OBJECTIVE

the aim is to estimate the future lung cancer incidence in Poland and Finland based on forecasts on hypothetical changes in smoking habits.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

data on population, lung cancer and smoking prevalence come from known sources. The simulation model utilized for forecasting was based on smoothing the smoking habit - specific risk ratios estimated for males and females in Europe.

RESULTS

depending on the analyzed scenario in 2030 in Poland mortality rates among men would range from 8 to 125/10(5) and among women from 7 to 47/10(5); in Finland among men 5 to 60/10(5) and among women 4 to 22/10(5).

CONCLUSIONS

the results obtained clearly indicate that cutting down on the number of smokers translates directly into a considerable reduction of the lung cancer incidence rate.

Quality indicators for colonoscopy and the risk of interval cancer

BACKGROUND

Although rates of detection of adenomatous lesions (tumors or polyps) and cecal intubation are recommended for use as quality indicators for screening colonoscopy, these measurements have not been validated, and their importance remains uncertain.

METHODS

We used a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model to evaluate the influence of quality indicators for colonoscopy on the risk of interval cancer. Data were collected from 186 endoscopists who were involved in a colonoscopy-based colorectal-cancer screening program involving 45,026 subjects. Interval cancer was defined as colorectal adenocarcinoma that was diagnosed between the time of screening colonoscopy and the scheduled time of surveillance colonoscopy. We derived data on quality indicators for colonoscopy from the screening program's database and data on interval cancers from cancer registries. The primary aim of the study was to assess the association between quality indicators for colonoscopy and the risk of interval cancer.

RESULTS

A total of 42 interval colorectal cancers were identified during a period of 188,788 person-years. The endoscopist's rate of detection of adenomas was significantly associated with the risk of interval colorectal cancer (P=0.008), whereas the rate of cecal intubation was not significantly associated with this risk (P=0.50). The hazard ratios for adenoma detection rates of less than 11.0%, 11.0 to 14.9%, and 15.0 to 19.9%, as compared with a rate of 20.0% or higher, were 10.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37 to 87.01), 10.75 (95% CI, 1.36 to 85.06), and 12.50 (95% CI, 1.51 to 103.43), respectively (P=0.02 for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

The adenoma detection rate is an independent predictor of the risk of interval colorectal cancer after screening colonoscopy.

Quality indicators for colonoscopy and the risk of interval cancer

BACKGROUND

Although rates of detection of adenomatous lesions (tumors or polyps) and cecal intubation are recommended for use as quality indicators for screening colonoscopy, these measurements have not been validated, and their importance remains uncertain.

METHODS

We used a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model to evaluate the influence of quality indicators for colonoscopy on the risk of interval cancer. Data were collected from 186 endoscopists who were involved in a colonoscopy-based colorectal-cancer screening program involving 45,026 subjects. Interval cancer was defined as colorectal adenocarcinoma that was diagnosed between the time of screening colonoscopy and the scheduled time of surveillance colonoscopy. We derived data on quality indicators for colonoscopy from the screening program's database and data on interval cancers from cancer registries. The primary aim of the study was to assess the association between quality indicators for colonoscopy and the risk of interval cancer.

RESULTS

A total of 42 interval colorectal cancers were identified during a period of 188,788 person-years. The endoscopist's rate of detection of adenomas was significantly associated with the risk of interval colorectal cancer (P=0.008), whereas the rate of cecal intubation was not significantly associated with this risk (P=0.50). The hazard ratios for adenoma detection rates of less than 11.0%, 11.0 to 14.9%, and 15.0 to 19.9%, as compared with a rate of 20.0% or higher, were 10.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37 to 87.01), 10.75 (95% CI, 1.36 to 85.06), and 12.50 (95% CI, 1.51 to 103.43), respectively (P=0.02 for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

The adenoma detection rate is an independent predictor of the risk of interval colorectal cancer after screening colonoscopy.

[Cervix uteri cancer in Poland--epidemiological opening balance and perspectives]

Cancer is one of the main causes of death among young and middle-aged females. In case of some cancer sites there is a possibility of undertaking an intervention, which would diminish the risk of death--to this group belongs first of all malignant neoplasm of cervix uteri. The date of beginning first cervix uteri cancer screening in Poland is approaching, therefore presenting epidemiological opening balance and possible scenarios of changes it worthwhile. This work uses data on morbidity and mortality due to malignant neoplasm of cervix uteri cancer in Polish population. Time trends analysis was based on so-called "breakpoint" (joinpoint analysis). Cervix uteri cancer mortality trend is characterized by two breakpoints (1971 and 1993). In the period of 1963-1970 there was an increase of mortality and then after the trend reversed: percentage decline was estimated at the level of 0.8% yearly in 1971-1992 and 2.4% yearly in 1993-2002. Hypothetical scenarios of changes in cervix uteri cancer mortality show, that lack of intervention will cause mortality among Polish females at the level recorded in Finland 25 years ago. Optimistic variant would allow on diminishing mortality in Poland down to the level observed currently in Finland, in around 30 years. Implementing preventive cervix uteri cancer screening is currently the most urgent challenge of public health. If the preventive screening program will still be in the phase of plans and projects, then in 30 years time Poland will be in the point which Finland reached in the end of 1970s, and our civilizing underdevelopment will reach half a century.

Epidemiological Situation Concerning Lung Cancer in Wielkopolska in 1975–2002

Lung cancer is the main cause of cancer deaths around the world. At 12% of all cancer incidents, lung cancer is the most frequent single cause of death, of both males and females. In 2002 among male population in Po­land, lung cancer was the second, following heart failure, cause of death, ranging at 8% of deaths in general. It was third cause of death among females ranging at 2.3% in general. Considering cancer deaths in 2002 in Wielkopolska, lung cancer was most frequent cause of death among males (30%) and second frequent among females (10.4%). The last 25 years the number of deaths decreased among younger generation of males (first in the age group 20–44, later in the middle age group) and this phenomenon has dominated the general picture of cancer among males. However the increase of mortality rates in the older age group might be still observed. The constant increase of mortality has been observed among females, especially in the middle age group (45–64). It should be highlighted that the level of mortality has been equalled in both genders in the youngest age group (20–44), which means sud­denly growing risk among young population of women in Wielkopolska.

[Epidemiological situation concerning lung cancer in Wielkopolska in 1975-2002]

Lung cancer is the main cause of cancer deaths around the world. At 12% of all cancer incidents, lung cancer is the most frequent single cause of death, of both males and females. In 2002 among male population in Poland, lung cancer was the second, following heart failure, cause of death, ranging at 8% of deaths in general. It was third cause of death among females ranging at 2.3% in general. Considering cancer deaths in 2002 in Wielkopolska, lung cancer was most frequent cause of death among males (30%) and second frequent among females (10.4%). The last 25 years the number of deaths decreased among younger generation of males (first in the age group 20-44, later in the middle age group) and this phenomenon has dominated the general picture of cancer among males. However the increase of mortality rates in the older age group might be still observed. The constant increase of mortality has been observed among females, especially in the middle age group (45-64). It should be highlighted that the level of mortality has been equalled in both genders in the youngest age group (20-44), which means suddenly growing risk among young population of women in Wielkopolska.

[Tobacco smoking in Wielkopolska towards the end of 20th century]

Tobacco smoking is the cause of 30% of deaths among men and 7% among women in Poland. Such data call for detailed analysis. Previous researche on frequency of smoking was focused on the analysis of all-Poland population. The following research was aimed at the description of tobacco smoke exposure in population of Wielkopolska in the late 1990s. Smoking habits in Wielkopolska is more prevalent in men than women and this prevalence is sustained in time. The smoking habit among men decreased during the last 5 years of the 20th century, however it is higher among women (1996: 47.5% men and 27.7% women, 2000: 41.9% men and 29.9% women). The positive fact is the raising percentage of both men and women who give up smoking. The results show that the level of education is a strong predictor of smoking among men: the higher education, the lower percentage of smokers. This relation does not seem to be that obvious in women. The place of living is another factor influencing the percentage of smoking people--the prevalence is lower in cities, especially among men. Presented results show that there are similar changes in smoking habits in Wielkopolska as observed nationwide. The difference concerns slightly lower percentage of tobacco users among men and higher among women in Wielkopolska than in nationwide population. Distribution of involvement of subsequent categories (i.e. gender, age, education and place of living) follow the pattern observed in general population. The knowledge about smoking habits in Wielkopolska forms the ground for actions within the frame of evidence based medicine, systematic assessment of frequency of smoking would allow taking up appropriate preventive actions such as youth education and therapeutic (treatment of smoking habit) actions.